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In the Kupiansk direction, the enemy
continued with the onset of the new
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year its attempts to break through from the
north towards Synkivka and Petropavlivka.
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The enemy has been attacking the AFU's
forward units in the Kupiansk direction
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for more than two months, but for all this
time it was only able to take control of a
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part of the forest south of Lyman Pershyi.
And that was achieved only by stopping the
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offensive in the direction of Borova and
moving part of the forces from there.
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From all the directions where
the enemy went on the offensive
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with the onset of the fall-winter
period, it is the Kupiansk direction
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that remains the least "productive" for
the enemy in terms of "losses-results".
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And it looks a bit strange, because it is
here that the troops of the most powerful
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and "exclusive" army of the land forces
of Russia - the 1st "Guards" Tank Army,
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reinforced by the main forces of
the 6th Panzer Army - are operating.
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There is no tank formation of this
scale in any armed forces of the
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world. It includes two of Russia's
three full-fledged tank divisions,
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as well as a motorized rifle division of
ground forces and a motorized rifle brigade.
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Despite this formidable force, supported by
artillery, for a month now, they have been
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trying to break through to the outskirts
of the left-bank part of the Oskil River.
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The Ukrainian defense forces
opposing this prevailing force,
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both in terms of manpower and the
number of main types and samples of
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weapons and military equipment, have
simply nullified all their attempts.
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The AFU did not create "Zaluzhny lines"
here, did not organize "mine sowing"
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with prohibitive density, and do not
even have an advantage in the air.
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But months pass, and the enemy is
still trying to capture Synkivka.
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Also, the enemy continues to reinforce
its "Kursk" and "Belgorod" troop groups
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at the expense of the forces of the "West"
group deployed in the Kupiansk direction.
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Obviously, the enemy has "pulled" to
Kharkiv and Sumy direction a part of
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its forces and means in addition to
those already deployed. Currently,
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we are talking only about platoons,
battalions, and batteries, no more.
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These maneuvers began as early as January
4 and 5 and may well be an element of the
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so-called "operational game". However,
making clear conclusions regarding the
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content of this intricate plan, which is evidently
implemented by the command of the West group,
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will only be possible after some time,
when these unclear maneuvers end and the
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extent of the forces and resources
that the adversary will move to the
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composition of the Kursk and Belgorod
troop groups becomes more or less clear.
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In fact, at the moment it all looks rather
silly. Movement of up to 5 thousand personnel
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"for replenishment" from the training
grounds of Kursk region to the north of
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the occupied Lugansk region of Ukraine
and simultaneous movement from there in
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the opposite direction (to the same Kursk
region) of units and subdivisions seems,
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even from the point of view of logic
and adequacy, not quite expedient.
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Who and what the Russian command wants to convince
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in such an "uncomplicated"
way, one can only guess.
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Maybe it is really "so intended",
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but from the outside it all looks
like an act of "operational onanism".
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I'm going on a long business trip in a
few days and unfortunately new videos
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will be released less frequently.
I hope for your understanding.
5320
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