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These are the user uploaded subtitles that are being translated: 1 00:00:12,888 --> 00:00:15,307 As a veteran New York Times reporter, 2 00:00:15,390 --> 00:00:17,851 I've witnessed many of history's painful moments. 3 00:00:20,562 --> 00:00:22,481 This ranks high on that list. 4 00:00:25,484 --> 00:00:28,403 Every week, at this desert crossroads, 5 00:00:28,487 --> 00:00:30,447 smugglers pack thousands 6 00:00:30,531 --> 00:00:32,449 of desperate young people onto trucks, 7 00:00:32,533 --> 00:00:35,410 bound for a journey they may never survive. 8 00:00:37,788 --> 00:00:43,544 They come from places like Senegal, Sierra Leone, Ivory Coast, Gambia. 9 00:00:43,627 --> 00:00:49,091 But they all have one destination in common: the shores of Europe. 10 00:00:53,929 --> 00:00:56,640 What I want to know is how much of this mass 11 00:00:56,723 --> 00:00:59,851 of human migration is being pushed by climate change. 12 00:01:07,109 --> 00:01:09,444 This isn't the Sahara Desert. 13 00:01:09,528 --> 00:01:11,697 It's my home state: California. 14 00:01:13,657 --> 00:01:17,452 I've lived here most of my life, and I've never seen it this dry. 15 00:01:18,537 --> 00:01:22,082 I look down and it looks like we're just in Brownsville. 16 00:01:22,165 --> 00:01:23,792 Well, we're definitely 17 00:01:23,875 --> 00:01:25,836 in the worst drought in modern history. 18 00:01:26,670 --> 00:01:30,132 I'm with Felicia Marcus, the state's top water official. 19 00:01:30,215 --> 00:01:33,885 Her board decides when and how to ration water in California. 20 00:01:34,845 --> 00:01:37,306 Folsom Lake should have water in it, 21 00:01:38,181 --> 00:01:41,351 and as we get closer, you'll just see how much is exposed. 22 00:01:42,185 --> 00:01:44,187 There's the dam. Oh my God! 23 00:01:45,272 --> 00:01:46,815 This should be full of water. 24 00:01:46,898 --> 00:01:49,443 -What we're over right now? -Yeah, right over here. 25 00:01:49,526 --> 00:01:52,654 And they do dry down during the summer, but not to this. 26 00:01:52,738 --> 00:01:54,406 This is the drought. 27 00:01:55,657 --> 00:01:57,159 Wow. 28 00:02:03,498 --> 00:02:05,292 Those are floating docks, 29 00:02:05,375 --> 00:02:07,628 well, they're supposed to be floating. 30 00:02:11,673 --> 00:02:14,968 That parking lot is usually right next to the water. 31 00:02:18,388 --> 00:02:22,184 And this reservoir is one of California's main water supplies! 32 00:02:25,395 --> 00:02:29,066 Is this where climate change meets drought? 33 00:02:29,149 --> 00:02:32,944 This is absolutely what our future looks like under climate change. 34 00:02:33,612 --> 00:02:36,406 We're seeing today what happens when a drought 35 00:02:36,490 --> 00:02:39,493 goes on for four years and there's no snowpack. 36 00:02:39,576 --> 00:02:40,952 According to Felicia, 37 00:02:41,036 --> 00:02:45,832 the big fear now is a mega-drought, one lasting decades. 38 00:02:45,916 --> 00:02:49,294 If high emissions continue, there's an 80% chance of that 39 00:02:49,378 --> 00:02:51,546 in the second half of this century. 40 00:02:51,630 --> 00:02:56,843 An 80% chance parts of our state would basically be uninhabitable. 41 00:02:56,927 --> 00:02:58,804 It's the Godzilla of all wake up calls. 42 00:03:52,816 --> 00:03:54,818 The tide of migrants fleeing war 43 00:03:54,901 --> 00:03:58,572 torn African and Middle Eastern countries continues to crash... 44 00:03:58,655 --> 00:04:00,574 We're in the middle of a crisis. 45 00:04:00,657 --> 00:04:04,911 Europe is suffering the worst migration crisis since World War II. 46 00:04:04,995 --> 00:04:07,497 Nearly two million people in the last year alone 47 00:04:07,581 --> 00:04:08,957 have been on the move. 48 00:04:10,834 --> 00:04:13,170 Syrian refugees dominate the headlines, 49 00:04:13,253 --> 00:04:15,630 but that is not the whole story. 50 00:04:31,354 --> 00:04:34,608 This shelter is home to migrants from Africa. 51 00:04:35,442 --> 00:04:38,361 I'm told its occupancy has recently doubled. 52 00:04:44,910 --> 00:04:46,453 Why did you originally come? 53 00:04:46,536 --> 00:04:50,207 What were the forces that brought you here? 54 00:04:50,916 --> 00:04:53,794 Because there is nothing where we live. 55 00:04:53,877 --> 00:04:56,087 And there is no rain. 56 00:04:56,171 --> 00:04:58,924 So people can't stay if there is nothing to eat. 57 00:04:59,007 --> 00:05:00,884 -No rain. -No rain. 58 00:05:00,967 --> 00:05:03,970 It's 113 degrees. 122 degrees. 59 00:05:06,056 --> 00:05:09,559 How can a person live? 60 00:05:10,352 --> 00:05:12,062 It's very difficult. 61 00:05:12,145 --> 00:05:15,565 There is no sea and the earth no longer works. 62 00:05:15,649 --> 00:05:18,109 Even all the big trees are all dead. 63 00:05:18,193 --> 00:05:21,780 There is no sea, and the earth doesn't work. 64 00:05:31,039 --> 00:05:34,125 The shelter I just left is actually in the suburb of Paris. 65 00:05:36,002 --> 00:05:37,546 Less than a mile away, 66 00:05:37,629 --> 00:05:41,466 the biggest environmental talks in history are taking place. 67 00:05:42,843 --> 00:05:46,763 The goal is to stop the advance of man-made climate change. 68 00:05:46,847 --> 00:05:50,100 This is the story I came to Paris to report, 69 00:05:50,183 --> 00:05:53,061 but the migration crisis on its doorstep 70 00:05:53,144 --> 00:05:55,564 is simply impossible to ignore. 71 00:05:55,647 --> 00:05:59,609 Mr. Secretary, to what extent is the European migrant crisis, 72 00:05:59,693 --> 00:06:02,487 which we're really now in the middle of right here in Paris, 73 00:06:02,571 --> 00:06:05,574 to what extent do you think that's climate-driven? 74 00:06:05,657 --> 00:06:07,284 Well, there's a percentage, Tom. 75 00:06:07,367 --> 00:06:09,286 It's not the majority. 76 00:06:09,369 --> 00:06:12,873 We get a lot of African refugees, particularly from the drylands. 77 00:06:12,956 --> 00:06:17,043 The biggest challenge globally, I think, is governance, 78 00:06:17,127 --> 00:06:19,296 bad governance and corruption. 79 00:06:19,379 --> 00:06:22,549 It could be more climate driven in the future 80 00:06:22,632 --> 00:06:24,634 and it's a real challenge. 81 00:06:25,385 --> 00:06:29,764 Many leaders acknowledge climate migration as some distant threat. 82 00:06:30,599 --> 00:06:32,934 But could this future already be here? 83 00:06:33,018 --> 00:06:35,979 Every second 84 00:06:36,062 --> 00:06:40,233 a person is now forced to flee his home 85 00:06:40,317 --> 00:06:45,030 because of an extreme weather or climate event. 86 00:06:45,113 --> 00:06:46,573 Every second. 87 00:06:46,656 --> 00:06:49,993 Jan Egeland heads up the Norwegian refugee council, 88 00:06:50,076 --> 00:06:52,370 one of the world's first refugee organizations, 89 00:06:52,454 --> 00:06:54,956 now operating in 30 countries. 90 00:06:56,625 --> 00:06:58,543 I asked to meet with him one-on-one 91 00:06:58,627 --> 00:07:01,129 to hear about the changes he's been seeing. 92 00:07:03,381 --> 00:07:07,469 What do you say when climate skeptics come along and say, 93 00:07:07,552 --> 00:07:10,722 "There've been droughts and floods in Africa 94 00:07:10,805 --> 00:07:12,223 from time immemorial. 95 00:07:12,307 --> 00:07:15,477 It's very difficult to prove 96 00:07:15,560 --> 00:07:20,231 a link between climate change and these refugee migrations." 97 00:07:20,315 --> 00:07:23,985 Our figures say and these, these are our scientists, 98 00:07:24,069 --> 00:07:29,115 say that a child born in the 1970s 99 00:07:29,199 --> 00:07:31,993 compared to a child born today, 100 00:07:32,869 --> 00:07:36,247 the child now is 60% more likely 101 00:07:36,331 --> 00:07:39,834 to be displaced by natural disasters. 102 00:07:39,918 --> 00:07:43,672 Is it going to be 200 million or a billion people 103 00:07:43,755 --> 00:07:49,052 that will have to relocate the next generation? We don't know. 104 00:07:49,135 --> 00:07:50,845 Do they have rights? 105 00:07:50,929 --> 00:07:54,933 No, no, there is no convention on climate refugees 106 00:07:55,016 --> 00:07:58,687 as there is for war and human rights refugees. 107 00:07:58,770 --> 00:08:02,315 So if you're tortured by a dictator, you have certain rights. 108 00:08:02,399 --> 00:08:05,610 If you're tortured by nature, you have no rights. 109 00:08:06,236 --> 00:08:10,573 You have no rights to seek refuge in another place. 110 00:08:10,657 --> 00:08:12,909 Of course the injustice in it, 111 00:08:12,993 --> 00:08:16,121 those who did nothing to cause climate change 112 00:08:16,204 --> 00:08:18,540 are first and hardest hit, 113 00:08:18,623 --> 00:08:21,584 we who caused climate change, 114 00:08:21,668 --> 00:08:23,837 are last and least hit. 115 00:08:23,920 --> 00:08:27,549 It's getting drier, it's getting warmer, 116 00:08:27,632 --> 00:08:29,259 it's getting tougher. 117 00:08:29,342 --> 00:08:31,678 It's a question of life and death now. 118 00:08:37,183 --> 00:08:38,852 If what Jan says is right, 119 00:08:38,935 --> 00:08:41,146 climate migration is already happening. 120 00:08:42,647 --> 00:08:45,859 But will hundreds of millions really have to flee their homes 121 00:08:45,942 --> 00:08:48,153 by the end of this century? 122 00:08:48,903 --> 00:08:53,033 To find out, I'm heading to the drylands of West Africa. 123 00:08:57,579 --> 00:08:59,497 Even though I've lived in Los Angeles 124 00:08:59,581 --> 00:09:01,458 for about 35 years now, 125 00:09:01,541 --> 00:09:04,461 I really don't know much about the Central Valley, 126 00:09:04,544 --> 00:09:07,756 the giant agricultural region just north of me. 127 00:09:08,423 --> 00:09:10,884 I'm amazed at its sheer size. 128 00:09:10,967 --> 00:09:14,596 I'm four hours into my drive and there's been no break: 129 00:09:14,679 --> 00:09:17,974 it's farm after farm after farm. 130 00:09:18,058 --> 00:09:20,685 And all of them, look bone dry. 131 00:09:25,065 --> 00:09:28,234 There are water tanks on many of the front lawns. 132 00:09:29,944 --> 00:09:33,073 What must it be like to work and live here? 133 00:09:40,413 --> 00:09:43,833 Near the town of Porterville, I meet Tom Barcellos, 134 00:09:43,917 --> 00:09:46,961 whose dairy farm has been here for almost 100 years. 135 00:09:47,754 --> 00:09:51,508 The milk he produces is made into Land o' Lakes butter. 136 00:09:52,550 --> 00:09:54,344 So this is it? 137 00:09:54,427 --> 00:09:56,429 Yup, this canal here has been dry 138 00:09:56,513 --> 00:09:59,099 for going on almost three years with no water. 139 00:09:59,182 --> 00:10:00,934 Wow. Really. 140 00:10:02,560 --> 00:10:05,814 What is that doing to the water that you have to use now? 141 00:10:05,897 --> 00:10:07,899 The water table in the aquifer, 142 00:10:07,982 --> 00:10:10,777 which is the water that's below ground that we draw from, 143 00:10:10,860 --> 00:10:12,445 40 years ago that was at 60 feet. 144 00:10:12,529 --> 00:10:14,030 So from this ground level, 145 00:10:14,114 --> 00:10:16,074 if you went down 60 feet you'd hit water. 146 00:10:16,157 --> 00:10:18,451 Earlier this year, I drilled a new one. 147 00:10:18,535 --> 00:10:22,080 I went 800 feet at a cost of 150 000 dollars. 148 00:10:22,163 --> 00:10:24,332 Put a new pump, pressure system in it 149 00:10:24,415 --> 00:10:26,626 at a cost of 80 000 dollars on top of that. 150 00:10:26,709 --> 00:10:28,586 Almost a quarter of a million dollars! 151 00:10:28,670 --> 00:10:31,422 And you're in a similar situation than your neighbors? 152 00:10:31,506 --> 00:10:35,635 This entire valley right now has to make those kind of decisions. 153 00:10:35,718 --> 00:10:39,597 And what percentage of the food in the world comes from this area? 154 00:10:39,681 --> 00:10:43,143 It's huge. You have almonds, pistachios, grapes, 155 00:10:43,226 --> 00:10:45,436 grapes to make raisins and grapes to make wine. 156 00:10:45,520 --> 00:10:47,730 Citrus, alfalfa, corn... 157 00:10:47,814 --> 00:10:50,567 Tom says almost half of the nation's produce 158 00:10:50,650 --> 00:10:52,110 comes from this valley. 159 00:10:52,193 --> 00:10:55,446 80% of the world's almonds alone. 160 00:10:55,530 --> 00:10:59,200 This is important to the world. What happens to worldwide food? 161 00:10:59,284 --> 00:11:01,536 If we were to lose this food supply here, 162 00:11:02,162 --> 00:11:04,831 I think we'd have a real national security problem. 163 00:11:08,418 --> 00:11:10,587 A future without food. 164 00:11:10,670 --> 00:11:12,422 It's a frightening prospect. 165 00:11:13,548 --> 00:11:15,675 And one that seems far off. 166 00:11:16,509 --> 00:11:17,927 But what if it isn't? 167 00:11:23,892 --> 00:11:26,144 How are the smaller farmers doing here? 168 00:11:26,227 --> 00:11:28,354 The ones without the financial resources 169 00:11:28,438 --> 00:11:31,107 and corporate contracts to weather the drought? 170 00:11:36,529 --> 00:11:39,574 A few miles away I stop in at a small oats and alfalfa farm 171 00:11:39,657 --> 00:11:41,868 run by Adam and Gricelda Toledo. 172 00:11:42,785 --> 00:11:44,245 Hello. 173 00:11:44,329 --> 00:11:46,414 -Good to see you. -Hi, nice to see you. 174 00:11:47,707 --> 00:11:51,044 It's like a dream, having a little farm. 175 00:11:51,127 --> 00:11:53,880 The first year was regular year. 176 00:11:53,963 --> 00:11:56,382 But the second year, just horrible. 177 00:11:56,466 --> 00:11:59,135 The third year, oh, you don't want to know about it. 178 00:11:59,219 --> 00:12:01,429 -Oh, really? -This is what we have left 179 00:12:01,512 --> 00:12:03,306 after the third year. 180 00:12:04,057 --> 00:12:07,227 But it used to be very nice. Very green. 181 00:12:07,810 --> 00:12:10,313 So where does your water come from? 182 00:12:10,396 --> 00:12:12,857 Our only sources of water is our well. 183 00:12:12,941 --> 00:12:15,693 Which three years ago, was pumping pretty good. 184 00:12:15,777 --> 00:12:17,779 Now, it's not even... 185 00:12:18,571 --> 00:12:20,615 10% of what we had back then. 186 00:12:20,698 --> 00:12:23,826 Really? Once the well dries, you don't have another option. 187 00:12:23,910 --> 00:12:25,912 Not option, nothing, that's it. 188 00:12:25,995 --> 00:12:27,872 -Can't go deeper? -Yes. 189 00:12:27,956 --> 00:12:30,458 -But it costs. -Half a million dollars. 190 00:12:30,541 --> 00:12:33,086 -To go any deeper than it is now. -To go deeper, yeah. 191 00:12:33,169 --> 00:12:36,005 -Who's gonna bring up that money? -Right. 192 00:12:36,089 --> 00:12:39,133 I don't want to leave, but if it doesn't rain, 193 00:12:39,217 --> 00:12:41,135 it's just gonna be over pretty soon. 194 00:12:43,346 --> 00:12:45,974 Do you ever talk about climate change 195 00:12:46,057 --> 00:12:48,393 or why it's happening or how it's happening? 196 00:12:48,476 --> 00:12:51,813 Well, we used to have rain, we used to have the snow, 197 00:12:51,896 --> 00:12:54,315 so we're doing something wrong. 198 00:12:54,399 --> 00:12:57,068 -And not just me or you. Everybody. -Right. 199 00:12:57,151 --> 00:12:59,320 -How many kids do you guys have? -Two girls. 200 00:12:59,404 --> 00:13:01,781 -Two girls. -And we're expecting. 201 00:13:01,864 --> 00:13:04,200 About, almost five months. 202 00:13:04,284 --> 00:13:08,204 -Is it a boy or a girl? -We don't know yet. He wants a boy. 203 00:13:08,871 --> 00:13:10,623 Another little farmer! 204 00:13:17,005 --> 00:13:20,091 I'm struck by how fragile the Toledos' situation is. 205 00:13:20,967 --> 00:13:24,262 Adam has the money to plant one more crop. 206 00:13:24,345 --> 00:13:27,932 If the rains don't come, he won't be able to make their payments, 207 00:13:28,016 --> 00:13:30,143 and they'll be forced from the land. 208 00:13:35,606 --> 00:13:37,150 Far from the richest state 209 00:13:37,233 --> 00:13:39,110 in the richest country on the planet, 210 00:13:39,193 --> 00:13:42,864 I'm flying over one of the poorest: Niger, 211 00:13:42,947 --> 00:13:44,991 which I've read is the main route 212 00:13:45,074 --> 00:13:47,368 for Africans migrating to Europe via Libya. 213 00:13:49,329 --> 00:13:51,998 I'm going to a region known as the Sahel, 214 00:13:52,081 --> 00:13:55,543 a vast transition zone between desert and forest in Africa. 215 00:13:56,336 --> 00:13:59,088 I'm accompanying the UN's Monique Barbut, 216 00:13:59,172 --> 00:14:03,092 whose job is to save fertile land from turning into desert. 217 00:14:05,261 --> 00:14:08,931 As we start our descent, the pilot announces the temperature: 218 00:14:09,015 --> 00:14:12,393 117 degrees Fahrenheit. 219 00:14:15,188 --> 00:14:17,523 It's my first time in the Sahel. 220 00:14:18,775 --> 00:14:20,818 -Pleased to meet you. -Hello. 221 00:14:37,835 --> 00:14:40,838 Leaving the airport, we're escorted by the military. 222 00:14:41,589 --> 00:14:43,091 Extremists from al Qaeda 223 00:14:43,174 --> 00:14:45,426 have been known to kidnap Westerners here. 224 00:14:56,104 --> 00:14:58,689 A centuries-old desert trading post, Agadez used to be 225 00:14:58,773 --> 00:15:01,275 one of West Africa's tourist attractions. 226 00:15:03,236 --> 00:15:07,657 Today? Today it's a gateway for African's fleeing the continent. 227 00:15:09,409 --> 00:15:12,870 We drive a few miles out of town to the desert crossroads. 228 00:15:15,248 --> 00:15:17,750 -What country? -Guinea. 229 00:15:17,834 --> 00:15:20,920 And how long did it take to get here from Guinea? 230 00:15:21,003 --> 00:15:22,964 Guinea to here? One week. 231 00:15:27,927 --> 00:15:30,721 So he's coming from a village, his family's still there. 232 00:15:30,805 --> 00:15:33,224 But he had to leave and go to Conakry. 233 00:15:33,307 --> 00:15:34,809 -The city. -To cities. 234 00:15:34,892 --> 00:15:37,019 Because there was no work in the village. 235 00:15:37,103 --> 00:15:39,730 -No work in the village. -And now he has no work 236 00:15:39,814 --> 00:15:42,525 in the city either so he's going further away. 237 00:15:43,568 --> 00:15:46,362 Officials here tell me something that's hard to imagine: 238 00:15:46,946 --> 00:15:50,032 as many as 17 000 migrants 239 00:15:50,116 --> 00:15:52,326 pass through this exact spot every week. 240 00:15:52,910 --> 00:15:55,705 I leave the crossroads and head off to a transit center 241 00:15:55,788 --> 00:15:59,584 operated by the International Organization for Migration. 242 00:15:59,667 --> 00:16:03,671 This center provides aid to those attempting this dangerous journey. 243 00:16:03,754 --> 00:16:07,175 So let me ask a question. There are all these young men here. 244 00:16:07,258 --> 00:16:10,428 How many people are back home 245 00:16:10,511 --> 00:16:15,683 who would like to come to Libya, to Europe, to Greece to Turkey. 246 00:16:15,766 --> 00:16:18,269 How many would like to get out? 247 00:16:18,352 --> 00:16:24,817 Right now there are 12 people who call me every day on the phone. 248 00:16:24,901 --> 00:16:26,986 "I want to come. I want to come." 249 00:16:27,069 --> 00:16:29,697 I say to them, "I wouldn't wish it on my worst enemy." 250 00:16:29,780 --> 00:16:31,491 But they'll see for themselves. 251 00:16:32,909 --> 00:16:35,244 At first I am confused, but then I realize: 252 00:16:35,328 --> 00:16:38,498 these guys aren't heading to the dream of Europe. 253 00:16:38,581 --> 00:16:41,709 They're coming back from the nightmare that is Libya. 254 00:16:42,585 --> 00:16:45,588 What did you find in Libya? What was it like when you got there? 255 00:16:47,840 --> 00:16:50,426 I just struggled to survive, barely hanging on. 256 00:16:50,510 --> 00:16:55,097 Once I got there, the police made life unbearable for me. 257 00:16:55,181 --> 00:16:58,267 They locked me up in jail for 3 or 4 months. 258 00:16:58,351 --> 00:17:00,811 When you are in that jail in Libya, 259 00:17:01,604 --> 00:17:04,023 tell us a little more what it's like every day? 260 00:17:04,106 --> 00:17:09,737 They beat us. Morning, noon, and night. 261 00:17:09,820 --> 00:17:12,406 We lost two people. They died. 262 00:17:12,490 --> 00:17:15,701 They use electric shocks so intense you cry. 263 00:17:15,785 --> 00:17:18,371 I'm sore from the punches. 264 00:17:18,454 --> 00:17:20,665 Does he want to go back home now? 265 00:17:20,748 --> 00:17:23,084 All I want is to go back home. 266 00:17:24,085 --> 00:17:26,879 Instead, these young men are stuck here, 267 00:17:26,963 --> 00:17:29,715 personae non gratae, just about everywhere else. 268 00:17:29,799 --> 00:17:32,009 The sense of failure is palpable. 269 00:17:32,093 --> 00:17:33,970 I've seen before, 270 00:17:34,053 --> 00:17:35,805 an emerging poverty of hope 271 00:17:35,888 --> 00:17:39,850 which makes them easy prey for those who have an agenda. 272 00:17:43,479 --> 00:17:47,525 This year is setting record temperatures across the globe. 273 00:17:48,401 --> 00:17:51,445 And here in California, it's 108. 274 00:17:54,448 --> 00:17:58,703 Adam Toledo has money to plant one more crop of oats. 275 00:17:59,912 --> 00:18:02,999 If it doesn't rain, it could be his last. 276 00:18:04,792 --> 00:18:08,212 Meanwhile, his well has gone completely dry. 277 00:18:08,796 --> 00:18:12,883 The family is down to the water left in two giant reserve tanks. 278 00:18:15,177 --> 00:18:18,389 How do you want me to save water for the house? 279 00:18:19,056 --> 00:18:20,766 It's gonna be a little harder. 280 00:18:22,018 --> 00:18:24,437 Don't worry, you'll take a shower. 281 00:18:25,313 --> 00:18:28,190 You're not gonna take one hour in the shower, okay? 282 00:18:28,274 --> 00:18:30,026 Two minutes and get out. 283 00:18:30,109 --> 00:18:31,777 No, just playing. 284 00:18:39,535 --> 00:18:42,246 Back in L.A., I'm terrified so much 285 00:18:42,330 --> 00:18:44,790 of our nation's food supply could be at risk. 286 00:18:47,293 --> 00:18:49,170 I've come to NASA's Jet Propulsion Lab 287 00:18:49,253 --> 00:18:51,464 to find out just how bad things really are. 288 00:18:51,547 --> 00:18:53,299 -I'm Jay. -Nice to meet you. 289 00:18:53,382 --> 00:18:56,969 Jay Famiglietti is one of the world's top hydrologists. 290 00:18:57,053 --> 00:18:59,221 He's been using satellite technology 291 00:18:59,305 --> 00:19:01,974 to measure the levels of the world's groundwater. 292 00:19:02,058 --> 00:19:03,768 Having seen what's happening 293 00:19:03,851 --> 00:19:06,562 in the Central Valley with these farmers, 294 00:19:06,646 --> 00:19:09,774 and the desperate need for water, I mean, 295 00:19:09,857 --> 00:19:12,026 is there any hope on the horizon for them? 296 00:19:12,109 --> 00:19:16,906 I think the future of agriculture in California is really at risk. 297 00:19:17,698 --> 00:19:20,034 Over the last few years, California's lost, 298 00:19:20,117 --> 00:19:22,870 something like 4 trillion gallons of water per year. 299 00:19:22,953 --> 00:19:25,873 -I'm sorry, what? -Yeah, trillion with a "t". 300 00:19:26,749 --> 00:19:29,794 And a lot of that water used to support agriculture. 301 00:19:29,877 --> 00:19:32,546 According to Jay, that's enough water 302 00:19:32,630 --> 00:19:36,342 to sustain all of New York, LA, and Chicago. 303 00:19:36,425 --> 00:19:38,135 For five years. 304 00:19:38,719 --> 00:19:40,721 Can you tie this into climate change? 305 00:19:40,805 --> 00:19:43,265 Absolutely. The climate models predict 306 00:19:43,349 --> 00:19:44,975 that, as temperatures warm, 307 00:19:45,059 --> 00:19:48,437 the wet areas, the high latitudes and the Tropics will get wetter, 308 00:19:48,521 --> 00:19:50,106 and the dry areas will get drier. 309 00:19:50,189 --> 00:19:52,191 -Drier. -And we're seeing it. 310 00:19:52,274 --> 00:19:54,318 So this is a map of the United States, 311 00:19:54,402 --> 00:19:56,195 and the trends over 12 years 312 00:19:56,278 --> 00:19:58,239 and the blues are places that are gaining. 313 00:19:58,322 --> 00:20:00,908 And the reds are places that are losing water. 314 00:20:00,991 --> 00:20:05,871 You see those hot spots in the Central Valley and in Texas, 315 00:20:05,955 --> 00:20:08,499 those are our two big food-producing regions 316 00:20:08,582 --> 00:20:09,959 in the United States. 317 00:20:10,042 --> 00:20:13,963 That part of Texas, will run out of water in 20 or 30 years. 318 00:20:16,716 --> 00:20:21,595 Then what? What are we gonna do to grow food for our nation? 319 00:20:21,679 --> 00:20:24,640 -Is this the global story? -Unfortunately it is. 320 00:20:24,724 --> 00:20:28,269 Around the world the mid-latitudes, 321 00:20:28,352 --> 00:20:30,187 where all the major aquifers are, 322 00:20:30,271 --> 00:20:33,107 they are past sustainability tipping points. 323 00:20:33,190 --> 00:20:35,735 -I mean this insane. -This is insane. 324 00:20:35,818 --> 00:20:37,695 What does this mean for global food? 325 00:20:37,778 --> 00:20:41,115 What's this mean for how we do our agriculture now around the world? 326 00:20:41,198 --> 00:20:43,617 It stands to change our food security, 327 00:20:43,701 --> 00:20:46,996 our energy security, our human security globally. 328 00:20:47,079 --> 00:20:50,124 Are we talking about a great migration again? 329 00:20:50,207 --> 00:20:53,919 I mean, is man going to have to completely pick up 330 00:20:54,003 --> 00:20:56,297 -and move to places where...? -I think, yes. 331 00:20:56,964 --> 00:21:00,176 I mean this is really scary stuff. Exactly. 332 00:21:00,259 --> 00:21:01,761 I am getting to the point 333 00:21:01,844 --> 00:21:04,555 where I'm not sleeping well at night. 334 00:21:08,017 --> 00:21:12,146 Leaving NASA, I think about my kids, who just left for college. 335 00:21:13,022 --> 00:21:16,066 Their future is starting to look downright apocalyptic 336 00:21:16,150 --> 00:21:17,568 under climate change. 337 00:21:18,194 --> 00:21:20,446 So what are we doing to stop it? 338 00:21:20,529 --> 00:21:24,825 Is anyone, at least in my state, taking charge? 339 00:21:39,715 --> 00:21:41,675 I'm heading towards Dirkou, 340 00:21:41,759 --> 00:21:44,261 the last stop before the Libyan border. 341 00:21:46,013 --> 00:21:50,643 In the distance we can see a crowd gathering by a transport truck. 342 00:21:54,897 --> 00:21:57,525 All those people are from Niger. 343 00:21:57,608 --> 00:21:59,985 They are internal migrants. 344 00:22:03,197 --> 00:22:07,201 I have ask here are only men, where are the families? 345 00:22:07,284 --> 00:22:09,245 And all of them are saying 346 00:22:09,328 --> 00:22:12,289 that their family stays in the village. 347 00:22:12,373 --> 00:22:15,209 How do their families survive back home, without the men? 348 00:22:17,294 --> 00:22:18,838 Before they left, 349 00:22:18,921 --> 00:22:22,424 they tried to leave enough for the family to sustain. 350 00:22:23,008 --> 00:22:26,262 And this man was saying that he just talked to his wife 351 00:22:26,345 --> 00:22:29,974 who told him that now they have finished all the crops. 352 00:22:30,766 --> 00:22:32,768 And that now they are in the hands of God. 353 00:22:32,852 --> 00:22:34,895 -Now they are? -In the hands of God. 354 00:22:41,527 --> 00:22:45,489 Minister, what is going on in Niger in terms of the climate, 355 00:22:45,573 --> 00:22:46,949 the environment, 356 00:22:47,032 --> 00:22:49,577 that so many people would be tempted 357 00:22:49,660 --> 00:22:52,454 to want to go up to Libya, and even beyond to Europe? 358 00:22:52,538 --> 00:22:54,623 The population lives, for the most part, 359 00:22:54,707 --> 00:22:57,293 off of agriculture and livestock. 360 00:22:58,043 --> 00:23:01,672 The desert is advancing rapidly. 361 00:23:01,755 --> 00:23:05,926 The sand dunes shift and they invade our agricultural lands. 362 00:23:06,010 --> 00:23:10,472 We lose about 104 000 hectares per year. 363 00:23:10,556 --> 00:23:13,434 -A hundred thousand hectares? -Yes, every year. 364 00:23:13,517 --> 00:23:14,935 -Every year? -Every year. 365 00:23:16,020 --> 00:23:18,147 -Every year. -Wow. 366 00:23:18,230 --> 00:23:22,985 So, it's the production base of our poor population 367 00:23:23,068 --> 00:23:26,655 that dwindles from day to day. 368 00:23:26,739 --> 00:23:29,158 This invasion of sand dunes, 369 00:23:29,241 --> 00:23:31,994 has that always been part of Niger's history? 370 00:23:32,703 --> 00:23:34,955 When I was young, 371 00:23:35,039 --> 00:23:38,709 our parents always planted after a heavy rain, 372 00:23:38,792 --> 00:23:40,920 between the first and the sixth of June. 373 00:23:41,879 --> 00:23:44,340 We can get a rain in April. 374 00:23:44,423 --> 00:23:47,468 And then we could have a month without a drop of rain. 375 00:23:47,551 --> 00:23:51,096 We may experience serious floods that carry off 376 00:23:51,180 --> 00:23:52,556 big chunks of soil, 377 00:23:52,640 --> 00:23:55,476 sometimes even carry off men. 378 00:23:55,559 --> 00:23:59,480 And for us, those are the effects of climate change. 379 00:23:59,563 --> 00:24:03,692 Do you think we in the West are responsible for this also? 380 00:24:04,693 --> 00:24:07,071 The answer is quite simple. 381 00:24:07,154 --> 00:24:09,448 Who pollutes the planet? 382 00:24:12,284 --> 00:24:16,789 The great responsibility for polluting the planet 383 00:24:16,872 --> 00:24:19,583 comes from the West. 384 00:24:20,668 --> 00:24:23,295 And it's to the West to pay. 385 00:24:23,379 --> 00:24:26,674 It boils down to a question of security. 386 00:24:27,299 --> 00:24:31,011 What will all of this lead to? 387 00:24:31,637 --> 00:24:34,848 Our youth are unemployed. 388 00:24:34,932 --> 00:24:36,934 They'll go elsewhere. 389 00:24:37,810 --> 00:24:43,649 Or they'll respond to the siren call of Boko Haram or the Jihadists. 390 00:24:47,695 --> 00:24:49,905 The siren call of extremism. 391 00:24:50,781 --> 00:24:54,910 With nowhere else to turn, there is that darker option. 392 00:24:56,161 --> 00:25:00,207 I'm seeing how conditions here might touch American lives. 393 00:25:01,333 --> 00:25:03,961 I wonder, do our leaders back home understand 394 00:25:04,044 --> 00:25:06,505 the full impact of a changing climate? 395 00:25:13,470 --> 00:25:16,306 Neither California nor indeed the world 396 00:25:16,390 --> 00:25:18,350 can ignore the growing assault 397 00:25:18,434 --> 00:25:20,644 on the very systems of nature 398 00:25:20,728 --> 00:25:24,565 on which human beings and other forms of life depend. 399 00:25:24,648 --> 00:25:27,693 7000 miles from the deserts of Africa, 400 00:25:27,776 --> 00:25:31,155 there is at least one American politician who gets it. 401 00:25:31,238 --> 00:25:33,032 California governor, Jerry Brown. 402 00:25:33,866 --> 00:25:36,285 No stranger to environmental issues, 403 00:25:36,368 --> 00:25:40,539 he's been battling the oil and gas industries since the '70s. 404 00:25:40,622 --> 00:25:43,125 And while he knows he can't fight a drought, 405 00:25:43,208 --> 00:25:45,169 he can fight climate change, 406 00:25:45,252 --> 00:25:47,463 preventing far worse droughts in the future. 407 00:25:47,546 --> 00:25:50,049 And Brown has a radical solution: 408 00:25:50,674 --> 00:25:54,762 a bill that would cut oil use in the state in half by 2030. 409 00:25:57,723 --> 00:26:01,810 We use about 18 billion gallons a year. 410 00:26:01,894 --> 00:26:05,105 -Wow. -Of diesel and gasoline. 411 00:26:05,189 --> 00:26:06,690 -In California? -In California. 412 00:26:06,774 --> 00:26:09,651 To say we're going to cut all that in half, in some way, 413 00:26:09,735 --> 00:26:12,362 cut the fuel in half, how are we going to do it? 414 00:26:12,446 --> 00:26:15,741 Are we up against the clock in a way that will make something like that 415 00:26:15,824 --> 00:26:17,868 have to be fast-tracked to have any success? 416 00:26:17,951 --> 00:26:20,871 If we, as the 7.2 billion people on Planet Earth, 417 00:26:20,954 --> 00:26:23,123 yeah, we are up against it. 418 00:26:23,207 --> 00:26:26,710 I think there's now a billion cars in the world. 419 00:26:26,794 --> 00:26:30,714 There was only 300 million when I was governor 35 years ago. 420 00:26:30,798 --> 00:26:33,008 And we'll be up at two billion cars pretty soon. 421 00:26:33,092 --> 00:26:36,595 What I want to do in California is make sure we stay on course 422 00:26:36,678 --> 00:26:38,097 and set a good example 423 00:26:38,180 --> 00:26:40,390 so that other states, the federal government, 424 00:26:40,474 --> 00:26:42,810 and other countries will join with us. 425 00:26:42,893 --> 00:26:46,021 I like to do things that are big, that are, that are significant. 426 00:26:46,772 --> 00:26:49,483 Working on climate change is working on something 427 00:26:49,566 --> 00:26:51,193 that makes a difference. 428 00:26:51,276 --> 00:26:55,239 My guess is the governor is going to have a huge fight on his hands. 429 00:26:55,322 --> 00:26:56,865 Last year, the oil industry 430 00:26:56,949 --> 00:27:01,286 sold 86 billion dollars in petroleum to Californians. 431 00:27:01,954 --> 00:27:03,789 I can't imagine they'll be too thrilled 432 00:27:03,872 --> 00:27:06,542 about the prospect of having their profits slashed. 433 00:27:06,625 --> 00:27:08,710 But Governor Brown plays the long game. 434 00:27:08,794 --> 00:27:11,046 We met a family in Porterville. The Toledos. 435 00:27:11,130 --> 00:27:13,590 Their well has run dry. They may have to move. 436 00:27:13,674 --> 00:27:15,634 The world is going to change. 437 00:27:15,717 --> 00:27:18,595 And whether you're in that valley of California, 438 00:27:18,679 --> 00:27:24,268 or you're on the eroding coast of New Orleans and Miami. 439 00:27:24,351 --> 00:27:25,727 How we handle that 440 00:27:25,811 --> 00:27:28,522 with the millions of refugees and migrants, 441 00:27:28,605 --> 00:27:31,108 it's going to be really disruptive. 442 00:27:31,191 --> 00:27:33,819 So what you saw in Porterville, 443 00:27:33,902 --> 00:27:37,406 you'll just see a thousand or a million times more. 444 00:27:37,489 --> 00:27:38,866 Whether it becomes 445 00:27:38,949 --> 00:27:41,285 completely universal and catastrophic, 446 00:27:41,368 --> 00:27:44,621 that depends on how quickly we make the change. 447 00:27:49,376 --> 00:27:51,128 This is what we do know, 448 00:27:51,211 --> 00:27:54,715 well over 200 girls were kidnapped by heavily armed gunmen. 449 00:27:54,798 --> 00:27:59,052 Boko Haram, known for mass abductions like this one, 450 00:27:59,136 --> 00:28:02,890 is considered one of the world's deadliest terrorist organizations, 451 00:28:02,973 --> 00:28:06,810 and has been affiliated with both ISIS and al Qaeda. 452 00:28:06,894 --> 00:28:08,896 Could climate change be having an influence 453 00:28:08,979 --> 00:28:11,190 on the rise of extremism here? 454 00:28:13,108 --> 00:28:16,028 Here I have three maps I wanted to show you. 455 00:28:16,111 --> 00:28:21,074 The first is the vulnerability to desertification in Africa. 456 00:28:21,158 --> 00:28:24,077 -And as you can see... -Runs through the middle of Africa. 457 00:28:24,161 --> 00:28:26,663 Yeah. Here, you have the food riots 458 00:28:26,747 --> 00:28:29,166 and where they have exploded the same year. 459 00:28:29,249 --> 00:28:32,628 And if you take the map of terrorist attack, 460 00:28:32,711 --> 00:28:34,671 -al Qaeda type attack. -Boko Haram? 461 00:28:34,755 --> 00:28:37,382 We go exactly again. 462 00:28:37,466 --> 00:28:39,218 Through the center of the continent. 463 00:28:39,301 --> 00:28:42,846 -Yes, this is reality. -Desert, food riots, 464 00:28:42,930 --> 00:28:44,348 -al Qaeda, and ISIS. -Yeah. 465 00:28:44,431 --> 00:28:47,100 -Same map, same places. -Exactly. 466 00:28:47,184 --> 00:28:50,979 You can tell me that there is no direct consequences 467 00:28:51,063 --> 00:28:52,606 of one of another. 468 00:28:52,689 --> 00:28:55,025 But denying that there is no links, 469 00:28:55,651 --> 00:28:58,362 this is where I am kind of stunned. 470 00:28:58,445 --> 00:29:01,990 By 2045, so 30 years from now, 471 00:29:02,783 --> 00:29:06,954 they say that 60 millions people may be moving 472 00:29:07,037 --> 00:29:10,249 from south part of Africa below the Sahara 473 00:29:10,332 --> 00:29:12,459 to North Africa and to Europe. 474 00:29:12,542 --> 00:29:14,544 Sixty million. 475 00:29:14,628 --> 00:29:17,714 What you're talking about is terrifying, Monique. 476 00:29:17,798 --> 00:29:21,885 We have underestimate what is happening 477 00:29:21,969 --> 00:29:26,682 in terms of small farmers losing their natural capital. 478 00:29:26,765 --> 00:29:29,393 And the only natural capital 479 00:29:29,476 --> 00:29:32,479 that people have around here is the land. 480 00:29:33,105 --> 00:29:35,065 Monique, you get to be Queen for a Day. 481 00:29:35,148 --> 00:29:38,860 You get to invest in one big solution 482 00:29:38,944 --> 00:29:41,697 for everything we're talking about. What would it be? 483 00:29:41,780 --> 00:29:43,907 You see, today in the world, 484 00:29:43,991 --> 00:29:46,326 people are putting walls all over the place, 485 00:29:46,410 --> 00:29:49,871 and me also, I dream of a wall. 486 00:29:49,955 --> 00:29:54,126 But it is a wall that we have called the "great green wall." 487 00:29:55,460 --> 00:29:59,089 Climate change is a major factor in the deterioration of soil here. 488 00:29:59,881 --> 00:30:01,300 The great green wall 489 00:30:01,383 --> 00:30:03,593 would create a ribbon of restoration projects 490 00:30:03,677 --> 00:30:06,555 to conserve every drop of water possible 491 00:30:06,638 --> 00:30:09,391 and turn deserts back into fertile land. 492 00:30:09,474 --> 00:30:13,395 The project is almost a decade old but it needs oversight and financing 493 00:30:13,478 --> 00:30:15,439 to start making headway. 494 00:30:15,522 --> 00:30:19,818 You know, to restore a hectare of degraded land, 495 00:30:19,901 --> 00:30:22,946 it costs between 100 and 300 dollars. 496 00:30:23,613 --> 00:30:28,368 Okay? Compared to peace, to security, to human dignity, 497 00:30:28,452 --> 00:30:31,413 what is it we are talking about? Not much. 498 00:30:31,496 --> 00:30:32,873 Not much. 499 00:30:35,292 --> 00:30:38,920 Sixty million refugees fleeing Africa. 500 00:30:39,004 --> 00:30:41,965 The West can't even manage a million Syrians. 501 00:30:44,259 --> 00:30:45,635 And what's so surprising 502 00:30:45,719 --> 00:30:48,847 is that so many of the migrants I've met here are from Senegal. 503 00:30:48,930 --> 00:30:50,682 I've always thought that Senegal 504 00:30:50,766 --> 00:30:54,144 was one of West Africa's most stable and prosperous countries. 505 00:30:54,895 --> 00:30:57,105 It appears that might be changing. 506 00:31:05,113 --> 00:31:07,616 Adam and Gricelda Toledo have planted 507 00:31:07,699 --> 00:31:10,118 their make-or-break crop of oats. 508 00:31:11,578 --> 00:31:13,622 But with their well now dry 509 00:31:13,705 --> 00:31:16,708 and the water in their emergency tanks running low, 510 00:31:16,792 --> 00:31:19,711 they have to move their animals to a nearby relative's. 511 00:31:23,757 --> 00:31:25,759 Hey girls, come on in. 512 00:31:27,094 --> 00:31:30,764 It's a stop-gap for now. They can't spare the water. 513 00:31:34,393 --> 00:31:36,937 Back in LA, commercials have popped up, 514 00:31:37,020 --> 00:31:40,941 slamming the governor's ambitious bill to cut petroleum use in half. 515 00:31:41,733 --> 00:31:44,361 It's about making it harder for regular people 516 00:31:44,444 --> 00:31:47,280 to drive to work and drive home each day. 517 00:31:47,364 --> 00:31:50,117 To find out who's behind this advertising blitz, 518 00:31:50,200 --> 00:31:52,035 I'm meeting up with Tom Steyer, 519 00:31:52,119 --> 00:31:54,287 a billionaire former hedge fund manager 520 00:31:54,371 --> 00:31:56,706 who now spends his money funding candidates 521 00:31:56,790 --> 00:31:59,459 and initiatives that fight climate change. 522 00:31:59,543 --> 00:32:03,213 His group NextGen has spent two million dollars backing bills, 523 00:32:03,296 --> 00:32:05,549 including the governor's gas reduction measure. 524 00:32:05,632 --> 00:32:08,510 ...penalizing drivers for using too much gas. 525 00:32:08,593 --> 00:32:10,720 -Let me just stop right here. -Please. 526 00:32:10,804 --> 00:32:14,516 I mean, as much money as they spend, they can't get better actors? 527 00:32:14,599 --> 00:32:17,561 Who are the "they" we're talking about? 528 00:32:17,644 --> 00:32:19,062 In California, 529 00:32:19,146 --> 00:32:21,940 that is paid for by a bunch of oil companies. 530 00:32:22,023 --> 00:32:25,485 But the fact of the matter is, they have very specific interests. 531 00:32:25,569 --> 00:32:27,487 They're trying to scare people. 532 00:32:27,571 --> 00:32:30,323 And also they spent 11 million dollars lobbying, 533 00:32:30,407 --> 00:32:33,452 just going office to office and arguing against this. 534 00:32:33,535 --> 00:32:35,829 Is this something you see across the country? 535 00:32:35,912 --> 00:32:38,373 The oil and gas industry in the US 536 00:32:38,457 --> 00:32:41,251 have decided they are going to fight and deny the problem. 537 00:32:41,334 --> 00:32:43,462 How do you fight against something like that? 538 00:32:43,545 --> 00:32:45,380 It's corny, 539 00:32:45,464 --> 00:32:48,675 but, by far, the biggest thing we have going for us is the truth. 540 00:32:48,758 --> 00:32:51,553 We're going to see the world get warmer. 541 00:32:51,636 --> 00:32:55,182 Cities threatened. Climate refugees around the world, 542 00:32:55,265 --> 00:32:57,184 -which we're... -Already seeing. 543 00:32:57,267 --> 00:32:58,643 Yeah. 544 00:32:58,727 --> 00:33:01,438 To the extent that we don't get legislation in Washington, 545 00:33:01,521 --> 00:33:04,232 then the change is going to have to come at the states. 546 00:33:07,652 --> 00:33:09,738 But I hear that, up in Sacramento, 547 00:33:09,821 --> 00:33:12,115 oil lobbyists are having success 548 00:33:12,199 --> 00:33:14,201 getting legislators to echo their ideas. 549 00:33:14,284 --> 00:33:15,911 Nobody ever says, 550 00:33:15,994 --> 00:33:19,456 "Oh my gosh, I want to pay higher gas prices." 551 00:33:19,539 --> 00:33:21,750 This measure will lead to substantial increases 552 00:33:21,833 --> 00:33:23,293 in the cost of energy 553 00:33:23,376 --> 00:33:26,713 and will hurt families who live in our most disadvantaged communities. 554 00:33:26,796 --> 00:33:29,841 We need to stop regulating, we need more free market. 555 00:33:29,925 --> 00:33:32,511 Mr. Secretary, please call the roll. 556 00:33:48,443 --> 00:33:50,904 A defeat now for Governor Jerry Brown 557 00:33:50,987 --> 00:33:53,323 and his efforts fighting global warming. 558 00:33:53,406 --> 00:33:55,450 No state, no nation, has tried this. 559 00:33:55,534 --> 00:33:58,495 To use the government to force a drastic reduction 560 00:33:58,578 --> 00:34:01,540 in gas consumption by drivers in California. 561 00:34:01,623 --> 00:34:04,918 About an hour ago, the governor announced he has pulled that idea. 562 00:34:07,546 --> 00:34:10,924 Oil has won a skirmish, but they've lost the bigger battle. 563 00:34:11,007 --> 00:34:16,179 Because my zeal has been intensified to a maximum degree. 564 00:34:16,263 --> 00:34:19,140 And nothing, nothing is going to stop this state 565 00:34:19,224 --> 00:34:22,477 from pushing forward on our low carbon fuel standard, 566 00:34:22,561 --> 00:34:24,229 and all the rest. 567 00:34:24,312 --> 00:34:26,231 California will continue to lead. 568 00:34:37,075 --> 00:34:38,827 Decisions made in our backyard 569 00:34:38,910 --> 00:34:41,913 impact backyards all across the globe. 570 00:34:43,039 --> 00:34:45,458 I'm at Senegal's Meteorological Authority, 571 00:34:45,542 --> 00:34:47,544 with the head of their climate division, 572 00:34:47,627 --> 00:34:49,296 Dr. Ousmane Ndiaye. 573 00:34:49,379 --> 00:34:51,798 -Hello. -Hey! Dr. Ndiaye, Tom Friedman. 574 00:34:51,881 --> 00:34:56,052 In Niger, I heard a lot about how the desert is devouring farmland 575 00:34:56,136 --> 00:34:58,471 but I need to know the science behind it. 576 00:34:58,555 --> 00:34:59,931 -How was it? -Hot! 577 00:35:00,015 --> 00:35:02,183 -Really? I'll show you something. -Hot, hot. 578 00:35:02,267 --> 00:35:03,685 As you can see here, 579 00:35:03,768 --> 00:35:06,855 this is the temperature variabilit over year-to-year. 580 00:35:06,938 --> 00:35:08,857 The temperature is going up, up, up. 581 00:35:08,940 --> 00:35:12,402 And, actually, we have observed the difference of 2 degrees Celsius. 582 00:35:12,485 --> 00:35:15,572 So between here and here, is two degrees. 583 00:35:15,655 --> 00:35:17,032 Two degrees. 584 00:35:17,115 --> 00:35:20,285 You know, Dr. Ndiaye, when we were at the Paris Climate Conference, 585 00:35:20,368 --> 00:35:22,203 the whole objective of that conference 586 00:35:22,287 --> 00:35:24,164 was that the world should get together 587 00:35:24,247 --> 00:35:26,916 and prevent the two-degrees-Centigrade rise 588 00:35:27,000 --> 00:35:28,376 in average temperature. 589 00:35:28,460 --> 00:35:30,754 What you're telling me is, here in Senegal, 590 00:35:30,837 --> 00:35:34,424 -you've already hit the two degrees. -Exactly. Exactly. 591 00:35:34,507 --> 00:35:36,259 We are living it. 592 00:35:36,343 --> 00:35:40,138 Dr. Ndiaye tells me Senegal is a sign of things to come. 593 00:35:41,806 --> 00:35:43,892 Different regions warm at different rates. 594 00:35:43,975 --> 00:35:47,062 But the world's average temperature has been fairly steady, 595 00:35:47,145 --> 00:35:49,272 even dropping slightly of late. 596 00:35:49,356 --> 00:35:51,274 But ever since the Industrial Revolution, 597 00:35:51,358 --> 00:35:52,734 it shot up. 598 00:35:52,817 --> 00:35:56,029 The global average has risen a full degree Celsius 599 00:35:56,112 --> 00:35:57,489 and scientists warn 600 00:35:57,572 --> 00:36:00,075 that just one more degree would be catastrophic. 601 00:36:00,158 --> 00:36:03,078 So what impact has that had on agriculture and farming here? 602 00:36:03,161 --> 00:36:04,996 It has a huge impact. 603 00:36:05,080 --> 00:36:08,416 And you see that in the plants here. 604 00:36:08,500 --> 00:36:11,795 When the temperature rise the plants need and demand more water. 605 00:36:11,878 --> 00:36:14,798 So in those conditions it gets more and more difficult. 606 00:36:14,881 --> 00:36:17,008 It gets hotter and the plants need more water. 607 00:36:17,092 --> 00:36:18,468 Exactly, needs, yes. 608 00:36:18,551 --> 00:36:21,846 And the rainfall is diminishing more and more due to climate change. 609 00:36:21,930 --> 00:36:24,724 -What happens down the road? -Let me show you something. 610 00:36:25,392 --> 00:36:29,020 Dr. Ndiaye shows me a climate model developed by leading scientists. 611 00:36:29,104 --> 00:36:32,315 In 2010, we were thinking forward, what will happen? 612 00:36:32,399 --> 00:36:34,192 And the worst scenario was the red one. 613 00:36:34,275 --> 00:36:36,027 We were thinking, this won't happen. 614 00:36:36,111 --> 00:36:38,321 And, actually, we are following the red one. 615 00:36:38,405 --> 00:36:40,949 So, we're talking about a temperature rise, 616 00:36:41,032 --> 00:36:44,494 average temperature, of over four degrees? 617 00:36:44,577 --> 00:36:46,371 Yes, at the end of the century. 618 00:36:46,454 --> 00:36:48,665 Mother of God, I cannot imagine 619 00:36:48,748 --> 00:36:51,918 what it would be like to live in Senegal 620 00:36:52,001 --> 00:36:54,546 at that end of the extreme range. 621 00:36:54,629 --> 00:36:58,550 Yeah. It will be very difficult. Very challenging for them. 622 00:36:58,633 --> 00:37:01,177 With limited resources, it will be... 623 00:37:02,053 --> 00:37:03,430 very difficult. 624 00:37:12,480 --> 00:37:14,607 I'm having a hard time grappling with the fact 625 00:37:14,691 --> 00:37:17,777 that this massive, once fertile farmland 626 00:37:17,861 --> 00:37:20,697 is starting to look more like a Saharan landscape. 627 00:37:21,406 --> 00:37:23,616 But it has rained some in the Central Valley 628 00:37:23,700 --> 00:37:26,995 and Adam Toledo's crop of oats may have a fighting chance. 629 00:37:31,833 --> 00:37:35,545 But his reserve tanks have completely run out, 630 00:37:35,628 --> 00:37:39,007 leaving the house entirely without water. 631 00:37:42,343 --> 00:37:44,387 He has one day off a week 632 00:37:44,471 --> 00:37:46,765 and he spends it making trips back and forth 633 00:37:46,848 --> 00:37:49,017 to his parents' home to get water. 634 00:38:51,871 --> 00:38:54,290 It takes ten trips like this, 635 00:38:54,374 --> 00:38:57,460 and his entire day, to fill the tanks. 636 00:38:57,544 --> 00:39:00,547 And it's barely enough to last the month. 637 00:39:02,423 --> 00:39:05,927 Gricelda is now eight and a half months pregnant. 638 00:39:08,805 --> 00:39:11,266 I think I'm pretty close to spraying for the weeds. 639 00:39:11,933 --> 00:39:14,727 And if we get two or three rains, we're going to make it. 640 00:39:14,811 --> 00:39:17,897 -What if it doesn't rain? -Keep on trying. 641 00:39:17,981 --> 00:39:21,442 We cannot just let it go that easy. One day it has to rain. 642 00:39:22,151 --> 00:39:24,946 Maybe we're going to think about moving or something. 643 00:39:25,029 --> 00:39:26,406 Moving where? 644 00:39:27,615 --> 00:39:30,410 And all the work and the money. 645 00:39:30,493 --> 00:39:34,581 That's something that we'll have to think about, we'll see. 646 00:40:02,567 --> 00:40:05,069 I never expected my first night in Senegal 647 00:40:05,153 --> 00:40:07,280 to be my first rap concert. 648 00:40:10,408 --> 00:40:12,118 This country has long been considered 649 00:40:12,201 --> 00:40:15,079 one of the few stable democracies in West Africa. 650 00:40:15,705 --> 00:40:18,583 But many of the men I kept meeting in the desert in Agadez 651 00:40:18,666 --> 00:40:20,084 came from here. 652 00:40:24,714 --> 00:40:27,300 Who here wants to emigrate and leave Senegal? 653 00:40:27,383 --> 00:40:30,511 The rapper's name is Matador. He's a huge star here. 654 00:40:30,595 --> 00:40:33,848 Raise your hands if you want to leave! 655 00:40:36,643 --> 00:40:40,813 His song is called "Tukki," which means to leave, to travel. 656 00:40:50,990 --> 00:40:53,868 Matador's message is to stay, 657 00:40:53,952 --> 00:40:57,038 better to be poor and help develop your own country 658 00:40:57,121 --> 00:41:00,500 than to be a poor stranger in a strange land. 659 00:41:06,547 --> 00:41:09,634 The next day, not far from the concert venue, 660 00:41:09,717 --> 00:41:12,762 my guide, Adams Sie, brings me to this market 661 00:41:12,845 --> 00:41:15,348 to meet one of the young men Matador sings about. 662 00:41:15,431 --> 00:41:18,851 You'll meet my friend one of the millions of young people here 663 00:41:18,935 --> 00:41:20,979 who are hustling, just trying to survive. 664 00:41:28,361 --> 00:41:30,780 -Nice to meet you. -Nice to meet you. 665 00:41:31,489 --> 00:41:34,117 I learn he left his farming village four years ago 666 00:41:34,200 --> 00:41:36,077 and became a street seller. 667 00:41:36,160 --> 00:41:41,666 Every day now, for 14 hours, he mans his stall, selling trinkets. 668 00:41:41,749 --> 00:41:44,836 How much can he make in a day here? 669 00:41:47,463 --> 00:41:50,341 Sometimes, he can have something like 1000, 670 00:41:50,425 --> 00:41:52,427 sometimes 1500 Francs CFA. 671 00:41:52,510 --> 00:41:54,721 -So maybe a couple of dollars a day. -Yeah. 672 00:41:54,804 --> 00:41:57,390 And out of that, he has to pay his rent, food, 673 00:41:57,473 --> 00:41:59,517 and support his brothers and sisters. 674 00:41:59,600 --> 00:42:02,311 When we went to Matador's concert, 675 00:42:02,395 --> 00:42:06,149 he kept using the word "tukki" in his rap, leaving, migrating. 676 00:42:06,232 --> 00:42:08,484 Does Djilly want to tukki? 677 00:42:08,568 --> 00:42:12,905 I really think about it. It's got to be better than here. 678 00:42:12,989 --> 00:42:14,657 No future here? 679 00:42:15,908 --> 00:42:19,037 I have no hope to be honest. 680 00:42:19,120 --> 00:42:20,788 Would he like to go back? 681 00:42:20,872 --> 00:42:24,417 Yes. If I had the means, I'd go back to live there. 682 00:42:24,500 --> 00:42:30,798 Farming used to work well for us, but that's not the case anymore. 683 00:42:30,882 --> 00:42:34,719 I miss it a lot, but without money, I can't go back. 684 00:42:34,802 --> 00:42:37,221 -Can we go see his village? -Yes. 685 00:42:39,849 --> 00:42:42,685 Djilly's village is a four-hour drive north. 686 00:42:42,769 --> 00:42:45,563 I'm finally going to get a chance to see for myself 687 00:42:45,646 --> 00:42:48,399 what's actually happening to the farmland here. 688 00:42:49,067 --> 00:42:51,194 I hoped Djilly would come with us, 689 00:42:51,277 --> 00:42:53,946 but he simply can't spare the time off work. 690 00:42:55,239 --> 00:42:58,951 On the way, Adams tells me it's the dry season, 691 00:42:59,035 --> 00:43:01,996 but as we get closer, it's far more than just dry. 692 00:43:02,914 --> 00:43:04,499 It's a wasteland. 693 00:43:05,583 --> 00:43:08,836 I'm reminded of something the migrants in Paris told me: 694 00:43:08,920 --> 00:43:11,214 the earth doesn't work here. 695 00:43:14,926 --> 00:43:18,846 By the time we arrive, we're in the midst a sandstorm. 696 00:43:28,231 --> 00:43:31,109 Do you know a man named Djilly? 697 00:43:34,028 --> 00:43:35,530 We met him in Dakar 698 00:43:35,613 --> 00:43:38,825 and we wanted to come and see his village and why he left. 699 00:43:38,908 --> 00:43:40,326 I wonder if you could help us? 700 00:43:41,494 --> 00:43:43,329 -He invited us to his house. -Wonderful. 701 00:43:43,412 --> 00:43:45,873 The young man's name is Serigne. 702 00:43:46,791 --> 00:43:48,793 And he shares his last name with Djilly 703 00:43:48,876 --> 00:43:51,337 and the village where they were both born. 704 00:43:55,883 --> 00:43:58,010 -His wife. -Oh nice to meet you. 705 00:43:59,178 --> 00:44:01,973 -Oh, his mother. -Mother, oh! 706 00:44:04,851 --> 00:44:06,894 -Welcome, sit down. -Thank you. 707 00:44:07,937 --> 00:44:09,772 Serigne, when you were growing up, 708 00:44:09,856 --> 00:44:12,859 was, this is just powder. 709 00:44:12,942 --> 00:44:14,944 Was the earth like that here? 710 00:44:15,027 --> 00:44:17,822 No, the soil was not like this at all! 711 00:44:17,905 --> 00:44:21,284 In the past, if you scooped it in your hand, it'd feel sticky, oily. 712 00:44:22,034 --> 00:44:24,495 But now, if you lift it like this, it scatters away. 713 00:44:24,579 --> 00:44:27,165 Serigne, of the young men you grew up with, 714 00:44:28,457 --> 00:44:30,459 how many are still here in the village? 715 00:44:31,210 --> 00:44:32,795 The friends I grew up with, 716 00:44:33,379 --> 00:44:35,673 I don't think there is one of them left here. 717 00:44:37,216 --> 00:44:40,011 All my friends are gone. 718 00:44:43,055 --> 00:44:46,684 Serigne's remaining family gathers around us in the courtyard. 719 00:44:46,767 --> 00:44:48,936 His mother tells me that, of her five sons, 720 00:44:49,020 --> 00:44:51,230 Serigne is the only one left at home. 721 00:44:51,314 --> 00:44:55,026 When you have a mother and father to support, 722 00:44:55,109 --> 00:44:57,236 but cannot even support yourself 723 00:44:57,320 --> 00:44:59,238 and your mother and father fall ill, 724 00:44:59,322 --> 00:45:01,199 and you can't provide care for them, 725 00:45:01,282 --> 00:45:04,076 your heart is heavy. You see no choice but to leave. 726 00:45:05,077 --> 00:45:06,704 Serigne, Why didn't you leave? 727 00:45:06,787 --> 00:45:09,165 I did leave and it was hard... 728 00:45:09,248 --> 00:45:11,083 What country did you go to? 729 00:45:12,835 --> 00:45:16,839 Spain. I lived there for 5 years. 730 00:45:16,923 --> 00:45:23,804 I went there October 5, 2003 and left June 29, 2009. 731 00:45:23,888 --> 00:45:25,306 What did you do in Europe? 732 00:45:25,389 --> 00:45:27,433 I did all kinds of work there. 733 00:45:27,516 --> 00:45:28,935 I was a scrap metal dealer. 734 00:45:30,061 --> 00:45:33,814 I sold CDs in the street. 735 00:45:33,898 --> 00:45:36,484 Sometimes I'd help white people carry something heavy 736 00:45:36,567 --> 00:45:37,944 and they would pay me. 737 00:45:38,027 --> 00:45:43,699 I had no hope there even though I am educated. 738 00:45:43,783 --> 00:45:46,285 It was no better suffering there, 739 00:45:46,369 --> 00:45:48,663 not being with my mother and my father, 740 00:45:48,746 --> 00:45:50,665 not being with any family. 741 00:45:50,748 --> 00:45:53,709 That's why I came back. 742 00:45:56,712 --> 00:45:59,674 I've seen many Serignes on the streets of Europe 743 00:45:59,757 --> 00:46:02,510 but I've never been to the place they call home. 744 00:46:04,679 --> 00:46:08,724 As I sit in my car, protected from the heat and desperation, 745 00:46:08,808 --> 00:46:13,020 I know that for Serigne there is no air-conditioned escape. 746 00:46:19,235 --> 00:46:21,529 It's spring in the Central Valley. 747 00:46:21,612 --> 00:46:25,866 The rainy season has come and gone, but it wasn't enough. 748 00:46:26,534 --> 00:46:29,328 Adam Toledo's oat crop has failed. 749 00:46:34,625 --> 00:46:38,254 Now, he's selling what remains of last season's crop 750 00:46:38,337 --> 00:46:39,714 to help pay the bills. 751 00:46:53,811 --> 00:46:56,272 With drought ravaging not just the Toledos, 752 00:46:56,355 --> 00:46:57,732 but the entire state, 753 00:46:57,815 --> 00:47:01,235 Governor Brown is more determined than ever to find a solution. 754 00:47:01,319 --> 00:47:03,446 There are many things we can do together. 755 00:47:03,529 --> 00:47:06,949 Transformation to low-carbon world 756 00:47:07,033 --> 00:47:10,703 can be an occasion for increasing the quality of our lives. 757 00:47:10,786 --> 00:47:13,956 After losing his showdown with the oil industry, 758 00:47:14,040 --> 00:47:16,625 he has been on an international warpath, 759 00:47:16,709 --> 00:47:19,128 drumming up support wherever he can. 760 00:47:19,211 --> 00:47:22,423 The achievements made by California 761 00:47:22,506 --> 00:47:24,300 has made great contribution 762 00:47:24,383 --> 00:47:27,219 for the Chinese-US cooperation on climate change. 763 00:47:27,303 --> 00:47:30,890 He even forms his own international climate pact, 764 00:47:30,973 --> 00:47:32,641 signed not by countries. 765 00:47:32,725 --> 00:47:34,310 Start signing! 766 00:47:35,895 --> 00:47:37,855 But by cities and states, 767 00:47:37,938 --> 00:47:40,900 to take action without waiting for their national governments. 768 00:47:41,901 --> 00:47:45,946 We're building a real force, a global force, 769 00:47:46,030 --> 00:47:48,741 to reduce carbon emissions, 770 00:47:48,824 --> 00:47:52,203 and protect the well-being of people everywhere. 771 00:47:52,286 --> 00:47:54,830 With renewed support, he returns home. 772 00:47:55,831 --> 00:48:00,753 And this time manages to negotiate a new bill with the oil industry. 773 00:48:02,671 --> 00:48:05,841 One that will slash statewide emissions by 40% 774 00:48:05,925 --> 00:48:07,551 in 15 years. 775 00:48:07,635 --> 00:48:10,971 California is doing something that no other state has done. 776 00:48:11,055 --> 00:48:14,308 You're putting into law real measures 777 00:48:14,392 --> 00:48:17,561 backed up by the real power of the state of California. 778 00:48:18,354 --> 00:48:20,064 It's an historic moment. 779 00:48:24,276 --> 00:48:27,321 But it comes too late for the Toledo family. 780 00:48:29,031 --> 00:48:32,785 Fed up with life without water and unable to make their payments, 781 00:48:33,536 --> 00:48:35,913 Adam and Gricelda have left the farm. 782 00:48:36,539 --> 00:48:38,457 Thanks to the generosity of a neighbor, 783 00:48:38,541 --> 00:48:40,668 they are living rent-free, for now. 784 00:48:41,335 --> 00:48:45,131 And with a new member of the family, Daisy. 785 00:48:45,214 --> 00:48:48,300 Mami, do you like your new house? 786 00:48:48,384 --> 00:48:49,802 Do you? 787 00:48:49,885 --> 00:48:53,013 Are you happy in here? Are you? 788 00:48:53,097 --> 00:48:55,891 Yes, I know you are. 789 00:48:58,185 --> 00:49:00,479 We had a dream of having a little farm. 790 00:49:00,563 --> 00:49:02,481 And we had it! 791 00:49:03,149 --> 00:49:05,192 We had four years over there. 792 00:49:05,276 --> 00:49:07,695 But if we sit here and talk about that, 793 00:49:07,778 --> 00:49:09,447 we're going to end up crying. 794 00:49:12,992 --> 00:49:15,494 But, just imagine, like, Daisy's generation, 795 00:49:15,578 --> 00:49:17,955 it's going to be worse and worse 796 00:49:18,038 --> 00:49:21,625 because what makes you think it's gonna get better? 797 00:49:37,600 --> 00:49:39,226 While some towns back home 798 00:49:39,310 --> 00:49:42,062 have just begun to experience climate migration, 799 00:49:42,688 --> 00:49:45,483 Adams has brought me to a village in Senegal 800 00:49:45,566 --> 00:49:47,776 that's feeling its full brunt. 801 00:49:54,200 --> 00:49:58,704 What is it like to have so many of your husbands and sons 802 00:49:58,787 --> 00:50:00,539 out of the village your whole life? 803 00:50:01,665 --> 00:50:03,292 It's a constant struggle. 804 00:50:03,375 --> 00:50:05,419 My children are far away. 805 00:50:06,086 --> 00:50:09,089 One of them is sick. He hasn't been back in a year. 806 00:50:09,673 --> 00:50:11,717 He's in Spain and can't get back. 807 00:50:12,593 --> 00:50:17,139 I have another son in Libya. 808 00:50:17,723 --> 00:50:19,183 He's also sick. 809 00:50:21,143 --> 00:50:23,854 An older man gets up to tell me that his son 810 00:50:23,938 --> 00:50:26,982 also left for Libya more than a year ago. 811 00:50:27,066 --> 00:50:29,401 I haven't heard from him since. 812 00:50:30,027 --> 00:50:33,364 He left his wife and two children behind. 813 00:50:33,447 --> 00:50:35,574 It's very painful. 814 00:50:35,658 --> 00:50:37,451 He's said, very painful. 815 00:50:38,202 --> 00:50:42,414 I don't have the heart to tell him I was just near the Libyan border. 816 00:50:42,498 --> 00:50:45,626 I think of those young men getting ready to cross the desert. 817 00:50:46,210 --> 00:50:48,504 So many die along the way. 818 00:50:48,587 --> 00:50:50,506 Their bodies never found. 819 00:50:50,589 --> 00:50:52,299 Their deaths never recorded. 820 00:50:53,676 --> 00:50:55,761 When I was a strong young man, 821 00:50:55,844 --> 00:50:57,846 my brothers and I farmed for our father, 822 00:50:57,930 --> 00:50:59,431 and brought the harvest home. 823 00:50:59,515 --> 00:51:03,227 Our mothers would then feed us from the harvest. 824 00:51:04,061 --> 00:51:06,564 The whole family would be at home. 825 00:51:06,647 --> 00:51:09,441 Everyone's children stayed here, farming together. 826 00:51:09,525 --> 00:51:12,528 If this situation continues, we won't be able to stay here. 827 00:51:12,611 --> 00:51:14,863 Because we won't make a living. 828 00:51:15,447 --> 00:51:20,661 We will be compelled to follow our children to other places. 829 00:51:34,508 --> 00:51:37,970 I came here with a big question, and I found my answer. 830 00:51:38,971 --> 00:51:41,765 Migrants are leaving Africa for many reasons. 831 00:51:41,849 --> 00:51:45,269 But the ones I met aren't fleeing war. 832 00:51:45,352 --> 00:51:48,564 They're fleeing a land that will no longer support them, 833 00:51:48,647 --> 00:51:52,985 made worse by a man-made condition they did nothing to cause. 834 00:51:53,861 --> 00:51:56,196 As these villages dissolve, 835 00:51:56,280 --> 00:51:59,533 I remember there could be anywhere from 200 million 836 00:51:59,617 --> 00:52:03,787 to one billion climate migrants by the end of the century. 837 00:52:04,955 --> 00:52:06,749 This is just the beginning. 838 00:52:07,374 --> 00:52:11,503 Whether this trickle becomes a flood is up to us. 839 00:52:14,298 --> 00:52:16,300 Subtitles: Daiana Estefanía Díaz plint.com 72232

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