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00:00:04,320 --> 00:00:04,980
Okay folks.
2
00:00:05,580 --> 00:00:06,300
Welcome back.
3
00:00:07,410 --> 00:00:08,760
We have our first
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00:00:14,250 --> 00:00:15,210
losing day.
5
00:00:15,610 --> 00:00:21,750
Hasn't really ended yet, but it's still
going to end up with a net loss day at
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00:00:21,750 --> 00:00:24,990
two positions this morning, train Euro.
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And I'm not going to go over the details
about that because I'll take up time.
8
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It's going to be in the recording
and there's a real live there.
9
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I saw that anyway.
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00:00:36,270 --> 00:00:40,740
I do suspect that we've swept
out a low in hearing on Monday.
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00:00:41,940 --> 00:00:47,370
Typically is a, for me, it's a dicey day.
12
00:00:47,820 --> 00:00:48,120
Okay.
13
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And today was exactly that.
14
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Um, I got tripped up with the, uh,
London open, even though my analysis
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00:00:58,890 --> 00:01:00,690
was looking for a higher dollar.
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00:01:02,010 --> 00:01:06,660
This real close high had
made little too concerned.
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I know somebody tweeted saying that the
stock may have been okay, but yeah, there
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00:01:13,170 --> 00:01:14,460
was no indication I was going to happen.
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00:01:14,460 --> 00:01:18,450
So I felt justified by
canceling the short,
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00:01:21,930 --> 00:01:25,350
the fact that I'm watching
this order block down here.
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Good.
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If I can get that retreated down
into without getting too much of
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a run through these stops up here.
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That's what I'm looking for.
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Just so you know,
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uh, trendline Phantom.
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We'll talk about that as well.
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I think we've probably
made a significant low
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00:01:54,925 --> 00:01:57,175
the first half of the week in here.
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So I think we're going to make it
run for the stops above here and
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00:02:02,755 --> 00:02:05,574
closing this little gap at 1 0 8 40,
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00:02:51,505 --> 00:02:53,905
Shay, this chart maximize
you can see what I'm showing.
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00:02:57,405 --> 00:02:58,515
Put the stops above here.
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00:03:00,375 --> 00:03:05,805
Branders and we've receded since
then they kept this high in tax.
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00:03:05,805 --> 00:03:08,355
So they'll come back later on,
but I'll still see it today.
36
00:03:42,435 --> 00:03:42,645
Okay.
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All right.
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00:03:43,845 --> 00:03:49,005
So we are inside the series
of down candles in here.
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00:03:51,895 --> 00:03:56,395
The expectation is we're going to see
expansion and clear the stops here.
40
00:03:56,875 --> 00:03:59,665
Potentially, maybe run up
here and close this gap.
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00:04:12,565 --> 00:04:17,034
Now my positions today were
one standard lot on each.
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00:04:18,435 --> 00:04:21,524
And they round off at 2% each.
43
00:04:21,704 --> 00:04:24,795
So I have a 4% draw down on the account.
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00:04:25,515 --> 00:04:29,835
I am not permitted to take a
full standard lot trade until
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00:04:29,835 --> 00:04:32,865
I get back half of what I lost.
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00:04:34,065 --> 00:04:41,534
So that means I'm stuck at five
minutes until I can get 2% back.
47
00:04:41,895 --> 00:04:48,015
And then I can go back to trade
and 2% risk on a four standard lot.
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00:04:54,075 --> 00:04:54,555
Can you hear me?
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00:04:58,005 --> 00:04:59,295
I got a guy saying he can't hear me.
50
00:05:04,155 --> 00:05:04,335
Okay.
51
00:05:04,365 --> 00:05:04,725
Thank you.
52
00:05:05,625 --> 00:05:09,375
Um, it's the loss mitigation concept.
53
00:05:09,375 --> 00:05:15,164
I have a teaching on that should
be in the create tutorial section.
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00:05:16,335 --> 00:05:21,135
The idea is when you have, when you
have a losing trade and like today
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00:05:21,465 --> 00:05:23,775
I had two back-to-back same day.
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00:05:24,705 --> 00:05:29,925
So the idea is, is you don't want
to start a, a string of losses with
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00:05:29,925 --> 00:05:35,895
the maximum willingness of risk each
time you want to trim that back, uh,
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00:05:35,925 --> 00:05:38,055
because it has a psychological effect.
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00:05:38,055 --> 00:05:41,775
Whether you want to say you don't
feel anything about it or not, you do.
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00:05:42,315 --> 00:05:45,615
Um, the natural impulses is, you
know, I want to get that back.
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00:05:47,395 --> 00:05:50,395
I don't want to have
my account show a loss.
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00:05:50,785 --> 00:05:53,035
If I come back from it, it'll
show them a really good trader and
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00:05:53,035 --> 00:05:57,415
yada, yada, yada, you'll have all
these internal dialogues going on.
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00:05:58,015 --> 00:06:00,745
And the idea is your stock.
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00:06:00,775 --> 00:06:03,775
You'll start thinking that this is
the last chain day of your career.
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00:06:03,925 --> 00:06:05,245
And he has to, you have to have it back.
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00:06:05,725 --> 00:06:08,455
You know, you don't want to end
your career on a, on a losing day.
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00:06:13,215 --> 00:06:18,735
So the reminder that is the set ups that
occur very frequently, they re occurring.
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00:06:19,725 --> 00:06:24,555
So, because we don't know when our
next loss is going to be, that's
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00:06:24,555 --> 00:06:25,995
always going to be an uncertainty.
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00:06:26,475 --> 00:06:27,765
The certainty is it's going to come.
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00:06:28,755 --> 00:06:31,395
And we don't know if it's going
to be a series of losing trades.
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00:06:31,395 --> 00:06:36,075
And we don't know the impact of
our psychological makeup during
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00:06:36,075 --> 00:06:38,745
those losses, because everyone's
going to take them differently,
75
00:06:43,635 --> 00:06:45,495
but don't want to talk
too much about that.
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00:06:45,495 --> 00:06:49,035
Cause I can use all this commentary
at the end of the trading day.
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00:06:49,815 --> 00:06:52,035
I want to really focus on the
afternoon cause I do get a chance to
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00:06:52,035 --> 00:06:53,565
at least mitigate half of what I got.
79
00:06:54,705 --> 00:06:55,575
That's what I'm trying to do.
80
00:07:31,125 --> 00:07:35,775
Yeah, I'm going to have to,
so we're inside the down
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00:07:35,775 --> 00:07:38,835
candles here all down here.
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00:07:39,794 --> 00:07:42,735
1, 2, 3, 15 minute candles down.
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00:07:43,335 --> 00:07:45,315
Uh, the expectation is we're
going to see movement higher.
84
00:07:46,844 --> 00:07:49,875
So what this is is called
a close proximity entry.
85
00:07:50,354 --> 00:07:50,534
Okay.
86
00:07:50,534 --> 00:07:53,865
The expectation is we're going to
see expansion we're in the area where
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00:07:53,865 --> 00:07:55,125
the smart money would be buying.
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00:07:55,395 --> 00:07:55,635
Okay.
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00:07:55,635 --> 00:08:00,284
At a later time, when price is up here
somewhere, this will be a full tour block
90
00:08:00,284 --> 00:08:03,224
that we would expect the price trade
down into, and then maybe recapitalized.
91
00:08:03,765 --> 00:08:07,305
Well, if our understanding is we're
seeing expansion or potentially expansion,
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00:08:07,965 --> 00:08:10,995
and we're inside the range of these
down candles, we can still be a buyer.
93
00:08:15,305 --> 00:08:21,815
Now, when I buy this, I have
to have a stop below 55.
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00:08:21,815 --> 00:08:27,094
So it's going to have to
be a 30 PIP stop again.
95
00:08:27,094 --> 00:08:31,145
Notice I'm using five minis, not
using them one full standard lot.
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00:08:38,625 --> 00:08:40,845
So inside of the buys
of these down candles,
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00:08:44,385 --> 00:08:46,395
And I'll explain this once
I get my stop and such.
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00:08:46,395 --> 00:08:47,085
Give me a second.
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00:09:06,175 --> 00:09:06,505
okay.
100
00:09:06,505 --> 00:09:08,365
So I'll leave the prophet open.
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00:09:08,365 --> 00:09:11,245
I'll manage it as I go hard.
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00:09:11,245 --> 00:09:11,574
Stop.
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00:09:11,574 --> 00:09:11,935
Is that
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00:09:18,505 --> 00:09:19,345
30 pips?
105
00:09:22,495 --> 00:09:22,645
Okay.
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00:09:22,645 --> 00:09:25,194
So we're expecting movement through
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00:09:30,085 --> 00:09:32,365
old, low here, violated down.
108
00:09:32,395 --> 00:09:36,235
We've since come back above
dollar has already swept.
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00:09:36,235 --> 00:09:36,704
It's longer.
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00:09:36,704 --> 00:09:39,895
Longer-term daily stops up here.
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00:09:40,825 --> 00:09:41,545
Some breakdown.
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00:09:41,545 --> 00:09:45,265
I want to see this area on the dollar
giveaway and then we'll come down and
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00:09:45,265 --> 00:09:49,075
hopefully get to this 99, 25 ish level.
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00:09:50,005 --> 00:09:52,165
Um, hopefully draw, you can talk at down
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00:09:55,735 --> 00:10:00,505
cable and I'll just give you a peak here.
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00:10:02,185 --> 00:10:04,704
I was wanting to buy this
earlier, but I wasn't able to
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00:10:04,704 --> 00:10:08,005
get this life set up dining time.
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00:10:09,025 --> 00:10:10,135
Yeah, you're seeing a trend line.
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00:10:25,235 --> 00:10:25,685
Hi.
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00:10:26,555 --> 00:10:29,945
Hi, everybody's in retails, but
I'm going to be selling it here.
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00:10:30,905 --> 00:10:32,525
It's called a trendline Phantom.
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00:10:32,525 --> 00:10:35,675
It gives you the impression
retail is so easy.
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00:10:35,945 --> 00:10:36,785
A caveman can do it.
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00:10:36,785 --> 00:10:37,445
Let's get short.
125
00:10:38,285 --> 00:10:39,905
And then now she can see what's going on.
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00:10:41,435 --> 00:10:45,095
Uh, they're gonna be making a run
for the Sundays and high up here.
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00:10:45,125 --> 00:10:51,815
1 25 90 to 1 25 95 could
spike into 1 26 big figure.
128
00:10:53,705 --> 00:10:54,455
So we'll come back to that.
129
00:10:54,455 --> 00:10:55,175
I don't want to leave this on here.
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00:10:55,175 --> 00:10:56,795
Cause then all of a sudden
people will be sharing charts.
131
00:10:56,825 --> 00:10:59,165
Michael's still look at it as
this guy is doing trend lines.
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00:10:59,555 --> 00:11:02,645
I he's trendlines as a
contrarian indication.
133
00:11:02,645 --> 00:11:04,025
I don't look at them to trade off.
134
00:11:04,175 --> 00:11:05,165
I look more, they can fail.
135
00:11:07,405 --> 00:11:09,025
I knew Huddleston use trendline.
136
00:11:10,825 --> 00:11:11,575
I can hear it now.
137
00:11:12,445 --> 00:11:13,915
Lily screen capture and everything.
138
00:11:22,765 --> 00:11:28,525
So again, the expectation is we saw
price blow through the Sunday's low
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00:11:29,485 --> 00:11:35,994
here and let's look at the range and
I'll tell you what that one or 7 55.
140
00:11:35,995 --> 00:11:37,345
Well, isn't in a second.
141
00:11:39,075 --> 00:11:43,545
No this, and if I don't, if I don't
mention what the one, the 7 55 level is
142
00:11:43,545 --> 00:11:45,405
in the next 10 minutes, this prompt me.
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00:11:46,035 --> 00:11:48,375
I have the questions tab open,
but that's not an invitation.
144
00:11:48,915 --> 00:11:51,465
They ask me a million questions right
now because I'm focusing on trying
145
00:11:51,465 --> 00:11:52,875
to mitigate what I took as a loss to.
146
00:11:59,965 --> 00:12:06,445
So I am talking, uh, they want to
focus on this low here, price chase
147
00:12:06,465 --> 00:12:09,865
through that low, and now it's
shown an unwillingness to go lower.
148
00:12:10,435 --> 00:12:10,825
Okay.
149
00:12:11,215 --> 00:12:18,295
So, uh, retail traders are going
to see this as a trade on support,
150
00:12:18,925 --> 00:12:25,555
broken should be resistant, and
didn't go lower to my expectations.
151
00:12:25,555 --> 00:12:27,265
It's going to run to where the
liquidity is, where they're going
152
00:12:27,265 --> 00:12:29,545
to be at about these equal highs.
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00:12:30,505 --> 00:12:35,545
And if we get some momentum close up
in here on that 1 0 8 40 level, like
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we were looking for this morning,
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00:12:47,025 --> 00:12:49,815
the hard part for you as a trader.
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00:12:51,795 --> 00:12:54,495
And I admittedly for me as a mentor,
because I already know some of you
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00:12:54,495 --> 00:12:58,575
are very new and maybe today was
the first time you took a trade,
158
00:13:00,105 --> 00:13:01,035
which you shouldn't be doing.
159
00:13:02,055 --> 00:13:02,985
You shouldn't be doing that right now.
160
00:13:02,985 --> 00:13:05,145
You should be actually at this
practicing on a demo account.
161
00:13:05,175 --> 00:13:07,085
But nonetheless, if.
162
00:13:08,235 --> 00:13:12,975
If you took that today or both of
them, actually, there's all kinds
163
00:13:12,975 --> 00:13:15,194
of wonderful chemical releases
going on in your brain today.
164
00:13:15,855 --> 00:13:17,745
Oh no, here it is.
165
00:13:17,805 --> 00:13:19,814
It's it's finally coming out your stuff.
166
00:13:19,814 --> 00:13:21,435
Doesn't work or ICT can't trade.
167
00:13:22,485 --> 00:13:23,025
Trust me.
168
00:13:23,145 --> 00:13:24,225
I know what that feels like.
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00:13:24,255 --> 00:13:29,095
And I already know that's what
some of your thinking, so there's
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00:13:29,095 --> 00:13:32,665
not going to be any words that I
can say to actually change that.
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00:13:34,465 --> 00:13:39,355
And when, when you feel that, the only
way that's going to be removed is if
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00:13:39,355 --> 00:13:43,885
you see a neck, the next trade wind,
or if you see the, the next couple of
173
00:13:43,885 --> 00:13:47,845
trades, when, and I know that that's
the same thing I needed as a trader too.
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00:13:49,015 --> 00:13:52,375
So the only thing I can counseling
you is don't, don't entertain the
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00:13:52,375 --> 00:13:54,895
thought processes of toxic thinking.
176
00:13:55,255 --> 00:13:58,314
In other words, don't question
whether or not the concepts work
177
00:13:58,314 --> 00:14:02,785
or they stop working or that, you
know, uh, the IMF is in my room.
178
00:14:04,045 --> 00:14:05,935
Um, they, they very well may be in here.
179
00:14:05,965 --> 00:14:06,145
Okay.
180
00:14:06,155 --> 00:14:08,575
I'm not saying I would know that
you who knows about I'm not going to
181
00:14:08,785 --> 00:14:10,255
be arrogant and say that they are.
182
00:14:10,855 --> 00:14:17,185
Um, but I do suspect that, uh, you know,
some of you are going to have a little bit
183
00:14:17,185 --> 00:14:19,585
of a shock when you do and you did today.
184
00:14:19,975 --> 00:14:23,035
You see me get it wrong and there's no,
excuse, I wasn't no hidden agenda in here.
185
00:14:23,485 --> 00:14:28,615
You know, I literally read it wrong and
what's worse is, um, the analysis was
186
00:14:28,615 --> 00:14:32,035
right on the dollar and the levels and the
direction initially we were looking for.
187
00:14:32,955 --> 00:14:34,995
Was right, but I executed wrong.
188
00:14:35,415 --> 00:14:37,185
And that's the part that
you're going to have a mess.
189
00:14:37,215 --> 00:14:38,475
You'll have a mess up like as well.
190
00:14:38,595 --> 00:14:40,935
I mean, it's not gonna be the only one
it's gonna, it's gonna happen again.
191
00:14:42,525 --> 00:14:45,915
You have two choices, one you can dwell
on it and beat yourself up about it and
192
00:14:45,915 --> 00:14:47,205
keep yourself in taking the next trade.
193
00:14:47,235 --> 00:14:50,565
Or you can learn from it, just
move on to the next trade.
194
00:14:59,125 --> 00:14:59,745
Or is that going?
195
00:14:59,765 --> 00:15:00,715
That it's going somewhere.
196
00:15:00,805 --> 00:15:03,475
Oh, so we have a risk here to find.
197
00:15:14,865 --> 00:15:19,275
So we have two to one, potentially
if we get up to 80 at 108 40 level,
198
00:15:20,145 --> 00:15:23,835
um, if it doesn't, there's no
guarantee that we'll, but if it
199
00:15:23,835 --> 00:15:25,185
does, that's what we're looking for.
200
00:15:26,385 --> 00:15:31,335
We'll try to trend some of this risk
when it gives us an opportunity to do so.
201
00:15:34,935 --> 00:15:35,085
Yeah.
202
00:15:35,085 --> 00:15:40,515
If we can move ahead and get above
these equal highs and maintain that
203
00:15:40,605 --> 00:15:43,125
as we go into the draggy speech.
204
00:15:43,515 --> 00:15:44,805
Um I'm okay.
205
00:15:44,805 --> 00:15:47,835
And B I'm, I'm actually comfortable
holding that all the way up into
206
00:15:52,415 --> 00:15:55,385
1 0 8 70.
207
00:15:58,135 --> 00:15:58,315
Yeah.
208
00:15:58,315 --> 00:15:59,785
If we get one a week 70.
209
00:16:02,864 --> 00:16:07,155
Let's talk about why that
level 1 0 7 55 was on my chart.
210
00:16:08,505 --> 00:16:10,094
It's seen on a daily chart to the left,
211
00:16:16,704 --> 00:16:17,964
go here, maximize this.
212
00:16:50,005 --> 00:16:53,395
The question was a way I can keep this
box from going exactly where I needed.
213
00:16:53,395 --> 00:16:58,765
Not to be too literal questions about you
guys used to communicate to me on here.
214
00:16:58,765 --> 00:17:00,834
It's always in the area
where I don't want to be yet.
215
00:17:03,594 --> 00:17:03,865
All right.
216
00:17:03,865 --> 00:17:05,665
So we have
217
00:17:09,145 --> 00:17:18,954
this old low here in here on the
weekly for the Euro, and then
218
00:17:22,375 --> 00:17:23,155
on a daily.
219
00:17:31,980 --> 00:17:33,690
We are these bodies of
these candles in here.
220
00:17:37,770 --> 00:17:41,040
It's almost like these things know
exactly where I needed to look for data.
221
00:17:42,090 --> 00:17:43,350
I mean, the binds of the candles here,
222
00:17:56,360 --> 00:17:58,790
so rounded to the nearest five level.
223
00:17:59,210 --> 00:18:04,580
That's this here, one at 7 55 and we
have the low and at wick on the weekly
224
00:18:04,580 --> 00:18:07,280
chart at 1 0 7, 17 or more close to it.
225
00:18:09,020 --> 00:18:11,240
So that's the top of the
range we're looking for.
226
00:18:11,960 --> 00:18:13,970
And it's swept into that today.
227
00:18:15,710 --> 00:18:17,750
I got to a daily again or loudly on that.
228
00:18:57,720 --> 00:18:58,770
This is to answer your question.
229
00:18:58,770 --> 00:19:02,760
Ricardo was asking him, I understand
why I'm trying to buy Euro.
230
00:19:04,140 --> 00:19:06,030
We've swept price.
231
00:19:06,090 --> 00:19:06,900
We've expanded.
232
00:19:06,900 --> 00:19:08,520
Look at look how many days we've had up.
233
00:19:10,710 --> 00:19:15,510
We had 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8 days.
234
00:19:15,510 --> 00:19:18,720
If you count Sundays action all up.
235
00:19:19,440 --> 00:19:22,320
Now I understand Trump's
election and the whole thing.
236
00:19:22,740 --> 00:19:23,070
Okay.
237
00:19:23,070 --> 00:19:27,000
But we've already cleared out an area
of liquidity and it's realistic to
238
00:19:27,000 --> 00:19:29,370
expect some measurable retracement.
239
00:19:29,370 --> 00:19:30,810
I'm not trying to capture the high.
240
00:19:31,170 --> 00:19:33,390
I'm not trying to capsular the low one.
241
00:19:33,420 --> 00:19:36,270
The Euro, all I'm trying
to do is take a trade.
242
00:19:36,570 --> 00:19:42,090
All I'm doing so there's no, there's no,
uh, overemphasis on my part to try to
243
00:19:42,090 --> 00:19:45,270
sell the idea that I'm trying to capture
a significant higher, low on looking
244
00:19:45,270 --> 00:19:48,030
forward as a particular range to unfold.
245
00:19:48,870 --> 00:19:52,170
And because we've already seen
such a movement on the upside,
246
00:19:53,070 --> 00:19:56,430
um, less leery to be a buyer in
here now, because we've cleared.
247
00:19:56,550 --> 00:19:57,870
We've cleared so much ground.
248
00:19:58,530 --> 00:20:00,060
Now everybody wants to be a buyer.
249
00:20:00,480 --> 00:20:03,570
You know, every it's so obvious that
everybody wants to be buying the dollar.
250
00:20:04,140 --> 00:20:07,170
So we have to basically allow
them the dollar, the Colts jets.
251
00:20:07,680 --> 00:20:11,340
And unfortunately, sometimes that
will consult, consolidate or retrace.
252
00:20:11,970 --> 00:20:14,490
Either one allows me along only Europe.
253
00:20:19,680 --> 00:20:21,120
The fact that we went below this low.
254
00:20:24,855 --> 00:20:31,215
Trading it here in London, I'm doing
this as, this is potentially the
255
00:20:31,215 --> 00:20:33,915
London low and the low of the day.
256
00:20:35,535 --> 00:20:37,395
So we created the low during London.
257
00:20:55,215 --> 00:20:57,345
I just realized I had a space
heater going the whole time.
258
00:20:57,345 --> 00:20:58,485
So that's probably what
you've been hearing.
259
00:20:58,575 --> 00:21:01,985
If you heard a kind of a
background sound, I apologize.
260
00:21:01,985 --> 00:21:03,285
I should have got real clear.
261
00:21:03,285 --> 00:21:03,615
Didn't it?
262
00:21:13,125 --> 00:21:19,875
Um, I'm looking for, uh, basically
a, uh, a reversal set up yet, but
263
00:21:19,875 --> 00:21:24,705
I'm again, I'm, I'm trying to counsel
you and not trying to sell you on
264
00:21:24,705 --> 00:21:28,155
the idea that I'm trying to capture
the reversal on the long-term charts.
265
00:21:28,275 --> 00:21:31,725
That's not what I'm, I'm not
selling that idea at all.
266
00:21:55,080 --> 00:21:56,040
Uh, that's a good question.
267
00:21:56,040 --> 00:21:59,250
John Johnson asked him what makes me
think this is not a continuation cell.
268
00:21:59,340 --> 00:22:01,410
Is that what you're thinking
while you're asking?
269
00:22:01,410 --> 00:22:03,210
What would, why isn't this a cell?
270
00:22:06,360 --> 00:22:07,830
That's what I was trying
to outline a moment ago.
271
00:22:07,830 --> 00:22:12,930
The fact that we took this low
out, which we see here, it came up,
272
00:22:13,380 --> 00:22:14,670
it should have already ran lower.
273
00:22:15,420 --> 00:22:19,860
The fact that we came back above the
body of this up candle, no words,
274
00:22:19,860 --> 00:22:20,970
this should be a bare shore block.
275
00:22:20,970 --> 00:22:25,740
It should've came just to this level here,
maybe up to here and then went lower.
276
00:22:25,770 --> 00:22:26,580
That's what I would have.
277
00:22:26,580 --> 00:22:34,260
I ideally expected because we've given up
this range here to me, I'm viewing it as
278
00:22:34,260 --> 00:22:36,540
them tipping our hand saying, no, no, no.
279
00:22:36,780 --> 00:22:40,080
You know, we want, we want folks
to want to see this as a potential.
280
00:22:40,080 --> 00:22:42,330
So they're going to have
all their fins on it.
281
00:22:42,720 --> 00:22:44,460
Optimal trade entries
and stuff will be here.
282
00:22:45,780 --> 00:22:47,130
I'm not viewing it like that here.
283
00:22:48,060 --> 00:22:49,560
I think there's a lot
of liquidity up here.
284
00:22:49,890 --> 00:22:51,060
They did got real close.
285
00:22:51,090 --> 00:22:54,060
They built a lot of trust in that level.
286
00:22:54,960 --> 00:22:56,820
So anyone wanting to go short
here, they're going to have
287
00:22:56,820 --> 00:22:58,320
their buy stops right above that.
288
00:22:58,980 --> 00:23:00,480
So they may give a little
bit of a range here.
289
00:23:00,480 --> 00:23:00,850
I just don't.
290
00:23:01,140 --> 00:23:02,610
Hopefully they don't come
down and hit the stop.
291
00:23:02,610 --> 00:23:06,480
That's not what I want to see happen,
but you know anything happened, but
292
00:23:06,480 --> 00:23:09,750
if it does expand, they're going to
be looking for these stops up here.
293
00:23:19,000 --> 00:23:21,520
No, we traded it or I
traded him on it too.
294
00:23:21,520 --> 00:23:22,540
I didn't treat this now.
295
00:25:25,760 --> 00:25:29,620
Uh, no, it's not a test to do anything.
296
00:25:30,230 --> 00:25:31,399
That's part of the mentorship.
297
00:25:31,939 --> 00:25:35,780
My commitment was I was going to try
to take a trade every single trading
298
00:25:35,780 --> 00:25:39,800
day, but because of the election,
I didn't trust the analysis that
299
00:25:39,800 --> 00:25:41,240
I would have on the price action.
300
00:25:43,669 --> 00:25:47,149
What's odd is during the election,
I was spot on and now after the
301
00:25:47,149 --> 00:25:48,199
election, I'm having issues.
302
00:25:50,389 --> 00:25:54,830
So basically what I'm showing you is, is
to take a trade every single trading day.
303
00:25:55,760 --> 00:25:56,810
This is what you would encounter.
304
00:26:01,969 --> 00:26:05,209
So I'm giving you, I'm giving
you a read on how I would see
305
00:26:05,209 --> 00:26:07,189
pricing every single trader.
306
00:26:10,510 --> 00:26:13,659
But this morning, a set up
that was a, that was a nice
307
00:26:13,659 --> 00:26:15,520
one, but I screwed that one up.
308
00:27:38,870 --> 00:27:39,800
Um, good morning.
309
00:27:39,800 --> 00:27:40,250
How are you?
310
00:27:43,270 --> 00:27:44,320
What's happening today?
311
00:27:44,500 --> 00:27:46,900
Well, today's a lesson in humility.
312
00:27:57,980 --> 00:27:58,250
All right.
313
00:27:58,250 --> 00:28:05,960
So this is not looking good day
will not relent on that dollar.
314
00:28:36,150 --> 00:28:38,190
Now price is starting to that stupid.
315
00:28:38,190 --> 00:28:39,510
This doesn't make any sense now.
316
00:31:06,465 --> 00:31:08,415
do you believe I am
wrong for a third time?
317
00:31:20,425 --> 00:31:21,084
Power three.
318
00:31:22,044 --> 00:31:22,375
Does it go?
319
00:31:22,375 --> 00:31:22,975
That's a good one.
320
00:31:34,594 --> 00:31:36,064
Yeah, they won't let that dollar go.
321
00:31:36,725 --> 00:31:37,324
They're holding it.
322
00:31:37,445 --> 00:31:38,915
Uh, calling it from.
323
00:32:27,965 --> 00:32:29,135
Dolemite lower lows
324
00:32:33,285 --> 00:32:34,025
failed to make.
325
00:32:36,835 --> 00:32:37,275
Hi.
326
00:32:42,735 --> 00:32:42,975
Yep.
327
00:32:42,975 --> 00:32:43,695
I'm off side.
328
00:33:14,790 --> 00:33:16,020
Hold on one second guys.
329
00:33:50,500 --> 00:33:51,430
Yeah, I was unmuting.
330
00:34:03,220 --> 00:34:06,250
I don't like, I didn't like the fact
that we made the lower, low on dollar
331
00:34:07,720 --> 00:34:11,650
and the same time we've seen, should've
seen the higher high, which is what
332
00:34:11,650 --> 00:34:16,150
I was expecting to see, but because I
didn't get that this low, I'm sorry, this
333
00:34:16,150 --> 00:34:20,170
lower high that's a crack correlation.
334
00:34:20,170 --> 00:34:27,880
That means the dollar index is,
uh, came down for stops and this
335
00:34:27,880 --> 00:34:29,200
was online to make a higher high.
336
00:34:29,200 --> 00:34:30,280
So there's no strength here.
337
00:34:30,280 --> 00:34:32,889
That would be rather what
you would expect to see.
338
00:34:32,889 --> 00:34:36,310
But that way, if it dominates a lower,
low, you're a dollar should making
339
00:34:36,310 --> 00:34:37,480
a higher high, it didn't do that.
340
00:34:39,029 --> 00:34:41,790
Uh, what I was trying to buy and
why I bought there is because
341
00:34:41,909 --> 00:34:46,649
assume for a moment that we saw
price, do this as expected as
342
00:34:46,649 --> 00:34:48,600
is my anticipation was on price.
343
00:35:02,910 --> 00:35:10,529
Say, uh, say this candle did something
like that and wouldn't be that color now.
344
00:35:10,529 --> 00:35:11,790
Would it be green?
345
00:35:16,440 --> 00:35:16,589
Okay.
346
00:35:16,589 --> 00:35:19,440
So let's say we saw price trade higher.
347
00:35:19,740 --> 00:35:21,299
Maybe not even that high
and say at the disk.
348
00:35:24,600 --> 00:35:24,960
Okay.
349
00:35:25,740 --> 00:35:29,069
We would reasonably expect to see what
if this would have happened in price.
350
00:35:29,609 --> 00:35:30,000
Okay.
351
00:35:31,379 --> 00:35:34,830
And came back down into this down candle.
352
00:35:35,190 --> 00:35:38,220
That would be a by correct,
based on or block analysis.
353
00:35:46,980 --> 00:35:51,140
So the belief is that if that's
what was going to unfold, I
354
00:35:51,149 --> 00:35:51,990
thought that I was training.
355
00:35:51,990 --> 00:35:55,649
I was expecting them to run the stops
here, but what killed it was the dollar
356
00:35:55,649 --> 00:35:57,060
making that lower load didn't happen.
357
00:36:43,675 --> 00:36:44,005
Oops.
358
00:36:44,065 --> 00:36:44,395
Sorry.
359
00:36:45,155 --> 00:36:46,555
Thought I hit the mute button.
360
00:36:46,855 --> 00:36:51,235
What I was saying was is if price was
expand up like this and we expected price
361
00:36:51,235 --> 00:36:54,235
to come back down to that at a later
time, we could see that as a bullet or
362
00:36:54,235 --> 00:36:57,835
a block or by, well, if we see that we
don't have to wait for that all the time.
363
00:37:39,285 --> 00:37:45,195
So if my expectation was, if
these are down candles per four
364
00:37:45,435 --> 00:37:48,615
and not move I'm comfortable.
365
00:37:48,735 --> 00:37:50,655
If I have a strong conviction,
it doesn't happen all the time.
366
00:37:50,655 --> 00:37:53,775
But if I have a strong conviction that
the market's going to make a run for
367
00:37:53,775 --> 00:37:59,055
a specific level, based on liquidity,
I will buy inside these down candles
368
00:37:59,355 --> 00:38:02,295
because I'm basically trying to replicate
what the smart money would be doing.
369
00:38:03,255 --> 00:38:09,885
A in a down mood problem is, is
I didn't see the continuation
370
00:38:15,135 --> 00:38:18,375
in price action with the higher high in
Euro, when a dollar made is lower, low.
371
00:38:19,095 --> 00:38:22,875
And I'll show you again, what
that looks like on the 15 and a
372
00:38:22,895 --> 00:38:25,005
timeframe dollar made a lower low.
373
00:38:28,625 --> 00:38:33,545
At the same time, the Euro failed to
make a higher high as it should have.
374
00:38:34,895 --> 00:38:38,375
And that's what I was waiting for
when you sat and listened to me.
375
00:38:38,825 --> 00:38:39,455
Hmm.
376
00:38:39,815 --> 00:38:40,295
Yeah.
377
00:38:40,355 --> 00:38:40,895
Hmm.
378
00:38:40,945 --> 00:38:41,215
Hmm.
379
00:38:41,375 --> 00:38:44,225
What I was pondering is as well there,
it was going to come up and give me that
380
00:38:44,225 --> 00:38:48,515
higher high, cause if it gave me a higher
high, then I would have hold on, I would
381
00:38:48,515 --> 00:38:52,775
have held onto it and wait for the dollar,
that breakdown, because it did not give
382
00:38:52,775 --> 00:38:55,175
me the higher high on the Euro here.
383
00:38:55,835 --> 00:38:58,805
This is actually a break in correlation.
384
00:38:58,805 --> 00:39:00,665
So it was actually showing
underlying weakness.
385
00:39:01,415 --> 00:39:02,135
Does that make sense?
386
00:39:02,165 --> 00:39:05,075
It's basically a SMT divergence.
387
00:39:06,875 --> 00:39:08,885
And if you've been seeing my
tutorials, you'll know what that is.
388
00:39:20,585 --> 00:39:22,925
So every time I get into a tree
I'm watching and monitoring
389
00:39:22,925 --> 00:39:25,175
that what I say it or not.
390
00:39:25,175 --> 00:39:27,455
Sometimes I'm not going to remember
to do it, but that's exactly
391
00:39:27,455 --> 00:39:28,565
what I was watching just now.
392
00:39:29,135 --> 00:39:32,795
And because it didn't get me the
higher high in the Euro, um, I always
393
00:39:32,795 --> 00:39:35,885
try to give it a little bit of time
just to see if it will happen, but
394
00:39:36,365 --> 00:39:39,635
when this candle started coming down
and it's just not likely at all,
395
00:39:57,314 --> 00:39:59,024
Yeah, dollar's going to try to push again.
396
00:40:04,975 --> 00:40:05,875
It's difficult.
397
00:40:05,875 --> 00:40:12,145
Sometimes the trade when it's so screaming
one sided, like it is on the daily
398
00:40:15,345 --> 00:40:21,615
and today was an example how you can be
easily punished by try trading against it.
399
00:40:23,145 --> 00:40:26,805
Unfortunately, I don't feel comfortable
trading it long at these levels of
400
00:40:26,805 --> 00:40:30,645
fear because there's nothing to support
the idea except lower timeframe.
401
00:40:33,234 --> 00:40:36,174
And I don't want to have the
trade set on a lower timeframe.
402
00:40:36,265 --> 00:40:36,685
Only
403
00:40:43,794 --> 00:40:45,984
100 point 50.
404
00:40:47,694 --> 00:40:50,455
If we trade to that level, it'll
be interesting to see if they
405
00:40:50,515 --> 00:40:52,585
lose ground there aggressively.
406
00:40:53,064 --> 00:40:55,585
Or if we just get a
monster rally through that.
407
00:41:14,005 --> 00:41:17,665
Good morning, Steve, you haven't, you
haven't responded to me yet, by the way.
408
00:41:17,725 --> 00:41:22,765
Um, now that I caught you, you need to
tell me right now, I have your attention.
409
00:41:22,795 --> 00:41:26,095
When you want to do the, uh, the
panelist session, where we can talk
410
00:41:26,095 --> 00:41:31,345
about the difference between what
you learned back in the late nineties
411
00:41:31,915 --> 00:41:33,265
and how you learning from me now.
412
00:41:42,835 --> 00:41:49,615
But to answer your, uh, your comment
right here, let me put up the, uh,
413
00:41:50,515 --> 00:41:52,435
the chart so you can see it comparing.
414
00:43:02,710 --> 00:43:03,190
Okay.
415
00:43:03,280 --> 00:43:03,850
Uh, yes.
416
00:43:04,150 --> 00:43:05,590
Steve you'll need a microphone otherwise.
417
00:43:05,680 --> 00:43:07,090
No one can, no one can hear you.
418
00:43:08,110 --> 00:43:09,730
You'll have to, you have
to speak through my crane.
419
00:43:09,730 --> 00:43:12,640
If your computer has a built-in
computer microphone, that's fine.
420
00:43:14,270 --> 00:43:16,480
If you don't have that and you'll
have to have an external mic,
421
00:43:24,930 --> 00:43:26,640
if you could, in case you're
wondering who I'm speaking
422
00:43:26,670 --> 00:43:27,960
about and who we're speaking to.
423
00:43:28,950 --> 00:43:35,340
It's a gentleman that used to
work with me in my AOL days.
424
00:43:38,169 --> 00:43:40,720
When I thought I knew everything, but
I didn't do as much as I thought I did.
425
00:43:42,040 --> 00:43:44,560
And I would love for him to be
able to contrast the, the level of
426
00:43:45,790 --> 00:43:49,330
education I'm giving now, relative
to what I was doing back then.
427
00:43:50,740 --> 00:43:51,009
All right.
428
00:43:51,009 --> 00:43:57,160
So what I was watching and why
I nixed the trade was the dollar
429
00:43:57,370 --> 00:43:58,810
making that lower, low here.
430
00:44:00,609 --> 00:44:02,890
They ran stops below this low.
431
00:44:03,040 --> 00:44:04,000
How do I know that?
432
00:44:05,350 --> 00:44:11,649
Because there was no higher high seen only
Euro at the same time, this should have
433
00:44:11,649 --> 00:44:14,049
been a higher high than this high here.
434
00:44:14,710 --> 00:44:19,810
That would be market symmetry,
but there is a lack of that.
435
00:44:20,049 --> 00:44:27,040
So we see this as stop running on cell
stops and underlying weakness on Euro.
436
00:44:28,149 --> 00:44:32,350
So if I'm long here, it's not good
to hold that long anymore because
437
00:44:32,350 --> 00:44:34,870
it wasn't able to give me a higher
height, which is what should have
438
00:44:34,870 --> 00:44:37,029
been seen with this lower, low.
439
00:44:38,890 --> 00:44:42,790
So whenever the dollar is making a
higher high foreign currencies should
440
00:44:42,790 --> 00:44:46,029
be making lower lows and we're not
seeing, we didn't see that here.
441
00:44:46,029 --> 00:44:47,830
And that's why we're seeing
prices fall out of bed.
442
00:44:47,830 --> 00:44:48,069
Now.
443
00:45:05,700 --> 00:45:08,090
Um, I already mentioned why
I don't want to sell it.
444
00:45:08,090 --> 00:45:09,240
It's too far ahead.
445
00:45:11,160 --> 00:45:16,200
And this could just be a false rally
up into middle of this up candle.
446
00:45:17,070 --> 00:45:17,640
It's in a level.
447
00:45:17,640 --> 00:45:19,470
I don't want to be trading it long.
448
00:45:19,470 --> 00:45:22,920
I'd rather I'd rather capsule
the reversal or do nothing.
449
00:45:39,770 --> 00:45:43,430
One of the pluses by doing
this today is number one.
450
00:45:43,430 --> 00:45:45,740
Obviously you can see that
you're going to encounter.
451
00:45:46,610 --> 00:45:51,290
If you trade every single trading day,
you're going to have this happen and
452
00:45:51,290 --> 00:45:52,370
you're going to have any of these.
453
00:45:52,400 --> 00:45:53,240
These are my tools.
454
00:45:53,240 --> 00:45:55,670
These are my things that I've
been using for a long time.
455
00:45:58,180 --> 00:46:01,910
And you can, you seen it today, you
know, three times in the same day.
456
00:46:02,000 --> 00:46:04,370
So I can't, I'm not allowed to take
another trade today, regardless
457
00:46:04,370 --> 00:46:05,390
of how good the set up is.
458
00:46:05,810 --> 00:46:07,430
I I'm not permitted the rules.
459
00:46:07,430 --> 00:46:08,000
I can't do it.
460
00:46:08,690 --> 00:46:11,660
So I have to sit on my hands
and do nothing, but watch it.
461
00:46:12,830 --> 00:46:18,980
But the ability to be able to see
it happen, to understand why I'm
462
00:46:19,370 --> 00:46:24,500
collapsing the trade, to avoid a
larger loss, um, and understanding
463
00:46:24,500 --> 00:46:26,090
why it should be dealing with.
464
00:46:27,360 --> 00:46:32,070
Well, let me say it this way,
understanding why it's doing what
465
00:46:32,070 --> 00:46:35,190
it's doing and how that affects
my outlook on the marketplace.
466
00:46:35,820 --> 00:46:41,070
Um, it protected the full stop
out, which is again, I slept
467
00:46:41,070 --> 00:46:42,270
through the remainder of London.
468
00:46:42,270 --> 00:46:46,290
Mountain land took the
second, a long one Euro.
469
00:46:46,320 --> 00:46:52,860
I went to sleep and I allowed the full
stop, but the previous trade we protected
470
00:46:52,860 --> 00:46:56,610
the stop, but it never would've got hit
in some people's eyes, but I, I don't
471
00:46:56,610 --> 00:46:57,930
believe that would've been the case.
472
00:46:58,350 --> 00:47:01,320
Um, I can't look at that and say
that was going to happen for me
473
00:47:13,440 --> 00:47:14,180
at the time.
474
00:47:15,270 --> 00:47:19,640
It could very easily spiked up in
here and cleared this high out.
475
00:47:20,120 --> 00:47:21,140
So that's real close.
476
00:47:21,140 --> 00:47:22,910
I mean, I don't like to
see it to get that close.
477
00:47:24,020 --> 00:47:27,380
Can you just static alone, either
spread or whatever your broker could
478
00:47:27,380 --> 00:47:29,509
opened it up easily and taking you out.
479
00:47:29,900 --> 00:47:35,090
So I'm not going to beat myself up
about that, what I am, but I am a
480
00:47:35,090 --> 00:47:39,440
little bit disappointed in regards to
my execution today was my initial I'll
481
00:47:39,440 --> 00:47:43,910
look on the dollar in the Euro and cable.
482
00:47:44,780 --> 00:47:48,860
They were right, but I allowed
the short-term volatility to
483
00:47:48,860 --> 00:47:50,300
change my bias on the day.
484
00:47:51,660 --> 00:47:52,980
So that would have been much better.
485
00:47:53,190 --> 00:47:55,740
Any I'm thinking out loud, these are
all things I actually put in my journal
486
00:47:55,980 --> 00:47:59,310
that will be in my journal today,
but the salient points that I'll be
487
00:47:59,310 --> 00:48:03,600
having in it is the fact that I did not
stick with my original analysis with
488
00:48:04,740 --> 00:48:10,680
looking for the upside on a dollar to
that 100 mark, and then only focusing
489
00:48:10,680 --> 00:48:12,450
on the shorts performance currency.
490
00:48:13,140 --> 00:48:21,990
Um, and I paid that, um, price with,
uh, with two losing trades going along.
491
00:48:24,390 --> 00:48:27,510
And the charts I'll include in
my journal will be like, you're
492
00:48:27,510 --> 00:48:31,320
seeing here, these are all
indications of what you would have.
493
00:48:32,370 --> 00:48:35,730
Hopefully like I just did
here saw that I was off side.
494
00:48:35,940 --> 00:48:39,930
So I had to correct myself
immediately and protect capital.
495
00:48:41,460 --> 00:48:43,080
Otherwise it would have
been a full stop out again.
496
00:48:51,450 --> 00:48:59,040
Um, Dean, I see your questions, uh,
is the dollar index always, right?
497
00:48:59,280 --> 00:49:02,220
Could it be the dollar should
have made a higher high or
498
00:49:02,220 --> 00:49:04,200
did you use cable to confirm?
499
00:49:05,160 --> 00:49:06,510
Uh, well the dollar is always right.
500
00:49:06,510 --> 00:49:10,170
Dollars king either the dollar is
going to move up to allow shorts in
501
00:49:10,170 --> 00:49:14,490
foreign currencies, or it's going to
move down to allow longs in foreign
502
00:49:14,490 --> 00:49:18,060
currencies, but they can hold it
in consolidation and still permit
503
00:49:18,060 --> 00:49:19,020
foreign currencies to move again.
504
00:49:31,439 --> 00:49:34,859
All of the, uh, see your question
regarding yields and interest rates
505
00:49:34,859 --> 00:49:39,000
and such Jay, the, that macro view.
506
00:49:40,319 --> 00:49:45,450
I'm allowing a little bit of time from
the elections because there's a whole lot
507
00:49:45,450 --> 00:49:47,490
of sentiment being built in right now.
508
00:49:47,549 --> 00:49:52,049
And I just don't, I don't trust
the long-term right now because it
509
00:49:52,049 --> 00:49:53,850
may be shifting to maybe changing.
510
00:49:55,259 --> 00:50:01,560
And we may be just seeing a, uh, you
know, a Patriot run or rally in the
511
00:50:01,560 --> 00:50:04,379
dollar and it could just wash out.
512
00:50:06,689 --> 00:50:08,520
So there's a lot of things
I'm weighing right now.
513
00:50:08,549 --> 00:50:14,100
And admittedly, this is, you know,
this is all, well, I guess it's a
514
00:50:14,100 --> 00:50:15,450
little bit, for lack of a better word.
515
00:50:15,450 --> 00:50:18,839
It's rather difficult for me
to get a good read on price.
516
00:50:19,500 --> 00:50:21,720
So that's why I'm keeping it
really, really short-term.
517
00:50:23,009 --> 00:50:25,189
And I've mentioned this over the
last couple of months, because of
518
00:50:25,560 --> 00:50:30,330
all the uncertainties out there, I'm
real comfortable staying in the, in
519
00:50:30,330 --> 00:50:35,100
the lower timeframes and not being
too ambitious about my objectives.
520
00:50:36,660 --> 00:50:38,100
And today, even that didn't help,
521
00:50:45,000 --> 00:50:47,399
you can use the yields for
a short-term trading, but.
522
00:50:48,345 --> 00:50:50,925
Yeah, it's not necessary now.
523
00:50:55,795 --> 00:51:02,085
Um, well, Raj, you're saying that, uh,
you thought trading was gonna get easier.
524
00:51:02,085 --> 00:51:10,715
I see elections that my activity levels
going to increase, but the easy part,
525
00:51:10,715 --> 00:51:12,485
that's going to be relative to whatever.
526
00:51:14,375 --> 00:51:16,535
It's easy when we get out of the
trade and we look back and say that
527
00:51:16,535 --> 00:51:19,445
was painless, but we don't know for
certain it's going to be like that.
528
00:51:19,445 --> 00:51:20,405
One more trick in the trade.
529
00:51:24,195 --> 00:51:24,345
Yeah.
530
00:51:24,345 --> 00:51:27,675
We're going to be in London just about
every day, unless I tell you otherwise.
531
00:51:30,645 --> 00:51:30,885
All right.
532
00:51:30,885 --> 00:51:33,735
So we're making a run on the initial hi,
533
00:51:36,755 --> 00:51:37,385
$1
534
00:51:51,865 --> 00:51:52,555
cable doing.
535
00:52:00,635 --> 00:52:01,985
Yeah, it don't make any sense there.
536
00:52:07,565 --> 00:52:09,935
I do not know what cables doing here.
537
00:52:17,865 --> 00:52:18,645
Yeah, good morning, Adam.
538
00:52:18,734 --> 00:52:22,665
Um, I was going to have a session at 10
o'clock, but I changed gears because I
539
00:52:22,665 --> 00:52:27,944
thought I had an opportunity to take some
action this morning on the New York open.
540
00:52:30,075 --> 00:52:31,395
And I've since, uh,
541
00:52:36,285 --> 00:52:36,944
been corrected.
542
00:52:59,584 --> 00:53:02,044
How often does it happen for
me to get a string of losses?
543
00:53:03,575 --> 00:53:06,575
Well, if I trade every day, you're
going to have, you're going to see a lot
544
00:53:06,575 --> 00:53:12,354
more losses than I normally would have,
but that's all part of the mentorship.
545
00:53:12,354 --> 00:53:17,035
You're gonna be able to see how you deal
with the losses or how I deal with them.
546
00:53:17,035 --> 00:53:17,725
Let's put it that way.
547
00:53:18,625 --> 00:53:23,694
Um, it's not my interest again, to
inspire you to trade every single trading
548
00:53:23,694 --> 00:53:27,174
day, but I want you to you'll learn.
549
00:53:27,325 --> 00:53:30,924
You'll learn things by watching me
trade, whether they're profitable
550
00:53:30,924 --> 00:53:33,205
or unprofitable, and you're going
to learn things about price action
551
00:53:33,205 --> 00:53:34,645
and why I'm doing certain things.
552
00:53:35,334 --> 00:53:39,895
And if I encounter resistance or
draw down, you'll see how I actually
553
00:53:39,895 --> 00:53:41,125
go against and mitigate debt.
554
00:53:41,125 --> 00:53:41,904
Because even if I do.
555
00:53:43,920 --> 00:53:45,060
A lot less frequent.
556
00:53:45,660 --> 00:53:49,260
I still get lost as I just don't
do as many losses as you're going
557
00:53:49,260 --> 00:53:51,290
to absolutely see with me doing it.
558
00:53:51,290 --> 00:53:57,180
So I don't want you to focus on primarily
the, the, the level of accuracy.
559
00:53:57,780 --> 00:53:59,160
That's not what we're focusing on.
560
00:53:59,160 --> 00:54:05,010
And what we're focusing on is the, the
application of the concepts and where
561
00:54:05,580 --> 00:54:08,310
these concepts do their best work.
562
00:54:08,520 --> 00:54:12,300
There's gonna be days of the week and
times of those days that certain concepts
563
00:54:12,300 --> 00:54:13,380
are going to work better than others.
564
00:54:14,190 --> 00:54:17,700
And by your involvement in
immersion, in that, you'll be
565
00:54:17,700 --> 00:54:21,290
able to see what suits you better.
566
00:54:23,560 --> 00:54:26,020
I mean, you know, there's three
primary setups that I use.
567
00:54:26,380 --> 00:54:27,820
One of them you're gonna gravitate to.
568
00:54:28,120 --> 00:54:29,980
It's going to make so much
sense that you're gonna not
569
00:54:29,980 --> 00:54:30,910
worry about the other two.
570
00:54:31,270 --> 00:54:33,940
And you're just gonna say, okay, I
like, you know, I like stop runs,
571
00:54:34,330 --> 00:54:37,870
you know, like turtle soup, you know,
or I like, uh, you're trading back
572
00:54:37,870 --> 00:54:41,890
a fair value makes sense to me or
the bullshit bear sort of blocks.
573
00:54:52,870 --> 00:54:59,470
And again, looking at the examples every
single day and getting a read on price.
574
00:54:59,980 --> 00:55:05,660
You'll see why I elect as a professional
trader, not to do every day.
575
00:55:07,005 --> 00:55:08,745
I'm very selective on when I trade.
576
00:55:08,775 --> 00:55:12,735
And the problem is, is you want a
tutorial or you want me to be able
577
00:55:12,735 --> 00:55:16,935
to tell you in a paragraph setting,
you know, this is what I do to avoid
578
00:55:17,685 --> 00:55:19,545
all the new, to less likely trades.
579
00:55:20,085 --> 00:55:23,715
And there's really no way for
me to teach that outside of just
580
00:55:23,715 --> 00:55:26,505
showing you every single trading
day, what it's like doing it.
581
00:55:27,165 --> 00:55:30,525
And then all of a sudden it'll become
clear that it has to be experienced.
582
00:55:30,645 --> 00:55:31,815
I guess that's what I'm saying.
583
00:55:31,815 --> 00:55:32,865
You have to see it happen.
584
00:55:34,735 --> 00:55:37,945
And then if that makes sense,
obviously after that, but it
585
00:55:37,945 --> 00:55:39,235
can't be shown conceptually.
586
00:55:39,235 --> 00:55:41,154
And that's why you can't learn in books.
587
00:55:41,215 --> 00:55:42,445
I can't write a book and teach it.
588
00:55:42,745 --> 00:55:45,535
It has to be done over my
shoulder, showing you in charts.
589
00:55:45,865 --> 00:55:46,735
This is what it looks like.
590
00:55:46,735 --> 00:55:47,575
This is what happens.
591
00:55:48,115 --> 00:55:49,765
And if this happens, this is what you do.
592
00:55:50,545 --> 00:55:54,235
And because we don't know, you know, you
never know what the price is going to be.
593
00:55:54,415 --> 00:55:56,245
You know, it's always going to be dynamic.
594
00:56:02,654 --> 00:56:05,745
Yeah, I would, uh, I'd
be a little leery too.
595
00:56:05,745 --> 00:56:07,875
If I, if I was on here
claiming I never lost.
596
00:56:09,345 --> 00:56:10,365
That's a good point, Andrea.
597
00:56:13,725 --> 00:56:17,115
But you'll see, once you understand
what you're going to be trading in
598
00:56:17,115 --> 00:56:22,005
as your personal model, you'll be
highly selective in your trades too.
599
00:56:22,995 --> 00:56:25,935
And by doing that, your trade
frequency is going to drop off a lot.
600
00:56:26,805 --> 00:56:28,305
And if you were comparing
it with other people.
601
00:56:30,359 --> 00:56:34,379
You know, it's not going to, um, it's
not gonna look awesome and sexy cause
602
00:56:34,379 --> 00:56:38,160
you're, you're a very passive trader and
there's nothing wrong with pass it along.
603
00:56:38,319 --> 00:56:40,410
It's net positive by the end
of the year, you need money.
604
00:56:40,410 --> 00:56:40,859
It's great.
605
00:56:47,600 --> 00:56:53,419
Um, breakers are, I think
that's in market maker.
606
00:56:54,709 --> 00:56:56,029
I don't know what video it is though.
607
00:56:56,660 --> 00:57:01,490
If you tweet it in a group to my know
how, because they're more organized
608
00:57:01,490 --> 00:57:05,060
in terms of where that stuff is
actually in the tutorial sections.
609
00:57:09,660 --> 00:57:09,899
All right.
610
00:57:09,899 --> 00:57:11,189
Keeping an eye on the dollar index.
611
00:57:11,189 --> 00:57:12,750
It's still making a run for that dollar.
612
00:57:14,189 --> 00:57:14,790
What is this?
613
00:57:22,450 --> 00:57:23,379
Oh seven level
614
00:57:40,990 --> 00:57:43,209
so far the optimal trade
entry dyes are right.
615
00:57:47,080 --> 00:57:49,540
Can we find it by going
public assets, Twitter?
616
00:57:49,540 --> 00:57:51,819
And he got their optimal
Jeff's old short here.
617
00:57:51,819 --> 00:57:52,330
ICT.
618
00:57:52,330 --> 00:57:54,370
Thanks me, mom in here.
619
00:57:54,370 --> 00:57:55,060
I tried to buy it.
620
00:58:04,545 --> 00:58:08,235
Scott saying market-maker series
part five is mitigation blocks.
621
00:58:11,045 --> 00:58:12,155
So hopefully I helped you.
622
00:58:12,305 --> 00:58:13,805
Is that where I'm actually
talking about the breakers?
623
00:58:13,805 --> 00:58:14,075
Got
624
00:58:19,115 --> 00:58:19,685
I apologize.
625
00:58:19,715 --> 00:58:21,395
I have so much content.
626
00:58:21,395 --> 00:58:23,075
I don't know exactly where everything is.
627
00:58:29,525 --> 00:58:31,985
This is not the 10 o'clock, uh, webinar.
628
00:58:32,075 --> 00:58:34,535
That was something different.
629
00:58:35,435 --> 00:58:36,605
I was going to do another session.
630
00:58:56,525 --> 00:59:00,515
How does losing effect one psychology
when treating large accounts for clients?
631
00:59:00,845 --> 00:59:01,985
Are there different roles?
632
00:59:02,585 --> 00:59:08,555
Um, well it depends on who's psychology
that you're referring to the effecting.
633
00:59:08,915 --> 00:59:12,335
Is it going to be that you have the
trader or the manager or the clients?
634
00:59:13,895 --> 00:59:17,345
Because I can tell you going
to never happy when they see
635
00:59:17,345 --> 00:59:18,605
money going out of the account.
636
00:59:29,310 --> 00:59:29,730
Okay.
637
00:59:29,790 --> 00:59:34,080
The, the trader psychology is the
same as we've been talking about here.
638
00:59:35,580 --> 00:59:40,169
Um, when you're trading a larger account
and you're managing other people's funds,
639
00:59:40,890 --> 00:59:43,500
you have to really dial back the leverage.
640
00:59:43,589 --> 00:59:48,209
Uh, you gotta dial back the risk and
we gotta be like, under 1%, you can't
641
00:59:48,209 --> 00:59:50,250
be trading more than 1% portrayed.
642
00:59:50,850 --> 00:59:57,629
Um, the client base will not
tolerate a lot of swings in equity.
643
00:59:57,959 --> 00:59:59,759
They won't allow it,
they won't stomach it.
644
00:59:59,759 --> 01:00:03,509
You'll be inundated with people
wanting to know where you're at.
645
01:00:03,540 --> 01:00:04,859
You know, why is this happening?
646
01:00:05,250 --> 01:00:09,569
And it imagine that imagine if
you were managing a fund and you
647
01:00:09,569 --> 01:00:10,890
had say a hundred people in it.
648
01:00:11,399 --> 01:00:11,730
Okay.
649
01:00:12,359 --> 01:00:15,209
And I'll just throw that number out
there, indiscriminately, but just say
650
01:00:15,209 --> 01:00:18,419
for instance, you had a hundred clients
out there that you're managing funds
651
01:00:18,450 --> 01:00:22,830
with and they're, you know, they have
access to your information that they're
652
01:00:22,830 --> 01:00:24,240
asking you, where are we at today?
653
01:00:24,839 --> 01:00:28,709
And they're really invested in wanting
to know the day by day fluctuations.
654
01:00:29,310 --> 01:00:31,080
Um, it's all part of your prospect list.
655
01:00:31,109 --> 01:00:35,279
You don't want to be giving
them that access right away.
656
01:00:35,430 --> 01:00:39,299
Uh, you don't want them to be worrying
you because there's nothing more
657
01:00:39,509 --> 01:00:45,930
unnerving than knowing that you got
other people's money at risk and
658
01:00:45,959 --> 01:00:50,819
the success of them having profit
is your ability to think clearly.
659
01:00:51,419 --> 01:00:58,220
So you're never going to think clearly
if you know, Yeah, well, there's no real
660
01:00:58,220 --> 01:01:05,330
nice way of saying it, but know impatient,
um, unrealistic, unreasonable investors.
661
01:01:05,540 --> 01:01:05,930
Okay.
662
01:01:05,960 --> 01:01:08,480
They think every trade is going to go
in their favor and the account should
663
01:01:08,480 --> 01:01:12,740
go straight up and they're millionaires,
you know, um, you want to be able to
664
01:01:12,740 --> 01:01:19,280
build in during your prospectus that
they will absorb some draw down, but to
665
01:01:19,280 --> 01:01:23,510
keep it in realistic terms and it's, it's
favorable for them, they can tolerate it.
666
01:01:24,050 --> 01:01:26,390
You can't take trades larger than 1% risk.
667
01:01:26,900 --> 01:01:27,530
He can't do it.
668
01:01:28,070 --> 01:01:32,510
So that way it allows your, uh,
equity base to be a smooth curve up.
669
01:01:32,930 --> 01:01:35,720
But it won't be a dramatic like you
see with me doing with, uh, my effects
670
01:01:35,720 --> 01:01:37,820
book, where I'm doing 60% month returns.
671
01:01:38,330 --> 01:01:40,910
You can't do that with large funds.
672
01:01:41,390 --> 01:01:43,820
And if you're thinking you're
gonna do that, you need to stop
673
01:01:43,820 --> 01:01:46,130
that right now because no, one's
gonna allow you to do that.
674
01:01:46,460 --> 01:01:48,680
As soon as you do it one month
and you can't deliver the
675
01:01:48,680 --> 01:01:50,780
second month, it's over for you.
676
01:01:50,810 --> 01:01:52,850
You, you're never going to
be hearing the end of it.
677
01:01:53,300 --> 01:01:54,770
You know, what's happening.
678
01:01:54,770 --> 01:01:56,360
Why aren't you doing as
good either the last month?
679
01:01:56,780 --> 01:02:00,080
All those things will have an effect
on your psychology as the trader.
680
01:02:00,650 --> 01:02:03,830
And if you're the managing trader of
the fund or your other people's money
681
01:02:03,830 --> 01:02:07,760
or your own account, it's like when you
tell your spouse, the worst thing you can
682
01:02:07,760 --> 01:02:09,170
do is tell your spouse what you've done.
683
01:02:09,740 --> 01:02:12,980
You're going to tell her or him that
you made money today, or you made money
684
01:02:12,980 --> 01:02:18,840
yesterday, or your, your, your, uh,
But you won't tell them you lost money
685
01:02:18,840 --> 01:02:20,009
because you know, what's going to happen.
686
01:02:20,340 --> 01:02:22,740
They're going to start asking you
questions and you know how you're going
687
01:02:22,740 --> 01:02:23,910
to feel if they ask those questions.
688
01:02:23,910 --> 01:02:27,120
And some of you know, this is
the fact, so you're never going
689
01:02:27,120 --> 01:02:30,420
to say it to your spouse because
you know what, what if scenarios?
690
01:02:30,870 --> 01:02:33,840
And because you know that what scenarios
are going to potentially be there.
691
01:02:33,840 --> 01:02:36,930
If you tell your spouse,
they're like your trade partner.
692
01:02:37,440 --> 01:02:37,830
Okay?
693
01:02:38,040 --> 01:02:40,529
So now what you're doing is you're
beating yourself up and you haven't
694
01:02:40,529 --> 01:02:42,060
even revealed anything to them.
695
01:02:42,420 --> 01:02:43,529
So now you feel guilty about it.
696
01:02:43,770 --> 01:02:46,560
So you have all these psychological
impacts on the answer.
697
01:02:46,560 --> 01:02:49,410
That's why either you're
their manager or you're not.
698
01:02:50,100 --> 01:02:53,759
And if you're managing that information
is for you to worry about no one else.
699
01:02:54,480 --> 01:02:57,810
So that's, you have to keep that clear.
700
01:02:57,870 --> 01:03:02,100
And when you, when you sit down with
clients and you manage the funds for
701
01:03:02,100 --> 01:03:04,560
them, before you even receive the money,
you just go, they were honest and say,
702
01:03:04,560 --> 01:03:06,750
look, we don't do monthly updates.
703
01:03:07,290 --> 01:03:09,210
And we do on a quarterly basis.
704
01:03:09,870 --> 01:03:15,509
And every quarter you'll get a
rate return and performance report.
705
01:03:16,380 --> 01:03:24,360
And by spacing that out, it gives you
a great deal of well comfort zone.
706
01:03:24,390 --> 01:03:26,940
I mean, you just don't want
people worrying all day
707
01:03:26,940 --> 01:03:28,590
long, he's you can't focus.
708
01:03:28,590 --> 01:03:30,690
You can't think you're going
to be worrying about what
709
01:03:30,690 --> 01:03:32,160
that person's wanting to do.
710
01:03:32,160 --> 01:03:32,970
He's he going to call me?
711
01:03:32,970 --> 01:03:34,320
She going to call me again tomorrow.
712
01:03:34,920 --> 01:03:36,870
They're going to be asking for
their money out when you've already
713
01:03:36,870 --> 01:03:39,900
explained to them that you, you
you're locked in for a specific time.
714
01:03:40,380 --> 01:03:43,120
You know, when you set your
fund up, you have to have a.
715
01:03:44,895 --> 01:03:48,765
Uh, clear defined terms of
when disbursements are made.
716
01:03:49,035 --> 01:03:55,435
Um, all those types of things are outlined
and much like people in mentorships and,
717
01:03:55,435 --> 01:03:58,875
and subscription programs, you know,
they they'll pay the payment they get in.
718
01:03:59,295 --> 01:04:03,915
And if they get a little bit of, uh,
adverse experience, they immediately
719
01:04:03,915 --> 01:04:05,475
looking for the exit ramps.
720
01:04:05,505 --> 01:04:06,375
Oh, this isn't for me.
721
01:04:06,945 --> 01:04:08,985
Well, did you think you were
going to get into the trading
722
01:04:09,375 --> 01:04:10,995
world and never absorb a loss?
723
01:04:11,745 --> 01:04:14,175
That's that's the problem
with the industry because it's
724
01:04:14,175 --> 01:04:15,945
been sold that it's perfect.
725
01:04:16,634 --> 01:04:19,365
So you're going to have that
barrier as a trader that's
726
01:04:19,365 --> 01:04:20,355
managing other people's funds.
727
01:04:21,285 --> 01:04:23,235
I have that more than anything.
728
01:04:23,325 --> 01:04:29,685
And when I was assisting other people
with their money, that was the worst
729
01:04:29,775 --> 01:04:36,105
experience for me, knowing that people
had access to me and worrying every single
730
01:04:36,105 --> 01:04:41,745
day, either by phone call voicemail,
um, eight new emails constantly asking
731
01:04:41,745 --> 01:04:45,195
you why didn't the rate of return
be as high as the previous month?
732
01:04:45,615 --> 01:04:47,925
You know, why are we
less active this month?
733
01:04:48,435 --> 01:04:50,565
And the smartest thing I ever
did was saying, look, you know,
734
01:04:50,595 --> 01:04:54,645
we're going to quarterly updates
because I can't, I can't focus.
735
01:04:55,095 --> 01:05:00,134
I got so many people wanting to know why
it's not performing as it did last week.
736
01:05:01,395 --> 01:05:03,884
Who's managing the
account, then it's not you.
737
01:05:05,355 --> 01:05:09,134
It's the emotional customers,
the, the, uh, the principal.
738
01:05:09,495 --> 01:05:09,855
Okay.
739
01:05:10,065 --> 01:05:11,884
If the principal is telling you.
740
01:05:12,855 --> 01:05:15,435
How you should be trading, then
you shouldn't be managing their
741
01:05:15,435 --> 01:05:17,355
funds, give them money back to
them and let them manage it.
742
01:05:19,135 --> 01:05:20,845
So, yeah, th th and that's true, man.
743
01:05:20,995 --> 01:05:24,655
Uh, you know, people are never going
to be satisfied when it comes to money.
744
01:05:24,655 --> 01:05:25,675
And I'll be honest with you.
745
01:05:26,095 --> 01:05:28,675
I'm not gonna say any names,
but, uh, you know who you are
746
01:05:28,675 --> 01:05:29,605
and I'm not, I'm not upset.
747
01:05:29,635 --> 01:05:29,785
Okay.
748
01:05:29,815 --> 01:05:30,265
I get it.
749
01:05:30,535 --> 01:05:34,795
But the dynamic changed as soon as I
put a price tag on this, if I would have
750
01:05:34,795 --> 01:05:41,665
did this in a live setting, and it was
just on YouTube, your, um, commitment
751
01:05:42,145 --> 01:05:45,625
or the attachment to it emotionally and
psychologically for me, having three
752
01:05:45,625 --> 01:05:47,755
losses would have been, well, I feel good.
753
01:05:47,755 --> 01:05:50,185
Now I take a loss and so does ICT.
754
01:05:50,395 --> 01:05:54,355
It's no problem, but now it's not
that easy because now you're paying a
755
01:05:54,355 --> 01:05:57,085
premium to be here watching me do this.
756
01:05:57,895 --> 01:05:59,215
So it changes the dynamic.
757
01:05:59,665 --> 01:06:02,335
Whereas before you'd be very
patient where I would release
758
01:06:02,335 --> 01:06:03,325
a video whenever I wanted to.
759
01:06:03,805 --> 01:06:06,835
Now, it's like, if I'm five minutes
late, you know, what's going on the
760
01:06:06,835 --> 01:06:09,445
link isn't working, everything changes.
761
01:06:11,005 --> 01:06:14,785
So when money's involved, just
understand that there's a great deal
762
01:06:14,785 --> 01:06:17,935
of paradigm shift that takes place.
763
01:06:18,235 --> 01:06:20,755
And that's why it's very difficult
to manage other people's money.
764
01:06:20,755 --> 01:06:23,875
In my opinion, that's
the hardest thing to do.
765
01:06:36,450 --> 01:06:40,049
What's wrong with the cable going down
with the dollar up, obviously, you know,
766
01:06:40,080 --> 01:06:41,160
it's going to do what it wants to do.
767
01:06:41,160 --> 01:06:41,880
I don't like it.
768
01:06:42,210 --> 01:06:42,990
I don't like that.
769
01:06:42,990 --> 01:06:43,890
Set up to be honest with you.
770
01:06:52,350 --> 01:06:53,759
I like this or block here.
771
01:06:53,759 --> 01:06:55,650
That's why I like the 24 80 level.
772
01:06:59,230 --> 01:07:03,700
So if it goes down into this candle
here, I'm going to be expecting
773
01:07:03,700 --> 01:07:06,880
it to find support, depress up
and close in this range up here.
774
01:07:08,080 --> 01:07:09,160
That's why I got this highlighted here.
775
01:07:09,170 --> 01:07:09,640
This is bare.
776
01:07:09,640 --> 01:07:10,120
So we're blocked.
777
01:07:10,120 --> 01:07:12,580
I think we're going to try
to make one more run up
778
01:07:23,839 --> 01:07:25,279
gold and silver.
779
01:07:26,089 --> 01:07:30,110
I don't have any opinion on right now
because it's completely washed out.
780
01:07:33,180 --> 01:07:34,910
I'm on the sidelines for
the metals right now.
781
01:07:51,310 --> 01:07:52,690
Well, I don't have to do that anymore.
782
01:07:52,690 --> 01:07:56,290
Cliff cliff saying that,
uh, I'm sorry, not cliff.
783
01:07:56,319 --> 01:07:58,720
Uh, O M F X.
784
01:07:58,810 --> 01:07:59,980
I'm not sure what the LMF ex.
785
01:08:03,190 --> 01:08:05,620
Demanding only report once a
year, like Warren buffet did.
786
01:08:05,950 --> 01:08:07,630
I don't manage other
people's money anymore.
787
01:08:07,630 --> 01:08:08,680
So I don't have that problem.
788
01:08:09,730 --> 01:08:10,450
I have a new problem.
789
01:08:10,450 --> 01:08:13,060
I have 800 plus people to keep happy.
790
01:08:14,260 --> 01:08:16,090
I didn't have 800 people as a principal.
791
01:08:16,180 --> 01:08:18,490
I had far less involved in the fund.
792
01:08:52,600 --> 01:08:57,490
The reason why I'm not short is because
I've already used my daily allowance
793
01:08:57,490 --> 01:09:05,109
with trades south accident executed three
times today with no positive return.
794
01:09:05,109 --> 01:09:10,510
So I have to stick to that role
and exercise, patience and control.
795
01:09:12,640 --> 01:09:13,270
It's a measure.
796
01:09:13,270 --> 01:09:13,660
I am.
797
01:09:13,720 --> 01:09:17,200
I had to employ that when I was a
younger man on the miracle online.
798
01:09:17,590 --> 01:09:25,330
Um, I did a lot of trading where I did
a lot of trades and sometimes, and it
799
01:09:25,330 --> 01:09:30,130
was a very, very few and far between
some times because of that excessive.
800
01:09:31,660 --> 01:09:35,200
Frequency and trading, trying
to get back losing trades.
801
01:09:36,430 --> 01:09:40,480
I would come back and either
get my loss back or make it
802
01:09:41,260 --> 01:09:42,670
a positive gain on the day.
803
01:09:43,210 --> 01:09:46,810
And of course my ego would be huge
young, better than I really am or
804
01:09:46,810 --> 01:09:48,430
thinking them better than I really am.
805
01:09:49,690 --> 01:09:53,050
But it happened so infrequent, you
only need one of those that occur
806
01:09:53,109 --> 01:09:54,460
to want to keep doing it again.
807
01:09:55,450 --> 01:09:59,290
And I learned a very painful lesson
and lots of money being lost, that
808
01:10:00,250 --> 01:10:03,220
if I have three losing trades in the
same day, I got to pull the plug.
809
01:10:03,220 --> 01:10:06,850
I can't, I can't do it because number
one, I admittedly, what I'm thinking
810
01:10:06,850 --> 01:10:08,650
right now is I'm not connected.
811
01:10:09,070 --> 01:10:09,970
I'm not dialed in.
812
01:10:10,540 --> 01:10:12,580
I don't feel like I have
a beat on the market.
813
01:10:13,540 --> 01:10:19,780
So it took a number of years for me to
develop that and force it as a protocol.
814
01:10:19,780 --> 01:10:20,980
I can't trade again.
815
01:10:21,340 --> 01:10:25,120
And honestly, it's very painful, you
know, when you have to trade with that
816
01:10:25,120 --> 01:10:29,650
rule and you see the setup, you see
it, you see it there, but you remind
817
01:10:29,650 --> 01:10:33,040
yourself, Hey look, you know, I thought
I saw it before and it didn't pan out.
818
01:10:33,820 --> 01:10:35,920
How much can you get a
one daily rate and stuff?
819
01:10:35,920 --> 01:10:40,300
The question I have, I forced myself
to answer in one daily candle.
820
01:10:40,480 --> 01:10:42,400
How many setups can you get?
821
01:10:46,350 --> 01:10:50,100
There's not a lot, you know, preferably
it's like one really good one or
822
01:10:50,100 --> 01:10:52,140
two, maybe London and New York.
823
01:10:53,490 --> 01:10:58,640
But outside of that, you know, if you,
if you burn your, uh, you know, your.
824
01:10:59,745 --> 01:11:03,765
Your ammo, if you will, on
three shots and you get nothing
825
01:11:03,765 --> 01:11:05,685
out of it, you got to wait.
826
01:11:05,805 --> 01:11:06,765
You just got to simply wait.
827
01:11:07,635 --> 01:11:10,815
And subscriber-based
things like I'm doing here.
828
01:11:11,205 --> 01:11:16,035
If you're a new trader man, this
is like a mind screw for it.
829
01:11:16,035 --> 01:11:18,195
You're like, man, this
isn't what I expected.
830
01:11:18,375 --> 01:11:20,775
You know, you're already writing
emails, getting ready to send it to me.
831
01:11:21,105 --> 01:11:24,645
This is not as described and it's one day.
832
01:11:57,255 --> 01:12:02,505
So if it may not be three trades for you,
you know, some of you may have a little
833
01:12:02,505 --> 01:12:08,565
bit more, uh, willingness to absorb more
losses and maybe trade with less risk.
834
01:12:08,625 --> 01:12:12,765
So it permits you a lot more trades,
but I'm over my threshold for the day.
835
01:12:12,825 --> 01:12:13,905
I can't trade anymore.
836
01:12:14,685 --> 01:12:16,995
So it doesn't matter how
good the trade set up is.
837
01:12:18,015 --> 01:12:19,275
I'm not allowed to execute.
838
01:12:19,785 --> 01:12:21,705
And the person in control is me.
839
01:12:22,095 --> 01:12:23,565
I'm holding myself to a level of.
840
01:12:25,415 --> 01:12:25,985
Accountability.
841
01:12:25,985 --> 01:12:29,345
I can't, I'm not permitted to take
in the trade for this trading day.
842
01:12:29,764 --> 01:12:35,224
As soon as Asia opens up tonight,
I'm allowed to trade again, but
843
01:12:35,525 --> 01:12:36,665
I'm not really active in Asia.
844
01:12:36,665 --> 01:12:37,505
So now what does that say?
845
01:12:37,565 --> 01:12:40,894
I can't really, really expect to take a
trade until we do another London open.
846
01:12:43,054 --> 01:12:45,965
And this is such a minor amount of pips.
847
01:12:45,995 --> 01:12:47,764
It's such a minor amount of percentage.
848
01:12:48,335 --> 01:12:52,745
Um, it only takes one good setup and
it's complete, completely erased.
849
01:12:52,894 --> 01:12:57,125
And I have a whole weekly expectation
in terms of what I normally have as
850
01:12:57,125 --> 01:12:59,224
a target, still stack on top of it.
851
01:12:59,465 --> 01:13:01,835
So, you know, it's, I understand.
852
01:13:02,465 --> 01:13:04,894
And you know, I'm not reading
anybody complaining here, but I
853
01:13:04,894 --> 01:13:05,825
already know what you're thinking.
854
01:13:05,825 --> 01:13:09,245
Some of you are already thinking,
man, you know, I, I did this trade.
855
01:13:10,205 --> 01:13:13,894
I took this trade and you know, I don't,
I don't feel comfortable with that.
856
01:13:13,894 --> 01:13:17,434
This, um, you know, I'm paying money and
now I've just paid money out of my account
857
01:13:17,465 --> 01:13:20,045
on an, on a trade that I was following.
858
01:13:21,335 --> 01:13:22,325
I don't like this feeling.
859
01:13:22,505 --> 01:13:25,085
And now you're going to think
about this all day long.
860
01:13:26,075 --> 01:13:27,125
It's going to be that yet.
861
01:13:28,385 --> 01:13:32,945
And you can either say, you know
what, it's unrealistic to me for
862
01:13:32,945 --> 01:13:35,075
me to expect a 100% hit rate.
863
01:13:36,335 --> 01:13:41,195
You have to have, um, uh, um,
willingness to absorb losing trades.
864
01:13:41,195 --> 01:13:41,825
It's going to happen.
865
01:13:41,825 --> 01:13:42,905
I promise it was going to happen.
866
01:13:45,565 --> 01:13:49,255
Where's the run on the Euro
low we've seen in low dollar.
867
01:13:52,375 --> 01:13:52,675
Not yet.
868
01:13:55,815 --> 01:13:56,415
Almost
869
01:13:59,475 --> 01:14:01,635
so dollar has yet to make
870
01:14:06,785 --> 01:14:09,695
it's a higher high while
the Euro did breach.
871
01:14:09,695 --> 01:14:10,295
It's low
872
01:14:14,525 --> 01:14:17,345
cable, still quoting it at 24 80 level
873
01:14:20,585 --> 01:14:22,445
Keds, heart, heart attack.
874
01:14:22,455 --> 01:14:23,975
Still not making any sense.
875
01:14:28,495 --> 01:14:33,145
They keep coming back on dollar
CAD for all the trail cell stops
876
01:14:34,015 --> 01:14:35,305
and they keep pressing higher.
877
01:14:36,595 --> 01:14:38,875
Eventually one of these moves
when they take out the end,
878
01:14:38,875 --> 01:14:39,775
it could be today, really.
879
01:14:39,775 --> 01:14:42,385
I mean, it's just, it's going
to be just like this too.
880
01:14:43,165 --> 01:14:44,215
I'm not allowed to take any trades.
881
01:14:44,215 --> 01:14:49,285
So they came down and clear all the stops
out and then vault and go up to the 1 38.
882
01:14:58,235 --> 01:15:02,075
So there's that low in the weekly
chart we noted at 1 0 7 17.
883
01:15:04,295 --> 01:15:05,615
So they'll probably wash that out.
884
01:15:06,845 --> 01:15:07,685
In other words, trade through it.
885
01:15:08,615 --> 01:15:12,005
Try to remind myself, sometimes you
folks that are in other parts of the
886
01:15:12,005 --> 01:15:14,405
world may not understand mine slang.
887
01:15:21,405 --> 01:15:23,055
Okay, Dallas should
press through your high.
888
01:15:23,055 --> 01:15:23,385
Now.
889
01:15:41,425 --> 01:15:45,055
I'm not sure if I was in mid sentence
earlier about something and got distracted
890
01:15:45,055 --> 01:15:46,525
or if I completed my comment, but
891
01:15:58,855 --> 01:16:01,015
yeah, it's my Baltimore accent.
892
01:16:01,405 --> 01:16:02,545
I put an R in.
893
01:16:02,905 --> 01:16:04,945
What would be otherwise wash out?
894
01:16:06,565 --> 01:16:07,495
I say wash.
895
01:16:07,525 --> 01:16:12,895
I'm not, I was raised by basically
a Virginians and a guy from
896
01:16:13,075 --> 01:16:14,305
Pennsylvania, my grandfather.
897
01:16:14,305 --> 01:16:19,525
So I got that as my slime
or my, well, it would be my
898
01:16:24,925 --> 01:16:25,705
th we're escaping.
899
01:16:25,705 --> 01:16:29,995
What does it mean when, uh,
you gotta have an accurate.
900
01:16:56,050 --> 01:16:57,370
And that's it, Danny ocean on?
901
01:16:59,410 --> 01:17:00,250
I don't say that though.
902
01:17:00,730 --> 01:17:02,350
I always make fun of the
people right here saying that.
903
01:17:02,500 --> 01:17:02,680
All right.
904
01:17:02,680 --> 01:17:04,990
We have a run on the high $1 index.
905
01:17:05,410 --> 01:17:06,400
Finally got through that.
906
01:17:06,970 --> 01:17:10,600
Now, are we seeing at the same time
acceleration on the Cape on fiber?
907
01:17:10,630 --> 01:17:11,110
Yes.
908
01:17:12,250 --> 01:17:15,310
So we'll be looking for
1 0 7 17 to be blown out
909
01:17:20,420 --> 01:17:21,410
humility.
910
01:17:22,550 --> 01:17:25,550
That's the focus today,
Michael, learn from it.
911
01:17:26,000 --> 01:17:27,050
Learn from it.
912
01:17:42,240 --> 01:17:42,510
Yeah.
913
01:17:42,540 --> 01:17:43,950
Cable's not making any sense to me.
914
01:17:44,310 --> 01:17:45,660
I got no problem in meeting it.
915
01:17:45,720 --> 01:17:49,620
I don't think that this parent
knows what it wants to do.
916
01:18:02,240 --> 01:18:05,120
That's nice market symmetry right there.
917
01:18:05,420 --> 01:18:07,280
Notice how we made a
higher high on the dollar.
918
01:18:08,630 --> 01:18:10,550
Relative this old high,
we made a higher high.
919
01:18:11,785 --> 01:18:15,445
At the same time we have this old low,
and it's made a lower, low on Euro.
920
01:18:15,715 --> 01:18:18,115
That's how market symmetry should be.
921
01:18:18,265 --> 01:18:21,144
In other words, when you
see that it's confirming.
922
01:18:21,265 --> 01:18:23,155
So in other words, this is
permitted to go higher for the
923
01:18:23,155 --> 01:18:24,835
dollar and lower for the Euro.
924
01:18:28,835 --> 01:18:32,644
Doesn't always happen that that
justifies continuation, but you don't
925
01:18:32,644 --> 01:18:37,655
want to see what we're seeing here
or the Euro was making a, a failed
926
01:18:37,655 --> 01:18:41,795
higher high, no words made no attempt
to get higher than this old high here.
927
01:18:42,215 --> 01:18:47,855
At the same time, it went lower
here because everything is inverse.
928
01:18:47,945 --> 01:18:51,455
So if the dollar is going higher,
foreign currencies, you're a dollar.
929
01:18:51,724 --> 01:18:52,745
It should be going lower.
930
01:18:54,305 --> 01:18:58,205
If the dollar is making a lower, low
at the same time that the Euro doesn't
931
01:18:58,205 --> 01:19:04,025
make that higher high, it's showing
underlying weakness here on this pair.
932
01:19:05,315 --> 01:19:08,735
And this has potential
stop run on cell stops.
933
01:19:08,735 --> 01:19:14,075
And then obviously you can
see the post price action.
934
01:19:20,434 --> 01:19:23,165
Uh, Adam, I don't know why the
cable's not making any sense.
935
01:19:23,165 --> 01:19:25,235
That's why I don't have any
opinion about it right now.
936
01:19:27,684 --> 01:19:28,705
When in doubt, stay out
937
01:19:37,925 --> 01:19:39,485
that weekly, low for your dollars.
938
01:19:39,485 --> 01:19:39,875
One 50.
939
01:19:40,980 --> 01:19:43,410
At 1 0 7 17 on this date of feat
940
01:19:58,790 --> 01:19:59,570
dollar index.
941
01:19:59,599 --> 01:20:02,210
Remember we're watching 100 point 50.
942
01:20:03,440 --> 01:20:04,309
Let me scroll this down.
943
01:20:04,309 --> 01:20:08,210
You can see that's the
upside objective for dollar.
944
01:20:17,570 --> 01:20:23,240
Here's your weekly run on the
low on 1 0 7 17 Euro dollar
945
01:20:50,059 --> 01:20:52,009
score one for the optimal trade entry.
946
01:20:54,440 --> 01:20:59,480
I see T3 three losses in the same day.
947
01:21:09,675 --> 01:21:10,035
Yes.
948
01:21:10,035 --> 01:21:13,125
Fiber's a low resistance equally
when I mentioned that in London,
949
01:21:14,415 --> 01:21:15,795
making the rhino loads like that.
950
01:21:35,745 --> 01:21:41,175
Uh, no, I don't think that it's a magic
number for you personally, to adopt
951
01:21:41,175 --> 01:21:42,945
three trades as a maximum for the day.
952
01:21:43,875 --> 01:21:47,205
Again, it's all going to come
back to your personal risk
953
01:21:47,205 --> 01:21:49,095
tolerance and what suits you.
954
01:21:49,245 --> 01:21:54,735
I mean, I'm, I'm trading at 2% risk
on the trades, so that obviously
955
01:21:54,735 --> 01:21:59,745
doesn't give me a whole lot of trades
to take if I'm wrong, but if you're
956
01:21:59,745 --> 01:22:02,465
trading it like half a 1%, yeah.
957
01:22:02,465 --> 01:22:07,575
You can do a lot more trades than
I can and still meet within a
958
01:22:07,635 --> 01:22:09,285
reasonable amount of risk for the day.
959
01:22:14,525 --> 01:22:19,925
Well, if you're trading with 30% risk,
you need to be in Las Vegas casino
960
01:22:19,925 --> 01:22:27,335
time comparing the dollar index and
pound, but you say that the lbs shows.
961
01:22:28,680 --> 01:22:29,820
British pounds showing strength.
962
01:22:30,960 --> 01:22:35,910
And that's basically what I was saying
earlier in terms of why I think that
963
01:22:35,910 --> 01:22:39,750
24 80 level should be support because
I think they're going to want to
964
01:22:39,750 --> 01:22:46,260
take cable hire, and we should sh you
shouldn't be seeing Europan higher.
965
01:22:47,070 --> 01:22:48,840
I thought I have a chart up
here for, but don't nail.
966
01:22:59,330 --> 01:23:00,230
And actually we're not.
967
01:23:03,530 --> 01:23:04,820
Now when I say, why did I say that?
968
01:23:04,850 --> 01:23:05,390
Good grief?
969
01:23:05,600 --> 01:23:06,320
That's it that backwards.
970
01:23:06,320 --> 01:23:10,280
So Euro's tanking and
cables being held sideways.
971
01:23:10,340 --> 01:23:12,530
So it would be a down move on your pants.
972
01:23:12,980 --> 01:23:13,730
I said that backwards.
973
01:23:23,309 --> 01:23:25,650
No, Miguel, this isn't a test.
974
01:23:25,650 --> 01:23:27,420
Like you, there's no hidden agenda here.
975
01:23:27,480 --> 01:23:29,880
I promised you you're paying for my time.
976
01:23:30,660 --> 01:23:34,350
So I'm trying to give you a read on
what I see every single trading day.
977
01:23:39,390 --> 01:23:41,640
And because of that, you know,
I'm invariably going to have
978
01:23:42,210 --> 01:23:42,990
days where I read it wrong.
979
01:24:23,889 --> 01:24:27,220
I'm confident that I'll be able to
mitigate the losses by Friday's closed.
980
01:24:27,760 --> 01:24:31,030
But I can't guarantee that if anyone
took trades, they're going to do
981
01:24:31,030 --> 01:24:34,030
the same because you're probably
always scared to take the next setup.
982
01:24:34,059 --> 01:24:37,389
If I was to say, I'm going to
trade tomorrow, you can be like,
983
01:24:37,780 --> 01:24:39,700
let me watch and see if this
one's going to be right first.
984
01:24:45,269 --> 01:24:45,930
Exactly.
985
01:24:46,170 --> 01:24:48,480
Thank you for posting that, Joel,
986
01:24:52,139 --> 01:24:53,460
this is not a signal service.
987
01:24:53,580 --> 01:24:54,660
That's next ear.
988
01:24:56,970 --> 01:24:57,960
I can already hear the complaints.
989
01:24:57,960 --> 01:24:59,820
Why don't you give me a
trade signal every day?
990
01:25:31,825 --> 01:25:37,135
Well, admittedly, um, the question I
just asked is how does, how am I feeling
991
01:25:37,945 --> 01:25:42,595
with three losing trades in the same
day, knowing that there's people watching
992
01:25:43,855 --> 01:25:46,885
well, there's, there's always people
watching, you know, they all there,
993
01:25:47,095 --> 01:25:51,055
whether you see my trade or not, that's
always in the forefront of my mind because
994
01:25:52,225 --> 01:25:58,435
I, I do the stuff that I teach, but I
don't trade every single trading day.
995
01:25:59,575 --> 01:26:05,095
So by having a very selective procedure
about when I take trades, it reduces my,
996
01:26:05,275 --> 01:26:12,775
my frequency and it lowers my loss count
and keeps me at a high accuracy rate.
997
01:26:12,805 --> 01:26:14,005
Not that that's my goal.
998
01:26:14,635 --> 01:26:17,335
I don't want to, I don't
like being in trades.
999
01:26:17,515 --> 01:26:22,345
And I've said this before, um, being
in the market is a lack of control
1000
01:26:23,215 --> 01:26:28,465
in my personality is, is I have
to have, I have to have a control.
1001
01:26:30,055 --> 01:26:33,655
So when I have control it's
in the analysis before.
1002
01:26:34,740 --> 01:26:37,650
Which is why I love the analysis
part of the trading, but the
1003
01:26:37,650 --> 01:26:41,519
actual execution and being in the
marketplace with exposed risk.
1004
01:26:42,179 --> 01:26:42,809
I hate it.
1005
01:26:43,139 --> 01:26:44,009
I don't like it.
1006
01:26:44,070 --> 01:26:45,299
I don't want to be in it.
1007
01:26:45,540 --> 01:26:49,080
Um, and I don't think anybody really
does because it's an uncertainty,
1008
01:26:49,889 --> 01:26:52,620
you know, we don't know, you know,
we don't know what the, uh, what
1009
01:26:52,620 --> 01:26:53,490
the next move is going to be.
1010
01:26:53,490 --> 01:26:55,440
We don't know what the outcome
of the trade is going to be.
1011
01:26:55,440 --> 01:27:01,139
As soon as you entered a trade, it's over,
you know, the control aspect is only in
1012
01:27:01,139 --> 01:27:05,099
your hands to the degree where you can
collapse the trade or your stop-loss
1013
01:27:05,099 --> 01:27:06,929
is hit, or your, your targets hit.
1014
01:27:07,380 --> 01:27:08,519
And that brings the end of it.
1015
01:27:08,639 --> 01:27:17,759
So what I'm feeling is the same way I
felt when I was in, uh, my internet,
1016
01:27:18,000 --> 01:27:22,530
internet relay chat room, when I was
doing bicycles for the S and P um, when
1017
01:27:22,530 --> 01:27:26,610
I was making wins and, and everybody
was seeing that everything was great.
1018
01:27:26,610 --> 01:27:28,589
It was, you know, salad days easy.
1019
01:27:28,589 --> 01:27:29,190
It was great.
1020
01:27:29,389 --> 01:27:30,809
Everybody was high-fiving each other.
1021
01:27:30,809 --> 01:27:31,170
It's great.
1022
01:27:31,170 --> 01:27:31,620
Wonderful.
1023
01:27:32,790 --> 01:27:36,900
It's like any other time, when you,
when you have a poor performance,
1024
01:27:37,259 --> 01:27:40,080
you know, you're going to have folks
that are going to be emailing you
1025
01:27:40,139 --> 01:27:42,210
and asking you what's going on.
1026
01:27:42,269 --> 01:27:43,469
It's just system broke.
1027
01:27:43,469 --> 01:27:47,580
Now this has stopped working, you
know, are they trying to stop you
1028
01:27:47,580 --> 01:27:48,690
from making money as your broker?
1029
01:27:48,690 --> 01:27:49,500
Screw me now.
1030
01:27:50,009 --> 01:27:51,389
No, that has nothing to do with it.
1031
01:27:51,450 --> 01:27:52,799
This is, I was wrong.
1032
01:27:53,790 --> 01:27:54,690
That's all, that's all it is.
1033
01:27:54,690 --> 01:27:55,139
It's wrong.
1034
01:27:55,589 --> 01:27:59,009
But what I'm thinking is I already
know some of you that are so new.
1035
01:28:00,030 --> 01:28:03,000
Um, it's going to have a
great deal of impact on.
1036
01:28:04,255 --> 01:28:06,925
The rest of your day today, you're
going to be thinking about all day.
1037
01:28:06,925 --> 01:28:11,845
You mean you're gonna be dwelling on it,
you know, why did these traits not work?
1038
01:28:11,995 --> 01:28:13,735
And why didn't I see it as this?
1039
01:28:13,735 --> 01:28:16,375
And why was I saying the
market should do this or that?
1040
01:28:16,375 --> 01:28:17,035
And it didn't do it.
1041
01:28:18,055 --> 01:28:20,875
So it's, uh, it's going in that car.
1042
01:28:20,905 --> 01:28:21,565
It's going to be a test.
1043
01:28:21,565 --> 01:28:24,145
Not that I intended it to be a test,
but it's gonna be a test for you.
1044
01:28:25,075 --> 01:28:32,715
Do you take the ability of assuming
risk and then assault, assuming
1045
01:28:32,715 --> 01:28:36,675
that risk and then taking that loss,
does that change your conviction
1046
01:28:36,675 --> 01:28:37,965
about wanting to be a trader?
1047
01:28:38,055 --> 01:28:43,185
Because if it does, trading's not
going to be for you and no mentor,
1048
01:28:43,185 --> 01:28:50,145
no, no teaching, no system, no nothing
is going to help that until you allow
1049
01:28:50,145 --> 01:28:52,725
yourself to say, okay, well look,
you know, I'm going to, I'm going to
1050
01:28:52,725 --> 01:28:54,045
have days where I don't make money.
1051
01:28:54,585 --> 01:28:56,325
I'm going to miss opportunities
and I'm going to lose.
1052
01:29:10,325 --> 01:29:11,435
Yeah, I'm just reading the comment.
1053
01:29:11,705 --> 01:29:15,875
If I do a signal service, I expect a
hundred percent guarantee accuracy.
1054
01:29:20,585 --> 01:29:26,375
So to answer your question in short
and sweet terms, um, I'm always
1055
01:29:26,375 --> 01:29:30,095
concerned that you, as the subscriber.
1056
01:29:31,260 --> 01:29:36,180
Um, we'll make more about one
trading days, performance then sh
1057
01:29:36,240 --> 01:29:38,670
then reasonably, uh, should be made.
1058
01:29:39,480 --> 01:29:42,390
So, but I understand how
it was as a new trader too.
1059
01:29:42,420 --> 01:29:49,080
So it it's, I already know that the
likelihood of you getting fear based
1060
01:29:49,080 --> 01:29:54,120
emails saying, look, you know, I'm
not sure what's going on, or you're
1061
01:29:54,120 --> 01:29:57,300
probably going to be, uh, reluctant now
to send the email, because if you've
1062
01:29:57,300 --> 01:30:01,710
traded life funds, when you're not
supposed to be doing it yet, the, uh,
1063
01:30:02,100 --> 01:30:03,870
that pain is going to be more for you.
1064
01:30:04,860 --> 01:30:08,370
And it's going to be a psychological
barrier for you now, because,
1065
01:30:08,370 --> 01:30:12,269
and when we do the next set up,
you're going to be thinking the
1066
01:30:12,269 --> 01:30:13,740
last three traits were losers.
1067
01:30:13,890 --> 01:30:15,240
What makes this trade any different?
1068
01:30:16,200 --> 01:30:18,269
And then what's going to happen
is also, you're going to go in and
1069
01:30:18,269 --> 01:30:23,130
you're gonna start picking apart and
critiquing the setup instead of trying
1070
01:30:23,130 --> 01:30:26,640
to learn from the setup, the feedback
that you get from the price action.
1071
01:30:26,880 --> 01:30:29,760
See, what I'm trying to do is I'm
putting, I'm putting you nose into
1072
01:30:29,760 --> 01:30:34,019
the chart and saying, okay, based on
what I understand, what I know, this
1073
01:30:34,019 --> 01:30:35,610
is what I think the market should do.
1074
01:30:36,540 --> 01:30:38,220
If it doesn't do those things.
1075
01:30:38,610 --> 01:30:38,970
Okay.
1076
01:30:39,030 --> 01:30:41,790
Obviously I slept through London
in an allowed the full staff.
1077
01:30:41,790 --> 01:30:42,810
So I can't do anything about that.
1078
01:30:42,810 --> 01:30:48,840
And I was willing to take that loss,
but when I'm in the market live, if I
1079
01:30:48,840 --> 01:30:53,280
see things that don't make sense and I
can describe them to you and I collapsed
1080
01:30:53,280 --> 01:30:56,100
the trade, you learn a great deal from.
1081
01:30:57,300 --> 01:30:58,830
You don't make money from that trade.
1082
01:30:58,860 --> 01:31:02,280
You don't make money from that
experience, but you learn a thought
1083
01:31:02,280 --> 01:31:06,060
process about why I'm doing the
things that you otherwise can't learn.
1084
01:31:06,360 --> 01:31:07,320
I can't write it in a book.
1085
01:31:07,500 --> 01:31:10,470
I can't, I can't show it to you in a
video where it makes sense, but as I'm
1086
01:31:10,470 --> 01:31:15,750
doing and seeing it and live describing
it, that's what I wanted to know.
1087
01:31:15,870 --> 01:31:20,790
I wanted it to know what makes the
trader like this is what pissed me off.
1088
01:31:20,820 --> 01:31:24,120
When I would see people
that made profitable trades.
1089
01:31:24,390 --> 01:31:26,340
When we were on American line,
it was all message boards.
1090
01:31:27,270 --> 01:31:29,880
So it was kinda like
forum based ID delivery.
1091
01:31:31,320 --> 01:31:34,440
So when I would read these
folks, they would show their
1092
01:31:34,440 --> 01:31:35,820
trades and they were real trades.
1093
01:31:35,850 --> 01:31:39,600
I mean, they would show E-Trade
statements and Lynn Waldock and Fox
1094
01:31:39,600 --> 01:31:42,360
investments, all the, all the brokerage
firms that were out there for futures
1095
01:31:42,360 --> 01:31:46,950
and stock trading, they would put
their, uh, their screenshots up there.
1096
01:31:46,950 --> 01:31:49,140
And this was before Photoshop was
around all that kind of stuff,
1097
01:31:49,140 --> 01:31:51,900
where you would see, like you would
clearly see, this is what it was.
1098
01:31:52,560 --> 01:31:56,700
And I would always ask them, Hey,
look, you know, why wouldn't you
1099
01:31:56,700 --> 01:31:58,650
have been shaken out by this or that?
1100
01:31:59,400 --> 01:32:01,290
And they wouldn't tell you.
1101
01:32:01,980 --> 01:32:07,530
And I found that very problematic for me
as a, as a developing trader, because I
1102
01:32:07,530 --> 01:32:11,670
felt that that's what people were hiding
from me to people that were making money.
1103
01:32:11,670 --> 01:32:18,570
They had some seeker performance
protocol that they used to to see
1104
01:32:18,570 --> 01:32:20,250
when these losing trades were.
1105
01:32:21,915 --> 01:32:22,485
They start off.
1106
01:32:22,514 --> 01:32:24,795
Obviously everyone thinks that the
tree is going to be a winner, but
1107
01:32:24,795 --> 01:32:28,455
then when you get in there, what are
those characteristics that show that
1108
01:32:28,455 --> 01:32:30,255
trade no longer being a winning trade.
1109
01:32:31,844 --> 01:32:36,045
I did a lot of work with that initially
in my trading, because I was fearful,
1110
01:32:36,465 --> 01:32:39,375
I was 100% fearful of taking a loss.
1111
01:32:39,434 --> 01:32:40,304
I didn't want to lose.
1112
01:32:40,905 --> 01:32:45,405
And because if I lost, I would have,
I would be accountable to my uncle.
1113
01:32:45,495 --> 01:32:47,325
I have to tell him, looking into
someone because that was the
1114
01:32:47,325 --> 01:32:48,525
person I made accountability to.
1115
01:32:48,884 --> 01:32:50,684
I would show him what I
was dealing with my trades.
1116
01:32:52,575 --> 01:32:54,705
Initially, it was the greatest thing I
could ever done, but then it, eventually
1117
01:32:54,705 --> 01:32:59,175
it became the worst thing I could ever
done because it became a psychological
1118
01:32:59,415 --> 01:33:02,684
arm wrestling match where, you know,
as soon as he would tell me his opinion
1119
01:33:02,684 --> 01:33:06,045
on the marketplace, meaning a country
and as I'm going, and I'm looking for
1120
01:33:06,045 --> 01:33:07,304
reasons to do the opposite of that.
1121
01:33:07,815 --> 01:33:10,605
And sometimes it was right,
but then sometimes it wasn't.
1122
01:33:11,175 --> 01:33:14,775
So what was really driving me, the
fact that I want to be different
1123
01:33:14,775 --> 01:33:17,085
than him, not the technical.
1124
01:33:17,295 --> 01:33:22,695
I was justifying my stance based on the
assumption that he's always going to be
1125
01:33:22,695 --> 01:33:24,675
wrong, you know, broken clock's right.
1126
01:33:24,675 --> 01:33:25,275
Twice a day.
1127
01:33:25,724 --> 01:33:36,355
So if, if I could go back in time and
tell myself what I knew now, it would
1128
01:33:36,355 --> 01:33:44,815
have been this when you see the trade
that you're in and you see the warning
1129
01:33:44,815 --> 01:33:49,014
signs that it's not going to pan out
for you the first time you get that.
1130
01:33:50,835 --> 01:33:57,105
Immediately view where your stop-loss
is, and then cut that in half where
1131
01:33:57,105 --> 01:34:02,175
that would be in terms of stock, if
it starts trading on that don't even
1132
01:34:02,175 --> 01:34:05,505
waste any more time with the trade,
just collapse it, because if it's going
1133
01:34:05,505 --> 01:34:09,735
halfway to your stop, it's going to be
very easy for it to go to a full stop.
1134
01:34:10,304 --> 01:34:13,815
And if you're feeling reluctant about
holding that trade, if it's going halfway
1135
01:34:13,815 --> 01:34:17,985
to what you're willing to assume in terms
of a loss in the technical stone will show
1136
01:34:17,985 --> 01:34:19,485
any indication that it's turning around.
1137
01:34:19,485 --> 01:34:22,425
Now, mind you, I didn't know, SMT
diversions, then I didn't know any of
1138
01:34:22,425 --> 01:34:28,605
these things, but what was, what was the
defining moment for me that change what
1139
01:34:28,605 --> 01:34:29,925
I'm actually doing when I'm in to trade?
1140
01:34:30,224 --> 01:34:34,095
The only control I have is knowing when
I want to hold it and when I'm going to
1141
01:34:34,095 --> 01:34:35,804
bail on it, when I want to get out of it.
1142
01:34:36,705 --> 01:34:40,095
And the other term, uh, the other
two, uh, Terminus of that is
1143
01:34:40,095 --> 01:34:42,255
my profit being hit or my stop.
1144
01:34:42,945 --> 01:34:46,815
So either the best outcome
is, is my profit is hit or
1145
01:34:46,815 --> 01:34:47,835
I'm going to take a full stop.
1146
01:34:48,135 --> 01:34:51,764
I don't want a full stop, even though I'm
willing to take it as a catastrophic loss.
1147
01:34:51,974 --> 01:34:55,755
That means if the market spikes
against me, I'll take that as a
1148
01:34:55,755 --> 01:34:57,554
loss and say, okay, I was wrong.
1149
01:34:57,554 --> 01:34:59,355
And it's limited to just that.
1150
01:34:59,955 --> 01:35:04,695
But when I go into a trade, I'm
actually trying to manage, not losing
1151
01:35:04,695 --> 01:35:08,684
that full stop, but still having the
potential to making that full profit.
1152
01:35:09,915 --> 01:35:13,605
And it takes being in the marketplace.
1153
01:35:14,849 --> 01:35:16,860
Seeing it being done explained why.
1154
01:35:16,860 --> 01:35:19,799
Cause every, every pattern and
every day is going to be different.
1155
01:35:19,799 --> 01:35:25,639
There's going to be different things that,
um, I guess provide the context of why
1156
01:35:26,059 --> 01:35:29,630
these things would happen, but there's a
generic thing that goes along all of them.
1157
01:35:30,170 --> 01:35:35,210
But again, it can't be conceptualized
to such a broad brush idea that, Hey,
1158
01:35:35,210 --> 01:35:37,070
look, this is how it's done all the time.
1159
01:35:37,250 --> 01:35:39,320
You have to see it experientially.
1160
01:35:39,740 --> 01:35:42,769
And once you do, you'll,
it'll make sense to you.
1161
01:35:43,490 --> 01:35:46,309
It's kind of like, you know,
like I don't like golf.
1162
01:35:46,950 --> 01:35:47,870
I tried it in high school.
1163
01:35:48,410 --> 01:35:50,269
Um, I just couldn't hold a golf putter.
1164
01:35:50,330 --> 01:35:50,660
Right.
1165
01:35:50,690 --> 01:35:52,009
I couldn't, I couldn't do it.
1166
01:35:52,009 --> 01:35:52,219
Right.
1167
01:35:52,290 --> 01:35:53,000
I just couldn't do it.
1168
01:35:53,000 --> 01:35:53,150
Right.
1169
01:35:53,179 --> 01:35:54,170
And I don't have the patience for it.
1170
01:35:54,590 --> 01:35:59,179
And I had kids in my class that would
get up there and just nail all the
1171
01:35:59,179 --> 01:36:01,460
time, get real close to wherever
they were trying to aim it for.
1172
01:36:01,639 --> 01:36:02,690
And it didn't make any sense to me.
1173
01:36:02,690 --> 01:36:04,040
How do they keep doing this stuff?
1174
01:36:04,490 --> 01:36:07,519
And because I didn't have the patience
to go through the skill set, practicing
1175
01:36:07,519 --> 01:36:11,299
of it, I already knew I committed the
fact that I don't want to do that.
1176
01:36:11,900 --> 01:36:13,849
So why waste my time?
1177
01:36:15,690 --> 01:36:20,700
But if you have that inspiration to be a
trader, you're going to have to go through
1178
01:36:20,700 --> 01:36:22,349
this process of grinding through it.
1179
01:36:23,370 --> 01:36:25,259
And it's not always going
to be a positive return.
1180
01:36:25,620 --> 01:36:29,070
That negative return is actually a very
profitable, uh, learning environment.
1181
01:36:33,150 --> 01:36:33,450
All right.
1182
01:36:33,450 --> 01:36:36,139
So we're, we're going to see
draggy come in here and have his.
1183
01:36:40,719 --> 01:36:44,410
I didn't mean to offend you or, uh,
your affinity for Gulf Jacob on the St.
1184
01:36:44,410 --> 01:36:45,519
I just don't personally like it.
1185
01:36:47,410 --> 01:36:51,849
I like lacrosse and soccer, but
outside of that, I don't like sports.
1186
01:37:12,219 --> 01:37:12,669
Yeah.
1187
01:37:12,700 --> 01:37:16,299
Cable is not looking good.
1188
01:37:19,570 --> 01:37:21,940
I don't like the fact that we went down
below that we're blocked here, this
1189
01:37:21,940 --> 01:37:25,929
down candle, even though I'm willing to
see it go down to this candle is high
1190
01:37:28,150 --> 01:37:32,669
1 24 36, basically 1 24 35, 1 24 40.
1191
01:37:34,410 --> 01:37:35,669
That's like the line in the sand.
1192
01:37:35,669 --> 01:37:38,759
If you will, if we lose that
is going to want to go lower.
1193
01:37:39,240 --> 01:37:41,490
And we won't be looking to
trade up into this range.
1194
01:38:25,290 --> 01:38:28,890
Uh, the question is when I was
taking the trade, was I watching
1195
01:38:28,890 --> 01:38:30,630
the weekly Euro downside objectives?
1196
01:38:30,960 --> 01:38:38,400
I was aware of them, but I was
expecting some pullback and expectation
1197
01:38:39,240 --> 01:38:40,710
of whatever drug you would say.
1198
01:39:35,155 --> 01:39:36,894
Yeah, I don't have any opinion on CAD.
1199
01:39:36,955 --> 01:39:39,205
I just think, well, I
guess I did have opinion.
1200
01:39:39,205 --> 01:39:42,144
If I'm going to say something
now, um, I don't have a position
1201
01:39:42,144 --> 01:39:45,625
on CAD, but I do suspect that
they're going to drive it higher.
1202
01:39:51,304 --> 01:39:56,554
I'm waiting on Steve to confirm he has a
microphone before we can set up anything.
1203
01:40:00,264 --> 01:40:02,485
It wouldn't be today because
we're already long in the tooth
1204
01:40:02,485 --> 01:40:04,554
with, uh, with today's session.
1205
01:40:28,285 --> 01:40:29,035
First,
1206
01:40:32,384 --> 01:40:33,695
first impression on today.
1207
01:40:35,530 --> 01:40:40,030
Bias that I should've stuck with.
1208
01:41:05,740 --> 01:41:09,970
Um, well, I had to be careful
about what I say about my opinion.
1209
01:41:10,540 --> 01:41:12,640
The question is, is how can I
not have an opinion about any
1210
01:41:12,640 --> 01:41:15,100
instrument you can be neutral.
1211
01:41:16,360 --> 01:41:22,170
And that's kind of like where
I'm at with everything now.
1212
01:41:22,200 --> 01:41:24,060
Cause I can't, I can't take any action.
1213
01:41:25,440 --> 01:41:29,640
The more I talk about the setups, the
more anxious I feel because I am human.
1214
01:41:30,870 --> 01:41:35,400
I see, I see the setups that would
potentially be there, but I don't
1215
01:41:35,400 --> 01:41:39,540
have the permission based on my rules
to take any more trades for today.
1216
01:41:40,290 --> 01:41:43,200
So I don't want to sell the idea
of, or inspire anybody to take
1217
01:41:43,200 --> 01:41:45,600
something that I myself can't take.
1218
01:42:02,915 --> 01:42:05,525
I appreciate that, Mike, I'm
not, I'm not beating myself up.
1219
01:42:05,525 --> 01:42:07,144
I'm not sulking or anything like that.
1220
01:42:07,144 --> 01:42:12,035
I just I'm responding to a lot of
people's comments and questions.
1221
01:42:14,035 --> 01:42:15,595
I'm on to the next trade at London.
1222
01:42:15,595 --> 01:42:16,465
I'm not worried about it.
1223
01:42:28,765 --> 01:42:29,005
Yeah.
1224
01:42:29,005 --> 01:42:29,665
The trend line,
1225
01:42:32,695 --> 01:42:38,934
the trend line I had on the pound
dollar next, let's look with that again.
1226
01:42:48,644 --> 01:42:53,565
That actually, uh, well, when you see
that, what the condition is for the
1227
01:42:55,905 --> 01:43:01,215
set up for a false trend lines, this
is, this would have been a failure too.
1228
01:43:01,215 --> 01:43:03,915
So I would have, if I would
have taken a fourth trade, okay.
1229
01:43:03,915 --> 01:43:05,235
Let's say I would have
taken a fourth trade.
1230
01:43:05,955 --> 01:43:07,125
That would have been a loser too.
1231
01:43:08,235 --> 01:43:10,485
That would have been what
was your on the pound dollar?
1232
01:43:11,865 --> 01:43:14,325
So I would've lost money
on the other one too.
1233
01:43:14,325 --> 01:43:19,155
So I would have been a really bad day,
which is again, another testimony to.
1234
01:43:20,235 --> 01:43:21,344
Well, I have to have a limit.
1235
01:43:21,344 --> 01:43:23,474
And when you go, at what
point do you draw the line?
1236
01:43:23,745 --> 01:43:27,434
I mean, I knew some people out there
that teach and such, they'll say, you
1237
01:43:27,434 --> 01:43:29,084
gotta take, you gotta trade your edge.
1238
01:43:29,504 --> 01:43:31,485
You know, you got to do
your next set up regardless.
1239
01:43:31,485 --> 01:43:34,785
You gotta take the next trade now, you
know, it's, I guess it's true in a sense,
1240
01:43:34,785 --> 01:43:39,825
but how many of those edge trades do
you have inside of a normal trading day?
1241
01:43:41,804 --> 01:43:46,575
That's that's where my work has taken me,
where I got a cap at somewhere and I think
1242
01:43:46,575 --> 01:43:49,575
three is it can't be more than three.
1243
01:43:55,875 --> 01:43:57,974
Uh, why don't we focus on your own pound?
1244
01:43:59,264 --> 01:44:01,605
There's not always
something in your opinion,
1245
01:44:04,985 --> 01:44:09,424
if the dollar is, um, delivering
very clear your message, that it
1246
01:44:09,424 --> 01:44:13,025
wants to go somewhere, I'm going
to live there when the dollar is
1247
01:44:13,025 --> 01:44:16,025
uncertain, then I use your opinion.
1248
01:44:26,684 --> 01:44:30,254
Um, that's an interesting question.
1249
01:44:30,285 --> 01:44:32,894
Uh, you know, would it makes
sense for them to do it?
1250
01:44:32,894 --> 01:44:37,995
Liquidity play right now at
3:00 PM and reverse to create
1251
01:44:38,025 --> 01:44:39,855
upside liquidity for tomorrow?
1252
01:44:40,365 --> 01:44:45,644
Um, if I were in control
of price on the Euro,
1253
01:44:49,990 --> 01:44:52,990
What I would do personally is I
would send it higher right from here.
1254
01:44:52,990 --> 01:44:56,140
Cause we've already taken the low out
for people that we're trying to capture.
1255
01:44:56,140 --> 01:45:01,030
The low they're washed out to
those cell stops have been washed.
1256
01:45:01,090 --> 01:45:08,530
So if they'd taken price below that low
with no advancement or a dynamic movement,
1257
01:45:08,530 --> 01:45:12,060
I'm going forward past that low now,
which we just went below a little bit.
1258
01:45:12,100 --> 01:45:15,040
Now we're already going back
per personally, I would have
1259
01:45:15,040 --> 01:45:17,920
expected this to be a lot more
aggressive as it moved below.
1260
01:45:17,920 --> 01:45:19,000
It, it hasn't done that.
1261
01:45:19,660 --> 01:45:21,760
So they may be out here
collecting the cell stops.
1262
01:45:21,790 --> 01:45:23,860
And if they're going to collect the
cell stops, what does that imply?
1263
01:45:24,460 --> 01:45:25,900
They're accumulating long positions.
1264
01:45:26,050 --> 01:45:29,560
So if they're going to Akili it
down here, where would they want
1265
01:45:29,560 --> 01:45:33,400
to distribute those longs up here?
1266
01:45:33,760 --> 01:45:37,750
It's not like a broken record, but
I just, I see that level back here.
1267
01:45:37,750 --> 01:45:40,660
And it just looks so obvious
that they want that level built
1268
01:45:40,660 --> 01:45:42,040
up and a lot of trust in it.
1269
01:45:43,900 --> 01:45:50,020
So we could see in my mind, I'm thinking
if I had control, I'd make a run on
1270
01:45:50,050 --> 01:45:53,590
everybody's short because they've been
thinking about what they'd done here.
1271
01:45:53,800 --> 01:45:57,190
They had a low that they've
taken price down to below it.
1272
01:45:57,210 --> 01:46:03,100
It bought up some more data on this below
this low, they bought up more cell stops.
1273
01:46:03,100 --> 01:46:06,970
So now they have hedged
in longs here, here.
1274
01:46:07,180 --> 01:46:10,210
So if they make a run on the buy
stops here, here, and up to the
1275
01:46:10,210 --> 01:46:14,860
gap, they have a logical area where
they can unload that and make a book
1276
01:46:14,950 --> 01:46:17,080
and also hedge against the down.
1277
01:46:17,080 --> 01:46:17,520
Move on your.
1278
01:46:24,894 --> 01:46:27,505
But I've been wrong three times today.
1279
01:46:27,505 --> 01:46:29,905
So bear that in mind.
1280
01:46:32,065 --> 01:46:34,315
I'm just saying hypothetically,
if I had control over price,
1281
01:46:34,735 --> 01:46:35,845
that's how I would deliver it.
1282
01:46:36,025 --> 01:46:38,755
Cause I could, I could
facilitate market-making.
1283
01:46:39,115 --> 01:46:42,415
I would pair orders to where
logical buyers would be after
1284
01:46:42,505 --> 01:46:43,675
a killing the cell stops.
1285
01:46:50,865 --> 01:46:51,885
I would've been wrong.
1286
01:46:51,885 --> 01:46:55,335
Four times Connor would have been, and
we're going to stick to the facts here.
1287
01:46:55,335 --> 01:46:55,725
I was wrong.
1288
01:46:55,755 --> 01:46:58,275
Three times, they thought
I'd taken the trade on cable.
1289
01:46:58,275 --> 01:47:00,434
That would have been a loser.
1290
01:47:03,285 --> 01:47:08,175
Didn't you use Euro pound before to
determine what Euro and pound dollar
1291
01:47:09,285 --> 01:47:10,905
was going to do after looking at that?
1292
01:47:11,265 --> 01:47:15,915
Yes, but when there are specific
conditions, like there's going to
1293
01:47:15,915 --> 01:47:19,335
be times where you don't necessarily
lean too much on the dollar because
1294
01:47:19,335 --> 01:47:20,775
it's going to be in a consolidation.
1295
01:47:21,525 --> 01:47:26,745
So you have to lean on Euro pound to see
where its liquidity is above or below.
1296
01:47:26,745 --> 01:47:30,585
And that'll give you the potential
play on what currency to trade.
1297
01:47:30,585 --> 01:47:35,894
Because if, for instance, say
for instance, uh, dollars and the
1298
01:47:35,894 --> 01:47:40,515
consolidation, which is not now, but
say it's in a consolidation and you just
1299
01:47:40,515 --> 01:47:42,405
feel like that Euro is going to go home.
1300
01:47:43,394 --> 01:47:48,165
Well, if that's true, then Euro
pound is going to have either a void.
1301
01:47:48,224 --> 01:47:53,084
It wants to close in on the upside
or stop run that could potentially be
1302
01:47:53,084 --> 01:47:57,584
running above an old high while cable
has nothing really bullshit right away.
1303
01:47:58,275 --> 01:48:01,155
And then Europound
suggests that that long.
1304
01:48:01,155 --> 01:48:05,714
And you're a dollar is probably
going to be favorable while
1305
01:48:05,714 --> 01:48:09,554
dollars in consolidation is when
consolidation is seen in us dollar
1306
01:48:09,554 --> 01:48:12,554
index, you have dollar neutrality.
1307
01:48:12,584 --> 01:48:17,985
So with that underlying basis where
the dollar can not move higher or lower
1308
01:48:17,985 --> 01:48:22,964
with integrate deal of magnitude, it
doesn't negate trades that can be made
1309
01:48:22,964 --> 01:48:24,405
in foreign currencies long or short.
1310
01:48:24,705 --> 01:48:29,235
It just means that gene, you have to
do more analysis with their crosses and
1311
01:48:29,235 --> 01:48:31,605
it's same way with, uh, the Japanese yen.
1312
01:48:32,084 --> 01:48:39,035
Um, when you're looking for the Jack H N
D to remain in a consolidation, but the
1313
01:48:39,035 --> 01:48:42,584
Euro and pound, it looked like they can
potentially go one right direction or the
1314
01:48:42,584 --> 01:48:49,004
other, um, the same thing unfolds there by
using the pound pounding in or your again,
1315
01:48:57,325 --> 01:48:59,905
Aussie dollar hasn't made
any sense to me either.
1316
01:49:01,965 --> 01:49:07,185
Um, like I said, the markets
are digesting a lot of things.
1317
01:49:07,365 --> 01:49:10,215
They were worrying about whether
or not Hillary is going to put
1318
01:49:10,215 --> 01:49:11,625
us in nuclear war with Russia.
1319
01:49:12,435 --> 01:49:17,595
Uh, whether Donald Trump is going to
export all the Muslims and, uh, block,
1320
01:49:18,255 --> 01:49:25,395
you know, um, the Mexicans, uh, with
a border wall with no drive-thru.
1321
01:49:25,695 --> 01:49:30,345
And, uh, in my mind is there's a
lot of things to the, everybody is
1322
01:49:32,105 --> 01:49:38,495
basically trying to figure out just
like we are, you know, there's a lot
1323
01:49:38,495 --> 01:49:41,315
of things to weigh out immediately.
1324
01:49:41,315 --> 01:49:42,125
It's not easy right now.
1325
01:49:42,155 --> 01:49:43,415
It's not easy at all,
1326
01:49:52,725 --> 01:49:54,525
but in the coming weeks,
it'll smooth out a little bit.
1327
01:49:55,815 --> 01:49:56,715
He's got to give it time.
1328
01:50:01,055 --> 01:50:01,235
Yeah.
1329
01:50:01,235 --> 01:50:03,305
I hate to say it, but I think
Donald Trump's going to get shot.
1330
01:50:03,315 --> 01:50:06,185
Not, I'm not wishing for that to
happen, but I just don't see him
1331
01:50:06,215 --> 01:50:07,595
getting in the office in January.
1332
01:50:09,555 --> 01:50:15,315
And I won't say that in public forum, only
YouTube, but that's my personal belief.
1333
01:50:26,355 --> 01:50:28,335
He's just not a skull
and bones kind of guy.
1334
01:50:28,965 --> 01:50:32,055
So if you're not, you're not
in that click, you can't, you
1335
01:50:32,055 --> 01:50:33,015
can't be part of the party.
1336
01:50:43,195 --> 01:50:48,655
Um, well, I don't want to turn this
teaching into a political discussion.
1337
01:50:49,525 --> 01:50:55,315
I want to kind of keep it on the
topic of technical details, but I
1338
01:50:55,315 --> 01:50:56,575
can certainly talk about that stuff.
1339
01:50:56,605 --> 01:50:58,375
And, uh, in my free forum.
1340
01:51:09,485 --> 01:51:17,015
So, so far we've not seen
anything except for the same,
1341
01:51:25,535 --> 01:51:30,215
this type of price action in here where
we have consolidation and rallies and
1342
01:51:30,215 --> 01:51:31,625
comes back into the consolidation.
1343
01:51:32,945 --> 01:51:38,585
I find that more favorable for me to
trade when we haven't moved so far in one
1344
01:51:38,585 --> 01:51:43,865
direction, like we've seen on the dollar,
the dollar index on a daily basis is, has
1345
01:51:43,865 --> 01:51:46,175
been screaming and it's reading higher.
1346
01:51:47,045 --> 01:51:52,115
And I just don't want to get too bored.
1347
01:51:52,920 --> 01:51:59,070
On the dollar and, you know,
it's, I don't want to, I don't
1348
01:51:59,070 --> 01:52:00,960
want to buy it at this level.
1349
01:52:01,060 --> 01:52:04,650
I'm more willing to see a reversal
pattern and unfortunately,
1350
01:52:04,680 --> 01:52:08,040
reversal patterns have that price.
1351
01:52:08,040 --> 01:52:14,490
Sometimes you got to pay, you know,
and just too many updates in a row
1352
01:52:14,490 --> 01:52:16,140
for me and for my personal taste.
1353
01:52:17,610 --> 01:52:24,300
But once it gets to one, 100 point 50
basis, the dollar, uh, then things can
1354
01:52:24,300 --> 01:52:27,510
get really interesting because if we
blow through that man alive, we got,
1355
01:52:28,200 --> 01:52:32,730
we got some real issues to contend with
because it could be the running a lot
1356
01:52:32,730 --> 01:52:34,530
higher than I thought on the dollar.
1357
01:52:52,580 --> 01:52:57,110
Um, Larry, I'm not sure I'm asking
your question is why wouldn't we see
1358
01:52:57,110 --> 01:53:00,020
this Euro dollar pest distribution
1359
01:53:10,530 --> 01:53:11,940
referring to what specifically?
1360
01:53:33,625 --> 01:53:35,035
Yeah, I don't want to buy cable.
1361
01:53:36,175 --> 01:53:36,895
I don't want to buy it.
1362
01:53:36,925 --> 01:53:39,715
I think it's going to punish me if I
did it and I can't, I'm not allowed to
1363
01:53:39,715 --> 01:53:42,835
do it today anyway, but you're asking,
you're asking me a question about why
1364
01:53:43,705 --> 01:53:45,025
would it be, would it be a good buy?
1365
01:53:45,055 --> 01:53:45,775
I want to buy it.
1366
01:53:58,535 --> 01:54:02,525
I personally, this is, this is my thought
processes and there's been several, you'd
1367
01:54:02,525 --> 01:54:06,935
been asking about my view on equities
in S and P and the down the NASDAQ.
1368
01:54:07,535 --> 01:54:10,565
Um, I don't like the fact that
we're seeing this raging dollar
1369
01:54:10,565 --> 01:54:15,575
rally in the dowel mated higher
height, and it doesn't make sense.
1370
01:54:15,965 --> 01:54:20,255
Um, there shouldn't be
a run to the dollar.
1371
01:54:21,305 --> 01:54:25,505
If equities are bullish, it
doesn't, it doesn't jive.
1372
01:54:25,925 --> 01:54:29,345
So, um, I'm gonna tweet
this on my public forum.
1373
01:54:29,405 --> 01:54:33,305
We had some jackass say, well, you
just revealed something that every
1374
01:54:33,305 --> 01:54:35,075
trader has an understanding of.
1375
01:54:35,105 --> 01:54:40,415
Well, and that's, that's a showed the, the
scope of cause understanding the point.
1376
01:54:41,015 --> 01:54:47,400
The point is, if we're looking at
equities, And my expectation is we were
1377
01:54:47,400 --> 01:54:50,940
looking for a higher high before they
crash it because they have to build
1378
01:54:50,940 --> 01:54:53,370
in this idea that we got through it.
1379
01:54:53,580 --> 01:54:55,349
We got through that uncertainty.
1380
01:54:55,440 --> 01:54:56,099
We got through that.
1381
01:54:56,099 --> 01:54:58,889
We have a new president, we
have this, and we have that.
1382
01:54:59,340 --> 01:55:02,580
But in the meantime, behind the
scenes, they're paying for people to
1383
01:55:02,580 --> 01:55:07,230
go around in cities, busing them in
and paying them a dollar wage of 19 to
1384
01:55:07,230 --> 01:55:09,690
$21 an hour to protest against Trump.
1385
01:55:10,290 --> 01:55:13,470
So if you have to pay for them to
do it, there's not enough to do it
1386
01:55:13,470 --> 01:55:18,570
on their own, and they're doing it
to upset the, the whole thing, you
1387
01:55:18,570 --> 01:55:20,849
know, that they're causing unrest.
1388
01:55:21,540 --> 01:55:27,960
So I believe that in the fact that the
federal reserve is this screwing, all
1389
01:55:27,960 --> 01:55:33,570
of the other currencies by rallying
the dollar by doing that, we should not
1390
01:55:33,570 --> 01:55:35,400
be seeing equities, making new highs.
1391
01:55:35,610 --> 01:55:36,720
They should be tanking.
1392
01:55:37,170 --> 01:55:37,590
Okay.
1393
01:55:38,160 --> 01:55:42,269
And for the folks that did ask me an
email, you know, what my opinion is on,
1394
01:55:42,630 --> 01:55:48,030
uh, S and P stocks and all that stuff,
um, I've held true to, like I said, on
1395
01:55:48,030 --> 01:55:52,349
Twitter, I think it's going to crash,
but it has to happen after it makes a
1396
01:55:52,349 --> 01:55:57,240
new high, they have to build in this idea
that, okay, it's, it's okay, it's fine.
1397
01:55:57,389 --> 01:55:59,280
And it's going to take
everybody by surprise.
1398
01:56:00,269 --> 01:56:04,380
When we just made this rally up and down
made a new high historic highs, you know,
1399
01:56:04,380 --> 01:56:07,769
people are like, wow, why did this happen?
1400
01:56:07,769 --> 01:56:08,400
Where'd this come from?
1401
01:56:08,440 --> 01:56:10,110
Well, we were talking
about that happening.
1402
01:56:10,260 --> 01:56:13,080
Know that was the most
probable outcome to see.
1403
01:56:13,905 --> 01:56:16,125
But S and P and NASDAQ didn't follow suit.
1404
01:56:16,965 --> 01:56:22,365
And I haven't seen equities today,
but the, uh, hang on one second.
1405
01:56:38,275 --> 01:56:38,545
Yeah.
1406
01:56:38,555 --> 01:56:43,765
SMP and, uh, NASA, X hasn't, they
haven't made any, uh, equal high yet.
1407
01:56:43,795 --> 01:56:44,665
What's the doubt.
1408
01:56:45,625 --> 01:56:52,345
So to me personally, I think this
is a lot of different things.
1409
01:56:52,345 --> 01:56:57,235
The dollar, uh, folks are running to
the dollar because they're probably
1410
01:56:57,715 --> 01:57:01,045
unloading their stocks as the
market's making their heart high.
1411
01:57:01,375 --> 01:57:03,895
They're unloading it and
moving it into dollar base, uh,
1412
01:57:07,735 --> 01:57:08,245
protection.
1413
01:57:08,245 --> 01:57:10,135
I guess it's like the quality type thing.
1414
01:57:11,245 --> 01:57:18,055
And a couple that with the fact that,
you know, the dollar is going to rally to
1415
01:57:18,055 --> 01:57:24,895
put pressure on Russia, to put pressure
on other foreign currencies and like
1416
01:57:24,895 --> 01:57:30,985
it or not, where the federal reserve,
you know, we're the global leader in
1417
01:57:30,985 --> 01:57:36,655
terms of currencies and we make or break
most backs in a global, uh, economy.
1418
01:57:37,585 --> 01:57:38,485
So we muscle everything.
1419
01:57:39,225 --> 01:57:42,405
And we're seeing a
relentless rally on dollar.
1420
01:57:42,705 --> 01:57:47,325
They want this thing over one,
they want over this level here
1421
01:57:47,505 --> 01:57:48,315
could definitely want it there.
1422
01:57:48,735 --> 01:57:51,735
How much above that and for how long?
1423
01:57:52,485 --> 01:57:54,915
I don't know, but it certainly
wants to get up there.
1424
01:57:55,395 --> 01:58:00,735
And we've called one or two to
1 0 7, $1 and parody on dollar.
1425
01:58:01,545 --> 01:58:09,195
And you're in a pound that the
long long-term landscape, but we
1426
01:58:09,195 --> 01:58:10,515
had to trade the nail right now.
1427
01:58:10,785 --> 01:58:14,925
You can't trade, you know what
can happen in 24 to 36 months?
1428
01:58:37,845 --> 01:58:41,565
If the dollar is rallying, that's
gonna send, uh, gold lower.
1429
01:58:42,765 --> 01:58:48,045
If the dollar trades lower, that usually
is a bullish and this for a pro metals and
1430
01:58:48,045 --> 01:58:50,355
especially gold they're inversely related,
1431
01:59:03,045 --> 01:59:07,155
I don't know, or even begin to anticipate
what their ranges would be like.
1432
01:59:08,099 --> 01:59:13,290
If we go to parody between Euro and
dollar, but I believe it's going to
1433
01:59:13,290 --> 01:59:14,940
be exciting as we get closer to it.
1434
01:59:21,379 --> 01:59:24,769
There's a lot of talk and drum
beating about world war three
1435
01:59:24,769 --> 01:59:25,750
and new, and this and that.
1436
01:59:25,759 --> 01:59:32,360
The only thing I think if we see parody
on, um, Euro and the dollar ident, I think
1437
01:59:32,809 --> 01:59:35,030
that's when world war three could happen.
1438
01:59:36,049 --> 01:59:37,309
That upsets the currencies.
1439
01:59:37,309 --> 01:59:39,740
Again, they upsets all the whole world.
1440
01:59:41,299 --> 01:59:42,650
The ultimate, I think
that's where we're heading.
1441
01:59:49,710 --> 01:59:52,440
Uh, I don't know if it can
be timed with a black Friday.
1442
01:59:52,440 --> 01:59:56,460
I don't know anything about that, but
I suspect it'll happen on a weekend
1443
01:59:56,460 --> 01:59:57,870
where no one can do anything about it.
1444
01:59:58,049 --> 01:59:58,769
Banking wise.
1445
01:59:59,879 --> 02:00:00,809
That's usually when they do it.
1446
02:00:08,179 --> 02:00:12,740
Um, when, and if you knew you were
on the wrong side of your dollar
1447
02:00:12,740 --> 02:00:16,849
long, why not reverse in short,
since you'd be shorting at discount?
1448
02:00:17,389 --> 02:00:21,019
Uh, the number of trades I've already
taken today keeps me from doing that.
1449
02:00:21,349 --> 02:00:23,509
I've already used three of
my month trade, so I can.
1450
02:00:25,360 --> 02:00:28,049
And how does it make sense for some
of you that are new to like, wait,
1451
02:00:28,059 --> 02:00:31,299
don't make any sense if you're
going to trade, take the trade, but
1452
02:00:31,330 --> 02:00:34,200
by my experience, you know, Yeah.
1453
02:00:34,200 --> 02:00:37,410
If I'm wrong, I can be wrong again,
like you saw today three times.
1454
02:00:37,830 --> 02:00:41,250
I don't want to see proof that I
can be wrong eight times today.
1455
02:00:41,370 --> 02:00:42,180
I don't want to see that.
1456
02:00:56,610 --> 02:00:56,880
Yeah.
1457
02:01:04,640 --> 02:01:11,810
Well, this is a long, long day and
without the outcome that I was aiming
1458
02:01:11,810 --> 02:01:17,390
for, but with 12 months of this, this
is probably going to happen again.
1459
02:01:18,260 --> 02:01:19,700
So yourself prepared for it.
1460
02:01:34,370 --> 02:01:36,530
Here's the lower, low one cable.
1461
02:01:41,090 --> 02:01:41,330
Yeah.
1462
02:01:41,330 --> 02:01:45,320
Admittedly that I would not have sold
that I can look at this with all kinds
1463
02:01:45,320 --> 02:01:50,870
of hunting site lipstick, all I want
and I would not have sold 25 45 to 25
1464
02:01:50,870 --> 02:01:52,010
50, and this wouldn't have done it.
1465
02:01:53,600 --> 02:01:54,230
Wouldn't have done it.
1466
02:01:59,500 --> 02:02:01,830
But to answer your question, I
just mentioned that earlier about.
1467
02:02:02,714 --> 02:02:03,224
Failure.
1468
02:02:03,224 --> 02:02:07,094
If I would have had that as my second
trade, I would have reversed there.
1469
02:02:07,275 --> 02:02:07,815
Admittedly.
1470
02:02:07,875 --> 02:02:13,334
I know it would've done that, but
I can't do it now because it's too
1471
02:02:13,334 --> 02:02:17,235
late and day two, I used my three
trades for the one trading session.
1472
02:02:24,195 --> 02:02:28,424
Um, when they bring parody against
what with other currencies,
1473
02:02:29,115 --> 02:02:33,825
it's it will, it's ultimately
controlling in global economies.
1474
02:03:07,004 --> 02:03:07,514
Yeah.
1475
02:03:07,575 --> 02:03:12,855
Um, well let's just say this drug
has yet to say anything to upset.
1476
02:03:12,855 --> 02:03:17,474
What's already been in motion today, which
is not what I expected to see happen.
1477
02:03:17,474 --> 02:03:22,514
So all across the board, I was
wrong, wrong, wrong, wrong.
1478
02:03:22,605 --> 02:03:29,804
So I have two pull the plug in just.
1479
02:03:33,120 --> 02:03:34,410
My pal there for another day.
1480
02:03:35,520 --> 02:03:37,410
Good thing is, is that
we have Tuesday tomorrow.
1481
02:03:39,080 --> 02:03:41,430
We will be looking at
Tuesdays London open again.
1482
02:03:44,370 --> 02:03:47,070
No, I'm Gary, I'm closing the session
now, Paul, I'm just giving you the
1483
02:03:47,070 --> 02:03:54,630
final credits, the, uh, the video
that we did this morning for London,
1484
02:03:55,140 --> 02:03:58,230
plus this one, I'm going to just
compress it into one big, long video.
1485
02:03:59,400 --> 02:04:03,570
So it'll be a blend of what was
talked about in the London session.
1486
02:04:03,570 --> 02:04:07,170
And then we'll segue right into
the same video to this video here.
1487
02:04:07,800 --> 02:04:11,610
So it's going to be a little bit
long, but, uh, it is what it is.
1488
02:04:11,700 --> 02:04:15,870
I mean, we're going to have short
sessions going through the London session.
1489
02:04:15,900 --> 02:04:18,870
It'll be kind of like what we did
last night, but a lot less time.
1490
02:04:19,410 --> 02:04:23,220
Um, I'm going to give you what
I'm expecting and I'm going to
1491
02:04:23,220 --> 02:04:24,420
give you the contingency plan.
1492
02:04:24,450 --> 02:04:26,820
If this doesn't unfold,
this is what I'll do.
1493
02:04:27,420 --> 02:04:31,590
And if that doesn't work out,
then the idea will be waiting
1494
02:04:31,590 --> 02:04:33,210
for the New York session.
1495
02:04:33,660 --> 02:04:37,050
So I'm going to give you tonight
again, uh, we'll sign on, I'll go
1496
02:04:37,050 --> 02:04:40,820
over the charts, tell you where I
think the market may look to go for
1497
02:04:40,820 --> 02:04:46,110
our objectives, the daily bias, and,
uh, w w take another stab at it.
1498
02:04:46,140 --> 02:04:50,700
But until then, I'm gonna close this
one here and grab me some breakfast.
1499
02:04:53,520 --> 02:04:57,450
Just you need to take away is as
you're going to get it wrong sometimes.
1500
02:04:59,035 --> 02:05:02,215
Don't be stuff up about it don't
make more than, than it needs to be
1501
02:05:02,215 --> 02:05:07,434
made and just get ready for the next
trading day and limit your losses.
1502
02:05:07,495 --> 02:05:10,974
You have to do that because what happens
is, and then the closing comment.
1503
02:05:11,934 --> 02:05:17,184
If you don't limit your losses, then
there's no limit on how much you can lose.
1504
02:05:18,235 --> 02:05:20,875
You can lose 2% over 16 trades.
1505
02:05:21,505 --> 02:05:25,075
If you allow yourself to do that, and
every time you take a losing trade, you're
1506
02:05:25,075 --> 02:05:30,955
going to be that much more hungry and
thirsty to get that money back right away.
1507
02:05:31,075 --> 02:05:32,844
I am not in a hurry to
get that money back.
1508
02:05:33,415 --> 02:05:39,505
It's such a small objective to get
back in small terms of a percentage.
1509
02:05:40,315 --> 02:05:42,474
I don't want to compound it
and make more work for myself.
1510
02:05:42,865 --> 02:05:44,184
I want to day I've already read wrong.
1511
02:05:44,755 --> 02:05:47,035
So the battery life on this day is gone.
1512
02:05:47,965 --> 02:05:50,785
I'll have a new battery and a new
trading day tomorrow, and I still
1513
02:05:50,785 --> 02:05:51,985
have the weekly range ahead of me.
1514
02:05:52,165 --> 02:05:54,115
So I'm not trying to force anything.
1515
02:05:54,625 --> 02:05:58,255
And that's the lesson I'm trying to
teach you today is yes, I was absolutely
1516
02:05:58,255 --> 02:06:03,594
100% wrong on my outlook after changing
gears from wanting to be embarrassed.
1517
02:06:04,434 --> 02:06:04,945
I was wrong.
1518
02:06:06,684 --> 02:06:14,915
If, if I submit to that and go into
the next trading day, I'm okay.
1519
02:06:15,424 --> 02:06:18,184
I'm not worrying about rushing
to get back to you to get
1520
02:06:18,394 --> 02:06:19,924
back to my old equity high or.
1521
02:06:20,780 --> 02:06:21,809
Upset about my staff.
1522
02:06:21,830 --> 02:06:22,620
I'm not worried about stats.
1523
02:06:22,620 --> 02:06:25,200
I'm worried about my net
positive and my profitable.
1524
02:06:25,830 --> 02:06:28,230
And I'm am I in control
of myself as the trader?
1525
02:06:28,230 --> 02:06:29,549
Because you're not in control.
1526
02:06:30,000 --> 02:06:30,900
I'm not going to help you.
1527
02:06:31,889 --> 02:06:33,179
Your spouse is going to help your broker.
1528
02:06:33,200 --> 02:06:34,230
Certainly not going to stop you.
1529
02:06:35,460 --> 02:06:37,710
If they wanted to stop you from
losing money and controlling
1530
02:06:37,710 --> 02:06:41,190
yourself, they would limit the amount
of trades you can take in a day.
1531
02:06:41,190 --> 02:06:44,309
And the last time I checked it,
broker has an open policy with you
1532
02:06:44,309 --> 02:06:46,710
wanting to get into a trade, and
you've got equity in your account.
1533
02:06:47,280 --> 02:06:49,980
Come on in and say, I'd
love for you to come in.
1534
02:06:50,490 --> 02:06:53,820
So the takeaway today
is limit your losses.
1535
02:06:54,389 --> 02:06:57,210
Know beforehand how many times
you can trade, regardless of what
1536
02:06:57,210 --> 02:07:00,030
the set up show, lick your wounds.
1537
02:07:00,059 --> 02:07:04,080
Don't beat stuff about, and then go on to
the next trading day with another fresh
1538
02:07:04,080 --> 02:07:07,980
outlook and no remorse, no toxic thinking.
1539
02:07:08,009 --> 02:07:08,580
No.
1540
02:07:08,700 --> 02:07:11,969
Oh, the last three trades are losers
because if you think that it's going
1541
02:07:11,969 --> 02:07:14,879
to be a barrier to you taking executing
on the next sale, you can't do it,
1542
02:07:15,690 --> 02:07:17,280
but we will trading with less risk.
1543
02:07:18,030 --> 02:07:18,330
Okay.
1544
02:07:18,690 --> 02:07:21,990
I'll still trade at, uh, one
half, four or five minutes.
1545
02:07:23,160 --> 02:07:28,200
If I take another loss on that, I have to
drop down to half of that and then I'll
1546
02:07:28,200 --> 02:07:30,210
live there until I get back all that loss.
1547
02:07:30,269 --> 02:07:34,500
So you'll actually see me do the very
thing I teach in mitigating losses.
1548
02:07:35,129 --> 02:07:39,599
So until I talk to you later on
tonight in the London session
1549
02:07:39,629 --> 02:07:40,710
until then I wish you good luck.
132210
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