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These are the user uploaded subtitles that are being translated: 1 00:00:02,639 --> 00:00:07,279 so just to very very briefly summarize what we know so far from the previous 2 00:00:07,279 --> 00:00:10,639 few lessons in the technical analysis module 3 00:00:10,639 --> 00:00:14,400 a bullish trend or bullish order flow in the market 4 00:00:14,400 --> 00:00:19,039 it is shown by structure forming a series of higher highs and higher lows 5 00:00:19,039 --> 00:00:22,960 so therefore a bearish trend or bearish order flow in the market is shown by 6 00:00:22,960 --> 00:00:27,680 structure forming a series of lower lows and lower highs and whenever price 7 00:00:27,680 --> 00:00:33,600 breaks structure with an expect what we expect a pullback on that time frame 8 00:00:33,600 --> 00:00:37,840 so then we looked at the concept of strong and weak highs and lows which is 9 00:00:37,840 --> 00:00:41,360 also based on the idea of expectational order flow 10 00:00:41,360 --> 00:00:45,680 so a strong low is a low that caused a high 11 00:00:45,680 --> 00:00:50,800 so if a swing low actually does its job by taking out a swing high and causing 12 00:00:50,800 --> 00:00:55,520 that break of structure if that low causes the higher high then we assume 13 00:00:55,520 --> 00:01:00,320 that is a strong low and it will now be protected because you know it took a lot 14 00:01:00,320 --> 00:01:04,799 of money in order to break that high so now there is a vested interest in those 15 00:01:04,799 --> 00:01:08,880 institutions right that they do not want to see that low break because they do 16 00:01:08,880 --> 00:01:11,439 not want to be stopped out of those positions 17 00:01:11,439 --> 00:01:15,920 so it is these strong swing lows are what make up the high lows in a 18 00:01:15,920 --> 00:01:19,840 bullish trending market and it is those higher lows that we are trying to catch 19 00:01:19,840 --> 00:01:25,600 and up and position ourselves in long to capitalize on that next bullish leg and 20 00:01:25,600 --> 00:01:30,000 once we are in that higher low we are then going to try and target price to 21 00:01:30,000 --> 00:01:34,960 make the next higher high so we're targeting that weak high being broken to 22 00:01:34,960 --> 00:01:39,520 form a higher high so obviously the exact opposite to that 23 00:01:39,520 --> 00:01:44,479 is a strong high and these are highs that did their job by causing lows so if 24 00:01:44,479 --> 00:01:49,040 a swing high does its job by taking out a swing low then we can assume that is a 25 00:01:49,040 --> 00:01:52,640 strong high and that high will be protected 26 00:01:52,640 --> 00:01:56,719 and these strong swing highs are what make up the lower highs in a bearish 27 00:01:56,719 --> 00:01:59,920 trending market and it is those lower highs that we are 28 00:01:59,920 --> 00:02:04,799 trying to catch and position ourselves in short to capitalize on that next 29 00:02:04,799 --> 00:02:10,399 bearish leg and we're trying to target price to take out that weak low right to 30 00:02:10,399 --> 00:02:15,360 make the next lower low now price can pull all the way back up 31 00:02:15,360 --> 00:02:19,440 to that swing high that lower high in a bearish market 32 00:02:19,440 --> 00:02:24,160 but we run with the assumption that price will not trade higher and it will 33 00:02:24,160 --> 00:02:28,879 not close above that swing high because it is a strong high and in 34 00:02:28,879 --> 00:02:35,680 theory that high should be protected to keep the bearish trend intact 35 00:02:35,680 --> 00:02:39,440 however eventually a strong high or a strong low 36 00:02:39,440 --> 00:02:43,680 it will of course be broken because trends do not last forever 37 00:02:43,680 --> 00:02:49,519 so a change of character is when we see a failure of expectational order flow 38 00:02:49,519 --> 00:02:53,599 because bullish structure starts changing to forming bearish structure 39 00:02:53,599 --> 00:02:57,760 right and vice versa so if price is trending to the upside in 40 00:02:57,760 --> 00:03:03,040 a bullish market and then we see that they swing low so what a strong low then 41 00:03:03,040 --> 00:03:07,519 gets taken out so that we see a swing bus a swing breaker structure to the 42 00:03:07,519 --> 00:03:12,080 downside then this first break of structure is defined as a change of 43 00:03:12,080 --> 00:03:17,280 character and we now have a confirmed bearish trend change because price has 44 00:03:17,280 --> 00:03:22,560 formed a lower low after a series of high lows 45 00:03:22,560 --> 00:03:28,879 however price can also just break minor structure so an emboss or substructure 46 00:03:28,879 --> 00:03:32,239 so an s boss and this can also be viewed as an 47 00:03:32,239 --> 00:03:37,599 internal change of character so a minor or substructure break it can 48 00:03:37,599 --> 00:03:44,159 signal that a swing run has ended and that the swing pullback has now started 49 00:03:44,159 --> 00:03:48,640 so then it can also signal when that swing pullback has now finished and the 50 00:03:48,640 --> 00:03:53,040 next swing run may be about to begin so that we can anticipate that the 51 00:03:53,040 --> 00:03:58,319 higher low in a bullish market may now be forming or a lower high in a bearish 52 00:03:58,319 --> 00:04:02,480 market may now be forming so this can obviously help us with our trading 53 00:04:02,480 --> 00:04:06,239 decisions but because minor and substructure 54 00:04:06,239 --> 00:04:09,840 breaks are not as significant as swing structure 55 00:04:09,840 --> 00:04:15,680 this means that changes of character based only on m bosses or s bosses they 56 00:04:15,680 --> 00:04:20,400 can give us full signals it can give a full signal that a swing 57 00:04:20,400 --> 00:04:25,440 run has ended or that a swing pullback has finished so what we can do is use 58 00:04:25,440 --> 00:04:30,160 other concepts you know techniques and tools in our analysis toolbox 59 00:04:30,160 --> 00:04:35,520 to help us build more confidence and more evidence to increase our ability 60 00:04:35,520 --> 00:04:40,639 to stay out of trading those full signals and those traps in the market so 61 00:04:40,639 --> 00:04:45,520 in turn you know actually increasing our strike rate on catching the true turning 62 00:04:45,520 --> 00:04:50,080 points and the true continuations in the market 63 00:04:50,080 --> 00:04:53,040 now one of those tools that we just looked at in the last lesson was the 64 00:04:53,040 --> 00:04:58,639 concept of premium and discount pricing and we can see that waiting for price to 65 00:04:58,639 --> 00:05:03,120 pull back into discount prices in a bullish trend will lead to a higher 66 00:05:03,120 --> 00:05:08,479 probability of that change of character being a true signal that that swing 67 00:05:08,479 --> 00:05:13,840 higher low has actually formed and obviously if price was in a bearish 68 00:05:13,840 --> 00:05:17,759 trend it would be the opposite right so we'd be waiting for price to pull back 69 00:05:17,759 --> 00:05:22,720 into those premium prices that will lead to a higher probability of that change 70 00:05:22,720 --> 00:05:27,600 of character being a true signal that the lower high the swing lower high has 71 00:05:27,600 --> 00:05:32,720 actually formed and that the bearish trend is ready to continue 72 00:05:32,720 --> 00:05:37,440 now in this lesson we're going to add an even more powerful tool to our toolbox 73 00:05:37,440 --> 00:05:41,759 by harnessing the power of market structure by looking at multiple time 74 00:05:41,759 --> 00:05:45,600 frames together so multi-timeframe analysis is pretty 75 00:05:45,600 --> 00:05:49,360 much what it says on the tin right it's when you analyze multiple time frame 76 00:05:49,360 --> 00:05:52,320 charts together so using multiple time frames in 77 00:05:52,320 --> 00:05:55,919 conjunction with each other it's pretty much like seeing a completely new 78 00:05:55,919 --> 00:06:00,240 dimension of price action which can dramatically alter your perception of 79 00:06:00,240 --> 00:06:03,840 the data so when you master this you will 80 00:06:03,840 --> 00:06:07,600 significantly improve your trading returns because you will improve both 81 00:06:07,600 --> 00:06:12,560 your strike rate and the average risk to reward that you can actually achieve in 82 00:06:12,560 --> 00:06:15,440 the market so multiple time frames gives you the 83 00:06:15,440 --> 00:06:20,000 whole complete picture compared to just using one time frame which is what we 84 00:06:20,000 --> 00:06:22,880 have done so far so analyzing multiple time frames 85 00:06:22,880 --> 00:06:26,240 effectively what it's going to do is it's going to give you that time to 86 00:06:26,240 --> 00:06:30,319 enter a trend just as it's about to begin so you can get right in at the 87 00:06:30,319 --> 00:06:34,560 start but it will also provide the indication that you maybe need to exit 88 00:06:34,560 --> 00:06:40,000 your position just before that trend or that run is about to come to an end 89 00:06:40,000 --> 00:06:43,280 so developing the skill is going to really allow you to capture those huge 90 00:06:43,280 --> 00:06:46,800 high time frame moves you know potentially those weekly or even monthly 91 00:06:46,800 --> 00:06:49,599 runs but you are entering with the accuracy 92 00:06:49,599 --> 00:06:54,160 and the precision of timing your entry on the intraday time frames those lower 93 00:06:54,160 --> 00:06:58,240 time frames even all the way down to the second time frames and that's how you 94 00:06:58,240 --> 00:07:04,000 achieve those huge risk to award trades so on the weekly time frame one weekly 95 00:07:04,000 --> 00:07:08,479 candlestick will contain the price action of five daily candlesticks 96 00:07:08,479 --> 00:07:13,520 30 4-hour candlesticks and 120 one-hour candlesticks 97 00:07:13,520 --> 00:07:17,120 so obviously one daily candle will be made up of 24 hours worth of price 98 00:07:17,120 --> 00:07:20,800 action and so on so you can clearly see that you know as 99 00:07:20,800 --> 00:07:24,800 you start from those higher time frames then you work your way down and down 100 00:07:24,800 --> 00:07:28,479 going lower will give you more price action which is going to give you more 101 00:07:28,479 --> 00:07:32,400 information and therefore it's going to give you more confirmation 102 00:07:32,400 --> 00:07:36,479 so you can be extremely accurate with your entry points and your analysis but 103 00:07:36,479 --> 00:07:40,000 whilst making sure that you are still trading with the overall higher 104 00:07:40,000 --> 00:07:44,400 timeframe bias and you're still trading with the dominant trend of the higher 105 00:07:44,400 --> 00:07:50,400 time frames on our side so time really is power 106 00:07:50,400 --> 00:07:54,479 now the longer that a setup has to marinate you know the more powerful and 107 00:07:54,479 --> 00:07:58,319 delicious the move will be right it's a bit of a horrible analogy but that's 108 00:07:58,319 --> 00:08:01,440 essentially kind of how it makes sense in my head so essentially the more 109 00:08:01,440 --> 00:08:05,520 orders and liquidity that have been stacked over time to then fuel that 110 00:08:05,520 --> 00:08:08,319 large move so for this reason analysis on the 111 00:08:08,319 --> 00:08:12,080 higher time frames always takes precedence over analysis on the lower 112 00:08:12,080 --> 00:08:14,560 time frames so the monthly time frame is more 113 00:08:14,560 --> 00:08:17,599 significant than the weekly time frame the weekly is more significant than the 114 00:08:17,599 --> 00:08:20,960 daily the day is more significant than the four hour for more than the one hour 115 00:08:20,960 --> 00:08:25,759 right and so on all the way down to the minutes and the seconds time frames 116 00:08:25,759 --> 00:08:31,280 so this is why we always always always take a top down approach 117 00:08:31,280 --> 00:08:35,120 so we always start analysis on the higher time frames to develop our higher 118 00:08:35,120 --> 00:08:40,320 time frame bias and then we slowly work our way down to refine and refine and 119 00:08:40,320 --> 00:08:45,120 increasing our timing accuracy now the higher time frames are not 120 00:08:45,120 --> 00:08:49,760 necessarily a specific time frame it is just any time frame that is essentially 121 00:08:49,760 --> 00:08:52,800 higher than the one that you were looking at and the same goes for the 122 00:08:52,800 --> 00:08:56,399 lower time frames and it's going to be different for every trader depending on 123 00:08:56,399 --> 00:09:00,959 their own unique trading style now the reason that we use candlestick 124 00:09:00,959 --> 00:09:05,440 charts in our analysis is due to their unique ability to condense a vast amount 125 00:09:05,440 --> 00:09:10,480 of information into a small neat and manageable graphic display 126 00:09:10,480 --> 00:09:14,880 so by analyzing what is essentially just a colored shape on your screen 127 00:09:14,880 --> 00:09:19,040 you can interpret tons of stuff you can interpret direction acceleration 128 00:09:19,040 --> 00:09:23,120 deceleration strength weakness choppiness you know where there's supply 129 00:09:23,120 --> 00:09:26,959 where there's demand and where there is liquidity amongst many other things 130 00:09:26,959 --> 00:09:30,399 within the market all just from analyzing candlesticks on 131 00:09:30,399 --> 00:09:33,680 a chart but the paradox with candlesticks 132 00:09:33,680 --> 00:09:38,640 however is that their greater strength is also their greatest weakness because 133 00:09:38,640 --> 00:09:42,880 by condensing a large amount of price information into a manageable visual 134 00:09:42,880 --> 00:09:45,760 display those candles lose a lot of important 135 00:09:45,760 --> 00:09:49,279 data that occurs within the lower time frames 136 00:09:49,279 --> 00:09:53,360 and it's this data loss that can often cause misleading signals or fail to 137 00:09:53,360 --> 00:09:57,600 provide a signal when necessary so you can kind of think of candles as 138 00:09:57,600 --> 00:10:01,920 representing the tip of an iceberg so while they provide you know a really 139 00:10:01,920 --> 00:10:06,079 excellent sign of what is ahead there is a lot more that looks beneath the 140 00:10:06,079 --> 00:10:08,640 surface so for the most part you know the 141 00:10:08,640 --> 00:10:13,040 exposed tip of an iceberg is enough for the captain of a ship to you know 142 00:10:13,040 --> 00:10:18,160 recognize the near the the need to steer around it but every now and then an 143 00:10:18,160 --> 00:10:21,839 iceberg will remain fully submerged below the water and provide no 144 00:10:21,839 --> 00:10:25,040 indication of its existence above the surface 145 00:10:25,040 --> 00:10:29,040 so without appearing below the water the captain's likely to steer a ship and 146 00:10:29,040 --> 00:10:33,440 crash straight into it right so in trading using a lower time frame 147 00:10:33,440 --> 00:10:37,200 is the same as peering below the surface and the more time that you spend in 148 00:10:37,200 --> 00:10:41,040 front of your charts the more you will really realize that all of the time 149 00:10:41,040 --> 00:10:45,600 frames are very intimately connected to each other 150 00:10:45,600 --> 00:10:48,160 so when price is trending right we've seen 151 00:10:48,160 --> 00:10:52,480 this a million times out in this case a bullish trend price moves up it pulls 152 00:10:52,480 --> 00:10:56,320 back to form a higher low and then it breaks structure again to the upside to 153 00:10:56,320 --> 00:11:00,800 form a higher high and so on now each of these movements up and down 154 00:11:00,800 --> 00:11:05,360 are called runs so price impulse is up and then it corrects back and then 155 00:11:05,360 --> 00:11:09,600 impulses up again and then it retraces back right and that is the heartbeat of 156 00:11:09,600 --> 00:11:13,360 the market now collectively all of these runs 157 00:11:13,360 --> 00:11:18,000 together make up what we then call a trend 158 00:11:18,000 --> 00:11:22,000 now are you ready for what is the major 159 00:11:22,000 --> 00:11:25,760 major major key in unlocking the secrets to 160 00:11:25,760 --> 00:11:30,480 understanding and harnessing the extreme power of multi-time frame analysis 161 00:11:30,480 --> 00:11:34,720 you are fantastic well the secret source here is 162 00:11:34,720 --> 00:11:40,320 that a run on a higher time frame is a trend on a lower time frame 163 00:11:40,320 --> 00:11:45,440 so a run on a higher time frame is a trend on a lower time frame 164 00:11:45,440 --> 00:11:49,440 sounds pretty simple right well when you get your head around this and when you 165 00:11:49,440 --> 00:11:53,120 fully fully understand on the charts it is when the power of multi-timeframe 166 00:11:53,120 --> 00:11:57,680 analysis will really start to click and you will massively increase both your 167 00:11:57,680 --> 00:12:03,120 strike rate and your reward to risk ratio at the same time which is the holy 168 00:12:03,120 --> 00:12:08,160 grail in trading right increasing both of those simultaneously 169 00:12:08,160 --> 00:12:12,800 so price action ultimately forms the candles and the price action on the next 170 00:12:12,800 --> 00:12:16,320 highest time frame so we use the price action on the higher 171 00:12:16,320 --> 00:12:20,480 time frames to predict the next phase of the market 172 00:12:20,480 --> 00:12:25,760 so whether that phase is a pro-trend run or whether that phase is just a counter 173 00:12:25,760 --> 00:12:29,360 trend pullback it's those phases that are made up of 174 00:12:29,360 --> 00:12:32,720 price action back on the lower time frames 175 00:12:32,720 --> 00:12:37,519 so those higher time frame runs they are made up of lower time frame price action 176 00:12:37,519 --> 00:12:41,680 and then that then forms the higher time frame candles and market structure which 177 00:12:41,680 --> 00:12:46,880 we can then use in our analysis to help us forecast the next hard time frame run 178 00:12:46,880 --> 00:12:51,040 so that's essentially the cycle of multi-time frame analysis that is the 179 00:12:51,040 --> 00:12:54,800 fractal order flow so we analyze the higher time frames so 180 00:12:54,800 --> 00:12:58,639 that we can forecast those large runs and trends but we then drop down and 181 00:12:58,639 --> 00:13:03,040 then we analyze the lower time frames to not only to help us time our trade 182 00:13:03,040 --> 00:13:06,399 entries and our exits with a lot more accuracy 183 00:13:06,399 --> 00:13:10,800 but we also use them to confirm what may be happening on the higher time frames 184 00:13:10,800 --> 00:13:15,519 so this really is essentially the secret source of how we achieve the holy grail 185 00:13:15,519 --> 00:13:20,800 of a high reward to risk and a high strike rate strategy so what happens on 186 00:13:20,800 --> 00:13:25,839 the higher time frame first must happen on the lower time frame so let's take a 187 00:13:25,839 --> 00:13:29,360 few examples and we're quickly going to go on the charts so if you are sitting 188 00:13:29,360 --> 00:13:33,200 in a dark room with your brightness turned up my charts are unfortunately 189 00:13:33,200 --> 00:13:36,959 white so just you may want to turn down your brightness so you don't blind your 190 00:13:36,959 --> 00:13:42,639 eyes you have been warned okay so we have seen that a run on a 191 00:13:42,639 --> 00:13:47,199 higher time frame is a trend on a lower timeframe so what does that actually 192 00:13:47,199 --> 00:13:51,680 mean in reality well as we now know right what do we have when we have a 193 00:13:51,680 --> 00:13:56,639 bullish trend we have a series of higher highs we pull back to form what maybe 194 00:13:56,639 --> 00:14:00,320 potentially be a higher low which is then confirmed when we break that high 195 00:14:00,320 --> 00:14:04,000 we break that swing high we break structure to form a higher high we pull 196 00:14:04,000 --> 00:14:07,760 back to form a higher low we make a series of higher highs higher lows 197 00:14:07,760 --> 00:14:12,320 higher highs and then when that high low is broken and we form a lower low that 198 00:14:12,320 --> 00:14:15,440 is then when we get a confirmed trend change and then we pull back to form a 199 00:14:15,440 --> 00:14:19,519 higher high lower low higher high and lower low now each of those phases so 200 00:14:19,519 --> 00:14:23,279 the pro trend run the counter trend pullback the pro train run the counter 201 00:14:23,279 --> 00:14:27,519 trend run the ball called runs right each individual part is called a run and 202 00:14:27,519 --> 00:14:31,360 overall that will give us our higher time frame trend right so in this 203 00:14:31,360 --> 00:14:35,120 example the blue line is our high time frame structure 204 00:14:35,120 --> 00:14:39,040 so again higher time frame can be any single time frame it's just higher than 205 00:14:39,040 --> 00:14:41,360 the one then the other time frame you will be 206 00:14:41,360 --> 00:14:44,720 comparing it to right the lower time frame is the one in the orange line 207 00:14:44,720 --> 00:14:48,160 so like i was saying we have those pro chain runs and then there's pull backs 208 00:14:48,160 --> 00:14:52,320 which also runs um and they collectively make up a trend and then again we have 209 00:14:52,320 --> 00:14:56,720 the pro trend run is now bearish the pullback is a counter trend run and that 210 00:14:56,720 --> 00:15:00,240 makes a overall bearish trend right 211 00:15:00,240 --> 00:15:05,040 now on the lower time frames that bullish leg right where the higher time 212 00:15:05,040 --> 00:15:08,320 frame is forming higher highs it will also be forming higher highs and higher 213 00:15:08,320 --> 00:15:12,560 lows on the lower time frame but because price is fractal what you 214 00:15:12,560 --> 00:15:16,720 will see is price will make higher highs higher lows higher highs higher lows and 215 00:15:16,720 --> 00:15:21,440 higher highs now as the higher time frame wants to have a pullback right 216 00:15:21,440 --> 00:15:24,240 what may happen depending on what lower timeframe you're 217 00:15:24,240 --> 00:15:28,720 looking at is a lower time frame we'll switch trend in order to facilitate the 218 00:15:28,720 --> 00:15:32,720 higher time frame to pull back so then you see that we take that low out right 219 00:15:32,720 --> 00:15:36,160 we get that first change of character with a lower time frame then switch is 220 00:15:36,160 --> 00:15:41,680 bearish we get a confirmed double low lower high and lower low however that 221 00:15:41,680 --> 00:15:46,079 bearish trend on the lower time frame is reasonably short-lived why because the 222 00:15:46,079 --> 00:15:50,240 higher time frame is bullish and it was just a pullback right it was just a 223 00:15:50,240 --> 00:15:54,240 counter trend higher timeframe pullback whilst the lower time frames were 224 00:15:54,240 --> 00:15:57,600 bullish now when we expect a higher time frame 225 00:15:57,600 --> 00:16:01,120 high low to form what do we expect in the lower time 226 00:16:01,120 --> 00:16:05,360 frames to give us confirmation that this may be forming because remember a higher 227 00:16:05,360 --> 00:16:10,880 time frame or a low on any time frame right so a higher low is never confirmed 228 00:16:10,880 --> 00:16:14,399 until we get that break of structure so we never know where it's going to be but 229 00:16:14,399 --> 00:16:18,399 what can we use to potentially confirm we can look for a change of character 230 00:16:18,399 --> 00:16:22,079 but more specifically in this case we can look for that change of trend on the 231 00:16:22,079 --> 00:16:25,839 lower time frame the orange line here where we get that higher high we get the 232 00:16:25,839 --> 00:16:29,040 pull back and then we get the higher time for a break of structure right and 233 00:16:29,040 --> 00:16:32,480 we continue to form that series of higher highs and then again price starts 234 00:16:32,480 --> 00:16:36,160 to end the hard time frame run after the hard time frame break of structure what 235 00:16:36,160 --> 00:16:39,279 do we expect we expect a higher timeframe pullback now what can the 236 00:16:39,279 --> 00:16:44,000 lower timeframes do it can then change trend to show or confirm that the hard 237 00:16:44,000 --> 00:16:47,360 time frame pullback is now commencing it's a lower time frame now switch is 238 00:16:47,360 --> 00:16:50,959 bearish lower high lower low lower high lower low and then it switches bullish 239 00:16:50,959 --> 00:16:54,800 again giving us a signal that the pullback may be over the hard time frame 240 00:16:54,800 --> 00:16:57,440 pull back be over the lower time frame now 241 00:16:57,440 --> 00:17:01,440 switches trend to switch bullish again give us indication that the next higher 242 00:17:01,440 --> 00:17:05,600 timeframe pro trend run may be happening so now we can target that weak high 243 00:17:05,600 --> 00:17:09,120 right whilst the lower time frames remains bullish until we get all the way 244 00:17:09,120 --> 00:17:12,000 up here now what can sometimes happen right 245 00:17:12,000 --> 00:17:15,839 depending on what you know how how big of a gap between the higher time frame 246 00:17:15,839 --> 00:17:19,199 you're looking at and they are the lower time frame is that when your higher time 247 00:17:19,199 --> 00:17:21,760 frame starts to pull back 248 00:17:21,760 --> 00:17:24,880 the other lower timeframe that you're looking at it doesn't always have to 249 00:17:24,880 --> 00:17:28,000 switch bearish right because sometimes you could have quite a big swing move up 250 00:17:28,000 --> 00:17:30,799 on that lower time frame and then when the higher time frame 251 00:17:30,799 --> 00:17:34,720 starts to pull back here you will see a substructure lower high and lower low 252 00:17:34,720 --> 00:17:38,799 right this is a substructure break but at that time this is the swing low this 253 00:17:38,799 --> 00:17:42,799 is the higher low on the lower timeframe and that is the higher high now when the 254 00:17:42,799 --> 00:17:47,440 higher time frame pulls back to form a higher time frame higher low right 255 00:17:47,440 --> 00:17:51,440 this low here on the lower time frame is never breached so actually they both 256 00:17:51,440 --> 00:17:54,559 stay bullish this whole time but you just see that substructure break and 257 00:17:54,559 --> 00:17:57,600 then you see that minor break of structure and then the switch is bullish 258 00:17:57,600 --> 00:18:01,760 again right and we get the high right so just kind of want to drive that point 259 00:18:01,760 --> 00:18:05,919 home there wants to delete some of these drawings to clear up this all up is that 260 00:18:05,919 --> 00:18:10,240 we expect the lower time frame to change trend right in order to facilitate a 261 00:18:10,240 --> 00:18:14,240 high timeframe pullback but it's not a hard and fast rule right sometimes it's 262 00:18:14,240 --> 00:18:17,520 not always going to switch bearish in order to do that especially if the time 263 00:18:17,520 --> 00:18:20,960 frames are reasonably close so imagine how a hard time frame in this case is 264 00:18:20,960 --> 00:18:24,400 the four-hour chart and the orange line our lower time frame 265 00:18:24,400 --> 00:18:28,320 is the 15-minute chart that's not a massive gap between those two time 266 00:18:28,320 --> 00:18:32,320 frames so a lot of the times you will see that you'll get a four hour pullback 267 00:18:32,320 --> 00:18:36,640 like here and the m15 will never switch trend either okay so sometimes that will 268 00:18:36,640 --> 00:18:39,760 happen right and then we move up we form a 269 00:18:39,760 --> 00:18:42,960 higher high on the lower time on the higher time frames right 270 00:18:42,960 --> 00:18:46,320 and then this is again where potentially right we're going to obviously look at 271 00:18:46,320 --> 00:18:49,360 more confluence as we learn more concepts as we go later in the course 272 00:18:49,360 --> 00:18:52,880 but just to get you thinking let's see we see a big higher time frame level up 273 00:18:52,880 --> 00:18:57,120 here big supply zone and we are anticipating that potentially the higher 274 00:18:57,120 --> 00:19:01,280 time frames the four-hour chart may reverse and the trend may end and we may 275 00:19:01,280 --> 00:19:04,480 get a lower low so we want to be aggressive we don't have to do this we 276 00:19:04,480 --> 00:19:07,919 could wait for the four-hour to switch bearish first we could do but maybe we 277 00:19:07,919 --> 00:19:11,679 want to be a bit more aggressive and we want to anticipate that the four hour is 278 00:19:11,679 --> 00:19:14,960 going to reverse what we can do is drop down to a lower time frame so let's say 279 00:19:14,960 --> 00:19:19,039 the 15-minute chart and we can wait for the 15 minutes to switch bearish so when 280 00:19:19,039 --> 00:19:22,799 the orange orange line takes out that high low to form a lower 281 00:19:22,799 --> 00:19:27,760 low and we get that bearish trend change at a minimum that can signal that the 282 00:19:27,760 --> 00:19:32,880 four-hour pullback is starting right because we can still expect a four-hour 283 00:19:32,880 --> 00:19:35,679 higher low at this point right because we expect this to be a strong low 284 00:19:35,679 --> 00:19:38,720 because it took out the height so when we get that 15-minute change of 285 00:19:38,720 --> 00:19:42,799 character and the 15-minute switch is bearish at minimum we can expect the 286 00:19:42,799 --> 00:19:46,000 four-hour chart to pull back but we are also anticipating that 287 00:19:46,000 --> 00:19:49,039 potentially we may get that four-hour break of structure 288 00:19:49,039 --> 00:19:51,919 so the point here is that if you're anticipating a higher time frame 289 00:19:51,919 --> 00:19:54,880 reversal you can wait on the lower time frames to 290 00:19:54,880 --> 00:19:58,240 wait for the lower time frame to switch bearish first so when we take out that 291 00:19:58,240 --> 00:20:01,600 low on the lower timeframes we are now confirmed bearish from the lower 292 00:20:01,600 --> 00:20:05,520 timeframes right and we can position ourselves short with the anticipation 293 00:20:05,520 --> 00:20:09,760 that potentially this will break but of course it's not confirmed until we get 294 00:20:09,760 --> 00:20:13,679 that movement there now when prices then bearish let's say 295 00:20:13,679 --> 00:20:17,200 in the m15 and the price which is bullish again showing us that now the 296 00:20:17,200 --> 00:20:20,320 four hours likely to pull back to form that lower high right and now when is 297 00:20:20,320 --> 00:20:23,520 that pullback going to be over well the m15 is going to switch bearish again 298 00:20:23,520 --> 00:20:27,280 right now we can have confidence that the lower high may be in place right 299 00:20:27,280 --> 00:20:31,600 it's never a guarantee because the m15 could switch bearish and then it could 300 00:20:31,600 --> 00:20:34,320 switch bullish again and we could have a deeper pullback it may want to come up 301 00:20:34,320 --> 00:20:38,000 higher right and then it could switch bearish again right the m15 and now the 302 00:20:38,000 --> 00:20:41,039 lower high could be in place but we're just trying to stack probabilities in 303 00:20:41,039 --> 00:20:45,039 our favor and one of the concepts that we use right is changes of character 304 00:20:45,039 --> 00:20:48,000 looking at multi-timeframe analysis waiting for that to switch bearish and 305 00:20:48,000 --> 00:20:51,360 now that can give us an indication that potentially the four hour low high is in 306 00:20:51,360 --> 00:20:55,120 place and we are now ready to run this low so now you can really kind of see 307 00:20:55,120 --> 00:21:00,400 that that fractal relationship right with uh you know the time frames where 308 00:21:00,400 --> 00:21:04,400 what will happen on a higher time frame so this this switching bearish or this 309 00:21:04,400 --> 00:21:07,520 run you know putting back it's going to happen first on a lower timeframe so 310 00:21:07,520 --> 00:21:10,159 you're going to get that bearish trend change and then the four hour will 311 00:21:10,159 --> 00:21:14,559 potentially switch bearish okay so yeah i hope you make that makes sense 312 00:21:14,559 --> 00:21:20,159 this is quite a reasonably simple and clean diagram looking at two 313 00:21:20,159 --> 00:21:25,600 just two time frames together but let's take a look at a slightly more 314 00:21:25,600 --> 00:21:28,559 complex example 315 00:21:28,880 --> 00:21:32,400 okay so this diagram is a little bit more messy as there's a little bit more 316 00:21:32,400 --> 00:21:35,840 going on but let's just slowly go through it and see what we have here so 317 00:21:35,840 --> 00:21:40,320 this time instead of just looking at two time frames we have four time frames 318 00:21:40,320 --> 00:21:44,480 now we have them as the daily the four hour the m15 and the m1 but again this 319 00:21:44,480 --> 00:21:49,360 is not time frame specific this can apply to any set of time frames that you 320 00:21:49,360 --> 00:21:54,159 wish to view as just as long as they are in time order okay so what i mean by 321 00:21:54,159 --> 00:21:58,559 that is this could be your monthly right this could be your daily this could be 322 00:21:58,559 --> 00:22:02,080 your four hour and this could be your m15 right they just need to be from the 323 00:22:02,080 --> 00:22:05,440 higher time frame and we work our way down but in this case let's keep it 324 00:22:05,440 --> 00:22:09,280 simple right the gray line is our daily timeframe so as you can see here it's 325 00:22:09,280 --> 00:22:12,480 kind of faded at the back but we have a daily higher high 326 00:22:12,480 --> 00:22:16,159 the daily then pulls back and then we have the next daily pro 327 00:22:16,159 --> 00:22:20,880 trend run there now as the daily moves up right as we've just seen what would 328 00:22:20,880 --> 00:22:24,320 that be on the four-hour chart that would be a series of higher highs and 329 00:22:24,320 --> 00:22:28,320 higher lows on the four-hour chart right as the daily makes that run now what can 330 00:22:28,320 --> 00:22:31,679 give us an indication that the daily is about to switch bearish we get a lower 331 00:22:31,679 --> 00:22:35,280 low right the four-hour switch is bearish we then get a lower high and 332 00:22:35,280 --> 00:22:38,480 then we get a lower low now what can give us an indication that 333 00:22:38,480 --> 00:22:42,480 the daily high low is in place we can see the four hour switch bullish again 334 00:22:42,480 --> 00:22:46,480 right so it doesn't quite switch push straight away right but then it switches 335 00:22:46,480 --> 00:22:49,600 bullish there and now that can give us an indication that potentially the daily 336 00:22:49,600 --> 00:22:52,640 higher low is in place and now potentially we're going to get that 337 00:22:52,640 --> 00:22:57,039 break of daily structure and we're gonna get that daily high and the four hour 338 00:22:57,039 --> 00:23:00,720 continues bullish and then finally we get that daily break of structure and we 339 00:23:00,720 --> 00:23:04,000 continue on making higher highs and higher lows right so that's the 340 00:23:04,000 --> 00:23:07,200 relationship in this case between the four hour chart 341 00:23:07,200 --> 00:23:10,720 and the daily chart but what do we also have within those four hour runs right 342 00:23:10,720 --> 00:23:14,159 that's a run that's a four hour pullback which is a run that's a run that's a 343 00:23:14,159 --> 00:23:18,559 full pullback well then within each of those runs right a run on a higher time 344 00:23:18,559 --> 00:23:23,360 frame is what it's a trend on a lower time frame so that four hour pro trend 345 00:23:23,360 --> 00:23:27,600 run right that one move up on the four hour chart is made up of a series of 346 00:23:27,600 --> 00:23:30,480 high highs and high lows on the 15 minute chart right we have that trend 347 00:23:30,480 --> 00:23:35,360 within there now when that four hour pro trend run that high high comes to an end 348 00:23:35,360 --> 00:23:39,280 and it pulls back right that counter trend for our pullback what happens the 349 00:23:39,280 --> 00:23:43,600 m15 breaks a low it forms a lower low and it switches bearish right and we 350 00:23:43,600 --> 00:23:46,720 come back now when that four hour high low is likely to be in place what is 351 00:23:46,720 --> 00:23:49,919 going to happen the m15 will then switch bullish we're going to break the 352 00:23:49,919 --> 00:23:53,200 structure that change of character in the m15 and we'll move up so on and so 353 00:23:53,200 --> 00:23:56,880 forth and then we'll break that low pull back break the high again okay so you 354 00:23:56,880 --> 00:24:02,400 can see that the m15 trend makes up the four hour runs right and that four hour 355 00:24:02,400 --> 00:24:07,600 trend makes up the daily runs okay so on and so forth so then 356 00:24:07,600 --> 00:24:10,559 you can start to see how you're piecing those three times frames together to 357 00:24:10,559 --> 00:24:13,840 really give you an indication so like i was saying right when when we look at 358 00:24:13,840 --> 00:24:17,279 the gray line the daily line and we have price forming that higher high 359 00:24:17,279 --> 00:24:20,480 now what can be the first indication that the daily pullback is going to 360 00:24:20,480 --> 00:24:24,159 occur well the one that we looked at is to wait for the four-hour low to switch 361 00:24:24,159 --> 00:24:28,000 bearish which is like the four hours of the green dots the bullish trend right 362 00:24:28,000 --> 00:24:30,559 then it comes down and we get the red dot here because we get a four hour 363 00:24:30,559 --> 00:24:34,320 lower low so that then confirms that the the daily chart 364 00:24:34,320 --> 00:24:37,919 potentially is pulling back now and we have a lower high sorry a higher high 365 00:24:37,919 --> 00:24:41,279 here on the daily chart right but how could we potentially get even even 366 00:24:41,279 --> 00:24:45,440 earlier if we were a bit more aggressive is we could look at the m15 and we can 367 00:24:45,440 --> 00:24:50,080 go okay the m15 has broken stretches the downside which tells us that the four 368 00:24:50,080 --> 00:24:53,679 hour may be pulling back now potentially the four hour we can anticipate is going 369 00:24:53,679 --> 00:24:57,120 to switch bearish and because we think that before maybe switching bearish then 370 00:24:57,120 --> 00:25:00,159 we can anticipate that actually we're gonna get a daily pullback so that means 371 00:25:00,159 --> 00:25:04,080 that we'll see a sustained four-hour daily trend and we saw that first on the 372 00:25:04,080 --> 00:25:08,480 m15 right the m15 told us when it formed a lower low that the four hour was going 373 00:25:08,480 --> 00:25:12,799 to pull back and when the fora switched trend and broke that low to 374 00:25:12,799 --> 00:25:16,240 form a lower low that told us that the daily was pulling back right and the 375 00:25:16,240 --> 00:25:19,760 same thing here the first thing that happens is the m15 switch is bullish 376 00:25:19,760 --> 00:25:23,279 which gives us a sign that potentially we're gonna get that four hour counter 377 00:25:23,279 --> 00:25:26,159 trend pullback right because the four hour is bearish at this point but the 378 00:25:26,159 --> 00:25:29,760 m15 had to switch bullish to give us that first sign 379 00:25:29,760 --> 00:25:33,520 all right and then when the 4r came up here and broke that four hour lower high 380 00:25:33,520 --> 00:25:37,520 to form a higher high that then tells us that potentially the daily higher low is 381 00:25:37,520 --> 00:25:41,360 now finished the pullback is over and we are about to switch bullish and get that 382 00:25:41,360 --> 00:25:44,240 breaker structure right but it all happened on the m15 383 00:25:44,240 --> 00:25:48,720 first the m15 is your first potential indication that everything 384 00:25:48,720 --> 00:25:53,279 above is about to switch right so on and so forth so this kind of 385 00:25:53,279 --> 00:25:56,960 circle here where i've just kind of essentially viewed this as a magnified 386 00:25:56,960 --> 00:26:00,159 section of price action right so if we were to essentially just carve this bit 387 00:26:00,159 --> 00:26:04,320 of price action out and then zoom right into it what we can see is just part of 388 00:26:04,320 --> 00:26:08,400 that daily leg right that one daily leg is that gray line that one daily run is 389 00:26:08,400 --> 00:26:11,919 made up of what it's made up of of a four hour trend with a series of higher 390 00:26:11,919 --> 00:26:15,600 highs and higher lows those four hour runs that single run 391 00:26:15,600 --> 00:26:20,000 there that pro trend move is made up of a trend on an m15 time frame the orange 392 00:26:20,000 --> 00:26:24,159 line when the four hour wants to pull back the m15 will most likely switch 393 00:26:24,159 --> 00:26:28,159 bearish until it's finished its pullback then it will switch bullish right and 394 00:26:28,159 --> 00:26:32,480 then the four hour will continue and all of that is just part of one daily leg 395 00:26:32,480 --> 00:26:37,520 so the four hour is bullish during the daily leg the bullish daily leg dim m15 396 00:26:37,520 --> 00:26:40,720 is bullish during the four hour leg then bearish 397 00:26:40,720 --> 00:26:44,799 and then bullish again so it switches trend multiple times in just one daily 398 00:26:44,799 --> 00:26:47,600 run and then what do we also have 399 00:26:47,600 --> 00:26:51,760 within the m15 single run there like that pro trend 15 move 400 00:26:51,760 --> 00:26:56,400 the dotted line here is the m1 the one minute chart so that one 15 minute move 401 00:26:56,400 --> 00:26:59,919 is made up of a multiple series of higher highs and higher lows on the m1 402 00:26:59,919 --> 00:27:02,960 when the m15 is about to pull back we get a break of structure on the m1 the 403 00:27:02,960 --> 00:27:06,960 m1 switch is bearish and it has a trend right so on and so forth right hopefully 404 00:27:06,960 --> 00:27:12,159 you really started to see how all of it is connected and it all does the exact 405 00:27:12,159 --> 00:27:16,559 same thing except just the lower time frame you go the quicker it happens 406 00:27:16,559 --> 00:27:20,720 so this is why it all comes back to this very simple sentence that a run on a 407 00:27:20,720 --> 00:27:24,240 higher time frame right that that one straight move is a run that one straight 408 00:27:24,240 --> 00:27:28,159 counter trend move is also run but those runs are made up of trends on 409 00:27:28,159 --> 00:27:32,320 a lower time frame so that lower time frame trend essentially has to change 410 00:27:32,320 --> 00:27:35,520 for that pullback to occur right and then it changes again for that pullback 411 00:27:35,520 --> 00:27:39,120 to go um and then the more you zoom out the more you'll see 412 00:27:39,120 --> 00:27:42,640 so right if you were to kind of copy and paste this whole section of price 413 00:27:42,640 --> 00:27:44,880 section right you know multiple times up above 414 00:27:44,880 --> 00:27:48,559 right and we had the daily chart going on like this and then you have all of 415 00:27:48,559 --> 00:27:51,520 the moves within that right and then you have you know that's all the four-hour 416 00:27:51,520 --> 00:27:54,480 chart very horribly drawn here and then within that you've got the you know the 417 00:27:54,480 --> 00:27:57,440 the m15 right making all of that all within there and 418 00:27:57,440 --> 00:28:00,720 then you'd have the m1 or within that right and you have this continuing then 419 00:28:00,720 --> 00:28:04,640 what would that be overall on the monthly chart you would see one line up 420 00:28:04,640 --> 00:28:08,240 one pullback and one line up right and that's just 421 00:28:08,240 --> 00:28:11,360 the fractal nature within the fractal nature within the fractal nature of 422 00:28:11,360 --> 00:28:15,279 everything that is going on there so let's take a look at kind of one last 423 00:28:15,279 --> 00:28:18,880 example a theoretical example in the charts just so we can kind of start to 424 00:28:18,880 --> 00:28:23,679 now piece together um a bit more how we can kind of you know base a trade idea 425 00:28:23,679 --> 00:28:29,919 um around this concept so this particular sort of line chart 426 00:28:29,919 --> 00:28:32,720 diagram of price action you should be getting pretty familiar with now right 427 00:28:32,720 --> 00:28:36,399 but kind of building upon this exact same example each lesson now with 428 00:28:36,399 --> 00:28:40,320 each new concept that we learn so let's slowly go through this with 429 00:28:40,320 --> 00:28:44,799 everything that we now know about the fractal expectation of order flow and 430 00:28:44,799 --> 00:28:48,640 that they run on a higher time frame right is a trend on a lower time frame 431 00:28:48,640 --> 00:28:50,799 so we always start on the higher time 432 00:28:50,799 --> 00:28:55,679 frames for our overall directional bias then we work our way down right for that 433 00:28:55,679 --> 00:28:59,600 timing and increased refinement so in this case the four-hour chart is bullish 434 00:28:59,600 --> 00:29:02,960 we have a series of higher highs higher lows and then we get that break of 435 00:29:02,960 --> 00:29:05,679 structure what do we expect after a break of 436 00:29:05,679 --> 00:29:09,679 structure we expect a pullback on that time frame so because this is a 437 00:29:09,679 --> 00:29:14,880 four-hour time frame we expect a four-hour pullback right now 438 00:29:14,880 --> 00:29:19,440 once we start to see uh price pull back on the m15 time frame 439 00:29:19,440 --> 00:29:23,760 so in this case the m15 is the blue line right if there was say you know a minor 440 00:29:23,760 --> 00:29:27,440 and 15 low here price would then break that low we would see that miner break a 441 00:29:27,440 --> 00:29:31,200 structure on the m15 to the downside that can then give us a signal that 442 00:29:31,200 --> 00:29:36,880 perhaps the four hour swing run is now over right because we have seen that m15 443 00:29:36,880 --> 00:29:40,240 change of character right when we get that substructure break here as well 444 00:29:40,240 --> 00:29:45,279 confirming now that the m15 is bearish right we have a bearish trend on the m15 445 00:29:45,279 --> 00:29:49,279 the blue line to show us that the four hour chart may want to pull back 446 00:29:49,279 --> 00:29:53,600 so now the m15 has changed character and the m15 is bearish the four-hour chart 447 00:29:53,600 --> 00:29:57,919 is now likely pulling back we can expect price to pull back below the equilibrium 448 00:29:57,919 --> 00:30:02,000 right below this red line which is the equilibrium of this swing move so down 449 00:30:02,000 --> 00:30:06,240 anywhere into the discount pricing that is where it's most likely or the highest 450 00:30:06,240 --> 00:30:10,559 probability doesn't have to right but most probability where price will pull 451 00:30:10,559 --> 00:30:15,200 back on the four-hour chart so looking at the m15 bearish trend 452 00:30:15,200 --> 00:30:18,799 right we can see it forming a series of lower lows and lower highs right and 453 00:30:18,799 --> 00:30:22,960 then we can mark out the premium discount of the m15 trend as well if we 454 00:30:22,960 --> 00:30:27,360 want to take these trades right so this would be pro and 15 trends because the 455 00:30:27,360 --> 00:30:31,520 m15 is bearish and we can take those kind of short term intraday trades in 456 00:30:31,520 --> 00:30:36,159 the direction of the m15 trend but we have to be aware that it is 457 00:30:36,159 --> 00:30:40,640 against the four-hour trend so although we are pro and 15 and we can be looking 458 00:30:40,640 --> 00:30:45,039 for shorts we have to be aware that this bearish trend is probably not likely to 459 00:30:45,039 --> 00:30:48,240 continue that long and as soon as we start to get down towards sort of the 460 00:30:48,240 --> 00:30:51,919 discount of the four hour bullish leg 461 00:30:51,919 --> 00:30:54,720 right it's becoming lower and lower probability to be 462 00:30:54,720 --> 00:30:58,480 looking for shorts because at any point in time that four hour higher low could 463 00:30:58,480 --> 00:31:03,440 kick in right and we could then start that next swing run to the upside 464 00:31:03,440 --> 00:31:07,360 so when price has now pulled back into the discount pricing right so as i was 465 00:31:07,360 --> 00:31:11,840 saying there's an increased probability that the four-hour higher low right may 466 00:31:11,840 --> 00:31:15,120 form now we don't know 467 00:31:15,120 --> 00:31:19,519 when or if the four-hour higher level form it's just our expectation okay the 468 00:31:19,519 --> 00:31:23,679 m15 could stay bearish the whole time right and it could break this low and 469 00:31:23,679 --> 00:31:26,240 then the the four-hour would then be bearish 470 00:31:26,240 --> 00:31:30,080 right but until that happens we run with the assumption that it's 471 00:31:30,080 --> 00:31:33,600 more likely and more probable that a higher low will fall 472 00:31:33,600 --> 00:31:37,760 now to give us you know increased confirmation that a 473 00:31:37,760 --> 00:31:41,519 high low may be forming and that we're not just going to continue and reverse 474 00:31:41,519 --> 00:31:46,480 the downside on the four-hour chart we can wait for a bullish m15 change of 475 00:31:46,480 --> 00:31:50,640 character to occur right we don't have to but right now i'm just talking kind 476 00:31:50,640 --> 00:31:55,840 of about a really high probability example okay we'll kind of get into more 477 00:31:55,840 --> 00:31:58,640 advanced ways in which we can get in much earlier but for now we're just 478 00:31:58,640 --> 00:32:02,960 looking at kind of this this this i guess high probability utopian example 479 00:32:02,960 --> 00:32:06,000 in the markets okay just so we understand the concept 480 00:32:06,000 --> 00:32:10,559 so the m15 is bearish we're now in the four hour discount of the bullish leg 481 00:32:10,559 --> 00:32:14,880 and we are waiting for the m15 to switch bullish again to confirm that the higher 482 00:32:14,880 --> 00:32:18,080 time frame intentions are true and that we're potentially going to get that four 483 00:32:18,080 --> 00:32:22,880 hour higher low to then target that next bullish swing run so now that we get 484 00:32:22,880 --> 00:32:26,080 that change of character that after a series 485 00:32:26,080 --> 00:32:30,159 of lower highs and lower lows on the on the on the m15 chart the m15 chart now 486 00:32:30,159 --> 00:32:33,600 switches bearish now we don't just want to buy straight away of course you can 487 00:32:33,600 --> 00:32:37,039 but we want a little bit you know more increased refinement for that so what do 488 00:32:37,039 --> 00:32:42,960 we expect after an m15 breaker structure we expect an m15 pullback now how far is 489 00:32:42,960 --> 00:32:45,919 that m15 pullback likely to occur well we never 490 00:32:45,919 --> 00:32:49,919 know for certain but we can use the premium and discount of this four-hour 491 00:32:49,919 --> 00:32:54,159 leg right to look to buy within the discount prices to increase our 492 00:32:54,159 --> 00:32:59,039 probability to increase increase our strike rate and increase our risk reward 493 00:32:59,039 --> 00:33:02,640 so when price is pulling back what can we do 494 00:33:02,640 --> 00:33:07,600 to give us an indication that the m15 high low may be in place and the m15 and 495 00:33:07,600 --> 00:33:12,159 the for our leg is about to you know get that next bullish leg we can drop down 496 00:33:12,159 --> 00:33:15,600 to another lower time frame and in this case the orange line is the m1 right so 497 00:33:15,600 --> 00:33:19,039 we're just dropping down again and again to give us more indication to get all of 498 00:33:19,039 --> 00:33:22,720 these uh time frames in sync to sh you know to 499 00:33:22,720 --> 00:33:25,600 give us that extra confirmation that everything is about to happen okay so in 500 00:33:25,600 --> 00:33:29,440 this case the m1 is bearish right for the m15 to pull back what's going to 501 00:33:29,440 --> 00:33:33,519 happen the m1 is going to switch bearish so we're in a bearish trend in the m1 so 502 00:33:33,519 --> 00:33:38,000 then we wait for price ideally to pull back into the discount of the m15 leg 503 00:33:38,000 --> 00:33:41,360 and then we wait for the m1 to switch bullish so when we get that change of 504 00:33:41,360 --> 00:33:44,559 character on the m1 when we get that minor break of structure that can now 505 00:33:44,559 --> 00:33:47,679 give us a good indication that potentially the m15 higher low is in 506 00:33:47,679 --> 00:33:51,919 place right confirming the four hour higher low now we can what do what after 507 00:33:51,919 --> 00:33:55,600 an m1 break of structure we expect and then one pullback and then we can wait 508 00:33:55,600 --> 00:33:58,880 for the m1 to pull back into the discount of the m1 leg right again 509 00:33:58,880 --> 00:34:02,799 giving us even more confirmation extra refinement that can now be our first m1 510 00:34:02,799 --> 00:34:06,240 higher low confirming the m15 high low confirming 511 00:34:06,240 --> 00:34:09,919 the four hour higher low confirming that the trend is going to stay intact and 512 00:34:09,919 --> 00:34:14,240 now all systems are go to now target the weak for our 513 00:34:14,240 --> 00:34:19,119 higher high right this would to to to target the weak high because it never 514 00:34:19,119 --> 00:34:22,320 took out the low so in theory this should be weak and now we had all the 515 00:34:22,320 --> 00:34:25,760 confirmation all the time frames are now in sync and this is a very very high 516 00:34:25,760 --> 00:34:30,159 probability area to then look for that swing position with m1 or even you know 517 00:34:30,159 --> 00:34:32,960 15 second potential even five second refinement 518 00:34:32,960 --> 00:34:36,960 right which we're gonna get into and you have now just used all of that to get 519 00:34:36,960 --> 00:34:41,280 insane refinement insane confirmation to capture the four hour leg and 520 00:34:41,280 --> 00:34:44,560 potentially further right we could be at the bottom of the start of a daily trend 521 00:34:44,560 --> 00:34:48,000 and you can that is essentially the secret source of how you achieve these 522 00:34:48,000 --> 00:34:52,800 high risks toward um yeah high strike rate trades where you wait for all time 523 00:34:52,800 --> 00:34:56,320 frames to be in sync and then you target those higher time 524 00:34:56,320 --> 00:35:01,280 frame um yeah expectations of where you see price will go so 525 00:35:01,280 --> 00:35:04,400 hopefully it's all starting to make sense hopefully it's yeah just starting 526 00:35:04,400 --> 00:35:07,520 to click now i'll just go through a few more things and then we'll hop on the 527 00:35:07,520 --> 00:35:10,480 charts after this to show you um you know how this actually looks in reality 528 00:35:10,480 --> 00:35:13,599 and price action uh yeah really just start to get a lot of practice so we can 529 00:35:13,599 --> 00:35:18,079 get very very familiar yeah and comfortable with it 530 00:35:18,079 --> 00:35:22,480 so as we have clearly seen price is fractal 531 00:35:22,480 --> 00:35:26,000 what happens on the higher time frames must first happen on the lower time 532 00:35:26,000 --> 00:35:28,640 frames now when we are mapping our structure on 533 00:35:28,640 --> 00:35:33,359 the charts i would highly recommend that you use a set number of time frames to 534 00:35:33,359 --> 00:35:37,040 do so now the reason why is because 535 00:35:37,040 --> 00:35:40,640 if you start flicking through an endless amount of different time frames you can 536 00:35:40,640 --> 00:35:45,040 end up just fitting the price action to the narrative that maybe you want to see 537 00:35:45,040 --> 00:35:48,000 and you'll most likely just end up getting thrown about by the markets in 538 00:35:48,000 --> 00:35:51,359 the long run so if you want the best possible chance 539 00:35:51,359 --> 00:35:56,720 of achieving consistent results and what is ultimately a random game then you 540 00:35:56,720 --> 00:36:01,040 need to be consistent in the variables that you have personal control over 541 00:36:01,040 --> 00:36:03,520 right so i'll give you a kind of general 542 00:36:03,520 --> 00:36:08,320 example that is kind of based more on my own current personal training style 543 00:36:08,320 --> 00:36:13,200 so i use the daily time frame to give me my overall high time frame perspective 544 00:36:13,200 --> 00:36:17,440 now i will also look at the monthly and the weekly time frames but i will only 545 00:36:17,440 --> 00:36:21,599 be looking at those you know once a week really because the price action on those 546 00:36:21,599 --> 00:36:25,119 time frames and you know the market structure on those time frames they're 547 00:36:25,119 --> 00:36:28,400 not really going to be changing that often right the monthly and weekly gonna 548 00:36:28,400 --> 00:36:32,160 take weeks and months to to sort of play out and shift 549 00:36:32,160 --> 00:36:36,079 so i'll then use the four hour time frame to give me my overall narrative so 550 00:36:36,079 --> 00:36:39,599 this is where i really start to build the story of price action and then i'll 551 00:36:39,599 --> 00:36:43,440 drop down to the m15 the 15 minute time frame to give me more 552 00:36:43,440 --> 00:36:47,599 of an immediate bias so essentially that's the direction that i want to be 553 00:36:47,599 --> 00:36:51,680 training in that's what i use the m15 for and i'll drop down to the one minute 554 00:36:51,680 --> 00:36:55,520 time frame and sometimes lower so sometimes i use the seconds time frames 555 00:36:55,520 --> 00:37:01,040 to just give me that extra timing that i need to execute my entries 556 00:37:01,040 --> 00:37:05,280 so essentially the way that i use the daily time frame is to show me when is 557 00:37:05,280 --> 00:37:08,800 the four hour trend likely to turn around 558 00:37:08,800 --> 00:37:14,320 so if the daily is on a bullish run right and it breaks a daily high to form 559 00:37:14,320 --> 00:37:17,599 a higher high what do we then expect 560 00:37:17,599 --> 00:37:22,560 we expect the daily to pull back right so the daily time frame is then telling 561 00:37:22,560 --> 00:37:27,920 me that the four-hour chart is likely and potentially to switch bearish soon 562 00:37:27,920 --> 00:37:32,880 uh bearish soon so that the daily chart can then start its pullback right 563 00:37:32,880 --> 00:37:36,640 but then because i'm only expecting just a daily pullback 564 00:37:36,640 --> 00:37:40,960 i can then know that the four hour bearish trend is probably not likely to 565 00:37:40,960 --> 00:37:45,040 last very long right because it's just a daily pullback 566 00:37:45,040 --> 00:37:48,480 so then when i analyze the daily and i think that it has now pulled back to an 567 00:37:48,480 --> 00:37:53,119 area of fair value where the daily higher low is likely to form 568 00:37:53,119 --> 00:37:56,960 i then use that information to tell me that the four hour bearish trend is now 569 00:37:56,960 --> 00:38:00,880 more likely to end and then the four hour is likely to switch bullish again 570 00:38:00,880 --> 00:38:04,880 to continue the daily bullish pro trend run 571 00:38:04,880 --> 00:38:07,599 so that's how i use the daily chart for market structure 572 00:38:07,599 --> 00:38:13,359 it's mainly just to help me see when the four hour trend is likely to turn around 573 00:38:13,359 --> 00:38:17,040 so then when i'm looking at the four hour chart i'm essentially asking myself 574 00:38:17,040 --> 00:38:21,119 you know whether the four hour is in a continuation phase or if it is in a 575 00:38:21,119 --> 00:38:24,480 counter trend pull back phase and then that will then determine how 576 00:38:24,480 --> 00:38:28,640 aggressive or conservative i will be with my entries and with my management 577 00:38:28,640 --> 00:38:32,480 depending on whether i will be trading against the four hour trend or if i'm 578 00:38:32,480 --> 00:38:35,520 trading with it i will then use the m15 to give me 579 00:38:35,520 --> 00:38:39,760 confirmation of when the four hour continuation phase may be ending and the 580 00:38:39,760 --> 00:38:44,640 counter trend pullback may be starting and vice versa so i also use that to 581 00:38:44,640 --> 00:38:47,920 show me when the counter train pullback is finished right when the four four 582 00:38:47,920 --> 00:38:52,320 hour pullback is finished the m15 then switches trend again to show me that the 583 00:38:52,320 --> 00:38:56,800 four hour continuation run may be about to commence 584 00:38:56,800 --> 00:38:59,359 and then finally the one minute time frame 585 00:38:59,359 --> 00:39:04,079 and sometimes lower is then used for that last extra bit of timing to confirm 586 00:39:04,079 --> 00:39:08,079 those turning points in the m15 right and this is where i will then look for 587 00:39:08,079 --> 00:39:15,839 my entry models to enter my positions okay so the four hour and the m15 for me 588 00:39:15,839 --> 00:39:18,880 personally just those two time frames alone are 589 00:39:18,880 --> 00:39:23,760 probably where i spend over 95 of the time looking at and analyzing when i'm 590 00:39:23,760 --> 00:39:26,640 on the charts and just yeah just looking at the market 591 00:39:26,640 --> 00:39:30,400 i will only drop down to the m1 time frame when i've seen everything i need 592 00:39:30,400 --> 00:39:34,800 to see and price is already in my higher time frame points of interest when it's 593 00:39:34,800 --> 00:39:39,440 in an area of higher timeframe value and that is only then when i will use the m1 594 00:39:39,440 --> 00:39:43,839 or lower for my execution because if you're just sitting on the m1 chart all 595 00:39:43,839 --> 00:39:47,760 day you're going to see tens or not hundreds of entries a day and you're 596 00:39:47,760 --> 00:39:50,480 literally going to get slapped about by the market and you're going to wonder 597 00:39:50,480 --> 00:39:54,240 why trades aren't working out or why they're turning around straight away and 598 00:39:54,240 --> 00:39:57,440 it's because the m1 is going to be constantly changing trend every few 599 00:39:57,440 --> 00:39:59,920 minutes so that's why we build the higher time 600 00:39:59,920 --> 00:40:03,760 frame narrative because it's the higher time frame moves right those higher time 601 00:40:03,760 --> 00:40:07,680 frame runs and those higher timeframe pullbacks it's those higher time frame 602 00:40:07,680 --> 00:40:11,839 phases that i am personally interested in trading because that's where the high 603 00:40:11,839 --> 00:40:15,599 reward to risk is so i'm just solely using the m1 for 604 00:40:15,599 --> 00:40:19,760 increased refinement to get a tight entry and to get a tight stop-loss 605 00:40:19,760 --> 00:40:23,680 but also to give me that extra extra piece of confirmation to make sure as 606 00:40:23,680 --> 00:40:29,200 many time frames as possible are in sync and confirming what i think i'm seeing 607 00:40:29,200 --> 00:40:34,319 so again for me personally the four hour and the m15 are my most 608 00:40:34,319 --> 00:40:37,359 important time frames when it comes to market structure 609 00:40:37,359 --> 00:40:41,200 so in very very simple terms the four hour gives me my overall higher time 610 00:40:41,200 --> 00:40:45,839 frame bias and then the m15 shows me sort of the intraday direction that i 611 00:40:45,839 --> 00:40:49,680 want to be trading in now we'll get into all of this in even 612 00:40:49,680 --> 00:40:53,680 more detail as we go through the rest of the lessons and specifically in the 613 00:40:53,680 --> 00:40:57,599 trade plan module where we will discuss the different time frames and you know 614 00:40:57,599 --> 00:41:01,280 the criteria that you may personally want to use for each of those time 615 00:41:01,280 --> 00:41:06,480 frames depending on your own style your own trading personality and whatever you 616 00:41:06,480 --> 00:41:10,000 know lifestyle constraints that you may have because of course you know some of 617 00:41:10,000 --> 00:41:13,760 us may have full-time jobs some of you may be part-time some of you may be 618 00:41:13,760 --> 00:41:17,520 trading full-time and that really will depend okay but again we'll get into 619 00:41:17,520 --> 00:41:23,280 this in a lot more depth later on but here's another very simple overview 620 00:41:23,280 --> 00:41:27,200 of how you could utilize a set number of time frames for market structure if 621 00:41:27,200 --> 00:41:30,560 perhaps you wanted a slightly more longer term perspective you know like i 622 00:41:30,560 --> 00:41:33,760 was saying potentially if you have a full-time job you know where you can't 623 00:41:33,760 --> 00:41:36,880 actively monitor the charts on those very low time frames 624 00:41:36,880 --> 00:41:39,760 so essentially you can use the monthly time frame for your hard time frame 625 00:41:39,760 --> 00:41:43,680 perspective the daily for your narrative so you know seeing if you're trading a 626 00:41:43,680 --> 00:41:47,680 daily pullback or if you're trading the daily pro trend run 627 00:41:47,680 --> 00:41:51,280 and then you will use the four hour to give you your immediate bias of the 628 00:41:51,280 --> 00:41:55,200 direction that you actually want to trade in before finally dropping down to 629 00:41:55,200 --> 00:42:00,240 the m15 to use that for your execution to time your entries with more 630 00:42:00,240 --> 00:42:04,640 confirmation and refinement so make sure you use multiple time 631 00:42:04,640 --> 00:42:08,640 frames to you know really know the higher time frame narrative and then 632 00:42:08,640 --> 00:42:13,119 actively monitor the lower time frame price action and allow the trade setup 633 00:42:13,119 --> 00:42:17,119 to present itself now in the next lesson we're about to 634 00:42:17,119 --> 00:42:21,040 hop on the charts and actually apply all of this theory to you know real world 635 00:42:21,040 --> 00:42:25,119 market examples but before we do that in a minute i just want to end this theory 636 00:42:25,119 --> 00:42:30,240 lesson on one last example to make this really important point hopefully 637 00:42:30,240 --> 00:42:35,040 starting to really sink in if it hasn't already 638 00:42:35,359 --> 00:42:39,359 so when we are in a four hour bearish trend 639 00:42:39,359 --> 00:42:44,160 the expectation so the expectation order flow is for the four hour to keep 640 00:42:44,160 --> 00:42:49,200 forming lower lows and lower highs and that is what we are anticipating 641 00:42:49,200 --> 00:42:54,160 until we are proven otherwise but as we now know in order for the four 642 00:42:54,160 --> 00:43:00,079 hour to create a new lower high we need to see a bullish trend form on 643 00:43:00,079 --> 00:43:04,880 the lower time frames so that the four hour can actually pull back right 644 00:43:04,880 --> 00:43:09,280 so we will first see that shift in order flow on the lower time frames to switch 645 00:43:09,280 --> 00:43:14,160 bullish which then signals to us that the four hour may be now pulling back 646 00:43:14,160 --> 00:43:20,560 to form that potential swing lower high now when price eventually pulls back and 647 00:43:20,560 --> 00:43:23,920 it returns to our previous four hour lower high 648 00:43:23,920 --> 00:43:26,960 because the overall four hour trend is bearish 649 00:43:26,960 --> 00:43:32,160 and there should be a strong lower high our expectation is for price to sell off 650 00:43:32,160 --> 00:43:36,319 from this area right however it does not have to 651 00:43:36,319 --> 00:43:41,440 remember anything can happen in the markets anything so as price develops 652 00:43:41,440 --> 00:43:45,680 around this area our mission is to observe its development and listen to 653 00:43:45,680 --> 00:43:49,280 what the market is telling us in a neutral state of mind 654 00:43:49,280 --> 00:43:52,800 so the lower time frame structural development within those higher time 655 00:43:52,800 --> 00:43:56,800 frame points of interest that can really help guide us to be in 656 00:43:56,800 --> 00:44:01,280 the flow of the market and execute accordingly and be in harmony with the 657 00:44:01,280 --> 00:44:05,359 market now i know sometimes it can be pretty 658 00:44:05,359 --> 00:44:08,319 confusing because on the one hand i'm saying that 659 00:44:08,319 --> 00:44:11,520 we are supposed to be completely neutral in the market 660 00:44:11,520 --> 00:44:14,400 but then on the other hand at the same time 661 00:44:14,400 --> 00:44:18,240 we do have a trend bias and we have the expectation of order 662 00:44:18,240 --> 00:44:20,400 flow so surely these two things are 663 00:44:20,400 --> 00:44:26,000 contradictory right how can you be neutral but also have a directional bias 664 00:44:26,000 --> 00:44:30,079 and have an expectation of the direction of order flow 665 00:44:30,079 --> 00:44:34,800 well this is essentially how you do it you understand what is the more probable 666 00:44:34,800 --> 00:44:39,680 situation but you are not attached to that outcome having to happen 667 00:44:39,680 --> 00:44:43,520 you don't care either way you just let the market show you the way 668 00:44:43,520 --> 00:44:48,480 and you adapt to what it shows you so all of the technical analysis tools 669 00:44:48,480 --> 00:44:52,640 and the concepts that we use they're just a mechanical framework to 670 00:44:52,640 --> 00:44:55,920 help guide us through the order flow of the market 671 00:44:55,920 --> 00:44:59,280 so as bruce lee says be like water my friends 672 00:44:59,280 --> 00:45:02,160 flow with whatever way the market wants to go 673 00:45:02,160 --> 00:45:06,240 let the lower time frames give you the confirmation to show you the higher time 674 00:45:06,240 --> 00:45:11,280 frames true intentions don't fight the market from within 675 00:45:11,280 --> 00:45:14,000 with your own bias and your own attachments 676 00:45:14,000 --> 00:45:21,079 master it from above that is how you evolve toward the light71188

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