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Welcome back folks.
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This is teaching seven of
eight of the December, 2016.
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Content for the ICT mentorship.
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This teaching is going to be
dealing specifically with momentum
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divergence, Phantoms market maker trap.
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And I don't teach a lot about indicators
because they're mathematically
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derived in the measure of the past.
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As a new trader.
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I used them a lot and had a lot of false.
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Placed on them.
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I'd like looking at them at certain
points in price, actually, because I
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can see where I used to think price
would go relative to a indicator.
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And I can tell you now it's a completely
different paradigm shift that when we see
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price action, indicating data wants to
go higher, not looking at the indicator.
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Many times the indication will
tell you it's probably stopping
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now or it's petering out.
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It's it's making it's a reversal
or it's running out of momentum.
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The, the idea is the indicators are
going to drive price as a retail trade.
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That's what we think.
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And it's not the case.
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Um, the indicators don't have
any reflection whatsoever about
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what the market's going to do.
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Next price has no awareness of
our indicators, but we can reverse
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engineer that thought process and
use that market efficiency paradigm.
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I've been teaching since the beginning.
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Mentorship where we look at how liquidity
can be either engineered or neutralized
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and whether they're willing or unwilling
participants, the market makers can
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draw traders into the marketplace
or take them out of the marketplace.
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And by unseating them, they
can assume their position for
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put them in on the wrong side.
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By engineering liquidity runs.
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And then take to market
the opposite direction.
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In this case, what we're looking at here,
this is the U S CAD is the one-hour chart.
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And I have the chart trained in
on the November 10th and 11th.
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And we're looking at how the market
made a slightly higher high here.
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Okay.
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While momentum was already posting
a potential bearish divergence.
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Now, when we talk about divergence,
there's two types of divergence
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there's type one divergence, which
is your classic higher high, but not
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seeing a higher high in the momentum.
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Okay.
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That's type one.
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Bearish divergence, a bullish diversions
would be the opposite where we see
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a lower, low in price, but a failure
to go lower in the stochastic or
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whatever momentum indicator you use.
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That would be a type one
bullish, divergence, uh, Trend
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trading or momentum trading.
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There's called a type two trend
following and it's commonly
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referred to as hidden divergence.
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And it's been never really
associated to who discovered it.
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Nick.
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They're nice.
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He was the guy that released it
to the trading community at large.
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Uh, George Lane gets a lot of
credit and falsely, I might add he
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was not the creators to Catholic.
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He's not the, uh, you know, the, the
inventor, if you will, of a divergence.
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But nonetheless, I it's one
of those pet peeves of Maya.
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When I talk about this, like,
I always gotta bring it up.
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Cause it's just like a stick in my crawl.
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I can't stand it.
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So I have to keep reminding
that folks that are in trading.
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Um, if they talk about divergence, uh,
they probably should be thinking a guy
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that they'll probably never even meet.
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Uh, but his name is Nick van.
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Nice.
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And it's a trend following divergence,
where if you have a highly.
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Hello, but the stochastic cycles down
makes a lower, low that's trend-following
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in nature, and it usually gives us
a really good momentum entry for.
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Bullish markets.
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Now I'm not teaching entries with
stochastics or any momentum indicator
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here, but I'm going to teach you
how to use a means of sentiment
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or how retail minded traders
are going to think about price.
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I like these ideas because.
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When we read the books.
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When we get into trading, we get all
these indicator based books and textbooks
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and courses and CDs and mentors and
everybody else and their disciplines.
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Okay.
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And believe me, I went through all
of this myself, so it's not like I
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completely, you know, Walk on water.
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I never had those issues before in
the past, I came up through all that
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stuff, but the indicators teach us and
they tried to promote this idea that
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indicator based treating is the way to go.
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So therefore there shouldn't
be no thought process involved
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at all about studying price.
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Just study if the indicators over bald, if
it's over sold, if it's diverging better.
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So you're bullishly and that's it.
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So you have four conditions there.
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Are we overbought or are we oversold?
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And if we are overbought,
it's a diverging.
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Bearishly.
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Oversold are we diverging bullishly and
if it were that easy, then everybody we
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making money and problem is, is there some
things you have to look at to determine
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if the market is in fact bullish, no worth
it's bearish, and here's one for you.
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There's a fifth condition.
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Is there a really a time to be trading?
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Because there's some time there isn't
Marcus sustain consolidation and you
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don't want to be doing much of anything.
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So if we're looking at an example, Okay.
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We're price makes a higher high like this.
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Okay.
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Forgetting what's over here.
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Like a retail trader, like I did.
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I just looked at, okay, well now
we're making a higher high here.
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So naturally I'm just looking at
any time when the indicator was
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failing to make a higher high.
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That's how I started in the business folks
in 1992, I'm looking at charts and this is
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what I'm looking at a bear's divergence.
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Okay.
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So I would be looking to go short.
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In 1992 and 1993.
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But understanding what I know now,
there's liquidity above this high.
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They're not going to
keep price this close.
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Okay.
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And not run that high.
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So there's buy stops above there.
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So if I see bears divergence
in here and it's qualified
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with this move here, we have a cross over.
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It starts to drop down.
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Okay.
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But look what we have.
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We have a down candle here.
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We have equal lows in here.
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So the market drops down, clears out the
equal lows dips into this bullish order.
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Block this also in here, we
have a range from the high down
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to the open on this candle.
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This range in price, price trades
down into it, the midway point of it.
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Okay.
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Just like a mean threshold.
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Okay.
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This portion price comes down, delivers
price below these lows in here.
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Momentum indicator.
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Folks are going to say, okay, well,
this is a solid bear's divergent.
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So we're going to be
expecting lower prices.
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Price action-based traders are
saying this is actually a box.
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And there's an equal high up in here and
we have liquidity above this high here.
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We're too close to these
levels up here, not to run them
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market consolidates a little
bit in here and then boom.
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It rallies up.
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It makes one more tap
against this high here.
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Is price going to reject here?
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No, look what's happened.
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We have a low.
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Which is directly related to this
cycle through wants to cast it.
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And then we have this higher, low
with a lower, low on sarcastic.
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This is that hidden divergence
for trend following divergents.
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Okay.
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This actually is a very powerful scenario.
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If you know what you're looking
for in price, and you see
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this qualified in a momentum.
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Not that you're basing your trade on
the indicator, but I like seeing this
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because what this is doing is, is it's
arm wrestling with the guys that are
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looking at this bearish divergence
document, capture a high, because think
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about what it is when you're looking
at indicators, the mythology is you can
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pick tops and bottoms with indicators.
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And while we can go back and look
at the charts and see many examples,
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how that may have been profitable.
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There's many times where
it isn't profitable either.
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So if we're going to be looking for
price action to give us clues as to where
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price is going to be reaching for, we
can't get that information by looking
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at an indicator because all that's doing
is, is looking at the past and it's
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compressing all that data mathematically
and spitting out an output that output
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has absolutely zero bearing on where
the actual orders are in the model.
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UBS credit Swiss city.
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They're not in, they're not in
the business of looking at what's.
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The gas is telling him that's not what
they're doing, but they are interested
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in where buy stocks and sell stocks are.
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Okay.
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And they're attacking that
liquidity on the fund.
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So when I talk about making a run on
stops, it's not that they're aiming
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for retail stocks because you're not
even in the same arena with them, but
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if they can push price to an area above
an old, higher, below an old low, they
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know that there's going to be a poor
liquidity and base of fund trading.
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So let's recall that market
efficiency, paradigm retail use.
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And they see what they want to see
in the context of an indicator buy
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or sell overbought or oversold.
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Market-makers look at the participants,
thought processes about price and they
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manipulate their decisions based on
what they should be seeing in price.
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The indicators way of engineering,
a thought process behind a trader.
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And it's almost like.
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Remote control in many instances
and funds, they trade with
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a trend following nature.
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They're long-term momentum trend
followers, but those long-term trend
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following systems that they use.
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Targeted.
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And usually it's in consolidations
or sometimes if it's at a high where
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they're making a top in the marketplace,
those funds that are aggressive and
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they try to sell short, they make
one more pass up there and knock
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out those individuals to smarter
fund traders will go back in again.
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But you notice like sometimes when
you get knocked out of a trade, the
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wind is taken out of your sales.
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You don't want to do it again.
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You're afraid.
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But when we look at divergence.
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Okay.
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There's two camps.
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Those that see that higher high.
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And the subsequent movement lower, which
would confirm in any retail traders mind
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that they did catch her capture a top.
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Cause that's what they're thinking.
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Okay.
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Verus diversions, they're looking
for tops, pull aside versions.
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They're looking for bottoms.
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You ask any trailer that sees that they're
not looking at qualified entries and
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qualified exits and specific targets.
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What they're looking for is get me in
at the low and I'll figure out where
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I'm going to get out later on and
believe me, I've done that same thing.
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When we look at price, now we
see that, yes, they're going to
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see that as a bear's divergence,
they're going to want to sell short.
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And we expect that same measure of
retracement lower as well, but we want to
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see it come back down and hit this order
block and wipe out this stops over here.
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Why would they want to come
down below these lows in here
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to gather up all the cell stops?
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Why?
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Because they're willing sellers down here.
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Why would they want to go down here?
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Because they want to pick up
those orders that liquidity
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is offering so they can buy.
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So price quickly.
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Reprices and now we will make
a run above this high here.
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Why?
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Because this is the real divergence.
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Okay.
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Or the new cycle low on the
stochastic notice it's not oversold.
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It's not needed to be oversold.
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What we're doing is this.
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We're watching the momentum shift
back down just to get the cell stops.
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Then they make a run for where
the market really wants to
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be reaching for the orders.
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Not with this little indicator.
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Divergence is indicating here.
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So we're seeing.
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Retail view this as a higher high in
price with a lower high in stochastics,
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which is what every textbook shows.
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That's a type one bear stock
versions, or a sell signal.
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Okay.
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You might have saw 30 pips or
so in your favor, but you're
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not going to hold for just that.
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And you're going to hold forever.
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You're going to look to see it
go lower and lower and lower.
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00:13:03,165 --> 00:13:05,985
You know what it's like to be, you know,
a new trader and looking at all this
241
00:13:05,985 --> 00:13:07,185
stuff, it's the same stuff you did.
242
00:13:07,185 --> 00:13:08,085
So this was, I did.
243
00:13:09,555 --> 00:13:13,695
But if we wait for this to cast at
the cycle down below this low here,
244
00:13:14,145 --> 00:13:17,865
we can anticipate that same thing
occurring when it runs out some cells.
245
00:13:18,840 --> 00:13:21,090
And it closes in and arrange
for a bull shorter block.
246
00:13:21,780 --> 00:13:28,650
Then we can expect price to snap back
higher and take out this whole assumption.
247
00:13:28,650 --> 00:13:30,660
That is a barest divergence
in the marketplace.
248
00:13:31,170 --> 00:13:36,480
Again, price has no awareness of
the divergence, but markets have an
249
00:13:36,480 --> 00:13:40,770
uncanny ability to be aware of the
thought processes that are in all the
250
00:13:40,770 --> 00:13:44,460
traders because of their orders because
of their trading, because of the.
251
00:13:45,115 --> 00:13:47,785
They're leveraged because of what
they're doing in the marketplace, the
252
00:13:47,785 --> 00:13:49,255
excitement around specific levels.
253
00:13:49,704 --> 00:13:54,505
So when we see this, we anticipate price
moving higher, not on the basis of a
254
00:13:54,564 --> 00:13:59,365
bullish divergence that you would see
classically with a lower, low, and a
255
00:13:59,365 --> 00:14:01,194
higher, low, and the momentum indicator.
256
00:14:01,225 --> 00:14:06,084
What we're actually seeing is a
higher, low relative to this low and
257
00:14:06,084 --> 00:14:11,185
here, this being higher, low, but the
momentum actually is cycled lower.
258
00:14:11,574 --> 00:14:13,704
Again, that's tight to hidden divergence.
259
00:14:14,745 --> 00:14:17,115
Let's try and follow me in nature,
and we can expect to see price
260
00:14:17,115 --> 00:14:22,845
drop above this high here and
price doesn't fact that you can see
261
00:14:22,845 --> 00:14:24,855
price gave a nice opportunity here.
262
00:14:25,064 --> 00:14:27,255
And those individuals looked
for this bear's divergence
263
00:14:27,705 --> 00:14:29,145
were left holding the bag.
264
00:14:31,064 --> 00:14:31,245
Okay.
265
00:14:31,245 --> 00:14:33,255
Folks, we're looking at the dollar.
266
00:14:33,255 --> 00:14:34,694
Swiss is an ally chart.
267
00:14:35,775 --> 00:14:35,925
Okay.
268
00:14:35,925 --> 00:14:39,045
We're looking at ACE, another
scenario where the price has
269
00:14:39,045 --> 00:14:41,085
made a nice rally higher.
270
00:14:42,060 --> 00:14:45,000
And we're looking at what
would potentially see as a
271
00:14:45,240 --> 00:14:47,040
type one bear's divergence.
272
00:14:47,579 --> 00:14:50,069
Now, again, retail traders are
going to see that as well, where
273
00:14:50,069 --> 00:14:52,410
we're making a higher high in price.
274
00:14:53,535 --> 00:14:56,925
So if price is making a higher
high here, we're not seeing
275
00:14:56,925 --> 00:14:58,425
that same thing reflected here.
276
00:14:58,935 --> 00:15:02,655
So it's, the Catholic has
crossed down and now we have a
277
00:15:02,655 --> 00:15:04,695
signal confirming lower prices.
278
00:15:05,145 --> 00:15:09,285
So what we do as price
action based traders, we
279
00:15:09,285 --> 00:15:11,055
anticipate seeing some measure.
280
00:15:11,619 --> 00:15:13,300
Consolidation to retracement.
281
00:15:13,930 --> 00:15:17,469
And we watched this low back here on this
to Castic what's this relative to this
282
00:15:17,469 --> 00:15:22,569
low here where we're not seeing in our
expectation is the move below that low.
283
00:15:22,660 --> 00:15:26,680
We're not expecting that, but retail
is expecting that they expect this
284
00:15:26,680 --> 00:15:30,099
to be a top and price trading all the
way down to what would be seen as what
285
00:15:30,099 --> 00:15:31,660
classic support they're looking at.
286
00:15:32,535 --> 00:15:34,574
At this low and maybe
even a low back here.
287
00:15:34,964 --> 00:15:37,665
So in retail, Blindsight,
they're doing this.
288
00:15:37,785 --> 00:15:39,194
This is what's all over their charts.
289
00:15:41,055 --> 00:15:44,324
They're looking for a move down
into this low, and they're looking
290
00:15:44,324 --> 00:15:47,925
for a move down into this low
because that's a classic support.
291
00:15:47,925 --> 00:15:51,974
Resistance tells us when the textbooks,
this is what classic divergence tells us.
292
00:15:52,214 --> 00:15:53,295
They're going to catch a top.
293
00:15:53,834 --> 00:15:57,765
So the market's making higher
high in here from this high
294
00:15:57,765 --> 00:15:58,935
to here, we made higher high.
295
00:15:59,825 --> 00:16:01,814
It's not happening here
in the stochastics.
296
00:16:01,875 --> 00:16:03,675
So if it's not happening,
it's the Catholics.
297
00:16:03,944 --> 00:16:06,255
It has to be indicating
that I'm going to go lower.
298
00:16:07,064 --> 00:16:09,375
So they're looking for price of trade
all the way down to this level here,
299
00:16:09,375 --> 00:16:10,605
and that might be their first target.
300
00:16:10,605 --> 00:16:13,605
And then here's the second target
because that's supporting assistance.
301
00:16:14,415 --> 00:16:19,395
What we see is this is the last
down candle prior to this up move.
302
00:16:19,875 --> 00:16:23,505
So inside this range in here
and this wick, we expect
303
00:16:23,505 --> 00:16:24,825
price to trade down into that.
304
00:16:25,064 --> 00:16:26,444
Now the question is going to be Michael.
305
00:16:26,444 --> 00:16:27,285
Do I use the.
306
00:16:28,319 --> 00:16:29,310
Well, I used the body.
307
00:16:29,910 --> 00:16:30,720
You use the body.
308
00:16:31,110 --> 00:16:31,560
Why?
309
00:16:31,829 --> 00:16:36,720
Because of the condition that's here, we
have a wick in prices already trading.
310
00:16:38,115 --> 00:16:45,525
Several times through here, but we've
only traded up from this point here.
311
00:16:45,615 --> 00:16:49,905
So this down close, we only had an
up close and up close and up close.
312
00:16:50,115 --> 00:16:54,074
So we're going to be looking for price to
trade down and deliver on the sell side
313
00:16:54,165 --> 00:16:56,954
of the liquidity on this candle's range.
314
00:16:57,285 --> 00:16:59,685
So what I'm saying is
we're going to look at
315
00:17:02,745 --> 00:17:06,375
this candle here and capsulate that
whole little wick down into the.
316
00:17:08,849 --> 00:17:09,270
Okay.
317
00:17:10,290 --> 00:17:12,000
And we're expecting price to yes.
318
00:17:12,180 --> 00:17:16,170
Cycle down and go lower, but
not to go below the middle
319
00:17:16,170 --> 00:17:17,250
of that body of that candle.
320
00:17:17,250 --> 00:17:24,990
So for a move down into 96, 45 to
96, 40 as a low end is, is expected.
321
00:17:25,020 --> 00:17:28,830
It's reasonable, but we do not
expect that low to be violated.
322
00:17:30,000 --> 00:17:33,389
That same reference point down
here in the stochastic is here.
323
00:17:33,629 --> 00:17:37,439
We expect this to Castic to
trade lower than this low in the
324
00:17:37,439 --> 00:17:40,439
indicator, but not show it in price.
325
00:17:41,040 --> 00:17:42,360
We expect price to trade higher.
326
00:17:42,480 --> 00:17:45,189
Why, why would I expect that on.
327
00:17:47,265 --> 00:17:52,285
We have all this appear, all sell
side liquidity offered, say we
328
00:17:52,305 --> 00:17:56,445
expecting price to be delivered on
a move higher to closing that range.
329
00:17:56,745 --> 00:18:02,775
So we're looking for a difference
in direction, and we're
330
00:18:02,775 --> 00:18:03,855
just gonna use this old low.
331
00:18:03,915 --> 00:18:06,135
So we're gonna use support
resistance ideas, but we're going
332
00:18:06,135 --> 00:18:09,195
to be diametrically opposed to
what retail mindset is going to be.
333
00:18:09,855 --> 00:18:12,215
So we're looking up here,
accurate drops down.
334
00:18:13,380 --> 00:18:14,640
So we're doing two things.
335
00:18:14,640 --> 00:18:19,380
We're bringing prognostication we're
forecasting and we still have targeting.
336
00:18:19,470 --> 00:18:21,120
So we know what we're
looking for for entry.
337
00:18:21,510 --> 00:18:24,300
We're expecting anticipating
that Marvin event to take place.
338
00:18:24,360 --> 00:18:29,970
We're going to go long around 96, 45
with an accent around 97 0 8 retails
339
00:18:29,970 --> 00:18:32,010
thinking this is a top it's selling off.
340
00:18:32,040 --> 00:18:35,130
It's going to break this low and
it's going to make the low attempt
341
00:18:35,130 --> 00:18:38,600
to retest here and maybe even
run down the here based on just.
342
00:18:39,560 --> 00:18:43,280
What we're looking for is yes, this
stochastic is going to drop down as price
343
00:18:43,280 --> 00:18:47,420
should drop down, but the stochastic
is going to drop below this low in
344
00:18:47,420 --> 00:18:50,900
the indicator, but it won't go below
this low here because the institution
345
00:18:50,900 --> 00:18:52,670
or flow is supporting higher prices.
346
00:18:53,060 --> 00:18:54,830
And they're going to want
to close this range in.
347
00:18:55,940 --> 00:18:56,150
Okay.
348
00:18:56,150 --> 00:18:57,080
Now watch what happens.
349
00:19:02,480 --> 00:19:02,780
Great.
350
00:19:02,780 --> 00:19:08,030
There, this candle slow is 96, 45.
351
00:19:10,740 --> 00:19:11,580
I got the reaction there.
352
00:19:13,770 --> 00:19:14,340
Boom.
353
00:19:16,140 --> 00:19:20,550
Kodaly different from what retail
would be expecting higher, low.
354
00:19:24,450 --> 00:19:26,580
Lower low and stochastic.
355
00:19:27,360 --> 00:19:27,750
Okay.
356
00:19:29,340 --> 00:19:30,270
This move here.
357
00:19:31,050 --> 00:19:31,860
Not necessary.
358
00:19:31,860 --> 00:19:32,820
Don't worry about that one here.
359
00:19:32,820 --> 00:19:33,540
We're not talking about that.
360
00:19:33,540 --> 00:19:37,950
Now I'm focusing primarily on
where the divergence gets traders
361
00:19:38,130 --> 00:19:40,680
in a pickle and it messes them up.
362
00:19:41,700 --> 00:19:44,580
In this case, we were looking
for liquidity on the upside.
363
00:19:45,060 --> 00:19:45,330
Okay.
364
00:19:45,330 --> 00:19:47,790
And I, all I did was use
a simple world back here.
365
00:19:48,840 --> 00:19:56,895
And if we use order block theory,
That puts you up to here, and then
366
00:19:56,895 --> 00:19:59,775
you have equal highs up here as well.
367
00:20:00,015 --> 00:20:08,655
So 97 60 and then you have 97, 28 and
price blows through both of those.
368
00:20:09,165 --> 00:20:09,495
Okay.
369
00:20:10,875 --> 00:20:13,485
So that's an example of a.
370
00:20:14,895 --> 00:20:19,605
Divergence Phantoms where folks
like I did when I was a new trader.
371
00:20:20,145 --> 00:20:23,294
When you go in, you're looking for
scenarios to anticipate specific things
372
00:20:23,294 --> 00:20:26,205
to unfold, and the opposite happens.
373
00:20:26,415 --> 00:20:30,465
This move down here, gets
into this order block
374
00:20:34,665 --> 00:20:39,495
right here, clearing another area,
cell stops and then rallying.
375
00:20:44,715 --> 00:20:50,925
Another bearish divergence here with
a higher high is a bullish move.
376
00:20:51,945 --> 00:20:52,245
I'm sorry.
377
00:20:52,245 --> 00:20:53,055
Is there a bearish move?
378
00:20:54,525 --> 00:20:56,415
Is that a bearish move expected in here?
379
00:20:56,775 --> 00:21:00,255
Well, if you looked at the retail
mindset, you have bearish divergence.
380
00:21:01,395 --> 00:21:04,875
We're going to be expecting this
low to not be violated, but the
381
00:21:04,875 --> 00:21:06,555
low in the stochastics will be.
382
00:21:06,645 --> 00:21:07,095
Here you go.
383
00:21:07,125 --> 00:21:11,075
One more time, type to trend, following
lower, low, and the stochastic
384
00:21:11,095 --> 00:21:12,075
with a higher, low and price.
385
00:21:13,290 --> 00:21:17,280
Continuation on the upside and
the other bears divergence.
386
00:21:17,550 --> 00:21:18,570
This is probably the top.
387
00:21:18,570 --> 00:21:21,149
Now it's got, it's got
eventually happened.
388
00:21:21,960 --> 00:21:23,310
Here's your bears divergence.
389
00:21:23,820 --> 00:21:24,210
Okay.
390
00:21:24,780 --> 00:21:25,530
What happens?
391
00:21:25,800 --> 00:21:29,399
Price doesn't make a sell off as this
goes higher and it ultimately punches one
392
00:21:29,399 --> 00:21:31,860
more time up and then it gives off a cell.
393
00:21:32,580 --> 00:21:35,430
So please don't think that indicators
are going to be the answer.
394
00:21:35,990 --> 00:21:38,830
If you're learning what I'm
teaching and you're getting.
395
00:21:40,110 --> 00:21:41,070
Inspired to pull up.
396
00:21:41,070 --> 00:21:46,170
Indicators only pull them up with
this basis in mind, only draw a
397
00:21:46,170 --> 00:21:50,070
contrasting view, and it'll give you
what the retail mindset thinking.
398
00:21:50,550 --> 00:21:53,310
And if you can do that and also
see reasons behind the scenes,
399
00:21:53,520 --> 00:21:56,070
why institutional order flow is
going to suggest the opposite
400
00:21:56,070 --> 00:22:00,030
occurring chances are you probably
got a good deal until next time.
401
00:22:00,090 --> 00:22:00,690
I wish you good luck.
33230
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