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The Ukrainian armed forces are very gradually
advancing deep into the left bank and in at
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least two places have cut the rokad road along
the Dnipro.
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This road previously allowed the enemy to
maneuver with ground forces and resources
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to prevent a large airborne assault on the
left bank.
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And now the opponent’s maneuvering becomes
more difficult and long.
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To cut an important rokad road so that not
only to hold it, but also to move on, can
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only be possible with the use of armor well
or swarm of drones.
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And in general, right now, a certain picture
is beginning to take shape, the essence of
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which is becoming increasingly clear.
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The Ukrainian armed forces are putting the
enemy on a stretch, building up pressure in
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this direction, and the latter is forced to
redeploy its forces here, in particular from
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the Tokmak direction.
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The game of general staffs begins, where the
AFU has an advantage, because it can play
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by strengthening or weakening the pressure
on the Tokmak or Crimean direction.
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Moreover, both of these directions are the
main ones.
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Because if the enemy's defense begins to crumble
on the Tokmak direction, then, having crossed
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the defense lines, the Armed Forces of Ukraine
will swiftly reach the shores of the Sea of
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Azov and definitively cut through both groups
of troops.
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On the other hand, if the AFU are capable
of a deep breakthrough due to a flank strike
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from Kherson, in this case, there will be
a dissection even more dangerous - on the
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Crimean isthmus.
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The AFU has two equivalent directions of the
main strike and the enemy will choose the
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one that will be the most successful and where
the Ukrainians will offer the least effective
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resistance.
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And therein lies the whole trick of the stretch.
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The enemy is forced to carefully calculate
what and how much he can remove from the Tokmak
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direction so as to plug the holes in the Kherson
direction, but also not to create a hole near
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Robotyne.
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In this area, the enemy kept his elite, the
Airborne Forces, on the flanks of the Ukrainian
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wedge so as to threaten with counter flank
attacks and thus prevent the creation of a
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deeper breakthrough.
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In this case, it was easier for the Ukrainian
defense forces to stop and stand in defense,
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without expending reserves intended for a
breakthrough, in parallel grinding down the
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enemy forces.
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And so the events on the left bank made the
enemy doubt that their elite units were standing
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exactly on the only direction of the main
strike.
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As soon as Ukrainian armored vehicles appeared
on the left bank, these assumptions began
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to take on more and more threatening shape
and the enemy began to transfer troops.
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But it's all about proportions.
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How many, what and when should be transferred
to the Dnipro so as not to significantly weaken
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the defense at Tokmak?
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There is already a very delicate game going
on and any error of the opponent will immediately
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materialize in advancing the AFU in both directions.
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Already now in the Zaporizhzhya direction
Ukrainian troops are working on preparing
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the flanks to resume movement in the direction
of Tokmak.
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But at the same time they are also advancing
on the left bank of the Dnipro.
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Yes, in both of these areas the advance does
not amount to dozens of kilometers, but the
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enemy is now forced to scramble and make decisions
about where and with what to repel the actions
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of the Ukrainian armed forces.
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The Ukrainian Defense Forces are now meticulously
cleaning up all that may interfere with the
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work of the Armed Forces on the bridgeheads.
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Where the Ukrainian side plans to create "troubles"
we can not know, but the enemy does not know
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and therefore - forced to fuss.
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And as you know, in such a situation, fatal
mistakes are made.
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