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Okay, welcome.
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Um, this is a Asian session
for October 5th, 2016.
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This is economic calendar for today.
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And what we're primarily focused on is not
having any of this, that, that, or that.
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And I don't want to see any of
that and I don't care about that.
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Okay.
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So that leaves us right here.
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So this is the economic count that we
showed today and eight 30, which is
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just about, less than a half an hour
time from releasing these numbers.
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Now I've done this before,
since we started mentorship
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and it was a rather lackluster.
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Event really didn't do anything.
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So I don't have my hopes set on
anything great tonight, but we're
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going to take a look at short term
charts to see if there's any kind
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of a run that we can trade on.
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00:01:13,150 --> 00:01:14,800
And with that, let's go over to,
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uh, the Ozzie.
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Okay.
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And we'll probably do most of this mute.
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See my voice and I'll
just draw your attention.
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I think what we're going to do is
we're probably going to just see
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a move above the short-term high.
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Hang on one second.
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No, I'm not talking.
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I'll I'll let you know when I'm talking.
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I'll I'll send you some sign language.
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That way you can keep the whole long.
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Yeah, I was on mute for a second.
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My youngest is in the office with me,
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not much in way of a setup.
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00:03:46,720 --> 00:03:53,140
And again, this is one reason why I'm
not terribly excited about Asia, but
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you never know might get something.
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00:03:57,720 --> 00:03:58,590
So what I'm looking at.
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Is, we have a little bit of a void
still in here and fair value gap
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00:04:03,705 --> 00:04:05,985
right above with a wick to the body.
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00:04:06,825 --> 00:04:09,045
So we could see potentially
a move down into that level.
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00:04:09,585 --> 00:04:12,495
And if we do, we can do an
exercise there to see if we get
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a run above these equal highs.
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00:04:14,655 --> 00:04:21,495
And it's not a lot of movement,
potentially 25 pips, maybe, maybe 30, if
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you can, if we can get a run off of that.
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00:04:23,685 --> 00:04:26,655
Um, I do like the fact
that we have one, two.
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Three four times reaching lower.
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That really, really like, I like that.
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Um, if this would have been like a
New York or London set up, I would
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probably be very excited about
taking along and holding on to it.
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00:04:40,724 --> 00:04:46,905
But if we do see it come down in here and
get some sensitivity here, uh, the stop
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00:04:46,905 --> 00:04:50,565
would have to be below this down candle.
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00:04:51,135 --> 00:04:54,435
It has to be below that
low right about here.
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00:04:54,435 --> 00:04:56,325
So let's get, let's put
those parameters up.
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00:05:06,840 --> 00:05:09,720
So your staff's gotta be at a 75 96.
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00:05:11,970 --> 00:05:22,380
And if we do get a run, uh,
we're looking for 76 35, 76 32.
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Yeah.
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Like 76 35.
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And if this thing gets some legs
through London, we have some
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clean highs in here as well.
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Might be a little bit of
a liquidity pool up there.
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Uh, 76, 75.
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Uh, I'm not terribly excited about
that, but I do like the fact that we
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do have a near term clean level in
here that we can aim for right in here.
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So let's do that.
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Great there.
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So I like that
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00:06:02,174 --> 00:06:04,635
and it doesn't have to come down here.
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00:06:04,664 --> 00:06:11,565
I mean, we have a little bit of a small
little consolidation and here it can hit
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00:06:11,565 --> 00:06:15,945
that level and maybe punch up there again.
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00:06:15,945 --> 00:06:19,414
It's nothing to get terribly excited about
or live funds on, but it's something.
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00:06:20,940 --> 00:06:23,729
And this is one more example where,
what you're doing with your time in
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00:06:23,729 --> 00:06:27,390
front of the charts, not just waiting
for something to magically appear.
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00:06:29,099 --> 00:06:30,539
You're going to study this level here,
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right there.
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00:06:42,430 --> 00:06:43,539
Now, as it hits that level.
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At 76, 12 and the next level down is 76 7.
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00:06:50,255 --> 00:06:52,414
So there's not much in terms
of like it's five pips.
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00:06:52,775 --> 00:06:56,734
So you could actually take a drill,
hypothetically saying, as soon as
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00:06:56,734 --> 00:07:02,495
you hit this level here, you can give
them with a long, and then look for
76
00:07:02,495 --> 00:07:07,505
a limit order on 76, 30 to 76 35.
77
00:07:07,594 --> 00:07:11,104
Right now, that's what it looks like as
you hit it as a level hits it right there.
78
00:07:11,104 --> 00:07:11,765
That's when you would.
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00:07:12,570 --> 00:07:13,099
You are a block.
80
00:07:13,109 --> 00:07:15,659
Now this is a very
small little price swing
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00:07:21,240 --> 00:07:25,500
in allowing for your trade
to come down into 76.
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00:07:25,560 --> 00:07:27,210
Oh, I don't know.
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76 0 5 and still be valid.
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00:07:49,240 --> 00:07:52,990
Uh, we're actually all we're doing
is trading intraday volatility, real
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00:07:52,990 --> 00:07:58,750
short-term price swings to allow
us a lot of opportunities to test
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00:07:58,840 --> 00:08:00,940
order blocks, run liquidity voids.
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00:08:01,060 --> 00:08:03,350
It's not, we're not trying to frame it.
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00:08:04,545 --> 00:08:08,115
Long-term perspective here, and I'm
not trying to call daily price swings
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00:08:08,445 --> 00:08:09,615
on a daily chart and I'm like that.
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00:08:10,335 --> 00:08:15,405
So don't, don't take these things that
we're showing on intraday as a gospel
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message of, you know, it's going to be
six months of a bull market or a bear
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market based on what I'm talking about.
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00:08:21,044 --> 00:08:22,755
You don't need that to practice it.
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All you need is a small little
institutional reference points that
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00:08:28,335 --> 00:08:30,585
we identified for a, what to focus on.
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00:08:34,559 --> 00:08:40,559
Now, here's a question with the
market reaching like this 1, 2, 3,
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4 times, and then have a nice little
run-up clearing out this high.
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00:08:47,939 --> 00:08:52,709
Does the probabilities suggest that
we make one more run lower now?
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00:08:52,740 --> 00:08:56,490
Obviously it can, but is it
most likely going to happen?
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00:08:57,480 --> 00:09:05,400
Chances are it's probably not, but because
of the time of day, It's not something
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00:09:05,430 --> 00:09:07,960
you would expect to see a Lola day form.
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00:09:14,090 --> 00:09:16,820
So if you were hard pressed to
do something, obviously this
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00:09:16,820 --> 00:09:20,690
isn't one to do it, but you can
practice and see if there's any
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response, because what is this?
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00:09:23,240 --> 00:09:25,850
What's this movement and
here was big candle up here.
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What do we call that liquidity?
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00:09:31,395 --> 00:09:31,574
Okay.
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00:09:31,574 --> 00:09:34,245
So if it has a willingness
to want to jump, okay.
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00:09:34,545 --> 00:09:37,635
And we have market moving
above this high here.
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00:09:37,964 --> 00:09:40,964
So what is this whole
price move here called
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Impulsely.
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00:09:46,155 --> 00:09:47,444
So now you can take your fib,
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draw it on it.
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00:09:52,935 --> 00:09:54,405
Now you have a qualified price swing.
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00:09:55,094 --> 00:09:56,865
It showed a willingness to
go above a previous swing.
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00:09:58,170 --> 00:10:00,690
Market's coming down into
we're below equilibrium.
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00:10:00,720 --> 00:10:01,650
So we're in discount.
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00:10:02,730 --> 00:10:03,900
This area down in here.
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00:10:04,140 --> 00:10:06,750
If it hits us or a block
here, that's the sweet spot on
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00:10:07,380 --> 00:10:09,510
optimal trade entry, 70.5 level.
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I still have people asking me,
show them the settings for fib.
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00:10:16,830 --> 00:10:21,870
And there's a video on the forum,
uh, in the technical help section.
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00:10:22,080 --> 00:10:24,990
It's the very first video
I did for new mentorship.
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00:10:26,069 --> 00:10:29,430
What demo account to set up and all that
business and how to set their account
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00:10:29,850 --> 00:10:34,680
on their demo for day, and also go
quickly through the Fibonacci level.
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00:10:34,689 --> 00:10:37,620
So if you want to know that
it's in that video as well,
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00:10:40,250 --> 00:10:41,250
it'll show you how to do all.
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00:10:41,250 --> 00:10:42,569
I have all mine here.
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00:10:47,880 --> 00:10:51,240
Uh, this time of day, I'm not really
heavily excited about using the dollar.
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00:10:51,510 --> 00:10:52,250
He's usually sleeping.
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00:10:56,530 --> 00:10:58,060
I'll give you a real quick look at it.
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00:10:58,780 --> 00:11:02,680
It's doing nothing really
meandering sideways.
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00:11:09,100 --> 00:11:09,400
Okay.
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00:11:09,400 --> 00:11:11,020
We hit the order block right here.
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00:11:13,650 --> 00:11:14,470
Excuse me, folks.
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00:11:14,470 --> 00:11:14,770
Sorry.
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00:11:16,210 --> 00:11:17,050
Forgot where I was at.
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00:13:04,329 --> 00:13:09,939
Now, even in this sloppy condition,
in the worst, in my opinion, worst
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00:13:09,939 --> 00:13:14,920
time of day to trade in Asia,
look at the responsiveness here.
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00:13:14,979 --> 00:13:20,319
Even if this thing does go lower and
wipes out this low one more time.
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00:13:23,020 --> 00:13:26,439
It's always fascinating to me
to see how these things respond.
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At predetermined 11 predetermined levels.
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00:13:36,064 --> 00:13:38,824
Now it's a safer let's play
devil's advocate for a moment.
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00:13:44,175 --> 00:13:50,295
If you were, uh, if you were going long
at the body's opening on this candle
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that comes in at, if I can get in here.
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00:14:01,260 --> 00:14:02,550
76 0 5.
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00:14:02,760 --> 00:14:08,610
So if you were buying the Aldi and
you're using 7,605 as your reference
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00:14:08,610 --> 00:14:12,780
point for supporting the idea that
moving higher and you were using a
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00:14:12,780 --> 00:14:14,160
limit order, what was your price be?
150
00:14:22,574 --> 00:14:23,055
Very good.
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00:14:23,084 --> 00:14:24,045
76, 10.
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Everybody's saying the same thing.
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Awesome.
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00:14:26,834 --> 00:14:28,005
You can use 76 0 8.
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00:14:28,064 --> 00:14:30,464
There's only been one person
that said that it's acceptable.
156
00:14:31,155 --> 00:14:35,115
I'd like to add five pips and if
I'm selling shorter limit, I want to
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identify a level I'm really interested
in and then I'll go five pips below it.
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Exiting.
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Taking profits.
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00:14:44,430 --> 00:14:47,400
I like to go about 10, 20
pips before the actual level.
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I really like, I just been in the
business long enough to know that I don't
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00:14:51,000 --> 00:14:54,840
like being left out of the good exit.
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00:14:54,840 --> 00:14:58,290
Sometimes they get rate real close
and with a limit order or exit
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00:14:58,290 --> 00:15:02,880
with a limit order, they need you
to be a 10 minutes away from that.
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00:15:05,690 --> 00:15:09,950
But if you're looking at levels like
this in advance, it's not hard to worry.
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It's very little to worry
about in regards to that.
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00:15:14,095 --> 00:15:15,355
But let's just say for instance, okay.
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Say you were long from 76, 10.
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Okay.
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At 76, 10 knowing the type of day.
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Okay.
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00:15:23,305 --> 00:15:25,915
And the conditions that we're in
right now, it's not a terribly
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exciting if you were scalping.
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00:15:29,305 --> 00:15:32,035
Now I don't do a lot of this kind
of stuff, but if you were scalping,
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00:15:32,845 --> 00:15:36,805
where would you look to reasonably
expect your first profit and why?
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00:16:08,280 --> 00:16:13,860
The majority of you saying around
76, 20 to 76 22, because that's just
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above this short-term swing high.
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Okay.
179
00:16:17,610 --> 00:16:21,570
And after that, there was a, had
additional information beyond that.
180
00:16:21,810 --> 00:16:24,270
They said that they would look
to take additional profits over
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00:16:24,270 --> 00:16:25,830
here because of the equal highs.
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00:16:25,920 --> 00:16:26,340
Very good.
183
00:16:27,210 --> 00:16:31,260
Uh, one of the questions I asked what were
at, well, I was just asked was why did I
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00:16:31,260 --> 00:16:35,040
elect to go with this order block and not
this one here, because there's avoidance.
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00:16:36,060 --> 00:16:40,770
This big run-up and if it goes down
the close that void, it also takes
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00:16:40,770 --> 00:16:42,360
out this little short term low.
187
00:16:43,650 --> 00:16:47,430
So what would, what would be re
residing rate below that low?
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00:16:53,360 --> 00:16:54,350
Yeah, cell stops.
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00:16:55,640 --> 00:16:59,840
So if this can look in turn bullish
and leave a wick on that, we'll
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00:16:59,840 --> 00:17:02,180
probably draw up into this downtown.
191
00:17:03,555 --> 00:17:09,724
At the very minimum, it might touch
you opening on that around 77, 19.
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00:17:09,724 --> 00:17:14,885
So 77 20 would be a good first profit
if they can fill in that little tiny
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00:17:16,714 --> 00:17:19,415
avoid here, and it wouldn't even
need to break the range and go above
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00:17:19,415 --> 00:17:22,295
this old high to pay you 10 pips.
195
00:17:22,865 --> 00:17:27,244
Now again, 10 pips is not the things
I look for, but you'd be surprised
196
00:17:27,244 --> 00:17:28,055
how many people are asking me.
197
00:17:28,055 --> 00:17:30,155
Hey, look, if you could just give
me a way to make 10 pips a day.
198
00:17:31,260 --> 00:17:33,270
No, this is, that's all I'm looking for.
199
00:17:33,719 --> 00:17:36,990
Well, if that's, if that's all
you're looking for is plenty of
200
00:17:36,990 --> 00:17:38,639
opportunities to do that in New York.
201
00:17:44,189 --> 00:17:47,550
I like the fifth is the question
is by, uh, why do I like trading
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00:17:47,550 --> 00:17:51,959
on the 15 minute timeframe and
not a one hour, uh, 15 minutes.
203
00:17:52,110 --> 00:17:55,139
I already know what I'm looking
at relative to an hourly chart,
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00:17:55,919 --> 00:17:58,949
and I can read order blocks that
would reside in, exist on Allie
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00:17:58,959 --> 00:18:00,090
charts in a 15 minute timer.
206
00:18:00,915 --> 00:18:03,945
So once you do it for a while,
you'll, you'll just get comfortable.
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00:18:03,945 --> 00:18:07,005
I like personally, the 15
minute timeframe, I just I've
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00:18:07,005 --> 00:18:08,115
grown accustomed to using it.
209
00:18:08,685 --> 00:18:12,555
It's friendly for me to trade in any,
any trading session, correct acumen.
210
00:18:13,665 --> 00:18:22,305
But, uh, if I'm looking for session swings
or really high, uh, like high-impact
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00:18:22,585 --> 00:18:26,355
levels where a good order block or a
good liquidity pool would rest, I'll
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00:18:26,625 --> 00:18:28,195
draw out to an alley chart and identify.
213
00:18:30,335 --> 00:18:34,385
But execution wise, I'm usually on
the 15 minute timeframe, five minutes.
214
00:18:34,385 --> 00:18:36,575
It's a little too noisy, especially now.
215
00:18:36,605 --> 00:18:40,745
I don't know what's going
on last, uh, really last six
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00:18:40,745 --> 00:18:43,565
months, it's been real ugly.
217
00:18:43,685 --> 00:18:47,015
I mean, to track the price actions,
real spotty, you're not getting a
218
00:18:47,015 --> 00:18:48,605
lot of, uh, symmetrical price swing.
219
00:18:48,615 --> 00:18:52,025
So it's forcing you to be not you all.
220
00:18:52,025 --> 00:18:53,615
I've never been a fan of women at charts.
221
00:18:53,855 --> 00:18:57,035
Um, but five minutes, I used to
be able to execute real well.
222
00:18:58,035 --> 00:18:59,925
But I demand now at least 15 minutes.
223
00:18:59,925 --> 00:19:01,335
A little bit more cleaner.
224
00:19:09,245 --> 00:19:09,875
Yeah.
225
00:19:09,965 --> 00:19:13,445
A question is, can you, can you
just trade on one timeframe yet?
226
00:19:13,475 --> 00:19:17,855
I mean, once you understand price action
and that's all part of the mentorship,
227
00:19:17,855 --> 00:19:22,925
you're going to learn so many things
and by experiencing all these different
228
00:19:23,165 --> 00:19:29,845
avenues of trades, One's going to draw
your fancy more than another it'll
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00:19:29,845 --> 00:19:34,635
it'll, it'll, you'll be really engaged
with one concept more than any other.
230
00:19:35,325 --> 00:19:40,515
And soon as you feel that really
resonate with you, that's the
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00:19:40,515 --> 00:19:41,925
one you probably should work on.
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00:19:41,925 --> 00:19:45,765
Most refine that one, even while
you're studying all the other ones.
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00:19:46,335 --> 00:19:47,265
And that way that'll be your name.
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00:19:51,564 --> 00:19:53,695
When do I know to take a
position before the news?
235
00:19:53,695 --> 00:19:57,834
It's if the price action suggests
that like this one here, it
236
00:19:57,834 --> 00:20:00,534
started it's it looks pretty good.
237
00:20:00,715 --> 00:20:05,304
I mean, for a little tiny little move
for, uh, a pop-up of, uh, of those ties
238
00:20:05,304 --> 00:20:11,905
at 76 thirties it's Bible, we've got about
two minutes away from the news release.
239
00:20:12,415 --> 00:20:14,605
And again, I'm not
expecting a lot of fans.
240
00:20:25,169 --> 00:20:27,270
How many people are in
the session right now?
241
00:20:28,200 --> 00:20:34,169
Um, 230, which is a lot more than
I was expecting this time of day
242
00:20:37,760 --> 00:20:41,510
at 549 today in the first step.
243
00:20:42,630 --> 00:20:46,440
And then I had about
411 in the second one.
244
00:20:51,320 --> 00:20:51,620
Yeah.
245
00:20:51,620 --> 00:20:54,590
I wish I wish there was more
activity in this timeframe.
246
00:20:55,460 --> 00:21:01,250
Um, but there just really isn't a
lot, but I'm gonna have to force
247
00:21:01,250 --> 00:21:05,630
myself to do some yen trading in this
mentorship just to, to prove that
248
00:21:05,630 --> 00:21:06,910
you can do something in this time.
249
00:21:12,445 --> 00:21:13,105
Yeah.
250
00:21:13,335 --> 00:21:13,735
Yeah.
251
00:21:16,035 --> 00:21:21,195
I got to tell you, man, I can't stand
that pear pisses me off that I just
252
00:21:21,495 --> 00:21:23,475
don't want to be in that thing anymore.
253
00:21:25,125 --> 00:21:25,275
Yeah.
254
00:21:25,275 --> 00:21:26,385
That's the only time I'll do it.
255
00:21:26,595 --> 00:21:29,085
If I see something in the
pound yet I'll do it, but it's
256
00:21:29,085 --> 00:21:30,585
gotta be something so superb.
257
00:21:30,764 --> 00:21:33,445
So perfectly lined up that I just can't.
258
00:21:33,825 --> 00:21:34,565
I just can't walk.
259
00:21:35,875 --> 00:21:38,155
And it's not a whole lot of
times that it does that for me.
260
00:21:40,305 --> 00:21:42,435
A lot of my students though,
are just destroying that pair.
261
00:21:42,435 --> 00:21:43,815
I mean, they do so well.
262
00:21:43,815 --> 00:21:44,685
I'm impressed by it.
263
00:21:54,065 --> 00:21:57,845
Uh, yeah, the bias is really just
to see if we can get above that 76.
264
00:21:59,690 --> 00:22:02,000
First to get like first objective.
265
00:22:02,690 --> 00:22:05,180
And then if we can run through that,
because if you look at the high rate
266
00:22:05,180 --> 00:22:08,840
before it, this is still a little
clean too, so it could just punch up
267
00:22:08,840 --> 00:22:11,450
there and then come right back into
the consolidation and just go nowhere.
268
00:22:12,560 --> 00:22:14,450
But the idea is that we're going
to try to see it runs through here.
269
00:22:14,450 --> 00:22:18,230
And if we can get an injection after
running these by stuffs to make
270
00:22:18,230 --> 00:22:20,000
a jump up into here, then great.
271
00:22:20,140 --> 00:22:21,260
It was wonderful exercise.
272
00:22:21,260 --> 00:22:22,040
And there it is.
273
00:22:35,429 --> 00:22:37,800
Yeah, I'm going to tell you
everything I know about taxes.
274
00:22:38,280 --> 00:22:41,220
I'm going to say I'm going to share some
resources I've accumulated over the years.
275
00:22:42,810 --> 00:22:46,770
I'll tell you where you can go if you live
in the states, um, for more information
276
00:22:46,770 --> 00:22:50,070
about it, but I'm not an accountant.
277
00:22:50,070 --> 00:22:51,540
So just keep that in mind.
278
00:22:52,800 --> 00:22:54,840
I just trust these guys to do that stuff.
279
00:23:01,545 --> 00:23:01,875
Okay.
280
00:23:01,875 --> 00:23:03,465
So far, we've got a
little bit of a movement.
281
00:23:15,395 --> 00:23:16,505
Does three pips away?
282
00:23:16,505 --> 00:23:19,895
Well, from our first profit
objective, um, it went right up
283
00:23:19,925 --> 00:23:21,545
into the opening of that candle.
284
00:23:28,090 --> 00:23:33,460
Opening it, 76, 19 tie goes to 76, 19.
285
00:23:33,460 --> 00:23:33,970
So right.
286
00:23:34,330 --> 00:23:37,090
Went right to the level
that we talked about.
287
00:23:38,889 --> 00:23:41,830
Usually if it goes there, like
that, it likes to print on the
288
00:23:41,830 --> 00:23:45,070
twenties and the eighties and
the fifties and round numbers.
289
00:23:47,230 --> 00:23:50,470
So we still could probably see a pushup
in here at least touch the 76 20.
290
00:24:10,240 --> 00:24:13,780
Yeah, it depends on the question
I got is will I put a tray?
291
00:24:14,880 --> 00:24:17,190
Based on the owner block
even before a news release.
292
00:24:18,270 --> 00:24:18,750
Yeah.
293
00:24:18,870 --> 00:24:22,680
I mean, cause if you see what prices
indicating, I mean, we basically,
294
00:24:22,710 --> 00:24:23,790
we're talking about it here.
295
00:24:23,820 --> 00:24:26,360
I mean, it just hasn't really moved
much because of the time of day and
296
00:24:26,370 --> 00:24:29,730
there it is, but on a micro scale, okay.
297
00:24:30,240 --> 00:24:33,720
Now this is one of the things I
keep harping on because I still get
298
00:24:33,720 --> 00:24:37,230
folks that are in this mentorship
that are asking questions.
299
00:24:37,230 --> 00:24:39,390
Like, why am I not teaching on a daily.
300
00:24:40,575 --> 00:24:46,065
And I can't teach everything in 12
months if I just focus on a daily chart
301
00:24:46,065 --> 00:24:48,825
and you're not going to learn anything
just by focusing on that timeframe,
302
00:24:49,635 --> 00:24:53,775
the things that I teach you relative
to institutional order flow, they're
303
00:24:53,775 --> 00:24:55,695
universal across all timeframes.
304
00:24:56,685 --> 00:24:56,925
Okay.
305
00:24:56,925 --> 00:24:59,655
So imagine, let's just say,
for instance, say this was a,
306
00:25:00,165 --> 00:25:01,245
say this was a daily chart.
307
00:25:01,245 --> 00:25:03,405
Forget what you're seeing up here
in the upper left-hand corner.
308
00:25:03,675 --> 00:25:03,975
Okay.
309
00:25:04,335 --> 00:25:05,985
Forget this is even Australian dollar.
310
00:25:06,015 --> 00:25:07,845
You don't even know what
pair this is, who cares?
311
00:25:09,450 --> 00:25:11,790
When price was dilly dally and ran up
here, and we were talking about, we're
312
00:25:11,790 --> 00:25:14,790
going to watch this order block and then
going to watch this order block down here.
313
00:25:15,000 --> 00:25:15,420
Okay.
314
00:25:16,139 --> 00:25:19,920
If this was a daily timeframe,
as price was hitting those levels
315
00:25:20,280 --> 00:25:22,170
relative to how much risk it would be.
316
00:25:22,170 --> 00:25:26,490
If you were buying on this one and your
stop had to be down here, it doesn't
317
00:25:26,490 --> 00:25:27,780
mean that you can't take that trade.
318
00:25:28,139 --> 00:25:31,770
It just means that your stop has to
allow that and you divide that by
319
00:25:31,770 --> 00:25:32,879
how much risk you're going to do.
320
00:25:34,035 --> 00:25:36,285
So if you had a thousand dollar
account and you're only willing to
321
00:25:36,285 --> 00:25:40,335
risk 1%, you got to determine how
many pips that is from where you're
322
00:25:40,335 --> 00:25:44,715
trying to buy out here for where your
stop is and divide that number of
323
00:25:44,715 --> 00:25:47,955
pips by a hundred by a hundred bucks.
324
00:25:47,955 --> 00:25:49,905
Cause that's your total
risk 1% of a thousand.
325
00:25:50,685 --> 00:25:51,495
Oh no, that's not right.
326
00:25:51,495 --> 00:25:55,545
Is it the, uh, 1% of
whatever your equity base is?
327
00:25:57,715 --> 00:25:58,615
Don't be afraid.
328
00:25:58,705 --> 00:25:59,004
Okay.
329
00:25:59,004 --> 00:26:01,855
Or turned off by the fact that
we're using any timeframe.
330
00:26:02,185 --> 00:26:05,065
Cause it's all relative to
understanding what price should do.
331
00:26:05,815 --> 00:26:08,695
So if you would have had a long down
here and let's assume this, this was
332
00:26:08,695 --> 00:26:12,895
a daily chart and we're looking at not
a 15 minute timeframe, don't get hung
333
00:26:12,895 --> 00:26:16,915
up on the timeframe that that's the
worst thing you could do when I was
334
00:26:16,915 --> 00:26:19,845
starting out, I thought that was the
secret it had, there was a secret time.
335
00:26:20,580 --> 00:26:23,280
This is the one that works
there isn't that doesn't exist.
336
00:26:23,520 --> 00:26:24,320
You're looking at price.
337
00:26:24,320 --> 00:26:25,500
Price is the same thing.
338
00:26:25,950 --> 00:26:26,280
Okay.
339
00:26:27,240 --> 00:26:32,879
So if you understand what we're, what
we're looking at here is if this is a
340
00:26:32,879 --> 00:26:34,889
daily order block here and as price hits.
341
00:26:35,970 --> 00:26:37,439
You would have an order down here.
342
00:26:38,129 --> 00:26:38,490
Okay.
343
00:26:38,490 --> 00:26:43,199
Of maybe, probably you see, it's hard
to say, cause it's not relative to what
344
00:26:43,199 --> 00:26:45,209
the scale would be in terms of pricing.
345
00:26:45,750 --> 00:26:46,500
You want a daily chart.
346
00:26:46,919 --> 00:26:51,689
So there may be about 60 to 50 pips of,
of difference between where the order
347
00:26:51,689 --> 00:26:53,639
block would be relative to a daily chart.
348
00:26:53,669 --> 00:26:57,449
If this was all daily candles, all you're
going to do is factor in the amount of,
349
00:26:57,600 --> 00:27:02,870
uh, of, of distance from where you would
have to expect price to reasonably.
350
00:27:04,004 --> 00:27:06,585
And if it rolled all the way
up here to this daily candle.
351
00:27:06,764 --> 00:27:06,975
Okay.
352
00:27:06,975 --> 00:27:09,915
And I'm probably confusing a lot of
you, but if this was a daily chart
353
00:27:10,695 --> 00:27:13,635
that would, that could potentially
be, you know, hundreds of pips in
354
00:27:13,635 --> 00:27:15,465
there and it went right to that level.
355
00:27:17,514 --> 00:27:20,845
And that's, that's what all I'm trying
to draw your attention to by having all
356
00:27:20,845 --> 00:27:27,385
these little examples, intraday is to
prove to you that price is predicted.
357
00:27:28,169 --> 00:27:31,949
It gives you a reasonable way of
determining where there should be a
358
00:27:31,949 --> 00:27:35,730
setup where there should be real support,
where there should be real resistance
359
00:27:36,149 --> 00:27:38,129
and what draws prices, liquidity.
360
00:27:39,419 --> 00:27:43,709
You get buy signals and sell signals
off of order blocks and liquidity pools.
361
00:27:44,459 --> 00:27:49,919
You get targets with voids back
to fair value and liquidity pools,
362
00:27:49,980 --> 00:27:51,409
contrary to where you entered.
363
00:27:51,480 --> 00:27:53,850
If it's a long you're looking
for liquidity above that.
364
00:27:55,020 --> 00:27:57,720
Or you're looking for a bear
shorter block inside the current
365
00:27:57,720 --> 00:27:59,490
range to go back to fair value.
366
00:27:59,730 --> 00:28:02,580
That's all trading is,
and that's all the algo.
367
00:28:02,580 --> 00:28:07,230
Does it delivers price swings back
and forth based on those two premises.
368
00:28:07,230 --> 00:28:07,860
That's nothing.
369
00:28:07,889 --> 00:28:12,480
There's nothing else to this, but
you won't believe me until we see
370
00:28:12,480 --> 00:28:16,230
weeks and weeks and months and
months of doing this all the time.
371
00:28:16,470 --> 00:28:17,850
And it continuously delivering it.
372
00:28:22,635 --> 00:28:22,875
Yeah.
373
00:28:22,875 --> 00:28:24,705
And it's not, it's not
exciting for me, Tim.
374
00:28:24,705 --> 00:28:25,875
I appreciate your feedback.
375
00:28:26,895 --> 00:28:29,835
Asian sessions are just not, they just
don't have enough movement for me.
376
00:28:38,795 --> 00:28:45,515
I wish I wish four X would give me what
commodities would, uh, whether there's,
377
00:28:45,755 --> 00:28:47,705
I wish they would do away with spreads.
378
00:28:48,335 --> 00:28:50,765
I wish there was a way for
Forex X to do away with spreads.
379
00:28:51,675 --> 00:28:58,445
Because man, we would have an amazing
efficient way of trading because I love
380
00:28:58,515 --> 00:29:04,575
the liquidity side of Forex, but just
no downside is obviously the spread, but
381
00:29:04,755 --> 00:29:08,445
if you understand how we trade, you get
quickly over top of the dealing spread.
382
00:29:10,805 --> 00:29:13,805
But from a mentor standpoint, teaching.
383
00:29:14,640 --> 00:29:17,090
Um, because folks are always
trying to be in a hurry.
384
00:29:17,130 --> 00:29:19,920
They want to get in earlier than
they should or chase it after it's
385
00:29:19,920 --> 00:29:26,310
already priced in it's mood or signal
that spread can really beat you up.
386
00:29:31,860 --> 00:29:33,780
I'm hoping that we'll get
a couple of mega trades.
387
00:29:33,780 --> 00:29:35,340
I mean, we've got, we've
got 12 months together.
388
00:29:35,340 --> 00:29:36,150
We're 11 months now.
389
00:29:36,150 --> 00:29:37,560
So that's plenty of time to get at least.
390
00:29:44,575 --> 00:29:47,455
I just need to have that, uh,
election behind us before I do
391
00:29:47,455 --> 00:29:53,145
anything with commodities, I
don't do anything with FX futures.
392
00:29:53,835 --> 00:29:56,115
If I'm going to trade futures, it's
going to be the straight contract,
393
00:30:02,925 --> 00:30:05,355
uh, London I'm keeping
until the third one.
394
00:30:06,345 --> 00:30:06,675
No, I'm sorry.
395
00:30:06,675 --> 00:30:09,315
The third month, third month,
we're going to be really involved
396
00:30:09,315 --> 00:30:10,755
with London session trading.
397
00:30:11,925 --> 00:30:16,965
I'll be, I'll be finished teaching all
the things that lead up to everything
398
00:30:16,965 --> 00:30:20,595
that I've described as potential setups.
399
00:30:20,655 --> 00:30:21,705
And we'll start building on that.
400
00:30:31,555 --> 00:30:32,275
Well, I don't trade.
401
00:30:32,305 --> 00:30:33,145
I don't have a spread.
402
00:30:33,885 --> 00:30:36,465
From from when I'm trading
through prime brokerage, I don't
403
00:30:36,465 --> 00:30:41,175
have a spread and I just, I can
accept my fills or reject them.
404
00:30:41,175 --> 00:30:42,255
I have about five minutes.
405
00:30:43,545 --> 00:30:45,375
I can come back and say,
well, I don't want that fill.
406
00:30:46,065 --> 00:30:51,225
And you can't do that with, uh, you can't
do that with like FXCM well, Hey look,
407
00:30:51,225 --> 00:30:52,875
this is not really a good price for me.
408
00:30:52,905 --> 00:30:55,845
Can you give me something
different prime brokerage?
409
00:30:55,845 --> 00:30:57,885
You have that luxury
for about five minutes.
410
00:30:58,005 --> 00:30:59,085
I can reject a quote and say no.
411
00:31:08,025 --> 00:31:11,775
But you have a transaction that you
end up paying it it's really called a
412
00:31:11,775 --> 00:31:13,075
spread, but it's really not a spread.
413
00:31:13,245 --> 00:31:14,535
It's really a transaction cost.
414
00:31:17,055 --> 00:31:18,705
Uh, it used to be a million dollars.
415
00:31:18,795 --> 00:31:21,525
Uh, some of them were actually
asking for more than that now.
416
00:31:21,975 --> 00:31:23,625
And I said, I'm wanting like
5 million and 10 million.
417
00:31:44,825 --> 00:31:49,475
On prime brokerage, the costs are
fixed regardless of the volatility.
418
00:31:53,685 --> 00:31:54,675
But there's no leverage.
419
00:31:54,945 --> 00:31:58,425
So then you don't really need leverage
when you got that kind of money.
420
00:32:07,905 --> 00:32:10,514
I'll give us about five more minutes
and then we're going to close it.
421
00:32:10,845 --> 00:32:13,695
It's just not enough for
me to be concerned about.
422
00:32:19,830 --> 00:32:20,250
Yeah.
423
00:32:20,280 --> 00:32:21,990
That's why I don't really
care about this one.
424
00:32:22,350 --> 00:32:29,640
Uh, the only time I really enjoy
Australian dollar in Asia and Kiwi in Asia
425
00:32:30,180 --> 00:32:35,370
is if they do interest rate adjustments
or employment numbers, those two
426
00:32:35,370 --> 00:32:38,430
channeling, they give you a little bit of
movement, but mostly it's interest rates.
427
00:32:39,990 --> 00:32:43,380
We'll probably see at least one
or two Aussie sessions where
428
00:32:43,380 --> 00:32:44,550
interest rates are, are driving.
429
00:32:45,900 --> 00:32:48,120
And, uh, I had, I had a really nice one.
430
00:32:48,540 --> 00:32:49,500
What year are we in?
431
00:32:49,500 --> 00:32:52,600
We're in 2016, I think it was 2000.
432
00:32:53,940 --> 00:32:54,870
It was 2015.
433
00:32:54,870 --> 00:32:55,950
I got to go over my records.
434
00:32:56,580 --> 00:32:59,670
I was, uh, I was sitting there
talking to my wife one evening
435
00:32:59,670 --> 00:33:02,490
and went to the economic council,
getting prepared for the next day.
436
00:33:03,270 --> 00:33:04,890
And I said, oh, wow.
437
00:33:05,190 --> 00:33:08,250
Interest rate announcements
coming out for, uh, for all.
438
00:33:09,284 --> 00:33:10,185
I got like 20 minutes.
439
00:33:10,185 --> 00:33:12,075
I said, now I'm trying to
listen to my wife talking.
440
00:33:12,135 --> 00:33:15,135
I'm not even really listening to
her and hearing her talk and I'm
441
00:33:15,135 --> 00:33:17,385
not really receiving what she's
saying and she could see it.
442
00:33:17,655 --> 00:33:19,065
It's like, you're not listening to me.
443
00:33:19,155 --> 00:33:20,325
It's like, I hear you.
444
00:33:20,415 --> 00:33:21,764
She's no, but you're not listening to me.
445
00:33:22,215 --> 00:33:23,235
And she said, I know what you wanna hear.
446
00:33:23,235 --> 00:33:24,554
You want to go on that
freaking computer again?
447
00:33:24,554 --> 00:33:24,825
No, yet.
448
00:33:24,855 --> 00:33:28,245
I said just for a second, if you just
give me a second, it's it right away.
449
00:33:28,245 --> 00:33:30,855
I went in there, put the
order in and literally.
450
00:33:32,445 --> 00:33:34,695
Good grief, maybe less than 10 minutes.
451
00:33:35,235 --> 00:33:35,655
Boom.
452
00:33:35,685 --> 00:33:39,255
It was like a thousand dollars
per contract or for standard
453
00:33:39,255 --> 00:33:40,305
rates stayed a lot of hat on.
454
00:33:40,755 --> 00:33:42,345
And I told her, I said,
see that right there.
455
00:33:42,375 --> 00:33:43,785
We have Christmas paid for.
456
00:33:43,815 --> 00:33:45,665
And all you had to do is just
give me a couple minutes to go
457
00:33:45,675 --> 00:33:46,545
up there and take care of that.
458
00:33:49,335 --> 00:33:51,575
That was the last real big mover.
459
00:33:51,575 --> 00:33:56,985
I ahead for a Aussie owned in this
timeframe here, but unless it's
460
00:33:56,985 --> 00:34:00,275
something like that, I really don't care
too much about this particular time.
461
00:34:02,399 --> 00:34:03,750
Now she's not impressed anymore.
462
00:34:03,780 --> 00:34:04,590
She could care less.
463
00:34:04,980 --> 00:34:06,510
She thinks I spent too
much time doing this.
464
00:34:06,510 --> 00:34:09,630
And in fact, I really do love it.
465
00:34:09,659 --> 00:34:11,739
I mean, he can come on with it.
466
00:34:11,929 --> 00:34:12,690
I don't care what she say.
467
00:34:13,139 --> 00:34:16,409
I don't care who you are if
you don't love this business.
468
00:34:16,650 --> 00:34:17,100
Okay.
469
00:34:17,100 --> 00:34:18,150
You're in the wrong one.
470
00:34:18,239 --> 00:34:20,159
I mean, you gotta be in love
with it or get out of it.
471
00:34:25,049 --> 00:34:25,590
Yeah, man.
472
00:34:25,860 --> 00:34:26,520
I love it.
473
00:34:26,790 --> 00:34:27,150
Absolutely.
474
00:34:40,435 --> 00:34:43,284
Yeah, it's just one of the
businesses where you can look at
475
00:34:43,284 --> 00:34:46,074
sleep and the lack of it and say,
yeah, I'm not missing anything.
476
00:34:52,895 --> 00:34:52,955
Yeah.
477
00:35:02,980 --> 00:35:05,440
Well, we've got about two more minutes
and I'm going to close shop here.
478
00:35:05,710 --> 00:35:09,069
This is again, this is the second time
where we really just had a chatter box
479
00:35:09,069 --> 00:35:10,390
session where nothing's really happened.
480
00:35:11,529 --> 00:35:14,830
We saw a little bit of response
off that level on the order block.
481
00:35:14,950 --> 00:35:20,319
Um, it gave us what 15
pips, 14 pips really.
482
00:35:21,750 --> 00:35:23,400
Nothing to get terribly excited about
483
00:35:27,540 --> 00:35:29,730
what in the structure gave me a long bias.
484
00:35:30,420 --> 00:35:38,880
Uh, the fact that we had 1, 2,
3, 4 drives lower, then we had
485
00:35:38,880 --> 00:35:40,770
this nice move quickly over here.
486
00:35:41,010 --> 00:35:42,240
Look at the movement here.
487
00:35:42,720 --> 00:35:42,930
Okay.
488
00:35:42,930 --> 00:35:44,310
See that drop down quickly.
489
00:35:44,340 --> 00:35:45,570
Just like we see it here.
490
00:35:48,115 --> 00:35:51,445
They're aggressively jumping down
to take the liquidity out below
491
00:35:51,445 --> 00:35:53,185
these lows with this run here.
492
00:35:53,905 --> 00:35:54,655
And then we see it again.
493
00:35:54,655 --> 00:36:00,055
One more time here and then on this
one, whereas we didn't see it on
494
00:36:00,055 --> 00:36:05,185
this low up to this high, this small
little tiny swing high was broken,
495
00:36:05,185 --> 00:36:07,315
but it wasn't to my, to my liking.
496
00:36:07,315 --> 00:36:10,795
I didn't like it so much because all it
was dealing with clothing and avoid here.
497
00:36:12,085 --> 00:36:12,925
That's all that's done.
498
00:36:13,525 --> 00:36:15,625
Now over here, you have something
different all the other day.
499
00:36:16,529 --> 00:36:21,360
This drive lower took out this low,
but then now look at the difference.
500
00:36:21,660 --> 00:36:26,920
There's this run up that
clears out this swing high, but
501
00:36:26,920 --> 00:36:29,259
there's no void to contend with.
502
00:36:29,290 --> 00:36:35,200
It's broke up through an old swing high
of real significance, and you did it with,
503
00:36:36,130 --> 00:36:41,490
well, avoid left in its wake over here.
504
00:36:41,490 --> 00:36:41,960
It's rather.
505
00:36:43,005 --> 00:36:46,605
Consistently traded through a lot in the,
it sees a lot of back and forth action.
506
00:36:46,995 --> 00:36:47,505
Think about that.
507
00:36:47,505 --> 00:36:52,485
Paintbrush analogy I use is a
lot of coverage of price all
508
00:36:52,485 --> 00:36:53,685
through this range in here.
509
00:36:54,015 --> 00:36:57,975
Whereas down here, it gaps down
and then runs real quickly up
510
00:36:58,125 --> 00:37:02,235
leaving all this thin one candle.
511
00:37:02,745 --> 00:37:02,865
Right.
512
00:37:03,975 --> 00:37:08,235
And that's all I did was went right down
into this, uh, bullish candle, hit it.
513
00:37:08,325 --> 00:37:11,105
And that's why you had that little
bit of a response, but because there's
514
00:37:11,115 --> 00:37:13,785
a real, no, there's no money pouring
into the marketplace right now.
515
00:37:13,815 --> 00:37:15,465
There's no institutional sponsorship.
516
00:37:15,495 --> 00:37:19,995
All you're doing is seeing little,
tiny little blips, but we called that
517
00:37:19,995 --> 00:37:22,545
little tiny move right to that low.
518
00:37:22,725 --> 00:37:23,175
I'm sorry.
519
00:37:23,175 --> 00:37:26,385
Yeah, the right to the
opening of that candle, 76 19.
520
00:37:26,385 --> 00:37:29,565
And that's exactly where
this candle shot up.
521
00:37:31,250 --> 00:37:34,040
If I can get my thinking
to show the high was 76 19.
522
00:37:35,450 --> 00:37:35,780
Okay.
523
00:37:35,780 --> 00:37:41,690
So yeah, there's an Asian kill zone, but
it's, it's really dependent largely when
524
00:37:41,690 --> 00:37:44,630
the UN New Zealand and this pair here.
525
00:37:45,680 --> 00:37:49,310
But to me, it's just,
it's like London clothes.
526
00:37:49,310 --> 00:37:52,550
I used to trade London clothes,
set ups, but it's, didn't worth
527
00:37:52,550 --> 00:37:53,810
my time or even consideration.
528
00:37:54,710 --> 00:37:57,980
You want to be trading, you
know, London through London.
529
00:38:00,245 --> 00:38:03,155
That's where all the money's
at the E the millings in there.
530
00:38:13,245 --> 00:38:16,725
Well, um, oh, I was framing the
idea that, that we rallied up
531
00:38:16,755 --> 00:38:20,955
through broke this swing high, which
qualifies this as an impulse swing,
532
00:38:22,275 --> 00:38:24,165
drawing our fit from high to low.
533
00:38:24,495 --> 00:38:25,695
I'm sorry, low to high, rather.
534
00:38:27,420 --> 00:38:31,560
We got this liquidity void fair value
gap between the high of the candle
535
00:38:31,560 --> 00:38:36,390
down to the opening trades down
below equilibrium, into discount.
536
00:38:38,010 --> 00:38:41,340
So if all we're going to do is come
back down into fair value and close
537
00:38:41,340 --> 00:38:43,380
all this void in, which is what we did.
538
00:38:44,100 --> 00:38:46,140
We saw that reaction here snapped up.
539
00:38:48,970 --> 00:38:51,730
The reasonable expectation would
be to see the market reach above.
540
00:38:52,590 --> 00:38:54,630
The short-term highs were
in liquidity resting.
541
00:38:55,110 --> 00:38:58,380
Even if it's just going to chop around
and make the Asian range going into
542
00:38:58,380 --> 00:39:02,820
midnight into one o'clock in the morning,
Frankfurt, that's all you would expect
543
00:39:02,940 --> 00:39:04,680
because the time of day is, is dead.
544
00:39:05,100 --> 00:39:07,980
Is nobody's terribly excited
about this time and no real
545
00:39:07,980 --> 00:39:09,090
heavy flows are coming in.
546
00:39:15,680 --> 00:39:17,720
I'm going to avoid talking about
other pairs because I wanted
547
00:39:17,720 --> 00:39:18,830
to keep this thing Jermaine.
548
00:39:20,875 --> 00:39:23,005
Just so that way I don't get
a whole lot of requests for
549
00:39:23,005 --> 00:39:24,325
this type of this time of day.
550
00:39:25,605 --> 00:39:27,595
I've done two of them then,
and it's been lackluster.
551
00:39:35,275 --> 00:39:35,484
All right.
552
00:39:35,484 --> 00:39:36,685
So we have this here.
553
00:39:36,685 --> 00:39:37,645
It's in chart form.
554
00:39:37,645 --> 00:39:38,545
It's in video form.
555
00:39:38,545 --> 00:39:41,634
So we'll see what happens
going into London tonight.
556
00:39:42,685 --> 00:39:44,365
Uh, the exercise is to leave it go.
557
00:39:44,904 --> 00:39:45,955
You stopped down here.
558
00:39:46,435 --> 00:39:47,125
Your limit would be up.
559
00:39:48,285 --> 00:39:50,715
76 30, 2 to 76 35.
560
00:39:52,185 --> 00:39:52,635
And that's it.
561
00:39:52,845 --> 00:39:55,185
That's all you would do is just
let it go and see what happens.
562
00:39:55,575 --> 00:39:55,965
Okay.
563
00:39:56,025 --> 00:39:59,295
Um, it looks like it could easily go up
there and pop through that, but it may
564
00:39:59,295 --> 00:40:02,025
require us to go into Frank or to do it.
565
00:40:03,375 --> 00:40:04,575
And I'm going to close this one here.
566
00:40:05,115 --> 00:40:06,375
Is she all very pleasant evening.
567
00:40:06,375 --> 00:40:10,935
Get some rest and I will see you
tomorrow, but we have another eight 30
568
00:40:10,935 --> 00:40:12,645
in the morning news release for CAD.
569
00:40:12,795 --> 00:40:16,635
So we're going to try one more exercise
with that until then, which good luck.
46807
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