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These are the user uploaded subtitles that are being translated: 1 00:00:00,450 --> 00:00:06,240 OK, let's look at an indicator that you can use to start measuring this volatility and seeing how we 2 00:00:06,240 --> 00:00:11,190 can use it to our advantage, and one of the real popular ones, kind of a long time classic ones, 3 00:00:11,190 --> 00:00:14,370 is the 8R or average true range indicator. 4 00:00:14,650 --> 00:00:20,260 And it's really a way of looking at volatility is looking at the averages of the highs and lows such 5 00:00:20,400 --> 00:00:25,440 as this, with highs and lows over a period of time, which, as we know, is our trading range. 6 00:00:25,440 --> 00:00:29,430 Our high and our low is the range of our prices that are going in a trading range. 7 00:00:29,730 --> 00:00:34,730 And we're looking for a range expansion where the range gets bigger or range contraction. 8 00:00:34,740 --> 00:00:36,810 So what's happening here when those things happen? 9 00:00:36,810 --> 00:00:41,430 So range expansion, because, you know, if we start here and all of a sudden it starts getting larger 10 00:00:41,430 --> 00:00:47,760 or wider, that expanding the range expansion for our low price to our high price, you know, the highs 11 00:00:47,760 --> 00:00:49,320 and lows are getting further apart. 12 00:00:49,500 --> 00:00:51,900 And that's an indicator that volatility is rising. 13 00:00:51,910 --> 00:00:53,760 It's not trading in a narrow price range. 14 00:00:53,760 --> 00:00:56,510 It's now got a wide price range from low to high. 15 00:00:56,670 --> 00:01:01,650 So that volatility and that more movement up and down between can be rising volatility rising again, 16 00:01:01,650 --> 00:01:06,390 providing us higher reward with potential, more risk, with a lot more trading options in between those 17 00:01:06,390 --> 00:01:08,970 highs and lows over a period of time. 18 00:01:09,420 --> 00:01:14,040 By the opposite of that, a range contraction would be highs and lows are getting closer together. 19 00:01:14,040 --> 00:01:14,340 Right. 20 00:01:14,360 --> 00:01:16,350 So volatility is reducing. 21 00:01:16,350 --> 00:01:20,420 There's less trading options or choices within the narrow range of prices. 22 00:01:20,430 --> 00:01:25,470 So, again, that's where we can use this year to see a measure like what is happening here. 23 00:01:25,470 --> 00:01:31,050 How volatile is the market by looking at an average range indicator that you can you can choose as an 24 00:01:31,050 --> 00:01:35,270 overlay on your trading platform, we automatically calculate it for you. 25 00:01:35,760 --> 00:01:42,090 So if we look at an example here, here's an example with Tesla and you can see we have a line moving 26 00:01:42,090 --> 00:01:42,930 right, left to right. 27 00:01:42,930 --> 00:01:45,450 That's time, you know, old time to newest time. 28 00:01:45,750 --> 00:01:47,310 And you'll see it's got a measure here. 29 00:01:47,310 --> 00:01:48,960 And this is looking over 14 days. 30 00:01:48,960 --> 00:01:50,730 That's a standard as far as 14 days. 31 00:01:50,730 --> 00:01:51,710 You can change that, though. 32 00:01:51,720 --> 00:01:56,370 But let's say you're looking at a standard 14 days and they'll give it a number like this is thirty 33 00:01:56,370 --> 00:01:59,100 six point eight three for a Tesla at this period of time. 34 00:01:59,370 --> 00:02:00,870 It was thirty six point three. 35 00:02:01,170 --> 00:02:02,160 To give you a comparison. 36 00:02:02,160 --> 00:02:03,920 And this is a very volatile stock, right? 37 00:02:03,930 --> 00:02:09,330 We know Tesla is a very highly traded, highly volatile stock wide range of highs and lows. 38 00:02:09,720 --> 00:02:15,480 If we compare that to, let's say, Xcel Energy, which is a utility company, you know, pretty narrow 39 00:02:15,480 --> 00:02:16,440 range of trading. 40 00:02:17,340 --> 00:02:19,590 That's eight hours or more, actually more common. 41 00:02:19,980 --> 00:02:22,110 And it is lower at one point zero. 42 00:02:22,410 --> 00:02:26,610 So if you're wondering if you're looking at a particular security and you're saying, is this a real 43 00:02:26,610 --> 00:02:30,960 volatile security, while the chart will show you a little because you see these peaks and valleys. 44 00:02:31,200 --> 00:02:35,340 But you can also look at the numbers, the raw numbers and say, oh, gosh, regular old utilities like 45 00:02:35,400 --> 00:02:38,180 we're on one point for this is at a thirty six point eight. 46 00:02:38,430 --> 00:02:43,020 Now, you could compare that to, let's say, other stocks, like a technology stock like Apple or whomever 47 00:02:43,710 --> 00:02:45,840 or Facebook or whoever we want to look at. 48 00:02:46,230 --> 00:02:48,300 And some are more volatile than others. 49 00:02:48,300 --> 00:02:50,110 Some are more, Walter, than Tesla, for example. 50 00:02:50,520 --> 00:02:51,840 So we look at the top part here. 51 00:02:51,840 --> 00:02:53,640 That's our average true range indicator. 52 00:02:53,850 --> 00:02:59,250 And basically you can see the peaks and valleys as you go up and down and how that kind of matches up 53 00:02:59,250 --> 00:03:01,740 towards the prices on the bottom. 54 00:03:01,740 --> 00:03:06,690 You can see we've got our candlesticks and we've got volume wandering along the bottom as far as our 55 00:03:06,900 --> 00:03:07,720 trading volume. 56 00:03:08,070 --> 00:03:09,630 So what is this telling us now? 57 00:03:09,630 --> 00:03:12,660 Let's let's let's look at this a little closer and what is this actually telling us? 58 00:03:13,140 --> 00:03:18,150 So you can see over in the let's start on the far left, you can see that there's lower volatility, 59 00:03:18,150 --> 00:03:21,300 at least relatively low volatility in comparison to stock. 60 00:03:21,570 --> 00:03:23,970 And you can see what's happening with the prices down below. 61 00:03:23,970 --> 00:03:26,190 They're not going up or down very much. 62 00:03:26,190 --> 00:03:26,460 Right. 63 00:03:26,460 --> 00:03:31,650 There's not much, you know, trading volumes, OK, but not super high. 64 00:03:31,650 --> 00:03:34,530 But it's but it's there's not a lot going on. 65 00:03:34,530 --> 00:03:36,450 There is a little steady, maybe a little bit downward. 66 00:03:36,450 --> 00:03:36,720 Right. 67 00:03:37,020 --> 00:03:39,840 But then there's our line to change our average to range. 68 00:03:39,930 --> 00:03:43,170 It starts to change and start going up on the upswing. 69 00:03:43,380 --> 00:03:47,550 You can see that with the blue there, blue boxer in the bottom, the range expansion. 70 00:03:47,760 --> 00:03:51,090 We're also seeing a definite price trend coming to here as well. 71 00:03:51,340 --> 00:03:56,160 Again, we're looking for when things might turn or how strong a trend is. 72 00:03:56,160 --> 00:04:00,720 So once it starts picking up, our experts telling us there might be a turn happening. 73 00:04:01,230 --> 00:04:04,170 You can see the range is expanding up on the top there. 74 00:04:04,320 --> 00:04:06,720 But also our trend is now going up in the upper right. 75 00:04:06,720 --> 00:04:09,660 The trend is now headed upward, too, as well. 76 00:04:09,780 --> 00:04:14,370 And our volume picked up, too, which is another really confirming indicator that something is going 77 00:04:14,370 --> 00:04:14,910 on here. 78 00:04:15,330 --> 00:04:19,020 And as we hit the top of that, that's where our risk and reward kind of comes from. 79 00:04:19,290 --> 00:04:22,950 You know, you can you can kind of see it's still kind of moving up. 80 00:04:22,950 --> 00:04:29,190 The eight still very volatile and then the 8R keeps going up because the the stock price actually went 81 00:04:29,190 --> 00:04:32,040 down, as you can see on this one. 82 00:04:32,280 --> 00:04:37,020 And in our ATRA, still showing a rising thing because there's still a lot of volatility both up and 83 00:04:37,020 --> 00:04:37,410 down. 84 00:04:37,410 --> 00:04:37,610 Right. 85 00:04:37,650 --> 00:04:42,120 So you have to kind of be aware of that a little bit, too, as far as, you know, maybe not using 86 00:04:42,120 --> 00:04:46,230 this as a prime indicator, looking at your other indicators, too, on the strength of those trends. 87 00:04:46,620 --> 00:04:50,370 And then it kind of peaks out there at the top, looks almost like a volcano. 88 00:04:50,580 --> 00:04:52,770 And we have this reinsurance contracting. 89 00:04:52,770 --> 00:04:53,460 You know, it's narrowing. 90 00:04:53,460 --> 00:04:56,040 It's getting less volatile over a period of time here. 91 00:04:56,040 --> 00:04:56,860 See how it's it? 92 00:04:57,060 --> 00:04:58,560 It's a little bit lagging indicator. 93 00:04:58,560 --> 00:04:59,640 It doesn't do it immediately. 94 00:04:59,640 --> 00:04:59,790 You can. 95 00:04:59,850 --> 00:05:05,700 See, but over time, how that that line starts to come down in the top to match up with that kind of 96 00:05:05,700 --> 00:05:11,490 narrow range in there, the yellow or orange type box where it's less volatility, and then again, 97 00:05:11,490 --> 00:05:15,660 it picks up with the range expanding again and you start seeing more volatility going up there. 98 00:05:16,050 --> 00:05:20,820 Do you see a spike in volume there, kind of corresponding to a little bit of a spike in our 8R at the 99 00:05:20,820 --> 00:05:21,210 top? 100 00:05:21,390 --> 00:05:23,850 And it's all part of an expanding range there, too. 101 00:05:24,300 --> 00:05:28,680 So you can kind of see how, you know, volatility can give you some insight into this. 102 00:05:29,250 --> 00:05:30,990 As far as what might be happening. 103 00:05:31,530 --> 00:05:37,860 Again, I prefer I would recommend that you're using this as more of a confirming indicator versus a 104 00:05:37,860 --> 00:05:39,780 primary indicator that you use. 105 00:05:39,780 --> 00:05:43,110 And you might use it with something else to show. 106 00:05:43,110 --> 00:05:46,950 Like let's say I'm in the middle of that contracting, that narrow trading range there. 107 00:05:46,950 --> 00:05:51,360 And I want to confirm that I'm kind of in this narrow trading range that I'm there's less volatility. 108 00:05:51,750 --> 00:05:57,150 I can look at that ETR and see where it's coming off a peak and I can see things are getting less volatile. 109 00:05:57,750 --> 00:06:03,530 Might not have reached a turning point yet and certainly not at a peak or anything of that nature. 110 00:06:03,900 --> 00:06:05,930 But I think there's better ones that we're going to talk about here. 111 00:06:05,940 --> 00:06:12,090 And one is the Bohlinger and I think is actually more visually instructive and appealing, helpful and 112 00:06:12,090 --> 00:06:14,070 but atras, very popular. 113 00:06:14,070 --> 00:06:19,080 So it's good to know about ETR and that average try range, and that can be very helpful as well. 114 00:06:19,090 --> 00:06:20,010 So I don't want to knock it. 115 00:06:20,130 --> 00:06:24,260 I just want to say I like this other one a little bit better to look at volatility. 116 00:06:24,270 --> 00:06:25,290 So let's talk about that. 11674

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