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Now a lot is said about missiles in
Russia, their shortage and the ability
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of the military-industrial complex
of the occupant to fill their number,
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but there is no mention of another very
important tool of the Russian army - tanks.
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And it is at the expense of tank fists that Russia
is able to carry out both offensives and defenses.
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At the time of the invasion of Ukraine, according
to various sources, the Russian army had up to
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3,300 combat-ready tanks. As of today, according
to the AFU General Staff, 2,899 Russian army
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tanks have been destroyed. According to
Oryx analysts 1,505 have been destroyed.
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Separately, I note that Oryx records
only the equipment, destruction,
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damage or seizure of which is
documented (photos or video).
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On the other hand, the equipment left
to rust in the temporarily occupied
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territories or taken to the cemetery in
the Russian Federation is not recorded.
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That is to say, the tank crisis in the
Russian forces, as they say, is obvious.
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How to solve it? To remove the tanks from
storage and preservation. No matter what,
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and according to open data Russia has about 15,000
T-72, T-80, T-90, T-64 and T-62 tanks in storage.
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The tanks on papers are in the
right amount, but there is a nuance.
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The fact is that the vast majority of these
tanks were in storage in unsatisfactory
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conditions and cannot be restored.
Another part needs to be repaired.
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In fact, about 20% of all the available tanks are
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fit for restoration of combat effectiveness.
Roughly speaking this is up to 3,000 tanks.
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Again, a serious amount to restore the
army’s combat capability, but still...
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Repair of these tanks and return them
to combat-ready condition takes time.
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For example, the T-72 can take anywhere from two
weeks to a month to recover from mothballing.
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The T-80 has a more complicated
process and is on average a month.
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In addition, in most cases the
restoration takes place in the
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format of technical cannibalism, that
is, parts from other tanks are used.
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Such a format is particularly common when
restoring the T-64, as well as the T-62.
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It is worth noting that the T-62s are the easiest
and fastest to restore, but they are completely
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out of step with modern warfare. The last such
tank was taken off the assembly line 47 years ago.
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But the Russians have no other option, it is the
T-62s that can be sent to the front the fastest.
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As a result, Russia is facing a serious
problem - an unprecedented shortage of tanks.
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It is trying to solve this problem at
the expense of "friendly" countries,
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such as Belarus, by exporting tank reserves.
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But the resource of Belarus alone is not enough
for Russia, so it will look for other sources. For
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example, in the post-Soviet space, Turkmenistan
had the largest stock of tanks after Ukraine.
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It is possible that in the near future
Moscow will apply for the opportunity to
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buy some tanks from other mass operators
of the Soviet nomenclature of tanks.
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Given the proximity of the relationship,
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Russia’s tank crisis could force Russia to start
negotiations with India, Iran, and Algeria.
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After all, the situation with tanks at Russia
is really getting more and more critical shades.
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In the meantime, we can observe the collapse
of the largest tank army in the world.
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