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The command of the Russian troops is aware that
just as on the right bank of the Kherson region,
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in the Svatove region they will have to
make a "difficult" decision in the near
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future. After all, the situation that
emerges there has no clear contours,
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but it is very tangible as
an operational encirclement.
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Therefore, we are now witnessing the build-up
of Russian troops in the Svatovsk direction,
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which must reinforce the area if it is to be held.
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But it is already clear that it
will not be possible to hold it.
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For example, the occupants deployed
a fairly fresh and very combat-ready
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Battalion tactical group from the 1st Tank
Army near Starobilsk. A fresh resource,
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which is now a rarity in the occupier's forces.
And it also has a complete set of equipment.
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That is, the command of the Russian
troops, aware of its losing position,
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still saturates the location, so that then all
the same to withdraw and escape... Or they are
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preparing ways for a safer and more comfortable
withdrawal of forces and assets to Starobilsk.
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In my opinion, if the Ukrainian armed forces
break through the Russian defenses near Svatovo,
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the occupiers will not be able to hold off the
counterattack by the AFU all the way to the
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outskirts of Starobelsk. It will be another,
rapid cascading collapse of their defenses.
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In this regard, the deployment of very fresh
and quite combat-ready resources of the Russian
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forces near Starobelsk suggests that their command
has begun to form the conditions for a decision.
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Similarly, the story of the liberation
of Kherson began in the same way.
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However, the fighting is not over and new
round of mobilization in Russia is expected.
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And right now partially mobilized, at the firing
ranges morally encouraged by the fact that they
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will drive through Ukraine on modern tanks T-14
"Armata"... It increases morale and motivates a
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horde of recruits in rags and rubber boots
with outdated weapons on their shoulders.
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But they won't see any "Armata" in Ukraine... T-62
tank, D-1 howitzer, Mosin rifle and helmet worn
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by their ancestors - this is what is waiting
for the vast majority of Russian recruits.
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