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These are the user uploaded subtitles that are being translated: 1 00:00:01,633 --> 00:00:03,100 FIREFIGHTER (on radio): This has got potential 2 00:00:03,133 --> 00:00:05,133 for a major incident. 3 00:00:05,166 --> 00:00:08,733 NARRATOR: A wildfire races toward a sleeping California town. 4 00:00:08,766 --> 00:00:12,800 WILLIAM HART: Right now, guys, Paradise is on effin' fire. 5 00:00:12,833 --> 00:00:16,066 NARRATOR: Residents awaken to a nightmare. 6 00:00:16,100 --> 00:00:18,466 TAMRA FISHER (crying): I don't want to die here. 7 00:00:18,500 --> 00:00:21,633 NARRATOR: Scientists speed toward the danger zone... 8 00:00:21,666 --> 00:00:24,966 CRAIG CLEMENTS: Yes, that's a scan we want. 9 00:00:25,000 --> 00:00:28,566 NARRATOR: ...risking it all to unlock the mysteries of fire. 10 00:00:28,600 --> 00:00:31,466 MARK FINNEY: It's not something that you can just observe it 11 00:00:31,500 --> 00:00:32,400 and figure out how it works. 12 00:00:32,433 --> 00:00:36,233 NARRATOR: Paradise is lost. 13 00:00:36,266 --> 00:00:39,766 KEN PIMLOTT: We have witnessed literally an entire community gone. 14 00:00:39,800 --> 00:00:44,133 NARRATOR: It's the worst fire in a season of worsts. 15 00:00:44,166 --> 00:00:45,733 But why? 16 00:00:45,766 --> 00:00:47,433 A history of mismanagement. 17 00:00:47,466 --> 00:00:48,933 STEPHEN PYNE: Everywhere, foresters were trying 18 00:00:48,966 --> 00:00:50,366 to do the same, silly thing. 19 00:00:50,400 --> 00:00:51,933 NARRATOR: A warming climate. 20 00:00:51,966 --> 00:00:54,200 CATHY WHITLOCK: I think we're moving into uncharted territory. 21 00:00:54,233 --> 00:00:58,433 NARRATOR: And a building boom in the forest. 22 00:00:58,466 --> 00:00:59,900 We're literally putting homes in the line of fire. 23 00:00:59,933 --> 00:01:04,266 NARRATOR: The stakes-- and the flames-- grow higher. 24 00:01:04,300 --> 00:01:05,966 Right now, I'm wondering if we're in a good spot. 25 00:01:06,000 --> 00:01:07,933 ♪ 26 00:01:07,966 --> 00:01:09,233 NARRATOR: "Inside the Megafire," 27 00:01:09,266 --> 00:01:11,333 right now, on "NOVA." 28 00:01:11,366 --> 00:01:15,433 ♪ 29 00:01:17,733 --> 00:01:27,766 Major funding for "NOVA" is provided by the following: 30 00:01:27,766 --> 00:01:35,400 Major funding for "NOVA" is provided by the following: 31 00:01:37,000 --> 00:01:38,566 NARRATOR: Another sunny day 32 00:01:38,600 --> 00:01:42,033 in the Sierra Nevada Mountains north of Sacramento. 33 00:01:42,066 --> 00:01:44,900 November 8, 2018. 34 00:01:44,933 --> 00:01:48,566 NEWS ANCHOR (on radio): Skies are clear over Northern California today, 35 00:01:48,600 --> 00:01:52,633 but it is going to be a very dangerous day for fire danger. 36 00:01:52,666 --> 00:01:56,066 NARRATOR: It's been more than 200 days 37 00:01:56,100 --> 00:02:00,400 since there was any rain worth measuring. 38 00:02:00,433 --> 00:02:02,566 The forest is bone-dry. 39 00:02:02,600 --> 00:02:04,466 ♪ 40 00:02:04,500 --> 00:02:06,766 And now the wind season has arrived-- 41 00:02:06,800 --> 00:02:09,566 with a vengeance. 42 00:02:09,600 --> 00:02:12,233 The strongest winds are expected across the Sierra, 43 00:02:12,266 --> 00:02:14,100 where gusts could reach 60 miles an hour. 44 00:02:14,133 --> 00:02:18,100 NARRATOR: The stage is set for disaster. 45 00:02:18,133 --> 00:02:20,566 ♪ 46 00:02:20,600 --> 00:02:23,366 Then, 85 miles north of Sacramento, 47 00:02:23,400 --> 00:02:27,400 in a tiny hamlet called Pulga, 48 00:02:27,433 --> 00:02:30,200 the wind blows a high-voltage power line off a tower 49 00:02:30,233 --> 00:02:31,933 near the Camp Creek. 50 00:02:31,966 --> 00:02:35,033 Sparks fly. 51 00:02:35,066 --> 00:02:40,800 In 15 minutes, the first reports of fire come in. 52 00:02:40,833 --> 00:02:42,333 It is 6:30 in the morning. 53 00:02:42,366 --> 00:02:45,833 The Camp Fire has just begun. 54 00:02:45,866 --> 00:02:48,900 When first responders arrive, 55 00:02:48,933 --> 00:02:51,000 the flames are already so fierce, 56 00:02:51,033 --> 00:02:53,133 and the winds so strong, 57 00:02:53,166 --> 00:02:55,833 they have trouble getting close to the fire. 58 00:02:55,866 --> 00:02:58,000 FIREFIGHTER (on radio): Eyes on the vegetation fire. 59 00:02:58,033 --> 00:02:59,966 It's going to be very difficult to access. 60 00:03:00,000 --> 00:03:02,000 Camp Creek Road is nearly inaccessible. 61 00:03:02,033 --> 00:03:04,566 It's got about a 35-mile-an-hour sustained wind on it. 62 00:03:04,600 --> 00:03:07,566 NARRATOR: It's moving incredibly fast, 63 00:03:07,600 --> 00:03:11,000 with a speed that stuns even veteran firefighters. 64 00:03:11,033 --> 00:03:14,566 FIREFIGHTER (on radio): This has got potential for a major incident. 65 00:03:16,333 --> 00:03:21,400 NARRATOR: By 7:30, authorities issue an evacuation order for Pulga, 66 00:03:21,433 --> 00:03:23,866 where the fire funnels up a canyon, 67 00:03:23,900 --> 00:03:28,300 picks up speed, and explodes out over the rim. 68 00:03:29,633 --> 00:03:34,266 The fire is now burning an acre of forest every second. 69 00:03:34,300 --> 00:03:37,800 Firefighters cannot fight the flames. 70 00:03:37,833 --> 00:03:40,866 Instead, they focus on rescuing residents. 71 00:03:40,900 --> 00:03:44,166 FIREFIGHTER 2 (on radio): In Pulga, it's already crossing that area, 72 00:03:44,200 --> 00:03:45,700 heading towards the Concow area. 73 00:03:45,733 --> 00:03:49,966 NARRATOR: The fire consumes the small community of Concow 74 00:03:50,000 --> 00:03:52,966 and heads toward Paradise, California, 75 00:03:53,000 --> 00:03:55,866 where residents have just received immediate orders 76 00:03:55,900 --> 00:03:57,133 to evacuate. 77 00:03:57,166 --> 00:03:59,300 PIMLOTT: This fire starts, 78 00:03:59,333 --> 00:04:02,300 and within minutes, it's hundreds of acres. 79 00:04:02,333 --> 00:04:06,266 NARRATOR: The man in charge of the state's wildfire fighting force, 80 00:04:06,300 --> 00:04:07,300 Cal Fire, 81 00:04:07,333 --> 00:04:09,033 is Ken Pimlott. 82 00:04:09,066 --> 00:04:11,266 He's never seen anything like it. 83 00:04:11,300 --> 00:04:15,700 Within an hour, it is in the town of Paradise. 84 00:04:15,733 --> 00:04:16,866 NARRATOR: Paradise. 85 00:04:16,899 --> 00:04:20,399 Nestled in the woods high in the Sierra. 86 00:04:20,433 --> 00:04:24,066 A close-knit community of 26,000, 87 00:04:24,100 --> 00:04:28,633 many of them retirees drawn to the charm and beauty 88 00:04:28,666 --> 00:04:32,400 of life in a small mountain town. 89 00:04:32,433 --> 00:04:36,300 But along with it comes a looming vulnerability 90 00:04:36,333 --> 00:04:38,933 about to be made hellishly evident 91 00:04:38,966 --> 00:04:42,300 by the firestorm stampeding toward them. 92 00:04:42,333 --> 00:04:45,566 HART: Right now, guys, Paradise is on effin' fire. 93 00:04:45,600 --> 00:04:48,766 BRIAN ANDREWS: I'm just going to get the (bleep) out of Dodge. 94 00:04:48,800 --> 00:04:50,566 This is getting heavy. 95 00:04:50,600 --> 00:04:52,566 NARRATOR: Residents attempt to flee... 96 00:04:52,600 --> 00:04:53,900 ANDREWS: Everything is burning. 97 00:04:53,933 --> 00:04:56,633 Oh, my God, I mean everything. 98 00:04:56,666 --> 00:04:59,533 NARRATOR: ...forced to run a gauntlet through flame. 99 00:04:59,566 --> 00:05:03,533 There are only four roads that lead off the mountain, 100 00:05:03,566 --> 00:05:05,500 and all of them are perilous. 101 00:05:05,533 --> 00:05:08,300 FISHER (honking horn): Come on! 102 00:05:08,333 --> 00:05:10,500 Just go! 103 00:05:10,533 --> 00:05:14,500 NARRATOR: Chaos captured in harrowing cell phone videos. 104 00:05:14,533 --> 00:05:17,633 FISHER: Oh, my God, there's fire everywhere. 105 00:05:17,666 --> 00:05:19,933 (crying): I don't want to die here. 106 00:05:19,966 --> 00:05:22,033 I don't want to die. 107 00:05:22,066 --> 00:05:24,166 NARRATOR: A tense escape from hell. 108 00:05:24,200 --> 00:05:27,466 FISHER (sobbing): I'm scared! 109 00:05:27,500 --> 00:05:28,933 PIMLOTT: It's Armageddon. 110 00:05:28,966 --> 00:05:30,200 FISHER: It's so hot. 111 00:05:30,233 --> 00:05:31,433 Keep going! 112 00:05:31,466 --> 00:05:33,100 HART Holy (bleep)! 113 00:05:33,133 --> 00:05:34,200 People are leaving their cars. 114 00:05:34,233 --> 00:05:35,666 WOMAN: Oh, my God. It's okay. 115 00:05:35,700 --> 00:05:36,666 WOMAN: What should we do? 116 00:05:36,700 --> 00:05:38,266 HART: We got to get out of here. 117 00:05:38,300 --> 00:05:40,133 NARRATOR: First responders race 118 00:05:40,166 --> 00:05:43,733 to rescue hundreds of people trapped in their homes... 119 00:05:43,766 --> 00:05:44,900 WOMAN: Are they coming for us? 120 00:05:44,933 --> 00:05:45,833 POLICEMAN: Come on. 121 00:05:45,866 --> 00:05:47,200 WOMAN: Watch out! Watch out! 122 00:05:47,233 --> 00:05:48,833 Jess! 123 00:05:48,866 --> 00:05:50,500 NARRATOR: ...cars... 124 00:05:50,533 --> 00:05:52,133 DISPATCHER (on radio): Be advised, on Clark Road at Skyway, 125 00:05:52,166 --> 00:05:54,733 there's a woman in labor, she's in a beige Honda Pilot. 126 00:05:54,766 --> 00:05:56,800 She's going to be honking her horn. 127 00:05:56,833 --> 00:05:59,533 POLICEMAN 2 (on radio): We have to get this traffic moving, now! 128 00:05:59,566 --> 00:06:02,466 NARRATOR: ...even a hospital. 129 00:06:02,500 --> 00:06:05,400 DISPATCHER 2 (on radio): All patients now out of Feather River Hospital. 130 00:06:05,433 --> 00:06:07,700 All patients out and en route. 131 00:06:07,733 --> 00:06:08,666 ♪ 132 00:06:08,700 --> 00:06:10,700 ANDREWS: Go get 'em, boys. 133 00:06:10,733 --> 00:06:12,033 Be safe. 134 00:06:12,066 --> 00:06:14,700 NARRATOR: It's now 9:30. 135 00:06:14,733 --> 00:06:15,800 Just to the north, 136 00:06:15,833 --> 00:06:18,433 in the neighboring community of Magalia, 137 00:06:18,466 --> 00:06:21,533 George Gold would normally be up by now, 138 00:06:21,566 --> 00:06:23,533 but today he sleeps in. 139 00:06:23,566 --> 00:06:24,933 What woke me up was the wind. 140 00:06:24,966 --> 00:06:27,133 We often have wind here; I think, "Oh, how nice." 141 00:06:27,166 --> 00:06:28,600 I open the door, and it's windy. 142 00:06:28,633 --> 00:06:30,800 ♪ 143 00:06:30,833 --> 00:06:32,866 I look up, and it's dark. 144 00:06:32,900 --> 00:06:34,800 I thought, "Oh, it's going to rain." 145 00:06:34,833 --> 00:06:36,633 I smell the smoke. 146 00:06:36,666 --> 00:06:38,900 I said, "It's not going to rain." 147 00:06:38,933 --> 00:06:41,466 I get dressed, I go outside, I look around. 148 00:06:41,500 --> 00:06:43,566 At that point, the street wasn't burning. 149 00:06:43,600 --> 00:06:45,600 But I could see fire, 150 00:06:45,633 --> 00:06:47,966 and I thought, "Oh, this is the real thing." 151 00:06:48,000 --> 00:06:51,000 NARRATOR: He's lived here for 11 years, 152 00:06:51,033 --> 00:06:54,100 drawn by the quiet and the beauty. 153 00:06:54,133 --> 00:06:57,466 It is his dream home for retirement. 154 00:06:57,500 --> 00:07:02,566 Now he must leave it all behind in a hurry. 155 00:07:02,600 --> 00:07:04,666 ♪ 156 00:07:04,700 --> 00:07:06,233 MAN (on radio): Please, get out of town. 157 00:07:06,266 --> 00:07:08,800 And as you're going out of town, please be careful... 158 00:07:08,833 --> 00:07:12,433 NARRATOR: But the roads are clogged with traffic and obstacles, 159 00:07:12,466 --> 00:07:16,233 downed power lines, and trees. 160 00:07:16,266 --> 00:07:18,133 (saw whirring) 161 00:07:18,166 --> 00:07:20,566 Crews are racing to clear the way. 162 00:07:20,600 --> 00:07:24,266 So George decides to wait. 163 00:07:24,300 --> 00:07:28,133 He drives his prized convertible to a nearby parking lot, 164 00:07:28,166 --> 00:07:31,266 hoping it will be safe there. 165 00:07:31,300 --> 00:07:33,933 He records these images 166 00:07:33,966 --> 00:07:37,566 as the fire closes in on his community. 167 00:07:37,600 --> 00:07:40,066 GOLD: You know, you stand here, and you just look around, 168 00:07:40,100 --> 00:07:42,666 and the next thing, I see that the high school is on fire, 169 00:07:42,700 --> 00:07:44,233 and it is just going up. 170 00:07:44,266 --> 00:07:49,366 ♪ 171 00:07:52,466 --> 00:07:54,300 NARRATOR: Just after noon, 172 00:07:54,333 --> 00:07:56,400 the fire is still raging. 173 00:07:56,433 --> 00:07:59,266 Many of George's neighbors are gathering 174 00:07:59,300 --> 00:08:02,000 in another parking lot, 175 00:08:02,033 --> 00:08:04,133 wondering if they are safe. 176 00:08:04,166 --> 00:08:05,433 I couldn't get in at 9:00. 177 00:08:05,466 --> 00:08:08,400 NARRATOR: John Roberson has lived here eight years. 178 00:08:08,433 --> 00:08:09,566 Now, this is kind of spooky. 179 00:08:09,600 --> 00:08:11,866 So that's what I'm looking at. 180 00:08:11,900 --> 00:08:12,866 As you can see, that's black smoke. 181 00:08:12,900 --> 00:08:14,400 Our home right now is safe. 182 00:08:14,433 --> 00:08:17,400 If it jumps up here to South Park Circle and Andover, 183 00:08:17,433 --> 00:08:19,333 it's gone. 184 00:08:19,366 --> 00:08:21,566 NARRATOR: Nearby, 185 00:08:21,600 --> 00:08:25,200 Mike and Alice Nutt are packing whatever they can fit 186 00:08:25,233 --> 00:08:26,300 in their cars. 187 00:08:26,333 --> 00:08:27,366 ALICE NUTT: I got soda, 188 00:08:27,400 --> 00:08:31,666 blankets, pillows, food, my animals. 189 00:08:31,700 --> 00:08:34,500 (laughing): Oh, my dogs. 190 00:08:34,533 --> 00:08:35,866 They're my babies. 191 00:08:35,900 --> 00:08:39,166 And then, I'm, I'm just scared, I am very scared. 192 00:08:39,200 --> 00:08:42,566 We got our cars loaded up, don't know where to go. 193 00:08:46,433 --> 00:08:49,766 ♪ 194 00:08:49,800 --> 00:08:52,433 NARRATOR: 6:00 p.m., 195 00:08:52,466 --> 00:08:56,200 less than 12 hours since it began, 196 00:08:56,233 --> 00:08:57,800 and yet so much damage, 197 00:08:57,833 --> 00:09:01,066 so many lives changed forever. 198 00:09:01,100 --> 00:09:03,766 ANDREWS: Oh, my God, half of our town is gone. 199 00:09:03,800 --> 00:09:07,033 NARRATOR: 55,000 acres burned; 200 00:09:07,066 --> 00:09:12,033 at least 1,000 structures destroyed. 201 00:09:12,066 --> 00:09:14,800 The Nutts' house? 202 00:09:14,833 --> 00:09:16,633 Gone. 203 00:09:16,666 --> 00:09:19,233 And so is the Robersons'. 204 00:09:19,266 --> 00:09:21,700 ♪ 205 00:09:21,733 --> 00:09:24,633 George Gold is mesmerized 206 00:09:24,666 --> 00:09:27,300 by what is unfolding before his eyes, 207 00:09:27,333 --> 00:09:29,466 but now he knows it's time to get out. 208 00:09:29,500 --> 00:09:31,733 (sirens blaring) 209 00:09:31,766 --> 00:09:34,166 He decides to check on his house. 210 00:09:34,200 --> 00:09:37,200 GOLD: When I came down here, everything was still burning. 211 00:09:37,233 --> 00:09:38,600 So I came here, turned around, 212 00:09:38,633 --> 00:09:40,166 I shot a couple of pictures, and I took off. 213 00:09:40,200 --> 00:09:44,433 But the house was already completely engulfed in fire. 214 00:09:44,466 --> 00:09:46,366 ♪ 215 00:09:46,400 --> 00:09:50,366 NARRATOR: There is no hope for Magalia or Paradise. 216 00:09:50,400 --> 00:09:54,933 And the Camp Fire keeps growing. 217 00:09:54,966 --> 00:09:58,200 While George is driving toward safety, 218 00:09:58,233 --> 00:10:02,166 meteorologist Craig Clements is headed 219 00:10:02,200 --> 00:10:04,466 in the opposite direction. 220 00:10:04,500 --> 00:10:08,133 He and his team are on an urgent mission 221 00:10:08,166 --> 00:10:11,433 to shed some light on how wildfires spread. 222 00:10:11,466 --> 00:10:13,866 Oh, look at that-- beautiful. 223 00:10:13,900 --> 00:10:15,533 Yes, that's a scan we want. 224 00:10:15,566 --> 00:10:17,600 NARRATOR: It's dangerous work. 225 00:10:17,633 --> 00:10:19,066 But the risk comes with the possibility 226 00:10:19,100 --> 00:10:21,966 of a big scientific payoff. 227 00:10:22,000 --> 00:10:23,066 That's interesting, 228 00:10:23,100 --> 00:10:25,666 we're coming into some smoke here. 229 00:10:25,700 --> 00:10:27,533 Perfect, perfect, perfect. 230 00:10:27,566 --> 00:10:31,900 NARRATOR: They are driving a one-of-a-kind custom rig. 231 00:10:31,933 --> 00:10:34,800 They hope to peer into the fire 232 00:10:34,833 --> 00:10:37,100 in a way that no one else has before. 233 00:10:37,133 --> 00:10:39,466 CLEMENTS: We need to better understand fire spread, 234 00:10:39,500 --> 00:10:43,200 and the meteorological data is one of the key components. 235 00:10:43,233 --> 00:10:46,766 And yet we never measure things on an active wildfire. 236 00:10:46,800 --> 00:10:48,633 We usually use a satellite. 237 00:10:48,666 --> 00:10:52,266 We see plumes in the radar, which is great, but, you know, 238 00:10:52,300 --> 00:10:55,533 we're not really seeing what's going on right here. 239 00:10:55,566 --> 00:10:57,333 NARRATOR: Plumes-- 240 00:10:57,366 --> 00:11:01,100 the columns of smoke and gas that rise from the flames-- 241 00:11:01,133 --> 00:11:03,633 are more than a sign of fire. 242 00:11:03,666 --> 00:11:06,866 They also create their own weather. 243 00:11:06,900 --> 00:11:10,700 And Craig suspects that they actively spread the fire. 244 00:11:10,733 --> 00:11:12,333 But how? 245 00:11:12,366 --> 00:11:16,200 To understand, he aims a sophisticated lidar 246 00:11:16,233 --> 00:11:17,366 right at the plume. 247 00:11:17,400 --> 00:11:19,066 ♪ 248 00:11:19,100 --> 00:11:22,733 Lidar is like radar that uses a laser beam. 249 00:11:22,766 --> 00:11:25,000 It bounces off the smoke particulates 250 00:11:25,033 --> 00:11:26,966 as they are propelled by the wind 251 00:11:27,000 --> 00:11:28,966 in and around the plume 252 00:11:29,000 --> 00:11:33,833 and returns information about speed and direction. 253 00:11:33,866 --> 00:11:37,133 CLEMENTS: We've been able to slice through a plume with our lidar. 254 00:11:37,166 --> 00:11:39,433 And we've been able to measure rotation 255 00:11:39,466 --> 00:11:41,900 and the wind field associated with a rotating column, 256 00:11:41,933 --> 00:11:43,433 and so that's pretty exciting. 257 00:11:43,466 --> 00:11:48,300 NARRATOR: The plumes at fires like these are complicated systems. 258 00:11:48,333 --> 00:11:52,566 As hot air rises, cooler air rushes in. 259 00:11:52,600 --> 00:11:55,266 It's called fire-induced wind. 260 00:11:55,300 --> 00:11:56,566 CLEMENTS: We don't know 261 00:11:56,600 --> 00:11:59,333 how that fire-induced wind from the plume interacts 262 00:11:59,366 --> 00:12:00,766 with pushing the fire front. 263 00:12:00,800 --> 00:12:03,000 If the plume goes up, 264 00:12:03,033 --> 00:12:05,533 does any air or smoke come back down? 265 00:12:05,566 --> 00:12:06,833 And if it does come back down, 266 00:12:06,866 --> 00:12:09,466 can that spread the fire in different directions? 267 00:12:09,500 --> 00:12:10,566 It's these interactions 268 00:12:10,600 --> 00:12:12,933 that we call fire-atmosphere interactions, 269 00:12:12,966 --> 00:12:14,866 and we don't have a great handle 270 00:12:14,900 --> 00:12:17,366 on how they propagate fire spread. 271 00:12:17,400 --> 00:12:21,433 ♪ 272 00:12:21,466 --> 00:12:25,633 NARRATOR: The Camp Fire continues to spread without slowing down. 273 00:12:25,666 --> 00:12:28,666 REPORTER: Cal Fire says the town of Paradise 274 00:12:28,700 --> 00:12:29,800 is pretty much destroyed. 275 00:12:29,833 --> 00:12:32,500 NARRATOR: 48 hours after it began, 276 00:12:32,533 --> 00:12:36,366 it has burned more than 100,000 acres-- 277 00:12:36,400 --> 00:12:39,666 a grim milestone. 278 00:12:39,700 --> 00:12:42,200 It is now officially a "megafire." 279 00:12:42,233 --> 00:12:45,333 Eventually, 86 lives are lost, 280 00:12:45,366 --> 00:12:49,900 nearly 19,000 structures destroyed 281 00:12:49,933 --> 00:12:53,733 in the most destructive fire in California history. 282 00:12:53,766 --> 00:12:58,366 It stands apart, but it is not an isolated event. 283 00:12:58,400 --> 00:12:59,966 ♪ 284 00:13:00,000 --> 00:13:01,166 One year earlier, 285 00:13:01,200 --> 00:13:04,666 the second-most destructive fire, Tubbs, 286 00:13:04,700 --> 00:13:06,766 burned more than 5,600 structures 287 00:13:06,800 --> 00:13:10,000 and killed 22. 288 00:13:10,033 --> 00:13:14,700 Little more than three months before Paradise is destroyed, 289 00:13:14,733 --> 00:13:18,933 the Carr megafire devoured a quarter-million acres 290 00:13:18,966 --> 00:13:20,266 and a thousand homes 291 00:13:20,300 --> 00:13:22,800 in and around Redding. 292 00:13:22,833 --> 00:13:24,700 Eight people perished. 293 00:13:24,733 --> 00:13:28,200 And on the same day the Camp Fire began, 294 00:13:28,233 --> 00:13:29,733 the Woolsey Fire started 295 00:13:29,766 --> 00:13:32,700 in Los Angeles and Ventura Counties. 296 00:13:32,733 --> 00:13:38,133 It burned 97,000 acres, killing three. 297 00:13:38,166 --> 00:13:43,366 Of the ten most destructive fires in California history, 298 00:13:43,400 --> 00:13:48,500 six occurred in the 13 months prior to the Camp Fire. 299 00:13:48,533 --> 00:13:52,500 PIMLOTT: We are doing everything we can to respond and protect citizens, 300 00:13:52,533 --> 00:13:56,066 but fire is part of the landscape in California. 301 00:13:56,100 --> 00:13:57,166 This is the normal now. 302 00:13:57,200 --> 00:13:59,233 ♪ 303 00:13:59,266 --> 00:14:01,433 NARRATOR: And it's not just California. 304 00:14:01,466 --> 00:14:03,100 Across the U.S., 305 00:14:03,133 --> 00:14:07,700 an area larger than the state of Maryland burned in 2018. 306 00:14:07,733 --> 00:14:12,033 PARK WILLIAMS: In the last 40 years or so, the amount of forest that burns 307 00:14:12,066 --> 00:14:13,733 in any given year in the Western United States 308 00:14:13,766 --> 00:14:16,066 has increased by about 1,000%. 309 00:14:16,100 --> 00:14:18,000 ♪ 310 00:14:18,033 --> 00:14:19,333 That means 311 00:14:19,366 --> 00:14:23,166 there's about ten times more forest burning this year 312 00:14:23,200 --> 00:14:25,433 than there was in a year in the 1970s or 1980s. 313 00:14:25,466 --> 00:14:26,866 ♪ 314 00:14:26,900 --> 00:14:28,066 NARRATOR: All over the world, 315 00:14:28,100 --> 00:14:31,633 wildfires are bigger, more frequent, 316 00:14:31,666 --> 00:14:33,066 and more destructive. 317 00:14:33,100 --> 00:14:38,766 In July 2018, fires killed nearly 100 in Greece. 318 00:14:38,800 --> 00:14:43,866 In Sweden, fires burned above the Arctic Circle 319 00:14:43,900 --> 00:14:46,633 in the midst of an unusual heat wave. 320 00:14:46,666 --> 00:14:52,066 And huge fires burned in Canada, Russia, and Australia. 321 00:14:52,100 --> 00:14:56,666 Why are we living in an age of megafires? 322 00:14:56,700 --> 00:14:57,866 ♪ 323 00:14:57,900 --> 00:14:59,433 DONALD FALK: The big question is, 324 00:14:59,466 --> 00:15:02,533 "Are these giant, destructive megafires we're seeing today 325 00:15:02,566 --> 00:15:04,200 "just the way forests burn, 326 00:15:04,233 --> 00:15:05,700 "or is this somehow a new normal 327 00:15:05,733 --> 00:15:07,866 "that we've created by our own actions, 328 00:15:07,900 --> 00:15:09,966 forest management, and climate change?" 329 00:15:10,000 --> 00:15:12,266 ♪ 330 00:15:15,533 --> 00:15:18,466 ♪ 331 00:15:18,500 --> 00:15:19,900 NARRATOR: Near Paradise, 332 00:15:19,933 --> 00:15:23,233 firefighters have more pressing questions on their minds. 333 00:15:23,266 --> 00:15:28,466 Like how best to stop a fire driven by fierce wind 334 00:15:28,500 --> 00:15:30,600 and steep terrain-- 335 00:15:30,633 --> 00:15:35,833 a major factor in its relentless spread. 336 00:15:35,866 --> 00:15:39,300 Researchers are studying this 337 00:15:39,333 --> 00:15:41,200 at the U.S. Department of Agriculture's 338 00:15:41,233 --> 00:15:45,966 Missoula Fire Sciences Laboratory. 339 00:15:46,000 --> 00:15:47,733 If you are going to do fire research, 340 00:15:47,766 --> 00:15:48,766 this is the place to do it. 341 00:15:48,800 --> 00:15:51,966 This entire building is devoted to fire. 342 00:15:52,000 --> 00:15:55,100 It's actually a pretty complex phenomenon. 343 00:15:55,133 --> 00:15:57,133 It's not something that you can just observe it 344 00:15:57,166 --> 00:15:58,866 and figure out how it works. 345 00:15:58,900 --> 00:16:02,100 NARRATOR: Forest Service scientist Mark Finney 346 00:16:02,133 --> 00:16:06,100 showed us how they unlock the mysteries of fire. 347 00:16:06,133 --> 00:16:08,100 So this is the burn chamber right here. 348 00:16:08,133 --> 00:16:09,833 Everything we do in here 349 00:16:09,866 --> 00:16:12,100 is designed to look at how fires behave. 350 00:16:12,133 --> 00:16:13,733 NARRATOR: On this day, 351 00:16:13,766 --> 00:16:16,766 he and a dozen of his colleagues are preparing for a test 352 00:16:16,800 --> 00:16:22,200 on a large, tilting burn bed of precisely cut cardboard. 353 00:16:22,233 --> 00:16:24,566 FINNEY: What we can do is put these on the burn bed 354 00:16:24,600 --> 00:16:26,366 in any kind of density that we'd like 355 00:16:26,400 --> 00:16:28,400 to engineer whatever kind of fire we'd like-- 356 00:16:28,433 --> 00:16:29,800 how long we want it to burn, 357 00:16:29,833 --> 00:16:31,666 how long the flames are, how fast it spreads. 358 00:16:31,700 --> 00:16:34,933 NARRATOR: The burn table brims with instruments 359 00:16:34,966 --> 00:16:37,600 that measure pressure and temperature, 360 00:16:37,633 --> 00:16:40,166 taking samples 500 times a second. 361 00:16:40,200 --> 00:16:42,266 And there are cameras everywhere. 362 00:16:42,300 --> 00:16:46,666 Today, they are trying to understand more 363 00:16:46,700 --> 00:16:51,066 about how a fire spreads uphill, as it did near Paradise. 364 00:16:51,100 --> 00:16:52,100 FINNEY: Okay, go ahead. 365 00:16:52,133 --> 00:16:53,700 Line of fire, guys, good line. 366 00:16:54,633 --> 00:16:56,666 Okay. 367 00:16:58,233 --> 00:17:00,200 NARRATOR: The flames are the visible sign 368 00:17:00,233 --> 00:17:03,900 of rapid oxidation, or fire. 369 00:17:03,933 --> 00:17:08,400 Fire requires dry, flammable material, or fuel, 370 00:17:08,433 --> 00:17:09,766 oxygen, 371 00:17:09,800 --> 00:17:13,866 and a heat source to create this chemical chain reaction. 372 00:17:13,900 --> 00:17:17,766 Wildfires add two additional elements-- 373 00:17:17,800 --> 00:17:19,966 weather and topography-- 374 00:17:20,000 --> 00:17:21,433 that determine how the flames 375 00:17:21,466 --> 00:17:24,633 will grow and spread. 376 00:17:24,666 --> 00:17:27,033 FINNEY: The reason we're measuring this 377 00:17:27,066 --> 00:17:29,466 is that you can actually get fires 378 00:17:29,500 --> 00:17:32,500 to accelerate extremely quickly going uphill. 379 00:17:32,533 --> 00:17:35,066 NARRATOR: Unlike the humans that fight them, 380 00:17:35,100 --> 00:17:38,166 wildfires move much faster uphill. 381 00:17:38,200 --> 00:17:39,566 FINNEY: When you have a slope, 382 00:17:39,600 --> 00:17:41,766 you can't get air in from the uphill side 383 00:17:41,800 --> 00:17:44,833 as easily as you can get it in from the downhill side. 384 00:17:44,866 --> 00:17:47,033 If the slope is sufficiently steep, 385 00:17:47,066 --> 00:17:49,733 all of the air is coming in from the downhill side. 386 00:17:49,766 --> 00:17:52,466 NARRATOR: With air fanning the fire 387 00:17:52,500 --> 00:17:54,300 exclusively on the downhill side, 388 00:17:54,333 --> 00:17:57,066 the flames get pushed into the slope, 389 00:17:57,100 --> 00:18:00,166 putting them in contact with more fuel. 390 00:18:00,200 --> 00:18:04,200 The tilted, climbing fire transfers a lot of heat 391 00:18:04,233 --> 00:18:07,000 to the trees and brush ahead of the flames, 392 00:18:07,033 --> 00:18:11,833 preheating and drying them, making them more combustible. 393 00:18:11,866 --> 00:18:14,066 FINNEY: You get very, very effective heat transfer 394 00:18:14,100 --> 00:18:16,200 and a much faster-spreading fire. 395 00:18:16,233 --> 00:18:19,866 NARRATOR: This is what happened when the Camp Fire started. 396 00:18:19,900 --> 00:18:23,666 The wind funneled the flames into a steep canyon, 397 00:18:23,700 --> 00:18:27,466 and they rapidly accelerated uphill, 398 00:18:27,500 --> 00:18:30,233 right toward Paradise. 399 00:18:30,266 --> 00:18:34,700 On the morning after Paradise is lost, 400 00:18:34,733 --> 00:18:37,900 the Camp Fire is still spreading. 401 00:18:37,933 --> 00:18:40,600 ♪ 402 00:18:40,633 --> 00:18:45,133 Time for firefighters to report for the daily briefing. 403 00:18:45,166 --> 00:18:46,233 Engine 83. MAN: Here. 404 00:18:46,266 --> 00:18:48,366 36-31-Charlie. MAN: Here. 405 00:18:48,400 --> 00:18:49,600 Engine 25. MAN: Here. 406 00:18:49,633 --> 00:18:50,933 All right, good morning, everybody. 407 00:18:50,966 --> 00:18:53,766 I got 7:00, we're going to go ahead and get started 408 00:18:53,800 --> 00:18:55,500 with the operational briefing. 409 00:18:55,533 --> 00:18:58,000 NARRATOR: Thousands of firefighters are here, 410 00:18:58,033 --> 00:18:59,400 and more are on the way. 411 00:18:59,433 --> 00:19:01,466 Okay, up here in Cresta area, 412 00:19:01,500 --> 00:19:04,266 the fire has progressed to the east. 413 00:19:04,300 --> 00:19:06,300 It's on both sides of the river, 414 00:19:06,333 --> 00:19:08,900 continuing to eat its way downcanyon. 415 00:19:08,933 --> 00:19:09,966 Good morning, everyone. 416 00:19:10,000 --> 00:19:11,733 NARRATOR: Incident meteorologist Alex Hoon 417 00:19:11,766 --> 00:19:14,566 is worried about what lies ahead. 418 00:19:14,600 --> 00:19:16,933 There's going to be a lot of shifting winds, 419 00:19:16,966 --> 00:19:18,266 very dry conditions. 420 00:19:18,300 --> 00:19:20,733 Use your lookouts, use your communication, 421 00:19:20,766 --> 00:19:22,966 make it a safe day. 422 00:19:25,133 --> 00:19:27,200 NARRATOR: He taps into a suite of instruments 423 00:19:27,233 --> 00:19:31,166 on the ground, in aircraft, and in space. 424 00:19:31,200 --> 00:19:34,133 Orbiting 22,000 miles above the Earth, 425 00:19:34,166 --> 00:19:37,466 the two-year-old GOES-16 weather satellite 426 00:19:37,500 --> 00:19:40,966 captured visible and infrared images of the Camp Fire 427 00:19:41,000 --> 00:19:42,466 from the beginning, 428 00:19:42,500 --> 00:19:45,533 the big picture of a big fire, 429 00:19:45,566 --> 00:19:47,833 an eerily remote vantage point 430 00:19:47,866 --> 00:19:51,533 to utter chaos, death, and destruction. 431 00:19:51,566 --> 00:19:53,500 HOON: This particular image, 432 00:19:53,533 --> 00:19:55,133 it covers a time period 433 00:19:55,166 --> 00:19:57,066 from about 6:00 a.m. in the morning 434 00:19:57,100 --> 00:19:59,233 all the way until about 5:00 p.m. 435 00:19:59,266 --> 00:20:00,633 when the sun begins to go down. 436 00:20:00,666 --> 00:20:02,200 Within that 11 hours, we estimate, 437 00:20:02,233 --> 00:20:06,300 it went from zero to about 50,000 acres. 438 00:20:06,333 --> 00:20:10,333 And then the following 12 hours, it grew another 40,000 acres. 439 00:20:10,366 --> 00:20:13,300 It released just an exponential amount of energy. 440 00:20:13,333 --> 00:20:14,800 And that's what we're seeing here 441 00:20:14,833 --> 00:20:16,766 on the satellite image. 442 00:20:16,800 --> 00:20:18,733 ♪ 443 00:20:18,766 --> 00:20:23,233 NARRATOR: A big factor in the exponential spread of the Camp Megafire: 444 00:20:23,266 --> 00:20:25,600 spotting. 445 00:20:25,633 --> 00:20:28,566 Hot embers, also called firebrands, 446 00:20:28,600 --> 00:20:31,800 launched and carried by 50-mile-an-hour winds, 447 00:20:31,833 --> 00:20:35,866 landed as much as a mile ahead of the fire front. 448 00:20:35,900 --> 00:20:38,900 New spot fires started again and again, 449 00:20:38,933 --> 00:20:41,933 rapidly, randomly. 450 00:20:41,966 --> 00:20:46,266 But exactly how spotting fuels the growth of megafires 451 00:20:46,300 --> 00:20:50,466 is one of the big unknowns in wildfire science. 452 00:20:50,500 --> 00:20:53,400 So it's still blowing northeasterly. 453 00:20:53,433 --> 00:20:56,166 NARRATOR: Craig Clements hopes his work might lead to some answers. 454 00:20:56,200 --> 00:20:58,433 CLEMENTS: This is a real strong low-level jet 455 00:20:58,466 --> 00:21:00,133 coming down off the mountains. 456 00:21:00,166 --> 00:21:01,533 NARRATOR: Right now, 457 00:21:01,566 --> 00:21:04,700 wildfire prediction models are not sophisticated enough 458 00:21:04,733 --> 00:21:07,033 to factor in all of the complexities 459 00:21:07,066 --> 00:21:09,300 of the atmosphere and terrain. 460 00:21:09,333 --> 00:21:13,033 And they don't account for spotting at all. 461 00:21:13,066 --> 00:21:14,933 CLEMENTS: We are trying to forecast 462 00:21:14,966 --> 00:21:16,966 how many spot fires there will be, 463 00:21:17,000 --> 00:21:20,366 and that's something no model right now can handle. 464 00:21:20,400 --> 00:21:23,033 NARRATOR: Better models would help right now 465 00:21:23,066 --> 00:21:27,500 to keep firefighters safe as they battle the Camp Fire. 466 00:21:27,533 --> 00:21:29,133 ♪ 467 00:21:29,166 --> 00:21:31,166 But for people in Paradise, 468 00:21:31,200 --> 00:21:33,966 there was no time for predictions. 469 00:21:34,000 --> 00:21:36,700 PIMLOTT: Having gone through Paradise, 470 00:21:36,733 --> 00:21:39,933 I... I... words don't describe it. 471 00:21:39,966 --> 00:21:42,733 ♪ 472 00:21:42,766 --> 00:21:44,233 I mean, it, um... 473 00:21:44,266 --> 00:21:48,000 A lot like the road to Baghdad during the first Gulf War, 474 00:21:48,033 --> 00:21:49,266 when vehicles were abandoned-- 475 00:21:49,300 --> 00:21:52,266 that's literally what it looked like. 476 00:21:52,300 --> 00:21:54,866 And we know some people perished on those roads, 477 00:21:54,900 --> 00:21:57,000 and what those people went through, 478 00:21:57,033 --> 00:21:58,166 and they really had no warning. 479 00:21:58,200 --> 00:22:01,066 ♪ 480 00:22:01,100 --> 00:22:02,333 I think this is the first time 481 00:22:02,366 --> 00:22:05,333 we've ever seen an entire town in California 482 00:22:05,366 --> 00:22:08,266 wiped off the map by a wildland fire. 483 00:22:08,300 --> 00:22:09,900 ♪ 484 00:22:09,933 --> 00:22:15,733 We have witnessed literally an entire community gone. 485 00:22:15,766 --> 00:22:20,400 ♪ 486 00:22:20,433 --> 00:22:22,900 NARRATOR: The megafire that wiped Paradise off the map 487 00:22:22,933 --> 00:22:27,100 is more than just a big wildfire. 488 00:22:27,133 --> 00:22:31,933 At this scale, the physics of fire changes, 489 00:22:31,966 --> 00:22:34,600 greatly increasing the intensity. 490 00:22:34,633 --> 00:22:35,766 But why? 491 00:22:35,800 --> 00:22:39,033 At the Missoula Fire Sciences Laboratory, 492 00:22:39,066 --> 00:22:41,466 mechanical engineer Sara McAllister 493 00:22:41,500 --> 00:22:43,466 is seeking an answer. 494 00:22:43,500 --> 00:22:45,666 When you have a really wide plume, 495 00:22:45,700 --> 00:22:48,033 you're not pulling in air into the plume 496 00:22:48,066 --> 00:22:51,400 as effectively as you are if it's a much smaller diameter. 497 00:22:53,233 --> 00:22:54,533 NARRATOR: In any fire, 498 00:22:54,566 --> 00:22:59,400 colder air flows in to replace hot air as it rises. 499 00:22:59,433 --> 00:23:00,666 Most of the time, 500 00:23:00,700 --> 00:23:03,133 the air can come in from almost any direction, 501 00:23:03,166 --> 00:23:04,633 chaotically. 502 00:23:04,666 --> 00:23:08,400 It's what makes flames flicker and dance. 503 00:23:08,433 --> 00:23:10,866 But the flames at the center of a megafire 504 00:23:10,900 --> 00:23:16,033 are not fed by colder air from the sides or from above-- 505 00:23:16,066 --> 00:23:20,033 the surrounding fire and plume stand in the way. 506 00:23:20,066 --> 00:23:24,500 So the only source of air for these flames is at ground level. 507 00:23:24,533 --> 00:23:27,900 When that happens, the plume changes. 508 00:23:27,933 --> 00:23:29,633 ♪ 509 00:23:29,666 --> 00:23:32,300 Sara McAllister conducts an experiment 510 00:23:32,333 --> 00:23:34,866 to simulate that restriction of air from the side 511 00:23:34,900 --> 00:23:37,566 using something you might find in your own home: 512 00:23:37,600 --> 00:23:39,066 a chimney. 513 00:23:39,100 --> 00:23:41,233 MCALLISTER: We were wondering, 514 00:23:41,266 --> 00:23:42,500 "Does that restriction in air 515 00:23:42,533 --> 00:23:44,600 influence the burning of the fuel underneath it?" 516 00:23:44,633 --> 00:23:48,200 The idea is that we are scaling big-fire behavior 517 00:23:48,233 --> 00:23:49,833 into a small-fire, lab-based experiment 518 00:23:49,866 --> 00:23:52,133 and trying to understand what's different. 519 00:23:52,166 --> 00:23:55,733 NARRATOR: She douses a uniform bed of fuel, 520 00:23:55,766 --> 00:23:57,633 in this case wood blocks... 521 00:23:57,666 --> 00:23:58,666 Smells good, doesn't it? 522 00:23:58,700 --> 00:24:01,400 NARRATOR: ...with isopropyl alcohol. 523 00:24:01,433 --> 00:24:02,900 Burns very nicely. 524 00:24:02,933 --> 00:24:07,500 In the open, the flames are about five feet high, 525 00:24:07,533 --> 00:24:10,666 as the air streams in from all directions. 526 00:24:10,700 --> 00:24:12,300 Now watch what happens 527 00:24:12,333 --> 00:24:15,000 when she slides the burning wood underneath the chimney, 528 00:24:15,033 --> 00:24:18,800 blocking sideways air flow. 529 00:24:18,833 --> 00:24:21,100 So we're looking at 15-, maybe 16-foot flame heights 530 00:24:21,133 --> 00:24:22,666 off of a fuel bed. 531 00:24:22,700 --> 00:24:23,800 Quite the increase. 532 00:24:23,833 --> 00:24:25,833 There's a feedback. 533 00:24:25,866 --> 00:24:27,000 When the fires get big, 534 00:24:27,033 --> 00:24:29,366 all of that air that can't come into that plume 535 00:24:29,400 --> 00:24:30,700 has to come in on the ground, 536 00:24:30,733 --> 00:24:33,166 which is basically just stoking your fire. 537 00:24:33,200 --> 00:24:34,866 ♪ 538 00:24:34,900 --> 00:24:37,600 NARRATOR: The chimney effect created by giant plumes 539 00:24:37,633 --> 00:24:41,866 makes megafires grow bigger, which further fans the flames. 540 00:24:41,900 --> 00:24:46,466 It's a frightening feedback loop that gets even scarier 541 00:24:46,500 --> 00:24:50,166 when a plume becomes a fire whirl. 542 00:24:50,200 --> 00:24:52,700 ♪ 543 00:24:52,733 --> 00:24:56,000 CLEMENTS: Fire whirls that form on your average fire, 544 00:24:56,033 --> 00:24:57,933 you see them for a few seconds, and they're gone. 545 00:24:57,966 --> 00:25:01,900 NARRATOR: And normally, they don't prompt too much concern. 546 00:25:01,933 --> 00:25:06,033 But the biggest ones, literally fire tornadoes, 547 00:25:06,066 --> 00:25:07,433 cannot be ignored. 548 00:25:07,466 --> 00:25:10,000 ♪ 549 00:25:10,033 --> 00:25:13,200 Scientists used to think they were rare, even unlikely. 550 00:25:13,233 --> 00:25:16,166 But as megafires become more common, 551 00:25:16,200 --> 00:25:19,133 that is no longer the case. 552 00:25:19,166 --> 00:25:22,266 Three months before the Camp Fire, 553 00:25:22,300 --> 00:25:25,466 this is what happens in Redding, California. 554 00:25:25,500 --> 00:25:29,366 The Carr Megafire spawns a deadly fire tornado 555 00:25:29,400 --> 00:25:34,600 that generates winds approaching 165 miles an hour. 556 00:25:34,633 --> 00:25:37,800 But what causes the flames to start spinning? 557 00:25:37,833 --> 00:25:39,000 MAN: Wow. 558 00:25:39,033 --> 00:25:42,033 FINNEY: This here is a fire whirl generator. 559 00:25:42,066 --> 00:25:45,166 It's an apparatus that allows us to study how fire whirls form 560 00:25:45,200 --> 00:25:47,100 and the structure of the vortex 561 00:25:47,133 --> 00:25:48,666 that's produced inside the whirl. 562 00:25:50,166 --> 00:25:54,133 NARRATOR: Mark Finney says they begin with turbulent, strong winds 563 00:25:54,166 --> 00:25:58,433 that send a lopsided current of air into the flames. 564 00:25:58,466 --> 00:26:01,400 He demonstrates what happens next. 565 00:26:01,433 --> 00:26:03,400 FINNEY: You'll notice at the beginning 566 00:26:03,433 --> 00:26:05,366 that the flames are very disorganized. 567 00:26:05,400 --> 00:26:08,600 But as the inflow begins to come in 568 00:26:08,633 --> 00:26:10,366 in a swirling fashion, 569 00:26:10,400 --> 00:26:14,900 the flames themselves become quite organized. 570 00:26:14,933 --> 00:26:19,866 NARRATOR: The air streams in faster and faster from the bottom, 571 00:26:19,900 --> 00:26:22,933 fanning the flames, strengthening the whirl. 572 00:26:22,966 --> 00:26:25,366 The burning rate of the fuel increases 573 00:26:25,400 --> 00:26:28,333 by three to eight times as the whirl begins to develop. 574 00:26:28,366 --> 00:26:30,000 ♪ 575 00:26:30,033 --> 00:26:31,500 NARRATOR: The fire tornado in Redding 576 00:26:31,533 --> 00:26:36,233 develops after the wind starts blowing inland from the Pacific. 577 00:26:36,266 --> 00:26:38,266 When it collides with the fire, 578 00:26:38,300 --> 00:26:41,600 it creates powerful, swirling winds. 579 00:26:41,633 --> 00:26:44,700 All the ingredients of an epic fire tornado 580 00:26:44,733 --> 00:26:46,800 are now in place. 581 00:26:46,833 --> 00:26:52,633 CLEMENTS: This was ranked as an E.F.-3, Enhanced Fujita scale tornado. 582 00:26:52,666 --> 00:26:57,266 I believe this is the strongest documented fire-induced tornado. 583 00:26:57,300 --> 00:27:01,800 NARRATOR: Temperatures reach 2,700 degrees Fahrenheit, 584 00:27:01,833 --> 00:27:04,100 hot enough to melt steel. 585 00:27:04,133 --> 00:27:07,366 It lasts for 30 minutes. 586 00:27:07,400 --> 00:27:11,466 CLEMENTS: We saw things like pipes wrapped around trees, 587 00:27:11,500 --> 00:27:13,366 flipped-over cars, 588 00:27:13,400 --> 00:27:15,433 power lines that were broken off 589 00:27:15,466 --> 00:27:17,666 from 90-foot towers that were taken down. 590 00:27:17,700 --> 00:27:20,766 The winds to do that are extreme. 591 00:27:20,800 --> 00:27:25,433 ♪ 592 00:27:25,466 --> 00:27:29,700 NARRATOR: Extreme: a word redefined by megafires 593 00:27:29,733 --> 00:27:34,966 as they grow in size, frequency, and impact. 594 00:27:35,000 --> 00:27:36,233 But the destruction they create 595 00:27:36,266 --> 00:27:39,833 makes it easy to overlook an important point: 596 00:27:39,866 --> 00:27:43,966 fire is an essential part of a natural cycle 597 00:27:44,000 --> 00:27:46,300 that keeps a forest healthy. 598 00:27:46,333 --> 00:27:47,600 What fire does is, 599 00:27:47,633 --> 00:27:50,500 it essentially releases nutrients, precious nutrients, 600 00:27:50,533 --> 00:27:52,866 into the ground 601 00:27:52,900 --> 00:27:54,600 so that new plants can grow and thrive, 602 00:27:54,633 --> 00:27:56,066 and it creates a cycle 603 00:27:56,100 --> 00:27:57,833 where once plants grow enough, 604 00:27:57,866 --> 00:27:59,800 essentially, they are setting the system up 605 00:27:59,833 --> 00:28:01,633 for a future fire. 606 00:28:01,666 --> 00:28:03,433 ♪ 607 00:28:03,466 --> 00:28:06,900 NARRATOR: The concerted effort to stop that cycle of fire 608 00:28:06,933 --> 00:28:11,233 began more than a century ago. 609 00:28:11,266 --> 00:28:12,600 The modern fire story in the U.S., 610 00:28:12,633 --> 00:28:13,633 wildland fire story, 611 00:28:13,666 --> 00:28:14,933 begins in 1910, really. 612 00:28:14,966 --> 00:28:20,033 NARRATOR: The spring of 1910 brings severe drought 613 00:28:20,066 --> 00:28:21,333 to the northern Rockies. 614 00:28:21,366 --> 00:28:24,600 (train whistle blowing) 615 00:28:24,633 --> 00:28:27,300 In April, hot coals spewed from a chugging locomotive 616 00:28:27,333 --> 00:28:30,633 spark fire in western Montana. 617 00:28:30,666 --> 00:28:31,866 In short order, 618 00:28:31,900 --> 00:28:34,433 there are hundreds of small fires burning there 619 00:28:34,466 --> 00:28:36,233 and in Idaho. 620 00:28:36,266 --> 00:28:39,366 As spring becomes summer, 621 00:28:39,400 --> 00:28:42,266 the drought persists, the winds pick up, 622 00:28:42,300 --> 00:28:45,433 and the fires grow larger. 623 00:28:45,466 --> 00:28:48,933 3,000 men are on the front lines, 624 00:28:48,966 --> 00:28:51,166 trying to beat back the flames. 625 00:28:51,200 --> 00:28:53,366 PYNE: There was an organization, 626 00:28:53,400 --> 00:28:55,633 the U.S. Forest Service, barely five years old, 627 00:28:55,666 --> 00:28:58,833 that was now charged with dealing with these large fires. 628 00:28:58,866 --> 00:29:01,333 1910 overwhelmed the system completely. 629 00:29:01,366 --> 00:29:04,133 Three-and-a-quarter million acres in the northern Rockies, 630 00:29:04,166 --> 00:29:06,933 most of it concentrated in a two-day period 631 00:29:06,966 --> 00:29:08,300 called the Big Blowup. 632 00:29:08,333 --> 00:29:10,466 ♪ 633 00:29:10,500 --> 00:29:12,533 NARRATOR: The Big Blowup is triggered 634 00:29:12,566 --> 00:29:16,666 when hurricane-force winds turn those smaller fires 635 00:29:16,700 --> 00:29:19,000 into several giant firestorms. 636 00:29:19,033 --> 00:29:21,566 ♪ 637 00:29:21,600 --> 00:29:24,133 They leave a path of devastation, 638 00:29:24,166 --> 00:29:28,566 charring an area the size of Connecticut. 639 00:29:28,600 --> 00:29:33,166 78 firefighters are killed. 640 00:29:33,200 --> 00:29:37,700 And the history and ecology of U.S. forests 641 00:29:37,733 --> 00:29:39,766 would be forever changed. 642 00:29:39,800 --> 00:29:41,900 PYNE: The thinking was, 643 00:29:41,933 --> 00:29:43,266 "We could have stopped these fires. 644 00:29:43,300 --> 00:29:47,066 "If we'd had more men, more telephone lines, 645 00:29:47,100 --> 00:29:48,500 "more lookout towers, 646 00:29:48,533 --> 00:29:50,533 "we could have caught those fires early 647 00:29:50,566 --> 00:29:54,300 and there would not have been a Big Blowup." 648 00:29:54,333 --> 00:29:56,266 President Roosevelt's attack on the Depression began 649 00:29:56,300 --> 00:29:58,466 with his emergency conservation project. 650 00:29:58,500 --> 00:30:00,333 NARRATOR: During the Great Depression, 651 00:30:00,366 --> 00:30:02,633 Forest Service chief Ferdinand Silcox 652 00:30:02,666 --> 00:30:05,566 deploys New Deal workers and money 653 00:30:05,600 --> 00:30:07,966 to reshape the national forests 654 00:30:08,000 --> 00:30:12,000 with roads, lookout towers, and phone lines. 655 00:30:12,033 --> 00:30:14,333 Then, in 1935, 656 00:30:14,366 --> 00:30:19,000 he announces something called the 10:00 a.m. policy. 657 00:30:19,033 --> 00:30:20,233 PYNE: It meant that by 10:00 658 00:30:20,266 --> 00:30:22,133 the morning following the report of a fire, 659 00:30:22,166 --> 00:30:23,566 you would have that fire controlled. 660 00:30:23,600 --> 00:30:27,166 So if you found the fire at 10:00 p.m. Tuesday night, 661 00:30:27,200 --> 00:30:30,066 you would have it controlled by 10:00 a.m. Wednesday morning. 662 00:30:30,100 --> 00:30:31,500 If you failed Wednesday morning, 663 00:30:31,533 --> 00:30:32,566 then you'd plan to have it controlled 664 00:30:32,600 --> 00:30:33,900 by 10:00 a.m. Thursday morning. 665 00:30:33,933 --> 00:30:38,033 NARRATOR: Washington gives the Forest Service the money 666 00:30:38,066 --> 00:30:40,700 to make the 10:00 a.m. policy a reality. 667 00:30:40,733 --> 00:30:42,966 PYNE: So you develop smoke-jumpers. 668 00:30:43,000 --> 00:30:45,033 You develop organized crews. 669 00:30:45,066 --> 00:30:47,566 You put in trails. 670 00:30:47,600 --> 00:30:49,366 "We're going beat back the fire menace." 671 00:30:49,400 --> 00:30:53,133 NARRATOR: Over time, the American public becomes enamored 672 00:30:53,166 --> 00:30:57,666 with the heroic narrative of smoke-jumpers and hotshots, 673 00:30:57,700 --> 00:30:59,800 while being fed a steady diet 674 00:30:59,833 --> 00:31:01,966 of public service announcements from Smokey Bear. 675 00:31:02,000 --> 00:31:06,066 Remember, only you can prevent forest fires. 676 00:31:06,100 --> 00:31:07,833 NARRATOR: The message seems clear: 677 00:31:07,866 --> 00:31:09,833 Forest fires are the enemy, 678 00:31:09,866 --> 00:31:13,833 to be avoided or attacked at all costs. 679 00:31:13,866 --> 00:31:15,166 PYNE: All of the science, 680 00:31:15,200 --> 00:31:16,233 all of the officials, 681 00:31:16,266 --> 00:31:19,000 are very keen to eliminate fire. 682 00:31:19,033 --> 00:31:20,833 They see no purpose to it. 683 00:31:20,866 --> 00:31:23,166 It's dangerous, it's a nuisance. 684 00:31:23,200 --> 00:31:25,833 "We will find a modern alternative." 685 00:31:25,866 --> 00:31:31,466 NARRATOR: But the war on fire creates some unforeseen consequences. 686 00:31:31,500 --> 00:31:34,366 With the natural cycle interrupted, 687 00:31:34,400 --> 00:31:37,766 forests become dense with fuel for fires. 688 00:31:37,800 --> 00:31:40,433 So in the 1960s and '70s, 689 00:31:40,466 --> 00:31:45,400 the seeds of a new kind of thinking begin to take root. 690 00:31:45,433 --> 00:31:47,333 FINNEY: It was realized in 1978 or so 691 00:31:47,366 --> 00:31:50,166 that we weren't going to win by suppressing fire. 692 00:31:50,200 --> 00:31:52,133 We were having more fires, 693 00:31:52,166 --> 00:31:53,466 no matter how much money we spent, 694 00:31:53,500 --> 00:31:55,733 no matter how much technology we threw at the fires. 695 00:31:55,766 --> 00:31:58,000 The 10:00 a.m. policy was abandoned 696 00:31:58,033 --> 00:32:00,300 and a new fire policy was introduced, 697 00:32:00,333 --> 00:32:03,800 where fire was supposed to be incorporated more integrally 698 00:32:03,833 --> 00:32:06,200 into wildland management. 699 00:32:06,233 --> 00:32:07,733 NARRATOR: Instead of all-out war, 700 00:32:07,766 --> 00:32:12,200 it is a more nuanced approach: 701 00:32:12,233 --> 00:32:14,066 prescribed burns encouraged; 702 00:32:14,100 --> 00:32:16,833 wildfires not attacked, but managed, 703 00:32:16,866 --> 00:32:21,000 allowed to burn whenever and wherever possible. 704 00:32:21,033 --> 00:32:22,766 But in the real world, 705 00:32:22,800 --> 00:32:26,133 it proves much easier said than done. 706 00:32:26,166 --> 00:32:27,900 It's hard to find a place 707 00:32:27,933 --> 00:32:30,466 where the new policy isn't at odds 708 00:32:30,500 --> 00:32:34,200 with a building boom in the forest. 709 00:32:34,233 --> 00:32:38,300 ♪ 710 00:32:38,333 --> 00:32:42,700 In August 2018, a case in point in the Cascade Mountains, 711 00:32:42,733 --> 00:32:44,866 90 miles east of Seattle. 712 00:32:44,900 --> 00:32:47,400 The Cougar Creek Fire is ripping 713 00:32:47,433 --> 00:32:51,100 through the Okanogan-Wenatchee National Forest. 714 00:32:51,133 --> 00:32:53,533 The area is sparsely populated, 715 00:32:53,566 --> 00:32:56,800 and the fire began with a lightning strike. 716 00:32:56,833 --> 00:32:57,966 (thunder claps) 717 00:32:58,000 --> 00:33:00,833 It might seem like the perfect place 718 00:33:00,866 --> 00:33:04,200 to let a fire burn. 719 00:33:04,233 --> 00:33:07,633 But the fire has gotten very big, very quickly, 720 00:33:07,666 --> 00:33:10,300 and it is heading toward the small communities 721 00:33:10,333 --> 00:33:11,733 nestled in the forest. 722 00:33:11,766 --> 00:33:14,033 ♪ 723 00:33:14,066 --> 00:33:16,533 So the man in charge really has no choice. 724 00:33:16,566 --> 00:33:18,600 Morning, everybody. 725 00:33:18,633 --> 00:33:20,133 NARRATOR: He has to draw a line in the woods 726 00:33:20,166 --> 00:33:23,566 and stop the fire from moving beyond it. 727 00:33:23,600 --> 00:33:25,600 Today is going to be a busy fire day. 728 00:33:25,633 --> 00:33:27,700 So I ask that mentally we be there 729 00:33:27,733 --> 00:33:29,166 and be ready for that. 730 00:33:29,200 --> 00:33:32,866 NARRATOR: Noel Livingston is a veteran incident commander 731 00:33:32,900 --> 00:33:34,866 for the U.S. Forest Service. 732 00:33:34,900 --> 00:33:38,733 He first started fighting fires 36 years ago. 733 00:33:38,766 --> 00:33:41,500 LIVINGSTON: How do we manage this fire problem that we have? 734 00:33:41,533 --> 00:33:42,566 Because we have a fire problem. 735 00:33:42,600 --> 00:33:44,633 We have landscapes that are out of sync, 736 00:33:44,666 --> 00:33:47,033 and we have people living in those same landscapes. 737 00:33:47,066 --> 00:33:49,666 The easy solution of, "Well, let's just let it burn," 738 00:33:49,700 --> 00:33:52,200 isn't realistic. 739 00:33:52,233 --> 00:33:55,300 NARRATOR: Today, nearly 100 million Americans have made the decision 740 00:33:55,333 --> 00:33:57,333 to live in the woods, 741 00:33:57,366 --> 00:34:02,233 what scientists call the wildland-urban interface. 742 00:34:02,266 --> 00:34:04,066 BALCH: We love these places, 743 00:34:04,100 --> 00:34:07,333 and yet we're living with a certain amount of risk 744 00:34:07,366 --> 00:34:09,666 that they will go up in flames. 745 00:34:09,699 --> 00:34:12,600 We're literally putting homes in the line of fire. 746 00:34:12,633 --> 00:34:15,333 There are hundreds of thousands of homes 747 00:34:15,366 --> 00:34:18,166 that have been threatened over the last several decades 748 00:34:18,199 --> 00:34:19,166 by wildfires, 749 00:34:19,199 --> 00:34:21,466 and we expect that to go up. 750 00:34:21,500 --> 00:34:23,100 ♪ 751 00:34:23,133 --> 00:34:25,800 NARRATOR: Every firefighter here at Cougar Creek 752 00:34:25,833 --> 00:34:27,300 knows the bitter irony: 753 00:34:27,333 --> 00:34:29,933 Their success in the short term 754 00:34:29,966 --> 00:34:33,600 might make the people nearby feel safe living here 755 00:34:33,633 --> 00:34:35,566 and encourage even more building. 756 00:34:35,600 --> 00:34:38,833 But it is a false sense of security. 757 00:34:38,866 --> 00:34:41,566 Each time they stop a fire in its tracks, 758 00:34:41,600 --> 00:34:45,600 fuel for the inevitable builds up, 759 00:34:45,633 --> 00:34:50,066 and fires are more likely to become megafires. 760 00:34:50,100 --> 00:34:51,900 LIVINGSTON: Because we've excluded fire 761 00:34:51,933 --> 00:34:53,866 for the past hundred years or so, 762 00:34:53,900 --> 00:34:55,666 particularly in heavily wooded stands, 763 00:34:55,699 --> 00:34:58,933 we're getting more of a continuous, high-intensity event 764 00:34:58,966 --> 00:35:00,533 in those types of stands. 765 00:35:00,566 --> 00:35:02,966 NARRATOR: This ups the ante for firefighters 766 00:35:03,000 --> 00:35:05,966 already doing very risky work. 767 00:35:06,000 --> 00:35:08,900 As the fire grows in strength, 768 00:35:08,933 --> 00:35:12,166 safety officer Jennifer Rabuck is on a scouting mission 769 00:35:12,200 --> 00:35:13,333 near the fire line. 770 00:35:13,366 --> 00:35:16,433 ♪ 771 00:35:16,466 --> 00:35:19,866 She aims to strike a balance between saving homes 772 00:35:19,900 --> 00:35:24,266 and protecting firefighters' lives. 773 00:35:24,300 --> 00:35:25,500 This is our primary containment line 774 00:35:25,533 --> 00:35:26,900 that we're walking on. 775 00:35:26,933 --> 00:35:28,700 The fire is off to our right. 776 00:35:28,733 --> 00:35:31,000 Ideally, we'd like to hold this line. 777 00:35:31,033 --> 00:35:33,266 NARRATOR: Hot embers from the wildfire, 778 00:35:33,300 --> 00:35:34,833 launched and carried by the wind, 779 00:35:34,866 --> 00:35:40,333 are flying overhead, landing in what amounts to kindling. 780 00:35:40,366 --> 00:35:41,900 RABUCK: You look at some of this, 781 00:35:41,933 --> 00:35:43,033 it's all dry and dead, 782 00:35:43,066 --> 00:35:44,966 and it just flakes off in your fingers. 783 00:35:45,000 --> 00:35:46,433 There's nothing in here 784 00:35:46,466 --> 00:35:50,333 that has got any sort of resistance to take. 785 00:35:50,366 --> 00:35:51,700 If an ember lands in here, 786 00:35:51,733 --> 00:35:53,200 this piece of wood is going to catch fire. 787 00:35:53,233 --> 00:35:58,066 NARRATOR: The dead, dry wood is where spot fires start, 788 00:35:58,100 --> 00:36:00,266 but not where they end. 789 00:36:00,300 --> 00:36:04,066 With the temperature high and the humidity so low, 790 00:36:04,100 --> 00:36:10,266 everything here is dehydrated and highly flammable. 791 00:36:10,300 --> 00:36:12,766 This is what we call tree torching 792 00:36:12,800 --> 00:36:14,333 or even group torching. 793 00:36:14,366 --> 00:36:15,500 Single tree would be one, 794 00:36:15,533 --> 00:36:17,966 group torching would be pockets of trees. 795 00:36:18,000 --> 00:36:20,200 When it's torching, it starts out on the bottom. 796 00:36:20,233 --> 00:36:23,866 And as those flames grow, it's sending that heat up 797 00:36:23,900 --> 00:36:27,133 into the live part of the tree, the green part of the tree, 798 00:36:27,166 --> 00:36:28,466 preheating it, 799 00:36:28,500 --> 00:36:31,966 so it's more receptive to that build-up and build-up, 800 00:36:32,000 --> 00:36:33,900 and it reaches a certain combustion point, 801 00:36:33,933 --> 00:36:37,666 where the entire tree will go up. 802 00:36:40,866 --> 00:36:43,233 And you can see the ember wash coming off of those, 803 00:36:43,266 --> 00:36:45,066 and you can see how far it's going over the ridge. 804 00:36:45,100 --> 00:36:46,400 MAN: Oh, this is a living tree that's gone up? 805 00:36:46,433 --> 00:36:48,500 This is a living tree. 806 00:36:53,833 --> 00:36:56,000 What goes through your mind when you see this? 807 00:36:56,033 --> 00:36:59,100 Right now I'm wondering if we're in a good spot. 808 00:36:59,133 --> 00:37:04,466 NARRATOR: The Cougar Creek Fire will burn more than 42,000 acres 809 00:37:04,500 --> 00:37:05,833 before it stops spreading. 810 00:37:05,866 --> 00:37:08,666 But no structures are damaged. 811 00:37:08,700 --> 00:37:14,033 Another victory for the nation's wildfire fighting force. 812 00:37:14,066 --> 00:37:17,933 They succeed 97% of the time. 813 00:37:17,966 --> 00:37:22,500 ♪ 814 00:37:22,533 --> 00:37:24,833 A century of excluding fire 815 00:37:24,866 --> 00:37:28,333 has created some unhealthy, dangerous forests 816 00:37:28,366 --> 00:37:30,633 all over the United States. 817 00:37:30,666 --> 00:37:33,100 ♪ 818 00:37:33,133 --> 00:37:38,666 But how best to allow forests, fire, and people to coexist? 819 00:37:38,700 --> 00:37:42,000 Fire ecologist Sharon Hood is testing some alternatives 820 00:37:42,033 --> 00:37:44,733 in western Montana. 821 00:37:44,766 --> 00:37:45,933 Oh, got the pith. 822 00:37:45,966 --> 00:37:47,633 CHARLOTTE REED: Nice. 823 00:37:47,666 --> 00:37:52,666 NARRATOR: This 30-acre plot is part of a long-term study 824 00:37:52,700 --> 00:37:57,366 to see if there's a better way to manage our forests. 825 00:37:57,400 --> 00:37:59,366 It hasn't burned in 100 years, 826 00:37:59,400 --> 00:38:02,200 and it is filled with fuel for a fire. 827 00:38:02,233 --> 00:38:07,666 It's hard just to plow through, much less do their work. 828 00:38:07,700 --> 00:38:11,200 HOOD: You basically can't see through it, 829 00:38:11,233 --> 00:38:12,500 and when you're trying to walk through it, 830 00:38:12,533 --> 00:38:14,900 you're weaving through very small trees, 831 00:38:14,933 --> 00:38:17,333 you're stepping over a lot of logs. 832 00:38:17,366 --> 00:38:21,866 It's the density that strikes me. 833 00:38:21,900 --> 00:38:26,166 NARRATOR: The dead and small trees and the shrubs 834 00:38:26,200 --> 00:38:30,900 are the ingredients, the fuel, for bigger, more intense fires. 835 00:38:30,933 --> 00:38:33,600 This forest is a tinderbox-- 836 00:38:33,633 --> 00:38:37,833 a consequence of a misguided forest management philosophy. 837 00:38:37,866 --> 00:38:39,066 HOOD: Our ponderosa pine forests 838 00:38:39,100 --> 00:38:41,700 evolved with very frequent fires-- 839 00:38:41,733 --> 00:38:43,733 on average, every seven years. 840 00:38:43,766 --> 00:38:45,766 So removing fire for 100 years 841 00:38:45,800 --> 00:38:48,666 allows all these little seedlings to get established. 842 00:38:48,700 --> 00:38:50,566 If fires were coming through here routinely, 843 00:38:50,600 --> 00:38:54,466 they would kill those seedlings, creating open conditions. 844 00:38:54,500 --> 00:39:00,333 NARRATOR: And she has the scientific proof in the plot next door, 845 00:39:00,366 --> 00:39:03,866 where they thinned out the trees in 2001, 846 00:39:03,900 --> 00:39:08,866 then started a prescribed burn in 2002. 847 00:39:08,900 --> 00:39:10,266 You're looking at this open ponderosa pine forest 848 00:39:10,300 --> 00:39:11,666 16 years later. 849 00:39:11,700 --> 00:39:15,766 The thin-and-burn forest is all open space. 850 00:39:15,800 --> 00:39:21,500 There's not a lot of fuels, and you see the larger trees. 851 00:39:21,533 --> 00:39:22,733 ♪ 852 00:39:22,766 --> 00:39:24,833 NARRATOR: Back in her lab in Missoula, 853 00:39:24,866 --> 00:39:28,233 Sharon and her team carefully slice and analyze 854 00:39:28,266 --> 00:39:29,700 the core samples 855 00:39:29,733 --> 00:39:32,400 from the thinned and burned parcel. 856 00:39:32,433 --> 00:39:37,633 The tree rings tell a story, if you know how to read them. 857 00:39:37,666 --> 00:39:39,900 Here we have a close-up of a tree core, 858 00:39:39,933 --> 00:39:44,900 and each light and dark band is one year's worth of growth. 859 00:39:44,933 --> 00:39:50,266 And you can see, between 1990 and 2000, in this section, 860 00:39:50,300 --> 00:39:52,600 you've got narrow growth rings. 861 00:39:52,633 --> 00:39:56,133 NARRATOR: Narrow rings mean less growth, 862 00:39:56,166 --> 00:39:59,033 nature's record of how the trees were faring 863 00:39:59,066 --> 00:40:02,233 before the experiment began. 864 00:40:02,266 --> 00:40:03,733 And then, here in 2001, 865 00:40:03,766 --> 00:40:06,900 there was a thinning, where we cut about half the trees, 866 00:40:06,933 --> 00:40:10,466 and then in 2002, there was a prescribed burn. 867 00:40:10,500 --> 00:40:15,966 And you can start seeing really fat growth rings after that. 868 00:40:16,000 --> 00:40:18,633 ♪ 869 00:40:18,666 --> 00:40:20,733 NARRATOR: A forest that is more open 870 00:40:20,766 --> 00:40:23,833 and trees that are larger and healthier. 871 00:40:23,866 --> 00:40:27,533 Thinning and controlled burning clearly works. 872 00:40:27,566 --> 00:40:31,500 But is it practical beyond an experiment? 873 00:40:31,533 --> 00:40:34,400 This type of treatment that you see here is scalable. 874 00:40:34,433 --> 00:40:35,966 There's no one-size-fits-all, 875 00:40:36,000 --> 00:40:40,433 but thinning is a major tool that we have 876 00:40:40,466 --> 00:40:45,733 to be able to re-introduce fire in a safer way. 877 00:40:45,766 --> 00:40:49,533 NARRATOR: It isn't the answer in every forest landscape. 878 00:40:49,566 --> 00:40:54,066 And prescribed burning faces a lot of opposition, 879 00:40:54,100 --> 00:40:56,766 ironically, from the people most in harm's way, 880 00:40:56,800 --> 00:40:58,600 worried about changing their view 881 00:40:58,633 --> 00:41:00,400 or breathing the smoke. 882 00:41:00,433 --> 00:41:01,966 PIMLOTT: When we put a little bit of smoke in the air 883 00:41:02,000 --> 00:41:03,366 under prescribed fire, 884 00:41:03,400 --> 00:41:05,300 sometimes it can meet a lot of resistance from the public. 885 00:41:05,333 --> 00:41:09,833 WILLIAMS: There have been some prescribed burns 886 00:41:09,866 --> 00:41:11,566 that were supposed to be small forest treatments, 887 00:41:11,600 --> 00:41:14,000 and then a gust of wind came at the wrong time 888 00:41:14,033 --> 00:41:17,066 and turned that prescribed burn into a wildfire. 889 00:41:17,100 --> 00:41:19,766 NARRATOR: And what about the expense? 890 00:41:19,800 --> 00:41:23,233 Thinning and burning can cost about $1,000 an acre, 891 00:41:23,266 --> 00:41:26,233 and it's not a one-time fix. 892 00:41:26,266 --> 00:41:29,933 But compared to the cost of a megafire, 893 00:41:29,966 --> 00:41:32,466 maybe it's an ounce of prevention. 894 00:41:32,500 --> 00:41:34,566 FALK: I think by now, 895 00:41:34,600 --> 00:41:37,800 people who live in the forest or near the forest recognize 896 00:41:37,833 --> 00:41:39,266 that there's going to be a fire now 897 00:41:39,300 --> 00:41:40,666 or there's going to be a fire later, 898 00:41:40,700 --> 00:41:42,366 and you can have it under controlled conditions, 899 00:41:42,400 --> 00:41:43,966 when you can go away for the weekend, 900 00:41:44,000 --> 00:41:45,300 or you can be running for your life 901 00:41:45,333 --> 00:41:48,133 watching your house burn down. 902 00:41:48,166 --> 00:41:51,733 NARRATOR: Humans have created the megafire monster, 903 00:41:51,766 --> 00:41:54,766 but enlightened forest management alone 904 00:41:54,800 --> 00:41:56,866 won't stop the infernos. 905 00:41:56,900 --> 00:42:00,166 Because there is another factor at play, 906 00:42:00,200 --> 00:42:02,800 also with our fingerprint-- 907 00:42:02,833 --> 00:42:05,633 climate change. 908 00:42:05,666 --> 00:42:08,633 ♪ 909 00:42:08,666 --> 00:42:11,433 The Camp Fire has broken records, 910 00:42:11,466 --> 00:42:14,366 and yet it is only one of three major incidents 911 00:42:14,400 --> 00:42:16,533 in California right now. 912 00:42:16,566 --> 00:42:17,766 HOON: We've been going 913 00:42:17,800 --> 00:42:20,100 from fire to fire to fire, 914 00:42:20,133 --> 00:42:21,633 and every time we see it, 915 00:42:21,666 --> 00:42:23,433 it's, like, "That, that's unbelievable. 916 00:42:23,466 --> 00:42:24,733 "That's unbelievable. 917 00:42:24,766 --> 00:42:26,666 I can't, can't believe we're seeing this." 918 00:42:26,700 --> 00:42:30,500 NARRATOR: And in the land of endless summers, 919 00:42:30,533 --> 00:42:34,533 there is now an endless fire season. 920 00:42:34,566 --> 00:42:36,933 BRICE BENNETT: We're in November-- this is... 921 00:42:36,966 --> 00:42:41,533 This is not historically when we would see fires still occurring. 922 00:42:41,566 --> 00:42:45,333 It would be closer to the hotter part of the summer, 923 00:42:45,366 --> 00:42:48,033 but they're, they're lasting into December now. 924 00:42:48,066 --> 00:42:49,500 So it's, it's a fire year. 925 00:42:49,533 --> 00:42:51,333 There's no fire season. 926 00:42:51,366 --> 00:42:53,566 ♪ 927 00:42:53,600 --> 00:42:55,933 NARRATOR: A fire year, 928 00:42:55,966 --> 00:43:00,266 year after year after year. 929 00:43:00,300 --> 00:43:02,000 What role do rising temperatures 930 00:43:02,033 --> 00:43:04,166 and changing precipitation patterns 931 00:43:04,200 --> 00:43:06,300 play in this trend? 932 00:43:06,333 --> 00:43:10,466 In California, the record wildfires occur 933 00:43:10,500 --> 00:43:13,333 after a historic six-year drought. 934 00:43:13,366 --> 00:43:15,033 WILLIAMS: Climate change 935 00:43:15,066 --> 00:43:16,433 is taking a pretty bad drought 936 00:43:16,466 --> 00:43:18,300 and actually causing it to be 937 00:43:18,333 --> 00:43:21,466 on par with the biggest droughts over the last millennium. 938 00:43:21,500 --> 00:43:23,566 ♪ 939 00:43:23,600 --> 00:43:27,433 NARRATOR: To better understand this link between climate and fire, 940 00:43:27,466 --> 00:43:33,133 paleoecologist Cathy Whitlock spends a lot of time 941 00:43:33,166 --> 00:43:34,500 in Yellowstone National Park. 942 00:43:34,533 --> 00:43:36,033 WHITLOCK: It's a nearly pristine ecosystem 943 00:43:36,066 --> 00:43:38,800 where we can really see these things going on. 944 00:43:38,833 --> 00:43:42,066 NARRATOR: This is Blacktail Pond. 945 00:43:42,100 --> 00:43:44,366 The layers of mud beneath this ancient lake bed 946 00:43:44,400 --> 00:43:48,833 have their own story to tell, going way back in time. 947 00:43:48,866 --> 00:43:50,600 ♪ 948 00:43:50,633 --> 00:43:54,666 WHITLOCK: Lakes are great repositories of environmental information. 949 00:43:54,700 --> 00:43:56,933 Pollen grains land on the surface of the lake, 950 00:43:56,966 --> 00:43:58,433 and they get buried in the sediment. 951 00:43:58,466 --> 00:44:01,666 Charcoal from fires gets carried in the air 952 00:44:01,700 --> 00:44:03,233 and then sinks to the bottom. 953 00:44:03,266 --> 00:44:05,100 And those sediments are undisturbed, 954 00:44:05,133 --> 00:44:08,966 and so you get a continuous record of environmental history. 955 00:44:09,000 --> 00:44:11,266 One, two, three. 956 00:44:12,400 --> 00:44:14,300 Keep it straight, keep it vertical. 957 00:44:14,333 --> 00:44:15,266 All right. 958 00:44:15,300 --> 00:44:17,233 So let's pull it up. 959 00:44:18,233 --> 00:44:19,766 Let it drain, turn it sideways. 960 00:44:19,800 --> 00:44:21,533 Okay, now we're going to extrude. 961 00:44:21,566 --> 00:44:23,133 Here it comes. 962 00:44:23,166 --> 00:44:24,133 Nice! 963 00:44:24,166 --> 00:44:25,200 Whoo! 964 00:44:25,233 --> 00:44:27,500 NARRATOR: Using two types of clues, 965 00:44:27,533 --> 00:44:30,766 she can learn a lot about the ancient landscape. 966 00:44:30,800 --> 00:44:33,066 WHITLOCK: Pollen tells us about the plants that are growing here, 967 00:44:33,100 --> 00:44:35,700 and the vegetation is one of our best indicators 968 00:44:35,733 --> 00:44:38,033 of what the climate was. 969 00:44:38,066 --> 00:44:41,033 So we can use the pollen record to reconstruct past climate, 970 00:44:41,066 --> 00:44:44,500 and then we can compare it with the charcoal record of fires 971 00:44:44,533 --> 00:44:46,866 to see how periods of fire relate 972 00:44:46,900 --> 00:44:48,800 to periods of climate change. 973 00:44:48,833 --> 00:44:51,333 NARRATOR: The sediment at Blacktail Pond 974 00:44:51,366 --> 00:44:55,200 allows Cathy to look back 15,000 years, 975 00:44:55,233 --> 00:44:58,066 when the glaciers from the last ice age retreated 976 00:44:58,100 --> 00:45:00,900 from this area. 977 00:45:00,933 --> 00:45:02,066 Back in her laboratory, 978 00:45:02,100 --> 00:45:04,666 Cathy slices the cores in half 979 00:45:04,700 --> 00:45:06,900 and begins to take a closer look. 980 00:45:06,933 --> 00:45:09,400 ♪ 981 00:45:09,433 --> 00:45:12,400 WHITLOCK: There's a lot going on at this time period in this lake. 982 00:45:12,433 --> 00:45:16,300 The light-colored layers are calcium carbonate-rich. 983 00:45:16,333 --> 00:45:18,833 They probably were deposited by algae 984 00:45:18,866 --> 00:45:20,900 that were producing this calcium carbonate, 985 00:45:20,933 --> 00:45:22,333 and when that happens, 986 00:45:22,366 --> 00:45:25,333 usually, it happens because the lake's a little bit warmer. 987 00:45:25,366 --> 00:45:26,766 The dark layers, 988 00:45:26,800 --> 00:45:31,033 I'm seeing little blips of what look like charcoal to me. 989 00:45:31,066 --> 00:45:33,266 But I suspect there's going to be a lot of charcoal 990 00:45:33,300 --> 00:45:34,766 all the way through this core. 991 00:45:34,800 --> 00:45:37,200 We just have to look under a microscope to find it. 992 00:45:37,233 --> 00:45:39,033 ♪ 993 00:45:39,066 --> 00:45:42,900 NARRATOR: After they chemically treat and sift sediment from the core, 994 00:45:42,933 --> 00:45:45,166 they can clearly identify and tally the charcoal 995 00:45:45,200 --> 00:45:47,566 and the pollen. 996 00:45:47,600 --> 00:45:48,800 ♪ 997 00:45:48,833 --> 00:45:51,866 I'm seeing some large pine pollens. 998 00:45:51,900 --> 00:45:54,000 They kind of look like Mickey Mouse hats. 999 00:45:54,033 --> 00:45:58,100 And some of them, like that one, is a lodgepole pine, for sure. 1000 00:45:58,133 --> 00:46:01,666 NARRATOR: She has documented a long relationship 1001 00:46:01,700 --> 00:46:04,233 between fire and temperatures. 1002 00:46:04,266 --> 00:46:07,166 Over the past 7,500 years, 1003 00:46:07,200 --> 00:46:11,366 fire activity closely correlates with the climate. 1004 00:46:11,400 --> 00:46:13,233 As temperatures cooled, 1005 00:46:13,266 --> 00:46:17,666 fire activity gradually decreased. 1006 00:46:17,700 --> 00:46:21,000 But as humans have warmed the planet in the last century, 1007 00:46:21,033 --> 00:46:24,733 fire frequency has dramatically increased. 1008 00:46:24,766 --> 00:46:30,000 During the warm, dry, windy summer of 1988, 1009 00:46:30,033 --> 00:46:31,333 800,000 acres, 1010 00:46:31,366 --> 00:46:33,633 one third of Yellowstone Park, 1011 00:46:33,666 --> 00:46:34,600 burned. 1012 00:46:34,633 --> 00:46:36,700 Her analysis shows 1013 00:46:36,733 --> 00:46:39,366 it was one of the largest fire seasons here 1014 00:46:39,400 --> 00:46:41,833 in the past 6,000 years. 1015 00:46:41,866 --> 00:46:45,966 If current temperature trends continue, 1016 00:46:46,000 --> 00:46:47,433 fires of that magnitude 1017 00:46:47,466 --> 00:46:50,066 will likely be more frequent in the future. 1018 00:46:50,100 --> 00:46:52,733 WHITLOCK: I think we're moving into uncharted territory. 1019 00:46:52,766 --> 00:46:54,933 We're seeing warming at rapid rates, 1020 00:46:54,966 --> 00:46:57,633 we're seeing extreme fire events. 1021 00:46:57,666 --> 00:47:00,366 We're seeing things that we just haven't seen in the past, 1022 00:47:00,400 --> 00:47:02,833 and that's my big concern. 1023 00:47:02,866 --> 00:47:04,833 Cory, do you have all the vials? 1024 00:47:04,866 --> 00:47:08,900 NARRATOR: Ecologist Monica Turner has the same concern. 1025 00:47:08,933 --> 00:47:10,233 She and her team 1026 00:47:10,266 --> 00:47:14,866 study Yellowstone's breathtaking lodgepole pine forests. 1027 00:47:14,900 --> 00:47:15,900 TURNER: In Yellowstone, 1028 00:47:15,933 --> 00:47:17,700 what I do is try to understand 1029 00:47:17,733 --> 00:47:19,566 how fires affect the forest 1030 00:47:19,600 --> 00:47:21,300 and then how the forest recovers. 1031 00:47:21,333 --> 00:47:22,600 ♪ 1032 00:47:22,633 --> 00:47:24,800 NARRATOR: The fires here in 1988 1033 00:47:24,833 --> 00:47:28,633 were part of the normal, 100-to-300-year burn cycle 1034 00:47:28,666 --> 00:47:30,866 for lodgepole pines. 1035 00:47:30,900 --> 00:47:33,566 Although the fires were big and severe, 1036 00:47:33,600 --> 00:47:35,933 the forests of Yellowstone recovered 1037 00:47:35,966 --> 00:47:38,333 in spectacular fashion. 1038 00:47:38,366 --> 00:47:41,266 But in 2000 and again in 2016, 1039 00:47:41,300 --> 00:47:46,666 new fires hit some of the same areas that burned in '88. 1040 00:47:46,700 --> 00:47:50,733 Monica wonders if climate change is making it hard 1041 00:47:50,766 --> 00:47:53,033 for the forest to bounce back once again. 1042 00:47:53,066 --> 00:47:55,766 So that's something like 104 degrees Fahrenheit... 1043 00:47:55,800 --> 00:47:56,700 Whoa. 1044 00:47:56,733 --> 00:47:58,466 MAN: Just below the surface here. 1045 00:47:58,500 --> 00:48:00,033 TURNER: That's hot. 1046 00:48:00,066 --> 00:48:03,100 NARRATOR: Too much heat, too little shade. 1047 00:48:03,133 --> 00:48:06,066 And what happens when forests burn again so soon, 1048 00:48:06,100 --> 00:48:08,433 before there is time to recover? 1049 00:48:08,466 --> 00:48:11,433 To find out, they systematically count and measure 1050 00:48:11,466 --> 00:48:13,400 tree seedlings. 1051 00:48:13,433 --> 00:48:15,500 MAN: D8 is dead. 1052 00:48:15,533 --> 00:48:18,133 NARRATOR: And they determine how far they travel. 1053 00:48:18,166 --> 00:48:20,600 TURNER: What we are hoping to find out here is, 1054 00:48:20,633 --> 00:48:22,200 "Will they germinate? 1055 00:48:22,233 --> 00:48:24,166 Are the conditions suitable for them to grow?" 1056 00:48:24,200 --> 00:48:26,833 NARRATOR: In this plot, 1057 00:48:26,866 --> 00:48:29,866 where only 16 years separate two fires, 1058 00:48:29,900 --> 00:48:33,200 young trees are completely destroyed. 1059 00:48:33,233 --> 00:48:34,233 Only stumps remain, 1060 00:48:34,266 --> 00:48:36,500 and there is on average a 60% reduction 1061 00:48:36,533 --> 00:48:39,466 in the number of tree seedlings. 1062 00:48:39,500 --> 00:48:44,100 More frequent, more severe fires and warmer temperatures 1063 00:48:44,133 --> 00:48:47,966 mean new generations of trees will have a much harder time 1064 00:48:48,000 --> 00:48:48,966 taking root. 1065 00:48:49,000 --> 00:48:51,033 TURNER: We are now questioning 1066 00:48:51,066 --> 00:48:52,933 how the frequency and the severity of fires 1067 00:48:52,966 --> 00:48:57,566 may overcome the ability of the forests to recover. 1068 00:48:57,600 --> 00:49:01,733 If we have future fires that happen every 15 years, 1069 00:49:01,766 --> 00:49:02,800 I don't know. 1070 00:49:02,833 --> 00:49:06,866 ♪ 1071 00:49:06,900 --> 00:49:11,233 NARRATOR: Fire may be integral to the evolution of forests, 1072 00:49:11,266 --> 00:49:14,766 but the scale and frequency of today's megafires 1073 00:49:14,800 --> 00:49:16,066 appear to be something new. 1074 00:49:16,100 --> 00:49:18,866 The landscape is changing fast, 1075 00:49:18,900 --> 00:49:23,966 a symptom of climate change that is more sudden than most. 1076 00:49:24,000 --> 00:49:25,266 WHITLOCK: Going into the future, 1077 00:49:25,300 --> 00:49:27,600 I think we're going to have more fires. 1078 00:49:27,633 --> 00:49:30,033 And if we continue to have more fires, 1079 00:49:30,066 --> 00:49:33,766 it will gradually shift the composition of the forests. 1080 00:49:33,800 --> 00:49:36,266 In some places, we may lose forest 1081 00:49:36,300 --> 00:49:38,500 and get more grassland. 1082 00:49:38,533 --> 00:49:41,266 ♪ 1083 00:49:41,300 --> 00:49:43,933 NARRATOR: The Camp Fire is still burning, 1084 00:49:43,966 --> 00:49:47,333 but in Paradise, embers are starting to cool. 1085 00:49:47,366 --> 00:49:49,933 George Gold is headed through town 1086 00:49:49,966 --> 00:49:53,066 on his way to Magalia, just to the north. 1087 00:49:53,100 --> 00:49:56,700 He already knows his house is destroyed, 1088 00:49:56,733 --> 00:49:58,366 but what happened to the sports car 1089 00:49:58,400 --> 00:50:00,866 that he left a mile away in a parking lot? 1090 00:50:00,900 --> 00:50:05,566 Finding out is his main goal today. 1091 00:50:05,600 --> 00:50:07,400 (gasps): There is my car! 1092 00:50:07,433 --> 00:50:08,733 I see my car! 1093 00:50:08,766 --> 00:50:11,133 (laughing) 1094 00:50:11,166 --> 00:50:13,133 It's there. 1095 00:50:13,166 --> 00:50:15,133 Can you believe it? 1096 00:50:15,166 --> 00:50:18,366 (laughing) 1097 00:50:18,400 --> 00:50:22,433 My Miata is alive. 1098 00:50:24,066 --> 00:50:25,466 (engine starting) 1099 00:50:25,500 --> 00:50:27,600 A-ha, she lives! 1100 00:50:27,633 --> 00:50:30,200 (laughing) 1101 00:50:30,233 --> 00:50:32,800 NARRATOR: It's time to see 1102 00:50:32,833 --> 00:50:34,833 if there's anything worth salvaging at home. 1103 00:50:34,866 --> 00:50:37,433 GOLD: This was my neighborhood, and there's nothing left. 1104 00:50:37,466 --> 00:50:39,566 There's, there's no neighborhood here. 1105 00:50:39,600 --> 00:50:41,600 There's just debris. 1106 00:50:41,633 --> 00:50:46,066 I mean, it was gorgeous here, just gorgeous. 1107 00:50:46,100 --> 00:50:48,233 Peaceful, quiet. 1108 00:50:49,700 --> 00:50:51,366 (exhales): My shed's there, 1109 00:50:51,400 --> 00:50:55,766 so I can do my gardening. 1110 00:50:55,800 --> 00:50:59,366 And this is my front door, right here. 1111 00:50:59,400 --> 00:51:01,000 (stone and metal scraping) 1112 00:51:01,033 --> 00:51:02,866 Open the door. 1113 00:51:05,133 --> 00:51:08,433 I mean, I never considered myself a materialistic person. 1114 00:51:08,466 --> 00:51:10,633 I mean, if you went in my house, you would say, 1115 00:51:10,666 --> 00:51:12,300 "Gee, you're kind of living a spartan life," right? 1116 00:51:12,333 --> 00:51:15,233 No fancy stuff, just basic stuff. 1117 00:51:15,266 --> 00:51:17,600 But the stuff I had, I loved it, right? 1118 00:51:17,633 --> 00:51:19,100 Every time I walked in the door, I thought, 1119 00:51:19,133 --> 00:51:21,666 "Oh, wow, this is my house. 1120 00:51:21,700 --> 00:51:23,533 I've made it, I'm in heaven." 1121 00:51:23,566 --> 00:51:24,900 And I had all these tool boxes. 1122 00:51:24,933 --> 00:51:28,066 You know, I spent 30 years gathering tools. 1123 00:51:28,100 --> 00:51:30,466 Here we go. 1124 00:51:30,500 --> 00:51:32,100 (laughing) 1125 00:51:32,133 --> 00:51:34,933 They may live again. 1126 00:51:34,966 --> 00:51:37,566 Maybe. 1127 00:51:37,600 --> 00:51:39,733 I think not. 1128 00:51:39,766 --> 00:51:41,166 It's really hard. 1129 00:51:41,200 --> 00:51:43,733 I don't know what to do-- I don't know what to think. 1130 00:51:43,766 --> 00:51:45,700 I've never experienced anything like this. 1131 00:51:45,733 --> 00:51:47,900 I don't know what to think, I don't know what to do, 1132 00:51:47,933 --> 00:51:49,933 I don't know what to feel. 1133 00:51:49,966 --> 00:51:52,633 ♪ 1134 00:51:52,666 --> 00:51:54,200 I don't know-- I'm no youngster anymore. 1135 00:51:54,233 --> 00:51:56,666 I don't know if I'll ever recover. 1136 00:51:56,700 --> 00:51:58,800 (sighs) 1137 00:51:58,833 --> 00:52:02,500 ♪ 1138 00:52:07,300 --> 00:52:09,166 (sighs) 1139 00:52:09,200 --> 00:52:14,200 ♪ 1140 00:52:16,800 --> 00:52:19,133 Major funding for "NOVA" is provided by the following: 1141 00:52:47,200 --> 00:52:49,900 To order this "NOVA" program on DVD, 1142 00:52:49,933 --> 00:52:54,800 visit ShopPBS or call 1-800-PLAY-PBS. 1143 00:52:54,833 --> 00:52:58,766 This program is also available on Amazon Prime Video. 1144 00:52:59,433 --> 00:53:00,366 ♪ 81861

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