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Would you like to inspect the original subtitles? These are the user uploaded subtitles that are being translated: 1 00:06:35,063 --> 00:06:38,863 the banks of course that has a knock on effect on the 2 00:05:18,283 --> 00:05:22,683 economics growth. So how can we control these orders? Um of 3 00:05:15,443 --> 00:05:18,283 means a higher number of durable goods therefore shows 4 00:07:06,503 --> 00:07:10,783 going to be you know you're going to be a part of. And so 5 00:07:10,783 --> 00:07:13,383 yeah that's it for this lesson. I'm going to see you guys in 6 00:06:59,583 --> 00:07:02,703 it comes to actually find in the data. I'm going to try my 7 00:06:20,363 --> 00:06:22,923 conclude on everything that we've learned right now. The 8 00:04:46,463 --> 00:04:50,903 perhaps there's a lot of steel inside there as well with that 9 00:05:11,643 --> 00:05:15,443 investment into durable goods by the businesses. So that 10 00:06:42,663 --> 00:06:46,583 much the entire population in the US in the UK everywhere 11 00:06:27,423 --> 00:06:30,743 as you can tell it's very influential because it affects 12 00:05:29,903 --> 00:05:32,143 but most of the goods are always going to be imported 13 00:06:15,963 --> 00:06:20,363 interest rates, loans, credits and etcetera. So just to 14 00:07:02,703 --> 00:07:06,503 best to always add links into the discord group that we're 15 00:06:46,583 --> 00:06:50,663 around the world and then of course these indicators are the 16 00:06:50,663 --> 00:06:55,223 main two that we they look at so 100% I would recommend 17 00:06:01,683 --> 00:06:05,043 participants in the FOMC meetings are able to evaluate 18 00:05:46,823 --> 00:05:50,903 remember we always come back to the the idea of monetary policy 19 00:05:56,623 --> 00:06:01,683 Now with these two indicators of data and statistics the 20 00:05:26,303 --> 00:05:29,903 most of the goods or it depends really what country you're in 21 00:05:02,603 --> 00:05:06,563 going in the future so the direct effect that it's 22 00:06:30,743 --> 00:06:35,063 the overnight lending and borrowing interest rate between 23 00:06:55,223 --> 00:06:59,583 before any FOMC meetings you take a look at this data when 24 00:05:50,903 --> 00:05:56,343 and fiscal policies and how it directly impacts the economy 25 00:06:05,043 --> 00:06:08,163 what inflation is like at the time and accordingly suggest 26 00:05:38,023 --> 00:05:42,343 materials to you and then loans by banks may have too high of 27 00:06:22,923 --> 00:06:27,423 Fed's funds rate is discussed eight times by the FOMC meeting 28 00:04:50,903 --> 00:04:55,723 stock I would or recommend to always look at these durable 29 00:06:13,283 --> 00:06:15,963 this naturally has a knock on effect on different types of 30 00:06:38,863 --> 00:06:42,663 consumers of the banks and of course that's you know pretty 31 00:05:22,683 --> 00:05:26,303 course you can use taxes and tariffs on the imports because 32 00:05:42,343 --> 00:05:46,823 interest rate so businesses are discouraged to spend now 33 00:05:00,243 --> 00:05:02,603 especially with the stock prices and where you see it 34 00:05:32,143 --> 00:05:38,023 from commodity rich areas those that actually export all the 35 00:04:55,723 --> 00:05:00,243 goods orders because it's going to be so influential 36 00:04:29,943 --> 00:04:33,583 future orders so it's perfect for understanding which stocks 37 00:04:14,903 --> 00:04:18,223 So we know how productive the factories will be. How many 38 00:06:08,163 --> 00:06:13,283 the Fed fund rate as per the data. As discussed previously 39 00:04:21,543 --> 00:04:26,183 activity at the time. Timing long term particularly when 40 00:04:33,583 --> 00:04:36,943 to pick out hence why stocks are so affected by these 41 00:04:36,943 --> 00:04:40,743 reports if you're looking at certain stocks where they deal 42 00:04:40,743 --> 00:04:46,463 with you know a lot of production a lot of machinery 43 00:04:26,183 --> 00:04:29,943 we're looking you know in the future market since they can be 44 00:03:42,923 --> 00:03:46,443 particularly supply chains. This is released two times per 45 00:05:06,563 --> 00:05:11,643 going to have tax cuts or loose monetary policies encourages 46 00:03:28,283 --> 00:03:33,003 data analysis. So, the second indicator that they mainly look 47 00:04:01,063 --> 00:04:05,503 transportation sector because of random high influxes 48 00:03:50,103 --> 00:03:53,263 particular that last more than three years. So what that 49 00:04:05,503 --> 00:04:10,343 sometimes. So how can it be used? It measures economic 50 00:03:21,523 --> 00:03:25,323 FX three, whatever it may be, but just to let you guys know, 51 00:03:53,263 --> 00:03:56,703 includes is machinery, equipment, steel, tanks and 52 00:04:18,223 --> 00:04:21,543 people are are going to be employed and thus the economic 53 00:04:10,343 --> 00:04:14,903 growth. These reports are all orders in present and future. 54 00:03:56,703 --> 00:04:01,063 etcetera. The report excludes defense and transport sec 55 00:03:33,003 --> 00:03:39,043 at is the durable goods orders. So, a monthly survey by the US 56 00:03:02,643 --> 00:03:06,403 consumption expenditures. And they use it instead because 57 00:02:58,123 --> 00:03:02,643 core CPI index but this one right here is the personal 58 00:02:31,843 --> 00:02:35,203 going to be more to that as well but again some extra 59 00:03:39,043 --> 00:03:42,923 Census Bureau that measures industrial activity, 60 00:02:55,123 --> 00:02:58,123 heard of this because CPI is very well known and of course 61 00:03:46,443 --> 00:03:50,103 month. So, the goods that we're looking at are the goods in 62 00:03:09,843 --> 00:03:14,123 fluctuations seen in the general CPI data released. It's 63 00:03:25,323 --> 00:03:28,283 this is the main one that they look at, especially in their 64 00:03:17,283 --> 00:03:21,523 be easily accessed, you know, whether it be Forex factory or 65 00:03:14,123 --> 00:03:17,283 a bare indication of the inflation trends. Now this can 66 00:02:04,363 --> 00:02:07,443 an accurate understanding of how much inflation there 67 00:02:22,563 --> 00:02:27,363 own research and look more into that then the energy market 68 00:02:35,203 --> 00:02:39,283 research will never hurt but you know these three are the 69 00:02:48,643 --> 00:02:55,123 prefer to use the PCE index. Uh most of you would not have even 70 00:02:27,363 --> 00:02:31,843 mainly consists of oil, gas and natural gas. Of course there's 71 00:03:06,403 --> 00:03:09,843 it's not prone to any short term inflations. Uh 72 00:02:16,843 --> 00:02:20,283 beef of course there's many other sectors as well but these 73 00:02:07,443 --> 00:02:12,163 actually is in the market so to look at that again the food 74 00:02:39,283 --> 00:02:41,923 main three that we even look at especially on the charts 75 00:02:01,643 --> 00:02:04,363 of the most essential parts that they look at just to get 76 00:02:41,923 --> 00:02:48,643 particularly oil. Now what do the Fed use instead? The Fed 77 00:02:12,163 --> 00:02:16,843 market the main three that they would look at is wheat pork and 78 00:02:20,283 --> 00:02:22,563 are just a few that are brought up of course you can do your 79 00:01:57,763 --> 00:02:01,643 core inflation rate as it's called but this is really one 80 00:01:51,463 --> 00:01:57,763 already previous previously gone through CPI and you know a 81 00:01:44,183 --> 00:01:47,343 the food and energy sector is way too volatile at that time. 82 00:01:47,343 --> 00:01:51,463 This can create misleading results. Now understand we've 83 00:01:40,663 --> 00:01:44,183 For example the effect of natural disasters on crops so 84 00:01:36,303 --> 00:01:40,663 an accurate reading of underlying inflation trends. 85 00:01:16,823 --> 00:01:22,623 range. Anyways the first one is the core inflation rate. So the 86 00:01:30,263 --> 00:01:33,423 Food and energy products are way too volatile for this to be 87 00:01:03,103 --> 00:01:09,223 this into this lesson in a way. So this has a knock on effect 88 00:01:12,543 --> 00:01:16,823 they use to choose the appropriate rate change. Or 89 00:01:33,423 --> 00:01:36,303 included. They change so quickly that they can throw off 90 00:01:22,623 --> 00:01:26,223 co-inflation rate is the price change of goods and services 91 00:00:58,783 --> 00:01:03,103 deflationary condition conditions already built into 92 00:00:56,343 --> 00:00:58,783 course you've got the inflationary and the 93 00:01:26,223 --> 00:01:30,263 minus food and energy. So why is food and energy excluded? 94 00:01:09,223 --> 00:01:12,543 on the economy but first we will discuss the indicators 95 00:00:37,423 --> 00:00:41,823 understanding the requirement that the Fed actually imposes 96 00:00:49,143 --> 00:00:52,903 rate what does that do? That in increases borrowing. If they 97 00:00:30,223 --> 00:00:34,663 months and the years just to have an understanding of where 98 00:00:34,663 --> 00:00:37,423 they can actually set this rate. Uh obviously 99 00:00:24,343 --> 00:00:27,663 federal funds rate. Now they do this with their analysis from 100 00:00:41,823 --> 00:00:45,463 upon every single bank to keep and of course that's where they 101 00:00:45,463 --> 00:00:49,143 can determine the Fed funds rate. Now if they lower the 102 00:00:52,903 --> 00:00:56,343 increase the rate that means decrease borrowing. So of 103 00:00:27,663 --> 00:00:30,223 all the data that they accumulate throughout the 104 00:00:04,103 --> 00:00:07,803 Yes, welcome everyone to the next video. So, moving on from 105 00:00:19,763 --> 00:00:24,343 Now when the FOMC meets eight times a year they discuss the 106 00:07:13,383 --> 00:07:16,983 the next lesson. Alright take care. 107 00:00:07,803 --> 00:00:10,803 the last one where we look at the federal funds rate. We're 108 00:00:10,803 --> 00:00:13,403 actually going to be looking at the indicators that you that 109 00:00:13,403 --> 00:00:18,883 they use during the FOMC meetings whenever they meet. 10101

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