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Once we've identified risks,
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it is very helpful to write them in
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standard risk statement form.
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With the format, if Cause then there could be Risk
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causing Consequence.
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This has several advantages.
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First, it provides a standard format
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that everyone becomes familiar with.
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It identifies the three different components of the risk.
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And it provides useful information to help manage the risk,
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since the cause is what we can do something about,
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and is often otherwise buried.
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The risk is the bad thing,
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and the consequence is what we want to avoid,
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but it's the cause that can actually be addressed.
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Here some examples.
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If the fence has holes then foxes could get in
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and eat all the chickens.
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In other words, we don't need fox traps,
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we need to make sure the fence doesn't have any holes in it.
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If the morale is not good,
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then team members could leave for other jobs,
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causing schedule, cost, and quality problems.
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That is, we can't just order the team
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to stay with our project,
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but there are lots of things we can do
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to improve team morale.
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If the parts procurement is delayed
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we won't be able to build the product in time
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causing the customer to reject it.
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This is a good example of the principle
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that there should never be a risk
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that says simply we might be late or over budget.
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Instead there must be an identified cause
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that we can manage.
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In this case there are likely several things we can do
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to reduce the probability the parts procurement
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will be delayed.
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That's what we should address.
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If the distributed team doesn't coordinate efficiently
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there will be missed work and schedule delays
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causing the project to miss the deadline.
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Here again, the missed work and schedule delays
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are not what we can manage,
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it's the underlying cause we want to focus on.
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We have a distributed team
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with significant likelihood of coordination problems.
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Knowing the driving cause, we can then put together plans
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to address the real issue.
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The key point of this process is to keep asking yourself
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why might the risk we're worried about happen,
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until you've identified the underlying cause
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that can actually be addressed.
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At the conclusion of this step, you have a set of risks
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in a standard form everyone can recognize,
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and separates the cause, risk, and consequence,
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making much easier to deal with.
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