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There is talk now of an operation by the Ukrainian
liberation forces to liberate Opytne, a small
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village south of Avdiivka and north of temporarily
occupied Donetsk.
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That said, some see this as a potential operational
and tactical achievement, while others are
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predicting operations in Donetsk.
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Little Opytne is more than just a village,
but more on that later, and now what is happening
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in this area of the fighting.
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Heavy fighting continues in the vicinity of
Opytne.
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Taking advantage of the element of surprise,
the AFU forced the occupants out of part of
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the occupied positions.
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Now the enemy has recovered a little and is
urgently looking for reserves, while simultaneously
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biting into every position in the village.
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The AFU struck where the enemy did not expect
it at all, the combatants conducted a cool
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operation and are now trying to scale it up.
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So let's be patient and wait for news.
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At the moment all we can say is that the gray
zone has increased slightly.
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But this does not yet mean an increase in
control in the area of the village or in the
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village itself.
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There is a low level of coordination between
the command of the enemy units - everyone
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is trying to pull the blanket over themselves.
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This is due to the fact that in addition to
the Russian armed forces, there are a lot
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of units of local combat aborigines.
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The Ukrainian side does not control the village
yet, but at the same time they have entrenched
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themselves to the north of it, right up to
the outskirts.
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The occupiers have been storming Opytne and
the fields north of it for more than a month,
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and suffered huge losses, the soldiers of
the AFU hurt them very much!
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And I am somehow sure that the enemy will
try to restore the "status quo" after some
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time.
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So, some see this as an operational-tactical
achievement, while others predict operations
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in Donetsk.
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I would now like to draw attention to a slightly
different aspect, much more global, covering
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even more than the combat zone.
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North of Opytne is Avdiivka, which even during
the "calm" period from 2015 to 2022 remained
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the hottest point along the entire front line,
but which the occupiers have still not been
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able to capture.
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Opytne is an intermediate springboard to the
northern and northwestern sector of Donetsk.
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But, the main thing is not even that.
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As I've noted many times before, the Russian
occupation forces have lost the ability to
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conduct large-scale, broad-front offensive
operations since the second half of 2022.
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How many cities with millions of inhabitants
have they captured since August 2022?
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Rhetorical question.
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How many oblasts or districts in oblasts have
they captured?
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Also, none.
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Their only achievement since the second half
of 2022 is the small town of Bakhmut without
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a single street, which was attacked along
a narrow front and which they are now progressively
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losing under the pressure of the AFU.
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And this is an important moment.
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Now the occupants are losing their defense
in the Zaporizhzhya triangle Novoprokopivka-Verbove-Ocheretuvate.
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It is also subsiding in the area of Staromlynivka,
the south of Bakhmut is cracking.
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On the left bank of the Kherson region is
expanding gray zone.
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Novomaiorske...
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Opytne ...
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Defense is cracking along the entire front
line of the occupants.
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And this is happening in the second half of
2023.
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Opytne is not just a sign of success in a
particular location; it is an indicator of
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the depletion and loss of defensive capabilities
by Russian forces, just as it was with their
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offensive capabilities last year.
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