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Another powerful tool that you can use in this whole moving average kind of section here is called the
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Moving Average Convergence Divergence or May Moving Average Convergence Divergence.
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And it's really widely used.
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A lot of people use this.
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In fact, a lot of times it's the default setting on a trading platform would automatically just kind
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of show you that.
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And we'll have a graphic here in a second so you can see what it looks like to.
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But that's how popular it is.
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And the reason is populace's trying to overcome that challenge that a good discipline investor, we
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want to be good, disciplined investors, that we have that challenge.
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We're waiting for the price to cross over a moving average, for example, or another moving average
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across over another.
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We're waiting for this crossover rule to happen and we can see it forming.
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We can see it's coming.
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We're hoping it's going to come.
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But you wish you could take action now, right?
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You wish I could.
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I just get in a little bit earlier.
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Do I have to wait for the crossing?
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Well, yeah.
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You're a disciplined investor.
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You got to wait.
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But with the moving average convergence divergence measure, you know, this gives you an opportunity.
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Maybe you could, you know, get in there a little bit earlier, out a little bit early, depending
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on whether it's converging or converging.
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So let's take a look at that.
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But that's the whole idea, is it's overcoming that challenge, waiting for the crossover to happen.
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So if we look at it with crossovers, you see a merge, right?
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You see them coming in the turning turning point and they're approaching.
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And then when that happens, then you're you're looking for a new direction to occur is the idea.
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And by that time that crossover occurs, you know, you've it's lagging indicator.
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Right?
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So the absolute peak was a peak or the absolute trough or bottom has already passed.
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So you can't buy at the absolute low or you can't sell at the absolute high.
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You're waiting for that lagging indicator.
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Catch up and really give you a good solid answer on it.
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And that's a good thing about moving averages, by the way, because it gives you some good, solid,
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you know, some good, solid indication, basically.
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But this is where the message comes in.
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Again, we're going to visually see or quantify that, that there's there's an opportunity here and
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you're going to try to get into that, you know, there in at that trough or out of that peak a little
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bit more.
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So we think about convergence and divergence.
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Convergence would be coming together.
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Right.
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And then when you have convergence and indicates a trend, you know, we're looking for trends.
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The trend may be coming to an end.
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It's kind of an early warning signal.
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So we've got a trend.
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Could be up.
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It could be down.
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But something's happening with a convert.
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There's a convergence.
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And that's a signal that the trend is going to come to an end here.
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And we'll see that graphically in a moment.
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A divergence think of that is going apart or more daylight.
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It might be a way to think of it.
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And so the current trend trend is safe from a crossover or reversal.
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When we were looking at those ones with that more daylight, we knew, you know, that the far left
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of the graph, we had a lot of daylight.
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So it had to come really, really far to get to that moving average.
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We have a little bit of safety there.
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So divergence of, you know, more daylight are going apart.
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You know, it really is an indicator that the trend is not going to reverse.
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If anything, it looks like the trend might be safer for a longer period of time.
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We will continue to ride that trend, at least for a few more periods, maybe.
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However, abnormally wide divergences are not sustainable and can be a warning.
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The prices may have started to reach an extreme.
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I mean, you think about it, there's these why price ranges and we might be really kind of approaching
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that peak.
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Or maybe we're going the opposite way.
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We're approaching that bottom.
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So that's another way that you can look where convergence is really indicating a trend might be coming
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to an end.
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A divergence might be also an early warning signal that, you know, things could be good, but it could
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be a warning signal also that we might be hitting either that trough or that peak, too, so we can
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use this MACD to kind of help us with that.
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So we think about it.
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You know, how it kind of is calculated is you take a long term or a longer term moving average prices
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and they're subtracted from the short term moving average prices.
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Right.
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So it's kind of mathematical.
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The trading platform would do this automatically.
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You just choose that you want it, you know, to indicate the EMCDDA.
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And then I'll create a nice line on your chart or create some information there for you.
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It's created by George Aperol and he used exponential moving averages of twenty six and 12 days, although
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you can change to Primus if you want.
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But really what I see in the, in the, in the literature and everything, everybody is pretty solid
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on this.
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Twenty six to twelve days.
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But you can adjust it though.
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Most people would recommend that you stick with it and just, you know, use what's been kind of tested
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and proven.
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So that's what we'll use here too.
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So if we look at our chart, you know, here's our familiar chart again.
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We've got a we put in a twelve day and a twenty six day simple moving averages the blue line in the
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pink line, as you can see, and it moves across our prices there.
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But at the top because we automatically fall.
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Are we selected in these twelve and twenty six periods for MCD?
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You can see that you see some lines, you know, kind of going together, a twelve and twenty six line
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looking at these convergences and divergences.
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So let's look at what this is telling us.
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So if you look at the far left and when you see the lines rising or the.
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Who averages are basically what what's happening?
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There's the two lines are diverging and certainly the trend is going to continue.
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Diverging means trend continues, right?
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Though we might be peaking or troughing, a trend is going to continue.
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So if we look at the top of our chart here and we see these black and red lines kind of go on up there,
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that's that's that's the lines are rising.
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And that's indicating that the two you know, the trend is going to continue.
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And if we look down, if let's say we're way back back in time on this, you can see how, yes, obviously
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that trend was continuing in this case.
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Once they start to flatten out, if they're at the top and they start flattening out and they start
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coming down, then the when the ceiling falls, that means the trend is is is ending.
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Right.
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So the two averages are starting to come closer together and they're converging.
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And the MCD is going to represent that to us.
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As far as that as far as that happening.
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And we can see it on the mean chart, too.
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You can just start seeing those moving average lines starting to come closer together, less daylight,
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and they're coming close together.
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It's just that the MACD is going to give you a little bit of indication of that coming maybe ahead of
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time.
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And then we go so on and so on through throughout that one thing to the far right there have a no more
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histogram, maybe easier way to visualize.
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If you look at that kind of those blue bars there, the histogram sometimes can be an easy way to visualize
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that.
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You can see where you might have peaks and valleys and the blue line and where it gets real narrow to
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the to the mean line, which with zero how EMCDDA would be a plus one minus one up and down from there
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as it approaches that that's when they're kind of converging together.
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You can see how close they are together, maybe easier with the blue part than you can with like the
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red and the Blue Cross each other.
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But when they cross, they should be the histogram should be basically almost zero basically is what
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it would be.
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So this is interesting.
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This is great.
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You're saying like, OK, but I can kind of see it on the other chart, too, versus helping me.
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Well, if you look closer at it, I'm going to put on some highlights here.
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The real advantage of this is doesn't tell you earlier what is happening with the trend.
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That was her whole idea.
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Right.
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And we want to see things happening a little bit sooner than waiting for the Priceline to cover.
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And so the gold circles show the ending in this example of an upward trend.
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Right.
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There's a cell signal going on and you can see where you know, where there's these let's say the lines
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are crossing.
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And when I was first going down, as the blue line starts coming down, starts to cross for a little
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bit, then goes back up or it's crossing over prices, you know, crossing below, you know, prices
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are crossing below, let's say the blue line or cross and below the longer line.
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If you look at vertically strip between these two circles, you can see that the MACD is giving you
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an earlier sign, you know, a few periods ahead of that, that something might be up and to be aware
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of.
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So that's where people use it.
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As far as I'm using my pricing, my moving averages to make buy and sell decisions.
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But I might be using that MACD to give me an earlier warning that something's happening and I might
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be able to actually act before they actually do have a crossover period.
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So that's the whole idea behind me.
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So, again, nothing's perfect, but that's the idea behind them is you're trying to get an indicator
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ahead of time than waiting for the prices to happen as far as crossing over.
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In addition, you can use other indicators in combination with these to try to get confirmation that
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that's truly what's happening as well, too.
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So if you see lots of blue lines or shoes at the top, that you can kind of get a feel for what's happening.
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And then it's going to indicate what's happening below in your chart, too, as another way of trying
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to maybe get ahead of a little bit or another thing that might indicate to where you're looking at and
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say, oh, I think a selling time is coming.
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All my MACD is kind of confirming this a couple of days ahead of time.
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I really want to watch that.
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Or maybe I want to just get out now while I can, and then we'll see from there as far as whether we
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can go back in or not.
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So that's how the Makeda is used as an early indicator on your moving average chart.
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Moving forward chart.
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