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These are the user uploaded subtitles that are being translated: 1 00:00:44,250 --> 00:00:44,879 Welcome back folks. 2 00:00:44,879 --> 00:00:48,944 This is teaching number seven of eight for the month of November, 3 00:00:48,944 --> 00:00:51,360 2016 in the ICT mentorship. 4 00:00:51,519 --> 00:00:55,140 We're going to be teaching trend line Phantoms or false trend lines. 5 00:00:56,790 --> 00:00:59,670 And the first is going to be diagonal trendline support. 6 00:01:01,440 --> 00:01:04,980 The priming is done by way of seeing the market begin to make 7 00:01:04,980 --> 00:01:06,750 higher highs and higher lows. 8 00:01:08,985 --> 00:01:11,685 The market appears to have an imaginary diagonal line. 9 00:01:11,685 --> 00:01:17,895 It seems to repel price higher from retail traders will extend these 10 00:01:17,895 --> 00:01:21,405 imaginary lines into the future and attribute, support theories to it. 11 00:01:23,595 --> 00:01:26,985 When price hits the extended imaginary diagonal line, connecting 12 00:01:26,985 --> 00:01:28,875 higher lows, retail traders. 13 00:01:28,875 --> 00:01:34,065 Buy it then conversely diagonal trend line resistance. 14 00:01:36,510 --> 00:01:40,260 This is primed in the thought processes of retail traders by 15 00:01:40,260 --> 00:01:42,180 seeing the market begin to make, huh? 16 00:01:47,610 --> 00:01:50,940 The market beginning to make lower highs and lower lows. 17 00:01:53,160 --> 00:01:55,410 The market appears to have an imaginary diagonal line. 18 00:01:55,410 --> 00:02:01,050 It seems to propel price lower from retail traders will extend these 19 00:02:01,050 --> 00:02:03,840 imaginary lines into the future and attribute resistance theory. 20 00:02:07,015 --> 00:02:10,644 When price hits the extended imaginary diagonal line, connecting lower highs, 21 00:02:11,035 --> 00:02:12,834 retail traders short at that moment. 22 00:02:17,905 --> 00:02:18,055 Okay. 23 00:02:18,055 --> 00:02:19,075 Trend, line theory. 24 00:02:19,375 --> 00:02:21,715 Now it's my prayer. 25 00:02:21,924 --> 00:02:28,644 It's it's my perspective that there is no basis on trend line theory in the form of 26 00:02:28,644 --> 00:02:31,885 diagonal support or diagonal resistance. 27 00:02:33,320 --> 00:02:35,150 And I believe it's his basically an opinion. 28 00:02:35,510 --> 00:02:40,220 Um, there's no statistical edge that I've been able to build 29 00:02:40,400 --> 00:02:43,910 with use of the idol support or resistance in the form of trendlines. 30 00:02:45,170 --> 00:02:51,050 Now I've been doing this for 24 years coming up and just about the end of the 31 00:02:51,050 --> 00:02:55,040 month, we're actually producing this video in, I will have been a trader for 2040. 32 00:02:56,340 --> 00:02:59,100 And in 24 years, I've done a lot of things in analysis. 33 00:02:59,609 --> 00:03:03,090 And I was indoctrinated with trend lines when I first started. 34 00:03:03,570 --> 00:03:07,440 And to me it made perfect sense because I could see it in the past and all the books 35 00:03:07,440 --> 00:03:09,150 give us perfect examples where all works. 36 00:03:09,510 --> 00:03:12,630 But when we try to use the trend line idea, which loads 37 00:03:12,630 --> 00:03:14,340 do you draw connections to? 38 00:03:14,579 --> 00:03:16,170 Which highs do you draw connections to? 39 00:03:16,710 --> 00:03:19,980 And quickly, all of a sudden I knew it's like, well, maybe this 40 00:03:19,980 --> 00:03:21,480 isn't as easy as I thought it was. 41 00:03:22,500 --> 00:03:25,830 But does price have an awareness of the point of trendline support 42 00:03:26,640 --> 00:03:30,000 or does price have an awareness of the point of trendline resistance 43 00:03:30,630 --> 00:03:32,280 I'll submit to you that it does not. 44 00:03:33,240 --> 00:03:36,750 Price has no awareness of your trend line price. 45 00:03:36,750 --> 00:03:38,790 Doesn't respect what you have on your charts. 46 00:03:39,510 --> 00:03:43,110 Price only respects where the actual liquidity is in the 47 00:03:43,110 --> 00:03:46,890 marketplace and because they can't see you because you're too slow. 48 00:03:47,910 --> 00:03:51,990 The marketplace sees where the large pools of liquidity are. 49 00:03:52,050 --> 00:03:55,080 That means in buying interest, in selling interest, that's 50 00:03:55,080 --> 00:03:56,100 already in the marketplace. 51 00:03:56,100 --> 00:03:59,460 In the form of protective cell stops, protective buy stops, or 52 00:03:59,820 --> 00:04:04,530 new buy stocks for long entries or new sell stops for selling entries. 53 00:04:05,280 --> 00:04:09,840 That's the only thing that makes price move, and it's going to be hinged 54 00:04:09,840 --> 00:04:12,540 and framed on the context of who. 55 00:04:13,680 --> 00:04:14,940 Is in play right now. 56 00:04:14,940 --> 00:04:20,040 What, what smart money entity has the control of the marketplace at the moment? 57 00:04:20,340 --> 00:04:24,780 Is it going higher based on their book being bullish or is it going 58 00:04:24,780 --> 00:04:26,010 lower based on their book being. 59 00:04:27,045 --> 00:04:28,575 And that's what this mentorship teaches. 60 00:04:28,575 --> 00:04:32,985 It gives you those ideas to go into seeing where price is most likely going to go. 61 00:04:33,284 --> 00:04:37,395 And we don't subscribe to down sloping trend lines, or up sloping 62 00:04:37,395 --> 00:04:42,045 trend lines to formulate ideas in which we find support or resistance. 63 00:04:42,045 --> 00:04:43,365 Based on that, an idea. 64 00:04:45,284 --> 00:04:48,405 Do banks associate value or prognostication on the basis of 65 00:04:48,405 --> 00:04:50,325 trendline theory I'll submit to you? 66 00:04:50,355 --> 00:04:51,135 No, they do not. 67 00:04:51,405 --> 00:04:54,495 Now for some that are in the financial industry, maybe. 68 00:04:55,245 --> 00:04:56,055 Working at a bank. 69 00:04:56,325 --> 00:04:59,025 Maybe you have used them in the past and you've had success. 70 00:04:59,505 --> 00:05:03,645 I'm telling you the banks don't have any association or prognostication 71 00:05:03,645 --> 00:05:08,145 placed on valuing a trend line level on a diagonal basis. 72 00:05:08,745 --> 00:05:14,175 And the reason why is because it's so subjective, you are associating 73 00:05:14,265 --> 00:05:20,415 future price, movement to a level that hasn't been traded to yet. 74 00:05:21,015 --> 00:05:22,815 You're doing it on the basis of connecting to. 75 00:05:23,700 --> 00:05:29,099 Reference points in the past that don't have any bearing on what the future 76 00:05:29,250 --> 00:05:33,359 price is going to do, has nothing that high that you connected to, 77 00:05:33,359 --> 00:05:38,219 to a lower high when you're looking for resistance or, or downtrending a 78 00:05:38,219 --> 00:05:42,270 trendline resistance that third time it supposedly comes up to that line. 79 00:05:42,659 --> 00:05:45,960 What makes you so confident that it's going to go down at that point? 80 00:05:46,650 --> 00:05:50,340 Just because you drew the line on, on your chart, the. 81 00:05:51,810 --> 00:05:53,219 Banks don't care. 82 00:05:53,250 --> 00:05:55,320 What you're scribbling, all of your charts. 83 00:05:55,349 --> 00:05:56,340 They don't care about that. 84 00:05:56,580 --> 00:05:57,479 They're not aware of it. 85 00:05:57,510 --> 00:05:57,929 Okay. 86 00:05:58,080 --> 00:06:02,580 But what they are aware of is sentiment that shifts and builds around those 87 00:06:02,640 --> 00:06:07,020 levels because it's going to be many times being replicated on the fund level. 88 00:06:08,549 --> 00:06:10,469 Funds will get beat up. 89 00:06:11,219 --> 00:06:14,969 That's the basis of trading large traders are. 90 00:06:16,140 --> 00:06:17,640 That's where the markets go. 91 00:06:17,790 --> 00:06:20,370 They go for their orders, not for our little orders, 92 00:06:20,370 --> 00:06:22,530 not for our little liquidity. 93 00:06:22,650 --> 00:06:23,100 Okay. 94 00:06:23,310 --> 00:06:31,950 But because we learned to trade and heard like the fund traders, we are 95 00:06:31,950 --> 00:06:36,630 many, many times our casualties of that war between smart money and large funds. 96 00:06:37,440 --> 00:06:39,330 That's the business model that goes on. 97 00:06:39,540 --> 00:06:43,530 Large funds are cannibalized at reversals, but they're permitted. 98 00:06:44,550 --> 00:06:49,110 To facilitate long-term trends when the markets are in that environment. 99 00:06:50,130 --> 00:06:55,659 But trend lines are not the key to it is the very nature of 100 00:06:55,659 --> 00:06:57,039 trendlines flawed at its core. 101 00:06:57,099 --> 00:06:58,180 I will submit to you that. 102 00:06:58,180 --> 00:07:02,469 Yes, it is because it gives too many dangling carrots in front of the 103 00:07:02,469 --> 00:07:05,590 trader's eyes thinking that, okay, this is going to be an easy setup. 104 00:07:05,770 --> 00:07:07,870 So therefore, let me go in here and sell it this resistance 105 00:07:07,870 --> 00:07:09,400 trendline, or let me buy it. 106 00:07:09,400 --> 00:07:11,289 This diagnose support. 107 00:07:12,909 --> 00:07:16,390 It's not that easy folks, but many times our charts will paint these 108 00:07:16,780 --> 00:07:21,130 beautifully disguised opportunities that are impossibilities. 109 00:07:23,190 --> 00:07:26,580 Knowing this, how can market makers capitalize on this 110 00:07:26,580 --> 00:07:27,750 fallacy and price action. 111 00:07:35,780 --> 00:07:36,860 Retail bullish trend lines. 112 00:07:40,845 --> 00:07:43,725 In periods when price is making higher lows and higher highs, 113 00:07:43,995 --> 00:07:46,785 the use of trendline support will be adopted by retail traders. 114 00:07:48,825 --> 00:07:53,385 The influx of weak handed or less informed money at an area or price level 115 00:07:53,505 --> 00:07:55,665 provides liquidity for the market maker. 116 00:07:56,985 --> 00:08:00,405 The chart may appear bullish, but the underpinnings are in fact, the opposite. 117 00:08:01,095 --> 00:08:04,605 The retail crowd will buy at a moment when price will be devoid of supply. 118 00:08:05,730 --> 00:08:10,020 Price will collapse and lead the retail trader long withdrawal down in the trade. 119 00:08:13,250 --> 00:08:17,120 When that third touch of that uptrend line is seen in price action. 120 00:08:17,210 --> 00:08:22,130 Many times I get dialed in expecting the high that forms between the. 121 00:08:23,474 --> 00:08:25,094 At the second time it hits the trend line. 122 00:08:25,545 --> 00:08:28,515 And the third time it hits the trend line that high in between. 123 00:08:28,935 --> 00:08:34,005 I aim in that high for a bear shorter block, or I will be allowing price to 124 00:08:34,005 --> 00:08:38,865 just briefly poke his head above that high for a turtle suit, especially if 125 00:08:38,865 --> 00:08:42,765 the hard timeframe charts that I use for my analysis indicate that we are 126 00:08:42,765 --> 00:08:47,415 not enabling environment, but the lower timeframes will many times paint these 127 00:08:47,415 --> 00:08:50,685 beautifully illustrated uptrend diagonal. 128 00:08:54,535 --> 00:08:57,355 So, what I'm trying to do is I'm focusing in on when the market maker 129 00:08:57,355 --> 00:08:59,335 sets their traps for sell scenario. 130 00:08:59,815 --> 00:09:04,825 Many times that tie in between the load at forms at the second retouch of that 131 00:09:04,825 --> 00:09:10,165 trend line and the third touch of that trend line, the high in between there 132 00:09:10,195 --> 00:09:13,915 is going to be a cell scenario that I'm aiming for in that I'm looking for a 133 00:09:13,915 --> 00:09:18,055 bear shorter block, or I'm looking for maybe sometimes on a lower timeframe. 134 00:09:18,085 --> 00:09:19,405 I'm looking for a breaker, a bear. 135 00:09:20,324 --> 00:09:25,185 Where the market has shown a willingness to rally up to take on an old high it's 136 00:09:25,185 --> 00:09:29,954 on a lower timeframe that may not be seen as clear with that high in between point 137 00:09:29,954 --> 00:09:34,574 number two point number three, all I'm looking for as a reason to be contrarian, 138 00:09:34,694 --> 00:09:39,165 because if the trend line looks so obvious to me, I look at that as a trap 139 00:09:43,094 --> 00:09:44,385 retail bears trend line reasons. 140 00:09:49,065 --> 00:09:52,755 In periods when prices making lower lows and lower highs, the 141 00:09:52,755 --> 00:09:55,425 use of trendline resistance will be adopted by retail traders. 142 00:09:57,095 --> 00:10:00,425 The influx of we candid or less informed money at an area or price level 143 00:10:00,425 --> 00:10:02,525 provides liquidity for the market maker. 144 00:10:04,455 --> 00:10:07,965 The chart may appear bearish, but the underpinnings are in fact, the opposite. 145 00:10:08,655 --> 00:10:11,205 The retail crowd will sell at a moment when the price 146 00:10:11,205 --> 00:10:13,095 will be devoid of resistance. 147 00:10:13,890 --> 00:10:17,670 Price will rally and lead the retail trader of short withdrawal down in the 148 00:10:17,670 --> 00:10:24,150 trade between the high formed at point number two and point number three, 149 00:10:24,990 --> 00:10:26,699 the low in between those two points. 150 00:10:27,390 --> 00:10:31,560 I'm going to be aiming for a reason to be a buyer down there because I S I 151 00:10:31,590 --> 00:10:34,740 will submit to you that if the higher timeframes are indicating to the higher 152 00:10:34,740 --> 00:10:39,000 prices, most likely going to be in the near term and we're trading at higher 153 00:10:39,000 --> 00:10:42,449 timeframe support levels based on or blocks or institutional order flow. 154 00:10:43,485 --> 00:10:48,405 I'm looking for that low between high two and high three, I'm looking 155 00:10:48,405 --> 00:10:51,015 for a bullshitter block at that low in between the two points. 156 00:10:51,615 --> 00:10:56,415 And while price may drop down into that or low, just by a little bit, but not 157 00:10:56,415 --> 00:11:00,525 getting down to the low altogether, I will be looking for a bullshitter Bach 158 00:11:00,525 --> 00:11:07,094 to buy, or I will accept a break just below that low for a turtle soup long 159 00:11:07,094 --> 00:11:09,435 entry, or basically a run on the cells. 160 00:11:10,635 --> 00:11:12,194 Many times the market will break through. 161 00:11:13,125 --> 00:11:19,964 Now a point at which I want to draw a attention to is the second point 162 00:11:19,995 --> 00:11:21,974 at which you have that trend line. 163 00:11:23,265 --> 00:11:26,735 In other words, at the first high you see, then it comes down and makes it a 164 00:11:26,735 --> 00:11:29,055 lower high number two and it trades lower. 165 00:11:29,265 --> 00:11:31,995 And you think it's going back up to make a, uh, a number three 166 00:11:31,995 --> 00:11:35,564 point high that's lower or three times touching on it down the tree. 167 00:11:36,495 --> 00:11:38,655 When the market rallies, I'm actually going to be looking for 168 00:11:38,655 --> 00:11:42,405 a move up into that second high, because that's where a lot of the 169 00:11:42,855 --> 00:11:44,175 buy stops are going to be residing. 170 00:11:45,375 --> 00:11:47,085 The same thing said just an opposite. 171 00:11:47,115 --> 00:11:52,755 When we're looking for that sell scenario in bullish trend line support, retail's 172 00:11:52,765 --> 00:11:53,895 going to be looking for it to go higher. 173 00:11:54,135 --> 00:11:56,444 I'm looking for it to go down below point number two. 174 00:11:56,745 --> 00:11:58,095 That's where everyone stopped losses. 175 00:12:01,595 --> 00:12:04,355 Now, when you think about like this trend lines in the form 176 00:12:04,355 --> 00:12:08,285 of diagonal basis, support and resistance, it's really a toss up. 177 00:12:09,485 --> 00:12:12,365 Do you have confidence that the trend line that you're drawing is going to 178 00:12:12,365 --> 00:12:14,435 really provide support or resistance? 179 00:12:15,365 --> 00:12:15,905 Think about it. 180 00:12:16,505 --> 00:12:20,435 It's really associated closely to flipping a coin heads. 181 00:12:20,435 --> 00:12:22,385 You're going to be a buyer and guess what? 182 00:12:22,865 --> 00:12:23,915 Tales you'd be a seller. 183 00:12:25,085 --> 00:12:26,915 You're back to the same equation of. 184 00:12:27,900 --> 00:12:31,590 And we do not trade with the perspective of chance. 185 00:12:36,560 --> 00:12:42,560 When we trade, we look at the marketplace to provide clues clues in which the 186 00:12:42,560 --> 00:12:47,990 smart money is going to be utilizing the liquidity that's made available for 187 00:12:47,990 --> 00:12:52,940 willing or unwilling liquidity in the form of the funds and uninformed money. 188 00:12:54,020 --> 00:12:55,430 You have to think like that liquidity. 189 00:12:56,910 --> 00:13:01,650 Prices delivered to engineer efficiency for the smart money entities only. 190 00:13:05,840 --> 00:13:05,960 Okay. 191 00:13:05,960 --> 00:13:07,580 Folks, let's take a look at examples here. 192 00:13:10,070 --> 00:13:10,180 Okay. 193 00:13:10,180 --> 00:13:13,100 I want you to take a look at this high right here. 194 00:13:14,030 --> 00:13:14,240 Okay. 195 00:13:14,240 --> 00:13:16,100 Price has a nice run away from that. 196 00:13:16,760 --> 00:13:22,760 Say that very nice enemy in term high, but an impulse price swing moving lower. 197 00:13:23,570 --> 00:13:24,170 And we have. 198 00:13:25,260 --> 00:13:26,130 A gap in here. 199 00:13:26,189 --> 00:13:30,810 Fair value gap from the low of this candle to the high of this candle, there's only 200 00:13:30,810 --> 00:13:33,689 been down movement with this candles body. 201 00:13:35,750 --> 00:13:39,579 I'm going to highlight this whole area in here and we're going to 202 00:13:39,579 --> 00:13:42,520 reference to the low of that candle. 203 00:13:45,410 --> 00:13:45,589 Great. 204 00:13:47,979 --> 00:13:48,189 Okay. 205 00:13:48,189 --> 00:13:51,250 So we're going to watch price as it trades. 206 00:13:51,280 --> 00:13:54,069 That's just a reactionary level that we're going to be waiting for in the future. 207 00:13:54,579 --> 00:14:00,459 So this is how we stock a seller price starts to rally up trades right into 208 00:14:00,459 --> 00:14:10,199 that 52 34 level right there that day it occurs is December 11th, 2015. 209 00:14:11,790 --> 00:14:11,939 Okay. 210 00:14:11,939 --> 00:14:12,930 Are we on the right hand side? 211 00:14:13,740 --> 00:14:19,380 We have the 15 minute timeframe for December 11th, 2015. 212 00:14:20,340 --> 00:14:23,220 And we're going to delineate that same high 213 00:14:31,480 --> 00:14:32,800 at 52 34. 214 00:14:35,890 --> 00:14:37,210 You can see price hitting it right here. 215 00:14:39,010 --> 00:14:42,730 And I want you to look at how this lo connected to this location. 216 00:14:44,189 --> 00:14:45,719 Projected out events. 217 00:14:45,719 --> 00:14:47,189 He hasn't done a third time hitting it. 218 00:14:48,479 --> 00:14:48,750 Okay. 219 00:14:48,750 --> 00:14:50,099 So trend line followers. 220 00:14:50,760 --> 00:14:55,740 Let's see that as a potential continuation co hire finding some support here. 221 00:14:55,740 --> 00:15:03,510 1, 2, 3, maybe a run up higher problem is, is we have a daily 222 00:15:04,290 --> 00:15:05,760 institutional reference point over here. 223 00:15:06,689 --> 00:15:09,959 And we're in that area over here in this whole shaded area. 224 00:15:09,959 --> 00:15:10,530 We've closed that. 225 00:15:11,520 --> 00:15:16,950 So we will be looking for the next area of liquidity in down here. 226 00:15:17,130 --> 00:15:18,600 So we can look at this range 227 00:15:21,750 --> 00:15:23,250 from this down candles high 228 00:15:28,930 --> 00:15:33,730 from this damn candles, high up to this down candles. 229 00:15:34,995 --> 00:15:38,775 Between this candle's high and this candle's low, it's only 230 00:15:38,775 --> 00:15:40,694 been one pass on the upside. 231 00:15:40,694 --> 00:15:41,805 So we're going to be looking for price. 232 00:15:41,805 --> 00:15:49,365 And when to come back down into this candles high in the form of 50, 60. 233 00:15:49,845 --> 00:15:50,025 Okay. 234 00:15:50,025 --> 00:15:51,824 So 1 50, 60 level. 235 00:15:54,045 --> 00:15:55,905 So we know that a possibility to see price. 236 00:15:55,905 --> 00:15:57,555 I want to drop lower based on the quiz. 237 00:15:59,385 --> 00:16:04,845 We have trend lines in here that would be reasonable in terms of what retail will 238 00:16:04,845 --> 00:16:08,865 be drawing, expecting some bullish prices. 239 00:16:09,885 --> 00:16:12,705 Let me show it to you what it may look like at the time when it was forming. 240 00:16:14,025 --> 00:16:14,235 Okay. 241 00:16:14,235 --> 00:16:15,705 You have a low here. 242 00:16:16,005 --> 00:16:18,705 They're financing support here, old high back here. 243 00:16:19,275 --> 00:16:21,195 So they could reasonably expect to see this to trade. 244 00:16:21,195 --> 00:16:24,255 Higher problem is, is the only thing that's done. 245 00:16:25,200 --> 00:16:29,880 It's moved back up into the last up candle here, which is a bear, 246 00:16:29,880 --> 00:16:31,260 a shorter block right there. 247 00:16:35,640 --> 00:16:37,470 So using the market efficiency paradigm, 248 00:16:42,300 --> 00:16:44,970 we don't see this as trendline support. 249 00:16:45,300 --> 00:16:50,010 We see this as a return up into a reason to get short more 250 00:16:50,640 --> 00:16:51,660 in the market breaks, lower. 251 00:16:54,255 --> 00:16:58,485 Market trades down into a low right here, which we'll look at when you zoom out a 252 00:16:58,485 --> 00:17:00,945 couple minutes, but we have a low here. 253 00:17:01,365 --> 00:17:04,484 We have another low here projecting that low out in time. 254 00:17:04,935 --> 00:17:05,145 Okay. 255 00:17:05,185 --> 00:17:08,115 We can see price coming down to that third time. 256 00:17:08,145 --> 00:17:10,815 Does it make a bowl scenario? 257 00:17:10,845 --> 00:17:13,994 No, it's only going up to the last up candles midway 258 00:17:13,994 --> 00:17:16,484 point or meet mean threshold. 259 00:17:19,035 --> 00:17:20,145 So let's take a look at what that is. 260 00:17:23,599 --> 00:17:28,610 Okay, right in here, equilibrium trading rate debt for reference a reference point. 261 00:17:29,120 --> 00:17:31,639 We're gonna be looking for price to come down and close in this void. 262 00:17:31,909 --> 00:17:34,220 This candle low here, and this candle's high. 263 00:17:34,669 --> 00:17:41,540 So in here has a liquidity void and we have sell stocks below this low here. 264 00:17:42,080 --> 00:17:46,429 Again, remembering that we're focusing on the idea on the daily chart, like 265 00:17:46,429 --> 00:17:49,070 a bank would looking for one 50, $60. 266 00:17:50,460 --> 00:17:52,770 So up here, we're looking at this market move higher. 267 00:17:54,330 --> 00:17:59,100 Anything that would be viewed as support on diagonal basis on a trend line. 268 00:17:59,640 --> 00:18:02,910 We're going to look at that as suspect and buyers are going to come in here and a 269 00:18:02,910 --> 00:18:07,830 big influx, we're going to have wonderful opportunities to be sellers to them. 270 00:18:10,940 --> 00:18:15,050 Market trades, up into equilibrium. 271 00:18:15,260 --> 00:18:15,920 One more time. 272 00:18:15,920 --> 00:18:17,240 Pierce is a high turtles. 273 00:18:20,560 --> 00:18:21,760 Sells off and it trades rent. 274 00:18:21,790 --> 00:18:23,950 One more time down into this level one here. 275 00:18:24,400 --> 00:18:26,980 So I'm going to zoom out a little bit to a 30 minute chart and you 276 00:18:26,980 --> 00:18:32,250 can see that other trend line to have a low here extend out in time. 277 00:18:32,300 --> 00:18:36,340 Here's another low in price comes down, hits it here. 278 00:18:36,700 --> 00:18:40,450 Is that a by no, it's only coming back up into this last upcoming. 279 00:18:41,335 --> 00:18:43,155 Bear shorter block cell here. 280 00:18:43,514 --> 00:18:46,754 Do not see this as a bullish scenario because of trend lines, 281 00:18:47,685 --> 00:18:51,165 because we're expecting this area here to promote selling. 282 00:18:52,065 --> 00:18:52,455 Okay. 283 00:18:52,485 --> 00:18:58,004 It's in an area in which we're going to be looking for a sell-off price does in fact 284 00:18:58,004 --> 00:19:01,455 sell off and you see the bear Snus here. 285 00:19:01,485 --> 00:19:06,645 It runs back above old high turtle soup or bears. 286 00:19:08,025 --> 00:19:08,385 Okay. 287 00:19:09,075 --> 00:19:11,475 It doesn't, we're using a hard timeframe set up over here. 288 00:19:12,014 --> 00:19:16,995 Your stop would provide you an opportunity to put a stop above an old high back here. 289 00:19:18,915 --> 00:19:22,125 Price accelerates goes through what would be considered trendline 290 00:19:22,125 --> 00:19:32,514 support and ultimately down into the 1 50, 60 level right here. 291 00:19:34,665 --> 00:19:35,535 And as you can see it over here, 292 00:19:38,855 --> 00:19:44,105 So let's take a look at some downtrending or bearish trendlines 293 00:19:44,105 --> 00:19:45,875 that are actually by scenarios. 294 00:19:48,425 --> 00:19:48,575 Okay. 295 00:19:48,575 --> 00:19:50,225 Folks, we have a nice run-up here. 296 00:19:55,935 --> 00:19:56,925 Two down candles, right? 297 00:19:56,925 --> 00:19:57,645 Free up move. 298 00:20:00,865 --> 00:20:01,075 Okay. 299 00:20:01,075 --> 00:20:03,745 So we have 1 43 85 or thereabouts. 300 00:20:04,485 --> 00:20:07,245 The opening price on is 1 43 84. 301 00:20:07,245 --> 00:20:09,315 So we'll round it to 43 85. 302 00:20:14,115 --> 00:20:14,355 Okay. 303 00:20:14,355 --> 00:20:17,115 And we have a down candle hits 43 85. 304 00:20:19,284 --> 00:20:23,784 So we're going to add 43 85 to our lower timeframe chart. 305 00:20:27,585 --> 00:20:30,675 So 43 85, we see price. 306 00:20:34,200 --> 00:20:35,760 Trading down into it here, hitting it. 307 00:20:35,760 --> 00:20:36,510 One more time. 308 00:20:37,439 --> 00:20:41,159 We have a high, we have a lower high and the third time price hits it here. 309 00:20:42,610 --> 00:20:43,770 We see this as a sell. 310 00:20:43,950 --> 00:20:44,550 No we don't. 311 00:20:44,550 --> 00:20:49,320 We see it as a potential turtle soup long here, or a return 312 00:20:49,320 --> 00:20:50,659 back to bullish shorter blocks. 313 00:20:50,659 --> 00:20:55,980 So we could be a buyer at 43 85 or 43 90 on a limit. 314 00:20:56,490 --> 00:20:58,899 Or if we can get a fill at 43 80. 315 00:20:59,625 --> 00:21:00,675 Or lower. 316 00:21:00,915 --> 00:21:03,045 It can be a buyer down there with the expectation that this is a 317 00:21:03,045 --> 00:21:08,595 false trend line and we would be looking for this high here. 318 00:21:08,625 --> 00:21:09,525 That's the second one. 319 00:21:09,825 --> 00:21:10,905 So anyone would be short. 320 00:21:10,995 --> 00:21:14,205 All their protected by stocks will be above this high in here. 321 00:21:16,215 --> 00:21:17,235 Price rallies away 322 00:21:21,045 --> 00:21:22,845 comes up real close to this high in here. 323 00:21:25,725 --> 00:21:26,805 One more retracement level. 324 00:21:32,350 --> 00:21:40,690 Back down into the last two down candles here as a buying opportunity, again, 325 00:21:40,690 --> 00:21:45,220 up here is where we'd be expecting to see the buyer starts to be tagged. 326 00:21:48,570 --> 00:21:49,740 You could see that happening here. 327 00:21:51,610 --> 00:21:52,930 Five stops it right now. 328 00:21:59,545 --> 00:22:02,365 I can see that happening here by stops hitting right here. 329 00:22:04,405 --> 00:22:09,865 Then you'd be permitted to see lower prices because we've seen the highs taken 330 00:22:09,865 --> 00:22:12,835 out here for the form of a buy stop read. 331 00:22:13,465 --> 00:22:17,215 And then now that liquidity below here would be allowed to be tested. 332 00:22:19,995 --> 00:22:20,805 Can you see that happening? 333 00:22:24,825 --> 00:22:25,635 Here's another example. 334 00:22:25,635 --> 00:22:27,075 We have a nice down candle here. 335 00:22:27,075 --> 00:22:27,915 Bullshitter block. 336 00:22:28,125 --> 00:22:31,905 It's validated when the scandal trades above this down candles 337 00:22:31,905 --> 00:22:35,685 high, the very next can we trade up again in the third case? 338 00:22:36,465 --> 00:22:40,215 You see it opens here and trades down into the body of this down candle. 339 00:22:40,635 --> 00:22:43,125 The main threshold is approximately 1 44 big figure. 340 00:22:43,125 --> 00:22:46,125 And the open comes in at 1 44 46 on this down candle. 341 00:22:46,425 --> 00:22:48,075 So we have 46 pit range in here. 342 00:22:48,675 --> 00:22:55,785 And the day on this candle is the 18th of May of 2016. 343 00:22:57,555 --> 00:23:02,205 We see the 18th of May here. 344 00:23:02,985 --> 00:23:03,345 Okay. 345 00:23:03,375 --> 00:23:04,245 And we see the heart. 346 00:23:05,084 --> 00:23:07,544 A lower high can extend that out in time. 347 00:23:07,665 --> 00:23:10,605 Does price sell off here the little bit, but then it comes 348 00:23:10,605 --> 00:23:11,834 up pops through one more time. 349 00:23:12,105 --> 00:23:16,605 So traders that even see this as a downtrend, it may be, have been broken. 350 00:23:16,905 --> 00:23:19,844 They may see this as a return back down into it to be a buyer 351 00:23:20,175 --> 00:23:21,225 and they're wrong there as well. 352 00:23:21,945 --> 00:23:27,014 Also, you may see a classic chart pattern here that we haven't spoke 353 00:23:27,024 --> 00:23:29,355 about, but we're going to talk about it in this mentorship as well. 354 00:23:30,074 --> 00:23:32,264 Classic chart pattern triangle. 355 00:23:33,210 --> 00:23:34,830 And false breakout here. 356 00:23:35,040 --> 00:23:35,670 They would have been wrong. 357 00:23:35,670 --> 00:23:40,200 Even trading with that and exploding up into one, the 1 46 big figure. 358 00:23:40,200 --> 00:23:43,530 Now, the reason why 1 46 big figures, it's the last up candle on a daily chart 359 00:23:44,220 --> 00:23:45,930 and it closed in all these down candles. 360 00:23:45,930 --> 00:23:48,840 So institutional order flow, you're going to see price 361 00:23:48,840 --> 00:23:50,070 come up and close all that in. 362 00:23:50,080 --> 00:23:52,770 So it's only been delivered on the downside. 363 00:23:52,860 --> 00:23:55,980 All down candles price has to be efficiently balanced 364 00:23:56,610 --> 00:23:58,770 by offering on the buy-side. 365 00:23:58,800 --> 00:24:01,170 After it's been sold off and been offered on the cells. 366 00:24:02,085 --> 00:24:04,935 Price to be efficiently delivered, has to be offered on the buy-side. 367 00:24:04,935 --> 00:24:09,375 So we see that rally back up into that 1 46 big figure, and that's why it quickly 368 00:24:09,375 --> 00:24:17,415 ran up into that level here, but breaking this idea of the supposedly trendline. 369 00:24:18,930 --> 00:24:22,860 That's not the key to it guys, but we can see when the trades are seeing 370 00:24:22,860 --> 00:24:26,430 these retail fingerprints all over it probabilities really shift in our favor 371 00:24:26,580 --> 00:24:27,780 when we're doing the opposite of it. 372 00:24:27,810 --> 00:24:30,450 And we can also justify it with institutional order flow and 373 00:24:30,450 --> 00:24:33,090 institutional reference points on a daily chart, just like a banquet. 374 00:24:33,990 --> 00:24:37,050 So hopefully you enjoyed this teaching, go back through all your charts, look 375 00:24:37,050 --> 00:24:39,990 at some of the moves it's taken place and go down to the lower timeframes. 376 00:24:39,990 --> 00:24:42,300 And you actually see how these trend lines are really there 377 00:24:42,630 --> 00:24:44,550 as Phantoms and retail chases. 378 00:24:44,550 --> 00:24:45,230 And then when they think. 379 00:24:46,620 --> 00:24:47,580 They're really not there. 380 00:24:47,730 --> 00:24:50,340 And they ended up giving up the ghost and their profits. 32398

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