Would you like to inspect the original subtitles? These are the user uploaded subtitles that are being translated:
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so hopefully you've had a good go at mapping out the concepts that we have
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learned so far on market structure across the four-hour time frame from
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start of april until around the middle of august in 2021
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of course in a four-hour chart now if you haven't already done so and if i
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haven't convinced you um yeah it's kind of giving you one last nudge to you know
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give it to go even if you just do the string structure
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i really do think you'll get a hell of a lot more out of the video that were you
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know or watching me about to go through all
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of this market structure if you've at least
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attempted it yourself but anyway i won't run on about that anymore longer let's
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just dive straight into this so where we left it at the end of march
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right we were playing within this swing high and this swing low right so now
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we're playing with an asparagus range now obviously of course because we
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obviously have the benefit of hindsight now we can see that the trend reversed
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here and we did break structure to the upside but if we were in the live market
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this is literally how i'd be thinking right purely now of course just just
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based on looking at one time frame alone and only using the basic concepts that
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we've looked at okay obviously as we go throughout the course right we're going
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to learn a lot more and we can bring that into it but for now we're just
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purely thinking in terms of one time frame and only using those baker basic
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market structure concepts okay just do kind of want to put that as a
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disclaimer out there first so at this point in time if we were in the live
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market i would essentially mark that out as my high and that was my low and this
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is the four hour range we are playing with it right after we get our for our
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break of structure right because that's confirmed our lower high what do we
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expect after a four hour break of structure we expect a four-hour pullback
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how do we know when that four-hour pullback may be about to begin we look
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for a change of character so we can look for that minor breakage structure to the
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upside okay what do we get we get a movement down we're going to minor
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pullback right because it fails to break that candle's low and then we do get the
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break of that candle is low so because we take that low what does that mean it
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means we have a high which is here we have a minor high so then when we get
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that break of that minor high to the upside we have a minor break of
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structure so we can uh mark that on it's quite subtle but it is there and this is
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really where you have to be paying you know attention to the details and you
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know really keeping your eye out on it so let's zoom right in so we can see
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this so then we get that change of character to the upside we then pull
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back to form that internal higher high sorry and then that higher low and what
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do we get we get another minor break of structure
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all right because we had that minor break there so now we've got we're with
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minor breaker structure here right so we get another minor break of structure
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there so in fact let's mark this on i know it's very very pedantic right it
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can seem a bit over the top but i promise you as we go throughout the
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course and we start to build on concepts especially with ma with multi-time frame
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analysis right you're going to really understand how why it's so key to pay
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attention to all of these little details um yeah just because it can make a
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massive difference to your strike rate and the reward to risk ratio that you
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may achieve in the market so
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we've had those two minor minor breaks of stretching to the upside um but what
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are we expecting the whole time we are expecting whoops the four-hour trend to
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remain bearish right and we are expecting that this lower high should be
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a strong high because it took out the low and so in theory this high should
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hold and price should not trade any higher so as price is coming back up
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towards that high right and we're expecting that lower high how can we
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potentially know when the pullback may be ending and the next swing run may be
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starting we can look for that bearish change of character right to the
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downside so the internal structure is then back in sync with the overall swing
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structure so what do we have we have a movement up
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we have a minor pullback but then we continue we have a movement up and then
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we have a minor pull back here because you can see how this candle fails to
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breach that camera's high so that's a minor pullback and then we do take out
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that high so again you know this this kind of minor trends continuing but then
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what happens then we take out that minor low so now we have a minor breaker
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structure we have that bearish change of character back in line with the swing
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trend so now potentially that can be a signal right that the pullback is over
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and we're about to take this low okay so that is then a trading idea that we can
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use to run for a trade down towards this low but then what happens price goes
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down it has a minor pullback and it continues that bearish momentum right it
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takes the slow but because it takes that low what does it mean it means that this
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is a minor high and price then takes that high so now we have a bullish
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change of character again to the upside right
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we get that minor breaker structure and we
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the internal structure has switched bearish now at this point we're still
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playing within the bearish range right the swing range is still bearish so we
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can still expect a four hour lower high to form however at this point when you
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see that internal change of character again that's going to again switch
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bullish at a minimum you can potentially expect that this high is going to get
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run because it should be a weak high right because it's failed to take out
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that low at a minimum now price can take out that high right it could come up it
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could come up here it could then get another change of character right
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another bearish internal structure change trend change and then we could go
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from here and then that could be the lower high right as long as this high is
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not breached and we don't get a closure above okay but in this case as you can
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see we do actually get that trend change we do get a closure above and now we
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have a confirmed um bullish trend change here
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let's get that drawing back there we go so now we are bullish get
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rid of this orange drawing so we can keep the charts nice and clear and then
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let's duplicate this by holding down control and dragging and then we can
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draw a nice straight line by holding shift so now we get that high high
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and that breaker structure now at this point where is our swing low well it's
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not this low here it's not this low here it remains to be that low that we
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already had right because this is the lowest point that led to the break of
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structure
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so what do we expect after four hour break of structure we expect a four-hour
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pullback how do we know when that four-hour pullback is about to kick in
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and the spring run is going to end where we can look for a change of character so
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we get the break we get a minor pullback but then price continues bullish right
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and then for me this is just a minor pause and then we get a break and now
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this for me is a bit more of a sustained pullback right it's it's a it's a much
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larger so for this for me it's just a minor pullback it's just a pausing price
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section right it's just a couple of candles when you compare it to kind of
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you know the overall price action that's why this for me yeah it's not the
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biggest of pullbacks but it's a lot more significant than something like this
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okay so you can see the slight difference there of why i was happy to
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classify that swing structure and for me this is just minor structure right
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now this again it's not the most glorious of
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swings in the world but for me you can see right big money stepped in it's a
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decent enough of a move there for me to count that as a sharp kind of pullback
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and that for me is swing structure so i would then mark that out as my swing
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high and now as we start to pull back price
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that we are now playing in right is between this high and this low all the
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way down here so technically price can pull all the way back and still remain
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bullish okay so how do we know that this pullback may be about to kick in well we
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do get a change of character there because we take the minor low but we
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only spike it but remember for me personally i'm happy
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to view that internal change of character um
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with type 2 mapping so i'm happy to just see a wick break now some of you may
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just want that kind of closure and that will be a bit more conservative and in
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that case you never would have used that as a minor breaker structure and that
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potentially may have uh
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saved you or you know helped you to avoid looking for potential short
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entries to play that deeper pullback because as you can see
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when we did get that change of character and we got that spike of the low if you
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then use that as a potential signal that we were going to get a deeper pullback
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right and you waited for that internal lower high to come in potentially you
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got short somewhere around here price starts to go in your favor then
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you just end up you know potentially taking a break even or a loss and you
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know you're wondering why well that's just because
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taking these minor breaks of structure right these these internal changes of
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character especially with just a wick break it's aggressive right so
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you have to pick and choose your battles of when you are going to do that if you
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are looking to to actually use that you know to trade from right if you're gonna
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go uh counter trend there um so of course as we go through the course you
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know when we learn more more concepts and more more
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analytical tools that we can use we can then build you know more confluence and
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more evidence um rather than purely just looking right at a minor breaker
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structure a change of character in order to take counter-trend trades okay
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so but it's just to kind of have that
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understanding of you know why it can be aggressive and why it can give you false
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signals so then we get another four hour break of structure to the upside
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right we then form that higher high so where is our swing low it's the lowest
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point that broke the high from where the pullback kicked in so the pullback
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kicked in that's our last point and then we go up and then we are now playing
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within this new range here right quite a tight range um
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now here there's not really a change of character to the downside right because
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we kind of just pull straight back we don't break anything in the leg to the
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left but what happens this is kind of a bit
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more messy price action but i do kind of want to talk about this okay because
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this is kind of the difference between substructure breaks and minor breaks of
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structure so this is our swing high this is our swing low
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we start to pull back right then we form that internal lower high right that
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substructure low and then that substructure high now we come down and
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we try to form that you know that internal lower low but we fail to and
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then we break this high to the upside but that high there
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that is just a sub structure high so that means we only
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have a substructure break okay so in this case that does end up
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essentially being a change of character in a way because then we get that
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internal pull back again and then we end up actually getting that swing structure
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break so let's just kind of go over that so remember kind of what we looked at in
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the previous video in the theory is that you'll get a swing movement upright and
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then you'll get that sub structure pull back right so these are all substructure
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breaks here right substructure low gets broken it's a substructure break again
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another substructure break let's say we have one more that's a substructure
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break but then when we break up to the upside right that is a minor break of
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structure as we then break this leg of price action that forms okay so then
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that gives us a nice change of character and then we can potentially look to take
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out that swing high now what happened in this case is what i'm going to draw now
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right i'm going to draw this section of price action here is we
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had our swing movement up then we had that substructure pull back
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right now let me draw this again we had the movement up and then we had that
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pullback we had that little movement up here
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right this section of price action here now price came down and it tried to take
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out that substructure low but then it failed and then it took out this high
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but this is just a substructure high right it's not really significant at all
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it didn't really achieve anything so although that is kind of a you know it's
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somewhat of a bullish signal because price is taking out a high to form a
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higher high but it's not the greatest right it's not
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that strong and in this case price does come down and then it does go
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so in this case it works out but the reason why substructure is kind of the
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weakest and the most irrelevant and not really the best to be kind of using for
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trade ideas is because um you know when price comes back down
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here if you see that as a high low and the change of character it's ready to
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buy in this case yes right this bit here it does work out but a lot of the times
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what can happen is that was the movement down this was just a little bit of a
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complex pullback to then continue and actually get that true substructure
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break and then we get a little bit of complex pullback and then we come down
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and then finally we get the minor break of structure and then we're ready to go
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okay so substructure can get you know a little bit complex sometimes um but i
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kind of just wanted to talk through that about you know how the markets are
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perfect and sometimes those kind of weak signals can end up being um you know
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profitable ones but as long as you're trading with the overall swing trend
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you'll generally you're not you're not going to have too many
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headaches so yeah again i can appreciate this stage the difference between
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substructure and minor breaks of structure kind of when we're playing
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within the range can get very confusing at times so if you are ever confused
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don't worry about the classification of s boss and emboss too much right don't
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stress about it just delete sort of any internal structure you may have drawn if
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you're confused and just go back to where is your what you know where is my
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swing high where is my swing low okay i now know the trend that i'm working
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within and it just clears it all up and now you know that ideally you want to be
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looking for longs okay until proven otherwise until that low is taken
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and that way you can't go too wrong so anyway let's draw on uh our substructure
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sorry our swing structure break which we then get here
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right so where is our swing low at that point where's the lowest point that took
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out the high which will be this low here and then we continue up
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so what do we expect after a four-hour break of structure we expect a for our
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pullback how do we know when that four-hour pullback is going to kick in
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well we look for a change of character right so this one's a little bit more
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subtle but we have the movement up you see how all of these candles break the
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prior candles high so they're all part of the up move then we have a minor
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pullback right and then we continue up and then this candle here right we get
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an inside bar because it fails to take out the previous counter's high so for
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me that is a minor pullback then we do take out that high right so then that
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would be a low and the price comes down and we do get a change of character in
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here which is that signal that weakness has come in and potentially we're going
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to get that deeper pullback but then also spike that minor low there as well
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but it is short-lived okay um this is kind of why you know minor breaks a
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structure like that and changes character
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are you know they're the first initial sign we may be getting a deeper pullback
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but when you're fighting the trend right it can give you a few full signals or
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you know it can be very very short-lived and the overall impulsive trend will
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take over so again we had that minor movement up that minor the high there so
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we had a minor break of the low there it's our initial change of character
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price comes down it comes back up it forms a minor high then it forms that
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low right but then it takes that high so then we
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get another bullish change of character to the upside giving us giving us that
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sign that the pullback may be over and then we come up we do spike the low but
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we fail to close above it and then we get our next four-hour break of
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structure to the upside okay so it's not the most beautiful bit of price actually
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in the world um but it is just good to understand what's going on so it's kind
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of where the pullback started so you can mark it there or you can mark it from
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the high um it's kind of up to you at that stage i probably would mark it from
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the the highest point it just cleans up a little bit there now where is our
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00:14:14,399 --> 00:14:18,000
swing low it's the lowest point before the high was broken which in this case
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was clearly uh that low there and then we get the next swing leg up so
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for me that's just a very very minor pullback so that's not swing structure
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then we get that movement up what do we expect after before i break a structure
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we expect the pullback how do we know when the pullback is going to kick in
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when we get a minor breaker structure when we get that change of
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uh character so just going to draw that on so we get
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a nice minor breaker structure there to the downside now at this point right
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even though we know we are bullish and that is our swing high right we can look
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00:14:46,399 --> 00:14:50,000
potentially for counter trend shorts if we wish to be aggressive and do so so we
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get that change of character to the downside price then pulls up pulls back
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up and then you can look for a short here there is a supplies in here but of
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00:14:56,000 --> 00:14:59,279
course we'll get into that later and then you can look for this movement here
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now obviously it's short-lived we failed to breach that low and then we continue
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the overall bullish trend so you may be thinking you know
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is it really ever worth kind of taking these counter trend shorts well kind of
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00:15:08,720 --> 00:15:13,279
what you have to start thinking about is if we just measure the size of this
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00:15:13,279 --> 00:15:16,320
bearish move right and it's only pretty much one or two candles but that
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00:15:16,320 --> 00:15:20,160
movement there is about 75 pips now again we're going to get into this a
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lot more detail in future lessons but when we start to use multi-timeframe
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analysis we start to drill down into our entries you're essentially going to be
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learning right how to enter with five four three and even two pip stops and
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sometimes even lower for some of you might want to do that so if you imagine
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you know let's just be conservative and let's say a five pip stop right and you
258
00:15:38,880 --> 00:15:43,519
make a 75-pip move right at its peak all right you do the maths on that uh my
259
00:15:43,519 --> 00:15:47,040
mental mass is not my strongest but i believe that's about 13 14 r and with a
260
00:15:47,040 --> 00:15:51,519
five pip stop right that's an insane return just for literally a quick
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00:15:51,519 --> 00:15:54,880
counter trend play in the space of you know four to eight hours right so that's
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kind of why we're being so pedantic about structure here on just one time
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00:15:58,880 --> 00:16:02,320
frame and looking at every little break um and you know using that to our
264
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advantage okay of course this applies to every single time frame you don't have
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to be you know using this to then go and look for those day trading entries right
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00:16:09,040 --> 00:16:12,240
you could be doing this on the monthly chart or even the quarterly chart and
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then you'd be you know looking at daily pullbacks anyway but i'm getting ahead
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of myself i don't want to talk about market structure but it's just kind of
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just to just to if some of you are you know maybe thinking like what
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why are we looking at all these tiny little breaks on one time frame but that
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is the reason why so that's why we're going to spend a lot of time just
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getting very very comfortable with this and and really understanding you know
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looking for those internal changes of character
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looking for those minor and substructure breaks understanding where they are
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occurring right within the swing and so on and so forth so yeah there was a bit
276
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of an opportunity there but um yeah then we eventually end up
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causing that break of structure but you know where was there another potential
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sign that this wasn't really going to work out well in order for price to pull
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back up to form that internal lower high what did it have to do i had to break
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minor structure to the upside so we kind of got that bullish switch again
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and that's why then we pull back down we had a grab liquidity below that low
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again another concept we'll talk about later and then that fueled the move to
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the upside and then we had another break of structure so then that becomes our
284
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for our high uh right we form that higher high and
285
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then we pull back so i'll try and go a little bit quicker now so hopefully guys
286
00:17:17,039 --> 00:17:20,720
are kind of picking up how we are viewing the market
287
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so this would be our high
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00:17:25,280 --> 00:17:28,240
there we go now where is our low it's the lowest
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point that took out the high so not this one but this one here of course that
290
00:17:31,360 --> 00:17:35,280
one's pretty easy to spot and then we get our pullback so let's
291
00:17:35,280 --> 00:17:39,360
see um look at that minor high minor low we
292
00:17:39,360 --> 00:17:42,160
don't quite reach that high and then we breach it here right and then we're
293
00:17:42,160 --> 00:17:45,840
bullish and then we get that high high there
294
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let's mark out our new higher high now this break gets
295
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a little bit more interesting because we actually do get
296
00:17:52,480 --> 00:17:57,840
a break of structure to the downside right and now the four hour finally
297
00:17:57,840 --> 00:18:02,080
switches bearish all right so that is our swing high
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00:18:02,080 --> 00:18:05,600
that's the highest point that then took out the low and then that for me it's a
299
00:18:05,600 --> 00:18:08,640
decent enough of a pullback i don't know why i didn't get the right tool there
300
00:18:08,640 --> 00:18:11,039
there we go all right that's a decent enough of a
301
00:18:11,039 --> 00:18:14,720
swing pullback and then we take out that low so i personally would be marking
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00:18:14,720 --> 00:18:17,840
that out as a swing structure there
303
00:18:17,840 --> 00:18:22,799
so then we have our high and then we break the low but we see how
304
00:18:22,799 --> 00:18:26,400
we're kind of just retracing straight away so that's not really a great sign
305
00:18:26,400 --> 00:18:28,880
that we're going to be continuing that trend right the fact that buyers have
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00:18:28,880 --> 00:18:32,000
stepped in as soon as we've broken that low so you know potentially you can also
307
00:18:32,000 --> 00:18:35,520
use that as a warning sign that price may be about to
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00:18:35,520 --> 00:18:39,679
um reverse so for me we do get a bit of a pullback there you could potentially
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00:18:39,679 --> 00:18:43,520
classify that as swing structure for me personally i'm not i kind of see this as
310
00:18:43,520 --> 00:18:48,559
a bit of a pause and one move down so that's my one swing leg in price
311
00:18:48,559 --> 00:18:52,480
so for me this here is just a minor break of structure right because we took
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00:18:52,480 --> 00:18:56,000
that minor low which means that this is a minor high and then we get that minor
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00:18:56,000 --> 00:19:01,520
break of structure there to the upside so let's just draw it on
314
00:19:01,520 --> 00:19:05,679
all right okay and then we get the four hour
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00:19:05,679 --> 00:19:09,039
switching bullish again so that bearish trend was very very short-lived but you
316
00:19:09,039 --> 00:19:11,760
can see how there was a couple of warning signs that potentially that was
317
00:19:11,760 --> 00:19:16,320
going to happen and now we are playing within quite a large
318
00:19:16,320 --> 00:19:20,160
uh swing range up here right so where was our swing low it was the
319
00:19:20,160 --> 00:19:23,760
lowest point that took out that high now at this point right we've got quite a
320
00:19:23,760 --> 00:19:26,799
big range to play with that would be our high that would be our low the price can
321
00:19:26,799 --> 00:19:30,400
pull all the way back down here right and it's still bullish until that low is
322
00:19:30,400 --> 00:19:33,520
taken out so what do we expect after a four-hour break of structure we expect
323
00:19:33,520 --> 00:19:36,240
before our pullback how do we know the pullback is going to kick in we look for
324
00:19:36,240 --> 00:19:39,679
a change of character now in this case we don't get a minor breaker structure
325
00:19:39,679 --> 00:19:43,039
because we don't break anything in this leg here but what do we get we get a
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00:19:43,039 --> 00:19:46,960
substructure break right this is a sub uh
327
00:19:46,960 --> 00:19:49,039
sub low here right because we get the
328
00:19:49,039 --> 00:19:51,520
pullback we fail to make that high high and then
329
00:19:51,520 --> 00:19:54,880
we break that low so that's just a substructure break so potentially you
330
00:19:54,880 --> 00:19:57,600
know you could see that as a low high you may want to get involved in but
331
00:19:57,600 --> 00:20:01,200
remember substructure break is a lot less confluent so you may want to be
332
00:20:01,200 --> 00:20:04,559
looking at other concepts that we're going to learn later to add you know
333
00:20:04,559 --> 00:20:07,600
more evidence that potentially that this is a good counter trend short to take
334
00:20:07,600 --> 00:20:11,120
but just understand that that is a substructure low so then we get a double
335
00:20:11,120 --> 00:20:13,840
substructure break there right that's the second one and then i guess we get
336
00:20:13,840 --> 00:20:17,600
you know another little pull back there and we get another one to the downside
337
00:20:17,600 --> 00:20:22,320
now what's another indication uh that this um
338
00:20:22,320 --> 00:20:24,480
uh actually just kind of knows this
339
00:20:24,480 --> 00:20:27,039
interest we don't really breach because that would be where the minor low is for
340
00:20:27,039 --> 00:20:30,320
me so we kind of pull back with substructure that whole time right we
341
00:20:30,320 --> 00:20:33,600
don't really breach that low and then what do we get we then get the minor
342
00:20:33,600 --> 00:20:37,120
break uh we get the minor high taken we get that minor break of stretch to jumps
343
00:20:37,120 --> 00:20:40,159
up to the upside to that emboss right it's a little bit messy to see but
344
00:20:40,159 --> 00:20:42,960
essentially how that would have looked when it formed that was the high that
345
00:20:42,960 --> 00:20:46,559
then took the low then that high got taken price pulled back in to form the
346
00:20:46,559 --> 00:20:49,360
high low and then we're off again we get another minor breaker structure so
347
00:20:49,360 --> 00:20:52,880
that's two minor breakthroughs to the upside now and now we're heavily
348
00:20:52,880 --> 00:20:59,440
bullish and we finally take that swing high to form a higher high all right so
349
00:20:59,440 --> 00:21:02,960
that would be a higher high there let me actually draw on the breaker structure
350
00:21:02,960 --> 00:21:06,400
then when we take that high so you can see how a few times it tried to break up
351
00:21:06,400 --> 00:21:09,360
higher here but we failed to get that camera closure above so you need to make
352
00:21:09,360 --> 00:21:12,559
sure you're always waiting for the candle closure before you start trying
353
00:21:12,559 --> 00:21:15,919
to like because sometimes see when you're in the live market you can see
354
00:21:15,919 --> 00:21:19,760
this candle forming at one point in time it's gonna look like it's closed above
355
00:21:19,760 --> 00:21:22,559
but you can't suddenly just going yeah we've broken bullish now and you know
356
00:21:22,559 --> 00:21:26,400
looking saying that this is a four-hour low you must must wait for the candle
357
00:21:26,400 --> 00:21:29,679
closure on whatever time frame you're looking at before you're even thinking
358
00:21:29,679 --> 00:21:33,520
about um you know adjusting your structure and defining where your new
359
00:21:33,520 --> 00:21:36,880
swing trend is okay that's really really important because what this essentially
360
00:21:36,880 --> 00:21:40,400
is it's just a liquidity grab to fuel and move to the downside but again
361
00:21:40,400 --> 00:21:44,880
getting ahead of myself we'll we'll discuss this in much more depth in later
362
00:21:44,880 --> 00:21:48,720
lessons so yeah drawn on the new swing high this is quite clearly our swing low
363
00:21:48,720 --> 00:21:51,200
right the lowest point that took out that high
364
00:21:51,200 --> 00:21:54,400
now we'll expect after a fire breaker structure we expect to pull back how do
365
00:21:54,400 --> 00:21:57,200
we know when the pullback is going to kick in we look for a change of
366
00:21:57,200 --> 00:22:00,159
character right that's our minor low because it took the high and then the
367
00:22:00,159 --> 00:22:03,760
low got taken so now we have a change of character we pull back up to form that
368
00:22:03,760 --> 00:22:07,520
lower high right um that internal lower high because we never take out the swing
369
00:22:07,520 --> 00:22:11,840
high so this can potentially be a good counter trend swing opportunity to look
370
00:22:11,840 --> 00:22:15,840
to push down to you know a minimum target that next internal low we then
371
00:22:15,840 --> 00:22:19,440
try to break lower but we don't we break up to the upside we get that minor
372
00:22:19,440 --> 00:22:23,039
breaker structure there and then we get the true swing breaker structure and
373
00:22:23,039 --> 00:22:26,400
then we form the higher high right so you can see kind of how all that
374
00:22:26,400 --> 00:22:30,320
minor and substructure pairs together right i hope this is
375
00:22:30,320 --> 00:22:33,919
really really starting to kind of sink in now and you can see how we put all of
376
00:22:33,919 --> 00:22:37,120
the pieces of the puzzle together right so we've got that amount of minor
377
00:22:37,120 --> 00:22:40,320
breaker stretches to the downside bit of a counter trend opportunity but it was
378
00:22:40,320 --> 00:22:45,600
short-lived and then the bullish trends continued
379
00:22:45,840 --> 00:22:51,840
all right so then we get that swing higher high up here so where is our
380
00:22:51,840 --> 00:22:54,559
swing low well it's the lowest point that took out that high so it's not this
381
00:22:54,559 --> 00:22:59,200
point here but it's this point here right so we are
382
00:22:59,200 --> 00:23:03,200
bullish right until we take out the slow but what ends up happening we do
383
00:23:03,200 --> 00:23:06,320
actually take out the slow and we do switch bearish right because we then get
384
00:23:06,320 --> 00:23:10,559
a candle closure below this low now could we have anticipated that pullback
385
00:23:10,559 --> 00:23:12,720
or that reversal happening well let's see
386
00:23:12,720 --> 00:23:16,400
so price moves up now that would be my minor low because
387
00:23:16,400 --> 00:23:19,360
that's a minor pullback and then all of those candles continue to break the
388
00:23:19,360 --> 00:23:22,960
prior candles high so that means it's all part of the up move now we get a
389
00:23:22,960 --> 00:23:25,840
pull back here it tries to take out the minor high but
390
00:23:25,840 --> 00:23:30,799
it fails to do so and then price comes down and takes out this low here so at
391
00:23:30,799 --> 00:23:34,480
that point that for me is just a sub structure break let me zoom right in so
392
00:23:34,480 --> 00:23:38,799
you guys can see all right this here is just a substructure low it's just a
393
00:23:38,799 --> 00:23:43,279
substructure break it's not until we get the break that low in the prior leg
394
00:23:43,279 --> 00:23:47,840
right that minor low that's when we get the emboss this is just an s boss okay
395
00:23:47,840 --> 00:23:51,200
so you may want to mark both of those out separately here i'm just going to
396
00:23:51,200 --> 00:23:55,120
mark the emboss for now all right just just kind of save some
397
00:23:55,120 --> 00:23:57,360
time and keep the charts nice and clear as well
398
00:23:57,360 --> 00:24:00,559
so we get that money breaker structure so at that point of course we don't know
399
00:24:00,559 --> 00:24:03,760
that the trend is going to reverse until we get that closure down here but that's
400
00:24:03,760 --> 00:24:07,279
your first real solid sign that we're gonna get you know that pullback of
401
00:24:07,279 --> 00:24:10,720
course we've pulled back quite deep any anyway at that point and the sub
402
00:24:10,720 --> 00:24:14,000
structure break there was also an indication but anyway we get that
403
00:24:14,000 --> 00:24:17,440
bearish trend change there so then that becomes our new
404
00:24:17,440 --> 00:24:20,720
swing low all right and this is our swing high now at this point we are
405
00:24:20,720 --> 00:24:24,159
bearish right this is the new range we are playing in the minute we get that
406
00:24:24,159 --> 00:24:27,760
that break below for me personally that is confirmed bearish and
407
00:24:27,760 --> 00:24:31,279
now what i am expecting i'm expecting a pullback to kick in how do we know when
408
00:24:31,279 --> 00:24:34,880
the pullbacks started when we get that minor breaker structure to the upside
409
00:24:34,880 --> 00:24:38,159
which is what happens here how do we know when that pullback is going to end
410
00:24:38,159 --> 00:24:42,000
and we're going to get that lower high we wait for a minor breaker stretcher to
411
00:24:42,000 --> 00:24:44,720
the downside right we wait for that change of character what happens is we
412
00:24:44,720 --> 00:24:48,080
get a minor pullback we're gonna move it up right we get that minor pullback we
413
00:24:48,080 --> 00:24:51,919
take the high and then what happens we take that minor low right as soon as we
414
00:24:51,919 --> 00:24:55,440
get that break below there that is now your first real solid sign that the
415
00:24:55,440 --> 00:24:59,039
lower high may be in place and now we can start using that as a real solid
416
00:24:59,039 --> 00:25:03,919
trade idea to look for shorts to at a minimum run this low right run this weak
417
00:25:03,919 --> 00:25:07,279
low with the potential right we could be holding much longer for the start of a
418
00:25:07,279 --> 00:25:09,600
new bearish trend so
419
00:25:09,600 --> 00:25:12,960
hopefully this is really really starting to sync out sync it now right we know
420
00:25:12,960 --> 00:25:16,480
how to map our you know true swing points but then it's using the minor
421
00:25:16,480 --> 00:25:19,440
bricks of structure and you know potentially substructure breaks as well
422
00:25:19,440 --> 00:25:23,279
if you want to be a bit more aggressive to show us when those swing runs are
423
00:25:23,279 --> 00:25:27,520
ending right when the pullback has officially started and then again you
424
00:25:27,520 --> 00:25:30,240
know when the pullback started here we get them on a break of stretches to the
425
00:25:30,240 --> 00:25:34,159
upside right we want to short because we know we're bearish we're expecting the
426
00:25:34,159 --> 00:25:37,840
strong lower high to hold right we're expecting to target this weak low
427
00:25:37,840 --> 00:25:41,520
because it hasn't taken out the high how do we know when the lower high has
428
00:25:41,520 --> 00:25:45,200
potentially formed well we can use that change of character to wait for the
429
00:25:45,200 --> 00:25:49,120
internal price action to switch bearish again which is in line with our new
430
00:25:49,120 --> 00:25:54,320
overall bearish swing trend right so now everything should be in sync right now
431
00:25:54,320 --> 00:25:58,240
it's really high probability to start looking to short all of these lower
432
00:25:58,240 --> 00:26:03,520
highs right to then target this weak low at the bare minimum okay
433
00:26:03,520 --> 00:26:07,520
now one last point i want to kind of make about this as well up here is that
434
00:26:07,520 --> 00:26:10,000
um you know you can be more aggressive and
435
00:26:10,000 --> 00:26:12,640
you can say you could see that substructure break to the downside and
436
00:26:12,640 --> 00:26:15,200
you could start looking for shorts this whole time and looking for this move
437
00:26:15,200 --> 00:26:18,080
here maybe you want to be a little bit more conservative and you want to wait
438
00:26:18,080 --> 00:26:20,720
for minor breaker structure right and you look for these little pullbacks and
439
00:26:20,720 --> 00:26:23,600
then you could be looking for that short there right and you could just be
440
00:26:23,600 --> 00:26:27,679
looking for a quick move to this weak low or you could be anticipating this
441
00:26:27,679 --> 00:26:31,679
long-term bearish trend change right um and you want to get really in really
442
00:26:31,679 --> 00:26:35,120
early and potentially you're trying to get into this move right which is quite
443
00:26:35,120 --> 00:26:39,279
aggressive so that's one way of trading one sort of type of personality now you
444
00:26:39,279 --> 00:26:43,120
may want to be a lot more conservative and you may only want to trade with the
445
00:26:43,120 --> 00:26:46,559
trend right with the swing trend and now look what happens if you're really
446
00:26:46,559 --> 00:26:49,679
really patient right this whole time you just wait for this breaking stretch to
447
00:26:49,679 --> 00:26:53,120
the downside before you even start to think about shorts
448
00:26:53,120 --> 00:26:56,640
now you don't just jump in shorts down here right and sell sell at a really
449
00:26:56,640 --> 00:27:00,640
poor area of value right really poorly priced level no you're patient you wait
450
00:27:00,640 --> 00:27:03,600
for that pullback to kick in right you look at that minor breaker structure to
451
00:27:03,600 --> 00:27:06,720
the upside that change of character and now what do you do you don't just start
452
00:27:06,720 --> 00:27:09,760
selling as soon as we're kind of you know near the high you wait for
453
00:27:09,760 --> 00:27:13,279
confirmation because although we've had a bearish trend change
454
00:27:13,279 --> 00:27:16,799
there's no guarantee right that you know we're
455
00:27:16,799 --> 00:27:20,240
gonna stay bearish for a while price could easily just come down here and
456
00:27:20,240 --> 00:27:23,840
then continue up right just because we've had a break of structure it
457
00:27:23,840 --> 00:27:26,240
doesn't mean that we have to continue bearish for a while right it's all
458
00:27:26,240 --> 00:27:29,840
probabilities so what can we do for even more confirmation we just wait for that
459
00:27:29,840 --> 00:27:33,360
change of character again that internal structure to switch bearish which is
460
00:27:33,360 --> 00:27:36,399
when we take that low there and now you've stacked
461
00:27:36,399 --> 00:27:40,159
so much confluence in your favor you've been so patient right for a number of
462
00:27:40,159 --> 00:27:44,880
days now and what look what happens you can pretty much sell around here right
463
00:27:44,880 --> 00:27:47,360
pretty much at the same levels where you could have potentially taken loads of
464
00:27:47,360 --> 00:27:50,480
losses right when you're only using substructure breaks or minor bracelet
465
00:27:50,480 --> 00:27:53,440
structure and you're trying to get in really early compared to being really
466
00:27:53,440 --> 00:27:56,640
patient and you can still pretty much get in at the same level okay and the
467
00:27:56,640 --> 00:28:00,320
reason why i say that is because although the substructure break and you
468
00:28:00,320 --> 00:28:03,760
know this minor breaker structure does in this case work out and it did
469
00:28:03,760 --> 00:28:08,240
anticipate that long-term trend change what happens if
470
00:28:08,240 --> 00:28:12,720
since the start of april every time you saw a bearish minor breaker structure or
471
00:28:12,720 --> 00:28:16,480
a bearish substructure break that you kept taking shorts and trying to swing
472
00:28:16,480 --> 00:28:20,000
for the fences expecting this what happens like
473
00:28:20,000 --> 00:28:22,399
and then this is happening the whole time to
474
00:28:22,399 --> 00:28:25,120
other people right they're getting in short they're getting smashed they're
475
00:28:25,120 --> 00:28:27,200
getting short they're getting smashed they're getting in short they're getting
476
00:28:27,200 --> 00:28:29,840
smashed they're getting short they're getting smashed they're getting short
477
00:28:29,840 --> 00:28:32,799
again smash they're getting short okay maybe they make a bit of money or you
478
00:28:32,799 --> 00:28:35,039
know maybe they try and get greedy they think that the long term trade is
479
00:28:35,039 --> 00:28:38,320
kicking in now then what happens they get smashed or they take a break even
480
00:28:38,320 --> 00:28:41,679
again maybe a bit of money maybe not break even or they get smashed and it
481
00:28:41,679 --> 00:28:45,600
keeps going okay now eventually they got it in they call the top of the market
482
00:28:45,600 --> 00:28:49,200
and they can post on instagram you know look really really cool to kind
483
00:28:49,200 --> 00:28:52,799
of all their you know their random stranger mates get some nice clout um
484
00:28:52,799 --> 00:28:55,760
you know because they called the top in this potential move but you know you
485
00:28:55,760 --> 00:28:58,880
didn't see how many times they got smashed or how many losses they took or
486
00:28:58,880 --> 00:29:02,240
you know how many gray hairs that they got this whole time trying to fight the
487
00:29:02,240 --> 00:29:06,080
overall predominant trend okay so don't get me wrong i'm not trying to put you
488
00:29:06,080 --> 00:29:09,679
off trading counter trend or trading those pull backs because i'm gonna show
489
00:29:09,679 --> 00:29:14,960
you how you do it safely and with tons and tons of confluence so that you you
490
00:29:14,960 --> 00:29:18,640
stack the probability in your favor but not only that you're also going to
491
00:29:18,640 --> 00:29:24,399
understand to manage your expectations of how far that counter trend move is
492
00:29:24,399 --> 00:29:27,760
going to go how far that pullback is actually going to go and you're also
493
00:29:27,760 --> 00:29:31,919
then going to be able to take warning signs from the market when it is
494
00:29:31,919 --> 00:29:36,080
communicating to you that that pullback is now over so let's say you took a
495
00:29:36,080 --> 00:29:39,200
really nice short here right and let's say you're running really really nice
496
00:29:39,200 --> 00:29:42,559
profits right yes potentially we could come much lower all the way down towards
497
00:29:42,559 --> 00:29:46,080
this low right but you're not going to be greedy because you're a professional
498
00:29:46,080 --> 00:29:49,600
trader you're going to not be attached to the outcome of the trade that you
499
00:29:49,600 --> 00:29:52,799
want right because you might want the profit that you could get if price comes
500
00:29:52,799 --> 00:29:56,159
down here right but you're not going to do that you're going to keep neutral and
501
00:29:56,159 --> 00:29:58,880
you're going to look at what the market is telling you and if you see that
502
00:29:58,880 --> 00:30:03,120
bullish change of characteristic upside you're going to use that as information
503
00:30:03,120 --> 00:30:06,240
right that potentially the pullback is over and then you will incorporate that
504
00:30:06,240 --> 00:30:09,120
into your management decision right whether that means that you are taking
505
00:30:09,120 --> 00:30:11,520
full profits and closing the trade whether that means you're going to
506
00:30:11,520 --> 00:30:14,320
partial out some of your profits you know maybe that means you're going to
507
00:30:14,320 --> 00:30:17,200
look for a hedge position and then take a long trade right there's some more
508
00:30:17,200 --> 00:30:20,000
advanced concepts that we'll get into later in the course but i just want you
509
00:30:20,000 --> 00:30:23,919
thinking about now why all of this is so so important why
510
00:30:23,919 --> 00:30:28,480
market structure is king and why we are spending so much time going through this
511
00:30:28,480 --> 00:30:32,960
you know count or by candle and really making sure you know this because if you
512
00:30:32,960 --> 00:30:36,320
get this right first that's why everything else falls in line everything
513
00:30:36,320 --> 00:30:39,200
else becomes so much easier and i promise you if you don't nail this down
514
00:30:39,200 --> 00:30:42,000
first and you blast you all the videos you do all the concepts you think you
515
00:30:42,000 --> 00:30:45,360
kind of you know roughly get it i promise you two three maybe in six
516
00:30:45,360 --> 00:30:48,240
months time i guarantee you you'll be coming back to
517
00:30:48,240 --> 00:30:51,120
this and you'll be watching this to go right okay i'm going to take everything
518
00:30:51,120 --> 00:30:54,399
step by step again i'm going to take it all apart right just like we looked at
519
00:30:54,399 --> 00:30:58,080
at the the olympic lifter right we're just going to practice the deadlift
520
00:30:58,080 --> 00:31:01,519
right and we're going to nail that first because if you haven't got the deadlift
521
00:31:01,519 --> 00:31:04,159
you're never going to be able to do the rest of the cleaning jerk right you
522
00:31:04,159 --> 00:31:07,039
might be able to do those separate parts on their own right you may be able to do
523
00:31:07,039 --> 00:31:09,200
the jerk you might be able to do the front squat you might be able to do the
524
00:31:09,200 --> 00:31:12,960
clean right but you're never gonna be able to do a very heavy cleaning jerk in
525
00:31:12,960 --> 00:31:17,679
one go if you can't deadlift so this is kind of my way of giving an analogy of
526
00:31:17,679 --> 00:31:20,559
what kind of market structure is it it's the base
527
00:31:20,559 --> 00:31:24,320
um to everything but anyway let's keep going i think this is
528
00:31:24,320 --> 00:31:30,399
really really useful to do so oh yeah as i was saying we had that for
529
00:31:30,399 --> 00:31:33,440
our lower high right we had the changes of character to the downside and then we
530
00:31:33,440 --> 00:31:36,480
took out the weak low so i am gonna i'm gonna try and go a little bit quicker so
531
00:31:36,480 --> 00:31:39,600
i'm not gonna go through every little bit of you know internal structure but i
532
00:31:39,600 --> 00:31:42,320
kind of just wanna talk through the swing points just so you can sync it up
533
00:31:42,320 --> 00:31:46,240
with kind of what you have done on your charts okay so when we took out that low
534
00:31:46,240 --> 00:31:50,000
where was the highest point it was this point up here so we are then playing
535
00:31:50,000 --> 00:31:54,320
within that high and this low here right and this isn't like now i can't help but
536
00:31:54,320 --> 00:31:57,200
go through this because i just think it's so useful right what do we expect
537
00:31:57,200 --> 00:31:59,519
after for our breaking structure we expect to pull back how do we know when
538
00:31:59,519 --> 00:32:02,240
the pullback is going to start we see a change of character right there's your
539
00:32:02,240 --> 00:32:05,360
minor high which takes up the low then we get our change of character we get
540
00:32:05,360 --> 00:32:08,320
that minor breaker stretcher to the upside right so then we can potentially
541
00:32:08,320 --> 00:32:11,840
look to play those counter trend longs but we know that this high should hold
542
00:32:11,840 --> 00:32:14,960
right and this low should be run because it's a weak low because it didn't take
543
00:32:14,960 --> 00:32:19,200
out the high so when we're looking to catch the pro trend shorts and we want
544
00:32:19,200 --> 00:32:22,480
to know where the lower high is what can we do well we just wait for a change of
545
00:32:22,480 --> 00:32:25,200
character back to the downside right so we're bullish this whole time with the
546
00:32:25,200 --> 00:32:29,760
internal structure we then take the high so this means that this is a low right
547
00:32:29,760 --> 00:32:33,760
and then what happens price comes down it takes the low which means the
548
00:32:33,760 --> 00:32:36,559
internal structure has now changed bearish again right we get that change
549
00:32:36,559 --> 00:32:40,640
of character to the downside as we break that minor low wait for the pullback
550
00:32:40,640 --> 00:32:44,559
we get short and we make a ton of money targeting that weak low at a
551
00:32:44,559 --> 00:32:47,760
minimum right again i'm not trying to hype you up but this is literally just
552
00:32:47,760 --> 00:32:52,000
what we're doing day in day out every time i hop on the charts
553
00:32:52,000 --> 00:32:54,799
it's the first thing i'm looking at a structure and i literally i speak to
554
00:32:54,799 --> 00:32:57,919
myself like a kid like where are we structure where is my high where is my
555
00:32:57,919 --> 00:33:02,080
low am i expecting a pullback right has the pullback you know have we got that
556
00:33:02,080 --> 00:33:05,120
minor breaker structure to show me that the pullback is starting have we now got
557
00:33:05,120 --> 00:33:08,000
that change of character again to show me the pullback is over where is my week
558
00:33:08,000 --> 00:33:10,960
high where's my week always my weak low that's where i'm going to target all
559
00:33:10,960 --> 00:33:13,600
right same thing every every single time and
560
00:33:13,600 --> 00:33:16,159
it's the first first thing i'm looking at
561
00:33:16,159 --> 00:33:18,640
okay so
562
00:33:18,640 --> 00:33:22,720
we get the break of the low here's our lower low here right
563
00:33:22,720 --> 00:33:27,039
here's our high up here now we get the pullback
564
00:33:27,039 --> 00:33:30,559
again this one we don't get a minor breaker
565
00:33:30,559 --> 00:33:33,760
stretcher to the upside right because it's quite a clean push if we took this
566
00:33:33,760 --> 00:33:36,720
high up here right if price came all the way up that would be a minor break of
567
00:33:36,720 --> 00:33:40,799
structure okay but again we would not be bullish unless we took out that high
568
00:33:40,799 --> 00:33:43,679
there but what do we get we get substructure breaks because we get a bit
569
00:33:43,679 --> 00:33:47,519
of a pullback that's a substructure break that's a substructure break there
570
00:33:47,519 --> 00:33:50,480
but then what happens is we then take the low that's that first change of
571
00:33:50,480 --> 00:33:54,159
character that first bearish low so that is a minor breaker structure because it
572
00:33:54,159 --> 00:33:57,840
essentially breaks this leg of structure that then formed so that's a minor break
573
00:33:57,840 --> 00:34:01,600
it stretches the downside pull back in all right into a nice supply zone again
574
00:34:01,600 --> 00:34:04,640
we'll get into that and boom target the weak low and then you end up you know
575
00:34:04,640 --> 00:34:08,639
being in a huge huge trade there if you ideally held on
576
00:34:08,639 --> 00:34:13,839
to some of the volume on your trade and then we get a massive swing leg down
577
00:34:13,839 --> 00:34:18,040
so let me just draw that across
578
00:34:20,079 --> 00:34:23,280
okay so yeah hopefully this is making a hell
579
00:34:23,280 --> 00:34:28,159
of a lot more sense now so big big swing leg down now for me this
580
00:34:28,159 --> 00:34:31,520
is just kind of a minor pause in price action amount of pullback when you kind
581
00:34:31,520 --> 00:34:34,399
of consider it it's all relative to kind of the current price action we are
582
00:34:34,399 --> 00:34:39,599
seeing right this really for me is the true swing leg down and this is all just
583
00:34:39,599 --> 00:34:43,919
part of the complex pullback but
584
00:34:43,919 --> 00:34:46,720
what do we expect after for our break of structure we expect the four-hour
585
00:34:46,720 --> 00:34:50,159
pullback but this is a really good example right of what did we have before
586
00:34:50,159 --> 00:34:53,440
as soon as we broke that four hour low we're gonna pull back straight away now
587
00:34:53,440 --> 00:34:56,399
as soon as you see that brake construction online market you can't
588
00:34:56,399 --> 00:34:59,359
just suddenly think in your head that right price has to pull back now because
589
00:34:59,359 --> 00:35:04,320
we've had to break a structure because look how big is this movement you know
590
00:35:04,320 --> 00:35:08,480
nearly 300 pips right in the space of what three days that's 100 pips a day
591
00:35:08,480 --> 00:35:12,240
when you're a dollar that's a big volleyball full of a big volatile move
592
00:35:12,240 --> 00:35:14,320
right when you compare it to the other price action
593
00:35:14,320 --> 00:35:17,680
so the minute you see that four record stretches to the downside if you're
594
00:35:17,680 --> 00:35:21,040
trying to buy you know this whole whole time you're looking for those longs
595
00:35:21,040 --> 00:35:24,240
you're gonna get smashed right don't do that it's not intelligent
596
00:35:24,240 --> 00:35:28,560
trading so at being a bare minimum with only the concepts that we've learned so
597
00:35:28,560 --> 00:35:32,400
far what do we do we're very very patient and we just wait for that change
598
00:35:32,400 --> 00:35:37,280
of character if we are to start to look for those longs or if we are to start to
599
00:35:37,280 --> 00:35:41,040
manage our trade and expect that four apple back to kick in right so we have
600
00:35:41,040 --> 00:35:44,640
we have the minor low pull back to from the minor high we then
601
00:35:44,640 --> 00:35:48,640
take that low which means that this is a minor high so then we get that minor uh
602
00:35:48,640 --> 00:35:52,800
breaker structure to the upside so actually let's mark this on right
603
00:35:52,800 --> 00:35:57,440
now again if you view this as a swing structure that's absolutely fine but
604
00:35:57,440 --> 00:36:00,960
just be very very consistent and make sure you continue to do that
605
00:36:00,960 --> 00:36:04,000
so we take that minor breaking structure so because we've had a minor break
606
00:36:04,000 --> 00:36:07,760
structure this also means this is all minor structure now as well so we take
607
00:36:07,760 --> 00:36:10,720
that high now here this is interesting right because what's happening when you
608
00:36:10,720 --> 00:36:14,240
actually look at price action so when we have that first minor breaker structure
609
00:36:14,240 --> 00:36:17,359
you know we get a decent close above and we get another candle that goes but then
610
00:36:17,359 --> 00:36:21,599
we pull back then what happens when we take out this high well we barely barely
611
00:36:21,599 --> 00:36:24,400
close above it with this candle and then the next candle pretty much just wicks
612
00:36:24,400 --> 00:36:28,640
it and retraces straight away so you can see kind of you know with this heavy
613
00:36:28,640 --> 00:36:32,000
momentum that price is really shocking to go higher every time we break an
614
00:36:32,000 --> 00:36:35,440
internal high sellers are stepping back in so when we try and take this high
615
00:36:35,440 --> 00:36:38,320
again what happens we don't even close above this we literally just wick it
616
00:36:38,320 --> 00:36:41,119
grab the liquidity and then we come back down
617
00:36:41,119 --> 00:36:45,760
so then what happens we get that change of character again right to
618
00:36:45,760 --> 00:36:49,359
the downside so this is where you can either kind of take the kind of the
619
00:36:49,359 --> 00:36:52,400
lowest point of that minor high or you can be a little bit more aggressive
620
00:36:52,400 --> 00:36:55,200
right it's going to depend on how you want to do things right and you can look
621
00:36:55,200 --> 00:36:59,920
at that as your first real kind of minor low now why is that a minor low
622
00:36:59,920 --> 00:37:02,640
because what we have is an inside bar so price
623
00:37:02,640 --> 00:37:06,240
comes down it moves up it pulls down here you see that because
624
00:37:06,240 --> 00:37:09,599
it failed to cut the previous counter's high and now all of these candles break
625
00:37:09,599 --> 00:37:12,960
the previous candles high so that's all part of the internal up move so that's
626
00:37:12,960 --> 00:37:16,320
why you can consider that as an eternal move or you may want to take that low
627
00:37:16,320 --> 00:37:19,359
there right it's up to you obviously the slightly higher one is a bit more
628
00:37:19,359 --> 00:37:22,560
aggressive so essentially we get that change of character to the downside and
629
00:37:22,560 --> 00:37:25,839
now what can we expect we can expect that the four hour lower high is in
630
00:37:25,839 --> 00:37:30,640
place and then we can expect that price to run the week four hour low so then we
631
00:37:30,640 --> 00:37:36,160
take out this low down here and then let me drag that across there
632
00:37:36,160 --> 00:37:40,720
okay so we don't get that confirmed lower low until this candle closure here
633
00:37:40,720 --> 00:37:45,760
at 6am london time on the 1st of july which then means that this is now our
634
00:37:45,760 --> 00:37:48,960
swing high now we have a little bit of a pullback here it's quite a big 4 hour
635
00:37:48,960 --> 00:37:52,079
candle but it kind of retraces straight away so for me i'm not really going to
636
00:37:52,079 --> 00:37:55,839
classify that as you know major swing structure it's more just minor but then
637
00:37:55,839 --> 00:37:58,800
we get a bit more of a sustained pullback so for me that would be our
638
00:37:58,800 --> 00:38:01,359
swing low all right
639
00:38:01,359 --> 00:38:04,560
now i'm not going to go through every song a little bit and i'll keep saying
640
00:38:04,560 --> 00:38:07,440
that but i do kind of want to speed this up a little bit i'm going to kind of try
641
00:38:07,440 --> 00:38:10,560
and just stick to the sort of just marking out the major spring
642
00:38:10,560 --> 00:38:13,520
structure here and then sort of any key talking points
643
00:38:13,520 --> 00:38:17,280
that arise right so we get that pull back we break the low
644
00:38:17,280 --> 00:38:20,960
again what do we get we want to break a structure to show prices pulling back
645
00:38:20,960 --> 00:38:24,880
then we come up right and then we come down and we take the low again so then
646
00:38:24,880 --> 00:38:29,680
this becomes our next break of structure
647
00:38:29,680 --> 00:38:32,400
all right so you can see those strong lower highs i've held the whole time
648
00:38:32,400 --> 00:38:36,160
price has never ever traded above them and that's why this trend can go on
649
00:38:36,160 --> 00:38:39,440
longer than you think and it's just easier right i promise you it's easier
650
00:38:39,440 --> 00:38:42,800
to just run with the blind assumption that the trend you know is gonna
651
00:38:42,800 --> 00:38:47,680
continue right um okay so where are we lost my train of thought there this so
652
00:38:47,680 --> 00:38:50,320
we take the low here so we retrace back where's the highest point that took the
653
00:38:50,320 --> 00:38:54,400
low that is our low there all right and then we get the pullback
654
00:38:54,400 --> 00:38:58,960
and then let's see when do we take this low so remember with breaks of structure
655
00:38:58,960 --> 00:39:01,839
to form that lower low i need to see a candle closure so it tries multiple
656
00:39:01,839 --> 00:39:06,079
times multiple times we don't get that confirmed until this candle here so
657
00:39:06,079 --> 00:39:09,359
literally if i draw it to this candle here right at this point in the market
658
00:39:09,359 --> 00:39:13,599
before this candle forms right at this point in the market you do not know
659
00:39:13,599 --> 00:39:16,800
that this is the lower high right until we get this candle closure here so you
660
00:39:16,800 --> 00:39:19,680
have to be really really patient because if you imagine that's gonna look like a
661
00:39:19,680 --> 00:39:22,880
big bearish candle at some point and you're gonna really be convinced that we
662
00:39:22,880 --> 00:39:26,720
have broken lower and that potentially we are now you know within this range
663
00:39:26,720 --> 00:39:30,079
right but we're not we're not until we get that closure there so it's really
664
00:39:30,079 --> 00:39:34,160
really important okay that you make sure you wait for candle closures but we do
665
00:39:34,160 --> 00:39:37,520
eventually get that that is our low we then do have a bit of a decent pullback
666
00:39:37,520 --> 00:39:42,880
and then we are playing within this high here and this low here but we fail to
667
00:39:42,880 --> 00:39:45,680
ever close below that low and we do eventually
668
00:39:45,680 --> 00:39:50,960
get a four hour trend change as we take out this swing high here
669
00:39:50,960 --> 00:39:54,400
all right now there were a lot of warning signs right that that was about
670
00:39:54,400 --> 00:39:58,960
you know potentially about to occur other than being you can see right every
671
00:39:58,960 --> 00:40:02,000
time price tries to take out the low look at the buyers stepping in right it
672
00:40:02,000 --> 00:40:05,599
tries to close down buy a step in trying to close down buy a step in right we
673
00:40:05,599 --> 00:40:08,800
keep getting minor breaks the structure to the upside again we try to come down
674
00:40:08,800 --> 00:40:12,160
with a lot of momentum right a lot of moments coming in
675
00:40:12,160 --> 00:40:16,240
stop dead right in its path buyers are defending these lows okay and then what
676
00:40:16,240 --> 00:40:18,880
do we get we start to get these substructure breaks to the upside right
677
00:40:18,880 --> 00:40:22,560
and then we get another one right and then we get another one you can see then
678
00:40:22,560 --> 00:40:26,000
we're starting to form these in a series of internal higher lows right and it's
679
00:40:26,000 --> 00:40:29,119
starting to show you the balls are potentially taking control but of course
680
00:40:29,119 --> 00:40:33,760
we don't have that confirmed until we get that high high there so then the
681
00:40:33,760 --> 00:40:38,000
four hour did switch bullish but of course we can now see that that did not
682
00:40:38,000 --> 00:40:41,280
last very long okay but what do we expect after a four
683
00:40:41,280 --> 00:40:45,040
hour breaker shows to the upside we expect a four hour pullback how do we
684
00:40:45,040 --> 00:40:48,000
know that that swing run may be finishing and the pullback may be
685
00:40:48,000 --> 00:40:52,400
starting we get a change of character we get that minor breaker structure to the
686
00:40:52,400 --> 00:40:56,079
downside right we take out this minor low here why is that a minor low well
687
00:40:56,079 --> 00:40:59,040
it's a minor low because it took out the high right so you need to see price take
688
00:40:59,040 --> 00:41:02,400
the high that gives you your low and then when price takes the low that is
689
00:41:02,400 --> 00:41:05,920
your sign of weakness then what happens price ranges for a bit but essentially
690
00:41:05,920 --> 00:41:09,680
it forms that internal lower high and we take the low again so what do we get we
691
00:41:09,680 --> 00:41:12,880
get another minor breaker structure to the downside
692
00:41:12,880 --> 00:41:16,240
right because below we come back up and then we get another
693
00:41:16,240 --> 00:41:19,680
minor breaker structure to the downside again right we get one here
694
00:41:19,680 --> 00:41:22,400
and then we get another one now
695
00:41:22,400 --> 00:41:26,079
at this point right we still have to assume that the foil is going to stay
696
00:41:26,079 --> 00:41:29,599
bullish but you know these counter trend shorts are still becoming high
697
00:41:29,599 --> 00:41:32,720
probability because you can see the weakness stepping in right we keep
698
00:41:32,720 --> 00:41:36,880
breaking minor low to the downside with a lot of momentum right so it's not
699
00:41:36,880 --> 00:41:39,920
to know that we we would definitely know that we're about to reverse but it just
700
00:41:39,920 --> 00:41:42,800
means that potentially you can hold your shorts right so if you got in short
701
00:41:42,800 --> 00:41:45,440
potentially when you first saw that initial change of character and you
702
00:41:45,440 --> 00:41:49,119
traded that internal lower high here as long as you keep seeing you know that
703
00:41:49,119 --> 00:41:52,640
those minor breakthrough shots to the downside and price doesn't
704
00:41:52,640 --> 00:41:55,839
break up to the upside that it doesn't give a bullish change of character you
705
00:41:55,839 --> 00:41:58,720
can hold on to that short and look you would have ended up being a huge trade
706
00:41:58,720 --> 00:42:02,880
and you would have ends up and you know being in a reversal trade without even
707
00:42:02,880 --> 00:42:06,480
knowing price was going to reverse right so that's just sometimes the power of
708
00:42:06,480 --> 00:42:11,520
when you are trading those those counter trend um short positions right at really
709
00:42:11,520 --> 00:42:15,040
good price because even if you just push it back you know down towards the low
710
00:42:15,040 --> 00:42:18,000
right as long as we never switch british again on the internal structure you can
711
00:42:18,000 --> 00:42:22,240
end up being in a huge trade so then we take the low that remains as
712
00:42:22,240 --> 00:42:25,200
our higher right because that was the highest point before the low broke um
713
00:42:25,200 --> 00:42:28,880
now for me again this is just a minor pullback this is all one part of the
714
00:42:28,880 --> 00:42:32,960
swing trend and then we get a bit more of a pullback so
715
00:42:32,960 --> 00:42:37,359
we're almost there guys this becomes our swing low okay now what
716
00:42:37,359 --> 00:42:41,040
do we expect after a four hour break of structure we expect a four hour pullback
717
00:42:41,040 --> 00:42:44,720
so when can we expect that when we get a change of character right so we get a
718
00:42:44,720 --> 00:42:48,560
minor pullback we take the low which means that we have a high here right
719
00:42:48,560 --> 00:42:52,160
then we take the high we get our change of character we're going to pull back we
720
00:42:52,160 --> 00:42:55,680
can look for those counter trend longs and then we can trade that up okay but
721
00:42:55,680 --> 00:42:59,359
remember it's just a counter trend for our pullback because now we expect the
722
00:42:59,359 --> 00:43:03,760
four hour to stay bearish now this is quite a clean push so there's nothing in
723
00:43:03,760 --> 00:43:07,440
the leg there to give us any price action all we get is a substructure
724
00:43:07,440 --> 00:43:10,319
break there that alright that's the substructure break there but we don't
725
00:43:10,319 --> 00:43:14,720
get the minor breaker structure until we come down and take the slow hair right
726
00:43:14,720 --> 00:43:17,839
and then we try to get that breaking structure we don't initially get it but
727
00:43:17,839 --> 00:43:23,440
then we do and we finally get that swing low down here
728
00:43:23,440 --> 00:43:28,960
all right and now we are within uh this new bearish swing range here so yeah
729
00:43:28,960 --> 00:43:34,319
that brings it to end to the end hopefully you're all still awake
730
00:43:34,319 --> 00:43:37,119
um i appreciate that was long right and now some of you who are a bit more
731
00:43:37,119 --> 00:43:40,000
advanced may have found this a little bit pedantic and a little bit over the
732
00:43:40,000 --> 00:43:43,119
top um you know i don't want to go on another rant now about just how
733
00:43:43,119 --> 00:43:46,960
important this is i think i have really you know really driven that point home
734
00:43:46,960 --> 00:43:49,680
um but yeah for those of you who who know
735
00:43:49,680 --> 00:43:52,960
who did have a go at this and map it before don't worry if you mapped it
736
00:43:52,960 --> 00:43:55,839
different to me right for a few reasons one
737
00:43:55,839 --> 00:43:59,520
it doesn't matter it's all about practice um you know just just hopefully
738
00:43:59,520 --> 00:44:02,720
listen to my thought process the way that i view structure see if that makes
739
00:44:02,720 --> 00:44:05,040
sense to you see if that resonates with you
740
00:44:05,040 --> 00:44:08,320
but remember everyone's going to view the market slightly differently so
741
00:44:08,320 --> 00:44:11,119
[Music] just the main point i would always
742
00:44:11,119 --> 00:44:15,359
always make is there is no true right or wrong way of doing things okay if anyone
743
00:44:15,359 --> 00:44:19,599
tells you there is just ignore them but what i would say and what and this will
744
00:44:19,599 --> 00:44:23,119
apply to anything in trading is just be consistent if you do want one thing one
745
00:44:23,119 --> 00:44:28,240
way always do it that way right bring a method to the madness be consistent and
746
00:44:28,240 --> 00:44:31,520
that will give you your your highest probability of getting consistent
747
00:44:31,520 --> 00:44:34,960
results right because as long as you are consistent in the way that you do things
748
00:44:34,960 --> 00:44:38,160
and the way you analyze things right then what happens is you can
749
00:44:38,160 --> 00:44:41,920
collect data based on how you do your your stuff in
750
00:44:41,920 --> 00:44:46,079
the market and if you collect data right and it proves to be profitable
751
00:44:46,079 --> 00:44:49,599
what has that done it means the way that you have done things right it could be
752
00:44:49,599 --> 00:44:52,880
the complete backwards way of what i've just shown you but as long as you always
753
00:44:52,880 --> 00:44:56,480
do it that backwards way and you collect data to prove that it works
754
00:44:56,480 --> 00:44:59,440
congratulations you have just found your edge in the market
755
00:44:59,440 --> 00:45:02,800
now please go and do that and repeat that consistently and you will make
756
00:45:02,800 --> 00:45:06,640
money right that is all we're trying to do we're just trying to you know make
757
00:45:06,640 --> 00:45:11,040
sense of it all be consistent with what we do and apply it again and again and
758
00:45:11,040 --> 00:45:15,599
again right be the casino apply your edge and let it play out
759
00:45:15,599 --> 00:45:19,040
okay right over um yeah have a go at this
760
00:45:19,040 --> 00:45:21,680
go back over what i've done or at least have a go at this if you haven't done it
761
00:45:21,680 --> 00:45:25,520
already and then what i would do is go back even further right you know go and
762
00:45:25,520 --> 00:45:28,960
look at old price action now if you want to be even a bit more advanced what you
763
00:45:28,960 --> 00:45:32,720
can do is use something called bar replay now if you have your free account
764
00:45:32,720 --> 00:45:37,200
on training view only i do believe that this feature will not work i think you
765
00:45:37,200 --> 00:45:41,359
need to have at least the minimum subscription payments so the cheapest
766
00:45:41,359 --> 00:45:44,800
tier payment i believe i might be wrong but i'm pretty sure but if you do have
767
00:45:44,800 --> 00:45:48,640
it you know i would highly recommend you you do use this you know trading view
768
00:45:48,640 --> 00:45:52,400
it's a tool of our business uh you know invest in yourself invest in your
769
00:45:52,400 --> 00:45:56,240
business take this seriously i really would recommend it but anyway bar replay
770
00:45:56,240 --> 00:45:59,280
essentially what it allows you to do is kind of simulate sort of the back
771
00:45:59,280 --> 00:46:02,560
testing environment so you can take it back to wherever all right obviously i
772
00:46:02,560 --> 00:46:06,079
mean you can do it with your drawings on that can also be useful but um also
773
00:46:06,079 --> 00:46:09,040
practice without your drawings right now you can press play and it'll play like
774
00:46:09,040 --> 00:46:12,800
that or what i would recommend is if you hold shift and then press the right
775
00:46:12,800 --> 00:46:16,480
arrow on your keyboard it will bring it forward bar by bar so then what you can
776
00:46:16,480 --> 00:46:19,839
do is you can practice simulating in the live market where bye bye bye you will
777
00:46:19,839 --> 00:46:23,359
draw on your highs and your lows and then you'll try and anticipate like you
778
00:46:23,359 --> 00:46:26,319
know when you see your your minor breaks a structure you can go okay the
779
00:46:26,319 --> 00:46:29,040
pullback's kicking in and then you can start to visualize it because obviously
780
00:46:29,040 --> 00:46:31,440
it's a lot easier in hindsight when you're just going through like this but
781
00:46:31,440 --> 00:46:34,400
when you start to practice it a little bit more you'll see where those full
782
00:46:34,400 --> 00:46:38,000
signals are um and you know where you get
783
00:46:38,000 --> 00:46:40,560
you know where the full signals are but also when they do work out right and
784
00:46:40,560 --> 00:46:43,119
that's how you're really really going to get just
785
00:46:43,119 --> 00:46:45,760
just so experienced with this man i just can't
786
00:46:45,760 --> 00:46:48,240
can't drive this home enough anyway i'm going to stop it there so this video
787
00:46:48,240 --> 00:46:51,280
doesn't go on for two or three hours um yeah hopefully you took some value
788
00:46:51,280 --> 00:46:54,480
practice this show your charts in the community and if
789
00:46:54,480 --> 00:46:57,920
you want any feedback as well be more than happy to take a look at them
790
00:46:57,920 --> 00:47:01,079
all right84608
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