All language subtitles for 10-01-2024fxdfxgdfeeee

Russia has already lost more
than 5,840 tanks in Ukraine,

and the enemy also has about 3,000 tanks in
the combat zone. At first glance, Russia's tank

potential is inexhaustible and it is constantly
recovering. But this is only at first glance.

At the time of the full-scale invasion,
according to various estimates, Russia

had between 3,300 and 3,600 tanks in service. In
two years, Ukrainian forces have destroyed almost

twice as many tanks as Russia had in service
before the full-scale invasion. At the same time,

it was able to maintain a strike capability that
roughly corresponds to its initial performance.

Today, there is no full-scale serial
production of tanks in Russia,

only small-scale assembly of the
T-90, not exceeding 60 tanks per year.

Russia does not produce tanks, but
mainly restores them. And such tanks

are practically more than 90% of the number
of tanks sent to the war zone every month.

To fully understand the numbers, let's look at how

many tanks were being restored in russia
before the full-scale invasion of Ukraine.

A record number of tanks were
"restored" and transferred to

Russian forces in 2019 - 434 units. At
the same time, some of these tanks did

not even undergo additional modernization,
but were immediately sent to the troops.

In 2020, Russian troops received
300 tanks, and in 2021 - 170.

Russia had no full-fledged
serial production of tanks,

and the maximum potential for peacetime
deliveries was about 36 tanks per month.

In fact, Russia's entire tank industry
now depends on the potential it inherited

from the USSR. But how big is this
potential and how long will it last?

Russia inherited tens of thousands of tanks
of various models and modifications from

the USSR. But after decades of storage and
restoration, not all of them are repairable.

Nevertheless, the indicative figures remain
high enough to provide compensation for the

losses of Russian troops in the next at
least two years and amounts to 5100 tanks.

For convenience I have gathered
everything in a small table.

If the same rate of destruction continues in 2024,

the potential for compensation of losses at the
level of 200 tanks per month, or 2,400 per year,

will be insufficient, and the reserve of
equipment itself will be reduced by 50%.

But importantly, the quality
and generations of tanks being

rebuilt will degrade more and more each time.

When officials in Russia talk about the
long-term perspective of the war against Ukraine,

they are blatantly lying. Only human resources
can provide them with a long-term perspective,

while technical resources are inevitably depleted.

At present, Russia's losses in
equipment in many nomenclature

items will never be replenished,
and tanks belong to this category.

The remnants of the Soviet heritage
are being squandered in convulsions

and thirst to achieve some kind of victory,
some kind of result. But there will come

a moment of complete exhaustion of
this potential, and then Russia will

be completely dependent on its own limited
production or supplies from other countries,

which will not be able to provide it at the
level it needs to fight a full-scale war.

But for now, Russia is still able to
compensate for the loss of tanks on its own.