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affects a certain type of
currency. Anyways guys take
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we are in in the economy and
then you can assume how that
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and then actually understand
what point in the cycle we are
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right now what's happening and
then of course look at all your
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then of course that's when
inflation starts to kick in you
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economic stimulation lots of
economic economic activity and
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characteristics obviously I've
listed here take note of them
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other factors but anyways guys
that's it for the economic
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mean sorry when there's low
interest rates there's a lot of
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cycle definitely search this up
any graphs you can see the
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there's not much economic
activity happening and no I
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at. Now when there's too much
expansion as I've said here as
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eventually need to slow down
the economic expansion
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spectrum when they be when
interest rates become low
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and then of course the downfall
of the economy on the opposite
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increasing. So that's something
that central banks have to look
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employment, everything like
that. Inflation is also
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overheating is what economists
call it. Interest rates are
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this is a very dangerous stage
that we're going to be looking
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to ask you where are these
areas? Where are interest rates
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the economy grows more and more
and accumulates more and more
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debt also money supply
increases as well. Now if I was
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at when the yield curve inverts
or you know remains flat that's
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economic stimulation. This
affects production, GDP,
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increased to slow down the
economic expansion. Each time
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Now when there's too much
expansion or so-called
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being increased? Where they
being decreased? Need to
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they become low, more
participants are likely to take
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loans due to the low interest
rates. Therefore increasing
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the next few lessons. But how
does this consistently happen?
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whatever it may be. Hence why
businesses are not as active.
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when you know we we're going to
get into that in more detail in
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employment and every other
factor that we've looked at.
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Now think about it logically in
terms of interest rates. When
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great either. Interest rates
are very high so not much
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then of course the yield yield
curve remains flat as well. And
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then the final stage that we
look at is the early recession.
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the economy starts to you know
to boom again as it once was in
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previous stage where we had the
earlier recovery this is where
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otherwise you'll get factors
happening like hyperinflation
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the late recovery industrial
production is quite low
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interest rates start rising as
well so you know the central
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banks will have to increase
interest rates because they
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well or also known as overheat
that's when bank the central
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Sometimes even negative. And
then yield curve is very steep
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banks they have to they have to
take action against all that
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just got to understand this
cycle where we are in the world
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consumer expectations and
interest rates but of course
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earlier recovery. So that's the
point where the economy starts
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of them points as well. Then
after the recession we get the
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late recovery where consumer
expectations drop industrial
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world you would see between
zero and 0. 2 5percent.
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rise. Industrial production
also increases. Interest rates
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at this point as well. Then
after that you get the late
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are at complete lows so near 0
percent. Usually around the
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refer back to this lessons once
you have a proper understanding
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getting back to how it was you
know GDP's increasing, more
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at this. This is the expansion
stage right? When the economy's
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understand that in terms of the
economic cycle. So let's look
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many people are taking loans.
Um you know business loans or
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economic activity. Not many
people are borrowing money. Not
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And then the yield curve
flattens or can even invert and
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So consumer expectations are at
the lowest. Industrial
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production is very bad so you
can expect GDP to not be too
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inflation that is happening in
this earlier recovery stage and
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usually see in a recession is
GDP retracts after two
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you know as long as 10 years
but typically lasts around five
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increasing, everything like
that, GDP so an economic cycle
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years So the first stage that
we're going to be looking at is
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economies are always growing,
money supplies always
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cycle you get a you know growth
in the economy hence why
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usually lasts around five years
more recently they've lasted
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positive wave so after every
market cycle and every economic
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production is neutral or flat
so in comparison to the
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going to be getting on to yield
curves and of course all the
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improving with a rising GDP.
Then consumer expectations
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see you know too much recovery
and the economy starts to slow
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just as a brief look at the
economic cycle this is what you
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down again that's early
recession so as you can see the
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recovery is the bottom in area
then of course you get that
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a recession. So the
characteristics that you'd
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expectations drop and yield
curves remain normal. So we're
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consecutive quarter readings.
Interest rates fall. Consumer
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economy moves in waves and
usually it's a progressive and
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comes to fundamentals it's the
basic understanding of where we
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lessons that you need to
understand especially when it
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we're going to be looking at
the economic cycle and to be
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Yes hello everyone welcome to
the next video so in this one
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care and I'll see you in the
next video.
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growth the late recovery and
then as soon as you start to
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usually have first stage would
be recession then earlier
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are in the economic cycle and
what that usually entails so
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fair this is honestly one of
the most important and core
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