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Krynky, question of expediency !
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Recently, I have repeatedly encountered the
opinion that the events that are taking place
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on the left bank of the Kherson region near Krynky
are not worth the effort and resources that are
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being expended on them. However, none of the
authors of these messages has been able to make
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an elementary comparison between the resources
spent by the AFU and those used by Russian troops.
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Not so long ago, the "Dnieper" group
of troops operating on the left bank
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of the river was considered one of the
least combat-ready, only the "Defense of
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Crimea" was worse. However, very quickly
it significantly increased its potential,
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primarily due to quantitative growth. In 3 months,
the personnel grew from 60000 to 72000 people.
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As of today, the "Dnieper" troop group also
has 400 tanks, 900 Armored fighting vehicles,
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500 barrel-armor and about
100 Multiple rocket launchers.
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This increase occurred through the
redeployment of a number of units
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from the groups "Zaporozhye" and "Defense of
Crimea". That is, according to the principle,
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somewhere arrived, somewhere
decreased, and thus weakened.
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A grouping of more than 72,000 people with a
full range of forces and means at its disposal,
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suffering huge losses, is unable to cope
with small Ukrainian company-level units
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with limited functionality, with only artillery
and drones from the right bank as support? At
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the same time, the command of the group is
urgently and hastily increasing its number
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at the expense of other groups of troops,
clearly unable to cope with the situation.
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The left bank of the Kherson region, it would
seem, has a more favorable position than the
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right, because there is no full-flowing
river, which is an obstacle to retreat,
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but there is a nuance. The left bank has
rather limited logistics. There are not
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so many full-fledged arteries, highways
here, and those providing the first line
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of the left bank are concentrated
very close to the coast itself.
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For example, Oleshki is dependent on the P57 and
E97, which just south of the Floodplain splits
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into 2206. In other words, physically cutting one
or both of them will isolate Oleshki. As for 2206,
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it is not only the main artery on
the left bank to Nova Kakhovka,
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but also with the transition to
M14 leads directly to Melitopol.
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In fact, as of today, we can already note
the lack of control by enemy forces over
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the first-line road. And the movement of enemy
equipment along the section south of Krynky,
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which is about 20 kilometers long, is extremely
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dangerous. Now this section is literally
strewn with various Russian scrap metal.
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The expediency of such actions and the purpose
of the Ukrainian defense forces is obvious,
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and the command of the "Dnieper" group
understands it perfectly well, but they cannot
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prevent this process in any way, with all their
quantitative and overall resource superiority.
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The most important thing to realize is that
the processes taking place on the left bank
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are slow by definition. On the other
hand, when they reach their catharsis,
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everything will accelerate, and
we will be left guessing which
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line will become the main one for the
retreating enemy forces to consolidate.
4860
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