Would you like to inspect the original subtitles? These are the user uploaded subtitles that are being translated:
1
00:00:12,570 --> 00:00:12,990
Okay folks.
2
00:00:12,990 --> 00:00:17,730
Welcome back to lesson six of
the April, 2017 ICT mentorship.
3
00:00:19,320 --> 00:00:21,390
This month is ICT day trading model.
4
00:00:21,510 --> 00:00:23,640
This lesson is when to
avoid the London session.
5
00:00:30,119 --> 00:00:36,120
Okay, this lesson's going to be
completely void of any charts, any kind
6
00:00:36,120 --> 00:00:41,430
of examples, any kind of distractions,
because I want you to think about the
7
00:00:41,519 --> 00:00:43,830
characteristics that I'm outlining here.
8
00:00:44,190 --> 00:00:47,340
It's not a long lesson,
but it's very, very simple.
9
00:00:48,419 --> 00:00:51,900
At one to make it separate apart
from everything else, because many
10
00:00:51,900 --> 00:00:54,809
of you look at the charts and you
try to question why I'm drawing a
11
00:00:54,809 --> 00:00:58,800
line here or on highlight in this,
or why is this time delineated there?
12
00:00:58,800 --> 00:00:59,790
And why is it not this?
13
00:01:00,300 --> 00:01:05,430
I want you to think about the things
I'm outlining in this lesson from a
14
00:01:05,430 --> 00:01:09,930
conceptual or characteristic viewpoint,
because they're not ambiguous.
15
00:01:09,990 --> 00:01:11,970
They're very specific
things that I look for.
16
00:01:12,450 --> 00:01:15,030
And these are the types of things I want
you to think about when you're going
17
00:01:15,030 --> 00:01:16,680
into trading the London session for days.
18
00:01:18,585 --> 00:01:20,835
So when is the London session not ideal?
19
00:01:22,755 --> 00:01:26,205
Well, typically after a large range
day, which is greater than two
20
00:01:26,205 --> 00:01:28,755
times the average five day range.
21
00:01:28,755 --> 00:01:32,744
In other words, if you look at the
average daily range of a particular
22
00:01:32,744 --> 00:01:37,215
pair, if you ever have a day prior
to the day, you're wanting to day
23
00:01:37,215 --> 00:01:39,074
trade or traded on the session.
24
00:01:39,615 --> 00:01:40,425
If the previous day.
25
00:01:41,250 --> 00:01:46,740
Or previous trading day had a huge or
large range day that went greater than two
26
00:01:46,740 --> 00:01:53,730
times its five day average daily range on
the day that it had the large range day.
27
00:01:54,330 --> 00:01:54,720
Okay.
28
00:01:55,170 --> 00:01:58,650
That is a day that you do not
want to trade immediately.
29
00:01:58,680 --> 00:02:03,289
The day after typically there'll
be a consolidation or it could go.
30
00:02:07,995 --> 00:02:12,795
After a series of three consecutive
up closes on a daily chart, you want
31
00:02:12,795 --> 00:02:18,225
to avoid trading longs at least in
Lebanon session, because typically
32
00:02:18,225 --> 00:02:21,825
you can get a retracement that
could be rather deep creating a down
33
00:02:21,825 --> 00:02:27,525
close day on a candle on the daily
chart or a really long WIC intranet.
34
00:02:28,394 --> 00:02:31,575
And then maybe continuing in the
direction of the three consecutive
35
00:02:31,575 --> 00:02:35,535
of closes, but generally after three
up closes, you're going to either
36
00:02:35,535 --> 00:02:37,755
get a pause or retracement lower.
37
00:02:40,454 --> 00:02:43,334
After a series of three consecutive
down closes on a daily chart.
38
00:02:44,055 --> 00:02:47,685
You want to be avoiding London shorts
again, just the same thing we just
39
00:02:47,685 --> 00:02:50,924
mentioned with three consecutive
up closes as daily chart would
40
00:02:50,984 --> 00:02:54,515
indicate many times when you see
three consecutive down closest to.
41
00:02:56,125 --> 00:02:59,755
Trading short in London the next day
or the fourth trading day in a row.
42
00:03:00,385 --> 00:03:06,355
Many times you can get caught up in a deep
retracement or it can go sideways and it
43
00:03:06,355 --> 00:03:08,484
makes it not ideal for London session.
44
00:03:10,165 --> 00:03:13,825
Now, with both of these conditions
outlined here, three consecutive up closes
45
00:03:13,825 --> 00:03:17,605
and three consecutive down closes again,
that's relative to a daily timeframe.
46
00:03:18,295 --> 00:03:22,704
So if we see that criteria, what
that will do is help filter out.
47
00:03:24,644 --> 00:03:27,855
We have that situation generally,
you won't see a big range day now.
48
00:03:27,855 --> 00:03:31,065
It doesn't mean it can't happen,
but it's highly unlikely to
49
00:03:31,065 --> 00:03:32,864
occur on the fourth trading day
50
00:03:36,945 --> 00:03:40,454
after FMC event that
produces extreme whipsaw.
51
00:03:41,204 --> 00:03:45,765
Now this could be linked to the very
first one I said as well, after a large
52
00:03:45,774 --> 00:03:49,095
range day, greater than two times its
average daily range on the five day basis.
53
00:03:50,505 --> 00:03:51,105
That can be.
54
00:03:52,429 --> 00:03:56,660
The fact that it puts you in the
sidelines, not trading London, or if
55
00:03:56,660 --> 00:04:01,130
there's an FMC event that produces extreme
whips, all, it means that if there's
56
00:04:01,130 --> 00:04:04,640
an interesting announcement that comes
out, if they don't change the straits,
57
00:04:04,640 --> 00:04:08,000
or if they do change interest rates,
or it wasn't as high as they thought it
58
00:04:08,000 --> 00:04:14,209
was going to go or lowers it, thought
whatever that release is, I don't care.
59
00:04:14,660 --> 00:04:15,780
I don't care so much about that.
60
00:04:16,010 --> 00:04:17,930
I want to see is what was
the action in the market?
61
00:04:18,900 --> 00:04:22,710
So if the FMC event creates and
produces an extreme whipsaw up and
62
00:04:22,710 --> 00:04:26,430
down, generally, FLMC comes out two
o'clock in the afternoon, New York time.
63
00:04:27,090 --> 00:04:30,570
So if we see that big whipsaw price
action, that's going to mess up London.
64
00:04:30,960 --> 00:04:31,170
Okay.
65
00:04:31,170 --> 00:04:33,960
It's going to screw up the central
bank dealers range and possibly roll
66
00:04:33,960 --> 00:04:36,300
right on into the agent session.
67
00:04:36,360 --> 00:04:40,980
So just avoid trading London open
after FMC events that create.
68
00:04:45,430 --> 00:04:49,630
Ahead of non-farm payroll numbers
typically a first Friday, not
69
00:04:49,630 --> 00:04:52,780
always, but generally the first
Friday of every trading month, we
70
00:04:52,780 --> 00:04:54,280
expect to see non-farm payroll.
71
00:04:55,570 --> 00:05:00,760
If we are looking for non-farm
payroll to occur, we are not treating
72
00:05:00,760 --> 00:05:03,400
London session at all on that Friday.
73
00:05:07,010 --> 00:05:08,300
Now the same trading day.
74
00:05:09,210 --> 00:05:13,170
That's heading into a long
weekend or a holiday that day.
75
00:05:13,380 --> 00:05:16,020
We avoid trading London as well,
because it could be an early leave.
76
00:05:16,050 --> 00:05:19,920
A lot of trades going to go on an
early escape from the marketplace.
77
00:05:20,850 --> 00:05:22,350
And a lot of money is gonna
be sitting on the sidelines.
78
00:05:22,590 --> 00:05:24,780
Now this is going to be a hit and
miss type thing and variably, you're
79
00:05:24,780 --> 00:05:28,380
going to be able to go back and find
instances where ICT look at this.
80
00:05:28,380 --> 00:05:30,300
It went 300 pips, okay.
81
00:05:30,330 --> 00:05:31,260
Going into the holiday.
82
00:05:31,260 --> 00:05:31,770
And it was a short.
83
00:05:32,955 --> 00:05:33,645
Is it going to happen?
84
00:05:33,675 --> 00:05:34,094
Possibly.
85
00:05:34,094 --> 00:05:34,604
Yeah, sure.
86
00:05:34,604 --> 00:05:38,294
It was, I mean, anything can happen,
but we're, we trade in the world of
87
00:05:38,354 --> 00:05:40,005
probabilities and statistical edge.
88
00:05:40,335 --> 00:05:46,935
So if we know that historically the
normal event is if there's a day leading
89
00:05:46,935 --> 00:05:48,765
into a holiday, usually it's a Friday.
90
00:05:48,765 --> 00:05:49,604
It could be a Thursday.
91
00:05:50,325 --> 00:05:50,775
Generally.
92
00:05:50,835 --> 00:05:53,865
You want to avoid trading the
London session because it's going
93
00:05:53,865 --> 00:05:55,094
to probably a quiet session.
94
00:05:55,425 --> 00:05:56,715
It's not worth taking on the risk.
95
00:06:00,914 --> 00:06:04,335
High to medium impact news drivers
for that particular market.
96
00:06:04,364 --> 00:06:07,844
So if we look on economic calendar, you
can use for X-Factor, you can use any
97
00:06:07,844 --> 00:06:14,294
other, um, reputable economic calendar
attracts what news releases or market
98
00:06:14,294 --> 00:06:17,385
drivers that are going to be released
through out the week in each particular
99
00:06:17,715 --> 00:06:19,275
trading session for every major payer.
100
00:06:20,325 --> 00:06:26,775
If we're looking at that for the London
session and we see multiple high-end.
101
00:06:27,599 --> 00:06:32,099
Or medium impact events for a
particular currency that can spell
102
00:06:32,580 --> 00:06:34,680
a pretty tricky London session.
103
00:06:35,070 --> 00:06:36,210
Not all the time.
104
00:06:36,210 --> 00:06:41,580
Again, there's always a caveat there where
it can happen, but generally if we see
105
00:06:41,580 --> 00:06:45,270
multiple drivers, like for instance, maybe
there's a two o'clock event that's coming
106
00:06:45,270 --> 00:06:48,570
out and then at three o'clock there's
another one, or maybe there's a three.
107
00:06:49,455 --> 00:06:51,045
You ain't coming out and then
there's a five o'clock in the
108
00:06:51,045 --> 00:06:52,395
app, five o'clock in the morning.
109
00:06:52,695 --> 00:06:58,785
And then as well, one may be medium impact
or one may be a high-impact or they both,
110
00:06:58,815 --> 00:07:02,775
they both may be, uh, one or the other
in terms of medium or high impact news.
111
00:07:03,165 --> 00:07:07,335
If we see multiple events do out
on the economic calendar for ethics
112
00:07:07,335 --> 00:07:10,695
or repair, it could be problematic
for your London session trade.
113
00:07:11,265 --> 00:07:11,565
Okay.
114
00:07:11,565 --> 00:07:15,645
So what we ideally look for, like we
learned in the first portion of this
115
00:07:15,645 --> 00:07:17,985
mentorship is we want to see generally.
116
00:07:18,930 --> 00:07:20,580
High-impact or medium impact news event.
117
00:07:21,090 --> 00:07:23,280
And that way we know there's
going to be probably one stage of
118
00:07:23,550 --> 00:07:25,050
manipulation for that particular day.
119
00:07:25,440 --> 00:07:28,320
And then the profit release portion of
the day or the expansion of the daily
120
00:07:28,320 --> 00:07:29,820
range will unfold going into New York.
121
00:07:32,300 --> 00:07:35,570
An absence of any news during
London can be a wild card day.
122
00:07:35,599 --> 00:07:37,219
That means it could go either way.
123
00:07:37,610 --> 00:07:41,719
It could be a real easy technical
day where your, uh, profiles
124
00:07:41,719 --> 00:07:43,130
unfold exactly as you expect.
125
00:07:43,730 --> 00:07:47,510
Or as we just recently seen in
the time of this mentorship.
126
00:07:48,255 --> 00:07:53,294
Um, the UK prime minister came out
with a snap election decision right
127
00:07:53,294 --> 00:07:55,635
on the heels of the holiday break.
128
00:07:56,385 --> 00:07:58,635
And it took the cable by storm.
129
00:07:58,635 --> 00:08:05,534
So we had a 400 PIP move in one trading
day for, uh, the British pound USD.
130
00:08:06,405 --> 00:08:12,914
So, and there was an absence completely
of any Munden time-based news events.
131
00:08:13,575 --> 00:08:16,604
So it was sprung on
the market last minute.
132
00:08:17,085 --> 00:08:17,325
And then.
133
00:08:18,255 --> 00:08:19,005
That was the result.
134
00:08:19,005 --> 00:08:23,234
So there's always some kind
of a black Swan unexpected.
135
00:08:24,435 --> 00:08:25,875
Didn't see it coming curveball.
136
00:08:26,114 --> 00:08:28,695
And that was one we just seen
while we were doing the mentorship.
137
00:08:33,985 --> 00:08:35,424
Now, what characteristics do I look.
138
00:08:36,480 --> 00:08:38,820
To look for an avoidance
of London session.
139
00:08:39,270 --> 00:08:41,760
The first one is the
central bank dealers range.
140
00:08:41,820 --> 00:08:46,500
If it's greater than 50 pips, I'm
already knowing firsthand I'm possibly
141
00:08:46,500 --> 00:08:47,670
going to pass on the one session.
142
00:08:47,760 --> 00:08:52,260
It doesn't mean it's a guaranteed
set in stone, but if I have plans
143
00:08:52,260 --> 00:08:57,870
the next day, if I have plans with
my family and I want to be ready.
144
00:08:59,084 --> 00:09:01,694
I'll just not pat out, just
pass on them on the session.
145
00:09:01,724 --> 00:09:06,104
And even if it moves well, I won't even
get up at night to see how it sets up.
146
00:09:06,135 --> 00:09:07,964
I'll just avoid the
London session altogether.
147
00:09:08,175 --> 00:09:09,104
Get a good night's rest.
148
00:09:09,104 --> 00:09:11,895
If I can and be rested and
spend my time with my family.
149
00:09:12,974 --> 00:09:17,895
If I don't have any plans the next
day going into New York hours, then
150
00:09:17,895 --> 00:09:21,704
I will still wake up around midnight
time to see what the Asian range did.
151
00:09:22,245 --> 00:09:25,694
And that'll set up my decision factors
with like we just learned in lessons.
152
00:09:28,735 --> 00:09:32,425
If the Asian range is greater than
40 pips, I'm going to consider
153
00:09:32,425 --> 00:09:37,015
the delayed protraction profile,
but it has to meet every one of
154
00:09:37,015 --> 00:09:38,814
those criteria for it to unfold.
155
00:09:39,145 --> 00:09:42,355
Otherwise, I'll move to the
sidelines and avoid trading London.
156
00:09:45,625 --> 00:09:48,865
If the market starts to sustain
rally or decline from APM.
157
00:09:50,400 --> 00:09:52,860
It's usually a poor indication
of a London session.
158
00:09:53,280 --> 00:09:57,420
That means that the real
event is started at zero GMT.
159
00:09:58,020 --> 00:09:59,939
And they're probably going to keep
a sustained move going through
160
00:09:59,939 --> 00:10:01,050
and very little retracement.
161
00:10:01,110 --> 00:10:04,560
Usually the retracement will occur if
at all, during the New York session,
162
00:10:07,870 --> 00:10:11,829
if central bank dealers range and
or Asian range is not visually.
163
00:10:11,920 --> 00:10:16,120
And it means obviously consolidating,
I'm going to look to avoid the London.
164
00:10:17,980 --> 00:10:22,450
So that means there has to be a
completely different market profile
165
00:10:22,810 --> 00:10:26,770
from that what we saw of the intraday
price action between the London open
166
00:10:26,770 --> 00:10:29,200
and London close of the previous day.
167
00:10:29,530 --> 00:10:33,970
So after 2:00 PM or the previous
day going to APM, if it isn't a
168
00:10:33,970 --> 00:10:39,250
quiet, small little consolidation
range, that's not an ideal scenario.
169
00:10:39,280 --> 00:10:41,980
It means it's going to be a
poor set up, going to the.
170
00:10:43,170 --> 00:10:44,370
Same thing with Asian range.
171
00:10:44,640 --> 00:10:50,250
If the Asian rains gets really wild
or widens up that again, lessens
172
00:10:50,280 --> 00:10:55,050
the statistical edge, that it will
give us by moving into approach
173
00:10:55,050 --> 00:10:57,510
reactionary state, right after midnight.
174
00:10:58,140 --> 00:11:04,979
So bottom line, since you make dealers
range and or Asian range, must trade down
175
00:11:04,979 --> 00:11:06,990
into a small, tight consolidation range.
176
00:11:07,560 --> 00:11:09,479
If we don't see that, if it's trending.
177
00:11:10,439 --> 00:11:14,160
In both or either, or it makes them
on the session, highly suspect.
178
00:11:14,670 --> 00:11:18,000
And you'll know clearly by looking at
the time window that creates central
179
00:11:18,000 --> 00:11:19,859
my dealers range and the Asian range.
180
00:11:20,310 --> 00:11:25,050
If it's not in consolidation or if it
isn't consolidation very clear, obvious.
181
00:11:25,109 --> 00:11:27,540
You'll see what I mean by going
through your charts and going back
182
00:11:27,540 --> 00:11:31,229
over a 15 minute timeframe, you'll
see it clearly when it creates a
183
00:11:31,229 --> 00:11:35,609
consolidation, it looks very, very
distinct, small little narrow range
184
00:11:36,120 --> 00:11:37,979
in contrast to all the previous days.
185
00:11:38,459 --> 00:11:38,780
And today.
186
00:11:40,440 --> 00:11:44,580
If it's wide or erratic or trending,
and either one of those ranges,
187
00:11:44,790 --> 00:11:48,390
central bank dealers, ranger, Asian,
it makes London highly suspect.
188
00:11:48,630 --> 00:11:50,550
And I don't want to trade
in those conditions.
189
00:11:52,780 --> 00:11:57,190
Now we as traders as a day trader, we're
going to be aiming for days when the banks
190
00:11:57,190 --> 00:11:59,860
will hold the market to build open float.
191
00:11:59,890 --> 00:12:02,410
And again, that builds on the
idea of the previous point.
192
00:12:04,575 --> 00:12:09,015
Anticipate the banks holding the
market in a small, tight consolidation.
193
00:12:09,015 --> 00:12:12,435
And what they're doing is they're
allowing orders to build above and
194
00:12:12,435 --> 00:12:18,435
below the intraday high as being
formed between the Asian range open
195
00:12:18,915 --> 00:12:20,505
and the Asian range close at midnight.
196
00:12:21,045 --> 00:12:24,645
So we're looking for that
building up of orders.
197
00:12:24,945 --> 00:12:27,315
We don't need to know what the orders
are or how much they are, cause we're
198
00:12:27,315 --> 00:12:31,065
never going to know what that is,
but we can see it indicated in how
199
00:12:31,065 --> 00:12:32,835
they maintain a very narrow price.
200
00:12:33,705 --> 00:12:36,705
Through central bank dealers, rains
time, window, and the Asian range.
201
00:12:37,185 --> 00:12:41,115
Again, if it's not clear, if it's
not obvious in a small, tight
202
00:12:41,115 --> 00:12:45,435
range, it's probably going to be an
ugly London session and you're not
203
00:12:45,435 --> 00:12:48,345
going to see a clear manipulation
cycle or a protectionary state.
204
00:12:51,735 --> 00:12:56,175
If the market is trending from
8:00 PM, New York, generally, this
205
00:12:56,175 --> 00:12:57,825
is going to create London slot.
206
00:12:58,709 --> 00:13:02,730
That means the move is most likely
occurred at the beginning of
207
00:13:02,730 --> 00:13:05,430
zero GMT 8:00 PM, New York time.
208
00:13:05,880 --> 00:13:10,439
And it's going to keep on rolling through
until we see the New York session.
209
00:13:11,189 --> 00:13:15,030
So again, we don't want to see an
Asian session trending environment
210
00:13:15,750 --> 00:13:17,339
for an ideal London entry.
211
00:13:20,579 --> 00:13:24,240
When the market is conditioned for
London slop, as we just described in
212
00:13:24,240 --> 00:13:26,880
the previous point, sleeping training.
213
00:13:28,215 --> 00:13:33,075
That means if any of these things that
we've mentioned so far, are there, that
214
00:13:33,075 --> 00:13:36,885
means that the London session is going
to be sloppy if it's going to be sloppy.
215
00:13:36,885 --> 00:13:38,775
Does that mean that's a
high probability condition?
216
00:13:39,345 --> 00:13:40,335
Absolutely not.
217
00:13:40,755 --> 00:13:44,025
We want it to be so slanted in our favor.
218
00:13:44,645 --> 00:13:46,995
That means not trading every day.
219
00:13:47,865 --> 00:13:53,085
Every single trading day will not have
the recipe for a clear profile as we
220
00:13:53,085 --> 00:13:54,525
described in lots of less than five.
221
00:13:55,740 --> 00:14:00,360
But when we see these characteristics
here, it lends very well for us
222
00:14:00,360 --> 00:14:03,060
to weigh whether or not we're
going to be participating in the
223
00:14:03,060 --> 00:14:06,900
London, or if we do participate in
London and we just second guess it.
224
00:14:06,900 --> 00:14:10,650
And we have to see it for ourselves
by experience trade with very, very,
225
00:14:10,650 --> 00:14:13,560
very little risk, because you're
probably gonna regret knowing it
226
00:14:16,570 --> 00:14:21,820
accumulation manipulation and distribution
is the business of introduction.
227
00:14:22,785 --> 00:14:23,564
That's all it is.
228
00:14:24,105 --> 00:14:30,375
Intraday is the short term horizon
where banks can manipulate and knock
229
00:14:30,375 --> 00:14:36,645
people out, push in orders, you know,
facilitate, uh, false sentiment ideas.
230
00:14:37,275 --> 00:14:41,655
So what we're looking for is these
orders to accumulate in the marketplace.
231
00:14:42,615 --> 00:14:47,084
We don't necessarily know how many
orders are above and below these
232
00:14:47,084 --> 00:14:50,055
consolidations that we look for in a
central bank dealers range in Asia.
233
00:14:51,165 --> 00:14:55,064
But we know based on our directional
bias from the daily chart and for hour
234
00:14:55,395 --> 00:15:00,345
with using the PDA Ray matrix, and if
the data ranges where price will most
235
00:15:00,345 --> 00:15:02,685
likely draw two on the higher timeframes.
236
00:15:03,585 --> 00:15:07,095
So if we know that and we're bullish,
we can anticipate the next stage,
237
00:15:07,095 --> 00:15:12,285
which has manipulation taking the
price lower down into an area where
238
00:15:12,765 --> 00:15:17,895
traders will be induced to sell or
get knocked out of premature entry.
239
00:15:18,810 --> 00:15:19,650
That are already long.
240
00:15:19,860 --> 00:15:21,090
They're going to unseat those position.
241
00:15:21,480 --> 00:15:24,380
Then they distribute those positions.
242
00:15:24,390 --> 00:15:28,110
They have a key made going long near
the low of the day, near the high
243
00:15:28,110 --> 00:15:30,540
today at London close or late New York.
244
00:15:32,280 --> 00:15:33,720
That's the model we're trading off of.
245
00:15:34,080 --> 00:15:34,890
That's what we're looking for.
246
00:15:34,890 --> 00:15:41,190
So if we don't have clues or fingerprints,
if you will, to lend to these ideas being.
247
00:15:42,555 --> 00:15:43,515
It's not ambiguous.
248
00:15:43,905 --> 00:15:45,015
It's not a guessing game.
249
00:15:45,045 --> 00:15:47,225
It's not, well, I wonder if it's
going to do this or I want, if
250
00:15:47,225 --> 00:15:50,205
I'm going to do that, no, we know
exactly what we're looking for.
251
00:15:50,205 --> 00:15:55,695
If there's hallmark, trademark
characteristics that make these London
252
00:15:55,695 --> 00:15:58,095
session entries perfect and ideal.
253
00:15:58,725 --> 00:16:02,625
And it's based on the criteria we've
given you from the central, my dealers
254
00:16:02,625 --> 00:16:07,665
range in Asian range, there are
specific things that you look for.
255
00:16:08,385 --> 00:16:09,255
If they're not pre.
256
00:16:10,215 --> 00:16:12,375
You do not have high
probability conditions.
257
00:16:12,455 --> 00:16:18,255
Trade-in if they are, as we were
describing here and you take the trade
258
00:16:18,255 --> 00:16:23,025
or you take a supposedly bullish or block
or supposedly turtle soup or something.
259
00:16:23,235 --> 00:16:23,685
Okay.
260
00:16:24,435 --> 00:16:27,075
And you lose money now, you know why?
261
00:16:27,465 --> 00:16:31,875
Because you don't have it in your favor
where they're clearly going to draw price
262
00:16:32,235 --> 00:16:35,475
one direction or the other based on the
criteria we've given you in less than.
263
00:16:37,290 --> 00:16:40,319
If the conditions were selling you
here in less than six, are there
264
00:16:41,069 --> 00:16:45,300
you have a great deal of odds
in your favor of losing money?
265
00:16:46,290 --> 00:16:51,120
So pay attention to these points
because it will keep you, at least
266
00:16:51,120 --> 00:16:54,329
in my opinion, it's kept me from
doing a lot of trading where I was
267
00:16:55,380 --> 00:16:57,660
better off sitting on the sidelines.
268
00:16:57,689 --> 00:17:01,650
Then they're getting in there and
marketplace, if you look at, uh, some
269
00:17:01,650 --> 00:17:02,939
of the conditions that we've outlined.
270
00:17:03,690 --> 00:17:04,950
Over the course of this mentorship.
271
00:17:05,579 --> 00:17:09,870
Um, some of the days are ideal
for these events right here.
272
00:17:10,650 --> 00:17:15,210
Then other days, there are
instances where they're not so
273
00:17:15,210 --> 00:17:16,829
prevalent in the conditions.
274
00:17:16,829 --> 00:17:20,880
We're probably in our favorite of
trade, but you still can be wrong.
275
00:17:21,450 --> 00:17:26,910
So again, this helps you avoid the
ugly periods, but you're still going
276
00:17:26,910 --> 00:17:30,300
to get these once in awhile moves
where it would have been better.
277
00:17:30,300 --> 00:17:30,870
Had you taken it.
278
00:17:32,149 --> 00:17:33,919
And all this is doing is help.
279
00:17:33,919 --> 00:17:38,870
You know, when the odds are less in
your favor and believe me, if you
280
00:17:38,870 --> 00:17:43,520
avoid this lesson, if you discount
it, if you think, oh, you know, I'm
281
00:17:43,520 --> 00:17:44,480
just going to look for the signals.
282
00:17:45,230 --> 00:17:49,010
You're going to look for the signals in
this kind of mess, and you're not going
283
00:17:49,010 --> 00:17:50,450
to see the results you're hoping for.
284
00:17:50,810 --> 00:17:52,399
And you're going to
attribute to this stuff.
285
00:17:52,490 --> 00:17:53,149
Doesn't work.
286
00:17:53,419 --> 00:17:55,040
ICT doesn't have an edge.
287
00:17:55,189 --> 00:17:58,669
There's no benefit to knowing these
types of things and it's all fluff wrong.
288
00:17:59,060 --> 00:18:00,860
You've seen enough instances
where precision is.
289
00:18:01,845 --> 00:18:05,925
The precision won't come into the
marketplace or be evident in price
290
00:18:05,925 --> 00:18:08,595
action when these elements are present.
291
00:18:10,155 --> 00:18:12,105
So I know what you're probably saying.
292
00:18:12,135 --> 00:18:15,555
Well, what's going on in the marketplace
when these events are happening, what are
293
00:18:15,555 --> 00:18:17,895
the central banks doing ready for this?
294
00:18:19,065 --> 00:18:19,695
I don't know.
295
00:18:21,645 --> 00:18:22,125
I don't know.
296
00:18:23,055 --> 00:18:26,775
And if I don't know, or have a
belief in what they're doing,
297
00:18:27,465 --> 00:18:29,895
then that's certainly not a time
where I'm going to put money in.
298
00:18:30,780 --> 00:18:32,010
And neither should it be for you?
299
00:18:33,090 --> 00:18:38,460
We know what they're doing or most
likely doing when we have these narrow
300
00:18:38,460 --> 00:18:41,280
consolidation ranges between central
bank dealers range and Asia range.
301
00:18:41,669 --> 00:18:45,060
When we have a daily bias, when we know
where the draw is on a daily chart,
302
00:18:45,419 --> 00:18:47,070
where is the price going to be drawn to?
303
00:18:47,100 --> 00:18:49,919
What is it going to be moving
up to a premium where it's going
304
00:18:49,919 --> 00:18:50,970
to be moving down to a discount.
305
00:18:52,020 --> 00:18:54,990
We knew that for a
directional bias, having that.
306
00:18:56,595 --> 00:18:59,024
Applying it to our London session.
307
00:18:59,294 --> 00:19:06,675
If we can find the standard normal
protraction profile or the delayed profile
308
00:19:07,335 --> 00:19:13,125
in that direction of the day, we got it
licked, but you still can have losses.
309
00:19:14,355 --> 00:19:17,475
If we see these conditions here,
regardless of what we have as
310
00:19:17,475 --> 00:19:21,495
a daily bias, whatever we think
it is doing, it doesn't matter.
311
00:19:21,555 --> 00:19:23,055
All those things fall.
312
00:19:24,690 --> 00:19:28,590
To this criteria here, because we're
specifically dealing with intraday action.
313
00:19:29,580 --> 00:19:31,710
We have to have rule-based ideas.
314
00:19:31,860 --> 00:19:33,030
We have to have filters.
315
00:19:33,420 --> 00:19:34,409
These are our filters.
316
00:19:35,520 --> 00:19:38,820
You do not trade every single trading day.
317
00:19:39,960 --> 00:19:44,250
These conditions will prevent
you from taking positions in.
318
00:19:45,540 --> 00:19:46,620
And you have to accept it.
319
00:19:47,010 --> 00:19:48,060
You got to submit to it.
320
00:19:48,300 --> 00:19:50,940
You have to be subordinate
to some level of rules.
321
00:19:51,210 --> 00:19:54,000
If you don't have them, you're going
to overtrade you're gonna treat every
322
00:19:54,000 --> 00:19:57,540
single day and yes, you might catch
some amazing moves that may appear
323
00:19:57,900 --> 00:19:59,130
when these conditions are there.
324
00:19:59,280 --> 00:20:00,690
And you'll be able to show me an email.
325
00:20:00,900 --> 00:20:02,040
I didn't do that.
326
00:20:02,040 --> 00:20:03,690
And I still, I made 120 pips here.
327
00:20:03,690 --> 00:20:06,750
Michael, look at this and I'm going
to say, you didn't follow the rules.
328
00:20:07,620 --> 00:20:08,370
You're going to get mad.
329
00:20:08,400 --> 00:20:11,370
You're going to be offended, but
I'm telling you up front, if it
330
00:20:11,370 --> 00:20:13,680
looks like this and you traded
it in London and you make money.
331
00:20:14,880 --> 00:20:17,120
I don't want to know about it
because all you're doing is just
332
00:20:17,130 --> 00:20:18,600
saying you did not follow the rules.
333
00:20:25,490 --> 00:20:25,670
Okay.
334
00:20:25,670 --> 00:20:27,620
When is London open kills zone ideal.
335
00:20:28,070 --> 00:20:31,910
And we obviously we've talked
about what makes the avoidance of
336
00:20:32,030 --> 00:20:37,790
London session most apt to be the
best choice, but what do we do?
337
00:20:38,595 --> 00:20:43,155
To help formulate an ideal scenario going
into London, but the daily charts is
338
00:20:43,155 --> 00:20:45,435
going to be clearly respecting PDA race.
339
00:20:45,735 --> 00:20:51,285
So are we in an environment where the
market's clearly respecting, uh, obvious,
340
00:20:51,315 --> 00:20:56,805
clear, um, non ambiguous, PDA res,
where the market is clearly is going to,
341
00:20:56,805 --> 00:21:00,885
uh, uh, an order block, which closing
a gap, uh, and it's responding as you
342
00:21:00,885 --> 00:21:05,055
would realistically expect it to, uh,
when we have those in here and find a.
343
00:21:05,970 --> 00:21:08,760
Probability trade in my
favor as a day trade.
344
00:21:09,330 --> 00:21:13,110
I'm just going to get a hearing and
get lucky in London, that's gambling.
345
00:21:13,380 --> 00:21:14,040
We don't do that.
346
00:21:14,790 --> 00:21:18,390
So we have to have a discernible direction
in the marketplace on the daily chart, and
347
00:21:18,390 --> 00:21:20,190
it has to be respecting a PD rate matrix.
348
00:21:20,910 --> 00:21:24,390
And that way we know what our daily
biases is it going to be reaching higher.
349
00:21:24,390 --> 00:21:25,230
It's going to be reaching lower.
350
00:21:25,290 --> 00:21:26,100
It's just that.
351
00:21:29,350 --> 00:21:32,560
Now when the market is poised to trade
higher on the daily to a premium array,
352
00:21:33,129 --> 00:21:35,530
we're going to be looking for London
longs, because they're going to be
353
00:21:35,530 --> 00:21:38,679
ideal entry points because we know
that on the higher timeframe daily,
354
00:21:38,889 --> 00:21:44,120
it's respecting the PDA matrix and
the most likely outcome is going to
355
00:21:44,120 --> 00:21:45,580
be reaching for a premium PD array.
356
00:21:46,600 --> 00:21:49,360
The range at which it is
trading at right now at market
357
00:21:49,360 --> 00:21:51,639
price to the next premium PDA.
358
00:21:51,639 --> 00:21:51,850
Right.
359
00:21:52,800 --> 00:21:55,620
That is going to be indicative
how much we can anticipate for
360
00:21:55,620 --> 00:21:57,030
the next price move higher.
361
00:21:57,720 --> 00:22:00,750
It may not fulfill that
entirely in the day trade the
362
00:22:00,810 --> 00:22:02,460
day that you're trading that.
363
00:22:02,460 --> 00:22:05,129
In other words, it won't fulfill
that entire range in one day.
364
00:22:05,550 --> 00:22:09,960
It can take several days and
that's going to also facilitate the
365
00:22:11,460 --> 00:22:13,350
continuation of the next trading day.
366
00:22:13,379 --> 00:22:14,760
Are you going to be
trading in London as well?
367
00:22:15,450 --> 00:22:17,189
Because he may have that
range still to fulfill.
368
00:22:17,189 --> 00:22:20,340
And if it's still there on a daily
chart to reach up into that pre.
369
00:22:21,639 --> 00:22:25,750
You have still rains to work with and
you may end up getting another set up
370
00:22:25,899 --> 00:22:29,830
in the following consecutive trading
day in London and do the very same
371
00:22:29,830 --> 00:22:32,649
thing you did in the day before buying.
372
00:22:36,000 --> 00:22:38,580
When the market is poised to trade
lower on a daily to a discount
373
00:22:38,580 --> 00:22:42,570
array, London shorts, or ideal
same scenario just reversed.
374
00:22:42,570 --> 00:22:48,060
In the previous point, if we have just
recently traded off of a premium array.
375
00:22:49,565 --> 00:22:51,665
And we're going to be reaching
down into a discount array.
376
00:22:51,725 --> 00:22:54,905
I mean the bull shorter block closing
a fair, you get that below market
377
00:22:54,905 --> 00:22:59,105
price, closing a liquidity void below
market price, a trade down below an
378
00:22:59,105 --> 00:23:03,695
old low market deploys to make a low
resistance liquidity run to a discount.
379
00:23:04,655 --> 00:23:09,395
If we see that scenario in the
daily London shorts or ideal,
380
00:23:09,605 --> 00:23:11,225
it doesn't mean circumvent.
381
00:23:11,255 --> 00:23:14,825
All of the previous slides that I, this
mentioned those conditions have to be.
382
00:23:15,750 --> 00:23:16,500
Uh, eliminated.
383
00:23:16,650 --> 00:23:19,740
In other words, they can't be present
even in this condition here and the
384
00:23:19,740 --> 00:23:24,750
previous point, as well as it relates
to premium rays, either one of these
385
00:23:24,750 --> 00:23:27,240
conditions can be canceled out.
386
00:23:27,330 --> 00:23:30,540
If we seen the conditions that we
just shown in the previous two slides,
387
00:23:33,940 --> 00:23:38,770
when the daily range has not recently
exceeded its five day average daily
388
00:23:38,770 --> 00:23:41,320
range and expansion day is due to.
389
00:23:42,525 --> 00:23:45,795
So in other words, if you study
average daily range, you can
390
00:23:45,795 --> 00:23:47,865
do several studies like this.
391
00:23:48,585 --> 00:23:52,035
You can look at every single day,
what's the expected average daily
392
00:23:52,035 --> 00:23:53,295
range from a five day basis.
393
00:23:54,315 --> 00:23:58,305
And what is the actual five day
average daily range at the close of
394
00:23:58,305 --> 00:24:02,535
the day and keep a running log of
that, of, of the payers that you trade.
395
00:24:02,985 --> 00:24:05,805
This is the reason why you don't
want to train 20 pairs because you
396
00:24:05,805 --> 00:24:10,065
can get really tuned in to your
payer or payers if it's just too.
397
00:24:10,755 --> 00:24:14,115
By doing these types of things because
when the average daily range of the last
398
00:24:14,115 --> 00:24:18,585
five days is factored, not every single
day will the average daily range be met.
399
00:24:19,335 --> 00:24:24,255
Many times it'll be just below it or not
even much more than half of the average
400
00:24:24,255 --> 00:24:25,605
daily range, if we're in a quiet period.
401
00:24:26,295 --> 00:24:32,565
But if we have traded several days and the
previous day has not seen or exceeded, it
402
00:24:32,565 --> 00:24:35,775
doesn't mean it has to go two times the
average daily range on a five day basis.
403
00:24:36,315 --> 00:24:39,165
But it has yet to trade above the
average daily range on a five day.
404
00:24:40,110 --> 00:24:41,700
The previous day, and you're bullish.
405
00:24:42,210 --> 00:24:46,320
You have a really good chance of having
a large range day, the day of your trade.
406
00:24:46,770 --> 00:24:49,650
And we don't have the conditions
in the previous two slides
407
00:24:49,860 --> 00:24:50,880
that would cancel out one.
408
00:24:51,720 --> 00:24:55,170
If we have all those things present
and we can see the profile unfolding
409
00:24:55,170 --> 00:25:01,170
that we learned in lesson five, you
have the highest probability of a
410
00:25:01,170 --> 00:25:05,370
big expansion day because the five
day average daily range has not been
411
00:25:05,370 --> 00:25:07,860
traded to or exceeded in the previous.
412
00:25:08,730 --> 00:25:11,760
So we have a condition
of volatility it's low.
413
00:25:12,690 --> 00:25:17,280
And the average daily range, many
times will be either one and a half
414
00:25:17,700 --> 00:25:21,330
or maybe even two times to find the
average daily range and instances
415
00:25:21,330 --> 00:25:22,560
where we can get a big range day.
416
00:25:23,220 --> 00:25:26,790
You don't need very many of those over
the course of a month to erase a lot
417
00:25:26,790 --> 00:25:27,870
of the screw ups that you'll make.
418
00:25:28,020 --> 00:25:32,340
If you try to trade every single day,
you don't want to take your big winnings.
419
00:25:33,149 --> 00:25:36,510
And use that to remove all
of the stupid trading days.
420
00:25:36,810 --> 00:25:40,139
In other words, avoiding the previous
two slides conditions and still trying
421
00:25:40,139 --> 00:25:43,889
to force a trade and trying to show, you
know, the community and the mentorship,
422
00:25:43,889 --> 00:25:47,850
or show the internet that you're you
and you're smart, or you got done.
423
00:25:48,000 --> 00:25:52,290
What was necessarily, uh, the ICT roles
you were able to find, uh, set up.
424
00:25:53,920 --> 00:25:54,250
Okay.
425
00:25:54,520 --> 00:25:55,810
You're not going to impress anyone.
426
00:25:55,810 --> 00:25:56,920
You should not try to impress me.
427
00:25:56,920 --> 00:26:00,490
And it may not be important to you,
but I can tell you if you stick
428
00:26:00,490 --> 00:26:02,950
with these rules, you're going
to do better than if you don't.
429
00:26:04,570 --> 00:26:12,190
But know that when we have these big range
days, we that's, that's the cream, that's
430
00:26:12,190 --> 00:26:14,560
the, that's the bonus for the month.
431
00:26:14,800 --> 00:26:15,190
Okay.
432
00:26:15,370 --> 00:26:19,450
When we catch these big range
days, you don't want to be trading
433
00:26:19,450 --> 00:26:22,900
every single day because you're
going to get small little things.
434
00:26:23,939 --> 00:26:26,580
Draw down days, draw down
days, draw down days.
435
00:26:26,580 --> 00:26:30,179
And then when you get a good win, it
doesn't really show as a win because
436
00:26:30,179 --> 00:26:33,720
you have all these small little
singles, small little singles that
437
00:26:33,720 --> 00:26:36,570
erased by a loss, a loss, a loss.
438
00:26:37,020 --> 00:26:38,100
So you're treading water.
439
00:26:38,370 --> 00:26:42,990
And then all of a sudden you have a normal
trading when it won't register that much.
440
00:26:43,020 --> 00:26:46,860
In terms of your equity growth,
it will require you to use the big
441
00:26:46,860 --> 00:26:48,570
mainstays is to show all your profit.
442
00:26:48,659 --> 00:26:54,195
And if you look at a 20 day study of
every train retreat, If you trade it
443
00:26:54,195 --> 00:26:58,304
every single day, you're going to see
that your results are skewed in such
444
00:26:58,304 --> 00:27:02,835
a way that if you're profitable, if
you take out your largest profitable
445
00:27:02,835 --> 00:27:04,544
day, you probably aren't making money.
446
00:27:05,534 --> 00:27:07,754
You don't want conditions like
that in your equity growth.
447
00:27:08,205 --> 00:27:08,534
Okay.
448
00:27:08,804 --> 00:27:11,835
You want to show a smooth equity growth.
449
00:27:12,870 --> 00:27:17,550
Bye ferreting out the times when you don't
want to be trading, because if you can
450
00:27:17,550 --> 00:27:22,110
take the periods of draw down probability
out of the equation, or at least do your
451
00:27:22,110 --> 00:27:26,370
best to remove it, then you stand a better
chance of trading limits in ideal center.
452
00:27:27,270 --> 00:27:31,470
So you really slant yourself
to high probability conditions.
453
00:27:31,800 --> 00:27:34,680
So while you still may suffer losses
and you still absolutely will,
454
00:27:35,520 --> 00:27:40,200
the larger losses will hopefully
be avoided because you're forcing
455
00:27:40,200 --> 00:27:41,430
yourself in a rule-based idea.
456
00:27:41,909 --> 00:27:45,240
That way you'll have
singles, singles doubles.
457
00:27:46,140 --> 00:27:47,010
301 wins.
458
00:27:47,010 --> 00:27:50,970
And then when you get these really
big, huge runners, and you're able
459
00:27:50,970 --> 00:27:54,720
to position yourself in London and
you let them go, that will push
460
00:27:54,720 --> 00:27:57,360
your equity return for the month.
461
00:27:57,510 --> 00:28:02,310
Way over your average with your average
is like eight to 10% for the month.
462
00:28:02,820 --> 00:28:06,270
You get a big average daily
range, big move, and you hold
463
00:28:06,270 --> 00:28:07,290
onto it for the whole day.
464
00:28:07,710 --> 00:28:12,600
Many times that'll push you 10, 15% more
for the month, then your normal return.
465
00:28:13,410 --> 00:28:13,680
And.
466
00:28:14,700 --> 00:28:18,570
There's a way of standardizing your
monthly return, but you have to
467
00:28:18,570 --> 00:28:20,250
start with these rule-based ideas.
468
00:28:20,700 --> 00:28:26,310
So as we learn more things, we S we
start applying them to our live sessions.
469
00:28:26,310 --> 00:28:30,150
We started applying them to our,
um, exercises and drills, and
470
00:28:31,050 --> 00:28:34,740
when we practice, so when we have
these things, we go through a
471
00:28:34,740 --> 00:28:37,350
specific criteria, a list of rules.
472
00:28:38,189 --> 00:28:42,360
Eliminate certain trading days and you'll
know why we're not trading those days.
473
00:28:42,570 --> 00:28:46,080
Versus if I say I'm not trading today and
you're, you're left, scratching your head
474
00:28:46,080 --> 00:28:48,030
saying, well, why is he not trading today?
475
00:28:48,090 --> 00:28:49,800
What makes this day any
different than the other?
476
00:28:50,100 --> 00:28:50,909
Now you're going to know.
477
00:28:50,939 --> 00:28:54,120
So if I say on that trading today,
you'll know why I'm not trading
478
00:28:54,120 --> 00:28:55,139
it and you won't get upset.
479
00:28:55,139 --> 00:28:56,010
You won't be offended.
480
00:28:56,219 --> 00:28:58,320
You won't think I'm trying to go
to the beach the next morning.
481
00:28:58,649 --> 00:28:59,850
And you're just trying to get some sleep.
482
00:28:59,919 --> 00:29:02,159
You'll know why there's a real reason why.
483
00:29:02,550 --> 00:29:03,689
And it's because.
484
00:29:05,024 --> 00:29:08,804
It's not something that takes
a great deal of, you know,
485
00:29:08,895 --> 00:29:10,334
mental acrobatics to understand.
486
00:29:10,574 --> 00:29:12,044
These are very simple
things to understand.
487
00:29:12,044 --> 00:29:16,334
When you look at the price, study it, go
back and look at several months of data.
488
00:29:17,235 --> 00:29:18,375
And I don't care what care you look at.
489
00:29:18,735 --> 00:29:23,264
If you see these things in the
marketplace, it's highly unlikely.
490
00:29:23,264 --> 00:29:26,355
They're going to get a clean London
session and that's what we want.
491
00:29:26,625 --> 00:29:28,905
We want to trade when
the market has a clear.
492
00:29:29,805 --> 00:29:31,665
Squeeze on volatility.
493
00:29:31,935 --> 00:29:34,575
They're holding it in a consolidation
and they're letting the order stack up.
494
00:29:35,025 --> 00:29:37,275
We know where the market's going
to want to go on a daily chart.
495
00:29:37,695 --> 00:29:41,745
How many times have you seen over the
course of the last six, seven months where
496
00:29:41,745 --> 00:29:43,245
I'm calling the market on the daily chart?
497
00:29:43,365 --> 00:29:45,315
It's almost 98% accurate.
498
00:29:45,825 --> 00:29:46,635
It's ridiculous.
499
00:29:46,725 --> 00:29:47,085
Okay.
500
00:29:47,685 --> 00:29:53,595
So when we apply these ideas and we fared
out all the times, when the conditions we
501
00:29:53,595 --> 00:29:57,405
showed in two previous slides are there,
we're going to miss some moves and that's.
502
00:29:58,560 --> 00:30:02,370
We don't care about that, but
we're leaning ourselves heavily
503
00:30:02,370 --> 00:30:07,020
in the, basically the salad
days, the easy trading days.
504
00:30:07,199 --> 00:30:07,590
Okay.
505
00:30:07,919 --> 00:30:11,429
And we're moving now into a
framework where I actually trade
506
00:30:11,729 --> 00:30:12,959
with these types of things.
507
00:30:13,229 --> 00:30:14,489
So I don't trade every single day.
508
00:30:14,909 --> 00:30:17,159
And there's gonna be times now
going forward in our mentorship.
509
00:30:17,729 --> 00:30:20,429
When we have these conditions there,
I'll let you know in the forum.
510
00:30:21,420 --> 00:30:23,610
This is not a high probability day.
511
00:30:23,670 --> 00:30:26,430
We will be sitting on the sidelines
and waiting for new events or
512
00:30:26,460 --> 00:30:27,930
waiting for a New York session.
513
00:30:28,650 --> 00:30:34,780
So now you have a clear reason why I won't
be taking certain participation in, in, in
514
00:30:34,970 --> 00:30:38,820
trading days and you'll know what you're
going to be learning from not doing it.
515
00:30:39,360 --> 00:30:44,160
And we'll see many instances where it
will protect us from taking what would
516
00:30:44,160 --> 00:30:46,440
otherwise be a losing trade in London.
517
00:30:47,520 --> 00:30:48,120
So hopefully found.
518
00:30:48,855 --> 00:30:49,845
Less than insightful.
519
00:30:49,845 --> 00:30:51,135
I know it's not exciting.
520
00:30:51,135 --> 00:30:51,945
It's not sexy.
521
00:30:51,945 --> 00:30:55,365
It doesn't have all kinds of charts,
but it's one of those ones that
522
00:30:55,365 --> 00:30:58,095
require you to think it's one of those.
523
00:31:01,185 --> 00:31:04,695
It's one of those lessons that
helps you build a winner's mindset.
524
00:31:04,725 --> 00:31:09,705
You have to have rules, you have to,
and the best rules are the ones that
525
00:31:09,705 --> 00:31:12,485
help you stay out of the marketplace
because everybody can get into.
526
00:31:13,590 --> 00:31:17,850
There's no, there's no shortage on
reasons to get into a trade because
527
00:31:17,850 --> 00:31:18,870
everybody can come up with one.
528
00:31:18,909 --> 00:31:20,639
They make books about it all day long.
529
00:31:21,030 --> 00:31:24,030
Every bookshelf in the bookstores
have some reason why you need to be
530
00:31:24,030 --> 00:31:25,409
a buyer seller based on something.
531
00:31:26,310 --> 00:31:30,330
But very little is written
about how do you know when to
532
00:31:30,330 --> 00:31:31,500
stay out of the marketplace?
533
00:31:32,280 --> 00:31:33,600
That's what this lesson has given you.
534
00:31:34,350 --> 00:31:37,020
So here's one of the
beautiful elements to it.
535
00:31:38,760 --> 00:31:40,580
I don't care if you're a position trader.
536
00:31:41,925 --> 00:31:43,065
A swing trader at heart.
537
00:31:43,875 --> 00:31:46,875
I don't care if you're a
one shot, one kill trader.
538
00:31:47,775 --> 00:31:50,685
I don't care if you're just going to
be a day trader or if you're going to
539
00:31:50,685 --> 00:31:55,485
be a scalper, like we're going to learn
next month, the criteria I just gave you
540
00:31:55,485 --> 00:32:00,735
here, we'll save your backside regardless
of what trading discipline you have.
541
00:32:01,755 --> 00:32:05,025
Because if you're going to be executing
in China trade with the London side.
542
00:32:06,225 --> 00:32:08,024
As your means of entry.
543
00:32:08,445 --> 00:32:12,975
If it looks like these two previous
slides, you want to wait, just wait
544
00:32:12,975 --> 00:32:15,195
until a better technical picture.
545
00:32:15,705 --> 00:32:18,615
And when you get it, you'll have
no problem taking your entry and
546
00:32:18,615 --> 00:32:25,125
you'll be much more fortified
in knowing that you have all the
547
00:32:25,125 --> 00:32:26,385
odds that you could possibly have.
548
00:32:27,435 --> 00:32:31,455
Reasonably, you know, in your favor and
that's what you want to live as a trader.
549
00:32:31,455 --> 00:32:34,155
You want to be in the market
when it's highly favored.
550
00:32:34,635 --> 00:32:38,085
When your side of the marketplace,
you want to be onsite, not offsite.
551
00:32:38,925 --> 00:32:42,495
And the way I've learned over a
long period, and these are lessons
552
00:32:42,495 --> 00:32:46,635
that I had to learn painfully very
painfully, because I'm stubborn.
553
00:32:47,265 --> 00:32:49,425
I want to do things the
way I want to do things.
554
00:32:49,875 --> 00:32:52,785
And if someone tells me I shouldn't do
this, I'm going in doing that very thing.
555
00:32:53,415 --> 00:32:53,745
You know what.
556
00:32:54,855 --> 00:32:56,895
The sign says on the lawn,
don't step on the grass.
557
00:32:57,345 --> 00:32:58,455
I'm dealing the jig on it.
558
00:32:58,485 --> 00:32:59,385
I'm dancing all over it.
559
00:32:59,385 --> 00:33:00,045
Moonwalking on it.
560
00:33:00,255 --> 00:33:02,115
Not because I'm ignorant,
I'm trying to be rude.
561
00:33:02,415 --> 00:33:03,705
It's just, that's my nature.
562
00:33:03,735 --> 00:33:07,155
It's human nature to do the very things,
you know, you're not supposed to do so
563
00:33:07,155 --> 00:33:09,375
you have to have these rule-based ideas.
564
00:33:09,675 --> 00:33:11,325
So that's why there's no charts in this.
565
00:33:11,595 --> 00:33:13,815
There's no, let me show
you the examples of this.
566
00:33:14,025 --> 00:33:14,295
Okay.
567
00:33:14,325 --> 00:33:15,255
It's rules.
568
00:33:15,765 --> 00:33:20,085
It's 100% rules and I'm going
to leave it up to you to have
569
00:33:20,085 --> 00:33:22,005
this created as a checkup.
570
00:33:23,145 --> 00:33:25,965
I'm not going to give you a checklist
that has this stuff, because I want you
571
00:33:25,965 --> 00:33:27,524
to write it in your own handwriting.
572
00:33:27,794 --> 00:33:31,064
Once you write it out, subconsciously,
you're going to retain that.
573
00:33:31,274 --> 00:33:33,254
And in every day you're
going to refer to it.
574
00:33:33,405 --> 00:33:37,034
When you look at the marketplace and
in the previous two slides, if those
575
00:33:37,034 --> 00:33:40,335
conditions are there, you already
know probability has fallen off the
576
00:33:40,335 --> 00:33:43,784
table, and it's not likely to be
an easy trading session for London.
577
00:33:44,895 --> 00:33:45,645
I think about that.
578
00:33:46,125 --> 00:33:48,225
It's very, very empowering.
579
00:33:49,304 --> 00:33:50,655
It also gives you context.
580
00:33:51,705 --> 00:33:53,475
Yeah, you might still
be bullish on that pair.
581
00:33:54,255 --> 00:33:59,115
You might be bearish on that pair,
but when you don't have the conditions
582
00:33:59,115 --> 00:34:05,025
in favor for technical symmetry,
where you can expect and clearly
583
00:34:05,235 --> 00:34:09,344
anticipate the manipulation on the
central banks, when they reprice
584
00:34:09,344 --> 00:34:12,435
higher and go into protraction
and state, we're entering in that.
585
00:34:13,455 --> 00:34:16,605
If we don't have the framework to clearly
see when they're going to do that,
586
00:34:17,415 --> 00:34:18,735
what are we doing in the marketplace?
587
00:34:20,335 --> 00:34:25,675
What everybody else does gamble and
gamblers sometimes make money, but
588
00:34:25,675 --> 00:34:29,305
gamblers rarely make a living with that.
589
00:34:29,335 --> 00:34:30,895
We should good luck and good trading.
52673
Can't find what you're looking for?
Get subtitles in any language from opensubtitles.com, and translate them here.