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These are the user uploaded subtitles that are being translated: 1 00:00:00,360 --> 00:00:06,630 Another powerful tool that you can use in this whole moving average kind of section here is called the 2 00:00:06,630 --> 00:00:12,380 Moving Average Convergence Divergence or May Moving Average Convergence Divergence. 3 00:00:12,390 --> 00:00:13,830 And it's really widely used. 4 00:00:13,830 --> 00:00:15,270 A lot of people use this. 5 00:00:15,510 --> 00:00:19,500 In fact, a lot of times it's the default setting on a trading platform would automatically just kind 6 00:00:19,500 --> 00:00:20,430 of show you that. 7 00:00:20,430 --> 00:00:23,730 And we'll have a graphic here in a second so you can see what it looks like to. 8 00:00:24,000 --> 00:00:25,680 But that's how popular it is. 9 00:00:25,890 --> 00:00:31,590 And the reason is populace's trying to overcome that challenge that a good discipline investor, we 10 00:00:31,590 --> 00:00:34,840 want to be good, disciplined investors, that we have that challenge. 11 00:00:34,860 --> 00:00:40,710 We're waiting for the price to cross over a moving average, for example, or another moving average 12 00:00:40,710 --> 00:00:41,680 across over another. 13 00:00:41,700 --> 00:00:46,320 We're waiting for this crossover rule to happen and we can see it forming. 14 00:00:46,320 --> 00:00:47,400 We can see it's coming. 15 00:00:47,400 --> 00:00:48,630 We're hoping it's going to come. 16 00:00:49,440 --> 00:00:51,440 But you wish you could take action now, right? 17 00:00:51,450 --> 00:00:52,140 You wish I could. 18 00:00:52,140 --> 00:00:53,610 I just get in a little bit earlier. 19 00:00:53,610 --> 00:00:55,240 Do I have to wait for the crossing? 20 00:00:55,260 --> 00:00:55,620 Well, yeah. 21 00:00:55,620 --> 00:00:56,580 You're a disciplined investor. 22 00:00:56,580 --> 00:00:57,150 You got to wait. 23 00:00:57,510 --> 00:01:02,220 But with the moving average convergence divergence measure, you know, this gives you an opportunity. 24 00:01:02,220 --> 00:01:05,730 Maybe you could, you know, get in there a little bit earlier, out a little bit early, depending 25 00:01:05,730 --> 00:01:07,200 on whether it's converging or converging. 26 00:01:07,410 --> 00:01:08,520 So let's take a look at that. 27 00:01:08,520 --> 00:01:13,350 But that's the whole idea, is it's overcoming that challenge, waiting for the crossover to happen. 28 00:01:13,770 --> 00:01:17,520 So if we look at it with crossovers, you see a merge, right? 29 00:01:17,520 --> 00:01:21,240 You see them coming in the turning turning point and they're approaching. 30 00:01:21,240 --> 00:01:25,380 And then when that happens, then you're you're looking for a new direction to occur is the idea. 31 00:01:25,650 --> 00:01:29,790 And by that time that crossover occurs, you know, you've it's lagging indicator. 32 00:01:29,790 --> 00:01:29,970 Right? 33 00:01:29,970 --> 00:01:35,940 So the absolute peak was a peak or the absolute trough or bottom has already passed. 34 00:01:35,940 --> 00:01:39,300 So you can't buy at the absolute low or you can't sell at the absolute high. 35 00:01:39,540 --> 00:01:41,660 You're waiting for that lagging indicator. 36 00:01:41,700 --> 00:01:43,940 Catch up and really give you a good solid answer on it. 37 00:01:44,130 --> 00:01:48,660 And that's a good thing about moving averages, by the way, because it gives you some good, solid, 38 00:01:48,930 --> 00:01:51,270 you know, some good, solid indication, basically. 39 00:01:51,600 --> 00:01:53,820 But this is where the message comes in. 40 00:01:53,820 --> 00:01:58,740 Again, we're going to visually see or quantify that, that there's there's an opportunity here and 41 00:01:58,740 --> 00:02:03,030 you're going to try to get into that, you know, there in at that trough or out of that peak a little 42 00:02:03,030 --> 00:02:03,660 bit more. 43 00:02:04,230 --> 00:02:06,210 So we think about convergence and divergence. 44 00:02:06,210 --> 00:02:08,070 Convergence would be coming together. 45 00:02:08,070 --> 00:02:08,340 Right. 46 00:02:08,610 --> 00:02:13,140 And then when you have convergence and indicates a trend, you know, we're looking for trends. 47 00:02:13,140 --> 00:02:15,030 The trend may be coming to an end. 48 00:02:15,360 --> 00:02:17,310 It's kind of an early warning signal. 49 00:02:17,310 --> 00:02:18,210 So we've got a trend. 50 00:02:18,210 --> 00:02:18,750 Could be up. 51 00:02:18,750 --> 00:02:19,440 It could be down. 52 00:02:19,680 --> 00:02:21,270 But something's happening with a convert. 53 00:02:21,270 --> 00:02:22,320 There's a convergence. 54 00:02:22,500 --> 00:02:25,660 And that's a signal that the trend is going to come to an end here. 55 00:02:25,660 --> 00:02:27,210 And we'll see that graphically in a moment. 56 00:02:27,570 --> 00:02:30,930 A divergence think of that is going apart or more daylight. 57 00:02:30,930 --> 00:02:31,950 It might be a way to think of it. 58 00:02:32,250 --> 00:02:36,510 And so the current trend trend is safe from a crossover or reversal. 59 00:02:36,780 --> 00:02:41,010 When we were looking at those ones with that more daylight, we knew, you know, that the far left 60 00:02:41,010 --> 00:02:42,360 of the graph, we had a lot of daylight. 61 00:02:42,360 --> 00:02:45,540 So it had to come really, really far to get to that moving average. 62 00:02:45,840 --> 00:02:47,520 We have a little bit of safety there. 63 00:02:47,820 --> 00:02:50,460 So divergence of, you know, more daylight are going apart. 64 00:02:50,820 --> 00:02:53,790 You know, it really is an indicator that the trend is not going to reverse. 65 00:02:54,000 --> 00:02:57,210 If anything, it looks like the trend might be safer for a longer period of time. 66 00:02:57,210 --> 00:03:01,110 We will continue to ride that trend, at least for a few more periods, maybe. 67 00:03:02,100 --> 00:03:08,400 However, abnormally wide divergences are not sustainable and can be a warning. 68 00:03:08,580 --> 00:03:10,830 The prices may have started to reach an extreme. 69 00:03:10,830 --> 00:03:14,940 I mean, you think about it, there's these why price ranges and we might be really kind of approaching 70 00:03:14,940 --> 00:03:15,480 that peak. 71 00:03:15,810 --> 00:03:18,090 Or maybe we're going the opposite way. 72 00:03:18,090 --> 00:03:19,500 We're approaching that bottom. 73 00:03:19,770 --> 00:03:24,030 So that's another way that you can look where convergence is really indicating a trend might be coming 74 00:03:24,030 --> 00:03:24,570 to an end. 75 00:03:24,750 --> 00:03:29,190 A divergence might be also an early warning signal that, you know, things could be good, but it could 76 00:03:29,190 --> 00:03:34,050 be a warning signal also that we might be hitting either that trough or that peak, too, so we can 77 00:03:34,050 --> 00:03:36,810 use this MACD to kind of help us with that. 78 00:03:36,810 --> 00:03:38,310 So we think about it. 79 00:03:38,880 --> 00:03:44,610 You know, how it kind of is calculated is you take a long term or a longer term moving average prices 80 00:03:44,850 --> 00:03:48,120 and they're subtracted from the short term moving average prices. 81 00:03:48,120 --> 00:03:48,300 Right. 82 00:03:48,300 --> 00:03:49,680 So it's kind of mathematical. 83 00:03:49,950 --> 00:03:51,690 The trading platform would do this automatically. 84 00:03:51,690 --> 00:03:56,070 You just choose that you want it, you know, to indicate the EMCDDA. 85 00:03:56,070 --> 00:04:00,300 And then I'll create a nice line on your chart or create some information there for you. 86 00:04:00,750 --> 00:04:06,210 It's created by George Aperol and he used exponential moving averages of twenty six and 12 days, although 87 00:04:06,210 --> 00:04:08,130 you can change to Primus if you want. 88 00:04:08,130 --> 00:04:13,260 But really what I see in the, in the, in the literature and everything, everybody is pretty solid 89 00:04:13,260 --> 00:04:13,500 on this. 90 00:04:13,500 --> 00:04:14,670 Twenty six to twelve days. 91 00:04:14,670 --> 00:04:17,150 But you can adjust it though. 92 00:04:17,400 --> 00:04:21,660 Most people would recommend that you stick with it and just, you know, use what's been kind of tested 93 00:04:21,660 --> 00:04:22,140 and proven. 94 00:04:22,470 --> 00:04:23,880 So that's what we'll use here too. 95 00:04:24,510 --> 00:04:27,690 So if we look at our chart, you know, here's our familiar chart again. 96 00:04:27,690 --> 00:04:33,510 We've got a we put in a twelve day and a twenty six day simple moving averages the blue line in the 97 00:04:33,510 --> 00:04:36,870 pink line, as you can see, and it moves across our prices there. 98 00:04:37,320 --> 00:04:39,750 But at the top because we automatically fall. 99 00:04:39,750 --> 00:04:43,830 Are we selected in these twelve and twenty six periods for MCD? 100 00:04:44,250 --> 00:04:49,620 You can see that you see some lines, you know, kind of going together, a twelve and twenty six line 101 00:04:49,890 --> 00:04:53,070 looking at these convergences and divergences. 102 00:04:53,220 --> 00:04:55,080 So let's look at what this is telling us. 103 00:04:55,500 --> 00:04:59,850 So if you look at the far left and when you see the lines rising or the. 104 00:04:59,950 --> 00:05:05,010 Who averages are basically what what's happening? 105 00:05:05,020 --> 00:05:09,370 There's the two lines are diverging and certainly the trend is going to continue. 106 00:05:09,940 --> 00:05:11,920 Diverging means trend continues, right? 107 00:05:12,610 --> 00:05:16,030 Though we might be peaking or troughing, a trend is going to continue. 108 00:05:16,060 --> 00:05:22,390 So if we look at the top of our chart here and we see these black and red lines kind of go on up there, 109 00:05:22,390 --> 00:05:24,940 that's that's that's the lines are rising. 110 00:05:25,120 --> 00:05:28,200 And that's indicating that the two you know, the trend is going to continue. 111 00:05:28,210 --> 00:05:33,760 And if we look down, if let's say we're way back back in time on this, you can see how, yes, obviously 112 00:05:33,760 --> 00:05:36,310 that trend was continuing in this case. 113 00:05:36,790 --> 00:05:41,020 Once they start to flatten out, if they're at the top and they start flattening out and they start 114 00:05:41,020 --> 00:05:47,350 coming down, then the when the ceiling falls, that means the trend is is is ending. 115 00:05:47,350 --> 00:05:47,620 Right. 116 00:05:47,650 --> 00:05:51,340 So the two averages are starting to come closer together and they're converging. 117 00:05:51,520 --> 00:05:53,710 And the MCD is going to represent that to us. 118 00:05:53,950 --> 00:05:56,080 As far as that as far as that happening. 119 00:05:56,200 --> 00:05:57,790 And we can see it on the mean chart, too. 120 00:05:57,790 --> 00:06:02,560 You can just start seeing those moving average lines starting to come closer together, less daylight, 121 00:06:02,560 --> 00:06:03,790 and they're coming close together. 122 00:06:04,240 --> 00:06:09,820 It's just that the MACD is going to give you a little bit of indication of that coming maybe ahead of 123 00:06:09,820 --> 00:06:10,270 time. 124 00:06:10,780 --> 00:06:17,920 And then we go so on and so on through throughout that one thing to the far right there have a no more 125 00:06:17,920 --> 00:06:20,260 histogram, maybe easier way to visualize. 126 00:06:20,620 --> 00:06:26,740 If you look at that kind of those blue bars there, the histogram sometimes can be an easy way to visualize 127 00:06:26,740 --> 00:06:26,860 that. 128 00:06:26,860 --> 00:06:31,270 You can see where you might have peaks and valleys and the blue line and where it gets real narrow to 129 00:06:31,270 --> 00:06:37,930 the to the mean line, which with zero how EMCDDA would be a plus one minus one up and down from there 130 00:06:38,230 --> 00:06:41,140 as it approaches that that's when they're kind of converging together. 131 00:06:41,350 --> 00:06:47,050 You can see how close they are together, maybe easier with the blue part than you can with like the 132 00:06:47,770 --> 00:06:49,570 red and the Blue Cross each other. 133 00:06:49,570 --> 00:06:54,790 But when they cross, they should be the histogram should be basically almost zero basically is what 134 00:06:54,790 --> 00:06:55,270 it would be. 135 00:06:55,930 --> 00:06:56,970 So this is interesting. 136 00:06:56,980 --> 00:06:57,520 This is great. 137 00:06:57,520 --> 00:07:01,240 You're saying like, OK, but I can kind of see it on the other chart, too, versus helping me. 138 00:07:01,600 --> 00:07:04,570 Well, if you look closer at it, I'm going to put on some highlights here. 139 00:07:05,530 --> 00:07:09,790 The real advantage of this is doesn't tell you earlier what is happening with the trend. 140 00:07:09,790 --> 00:07:10,780 That was her whole idea. 141 00:07:10,780 --> 00:07:11,080 Right. 142 00:07:11,410 --> 00:07:15,370 And we want to see things happening a little bit sooner than waiting for the Priceline to cover. 143 00:07:15,730 --> 00:07:20,740 And so the gold circles show the ending in this example of an upward trend. 144 00:07:20,740 --> 00:07:20,940 Right. 145 00:07:20,950 --> 00:07:27,250 There's a cell signal going on and you can see where you know, where there's these let's say the lines 146 00:07:27,250 --> 00:07:28,060 are crossing. 147 00:07:28,300 --> 00:07:33,370 And when I was first going down, as the blue line starts coming down, starts to cross for a little 148 00:07:33,370 --> 00:07:38,620 bit, then goes back up or it's crossing over prices, you know, crossing below, you know, prices 149 00:07:38,620 --> 00:07:43,450 are crossing below, let's say the blue line or cross and below the longer line. 150 00:07:43,810 --> 00:07:48,910 If you look at vertically strip between these two circles, you can see that the MACD is giving you 151 00:07:48,910 --> 00:07:54,490 an earlier sign, you know, a few periods ahead of that, that something might be up and to be aware 152 00:07:54,490 --> 00:07:54,640 of. 153 00:07:54,650 --> 00:07:56,320 So that's where people use it. 154 00:07:56,530 --> 00:08:01,900 As far as I'm using my pricing, my moving averages to make buy and sell decisions. 155 00:08:02,140 --> 00:08:08,020 But I might be using that MACD to give me an earlier warning that something's happening and I might 156 00:08:08,020 --> 00:08:12,870 be able to actually act before they actually do have a crossover period. 157 00:08:12,880 --> 00:08:15,220 So that's the whole idea behind me. 158 00:08:15,700 --> 00:08:20,590 So, again, nothing's perfect, but that's the idea behind them is you're trying to get an indicator 159 00:08:20,710 --> 00:08:25,850 ahead of time than waiting for the prices to happen as far as crossing over. 160 00:08:26,050 --> 00:08:31,120 In addition, you can use other indicators in combination with these to try to get confirmation that 161 00:08:31,120 --> 00:08:33,360 that's truly what's happening as well, too. 162 00:08:33,370 --> 00:08:39,940 So if you see lots of blue lines or shoes at the top, that you can kind of get a feel for what's happening. 163 00:08:39,940 --> 00:08:43,960 And then it's going to indicate what's happening below in your chart, too, as another way of trying 164 00:08:43,960 --> 00:08:48,190 to maybe get ahead of a little bit or another thing that might indicate to where you're looking at and 165 00:08:48,190 --> 00:08:50,080 say, oh, I think a selling time is coming. 166 00:08:50,230 --> 00:08:53,410 All my MACD is kind of confirming this a couple of days ahead of time. 167 00:08:53,410 --> 00:08:54,490 I really want to watch that. 168 00:08:54,640 --> 00:09:00,340 Or maybe I want to just get out now while I can, and then we'll see from there as far as whether we 169 00:09:00,350 --> 00:09:01,360 can go back in or not. 170 00:09:01,370 --> 00:09:06,940 So that's how the Makeda is used as an early indicator on your moving average chart. 171 00:09:07,690 --> 00:09:08,980 Moving forward chart. 16812

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