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Okay folks.
Welcome back.
We have our first
losing day.
Hasn't really ended yet, but it's still going to end up with a net loss day at
two positions this morning, train Euro.
And I'm not going to go over the details about that because I'll take up time.
It's going to be in the recording and there's a real live there.
I saw that anyway.
I do suspect that we've swept out a low in hearing on Monday.
Typically is a, for me, it's a dicey day.
Okay.
And today was exactly that.
Um, I got tripped up with the, uh, London open, even though my analysis
was looking for a higher dollar.
This real close high had made little too concerned.
I know somebody tweeted saying that the stock may have been okay, but yeah, there
was no indication I was going to happen.
So I felt justified by canceling the short,
the fact that I'm watching this order block down here.
Good.
If I can get that retreated down into without getting too much of
a run through these stops up here.
That's what I'm looking for.
Just so you know,
uh, trendline Phantom.
We'll talk about that as well.
I think we've probably made a significant low
the first half of the week in here.
So I think we're going to make it run for the stops above here and
closing this little gap at 1 0 8 40,
Shay, this chart maximize you can see what I'm showing.
Put the stops above here.
Branders and we've receded since then they kept this high in tax.
So they'll come back later on, but I'll still see it today.
Okay.
All right.
So we are inside the series of down candles in here.
The expectation is we're going to see expansion and clear the stops here.
Potentially, maybe run up here and close this gap.
Now my positions today were one standard lot on each.
And they round off at 2% each.
So I have a 4% draw down on the account.
I am not permitted to take a full standard lot trade until
I get back half of what I lost.
So that means I'm stuck at five minutes until I can get 2% back.
And then I can go back to trade and 2% risk on a four standard lot.
Can you hear me?
I got a guy saying he can't hear me.
Okay.
Thank you.
Um, it's the loss mitigation concept.
I have a teaching on that should be in the create tutorial section.
The idea is when you have, when you have a losing trade and like today
I had two back-to-back same day.
So the idea is, is you don't want to start a, a string of losses with
the maximum willingness of risk each time you want to trim that back, uh,
because it has a psychological effect.
Whether you want to say you don't feel anything about it or not, you do.
Um, the natural impulses is, you know, I want to get that back.
I don't want to have my account show a loss.
If I come back from it, it'll show them a really good trader and
yada, yada, yada, you'll have all these internal dialogues going on.
And the idea is your stock.
You'll start thinking that this is the last chain day of your career.
And he has to, you have to have it back.
You know, you don't want to end your career on a, on a losing day.
So the reminder that is the set ups that occur very frequently, they re occurring.
So, because we don't know when our next loss is going to be, that's
always going to be an uncertainty.
The certainty is it's going to come.
And we don't know if it's going to be a series of losing trades.
And we don't know the impact of our psychological makeup during
those losses, because everyone's going to take them differently,
but don't want to talk too much about that.
Cause I can use all this commentary at the end of the trading day.
I want to really focus on the afternoon cause I do get a chance to
at least mitigate half of what I got.
That's what I'm trying to do.
Yeah, I'm going to have to, so we're inside the down
candles here all down here.
1, 2, 3, 15 minute candles down.
Uh, the expectation is we're going to see movement higher.
So what this is is called a close proximity entry.
Okay.
The expectation is we're going to see expansion we're in the area where
the smart money would be buying.
Okay.
At a later time, when price is up here somewhere, this will be a full tour block
that we would expect the price trade down into, and then maybe recapitalized.
Well, if our understanding is we're seeing expansion or potentially expansion,
and we're inside the range of these down candles, we can still be a buyer.
Now, when I buy this, I have to have a stop below 55.
So it's going to have to be a 30 PIP stop again.
Notice I'm using five minis, not using them one full standard lot.
So inside of the buys of these down candles,
And I'll explain this once I get my stop and such.
Give me a second.
okay.
So I'll leave the prophet open.
I'll manage it as I go hard.
Stop.
Is that
30 pips?
Okay.
So we're expecting movement through
old, low here, violated down.
We've since come back above dollar has already swept.
It's longer.
Longer-term daily stops up here.
Some breakdown.
I want to see this area on the dollar giveaway and then we'll come down and
hopefully get to this 99, 25 ish level.
Um, hopefully draw, you can talk at down
cable and I'll just give you a peak here.
I was wanting to buy this earlier, but I wasn't able to
get this life set up dining time.
Yeah, you're seeing a trend line.
Hi.
Hi, everybody's in retails, but I'm going to be selling it here.
It's called a trendline Phantom.
It gives you the impression retail is so easy.
A caveman can do it.
Let's get short.
And then now she can see what's going on.
Uh, they're gonna be making a run for the Sundays and high up here.
1 25 90 to 1 25 95 could spike into 1 26 big figure.
So we'll come back to that.
I don't want to leave this on here.
Cause then all of a sudden people will be sharing charts.
Michael's still look at it as this guy is doing trend lines.
I he's trendlines as a contrarian indication.
I don't look at them to trade off.
I look more, they can fail.
I knew Huddleston use trendline.
I can hear it now.
Lily screen capture and everything.
So again, the expectation is we saw price blow through the Sunday's low
here and let's look at the range and I'll tell you what that one or 7 55.
Well, isn't in a second.
No this, and if I don't, if I don't mention what the one, the 7 55 level is
in the next 10 minutes, this prompt me.
I have the questions tab open, but that's not an invitation.
They ask me a million questions right now because I'm focusing on trying
to mitigate what I took as a loss to.
So I am talking, uh, they want to focus on this low here, price chase
through that low, and now it's shown an unwillingness to go lower.
Okay.
So, uh, retail traders are going to see this as a trade on support,
broken should be resistant, and didn't go lower to my expectations.
It's going to run to where the liquidity is, where they're going
to be at about these equal highs.
And if we get some momentum close up in here on that 1 0 8 40 level, like
we were looking for this morning,
the hard part for you as a trader.
And I admittedly for me as a mentor, because I already know some of you
are very new and maybe today was the first time you took a trade,
which you shouldn't be doing.
You shouldn't be doing that right now.
You should be actually at this practicing on a demo account.
But nonetheless, if.
If you took that today or both of them, actually, there's all kinds
of wonderful chemical releases going on in your brain today.
Oh no, here it is.
It's it's finally coming out your stuff.
Doesn't work or ICT can't trade.
Trust me.
I know what that feels like.
And I already know that's what some of your thinking, so there's
not going to be any words that I can say to actually change that.
And when, when you feel that, the only way that's going to be removed is if
you see a neck, the next trade wind, or if you see the, the next couple of
trades, when, and I know that that's the same thing I needed as a trader too.
So the only thing I can counseling you is don't, don't entertain the
thought processes of toxic thinking.
In other words, don't question whether or not the concepts work
or they stop working or that, you know, uh, the IMF is in my room.
Um, they, they very well may be in here.
Okay.
I'm not saying I would know that you who knows about I'm not going to
be arrogant and say that they are.
Um, but I do suspect that, uh, you know, some of you are going to have a little bit
of a shock when you do and you did today.
You see me get it wrong and there's no, excuse, I wasn't no hidden agenda in here.
You know, I literally read it wrong and what's worse is, um, the analysis was
right on the dollar and the levels and the direction initially we were looking for.
Was right, but I executed wrong.
And that's the part that you're going to have a mess.
You'll have a mess up like as well.
I mean, it's not gonna be the only one it's gonna, it's gonna happen again.
You have two choices, one you can dwell on it and beat yourself up about it and
keep yourself in taking the next trade.
Or you can learn from it, just move on to the next trade.
Or is that going?
That it's going somewhere.
Oh, so we have a risk here to find.
So we have two to one, potentially if we get up to 80 at 108 40 level,
um, if it doesn't, there's no guarantee that we'll, but if it
does, that's what we're looking for.
We'll try to trend some of this risk when it gives us an opportunity to do so.
Yeah.
If we can move ahead and get above these equal highs and maintain that
as we go into the draggy speech.
Um I'm okay.
And B I'm, I'm actually comfortable holding that all the way up into
1 0 8 70.
Yeah.
If we get one a week 70.
Let's talk about why that level 1 0 7 55 was on my chart.
It's seen on a daily chart to the left,
go here, maximize this.
The question was a way I can keep this box from going exactly where I needed.
Not to be too literal questions about you guys used to communicate to me on here.
It's always in the area where I don't want to be yet.
All right.
So we have
this old low here in here on the weekly for the Euro, and then
on a daily.
We are these bodies of these candles in here.
It's almost like these things know exactly where I needed to look for data.
I mean, the binds of the candles here,
so rounded to the nearest five level.
That's this here, one at 7 55 and we have the low and at wick on the weekly
chart at 1 0 7, 17 or more close to it.
So that's the top of the range we're looking for.
And it's swept into that today.
I got to a daily again or loudly on that.
This is to answer your question.
Ricardo was asking him, I understand why I'm trying to buy Euro.
We've swept price.
We've expanded.
Look at look how many days we've had up.
We had 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8 days.
If you count Sundays action all up.
Now I understand Trump's election and the whole thing.
Okay.
But we've already cleared out an area of liquidity and it's realistic to
expect some measurable retracement.
I'm not trying to capture the high.
I'm not trying to capsular the low one.
The Euro, all I'm trying to do is take a trade.
All I'm doing so there's no, there's no, uh, overemphasis on my part to try to
sell the idea that I'm trying to capture a significant higher, low on looking
forward as a particular range to unfold.
And because we've already seen such a movement on the upside,
um, less leery to be a buyer in here now, because we've cleared.
We've cleared so much ground.
Now everybody wants to be a buyer.
You know, every it's so obvious that everybody wants to be buying the dollar.
So we have to basically allow them the dollar, the Colts jets.
And unfortunately, sometimes that will consult, consolidate or retrace.
Either one allows me along only Europe.
The fact that we went below this low.
Trading it here in London, I'm doing this as, this is potentially the
London low and the low of the day.
So we created the low during London.
I just realized I had a space heater going the whole time.
So that's probably what you've been hearing.
If you heard a kind of a background sound, I apologize.
I should have got real clear.
Didn't it?
Um, I'm looking for, uh, basically a, uh, a reversal set up yet, but
I'm again, I'm, I'm trying to counsel you and not trying to sell you on
the idea that I'm trying to capture the reversal on the long-term charts.
That's not what I'm, I'm not selling that idea at all.
Uh, that's a good question.
John Johnson asked him what makes me think this is not a continuation cell.
Is that what you're thinking while you're asking?
What would, why isn't this a cell?
That's what I was trying to outline a moment ago.
The fact that we took this low out, which we see here, it came up,
it should have already ran lower.
The fact that we came back above the body of this up candle, no words,
this should be a bare shore block.
It should've came just to this level here, maybe up to here and then went lower.
That's what I would have.
I ideally expected because we've given up this range here to me, I'm viewing it as
them tipping our hand saying, no, no, no.
You know, we want, we want folks to want to see this as a potential.
So they're going to have all their fins on it.
Optimal trade entries and stuff will be here.
I'm not viewing it like that here.
I think there's a lot of liquidity up here.
They did got real close.
They built a lot of trust in that level.
So anyone wanting to go short here, they're going to have
their buy stops right above that.
So they may give a little bit of a range here.
I just don't.
Hopefully they don't come down and hit the stop.
That's not what I want to see happen, but you know anything happened, but
if it does expand, they're going to be looking for these stops up here.
No, we traded it or I traded him on it too.
I didn't treat this now.
Uh, no, it's not a test to do anything.
That's part of the mentorship.
My commitment was I was going to try to take a trade every single trading
day, but because of the election, I didn't trust the analysis that
I would have on the price action.
What's odd is during the election, I was spot on and now after the
election, I'm having issues.
So basically what I'm showing you is, is to take a trade every single trading day.
This is what you would encounter.
So I'm giving you, I'm giving you a read on how I would see
pricing every single trader.
But this morning, a set up that was a, that was a nice
one, but I screwed that one up.
Um, good morning.
How are you?
What's happening today?
Well, today's a lesson in humility.
All right.
So this is not looking good day will not relent on that dollar.
Now price is starting to that stupid.
This doesn't make any sense now.
do you believe I am wrong for a third time?
Power three.
Does it go?
That's a good one.
Yeah, they won't let that dollar go.
They're holding it.
Uh, calling it from.
Dolemite lower lows
failed to make.
Hi.
Yep.
I'm off side.
Hold on one second guys.
Yeah, I was unmuting.
I don't like, I didn't like the fact that we made the lower, low on dollar
and the same time we've seen, should've seen the higher high, which is what
I was expecting to see, but because I didn't get that this low, I'm sorry, this
lower high that's a crack correlation.
That means the dollar index is, uh, came down for stops and this
was online to make a higher high.
So there's no strength here.
That would be rather what you would expect to see.
But that way, if it dominates a lower, low, you're a dollar should making
a higher high, it didn't do that.
Uh, what I was trying to buy and why I bought there is because
assume for a moment that we saw price, do this as expected as
is my anticipation was on price.
Say, uh, say this candle did something like that and wouldn't be that color now.
Would it be green?
Okay.
So let's say we saw price trade higher.
Maybe not even that high and say at the disk.
Okay.
We would reasonably expect to see what if this would have happened in price.
Okay.
And came back down into this down candle.
That would be a by correct, based on or block analysis.
So the belief is that if that's what was going to unfold, I
thought that I was training.
I was expecting them to run the stops here, but what killed it was the dollar
making that lower load didn't happen.
Oops.
Sorry.
Thought I hit the mute button.
What I was saying was is if price was expand up like this and we expected price
to come back down to that at a later time, we could see that as a bullet or
a block or by, well, if we see that we don't have to wait for that all the time.
So if my expectation was, if these are down candles per four
and not move I'm comfortable.
If I have a strong conviction, it doesn't happen all the time.
But if I have a strong conviction that the market's going to make a run for
a specific level, based on liquidity, I will buy inside these down candles
because I'm basically trying to replicate what the smart money would be doing.
A in a down mood problem is, is I didn't see the continuation
in price action with the higher high in Euro, when a dollar made is lower, low.
And I'll show you again, what that looks like on the 15 and a
timeframe dollar made a lower low.
At the same time, the Euro failed to make a higher high as it should have.
And that's what I was waiting for when you sat and listened to me.
Hmm.
Yeah.
Hmm.
Hmm.
What I was pondering is as well there, it was going to come up and give me that
higher high, cause if it gave me a higher high, then I would have hold on, I would
have held onto it and wait for the dollar, that breakdown, because it did not give
me the higher high on the Euro here.
This is actually a break in correlation.
So it was actually showing underlying weakness.
Does that make sense?
It's basically a SMT divergence.
And if you've been seeing my tutorials, you'll know what that is.
So every time I get into a tree I'm watching and monitoring
that what I say it or not.
Sometimes I'm not going to remember to do it, but that's exactly
what I was watching just now.
And because it didn't get me the higher high in the Euro, um, I always
try to give it a little bit of time just to see if it will happen, but
when this candle started coming down and it's just not likely at all,
Yeah, dollar's going to try to push again.
It's difficult.
Sometimes the trade when it's so screaming one sided, like it is on the daily
and today was an example how you can be easily punished by try trading against it.
Unfortunately, I don't feel comfortable trading it long at these levels of
fear because there's nothing to support the idea except lower timeframe.
And I don't want to have the trade set on a lower timeframe.
Only
100 point 50.
If we trade to that level, it'll be interesting to see if they
lose ground there aggressively.
Or if we just get a monster rally through that.
Good morning, Steve, you haven't, you haven't responded to me yet, by the way.
Um, now that I caught you, you need to tell me right now, I have your attention.
When you want to do the, uh, the panelist session, where we can talk
about the difference between what you learned back in the late nineties
and how you learning from me now.
But to answer your, uh, your comment right here, let me put up the, uh,
the chart so you can see it comparing.
Okay.
Uh, yes.
Steve you'll need a microphone otherwise.
No one can, no one can hear you.
You'll have to, you have to speak through my crane.
If your computer has a built-in computer microphone, that's fine.
If you don't have that and you'll have to have an external mic,
if you could, in case you're wondering who I'm speaking
about and who we're speaking to.
It's a gentleman that used to work with me in my AOL days.
When I thought I knew everything, but I didn't do as much as I thought I did.
And I would love for him to be able to contrast the, the level of
education I'm giving now, relative to what I was doing back then.
All right.
So what I was watching and why I nixed the trade was the dollar
making that lower, low here.
They ran stops below this low.
How do I know that?
Because there was no higher high seen only Euro at the same time, this should have
been a higher high than this high here.
That would be market symmetry, but there is a lack of that.
So we see this as stop running on cell stops and underlying weakness on Euro.
So if I'm long here, it's not good to hold that long anymore because
it wasn't able to give me a higher height, which is what should have
been seen with this lower, low.
So whenever the dollar is making a higher high foreign currencies should
be making lower lows and we're not seeing, we didn't see that here.
And that's why we're seeing prices fall out of bed.
Now.
Um, I already mentioned why I don't want to sell it.
It's too far ahead.
And this could just be a false rally up into middle of this up candle.
It's in a level.
I don't want to be trading it long.
I'd rather I'd rather capsule the reversal or do nothing.
One of the pluses by doing this today is number one.
Obviously you can see that you're going to encounter.
If you trade every single trading day, you're going to have this happen and
you're going to have any of these.
These are my tools.
These are my things that I've been using for a long time.
And you can, you seen it today, you know, three times in the same day.
So I can't, I'm not allowed to take another trade today, regardless
of how good the set up is.
I I'm not permitted the rules.
I can't do it.
So I have to sit on my hands and do nothing, but watch it.
But the ability to be able to see it happen, to understand why I'm
collapsing the trade, to avoid a larger loss, um, and understanding
why it should be dealing with.
Well, let me say it this way, understanding why it's doing what
it's doing and how that affects my outlook on the marketplace.
Um, it protected the full stop out, which is again, I slept
through the remainder of London.
Mountain land took the second, a long one Euro.
I went to sleep and I allowed the full stop, but the previous trade we protected
the stop, but it never would've got hit in some people's eyes, but I, I don't
believe that would've been the case.
Um, I can't look at that and say that was going to happen for me
at the time.
It could very easily spiked up in here and cleared this high out.
So that's real close.
I mean, I don't like to see it to get that close.
Can you just static alone, either spread or whatever your broker could
opened it up easily and taking you out.
So I'm not going to beat myself up about that, what I am, but I am a
little bit disappointed in regards to my execution today was my initial I'll
look on the dollar in the Euro and cable.
They were right, but I allowed the short-term volatility to
change my bias on the day.
So that would have been much better.
Any I'm thinking out loud, these are all things I actually put in my journal
that will be in my journal today, but the salient points that I'll be
having in it is the fact that I did not stick with my original analysis with
looking for the upside on a dollar to that 100 mark, and then only focusing
on the shorts performance currency.
Um, and I paid that, um, price with, uh, with two losing trades going along.
And the charts I'll include in my journal will be like, you're
seeing here, these are all indications of what you would have.
Hopefully like I just did here saw that I was off side.
So I had to correct myself immediately and protect capital.
Otherwise it would have been a full stop out again.
Um, Dean, I see your questions, uh, is the dollar index always, right?
Could it be the dollar should have made a higher high or
did you use cable to confirm?
Uh, well the dollar is always right.
Dollars king either the dollar is going to move up to allow shorts in
foreign currencies, or it's going to move down to allow longs in foreign
currencies, but they can hold it in consolidation and still permit
foreign currencies to move again.
All of the, uh, see your question regarding yields and interest rates
and such Jay, the, that macro view.
I'm allowing a little bit of time from the elections because there's a whole lot
of sentiment being built in right now.
And I just don't, I don't trust the long-term right now because it
may be shifting to maybe changing.
And we may be just seeing a, uh, you know, a Patriot run or rally in the
dollar and it could just wash out.
So there's a lot of things I'm weighing right now.
And admittedly, this is, you know, this is all, well, I guess it's a
little bit, for lack of a better word.
It's rather difficult for me to get a good read on price.
So that's why I'm keeping it really, really short-term.
And I've mentioned this over the last couple of months, because of
all the uncertainties out there, I'm real comfortable staying in the, in
the lower timeframes and not being too ambitious about my objectives.
And today, even that didn't help,
you can use the yields for a short-term trading, but.
Yeah, it's not necessary now.
Um, well, Raj, you're saying that, uh, you thought trading was gonna get easier.
I see elections that my activity levels going to increase, but the easy part,
that's going to be relative to whatever.
It's easy when we get out of the trade and we look back and say that
was painless, but we don't know for certain it's going to be like that.
One more trick in the trade.
Yeah.
We're going to be in London just about every day, unless I tell you otherwise.
All right.
So we're making a run on the initial hi,
$1
cable doing.
Yeah, it don't make any sense there.
I do not know what cables doing here.
Yeah, good morning, Adam.
Um, I was going to have a session at 10 o'clock, but I changed gears because I
thought I had an opportunity to take some action this morning on the New York open.
And I've since, uh,
been corrected.
How often does it happen for me to get a string of losses?
Well, if I trade every day, you're going to have, you're going to see a lot
more losses than I normally would have, but that's all part of the mentorship.
You're gonna be able to see how you deal with the losses or how I deal with them.
Let's put it that way.
Um, it's not my interest again, to inspire you to trade every single trading
day, but I want you to you'll learn.
You'll learn things by watching me trade, whether they're profitable
or unprofitable, and you're going to learn things about price action
and why I'm doing certain things.
And if I encounter resistance or draw down, you'll see how I actually
go against and mitigate debt.
Because even if I do.
A lot less frequent.
I still get lost as I just don't do as many losses as you're going
to absolutely see with me doing it.
So I don't want you to focus on primarily the, the, the level of accuracy.
That's not what we're focusing on.
And what we're focusing on is the, the application of the concepts and where
these concepts do their best work.
There's gonna be days of the week and times of those days that certain concepts
are going to work better than others.
And by your involvement in immersion, in that, you'll be
able to see what suits you better.
I mean, you know, there's three primary setups that I use.
One of them you're gonna gravitate to.
It's going to make so much sense that you're gonna not
worry about the other two.
And you're just gonna say, okay, I like, you know, I like stop runs,
you know, like turtle soup, you know, or I like, uh, you're trading back
a fair value makes sense to me or the bullshit bear sort of blocks.
And again, looking at the examples every single day and getting a read on price.
You'll see why I elect as a professional trader, not to do every day.
I'm very selective on when I trade.
And the problem is, is you want a tutorial or you want me to be able
to tell you in a paragraph setting, you know, this is what I do to avoid
all the new, to less likely trades.
And there's really no way for me to teach that outside of just
showing you every single trading day, what it's like doing it.
And then all of a sudden it'll become clear that it has to be experienced.
I guess that's what I'm saying.
You have to see it happen.
And then if that makes sense, obviously after that, but it
can't be shown conceptually.
And that's why you can't learn in books.
I can't write a book and teach it.
It has to be done over my shoulder, showing you in charts.
This is what it looks like.
This is what happens.
And if this happens, this is what you do.
And because we don't know, you know, you never know what the price is going to be.
You know, it's always going to be dynamic.
Yeah, I would, uh, I'd be a little leery too.
If I, if I was on here claiming I never lost.
That's a good point, Andrea.
But you'll see, once you understand what you're going to be trading in
as your personal model, you'll be highly selective in your trades too.
And by doing that, your trade frequency is going to drop off a lot.
And if you were comparing it with other people.
You know, it's not going to, um, it's not gonna look awesome and sexy cause
you're, you're a very passive trader and there's nothing wrong with pass it along.
It's net positive by the end of the year, you need money.
It's great.
Um, breakers are, I think that's in market maker.
I don't know what video it is though.
If you tweet it in a group to my know how, because they're more organized
in terms of where that stuff is actually in the tutorial sections.
All right.
Keeping an eye on the dollar index.
It's still making a run for that dollar.
What is this?
Oh seven level
so far the optimal trade entry dyes are right.
Can we find it by going public assets, Twitter?
And he got their optimal Jeff's old short here.
ICT.
Thanks me, mom in here.
I tried to buy it.
Scott saying market-maker series part five is mitigation blocks.
So hopefully I helped you.
Is that where I'm actually talking about the breakers?
Got
I apologize.
I have so much content.
I don't know exactly where everything is.
This is not the 10 o'clock, uh, webinar.
That was something different.
I was going to do another session.
How does losing effect one psychology when treating large accounts for clients?
Are there different roles?
Um, well it depends on who's psychology that you're referring to the effecting.
Is it going to be that you have the trader or the manager or the clients?
Because I can tell you going to never happy when they see
money going out of the account.
Okay.
The, the trader psychology is the same as we've been talking about here.
Um, when you're trading a larger account and you're managing other people's funds,
you have to really dial back the leverage.
Uh, you gotta dial back the risk and we gotta be like, under 1%, you can't
be trading more than 1% portrayed.
Um, the client base will not tolerate a lot of swings in equity.
They won't allow it, they won't stomach it.
You'll be inundated with people wanting to know where you're at.
You know, why is this happening?
And it imagine that imagine if you were managing a fund and you
had say a hundred people in it.
Okay.
And I'll just throw that number out there, indiscriminately, but just say
for instance, you had a hundred clients out there that you're managing funds
with and they're, you know, they have access to your information that they're
asking you, where are we at today?
And they're really invested in wanting to know the day by day fluctuations.
Um, it's all part of your prospect list.
You don't want to be giving them that access right away.
Uh, you don't want them to be worrying you because there's nothing more
unnerving than knowing that you got other people's money at risk and
the success of them having profit is your ability to think clearly.
So you're never going to think clearly if you know, Yeah, well, there's no real
nice way of saying it, but know impatient, um, unrealistic, unreasonable investors.
Okay.
They think every trade is going to go in their favor and the account should
go straight up and they're millionaires, you know, um, you want to be able to
build in during your prospectus that they will absorb some draw down, but to
keep it in realistic terms and it's, it's favorable for them, they can tolerate it.
You can't take trades larger than 1% risk.
He can't do it.
So that way it allows your, uh, equity base to be a smooth curve up.
But it won't be a dramatic like you see with me doing with, uh, my effects
book, where I'm doing 60% month returns.
You can't do that with large funds.
And if you're thinking you're gonna do that, you need to stop
that right now because no, one's gonna allow you to do that.
As soon as you do it one month and you can't deliver the
second month, it's over for you.
You, you're never going to be hearing the end of it.
You know, what's happening.
Why aren't you doing as good either the last month?
All those things will have an effect on your psychology as the trader.
And if you're the managing trader of the fund or your other people's money
or your own account, it's like when you tell your spouse, the worst thing you can
do is tell your spouse what you've done.
You're going to tell her or him that you made money today, or you made money
yesterday, or your, your, your, uh, But you won't tell them you lost money
because you know, what's going to happen.
They're going to start asking you questions and you know how you're going
to feel if they ask those questions.
And some of you know, this is the fact, so you're never going
to say it to your spouse because you know what, what if scenarios?
And because you know that what scenarios are going to potentially be there.
If you tell your spouse, they're like your trade partner.
Okay?
So now what you're doing is you're beating yourself up and you haven't
even revealed anything to them.
So now you feel guilty about it.
So you have all these psychological impacts on the answer.
That's why either you're their manager or you're not.
And if you're managing that information is for you to worry about no one else.
So that's, you have to keep that clear.
And when you, when you sit down with clients and you manage the funds for
them, before you even receive the money, you just go, they were honest and say,
look, we don't do monthly updates.
And we do on a quarterly basis.
And every quarter you'll get a rate return and performance report.
And by spacing that out, it gives you a great deal of well comfort zone.
I mean, you just don't want people worrying all day
long, he's you can't focus.
You can't think you're going to be worrying about what
that person's wanting to do.
He's he going to call me?
She going to call me again tomorrow.
They're going to be asking for their money out when you've already
explained to them that you, you you're locked in for a specific time.
You know, when you set your fund up, you have to have a.
Uh, clear defined terms of when disbursements are made.
Um, all those types of things are outlined and much like people in mentorships and,
and subscription programs, you know, they they'll pay the payment they get in.
And if they get a little bit of, uh, adverse experience, they immediately
looking for the exit ramps.
Oh, this isn't for me.
Well, did you think you were going to get into the trading
world and never absorb a loss?
That's that's the problem with the industry because it's
been sold that it's perfect.
So you're going to have that barrier as a trader that's
managing other people's funds.
I have that more than anything.
And when I was assisting other people with their money, that was the worst
experience for me, knowing that people had access to me and worrying every single
day, either by phone call voicemail, um, eight new emails constantly asking
you why didn't the rate of return be as high as the previous month?
You know, why are we less active this month?
And the smartest thing I ever did was saying, look, you know,
we're going to quarterly updates because I can't, I can't focus.
I got so many people wanting to know why it's not performing as it did last week.
Who's managing the account, then it's not you.
It's the emotional customers, the, the, uh, the principal.
Okay.
If the principal is telling you.
How you should be trading, then you shouldn't be managing their
funds, give them money back to them and let them manage it.
So, yeah, th th and that's true, man.
Uh, you know, people are never going to be satisfied when it comes to money.
And I'll be honest with you.
I'm not gonna say any names, but, uh, you know who you are
and I'm not, I'm not upset.
Okay.
I get it.
But the dynamic changed as soon as I put a price tag on this, if I would have
did this in a live setting, and it was just on YouTube, your, um, commitment
or the attachment to it emotionally and psychologically for me, having three
losses would have been, well, I feel good.
Now I take a loss and so does ICT.
It's no problem, but now it's not that easy because now you're paying a
premium to be here watching me do this.
So it changes the dynamic.
Whereas before you'd be very patient where I would release
a video whenever I wanted to.
Now, it's like, if I'm five minutes late, you know, what's going on the
link isn't working, everything changes.
So when money's involved, just understand that there's a great deal
of paradigm shift that takes place.
And that's why it's very difficult to manage other people's money.
In my opinion, that's the hardest thing to do.
What's wrong with the cable going down with the dollar up, obviously, you know,
it's going to do what it wants to do.
I don't like it.
I don't like that.
Set up to be honest with you.
I like this or block here.
That's why I like the 24 80 level.
So if it goes down into this candle here, I'm going to be expecting
it to find support, depress up and close in this range up here.
That's why I got this highlighted here.
This is bare.
So we're blocked.
I think we're going to try to make one more run up
gold and silver.
I don't have any opinion on right now because it's completely washed out.
I'm on the sidelines for the metals right now.
Well, I don't have to do that anymore.
Cliff cliff saying that, uh, I'm sorry, not cliff.
Uh, O M F X.
I'm not sure what the LMF ex.
Demanding only report once a year, like Warren buffet did.
I don't manage other people's money anymore.
So I don't have that problem.
I have a new problem.
I have 800 plus people to keep happy.
I didn't have 800 people as a principal.
I had far less involved in the fund.
The reason why I'm not short is because I've already used my daily allowance
with trades south accident executed three times today with no positive return.
So I have to stick to that role and exercise, patience and control.
It's a measure.
I am.
I had to employ that when I was a younger man on the miracle online.
Um, I did a lot of trading where I did a lot of trades and sometimes, and it
was a very, very few and far between some times because of that excessive.
Frequency and trading, trying to get back losing trades.
I would come back and either get my loss back or make it
a positive gain on the day.
And of course my ego would be huge young, better than I really am or
thinking them better than I really am.
But it happened so infrequent, you only need one of those that occur
to want to keep doing it again.
And I learned a very painful lesson and lots of money being lost, that
if I have three losing trades in the same day, I got to pull the plug.
I can't, I can't do it because number one, I admittedly, what I'm thinking
right now is I'm not connected.
I'm not dialed in.
I don't feel like I have a beat on the market.
So it took a number of years for me to develop that and force it as a protocol.
I can't trade again.
And honestly, it's very painful, you know, when you have to trade with that
rule and you see the setup, you see it, you see it there, but you remind
yourself, Hey look, you know, I thought I saw it before and it didn't pan out.
How much can you get a one daily rate and stuff?
The question I have, I forced myself to answer in one daily candle.
How many setups can you get?
There's not a lot, you know, preferably it's like one really good one or
two, maybe London and New York.
But outside of that, you know, if you, if you burn your, uh, you know, your.
Your ammo, if you will, on three shots and you get nothing
out of it, you got to wait.
You just got to simply wait.
And subscriber-based things like I'm doing here.
If you're a new trader man, this is like a mind screw for it.
You're like, man, this isn't what I expected.
You know, you're already writing emails, getting ready to send it to me.
This is not as described and it's one day.
So if it may not be three trades for you, you know, some of you may have a little
bit more, uh, willingness to absorb more losses and maybe trade with less risk.
So it permits you a lot more trades, but I'm over my threshold for the day.
I can't trade anymore.
So it doesn't matter how good the trade set up is.
I'm not allowed to execute.
And the person in control is me.
I'm holding myself to a level of.
Accountability.
I can't, I'm not permitted to take in the trade for this trading day.
As soon as Asia opens up tonight, I'm allowed to trade again, but
I'm not really active in Asia.
So now what does that say?
I can't really, really expect to take a trade until we do another London open.
And this is such a minor amount of pips.
It's such a minor amount of percentage.
Um, it only takes one good setup and it's complete, completely erased.
And I have a whole weekly expectation in terms of what I normally have as
a target, still stack on top of it.
So, you know, it's, I understand.
And you know, I'm not reading anybody complaining here, but I
already know what you're thinking.
Some of you are already thinking, man, you know, I, I did this trade.
I took this trade and you know, I don't, I don't feel comfortable with that.
This, um, you know, I'm paying money and now I've just paid money out of my account
on an, on a trade that I was following.
I don't like this feeling.
And now you're going to think about this all day long.
It's going to be that yet.
And you can either say, you know what, it's unrealistic to me for
me to expect a 100% hit rate.
You have to have, um, uh, um, willingness to absorb losing trades.
It's going to happen.
I promise it was going to happen.
Where's the run on the Euro low we've seen in low dollar.
Not yet.
Almost
so dollar has yet to make
it's a higher high while the Euro did breach.
It's low
cable, still quoting it at 24 80 level
Keds, heart, heart attack.
Still not making any sense.
They keep coming back on dollar CAD for all the trail cell stops
and they keep pressing higher.
Eventually one of these moves when they take out the end,
it could be today, really.
I mean, it's just, it's going to be just like this too.
I'm not allowed to take any trades.
So they came down and clear all the stops out and then vault and go up to the 1 38.
So there's that low in the weekly chart we noted at 1 0 7 17.
So they'll probably wash that out.
In other words, trade through it.
Try to remind myself, sometimes you folks that are in other parts of the
world may not understand mine slang.
Okay, Dallas should press through your high.
Now.
I'm not sure if I was in mid sentence earlier about something and got distracted
or if I completed my comment, but
yeah, it's my Baltimore accent.
I put an R in.
What would be otherwise wash out?
I say wash.
I'm not, I was raised by basically a Virginians and a guy from
Pennsylvania, my grandfather.
So I got that as my slime or my, well, it would be my
th we're escaping.
What does it mean when, uh, you gotta have an accurate.
And that's it, Danny ocean on?
I don't say that though.
I always make fun of the people right here saying that.
All right.
We have a run on the high $1 index.
Finally got through that.
Now, are we seeing at the same time acceleration on the Cape on fiber?
Yes.
So we'll be looking for 1 0 7 17 to be blown out
humility.
That's the focus today, Michael, learn from it.
Learn from it.
Yeah.
Cable's not making any sense to me.
I got no problem in meeting it.
I don't think that this parent knows what it wants to do.
That's nice market symmetry right there.
Notice how we made a higher high on the dollar.
Relative this old high, we made a higher high.
At the same time we have this old low, and it's made a lower, low on Euro.
That's how market symmetry should be.
In other words, when you see that it's confirming.
So in other words, this is permitted to go higher for the
dollar and lower for the Euro.
Doesn't always happen that that justifies continuation, but you don't
want to see what we're seeing here or the Euro was making a, a failed
higher high, no words made no attempt to get higher than this old high here.
At the same time, it went lower here because everything is inverse.
So if the dollar is going higher, foreign currencies, you're a dollar.
It should be going lower.
If the dollar is making a lower, low at the same time that the Euro doesn't
make that higher high, it's showing underlying weakness here on this pair.
And this has potential stop run on cell stops.
And then obviously you can see the post price action.
Uh, Adam, I don't know why the cable's not making any sense.
That's why I don't have any opinion about it right now.
When in doubt, stay out
that weekly, low for your dollars.
One 50.
At 1 0 7 17 on this date of feat
dollar index.
Remember we're watching 100 point 50.
Let me scroll this down.
You can see that's the upside objective for dollar.
Here's your weekly run on the low on 1 0 7 17 Euro dollar
score one for the optimal trade entry.
I see T3 three losses in the same day.
Yes.
Fiber's a low resistance equally when I mentioned that in London,
making the rhino loads like that.
Uh, no, I don't think that it's a magic number for you personally, to adopt
three trades as a maximum for the day.
Again, it's all going to come back to your personal risk
tolerance and what suits you.
I mean, I'm, I'm trading at 2% risk on the trades, so that obviously
doesn't give me a whole lot of trades to take if I'm wrong, but if you're
trading it like half a 1%, yeah.
You can do a lot more trades than I can and still meet within a
reasonable amount of risk for the day.
Well, if you're trading with 30% risk, you need to be in Las Vegas casino
time comparing the dollar index and pound, but you say that the lbs shows.
British pounds showing strength.
And that's basically what I was saying earlier in terms of why I think that
24 80 level should be support because I think they're going to want to
take cable hire, and we should sh you shouldn't be seeing Europan higher.
I thought I have a chart up here for, but don't nail.
And actually we're not.
Now when I say, why did I say that?
Good grief?
That's it that backwards.
So Euro's tanking and cables being held sideways.
So it would be a down move on your pants.
I said that backwards.
No, Miguel, this isn't a test.
Like you, there's no hidden agenda here.
I promised you you're paying for my time.
So I'm trying to give you a read on what I see every single trading day.
And because of that, you know, I'm invariably going to have
days where I read it wrong.
I'm confident that I'll be able to mitigate the losses by Friday's closed.
But I can't guarantee that if anyone took trades, they're going to do
the same because you're probably always scared to take the next setup.
If I was to say, I'm going to trade tomorrow, you can be like,
let me watch and see if this one's going to be right first.
Exactly.
Thank you for posting that, Joel,
this is not a signal service.
That's next ear.
I can already hear the complaints.
Why don't you give me a trade signal every day?
Well, admittedly, um, the question I just asked is how does, how am I feeling
with three losing trades in the same day, knowing that there's people watching
well, there's, there's always people watching, you know, they all there,
whether you see my trade or not, that's always in the forefront of my mind because
I, I do the stuff that I teach, but I don't trade every single trading day.
So by having a very selective procedure about when I take trades, it reduces my,
my frequency and it lowers my loss count and keeps me at a high accuracy rate.
Not that that's my goal.
I don't want to, I don't like being in trades.
And I've said this before, um, being in the market is a lack of control
in my personality is, is I have to have, I have to have a control.
So when I have control it's in the analysis before.
Which is why I love the analysis part of the trading, but the
actual execution and being in the marketplace with exposed risk.
I hate it.
I don't like it.
I don't want to be in it.
Um, and I don't think anybody really does because it's an uncertainty,
you know, we don't know, you know, we don't know what the, uh, what
the next move is going to be.
We don't know what the outcome of the trade is going to be.
As soon as you entered a trade, it's over, you know, the control aspect is only in
your hands to the degree where you can collapse the trade or your stop-loss
is hit, or your, your targets hit.
And that brings the end of it.
So what I'm feeling is the same way I felt when I was in, uh, my internet,
internet relay chat room, when I was doing bicycles for the S and P um, when
I was making wins and, and everybody was seeing that everything was great.
It was, you know, salad days easy.
It was great.
Everybody was high-fiving each other.
It's great.
Wonderful.
It's like any other time, when you, when you have a poor performance,
you know, you're going to have folks that are going to be emailing you
and asking you what's going on.
It's just system broke.
Now this has stopped working, you know, are they trying to stop you
from making money as your broker?
Screw me now.
No, that has nothing to do with it.
This is, I was wrong.
That's all, that's all it is.
It's wrong.
But what I'm thinking is I already know some of you that are so new.
Um, it's going to have a great deal of impact on.
The rest of your day today, you're going to be thinking about all day.
You mean you're gonna be dwelling on it, you know, why did these traits not work?
And why didn't I see it as this?
And why was I saying the market should do this or that?
And it didn't do it.
So it's, uh, it's going in that car.
It's going to be a test.
Not that I intended it to be a test, but it's gonna be a test for you.
Do you take the ability of assuming risk and then assault, assuming
that risk and then taking that loss, does that change your conviction
about wanting to be a trader?
Because if it does, trading's not going to be for you and no mentor,
no, no teaching, no system, no nothing is going to help that until you allow
yourself to say, okay, well look, you know, I'm going to, I'm going to
have days where I don't make money.
I'm going to miss opportunities and I'm going to lose.
Yeah, I'm just reading the comment.
If I do a signal service, I expect a hundred percent guarantee accuracy.
So to answer your question in short and sweet terms, um, I'm always
concerned that you, as the subscriber.
Um, we'll make more about one trading days, performance then sh
then reasonably, uh, should be made.
So, but I understand how it was as a new trader too.
So it it's, I already know that the likelihood of you getting fear based
emails saying, look, you know, I'm not sure what's going on, or you're
probably going to be, uh, reluctant now to send the email, because if you've
traded life funds, when you're not supposed to be doing it yet, the, uh,
that pain is going to be more for you.
And it's going to be a psychological barrier for you now, because,
and when we do the next set up, you're going to be thinking the
last three traits were losers.
What makes this trade any different?
And then what's going to happen is also, you're going to go in and
you're gonna start picking apart and critiquing the setup instead of trying
to learn from the setup, the feedback that you get from the price action.
See, what I'm trying to do is I'm putting, I'm putting you nose into
the chart and saying, okay, based on what I understand, what I know, this
is what I think the market should do.
If it doesn't do those things.
Okay.
Obviously I slept through London in an allowed the full staff.
So I can't do anything about that.
And I was willing to take that loss, but when I'm in the market live, if I
see things that don't make sense and I can describe them to you and I collapsed
the trade, you learn a great deal from.
You don't make money from that trade.
You don't make money from that experience, but you learn a thought
process about why I'm doing the things that you otherwise can't learn.
I can't write it in a book.
I can't, I can't show it to you in a video where it makes sense, but as I'm
doing and seeing it and live describing it, that's what I wanted to know.
I wanted it to know what makes the trader like this is what pissed me off.
When I would see people that made profitable trades.
When we were on American line, it was all message boards.
So it was kinda like forum based ID delivery.
So when I would read these folks, they would show their
trades and they were real trades.
I mean, they would show E-Trade statements and Lynn Waldock and Fox
investments, all the, all the brokerage firms that were out there for futures
and stock trading, they would put their, uh, their screenshots up there.
And this was before Photoshop was around all that kind of stuff,
where you would see, like you would clearly see, this is what it was.
And I would always ask them, Hey, look, you know, why wouldn't you
have been shaken out by this or that?
And they wouldn't tell you.
And I found that very problematic for me as a, as a developing trader, because I
felt that that's what people were hiding from me to people that were making money.
They had some seeker performance protocol that they used to to see
when these losing trades were.
They start off.
Obviously everyone thinks that the tree is going to be a winner, but
then when you get in there, what are those characteristics that show that
trade no longer being a winning trade.
I did a lot of work with that initially in my trading, because I was fearful,
I was 100% fearful of taking a loss.
I didn't want to lose.
And because if I lost, I would have, I would be accountable to my uncle.
I have to tell him, looking into someone because that was the
person I made accountability to.
I would show him what I was dealing with my trades.
Initially, it was the greatest thing I could ever done, but then it, eventually
it became the worst thing I could ever done because it became a psychological
arm wrestling match where, you know, as soon as he would tell me his opinion
on the marketplace, meaning a country and as I'm going, and I'm looking for
reasons to do the opposite of that.
And sometimes it was right, but then sometimes it wasn't.
So what was really driving me, the fact that I want to be different
than him, not the technical.
I was justifying my stance based on the assumption that he's always going to be
wrong, you know, broken clock's right.
Twice a day.
So if, if I could go back in time and tell myself what I knew now, it would
have been this when you see the trade that you're in and you see the warning
signs that it's not going to pan out for you the first time you get that.
Immediately view where your stop-loss is, and then cut that in half where
that would be in terms of stock, if it starts trading on that don't even
waste any more time with the trade, just collapse it, because if it's going
halfway to your stop, it's going to be very easy for it to go to a full stop.
And if you're feeling reluctant about holding that trade, if it's going halfway
to what you're willing to assume in terms of a loss in the technical stone will show
any indication that it's turning around.
Now, mind you, I didn't know, SMT diversions, then I didn't know any of
these things, but what was, what was the defining moment for me that change what
I'm actually doing when I'm in to trade?
The only control I have is knowing when I want to hold it and when I'm going to
bail on it, when I want to get out of it.
And the other term, uh, the other two, uh, Terminus of that is
my profit being hit or my stop.
So either the best outcome is, is my profit is hit or
I'm going to take a full stop.
I don't want a full stop, even though I'm willing to take it as a catastrophic loss.
That means if the market spikes against me, I'll take that as a
loss and say, okay, I was wrong.
And it's limited to just that.
But when I go into a trade, I'm actually trying to manage, not losing
that full stop, but still having the potential to making that full profit.
And it takes being in the marketplace.
Seeing it being done explained why.
Cause every, every pattern and every day is going to be different.
There's going to be different things that, um, I guess provide the context of why
these things would happen, but there's a generic thing that goes along all of them.
But again, it can't be conceptualized to such a broad brush idea that, Hey,
look, this is how it's done all the time.
You have to see it experientially.
And once you do, you'll, it'll make sense to you.
It's kind of like, you know, like I don't like golf.
I tried it in high school.
Um, I just couldn't hold a golf putter.
Right.
I couldn't, I couldn't do it.
Right.
I just couldn't do it.
Right.
And I don't have the patience for it.
And I had kids in my class that would get up there and just nail all the
time, get real close to wherever they were trying to aim it for.
And it didn't make any sense to me.
How do they keep doing this stuff?
And because I didn't have the patience to go through the skill set, practicing
of it, I already knew I committed the fact that I don't want to do that.
So why waste my time?
But if you have that inspiration to be a trader, you're going to have to go through
this process of grinding through it.
And it's not always going to be a positive return.
That negative return is actually a very profitable, uh, learning environment.
All right.
So we're, we're going to see draggy come in here and have his.
I didn't mean to offend you or, uh, your affinity for Gulf Jacob on the St.
I just don't personally like it.
I like lacrosse and soccer, but outside of that, I don't like sports.
Yeah.
Cable is not looking good.
I don't like the fact that we went down below that we're blocked here, this
down candle, even though I'm willing to see it go down to this candle is high
1 24 36, basically 1 24 35, 1 24 40.
That's like the line in the sand.
If you will, if we lose that is going to want to go lower.
And we won't be looking to trade up into this range.
Uh, the question is when I was taking the trade, was I watching
the weekly Euro downside objectives?
I was aware of them, but I was expecting some pullback and expectation
of whatever drug you would say.
Yeah, I don't have any opinion on CAD.
I just think, well, I guess I did have opinion.
If I'm going to say something now, um, I don't have a position
on CAD, but I do suspect that they're going to drive it higher.
I'm waiting on Steve to confirm he has a microphone before we can set up anything.
It wouldn't be today because we're already long in the tooth
with, uh, with today's session.
First,
first impression on today.
Bias that I should've stuck with.
Um, well, I had to be careful about what I say about my opinion.
The question is, is how can I not have an opinion about any
instrument you can be neutral.
And that's kind of like where I'm at with everything now.
Cause I can't, I can't take any action.
The more I talk about the setups, the more anxious I feel because I am human.
I see, I see the setups that would potentially be there, but I don't
have the permission based on my rules to take any more trades for today.
So I don't want to sell the idea of, or inspire anybody to take
something that I myself can't take.
I appreciate that, Mike, I'm not, I'm not beating myself up.
I'm not sulking or anything like that.
I just I'm responding to a lot of people's comments and questions.
I'm on to the next trade at London.
I'm not worried about it.
Yeah.
The trend line,
the trend line I had on the pound dollar next, let's look with that again.
That actually, uh, well, when you see that, what the condition is for the
set up for a false trend lines, this is, this would have been a failure too.
So I would have, if I would have taken a fourth trade, okay.
Let's say I would have taken a fourth trade.
That would have been a loser too.
That would have been what was your on the pound dollar?
So I would've lost money on the other one too.
So I would have been a really bad day, which is again, another testimony to.
Well, I have to have a limit.
And when you go, at what point do you draw the line?
I mean, I knew some people out there that teach and such, they'll say, you
gotta take, you gotta trade your edge.
You know, you got to do your next set up regardless.
You gotta take the next trade now, you know, it's, I guess it's true in a sense,
but how many of those edge trades do you have inside of a normal trading day?
That's that's where my work has taken me, where I got a cap at somewhere and I think
three is it can't be more than three.
Uh, why don't we focus on your own pound?
There's not always something in your opinion,
if the dollar is, um, delivering very clear your message, that it
wants to go somewhere, I'm going to live there when the dollar is
uncertain, then I use your opinion.
Um, that's an interesting question.
Uh, you know, would it makes sense for them to do it?
Liquidity play right now at 3:00 PM and reverse to create
upside liquidity for tomorrow?
Um, if I were in control of price on the Euro,
What I would do personally is I would send it higher right from here.
Cause we've already taken the low out for people that we're trying to capture.
The low they're washed out to those cell stops have been washed.
So if they'd taken price below that low with no advancement or a dynamic movement,
I'm going forward past that low now, which we just went below a little bit.
Now we're already going back per personally, I would have
expected this to be a lot more aggressive as it moved below.
It, it hasn't done that.
So they may be out here collecting the cell stops.
And if they're going to collect the cell stops, what does that imply?
They're accumulating long positions.
So if they're going to Akili it down here, where would they want
to distribute those longs up here?
It's not like a broken record, but I just, I see that level back here.
And it just looks so obvious that they want that level built
up and a lot of trust in it.
So we could see in my mind, I'm thinking if I had control, I'd make a run on
everybody's short because they've been thinking about what they'd done here.
They had a low that they've taken price down to below it.
It bought up some more data on this below this low, they bought up more cell stops.
So now they have hedged in longs here, here.
So if they make a run on the buy stops here, here, and up to the
gap, they have a logical area where they can unload that and make a book
and also hedge against the down.
Move on your.
But I've been wrong three times today.
So bear that in mind.
I'm just saying hypothetically, if I had control over price,
that's how I would deliver it.
Cause I could, I could facilitate market-making.
I would pair orders to where logical buyers would be after
a killing the cell stops.
I would've been wrong.
Four times Connor would have been, and we're going to stick to the facts here.
I was wrong.
Three times, they thought I'd taken the trade on cable.
That would have been a loser.
Didn't you use Euro pound before to determine what Euro and pound dollar
was going to do after looking at that?
Yes, but when there are specific conditions, like there's going to
be times where you don't necessarily lean too much on the dollar because
it's going to be in a consolidation.
So you have to lean on Euro pound to see where its liquidity is above or below.
And that'll give you the potential play on what currency to trade.
Because if, for instance, say for instance, uh, dollars and the
consolidation, which is not now, but say it's in a consolidation and you just
feel like that Euro is going to go home.
Well, if that's true, then Euro pound is going to have either a void.
It wants to close in on the upside or stop run that could potentially be
running above an old high while cable has nothing really bullshit right away.
And then Europound suggests that that long.
And you're a dollar is probably going to be favorable while
dollars in consolidation is when consolidation is seen in us dollar
index, you have dollar neutrality.
So with that underlying basis where the dollar can not move higher or lower
with integrate deal of magnitude, it doesn't negate trades that can be made
in foreign currencies long or short.
It just means that gene, you have to do more analysis with their crosses and
it's same way with, uh, the Japanese yen.
Um, when you're looking for the Jack H N D to remain in a consolidation, but the
Euro and pound, it looked like they can potentially go one right direction or the
other, um, the same thing unfolds there by using the pound pounding in or your again,
Aussie dollar hasn't made any sense to me either.
Um, like I said, the markets are digesting a lot of things.
They were worrying about whether or not Hillary is going to put
us in nuclear war with Russia.
Uh, whether Donald Trump is going to export all the Muslims and, uh, block,
you know, um, the Mexicans, uh, with a border wall with no drive-thru.
And, uh, in my mind is there's a lot of things to the, everybody is
basically trying to figure out just like we are, you know, there's a lot
of things to weigh out immediately.
It's not easy right now.
It's not easy at all,
but in the coming weeks, it'll smooth out a little bit.
He's got to give it time.
Yeah.
I hate to say it, but I think Donald Trump's going to get shot.
Not, I'm not wishing for that to happen, but I just don't see him
getting in the office in January.
And I won't say that in public forum, only YouTube, but that's my personal belief.
He's just not a skull and bones kind of guy.
So if you're not, you're not in that click, you can't, you
can't be part of the party.
Um, well, I don't want to turn this teaching into a political discussion.
I want to kind of keep it on the topic of technical details, but I
can certainly talk about that stuff.
And, uh, in my free forum.
So, so far we've not seen anything except for the same,
this type of price action in here where we have consolidation and rallies and
comes back into the consolidation.
I find that more favorable for me to trade when we haven't moved so far in one
direction, like we've seen on the dollar, the dollar index on a daily basis is, has
been screaming and it's reading higher.
And I just don't want to get too bored.
On the dollar and, you know, it's, I don't want to, I don't
want to buy it at this level.
I'm more willing to see a reversal pattern and unfortunately,
reversal patterns have that price.
Sometimes you got to pay, you know, and just too many updates in a row
for me and for my personal taste.
But once it gets to one, 100 point 50 basis, the dollar, uh, then things can
get really interesting because if we blow through that man alive, we got,
we got some real issues to contend with because it could be the running a lot
higher than I thought on the dollar.
Um, Larry, I'm not sure I'm asking your question is why wouldn't we see
this Euro dollar pest distribution
referring to what specifically?
Yeah, I don't want to buy cable.
I don't want to buy it.
I think it's going to punish me if I did it and I can't, I'm not allowed to
do it today anyway, but you're asking, you're asking me a question about why
would it be, would it be a good buy?
I want to buy it.
I personally, this is, this is my thought processes and there's been several, you'd
been asking about my view on equities in S and P and the down the NASDAQ.
Um, I don't like the fact that we're seeing this raging dollar
rally in the dowel mated higher height, and it doesn't make sense.
Um, there shouldn't be a run to the dollar.
If equities are bullish, it doesn't, it doesn't jive.
So, um, I'm gonna tweet this on my public forum.
We had some jackass say, well, you just revealed something that every
trader has an understanding of.
Well, and that's, that's a showed the, the scope of cause understanding the point.
The point is, if we're looking at equities, And my expectation is we were
looking for a higher high before they crash it because they have to build
in this idea that we got through it.
We got through that uncertainty.
We got through that.
We have a new president, we have this, and we have that.
But in the meantime, behind the scenes, they're paying for people to
go around in cities, busing them in and paying them a dollar wage of 19 to
$21 an hour to protest against Trump.
So if you have to pay for them to do it, there's not enough to do it
on their own, and they're doing it to upset the, the whole thing, you
know, that they're causing unrest.
So I believe that in the fact that the federal reserve is this screwing, all
of the other currencies by rallying the dollar by doing that, we should not
be seeing equities, making new highs.
They should be tanking.
Okay.
And for the folks that did ask me an email, you know, what my opinion is on,
uh, S and P stocks and all that stuff, um, I've held true to, like I said, on
Twitter, I think it's going to crash, but it has to happen after it makes a
new high, they have to build in this idea that, okay, it's, it's okay, it's fine.
And it's going to take everybody by surprise.
When we just made this rally up and down made a new high historic highs, you know,
people are like, wow, why did this happen?
Where'd this come from?
Well, we were talking about that happening.
Know that was the most probable outcome to see.
But S and P and NASDAQ didn't follow suit.
And I haven't seen equities today, but the, uh, hang on one second.
Yeah.
SMP and, uh, NASA, X hasn't, they haven't made any, uh, equal high yet.
What's the doubt.
So to me personally, I think this is a lot of different things.
The dollar, uh, folks are running to the dollar because they're probably
unloading their stocks as the market's making their heart high.
They're unloading it and moving it into dollar base, uh,
protection.
I guess it's like the quality type thing.
And a couple that with the fact that, you know, the dollar is going to rally to
put pressure on Russia, to put pressure on other foreign currencies and like
it or not, where the federal reserve, you know, we're the global leader in
terms of currencies and we make or break most backs in a global, uh, economy.
So we muscle everything.
And we're seeing a relentless rally on dollar.
They want this thing over one, they want over this level here
could definitely want it there.
How much above that and for how long?
I don't know, but it certainly wants to get up there.
And we've called one or two to 1 0 7, $1 and parody on dollar.
And you're in a pound that the long long-term landscape, but we
had to trade the nail right now.
You can't trade, you know what can happen in 24 to 36 months?
If the dollar is rallying, that's gonna send, uh, gold lower.
If the dollar trades lower, that usually is a bullish and this for a pro metals and
especially gold they're inversely related,
I don't know, or even begin to anticipate what their ranges would be like.
If we go to parody between Euro and dollar, but I believe it's going to
be exciting as we get closer to it.
There's a lot of talk and drum beating about world war three
and new, and this and that.
The only thing I think if we see parody on, um, Euro and the dollar ident, I think
that's when world war three could happen.
That upsets the currencies.
Again, they upsets all the whole world.
The ultimate, I think that's where we're heading.
Uh, I don't know if it can be timed with a black Friday.
I don't know anything about that, but I suspect it'll happen on a weekend
where no one can do anything about it.
Banking wise.
That's usually when they do it.
Um, when, and if you knew you were on the wrong side of your dollar
long, why not reverse in short, since you'd be shorting at discount?
Uh, the number of trades I've already taken today keeps me from doing that.
I've already used three of my month trade, so I can.
And how does it make sense for some of you that are new to like, wait,
don't make any sense if you're going to trade, take the trade, but
by my experience, you know, Yeah.
If I'm wrong, I can be wrong again, like you saw today three times.
I don't want to see proof that I can be wrong eight times today.
I don't want to see that.
Yeah.
Well, this is a long, long day and without the outcome that I was aiming
for, but with 12 months of this, this is probably going to happen again.
So yourself prepared for it.
Here's the lower, low one cable.
Yeah.
Admittedly that I would not have sold that I can look at this with all kinds
of hunting site lipstick, all I want and I would not have sold 25 45 to 25
50, and this wouldn't have done it.
Wouldn't have done it.
But to answer your question, I just mentioned that earlier about.
Failure.
If I would have had that as my second trade, I would have reversed there.
Admittedly.
I know it would've done that, but I can't do it now because it's too
late and day two, I used my three trades for the one trading session.
Um, when they bring parody against what with other currencies,
it's it will, it's ultimately controlling in global economies.
Yeah.
Um, well let's just say this drug has yet to say anything to upset.
What's already been in motion today, which is not what I expected to see happen.
So all across the board, I was wrong, wrong, wrong, wrong.
So I have two pull the plug in just.
My pal there for another day.
Good thing is, is that we have Tuesday tomorrow.
We will be looking at Tuesdays London open again.
No, I'm Gary, I'm closing the session now, Paul, I'm just giving you the
final credits, the, uh, the video that we did this morning for London,
plus this one, I'm going to just compress it into one big, long video.
So it'll be a blend of what was talked about in the London session.
And then we'll segue right into the same video to this video here.
So it's going to be a little bit long, but, uh, it is what it is.
I mean, we're going to have short sessions going through the London session.
It'll be kind of like what we did last night, but a lot less time.
Um, I'm going to give you what I'm expecting and I'm going to
give you the contingency plan.
If this doesn't unfold, this is what I'll do.
And if that doesn't work out, then the idea will be waiting
for the New York session.
So I'm going to give you tonight again, uh, we'll sign on, I'll go
over the charts, tell you where I think the market may look to go for
our objectives, the daily bias, and, uh, w w take another stab at it.
But until then, I'm gonna close this one here and grab me some breakfast.
Just you need to take away is as you're going to get it wrong sometimes.
Don't be stuff up about it don't make more than, than it needs to be
made and just get ready for the next trading day and limit your losses.
You have to do that because what happens is, and then the closing comment.
If you don't limit your losses, then there's no limit on how much you can lose.
You can lose 2% over 16 trades.
If you allow yourself to do that, and every time you take a losing trade, you're
going to be that much more hungry and thirsty to get that money back right away.
I am not in a hurry to get that money back.
It's such a small objective to get back in small terms of a percentage.
I don't want to compound it and make more work for myself.
I want to day I've already read wrong.
So the battery life on this day is gone.
I'll have a new battery and a new trading day tomorrow, and I still
have the weekly range ahead of me.
So I'm not trying to force anything.
And that's the lesson I'm trying to teach you today is yes, I was absolutely
100% wrong on my outlook after changing gears from wanting to be embarrassed.
I was wrong.
If, if I submit to that and go into the next trading day, I'm okay.
I'm not worrying about rushing to get back to you to get
back to my old equity high or.
Upset about my staff.
I'm not worried about stats.
I'm worried about my net positive and my profitable.
And I'm am I in control of myself as the trader?
Because you're not in control.
I'm not going to help you.
Your spouse is going to help your broker.
Certainly not going to stop you.
If they wanted to stop you from losing money and controlling
yourself, they would limit the amount of trades you can take in a day.
And the last time I checked it, broker has an open policy with you
wanting to get into a trade, and you've got equity in your account.
Come on in and say, I'd love for you to come in.
So the takeaway today is limit your losses.
Know beforehand how many times you can trade, regardless of what
the set up show, lick your wounds.
Don't beat stuff about, and then go on to the next trading day with another fresh
outlook and no remorse, no toxic thinking.
No.
Oh, the last three trades are losers because if you think that it's going
to be a barrier to you taking executing on the next sale, you can't do it,
but we will trading with less risk.
Okay.
I'll still trade at, uh, one half, four or five minutes.
If I take another loss on that, I have to drop down to half of that and then I'll
live there until I get back all that loss.
So you'll actually see me do the very thing I teach in mitigating losses.
So until I talk to you later on tonight in the London session
until then I wish you good luck.
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