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The occupying forces' offensive has not
collapsed, as BILD has already hastened to report.
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The temporary tactical pause is due
to the fact that the enemy is licking
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its wounds and preparing new reserves for
redeployment closer to the line of contact.
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The Ukrainians, for their part,
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are not yet able to launch an offensive
operation due to the lack of Western aid.
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Toward the end of the month we should
expect another activation on the part
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of the enemy on Avdiivka, Kupiansk and Chasiv
Yar. But even now the battles are not easy,
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not at all. They’re complicated, and
the enemy is making progress somewhere.
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February-March will be very
difficult. And beyond that,
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everything depends on how quickly Congress votes
on funding for this fiscal year for Ukraine.
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Heavy fighting continues in the Avdiivka
area, near Stepove and in the village itself.
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The enemy was able to advance a little
closer to the center of the village,
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but it is prevented from gaining a foothold
by the fire influence of Ukrainian defenders.
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The occupants' assault groups can advance
500 meters during the day, but they retreat
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due to lack of ammunition or lack of support,
because the previous groups were destroyed.
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And as a matter of fact, they have no advance,
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or they can get a hold of a few houses, which
are then dismantled by Ukrainian artillery.
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In Pervomaiske, it is somewhat more
difficult now. Here the enemy still
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retains significant potential and high
combat capability, but has small successes.
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In other areas there are no changes.
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Avdiivka has already endured three months of hell.
This is what the Russian offensive on Avdiivka
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looks like from October 10 to January 10, month
by month since the activation of the assaults.
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What was supposed to be a lightning-fast Russian
operation to encircle the Ukrainian garrison in
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the city turned into a protracted bloody squeeze
with colossal losses in manpower and equipment.
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For more than 90 days of continuous
offensive the enemy lost more than
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13000 personnel and more than 440 units of
equipment, against 33 Ukrainian. Moreover,
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the more difficult this offensive
is being given to the occupiers.
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The enemy literally filled the city with
mines and shells. The number of assaults
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could reach up to 50 per day. On the
direction were involved GRU units,
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former Wagner mercenaries and elite paratroopers.
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But the "lightning" encirclement never succeeded.
Frontal attacks yielded almost nothing and the
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Russian troops lost so much equipment that
they had to pull the remnants to the rear.
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Ukrainian titans continue to defend Avdiivka.
Working in extremely difficult conditions
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without sleep and sometimes without food, the
Ukrainian military shows incredible results.
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Meanwhile, Russian resources have published
a photo of a FAB-1500 semi-tharoton bomb
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with a planning module that is structurally
different from the modules used on the FAB-250
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and 500. They will use this munition
to destroy Ukrainian fortifications,
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and if the goal is to drive the Ukrainians out of
some village, super precision is not so important
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here. They simply drop similar bombs time
after time, destroying building after building,
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fortification after fortification, until there is
nothing left and the defenders have no choice but
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to retreat. And until there are sufficient
counter-measures, this problem will remain.
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