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These are the user uploaded subtitles that are being translated: 1 00:00:04,560 --> 00:00:10,215 Tonight on Panorama, we investigate the rising cost of food. 2 00:00:10,280 --> 00:00:15,055 Before we'd just go to a supermarket and just put things 3 00:00:15,080 --> 00:00:18,335 in a trolley and think, "Oh, we'll make this 4 00:00:18,360 --> 00:00:19,575 "or we might make that." 5 00:00:19,600 --> 00:00:24,735 Can't do that any more. 6 00:00:24,800 --> 00:00:29,175 We've tried going for a cheaper option, the kids definitely notice 7 00:00:29,200 --> 00:00:31,095 the difference between Heinz ketchup and Essentials ketchup. 8 00:00:31,120 --> 00:00:35,415 And how where you shop can really impact what you pay. 9 00:00:35,440 --> 00:00:38,535 If you were to buy this exact shop every week for a year, 10 00:00:38,560 --> 00:00:40,975 it would cost over £300 more than the shop from 11 00:00:41,000 --> 00:00:44,695 the big supermarket. 12 00:00:44,720 --> 00:00:48,735 Rising prices are also forcing schools to make tough choices. 13 00:00:48,760 --> 00:00:51,175 I wouldn't be surprised if we were around £60,000 short 14 00:00:51,200 --> 00:00:53,335 at the end of this financial year in March. 15 00:00:53,360 --> 00:00:56,215 £60,000. 16 00:00:56,240 --> 00:00:59,735 One and a half teachers. 17 00:00:59,760 --> 00:01:01,695 And with food prices continuing to rise, what's 18 00:01:01,720 --> 00:01:03,495 the long-term cost for Britain? 19 00:01:03,520 --> 00:01:05,175 Malnutrition is a huge concern right now. 20 00:01:05,200 --> 00:01:09,015 It's becoming the norm that people aren't eating. 21 00:01:09,040 --> 00:01:15,575 Ancl that's shocking to be saying that. 22 00:01:22,320 --> 00:01:24,175 Food inflation in Britain has skyrocketed - increasing 23 00:01:24,200 --> 00:01:29,255 at its fastest rate in 42 years. 24 00:01:32,280 --> 00:01:33,815 Yep, let's go. 25 00:01:33,840 --> 00:01:36,215 The average annual grocery bill for households is now forecast 26 00:01:36,240 --> 00:01:41,935 to rise by £682 this year. 27 00:01:43,080 --> 00:01:44,975 Hi! 28 00:01:45,000 --> 00:01:46,255 Come on in. 29 00:01:46,280 --> 00:01:48,535 Alan and Becky live in Sussex. 30 00:01:48,560 --> 00:01:51,175 They run their own business, which earns them above the UK 31 00:01:51,200 --> 00:01:53,695 average household income in Britain. 32 00:01:53,720 --> 00:01:56,095 But recently they've seen the cost of feeding their family 33 00:01:56,120 --> 00:01:58,135 of seven rise sharply. 34 00:01:58,160 --> 00:02:01,255 In any given week what do you think you might spend on food? 35 00:02:01,280 --> 00:02:04,055 Now I'd say £170, which has gone up a lot from I'd 36 00:02:04,080 --> 00:02:07,375 say, what, £110 maybe? 37 00:02:07,400 --> 00:02:10,735 Yeah. 38 00:02:10,760 --> 00:02:13,535 The cost of food going up now is concerning because it feels 39 00:02:13,560 --> 00:02:14,575 like it's never-ending. 40 00:02:14,600 --> 00:02:16,935 So have you changed how you shop lately? 41 00:02:16,960 --> 00:02:19,815 With things like the pastas, we'll bulk buy the pasta and we've 42 00:02:19,840 --> 00:02:22,935 been doing a lot of pasta bakes and pasta dishes that are going 43 00:02:22,960 --> 00:02:24,615 to fill everyone up for cheaper. 44 00:02:24,640 --> 00:02:26,495 So sticking with more kind of cheaper carbohydrate. 45 00:02:26,520 --> 00:02:28,255 Yeah. 46 00:02:28,280 --> 00:02:31,655 Butter has gone up a lot, that's something we've bulk bought. 47 00:02:31,680 --> 00:02:36,375 Ancl cheese because the price has just gone up massively. 48 00:02:36,400 --> 00:02:39,055 So this is the sort of quantity of cheese you buy? 49 00:02:39,080 --> 00:02:40,335 Yeah, family-size cheese. 50 00:02:40,360 --> 00:02:43,135 It's much cheaper to buy it in bulk like that. 51 00:02:43,160 --> 00:02:48,255 But they've also been cutting back where they can. 52 00:02:48,320 --> 00:02:51,695 This one is a 500g mince, whereas, usually I would buy 750g, but now, 53 00:02:51,720 --> 00:02:54,775 obviously, the price has gone up so much, I have learnt to stretch 54 00:02:54,800 --> 00:02:57,615 that further by bulking it up with things like carrots or even 55 00:02:57,640 --> 00:03:01,455 potatoes cut up really small. 56 00:03:01,480 --> 00:03:08,895 It just make it go further really. 57 00:03:09,240 --> 00:03:12,135 Savings are needed more than ever. 58 00:03:12,160 --> 00:03:15,015 As a journalist I've been covering stories about food for 15 years, 59 00:03:15,040 --> 00:03:22,095 and I've never seen annual rises like this. 60 00:03:22,160 --> 00:03:29,095 From our morning cup of tea to beans on toast. 61 00:03:32,680 --> 00:03:37,055 Every time we put oil in a pan... 62 00:03:37,080 --> 00:03:39,735 ...chop an onion... 63 00:03:39,760 --> 00:03:42,655 ...or serve up some pasta... 64 00:03:42,680 --> 00:03:47,655 ...we're seeing the pennies add up. 65 00:03:47,680 --> 00:03:54,655 So why have prices gone through the roof? 66 00:03:57,680 --> 00:04:02,855 Over the last three years, a series of shock waves have 67 00:04:02,920 --> 00:04:06,575 put immense pressure on our food supply chain. 68 00:04:06,600 --> 00:04:08,735 Let's take the humble potato, a staple of many 69 00:04:08,760 --> 00:04:11,335 of our favourite meals. 70 00:04:11,360 --> 00:04:14,695 Now the price of a two and a half kilo bag of spuds has 71 00:04:14,720 --> 00:04:15,855 gone up 10p since April. 72 00:04:15,880 --> 00:04:18,055 And there are a number of reasons behind that. 73 00:04:18,080 --> 00:04:20,575 First, you've got to grow the potato. 74 00:04:20,600 --> 00:04:22,975 That involves fertiliser, which has gone up in price this 75 00:04:23,000 --> 00:04:25,735 year by more than 30%. 76 00:04:25,760 --> 00:04:31,375 And then the potatoes need to be harvested. 77 00:04:31,440 --> 00:04:34,775 The machinery that does this needs fuel, which has risen in the past 12 78 00:04:34,800 --> 00:04:38,855 months by more than 45%. 79 00:04:38,880 --> 00:04:40,535 And you've got to pay the workers. 80 00:04:40,560 --> 00:04:43,775 Labour costs have gone up at least 6% in the last year due 81 00:04:43,800 --> 00:04:46,175 to an increase in minimum wage and, according to farmers, 82 00:04:46,200 --> 00:04:50,575 there's still a shortage of workers since Brexit. 83 00:04:50,600 --> 00:04:55,815 On top of that, UK potato harvests have been hit by drought. 84 00:04:55,880 --> 00:04:58,255 And since the pandemic, packaging and transport 85 00:04:58,280 --> 00:05:00,855 costs have also risen. 86 00:05:00,880 --> 00:05:07,135 Altogether adding up to that extra 10p on a bag of spuds. 87 00:05:07,200 --> 00:05:10,255 It's a dizzying list of global factors all of which have a knock-on 88 00:05:10,280 --> 00:05:12,135 effect on the price of food. 89 00:05:12,160 --> 00:05:14,975 But what about closer to home, in the shops where we buy 90 00:05:15,000 --> 00:05:18,135 the majority of what we eat? 91 00:05:18,160 --> 00:05:22,375 Which brings us onto the supermarkets. 92 00:05:22,400 --> 00:05:24,695 Almost 80% of people in Britain shop at a supermarket 93 00:05:24,720 --> 00:05:28,935 at least once a week. 94 00:05:28,960 --> 00:05:31,615 We've grown used to a wide range of food all year 95 00:05:31,640 --> 00:05:34,255 round at competitive prices. 96 00:05:34,280 --> 00:05:39,695 Last year, the UK's three biggest supermarkets - 97 00:05:39,760 --> 00:05:43,015 Tesco, Sainsburys and Asda - made profits totaling £3 billion. 98 00:05:43,040 --> 00:05:47,255 So how will they fare during this cost-of-living crisis? 99 00:05:47,280 --> 00:05:49,015 How challenged are the supermarkets right now? 100 00:05:49,040 --> 00:05:52,615 Supermarket power has grown. 101 00:05:52,640 --> 00:05:53,655 Supermarket power has grown. 102 00:05:53,680 --> 00:05:55,855 They are the power brokers, the baronial class of 103 00:05:55,880 --> 00:05:57,775 the modern food system. 104 00:05:57,800 --> 00:06:00,135 The problem is now they're in a situation where they're 105 00:06:00,160 --> 00:06:03,495 being hit by events and trends that they can't control. 106 00:06:03,520 --> 00:06:06,335 Ancl they're trying very hard to keep prices down while maintaining 107 00:06:06,360 --> 00:06:11,535 their market share. 108 00:06:12,000 --> 00:06:14,535 You could've saved money on that lot with the Sainsbury's smart 109 00:06:14,560 --> 00:06:15,615 shop app, you silly... 110 00:06:15,640 --> 00:06:18,215 Sausage! 111 00:06:18,240 --> 00:06:20,095 Supermarkets say they're trying to help us through 112 00:06:20,120 --> 00:06:22,255 the cost-of living crisis. 113 00:06:22,280 --> 00:06:26,415 Their glossy adverts trying to keep us coming through their doors. 114 00:06:26,440 --> 00:06:31,375 We're on your side and staying there. 115 00:06:31,400 --> 00:06:34,495 Seasons change, but these prices won't. 116 00:06:34,520 --> 00:06:39,655 And right now they need our business more than ever. 117 00:06:39,720 --> 00:06:42,375 But as our budgets get squeezed, the changing way we shop 118 00:06:42,400 --> 00:06:44,815 is having an impact. 119 00:06:44,840 --> 00:06:47,695 I think what we're seeing is that people are buying fewer brands. 120 00:06:47,720 --> 00:06:52,975 They're also buying fewer items. 121 00:06:53,040 --> 00:06:54,775 This is bad news for the supermarkets. 122 00:06:54,800 --> 00:06:58,135 To make a profit, you need people to buy the brands, the luxury items, 123 00:06:58,160 --> 00:07:04,655 the treats and we're not buying as many. 124 00:07:05,320 --> 00:07:07,735 I'm heading back to see Becky and Alan. 125 00:07:07,760 --> 00:07:10,135 They're having to think more about the products they spend 126 00:07:10,160 --> 00:07:13,255 their hard-earned money on. 127 00:07:13,280 --> 00:07:16,615 Do you guys mind if I have a quick little look in your cupboards? 128 00:07:16,640 --> 00:07:17,815 Yeah, of course, go ahead. 129 00:07:17,840 --> 00:07:18,775 Yeah, no worries. 130 00:07:18,800 --> 00:07:21,015 Branded products tend to be more expensive than cheaper 131 00:07:21,040 --> 00:07:22,295 own-brand alternatives. 132 00:07:22,320 --> 00:07:25,175 To save money, Alan and Becky have tried to reduce the number 133 00:07:25,200 --> 00:07:30,335 of branded items they buy, but it isn't easy. 134 00:07:30,400 --> 00:07:32,335 So you've got a few brands, haven't you? 135 00:07:32,360 --> 00:07:34,575 Yeah, we've tried going for a cheaper option. 136 00:07:34,600 --> 00:07:35,735 Yeah, exactly. 137 00:07:35,760 --> 00:07:38,055 Ketchup is one of them, but the kids definitely notice 138 00:07:38,080 --> 00:07:43,375 the difference between Heinz ketchup and like Essentials ketchup. 139 00:07:43,440 --> 00:07:46,535 We've tried probably, I would say, four or five different supermarkets. 140 00:07:46,560 --> 00:07:48,295 Really? 141 00:07:48,320 --> 00:07:50,455 Yeah, we've tried Aldi, Ascla, Sainsbury's, the Tesco one, 142 00:07:50,480 --> 00:07:54,495 Lidl's, even Iceland, we've tried all of them. 143 00:07:54,520 --> 00:07:56,895 Ancl I've even put the ketchup in the Heinz bottle, 144 00:07:56,920 --> 00:07:59,575 but they just know. 145 00:07:59,600 --> 00:08:04,695 Wow, that is a mum on a mission to substitute the ketchup! 146 00:08:04,760 --> 00:08:05,775 Consumer campaign group Which? 147 00:08:05,800 --> 00:08:09,215 Has exclusively shared with Panorama its latest 148 00:08:09,240 --> 00:08:14,735 data on the cost of some of Britain's favourite brands. 149 00:08:14,800 --> 00:08:17,935 For example, over the last two years, Weetabix has gone up by 16%, 150 00:08:17,960 --> 00:08:23,615 that's imp per box. 151 00:08:24,080 --> 00:08:26,655 Potato products like McCain oven chips and Birds Eye potato waffles 152 00:08:26,680 --> 00:08:29,855 have gone up by a third. 153 00:08:29,880 --> 00:08:34,895 Whilst Dolmio Bolognese sauce has gone up by almost 50%. 154 00:08:34,960 --> 00:08:37,575 If you have these nine items in your trolley, 155 00:08:37,600 --> 00:08:39,975 your shopping bill would be over £4 higher now compared 156 00:08:40,000 --> 00:08:45,335 with two years ago. 157 00:08:45,800 --> 00:08:48,375 The supermarkets say they're doing all they can to keep these 158 00:08:48,400 --> 00:08:51,575 increases as low as possible. 159 00:08:51,600 --> 00:08:53,975 I don't think it's an easy decision for the supermarkets 160 00:08:54,000 --> 00:08:56,375 I don't think it's an easy decision for the supermarkets 161 00:08:56,400 --> 00:08:57,575 to increase costs to customers. 162 00:08:57,600 --> 00:08:59,495 There's only so many consumers in the UK, 163 00:08:59,520 --> 00:09:01,415 there's only so many buyers, therefore they've got 164 00:09:01,440 --> 00:09:03,775 to compete with each other to keep that level up, 165 00:09:03,800 --> 00:09:08,455 to keep the number of consumers coming to them. 166 00:09:08,480 --> 00:09:11,455 Latest figures show that sales of supermarket own-label 167 00:09:11,480 --> 00:09:16,615 products are a third higher than they were a year ago. 168 00:09:16,680 --> 00:09:18,535 And it's good news for Britain's discount chains. 169 00:09:18,560 --> 00:09:21,215 In a search for cheaper alternatives to household name brands, we've 170 00:09:21,240 --> 00:09:27,575 embraced a new kind of supermarket. 171 00:09:30,640 --> 00:09:33,535 In September, Lidl recorded its strongest sales since 2014. 172 00:09:33,560 --> 00:09:37,575 This year Aldi officially became Britain's fourth 173 00:09:37,600 --> 00:09:44,135 largest supermarket, knocking Morrisons off its perch. 174 00:09:45,480 --> 00:09:47,135 So what's the secret of their success? 175 00:09:47,160 --> 00:09:49,375 The discounters are able to keep their prices low 176 00:09:49,400 --> 00:09:51,255 because they have a slightly different model to 177 00:09:51,280 --> 00:09:52,295 the other supermarkets. 178 00:09:52,320 --> 00:09:53,295 They have less choice. 179 00:09:53,320 --> 00:09:55,735 They have fewer stores and they have less floor space, 180 00:09:55,760 --> 00:09:57,135 so they're avoiding all those costs. 181 00:09:57,160 --> 00:09:59,575 That's why it's difficult for the supermarkets to price match 182 00:09:59,600 --> 00:10:03,775 with the discounters. 183 00:10:03,800 --> 00:10:05,135 But they have tried. 184 00:10:05,160 --> 00:10:07,255 Tesco are by far the biggest supermarket, with more 185 00:10:07,280 --> 00:10:10,575 than a quarter of the market share. 186 00:10:10,600 --> 00:10:13,655 Four years ago, they decided to play the discounters at their own game. 187 00:10:13,680 --> 00:10:15,575 They launched the jack's chain, named after their 188 00:10:15,600 --> 00:10:21,175 founder jack Cohen. 189 00:10:24,240 --> 00:10:26,055 It's Tesco but not as you know it. 190 00:10:26,080 --> 00:10:28,855 This chain is called Jack's. 191 00:10:28,880 --> 00:10:31,255 13 Jack's shops were opened, operating on a "low-cost business 192 00:10:31,280 --> 00:10:33,615 model" that promised the "lowest possible prices", all of them 193 00:10:33,640 --> 00:10:38,495 located in some of the most deprived neighborhoods in England. 194 00:10:38,520 --> 00:10:41,735 But the experiment didn't work out for them. 195 00:10:41,760 --> 00:10:43,895 Earlier this year, Tesco scrapped its Jack's chain altogether, 196 00:10:43,920 --> 00:10:45,775 turning some into regular Tesco stores, but closing 197 00:10:45,800 --> 00:10:49,775 seven completely. 198 00:10:49,800 --> 00:10:55,335 Like this one on County Road in Liverpool. 199 00:10:55,400 --> 00:10:57,735 This former jack's store in Walton sits in the most 200 00:10:57,760 --> 00:11:03,815 deprived constituency in the whole of England. 201 00:11:05,040 --> 00:11:06,935 Robby works for a community group, helping local 202 00:11:06,960 --> 00:11:12,295 people who are struggling with their food bills. 203 00:11:12,520 --> 00:11:15,375 They collect donations and surplus from the food industry and bring it 204 00:11:15,400 --> 00:11:18,135 to locations around Merseyside. 205 00:11:18,160 --> 00:11:19,975 They help feed around 7,000 people a month. 206 00:11:20,000 --> 00:11:23,375 All hands on deck over here. 207 00:11:23,400 --> 00:11:25,655 All hands on deck over here. 208 00:11:25,680 --> 00:11:28,015 When the local jack's store closed in Walton, 209 00:11:28,040 --> 00:11:29,615 Robbie's team started to bring their pop-up 210 00:11:29,640 --> 00:11:32,375 pantry to the area. 211 00:11:32,400 --> 00:11:39,455 It's become the busiest place they serve. 212 00:11:40,320 --> 00:11:42,495 Most of the customers have actually said to us, 213 00:11:42,520 --> 00:11:45,895 "We used to go to Jack's, because it was discounted 214 00:11:45,920 --> 00:11:48,095 "food or cheaper foods." 215 00:11:48,120 --> 00:11:52,015 So, I think a lot of the people that used to go there, come here now. 216 00:11:52,040 --> 00:11:54,895 From your chats with people here, how bad are things right now? 217 00:11:54,920 --> 00:11:57,055 I've never seen it this bad in my lifetime. 218 00:11:57,080 --> 00:11:58,095 Mince or chicken? 219 00:11:58,120 --> 00:11:59,135 Chicken? 220 00:11:59,160 --> 00:12:02,055 Enjoy. 221 00:12:02,080 --> 00:12:05,415 I would say about 60% of people that come here are in work poverty. 222 00:12:05,440 --> 00:12:08,055 So the wages aren't enough to keep them warm at home 223 00:12:08,080 --> 00:12:09,255 and feed them as well. 224 00:12:09,280 --> 00:12:10,215 We've had postmen here. 225 00:12:10,240 --> 00:12:11,335 We've had firemen here. 226 00:12:11,360 --> 00:12:12,335 We've had nurses. 227 00:12:12,360 --> 00:12:18,975 Ancl we have loads of pensioners. 228 00:12:19,040 --> 00:12:20,215 People depend on us now. 229 00:12:20,240 --> 00:12:22,135 When we started this about 18 months ago, 230 00:12:22,160 --> 00:12:24,055 the outdoor mobile pantry, we were feeding about 231 00:12:24,080 --> 00:12:25,055 500 people a month. 232 00:12:25,080 --> 00:12:27,015 Ancl now, now we're feeding 7,000 a month. 233 00:12:27,040 --> 00:12:29,895 We can't cope with it and other organisations can't cope with it, 234 00:12:29,920 --> 00:12:31,175 so it's catastrophic. 235 00:12:31,200 --> 00:12:34,055 The pantry runs on a membership scheme, where anyone locally can pay 236 00:12:34,080 --> 00:12:41,215 £3.50 to choose around £25 worth of food. 237 00:12:41,280 --> 00:12:44,375 There's no shame in not having enough money to live on, you know. 238 00:12:44,400 --> 00:12:45,895 It's not your fault. 239 00:12:45,920 --> 00:12:48,815 If people are hungry, they just come here and we'll feed them. 240 00:12:48,840 --> 00:12:52,175 We just try and make it a little bit of an event for people. 241 00:12:52,200 --> 00:12:54,575 So the half hour they spend here, if you forget 242 00:12:54,600 --> 00:12:55,975 about the woes, it helps. 243 00:12:56,000 --> 00:12:58,655 Ancl I've had people come up to us and go, "Feels 244 00:12:58,680 --> 00:13:00,295 like a clay out to us." 245 00:13:00,320 --> 00:13:02,855 That's why you hear us just laughing and joking with everyone, 246 00:13:02,880 --> 00:13:08,135 just to try and create the right atmosphere. 247 00:13:08,720 --> 00:13:11,055 Tesco says following the closure of jack's in Walton, 248 00:13:11,080 --> 00:13:13,015 customers are now served by a superstore and three 249 00:13:13,040 --> 00:13:18,015 smaller stores in the area. 250 00:13:18,040 --> 00:13:20,855 It says across the UK it's donated more than 20 million meals 251 00:13:20,880 --> 00:13:26,095 to community groups and food banks. 252 00:13:26,320 --> 00:13:29,135 Back on the high street, the way we buy food is changing 253 00:13:29,160 --> 00:13:31,615 and some of the biggest retailers are turning their attention 254 00:13:31,640 --> 00:13:33,135 to smaller shops. 255 00:13:33,160 --> 00:13:36,015 Convenience shop sales are forecast to grow by more than 13% over 256 00:13:36,040 --> 00:13:39,855 the next five years. 257 00:13:39,880 --> 00:13:42,735 To get in on the action, Asda are introducing an express shop 258 00:13:42,760 --> 00:13:45,095 format for the first time, with 30 new stores opening 259 00:13:45,120 --> 00:13:50,575 over the next year. 260 00:13:50,640 --> 00:13:52,935 The main reason the supermarkets have moved more into convenience 261 00:13:52,960 --> 00:13:57,775 type shops is because shopping habits have changed. 262 00:13:57,800 --> 00:13:59,335 If you go into a supermarket, how many people are now 263 00:13:59,360 --> 00:14:01,015 going in and buying a large shop? 264 00:14:01,040 --> 00:14:03,895 Most people go in and buy a few items and go out, 265 00:14:03,920 --> 00:14:07,775 they're treating the big stores like convenience stores. 266 00:14:07,800 --> 00:14:13,295 So in some ways, the supermarkets are responding to a trend. 267 00:14:13,360 --> 00:14:17,775 Tesco say 70% of their customers at their medium-sized Tesco Metro 268 00:14:17,800 --> 00:14:20,775 stores are just buying food for that day. 269 00:14:20,800 --> 00:14:24,015 So, in a move they say will serve their customers better, 270 00:14:24,040 --> 00:14:28,455 plans are under way to close 89 Metro stores across the UK 271 00:14:28,480 --> 00:14:32,855 and replace them with smaller Tesco Express shops. 272 00:14:32,880 --> 00:14:36,855 This Tesco in Cirencester is due to shut up shop completely, 273 00:14:36,880 --> 00:14:43,855 with a smaller Tesco Express opening nearby in this former clothes shop. 274 00:14:50,960 --> 00:14:53,575 Retired teacher Bleddwyn lives in the centre of town 275 00:14:53,600 --> 00:14:57,135 and is a regular customer. 276 00:14:57,160 --> 00:14:59,935 If this big Tesco's closes, how will that affect you? 277 00:14:59,960 --> 00:15:01,855 Enormously. 278 00:15:01,880 --> 00:15:07,535 It will make my practical life very difficult. 279 00:15:09,240 --> 00:15:10,655 I'm waiting for a knee operation, 280 00:15:10,680 --> 00:15:12,575 which makes me immobile to a certain extent. 281 00:15:12,600 --> 00:15:16,175 Ancl I can't walk as far as the other supermarkets. 282 00:15:16,200 --> 00:15:22,255 There are a lot of disabled people like myself who live nearby and we, 283 00:15:22,320 --> 00:15:28,855 we rely on that big Tesco's for all our shopping and we also 284 00:15:28,920 --> 00:15:35,455 rely on it for our social life to a certain extent. 285 00:15:35,520 --> 00:15:40,215 Tesco's plans could also affect Bleddwyn financially. 286 00:15:40,240 --> 00:15:43,135 Prices are typically higher in smaller supermarkets. 287 00:15:43,160 --> 00:15:46,015 So if you're somewhere where you've only got access to those stores, 288 00:15:46,040 --> 00:15:48,895 maybe in a city centre, particularly if you don't have a car 289 00:15:48,920 --> 00:15:51,975 or access to public transport, that would let you get to bigger 290 00:15:52,000 --> 00:15:54,135 supermarkets where prices tend to be lower. 291 00:15:54,160 --> 00:15:57,575 That can really add up over time. 292 00:15:57,600 --> 00:16:01,535 Bleddwyn has a teacher's pension and gets the state pension too. 293 00:16:01,560 --> 00:16:05,535 She budgets to spend £25 a week on food. 294 00:16:05,560 --> 00:16:09,975 Things were already tight before prices started to rise. 295 00:16:10,000 --> 00:16:16,575 I do record everything I spend and I am quite shocked at how much 296 00:16:16,720 --> 00:16:19,575 more I'm having to spend for what I would call 297 00:16:19,600 --> 00:16:21,735 the essentials of life. 298 00:16:21,760 --> 00:16:26,055 My food, cleaning products, I mean, I don't buy anything that 299 00:16:26,080 --> 00:16:30,535 I consider extravagant, but that takes away some 300 00:16:30,560 --> 00:16:36,215 of the emotional pleasure of life. 301 00:16:36,640 --> 00:16:39,255 I decided to find out what Tesco's plans could mean 302 00:16:39,280 --> 00:16:43,015 for Bleddwyn's shopping bills. 303 00:16:43,040 --> 00:16:47,695 I visited the soon to be closing Tesco where Bleddwyn shops now 304 00:16:47,720 --> 00:16:54,055 and a Tesco Express store at the other side of town. 305 00:16:54,120 --> 00:16:57,255 I bought the same list of fifteen typical items that many of us 306 00:16:57,280 --> 00:17:01,775 buy on a weekly basis. 307 00:17:01,800 --> 00:17:05,135 Most products were identical in both shops. 308 00:17:05,160 --> 00:17:07,335 Except the instant coffee. 309 00:17:07,360 --> 00:17:12,655 The jar was 20p more in the Express despite being 100 grams smaller. 310 00:17:13,200 --> 00:17:15,735 And the pizza which had slightly different branding. 311 00:17:15,760 --> 00:17:21,495 It was over £2 more in the Express, despite being 50 grams lighter. 312 00:17:21,560 --> 00:17:28,135 Overall, the products from the bigger Tesco came to £35.44. 313 00:17:28,200 --> 00:17:33,495 The basket in the Express added up to £41.25. 314 00:17:33,560 --> 00:17:36,135 That's a price difference of nearly £6. 315 00:17:36,160 --> 00:17:38,615 In fact, every single product I bought from the Express 316 00:17:38,640 --> 00:17:45,375 was more expensive. 317 00:17:45,440 --> 00:17:49,455 If you were to buy this exact shop every week for a year, 318 00:17:49,480 --> 00:17:53,015 it would cost over £300 more than the shop from 319 00:17:53,040 --> 00:17:55,695 the big supermarket. 320 00:17:55,720 --> 00:18:00,175 So visiting your nearest convenience shop can be a more expensive option. 321 00:18:00,200 --> 00:18:03,575 If you can, it just might be worth getting to a bigger store. 322 00:18:03,600 --> 00:18:07,415 Even if you have to pay for the journey. 323 00:18:07,440 --> 00:18:11,215 Tesco says the urban locations of their Tesco Express stores mean 324 00:18:11,240 --> 00:18:15,255 higher running costs and prices reflect this. 325 00:18:15,280 --> 00:18:18,975 Also they've, "locked the price of more than 1,000 everyday staples 326 00:18:19,000 --> 00:18:21,855 until 2023" and are, "price matching 327 00:18:21,880 --> 00:18:24,375 hundreds of products." 328 00:18:24,400 --> 00:18:27,455 In Cirencester they say there's a nearby store offering an even 329 00:18:27,480 --> 00:18:33,255 wider range of affordable food. 330 00:18:33,320 --> 00:18:36,735 One big factor driving up food prices has been the fallout 331 00:18:36,760 --> 00:18:39,655 from Russia's invasion of Ukraine. 332 00:18:39,680 --> 00:18:44,895 Collectively, both countries produce 30% of global wheat exports. 333 00:18:44,960 --> 00:18:48,775 Grain is one of the most important staples in our food system. 334 00:18:48,800 --> 00:18:53,375 It's the basis of staples like bread, pasta and cereals, 335 00:18:53,400 --> 00:18:57,815 and farmers rely on it to feed their animals. 336 00:18:57,840 --> 00:19:02,935 When the conflict started the price of grain increased 50% in two weeks. 337 00:19:03,160 --> 00:19:06,055 Like other commodities, investors speculate 338 00:19:06,080 --> 00:19:08,935 on the future price of grain. 339 00:19:08,960 --> 00:19:11,855 In March, investors piled into the wheat market 340 00:19:11,880 --> 00:19:15,415 because they thought there was a big risk to Russian supply of wheat. 341 00:19:15,440 --> 00:19:18,015 Ancl if you're on the right side of that trade, then 342 00:19:18,040 --> 00:19:19,775 you could make a lot of money. 343 00:19:19,800 --> 00:19:22,855 Equally, if you place the wrong bet, you could lose lots of money 344 00:19:22,880 --> 00:19:24,535 because the price movements are so extreme. 345 00:19:24,560 --> 00:19:25,975 They're betting on supply and demand. 346 00:19:26,000 --> 00:19:28,175 Yeah. 347 00:19:28,200 --> 00:19:30,935 Those trades, even before the grain is harvested, 348 00:19:30,960 --> 00:19:36,215 can artificially inflate prices according to some experts. 349 00:19:36,280 --> 00:19:38,735 Olivier de Schutter is the UN Special Rapporteur 350 00:19:38,760 --> 00:19:40,935 on extreme poverty. 351 00:19:40,960 --> 00:19:44,415 He believes the markets have affected our food bills. 352 00:19:44,440 --> 00:19:48,175 When I go to the supermarket and I buy my weekly shop, 353 00:19:48,200 --> 00:19:53,415 what impact does commodity trading have on those prices? 354 00:19:53,480 --> 00:19:58,975 Increasingly financial actors, hedge funds, banks are active 355 00:19:59,240 --> 00:20:02,015 in the trading of food commodities. 356 00:20:02,040 --> 00:20:06,575 Ancl if all these actors do the same thing they make a huge profit simply 357 00:20:06,600 --> 00:20:10,655 by signalling to the markets that they expect the prices to rise. 358 00:20:10,680 --> 00:20:16,295 The prices will rise. 359 00:20:16,360 --> 00:20:19,535 When food prices rise, as they are doing now, 360 00:20:19,560 --> 00:20:22,615 it can have a knock on impact on health, hitting those on low 361 00:20:22,640 --> 00:20:26,215 incomes the hardest. 362 00:20:26,240 --> 00:20:29,895 Emma lives in Kent with her 14-year-old daughter Anna. 363 00:20:29,920 --> 00:20:33,335 She receives Universal Credit, and child benefit. 364 00:20:33,360 --> 00:20:36,335 But once her rent and bills leave her account, she says 365 00:20:36,360 --> 00:20:40,015 she is left with just £20 per week. 366 00:20:40,040 --> 00:20:42,695 So she now relies on free food from a community fridge 367 00:20:42,720 --> 00:20:45,495 at the local church. 368 00:20:45,520 --> 00:20:51,695 Before we'd just go to a supermarket and just put things 369 00:20:52,680 --> 00:20:54,775 in our trolley and think, "Oh, we'll make this. 370 00:20:54,800 --> 00:20:56,015 "Or we might make that." 371 00:20:56,040 --> 00:20:57,055 Can't do that anymore. 372 00:20:57,080 --> 00:21:00,615 Every bit of food you've got to really make it go a long way now. 373 00:21:00,640 --> 00:21:03,495 The cost of living crisis has hit Emma hard, with her income 374 00:21:03,520 --> 00:21:06,695 limited by health issues. 375 00:21:06,720 --> 00:21:09,855 I've worked for over 30 years as a carer and then I got 376 00:21:09,880 --> 00:21:10,895 arthritis in my spine. 377 00:21:10,920 --> 00:21:14,575 So after having an operation, I couldn't go back to work. 378 00:21:14,600 --> 00:21:17,615 So I had to then go on Universal Credit. 379 00:21:17,640 --> 00:21:21,455 I mean, it was OK at first, but now, because gas ancl electric has gone up 380 00:21:21,480 --> 00:21:25,535 so much and all the food has gone up so much, it doesn't matter 381 00:21:25,560 --> 00:21:29,015 what you do, you haven't got the money there to pay it all. 382 00:21:29,040 --> 00:21:30,975 I am worried about health. 383 00:21:31,000 --> 00:21:32,975 Is that a pomegranate there? 384 00:21:33,000 --> 00:21:35,855 It is difficult to try and rustle up a meal that's healthy 385 00:21:35,880 --> 00:21:39,855 but sometimes you have to just go with what you can find. 386 00:21:39,880 --> 00:21:42,615 OK, let's go. 387 00:21:42,640 --> 00:21:46,535 We see a lot more diet related poor health amongst households that 388 00:21:46,560 --> 00:21:51,335 are struggling financially because they've had to trade away 389 00:21:51,360 --> 00:21:55,775 from that food that will be more healthy for them to eat. 390 00:21:55,800 --> 00:21:58,695 As people's diets narrow we go to things that 391 00:21:58,720 --> 00:22:01,815 are going to be fit in the freezer, that are going to be 392 00:22:01,840 --> 00:22:03,815 safe, that are cheaper. 393 00:22:03,840 --> 00:22:06,735 At a time when every penny counts, Emma has been finding ways 394 00:22:06,760 --> 00:22:09,295 to make food go further. 395 00:22:09,320 --> 00:22:12,775 What shall we make tonight, pasta bake? 396 00:22:12,800 --> 00:22:17,335 Yeah. 397 00:22:17,360 --> 00:22:19,495 She shared some of her top tips with us. 398 00:22:19,520 --> 00:22:20,535 The slow cooker's brilliant. 399 00:22:20,560 --> 00:22:22,215 It hardly takes any electric at all. 400 00:22:22,240 --> 00:22:24,975 So that is a really cheap way of doing things. 401 00:22:25,000 --> 00:22:28,375 Put it on in the morning - it's clone by 5.00 in the afternoon, 402 00:22:28,400 --> 00:22:30,375 you've got a meal. 403 00:22:30,400 --> 00:22:33,175 If you just cook one clay, you're only using the gas 404 00:22:33,200 --> 00:22:36,535 and electric for that one clay and the rest of the clays you don't 405 00:22:36,560 --> 00:22:39,855 have to because if you batch cook, it just all goes in the freezer. 406 00:22:39,880 --> 00:22:42,695 You have to think, right, we've got to have this on Monday. 407 00:22:42,720 --> 00:22:44,375 We've got to have that on Tuesday. 408 00:22:44,400 --> 00:22:48,815 We're doing pasta bake, so that can do probably 409 00:22:48,840 --> 00:22:52,855 2-3 days actually, then do shepherds pie on Tuesday. 410 00:22:52,880 --> 00:22:55,255 Do you know how much that usually is, the mince? 411 00:22:55,280 --> 00:23:02,215 We need to get mince for £2. 412 00:23:02,280 --> 00:23:05,615 Every meal is having to be planned for what are we going to have? 413 00:23:05,640 --> 00:23:07,935 What is cheap to have? 414 00:23:07,960 --> 00:23:10,895 You really have got to use your imagination. 415 00:23:10,920 --> 00:23:12,295 Yeah, bit more than that. 416 00:23:12,320 --> 00:23:14,935 But even with a carefully planned approach to mealtimes, 417 00:23:14,960 --> 00:23:18,855 the future is a huge concern for Emma. 418 00:23:18,880 --> 00:23:24,535 OK, so, you can put the sauce in now. 419 00:23:25,240 --> 00:23:27,575 Just make sure you cover a lot because if not, 420 00:23:27,600 --> 00:23:29,815 the pasta goes crispy. 421 00:23:29,840 --> 00:23:32,975 Emma says she is already skipping some meals. 422 00:23:33,000 --> 00:23:35,335 She's not alone. 423 00:23:35,360 --> 00:23:38,975 According to the Food Foundation nearly 7 million adults in the UK 424 00:23:39,000 --> 00:23:43,775 are estimated to be eating smaller meals than usual, or skipping them 425 00:23:43,800 --> 00:23:48,735 altogether, because they can't afford food And that's started 426 00:23:48,760 --> 00:23:51,695 to show up as a health problem for GPs like Farzana Hussain 427 00:23:51,720 --> 00:23:55,135 who runs a practice in East London. 428 00:23:55,160 --> 00:23:57,695 Malnutrition is a huge concern right now. 429 00:23:57,720 --> 00:24:01,735 I'm really concerned about some of my elderly patients, 430 00:24:01,760 --> 00:24:06,375 I'm concerned about them not having enough food let alone 431 00:24:06,400 --> 00:24:08,415 nutritious food. 432 00:24:08,440 --> 00:24:14,015 As doctors we're always telling people to have their five a clay, 433 00:24:14,080 --> 00:24:15,335 the five fruit and veg. 434 00:24:15,360 --> 00:24:18,575 You know, people just can't afford that 435 00:24:18,600 --> 00:24:19,655 at the moment. 436 00:24:19,680 --> 00:24:26,015 I've got parents skipping meals regularly, 437 00:24:26,080 --> 00:24:29,415 some who work for the NHS, you know, nurses who work for the NHS. 438 00:24:29,440 --> 00:24:31,335 It's becoming the norm that people aren't eating. 439 00:24:31,360 --> 00:24:34,215 Ancl that's shocking to be saying that sitting in London in 2022. 440 00:24:34,240 --> 00:24:36,935 The price of vegetables has increased by nearly 12% and fruit 441 00:24:36,960 --> 00:24:40,535 has gone up over 8% since last April. 442 00:24:40,560 --> 00:24:42,815 Britain doesn't eat enough fruit and vegetables. 443 00:24:42,840 --> 00:24:45,695 That's terrible for public health. 444 00:24:45,720 --> 00:24:51,295 So, what we're going to see is health inequalities growing. 445 00:24:51,400 --> 00:24:54,295 What you having? 446 00:24:54,320 --> 00:24:58,375 Pizza, is that everything? 447 00:24:58,400 --> 00:25:01,775 Vegetable lasagne, just one, yeah? 448 00:25:01,800 --> 00:25:05,175 Good nutrition is most important for Britain's children. 449 00:25:05,200 --> 00:25:09,015 For some a school meal is the only hot food they'll eat all day. 450 00:25:09,040 --> 00:25:10,615 Cheese and beans? 451 00:25:10,640 --> 00:25:13,535 There you go sweetheart, thank you. 452 00:25:13,560 --> 00:25:17,095 This busy secondary school canteen in Greater Manchester serves more 453 00:25:17,120 --> 00:25:20,575 than 1,000 pupils each day. 454 00:25:20,600 --> 00:25:23,615 But according to Head Teacher Gt yon, cost increases are making it much 455 00:25:23,640 --> 00:25:27,135 harder to put food on plates. 456 00:25:27,160 --> 00:25:30,295 Even today, my chef has been telling me that the price of bread 457 00:25:30,320 --> 00:25:32,415 and the price of margarine has gone up 14%. 458 00:25:32,440 --> 00:25:35,335 Ancl the fundamental fact is, we can't keep pace with the changes. 459 00:25:35,360 --> 00:25:37,015 So we're outstripping what we're getting already. 460 00:25:37,040 --> 00:25:39,295 So your canteen is effectively running at a loss. 461 00:25:39,320 --> 00:25:41,655 Yes. 462 00:25:41,680 --> 00:25:47,055 Can I have an apple juice please? 463 00:25:47,120 --> 00:25:49,255 You certainly can, is that all you're getting, darling? 464 00:25:49,280 --> 00:25:53,375 Nearly 700 pupils here are eligible for free school meals, 465 00:25:53,400 --> 00:25:55,215 whilst around 400 pay to use the canteen. 466 00:25:55,240 --> 00:25:57,695 Put your account up for me please, thanks my love. 467 00:25:57,720 --> 00:25:59,895 Can I have chicken and cheese please? 468 00:25:59,920 --> 00:26:03,135 The school says the total cost of feeding pupils far exceeds 469 00:26:03,160 --> 00:26:06,135 the money it gets from parents and Government funding. 470 00:26:06,160 --> 00:26:09,775 It says the canteen is now running at a loss of around 70p 471 00:26:09,800 --> 00:26:13,455 for every meal served. 472 00:26:13,480 --> 00:26:16,535 I know some schools will make that hard decision of having to ask 473 00:26:16,560 --> 00:26:18,055 parents to increase prices. 474 00:26:18,080 --> 00:26:20,935 Ancl we are allowed to put up prices in line with some 475 00:26:20,960 --> 00:26:21,975 measures of inflation. 476 00:26:22,000 --> 00:26:23,855 But I'm concerned that that's pushing the problem 477 00:26:23,880 --> 00:26:25,655 into the family home. 478 00:26:25,680 --> 00:26:30,855 How is your balance sheet right now? 479 00:26:32,840 --> 00:26:33,855 I wouldn't be surprised 480 00:26:33,880 --> 00:26:36,735 if we were around £60,000 short at the end of the financial 481 00:26:36,760 --> 00:26:37,775 year in March. 482 00:26:37,800 --> 00:26:38,855 £60,000. 483 00:26:38,880 --> 00:26:40,055 One and a half teachers. 484 00:26:40,080 --> 00:26:42,935 We're having to move funds in a manner that we've never clone 485 00:26:42,960 --> 00:26:44,815 previously to try and address the rising costs. 486 00:26:44,840 --> 00:26:48,855 We really are struggling to see how we're going to get through this. 487 00:26:48,880 --> 00:26:52,135 The government says it's "expanded access for free school meals" 488 00:26:52,160 --> 00:26:55,375 with its school holiday activities and food program me and has widened 489 00:26:55,400 --> 00:27:00,095 welfare funding available through the Household Support Fund. 490 00:27:00,120 --> 00:27:05,095 Food inflation in the UK now stands at 14.7%, 491 00:27:05,120 --> 00:27:11,055 a challenge for suppliers, retailers and consumers alike. 492 00:27:11,480 --> 00:27:14,015 We assume since the Second World War that food prices will 493 00:27:14,040 --> 00:27:15,255 just always come down. 494 00:27:15,280 --> 00:27:16,295 But they're not. 495 00:27:16,320 --> 00:27:17,295 They're going UP- 496 00:27:17,320 --> 00:27:18,895 Those clays are over. 497 00:27:18,920 --> 00:27:22,695 Ancl I think this is a test for us, as whether we are a decent society, 498 00:27:22,720 --> 00:27:26,375 not just a good food culture, but a decent society 499 00:27:26,400 --> 00:27:30,295 where we feed everyone a sustainable, wholesome, 500 00:27:30,320 --> 00:27:32,895 healthy, affordable diet. 501 00:27:32,920 --> 00:27:35,335 We're not doing that at the moment. 502 00:27:35,360 --> 00:27:36,735 Every penny now counts. 503 00:27:36,760 --> 00:27:39,535 So you've really got to think about what you're doing. 504 00:27:39,560 --> 00:27:42,455 I'm really worried about what's going to happen because it's 505 00:27:42,480 --> 00:27:45,335 bad enough as it is, but it's going to get a lot 506 00:27:45,360 --> 00:27:48,255 worse if nothing is clone. 507 00:27:48,280 --> 00:27:51,575 While it's predicted prices will continue to go up, 508 00:27:51,600 --> 00:27:55,055 the speed at which they'll rise, is forecast to slow next year. 509 00:27:55,080 --> 00:27:57,895 That's a bit of good news, but it won't ease the pain 510 00:27:57,920 --> 00:28:03,175 many of us are feeling right now. 43242

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