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These are the user uploaded subtitles that are being translated: 1 00:00:00,000 --> 00:00:17,320 2 00:00:17,320 --> 00:00:19,360 MAN: No-one in the world today, 3 00:00:19,360 --> 00:00:22,480 anywhere, in any other country, 4 00:00:22,480 --> 00:00:26,320 is more powerful than President Xi Jinping. 5 00:00:26,320 --> 00:00:28,440 (MAN SHOUTS IN MANDARIN) 6 00:00:28,440 --> 00:00:31,080 MAN: He has declared himself Chairman for life. 7 00:00:31,080 --> 00:00:32,800 I call him Chairman of everything, 8 00:00:32,800 --> 00:00:35,279 Chairman of everywhere, Chairman of everyone. 9 00:00:35,280 --> 00:00:38,960 (CHINESE NATIONAL ANTHEM PLAYS) 10 00:00:46,080 --> 00:00:48,879 STAN GRANT: China's President Xi Jinping 11 00:00:48,880 --> 00:00:51,040 sees himself as a man of destiny. 12 00:00:51,040 --> 00:00:54,640 He commands a country on the cusp of becoming 13 00:00:54,640 --> 00:00:57,800 the biggest economy the world has ever seen 14 00:00:57,800 --> 00:01:00,480 and he's building an army to defend it. 15 00:01:02,800 --> 00:01:05,920 (CHINESE NATIONAL ANTHEM CONCLUDES) 16 00:01:25,280 --> 00:01:28,280 (TRIUMPHANT MUSIC PLAYS) 17 00:01:31,680 --> 00:01:35,800 If you were to sum him up, what words come to mind? 18 00:01:35,800 --> 00:01:39,000 Messianic. Um, ruthless. 19 00:01:43,880 --> 00:01:47,479 WOMAN: I think he's really very focused on control, right? 20 00:01:47,480 --> 00:01:51,840 He's very focused on control over the Party, control over the country. 21 00:01:53,320 --> 00:01:57,679 WOMAN: We are turning more towards authoritarianism under Xi Jinping. 22 00:01:57,680 --> 00:02:00,760 He has centralised the power around him. 23 00:02:03,480 --> 00:02:05,560 To make China great again, 24 00:02:05,560 --> 00:02:09,000 Xi Jinping is upending the global balance of power. 25 00:02:10,919 --> 00:02:13,040 MAN: If any armed conflict 26 00:02:13,040 --> 00:02:15,840 breaks out between China and the United States, 27 00:02:15,840 --> 00:02:18,400 it will be catastrophe for mankind. 28 00:02:18,400 --> 00:02:22,800 It may become Armageddon for humankind. 29 00:02:28,080 --> 00:02:31,400 Xi Jinping is a name that's become familiar to us all, 30 00:02:31,400 --> 00:02:35,480 this son of the Communist Revolution who rules his country by force. 31 00:02:35,480 --> 00:02:38,399 He dreams of reviving China's lost glory 32 00:02:38,400 --> 00:02:41,440 and overcoming a history of humiliation. 33 00:02:41,440 --> 00:02:45,120 The United States has named China its biggest strategic threat 34 00:02:45,120 --> 00:02:47,880 and Australia is caught in the crosshairs. 35 00:02:47,880 --> 00:02:49,440 Tonight, Four Corners asks, 36 00:02:49,440 --> 00:02:51,040 "Who is Xi Jinping? 37 00:02:51,040 --> 00:02:55,040 "What drives him and what does his rise mean for the world?" 38 00:03:08,560 --> 00:03:13,200 Madame Speaker, the President of the People's Republic of China. 39 00:03:14,400 --> 00:03:16,840 (APPLAUSE) 40 00:03:24,200 --> 00:03:26,440 Madame Speaker, Mr President... 41 00:03:28,240 --> 00:03:32,600 ..it is a joy to have friends come from afar. 42 00:03:35,040 --> 00:03:39,000 In 2014, Xi Jinping was on a charm offensive. 43 00:03:39,000 --> 00:03:41,920 He was in Canberra for the honour of addressing 44 00:03:41,920 --> 00:03:44,799 the joint houses of the Australian parliament. 45 00:03:44,800 --> 00:03:46,840 (SPEAKS MANDARIN) 46 00:03:46,840 --> 00:03:50,800 TRANSLATION: China has always viewed Australia as an important partner. 47 00:03:50,800 --> 00:03:52,880 During my visit, 48 00:03:52,880 --> 00:03:57,560 the two sides have decided to elevate our bilateral relations 49 00:03:57,560 --> 00:04:00,760 into a comprehensive strategic partnership. 50 00:04:00,760 --> 00:04:03,280 As China grows, so does Australia grow. 51 00:04:03,280 --> 00:04:06,440 And why wouldn't you want to hitch yourself to that wagon? 52 00:04:06,440 --> 00:04:09,480 That, of course, was the time when we...about the time 53 00:04:09,480 --> 00:04:12,679 when we were sealing the Free Trade Agreement as well, 54 00:04:12,680 --> 00:04:14,880 which was of great benefit to us. 55 00:04:14,880 --> 00:04:16,839 And we thought we could have it all. 56 00:04:16,839 --> 00:04:19,440 We could have a bountiful economic relationship 57 00:04:19,440 --> 00:04:21,519 and a steady political relationship. 58 00:04:21,519 --> 00:04:23,359 And, of course, that's not the case, 59 00:04:23,360 --> 00:04:25,520 and it won't be the case for a very long time. 60 00:04:26,800 --> 00:04:30,520 Our politicians were basking in the presence of a dictator 61 00:04:30,520 --> 00:04:33,560 who crushed dissent, jailed opponents, 62 00:04:33,560 --> 00:04:37,000 and lead a nation accused of ethnic cleansing. 63 00:04:37,000 --> 00:04:38,640 But money talks. 64 00:04:38,640 --> 00:04:43,039 We had things to sell, and China is our biggest customer. 65 00:04:43,040 --> 00:04:45,800 Xi Jinping had his own agenda. 66 00:04:46,880 --> 00:04:48,680 (SPEAKS MANDARIN) 67 00:04:48,680 --> 00:04:52,040 TRANSLATION: We Chinese are striving to achieve the Chinese dream, 68 00:04:52,040 --> 00:04:54,680 which is the great renewal of the Chinese nation. 69 00:04:56,280 --> 00:04:57,919 The Chinese dream 70 00:04:57,920 --> 00:05:01,760 is about enhancing the strength and prosperity of the nation 71 00:05:01,760 --> 00:05:04,560 and the wellbeing of the Chinese people. 72 00:05:04,560 --> 00:05:06,040 We were so naive 73 00:05:06,040 --> 00:05:08,880 and, you know, I put my own hand up for that as well. 74 00:05:08,880 --> 00:05:12,320 I was as naive as the next parliamentarian. 75 00:05:13,720 --> 00:05:15,480 (SIGHS) It was wishful thinking. 76 00:05:15,480 --> 00:05:21,320 We wanted China to be a kind of a nation more like us. 77 00:05:22,320 --> 00:05:25,320 And more like us meant democratic. 78 00:05:26,320 --> 00:05:30,560 Xi Jinping was at least mouthing the right words. 79 00:05:31,560 --> 00:05:35,360 TRANSLATION: We have set two goals for China's future development. 80 00:05:35,360 --> 00:05:38,680 The first is to double the 2010 GDP. 81 00:05:38,680 --> 00:05:43,480 The second is to turn China into a modern socialist country 82 00:05:43,480 --> 00:05:48,000 that is prosperous, democratic, culturally advanced and harmonious 83 00:05:48,000 --> 00:05:49,840 by the middle of the century. 84 00:05:49,840 --> 00:05:54,440 (CLASSICAL MUSIC PLAYS) 85 00:05:56,560 --> 00:05:58,560 At a state dinner that night, 86 00:05:58,560 --> 00:06:00,800 Tony Abbott startled China watchers 87 00:06:00,800 --> 00:06:06,520 with a monumental misreading of what Xi really meant by "democratic". 88 00:06:08,040 --> 00:06:12,520 I have never heard a Chinese leader declare 89 00:06:12,520 --> 00:06:16,960 that his country would be fully democratic by 2050. 90 00:06:16,960 --> 00:06:22,840 I have never heard a Chinese leader commit so explicitly 91 00:06:22,840 --> 00:06:27,239 to a rule-based international order 92 00:06:27,240 --> 00:06:29,360 founded on the principle 93 00:06:29,360 --> 00:06:34,880 that we should all treat others as we would be treated ourselves. 94 00:06:34,880 --> 00:06:38,400 (APPLAUSE) 95 00:06:38,400 --> 00:06:39,560 MAN: I was there. 96 00:06:39,560 --> 00:06:42,200 I helped actually write a bit of Tony Abbott's 97 00:06:42,200 --> 00:06:45,200 formal speech response to Xi Jinping. 98 00:06:45,200 --> 00:06:47,280 Tony Abbott got up in particular 99 00:06:47,280 --> 00:06:50,119 at that...at that banquet in the Great Hall 100 00:06:50,120 --> 00:06:52,000 and said he was so delighted 101 00:06:52,000 --> 00:06:53,480 'cause Xi Jinping had said 102 00:06:53,480 --> 00:06:58,600 by 2049 China would become a modern democratic society. 103 00:06:58,600 --> 00:07:00,080 He was so delighted. 104 00:07:00,080 --> 00:07:04,200 Our ambassador to China was absolutely mortified by it. 105 00:07:04,200 --> 00:07:05,560 Ganbei. 106 00:07:07,760 --> 00:07:10,880 CLIVE HAMILTON: It's easy now for us to laugh at Tony Abbott 107 00:07:10,880 --> 00:07:13,800 when he referred to Xi Jinping as a proto-democrat, 108 00:07:13,800 --> 00:07:19,760 but Tony Abbott was by no means alone when he made that statement. 109 00:07:19,760 --> 00:07:21,719 There are many statements 110 00:07:21,720 --> 00:07:24,080 that political leaders have made about China, 111 00:07:24,080 --> 00:07:26,520 the Chinese Communist Party, and Xi Jinping 112 00:07:26,520 --> 00:07:28,560 that now look ridiculous. 113 00:07:28,560 --> 00:07:30,480 The world has changed 114 00:07:30,480 --> 00:07:33,240 and it's only fools and apologists 115 00:07:33,240 --> 00:07:38,200 who continue to defend Xi Jinping and the Chinese Communist Party. 116 00:07:38,200 --> 00:07:42,159 (APPLAUSE) 117 00:07:44,320 --> 00:07:48,040 WOMAN: The darker aspects have always been there. 118 00:07:48,040 --> 00:07:52,480 Ever since the establishment of People's Republic of China, 119 00:07:52,480 --> 00:07:55,080 China was never democratic, 120 00:07:55,080 --> 00:07:59,400 so with the elevation of Xi Jinping, that hasn't changed. 121 00:07:59,400 --> 00:08:01,719 (CHEERING) 122 00:08:05,440 --> 00:08:08,200 Xi and his wife travelled to Tasmania 123 00:08:08,200 --> 00:08:10,440 where they were met like royalty. 124 00:08:10,440 --> 00:08:11,920 Ni hao. 125 00:08:13,480 --> 00:08:15,880 Hello! Ni hao! 126 00:08:15,880 --> 00:08:17,480 WOMAN: We knew that if we could get 127 00:08:17,480 --> 00:08:20,360 the President of China to visit Tasmania, 128 00:08:20,360 --> 00:08:23,920 it would put Tasmania onto the map within China, 129 00:08:23,920 --> 00:08:27,720 that the Chinese people watch every step of their leader 130 00:08:27,720 --> 00:08:30,040 and they follow what he says to do. 131 00:08:30,040 --> 00:08:32,559 Oh, xie xie ni! Xie xie. 132 00:08:32,559 --> 00:08:36,119 You speak Chinese very good. Thank you. 133 00:08:36,120 --> 00:08:39,480 Yes, they have a different value system to us, 134 00:08:39,480 --> 00:08:41,360 but part of what life is, 135 00:08:41,360 --> 00:08:44,880 is trying to get to know other people and what makes them tick, 136 00:08:44,880 --> 00:08:48,240 and how we can work together to make the world a better place. 137 00:08:48,240 --> 00:08:51,600 And one way you make the world a better place is through trade. 138 00:08:53,320 --> 00:08:55,200 With Tony Abbott in tow, 139 00:08:55,200 --> 00:08:57,920 Xi met politicians and business leaders. 140 00:08:57,920 --> 00:09:02,360 It was all about what Xi could do for the Apple Isle. 141 00:09:02,360 --> 00:09:05,160 MAN: ..increase in trade and investment opportunities 142 00:09:05,160 --> 00:09:07,880 between China and Tasmania, in particular. 143 00:09:07,880 --> 00:09:09,600 Over the next five years, 144 00:09:09,600 --> 00:09:12,880 Tasmania's business with China would boom, 145 00:09:12,880 --> 00:09:15,439 topping $1 billion a year. 146 00:09:16,440 --> 00:09:18,880 CLIVE HAMILTON: Tasmania's really a remarkable case study 147 00:09:18,880 --> 00:09:21,200 and I've spent quite a bit of time down there 148 00:09:21,200 --> 00:09:24,560 and working with people who are very concerned about it. 149 00:09:24,560 --> 00:09:27,680 In Tasmania, there's been a downside 150 00:09:27,680 --> 00:09:31,239 that certainly many Tasmanians have become alarmed about. 151 00:09:31,240 --> 00:09:34,560 For example, the huge amount of investment funds 152 00:09:34,560 --> 00:09:38,599 flowing in from China to buy up prime agricultural land, 153 00:09:38,600 --> 00:09:41,600 horticulture, dairy operations. 154 00:09:41,600 --> 00:09:44,040 And people are starting to think, "Well, is it really in our interest 155 00:09:44,040 --> 00:09:49,520 "to have our best primary resources owned by Chinese companies?" 156 00:09:51,240 --> 00:09:54,680 It was all smiles as Xi Jinping left Australia. 157 00:09:54,680 --> 00:09:57,520 Our leaders were happy with the Free Trade Agreement 158 00:09:57,520 --> 00:10:01,520 and the Chinese President had his eyes on the long game - 159 00:10:01,520 --> 00:10:05,680 extending China's influence and building its power. 160 00:10:08,560 --> 00:10:10,640 RICHARD McGREGOR: I think China has been on a sort of 161 00:10:10,640 --> 00:10:12,840 mostly a single track, 162 00:10:12,840 --> 00:10:16,280 but, you know, it takes opportunities where it can. 163 00:10:16,280 --> 00:10:20,120 With Australia, I think Australia is important as a US ally, 164 00:10:20,120 --> 00:10:23,120 it's important as a US intelligence partner, 165 00:10:23,120 --> 00:10:26,280 it's important as a big diplomatic player 166 00:10:26,280 --> 00:10:29,560 in the Asia-Pacific or the Indo-Pacific, if you like. 167 00:10:29,560 --> 00:10:33,640 And in that respect, it was worth putting time into Australia, 168 00:10:33,640 --> 00:10:38,680 perhaps to neutralise it as a US ally in the region. 169 00:10:38,680 --> 00:10:41,959 I mean, that's the long game in that respect. 170 00:10:41,960 --> 00:10:45,840 It's about China being the most dominant country in the region. 171 00:10:53,760 --> 00:10:57,800 Xi Jinping was born into a country of war and revolution 172 00:10:57,800 --> 00:11:00,880 on June 15, 1953. 173 00:11:00,880 --> 00:11:03,680 His father was a Communist Party hero - 174 00:11:03,680 --> 00:11:06,239 a right-hand man of Mao Zedong. 175 00:11:06,240 --> 00:11:08,480 Xi is Party royalty - 176 00:11:08,480 --> 00:11:11,320 what is in China called a 'princeling', 177 00:11:11,320 --> 00:11:14,080 but as he prefers, 'a man of the people'. 178 00:11:32,760 --> 00:11:36,000 When he was a boy, his country was starving. 179 00:11:36,000 --> 00:11:39,040 The great famine that began in the late 1950s 180 00:11:39,040 --> 00:11:42,839 is estimated to have killed more than 30 million people. 181 00:11:44,680 --> 00:11:46,160 By his teens, 182 00:11:46,160 --> 00:11:49,319 China was in the grip of the Cultural Revolution. 183 00:11:49,320 --> 00:11:54,360 As Mao set loose his Red Guards to drive out his enemies, 184 00:11:54,360 --> 00:11:56,720 Xi's father was purged, 185 00:11:56,720 --> 00:11:59,280 something Xi would not forget. 186 00:12:00,800 --> 00:12:04,479 MAN: He's the person for the Cultural Revolution in 1966 187 00:12:04,480 --> 00:12:05,720 when it started in China. 188 00:12:05,720 --> 00:12:08,440 And so basically, he was on his own. 189 00:12:08,440 --> 00:12:12,040 I think his father was put under house arrest a few years before 190 00:12:12,040 --> 00:12:16,439 and so he was really kind of left as, almost like a political orphan. 191 00:12:16,440 --> 00:12:19,640 And I think that generation, you know, for the next few years, 192 00:12:19,640 --> 00:12:21,840 it really made them very tough, in a way, 193 00:12:21,840 --> 00:12:25,720 very resilient and self, you know, kind of self-supporting. 194 00:12:30,080 --> 00:12:32,360 16-year-old Xi Jinping 195 00:12:32,360 --> 00:12:35,400 was one of a generation of urban Chinese youth 196 00:12:35,400 --> 00:12:38,480 Mao banished to live among the rural poor. 197 00:12:40,000 --> 00:12:43,760 Xi was sent to Shanxi Province in north-west China. 198 00:12:45,520 --> 00:12:48,160 RICHARD McGREGOR: When he initially went out into the countryside, 199 00:12:48,160 --> 00:12:50,280 he was scared, frightened. 200 00:12:50,280 --> 00:12:53,880 To use the Western vernacular, freaked out by what was happening. 201 00:12:53,880 --> 00:12:56,800 In other words, his political family was under threat 202 00:12:56,800 --> 00:12:59,280 and, in fact, were being marginalised. 203 00:12:59,280 --> 00:13:01,560 So it both hardened him, 204 00:13:01,560 --> 00:13:07,000 it also gave him a real sense of the ups and downs of power. 205 00:13:07,000 --> 00:13:10,520 And I think that's one reason why he's so ruthless himself. 206 00:13:13,160 --> 00:13:16,839 He lived in a dusty village not far from the city of Yan'an, 207 00:13:16,840 --> 00:13:18,120 where decades earlier 208 00:13:18,120 --> 00:13:22,040 Mao Zedong led his supporters on the fabled Long March 209 00:13:22,040 --> 00:13:26,920 during the civil war against the American-backed Nationalists. 210 00:13:26,920 --> 00:13:29,439 These were formative years for Xi, 211 00:13:29,440 --> 00:13:32,640 in the heartland of the communist revolution. 212 00:13:34,160 --> 00:13:39,280 He could have rejected the Party, but in fact, he embraced it even more. 213 00:13:39,280 --> 00:13:42,400 I think it is...would be very difficult 214 00:13:42,400 --> 00:13:45,240 for anyone at the time to reject the Party. 215 00:13:46,560 --> 00:13:48,800 And I can see why, 216 00:13:48,800 --> 00:13:52,040 for someone who has suffered under the Cultural Revolution, 217 00:13:52,040 --> 00:13:55,800 they might actually want to embrace the Party even more. 218 00:13:55,800 --> 00:13:57,479 Really? 219 00:13:57,480 --> 00:13:59,800 That even though he and his family suffered, 220 00:13:59,800 --> 00:14:02,240 he would want to embrace the Party even more? 221 00:14:02,240 --> 00:14:08,360 Yes, it is...a quite common experience amongst people in China 222 00:14:08,360 --> 00:14:10,880 that you want your suffering to mean something. 223 00:14:18,360 --> 00:14:21,600 This is where Xi Jinping built his myth, 224 00:14:21,600 --> 00:14:24,600 sleeping in a cave carved from the hillside 225 00:14:24,600 --> 00:14:26,960 and working alongside peasant farmers, 226 00:14:26,960 --> 00:14:30,560 a story he's promoted time and again. 227 00:14:39,880 --> 00:14:43,760 GEREMIE BARME: So he was actually re-educated just as Mao wanted. 228 00:14:43,760 --> 00:14:44,960 Just as Mao wanted. 229 00:14:44,960 --> 00:14:48,920 He wanted to re-educate China's young people in the 1960s. 230 00:14:48,920 --> 00:14:50,680 Most people think the Cultural Revolution 231 00:14:50,680 --> 00:14:53,239 was merely a power struggle and a purge. 232 00:14:53,240 --> 00:14:55,400 Yes, it was. But it was also more. 233 00:14:55,400 --> 00:14:59,319 It was about Mao trying to train up a generation of younger people 234 00:14:59,320 --> 00:15:02,920 who would, in the end, be Party ideologues and supporters 235 00:15:02,920 --> 00:15:07,439 who would help maintain the ethos of Party control and the revolution 236 00:15:07,440 --> 00:15:08,920 far beyond his day. 237 00:15:14,960 --> 00:15:20,640 Like Mao, Xi saw China's peasant farmers as his pathway to power. 238 00:15:22,000 --> 00:15:25,360 He calls himself a "son of yellow earth". 239 00:15:26,360 --> 00:15:29,720 This yellow earth mythology fed into the party's belief 240 00:15:29,720 --> 00:15:32,720 that our true origins are in the countryside, 241 00:15:32,720 --> 00:15:34,680 with eternal China's past. 242 00:15:36,680 --> 00:15:39,319 MAN: Xi Jinping, I think, always sort of talks as though 243 00:15:39,320 --> 00:15:41,000 he's really connected to 244 00:15:41,000 --> 00:15:42,800 the kind of people who live in the rural areas, 245 00:15:42,800 --> 00:15:43,920 and they're not forgotten. 246 00:15:43,920 --> 00:15:45,800 He's a populist in that sense. 247 00:15:45,800 --> 00:15:48,959 He's really trying to show that he is, you know, kind of the... 248 00:15:48,960 --> 00:15:52,440 Like a kind of an earthly emperor. 249 00:15:55,320 --> 00:15:57,960 Mao died in 1976, 250 00:15:57,960 --> 00:15:59,560 ending the Cultural Revolution. 251 00:16:01,920 --> 00:16:04,719 Xi's father was rehabilitated 252 00:16:04,720 --> 00:16:07,920 and helped his ambitious son with party connections. 253 00:16:10,440 --> 00:16:12,080 Marriage to a famous singer 254 00:16:12,080 --> 00:16:14,920 who performed with the People's Liberation Army 255 00:16:14,920 --> 00:16:16,400 boosted his popularity. 256 00:16:19,160 --> 00:16:21,640 Xi worked his way through the ranks, 257 00:16:21,640 --> 00:16:24,160 becoming governor of Fujian province. 258 00:16:25,720 --> 00:16:29,320 He was seen by party power brokers as a safe option... 259 00:16:30,280 --> 00:16:33,040 ..loyal to the party, uncontroversial, 260 00:16:33,040 --> 00:16:34,959 straight-faced and stoic. 261 00:16:36,760 --> 00:16:39,840 In 2008, he was made Vice President. 262 00:16:41,040 --> 00:16:43,000 RICHARD McGREGOR: Xi was the heir apparent. 263 00:16:43,000 --> 00:16:48,840 And, by the way, he was the first Chinese leader since 1979, 1980 264 00:16:48,840 --> 00:16:51,240 who had not been chosen by Deng Xiaoping, 265 00:16:51,240 --> 00:16:52,680 so it was quite a big deal. 266 00:16:55,160 --> 00:16:58,959 Xi Jinping was elected President in 2012, 267 00:16:58,960 --> 00:17:02,440 forming the next great link in the chain after Chairman Mao 268 00:17:02,440 --> 00:17:07,520 and the man who kickstarted China's economic revolution, Deng Xiaoping. 269 00:17:09,040 --> 00:17:12,839 There's a saying in China that Mao made the country one, 270 00:17:12,839 --> 00:17:14,280 Deng made the country rich, 271 00:17:14,280 --> 00:17:17,119 Xi is making the country strong. 272 00:17:17,119 --> 00:17:19,399 This is the third revolution, as it were. 273 00:17:21,040 --> 00:17:24,000 Certainly, I think he would be attracted to that view himself, 274 00:17:24,000 --> 00:17:25,920 because it gives him great agency. 275 00:17:25,920 --> 00:17:30,880 It makes him a figure of history, of historical change, 276 00:17:30,880 --> 00:17:32,520 an agent of history. 277 00:17:32,520 --> 00:17:35,320 And I think, certainly, he sees himself like that. 278 00:17:35,320 --> 00:17:36,960 (APPLAUSE) 279 00:17:36,960 --> 00:17:40,160 Xi Jinping revealed his vision for China - 280 00:17:40,160 --> 00:17:42,800 what he called the China Dream. 281 00:17:42,800 --> 00:17:47,480 What Mao started he would finish, the final stage of the revolution, 282 00:17:47,480 --> 00:17:51,720 to return China to the apex of global power. 283 00:18:10,680 --> 00:18:12,840 (APPLAUSE) 284 00:18:12,840 --> 00:18:15,159 On the national level, 285 00:18:15,160 --> 00:18:19,440 China Dream means the revitalisation of China. 286 00:18:19,440 --> 00:18:24,280 After all, China was humiliated for more than 100 years, 287 00:18:24,280 --> 00:18:26,639 ever since the first Opium War, 288 00:18:26,640 --> 00:18:30,880 and China need to rise up, and this a continuous process. 289 00:18:30,880 --> 00:18:35,640 China by today is already the second largest economy in the world 290 00:18:35,640 --> 00:18:38,320 and in less than 10 years' time, 291 00:18:38,320 --> 00:18:41,760 China will be the largest economy in the world, 292 00:18:41,760 --> 00:18:46,240 and China needs to project its own image onto the world 293 00:18:46,240 --> 00:18:50,880 as a force for peace and stability and economic development. 294 00:18:52,360 --> 00:18:54,320 When we first heard China Dream, 295 00:18:54,320 --> 00:18:56,840 a lot of us thought it was going to be a lot like the American dream, 296 00:18:56,840 --> 00:18:59,320 which is basically a very individualist vision 297 00:18:59,320 --> 00:19:02,960 of having a lot of material prosperity, 298 00:19:02,960 --> 00:19:05,600 a lot of freedom to do what you want, 299 00:19:05,600 --> 00:19:08,679 and living as a citizen in a powerful state, 300 00:19:08,680 --> 00:19:10,640 but one that doesn't intrude too much. 301 00:19:10,640 --> 00:19:11,920 So that was the American dream. 302 00:19:11,920 --> 00:19:14,600 And the China dream, I think people initially thought 303 00:19:14,600 --> 00:19:15,959 that that was being offered. 304 00:19:15,960 --> 00:19:19,280 But it's become very clear that what Xi means by a China dream 305 00:19:19,280 --> 00:19:20,639 is really a state, 306 00:19:20,640 --> 00:19:22,080 a Chinese state dream. 307 00:19:22,080 --> 00:19:25,320 It's not an individual dream. It's not a dream for citizens. 308 00:19:25,320 --> 00:19:27,760 It's a vision of a state, a Chinese state, 309 00:19:27,760 --> 00:19:30,560 that's very strong that's internationally respected, 310 00:19:30,560 --> 00:19:34,159 that can throw its weight around internationally if it needs to 311 00:19:34,160 --> 00:19:38,160 and that is in no way inferior to anybody else. 312 00:19:39,400 --> 00:19:42,160 As President, Xi Jinping moved quickly 313 00:19:42,160 --> 00:19:45,320 to consolidate his hold on the party and the country. 314 00:19:46,520 --> 00:19:48,400 RICHARD McGREGOR: The moment he came into power, 315 00:19:48,400 --> 00:19:51,000 it was pedal to the metal, if you like. 316 00:19:51,000 --> 00:19:54,320 He accelerated on all fronts to eliminate dissent, 317 00:19:54,320 --> 00:19:58,120 to eliminate rivals, to eliminate corruption. 318 00:19:58,120 --> 00:20:01,080 Now, his family had been involved in lots of deals as well. 319 00:20:01,080 --> 00:20:02,919 That's been well documented. 320 00:20:02,920 --> 00:20:06,320 There was nothing that made Chinese people more angry 321 00:20:06,320 --> 00:20:08,679 than seeing officials around them, 322 00:20:08,680 --> 00:20:12,880 be it in a township, city, province, wherever, 323 00:20:12,880 --> 00:20:15,520 high on the hog, getting rich, 324 00:20:15,520 --> 00:20:19,200 and frankly, getting rich in very nefarious ways, 325 00:20:19,200 --> 00:20:24,800 you know, stealing farmers' land, getting cuts on deals, 326 00:20:24,800 --> 00:20:28,480 promoting their relatives, etc, etc. 327 00:20:28,480 --> 00:20:30,240 China was very corrupt. 328 00:20:30,240 --> 00:20:32,320 It probably still is, not like it was. 329 00:20:33,600 --> 00:20:37,040 And so, Xi Jinping used the anti-corruption campaign 330 00:20:37,040 --> 00:20:41,320 both as a populist measure and to purge his rivals. 331 00:20:42,320 --> 00:20:44,159 Xi widened the net, 332 00:20:44,160 --> 00:20:47,600 locking up dissidents - lawyers, writers and artists. 333 00:20:49,240 --> 00:20:50,560 YUN JIANG: I remember back 334 00:20:50,560 --> 00:20:53,560 when Xi Jinping was first elevated as a leader. 335 00:20:53,560 --> 00:20:57,159 There was actually quite a lot of expectation placed on Xi Jinping. 336 00:20:58,080 --> 00:21:01,600 We are seeing a turning more towards authoritarianism 337 00:21:01,600 --> 00:21:03,480 under Xi Jinping. 338 00:21:03,480 --> 00:21:06,680 He has centralised the power around him 339 00:21:06,680 --> 00:21:08,520 and also we're also seeing that 340 00:21:08,520 --> 00:21:13,720 there's increased concerns about human rights in China as well, 341 00:21:13,720 --> 00:21:16,280 in Hong Kong with regards to 342 00:21:16,280 --> 00:21:19,160 pro-democracy activists and legislators, 343 00:21:19,160 --> 00:21:22,680 and in Xinjiang with regards to 344 00:21:22,680 --> 00:21:25,600 what the Chinese Government has been doing to Uyghurs 345 00:21:25,600 --> 00:21:27,879 and other ethnic minority groups. 346 00:21:29,760 --> 00:21:31,040 CLIVE HAMILTON: What we didn't see, 347 00:21:31,040 --> 00:21:34,000 except for a very small handful of close observers, 348 00:21:34,000 --> 00:21:36,360 is that Xi Jinping wasn't the great liberator. 349 00:21:36,360 --> 00:21:38,800 He wasn't going to be the man who would continue 350 00:21:38,800 --> 00:21:39,879 the liberalising trend. 351 00:21:39,880 --> 00:21:42,280 In fact, he was exactly the opposite. 352 00:21:42,280 --> 00:21:45,280 He was a return, in a very decisive way, 353 00:21:45,280 --> 00:21:50,680 to the oppressive Leninist party control freakery 354 00:21:50,680 --> 00:21:54,440 that we had so feared. 355 00:21:54,440 --> 00:21:56,800 And it's only now as some 356 00:21:56,800 --> 00:22:01,120 of the more insightful and longstanding China analysts 357 00:22:01,120 --> 00:22:05,080 have started to expose what Xi Jinping was saying 358 00:22:05,080 --> 00:22:09,040 way back at the end of 2012 and in 2013. 359 00:22:09,040 --> 00:22:12,960 They were starting to say, "Oh. We were just so wrong about this man." 360 00:22:15,800 --> 00:22:20,159 Xi Jinping has relentlessly crafted his own cult of personality. 361 00:22:21,360 --> 00:22:26,639 Chinese audiences are fed a constant diet of propaganda on state-run media 362 00:22:26,640 --> 00:22:29,000 about Xi and his China Dream. 363 00:22:29,000 --> 00:22:32,600 VOICEOVER: Through his firm resolve, charisma and intelligence 364 00:22:32,600 --> 00:22:35,159 he's brought the world closer to China. 365 00:22:35,160 --> 00:22:38,640 Worldwide there's now a better understanding of China 366 00:22:38,640 --> 00:22:40,360 as a major country. 367 00:22:40,360 --> 00:22:45,240 This new historical course charted by President Xi Jinping 368 00:22:45,240 --> 00:22:49,400 is the fundamental direction of Chinese diplomacy in the new era. 369 00:22:53,840 --> 00:22:57,040 The cult of Xi is everywhere in the media. 370 00:22:57,040 --> 00:22:59,680 There's Xi, the beaming father of the nation... 371 00:23:22,360 --> 00:23:25,120 ..and Xi, the man of the common people. 372 00:23:45,440 --> 00:23:48,400 With long memories of the brutal Mao years, 373 00:23:48,400 --> 00:23:51,360 some in the party have grown nervous. 374 00:23:51,360 --> 00:23:52,959 RICHARD McGREGOR: One of the things 375 00:23:52,960 --> 00:23:55,040 that the party elders have admonished him for 376 00:23:55,040 --> 00:23:56,720 at different times 377 00:23:56,720 --> 00:23:58,600 is the personality cult, 378 00:23:58,600 --> 00:24:01,760 because for them, it's too much like Mao. 379 00:24:01,760 --> 00:24:06,480 It's too much like a single capricious ruler who is everywhere. 380 00:24:06,480 --> 00:24:09,640 But Xi seems to think it works, 381 00:24:09,640 --> 00:24:13,920 and this is another reason, I think, why he sort of values Mao, 382 00:24:13,920 --> 00:24:18,400 because whether you think he got things done well or badly, 383 00:24:18,400 --> 00:24:22,760 the only way to get things done is to be a dictator in China. 384 00:24:22,760 --> 00:24:24,840 (RHYTHMIC CLAPPING) 385 00:24:24,840 --> 00:24:28,600 In 2018, Xi made a dramatic power grab 386 00:24:28,600 --> 00:24:31,080 that shocked China and the world - 387 00:24:31,080 --> 00:24:35,120 he would now effectively be President for life. 388 00:24:38,200 --> 00:24:41,880 YUN JIANG: I think at that time, it was quite a surprise to many people, 389 00:24:41,880 --> 00:24:46,040 because the presidential term limit was set precisely 390 00:24:46,040 --> 00:24:47,800 because Mao Zedong's rule, 391 00:24:47,800 --> 00:24:50,040 that those mistakes will not happen again. 392 00:24:50,040 --> 00:24:53,240 But then it was removed, 393 00:24:53,240 --> 00:24:56,240 seemingly paving way for one person 394 00:24:56,240 --> 00:25:00,240 to have a lot of power around himself, 395 00:25:00,240 --> 00:25:04,040 which means that potentially that could create 396 00:25:04,040 --> 00:25:06,600 a problem for the Chinese Communist Party. 397 00:25:08,000 --> 00:25:10,200 So that is a problem the Chinese Communist Party 398 00:25:10,200 --> 00:25:12,920 obviously recognised itself before... 399 00:25:13,920 --> 00:25:16,840 ..but now it has been completely removed. 400 00:25:16,840 --> 00:25:21,760 And it is, I think, quite shocking to a lot of people, 401 00:25:21,760 --> 00:25:23,920 even inside China as well. 402 00:25:25,120 --> 00:25:28,239 VICTOR GAO: President Xi Jinping is now the paramount leader of China, 403 00:25:28,240 --> 00:25:31,160 is the president of the People's Republic of China, 404 00:25:31,160 --> 00:25:34,200 is the general secretary of the Communist Party of China, 405 00:25:34,200 --> 00:25:37,320 and he's the chairman of the central military commission. 406 00:25:37,320 --> 00:25:42,879 So he is vested with the most important powers for China 407 00:25:42,880 --> 00:25:46,080 as a government leader, military leader, and party leader. 408 00:25:47,280 --> 00:25:49,840 He declared himself chairman for life, 409 00:25:49,840 --> 00:25:51,600 I call him chairman of everything, 410 00:25:51,600 --> 00:25:54,040 chairman of everywhere, chairman of everyone. 411 00:25:55,960 --> 00:26:00,120 The President for life enshrined his name and doctrine 412 00:26:00,120 --> 00:26:01,439 in the constitution. 413 00:26:01,440 --> 00:26:02,640 (APPLAUSE) 414 00:26:02,640 --> 00:26:05,160 Xi Jinping Thought became the guidebook 415 00:26:05,160 --> 00:26:08,400 to propel the country into its new era. 416 00:26:08,400 --> 00:26:10,440 (FANFARE PLAYS) 417 00:26:10,440 --> 00:26:15,680 I think Xi Jinping Thought says that the party rules all, 418 00:26:15,680 --> 00:26:21,840 and that China is on a path to inevitable greatness 419 00:26:21,840 --> 00:26:24,240 and that everybody better get used to that. 420 00:26:26,720 --> 00:26:30,840 Universities run compulsory courses in Xi Jinping Thought. 421 00:26:32,120 --> 00:26:36,360 Saturation media coverage even includes a TV show 422 00:26:36,360 --> 00:26:38,000 where contestants are quizzed 423 00:26:38,000 --> 00:26:40,920 on their knowledge of Xi's life and thought. 424 00:26:40,920 --> 00:26:43,840 (MAN SPEAKS MANDARIN) 425 00:27:00,320 --> 00:27:02,639 How far is Xi Jinping prepared to go? 426 00:27:02,640 --> 00:27:04,360 He's now president for life. 427 00:27:04,360 --> 00:27:07,719 What will he do to achieve what he wants for his country? 428 00:27:08,920 --> 00:27:11,920 Well, the mission is to create a powerful, strong China. 429 00:27:11,920 --> 00:27:15,800 So, 2021 is the 100th anniversary of the Communist Party. 430 00:27:15,800 --> 00:27:18,320 So, we'll see a bit more of this vision. 431 00:27:18,320 --> 00:27:23,080 The problem for Xi Jinping is that, domestically, nationalism works. 432 00:27:23,080 --> 00:27:26,240 You know, his nationalistic message of a strong, powerful China 433 00:27:26,240 --> 00:27:30,600 is something that I think almost all Chinese sign up to. 434 00:27:30,600 --> 00:27:32,760 But externally it doesn't look good. 435 00:27:32,760 --> 00:27:34,640 I mean, this is something that scares people. 436 00:27:34,640 --> 00:27:35,800 They look at this and think, 437 00:27:35,800 --> 00:27:39,040 "Wow, what is this bellicose- sounding nationalistic country 438 00:27:39,040 --> 00:27:41,360 "that's so big and so unknown?" 439 00:27:41,360 --> 00:27:43,240 So, this is going to be a big, big challenge 440 00:27:43,240 --> 00:27:45,640 that's going to need pretty good diplomacy. 441 00:27:45,640 --> 00:27:49,840 (GENTLE FLUTE MELODY) 442 00:27:56,960 --> 00:28:00,720 At home, Xi knows that poverty eradication 443 00:28:00,720 --> 00:28:04,640 among China's 1.4 billion-strong population 444 00:28:04,640 --> 00:28:07,720 is critical to keeping the party in power. 445 00:28:09,320 --> 00:28:10,679 That's the deal - 446 00:28:10,680 --> 00:28:14,760 that the Chinese people will sacrifice freedom for wealth. 447 00:28:14,760 --> 00:28:17,000 So far it has worked. 448 00:28:31,960 --> 00:28:35,960 The reality is that Xi Jinping and his colleagues 449 00:28:35,960 --> 00:28:38,240 believe themselves as the agents of history 450 00:28:38,240 --> 00:28:42,080 and the history that is about making China one of the great powers 451 00:28:42,080 --> 00:28:44,600 that is also a prosperous stable society 452 00:28:44,600 --> 00:28:47,080 that will contribute to humanity as a whole, 453 00:28:47,080 --> 00:28:48,919 and if in that process, 454 00:28:48,920 --> 00:28:51,760 a few individuals must be crushed or silenced, 455 00:28:51,760 --> 00:28:54,920 a few dissidents must be thrown into jail, 456 00:28:54,920 --> 00:28:58,000 a few national minorities in Tibet and Xinjiang 457 00:28:58,000 --> 00:29:01,000 and their religious, aberrant religious beliefs 458 00:29:01,000 --> 00:29:04,280 must be corralled, contained and reformed, 459 00:29:04,280 --> 00:29:05,840 well, that's simply the price 460 00:29:05,840 --> 00:29:08,439 that the great collective of the Chinese people, 461 00:29:08,440 --> 00:29:11,560 which I, Xi Jinping, and my colleagues represent, 462 00:29:11,560 --> 00:29:14,200 that's just the price they all have to pay. 463 00:29:14,200 --> 00:29:15,480 And it's for their good, 464 00:29:15,480 --> 00:29:19,000 because, after all, I am a patriarchal leader 465 00:29:19,000 --> 00:29:21,880 and I know what's best for all of you. 466 00:29:25,320 --> 00:29:27,800 The creation myth of Xi Jinping 467 00:29:27,800 --> 00:29:30,120 draws tourists from across the country 468 00:29:30,120 --> 00:29:34,080 who travel to the village where he spent seven long years in exile. 469 00:29:36,880 --> 00:29:40,840 Everything here is a shrine to Xi and all he represents. 470 00:29:40,840 --> 00:29:45,760 Posters of Mao Zedong hang in the cave where Xi slept. 471 00:29:45,760 --> 00:29:50,840 Marxist texts and books which influenced him are on display. 472 00:29:53,400 --> 00:29:57,040 Party publications documenting his rise through the provinces 473 00:29:57,040 --> 00:29:58,480 are for sale. 474 00:29:59,880 --> 00:30:01,520 Locals sing his praises. 475 00:30:43,920 --> 00:30:47,920 The nearby city of Yan'an, critical to the Xi myth, 476 00:30:47,920 --> 00:30:52,720 is a must-see for revolutionary tourists. 477 00:31:14,760 --> 00:31:17,200 Guesthouse manager Li Ming 478 00:31:17,200 --> 00:31:19,680 makes his living from party mythology, 479 00:31:19,680 --> 00:31:23,440 dressing up in the uniform worn by Mao's troops. 480 00:31:46,360 --> 00:31:49,199 I think the Communist Party of China, 481 00:31:49,200 --> 00:31:52,040 with almost 100 million members, 482 00:31:52,040 --> 00:31:53,560 are fully behind him 483 00:31:53,560 --> 00:31:57,360 and the Chinese nation of 1.4 billion Chinese people 484 00:31:57,360 --> 00:32:00,760 are also rallying behind President Xi Jinping 485 00:32:00,760 --> 00:32:03,840 in domestic, economic development, 486 00:32:03,840 --> 00:32:07,240 as well as on the international stage. 487 00:32:07,240 --> 00:32:09,760 Victor Gao is a party insider 488 00:32:09,760 --> 00:32:13,480 who has been as close as possible to power. 489 00:32:13,480 --> 00:32:16,920 As official translator, he was trusted by the man 490 00:32:16,920 --> 00:32:21,200 who ignited China's economic revolution, Deng Xiaoping. 491 00:32:21,200 --> 00:32:24,160 He now works for a pro-government think tank. 492 00:32:24,160 --> 00:32:29,440 I would say by my personal calculation, 493 00:32:29,440 --> 00:32:33,000 no-one in the world today, 494 00:32:33,000 --> 00:32:36,600 anywhere in any other country, 495 00:32:36,600 --> 00:32:40,280 is more powerful than President Xi Jinping, 496 00:32:40,280 --> 00:32:42,960 in terms of the country he is leading, 497 00:32:42,960 --> 00:32:47,320 in terms of the level of responsibilities he's exercising, 498 00:32:47,320 --> 00:32:50,439 in terms of his level of responsibility 499 00:32:50,440 --> 00:32:51,880 for the job he's doing, 500 00:32:51,880 --> 00:32:56,360 taking care of the welfare and the wellbeing of the Chinese nation, 501 00:32:56,360 --> 00:32:59,679 but also contributing to peace and development. 502 00:32:59,680 --> 00:33:04,280 And also fighting against all kinds of false accusations 503 00:33:04,280 --> 00:33:08,160 and distortions, mostly created by Washington 504 00:33:08,160 --> 00:33:11,240 in terms of the rise of China. 505 00:33:11,240 --> 00:33:13,680 (ROUSING MUSIC PLAYS) 506 00:33:16,880 --> 00:33:21,640 VOICEOVER: Under the guidance of Xi Jinping Thought on Socialism 507 00:33:21,640 --> 00:33:25,280 with Chinese Characteristics for a New Era, 508 00:33:25,280 --> 00:33:27,760 the PLA has thoroughly implemented 509 00:33:27,760 --> 00:33:31,240 Xi Jinping Thought on strengthening the military. 510 00:33:33,400 --> 00:33:35,760 (BAND PLAYS) 511 00:33:37,200 --> 00:33:41,920 Xi Jinping is building a military as powerful as his economic might. 512 00:33:45,920 --> 00:33:51,560 Officially he spends around $250 billion a year on defence. 513 00:33:51,560 --> 00:33:55,320 Others estimate the real figure may be double that. 514 00:33:55,320 --> 00:33:56,600 (SPEAKS CHINESE LANGUAGE) 515 00:33:57,680 --> 00:34:00,600 (TROOPS CHANT) 516 00:34:00,600 --> 00:34:02,840 Images of his battle-ready troops 517 00:34:02,840 --> 00:34:06,639 are pumped out for international and domestic consumption. 518 00:34:06,640 --> 00:34:08,920 (ALL CHANT) 519 00:34:08,920 --> 00:34:12,480 LUCY HORNBY: Certainly, in China the sense of nationalism 520 00:34:12,480 --> 00:34:14,920 has channelled the sense of resentment 521 00:34:14,920 --> 00:34:18,080 and this sense of past humiliation 522 00:34:18,080 --> 00:34:20,679 which funnels a sort of aggressive nationalism. 523 00:34:21,679 --> 00:34:24,600 China is a meteoric rising power, 524 00:34:24,600 --> 00:34:28,080 and the US is a colossal ruling power 525 00:34:28,080 --> 00:34:29,920 and when a rising power 526 00:34:29,920 --> 00:34:35,000 is displacing or threatening to displace a ruling power 527 00:34:35,000 --> 00:34:39,520 from its position at the top of every pecking order, 528 00:34:39,520 --> 00:34:43,639 basically, things get worse, and then they get worse. 529 00:34:45,639 --> 00:34:51,000 To the US, Xi Jinping's China is its biggest strategic threat. 530 00:34:52,840 --> 00:34:56,840 As long as China continues achieving 531 00:34:56,840 --> 00:35:00,000 or trying to achieve the China dream 532 00:35:00,000 --> 00:35:03,680 that Xi Jinping has laid out quite vividly, 533 00:35:03,680 --> 00:35:06,120 and as long as the US, 534 00:35:06,120 --> 00:35:12,319 attempts to maintain the position it's enjoyed for an American century 535 00:35:12,320 --> 00:35:15,160 as the leading power in the world, 536 00:35:15,160 --> 00:35:20,520 and as the architect of a very successful international order, 537 00:35:20,520 --> 00:35:24,920 there's going to be a... a grand contest, 538 00:35:24,920 --> 00:35:29,640 and it will discombobulate everything, 539 00:35:29,640 --> 00:35:33,120 from American politics, as we've seen here, 540 00:35:33,120 --> 00:35:35,120 to international relations. 541 00:35:37,280 --> 00:35:38,720 As an American ally, 542 00:35:38,720 --> 00:35:43,439 Australia is caught between its economic interests and its security. 543 00:35:44,440 --> 00:35:46,560 VICTOR GAO: As far as China's concerned, 544 00:35:46,560 --> 00:35:50,840 Australia has been even more agitated than Washington 545 00:35:50,840 --> 00:35:52,480 in many situations. 546 00:35:52,480 --> 00:35:54,560 And from the Chinese perspective, 547 00:35:54,560 --> 00:35:57,320 what the Australian government has been doing 548 00:35:57,320 --> 00:35:58,960 over the past several years 549 00:35:58,960 --> 00:36:02,800 has been very much demonstrating hostility against China 550 00:36:02,800 --> 00:36:05,560 as a country, against the Chinese people, 551 00:36:05,560 --> 00:36:08,240 and against the Chinese political system. 552 00:36:10,120 --> 00:36:12,720 Xi Jinping has made it clear - 553 00:36:12,720 --> 00:36:17,080 on his watch, Australia needs to mind its step. 554 00:36:18,640 --> 00:36:20,960 In less than 10 years' time, 555 00:36:20,960 --> 00:36:24,960 China will be larger than the United States as an economy, 556 00:36:24,960 --> 00:36:27,000 and by the middle of the century, 557 00:36:27,000 --> 00:36:30,600 the size of the Chinese economy's expected to be double 558 00:36:30,600 --> 00:36:32,560 the size of the United States. 559 00:36:32,560 --> 00:36:36,279 That gives more opportunity for countries like Australia 560 00:36:36,280 --> 00:36:40,760 to engage with China on a peaceful basis, 561 00:36:40,760 --> 00:36:43,200 and to do more business with China. 562 00:36:43,200 --> 00:36:45,680 Rather than, for example, blindly, 563 00:36:45,680 --> 00:36:50,720 without exercising your own judgement, and your own brain, 564 00:36:50,720 --> 00:36:55,120 for example, to refuse to see the mega trend coming, 565 00:36:55,120 --> 00:36:59,839 and refuse to embrace the rise of China as an opportunity, 566 00:36:59,840 --> 00:37:06,720 but really doing the suicidal thing to cut off yourself from China, 567 00:37:06,720 --> 00:37:09,200 from the Chinese nation, and from the Chinese market. 568 00:37:16,000 --> 00:37:19,960 Xi has drawn battle lines across the region. 569 00:37:19,960 --> 00:37:23,440 Chinese and Indian troops clashed on their border last year, 570 00:37:23,440 --> 00:37:26,200 with casualties on both sides. 571 00:37:26,200 --> 00:37:29,120 For Xi Jinping, it was a propaganda coup. 572 00:37:42,560 --> 00:37:45,320 Then there is the South China Sea, 573 00:37:45,320 --> 00:37:49,040 where the US and China stare each other down. 574 00:38:09,320 --> 00:38:12,320 Xi Jinping has ignored international court rulings 575 00:38:12,320 --> 00:38:16,280 and built military installations on disputed islands. 576 00:38:16,280 --> 00:38:19,160 1,2, 3 ,6 ,7, 8, 9. 577 00:38:20,240 --> 00:38:22,279 Nine vehicles. 578 00:38:22,280 --> 00:38:25,600 RICHARD McGREGOR: China in the Indo-Pacific is a reality. 579 00:38:25,600 --> 00:38:28,160 For the US being here, it's a choice. 580 00:38:28,160 --> 00:38:30,279 China knows that, and over time, 581 00:38:30,280 --> 00:38:33,240 I think China wants to make the price the US pays for that, 582 00:38:33,240 --> 00:38:34,839 to go up. 583 00:38:34,840 --> 00:38:36,240 In many respects, 584 00:38:36,240 --> 00:38:39,080 I think China is the much more predictable player here. 585 00:38:39,080 --> 00:38:41,640 China wants to dominate the region. 586 00:38:41,640 --> 00:38:44,920 China wants to be the most powerful country in the region. 587 00:38:44,920 --> 00:38:48,600 China wants its military to be the sort of biggest in the region 588 00:38:48,600 --> 00:38:50,080 and the like. 589 00:38:50,080 --> 00:38:51,240 That's just obvious. 590 00:38:51,240 --> 00:38:53,759 Any country would want to do that of China's size, 591 00:38:53,760 --> 00:38:57,640 be it a communist party or a democracy. 592 00:38:57,640 --> 00:39:00,920 (SHOUTING, GUNFIRE) 593 00:39:00,920 --> 00:39:05,320 In Hong Kong, Xi has shown the world how ruthless he can be. 594 00:39:05,320 --> 00:39:07,440 (SHOUTING, GUNFIRE) 595 00:39:07,440 --> 00:39:10,960 He has crushed protest and introduced new laws 596 00:39:10,960 --> 00:39:14,680 putting a stranglehold on the former British territory. 597 00:39:16,960 --> 00:39:19,200 (GUNFIRE) 598 00:39:19,200 --> 00:39:22,879 Hong Kong stands as a warning to Taiwan. 599 00:39:26,720 --> 00:39:30,799 Absolutely central to Chinese modernisation, 600 00:39:30,800 --> 00:39:33,640 Xi Jinping's program 601 00:39:33,640 --> 00:39:36,960 is restoring China's territorial integrity. 602 00:39:36,960 --> 00:39:38,600 This is a big deal. 603 00:39:38,600 --> 00:39:42,720 That means Taiwan comes back and if you think about it, 604 00:39:42,720 --> 00:39:46,080 regaining control of Taiwan, a self-governing island 605 00:39:46,080 --> 00:39:48,680 of about 25 million people, a very modern society, 606 00:39:48,680 --> 00:39:51,040 most importantly, democratic, 607 00:39:51,040 --> 00:39:53,320 which does not think of itself 608 00:39:53,320 --> 00:39:56,560 as part of the People's Republic of China, 609 00:39:56,560 --> 00:40:00,600 which has run itself for, you know, 70, 80 years, 610 00:40:00,600 --> 00:40:05,600 which has had an independent streak since the 19th century - 611 00:40:05,600 --> 00:40:07,560 China says, "We're going to control that." 612 00:40:07,560 --> 00:40:10,600 And I think Xi wants to do it on his watch. 613 00:40:10,600 --> 00:40:17,120 And Xi declares he will regain Taiwan, even if it means war. 614 00:40:31,200 --> 00:40:35,960 China has ramped up threatening military exercises near Taiwan. 615 00:40:38,160 --> 00:40:40,040 If Xi attacks Taiwan, 616 00:40:40,040 --> 00:40:43,440 he could trigger a war with the United States, 617 00:40:43,440 --> 00:40:46,280 potentially dragging in Australia. 618 00:40:47,600 --> 00:40:51,640 GRAHAM ALLISON: I think if there were a war, it would be insane. 619 00:40:51,640 --> 00:40:58,240 I think you couldn't be confident that if a war developed over Taiwan, 620 00:40:58,240 --> 00:41:01,359 and even if it began as a small war, 621 00:41:01,360 --> 00:41:05,200 that it could expand into a larger war 622 00:41:05,200 --> 00:41:08,120 and that once you get up the escalation ladder 623 00:41:08,120 --> 00:41:09,720 in a larger war, 624 00:41:09,720 --> 00:41:16,399 that even nuclear weapons might become part of the conflict. 625 00:41:19,160 --> 00:41:22,799 VICTOR GAO: If any armed conflict breaks out 626 00:41:22,800 --> 00:41:24,800 between China and the United States, 627 00:41:24,800 --> 00:41:27,200 it will be a catastrophe for mankind. 628 00:41:29,920 --> 00:41:34,080 It may become Armageddon for humankind. 629 00:41:36,360 --> 00:41:40,760 For Western democracies, the battle lines are already drawn. 630 00:41:42,680 --> 00:41:47,480 Can we live in a world where the dominant economic power 631 00:41:47,480 --> 00:41:50,200 and all of the other power that comes with that 632 00:41:50,200 --> 00:41:54,919 is one that fundamentally rejects the values of our society? 633 00:41:54,920 --> 00:41:56,320 Well, we can live in that world, 634 00:41:56,320 --> 00:41:59,320 but it's going to be a much less comfortable world, 635 00:41:59,320 --> 00:42:04,760 and it's going to be one in which we'll have terms dictated to us 636 00:42:04,760 --> 00:42:08,160 more than we have them dictated to us now. 637 00:42:08,160 --> 00:42:10,680 Now, that doesn't mean China gets its way, 638 00:42:10,680 --> 00:42:14,640 but it means that China is much more difficult to deal with 639 00:42:14,640 --> 00:42:17,120 and might get its way on a lot of things. 640 00:42:17,120 --> 00:42:19,720 So, yeah. Life's going to get harder for us. 641 00:42:22,360 --> 00:42:25,760 LUCY HORNBY: If all you're doing is sitting around and feeling upset 642 00:42:25,760 --> 00:42:30,640 or fearful or angry that China is bigger and more powerful 643 00:42:30,640 --> 00:42:34,759 then you've put us on a very dangerous spiral, I feel. 644 00:42:34,760 --> 00:42:37,440 That's something that worries me, not only as an observer, 645 00:42:37,440 --> 00:42:41,000 but also as a citizen of the United States 646 00:42:41,000 --> 00:42:43,440 and also a person, 647 00:42:43,440 --> 00:42:46,720 you know, who doesn't want the world to go to hell. 648 00:42:55,480 --> 00:42:59,160 Everything in Xi Jinping's life has led him to this point. 649 00:43:00,360 --> 00:43:02,760 He rules his country like an emperor. 650 00:43:05,240 --> 00:43:08,080 His China Dream is within reach. 651 00:43:08,080 --> 00:43:12,880 And he's warning the West if they try to stop him, they'll pay. 652 00:43:16,160 --> 00:43:18,240 CLIVE HAMILTON: Some days I think the battle is over 653 00:43:18,240 --> 00:43:21,000 and China's influence is now so great, 654 00:43:21,000 --> 00:43:24,240 and Xi Jinping and the Chinese Communist Party are so determined 655 00:43:24,240 --> 00:43:26,479 to become the dominant hegemon in the world 656 00:43:26,480 --> 00:43:27,920 that there's nothing we can do. 657 00:43:27,920 --> 00:43:30,400 But really, we can't give up like that. 658 00:43:30,400 --> 00:43:32,440 I mean, when you think what's at stake, 659 00:43:32,440 --> 00:43:34,520 when you think of the freedoms 660 00:43:34,520 --> 00:43:37,400 that we on a daily basis take for granted and enjoy. 661 00:43:46,880 --> 00:43:48,440 KERRY BROWN: Now we're dealing with 662 00:43:48,440 --> 00:43:50,760 this radically different view of the world, 663 00:43:50,760 --> 00:43:52,080 which is not a modern one, 664 00:43:52,080 --> 00:43:55,560 I mean it's not like China is a power that sprung from nowhere. 665 00:43:55,560 --> 00:43:59,040 It's got historic roots going back many, many centuries, 666 00:43:59,040 --> 00:44:01,680 this is not something that can be just shifted. 667 00:44:01,680 --> 00:44:03,120 This history we are moving into, 668 00:44:03,120 --> 00:44:06,319 this world we are moving into, there is no roadmap. 669 00:44:06,320 --> 00:44:08,560 There is no easy roadmap. 670 00:44:18,640 --> 00:44:21,040 Captions by Red Bee Media 671 00:44:21,040 --> 00:44:23,040 Copyright Australian Broadcasting Corporation 672 00:44:23,040 --> 00:44:24,040 55295

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