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Well folks, welcome to a
new week of Forex trading.
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Today's date is November 6th, 2016.
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Okay.
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We have the dollar index on the
left-hand side and we just came.
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Really close to the
order block right here.
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The opening that we talked about last
week, the high it comes in at 97 18.
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The open comes at 96, 88, and then
we had 96, 88 noted as a potential
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low for next before last week.
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And the low come in at 96 90.
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So we're only two pips off of that, off
of our bear's expectation on price up
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here, off this bear shorter block, uh,
so far for the week, we've already seen
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it opened up in Amelie trade higher.
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Uh, we're gonna probably look
to see some of this range in
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here closed in, be mindful of.
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This candle here is down candle.
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Um, more specifically, I'm not,
I like the idea of this candle.
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So let's note that.
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So on the upside we have a 70 97 76,
and if we change directions and go
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below the middle of this down candle.
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Uh, we'll be looking for a
little bit lower price action.
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Now here's the caveat.
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We have the presidential elections coming
up on the, on Tuesday of this week.
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So with that, there's a
great deal of uncertainty.
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And while that will be probably
exciting for some of you to want to
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get it here and probably try to trade
some of the volatility that may occur.
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Uh, it's my.
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Thinking that, uh, it's probably be better
than sit on your hands and just wait.
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And then it's not what most of
you want to do as an, as a trader.
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You want to get in your trade, the, uh,
the movement, but it's going to be a
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lot of knee jerk reaction potentially.
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So I'm going to be sitting on my
hands, um, Monday and Tuesday as a
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result of that, uh, is this too many?
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Up in the air about the U S presidency.
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So I'm going to be really focusing
in and listening about what, uh,
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what we end up with as a president.
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So, uh, this keep our cards close to the
vest, as they say, keep your powder dry.
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Uh, don't be in a rush to take any
countries this week, at least for the
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first half of the week, when we're
looking, uh, about Wednesday, uh, New
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York session, uh, Thursdays treat.
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Uh, possibly for a next opportunity to
take some live trades, the Euro, uh, we
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had outside objective for, uh, 1 11 45.
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I rounded up to the last nearest
to buy level or the actual
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open comes in at 1 11 44.
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Again, last week.
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I came just two pips away from objective.
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It fell just short of it.
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High coming in at 1 11 43, we were
looking for 1 11 45, but the opening
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price was at 1 11 44 and we saw price
obviously in gap down on this week.
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Uh, we have a lot of range in
here to close a big, big gap.
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This is the reason why
I tell you last week.
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Uh, you have to be careful because
we have the election coming up
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and you're going to be potentially
a lot of whipsaw price action.
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And we're seeing it obviously
already at the beginning of the
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week, we may see price, want to come
down here and close in this void.
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Um, if we change gears in closing a
little bit of the gap of a higher than
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what it's already done, um, I just don't
know if we're going to do it this week,
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or if we're going to press it on through.
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I liked the fact that we
have found support down here.
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We basically closed in this range so
we could consolidate in here, which
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would be welcomed and then maybe
run it for the one 12 big figure.
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On the other side of the U S elections
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pound dollar.
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We saw another gap opening down
here, a pretty significant gap.
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This pair did.
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In fact, a trade up last Friday, like
we were expecting it to, uh, I don't
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suspect we're going to probably lose all
the ground that the pound dollars posted.
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Uh, we still have a little
bit more upside objective.
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Uh, 1, 1 27, a big figure.
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Two, one, well, 1 26 80 is next
institutional level just below.
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The last off candle, which
is the bare shorter block.
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We would look for 1 27
big figure and 1 27 30.
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And if we get through this, we
would have to contend with the
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level up here, 1 28, 75 to 1 28 80.
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And cat finally gave up the ghost.
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Uh, we were expecting
some bearishness in here.
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It had to go one more time driving up.
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Uh, we explained how this was, uh,
SWAT stop sweeps it's above, uh, an old
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high and ultimately gapped down there.
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Here's the, here's the.
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The lack of symmetry that I talk about.
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We have the U S CAD, nothing about
the name of the other pair period
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begins at the U S dollar and then
Kat, it got down extremely lower.
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Okay.
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So if that's the case, we see that, but
we don't see it so much with the dollar.
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The dollar index is obviously showing us
strength rate from the beginning, opening
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and rallying hard, right from this.
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Why is the us CAD gapping down like that
when you, it should be screaming higher.
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So that's, that's the reason why I'm
sitting on my hands and not being that
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active because the market's not showing
me a very symmetrical on marketplace, even
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though we're seeing the Euro and pounds.
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Moving in the direction you would
expect relative to the daily chart
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on the dollar, just being a mirror
image and the words as the dollar was
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moving lower, we saw the Euro moving
higher and the pound moving higher.
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Um, the dollar CAD was.
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Performing as it was, as it should have
been onwards, in my opinion, a, this
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thing should have been trading lower
all last week, but it wasn't dealing.
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It was trying to whip above that a
1 34 big figure or 1 34 mid figure.
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And we've obviously seen
it give up the ghost today.
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Now, whether it stays where it
bearish, that will be a while to
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see trading through this week.
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But for now, uh, I'm still looking for,
um, some weakness on this particular.
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Uh, maybe down into the 33 big
figure and 32 80, um, relative to
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the daily chart here in looking at
the bodies of the candles over here
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and the body of this candle here.
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So watch those levels as
well, going into this week.
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00:06:58,410 --> 00:07:02,760
Again, I can't stress it enough
to sit on your hands and try not
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to be in a rush, to get a trade.
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Anything can happen in the marketplace.
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And these are the types of scenarios
where they could manipulate the.
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And create a really
adverse trading condition.
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So, um, w from the jump this
week, we're looking for 97, 75,
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97, 80 as a potential upside.
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If we see expansive continuation and
anything lower, we're looking for a run
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to closed in this range here about the 95.
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80 level to 96 big figure.
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And that area is downtown objectives.
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That's all I got for this week going in.
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I wanted to wait and see
what we opened up at.
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So I appreciate your patience
until I see you again.
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And I'll be in prerecorded
session on Monday, but for
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good luck and good trading.
10615
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