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Now much is being said about the fact that
the armed forces of Ukraine gain superiority
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from the right bank over the left bank of
the Kherson region, on the implementation
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of fire pressure.
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This is indeed true and it is very important,
in the process of forming conditions for the
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depletion of the enemy.
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But much more interesting are the other distances.
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In fact, much more interesting is not the
possibility of Ukrainian trunk artillery to
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exert pressure on the line from Skadovsk and
rocket artillery to the northern locations
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of the Crimea.
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What’s interesting is 10 to 20 kilometers
inland on the left bank.
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The fact is that the armed forces of Ukraine
have superiority in range and accuracy of
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artillery, although still inferior in fire
potential, but still the suppression of enemy
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positions is from 10 to 20 km deep with minimal
risks for Ukrainian artillery.
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By risks I mean counter-battery combat of
the enemy, which Russian troops can carry
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out from the left bank with risk to their
positions, but not the other way around.
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And this is very important in the issue of
effective impact on the left-bank location.
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Interestingly, similarly, Ukrainian forces
can control airspace within the same 10 to
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20 km inside occupied territory, as well as
with minimal risks for air defence assets.
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That is, the optimal deepening of the front
on a particular area of combat in the near
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future may well be these 10-20 km.
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And it is obvious that their retention for
the Russian troops is suicide.
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In fact, these 10-20 km is a kind of buffer
operating zone, where the presence of the
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enemy is uncomfortable for him, but the Ukrainian
forces can conduct all sorts of existential
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and metaphysical experiments.
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The important thing is that exactly such a
deepening is at least a breakthrough of the
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defense line, but most likely there will be
a collapse of the enemy's defense as a whole
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in the area.
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That is, the advance with artillery and air
defense cover could be more than the depth
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I have voiced.
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And, most importantly - when retreating, the
enemy itself complicates the situation, expanding
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the possibilities of both fire pressure and
expansion of the operational zone for the
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AFU, but it has no other choice.
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Suicidal stalemate.
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About her I have already spoken about before
the release of Kherson, it is repeated in
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this area.
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