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Let me start by saying that there is no
"total Russian offensive throughout the east",
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as they have started to actively write and talk
about. You know that the enemy does not have the
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capabilities for this, it is only an imitation
with an attempt at localized breakthroughs. Yes,
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there may be minor successes,
but this is not something that
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can have any effect on the Ukrainian
offensive except for its inhibition.
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If you wonder where such losses of
Russian tanks and Armoured fighting
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vehicles in the reports come
from, the answer is Avdiivka.
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In the near future, Russian propaganda
will significantly increase the spread
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of fakes and manipulations related to
the situation in the Avdiivka area. We
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will hear about catastrophic losses
of the AFU in the area of Avdiivka,
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the escape of Ukrainian defenders from this
direction and the complete encirclement of
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Avdiivka using the term "cauldron". Just
remember that this is Russian propaganda.
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In this context, I note that the situation in the
Avdiivka area is indeed not simple. But it has not
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been simple before, and Avdiivka is a town that
has been in constant defense since 2014. And after
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the full-scale invasion, various Russian units
tried many times to storm it. It didn't succeed.
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But the so-called "Avdiivka bulge" appeared -
Russian positions on the flanks and Avdiivka in
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the center. Naturally, all this theoretically
makes the situation dangerous for the AFU and,
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on the contrary, favorable for the
Russian army. It is possible to
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attack from several sides at once. But
so far all attempts have been in vain,
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the AFU even counterattacked and managed to
liberate some part of the territory in the south.
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Yesterday was one of the most
difficult days in the Avdiivka area.
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The enemy moved in several columns, moreover,
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packed with paratroopers. It was all to the
accompaniment of artillery, aviation and
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rockets. The columns came from Krasnohorivka,
Novoselivka Druha, Vodiane, Pisky and Vesele.
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On the northern outskirts of Avdiivka
there are two high terricons,
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and the city itself stands on a small
hill relative to the area around. All
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of this helps the Ukrainian military to
defend it and quickly spot any attempted
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attacks. The terrain is open, there are few
plantations, only one forest to the east.
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They were counting on a quick breakthrough
by a large armored fist. Both from the north
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and south of Avdiivka. Given the number of
personnel and equipment that was involved,
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the results are simply deplorable for
the enemy. As commented by the fighters
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themselves from the Avdiivka direction - this
is another meat assault, which is important to
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withstand. The tactics of the enemy has not
changed, a lot of them sent to the assault.
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The Russian command hoped for a blitzkrieg,
but as a result they received colossal losses
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of equipment and personnel, soon OSINT analysts
will calculate everything. Hundreds of marines
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were landed and are still wandering the grey zone.
The Russians have heavy losses, evacuation is not
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organized, however, as always. They're shooting
at each other because of poor communications.
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They are even better at dealing with
the degradation of their own army than
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the Ukrainians are at helping them. The way
the occupiers stormed Avdiivka in the first
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wave - it was not even Vuhledar or Bilohorivka,
it was a real shooting gallery. It's like the
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first days of a full-scale war, only with
worse composition, quality and layout.
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But the fighting continues and
there will be the next waves.
5308
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