All language subtitles for 22-12-2023ffdxfdgxheee

The strategic defensive operation
of Ukraine's defense forces has not

ended since the beginning of
Russia's full-scale invasion.

Episodes of AFU moved in separate
directions to offensive actions,

but in general it was as a
strategic defense and remained.

A strategic offensive operation will be possible

only when the enemy in all
areas becomes defensive.

Remember this summer - the Ukrainian side is
advancing in the Tokmak, Berdiansk and Bakhmut

directions, trying to probe the enemy in the
area of Vuhledar and the left bank of Kherson.

But at the same time the
enemy in the area of Avdeevka,

Marinka and on Lyman-Kupiansk
axis - is advancing itself.

Therefore, globally nothing has changed
in terms of the definition of concepts.

The Russian occupation forces are quite
expected to continue to build up their

capacity at Avdiivka. In particular,
units of the 57th Motorized Brigade,

which had previously been in the area of Bakhmut,
are being transferred to the Avdiivka area.

This is fully in line with the expected
build-up of the enemy group in the Avdiivka

area to 60 thousand people. Now there are more
than 40 thousand concentrated there and this,

as we see, is not enough to capture a small
town within the deadlines set earlier.

Nevertheless, despite the dissatisfaction with
the pace of progress in the Avdeevka area by the

Russian leadership, the resources accumulated
after the failed second wave of the offensive,

the command of the Russian troops is
in no hurry to use. This indicates

thorough preparation for the third wave of the
offensive, which may begin in the near future.

At present, the 21st and 30th Motorized
Brigade, as well as the 239th Tank Regiment

are participating in the battles to a
limited extent. Perhaps these resources

are saved to participate in the main
breakthrough, within the 3rd wave.

It is also to be expected that the Russian
command will continue the practice of

redeploying forces and assets from other
bridgeheads to increase pressure on Avdiivka.

Near Coke Plant, invariable and unsuccessful enemy

attacks continue. Still if even an enemy
group breaks through to the territory,

it is liquidated very quickly. Because
cluster munitions and drones work properly!

Bad news from the Marinka direction, which has
been a major concern in recent days. The ruins

of the former town of Marinka have been lost
almost completely. Fighting continues on the

last two streets still partially under the
control of the Ukrainian Defense Forces.

Formally, the AFU control 1% of the town and
now the situation of the neighboring village

of Novomikhailovka has become so complicated
that there is a risk of losing the village.

Yes, of course, it will stretch in
time and cost the enemy too much.

But then the position of the AFU
at the junction of the Vuhledar

and Marinka directions will
become much more complicated.

I would not guess what consequences this will
lead to. It will be unpleasant, that's for sure.

It is worth noting the decrease in the use of
guided bombs in December. During two-thirds of

December, Russian tactical aviation used
more than 600 corrective aerial bombs.

But this decrease is not due to the fact that
they are running out, but to the deterioration

of weather conditions. In most cases it
was the weather that minimized their use.

Aerial bombs remain the main factor that holds
back Ukraine's defense forces. The overall rate

of their use maintains this problem, which
Ukraine has no effective solution to yet.