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These are the user uploaded subtitles that are being translated: 1 00:00:00,080 --> 00:00:02,560 of the white of trading course 2 00:00:02,560 --> 00:00:05,440 um thank you for all of your emails and 3 00:00:05,440 --> 00:00:06,960 for all of the comments that i've 4 00:00:06,960 --> 00:00:08,880 received about the first two classes you 5 00:00:08,880 --> 00:00:10,240 could see some of the comments from 6 00:00:10,240 --> 00:00:11,280 students 7 00:00:11,280 --> 00:00:12,320 on the left 8 00:00:12,320 --> 00:00:13,920 side of the slide 9 00:00:13,920 --> 00:00:17,359 i'm really excited that i hear a lot of 10 00:00:17,359 --> 00:00:19,520 excitement from you guys 11 00:00:19,520 --> 00:00:21,039 and that 12 00:00:21,039 --> 00:00:23,600 obviously always energizes me you know 13 00:00:23,600 --> 00:00:24,480 to 14 00:00:24,480 --> 00:00:26,640 go on and to think that this is going to 15 00:00:26,640 --> 00:00:29,679 be a great cycle and i see how you guys 16 00:00:29,679 --> 00:00:32,719 are communicating with me it took me 17 00:00:32,719 --> 00:00:34,800 um a few hours to go through the 18 00:00:34,800 --> 00:00:37,840 homeworks so i've actually 19 00:00:37,840 --> 00:00:40,800 was able uh you know today and usually 20 00:00:40,800 --> 00:00:42,840 monday is my preparation day for the 21 00:00:42,840 --> 00:00:45,920 course um since the morning 22 00:00:45,920 --> 00:00:47,680 you know to go through all of the emails 23 00:00:47,680 --> 00:00:49,520 and there were quite a few so thank you 24 00:00:49,520 --> 00:00:52,160 for sending those thank you for all of 25 00:00:52,160 --> 00:00:54,399 the kind words by the way that you sent 26 00:00:54,399 --> 00:00:57,680 me uh you know about the course and 27 00:00:57,680 --> 00:00:59,920 you know the knowledge that we present 28 00:00:59,920 --> 00:01:01,760 in this course so i really appreciate 29 00:01:01,760 --> 00:01:04,239 that um 30 00:01:04,239 --> 00:01:07,360 i am also was 31 00:01:07,360 --> 00:01:10,320 uh somewhat impressed because the first 32 00:01:10,320 --> 00:01:12,479 homework where people send me their 33 00:01:12,479 --> 00:01:14,159 labeling 34 00:01:14,159 --> 00:01:17,119 it kind of gives me an understanding of 35 00:01:17,119 --> 00:01:18,960 what the cycle is going to be you know 36 00:01:18,960 --> 00:01:20,479 and how people are going to be in this 37 00:01:20,479 --> 00:01:22,720 course and so on and so forth so i was 38 00:01:22,720 --> 00:01:24,560 really impressed with 39 00:01:24,560 --> 00:01:26,479 the level of understanding of the 40 00:01:26,479 --> 00:01:29,040 material that's number one secondly how 41 00:01:29,040 --> 00:01:30,479 you guys are picking up the new 42 00:01:30,479 --> 00:01:32,720 knowledge and applying this having said 43 00:01:32,720 --> 00:01:34,320 this there are obviously tons of 44 00:01:34,320 --> 00:01:36,640 adjustments that we will do that we will 45 00:01:36,640 --> 00:01:38,479 need to do so 46 00:01:38,479 --> 00:01:41,680 you know this is not a finished product 47 00:01:41,680 --> 00:01:44,640 yet by any means so there is a lot of 48 00:01:44,640 --> 00:01:48,240 work um in front of us but still such a 49 00:01:48,240 --> 00:01:49,680 great start 50 00:01:49,680 --> 00:01:51,840 and today specifically with the homework 51 00:01:51,840 --> 00:01:54,960 i want you to point your attention to 52 00:01:54,960 --> 00:01:55,719 the 53 00:01:55,719 --> 00:01:57,840 identification of 54 00:01:57,840 --> 00:02:00,880 phase boundaries um almost in each of 55 00:02:00,880 --> 00:02:03,920 the homeworks we had something to adjust 56 00:02:03,920 --> 00:02:06,880 around the boundaries of of the phases 57 00:02:06,880 --> 00:02:08,878 and obviously you know 58 00:02:08,878 --> 00:02:10,479 there's something that i need to give 59 00:02:10,479 --> 00:02:13,440 you so we will 60 00:02:13,440 --> 00:02:15,200 we will definitely go through some of 61 00:02:15,200 --> 00:02:17,599 the theoretical material where i will 62 00:02:17,599 --> 00:02:20,160 show you how to identify phase c 63 00:02:20,160 --> 00:02:22,480 how to identify the boundaries you know 64 00:02:22,480 --> 00:02:24,560 between different phases and so on so 65 00:02:24,560 --> 00:02:26,879 forth and then you know we'll go through 66 00:02:26,879 --> 00:02:29,760 all the stuff today as well next session 67 00:02:29,760 --> 00:02:34,080 is january 28th we are uh gonna continue 68 00:02:34,080 --> 00:02:37,760 uh with the price structure so uh these 69 00:02:37,760 --> 00:02:40,800 homeworks are fundamental tools for us 70 00:02:40,800 --> 00:02:41,519 to 71 00:02:41,519 --> 00:02:43,440 start learning about 72 00:02:43,440 --> 00:02:45,760 phase analysis so that's gonna be our 73 00:02:45,760 --> 00:02:47,040 focus 74 00:02:47,040 --> 00:02:49,360 and we will continue uh with that on 75 00:02:49,360 --> 00:02:52,640 january 28th 76 00:02:52,640 --> 00:02:54,480 all right as usual 77 00:02:54,480 --> 00:02:56,400 all of our classes are for educational 78 00:02:56,400 --> 00:02:58,640 purposes only stop your video read the 79 00:02:58,640 --> 00:03:01,360 disclaimer 80 00:03:02,159 --> 00:03:05,360 and then today i actually let me do one 81 00:03:05,360 --> 00:03:09,200 thing guys before i'm realizing that 82 00:03:09,200 --> 00:03:11,680 actually 83 00:03:11,840 --> 00:03:13,760 slightly unprepared do you guys see my 84 00:03:13,760 --> 00:03:17,319 screen right now 85 00:03:22,879 --> 00:03:24,480 um 86 00:03:24,480 --> 00:03:26,400 okay yeah you should not be seeing my 87 00:03:26,400 --> 00:03:28,720 screen right now 88 00:03:28,720 --> 00:03:31,519 i think okay 89 00:03:31,680 --> 00:03:32,959 okay great 90 00:03:32,959 --> 00:03:36,480 oh hold on a second 91 00:03:39,040 --> 00:03:40,640 okay awesome 92 00:03:40,640 --> 00:03:43,200 okay great 93 00:03:44,319 --> 00:03:47,599 and now you sh we should be back 94 00:03:47,599 --> 00:03:50,799 all right yes so we are on the question 95 00:03:50,799 --> 00:03:52,080 from lee 96 00:03:52,080 --> 00:03:54,879 okay awesome uh thank you guys it's just 97 00:03:54,879 --> 00:03:56,080 like one 98 00:03:56,080 --> 00:03:57,040 minor 99 00:03:57,040 --> 00:03:58,959 technical detail that i had to take care 100 00:03:58,959 --> 00:04:01,439 of so 101 00:04:01,439 --> 00:04:03,599 this is a question from the student in 102 00:04:03,599 --> 00:04:06,239 this class 103 00:04:06,959 --> 00:04:09,040 why am i posting this 104 00:04:09,040 --> 00:04:10,959 slide here and why are we discussing 105 00:04:10,959 --> 00:04:13,120 this question i usually email to your 106 00:04:13,120 --> 00:04:15,120 guy i email you guys the instructions 107 00:04:15,120 --> 00:04:17,519 about the questions as such 108 00:04:17,519 --> 00:04:20,238 if you sent me a question that requires 109 00:04:20,238 --> 00:04:22,479 a lot of explanation most likely i will 110 00:04:22,479 --> 00:04:25,520 not be able to answer it over the email 111 00:04:25,520 --> 00:04:27,919 but i really really would like to answer 112 00:04:27,919 --> 00:04:30,560 this email in the classroom environment 113 00:04:30,560 --> 00:04:32,560 and there is a specific reason of why i 114 00:04:32,560 --> 00:04:35,600 want to do this if i am spending time 115 00:04:35,600 --> 00:04:38,639 answering your email question and let's 116 00:04:38,639 --> 00:04:41,120 say i spent maybe like 20 minutes on 117 00:04:41,120 --> 00:04:42,880 that you know let's just suppose that 118 00:04:42,880 --> 00:04:44,720 this is a big question 119 00:04:44,720 --> 00:04:45,520 then 120 00:04:45,520 --> 00:04:48,639 what i'm not doing is i'm not explaining 121 00:04:48,639 --> 00:04:50,880 the same concepts to other people in the 122 00:04:50,880 --> 00:04:52,639 classroom so 123 00:04:52,639 --> 00:04:55,440 what is the best to do is to have the 124 00:04:55,440 --> 00:04:56,479 question 125 00:04:56,479 --> 00:04:59,199 that is the in line with the content 126 00:04:59,199 --> 00:05:01,840 that we are covering right now so lee is 127 00:05:01,840 --> 00:05:04,080 sending the question that is very close 128 00:05:04,080 --> 00:05:06,160 you know uh it's a little bit on the 129 00:05:06,160 --> 00:05:07,759 borderline here because we're going to 130 00:05:07,759 --> 00:05:09,840 discuss you know some supply and demand 131 00:05:09,840 --> 00:05:11,600 but i think it's a really good preview 132 00:05:11,600 --> 00:05:13,919 for our second month when we will be 133 00:05:13,919 --> 00:05:15,600 diving in into the supply and demand 134 00:05:15,600 --> 00:05:18,639 concepts plus lee is taking 135 00:05:18,639 --> 00:05:20,400 the uh 136 00:05:20,400 --> 00:05:21,600 the chart 137 00:05:21,600 --> 00:05:23,520 from our class this is the chart of 138 00:05:23,520 --> 00:05:25,199 yahoo 139 00:05:25,199 --> 00:05:28,960 so questions like this sometimes i will 140 00:05:28,960 --> 00:05:31,360 subjectively put into the content of the 141 00:05:31,360 --> 00:05:33,840 class we also will have one session the 142 00:05:33,840 --> 00:05:36,800 last session will all be devoted to q a 143 00:05:36,800 --> 00:05:38,479 and i know that you have 144 00:05:38,479 --> 00:05:40,240 so many questions about the homework 145 00:05:40,240 --> 00:05:43,440 right now we will go through those uh as 146 00:05:43,440 --> 00:05:45,840 well and usually homework questions 147 00:05:45,840 --> 00:05:47,360 those that definitely need to be 148 00:05:47,360 --> 00:05:49,919 addressed 149 00:05:51,120 --> 00:05:53,360 uh during the next class you know it was 150 00:05:53,360 --> 00:05:54,960 the homework review 151 00:05:54,960 --> 00:05:59,199 so uh we've talked about yahoo 152 00:05:59,199 --> 00:06:01,199 and we were talking about yahoo in the 153 00:06:01,199 --> 00:06:03,199 context of a change of character this 154 00:06:03,199 --> 00:06:06,080 was the first place where in the trend 155 00:06:06,080 --> 00:06:08,880 we saw how the change of character has 156 00:06:08,880 --> 00:06:11,120 happened a much larger reaction to the 157 00:06:11,120 --> 00:06:13,039 downside there is not a lot of supply 158 00:06:13,039 --> 00:06:14,960 that's coming in it's kind of flat i 159 00:06:14,960 --> 00:06:16,400 would even say 160 00:06:16,400 --> 00:06:17,759 but the 161 00:06:17,759 --> 00:06:21,840 uh result to the downside 162 00:06:22,319 --> 00:06:25,039 has increased even though supply has not 163 00:06:25,039 --> 00:06:27,280 increased so what can we conclude well 164 00:06:27,280 --> 00:06:29,039 we're still thinking that this could 165 00:06:29,039 --> 00:06:31,120 lead to a change of character and 166 00:06:31,120 --> 00:06:33,280 therefore a trading range and then we 167 00:06:33,280 --> 00:06:35,039 need to understand what kind of bias 168 00:06:35,039 --> 00:06:36,400 we're going to have in that trading 169 00:06:36,400 --> 00:06:38,560 range as i mentioned to you in the 170 00:06:38,560 --> 00:06:40,720 previous class and this is 171 00:06:40,720 --> 00:06:43,440 the way how i establish my communication 172 00:06:43,440 --> 00:06:45,600 you know and kind of like my 173 00:06:45,600 --> 00:06:47,600 integrity with you guys 174 00:06:47,600 --> 00:06:50,000 even here at these two spots i'm 175 00:06:50,000 --> 00:06:51,759 thinking that the bias is still to the 176 00:06:51,759 --> 00:06:53,120 upside 177 00:06:53,120 --> 00:06:54,479 you know um 178 00:06:54,479 --> 00:06:57,199 i'm not sure if somebody else anybody 179 00:06:57,199 --> 00:06:59,039 could persuade me otherwise at this 180 00:06:59,039 --> 00:07:01,680 point of time i just don't see any 181 00:07:01,680 --> 00:07:04,240 increase in the volume signature maybe 182 00:07:04,240 --> 00:07:06,160 slightly more here but the result is 183 00:07:06,160 --> 00:07:07,759 even less than the first change of 184 00:07:07,759 --> 00:07:10,800 character uh less supply on the next 185 00:07:10,800 --> 00:07:13,360 reaction only really one day of selling 186 00:07:13,360 --> 00:07:16,000 and then just you know inactivity by 187 00:07:16,000 --> 00:07:18,720 sellers and more deterioration on of the 188 00:07:18,720 --> 00:07:21,120 volume and the supply so we still would 189 00:07:21,120 --> 00:07:24,240 be thinking that the bias is up here 190 00:07:24,240 --> 00:07:26,800 and our position is going to be here i 191 00:07:26,800 --> 00:07:28,560 mentioned that probably we would be 192 00:07:28,560 --> 00:07:30,880 closing somewhere here on this bar and 193 00:07:30,880 --> 00:07:32,800 this is how we come back into this 194 00:07:32,800 --> 00:07:34,160 trading range 195 00:07:34,160 --> 00:07:36,000 so and then the question 196 00:07:36,000 --> 00:07:38,720 the question is about two spots or two 197 00:07:38,720 --> 00:07:41,280 bars or rather you know two places 198 00:07:41,280 --> 00:07:43,120 number one and number two 199 00:07:43,120 --> 00:07:45,879 so we already see how the price has 200 00:07:45,879 --> 00:07:48,720 deteriorated below two levels of the 201 00:07:48,720 --> 00:07:51,039 support that were so important 202 00:07:51,039 --> 00:07:53,120 one of them was in the middle of the 203 00:07:53,120 --> 00:07:54,000 range 204 00:07:54,000 --> 00:07:56,479 and was still please note the bias was 205 00:07:56,479 --> 00:07:59,120 still to the upside so now at the 206 00:07:59,120 --> 00:08:01,199 failure of this 207 00:08:01,199 --> 00:08:03,840 we have couple of failures actually 208 00:08:03,840 --> 00:08:06,080 so the first one comes as an up thrust 209 00:08:06,080 --> 00:08:08,000 and there is the first failure the price 210 00:08:08,000 --> 00:08:10,080 comes back into the range 211 00:08:10,080 --> 00:08:12,960 so at this spot we're always thinking a 212 00:08:12,960 --> 00:08:14,960 sign of strength rally 213 00:08:14,960 --> 00:08:17,280 or an up thrust situation 214 00:08:17,280 --> 00:08:19,360 and we'll talk about this more 215 00:08:19,360 --> 00:08:20,240 uh 216 00:08:20,240 --> 00:08:22,639 as the price comes back into the trading 217 00:08:22,639 --> 00:08:24,560 range that becomes a failure and 218 00:08:24,560 --> 00:08:27,120 therefore we start talking about the up 219 00:08:27,120 --> 00:08:28,479 thrust 220 00:08:28,479 --> 00:08:30,080 and up thrust 221 00:08:30,080 --> 00:08:32,240 could be a function could be a part of 222 00:08:32,240 --> 00:08:34,559 the reaccumulation that's true 223 00:08:34,559 --> 00:08:37,039 but also an up thrust you know could be 224 00:08:37,039 --> 00:08:39,039 a part of the distribution so the next 225 00:08:39,039 --> 00:08:41,599 thing that we do after the failure is we 226 00:08:41,599 --> 00:08:44,959 want to see where the price will go 227 00:08:44,959 --> 00:08:47,440 what kind of price deterioration we will 228 00:08:47,440 --> 00:08:48,399 have 229 00:08:48,399 --> 00:08:50,560 and what kind of character behind this 230 00:08:50,560 --> 00:08:52,720 deterioration we're going to see 231 00:08:52,720 --> 00:08:54,480 so we're seeing that the price is 232 00:08:54,480 --> 00:08:57,839 committing below 233 00:08:58,000 --> 00:09:00,880 local support 234 00:09:00,880 --> 00:09:03,839 and by itself it's a weakness 235 00:09:03,839 --> 00:09:07,839 at least a short-term weakness for 236 00:09:07,839 --> 00:09:09,839 and then we see the increase in the 237 00:09:09,839 --> 00:09:12,560 effort behind the increase in the supply 238 00:09:12,560 --> 00:09:14,640 so that suggests to us that there is 239 00:09:14,640 --> 00:09:16,880 some kind of short-term bearish bias 240 00:09:16,880 --> 00:09:20,000 that we should be aware of at this point 241 00:09:20,000 --> 00:09:22,560 the rally which is going to be an lpsy 242 00:09:22,560 --> 00:09:24,880 rally here in the middle of the range 243 00:09:24,880 --> 00:09:26,320 is very weak 244 00:09:26,320 --> 00:09:30,000 it doesn't even come to one half 245 00:09:30,000 --> 00:09:31,920 of the move to the downside that we've 246 00:09:31,920 --> 00:09:33,360 seen 247 00:09:33,360 --> 00:09:35,600 since the up thrust so again more 248 00:09:35,600 --> 00:09:36,399 weakness 249 00:09:36,399 --> 00:09:38,640 and then a continuation of that weakness 250 00:09:38,640 --> 00:09:40,560 and you know a slight commitment even 251 00:09:40,560 --> 00:09:43,200 below the previous support line so we 252 00:09:43,200 --> 00:09:45,839 are in a sign of weakness type of 253 00:09:45,839 --> 00:09:48,959 environment supply is increasing and as 254 00:09:48,959 --> 00:09:51,600 we go into those two spots number one 255 00:09:51,600 --> 00:09:54,320 and number two we are creating the new 256 00:09:54,320 --> 00:09:58,160 trading range that already has some bias 257 00:09:58,160 --> 00:10:00,720 that we perceive perceive at this point 258 00:10:00,720 --> 00:10:04,000 as the downside bias 259 00:10:04,000 --> 00:10:05,760 why is that 260 00:10:05,760 --> 00:10:10,640 well we've seen a change of character 261 00:10:10,640 --> 00:10:12,640 this is the largest 262 00:10:12,640 --> 00:10:14,800 reaction to the downside 263 00:10:14,800 --> 00:10:17,440 than what we've seen before 264 00:10:17,440 --> 00:10:19,360 and now we are trying to confirm that 265 00:10:19,360 --> 00:10:21,040 change of character how we're confirming 266 00:10:21,040 --> 00:10:23,120 that well we need to have 267 00:10:23,120 --> 00:10:26,560 a rally lps wire rally last point of 268 00:10:26,560 --> 00:10:29,279 supply rally that will fail at some 269 00:10:29,279 --> 00:10:31,600 point at which point would it fail well 270 00:10:31,600 --> 00:10:34,000 we want for the distribution this rally 271 00:10:34,000 --> 00:10:36,560 to be so weak that it cannot overcome 272 00:10:36,560 --> 00:10:38,959 one half of the trading range or the 273 00:10:38,959 --> 00:10:41,040 height of the trading range and we kind 274 00:10:41,040 --> 00:10:44,160 of see it here right so the price 275 00:10:44,160 --> 00:10:47,680 uh goes up with enthusiasm to the upside 276 00:10:47,680 --> 00:10:51,920 and comes to this value zone right here 277 00:10:52,240 --> 00:10:53,120 and 278 00:10:53,120 --> 00:10:55,519 what do we have here acceptance of this 279 00:10:55,519 --> 00:10:58,000 level or rejection of this level supply 280 00:10:58,000 --> 00:11:00,000 coming in at the highs of this 281 00:11:00,000 --> 00:11:03,120 resistance or supply is coming in and 282 00:11:03,120 --> 00:11:05,279 being observed or supply is not coming 283 00:11:05,279 --> 00:11:08,160 in well we definitely see that there are 284 00:11:08,160 --> 00:11:09,600 some spots 285 00:11:09,600 --> 00:11:12,640 for instance like right here 286 00:11:12,640 --> 00:11:13,519 where 287 00:11:13,519 --> 00:11:15,680 uh first of all after the short-term 288 00:11:15,680 --> 00:11:19,200 break of a trend we see that supply is 289 00:11:19,200 --> 00:11:20,880 actually increasing 290 00:11:20,880 --> 00:11:24,640 and this um i wonder if um lee you have 291 00:11:24,640 --> 00:11:25,760 seen 292 00:11:25,760 --> 00:11:27,120 this uh 293 00:11:27,120 --> 00:11:30,160 you know spread and this increase in the 294 00:11:30,160 --> 00:11:33,040 spread as well because it's all related 295 00:11:33,040 --> 00:11:35,120 to the other two that you've you've 296 00:11:35,120 --> 00:11:36,959 mentioned here actually 297 00:11:36,959 --> 00:11:39,839 another uh another one right here 298 00:11:39,839 --> 00:11:41,600 so let's kind of observe what is 299 00:11:41,600 --> 00:11:44,880 happening at this spots 300 00:11:44,880 --> 00:11:46,720 the first one 301 00:11:46,720 --> 00:11:49,040 the second one 302 00:11:49,040 --> 00:11:50,480 third one 303 00:11:50,480 --> 00:11:52,959 and then the fourth one 304 00:11:52,959 --> 00:11:55,600 actually we could even do this we could 305 00:11:55,600 --> 00:11:58,959 even look at this and this 306 00:11:58,959 --> 00:12:02,000 so um one of the things 307 00:12:02,000 --> 00:12:07,120 that we notice right away is um 308 00:12:07,120 --> 00:12:10,959 we want to notice the areas where supply 309 00:12:10,959 --> 00:12:12,480 has come 310 00:12:12,480 --> 00:12:14,480 and supply 311 00:12:14,480 --> 00:12:17,519 has increased and it's started producing 312 00:12:17,519 --> 00:12:19,839 either 313 00:12:20,079 --> 00:12:23,200 a stop in action 314 00:12:23,200 --> 00:12:26,880 some kind of reversal action 315 00:12:26,880 --> 00:12:29,279 and then uh 316 00:12:29,279 --> 00:12:31,760 synchronicity 317 00:12:31,760 --> 00:12:32,959 with 318 00:12:32,959 --> 00:12:36,560 the increasing result to the downside 319 00:12:36,560 --> 00:12:38,800 and that's kind of like a sequence of 320 00:12:38,800 --> 00:12:40,720 how supply is going to come in 321 00:12:40,720 --> 00:12:43,839 supply is not necessarily right away 322 00:12:43,839 --> 00:12:47,440 it's going to reverse the whole bus 323 00:12:47,440 --> 00:12:50,560 it's just impossible because 324 00:12:50,560 --> 00:12:52,800 you know it was the uptrend that we have 325 00:12:52,800 --> 00:12:54,160 had 326 00:12:54,160 --> 00:12:56,560 there is a specific sentiment that 327 00:12:56,560 --> 00:12:59,680 exists uh in market participants minds 328 00:12:59,680 --> 00:13:01,920 at this point of time as to what should 329 00:13:01,920 --> 00:13:02,959 happen 330 00:13:02,959 --> 00:13:05,680 we should be in the uptrend we see this 331 00:13:05,680 --> 00:13:06,639 from 332 00:13:06,639 --> 00:13:08,320 you know the sentiment we could derive 333 00:13:08,320 --> 00:13:10,240 from how the price moves and from the 334 00:13:10,240 --> 00:13:13,839 volume signature everybody is on board 335 00:13:13,839 --> 00:13:16,720 uh nobody is getting out of this 336 00:13:16,720 --> 00:13:17,839 position 337 00:13:17,839 --> 00:13:20,320 uh the first time when we could see a 338 00:13:20,320 --> 00:13:22,000 more meaningful 339 00:13:22,000 --> 00:13:23,680 getting out of this position is going to 340 00:13:23,680 --> 00:13:26,160 be in this area right here and this is 341 00:13:26,160 --> 00:13:27,279 why 342 00:13:27,279 --> 00:13:29,440 until then we're still thinking that we 343 00:13:29,440 --> 00:13:31,279 might be in the rear accumulation 344 00:13:31,279 --> 00:13:33,040 because the texture 345 00:13:33,040 --> 00:13:35,360 for both the price and the volume is 346 00:13:35,360 --> 00:13:37,440 such that it dictates that you know the 347 00:13:37,440 --> 00:13:39,120 price most likely is going to continue 348 00:13:39,120 --> 00:13:40,480 to the upside 349 00:13:40,480 --> 00:13:43,519 now as it continues to the upside this 350 00:13:43,519 --> 00:13:45,680 is the where for the first time we're 351 00:13:45,680 --> 00:13:48,959 experiencing some increase of the supply 352 00:13:48,959 --> 00:13:51,680 and for the first time it's not only 353 00:13:51,680 --> 00:13:53,279 stopping 354 00:13:53,279 --> 00:13:55,680 the price from moving further up but it 355 00:13:55,680 --> 00:13:58,000 actually synchronized with the result to 356 00:13:58,000 --> 00:14:00,000 the downside 357 00:14:00,000 --> 00:14:03,760 so this is the first area of significant 358 00:14:03,760 --> 00:14:06,000 institutional selling 359 00:14:06,000 --> 00:14:07,360 that we see 360 00:14:07,360 --> 00:14:09,760 now as we go through the sign of 361 00:14:09,760 --> 00:14:13,120 weakness then we see how supply also 362 00:14:13,120 --> 00:14:14,399 comes 363 00:14:14,399 --> 00:14:16,399 at the lower level 364 00:14:16,399 --> 00:14:18,320 so we are kind of 365 00:14:18,320 --> 00:14:22,720 now in a different value zone 366 00:14:22,720 --> 00:14:25,120 and this value zone because we are 367 00:14:25,120 --> 00:14:26,959 looking at the distribution is going to 368 00:14:26,959 --> 00:14:29,760 be described as the value zone for weak 369 00:14:29,760 --> 00:14:32,240 hands this is just the definition of the 370 00:14:32,240 --> 00:14:34,160 like of trading course that i created 371 00:14:34,160 --> 00:14:36,160 you know for you guys and for myself 372 00:14:36,160 --> 00:14:38,079 this is how we would define the values 373 00:14:38,079 --> 00:14:40,560 of so what is happening here and coming 374 00:14:40,560 --> 00:14:42,639 back to this question by ali 375 00:14:42,639 --> 00:14:45,600 i would like to understand 376 00:14:45,600 --> 00:14:47,680 what was actually happening at points 377 00:14:47,680 --> 00:14:50,240 number one and two 378 00:14:50,240 --> 00:14:52,079 to understand what's happening at these 379 00:14:52,079 --> 00:14:53,920 two points we need to understand what 380 00:14:53,920 --> 00:14:55,440 happened prior 381 00:14:55,440 --> 00:14:58,560 and we kind of go into this so 382 00:14:58,560 --> 00:15:01,680 the value zone for weak hands 383 00:15:01,680 --> 00:15:04,079 what does it mean 384 00:15:04,079 --> 00:15:07,360 it means that at this spot right here 385 00:15:07,360 --> 00:15:11,639 and at this spot right here 386 00:15:12,000 --> 00:15:13,760 weak hands 387 00:15:13,760 --> 00:15:15,600 are buyers 388 00:15:15,600 --> 00:15:18,639 and if they are buyers what do they see 389 00:15:18,639 --> 00:15:20,880 the weak hands are seeing some kind of 390 00:15:20,880 --> 00:15:22,560 value 391 00:15:22,560 --> 00:15:24,880 so that's a very interesting thought how 392 00:15:24,880 --> 00:15:26,959 could they see value at this point of 393 00:15:26,959 --> 00:15:29,199 time 394 00:15:29,199 --> 00:15:31,759 the trend up has been broken 395 00:15:31,759 --> 00:15:34,320 the stock went into the consolidation 396 00:15:34,320 --> 00:15:37,920 the stock as at the support level 397 00:15:37,920 --> 00:15:40,480 wouldn't they feel more fear to come in 398 00:15:40,480 --> 00:15:42,639 and to establish this position 399 00:15:42,639 --> 00:15:46,399 it's a very interesting um 400 00:15:46,399 --> 00:15:49,279 observation about the weak hands because 401 00:15:49,279 --> 00:15:51,120 the weak hands are going to be getting 402 00:15:51,120 --> 00:15:53,120 in and to the trend 403 00:15:53,120 --> 00:15:56,639 either very very late 404 00:15:57,839 --> 00:15:59,839 and they will be profitable 405 00:15:59,839 --> 00:16:00,800 so 406 00:16:00,800 --> 00:16:03,120 we can't get in 407 00:16:03,120 --> 00:16:04,560 in 408 00:16:04,560 --> 00:16:06,320 and they will be profitable at this 409 00:16:06,320 --> 00:16:09,120 point of time and then this is going to 410 00:16:09,120 --> 00:16:12,000 be the first group of weak hands the 411 00:16:12,000 --> 00:16:14,000 second group of weak hands is going to 412 00:16:14,000 --> 00:16:16,160 be somebody who 413 00:16:16,160 --> 00:16:18,720 someone who maybe sold this stock and 414 00:16:18,720 --> 00:16:21,360 did not participate that's number one 415 00:16:21,360 --> 00:16:24,000 secondly maybe so the stock did not uh 416 00:16:24,000 --> 00:16:26,880 uh participated but then got out 417 00:16:26,880 --> 00:16:29,199 and then as the price goes into the 418 00:16:29,199 --> 00:16:33,040 consolidation and especially goes back 419 00:16:33,040 --> 00:16:36,240 and produces some kind of 420 00:16:36,240 --> 00:16:38,399 you know move to the downside within the 421 00:16:38,399 --> 00:16:40,720 confines of the structure so this is the 422 00:16:40,720 --> 00:16:42,399 structure that we would be looking at 423 00:16:42,399 --> 00:16:43,759 the time 424 00:16:43,759 --> 00:16:45,759 the weak hands are going to see some 425 00:16:45,759 --> 00:16:48,639 value and they're going to say this was 426 00:16:48,639 --> 00:16:50,880 a leadership stock 427 00:16:50,880 --> 00:16:54,240 and i didn't really participate i didn't 428 00:16:54,240 --> 00:16:56,480 you know participate in this whole trend 429 00:16:56,480 --> 00:16:59,519 but now that we are at the support this 430 00:16:59,519 --> 00:17:00,800 is where i'm going to come in and i'm 431 00:17:00,800 --> 00:17:02,639 going to buy 432 00:17:02,639 --> 00:17:04,720 and that's how they see that value at 433 00:17:04,720 --> 00:17:06,240 this spot 434 00:17:06,240 --> 00:17:08,240 they're coming in and they're buying and 435 00:17:08,240 --> 00:17:10,559 because they don't have a lot of 436 00:17:10,559 --> 00:17:12,480 strength behind it 437 00:17:12,480 --> 00:17:15,199 the rally that is being produced is not 438 00:17:15,199 --> 00:17:17,439 that great 439 00:17:17,439 --> 00:17:19,439 and what else is happening 440 00:17:19,439 --> 00:17:21,839 even more importantly is that 441 00:17:21,839 --> 00:17:23,679 into the strength 442 00:17:23,679 --> 00:17:26,240 of weak hands at this point when they 443 00:17:26,240 --> 00:17:28,240 see that value 444 00:17:28,240 --> 00:17:30,840 institutions are going to sell into that 445 00:17:30,840 --> 00:17:32,400 strength 446 00:17:32,400 --> 00:17:35,520 so and we are seeing this later on in 447 00:17:35,520 --> 00:17:39,039 the selling where supply is increasing 448 00:17:39,039 --> 00:17:42,880 on increased volume signature and on 449 00:17:42,880 --> 00:17:44,720 increased down spread look at this 450 00:17:44,720 --> 00:17:46,400 spread right here 451 00:17:46,400 --> 00:17:48,880 this is the largest spread on all in 452 00:17:48,880 --> 00:17:50,480 this whole rally 453 00:17:50,480 --> 00:17:52,480 it just tells us that the rally is done 454 00:17:52,480 --> 00:17:54,799 and once the rally is done you instantly 455 00:17:54,799 --> 00:17:57,039 know that this is the high of the rally 456 00:17:57,039 --> 00:17:58,880 and then you start making your 457 00:17:58,880 --> 00:18:00,960 assessment and deductions as to what 458 00:18:00,960 --> 00:18:02,000 kind of 459 00:18:02,000 --> 00:18:04,480 effect was it in the relationship to the 460 00:18:04,480 --> 00:18:06,080 whole formation to the height of this 461 00:18:06,080 --> 00:18:08,240 formation and you see that it's only one 462 00:18:08,240 --> 00:18:11,280 half of the range that this rally has 463 00:18:11,280 --> 00:18:13,600 traveled and then it met so much supply 464 00:18:13,600 --> 00:18:15,760 so much selling 465 00:18:15,760 --> 00:18:18,320 okay well then we go back into the same 466 00:18:18,320 --> 00:18:20,160 area again we can't 467 00:18:20,160 --> 00:18:22,960 thinking that this is the new 468 00:18:22,960 --> 00:18:25,200 attempt to go up that is going to result 469 00:18:25,200 --> 00:18:27,280 in the overcoming of the long-term 470 00:18:27,280 --> 00:18:28,480 resistance 471 00:18:28,480 --> 00:18:31,200 and what do we see as we come to the 472 00:18:31,200 --> 00:18:33,600 same resistance point we're seeing how 473 00:18:33,600 --> 00:18:36,320 supply is still increasing locally 474 00:18:36,320 --> 00:18:38,240 and not only that 475 00:18:38,240 --> 00:18:40,400 the downward result is increasing as 476 00:18:40,400 --> 00:18:43,360 well so that becomes a reversal again 477 00:18:43,360 --> 00:18:45,440 and you start questioning we've done 478 00:18:45,440 --> 00:18:47,679 this two times already 479 00:18:47,679 --> 00:18:50,400 and every time that we've come to this 480 00:18:50,400 --> 00:18:52,720 level what happens 481 00:18:52,720 --> 00:18:54,880 some institutions are selling at the 482 00:18:54,880 --> 00:18:57,840 resistance point so what is their bias 483 00:18:57,840 --> 00:18:59,760 their biases to the downside if they are 484 00:18:59,760 --> 00:19:00,799 selling 485 00:19:00,799 --> 00:19:02,559 right we see that from the increased 486 00:19:02,559 --> 00:19:05,280 volume signature only 487 00:19:05,280 --> 00:19:08,000 you know usually big institutions will 488 00:19:08,000 --> 00:19:10,640 produce this type of signature 489 00:19:10,640 --> 00:19:14,160 so therefore we are thinking about 490 00:19:14,160 --> 00:19:18,799 confirmation of this bias and as we go 491 00:19:18,799 --> 00:19:21,679 down on the next reaction 492 00:19:21,679 --> 00:19:24,960 we are seeing a sign of weakness 493 00:19:24,960 --> 00:19:27,919 the price commits below yes it comes 494 00:19:27,919 --> 00:19:32,559 back so there is a sprint type of action 495 00:19:32,559 --> 00:19:34,640 but we know that there was selling here 496 00:19:34,640 --> 00:19:36,080 selling here 497 00:19:36,080 --> 00:19:38,640 inability to overcome one half of the 498 00:19:38,640 --> 00:19:40,320 height of the range and then a sign of 499 00:19:40,320 --> 00:19:43,440 weakness so this could be just temporary 500 00:19:43,440 --> 00:19:45,200 and we could be 501 00:19:45,200 --> 00:19:48,880 just somewhere still in phase b at this 502 00:19:48,880 --> 00:19:49,919 point 503 00:19:49,919 --> 00:19:51,679 of this whole range 504 00:19:51,679 --> 00:19:54,240 so what do we see next we see the next 505 00:19:54,240 --> 00:19:56,559 attempt and this is where we are coming 506 00:19:56,559 --> 00:20:00,720 in into one and two those two points 507 00:20:00,720 --> 00:20:02,799 and let's see what happens this is the 508 00:20:02,799 --> 00:20:05,120 highest volume signature 509 00:20:05,120 --> 00:20:07,120 on this bar and this is probably just 510 00:20:07,120 --> 00:20:09,280 some kind of event 511 00:20:09,280 --> 00:20:11,440 and there is a lot of 512 00:20:11,440 --> 00:20:12,720 optimism 513 00:20:12,720 --> 00:20:14,320 on this bar 514 00:20:14,320 --> 00:20:16,080 again we could see this from the volume 515 00:20:16,080 --> 00:20:17,679 signature and we could see this from the 516 00:20:17,679 --> 00:20:21,120 price signature this is most likely 517 00:20:21,120 --> 00:20:23,280 and this is a weekly chart this is most 518 00:20:23,280 --> 00:20:24,559 likely 519 00:20:24,559 --> 00:20:27,280 uh some kind of you know earnings and so 520 00:20:27,280 --> 00:20:28,400 on so forth 521 00:20:28,400 --> 00:20:30,960 and the biggest question that actually 522 00:20:30,960 --> 00:20:33,200 is asking here uh somewhere in the 523 00:20:33,200 --> 00:20:35,039 description 524 00:20:35,039 --> 00:20:37,919 you know he's saying that so much 525 00:20:37,919 --> 00:20:40,320 movement to the upside so much effort 526 00:20:40,320 --> 00:20:42,000 yet 527 00:20:42,000 --> 00:20:44,000 what do we do 528 00:20:44,000 --> 00:20:46,400 what is the final result 529 00:20:46,400 --> 00:20:48,480 and to understand the final result we 530 00:20:48,480 --> 00:20:51,440 need to understand the original intent 531 00:20:51,440 --> 00:20:53,120 or intention 532 00:20:53,120 --> 00:20:55,200 behind this move 533 00:20:55,200 --> 00:20:58,480 if there is so much enthusiasm behind it 534 00:20:58,480 --> 00:21:00,640 the intention was to overcome the 535 00:21:00,640 --> 00:21:03,679 previous points of resistance that were 536 00:21:03,679 --> 00:21:07,919 we were not able to overcome 537 00:21:08,960 --> 00:21:10,559 and then what do we do 538 00:21:10,559 --> 00:21:13,039 with all of this enthusiasm that is even 539 00:21:13,039 --> 00:21:16,080 more than what we've seen before we 540 00:21:16,080 --> 00:21:18,880 can't even go to the same level 541 00:21:18,880 --> 00:21:22,480 so what looks uh what what looks 542 00:21:22,480 --> 00:21:23,360 that 543 00:21:23,360 --> 00:21:25,679 what this something you know this move 544 00:21:25,679 --> 00:21:27,919 to the upside with so much strength and 545 00:21:27,919 --> 00:21:29,600 optimism 546 00:21:29,600 --> 00:21:30,720 looking 547 00:21:30,720 --> 00:21:33,840 so bullish at this point is actually 548 00:21:33,840 --> 00:21:36,000 showing us an ability 549 00:21:36,000 --> 00:21:38,320 to repeat the same bullish activity that 550 00:21:38,320 --> 00:21:39,840 we've seen before on the previous 551 00:21:39,840 --> 00:21:40,960 rallies 552 00:21:40,960 --> 00:21:43,520 is this bullish or bearish 553 00:21:43,520 --> 00:21:46,640 why didn't it reach resistance 554 00:21:46,640 --> 00:21:48,640 maybe this is the correct question to 555 00:21:48,640 --> 00:21:51,039 ask why didn't it reach resistance what 556 00:21:51,039 --> 00:21:52,720 do you guys think 557 00:21:52,720 --> 00:21:55,039 well my thought here is that it didn't 558 00:21:55,039 --> 00:21:59,200 reach resistance because someone was 559 00:21:59,200 --> 00:22:01,840 selling into the strength 560 00:22:01,840 --> 00:22:04,080 and if you think about the tactics of 561 00:22:04,080 --> 00:22:06,559 the seal here at this spot 562 00:22:06,559 --> 00:22:08,720 right at the point of the resistance 563 00:22:08,720 --> 00:22:11,679 they are selling into the strength of 564 00:22:11,679 --> 00:22:14,640 weak hands twice already 565 00:22:14,640 --> 00:22:17,120 and now they are selling for the third 566 00:22:17,120 --> 00:22:20,000 time at the lower level 567 00:22:20,000 --> 00:22:22,640 so this means automatically that the 568 00:22:22,640 --> 00:22:25,200 bias is still being confirmed as the 569 00:22:25,200 --> 00:22:27,200 downward bias 570 00:22:27,200 --> 00:22:30,320 and that now the value zone is slightly 571 00:22:30,320 --> 00:22:32,960 lower than what we've seen before so 572 00:22:32,960 --> 00:22:35,840 when point number two comes which seems 573 00:22:35,840 --> 00:22:38,320 like a very logical dimension volume 574 00:22:38,320 --> 00:22:40,559 signature so we might be thinking that 575 00:22:40,559 --> 00:22:42,799 okay supplies dimension here which is 576 00:22:42,799 --> 00:22:44,720 correct as well 577 00:22:44,720 --> 00:22:45,520 but 578 00:22:45,520 --> 00:22:48,640 uh what's what's not happening is that 579 00:22:48,640 --> 00:22:50,559 we're not going anywhere with all of 580 00:22:50,559 --> 00:22:53,520 this increase of what seems to kind of 581 00:22:53,520 --> 00:22:57,360 like an amateur eye a bullish scenario 582 00:22:57,360 --> 00:22:59,679 there is still an attempt to go up and 583 00:22:59,679 --> 00:23:02,320 yet we can't reach even the previous 584 00:23:02,320 --> 00:23:03,200 level 585 00:23:03,200 --> 00:23:06,159 so again we are just confirming the bias 586 00:23:06,159 --> 00:23:08,240 to the downside at this point of time 587 00:23:08,240 --> 00:23:10,480 and we are interpreting the increase of 588 00:23:10,480 --> 00:23:12,559 the volume signature 589 00:23:12,559 --> 00:23:14,000 as still 590 00:23:14,000 --> 00:23:17,039 and not necessarily 591 00:23:17,039 --> 00:23:21,679 a still increase of this supply over 592 00:23:21,679 --> 00:23:24,720 average supply 593 00:23:26,240 --> 00:23:28,159 and then we see that supply is 594 00:23:28,159 --> 00:23:30,960 diminishing 595 00:23:30,960 --> 00:23:33,039 over point number one 596 00:23:33,039 --> 00:23:36,880 and that tells us a different story 597 00:23:36,880 --> 00:23:40,960 it takes less of the supply to produce 598 00:23:40,960 --> 00:23:43,840 more bearish results 599 00:23:43,840 --> 00:23:45,919 and by a more bearish result i mean 600 00:23:45,919 --> 00:23:47,919 inability of the price to actually 601 00:23:47,919 --> 00:23:48,799 create 602 00:23:48,799 --> 00:23:50,799 you know even the same to touch the same 603 00:23:50,799 --> 00:23:53,360 resistance or create a higher high 604 00:23:53,360 --> 00:23:56,320 so it's a more bearish result 605 00:23:56,320 --> 00:23:59,760 on less supply what does it tell us 606 00:23:59,760 --> 00:24:01,440 it tells us that 607 00:24:01,440 --> 00:24:04,559 we don't need so much supply anymore 608 00:24:04,559 --> 00:24:07,039 to push the price down and at this point 609 00:24:07,039 --> 00:24:10,320 of time demand is so exhausted 610 00:24:10,320 --> 00:24:13,120 that all of the next rallies are not 611 00:24:13,120 --> 00:24:14,559 going to be that 612 00:24:14,559 --> 00:24:15,760 you know big 613 00:24:15,760 --> 00:24:17,679 and we see it with the next rally was 614 00:24:17,679 --> 00:24:20,400 the next rally and we're seeing how 615 00:24:20,400 --> 00:24:23,360 supply is diminishing even more and yet 616 00:24:23,360 --> 00:24:25,360 result to the downside is increasing 617 00:24:25,360 --> 00:24:26,480 even more 618 00:24:26,480 --> 00:24:29,200 so this tells us that there is a poor 619 00:24:29,200 --> 00:24:31,200 demand 620 00:24:31,200 --> 00:24:34,799 and diminishing supply signature 621 00:24:34,799 --> 00:24:37,679 on the background where 622 00:24:37,679 --> 00:24:40,480 the price 623 00:24:40,480 --> 00:24:43,919 is moving to the downside 624 00:24:43,919 --> 00:24:45,200 and that 625 00:24:45,200 --> 00:24:46,720 is 626 00:24:46,720 --> 00:24:47,760 ease 627 00:24:47,760 --> 00:24:49,840 of movement 628 00:24:49,840 --> 00:24:53,120 on dimension supply signature we are 629 00:24:53,120 --> 00:24:56,080 able to move the price down 630 00:24:56,080 --> 00:24:57,760 ease of movement 631 00:24:57,760 --> 00:25:00,960 and that gives us a timing 632 00:25:00,960 --> 00:25:04,320 to initiate the position 633 00:25:04,480 --> 00:25:07,039 why well because again 634 00:25:07,039 --> 00:25:09,760 demand is so poor we know that demand is 635 00:25:09,760 --> 00:25:11,919 not a factor anymore 636 00:25:11,919 --> 00:25:13,919 and even though supply goes down the 637 00:25:13,919 --> 00:25:16,240 price still goes down so we're just 638 00:25:16,240 --> 00:25:18,320 going to capitulate at some point and 639 00:25:18,320 --> 00:25:20,080 we're usually going to capitulate around 640 00:25:20,080 --> 00:25:22,320 the point of support so here's that 641 00:25:22,320 --> 00:25:24,640 final institutional capitulation it 642 00:25:24,640 --> 00:25:26,799 doesn't have a lot of supply signature 643 00:25:26,799 --> 00:25:28,880 behind it so that just tells us that 644 00:25:28,880 --> 00:25:30,960 most likely we're going to stop soon 645 00:25:30,960 --> 00:25:32,960 we're not going to continue 646 00:25:32,960 --> 00:25:35,520 for a long time to the downside 647 00:25:35,520 --> 00:25:39,120 all right well lee hopefully this is 648 00:25:39,120 --> 00:25:40,880 a good explanation for you and for 649 00:25:40,880 --> 00:25:44,000 everyone um so really good question this 650 00:25:44,000 --> 00:25:46,000 is not necessarily 651 00:25:46,000 --> 00:25:48,400 the question that i was expecting at 652 00:25:48,400 --> 00:25:51,919 this point but i'm really encouraged by 653 00:25:51,919 --> 00:25:54,400 the you you know 654 00:25:54,400 --> 00:25:56,960 the questions that are common and you 655 00:25:56,960 --> 00:25:59,279 know i'm really happy that we're we're 656 00:25:59,279 --> 00:26:01,360 starting with this by the way guys 657 00:26:01,360 --> 00:26:03,679 today's class is gonna go until six we 658 00:26:03,679 --> 00:26:05,440 have a lot of material so i'm kind of 659 00:26:05,440 --> 00:26:07,360 already we for the next probably five 660 00:26:07,360 --> 00:26:09,679 sessions we're gonna go up to six 661 00:26:09,679 --> 00:26:10,559 o'clock 662 00:26:10,559 --> 00:26:12,320 unless i have some kind of appointments 663 00:26:12,320 --> 00:26:14,159 arrangements after this 664 00:26:14,159 --> 00:26:16,080 lots of material so we're going to cover 665 00:26:16,080 --> 00:26:17,840 a lot today 666 00:26:17,840 --> 00:26:19,840 uh questions 667 00:26:19,840 --> 00:26:21,679 what about effort in the result if we 668 00:26:21,679 --> 00:26:24,880 see accumulation at uh at the right side 669 00:26:24,880 --> 00:26:27,600 from 2002 uh 670 00:26:27,600 --> 00:26:29,919 may to september of 2003 only one year 671 00:26:29,919 --> 00:26:33,200 are accumulating 2003 to 2005 an uptrend 672 00:26:33,200 --> 00:26:35,200 not a powerful effort 673 00:26:35,200 --> 00:26:37,679 on in an accumulation 674 00:26:37,679 --> 00:26:38,799 okay 675 00:26:38,799 --> 00:26:41,279 um 676 00:26:41,279 --> 00:26:43,039 okay so 677 00:26:43,039 --> 00:26:45,520 let me just again to understand this 678 00:26:45,520 --> 00:26:47,919 question 679 00:26:49,679 --> 00:26:53,640 so what's the question eric 680 00:26:59,919 --> 00:27:01,279 okay so 681 00:27:01,279 --> 00:27:02,320 this 682 00:27:02,320 --> 00:27:04,240 2005 683 00:27:04,240 --> 00:27:07,440 and this yeah i'm not sure if i 684 00:27:07,440 --> 00:27:09,279 understand the question eric let's just 685 00:27:09,279 --> 00:27:10,720 kind of rephrase it let's just think 686 00:27:10,720 --> 00:27:13,360 about this 687 00:27:13,679 --> 00:27:15,290 okay meanwhile um 688 00:27:15,290 --> 00:27:18,240 [Music] 689 00:27:18,240 --> 00:27:20,640 small time accumulating you mean this 690 00:27:20,640 --> 00:27:22,960 area right here 691 00:27:22,960 --> 00:27:25,679 as a cause 692 00:27:25,840 --> 00:27:26,880 or this 693 00:27:26,880 --> 00:27:28,799 as a course 694 00:27:28,799 --> 00:27:29,760 okay 695 00:27:29,760 --> 00:27:32,240 so um 696 00:27:32,240 --> 00:27:33,679 well 697 00:27:33,679 --> 00:27:35,520 we could definitely apply something like 698 00:27:35,520 --> 00:27:37,919 you know p and f try to see what kind of 699 00:27:37,919 --> 00:27:40,080 you know objective we're gonna see here 700 00:27:40,080 --> 00:27:42,159 we could see if this could match this 701 00:27:42,159 --> 00:27:43,760 objective as well 702 00:27:43,760 --> 00:27:46,640 um at this point of time you know uh 703 00:27:46,640 --> 00:27:48,480 we're not talking about the pnf i'm 704 00:27:48,480 --> 00:27:51,120 going to give you some references but 705 00:27:51,120 --> 00:27:52,399 you know for 706 00:27:52,399 --> 00:27:54,320 for those of you who are not familiar 707 00:27:54,320 --> 00:27:57,039 you know with 708 00:27:57,039 --> 00:28:00,159 pnf please go to our website there are 709 00:28:00,159 --> 00:28:02,640 a couple of things that you could do on 710 00:28:02,640 --> 00:28:04,720 the youtube channel 711 00:28:04,720 --> 00:28:07,279 the youtube channel has two videos right 712 00:28:07,279 --> 00:28:10,080 now by bruce on pnf 713 00:28:10,080 --> 00:28:13,600 those are basic videos 714 00:28:14,399 --> 00:28:15,200 so 715 00:28:15,200 --> 00:28:17,919 go there and then after that go to our 716 00:28:17,919 --> 00:28:21,200 website like of analytics.com and they 717 00:28:21,200 --> 00:28:23,039 are on demand 718 00:28:23,039 --> 00:28:25,120 products you could 719 00:28:25,120 --> 00:28:29,640 find part one and part two 720 00:28:30,559 --> 00:28:32,880 uh of uh 721 00:28:32,880 --> 00:28:34,880 the two courses that we conducted 722 00:28:34,880 --> 00:28:36,880 together with bruce on the pnf so i 723 00:28:36,880 --> 00:28:39,360 would recommend just that path 724 00:28:39,360 --> 00:28:42,000 okay great 725 00:28:42,000 --> 00:28:46,000 let's move on and let's just um 726 00:28:46,000 --> 00:28:49,840 uh go through the material for today so 727 00:28:49,840 --> 00:28:52,399 today what are we going to discuss today 728 00:28:52,399 --> 00:28:54,000 this is going to be the major work for 729 00:28:54,000 --> 00:28:58,000 us today to go through the um home depot 730 00:28:58,000 --> 00:28:59,679 homework review 731 00:28:59,679 --> 00:29:03,039 there will be a lot of 732 00:29:03,039 --> 00:29:05,200 questions that i will answer 733 00:29:05,200 --> 00:29:07,120 this is the first well not the first 734 00:29:07,120 --> 00:29:09,200 time but this is the time where 735 00:29:09,200 --> 00:29:12,640 i'm expecting a lot of volunteers 736 00:29:12,640 --> 00:29:14,320 that we are going to put on the chart 737 00:29:14,320 --> 00:29:15,760 and we're just going to go through your 738 00:29:15,760 --> 00:29:17,760 logic and then we're going to start 739 00:29:17,760 --> 00:29:20,799 adjusting that logic as to how are we 740 00:29:20,799 --> 00:29:23,279 viewing the chart how we identifying 741 00:29:23,279 --> 00:29:25,440 specific events how we're thinking about 742 00:29:25,440 --> 00:29:27,760 labeling and then how do we think about 743 00:29:27,760 --> 00:29:29,600 the tactics and where would we be 744 00:29:29,600 --> 00:29:30,799 thinking about 745 00:29:30,799 --> 00:29:32,480 opening the position and so and so forth 746 00:29:32,480 --> 00:29:35,600 so this might take even two sessions 747 00:29:35,600 --> 00:29:38,000 uh but we will do this as we go through 748 00:29:38,000 --> 00:29:41,520 the review i'm gonna after each of the 749 00:29:41,520 --> 00:29:43,919 slide each of the exercise you know 750 00:29:43,919 --> 00:29:44,880 we're gonna 751 00:29:44,880 --> 00:29:46,880 have some kind of theoretical material 752 00:29:46,880 --> 00:29:48,960 and the main thing that i want you guys 753 00:29:48,960 --> 00:29:51,039 to think about and this is what i see in 754 00:29:51,039 --> 00:29:53,279 your homeworks is the face boundaries 755 00:29:53,279 --> 00:29:54,480 that's number one 756 00:29:54,480 --> 00:29:57,360 secondly phase c identification and then 757 00:29:57,360 --> 00:29:59,039 everything else you know will definitely 758 00:29:59,039 --> 00:30:00,640 cover everything else 759 00:30:00,640 --> 00:30:02,559 if we have time 760 00:30:02,559 --> 00:30:04,720 we will talk about the distribution if 761 00:30:04,720 --> 00:30:06,880 we don't have time i'm gonna give you 762 00:30:06,880 --> 00:30:08,399 that 763 00:30:08,399 --> 00:30:10,399 homework on the distribution 764 00:30:10,399 --> 00:30:12,000 i'm going to give you the slides on the 765 00:30:12,000 --> 00:30:14,080 distribution your homework will be to 766 00:30:14,080 --> 00:30:16,720 read those slides through to understand 767 00:30:16,720 --> 00:30:18,399 all of the work of events in the 768 00:30:18,399 --> 00:30:20,880 distribution to unders and to know the 769 00:30:20,880 --> 00:30:22,559 characteristics 770 00:30:22,559 --> 00:30:24,080 of those events 771 00:30:24,080 --> 00:30:26,000 uh and then apply them to the homework 772 00:30:26,000 --> 00:30:28,000 and then we're gonna do the review 773 00:30:28,000 --> 00:30:29,919 uh the same review as we've done with 774 00:30:29,919 --> 00:30:32,000 the whole with home depot 775 00:30:32,000 --> 00:30:33,760 uh most likely maybe not in session 776 00:30:33,760 --> 00:30:35,440 number four but maybe session number 777 00:30:35,440 --> 00:30:36,399 five 778 00:30:36,399 --> 00:30:37,840 um 779 00:30:37,840 --> 00:30:38,960 so 780 00:30:38,960 --> 00:30:41,679 that's going to be the plan for today 781 00:30:41,679 --> 00:30:43,360 all right with that 782 00:30:43,360 --> 00:30:46,320 let's start our homework and i need a 783 00:30:46,320 --> 00:30:49,600 volunteer so say yes and i'm gonna mute 784 00:30:49,600 --> 00:30:51,840 you 785 00:30:52,080 --> 00:30:56,399 and let's see how that's gonna go okay 786 00:30:56,640 --> 00:30:58,799 let's go to 787 00:30:58,799 --> 00:31:00,080 um 788 00:31:00,080 --> 00:31:02,480 rami 789 00:31:02,720 --> 00:31:05,679 am i pronouncing your name correctly 790 00:31:05,679 --> 00:31:08,960 rama is fine rama okay rama almost like 791 00:31:08,960 --> 00:31:12,880 roma like my name is roma actually 792 00:31:12,880 --> 00:31:15,360 right my short name so drama that's 793 00:31:15,360 --> 00:31:17,200 that's very close okay great 794 00:31:17,200 --> 00:31:19,679 all right so let's look we have three 795 00:31:19,679 --> 00:31:21,519 trading ranges by the way guys if you 796 00:31:21,519 --> 00:31:23,200 haven't noticed some of you have not 797 00:31:23,200 --> 00:31:25,279 noticed there is another one that i kind 798 00:31:25,279 --> 00:31:27,840 of you know wanted you to identify 799 00:31:27,840 --> 00:31:30,799 um and by the way uh rama before we 800 00:31:30,799 --> 00:31:33,039 start doing this let me guys show you 801 00:31:33,039 --> 00:31:34,480 really quickly 802 00:31:34,480 --> 00:31:36,080 something that 803 00:31:36,080 --> 00:31:38,799 [Music] 804 00:31:38,799 --> 00:31:41,519 could be helpful to everyone 805 00:31:41,519 --> 00:31:42,559 so 806 00:31:42,559 --> 00:31:44,880 i thought that 807 00:31:44,880 --> 00:31:48,799 this idea of having homework slides as a 808 00:31:48,799 --> 00:31:50,640 separate file 809 00:31:50,640 --> 00:31:53,440 that was a suggestion by one of you i 810 00:31:53,440 --> 00:31:55,919 really appreciate this because i think 811 00:31:55,919 --> 00:31:58,480 it saved a lot of time for a lot of you 812 00:31:58,480 --> 00:32:00,399 guys and i know how difficult it is to 813 00:32:00,399 --> 00:32:02,640 do the first homework especially if you 814 00:32:02,640 --> 00:32:04,960 haven't worked with you know power 815 00:32:04,960 --> 00:32:07,279 charging approach i'm sorry power 816 00:32:07,279 --> 00:32:09,440 charging with um 817 00:32:09,440 --> 00:32:12,399 power points with uh 818 00:32:12,399 --> 00:32:15,760 pdfs and so on so forth but i was really 819 00:32:15,760 --> 00:32:17,679 pleased to see that everybody is just 820 00:32:17,679 --> 00:32:20,559 kind of like getting a handle on that so 821 00:32:20,559 --> 00:32:23,919 i want to show you a little bit of what 822 00:32:23,919 --> 00:32:26,480 i do with power charging and it will be 823 00:32:26,480 --> 00:32:29,039 really quick so when you receive a slide 824 00:32:29,039 --> 00:32:31,679 from me like this in in powerpoint why 825 00:32:31,679 --> 00:32:34,000 am i saying power charging in powerpoint 826 00:32:34,000 --> 00:32:36,640 um you have multiple options 827 00:32:36,640 --> 00:32:38,880 here for instance um under the first so 828 00:32:38,880 --> 00:32:40,000 you're going to be a 829 00:32:40,000 --> 00:32:42,240 home tab and then look at all of this 830 00:32:42,240 --> 00:32:45,200 small icons right here so for instance i 831 00:32:45,200 --> 00:32:47,519 could click this icon right here and i 832 00:32:47,519 --> 00:32:49,039 could create any 833 00:32:49,039 --> 00:32:51,840 type of text that i want i could move 834 00:32:51,840 --> 00:32:54,720 this text and put it you know 835 00:32:54,720 --> 00:32:56,720 anywhere i want so for instance 836 00:32:56,720 --> 00:32:58,240 something like this i'm 837 00:32:58,240 --> 00:33:00,000 looking at the up thrust and i'm saying 838 00:33:00,000 --> 00:33:01,519 this is enough thrust 839 00:33:01,519 --> 00:33:03,919 you can copy that you could create the 840 00:33:03,919 --> 00:33:06,480 new one you could change the color of it 841 00:33:06,480 --> 00:33:08,799 whatever you guys want to do then you 842 00:33:08,799 --> 00:33:11,440 have you know any type of lines that you 843 00:33:11,440 --> 00:33:13,600 want to create 844 00:33:13,600 --> 00:33:15,360 you can copy them 845 00:33:15,360 --> 00:33:18,240 paste them here is your trend 846 00:33:18,240 --> 00:33:22,240 um what else phases so i like to do this 847 00:33:22,240 --> 00:33:24,720 for phases 848 00:33:24,720 --> 00:33:27,440 just to identify 849 00:33:27,440 --> 00:33:29,120 where phase is 850 00:33:29,120 --> 00:33:30,480 and then 851 00:33:30,480 --> 00:33:32,159 you know change the maybe like the 852 00:33:32,159 --> 00:33:34,080 weight and maybe even 853 00:33:34,080 --> 00:33:36,159 change the way how it looks 854 00:33:36,159 --> 00:33:39,200 and just say okay uh here is maybe like 855 00:33:39,200 --> 00:33:41,440 phase a somewhere here 856 00:33:41,440 --> 00:33:45,039 right and then just write it down here 857 00:33:45,039 --> 00:33:47,360 uh and i could change the 858 00:33:47,360 --> 00:33:49,039 the size of it 859 00:33:49,039 --> 00:33:51,440 and so on and so forth 860 00:33:51,440 --> 00:33:54,159 so there are quite a few useful things 861 00:33:54,159 --> 00:33:56,320 that you could do here with the 862 00:33:56,320 --> 00:34:00,880 powerpoint and it's actually quite easy 863 00:34:00,880 --> 00:34:02,960 once you get a handle on all of those 864 00:34:02,960 --> 00:34:04,159 things 865 00:34:04,159 --> 00:34:06,080 so let's just practice let's just kind 866 00:34:06,080 --> 00:34:09,440 of like go with this um you know with uh 867 00:34:09,440 --> 00:34:10,800 next homework 868 00:34:10,800 --> 00:34:12,879 um and hopefully it will be easier for 869 00:34:12,879 --> 00:34:14,320 you guys to 870 00:34:14,320 --> 00:34:15,839 uh to use it 871 00:34:15,839 --> 00:34:18,320 all right having said this 872 00:34:18,320 --> 00:34:21,199 rama let's come back to you 873 00:34:21,199 --> 00:34:24,079 and let's look at trading range number 874 00:34:24,079 --> 00:34:25,280 one 875 00:34:25,280 --> 00:34:30,239 um it's this one right here so um 876 00:34:30,239 --> 00:34:33,119 one of the earliest question in labeling 877 00:34:33,119 --> 00:34:35,599 that i ask students is 878 00:34:35,599 --> 00:34:37,839 i want them to understand that when you 879 00:34:37,839 --> 00:34:39,040 look at the 880 00:34:39,040 --> 00:34:42,399 uh historical chart 881 00:34:42,399 --> 00:34:43,760 uh 882 00:34:43,760 --> 00:34:47,359 historical chart now you um know already 883 00:34:47,359 --> 00:34:50,879 what the bias of the trading range is 884 00:34:50,879 --> 00:34:54,320 and at this point in the course this is 885 00:34:54,320 --> 00:34:57,680 exactly what i want you to do i want you 886 00:34:57,680 --> 00:35:00,000 i want your minds not to think about the 887 00:35:00,000 --> 00:35:01,520 bias first 888 00:35:01,520 --> 00:35:03,520 i want you to understand that we have 889 00:35:03,520 --> 00:35:06,000 been in the accumulation 890 00:35:06,000 --> 00:35:08,880 and that you need to label accumulation 891 00:35:08,880 --> 00:35:11,760 correctly this is the first task 892 00:35:11,760 --> 00:35:14,480 as we progress to 893 00:35:14,480 --> 00:35:16,640 month number two 894 00:35:16,640 --> 00:35:19,280 that's when i'm gonna start closing off 895 00:35:19,280 --> 00:35:22,160 the chart and then moving to the right 896 00:35:22,160 --> 00:35:25,520 and unfolding the chart um and you know 897 00:35:25,520 --> 00:35:29,200 as like swings or bars occurs and then 898 00:35:29,200 --> 00:35:30,880 you will have to 899 00:35:30,880 --> 00:35:33,440 analyze the bias and the timing and so 900 00:35:33,440 --> 00:35:35,359 on so forth but for now 901 00:35:35,359 --> 00:35:37,200 this is what we do we know that this is 902 00:35:37,200 --> 00:35:38,800 an accumulation 903 00:35:38,800 --> 00:35:41,200 so in accumulation 904 00:35:41,200 --> 00:35:43,280 the biggest question that i have on on 905 00:35:43,280 --> 00:35:44,720 labeling 906 00:35:44,720 --> 00:35:47,920 what catches your eye aroma that is so 907 00:35:47,920 --> 00:35:50,400 distinctive distinctively 908 00:35:50,400 --> 00:35:52,320 different than anything else that you 909 00:35:52,320 --> 00:35:56,079 could identify right away 910 00:35:56,079 --> 00:35:57,440 um 911 00:35:57,440 --> 00:35:59,920 the arrest of the 912 00:35:59,920 --> 00:36:02,480 the descent of the price downwards the 913 00:36:02,480 --> 00:36:04,640 the rest of the downward movement of the 914 00:36:04,640 --> 00:36:06,000 price 915 00:36:06,000 --> 00:36:08,400 okay so what about it 916 00:36:08,400 --> 00:36:11,599 and uh the price uh 917 00:36:11,599 --> 00:36:14,320 failing to go below that particular 918 00:36:14,320 --> 00:36:16,800 level and then 919 00:36:16,800 --> 00:36:18,160 and rising 920 00:36:18,160 --> 00:36:20,560 from that level onwards defining the 921 00:36:20,560 --> 00:36:22,800 level of support okay well let's take 922 00:36:22,800 --> 00:36:24,240 that thought and let's just kind of 923 00:36:24,240 --> 00:36:28,240 develop this so we were in the downtrend 924 00:36:28,240 --> 00:36:30,240 and then we stopped 925 00:36:30,240 --> 00:36:32,880 that downtrend at this spot right here 926 00:36:32,880 --> 00:36:35,320 and then after that we went into the 927 00:36:35,320 --> 00:36:37,520 non-consolidating environment we've 928 00:36:37,520 --> 00:36:40,240 talked about this in the last session so 929 00:36:40,240 --> 00:36:42,960 what is this stop in action how would we 930 00:36:42,960 --> 00:36:43,920 call it 931 00:36:43,920 --> 00:36:46,400 how would we call this event 932 00:36:46,400 --> 00:36:51,200 selling climax okay selling climax uh sc 933 00:36:51,200 --> 00:36:54,000 um other characteristics of the selling 934 00:36:54,000 --> 00:36:57,040 climax that we could identify here to 935 00:36:57,040 --> 00:36:58,880 confirm that indeed this was a selling 936 00:36:58,880 --> 00:37:01,119 climax 937 00:37:01,119 --> 00:37:02,320 uh 938 00:37:02,320 --> 00:37:03,599 the 939 00:37:03,599 --> 00:37:05,920 range of the price bars in other words 940 00:37:05,920 --> 00:37:07,440 the spread 941 00:37:07,440 --> 00:37:08,960 is wide 942 00:37:08,960 --> 00:37:12,640 and there are multiple such bars 943 00:37:12,640 --> 00:37:13,440 and 944 00:37:13,440 --> 00:37:16,480 which essentially indicates to me that 945 00:37:16,480 --> 00:37:20,839 the the momentum to the downside 946 00:37:20,839 --> 00:37:23,920 and um 947 00:37:23,920 --> 00:37:27,119 does it look panicky does it look like 948 00:37:27,119 --> 00:37:29,040 somebody wants to get rid of those dogs 949 00:37:29,040 --> 00:37:30,320 right away 950 00:37:30,320 --> 00:37:32,079 absolutely yeah 951 00:37:32,079 --> 00:37:35,200 so there is some kind of climactic run 952 00:37:35,200 --> 00:37:37,359 right that we are observing 953 00:37:37,359 --> 00:37:40,640 okay great yeah we know that you know 954 00:37:40,640 --> 00:37:42,880 from in hindsight that the price has 955 00:37:42,880 --> 00:37:44,880 stopped here this is the first spot so 956 00:37:44,880 --> 00:37:46,400 usually it's going to be associated with 957 00:37:46,400 --> 00:37:48,240 that climactic action with the selling 958 00:37:48,240 --> 00:37:50,560 climax okay if this is a selling climax 959 00:37:50,560 --> 00:37:53,520 then the next rally is going to be what 960 00:37:53,520 --> 00:37:56,160 automatic rally 961 00:37:56,160 --> 00:37:57,760 and then the next 962 00:37:57,760 --> 00:38:00,320 low is going to be what would be a 963 00:38:00,320 --> 00:38:01,920 secondary test 964 00:38:01,920 --> 00:38:04,640 and that would conclude which phase 965 00:38:04,640 --> 00:38:05,920 phase a 966 00:38:05,920 --> 00:38:07,359 and the 967 00:38:07,359 --> 00:38:10,560 intention behind phase a is what 968 00:38:10,560 --> 00:38:14,079 uh the intention is to 969 00:38:14,079 --> 00:38:16,720 stop the downward movement and then the 970 00:38:16,720 --> 00:38:18,240 beginning of a 971 00:38:18,240 --> 00:38:21,040 potential trading range excellent how 972 00:38:21,040 --> 00:38:23,200 else would we be 973 00:38:23,200 --> 00:38:25,520 uh interpreting or call in this 974 00:38:25,520 --> 00:38:28,480 automatic rally and the subsequent 975 00:38:28,480 --> 00:38:30,640 secondary test that 976 00:38:30,640 --> 00:38:34,800 is a successful secondary test 977 00:38:35,200 --> 00:38:36,480 um 978 00:38:36,480 --> 00:38:37,680 the 979 00:38:37,680 --> 00:38:39,280 secondary test 980 00:38:39,280 --> 00:38:41,280 and the automatic rally 981 00:38:41,280 --> 00:38:43,920 would have 982 00:38:44,079 --> 00:38:46,880 volume signatures that would suggest 983 00:38:46,880 --> 00:38:49,520 that it's more likely 984 00:38:49,520 --> 00:38:52,000 to be an evolving trading range 985 00:38:52,000 --> 00:38:53,520 but also 986 00:38:53,520 --> 00:38:54,720 yes 987 00:38:54,720 --> 00:38:56,960 absolutely and here again we're going 988 00:38:56,960 --> 00:38:58,000 from 989 00:38:58,000 --> 00:38:59,440 a down 990 00:38:59,440 --> 00:39:02,720 trend environment into a trading range 991 00:39:02,720 --> 00:39:04,880 environment something should happen 992 00:39:04,880 --> 00:39:06,079 right here 993 00:39:06,079 --> 00:39:08,560 some kind of change how are we calling 994 00:39:08,560 --> 00:39:09,599 that 995 00:39:09,599 --> 00:39:12,079 uh that that would be 996 00:39:12,079 --> 00:39:15,119 the price failing to continue to go 997 00:39:15,119 --> 00:39:17,119 upwards in other words the automatic 998 00:39:17,119 --> 00:39:20,800 rally being limited by a price level 999 00:39:20,800 --> 00:39:23,599 which defines the resistance okay so 1000 00:39:23,599 --> 00:39:25,520 that's great that's also another great 1001 00:39:25,520 --> 00:39:28,079 point so automatic rally will define an 1002 00:39:28,079 --> 00:39:30,720 area of the resistance i'm sorry the 1003 00:39:30,720 --> 00:39:33,040 level of the resistance and then selling 1004 00:39:33,040 --> 00:39:35,599 climax will define the 1005 00:39:35,599 --> 00:39:38,160 level of the support and we would be 1006 00:39:38,160 --> 00:39:39,760 thinking that the price should 1007 00:39:39,760 --> 00:39:42,960 consolidate around the mean in this area 1008 00:39:42,960 --> 00:39:45,280 um and be contained 1009 00:39:45,280 --> 00:39:46,800 majority of the price should be 1010 00:39:46,800 --> 00:39:48,880 contained within this two 1011 00:39:48,880 --> 00:39:52,720 you know two two levels and it is um so 1012 00:39:52,720 --> 00:39:54,000 that's great 1013 00:39:54,000 --> 00:39:56,880 the question that i'm also asking 1014 00:39:56,880 --> 00:40:00,400 is that switch between the downtrend to 1015 00:40:00,400 --> 00:40:03,280 a consolidating environment when we look 1016 00:40:03,280 --> 00:40:06,160 at the rally uh even the automatic rally 1017 00:40:06,160 --> 00:40:07,839 itself and we could see 1018 00:40:07,839 --> 00:40:11,280 even going into the up thrust right here 1019 00:40:11,280 --> 00:40:13,440 in a potential phase b 1020 00:40:13,440 --> 00:40:16,079 um this is is this the largest rally 1021 00:40:16,079 --> 00:40:19,119 that we've seen so far 1022 00:40:19,200 --> 00:40:21,520 um 1023 00:40:22,480 --> 00:40:25,680 um no on the way down this is the the 1024 00:40:25,680 --> 00:40:27,839 third such rally and 1025 00:40:27,839 --> 00:40:30,800 uh that we have seen so far i'm not sure 1026 00:40:30,800 --> 00:40:32,960 about that so if this is the high of 1027 00:40:32,960 --> 00:40:36,079 this multiple downside right so we have 1028 00:40:36,079 --> 00:40:38,160 rally number one we have rally number 1029 00:40:38,160 --> 00:40:39,599 two 1030 00:40:39,599 --> 00:40:41,520 there are quite a few here so all of 1031 00:40:41,520 --> 00:40:43,680 this too and then look at this rally 1032 00:40:43,680 --> 00:40:45,839 right here yeah is this the largest 1033 00:40:45,839 --> 00:40:47,440 rally out of all of the rallies that 1034 00:40:47,440 --> 00:40:49,680 i've uh identified here 1035 00:40:49,680 --> 00:40:52,800 right yes i would agree yeah yes so the 1036 00:40:52,800 --> 00:40:55,040 rally has increased 1037 00:40:55,040 --> 00:40:57,359 right the distance 1038 00:40:57,359 --> 00:40:59,680 of the rally has increased and that 1039 00:40:59,680 --> 00:41:02,160 produced some kind of change 1040 00:41:02,160 --> 00:41:05,359 it's a change of character yeah yes yes 1041 00:41:05,359 --> 00:41:07,440 so this is where i'm kind of like trying 1042 00:41:07,440 --> 00:41:09,760 to go with you here so a change of 1043 00:41:09,760 --> 00:41:12,720 character now we need to confirm it how 1044 00:41:12,720 --> 00:41:14,640 do we confirm it well 1045 00:41:14,640 --> 00:41:15,359 we 1046 00:41:15,359 --> 00:41:19,960 look at the climactic run 1047 00:41:20,000 --> 00:41:22,079 we are comparing it to the next rally 1048 00:41:22,079 --> 00:41:23,680 that comes after the 1049 00:41:23,680 --> 00:41:25,920 uh change of character rally 1050 00:41:25,920 --> 00:41:27,920 the next decline that takes place the 1051 00:41:27,920 --> 00:41:29,599 next decline and then 1052 00:41:29,599 --> 00:41:33,200 we see that again the distance 1053 00:41:33,200 --> 00:41:35,040 is diminishing 1054 00:41:35,040 --> 00:41:36,800 we're seeing how the spread might be 1055 00:41:36,800 --> 00:41:39,280 dimension as well we're having a high 1056 00:41:39,280 --> 00:41:42,000 low right here in this area so that 1057 00:41:42,000 --> 00:41:44,160 confirms that change of character and 1058 00:41:44,160 --> 00:41:45,680 the change of character is going to be 1059 00:41:45,680 --> 00:41:47,920 all about well something different 1060 00:41:47,920 --> 00:41:50,400 happens here in comparison to this or 1061 00:41:50,400 --> 00:41:52,319 this 1062 00:41:52,319 --> 00:41:54,560 every time we either have a very weak 1063 00:41:54,560 --> 00:41:58,240 rally and then a break to the downside 1064 00:41:58,240 --> 00:42:00,480 weak rally and then a break to the 1065 00:42:00,480 --> 00:42:03,359 downside here we have 1066 00:42:03,359 --> 00:42:05,839 a much better rally 1067 00:42:05,839 --> 00:42:08,319 so something is different 1068 00:42:08,319 --> 00:42:09,599 and then 1069 00:42:09,599 --> 00:42:11,599 we don't have the next break to the 1070 00:42:11,599 --> 00:42:12,800 downside 1071 00:42:12,800 --> 00:42:14,880 or even in some instances we might have 1072 00:42:14,880 --> 00:42:16,720 a small break and then the price will 1073 00:42:16,720 --> 00:42:20,319 come back into the trading range yeah 1074 00:42:20,319 --> 00:42:22,240 so this is the change of character this 1075 00:42:22,240 --> 00:42:24,480 is where everything changes for the 1076 00:42:24,480 --> 00:42:27,520 downtrend and we might expect a trading 1077 00:42:27,520 --> 00:42:28,720 range and it's always going to be 1078 00:42:28,720 --> 00:42:32,560 associated on the way in 1079 00:42:33,760 --> 00:42:34,640 yes 1080 00:42:34,640 --> 00:42:35,599 excellent 1081 00:42:35,599 --> 00:42:38,319 okay so now that we know 1082 00:42:38,319 --> 00:42:41,280 where phase a is and by the way 1083 00:42:41,280 --> 00:42:43,119 another you know for those of you who 1084 00:42:43,119 --> 00:42:45,040 are more advanced you might have a 1085 00:42:45,040 --> 00:42:46,800 question here and i'm actually very 1086 00:42:46,800 --> 00:42:48,800 surprised that nobody's asking it right 1087 00:42:48,800 --> 00:42:49,760 now 1088 00:42:49,760 --> 00:42:51,920 um automatic rally 1089 00:42:51,920 --> 00:42:54,720 and automatic rally could it be that we 1090 00:42:54,720 --> 00:42:56,800 could have you know this type of 1091 00:42:56,800 --> 00:42:58,720 labeling 1092 00:42:58,720 --> 00:43:01,920 and i'd say that i i would be totally 1093 00:43:01,920 --> 00:43:04,240 okay with this right so 1094 00:43:04,240 --> 00:43:07,839 uh because we have more of this rally 1095 00:43:07,839 --> 00:43:10,480 in this secondary test 1096 00:43:10,480 --> 00:43:11,440 that 1097 00:43:11,440 --> 00:43:13,599 is more of the function of the selling 1098 00:43:13,599 --> 00:43:15,280 climax itself 1099 00:43:15,280 --> 00:43:17,440 and then just a continuation of this 1100 00:43:17,440 --> 00:43:21,280 rally to the upside um you know i could 1101 00:43:21,280 --> 00:43:23,599 label this as an up thrust action right 1102 00:43:23,599 --> 00:43:26,000 here in phase b but you could also label 1103 00:43:26,000 --> 00:43:28,480 this as a much larger 1104 00:43:28,480 --> 00:43:31,040 automatic rally and then your secondary 1105 00:43:31,040 --> 00:43:32,800 test is going to be somewhere here in 1106 00:43:32,800 --> 00:43:35,680 this area and this could be a phase a 1107 00:43:35,680 --> 00:43:36,480 now 1108 00:43:36,480 --> 00:43:40,079 the biggest question here is well what 1109 00:43:40,079 --> 00:43:41,839 does it mean i mean like it looks like 1110 00:43:41,839 --> 00:43:43,520 so discretionary 1111 00:43:43,520 --> 00:43:45,599 but the biggest question here is not 1112 00:43:45,599 --> 00:43:47,520 actually about the labeling 1113 00:43:47,520 --> 00:43:49,680 my biggest question to you all of you 1114 00:43:49,680 --> 00:43:51,839 guys at this point is 1115 00:43:51,839 --> 00:43:55,280 does it really matter to your trading 1116 00:43:55,280 --> 00:43:59,119 how you label phase a 1117 00:43:59,359 --> 00:44:03,119 um no why 1118 00:44:04,160 --> 00:44:07,200 because it we are just looking at the 1119 00:44:07,200 --> 00:44:09,760 pattern as it is evolving the patterns 1120 00:44:09,760 --> 00:44:11,359 the nature and the pattern of the 1121 00:44:11,359 --> 00:44:13,440 rallies and the declines 1122 00:44:13,440 --> 00:44:16,640 where will you be a trigonometry 1123 00:44:16,640 --> 00:44:20,160 uh i would be trading at the uh the 1124 00:44:20,160 --> 00:44:21,520 phase c 1125 00:44:21,520 --> 00:44:23,440 or d 1126 00:44:23,440 --> 00:44:26,560 as the uh trading range as the price 1127 00:44:26,560 --> 00:44:28,640 gets out of the trading range and the 1128 00:44:28,640 --> 00:44:30,480 new trend emerges that's where i would 1129 00:44:30,480 --> 00:44:32,640 be trading so somewhere here in this 1130 00:44:32,640 --> 00:44:34,640 area maybe even better maybe like 1131 00:44:34,640 --> 00:44:37,119 somewhere here in this whole area why 1132 00:44:37,119 --> 00:44:38,880 because it's always going to be to the 1133 00:44:38,880 --> 00:44:40,560 right of the trading range where we're 1134 00:44:40,560 --> 00:44:43,119 going to originate our trades 1135 00:44:43,119 --> 00:44:45,920 right so does it really matter how we 1136 00:44:45,920 --> 00:44:47,680 label phase a 1137 00:44:47,680 --> 00:44:48,800 i see 1138 00:44:48,800 --> 00:44:51,119 i see a lot of this kind of like this 1139 00:44:51,119 --> 00:44:52,480 mental 1140 00:44:52,480 --> 00:44:53,599 you know 1141 00:44:53,599 --> 00:44:55,119 resistance 1142 00:44:55,119 --> 00:44:57,839 i have to label everything correctly 1143 00:44:57,839 --> 00:45:00,079 you have to trade everything correctly 1144 00:45:00,079 --> 00:45:01,839 you don't have to label everything 1145 00:45:01,839 --> 00:45:03,599 correctly i'm going to go even further 1146 00:45:03,599 --> 00:45:05,440 with this statement 1147 00:45:05,440 --> 00:45:07,839 you have to trade correctly you don't 1148 00:45:07,839 --> 00:45:10,079 have to analyze everything correctly and 1149 00:45:10,079 --> 00:45:12,160 that is counter-intuitive 1150 00:45:12,160 --> 00:45:14,880 because we always think that 1151 00:45:14,880 --> 00:45:15,760 by 1152 00:45:15,760 --> 00:45:18,560 making a good analysis that will lead to 1153 00:45:18,560 --> 00:45:21,359 a good trade not necessarily sometimes 1154 00:45:21,359 --> 00:45:22,319 my 1155 00:45:22,319 --> 00:45:24,800 you know bad analysis leads me to much 1156 00:45:24,800 --> 00:45:26,560 better trade 1157 00:45:26,560 --> 00:45:29,440 than the trade that i've analyzed you 1158 00:45:29,440 --> 00:45:30,880 know 1159 00:45:30,880 --> 00:45:34,079 a lot why is this happening well because 1160 00:45:34,079 --> 00:45:36,319 you know markets are unpredictable and 1161 00:45:36,319 --> 00:45:37,760 the only thing that you could really 1162 00:45:37,760 --> 00:45:40,000 control is just your actions 1163 00:45:40,000 --> 00:45:42,240 so if i see some kind of mistake 1164 00:45:42,240 --> 00:45:44,960 analytical mistake that i've made and 1165 00:45:44,960 --> 00:45:47,200 the market shows to me right away that 1166 00:45:47,200 --> 00:45:49,680 you are wrong in your analysis i could 1167 00:45:49,680 --> 00:45:52,400 mentally make a switch and say i was 1168 00:45:52,400 --> 00:45:55,280 wrong if i was wrong what is the correct 1169 00:45:55,280 --> 00:45:57,920 interpretation well it's different could 1170 00:45:57,920 --> 00:46:01,119 i take a trade on that yes i'm still in 1171 00:46:01,119 --> 00:46:03,599 that zone where i could take a trade on 1172 00:46:03,599 --> 00:46:07,040 that so therefore you know you could um 1173 00:46:07,040 --> 00:46:09,440 you could use it like this you know like 1174 00:46:09,440 --> 00:46:10,800 this mental 1175 00:46:10,800 --> 00:46:14,560 mental path okay so let's assume that 1176 00:46:14,560 --> 00:46:16,560 we're going to go with the original 1177 00:46:16,560 --> 00:46:18,400 phase a 1178 00:46:18,400 --> 00:46:19,280 cell in 1179 00:46:19,280 --> 00:46:22,640 climax automatic rally secondary test 1180 00:46:22,640 --> 00:46:24,800 then i already mentioned up thrust 1181 00:46:24,800 --> 00:46:27,520 action in phase b 1182 00:46:27,520 --> 00:46:30,000 uh so rama let me ask you this 1183 00:46:30,000 --> 00:46:30,960 question 1184 00:46:30,960 --> 00:46:33,119 what is the next point in this trading 1185 00:46:33,119 --> 00:46:35,200 range that attracts your attention that 1186 00:46:35,200 --> 00:46:37,599 you could identify right away and you 1187 00:46:37,599 --> 00:46:39,839 can say i know what this is 1188 00:46:39,839 --> 00:46:42,480 the most obvious thing 1189 00:46:42,480 --> 00:46:43,760 uh 1190 00:46:43,760 --> 00:46:47,040 the most obvious thing is the uh 1191 00:46:47,040 --> 00:46:50,319 a deeper secondary test that occurs 1192 00:46:50,319 --> 00:46:50,820 um 1193 00:46:50,820 --> 00:46:52,240 [Music] 1194 00:46:52,240 --> 00:46:53,359 in in 1195 00:46:53,359 --> 00:46:54,640 november 1196 00:46:54,640 --> 00:46:56,640 which is essentially very close to the 1197 00:46:56,640 --> 00:46:58,880 support level and the 1198 00:46:58,880 --> 00:47:00,960 behavior of the price when it reaches 1199 00:47:00,960 --> 00:47:02,160 that level 1200 00:47:02,160 --> 00:47:05,599 okay so what is it how would we label it 1201 00:47:05,599 --> 00:47:09,040 um i i would label that as yes yes sd 1202 00:47:09,040 --> 00:47:11,520 yeah okay great and there are by the way 1203 00:47:11,520 --> 00:47:14,880 multiple secondary tests 1204 00:47:14,880 --> 00:47:15,839 this is 1205 00:47:15,839 --> 00:47:18,000 this is also guys another thing that i 1206 00:47:18,000 --> 00:47:20,000 want you to start thinking about and 1207 00:47:20,000 --> 00:47:21,920 today i'm gonna give you so much 1208 00:47:21,920 --> 00:47:23,359 material 1209 00:47:23,359 --> 00:47:25,440 for those of you who 1210 00:47:25,440 --> 00:47:28,000 emailed me and you guys said i watched 1211 00:47:28,000 --> 00:47:29,680 the video and it was 1212 00:47:29,680 --> 00:47:30,559 uh 1213 00:47:30,559 --> 00:47:33,040 like an eye opening watching it for the 1214 00:47:33,040 --> 00:47:34,960 second or third time and some of you 1215 00:47:34,960 --> 00:47:36,800 watched multiple times 1216 00:47:36,800 --> 00:47:38,880 and i do believe it because 1217 00:47:38,880 --> 00:47:40,720 going through this 1218 00:47:40,720 --> 00:47:42,800 even through this chart i already gave 1219 00:47:42,800 --> 00:47:45,440 you probably like a dozens of concepts 1220 00:47:45,440 --> 00:47:47,599 that you could make a note of so for 1221 00:47:47,599 --> 00:47:49,839 those of you who have time 1222 00:47:49,839 --> 00:47:52,400 watch the recording again make the notes 1223 00:47:52,400 --> 00:47:54,480 send those notes to me you're gonna 1224 00:47:54,480 --> 00:47:56,480 receive so much value out of that 1225 00:47:56,480 --> 00:47:59,200 exercise okay so what am i 1226 00:47:59,200 --> 00:48:00,880 talking about here 1227 00:48:00,880 --> 00:48:04,240 we have to understand the texture 1228 00:48:04,240 --> 00:48:07,359 of the large formation how it forms 1229 00:48:07,359 --> 00:48:09,839 we could see that the cell in climax is 1230 00:48:09,839 --> 00:48:11,839 always going to be associated with the 1231 00:48:11,839 --> 00:48:14,240 secondary test the retest of that and 1232 00:48:14,240 --> 00:48:17,119 then in phase b brahma has mentioned you 1233 00:48:17,119 --> 00:48:20,800 know this secondary test that goes to 1234 00:48:20,800 --> 00:48:21,680 the 1235 00:48:21,680 --> 00:48:23,119 support level 1236 00:48:23,119 --> 00:48:26,240 but there are quite a lot of those tests 1237 00:48:26,240 --> 00:48:28,880 around this area there are one two three 1238 00:48:28,880 --> 00:48:31,119 four five five tests maybe even six 1239 00:48:31,119 --> 00:48:32,160 tests 1240 00:48:32,160 --> 00:48:34,160 and you kind of could see from the 1241 00:48:34,160 --> 00:48:38,160 texture of the price that it's all 1242 00:48:38,160 --> 00:48:39,440 together 1243 00:48:39,440 --> 00:48:41,839 it's not just separate tests 1244 00:48:41,839 --> 00:48:43,760 it's the testing 1245 00:48:43,760 --> 00:48:45,040 um 1246 00:48:45,040 --> 00:48:48,400 that takes some time and produces a 1247 00:48:48,400 --> 00:48:50,000 trading range 1248 00:48:50,000 --> 00:48:52,720 so when we look into this we usually 1249 00:48:52,720 --> 00:48:54,880 would be thinking that it should belong 1250 00:48:54,880 --> 00:48:57,680 to one phase and some instances we would 1251 00:48:57,680 --> 00:48:59,839 break this but in this case it seems 1252 00:48:59,839 --> 00:49:02,720 like it should be one one test and then 1253 00:49:02,720 --> 00:49:05,520 one phase so what phase would it be all 1254 00:49:05,520 --> 00:49:08,480 this secondary tests here phase b phase 1255 00:49:08,480 --> 00:49:11,280 b yes we still need to experience phase 1256 00:49:11,280 --> 00:49:13,040 b and we know that phase b is going to 1257 00:49:13,040 --> 00:49:16,079 be the largest amount of three phases a 1258 00:49:16,079 --> 00:49:17,440 b and c 1259 00:49:17,440 --> 00:49:20,559 okay so if this is phase b then what is 1260 00:49:20,559 --> 00:49:23,359 the next most obvious thing that you see 1261 00:49:23,359 --> 00:49:24,720 in this trading range that you could 1262 00:49:24,720 --> 00:49:28,800 identify and tell us i know what this is 1263 00:49:28,800 --> 00:49:30,559 uh 1264 00:49:30,559 --> 00:49:32,000 would be the 1265 00:49:32,000 --> 00:49:32,880 uh 1266 00:49:32,880 --> 00:49:35,040 there are two points i can identify one 1267 00:49:35,040 --> 00:49:36,480 is the uh 1268 00:49:36,480 --> 00:49:37,359 the 1269 00:49:37,359 --> 00:49:39,760 up thrust that happens soon after the 1270 00:49:39,760 --> 00:49:41,599 testing of the support level and the 1271 00:49:41,599 --> 00:49:43,359 other one is the 1272 00:49:43,359 --> 00:49:44,559 uh 1273 00:49:44,559 --> 00:49:45,920 the 1274 00:49:45,920 --> 00:49:46,960 low 1275 00:49:46,960 --> 00:49:47,839 of 1276 00:49:47,839 --> 00:49:49,839 the phase c 1277 00:49:49,839 --> 00:49:51,599 okay those are the two things that stand 1278 00:49:51,599 --> 00:49:54,160 out okay so let's deal with phase c 1279 00:49:54,160 --> 00:49:58,160 first so why is this space c 1280 00:49:58,160 --> 00:49:59,119 um 1281 00:49:59,119 --> 00:50:00,079 the 1282 00:50:00,079 --> 00:50:02,960 the price action and and the the price 1283 00:50:02,960 --> 00:50:07,280 again uh unlike the other test in phase 1284 00:50:07,280 --> 00:50:08,400 b 1285 00:50:08,400 --> 00:50:09,440 the 1286 00:50:09,440 --> 00:50:12,960 price gets much closer and the the 1287 00:50:12,960 --> 00:50:15,280 spreader the bar narrows 1288 00:50:15,280 --> 00:50:17,040 and 1289 00:50:17,040 --> 00:50:20,800 and the rally that follows that 1290 00:50:20,800 --> 00:50:22,400 for the first time 1291 00:50:22,400 --> 00:50:25,760 traverses through uh the trading range 1292 00:50:25,760 --> 00:50:28,720 uh commits itself above the resistance 1293 00:50:28,720 --> 00:50:29,839 level 1294 00:50:29,839 --> 00:50:32,079 and then stays above that resistance 1295 00:50:32,079 --> 00:50:35,119 level well some someone has been doing a 1296 00:50:35,119 --> 00:50:36,720 lot of homeworks and watching a lot of 1297 00:50:36,720 --> 00:50:38,640 videos so rama 1298 00:50:38,640 --> 00:50:41,920 good job um so rama has given us a lot 1299 00:50:41,920 --> 00:50:43,040 of 1300 00:50:43,040 --> 00:50:45,359 thoughts on how we could identify phase 1301 00:50:45,359 --> 00:50:46,240 c 1302 00:50:46,240 --> 00:50:48,240 i'm gonna show you the slide and you 1303 00:50:48,240 --> 00:50:50,240 know in couple of other slides that we 1304 00:50:50,240 --> 00:50:51,839 have to cover first 1305 00:50:51,839 --> 00:50:54,960 um on how could we identify phase c this 1306 00:50:54,960 --> 00:50:56,640 is going to be one of the 1307 00:50:56,640 --> 00:50:59,280 major um kind of shortcuts that i'm 1308 00:50:59,280 --> 00:51:01,599 going to give you guys so phase c is 1309 00:51:01,599 --> 00:51:02,720 going to be 1310 00:51:02,720 --> 00:51:04,559 associated with 1311 00:51:04,559 --> 00:51:05,599 the 1312 00:51:05,599 --> 00:51:07,599 number three 1313 00:51:07,599 --> 00:51:08,480 or 1314 00:51:08,480 --> 00:51:10,319 last 1315 00:51:10,319 --> 00:51:12,559 test 1316 00:51:12,559 --> 00:51:16,319 at the level of the support 1317 00:51:16,319 --> 00:51:18,240 so where is the first test 1318 00:51:18,240 --> 00:51:21,119 well naturally after the climactic 1319 00:51:21,119 --> 00:51:24,079 action in phase a that's number one and 1320 00:51:24,079 --> 00:51:25,760 that's at the support level even though 1321 00:51:25,760 --> 00:51:28,400 it comes so high but it's still testing 1322 00:51:28,400 --> 00:51:30,640 the local stopping action by selling 1323 00:51:30,640 --> 00:51:31,839 climax 1324 00:51:31,839 --> 00:51:35,440 test number two naturally will happen in 1325 00:51:35,440 --> 00:51:36,720 phase b 1326 00:51:36,720 --> 00:51:38,800 and this test number two is just too 1327 00:51:38,800 --> 00:51:40,079 complex 1328 00:51:40,079 --> 00:51:43,359 because there is a selling climax 1329 00:51:43,359 --> 00:51:44,960 there is a whole formation with the 1330 00:51:44,960 --> 00:51:47,520 selling climax automatic rally secondary 1331 00:51:47,520 --> 00:51:51,119 test phase a phase b phase b 1332 00:51:51,119 --> 00:51:52,160 um 1333 00:51:52,160 --> 00:51:55,680 even this phase b up thrust phase c 1334 00:51:55,680 --> 00:51:58,000 so it has its own trading range so it's 1335 00:51:58,000 --> 00:51:59,839 just a complex trading range and a 1336 00:51:59,839 --> 00:52:02,559 complex uh process of testing that we 1337 00:52:02,559 --> 00:52:04,960 are observing here but this is a test 1338 00:52:04,960 --> 00:52:06,319 number two 1339 00:52:06,319 --> 00:52:08,559 and then phase c 1340 00:52:08,559 --> 00:52:12,319 always will be a test number three 1341 00:52:12,319 --> 00:52:14,880 at the level of the support that's very 1342 00:52:14,880 --> 00:52:17,520 important because test number four 1343 00:52:17,520 --> 00:52:19,599 is going to be at the level of the 1344 00:52:19,599 --> 00:52:21,599 resistance that uh 1345 00:52:21,599 --> 00:52:22,880 that 1346 00:52:22,880 --> 00:52:25,839 was created by phases a and b we will 1347 00:52:25,839 --> 00:52:27,920 come back to this later on 1348 00:52:27,920 --> 00:52:31,760 we also know that phase c is going to be 1349 00:52:31,760 --> 00:52:32,480 the 1350 00:52:32,480 --> 00:52:35,200 lowest 1351 00:52:35,680 --> 00:52:37,200 low 1352 00:52:37,200 --> 00:52:40,160 in the uptrend 1353 00:52:40,720 --> 00:52:43,359 and because we look at the 1354 00:52:43,359 --> 00:52:45,280 at the chart where we know what has 1355 00:52:45,280 --> 00:52:46,559 happened before 1356 00:52:46,559 --> 00:52:49,440 where did uptrend has started 1357 00:52:49,440 --> 00:52:51,599 one might argue that well we had to 1358 00:52:51,599 --> 00:52:53,280 start maybe like somewhere here in 1359 00:52:53,280 --> 00:52:54,960 december of 1360 00:52:54,960 --> 00:52:56,400 85 1361 00:52:56,400 --> 00:52:58,240 and then we have a higher high and the 1362 00:52:58,240 --> 00:52:59,520 higher low 1363 00:52:59,520 --> 00:53:02,000 one might argue well maybe even up low 1364 00:53:02,000 --> 00:53:03,920 prior to that november 1365 00:53:03,920 --> 00:53:05,760 but for us what's important is to 1366 00:53:05,760 --> 00:53:08,400 understand is that there is still a 1367 00:53:08,400 --> 00:53:10,800 trading range that unfolds it's a 1368 00:53:10,800 --> 00:53:13,280 non-trending environment 1369 00:53:13,280 --> 00:53:16,240 so therefore there is no really a trend 1370 00:53:16,240 --> 00:53:19,040 until it hits the law of phase c and 1371 00:53:19,040 --> 00:53:20,559 only then 1372 00:53:20,559 --> 00:53:23,119 we would be seeing some kind of uptrend 1373 00:53:23,119 --> 00:53:25,440 now we'll have some other different 1374 00:53:25,440 --> 00:53:27,680 definitions on this subject where we 1375 00:53:27,680 --> 00:53:30,079 might have even the low in phase a and 1376 00:53:30,079 --> 00:53:32,079 that would you know establish the whole 1377 00:53:32,079 --> 00:53:34,000 trend but we still would be going 1378 00:53:34,000 --> 00:53:36,000 through some kind of consolidating 1379 00:53:36,000 --> 00:53:38,319 accumulative actions you know prior to 1380 00:53:38,319 --> 00:53:40,800 that so the lowest low when you look at 1381 00:53:40,800 --> 00:53:43,200 the historical chart 1382 00:53:43,200 --> 00:53:45,200 could define phase c 1383 00:53:45,200 --> 00:53:47,040 for you really easily 1384 00:53:47,040 --> 00:53:49,200 that's where the trend starts we also 1385 00:53:49,200 --> 00:53:50,720 will talk about 1386 00:53:50,720 --> 00:53:52,960 a second point of fear 1387 00:53:52,960 --> 00:53:55,839 in phase c so that second point of fear 1388 00:53:55,839 --> 00:53:57,520 either is going to be associated with 1389 00:53:57,520 --> 00:53:59,200 the increase in the volume signature 1390 00:53:59,200 --> 00:54:00,800 where we can't 1391 00:54:00,800 --> 00:54:05,040 um are going to capitulate 1392 00:54:05,200 --> 00:54:07,200 and that's going to produce that lower 1393 00:54:07,200 --> 00:54:08,480 low 1394 00:54:08,480 --> 00:54:09,520 or 1395 00:54:09,520 --> 00:54:11,520 we could have you know like in this 1396 00:54:11,520 --> 00:54:14,079 instance a very big distance to the 1397 00:54:14,079 --> 00:54:16,160 downside right so reaction might 1398 00:54:16,160 --> 00:54:17,760 increase 1399 00:54:17,760 --> 00:54:18,640 um 1400 00:54:18,640 --> 00:54:22,079 and that could produce you know uh 1401 00:54:22,079 --> 00:54:25,440 you know increased selling behaviors by 1402 00:54:25,440 --> 00:54:27,359 weak hands and they will be trying to 1403 00:54:27,359 --> 00:54:29,040 get out and there might be some 1404 00:54:29,040 --> 00:54:31,839 acceleration around the support here 1405 00:54:31,839 --> 00:54:34,400 um what else we also 1406 00:54:34,400 --> 00:54:38,480 said that there are some characteristics 1407 00:54:38,480 --> 00:54:41,680 for face c that we need to understand 1408 00:54:41,680 --> 00:54:43,200 we definitely 1409 00:54:43,200 --> 00:54:46,079 know that the reaction should have some 1410 00:54:46,079 --> 00:54:49,440 kind of bullish signs 1411 00:54:49,760 --> 00:54:52,400 and rama has mentioned those the 1412 00:54:52,400 --> 00:54:55,520 downward spread is diminishing 1413 00:54:55,520 --> 00:54:57,359 relative to what we've seen let's say in 1414 00:54:57,359 --> 00:55:00,160 phase b or on the climactic run in phase 1415 00:55:00,160 --> 00:55:00,880 a 1416 00:55:00,880 --> 00:55:03,200 we could also see that maybe 1417 00:55:03,200 --> 00:55:05,119 with this dimension 1418 00:55:05,119 --> 00:55:07,599 downspread action the volume is also 1419 00:55:07,599 --> 00:55:09,599 diminished that could be a possibility 1420 00:55:09,599 --> 00:55:12,960 as well and kind of a laborious move to 1421 00:55:12,960 --> 00:55:16,000 the downside instead of very quick 1422 00:55:16,000 --> 00:55:18,240 uh you know sign of strength type of 1423 00:55:18,240 --> 00:55:20,160 move to the downside so that's the big 1424 00:55:20,160 --> 00:55:21,200 difference 1425 00:55:21,200 --> 00:55:25,280 okay so let's come back to our labeling 1426 00:55:25,280 --> 00:55:27,040 phase a 1427 00:55:27,040 --> 00:55:29,839 phase c 1428 00:55:30,000 --> 00:55:33,520 so everything in between is phase b 1429 00:55:33,520 --> 00:55:36,720 and we see two instances where the price 1430 00:55:36,720 --> 00:55:38,079 overcomes 1431 00:55:38,079 --> 00:55:39,920 uh the previous high in a very 1432 00:55:39,920 --> 00:55:42,400 insignificant way uh in the first time 1433 00:55:42,400 --> 00:55:44,319 first time it tries to commit to the 1434 00:55:44,319 --> 00:55:46,880 upside actually the first time was here 1435 00:55:46,880 --> 00:55:50,079 uh in phase b so up thrust action in 1436 00:55:50,079 --> 00:55:52,079 phase b then the second time it's just 1437 00:55:52,079 --> 00:55:54,799 an attempt to commit and then the return 1438 00:55:54,799 --> 00:55:56,400 and then the third time there is a 1439 00:55:56,400 --> 00:55:59,200 commitment and then a return back 1440 00:55:59,200 --> 00:56:01,280 so all of those instances are going to 1441 00:56:01,280 --> 00:56:02,559 be up for us 1442 00:56:02,559 --> 00:56:05,599 there is only 1443 00:56:06,400 --> 00:56:08,480 only one extra definition here that i 1444 00:56:08,480 --> 00:56:10,079 want you to know 1445 00:56:10,079 --> 00:56:13,280 this rally right here that looks like a 1446 00:56:13,280 --> 00:56:15,280 rally in phase d 1447 00:56:15,280 --> 00:56:17,359 and some of you who are more advanced 1448 00:56:17,359 --> 00:56:19,359 are probably just thinking okay well why 1449 00:56:19,359 --> 00:56:21,760 is he not talking about this why 1450 00:56:21,760 --> 00:56:24,480 why is this not a sign of strength rally 1451 00:56:24,480 --> 00:56:27,280 why is it not identified as phase 1452 00:56:27,280 --> 00:56:28,160 d 1453 00:56:28,160 --> 00:56:30,240 well look at the next reaction that 1454 00:56:30,240 --> 00:56:31,839 comes after that 1455 00:56:31,839 --> 00:56:34,880 it actually negates almost all of the 1456 00:56:34,880 --> 00:56:37,359 gains that we've seen on this rally and 1457 00:56:37,359 --> 00:56:40,240 we've just identified phase c low 1458 00:56:40,240 --> 00:56:43,200 as the law of this reaction so therefore 1459 00:56:43,200 --> 00:56:45,760 whatever we are observing all of this 1460 00:56:45,760 --> 00:56:48,480 moves to the upside are most likely a 1461 00:56:48,480 --> 00:56:50,240 part of phase b 1462 00:56:50,240 --> 00:56:52,559 now in phase b we could have up thrust 1463 00:56:52,559 --> 00:56:54,000 and some of them are going to be quite 1464 00:56:54,000 --> 00:56:55,440 significant 1465 00:56:55,440 --> 00:56:57,760 the ones that are showing us some 1466 00:56:57,760 --> 00:56:59,599 bullish activity 1467 00:56:59,599 --> 00:57:01,440 and that are going to look 1468 00:57:01,440 --> 00:57:02,640 like 1469 00:57:02,640 --> 00:57:05,599 a phase d sign of strength 1470 00:57:05,599 --> 00:57:09,599 could be labeled as upthrust action 1471 00:57:09,599 --> 00:57:11,280 as 1472 00:57:11,280 --> 00:57:13,520 a minor 1473 00:57:13,520 --> 00:57:15,280 sign of strength 1474 00:57:15,280 --> 00:57:17,520 whereas the major sign of strength is 1475 00:57:17,520 --> 00:57:19,520 still going to come in phase d right so 1476 00:57:19,520 --> 00:57:21,920 we could have a major sign of strength 1477 00:57:21,920 --> 00:57:24,400 as like this rally 1478 00:57:24,400 --> 00:57:27,359 and then a backing up action into the uh 1479 00:57:27,359 --> 00:57:29,520 into the lows of the support that acted 1480 00:57:29,520 --> 00:57:31,280 before is the resistance so this could 1481 00:57:31,280 --> 00:57:34,400 act as a backing up action so this big 1482 00:57:34,400 --> 00:57:37,040 rally is going to be a major sign of 1483 00:57:37,040 --> 00:57:38,960 strength 1484 00:57:38,960 --> 00:57:41,760 and then this smaller rally in phase b 1485 00:57:41,760 --> 00:57:44,319 is going to be an upthrust action as a 1486 00:57:44,319 --> 00:57:46,799 minus sign of strength and that's that 1487 00:57:46,799 --> 00:57:50,480 distinction that i want you guys to give 1488 00:57:50,480 --> 00:57:53,680 all right uh let me quickly just 1489 00:57:53,680 --> 00:57:58,319 see what other questions we have um 1490 00:57:58,319 --> 00:58:01,119 isn't phase a important for closing of a 1491 00:58:01,119 --> 00:58:03,839 position from philip um yeah absolutely 1492 00:58:03,839 --> 00:58:06,799 here at this point we're gonna be 1493 00:58:06,799 --> 00:58:08,799 facing a lot of trading decisions i 1494 00:58:08,799 --> 00:58:10,559 would keep in the position if we are 1495 00:58:10,559 --> 00:58:11,680 correct 1496 00:58:11,680 --> 00:58:14,079 um on our bias and if we are in this 1497 00:58:14,079 --> 00:58:15,200 trade 1498 00:58:15,200 --> 00:58:17,280 also some other decisions not for those 1499 00:58:17,280 --> 00:58:19,119 of you who are in this position at this 1500 00:58:19,119 --> 00:58:21,520 point of time let's say somebody is 1501 00:58:21,520 --> 00:58:23,920 looking at the stock and identifying 1502 00:58:23,920 --> 00:58:26,000 maybe you know 1503 00:58:26,000 --> 00:58:27,680 some kind of 1504 00:58:27,680 --> 00:58:30,559 interest in the stock so in phase a what 1505 00:58:30,559 --> 00:58:32,400 kind of trade trading decision we're 1506 00:58:32,400 --> 00:58:34,799 going to have at this point most likely 1507 00:58:34,799 --> 00:58:35,599 not 1508 00:58:35,599 --> 00:58:38,000 but that's a decision on its own 1509 00:58:38,000 --> 00:58:42,160 not to participate is a decision 1510 00:58:42,160 --> 00:58:45,359 not to be involved not to get um 1511 00:58:45,359 --> 00:58:47,680 you know your risk exposure at this 1512 00:58:47,680 --> 00:58:50,480 point of time is a trading decision 1513 00:58:50,480 --> 00:58:53,119 doing nothing sitting on your hands is a 1514 00:58:53,119 --> 00:58:54,880 trading decision 1515 00:58:54,880 --> 00:58:57,040 um so yeah so those type of decisions 1516 00:58:57,040 --> 00:59:00,400 are going to be important in phase a 1517 00:59:00,400 --> 00:59:02,799 is there a sign of strength rally after 1518 00:59:02,799 --> 00:59:04,799 december secondary test so we've just 1519 00:59:04,799 --> 00:59:08,079 covered this yes it's a sign of strength 1520 00:59:08,079 --> 00:59:10,319 rally but that's a minus sign of 1521 00:59:10,319 --> 00:59:12,319 strength rally 1522 00:59:12,319 --> 00:59:13,040 in 1523 00:59:13,040 --> 00:59:16,319 phase b and not in phase d 1524 00:59:16,319 --> 00:59:18,799 uh where would you place the trade in 1525 00:59:18,799 --> 00:59:21,440 phase c okay good question that comes 1526 00:59:21,440 --> 00:59:22,640 from justin 1527 00:59:22,640 --> 00:59:24,880 um so we're looking at how the price 1528 00:59:24,880 --> 00:59:26,720 moves to the downside and we're looking 1529 00:59:26,720 --> 00:59:30,240 for any points of the reversal right so 1530 00:59:30,240 --> 00:59:32,400 move to the downside 1531 00:59:32,400 --> 00:59:34,000 no reversal 1532 00:59:34,000 --> 00:59:37,599 move to the downside no reversal move to 1533 00:59:37,599 --> 00:59:39,200 the downside 1534 00:59:39,200 --> 00:59:40,799 no reversal 1535 00:59:40,799 --> 00:59:42,960 move to the downside 1536 00:59:42,960 --> 00:59:44,839 oops 1537 00:59:44,839 --> 00:59:46,400 reversal 1538 00:59:46,400 --> 00:59:48,720 which would equal our point of entry and 1539 00:59:48,720 --> 00:59:50,559 that would be our first point of entry 1540 00:59:50,559 --> 00:59:52,559 our second point of entry 1541 00:59:52,559 --> 00:59:56,160 could be this bar right here 1542 00:59:56,319 --> 00:59:57,920 our uh 1543 00:59:57,920 --> 01:00:00,400 next point of entry will be somewhere in 1544 01:00:00,400 --> 01:00:01,680 this area 1545 01:00:01,680 --> 01:00:03,760 where we are experiencing a backing up 1546 01:00:03,760 --> 01:00:05,280 action 1547 01:00:05,280 --> 01:00:06,559 and our 1548 01:00:06,559 --> 01:00:08,240 fourth point of entry is probably going 1549 01:00:08,240 --> 01:00:12,319 to be somewhere here on the breakout 1550 01:00:12,880 --> 01:00:14,880 this was not the most efficient in this 1551 01:00:14,880 --> 01:00:17,200 case entry but still with your stop 1552 01:00:17,200 --> 01:00:19,200 losses it shouldn't get you out so all 1553 01:00:19,200 --> 01:00:21,359 four points of entry you should just go 1554 01:00:21,359 --> 01:00:23,200 through 1555 01:00:23,200 --> 01:00:25,920 okay uh what else 1556 01:00:25,920 --> 01:00:28,160 is it reasonable to take a trade to 1557 01:00:28,160 --> 01:00:31,520 upside in early january 1558 01:00:31,520 --> 01:00:33,680 considering reaction looks like a 1559 01:00:33,680 --> 01:00:35,920 backing up action yes 1560 01:00:35,920 --> 01:00:38,480 um and if you're thinking that this is a 1561 01:00:38,480 --> 01:00:41,599 backing up action let's say 1562 01:00:41,599 --> 01:00:44,319 oh i see right here okay got it 1563 01:00:44,319 --> 01:00:46,240 okay yeah this is a good question but 1564 01:00:46,240 --> 01:00:48,720 again we're coming back into the point 1565 01:00:48,720 --> 01:00:51,359 of um you know how do we actually manage 1566 01:00:51,359 --> 01:00:53,520 the position meaning how do we actually 1567 01:00:53,520 --> 01:00:55,680 come in into the position right so we 1568 01:00:55,680 --> 01:00:57,359 need to see some kind of reversal of 1569 01:00:57,359 --> 01:00:59,680 this initial move to the downside there 1570 01:00:59,680 --> 01:01:02,559 is no reversal so there is no 1571 01:01:02,559 --> 01:01:04,960 entry and that would save us from 1572 01:01:04,960 --> 01:01:07,520 entering prematurely uh and from 1573 01:01:07,520 --> 01:01:09,200 exposing ourselves you know to the 1574 01:01:09,200 --> 01:01:12,559 remainder of this reaction 1575 01:01:12,640 --> 01:01:14,799 why is not a backing up action between 1576 01:01:14,799 --> 01:01:17,839 february and march 1577 01:01:17,839 --> 01:01:19,760 this one right here yeah it's a backing 1578 01:01:19,760 --> 01:01:20,960 up action 1579 01:01:20,960 --> 01:01:22,960 again it's just minor 1580 01:01:22,960 --> 01:01:25,359 right and then this is a backing up 1581 01:01:25,359 --> 01:01:28,559 action this whole formation 1582 01:01:28,559 --> 01:01:31,280 and it's a major 1583 01:01:31,280 --> 01:01:32,559 right so 1584 01:01:32,559 --> 01:01:35,200 quite a lot of distinctions already guys 1585 01:01:35,200 --> 01:01:37,280 that i've given you so 1586 01:01:37,280 --> 01:01:38,480 you have to 1587 01:01:38,480 --> 01:01:40,000 take notes and you have to remember 1588 01:01:40,000 --> 01:01:42,559 those all right drummer really quickly 1589 01:01:42,559 --> 01:01:45,680 let's talk about the distribution 1590 01:01:45,680 --> 01:01:46,400 so 1591 01:01:46,400 --> 01:01:48,799 um what is the most obvious thing that 1592 01:01:48,799 --> 01:01:52,599 you see in this distribution 1593 01:01:52,640 --> 01:01:55,039 in that small area of distribution the 1594 01:01:55,039 --> 01:01:59,359 most obvious thing is the um 1595 01:01:59,440 --> 01:02:02,559 price action that almost resembles uh 1596 01:02:02,559 --> 01:02:05,440 buying climax the very first bar what 1597 01:02:05,440 --> 01:02:07,359 are the characteristics of this buying 1598 01:02:07,359 --> 01:02:09,760 climax that we see 1599 01:02:09,760 --> 01:02:11,200 um 1600 01:02:11,200 --> 01:02:14,400 widespread rapid rise of the price to a 1601 01:02:14,400 --> 01:02:15,680 new high 1602 01:02:15,680 --> 01:02:17,839 and when compared to the previous high 1603 01:02:17,839 --> 01:02:19,520 quality 1604 01:02:19,520 --> 01:02:20,799 right 1605 01:02:20,799 --> 01:02:22,160 and then 1606 01:02:22,160 --> 01:02:25,359 it's immediately followed by an 1607 01:02:25,359 --> 01:02:27,359 automatic reaction 1608 01:02:27,359 --> 01:02:28,640 and 1609 01:02:28,640 --> 01:02:31,039 and 1610 01:02:31,680 --> 01:02:32,960 and then 1611 01:02:32,960 --> 01:02:36,000 that was that is followed by a secondary 1612 01:02:36,000 --> 01:02:38,960 test which tests the highs of previously 1613 01:02:38,960 --> 01:02:41,039 established heights please note there 1614 01:02:41,039 --> 01:02:43,440 are quite a few secondary tests here the 1615 01:02:43,440 --> 01:02:45,760 first one is going to be an attempt to 1616 01:02:45,760 --> 01:02:47,599 retest the buying climax that would 1617 01:02:47,599 --> 01:02:50,240 conclude phase a okay let's finish with 1618 01:02:50,240 --> 01:02:52,480 the buying climax what else 1619 01:02:52,480 --> 01:02:53,359 gap 1620 01:02:53,359 --> 01:02:54,799 yep 1621 01:02:54,799 --> 01:02:57,359 is going to be a part of that you know 1622 01:02:57,359 --> 01:03:00,880 climactic stop in action actually as you 1623 01:03:00,880 --> 01:03:02,559 look through this 1624 01:03:02,559 --> 01:03:04,720 intermediate stop in actions this is a 1625 01:03:04,720 --> 01:03:07,200 buying climax it's just intermediate and 1626 01:03:07,200 --> 01:03:09,520 look how gap is happening here look at 1627 01:03:09,520 --> 01:03:12,400 the move uh look at the gaps here 1628 01:03:12,400 --> 01:03:15,119 are also buying climax also buying 1629 01:03:15,119 --> 01:03:18,319 climax on a very very small scale 1630 01:03:18,319 --> 01:03:20,799 but we kind of see that this analog 1631 01:03:20,799 --> 01:03:23,520 repeats over and over and over again so 1632 01:03:23,520 --> 01:03:26,079 yes a lot of climatic action and what do 1633 01:03:26,079 --> 01:03:29,440 you think the volume signature here is 1634 01:03:29,440 --> 01:03:32,640 um you're more likely to be a 1635 01:03:32,640 --> 01:03:35,200 moderately high volume 1636 01:03:35,200 --> 01:03:36,160 okay 1637 01:03:36,160 --> 01:03:37,920 something like this i wonder why 1638 01:03:37,920 --> 01:03:42,079 moderately i'm just really curious 1639 01:03:42,839 --> 01:03:46,319 um that's because the the 1640 01:03:46,319 --> 01:03:49,119 the extent to which the price has moved 1641 01:03:49,119 --> 01:03:52,319 when compared to uh the previous high on 1642 01:03:52,319 --> 01:03:55,760 the left side around just before june 1643 01:03:55,760 --> 01:03:58,240 uh 1644 01:03:58,240 --> 01:04:00,799 leads me to suspect that the 1645 01:04:00,799 --> 01:04:03,200 volume might have been only moderately 1646 01:04:03,200 --> 01:04:06,079 if it was uh climactic volume you would 1647 01:04:06,079 --> 01:04:07,920 have i would have seen a price go a 1648 01:04:07,920 --> 01:04:09,599 little bit higher 1649 01:04:09,599 --> 01:04:11,839 interesting okay guys for those of you 1650 01:04:11,839 --> 01:04:14,000 who can quickly find me the volume 1651 01:04:14,000 --> 01:04:17,280 signature and maybe send me the picture 1652 01:04:17,280 --> 01:04:18,880 through the chat or something like this 1653 01:04:18,880 --> 01:04:20,799 i'm now really curious 1654 01:04:20,799 --> 01:04:21,760 um 1655 01:04:21,760 --> 01:04:23,839 my first thought would be that because 1656 01:04:23,839 --> 01:04:26,559 the next area is the reaccumulation 1657 01:04:26,559 --> 01:04:28,160 you know the volume signature is going 1658 01:04:28,160 --> 01:04:31,280 to increase but probably more locally 1659 01:04:31,280 --> 01:04:32,720 that's number one 1660 01:04:32,720 --> 01:04:33,599 um 1661 01:04:33,599 --> 01:04:36,640 and we probably would be thinking that 1662 01:04:36,640 --> 01:04:39,039 that would give us you know just an idea 1663 01:04:39,039 --> 01:04:40,640 that we're going to go into the trading 1664 01:04:40,640 --> 01:04:42,480 range with the bias that is going to be 1665 01:04:42,480 --> 01:04:44,240 to the upside 1666 01:04:44,240 --> 01:04:46,079 so therefore not a lot of supply 1667 01:04:46,079 --> 01:04:48,799 signature should be there on the second 1668 01:04:48,799 --> 01:04:49,680 thought 1669 01:04:49,680 --> 01:04:51,920 you know looking at all of these buying 1670 01:04:51,920 --> 01:04:54,960 uh climaxes you know to the upside 1671 01:04:54,960 --> 01:04:58,720 we're seeing that there is a a big gap 1672 01:04:58,720 --> 01:05:00,799 to the upside so there is some kind of 1673 01:05:00,799 --> 01:05:03,359 event here that stops this whole 1674 01:05:03,359 --> 01:05:05,920 movement so this event should have you 1675 01:05:05,920 --> 01:05:08,319 know an increase in the volume signature 1676 01:05:08,319 --> 01:05:10,960 for sure plus the whole day it just goes 1677 01:05:10,960 --> 01:05:12,240 goes up 1678 01:05:12,240 --> 01:05:14,400 so that should you know have some kind 1679 01:05:14,400 --> 01:05:16,319 of demand behind it 1680 01:05:16,319 --> 01:05:18,799 uh especially at the higher levels 1681 01:05:18,799 --> 01:05:20,640 over the resistance so 1682 01:05:20,640 --> 01:05:22,960 i wonder what the volume signature is 1683 01:05:22,960 --> 01:05:25,039 okay we'll come back to this so bind 1684 01:05:25,039 --> 01:05:28,079 climax automatic rally secondary test 1685 01:05:28,079 --> 01:05:30,720 our phase a is defined what is the next 1686 01:05:30,720 --> 01:05:33,359 phase that could be easily identified 1687 01:05:33,359 --> 01:05:35,119 right away 1688 01:05:35,119 --> 01:05:36,799 uh phase c 1689 01:05:36,799 --> 01:05:40,640 again the uh the the price were where 1690 01:05:40,640 --> 01:05:42,319 the price comes and 1691 01:05:42,319 --> 01:05:44,960 test the support level 1692 01:05:44,960 --> 01:05:47,039 and uh followed by a 1693 01:05:47,039 --> 01:05:49,920 second we are discussing a distribution 1694 01:05:49,920 --> 01:05:51,839 right so with the distribution we're 1695 01:05:51,839 --> 01:05:55,359 going to have this type of the schematic 1696 01:05:55,359 --> 01:05:57,280 where phase c 1697 01:05:57,280 --> 01:05:59,920 is going to be not at the low but at the 1698 01:05:59,920 --> 01:06:01,039 high 1699 01:06:01,039 --> 01:06:03,359 yeah so where is it 1700 01:06:03,359 --> 01:06:04,799 it's uh 1701 01:06:04,799 --> 01:06:06,160 right at the 1702 01:06:06,160 --> 01:06:09,200 july level yeah which yeah the price 1703 01:06:09,200 --> 01:06:12,640 commits temporarily above the point of 1704 01:06:12,640 --> 01:06:15,280 the uh level of the resistance so how 1705 01:06:15,280 --> 01:06:16,400 would we 1706 01:06:16,400 --> 01:06:18,640 label this then 1707 01:06:18,640 --> 01:06:20,799 obviously phase c 1708 01:06:20,799 --> 01:06:23,119 yeah 1709 01:06:23,119 --> 01:06:26,720 and how would what is this wipe of event 1710 01:06:26,720 --> 01:06:28,799 the price commits the parallel above and 1711 01:06:28,799 --> 01:06:33,200 then comes back into the trading range 1712 01:06:33,200 --> 01:06:35,440 because this is distribution of the uh 1713 01:06:35,440 --> 01:06:37,440 right after us after distribution 1714 01:06:37,440 --> 01:06:40,079 everything between phase c and a is 1715 01:06:40,079 --> 01:06:42,480 going to be phase b and phase b we're 1716 01:06:42,480 --> 01:06:44,319 going to say okay there is a little bit 1717 01:06:44,319 --> 01:06:46,640 small up thrust here in phase b 1718 01:06:46,640 --> 01:06:49,760 uh there is uh 1719 01:06:50,160 --> 01:06:53,680 multiple secondary tests and then as the 1720 01:06:53,680 --> 01:06:56,319 price goes down and we see that the 1721 01:06:56,319 --> 01:06:59,280 price has some tail right here it's very 1722 01:06:59,280 --> 01:07:01,359 hard to see 1723 01:07:01,359 --> 01:07:03,119 how would we identify this action 1724 01:07:03,119 --> 01:07:06,480 obviously in phase d now 1725 01:07:06,559 --> 01:07:08,000 so this first 1726 01:07:08,000 --> 01:07:09,680 at least attempt to commit to the 1727 01:07:09,680 --> 01:07:14,030 downside you know how would we label it 1728 01:07:14,030 --> 01:07:15,440 [Music] 1729 01:07:15,440 --> 01:07:16,880 that 1730 01:07:16,880 --> 01:07:19,599 that would be labeled as a last point of 1731 01:07:19,599 --> 01:07:20,799 supply 1732 01:07:20,799 --> 01:07:23,280 okay so the rally will be the last end 1733 01:07:23,280 --> 01:07:26,000 of supply but the move to the downside 1734 01:07:26,000 --> 01:07:27,920 from the high of the up thrust to the 1735 01:07:27,920 --> 01:07:30,319 low of this reaction you know this this 1736 01:07:30,319 --> 01:07:34,319 whole move right here that would be what 1737 01:07:34,720 --> 01:07:37,039 um 1738 01:07:37,920 --> 01:07:39,119 think about 1739 01:07:39,119 --> 01:07:42,319 phase c low and accumulation and move to 1740 01:07:42,319 --> 01:07:45,200 the upside the opposite to that to the 1741 01:07:45,200 --> 01:07:48,400 downside downside yeah 1742 01:07:48,400 --> 01:07:50,079 sign of weakness 1743 01:07:50,079 --> 01:07:52,319 yeah sign of weakness yeah sign of 1744 01:07:52,319 --> 01:07:54,160 weakness so it's a little bit condensed 1745 01:07:54,160 --> 01:07:55,039 here 1746 01:07:55,039 --> 01:07:57,440 but here it is 1747 01:07:57,440 --> 01:08:00,720 sign of weakness lpsy and then off we go 1748 01:08:00,720 --> 01:08:03,520 to the downside okay great so uh 1749 01:08:03,520 --> 01:08:08,559 distribution has a very small cause 1750 01:08:08,559 --> 01:08:10,319 so therefore 1751 01:08:10,319 --> 01:08:13,280 the downtrend 1752 01:08:13,280 --> 01:08:15,680 should be also small 1753 01:08:15,680 --> 01:08:18,640 and we kind of see that okay well then 1754 01:08:18,640 --> 01:08:20,880 uh then next we look at the 1755 01:08:20,880 --> 01:08:23,120 reaccumulation range again 1756 01:08:23,120 --> 01:08:25,359 okay so what is the most obvious thing 1757 01:08:25,359 --> 01:08:28,799 that catches your eye aroma 1758 01:08:29,520 --> 01:08:32,080 the most obvious thing is the 1759 01:08:32,080 --> 01:08:34,719 the price 1760 01:08:34,799 --> 01:08:38,080 leveling off after the sign of weakness 1761 01:08:38,080 --> 01:08:39,759 and the last point of supply it 1762 01:08:39,759 --> 01:08:42,319 establishes a a 1763 01:08:42,319 --> 01:08:45,040 price from which there's a rally that 1764 01:08:45,040 --> 01:08:47,600 takes place okay so we're 1765 01:08:47,600 --> 01:08:49,839 seeing the low that has been created and 1766 01:08:49,839 --> 01:08:54,158 then um then we're seeing a move to the 1767 01:08:54,158 --> 01:08:56,238 upside now this rally 1768 01:08:56,238 --> 01:08:57,439 is this 1769 01:08:57,439 --> 01:09:00,880 uh is is this rally much better than the 1770 01:09:00,880 --> 01:09:03,279 rallies that we've seen uh in the down 1771 01:09:03,279 --> 01:09:05,600 move during the time i've said yes 1772 01:09:05,600 --> 01:09:07,839 absolutely so what does it mean to us is 1773 01:09:07,839 --> 01:09:09,759 this a change of character 1774 01:09:09,759 --> 01:09:11,839 yeah change of character change of 1775 01:09:11,839 --> 01:09:13,920 character at this point of time a change 1776 01:09:13,920 --> 01:09:16,640 of character would suggest that from a 1777 01:09:16,640 --> 01:09:18,719 downtrend we're going to go into 1778 01:09:18,719 --> 01:09:20,158 non-trending environment and we're going 1779 01:09:20,158 --> 01:09:22,799 to look at the trading range trading the 1780 01:09:22,799 --> 01:09:24,640 trading range here again the questions 1781 01:09:24,640 --> 01:09:26,158 that we're going to address with the 1782 01:09:26,158 --> 01:09:28,319 trading range bias 1783 01:09:28,319 --> 01:09:29,679 timing 1784 01:09:29,679 --> 01:09:31,040 character 1785 01:09:31,040 --> 01:09:33,679 right okay so and also 1786 01:09:33,679 --> 01:09:36,080 change of character is going to be 1787 01:09:36,080 --> 01:09:37,120 uh 1788 01:09:37,120 --> 01:09:40,000 be associated always on the way into the 1789 01:09:40,000 --> 01:09:41,920 trading range with phase a 1790 01:09:41,920 --> 01:09:44,399 okay so if this is phase a then what 1791 01:09:44,399 --> 01:09:46,479 kind of you know phase a like of events 1792 01:09:46,479 --> 01:09:48,238 do we have the stopping action is going 1793 01:09:48,238 --> 01:09:49,600 to be labeled as 1794 01:09:49,600 --> 01:09:51,520 kyle 1795 01:09:51,520 --> 01:09:54,000 um yeah 1796 01:09:54,000 --> 01:09:54,719 it 1797 01:09:54,719 --> 01:09:57,199 it will be labeled as 1798 01:09:57,199 --> 01:09:59,040 a local 1799 01:09:59,040 --> 01:10:01,920 selling climax yes and i like that you 1800 01:10:01,920 --> 01:10:04,560 know local definition okay great so 1801 01:10:04,560 --> 01:10:08,159 selling climax the first rally 1802 01:10:08,159 --> 01:10:10,960 uh that would be automatic reaction 1803 01:10:10,960 --> 01:10:13,520 reaction and then the next test that's 1804 01:10:13,520 --> 01:10:16,239 going to test the selling climax is 1805 01:10:16,239 --> 01:10:17,199 going to be 1806 01:10:17,199 --> 01:10:19,040 a secondary test 1807 01:10:19,040 --> 01:10:22,480 and that would define phase a for us 1808 01:10:22,480 --> 01:10:25,760 okay so then what is the next most 1809 01:10:25,760 --> 01:10:27,199 obvious 1810 01:10:27,199 --> 01:10:30,640 wike of advance uh if event that you see 1811 01:10:30,640 --> 01:10:32,719 here 1812 01:10:32,719 --> 01:10:33,840 um 1813 01:10:33,840 --> 01:10:36,880 a rally that 1814 01:10:38,080 --> 01:10:41,040 goes above the level of the resistance 1815 01:10:41,040 --> 01:10:42,320 and 1816 01:10:42,320 --> 01:10:44,480 doesn't commit itself to 1817 01:10:44,480 --> 01:10:47,040 the price level above and 1818 01:10:47,040 --> 01:10:49,679 declines into the trading range so kind 1819 01:10:49,679 --> 01:10:51,760 of like this type of action right like 1820 01:10:51,760 --> 01:10:53,679 we have this optimized and then we come 1821 01:10:53,679 --> 01:10:55,520 back into the trading range and it 1822 01:10:55,520 --> 01:10:58,239 happens at the same spot right so right 1823 01:10:58,239 --> 01:11:00,960 after phase a so acts a little bit as an 1824 01:11:00,960 --> 01:11:03,360 analog you know to what what is what 1825 01:11:03,360 --> 01:11:05,679 we're seeing here so we're saying 1826 01:11:05,679 --> 01:11:07,040 upfront 1827 01:11:07,040 --> 01:11:09,840 at this point of time looking at this 1828 01:11:09,840 --> 01:11:11,360 route 1829 01:11:11,360 --> 01:11:12,800 you're looking at the character of this 1830 01:11:12,800 --> 01:11:14,000 rally 1831 01:11:14,000 --> 01:11:17,280 could we say that maybe this rally acts 1832 01:11:17,280 --> 01:11:19,440 even as a kind of like a minus sign of 1833 01:11:19,440 --> 01:11:20,960 strength here 1834 01:11:20,960 --> 01:11:23,040 yes i would say so yeah look at the 1835 01:11:23,040 --> 01:11:25,280 character the price moves so quickly to 1836 01:11:25,280 --> 01:11:26,480 the upside 1837 01:11:26,480 --> 01:11:29,760 it commits on actually multiple closes 1838 01:11:29,760 --> 01:11:32,159 to the upside actually maybe just uh one 1839 01:11:32,159 --> 01:11:33,280 or two 1840 01:11:33,280 --> 01:11:35,679 spend some time there and this is what's 1841 01:11:35,679 --> 01:11:37,520 interesting sometimes up trust look at 1842 01:11:37,520 --> 01:11:39,760 this up to us goes up 1843 01:11:39,760 --> 01:11:41,840 commits really quickly and then by the 1844 01:11:41,840 --> 01:11:43,679 end of the session it already shows some 1845 01:11:43,679 --> 01:11:45,600 supply and then the next day comes back 1846 01:11:45,600 --> 01:11:47,840 into the trading range this one is 1847 01:11:47,840 --> 01:11:49,040 different 1848 01:11:49,040 --> 01:11:52,159 this one has three days 1849 01:11:52,159 --> 01:11:55,199 that goes above the resistance and then 1850 01:11:55,199 --> 01:11:56,960 look at the time that dispense maybe 1851 01:11:56,960 --> 01:11:58,480 like two weeks 1852 01:11:58,480 --> 01:12:00,320 above that uh 1853 01:12:00,320 --> 01:12:02,800 that point of the uh point of resistance 1854 01:12:02,800 --> 01:12:04,800 so what does it tell us it tells us that 1855 01:12:04,800 --> 01:12:07,440 there is some kind of strength behind 1856 01:12:07,440 --> 01:12:09,840 um the price action 1857 01:12:09,840 --> 01:12:12,159 strength in the background yeah and that 1858 01:12:12,159 --> 01:12:14,800 strength guys you know it's not 1859 01:12:14,800 --> 01:12:18,239 indicative of the timing 1860 01:12:18,239 --> 01:12:21,199 by no means think about that oh my gosh 1861 01:12:21,199 --> 01:12:23,360 the strength in early let's say phase a 1862 01:12:23,360 --> 01:12:25,199 or early phase b 1863 01:12:25,199 --> 01:12:27,520 um you know we should go go in into this 1864 01:12:27,520 --> 01:12:30,719 position now this trend just suggests to 1865 01:12:30,719 --> 01:12:33,600 you that this is a reaccumulation but it 1866 01:12:33,600 --> 01:12:36,080 doesn't suggest to you the timing the 1867 01:12:36,080 --> 01:12:37,920 phase analysis is going to suggest to 1868 01:12:37,920 --> 01:12:40,159 you the timing as to when we should go 1869 01:12:40,159 --> 01:12:42,159 going into this position but this 1870 01:12:42,159 --> 01:12:45,280 strength suggests that the bias 1871 01:12:45,280 --> 01:12:47,600 could be to the upside so now you're 1872 01:12:47,600 --> 01:12:49,520 just looking for the confirmation of 1873 01:12:49,520 --> 01:12:51,520 this information is it really that the 1874 01:12:51,520 --> 01:12:53,600 bias is to the upside 1875 01:12:53,600 --> 01:12:55,600 because we're just still too early we're 1876 01:12:55,600 --> 01:13:00,320 in early phase b at this point of time 1877 01:13:00,320 --> 01:13:01,679 okay great 1878 01:13:01,679 --> 01:13:04,400 um so what's next if this is by the way 1879 01:13:04,400 --> 01:13:06,880 if this is uh biased to the op site we 1880 01:13:06,880 --> 01:13:08,560 would say that this is enough thrust 1881 01:13:08,560 --> 01:13:10,960 action rather than an op thrust okay 1882 01:13:10,960 --> 01:13:12,159 well then 1883 01:13:12,159 --> 01:13:13,840 what's what's the next thing that 1884 01:13:13,840 --> 01:13:15,520 catches your eye 1885 01:13:15,520 --> 01:13:18,000 right the next thing that catches my eye 1886 01:13:18,000 --> 01:13:20,640 is the disconfirmation that is 1887 01:13:20,640 --> 01:13:23,120 you know up until this time the strength 1888 01:13:23,120 --> 01:13:25,120 of the rally and the commitment of the 1889 01:13:25,120 --> 01:13:27,360 price to the resistance level above the 1890 01:13:27,360 --> 01:13:31,120 resistance for a few days 1891 01:13:31,280 --> 01:13:33,600 tilts my bias to the upside 1892 01:13:33,600 --> 01:13:34,320 but 1893 01:13:34,320 --> 01:13:37,600 the on that bias i always look for to 1894 01:13:37,600 --> 01:13:38,400 see 1895 01:13:38,400 --> 01:13:40,800 if that is going to be confirmed by the 1896 01:13:40,800 --> 01:13:42,239 subsequent 1897 01:13:42,239 --> 01:13:44,719 price action in this case 1898 01:13:44,719 --> 01:13:46,800 the subsequent price action is 1899 01:13:46,800 --> 01:13:48,719 indicative of weakness 1900 01:13:48,719 --> 01:13:52,159 so it comes down it price declines 1901 01:13:52,159 --> 01:13:54,239 okay so we're talking about this 1902 01:13:54,239 --> 01:13:55,280 right 1903 01:13:55,280 --> 01:13:58,320 and then and then it comes and produces 1904 01:13:58,320 --> 01:14:01,280 another secondary test okay well let's 1905 01:14:01,280 --> 01:14:03,920 let's kind of grab this idea here from 1906 01:14:03,920 --> 01:14:05,920 rama um so 1907 01:14:05,920 --> 01:14:08,320 he's saying that uh you know to come 1908 01:14:08,320 --> 01:14:10,320 back into the trading range we which we 1909 01:14:10,320 --> 01:14:12,960 would expect by the way in phase b 1910 01:14:12,960 --> 01:14:16,640 we've tested uh this is a secondary test 1911 01:14:16,640 --> 01:14:18,560 it's still in phase a and this is the 1912 01:14:18,560 --> 01:14:21,600 first test in phase b this is the test 1913 01:14:21,600 --> 01:14:23,760 at the level of the resistance and we 1914 01:14:23,760 --> 01:14:25,199 should have 1915 01:14:25,199 --> 01:14:26,400 a test 1916 01:14:26,400 --> 01:14:28,480 in phase b 1917 01:14:28,480 --> 01:14:30,560 at the level of the support 1918 01:14:30,560 --> 01:14:31,760 as well 1919 01:14:31,760 --> 01:14:35,040 phase b is going to test both resistance 1920 01:14:35,040 --> 01:14:38,400 and the support and we've seen 1921 01:14:38,400 --> 01:14:41,040 we've seen how um roma has described 1922 01:14:41,040 --> 01:14:44,320 that there is some supply 1923 01:14:44,320 --> 01:14:46,560 in or increase of the supply that we see 1924 01:14:46,560 --> 01:14:49,120 in the spread in the download spread 1925 01:14:49,120 --> 01:14:52,080 that suggests what that suggests that if 1926 01:14:52,080 --> 01:14:54,080 supply is increasing we need some kind 1927 01:14:54,080 --> 01:14:56,480 of retest of that supply 1928 01:14:56,480 --> 01:14:57,360 and 1929 01:14:57,360 --> 01:15:00,320 usually the more supply we have 1930 01:15:00,320 --> 01:15:02,719 the more testing we need to be 1931 01:15:02,719 --> 01:15:03,840 to be doing 1932 01:15:03,840 --> 01:15:06,320 and the more testing we need to be doing 1933 01:15:06,320 --> 01:15:08,000 that would suggest that we might go on 1934 01:15:08,000 --> 01:15:09,840 some kind of trading range so we just 1935 01:15:09,840 --> 01:15:11,280 and we're already in the trading range 1936 01:15:11,280 --> 01:15:13,040 here we're just kind of like 1937 01:15:13,040 --> 01:15:14,960 thinking that it's going to prolong the 1938 01:15:14,960 --> 01:15:19,360 trading range okay well um if we had 1939 01:15:19,360 --> 01:15:20,320 one 1940 01:15:20,320 --> 01:15:21,360 test 1941 01:15:21,360 --> 01:15:24,400 uh which was an up supposedly you know 1942 01:15:24,400 --> 01:15:28,159 up thrust action test 1943 01:15:28,239 --> 01:15:29,920 at the resistance 1944 01:15:29,920 --> 01:15:31,840 then the next test is going to be at the 1945 01:15:31,840 --> 01:15:34,159 support 1946 01:15:34,159 --> 01:15:36,239 so how would we label this test in phase 1947 01:15:36,239 --> 01:15:38,159 b 1948 01:15:38,159 --> 01:15:39,920 i would ask 1949 01:15:39,920 --> 01:15:42,480 still label that as a secondary test 1950 01:15:42,480 --> 01:15:43,360 yeah 1951 01:15:43,360 --> 01:15:46,320 secondary test we are not overcoming 1952 01:15:46,320 --> 01:15:48,800 the low that was created in phase a so 1953 01:15:48,800 --> 01:15:52,719 this is a higher low so therefore um you 1954 01:15:52,719 --> 01:15:55,040 know the higher low 1955 01:15:55,040 --> 01:15:56,480 in phase b 1956 01:15:56,480 --> 01:15:59,520 would be labeled as a secondary test 1957 01:15:59,520 --> 01:16:02,080 at the level of the support 1958 01:16:02,080 --> 01:16:05,040 and then a lower low in phase b 1959 01:16:05,040 --> 01:16:08,239 would be labeled as a secondary test as 1960 01:16:08,239 --> 01:16:13,040 a sign of as a minus sign of weakness 1961 01:16:13,920 --> 01:16:15,679 okay so 1962 01:16:15,679 --> 01:16:18,000 this is a secondary test but which one 1963 01:16:18,000 --> 01:16:20,080 there are quite a few here i'm looking 1964 01:16:20,080 --> 01:16:21,760 at this i'm looking at this i'm looking 1965 01:16:21,760 --> 01:16:23,440 at this i'm looking at this i'm looking 1966 01:16:23,440 --> 01:16:24,960 at this 1967 01:16:24,960 --> 01:16:27,280 uh i would say the second one you know 1968 01:16:27,280 --> 01:16:30,800 the one you know marked 1969 01:16:30,880 --> 01:16:32,960 where the price 1970 01:16:32,960 --> 01:16:34,960 it reaches the lowest point 1971 01:16:34,960 --> 01:16:37,520 among that cluster of uh 1972 01:16:37,520 --> 01:16:38,640 tests 1973 01:16:38,640 --> 01:16:41,920 got it so rama is saying that this this 1974 01:16:41,920 --> 01:16:44,800 point right here is our secondary test 1975 01:16:44,800 --> 01:16:47,679 i would probably um 1976 01:16:47,679 --> 01:16:49,600 you know have an argument here with 1977 01:16:49,600 --> 01:16:51,520 urama because 1978 01:16:51,520 --> 01:16:54,080 look into this area again how did we 1979 01:16:54,080 --> 01:16:55,199 approach it 1980 01:16:55,199 --> 01:16:57,760 we approached the whole formation 1981 01:16:57,760 --> 01:16:58,640 as 1982 01:16:58,640 --> 01:17:01,199 three tests in different phases 1983 01:17:01,199 --> 01:17:03,440 and that's what i want you guys to start 1984 01:17:03,440 --> 01:17:05,760 practicing i want your eyes and your 1985 01:17:05,760 --> 01:17:08,239 mind to see this 1986 01:17:08,239 --> 01:17:12,480 there are formations that are together 1987 01:17:12,480 --> 01:17:15,199 and i'm gonna highlight this 1988 01:17:15,199 --> 01:17:17,360 here is a formation where there is an 1989 01:17:17,360 --> 01:17:20,400 action and then there is a test 1990 01:17:20,400 --> 01:17:22,640 there is a another formation where there 1991 01:17:22,640 --> 01:17:25,280 is an action and there is multiple tests 1992 01:17:25,280 --> 01:17:26,800 of this action 1993 01:17:26,800 --> 01:17:28,880 and then there is a third formation that 1994 01:17:28,880 --> 01:17:31,760 is an action and multiple tests after 1995 01:17:31,760 --> 01:17:32,800 that 1996 01:17:32,800 --> 01:17:34,880 so i want you to start thinking in these 1997 01:17:34,880 --> 01:17:36,320 terms because 1998 01:17:36,320 --> 01:17:38,400 we will be 1999 01:17:38,400 --> 01:17:40,080 defining the texture of the whole 2000 01:17:40,080 --> 01:17:43,600 trading range as you know the uh 2001 01:17:43,600 --> 01:17:45,280 construction 2002 01:17:45,280 --> 01:17:46,239 uh 2003 01:17:46,239 --> 01:17:49,360 of you know smaller pieces that come 2004 01:17:49,360 --> 01:17:50,480 together 2005 01:17:50,480 --> 01:17:51,280 and 2006 01:17:51,280 --> 01:17:53,679 locally when we say locally then we mean 2007 01:17:53,679 --> 01:17:56,000 that this test is local to the selling 2008 01:17:56,000 --> 01:17:59,360 climax or this multiple tests are local 2009 01:17:59,360 --> 01:18:01,679 to the climactic action that romer has 2010 01:18:01,679 --> 01:18:03,199 identified here 2011 01:18:03,199 --> 01:18:06,640 or maybe this tests are local to 2012 01:18:06,640 --> 01:18:08,880 you know the initial selling clinics 2013 01:18:08,880 --> 01:18:12,239 that we have here 2014 01:18:12,239 --> 01:18:14,080 rama do you see that 2015 01:18:14,080 --> 01:18:15,199 yeah 2016 01:18:15,199 --> 01:18:17,600 okay so maybe something you know to kind 2017 01:18:17,600 --> 01:18:19,600 of like work with the next homework just 2018 01:18:19,600 --> 01:18:22,239 you know identifying those areas 2019 01:18:22,239 --> 01:18:24,640 yeah different textures 2020 01:18:24,640 --> 01:18:27,199 um but different tests but you know they 2021 01:18:27,199 --> 01:18:29,440 all create the same structure okay so if 2022 01:18:29,440 --> 01:18:31,600 we're talking about different you know 2023 01:18:31,600 --> 01:18:33,040 textures and 2024 01:18:33,040 --> 01:18:34,800 structures within the logic structure 2025 01:18:34,800 --> 01:18:37,840 then as we've identified tests here and 2026 01:18:37,840 --> 01:18:40,239 identified the phases there then i could 2027 01:18:40,239 --> 01:18:43,360 say that if this is test number one 2028 01:18:43,360 --> 01:18:44,560 test number one is going to be 2029 01:18:44,560 --> 01:18:46,719 associated with phase a 2030 01:18:46,719 --> 01:18:50,159 this whole thing is test number two 2031 01:18:50,159 --> 01:18:53,040 associated with phase b then this is 2032 01:18:53,040 --> 01:18:56,560 going to be as be associated with 2033 01:18:56,560 --> 01:18:57,440 c 2034 01:18:57,440 --> 01:18:58,400 c 2035 01:18:58,400 --> 01:19:00,320 okay and that's how 2036 01:19:00,320 --> 01:19:01,440 sim 2037 01:19:01,440 --> 01:19:04,480 you know how simple it is for us to 2038 01:19:04,480 --> 01:19:06,000 think about this 2039 01:19:06,000 --> 01:19:06,800 uh 2040 01:19:06,800 --> 01:19:08,880 you know um even though it's such 2041 01:19:08,880 --> 01:19:11,120 complex structures that we see you know 2042 01:19:11,120 --> 01:19:13,520 in test number two and number three but 2043 01:19:13,520 --> 01:19:14,880 they all 2044 01:19:14,880 --> 01:19:18,480 uh actions around the same area right 2045 01:19:18,480 --> 01:19:19,679 they are all 2046 01:19:19,679 --> 01:19:23,199 uh the tests of the action that we see 2047 01:19:23,199 --> 01:19:24,320 prior 2048 01:19:24,320 --> 01:19:27,920 uh you know to test an area okay so if 2049 01:19:27,920 --> 01:19:30,719 this is the case then let's relabel this 2050 01:19:30,719 --> 01:19:32,159 phase a 2051 01:19:32,159 --> 01:19:35,120 then phase b probably goes to what to 2052 01:19:35,120 --> 01:19:37,440 this point right here right yes yeah 2053 01:19:37,440 --> 01:19:38,480 yeah 2054 01:19:38,480 --> 01:19:39,520 and then 2055 01:19:39,520 --> 01:19:41,760 phase c is gonna 2056 01:19:41,760 --> 01:19:44,320 either be concluded here or it's gonna 2057 01:19:44,320 --> 01:19:46,159 be concluded here 2058 01:19:46,159 --> 01:19:48,880 so we have two scenarios here 2059 01:19:48,880 --> 01:19:51,840 okay so how would we 2060 01:19:51,840 --> 01:19:53,280 let's say 2061 01:19:53,280 --> 01:19:55,440 is there any other labeling that we need 2062 01:19:55,440 --> 01:19:59,040 to do here where is our phase d 2063 01:19:59,199 --> 01:20:00,719 um 2064 01:20:00,719 --> 01:20:02,840 i would consider the 2065 01:20:02,840 --> 01:20:06,880 second uh c you have put there as d more 2066 01:20:06,880 --> 01:20:09,920 d rather than c okay and 2067 01:20:09,920 --> 01:20:12,320 and i would uh consider the first c to 2068 01:20:12,320 --> 01:20:15,760 be the real phase c because of the uh 2069 01:20:15,760 --> 01:20:16,480 the 2070 01:20:16,480 --> 01:20:18,719 signs of strength i see it's making 2071 01:20:18,719 --> 01:20:20,400 higher lows 2072 01:20:20,400 --> 01:20:22,639 and um 2073 01:20:22,639 --> 01:20:25,120 and that to me is the beginning of the 2074 01:20:25,120 --> 01:20:28,800 new uptrend and uh okay 2075 01:20:28,800 --> 01:20:30,840 okay yeah i like that 2076 01:20:30,840 --> 01:20:34,320 um at the same time i would say that 2077 01:20:34,320 --> 01:20:36,159 there are probably two ways of how we 2078 01:20:36,159 --> 01:20:37,679 could label this 2079 01:20:37,679 --> 01:20:40,639 uh so let's say phase d labeling 2080 01:20:40,639 --> 01:20:42,880 at this point 2081 01:20:42,880 --> 01:20:45,840 okay so two ways uh the first one is 2082 01:20:45,840 --> 01:20:48,480 exactly what rama is describing 2083 01:20:48,480 --> 01:20:52,000 we are in phase c here 2084 01:20:52,000 --> 01:20:54,480 in the smaller formation then look at 2085 01:20:54,480 --> 01:20:55,280 how 2086 01:20:55,280 --> 01:20:58,800 a rally is committing to the upside 2087 01:20:58,800 --> 01:21:01,760 over the uh what seems to be an apex 2088 01:21:01,760 --> 01:21:04,320 formation and we know that in the apex 2089 01:21:04,320 --> 01:21:06,800 formation the sign of strength is 2090 01:21:06,800 --> 01:21:09,199 actually not going to be very good you 2091 01:21:09,199 --> 01:21:10,719 know it's not going to be extremely 2092 01:21:10,719 --> 01:21:13,520 distinct but what it's going to show out 2093 01:21:13,520 --> 01:21:16,560 of the place of uncertainty 2094 01:21:16,560 --> 01:21:20,320 right where both buyers and sellers are 2095 01:21:20,320 --> 01:21:21,920 inactive 2096 01:21:21,920 --> 01:21:24,239 they just waiting for new information to 2097 01:21:24,239 --> 01:21:25,199 arrive 2098 01:21:25,199 --> 01:21:28,800 uh you know either to act on on the 2099 01:21:28,800 --> 01:21:30,960 buyers or maybe to add to the buy so 2100 01:21:30,960 --> 01:21:33,520 maybe to close the bias that they have 2101 01:21:33,520 --> 01:21:36,639 so at this point of time a small sign of 2102 01:21:36,639 --> 01:21:39,760 strength suggests that there is a little 2103 01:21:39,760 --> 01:21:42,639 bit more buyers and they you know supply 2104 01:21:42,639 --> 01:21:45,360 is exhausted at this point so we could 2105 01:21:45,360 --> 01:21:48,480 move the price much much easier 2106 01:21:48,480 --> 01:21:50,239 so a sign of strength in the apex 2107 01:21:50,239 --> 01:21:51,840 formation is always going to be that 2108 01:21:51,840 --> 01:21:53,199 small thing 2109 01:21:53,199 --> 01:21:55,520 and then the backing up action 2110 01:21:55,520 --> 01:21:58,880 comes exactly on the second reactionary 2111 01:21:58,880 --> 01:22:01,920 leg to the resist down slope and the 2112 01:22:01,920 --> 01:22:04,639 resistance so that acts as a backing up 2113 01:22:04,639 --> 01:22:07,679 action and therefore this is phase d so 2114 01:22:07,679 --> 01:22:11,440 this is what we have apex 2115 01:22:11,440 --> 01:22:13,040 and then a sign of strength that is 2116 01:22:13,040 --> 01:22:14,000 going to be 2117 01:22:14,000 --> 01:22:16,639 just a little bit small 2118 01:22:16,639 --> 01:22:18,560 and then the second label in here which 2119 01:22:18,560 --> 01:22:21,840 is also acceptable 2120 01:22:22,080 --> 01:22:25,520 is going to be more about 2121 01:22:25,520 --> 01:22:28,480 a much larger phase d right so 2122 01:22:28,480 --> 01:22:31,280 we could say that this 2123 01:22:31,280 --> 01:22:34,320 move to the upside that overcomes the up 2124 01:22:34,320 --> 01:22:36,960 thrust action and the buying climax of 2125 01:22:36,960 --> 01:22:39,679 the distribution formation 2126 01:22:39,679 --> 01:22:41,600 is a major sign of strength and by 2127 01:22:41,600 --> 01:22:43,360 definition the price goes through the 2128 01:22:43,360 --> 01:22:45,520 trading range commits to the upside and 2129 01:22:45,520 --> 01:22:47,440 look at the commitment so many closes 2130 01:22:47,440 --> 01:22:49,199 above so this is a really good 2131 01:22:49,199 --> 01:22:50,960 commitment to the upside 2132 01:22:50,960 --> 01:22:53,120 spends some time in there and then 2133 01:22:53,120 --> 01:22:55,199 reacts exactly to the area of the 2134 01:22:55,199 --> 01:22:57,679 support that acted before as the 2135 01:22:57,679 --> 01:23:00,560 resistance so therefore we could see a 2136 01:23:00,560 --> 01:23:01,920 major 2137 01:23:01,920 --> 01:23:04,800 sign of strength with the major backing 2138 01:23:04,800 --> 01:23:07,840 of action 2139 01:23:08,080 --> 01:23:10,719 and then we would identify this as a 2140 01:23:10,719 --> 01:23:14,080 minor sign of strength 2141 01:23:14,080 --> 01:23:17,280 so that labeling is also acceptable 2142 01:23:17,280 --> 01:23:20,480 please note that for triggering purposes 2143 01:23:20,480 --> 01:23:21,679 again 2144 01:23:21,679 --> 01:23:24,480 it doesn't really matter 2145 01:23:24,480 --> 01:23:25,440 why 2146 01:23:25,440 --> 01:23:28,560 well because if you're identifying this 2147 01:23:28,560 --> 01:23:30,560 as your potential phase d 2148 01:23:30,560 --> 01:23:32,840 then your position in 2149 01:23:32,840 --> 01:23:35,199 reaccumulation is going to be 2150 01:23:35,199 --> 01:23:36,719 most likely the first position is going 2151 01:23:36,719 --> 01:23:38,800 to be opened in phase c 2152 01:23:38,800 --> 01:23:41,040 your second position is going to be uh 2153 01:23:41,040 --> 01:23:42,960 and third your 2154 01:23:42,960 --> 01:23:44,960 second third and fourth position are all 2155 01:23:44,960 --> 01:23:48,480 going to be here so from one to four 2156 01:23:48,480 --> 01:23:50,400 all of this is going to be very active 2157 01:23:50,400 --> 01:23:51,840 zone for you to 2158 01:23:51,840 --> 01:23:52,960 act on 2159 01:23:52,960 --> 01:23:56,400 and then after the major uh sign of 2160 01:23:56,400 --> 01:23:58,159 strength and the major backing of action 2161 01:23:58,159 --> 01:24:00,320 that's number five 2162 01:24:00,320 --> 01:24:02,560 that you would be thinking of opening so 2163 01:24:02,560 --> 01:24:04,400 from that perspective doesn't really 2164 01:24:04,400 --> 01:24:06,960 matter you will still be operating in 2165 01:24:06,960 --> 01:24:08,239 this space 2166 01:24:08,239 --> 01:24:10,239 you know you still will be a barrier 2167 01:24:10,239 --> 01:24:11,280 here 2168 01:24:11,280 --> 01:24:14,080 all right rama really good really good 2169 01:24:14,080 --> 01:24:16,960 start i definitely feel 2170 01:24:16,960 --> 01:24:19,120 a lot of kind of like 2171 01:24:19,120 --> 01:24:21,920 knowledge that is already there 2172 01:24:21,920 --> 01:24:23,520 so a lot of 2173 01:24:23,520 --> 01:24:26,239 i also hear a lot of correct semantics 2174 01:24:26,239 --> 01:24:27,199 that are 2175 01:24:27,199 --> 01:24:29,280 associated with this course 2176 01:24:29,280 --> 01:24:30,560 you know so 2177 01:24:30,560 --> 01:24:32,159 uh you know so a lot of things so just 2178 01:24:32,159 --> 01:24:35,040 continue and for you specifically i 2179 01:24:35,040 --> 01:24:37,760 would say nuances details are going to 2180 01:24:37,760 --> 01:24:40,080 be extremely important right 2181 01:24:40,080 --> 01:24:41,520 okay so just 2182 01:24:41,520 --> 01:24:43,520 you know absorb all of this knowledge 2183 01:24:43,520 --> 01:24:46,400 and just make notes and you know 2184 01:24:46,400 --> 01:24:48,639 concentrate on those details 2185 01:24:48,639 --> 01:24:49,520 yeah 2186 01:24:49,520 --> 01:24:51,360 all right great thank you 2187 01:24:51,360 --> 01:24:52,880 thank you 2188 01:24:52,880 --> 01:24:57,360 i'm sorry around my music too okay 2189 01:24:57,440 --> 01:24:59,600 all right let's quickly look at that 2190 01:24:59,600 --> 01:25:01,760 question that we had and thank you lee 2191 01:25:01,760 --> 01:25:03,920 for sending this chart that was really 2192 01:25:03,920 --> 01:25:05,520 quick and cool and sometimes i'm going 2193 01:25:05,520 --> 01:25:07,520 to request you guys i don't want to be 2194 01:25:07,520 --> 01:25:10,320 distracted but you know you guys could 2195 01:25:10,320 --> 01:25:13,360 uh definitely quickly find what i'm 2196 01:25:13,360 --> 01:25:15,920 looking for and email me so we were 2197 01:25:15,920 --> 01:25:18,800 looking at this spread and we said that 2198 01:25:18,800 --> 01:25:20,239 most likely 2199 01:25:20,239 --> 01:25:22,159 the volume signature is going to 2200 01:25:22,159 --> 01:25:23,679 increase here 2201 01:25:23,679 --> 01:25:26,560 why well look at the gap that's number 2202 01:25:26,560 --> 01:25:28,719 one so that usually is some kind of 2203 01:25:28,719 --> 01:25:31,280 event probably all well definitely 2204 01:25:31,280 --> 01:25:32,960 overnight event 2205 01:25:32,960 --> 01:25:36,080 um where institutions have not produced 2206 01:25:36,080 --> 01:25:39,280 so much excitement before like any other 2207 01:25:39,280 --> 01:25:41,440 gaps that we see on the way up they are 2208 01:25:41,440 --> 01:25:42,880 much smaller 2209 01:25:42,880 --> 01:25:43,840 right 2210 01:25:43,840 --> 01:25:45,360 and 2211 01:25:45,360 --> 01:25:46,960 this is not a gap 2212 01:25:46,960 --> 01:25:48,560 and then 2213 01:25:48,560 --> 01:25:51,600 this is a huge gap 2214 01:25:52,080 --> 01:25:54,080 and the huge gap is always going to be 2215 01:25:54,080 --> 01:25:55,840 associated with more interest from 2216 01:25:55,840 --> 01:25:57,520 institutions and we see a continuation 2217 01:25:57,520 --> 01:25:59,920 to the upside and actually i forgot to 2218 01:25:59,920 --> 01:26:02,239 mention that you know this change of 2219 01:26:02,239 --> 01:26:03,600 character bar 2220 01:26:03,600 --> 01:26:05,840 most likely is going to have also a very 2221 01:26:05,840 --> 01:26:08,239 high volume signature just because of 2222 01:26:08,239 --> 01:26:10,560 the function of the supply that came on 2223 01:26:10,560 --> 01:26:12,880 the buying climax itself 2224 01:26:12,880 --> 01:26:15,760 so that was a really good call and then 2225 01:26:15,760 --> 01:26:16,880 also 2226 01:26:16,880 --> 01:26:18,800 this is going to be one of this 2227 01:26:18,800 --> 01:26:20,639 exercises that i'm going to give you 2228 01:26:20,639 --> 01:26:22,400 guys in the practical 2229 01:26:22,400 --> 01:26:24,400 when you're going to graduate to more 2230 01:26:24,400 --> 01:26:26,239 advanced level 2231 01:26:26,239 --> 01:26:28,880 one of the things that we practice in 2232 01:26:28,880 --> 01:26:32,320 the practicum course is 2233 01:26:32,320 --> 01:26:34,840 reading the volume signature of the 2234 01:26:34,840 --> 01:26:38,960 price and reading price signature of the 2235 01:26:38,960 --> 01:26:40,880 volume 2236 01:26:40,880 --> 01:26:44,320 what it does it kind of opens up the new 2237 01:26:44,320 --> 01:26:46,639 dimension of understanding 2238 01:26:46,639 --> 01:26:49,360 as to what do we expect the volume on 2239 01:26:49,360 --> 01:26:50,960 the price to be 2240 01:26:50,960 --> 01:26:53,280 on the specific bar whether it's the 2241 01:26:53,280 --> 01:26:55,360 price or the volume bar 2242 01:26:55,360 --> 01:26:57,760 and that's exactly what i did here just 2243 01:26:57,760 --> 01:27:00,800 kind of like deducing as to what kind of 2244 01:27:00,800 --> 01:27:03,520 volume signature could be at this 2245 01:27:03,520 --> 01:27:06,480 contextual place with this particular 2246 01:27:06,480 --> 01:27:08,159 bar 2247 01:27:08,159 --> 01:27:10,159 all right great 2248 01:27:10,159 --> 01:27:12,320 uh let's 2249 01:27:12,320 --> 01:27:13,120 let's 2250 01:27:13,120 --> 01:27:17,480 look at some questions really quick 2251 01:27:24,320 --> 01:27:26,480 uh which is the different uh what is the 2252 01:27:26,480 --> 01:27:28,800 difference between labeling secondary 2253 01:27:28,800 --> 01:27:31,199 tests after the selling climax so label 2254 01:27:31,199 --> 01:27:34,320 in a shakeout recumulation versus 2255 01:27:34,320 --> 01:27:37,920 shakeout schematic okay yeah um so this 2256 01:27:37,920 --> 01:27:41,280 was the question here um selling climax 2257 01:27:41,280 --> 01:27:44,239 automatic rally could we possibly label 2258 01:27:44,239 --> 01:27:48,000 this as a shakeout um yeah we can um 2259 01:27:48,000 --> 01:27:50,400 usually the shakeout 2260 01:27:50,400 --> 01:27:52,320 in the reaccumulation is something where 2261 01:27:52,320 --> 01:27:54,320 we have the buying climax 2262 01:27:54,320 --> 01:27:57,600 and then we have some kind of shakeout 2263 01:27:57,600 --> 01:27:59,440 right away 2264 01:27:59,440 --> 01:28:02,000 we don't have it here we have a buying 2265 01:28:02,000 --> 01:28:05,040 climax and then we have an area of the 2266 01:28:05,040 --> 01:28:06,560 distribution 2267 01:28:06,560 --> 01:28:08,239 and that usually suggests that 2268 01:28:08,239 --> 01:28:10,080 distribution usually suggests what 2269 01:28:10,080 --> 01:28:11,360 there's going to be some kind of 2270 01:28:11,360 --> 01:28:13,360 downtrend that's going to come and 2271 01:28:13,360 --> 01:28:15,520 downtrend is going to be 2272 01:28:15,520 --> 01:28:17,760 concluded with the stop in action which 2273 01:28:17,760 --> 01:28:19,360 is going to be labeled by us as a 2274 01:28:19,360 --> 01:28:22,239 selling climax so my preference in this 2275 01:28:22,239 --> 01:28:24,320 particular case would be just to label 2276 01:28:24,320 --> 01:28:27,199 this as a cell in climax and extend the 2277 01:28:27,199 --> 01:28:28,800 boundaries you know from the selling 2278 01:28:28,800 --> 01:28:31,360 climax and uh from the automatic 2279 01:28:31,360 --> 01:28:34,159 reaction or automatic rally or rather 2280 01:28:34,159 --> 01:28:36,800 and then in the air in the uh 2281 01:28:36,800 --> 01:28:39,440 reaccumulation structures where we have 2282 01:28:39,440 --> 01:28:41,199 a very quick move to the downside 2283 01:28:41,199 --> 01:28:43,040 without a lot of the distributional 2284 01:28:43,040 --> 01:28:45,120 activity you know you could say like 2285 01:28:45,120 --> 01:28:47,199 okay this could be interpreted as a 2286 01:28:47,199 --> 01:28:50,400 shakeout action i will keep this in mind 2287 01:28:50,400 --> 01:28:52,639 and i will point this maybe on other 2288 01:28:52,639 --> 01:28:54,159 slides 2289 01:28:54,159 --> 01:28:57,840 okay next one 2290 01:29:02,320 --> 01:29:06,239 uh if we were in september 2291 01:29:07,040 --> 01:29:09,679 and i'm assuming what september where 2292 01:29:09,679 --> 01:29:11,520 this september or 2293 01:29:11,520 --> 01:29:15,679 and this question comes from philip 2294 01:29:15,679 --> 01:29:18,239 or this september okay so probably this 2295 01:29:18,239 --> 01:29:19,440 one right here 2296 01:29:19,440 --> 01:29:21,360 so um 2297 01:29:21,360 --> 01:29:23,199 if we were in september wouldn't we 2298 01:29:23,199 --> 01:29:26,560 interpret the rally 2299 01:29:29,440 --> 01:29:32,880 as a phase d with backing up action 2300 01:29:32,880 --> 01:29:35,600 right before september this one right 2301 01:29:35,600 --> 01:29:38,600 here 2302 01:29:39,040 --> 01:29:41,280 okay and the backing up action to what 2303 01:29:41,280 --> 01:29:44,719 to which range to this one 2304 01:29:49,440 --> 01:29:53,840 so backing up action should be 2305 01:29:54,159 --> 01:29:57,679 coming back to deformation right 2306 01:29:57,679 --> 01:29:59,600 to their original information so we have 2307 01:29:59,600 --> 01:30:01,679 for instance 2308 01:30:01,679 --> 01:30:03,120 we could say that 2309 01:30:03,120 --> 01:30:07,040 here we have a minor backing up action 2310 01:30:07,040 --> 01:30:09,040 and it's a part of this formation then 2311 01:30:09,040 --> 01:30:13,040 we have a larger backing up action 2312 01:30:13,040 --> 01:30:14,000 major 2313 01:30:14,000 --> 01:30:16,960 backing up action and it's a part still 2314 01:30:16,960 --> 01:30:18,840 of this whole formation 2315 01:30:18,840 --> 01:30:20,400 uh 2316 01:30:20,400 --> 01:30:22,719 you know if if we would have some kind 2317 01:30:22,719 --> 01:30:24,800 of you know 2318 01:30:24,800 --> 01:30:26,639 formation that would be something like 2319 01:30:26,639 --> 01:30:27,920 this where 2320 01:30:27,920 --> 01:30:29,840 you know we've seen that maybe this 2321 01:30:29,840 --> 01:30:31,679 whole move is a sign of strength and 2322 01:30:31,679 --> 01:30:34,159 then this is a backing up action that 2323 01:30:34,159 --> 01:30:36,560 has its own trading range then probably 2324 01:30:36,560 --> 01:30:39,199 yes uh we could do this i think it's 2325 01:30:39,199 --> 01:30:42,320 less obvious in this case uh philip so i 2326 01:30:42,320 --> 01:30:44,800 probably would be just thinking that uh 2327 01:30:44,800 --> 01:30:47,120 you know it's just a trading range on 2328 01:30:47,120 --> 01:30:50,000 its own it's a reaccumulation 2329 01:30:50,000 --> 01:30:52,639 we had an accumulation range you move up 2330 01:30:52,639 --> 01:30:53,840 and now we are just in the 2331 01:30:53,840 --> 01:30:55,600 reaccumulation 2332 01:30:55,600 --> 01:30:59,120 okay but good clarifying question there 2333 01:30:59,120 --> 01:31:01,280 is it common that one can identify 2334 01:31:01,280 --> 01:31:03,920 phases of the larger range with smaller 2335 01:31:03,920 --> 01:31:07,600 local ranges within that larger range uh 2336 01:31:07,600 --> 01:31:09,120 yeah um 2337 01:31:09,120 --> 01:31:11,280 we could definitely do this one of the 2338 01:31:11,280 --> 01:31:13,920 things you know again to do is that you 2339 01:31:13,920 --> 01:31:16,400 know texture analysis right so 2340 01:31:16,400 --> 01:31:18,480 if you could instantly see that there 2341 01:31:18,480 --> 01:31:21,199 are smaller ranges here that could be 2342 01:31:21,199 --> 01:31:23,440 labeled by the way i mean look at this 2343 01:31:23,440 --> 01:31:26,080 cell in climax automatic rally secondary 2344 01:31:26,080 --> 01:31:27,199 test 2345 01:31:27,199 --> 01:31:28,320 phase a 2346 01:31:28,320 --> 01:31:29,679 b b 2347 01:31:29,679 --> 01:31:30,560 c 2348 01:31:30,560 --> 01:31:32,800 sign of strength backing up action or 2349 01:31:32,800 --> 01:31:34,239 lps 2350 01:31:34,239 --> 01:31:36,960 um major sign of strength major backing 2351 01:31:36,960 --> 01:31:38,159 up action 2352 01:31:38,159 --> 01:31:40,159 cell and climax automatic rally 2353 01:31:40,159 --> 01:31:42,840 secondary test phase a b 2354 01:31:42,840 --> 01:31:45,520 b uh c 2355 01:31:45,520 --> 01:31:47,120 sign of strength 2356 01:31:47,120 --> 01:31:49,840 uh shakeout type of reaction in d 2357 01:31:49,840 --> 01:31:51,440 lps 2358 01:31:51,440 --> 01:31:54,239 here we go this one cell in climax 2359 01:31:54,239 --> 01:31:58,560 automatic rally secondary test phase a b 2360 01:31:58,560 --> 01:32:00,239 c 2361 01:32:00,239 --> 01:32:01,120 uh 2362 01:32:01,120 --> 01:32:03,920 lps and so on so forth so you could see 2363 01:32:03,920 --> 01:32:06,320 how you could label 2364 01:32:06,320 --> 01:32:08,880 uh even smaller structures and again you 2365 01:32:08,880 --> 01:32:10,480 know we could label this structure right 2366 01:32:10,480 --> 01:32:12,480 here we could label this structure right 2367 01:32:12,480 --> 01:32:14,239 here this structure right here this 2368 01:32:14,239 --> 01:32:16,320 structure right here 2369 01:32:16,320 --> 01:32:18,239 everywhere there are trillion ranges if 2370 01:32:18,239 --> 01:32:20,960 you just get this concept 2371 01:32:20,960 --> 01:32:23,760 that you look at the markets through the 2372 01:32:23,760 --> 01:32:25,840 prism of different structures whether 2373 01:32:25,840 --> 01:32:26,560 it's 2374 01:32:26,560 --> 01:32:29,280 a trend or non-trend whether it's at the 2375 01:32:29,280 --> 01:32:31,840 higher larger time frame like you know a 2376 01:32:31,840 --> 01:32:33,360 large formation 2377 01:32:33,360 --> 01:32:36,080 or a smaller formation like this three 2378 01:32:36,080 --> 01:32:37,760 that i've shown you by the way here is 2379 01:32:37,760 --> 01:32:39,600 another range here is another range 2380 01:32:39,600 --> 01:32:42,320 right so all of those are just 2381 01:32:42,320 --> 01:32:44,639 ranges between the swings 2382 01:32:44,639 --> 01:32:46,560 of the trading range if you can 2383 01:32:46,560 --> 01:32:48,480 understand this concept and it kind of 2384 01:32:48,480 --> 01:32:50,400 becomes natural to you 2385 01:32:50,400 --> 01:32:52,080 you will start looking at the market in 2386 01:32:52,080 --> 01:32:54,719 a different way and usually 2387 01:32:54,719 --> 01:32:56,639 um during the first months you know i 2388 01:32:56,639 --> 01:32:58,480 receive a lot of emails from students 2389 01:32:58,480 --> 01:33:01,040 that just say like oh my gosh 2390 01:33:01,040 --> 01:33:02,880 i look at the markets i look at this 2391 01:33:02,880 --> 01:33:05,360 chart and all i see is just all of those 2392 01:33:05,360 --> 01:33:07,440 formations and it 2393 01:33:07,440 --> 01:33:10,080 so much easier for me now to interpret 2394 01:33:10,080 --> 01:33:12,480 the market action you know through those 2395 01:33:12,480 --> 01:33:14,320 formations so hopefully we'll get to 2396 01:33:14,320 --> 01:33:16,880 this point 2397 01:33:17,120 --> 01:33:20,239 all right um 2398 01:33:20,239 --> 01:33:23,840 okay what else 2399 01:33:25,360 --> 01:33:27,679 okay so a comment from 2400 01:33:27,679 --> 01:33:28,560 dog 2401 01:33:28,560 --> 01:33:30,050 actually um 2402 01:33:30,050 --> 01:33:33,109 [Music] 2403 01:33:33,600 --> 01:33:36,560 preliminary supply in may 2404 01:33:36,560 --> 01:33:38,800 and then 2405 01:33:38,800 --> 01:33:42,159 buying climax in july so 2406 01:33:42,159 --> 01:33:44,400 two to two 2407 01:33:44,400 --> 01:33:46,639 what are we looking at this 2408 01:33:46,639 --> 01:33:49,520 preliminary uh supply 2409 01:33:49,520 --> 01:33:50,320 doug 2410 01:33:50,320 --> 01:33:52,080 is this is this the one is this 2411 01:33:52,080 --> 01:33:54,159 deformation that we look at and buying 2412 01:33:54,159 --> 01:33:56,000 climax in july 2413 01:33:56,000 --> 01:33:58,480 like this 2414 01:34:00,960 --> 01:34:05,560 what's that your interpretation dog 2415 01:34:06,719 --> 01:34:08,719 to the right for 2416 01:34:08,719 --> 01:34:12,719 this is the preliminary supply this 2417 01:34:15,600 --> 01:34:16,480 okay 2418 01:34:16,480 --> 01:34:19,679 great okay so um so darker suggestion 2419 01:34:19,679 --> 01:34:21,520 what about this type of labeling right 2420 01:34:21,520 --> 01:34:24,239 so buy and climax then obviously we 2421 01:34:24,239 --> 01:34:26,400 could go with either cell and climax or 2422 01:34:26,400 --> 01:34:28,960 we could go this whole thing with the 2423 01:34:28,960 --> 01:34:31,360 automatic reaction and then secondary 2424 01:34:31,360 --> 01:34:34,159 test this could be phase a 2425 01:34:34,159 --> 01:34:36,239 and then let's say phase b 2426 01:34:36,239 --> 01:34:37,920 and then phase c 2427 01:34:37,920 --> 01:34:40,159 uh 2428 01:34:40,320 --> 01:34:42,800 on the level of trading 2429 01:34:42,800 --> 01:34:46,960 because we will be trading here 2430 01:34:46,960 --> 01:34:48,800 that doesn't really matter 2431 01:34:48,800 --> 01:34:51,040 and if you label it like that that's 2432 01:34:51,040 --> 01:34:53,520 fine where i have the problem with this 2433 01:34:53,520 --> 01:34:57,440 labeling is these two points right here 2434 01:34:57,440 --> 01:35:00,400 so i'm going to redo this a little bit 2435 01:35:00,400 --> 01:35:02,639 and then you'll see what i mean 2436 01:35:02,639 --> 01:35:03,600 so 2437 01:35:03,600 --> 01:35:05,440 let's say that we're still in the 2438 01:35:05,440 --> 01:35:07,760 automatic reaction secondary test phase 2439 01:35:07,760 --> 01:35:09,119 a 2440 01:35:09,119 --> 01:35:11,360 and then it goes into phase b 2441 01:35:11,360 --> 01:35:13,840 and phase c this is doesn't really 2442 01:35:13,840 --> 01:35:17,760 matter to us but what comes before 2443 01:35:17,760 --> 01:35:20,960 when we put let's say a buy in climax 2444 01:35:20,960 --> 01:35:22,400 right here 2445 01:35:22,400 --> 01:35:23,920 as this point 2446 01:35:23,920 --> 01:35:27,199 we're basically neglecting the fact that 2447 01:35:27,199 --> 01:35:29,199 the buying climax characteristics 2448 01:35:29,199 --> 01:35:31,199 happened before that and we went through 2449 01:35:31,199 --> 01:35:34,080 those a gap acceleration to the upside 2450 01:35:34,080 --> 01:35:36,639 climactic run acceleration of momentum 2451 01:35:36,639 --> 01:35:38,719 extreme volume signature which just 2452 01:35:38,719 --> 01:35:41,119 basically screams at you 2453 01:35:41,119 --> 01:35:42,400 and tells you that 2454 01:35:42,400 --> 01:35:44,960 if it stops on this climactic action a 2455 01:35:44,960 --> 01:35:47,440 climactic volume then most likely this 2456 01:35:47,440 --> 01:35:51,440 is a climax so it's the character 2457 01:35:51,440 --> 01:35:53,520 that does not allow us to say that this 2458 01:35:53,520 --> 01:35:55,520 is a violent climax 2459 01:35:55,520 --> 01:35:57,040 so therefore 2460 01:35:57,040 --> 01:35:59,679 the second point here is that it has its 2461 01:35:59,679 --> 01:36:01,119 own formation 2462 01:36:01,119 --> 01:36:03,520 so what is the bias of this formation 2463 01:36:03,520 --> 01:36:05,119 the bias of this formation is the 2464 01:36:05,119 --> 01:36:07,280 distribution so therefore we would be 2465 01:36:07,280 --> 01:36:10,719 labeling this as an up thrust in phase c 2466 01:36:10,719 --> 01:36:12,560 so therefore the preliminary supply is 2467 01:36:12,560 --> 01:36:15,119 going to come somewhere here 2468 01:36:15,119 --> 01:36:17,119 so that's the only thing that i would 2469 01:36:17,119 --> 01:36:19,520 redo but everything else again for 2470 01:36:19,520 --> 01:36:21,920 trading purposes you could say that this 2471 01:36:21,920 --> 01:36:22,840 whole 2472 01:36:22,840 --> 01:36:25,520 thing is the pine climax so sometimes i 2473 01:36:25,520 --> 01:36:27,840 would say bind climax trading range what 2474 01:36:27,840 --> 01:36:29,520 does it mean this means some kind of 2475 01:36:29,520 --> 01:36:32,000 distribution local formation that would 2476 01:36:32,000 --> 01:36:33,360 take us down 2477 01:36:33,360 --> 01:36:34,560 uh but 2478 01:36:34,560 --> 01:36:37,199 you know i would never i would probably 2479 01:36:37,199 --> 01:36:39,440 not identify this necessarily as a 2480 01:36:39,440 --> 01:36:41,520 buying client so this whole thing you 2481 01:36:41,520 --> 01:36:44,080 could say a buying climax trading range 2482 01:36:44,080 --> 01:36:45,360 all right 2483 01:36:45,360 --> 01:36:47,199 great thank you doug 2484 01:36:47,199 --> 01:36:51,000 and what else 2485 01:36:52,719 --> 01:36:55,360 i thought that phase in phase d i should 2486 01:36:55,360 --> 01:36:57,840 search for biggest rally of the whole 2487 01:36:57,840 --> 01:36:59,600 range starting from the support level so 2488 01:36:59,600 --> 01:37:01,920 the part of uh the first phase c should 2489 01:37:01,920 --> 01:37:04,239 be in phase d so from philip so we're 2490 01:37:04,239 --> 01:37:08,239 talking about this spot okay so yes 2491 01:37:08,239 --> 01:37:12,480 when we look at the horizontal range 2492 01:37:12,480 --> 01:37:14,400 we're looking at the sign of strength 2493 01:37:14,400 --> 01:37:16,560 and the backing up action 2494 01:37:16,560 --> 01:37:20,480 as our you know change of character 2495 01:37:20,480 --> 01:37:22,320 uh confirmation 2496 01:37:22,320 --> 01:37:24,800 and usually the sign of strength rally 2497 01:37:24,800 --> 01:37:27,520 will be the largest rally 2498 01:37:27,520 --> 01:37:30,400 in this whole trading range 2499 01:37:30,400 --> 01:37:32,880 and that's in the horizontal formation 2500 01:37:32,880 --> 01:37:35,520 like this right in the 2501 01:37:35,520 --> 01:37:38,639 apex formation 2502 01:37:40,880 --> 01:37:44,960 where there is a lot of inactivity 2503 01:37:45,679 --> 01:37:49,040 by market participants as small as sign 2504 01:37:49,040 --> 01:37:50,480 of strength 2505 01:37:50,480 --> 01:37:52,880 uh you know could be that timing 2506 01:37:52,880 --> 01:37:54,639 mechanism that defines a change of 2507 01:37:54,639 --> 01:37:57,840 character so we would be looking at the 2508 01:37:57,840 --> 01:37:58,719 um 2509 01:37:58,719 --> 01:38:01,199 at all of the rallies that occur after 2510 01:38:01,199 --> 01:38:03,920 the last point where supply has 2511 01:38:03,920 --> 01:38:06,719 increased or supply has produced 2512 01:38:06,719 --> 01:38:08,960 some kind of downward result that was 2513 01:38:08,960 --> 01:38:11,119 exceeding the result to the downside 2514 01:38:11,119 --> 01:38:12,159 before 2515 01:38:12,159 --> 01:38:15,360 and we see that the rally there 2516 01:38:15,360 --> 01:38:18,560 this rally is basically the best rally 2517 01:38:18,560 --> 01:38:21,440 that we see in in this formation 2518 01:38:21,440 --> 01:38:24,080 so it's a little bit of a nuance 2519 01:38:24,080 --> 01:38:26,400 we'll talk about this later on 2520 01:38:26,400 --> 01:38:28,159 but i'm so happy that you guys are 2521 01:38:28,159 --> 01:38:30,000 seeing this that you're asking the 2522 01:38:30,000 --> 01:38:31,440 correct questions 2523 01:38:31,440 --> 01:38:33,440 because if you're asking the correct 2524 01:38:33,440 --> 01:38:35,600 question this means that you know the 2525 01:38:35,600 --> 01:38:38,159 logic that we explained before was also 2526 01:38:38,159 --> 01:38:40,080 you know good and we just did not cover 2527 01:38:40,080 --> 01:38:42,400 this so that's great all right so really 2528 01:38:42,400 --> 01:38:45,840 good exercise all right 2529 01:38:45,840 --> 01:38:49,920 okay so um with each of these slides for 2530 01:38:49,920 --> 01:38:52,000 the homework i'm gonna give you guys my 2531 01:38:52,000 --> 01:38:54,080 interpretation and you could go through 2532 01:38:54,080 --> 01:38:55,360 this 2533 01:38:55,360 --> 01:38:57,600 as a homework and just um you know 2534 01:38:57,600 --> 01:39:00,239 observe all of the labeling that i've 2535 01:39:00,239 --> 01:39:01,840 done here 2536 01:39:01,840 --> 01:39:04,239 in these boxes gray boxes i'm 2537 01:39:04,239 --> 01:39:05,840 identifying 2538 01:39:05,840 --> 01:39:08,480 changes of character 2539 01:39:08,480 --> 01:39:13,159 and so on so forth so um 2540 01:39:13,920 --> 01:39:16,320 hopefully that's helpful now let's talk 2541 01:39:16,320 --> 01:39:18,880 about phase boundaries so this is that 2542 01:39:18,880 --> 01:39:20,320 theoretical slide that we're going to 2543 01:39:20,320 --> 01:39:21,600 have and we're talking about 2544 01:39:21,600 --> 01:39:24,400 accumulation here 2545 01:39:24,400 --> 01:39:26,560 so how do we define phase boundaries 2546 01:39:26,560 --> 01:39:28,000 it's extremely important for us to 2547 01:39:28,000 --> 01:39:29,199 understand 2548 01:39:29,199 --> 01:39:31,920 where we put the boundary and sometimes 2549 01:39:31,920 --> 01:39:34,159 it becomes so subjective that 2550 01:39:34,159 --> 01:39:35,840 um as i was 2551 01:39:35,840 --> 01:39:37,360 receiving so many questions from 2552 01:39:37,360 --> 01:39:40,080 students i realized that um i need to 2553 01:39:40,080 --> 01:39:42,159 kind of like you know stop all of this 2554 01:39:42,159 --> 01:39:44,719 discretion discretionary talk as to 2555 01:39:44,719 --> 01:39:46,560 where we are putting the batteries and 2556 01:39:46,560 --> 01:39:48,960 that just to define exactly 2557 01:39:48,960 --> 01:39:50,800 where we would put that 2558 01:39:50,800 --> 01:39:52,960 border between phases 2559 01:39:52,960 --> 01:39:55,679 so let's go through this and we're going 2560 01:39:55,679 --> 01:39:57,280 to start with something slightly 2561 01:39:57,280 --> 01:39:59,600 different the first thing and this is 2562 01:39:59,600 --> 01:40:02,320 one of the most important thing 2563 01:40:02,320 --> 01:40:04,639 right now at this point of the course 2564 01:40:04,639 --> 01:40:06,400 that i want you to remember 2565 01:40:06,400 --> 01:40:09,679 i wanted to remember by heart the 2566 01:40:09,679 --> 01:40:12,239 sequence of wike of events 2567 01:40:12,239 --> 01:40:14,000 uh throughout all of the phases in 2568 01:40:14,000 --> 01:40:16,639 accumulation and the distribution 2569 01:40:16,639 --> 01:40:18,800 and uh therefore i just want you to 2570 01:40:18,800 --> 01:40:20,880 remember that phase a is going to start 2571 01:40:20,880 --> 01:40:23,679 with the preliminary supply of support 2572 01:40:23,679 --> 01:40:25,440 go into the stop in action by the 2573 01:40:25,440 --> 01:40:26,880 selling climax 2574 01:40:26,880 --> 01:40:28,800 change of character as an automatic 2575 01:40:28,800 --> 01:40:30,719 rally and confirmation of that change of 2576 01:40:30,719 --> 01:40:32,719 character as a secondary test that 2577 01:40:32,719 --> 01:40:34,560 secondary test is going to be a local 2578 01:40:34,560 --> 01:40:36,960 test and test number one to the salen 2579 01:40:36,960 --> 01:40:39,440 climax 2580 01:40:40,000 --> 01:40:41,360 phase b 2581 01:40:41,360 --> 01:40:44,080 is going to have in the accumulation 2582 01:40:44,080 --> 01:40:46,880 either a secondary test 2583 01:40:46,880 --> 01:40:49,679 at the support level 2584 01:40:49,679 --> 01:40:53,520 or an upthrust action 2585 01:40:54,000 --> 01:40:57,520 at the resistance level so these two are 2586 01:40:57,520 --> 01:41:00,000 mechanisms of testing 2587 01:41:00,000 --> 01:41:02,080 testing what testing both supply and 2588 01:41:02,080 --> 01:41:04,320 demand at the support and the resistance 2589 01:41:04,320 --> 01:41:05,440 level 2590 01:41:05,440 --> 01:41:09,119 in in the instances when the price is 2591 01:41:09,119 --> 01:41:11,119 going to overcome the resistance we're 2592 01:41:11,119 --> 01:41:12,639 going to say that 2593 01:41:12,639 --> 01:41:14,400 we're looking at the up thrust action 2594 01:41:14,400 --> 01:41:16,320 sometimes i label it as 2595 01:41:16,320 --> 01:41:19,679 up thrust action like this uta 2596 01:41:19,679 --> 01:41:20,560 um 2597 01:41:20,560 --> 01:41:23,360 and then if we are going to have a lower 2598 01:41:23,360 --> 01:41:25,199 low then we're going to label it as a 2599 01:41:25,199 --> 01:41:26,960 secondary test 2600 01:41:26,960 --> 01:41:29,280 as a sign of weakness as a minus sign of 2601 01:41:29,280 --> 01:41:31,360 weakness actually yeah some small 2602 01:41:31,360 --> 01:41:33,600 corrections here are needed 2603 01:41:33,600 --> 01:41:34,800 phase c 2604 01:41:34,800 --> 01:41:36,800 is going to have either a high low and 2605 01:41:36,800 --> 01:41:38,800 we're going to label it as a last point 2606 01:41:38,800 --> 01:41:41,760 of support or it's going to have a low 2607 01:41:41,760 --> 01:41:43,600 low and then we will be talking about 2608 01:41:43,600 --> 01:41:46,639 either a spring or a shakeout 2609 01:41:46,639 --> 01:41:50,880 phase c also could have as a test not 2610 01:41:50,880 --> 01:41:53,760 necessarily a secondary test but a local 2611 01:41:53,760 --> 01:41:55,520 test to a sprint 2612 01:41:55,520 --> 01:41:58,000 or a shakeout 2613 01:41:58,000 --> 01:41:59,360 phase d 2614 01:41:59,360 --> 01:42:00,800 is going to have 2615 01:42:00,800 --> 01:42:02,960 last point of 2616 01:42:02,960 --> 01:42:05,600 support sign of strength bar 2617 01:42:05,600 --> 01:42:07,600 sign of strength rally and the backing 2618 01:42:07,600 --> 01:42:10,000 up action usually phase d will be 2619 01:42:10,000 --> 01:42:11,040 discussed 2620 01:42:11,040 --> 01:42:13,040 mostly around sign of strength rally and 2621 01:42:13,040 --> 01:42:15,360 the backing up action a sign of strength 2622 01:42:15,360 --> 01:42:16,400 bar 2623 01:42:16,400 --> 01:42:18,639 has been added you know to them to the 2624 01:42:18,639 --> 01:42:20,960 methodology by me just you know for the 2625 01:42:20,960 --> 01:42:22,639 class purposes 2626 01:42:22,639 --> 01:42:24,639 this is the spot where in the middle of 2627 01:42:24,639 --> 01:42:28,400 the range we're identifying emergence of 2628 01:42:28,400 --> 01:42:31,600 institutional urgency to buy to be in 2629 01:42:31,600 --> 01:42:34,000 this position and this is one of the 2630 01:42:34,000 --> 01:42:36,800 points of entry for us in accumulation 2631 01:42:36,800 --> 01:42:39,679 on the way up we'll talk about this more 2632 01:42:39,679 --> 01:42:41,520 last point of supports are going to be 2633 01:42:41,520 --> 01:42:44,080 all of the reactionary laws 2634 01:42:44,080 --> 01:42:45,920 on the sign of strength rally that 2635 01:42:45,920 --> 01:42:48,080 present some kind of buying opportunity 2636 01:42:48,080 --> 01:42:49,600 those are going to be short-term 2637 01:42:49,600 --> 01:42:50,639 weakness 2638 01:42:50,639 --> 01:42:53,119 situations where we're going to say that 2639 01:42:53,119 --> 01:42:53,840 the 2640 01:42:53,840 --> 01:42:56,639 long-term bias is to the upside but the 2641 01:42:56,639 --> 01:42:58,719 short-term bias has some kind of 2642 01:42:58,719 --> 01:43:01,920 weakness bearish 2643 01:43:03,199 --> 01:43:06,000 bearish bias behind it and those are 2644 01:43:06,000 --> 01:43:07,440 going to be the spots that are going to 2645 01:43:07,440 --> 01:43:10,000 be associated with establishing or 2646 01:43:10,000 --> 01:43:13,199 adding to the position 2647 01:43:13,360 --> 01:43:15,360 then we've talked about two changes of 2648 01:43:15,360 --> 01:43:17,920 character in the ray accumulation 2649 01:43:17,920 --> 01:43:19,520 and um 2650 01:43:19,520 --> 01:43:22,400 you know originally again 2651 01:43:22,400 --> 01:43:24,639 i've talked about this 2652 01:43:24,639 --> 01:43:27,119 originally when i was studying like of 2653 01:43:27,119 --> 01:43:29,840 method and you know hank was introducing 2654 01:43:29,840 --> 01:43:32,400 me to this concept hank had a concept of 2655 01:43:32,400 --> 01:43:35,520 the change of behavior he never actually 2656 01:43:35,520 --> 01:43:37,360 specifically talked about the change of 2657 01:43:37,360 --> 01:43:40,080 character so change of behavior was 2658 01:43:40,080 --> 01:43:41,600 basically 2659 01:43:41,600 --> 01:43:44,239 identified in 2660 01:43:44,239 --> 01:43:45,119 late 2661 01:43:45,119 --> 01:43:46,560 phase b 2662 01:43:46,560 --> 01:43:47,679 and 2663 01:43:47,679 --> 01:43:49,520 in phase c 2664 01:43:49,520 --> 01:43:51,440 and in phase d 2665 01:43:51,440 --> 01:43:55,760 and what hank was talking about is 2666 01:43:56,000 --> 01:43:58,639 a changing behavior as 2667 01:43:58,639 --> 01:43:59,679 uh 2668 01:43:59,679 --> 01:44:03,520 behavior on the rally could become more 2669 01:44:03,520 --> 01:44:04,880 bullish 2670 01:44:04,880 --> 01:44:06,560 um 2671 01:44:06,560 --> 01:44:08,719 and then behavior on the reactions at 2672 01:44:08,719 --> 01:44:10,800 some point could become more bullish as 2673 01:44:10,800 --> 01:44:12,239 well so for instance when we look at 2674 01:44:12,239 --> 01:44:14,080 this chart 2675 01:44:14,080 --> 01:44:17,360 and we look let's say maybe at 2676 01:44:17,360 --> 01:44:19,840 this reaction right here for the first 2677 01:44:19,840 --> 01:44:22,560 time reaction creates a higher low 2678 01:44:22,560 --> 01:44:25,199 so that's a change of behavior it's not 2679 01:44:25,199 --> 01:44:27,840 necessarily a change of structure 2680 01:44:27,840 --> 01:44:29,760 because the change of character is a 2681 01:44:29,760 --> 01:44:31,760 change of structure but the change of 2682 01:44:31,760 --> 01:44:34,800 behavior is not necessarily as a change 2683 01:44:34,800 --> 01:44:37,040 of structure per se you know where we 2684 01:44:37,040 --> 01:44:38,880 are um 2685 01:44:38,880 --> 01:44:41,440 where we are uh confirming the best 2686 01:44:41,440 --> 01:44:43,440 rally the sequence between the best 2687 01:44:43,440 --> 01:44:46,000 rally and the best reaction right so 2688 01:44:46,000 --> 01:44:48,880 here's that sequence the best rally and 2689 01:44:48,880 --> 01:44:49,679 then 2690 01:44:49,679 --> 01:44:51,360 the best reaction 2691 01:44:51,360 --> 01:44:52,960 so here it is 2692 01:44:52,960 --> 01:44:55,199 throughout this whole range 2693 01:44:55,199 --> 01:44:56,320 so that 2694 01:44:56,320 --> 01:44:58,159 is a change of character but change of 2695 01:44:58,159 --> 01:45:00,800 behavior could be just a better rally 2696 01:45:00,800 --> 01:45:03,520 and then the reaction is still bearish 2697 01:45:03,520 --> 01:45:04,320 or 2698 01:45:04,320 --> 01:45:06,480 um usual rally and then a better 2699 01:45:06,480 --> 01:45:07,840 reaction 2700 01:45:07,840 --> 01:45:10,480 so that would be a change of behavior 2701 01:45:10,480 --> 01:45:12,080 there are two changes of character that 2702 01:45:12,080 --> 01:45:13,920 i mentioned our first change of 2703 01:45:13,920 --> 01:45:16,000 character is going to be associated um 2704 01:45:16,000 --> 01:45:17,360 with phase in 2705 01:45:17,360 --> 01:45:19,760 with phase a so it's the change of 2706 01:45:19,760 --> 01:45:20,800 character 2707 01:45:20,800 --> 01:45:21,600 in 2708 01:45:21,600 --> 01:45:24,159 into the trading range and uh it's going 2709 01:45:24,159 --> 01:45:26,560 to be defined as the rally between a 2710 01:45:26,560 --> 01:45:29,360 selling climax and automatic rally 2711 01:45:29,360 --> 01:45:31,360 and it's going to be confirmed by this 2712 01:45:31,360 --> 01:45:33,440 secondary test 2713 01:45:33,440 --> 01:45:36,080 and then the second change of character 2714 01:45:36,080 --> 01:45:37,679 is going to be 2715 01:45:37,679 --> 01:45:40,560 on the way out of the trading range 2716 01:45:40,560 --> 01:45:42,400 in phase d and that's going to be a 2717 01:45:42,400 --> 01:45:44,800 rally between phase c low and sign of 2718 01:45:44,800 --> 01:45:47,520 strength rally high so here's the high 2719 01:45:47,520 --> 01:45:49,840 here's the low here's that change of 2720 01:45:49,840 --> 01:45:52,000 character and it's being confirmed by 2721 01:45:52,000 --> 01:45:55,760 the backing up action after that 2722 01:45:57,040 --> 01:45:59,119 phase boundaries so this is very 2723 01:45:59,119 --> 01:46:00,159 important 2724 01:46:00,159 --> 01:46:03,360 this is something that i was looking at 2725 01:46:03,360 --> 01:46:06,239 in all of your homeworks today 2726 01:46:06,239 --> 01:46:07,760 so let's go through this how do we 2727 01:46:07,760 --> 01:46:09,760 define the boundaries so let's talk 2728 01:46:09,760 --> 01:46:11,679 about the boundary between 2729 01:46:11,679 --> 01:46:14,400 phase a and phase b 2730 01:46:14,400 --> 01:46:16,560 well what do we see what do we have to 2731 01:46:16,560 --> 01:46:19,520 see there so we want to 2732 01:46:19,520 --> 01:46:21,840 identify a secondary test as the 2733 01:46:21,840 --> 01:46:23,280 conclusion 2734 01:46:23,280 --> 01:46:25,119 of phase a 2735 01:46:25,119 --> 01:46:27,920 and then it's around this area this is 2736 01:46:27,920 --> 01:46:29,600 where we would be looking for the 2737 01:46:29,600 --> 01:46:31,440 reversal 2738 01:46:31,440 --> 01:46:34,000 once we identify this reversal this is 2739 01:46:34,000 --> 01:46:36,159 where we're going to put the boundary 2740 01:46:36,159 --> 01:46:39,520 of between phase a and phase b so why 2741 01:46:39,520 --> 01:46:41,520 why would we do it like this well 2742 01:46:41,520 --> 01:46:43,600 obviously we want to include all of the 2743 01:46:43,600 --> 01:46:45,760 points of phase a 2744 01:46:45,760 --> 01:46:48,239 which is preliminary supply 2745 01:46:48,239 --> 01:46:51,920 selling climax automatic rally 2746 01:46:51,920 --> 01:46:55,239 secondary test and then we want to 2747 01:46:55,239 --> 01:46:58,080 identify the ending 2748 01:46:58,080 --> 01:47:01,520 of secondary test and secondary test is 2749 01:47:01,520 --> 01:47:02,960 just a reaction 2750 01:47:02,960 --> 01:47:06,159 so we want to find the reversal 2751 01:47:06,159 --> 01:47:09,800 of a downswing 2752 01:47:10,639 --> 01:47:13,440 that acts as a secondary test and once 2753 01:47:13,440 --> 01:47:15,280 we find this 2754 01:47:15,280 --> 01:47:16,159 bar 2755 01:47:16,159 --> 01:47:17,520 that's where 2756 01:47:17,520 --> 01:47:20,000 we're going to put the boundary 2757 01:47:20,000 --> 01:47:23,000 between 2758 01:47:23,600 --> 01:47:26,800 phases a and b 2759 01:47:27,040 --> 01:47:29,840 we're gonna do the same 2760 01:47:29,840 --> 01:47:31,199 with 2761 01:47:31,199 --> 01:47:33,679 the boundary between phase 2762 01:47:33,679 --> 01:47:35,600 c and phase d 2763 01:47:35,600 --> 01:47:37,440 and in this case it's a little bit 2764 01:47:37,440 --> 01:47:41,199 easier because we do have another test 2765 01:47:41,199 --> 01:47:43,360 and that test is also 2766 01:47:43,360 --> 01:47:45,920 just a downswing 2767 01:47:45,920 --> 01:47:47,840 so for this downswing we're going to 2768 01:47:47,840 --> 01:47:49,760 look for the reversal 2769 01:47:49,760 --> 01:47:52,480 and the reversal bar is going to be our 2770 01:47:52,480 --> 01:47:54,800 boundary between phases 2771 01:47:54,800 --> 01:47:55,920 c 2772 01:47:55,920 --> 01:47:59,840 and d so it's somewhere here 2773 01:48:00,320 --> 01:48:02,320 and then 2774 01:48:02,320 --> 01:48:06,320 the boundary between phases b and c is a 2775 01:48:06,320 --> 01:48:08,800 and by the way let's just do phase d as 2776 01:48:08,800 --> 01:48:10,800 well right away so kind of the same 2777 01:48:10,800 --> 01:48:13,199 concept right so backing up action is 2778 01:48:13,199 --> 01:48:14,159 going to be 2779 01:48:14,159 --> 01:48:16,880 a reaction so in the reaction we want to 2780 01:48:16,880 --> 01:48:19,199 see to look for the reversal 2781 01:48:19,199 --> 01:48:20,000 so 2782 01:48:20,000 --> 01:48:22,080 here it's a little bit more complex like 2783 01:48:22,080 --> 01:48:24,560 it was here as well so we see the stop 2784 01:48:24,560 --> 01:48:27,520 in action and then we see a minor test 2785 01:48:27,520 --> 01:48:29,760 so it's out of this minor test that the 2786 01:48:29,760 --> 01:48:32,080 boundary would occur we see here a 2787 01:48:32,080 --> 01:48:34,960 reaction and the test to this reaction 2788 01:48:34,960 --> 01:48:37,760 so it's out of the you know that test on 2789 01:48:37,760 --> 01:48:40,000 the reversal of that test this is where 2790 01:48:40,000 --> 01:48:42,080 the boundary is going to be created 2791 01:48:42,080 --> 01:48:43,280 now face 2792 01:48:43,280 --> 01:48:45,679 the boundary between phase b and phase c 2793 01:48:45,679 --> 01:48:48,000 is a little bit more complicated 2794 01:48:48,000 --> 01:48:50,639 because basically we need to understand 2795 01:48:50,639 --> 01:48:53,360 the intention behind phase c which is 2796 01:48:53,360 --> 01:48:55,360 what which is testing 2797 01:48:55,360 --> 01:48:58,000 this is the final test at the support 2798 01:48:58,000 --> 01:49:01,360 level so therefore from this definition 2799 01:49:01,360 --> 01:49:04,560 as this is the test 2800 01:49:04,560 --> 01:49:08,080 we need to find the place in phase c 2801 01:49:08,080 --> 01:49:11,760 where the there is first attempt to test 2802 01:49:11,760 --> 01:49:14,960 uh the support level and we usually look 2803 01:49:14,960 --> 01:49:17,199 into phase b lows 2804 01:49:17,199 --> 01:49:19,040 and we are saying okay where is the 2805 01:49:19,040 --> 01:49:20,719 first time 2806 01:49:20,719 --> 01:49:23,679 when the lows of phase b were 2807 01:49:23,679 --> 01:49:24,639 tested 2808 01:49:24,639 --> 01:49:26,800 so somewhere here in this area 2809 01:49:26,800 --> 01:49:28,480 so and we want to put the boundary 2810 01:49:28,480 --> 01:49:30,080 exactly on this 2811 01:49:30,080 --> 01:49:32,480 level where the test has happened for 2812 01:49:32,480 --> 01:49:33,599 phase b 2813 01:49:33,599 --> 01:49:36,560 so this is how we define the boundaries 2814 01:49:36,560 --> 01:49:38,719 for all of the phases i really guys 2815 01:49:38,719 --> 01:49:41,760 would like you to stop here you know 2816 01:49:41,760 --> 01:49:43,520 stop the recording 2817 01:49:43,520 --> 01:49:46,159 make some notes think about this maybe 2818 01:49:46,159 --> 01:49:49,199 take a chart just to go through that 2819 01:49:49,199 --> 01:49:51,520 and just to think about how you put in 2820 01:49:51,520 --> 01:49:53,920 those boundaries 2821 01:49:53,920 --> 01:49:54,840 all right 2822 01:49:54,840 --> 01:49:56,800 great 2823 01:49:56,800 --> 01:49:59,360 let's go to the next slide so we are at 2824 01:49:59,360 --> 01:50:01,920 ten to five so we have still maybe an 2825 01:50:01,920 --> 01:50:04,719 hour and a half hour and ten minutes 2826 01:50:04,719 --> 01:50:07,360 all right so um say yes if you would 2827 01:50:07,360 --> 01:50:10,800 like to volunteer who's next all right 2828 01:50:10,800 --> 01:50:13,760 just gonna go with the first one phillip 2829 01:50:13,760 --> 01:50:17,119 you have to unmute yourself 2830 01:50:18,239 --> 01:50:20,719 philip 2831 01:50:23,360 --> 01:50:25,840 how you doing 2832 01:50:26,159 --> 01:50:28,719 do you hear me yes just speak up a 2833 01:50:28,719 --> 01:50:30,239 little bit 2834 01:50:30,239 --> 01:50:32,560 okay sorry yeah closer to the microphone 2835 01:50:32,560 --> 01:50:34,960 okay great all right am i pronouncing 2836 01:50:34,960 --> 01:50:36,800 your name correctly philip 2837 01:50:36,800 --> 01:50:38,800 yeah thank you okay 2838 01:50:38,800 --> 01:50:40,480 um so let's look at the first trading 2839 01:50:40,480 --> 01:50:41,920 range 2840 01:50:41,920 --> 01:50:44,880 what is catching your eye 2841 01:50:44,880 --> 01:50:47,920 uh well probably this setting climax 2842 01:50:47,920 --> 01:50:50,000 which is where the large swings 2843 01:50:50,000 --> 01:50:53,440 just label this for you point number one 2844 01:50:53,440 --> 01:50:56,159 point number two 2845 01:50:56,159 --> 01:50:57,199 uh 2846 01:50:57,199 --> 01:50:59,840 three and four okay which one is the 2847 01:50:59,840 --> 01:51:01,679 selling climax 2848 01:51:01,679 --> 01:51:04,080 uh number two the first would be the 2849 01:51:04,080 --> 01:51:05,840 prelim 2850 01:51:05,840 --> 01:51:07,360 support i think 2851 01:51:07,360 --> 01:51:09,280 okay so let's start with this 2852 01:51:09,280 --> 01:51:11,520 preliminary support selling climax so 2853 01:51:11,520 --> 01:51:13,119 let's go through the logic of this 2854 01:51:13,119 --> 01:51:14,159 labeling 2855 01:51:14,159 --> 01:51:15,520 so we know that 2856 01:51:15,520 --> 01:51:18,719 um selling climax has to be the stop in 2857 01:51:18,719 --> 01:51:21,679 action right and then 2858 01:51:21,679 --> 01:51:22,960 after the 2859 01:51:22,960 --> 01:51:27,040 stop in action what should happen next 2860 01:51:27,920 --> 01:51:29,920 uh automatic rally 2861 01:51:29,920 --> 01:51:32,320 next is going to be automatic rally an 2862 01:51:32,320 --> 01:51:33,520 automatic rally is going to be 2863 01:51:33,520 --> 01:51:35,440 associated with 2864 01:51:35,440 --> 01:51:36,639 what else 2865 01:51:36,639 --> 01:51:38,480 with what kind of 2866 01:51:38,480 --> 01:51:41,360 change of behavior change of 2867 01:51:41,360 --> 01:51:42,719 character 2868 01:51:42,719 --> 01:51:43,920 given 2869 01:51:43,920 --> 01:51:44,880 out 2870 01:51:44,880 --> 01:51:48,480 right so we change our character 2871 01:51:48,480 --> 01:51:50,320 so a change of character 2872 01:51:50,320 --> 01:51:51,679 is going to look 2873 01:51:51,679 --> 01:51:54,480 uh like what 2874 01:51:54,480 --> 01:51:56,239 why is that uh the change of character 2875 01:51:56,239 --> 01:51:58,880 what would we see on this rally that is 2876 01:51:58,880 --> 01:52:00,639 going to be so different than what we've 2877 01:52:00,639 --> 01:52:03,920 seen before well maybe a 2878 01:52:03,920 --> 01:52:05,599 bigger price 2879 01:52:05,599 --> 01:52:09,440 swing than before in the rally before 2880 01:52:09,440 --> 01:52:12,000 and maybe a little bit bigger volume 2881 01:52:12,000 --> 01:52:12,880 okay 2882 01:52:12,880 --> 01:52:14,800 great and specifically maybe in this 2883 01:52:14,800 --> 01:52:16,560 case because this is an accumulation 2884 01:52:16,560 --> 01:52:18,960 after the downtrend demand signature is 2885 01:52:18,960 --> 01:52:21,520 going to go up right so the distance of 2886 01:52:21,520 --> 01:52:23,840 the rally could increase the volume 2887 01:52:23,840 --> 01:52:26,000 would go up the demand is going to 2888 01:52:26,000 --> 01:52:27,040 increase 2889 01:52:27,040 --> 01:52:30,800 the up spread is going to increase right 2890 01:52:30,800 --> 01:52:31,760 so 2891 01:52:31,760 --> 01:52:34,800 where for the first time 2892 01:52:34,800 --> 01:52:36,880 do we see 2893 01:52:36,880 --> 01:52:40,159 this type of price action 2894 01:52:40,159 --> 01:52:44,280 and volume action as well 2895 01:52:44,960 --> 01:52:46,159 uh 2896 01:52:46,159 --> 01:52:48,080 well maybe 2897 01:52:48,080 --> 01:52:49,920 between one and two 2898 01:52:49,920 --> 01:52:52,400 yeah this first rally right from this 2899 01:52:52,400 --> 01:52:53,760 low 2900 01:52:53,760 --> 01:52:55,280 to this high 2901 01:52:55,280 --> 01:52:57,520 yeah that looks that like that rally 2902 01:52:57,520 --> 01:52:59,199 that you've just described as a change 2903 01:52:59,199 --> 01:53:01,040 of character why is that 2904 01:53:01,040 --> 01:53:03,199 well the distance for the rally has 2905 01:53:03,199 --> 01:53:05,119 increased right looking at the previous 2906 01:53:05,119 --> 01:53:07,040 attempts to rally where is it well 2907 01:53:07,040 --> 01:53:09,760 here's one there is another one and this 2908 01:53:09,760 --> 01:53:12,480 is the high uh you know of that of that 2909 01:53:12,480 --> 01:53:15,679 downswing so this is the largest 2910 01:53:15,679 --> 01:53:17,679 reaction to the upside 2911 01:53:17,679 --> 01:53:19,520 look at the spread it's increasing as 2912 01:53:19,520 --> 01:53:21,280 well what can we say about the volume 2913 01:53:21,280 --> 01:53:24,239 signature by the way philip 2914 01:53:24,239 --> 01:53:26,239 just looking at the spread itself what 2915 01:53:26,239 --> 01:53:29,920 do you think the volume is doing here 2916 01:53:30,800 --> 01:53:33,199 oh well increasing hopefully 2917 01:53:33,199 --> 01:53:34,719 okay and why do you think it's 2918 01:53:34,719 --> 01:53:37,280 increasing 2919 01:53:37,440 --> 01:53:39,119 uh 2920 01:53:39,119 --> 01:53:42,320 well because um there it's it looked 2921 01:53:42,320 --> 01:53:44,400 like there was a fight between where 2922 01:53:44,400 --> 01:53:48,800 where the ending price will be and 2923 01:53:48,800 --> 01:53:50,800 before like the difference between the 2924 01:53:50,800 --> 01:53:53,280 range of the tick and the 2925 01:53:53,280 --> 01:53:56,000 of the weeks and the ending prices i 2926 01:53:56,000 --> 01:53:59,360 think yes absolutely we see and what is 2927 01:53:59,360 --> 01:54:02,159 this fight how would we call this fight 2928 01:54:02,159 --> 01:54:05,199 it's the fight of volatility 2929 01:54:05,199 --> 01:54:08,400 right so there is a climactic run to the 2930 01:54:08,400 --> 01:54:10,719 downside that increases the supply 2931 01:54:10,719 --> 01:54:13,440 tremendously i mean we're seeing how 2932 01:54:13,440 --> 01:54:15,599 uh it's a general capitulation here it's 2933 01:54:15,599 --> 01:54:17,360 not institutional it's not public 2934 01:54:17,360 --> 01:54:19,520 capitulation everyone is capitulating 2935 01:54:19,520 --> 01:54:20,480 here 2936 01:54:20,480 --> 01:54:22,239 there is a gap to the downside big 2937 01:54:22,239 --> 01:54:24,800 spread to the downside the first initial 2938 01:54:24,800 --> 01:54:27,440 momentum is to the downside 2939 01:54:27,440 --> 01:54:30,080 so this day on the intraday level is 2940 01:54:30,080 --> 01:54:34,239 going to look like this previous close 2941 01:54:34,400 --> 01:54:37,119 maybe open 2942 01:54:37,119 --> 01:54:40,239 i'm sorry open is going to be at the low 2943 01:54:40,239 --> 01:54:43,040 here so this is open 2944 01:54:43,040 --> 01:54:45,119 and then momentum is going to carry us 2945 01:54:45,119 --> 01:54:46,639 down first 2946 01:54:46,639 --> 01:54:48,560 that's going to be my first initial 2947 01:54:48,560 --> 01:54:50,159 assumption then we're going to have the 2948 01:54:50,159 --> 01:54:51,119 rally 2949 01:54:51,119 --> 01:54:53,440 and then it's going to carry us to the 2950 01:54:53,440 --> 01:54:55,920 close of the previous day 2951 01:54:55,920 --> 01:54:58,159 so that's how the action would look like 2952 01:54:58,159 --> 01:55:01,199 so supply has increased then demand has 2953 01:55:01,199 --> 01:55:02,960 increased 2954 01:55:02,960 --> 01:55:05,440 and then supply has increased again so 2955 01:55:05,440 --> 01:55:07,440 there is a lot of volatility during this 2956 01:55:07,440 --> 01:55:09,360 intraday action 2957 01:55:09,360 --> 01:55:11,520 which brings basically the volume 2958 01:55:11,520 --> 01:55:14,239 signature increase and then most likely 2959 01:55:14,239 --> 01:55:16,560 some kind of spike on that date 2960 01:55:16,560 --> 01:55:18,960 so therefore a fight between the buyers 2961 01:55:18,960 --> 01:55:22,480 that sellers creates volatility uh which 2962 01:55:22,480 --> 01:55:25,199 volatility and volume is just you know 2963 01:55:25,199 --> 01:55:27,599 so connected together and increasing the 2964 01:55:27,599 --> 01:55:29,599 volume is just you know suggests that 2965 01:55:29,599 --> 01:55:32,000 there is an increase in a potential 2966 01:55:32,000 --> 01:55:34,000 increase in volatility 2967 01:55:34,000 --> 01:55:37,040 okay uh great so if 2968 01:55:37,040 --> 01:55:41,520 now if this is a change of character 2969 01:55:41,520 --> 01:55:43,280 then where is our selling climax and 2970 01:55:43,280 --> 01:55:45,599 automatic rally 2971 01:55:45,599 --> 01:55:48,000 okay well uh so the 2972 01:55:48,000 --> 01:55:50,239 selling climax should be the lowest 2973 01:55:50,239 --> 01:55:52,639 point of this okay yep 2974 01:55:52,639 --> 01:55:54,800 automatic rally and then the next move 2975 01:55:54,800 --> 01:55:57,760 to the downside is going to be what 2976 01:55:57,760 --> 01:55:58,639 uh 2977 01:55:58,639 --> 01:56:00,560 secondary test secondary test could the 2978 01:56:00,560 --> 01:56:02,639 secondary test be 2979 01:56:02,639 --> 01:56:05,440 a low low 2980 01:56:06,880 --> 01:56:09,520 yes it could be yes it could be it could 2981 01:56:09,520 --> 01:56:11,040 be a high low it could be at the same 2982 01:56:11,040 --> 01:56:13,040 level it could be a low low 2983 01:56:13,040 --> 01:56:16,320 the key is if this is a low low does the 2984 01:56:16,320 --> 01:56:18,159 price come back into the trading range 2985 01:56:18,159 --> 01:56:20,800 or not because if it doesn't 2986 01:56:20,800 --> 01:56:22,800 then you know it's not 2987 01:56:22,800 --> 01:56:24,080 a stop in action it's just a 2988 01:56:24,080 --> 01:56:26,400 continuation of the downtrend we could 2989 01:56:26,400 --> 01:56:27,360 have a 2990 01:56:27,360 --> 01:56:29,920 for the secondary test yeah okay great 2991 01:56:29,920 --> 01:56:30,960 so this 2992 01:56:30,960 --> 01:56:33,360 concludes phase a what's the intention 2993 01:56:33,360 --> 01:56:36,159 behind phase a 2994 01:56:36,560 --> 01:56:38,960 uh the change of character yes the 2995 01:56:38,960 --> 01:56:40,719 change of character and 2996 01:56:40,719 --> 01:56:43,360 to stop the downtrend from going further 2997 01:56:43,360 --> 01:56:46,000 down right so stop in the trend and then 2998 01:56:46,000 --> 01:56:47,599 change the character with which the 2999 01:56:47,599 --> 01:56:48,560 price 3000 01:56:48,560 --> 01:56:52,320 unfolds okay phase a and then um 3001 01:56:52,320 --> 01:56:55,520 what catches your eye next 3002 01:56:55,520 --> 01:56:57,520 um well the two 3003 01:56:57,520 --> 01:56:59,040 uh 3004 01:56:59,040 --> 01:57:02,159 two weeks who which are in at the bottom 3005 01:57:02,159 --> 01:57:04,320 of the range 3006 01:57:04,320 --> 01:57:06,719 yeah yeah the two ends are free 3007 01:57:06,719 --> 01:57:08,239 okay so 3008 01:57:08,239 --> 01:57:09,599 kind of like 3009 01:57:09,599 --> 01:57:12,159 quite a few tests here right so smaller 3010 01:57:12,159 --> 01:57:13,119 test 3011 01:57:13,119 --> 01:57:15,520 uh big test bigger tests so if we would 3012 01:57:15,520 --> 01:57:17,760 be talking about tests the magnitude of 3013 01:57:17,760 --> 01:57:19,760 test probably we would say 3014 01:57:19,760 --> 01:57:21,920 secondary test number one that was a 3015 01:57:21,920 --> 01:57:23,280 local test 3016 01:57:23,280 --> 01:57:25,920 you know to 3017 01:57:25,920 --> 01:57:29,520 sec uh to selling climax 3018 01:57:29,599 --> 01:57:30,719 test 3019 01:57:30,719 --> 01:57:32,960 to selling climax 3020 01:57:32,960 --> 01:57:35,679 and then these two tests look like the 3021 01:57:35,679 --> 01:57:38,159 same magnitude but their dimension and 3022 01:57:38,159 --> 01:57:41,520 size which basically tells us 3023 01:57:41,520 --> 01:57:44,800 that 2 and 3 3024 01:57:45,599 --> 01:57:49,520 in the downward distance 3025 01:57:49,520 --> 01:57:53,599 that is dimension is a bullish sign 3026 01:57:53,599 --> 01:57:56,080 and then look how high they are relative 3027 01:57:56,080 --> 01:57:58,239 to the selling climax 3028 01:57:58,239 --> 01:58:01,119 and relative to anything in phase a so 3029 01:58:01,119 --> 01:58:02,239 that's an 3030 01:58:02,239 --> 01:58:05,119 almost like extra bullish sign 3031 01:58:05,119 --> 01:58:08,239 that we have so that's all about bias 3032 01:58:08,239 --> 01:58:09,920 okay so that's great 3033 01:58:09,920 --> 01:58:12,400 um but then how would we 3034 01:58:12,400 --> 01:58:13,760 label those 3035 01:58:13,760 --> 01:58:16,880 uh you know two tests 3036 01:58:16,880 --> 01:58:19,440 yeah well i i would have trouble 3037 01:58:19,440 --> 01:58:21,840 distinguishing which will be the the 3038 01:58:21,840 --> 01:58:25,280 tests in c but i think it should be the 3039 01:58:25,280 --> 01:58:26,880 uh-huh go ahead 3040 01:58:26,880 --> 01:58:29,599 uh it should be the last one 3041 01:58:29,599 --> 01:58:31,679 uh-huh and 3042 01:58:31,679 --> 01:58:33,599 logic i mean this is the correct answer 3043 01:58:33,599 --> 01:58:35,760 but that's the logic behind it 3044 01:58:35,760 --> 01:58:38,320 well if in any trading range there 3045 01:58:38,320 --> 01:58:39,520 should be like 3046 01:58:39,520 --> 01:58:44,400 three major tests so and we have no test 3047 01:58:44,400 --> 01:58:46,400 after the three so the last one has to 3048 01:58:46,400 --> 01:58:49,840 be the test in c yeah yeah and this is 3049 01:58:49,840 --> 01:58:53,840 again you know third test 3050 01:58:54,960 --> 01:58:57,040 is gonna be our phase c 3051 01:58:57,040 --> 01:58:59,199 second test it's gonna be phase b so if 3052 01:58:59,199 --> 01:59:02,880 this is the test this is from where the 3053 01:59:02,880 --> 01:59:04,800 trend should start 3054 01:59:04,800 --> 01:59:06,400 and even though there is 3055 01:59:06,400 --> 01:59:08,239 a definition of the higher highs higher 3056 01:59:08,239 --> 01:59:09,920 lows this is the conventional t 3057 01:59:09,920 --> 01:59:12,000 definition of the uptrend 3058 01:59:12,000 --> 01:59:13,840 you know you could argue with me that 3059 01:59:13,840 --> 01:59:15,920 we're already in an uptrend here yes we 3060 01:59:15,920 --> 01:59:18,400 are but we're still in the consolidate 3061 01:59:18,400 --> 01:59:20,800 information it's just upsloping 3062 01:59:20,800 --> 01:59:23,280 then if this is a consolidation and it's 3063 01:59:23,280 --> 01:59:24,960 just of slope information then we need 3064 01:59:24,960 --> 01:59:26,960 to identify phase c 3065 01:59:26,960 --> 01:59:29,520 so philip is talking about the test so 3066 01:59:29,520 --> 01:59:32,400 this is great looks like phase c 3067 01:59:32,400 --> 01:59:34,560 um how else could we check that this and 3068 01:59:34,560 --> 01:59:36,639 confirm that this is phase c well what 3069 01:59:36,639 --> 01:59:38,320 happens next 3070 01:59:38,320 --> 01:59:40,960 where is the actual uptrend that doesn't 3071 01:59:40,960 --> 01:59:42,960 have the same type of the reactions that 3072 01:59:42,960 --> 01:59:45,040 in the trading range it's in this area 3073 01:59:45,040 --> 01:59:47,599 right here so here is our kind of like 3074 01:59:47,599 --> 01:59:50,800 pure uptrend that we were looking for 3075 01:59:50,800 --> 01:59:53,119 so if this is an uptrend then the low 3076 01:59:53,119 --> 01:59:55,199 that precedes that uptrend it should be 3077 01:59:55,199 --> 01:59:58,960 phase c and it does yeah so that's great 3078 01:59:58,960 --> 02:00:00,960 another confirmation that we could have 3079 02:00:00,960 --> 02:00:01,679 is 3080 02:00:01,679 --> 02:00:04,400 uh after phase c i feel like what should 3081 02:00:04,400 --> 02:00:06,960 happen which phase 3082 02:00:06,960 --> 02:00:09,440 phase d phase d and phase d is going to 3083 02:00:09,440 --> 02:00:11,599 be associated with the major sign of 3084 02:00:11,599 --> 02:00:12,639 strength 3085 02:00:12,639 --> 02:00:14,960 and with the major backing up action 3086 02:00:14,960 --> 02:00:17,599 right so we could say that in this case 3087 02:00:17,599 --> 02:00:19,520 and i forgot who was asking me about 3088 02:00:19,520 --> 02:00:22,400 that uh backing up action that could it 3089 02:00:22,400 --> 02:00:25,199 be you know much larger well in this 3090 02:00:25,199 --> 02:00:27,679 case if we would extend the resistance 3091 02:00:27,679 --> 02:00:29,840 level you know we could see how this 3092 02:00:29,840 --> 02:00:32,000 formation is resting 3093 02:00:32,000 --> 02:00:34,800 um on the resistance level that has been 3094 02:00:34,800 --> 02:00:36,639 projected you know as an up sloping 3095 02:00:36,639 --> 02:00:38,639 resistance so yes this is a major 3096 02:00:38,639 --> 02:00:40,159 backing up action that has its own 3097 02:00:40,159 --> 02:00:41,520 trading range 3098 02:00:41,520 --> 02:00:44,560 now let's quickly talk about alternative 3099 02:00:44,560 --> 02:00:45,679 labeling 3100 02:00:45,679 --> 02:00:48,719 here you could label this as phase a and 3101 02:00:48,719 --> 02:00:50,880 then i've seen that some of you said 3102 02:00:50,880 --> 02:00:53,440 okay this is a test in phase b 3103 02:00:53,440 --> 02:00:56,800 and then this is it uh phase c phase b 3104 02:00:56,800 --> 02:00:59,040 is still the largest amount three so 3105 02:00:59,040 --> 02:01:02,239 that that actually is good then you have 3106 02:01:02,239 --> 02:01:04,080 a sign of strength in d 3107 02:01:04,080 --> 02:01:06,400 and a backing up action 3108 02:01:06,400 --> 02:01:10,080 now i actually oh i'm totally okay with 3109 02:01:10,080 --> 02:01:13,119 this label why because if you would be 3110 02:01:13,119 --> 02:01:15,679 thinking that this is an accumulation 3111 02:01:15,679 --> 02:01:17,280 and your goal is going to be to 3112 02:01:17,280 --> 02:01:19,440 establish a high probability trade which 3113 02:01:19,440 --> 02:01:21,520 is going to be a not in phase c but in 3114 02:01:21,520 --> 02:01:22,800 phase d 3115 02:01:22,800 --> 02:01:25,040 then you kind of open in the position at 3116 02:01:25,040 --> 02:01:27,440 the same time as the trader who would 3117 02:01:27,440 --> 02:01:29,199 label it as phase c 3118 02:01:29,199 --> 02:01:31,119 and it would try you know to 3119 02:01:31,119 --> 02:01:32,960 on the elements of strands just to get 3120 02:01:32,960 --> 02:01:33,679 in 3121 02:01:33,679 --> 02:01:36,560 in phase d on the way up so for trading 3122 02:01:36,560 --> 02:01:38,800 purposes it doesn't really matter 3123 02:01:38,800 --> 02:01:40,719 um but i want you guys to kind of 3124 02:01:40,719 --> 02:01:43,280 understand and see that we have to have 3125 02:01:43,280 --> 02:01:44,880 first test 3126 02:01:44,880 --> 02:01:48,080 second test third test that the trend is 3127 02:01:48,080 --> 02:01:50,320 going to start at the low so phase c and 3128 02:01:50,320 --> 02:01:52,080 so on so forth so there are quite a few 3129 02:01:52,080 --> 02:01:53,920 things here that i would be thinking 3130 02:01:53,920 --> 02:01:57,040 that this labeling is probably better 3131 02:01:57,040 --> 02:01:59,119 all right philly 3132 02:01:59,119 --> 02:02:01,280 what about the second trading range what 3133 02:02:01,280 --> 02:02:03,360 is the most obvious 3134 02:02:03,360 --> 02:02:05,760 thing on this console in this 3135 02:02:05,760 --> 02:02:08,480 consolidation 3136 02:02:08,800 --> 02:02:10,320 um 3137 02:02:10,320 --> 02:02:12,480 so the first two points 3138 02:02:12,480 --> 02:02:15,199 which defines the trading range probably 3139 02:02:15,199 --> 02:02:17,199 okay so i see it like as these two 3140 02:02:17,199 --> 02:02:19,760 points what is the first point 3141 02:02:19,760 --> 02:02:21,760 how would we label it 3142 02:02:21,760 --> 02:02:24,159 i'm buying climax okay why is this a 3143 02:02:24,159 --> 02:02:26,880 buying climax 3144 02:02:27,679 --> 02:02:30,239 well because it's the end of the uptrend 3145 02:02:30,239 --> 02:02:31,599 a 3146 02:02:31,599 --> 02:02:34,960 but i i like do not see 3147 02:02:34,960 --> 02:02:37,520 the yeah and it there is a gap between 3148 02:02:37,520 --> 02:02:40,960 the the last bullish uh take so maybe 3149 02:02:40,960 --> 02:02:43,520 that's that's one of indicators so gap 3150 02:02:43,520 --> 02:02:45,520 what else what about this spread 3151 02:02:45,520 --> 02:02:47,840 increase right 3152 02:02:47,840 --> 02:02:50,000 look at how the price marks prior to 3153 02:02:50,000 --> 02:02:52,480 that and look at this bar right here 3154 02:02:52,480 --> 02:02:54,639 something is different the way how it 3155 02:02:54,639 --> 02:02:56,239 moves now 3156 02:02:56,239 --> 02:02:58,880 so faster i'm much faster so my 3157 02:02:58,880 --> 02:03:01,920 management increase velocity increase 3158 02:03:01,920 --> 02:03:03,920 spread increase 3159 02:03:03,920 --> 02:03:07,520 gap to the upside and then it stops it's 3160 02:03:07,520 --> 02:03:09,599 a stopping action so all of these 3161 02:03:09,599 --> 02:03:11,760 elements are elements of the climactic 3162 02:03:11,760 --> 02:03:14,400 action in this case the bind climax okay 3163 02:03:14,400 --> 02:03:16,960 well what's interesting is the next 3164 02:03:16,960 --> 02:03:18,800 reaction right so 3165 02:03:18,800 --> 02:03:22,080 we see that there is really not a lot of 3166 02:03:22,080 --> 02:03:24,239 reaction that's number one secondly 3167 02:03:24,239 --> 02:03:26,800 there is really after the climactic run 3168 02:03:26,800 --> 02:03:29,840 there is no trading range 3169 02:03:30,000 --> 02:03:31,760 that would define 3170 02:03:31,760 --> 02:03:33,040 um 3171 02:03:33,040 --> 02:03:35,679 you know some kind of uh 3172 02:03:35,679 --> 02:03:38,000 causality for the price to move down and 3173 02:03:38,000 --> 02:03:39,599 that's why the move down is just so 3174 02:03:39,599 --> 02:03:40,560 small 3175 02:03:40,560 --> 02:03:42,239 this by the way is just a preliminary 3176 02:03:42,239 --> 02:03:43,280 supply 3177 02:03:43,280 --> 02:03:45,360 you know this range right here 3178 02:03:45,360 --> 02:03:48,000 and um it's in these cases where we 3179 02:03:48,000 --> 02:03:49,840 could say that because there is not a 3180 02:03:49,840 --> 02:03:51,840 lot of distributional activity here at 3181 02:03:51,840 --> 02:03:53,840 the bayan climax itself 3182 02:03:53,840 --> 02:03:56,480 we could label this move to the downside 3183 02:03:56,480 --> 02:03:58,639 as a shakeout first 3184 02:03:58,639 --> 02:04:00,880 or we could label it you know so this 3185 02:04:00,880 --> 02:04:03,679 will be more alternative labeling 3186 02:04:03,679 --> 02:04:05,920 and then a more conventional we built 3187 02:04:05,920 --> 02:04:09,599 just a regular automatic reaction 3188 02:04:09,599 --> 02:04:12,639 so whatever you guys did that's fine 3189 02:04:12,639 --> 02:04:15,119 the only thing here is if you're 3190 02:04:15,119 --> 02:04:17,360 labeling this as a shakeout selling 3191 02:04:17,360 --> 02:04:19,840 climax then the next rally is going to 3192 02:04:19,840 --> 02:04:23,119 be labeled hell fill it 3193 02:04:23,119 --> 02:04:26,159 uh automatic rela react function rally 3194 02:04:26,159 --> 02:04:28,159 okay and then secondary test and that 3195 02:04:28,159 --> 02:04:28,960 would 3196 02:04:28,960 --> 02:04:30,800 be your phase a 3197 02:04:30,800 --> 02:04:32,960 okay uh in the 3198 02:04:32,960 --> 02:04:35,040 alternative flip uh in the more 3199 02:04:35,040 --> 02:04:37,119 conventional labeling right so you'll 3200 02:04:37,119 --> 02:04:38,880 have 3201 02:04:38,880 --> 02:04:42,400 bind climax automatic um 3202 02:04:42,400 --> 02:04:44,560 a reaction and then the secondary test 3203 02:04:44,560 --> 02:04:46,719 and that would conclude your phase a and 3204 02:04:46,719 --> 02:04:48,880 that would be the only difference i want 3205 02:04:48,880 --> 02:04:50,960 you guys to see this we've studied this 3206 02:04:50,960 --> 02:04:52,719 in the previous class i gave you the 3207 02:04:52,719 --> 02:04:54,960 slides on the rear accumulation some of 3208 02:04:54,960 --> 02:04:56,480 the rear accumulations are going to have 3209 02:04:56,480 --> 02:04:57,679 the structure where they're going to 3210 02:04:57,679 --> 02:04:59,599 have a distribution range and we've seen 3211 02:04:59,599 --> 02:05:01,599 this in the previous slide then the 3212 02:05:01,599 --> 02:05:03,840 price goes down so you're going to have 3213 02:05:03,840 --> 02:05:06,880 a selling climax and then your labeling 3214 02:05:06,880 --> 02:05:10,000 is going to be the same 3215 02:05:10,480 --> 02:05:12,880 and then in another formation where you 3216 02:05:12,880 --> 02:05:15,040 have a buying climax and then you have 3217 02:05:15,040 --> 02:05:16,960 just a sharp reaction 3218 02:05:16,960 --> 02:05:19,599 that defines the boundary of the range 3219 02:05:19,599 --> 02:05:21,520 then you could in some instances say 3220 02:05:21,520 --> 02:05:23,760 that this is a shakeout and then you 3221 02:05:23,760 --> 02:05:25,840 kind of start it over 3222 02:05:25,840 --> 02:05:28,000 as just a regular uh 3223 02:05:28,000 --> 02:05:29,920 accumulation so this will be an 3224 02:05:29,920 --> 02:05:32,960 alternative labeling 3225 02:05:32,960 --> 02:05:35,040 and 3226 02:05:35,040 --> 02:05:37,199 buying climax automatic reaction 3227 02:05:37,199 --> 02:05:38,800 secondary test 3228 02:05:38,800 --> 02:05:42,560 this would be conventional 3229 02:05:43,119 --> 02:05:45,599 please take notes of this 3230 02:05:45,599 --> 02:05:48,079 because this question repeats itself all 3231 02:05:48,079 --> 02:05:50,159 right well phillip how would you like to 3232 02:05:50,159 --> 02:05:53,679 label it okay bind climax 3233 02:05:53,679 --> 02:05:55,599 then let's just go with the conventional 3234 02:05:55,599 --> 02:05:56,800 automatic 3235 02:05:56,800 --> 02:06:00,639 reaction secondary test phase a 3236 02:06:00,639 --> 02:06:03,440 okay so then what is the next thing that 3237 02:06:03,440 --> 02:06:05,840 catches your eye 3238 02:06:05,840 --> 02:06:06,719 um 3239 02:06:06,719 --> 02:06:08,880 yeah and now i'm not sure because if the 3240 02:06:08,880 --> 02:06:11,520 secondary test is is the test to the 3241 02:06:11,520 --> 02:06:14,400 upside i'm not sure what's the what's 3242 02:06:14,400 --> 02:06:15,199 the 3243 02:06:15,199 --> 02:06:18,159 uh you know decline to the uh 3244 02:06:18,159 --> 02:06:21,119 resistance but the support is your eye 3245 02:06:21,119 --> 02:06:23,280 instead of thinking what comes next and 3246 02:06:23,280 --> 02:06:25,920 the problem associated with the label in 3247 02:06:25,920 --> 02:06:26,960 there 3248 02:06:26,960 --> 02:06:29,040 what is the what is catching your eye 3249 02:06:29,040 --> 02:06:31,520 and by that i mean 3250 02:06:31,520 --> 02:06:34,159 are there any extremes or extreme 3251 02:06:34,159 --> 02:06:36,480 behaviors that you see in this trading 3252 02:06:36,480 --> 02:06:38,560 range that catches your eye 3253 02:06:38,560 --> 02:06:40,800 yeah the nice rally from the top to the 3254 02:06:40,800 --> 02:06:42,960 bottom of the support 3255 02:06:42,960 --> 02:06:44,960 okay let's come back to this later on 3256 02:06:44,960 --> 02:06:47,440 what else 3257 02:06:47,440 --> 02:06:48,320 uh 3258 02:06:48,320 --> 02:06:50,560 yeah and then this rally 3259 02:06:50,560 --> 02:06:53,599 i i thought the the you know the decline 3260 02:06:53,599 --> 02:06:55,679 from the secondary tests 3261 02:06:55,679 --> 02:06:57,679 secondary tests do the bottom of the 3262 02:06:57,679 --> 02:06:59,520 range 3263 02:06:59,520 --> 02:07:02,000 yeah this one 3264 02:07:02,000 --> 02:07:04,239 okay what about it 3265 02:07:04,239 --> 02:07:05,280 uh 3266 02:07:05,280 --> 02:07:07,520 there's that's the first thing and yeah 3267 02:07:07,520 --> 02:07:09,119 then the last 3268 02:07:09,119 --> 02:07:10,079 last 3269 02:07:10,079 --> 02:07:12,480 time that happened again 3270 02:07:12,480 --> 02:07:13,599 okay 3271 02:07:13,599 --> 02:07:16,000 um well when i asked you guys this 3272 02:07:16,000 --> 02:07:18,159 question what catches your eye obviously 3273 02:07:18,159 --> 02:07:21,520 i i'm i'm trying for you to identify 3274 02:07:21,520 --> 02:07:24,560 either extreme behavior or just extremes 3275 02:07:24,560 --> 02:07:26,400 right so what are the extremes 3276 02:07:26,400 --> 02:07:27,760 the extreme 3277 02:07:27,760 --> 02:07:30,480 kinds of support of strength the 3278 02:07:30,480 --> 02:07:32,800 extremes are going to be all this 3279 02:07:32,800 --> 02:07:35,280 right so these are the extremes 3280 02:07:35,280 --> 02:07:37,920 so um 3281 02:07:37,920 --> 02:07:39,840 like for instance this extreme right 3282 02:07:39,840 --> 02:07:42,719 here this rally off the low 3283 02:07:42,719 --> 02:07:46,239 what do you think this rally is 3284 02:07:49,119 --> 02:07:51,440 uh 3285 02:07:51,840 --> 02:07:52,840 i'm not 3286 02:07:52,840 --> 02:07:55,280 sure okay that's fine 3287 02:07:55,280 --> 02:07:57,520 so we we see 3288 02:07:57,520 --> 02:08:00,000 what happens after this rally we have 3289 02:08:00,000 --> 02:08:01,760 some kind of 3290 02:08:01,760 --> 02:08:03,280 backing up action and then a 3291 02:08:03,280 --> 02:08:04,880 continuation 3292 02:08:04,880 --> 02:08:07,840 um to the upside right so we are in the 3293 02:08:07,840 --> 02:08:10,480 uptrend environment right here so we are 3294 02:08:10,480 --> 02:08:12,400 leaving the trading range and then we 3295 02:08:12,400 --> 02:08:14,480 are going into the uptrend there is 3296 02:08:14,480 --> 02:08:16,560 another formation here but 3297 02:08:16,560 --> 02:08:18,320 what phase would we be doing this and 3298 02:08:18,320 --> 02:08:20,239 what kind of bike of events would you 3299 02:08:20,239 --> 02:08:22,560 know conclude the trading range in this 3300 02:08:22,560 --> 02:08:24,000 manner 3301 02:08:24,000 --> 02:08:27,040 it's probably spring 3302 02:08:27,040 --> 02:08:28,400 where 3303 02:08:28,400 --> 02:08:29,840 uh from the 3304 02:08:29,840 --> 02:08:33,360 uh yeah the beginning of the uptrend 3305 02:08:33,360 --> 02:08:35,920 uh give me a timestamp which is 3306 02:08:35,920 --> 02:08:37,280 september 3307 02:08:37,280 --> 02:08:39,199 okay so this one right here 3308 02:08:39,199 --> 02:08:40,079 yeah 3309 02:08:40,079 --> 02:08:42,400 okay yeah so at the low we probably have 3310 02:08:42,400 --> 02:08:46,159 a screen why is this a sprint by the way 3311 02:08:46,639 --> 02:08:49,040 because it's um 3312 02:08:49,040 --> 02:08:52,079 from the support level and it goes 3313 02:08:52,079 --> 02:08:54,079 right at the 3314 02:08:54,079 --> 02:08:56,800 like through the whole trading range and 3315 02:08:56,800 --> 02:08:59,679 with increasing speed okay but then 3316 02:08:59,679 --> 02:09:03,119 also a sprint is gonna be a lower low 3317 02:09:03,119 --> 02:09:06,079 right a sprint is going to be a 3318 02:09:06,079 --> 02:09:09,040 temporary 3319 02:09:09,280 --> 02:09:12,480 either attempt 3320 02:09:13,280 --> 02:09:14,159 or 3321 02:09:14,159 --> 02:09:16,800 commitment 3322 02:09:17,599 --> 02:09:20,560 below the support 3323 02:09:20,560 --> 02:09:22,560 that's how we would look at the spring 3324 02:09:22,560 --> 02:09:24,960 and that's the definition of sprint so 3325 02:09:24,960 --> 02:09:27,599 look at this guys how this bar is trying 3326 02:09:27,599 --> 02:09:29,119 to commit to the downside on the 3327 02:09:29,119 --> 02:09:31,760 intraday basis it does not commit only 3328 02:09:31,760 --> 02:09:34,400 has a tail here on the daily and then 3329 02:09:34,400 --> 02:09:36,960 returns quickly back into the trading 3330 02:09:36,960 --> 02:09:38,480 range 3331 02:09:38,480 --> 02:09:41,360 so it's an up thrust only reversed in 3332 02:09:41,360 --> 02:09:42,560 reverse 3333 02:09:42,560 --> 02:09:44,560 and then it has some kind of local test 3334 02:09:44,560 --> 02:09:47,760 here okay great so which phase is uh 3335 02:09:47,760 --> 02:09:48,800 gonna 3336 02:09:48,800 --> 02:09:52,159 have a sprint in it 3337 02:09:52,719 --> 02:09:53,679 uh 3338 02:09:53,679 --> 02:09:56,400 the beginning it's interface c 3339 02:09:56,400 --> 02:10:00,320 c absolutely okay so if this is phase c 3340 02:10:00,320 --> 02:10:02,880 then everything in between phase a and 3341 02:10:02,880 --> 02:10:04,960 phase c is phase b 3342 02:10:04,960 --> 02:10:07,679 we want to check that phase b is the 3343 02:10:07,679 --> 02:10:11,119 largest among the three 3344 02:10:11,119 --> 02:10:13,280 this is where the cause is being created 3345 02:10:13,280 --> 02:10:15,440 with this is where supply and demand are 3346 02:10:15,440 --> 02:10:16,800 interacting 3347 02:10:16,800 --> 02:10:20,639 with the very very volatile you know 3348 02:10:20,639 --> 02:10:22,480 events and behaviors 3349 02:10:22,480 --> 02:10:25,599 right so okay let's come back to phase b 3350 02:10:25,599 --> 02:10:28,719 really quickly the test at the support 3351 02:10:28,719 --> 02:10:32,719 level how would we label that in phase b 3352 02:10:34,560 --> 02:10:36,800 um 3353 02:10:37,599 --> 02:10:39,920 secondary test secondary test yeah and 3354 02:10:39,920 --> 02:10:41,119 then 3355 02:10:41,119 --> 02:10:42,800 the high that overcomes previous 3356 02:10:42,800 --> 02:10:44,719 resistance point in phase b 3357 02:10:44,719 --> 02:10:47,199 it's going to sign of strength 3358 02:10:47,199 --> 02:10:48,880 and up thrust 3359 02:10:48,880 --> 02:10:50,560 action 3360 02:10:50,560 --> 02:10:51,840 as 3361 02:10:51,840 --> 02:10:55,119 a minus sign of strength 3362 02:10:55,119 --> 02:10:57,520 and the reason why we're saying a minus 3363 02:10:57,520 --> 02:10:59,760 sign of strength is because the price 3364 02:10:59,760 --> 02:11:02,480 commits significantly to the upside it 3365 02:11:02,480 --> 02:11:06,239 doesn't just commits a little bit 3366 02:11:06,239 --> 02:11:08,400 it just commits quite significantly look 3367 02:11:08,400 --> 02:11:11,119 at three closes above and then the price 3368 02:11:11,119 --> 02:11:13,679 spends so much time above here before it 3369 02:11:13,679 --> 02:11:16,400 actually commits you know below 3370 02:11:16,400 --> 02:11:18,400 um so that's why a minus sign of 3371 02:11:18,400 --> 02:11:22,320 strength not every rally in phase b are 3372 02:11:22,320 --> 02:11:24,400 going to have characteristics of a minus 3373 02:11:24,400 --> 02:11:26,239 sign of strength this is going to be 3374 02:11:26,239 --> 02:11:27,040 more 3375 02:11:27,040 --> 02:11:29,440 of the um except 3376 02:11:29,440 --> 02:11:30,800 you know exception 3377 02:11:30,800 --> 02:11:32,880 rather than a norm 3378 02:11:32,880 --> 02:11:36,079 okay great so then can i'm gonna can i 3379 02:11:36,079 --> 02:11:38,560 just quickly ask you if if i have a 3380 02:11:38,560 --> 02:11:41,280 buying climax which is tested by the 3381 02:11:41,280 --> 02:11:44,159 secondary test the first one so the 3382 02:11:44,159 --> 02:11:47,679 secondary test is to the upside can i 3383 02:11:47,679 --> 02:11:50,079 also mark a secondary test something 3384 02:11:50,079 --> 02:11:53,280 that tests the support level like in the 3385 02:11:53,280 --> 02:11:55,679 different direction yeah and that was 3386 02:11:55,679 --> 02:11:59,520 kind of like my biggest um 3387 02:11:59,520 --> 02:12:02,239 uh issue is the labeling that i i've 3388 02:12:02,239 --> 02:12:03,119 seen 3389 02:12:03,119 --> 02:12:06,239 from the in the reaccumulation 3390 02:12:06,239 --> 02:12:08,560 where basically this sequence does not 3391 02:12:08,560 --> 02:12:10,639 make a lot of sense to me 3392 02:12:10,639 --> 02:12:12,639 now i would rather 3393 02:12:12,639 --> 02:12:15,440 uh sequence this in a different way i 3394 02:12:15,440 --> 02:12:17,920 would rather say buying climax 3395 02:12:17,920 --> 02:12:19,199 and then 3396 02:12:19,199 --> 02:12:21,520 shakeout type of action and then just 3397 02:12:21,520 --> 02:12:24,079 say automatic rally and then secondary 3398 02:12:24,079 --> 02:12:25,040 test 3399 02:12:25,040 --> 02:12:27,119 but sometimes it doesn't work like this 3400 02:12:27,119 --> 02:12:29,520 you know just there is not really enough 3401 02:12:29,520 --> 02:12:31,280 room for phase b 3402 02:12:31,280 --> 02:12:32,880 and then we could see that from the 3403 02:12:32,880 --> 02:12:35,760 behaviors what is this rally it is a 3404 02:12:35,760 --> 02:12:38,560 test it is a test of the climactic 3405 02:12:38,560 --> 02:12:40,159 action right there so 3406 02:12:40,159 --> 02:12:42,800 um i started in the conventional way i 3407 02:12:42,800 --> 02:12:45,040 started thinking that okay so test at 3408 02:12:45,040 --> 02:12:46,480 the resistance 3409 02:12:46,480 --> 02:12:48,880 test at the support and phase b is going 3410 02:12:48,880 --> 02:12:51,440 to be like that we also could label even 3411 02:12:51,440 --> 02:12:53,760 this up thrust right here as a secondary 3412 02:12:53,760 --> 02:12:56,639 test actually this whole up thrust 3413 02:12:56,639 --> 02:12:58,320 action in 3414 02:12:58,320 --> 02:12:59,520 phase b 3415 02:12:59,520 --> 02:13:02,079 uh has been added you know in this 3416 02:13:02,079 --> 02:13:05,440 course uh we've never used it before um 3417 02:13:05,440 --> 02:13:07,440 you know upthrust always 3418 02:13:07,440 --> 02:13:10,159 has been associated with three things 3419 02:13:10,159 --> 02:13:12,480 uh usually it has been associated with 3420 02:13:12,480 --> 02:13:14,000 the distribution 3421 02:13:14,000 --> 02:13:15,760 you know and hank kind of like you know 3422 02:13:15,760 --> 02:13:18,159 was always on me about this you know 3423 02:13:18,159 --> 02:13:19,599 like adding something new to the 3424 02:13:19,599 --> 02:13:21,760 methodology but it made sense to me to 3425 02:13:21,760 --> 02:13:22,719 do that 3426 02:13:22,719 --> 02:13:26,000 so authres was associated first with the 3427 02:13:26,000 --> 02:13:27,679 up thrust and phase b of the 3428 02:13:27,679 --> 02:13:29,119 distribution 3429 02:13:29,119 --> 02:13:31,920 and then up thrust after distribution in 3430 02:13:31,920 --> 02:13:33,280 phase c 3431 02:13:33,280 --> 02:13:36,159 it also was associated with the 3432 02:13:36,159 --> 02:13:38,480 upward 3433 02:13:38,480 --> 02:13:40,719 thrust 3434 02:13:40,719 --> 02:13:42,320 in the uptrend 3435 02:13:42,320 --> 02:13:43,599 and we would 3436 02:13:43,599 --> 02:13:46,079 use this as a momentum tool 3437 02:13:46,079 --> 02:13:47,920 uh where the momentum increases or 3438 02:13:47,920 --> 02:13:50,239 decreases on the rally 3439 02:13:50,239 --> 02:13:51,360 um 3440 02:13:51,360 --> 02:13:53,840 so when i realized that 3441 02:13:53,840 --> 02:13:56,320 this sub thrust right here has the same 3442 02:13:56,320 --> 02:13:59,719 type of 3443 02:13:59,760 --> 02:14:01,920 action as just the regular authorized 3444 02:14:01,920 --> 02:14:04,480 and distribution it made sense to label 3445 02:14:04,480 --> 02:14:06,800 this as an upthrust action 3446 02:14:06,800 --> 02:14:09,040 rather than an abstract itself i'm going 3447 02:14:09,040 --> 02:14:10,639 to have a slide on you 3448 02:14:10,639 --> 02:14:14,159 for you on this um i think david wise 3449 02:14:14,159 --> 02:14:18,719 gary fullert gary dayton i'm much better 3450 02:14:18,719 --> 02:14:19,679 with 3451 02:14:19,679 --> 02:14:21,520 identification of those up-thrust 3452 02:14:21,520 --> 02:14:23,599 actions everywhere 3453 02:14:23,599 --> 02:14:25,520 and sometimes when i listen to them or i 3454 02:14:25,520 --> 02:14:28,159 conduct sessions with them together 3455 02:14:28,159 --> 02:14:30,079 you know it just kind of amazes me how 3456 02:14:30,079 --> 02:14:33,040 they see this so there is a lot of value 3457 02:14:33,040 --> 02:14:34,960 in that type of work and that type of 3458 02:14:34,960 --> 02:14:36,560 knowledge and i would highly recommend 3459 02:14:36,560 --> 02:14:38,320 for those of you who are not familiar 3460 02:14:38,320 --> 02:14:39,840 with the names that i've pronounced you 3461 02:14:39,840 --> 02:14:42,639 know go check them out you know um i'm 3462 02:14:42,639 --> 02:14:45,920 actually extremely open to 3463 02:14:45,920 --> 02:14:48,239 uh cooperation with all of the wyck of 3464 02:14:48,239 --> 02:14:50,400 teachers you know for those of you guys 3465 02:14:50,400 --> 02:14:52,800 who are not new you guys know that i've 3466 02:14:52,800 --> 02:14:54,800 conducted so many classes with all three 3467 02:14:54,800 --> 02:14:57,599 of them you know and obviously i like to 3468 02:14:57,599 --> 02:14:59,520 teach with other with other teachers 3469 02:14:59,520 --> 02:15:00,880 with other people 3470 02:15:00,880 --> 02:15:03,360 all right so let's conclude this uh 3471 02:15:03,360 --> 02:15:06,000 really quick so after phase c the rally 3472 02:15:06,000 --> 02:15:09,360 up is going to be what 3473 02:15:09,360 --> 02:15:11,920 this um spring 3474 02:15:11,920 --> 02:15:14,800 uh with a spring spring is always going 3475 02:15:14,800 --> 02:15:17,679 to be a lower load to support it's not 3476 02:15:17,679 --> 02:15:19,679 going to be a rally and by the way i've 3477 02:15:19,679 --> 02:15:21,679 seen guys that some of you would put 3478 02:15:21,679 --> 02:15:24,800 like face c somewhere here or like a 3479 02:15:24,800 --> 02:15:28,880 part of the rally no face c 3480 02:15:28,880 --> 02:15:30,800 uh intention what is the intention 3481 02:15:30,800 --> 02:15:31,760 phillip 3482 02:15:31,760 --> 02:15:34,400 for phase c 3483 02:15:35,280 --> 02:15:36,239 uh 3484 02:15:36,239 --> 02:15:39,599 it establishes the new trend and change 3485 02:15:39,599 --> 02:15:40,880 the character 3486 02:15:40,880 --> 02:15:44,079 it's the final test 3487 02:15:44,079 --> 02:15:48,079 final test of supply 3488 02:15:48,880 --> 02:15:51,040 at the support level 3489 02:15:51,040 --> 02:15:53,760 that's what face c is all about 3490 02:15:53,760 --> 02:15:56,960 so it cannot be a rally 3491 02:15:56,960 --> 02:15:59,280 phase three is basically a test 3492 02:15:59,280 --> 02:16:01,599 phase c is not the rally so for those of 3493 02:16:01,599 --> 02:16:03,119 you who are kind of 3494 02:16:03,119 --> 02:16:05,440 mistakenly thinking that phase c could 3495 02:16:05,440 --> 02:16:07,280 be a part of the rally 3496 02:16:07,280 --> 02:16:08,960 uh no 3497 02:16:08,960 --> 02:16:11,119 phase c is the test and the test only 3498 02:16:11,119 --> 02:16:12,880 comes in the accumulation 3499 02:16:12,880 --> 02:16:17,520 as a reaction and not as a rally okay so 3500 02:16:17,520 --> 02:16:19,840 we concluded the screen what is the 3501 02:16:19,840 --> 02:16:21,520 rally that comes after the sprint in 3502 02:16:21,520 --> 02:16:23,920 phase d 3503 02:16:26,079 --> 02:16:28,880 maybe another up thrust action 3504 02:16:28,880 --> 02:16:31,199 i'm not i'm sure sorry 3505 02:16:31,199 --> 02:16:33,439 quick help here write it down guys what 3506 02:16:33,439 --> 02:16:34,879 is this rally 3507 02:16:34,879 --> 02:16:37,599 after phase c and phase d a sign of 3508 02:16:37,599 --> 02:16:39,280 strength that's correct 3509 02:16:39,280 --> 02:16:40,879 a major sign of strength okay and then 3510 02:16:40,879 --> 02:16:44,159 the reaction after that 3511 02:16:44,638 --> 02:16:45,760 is gonna be 3512 02:16:45,760 --> 02:16:48,799 a backing up action correct as well 3513 02:16:48,799 --> 02:16:50,478 so um 3514 02:16:50,478 --> 02:16:53,280 that would conclude phase d 3515 02:16:53,280 --> 02:16:55,519 but we have a much 3516 02:16:55,519 --> 02:16:58,879 bigger formation here so look at how 3517 02:16:58,879 --> 02:16:59,760 one 3518 02:16:59,760 --> 02:17:02,318 formation is on the top of another 3519 02:17:02,318 --> 02:17:04,240 so we are seeing here 3520 02:17:04,240 --> 02:17:07,359 a cell in climax as a stopping action 3521 02:17:07,359 --> 02:17:10,160 in their original range then we see 3522 02:17:10,160 --> 02:17:13,200 abind climax as a stopping action for 3523 02:17:13,200 --> 02:17:16,439 the re-accumulation 3524 02:17:19,840 --> 02:17:21,920 and then we are seeing another formation 3525 02:17:21,920 --> 02:17:24,160 which is reaccumulation as well and it 3526 02:17:24,160 --> 02:17:28,840 starts also with divine climax 3527 02:17:29,359 --> 02:17:32,000 but on the higher 3528 02:17:32,000 --> 02:17:34,879 magnitude level that was a major sign of 3529 02:17:34,879 --> 02:17:37,120 strength that we've just discussed 3530 02:17:37,120 --> 02:17:40,240 so this whole formation here is just 3531 02:17:40,240 --> 02:17:43,200 basically a major 3532 02:17:43,200 --> 02:17:45,760 backing up action 3533 02:17:45,760 --> 02:17:48,160 that starts with the 3534 02:17:48,160 --> 02:17:50,799 buying climax with the stop in action 3535 02:17:50,799 --> 02:17:52,398 and then what would be the first 3536 02:17:52,398 --> 02:17:56,318 reaction how would we label this phillip 3537 02:17:57,120 --> 02:18:01,200 automatic reaction okay the next rally 3538 02:18:01,200 --> 02:18:03,760 secondary test secondary test concludes 3539 02:18:03,760 --> 02:18:05,760 our phase a 3540 02:18:05,760 --> 02:18:06,718 okay 3541 02:18:06,718 --> 02:18:07,679 uh 3542 02:18:07,679 --> 02:18:11,040 look at the character with which this 3543 02:18:11,040 --> 02:18:14,080 rally and this reaction moves 3544 02:18:14,080 --> 02:18:16,000 how would we label those is this the 3545 02:18:16,000 --> 02:18:17,280 best rally 3546 02:18:17,280 --> 02:18:20,718 so far in this smaller trading range 3547 02:18:20,718 --> 02:18:22,160 yeah it is 3548 02:18:22,160 --> 02:18:24,318 so when would we experience the best 3549 02:18:24,318 --> 02:18:26,799 rally in the trading range that commits 3550 02:18:26,799 --> 02:18:29,760 above the resistance sustains that 3551 02:18:29,760 --> 02:18:32,080 progress stays above and then 3552 02:18:32,080 --> 02:18:35,040 comes exactly to the support level which 3553 02:18:35,040 --> 02:18:36,398 acted before 3554 02:18:36,398 --> 02:18:39,718 as a resistance 3555 02:18:40,240 --> 02:18:42,240 uh i'm i'm sorry i'm not sure what you 3556 02:18:42,240 --> 02:18:45,040 are asking oh okay so look at how the 3557 02:18:45,040 --> 02:18:48,879 spread here on israeli right increasing 3558 02:18:48,879 --> 02:18:50,799 yeah so it's much better than what we've 3559 02:18:50,799 --> 02:18:52,799 seen before here 3560 02:18:52,799 --> 02:18:53,840 and here 3561 02:18:53,840 --> 02:18:57,200 right so this is the best rally 3562 02:18:57,200 --> 02:18:58,638 in australian range 3563 02:18:58,638 --> 02:19:00,638 we know that the best rally in the 3564 02:19:00,638 --> 02:19:02,478 trading range probably is going to be 3565 02:19:02,478 --> 02:19:04,240 associated with the change of character 3566 02:19:04,240 --> 02:19:06,718 especially on the way out and the change 3567 02:19:06,718 --> 02:19:09,280 of character on the way out is going to 3568 02:19:09,280 --> 02:19:10,398 happen 3569 02:19:10,398 --> 02:19:13,200 in which phase d and phase d and phase d 3570 02:19:13,200 --> 02:19:14,638 is going to be associated with which 3571 02:19:14,638 --> 02:19:17,359 wackoff points 3572 02:19:17,359 --> 02:19:20,799 a sign of strength backing up action yes 3573 02:19:20,799 --> 02:19:23,679 those are the main players last point 3574 02:19:23,679 --> 02:19:26,558 last point of support and also sign of 3575 02:19:26,558 --> 02:19:27,840 strength bar 3576 02:19:27,840 --> 02:19:29,519 okay well we are not concerned about 3577 02:19:29,519 --> 02:19:30,879 this too 3578 02:19:30,879 --> 02:19:32,959 but we definitely want to identify 3579 02:19:32,959 --> 02:19:34,959 silent strength rally and the backing of 3580 02:19:34,959 --> 02:19:37,519 action so does it look like a sign of 3581 02:19:37,519 --> 02:19:39,679 strength rally 3582 02:19:39,679 --> 02:19:40,799 yes 3583 02:19:40,799 --> 02:19:43,439 absolutely yeah the character with which 3584 02:19:43,439 --> 02:19:46,398 the sign of strength rally occurs is 3585 02:19:46,398 --> 02:19:47,439 going to be 3586 02:19:47,439 --> 02:19:49,840 such where the spread to the upside is 3587 02:19:49,840 --> 02:19:51,359 increasing the volume signature is 3588 02:19:51,359 --> 02:19:53,840 increasing and by the definition of the 3589 02:19:53,840 --> 02:19:56,960 sign of strength we need a commitment 3590 02:19:56,960 --> 02:19:59,520 uh staying above and then backing up 3591 02:19:59,520 --> 02:20:02,240 exactly to the level of the support so 3592 02:20:02,240 --> 02:20:04,479 that's exactly what's happening 3593 02:20:04,479 --> 02:20:07,040 right there 3594 02:20:07,359 --> 02:20:10,479 so um this looks like a sign of strength 3595 02:20:10,479 --> 02:20:12,640 and a backing up action if this is a 3596 02:20:12,640 --> 02:20:14,160 sign of strength in backing up action 3597 02:20:14,160 --> 02:20:17,280 then the previous low is what 3598 02:20:17,280 --> 02:20:18,319 is the 3599 02:20:18,319 --> 02:20:20,160 test in c 3600 02:20:20,160 --> 02:20:21,439 excellent 3601 02:20:21,439 --> 02:20:22,240 c 3602 02:20:22,240 --> 02:20:27,280 then everything in between a and c is b 3603 02:20:27,280 --> 02:20:29,439 and then sign of strength rally and the 3604 02:20:29,439 --> 02:20:33,439 backing up action is our phase d 3605 02:20:34,000 --> 02:20:35,520 okay 3606 02:20:35,520 --> 02:20:38,000 and here it is here is our labeling for 3607 02:20:38,000 --> 02:20:39,920 all three trading ranges with the 3608 02:20:39,920 --> 02:20:41,760 changes of character 3609 02:20:41,760 --> 02:20:44,640 uh with 3610 02:20:44,640 --> 02:20:46,399 with all of this you know points that 3611 02:20:46,399 --> 02:20:47,680 we've discussed 3612 02:20:47,680 --> 02:20:49,840 um phillip okay so 3613 02:20:49,840 --> 02:20:50,880 uh 3614 02:20:50,880 --> 02:20:52,720 the main task right now for you 3615 02:20:52,720 --> 02:20:54,880 individually personally 3616 02:20:54,880 --> 02:20:58,080 is to remember the sequence of all of 3617 02:20:58,080 --> 02:20:59,920 the wyckof events that happen in the 3618 02:20:59,920 --> 02:21:01,280 trading page 3619 02:21:01,280 --> 02:21:03,600 so i want this is kind of like a very 3620 02:21:03,600 --> 02:21:06,640 individualized task for you right now so 3621 02:21:06,640 --> 02:21:08,800 i'll start with that and then go to the 3622 02:21:08,800 --> 02:21:11,439 homework next homework all right okay 3623 02:21:11,439 --> 02:21:14,800 thank you sounds great 3624 02:21:15,120 --> 02:21:18,240 all right good progress um so let me see 3625 02:21:18,240 --> 02:21:20,479 what kind of questions we have on this 3626 02:21:20,479 --> 02:21:22,960 slide 3627 02:21:25,280 --> 02:21:27,520 is there any difference between momentum 3628 02:21:27,520 --> 02:21:30,880 and velocity from limb um yeah there is 3629 02:21:30,880 --> 02:21:32,880 definitely a big difference between 3630 02:21:32,880 --> 02:21:35,600 momentum and velocity uh this is not 3631 02:21:35,600 --> 02:21:39,359 something that i want to go in right now 3632 02:21:39,359 --> 02:21:41,040 um 3633 02:21:41,040 --> 02:21:44,319 this is more of the advanced studies and 3634 02:21:44,319 --> 02:21:46,160 i would probably prefer to talk about 3635 02:21:46,160 --> 02:21:48,000 this in practicum 3636 02:21:48,000 --> 02:21:51,520 um but you know at the minion limb you 3637 02:21:51,520 --> 02:21:53,680 could just even 3638 02:21:53,680 --> 02:21:55,600 google definitions on the momentum and 3639 02:21:55,600 --> 02:21:57,600 velocity and doesn't matter that you 3640 02:21:57,600 --> 02:21:59,040 know you're going to get them from like 3641 02:21:59,040 --> 02:22:00,240 physics 3642 02:22:00,240 --> 02:22:02,800 but there is a difference there 3643 02:22:02,800 --> 02:22:05,600 um but we'll talk about this 3644 02:22:05,600 --> 02:22:08,399 in a slightly different context uh later 3645 02:22:08,399 --> 02:22:12,240 on uh it's just a big discussion there 3646 02:22:12,240 --> 02:22:14,640 okay 3647 02:22:14,640 --> 02:22:16,640 how can you tell the difference 3648 02:22:16,640 --> 02:22:18,880 of the first recumulation and the second 3649 02:22:18,880 --> 02:22:21,200 and what would be that different joel 3650 02:22:21,200 --> 02:22:22,479 you know what do you mean by the 3651 02:22:22,479 --> 02:22:24,000 difference 3652 02:22:24,000 --> 02:22:25,600 when you might be looking for a backing 3653 02:22:25,600 --> 02:22:27,280 up action okay 3654 02:22:27,280 --> 02:22:29,200 um 3655 02:22:29,200 --> 02:22:30,240 so 3656 02:22:30,240 --> 02:22:32,319 the i think that the biggest problem 3657 02:22:32,319 --> 02:22:33,359 here 3658 02:22:33,359 --> 02:22:36,800 with the backing up action is actually 3659 02:22:36,800 --> 02:22:38,560 a somewhat of a 3660 02:22:38,560 --> 02:22:40,240 not very distinct 3661 02:22:40,240 --> 02:22:42,160 sign of strength 3662 02:22:42,160 --> 02:22:44,399 because when we look at this area right 3663 02:22:44,399 --> 02:22:46,800 here and especially taking this tail we 3664 02:22:46,800 --> 02:22:48,319 might say that there is not really a 3665 02:22:48,319 --> 02:22:50,720 commitment to the upside here but 3666 02:22:50,720 --> 02:22:52,960 remember this already acts as a minus 3667 02:22:52,960 --> 02:22:55,439 sign of strength so if the price is 3668 02:22:55,439 --> 02:22:57,520 going to come to the same level 3669 02:22:57,520 --> 02:22:59,359 that's at the mean already a minus sign 3670 02:22:59,359 --> 02:23:00,399 of strength 3671 02:23:00,399 --> 02:23:03,359 but we have a much better commitment if 3672 02:23:03,359 --> 02:23:06,080 the highest commitment was here 3673 02:23:06,080 --> 02:23:07,680 then the highest commitment for the 3674 02:23:07,680 --> 02:23:10,560 second rally is higher you know it's it 3675 02:23:10,560 --> 02:23:12,560 just definitely shows 3676 02:23:12,560 --> 02:23:14,399 that there is a much 3677 02:23:14,399 --> 02:23:16,399 not much better commitment but a better 3678 02:23:16,399 --> 02:23:18,479 commitment to the upside 3679 02:23:18,479 --> 02:23:20,399 now the next problem 3680 02:23:20,399 --> 02:23:22,160 that we have here is the backing up 3681 02:23:22,160 --> 02:23:23,520 action itself 3682 02:23:23,520 --> 02:23:26,479 the backing up action actually looks 3683 02:23:26,479 --> 02:23:29,840 very normal there is no increased 3684 02:23:29,840 --> 02:23:32,479 spread to the downside that we see here 3685 02:23:32,479 --> 02:23:35,359 which is great that tells us that supply 3686 02:23:35,359 --> 02:23:36,960 is going lower 3687 02:23:36,960 --> 02:23:39,760 um it actually comes to the level of the 3688 02:23:39,760 --> 02:23:42,240 buying climax and then stops there and 3689 02:23:42,240 --> 02:23:44,319 acts as a spring comes back into the 3690 02:23:44,319 --> 02:23:47,280 trading range so everything looks normal 3691 02:23:47,280 --> 02:23:49,200 and i would be actually initiating my 3692 02:23:49,200 --> 02:23:52,160 position right on this bar right here 3693 02:23:52,160 --> 02:23:54,319 this would be my last point 3694 02:23:54,319 --> 02:23:55,359 my 3695 02:23:55,359 --> 02:23:57,120 next to last point of 3696 02:23:57,120 --> 02:23:59,600 entry here just based on this the first 3697 02:23:59,600 --> 02:24:02,640 one is going to be sprint itself 3698 02:24:02,640 --> 02:24:04,880 to reversal off the spring 3699 02:24:04,880 --> 02:24:08,000 uh sign of strength bar 3700 02:24:08,000 --> 02:24:09,920 and then you have to stop because of the 3701 02:24:09,920 --> 02:24:11,040 resistance 3702 02:24:11,040 --> 02:24:13,120 level and then the next one is going to 3703 02:24:13,120 --> 02:24:16,160 be so this is one two three 3704 02:24:16,160 --> 02:24:18,160 point number four right of the backing 3705 02:24:18,160 --> 02:24:20,399 up action so i would be already fully 3706 02:24:20,399 --> 02:24:23,040 committed into this position 3707 02:24:23,040 --> 02:24:25,439 based on you know how the price has 3708 02:24:25,439 --> 02:24:27,439 developed at this point of time and it 3709 02:24:27,439 --> 02:24:29,439 still would be profitable right so we're 3710 02:24:29,439 --> 02:24:31,840 profitable right away we are profitable 3711 02:24:31,840 --> 02:24:34,880 throughout this whole um formation now 3712 02:24:34,880 --> 02:24:36,960 what happens here is 3713 02:24:36,960 --> 02:24:38,160 um 3714 02:24:38,160 --> 02:24:40,720 here we are losing the momentum and that 3715 02:24:40,720 --> 02:24:42,479 suggests some kind of reaction the 3716 02:24:42,479 --> 02:24:44,800 reaction is actually somewhat healthy it 3717 02:24:44,800 --> 02:24:46,399 doesn't 3718 02:24:46,399 --> 02:24:48,880 prolong for a long time it doesn't have 3719 02:24:48,880 --> 02:24:50,800 a big distance to the downside the 3720 02:24:50,800 --> 02:24:53,600 spread does not increase significantly 3721 02:24:53,600 --> 02:24:56,160 but it's still somewhat different than 3722 02:24:56,160 --> 02:24:57,200 let's say 3723 02:24:57,200 --> 02:24:59,120 you know this action right here it has 3724 02:24:59,120 --> 02:25:01,520 some gaps to the downside actually two 3725 02:25:01,520 --> 02:25:03,760 of them um it has some kind of 3726 02:25:03,760 --> 02:25:06,720 volatility associated with this so that 3727 02:25:06,720 --> 02:25:09,040 requires another test so at this point 3728 02:25:09,040 --> 02:25:10,880 of time you know that there's going to 3729 02:25:10,880 --> 02:25:13,359 be a test of this area and you might 3730 02:25:13,359 --> 02:25:15,120 even just say if there's going to be a 3731 02:25:15,120 --> 02:25:16,720 test then 3732 02:25:16,720 --> 02:25:18,960 if i decide to enter somewhere here it's 3733 02:25:18,960 --> 02:25:20,720 going to be inefficient why it's going 3734 02:25:20,720 --> 02:25:23,359 to be an efficient well 3735 02:25:23,359 --> 02:25:24,479 just because 3736 02:25:24,479 --> 02:25:27,280 if the test requires time 3737 02:25:27,280 --> 02:25:29,280 then 3738 02:25:29,280 --> 02:25:31,760 it's going to take some time 3739 02:25:31,760 --> 02:25:34,240 so therefore we are waiting for the test 3740 02:25:34,240 --> 02:25:36,560 of the test and it comes on the next 3741 02:25:36,560 --> 02:25:38,640 reaction we see how different this 3742 02:25:38,640 --> 02:25:40,800 reaction from the previous one that's 3743 02:25:40,800 --> 02:25:42,240 going to be our 3744 02:25:42,240 --> 02:25:44,720 point of entry number five 3745 02:25:44,720 --> 02:25:46,800 and then from here 3746 02:25:46,800 --> 02:25:49,200 i mean i've talked to phillip and we 3747 02:25:49,200 --> 02:25:51,040 identified that the character of this 3748 02:25:51,040 --> 02:25:53,680 rally is different than anything before 3749 02:25:53,680 --> 02:25:55,760 in this range so therefore a sign of 3750 02:25:55,760 --> 02:25:57,920 strength and then the backing up action 3751 02:25:57,920 --> 02:26:00,560 is kind of shallow so again you could 3752 02:26:00,560 --> 02:26:02,880 add to the position here you could also 3753 02:26:02,880 --> 02:26:05,760 add on this bar so that's number five 3754 02:26:05,760 --> 02:26:09,120 that's number six number four 3755 02:26:09,120 --> 02:26:10,319 three 3756 02:26:10,319 --> 02:26:12,000 two one 3757 02:26:12,000 --> 02:26:14,479 and then after that you're gonna be 3758 02:26:14,479 --> 02:26:17,439 thinking that either this or this 3759 02:26:17,439 --> 02:26:19,040 is gonna be your 3760 02:26:19,040 --> 02:26:22,000 uh seven and eight so there are quite a 3761 02:26:22,000 --> 02:26:24,080 few points of entry and by the way for 3762 02:26:24,080 --> 02:26:26,000 those of you who are campaign investors 3763 02:26:26,000 --> 02:26:28,479 and we by the way we have quite a lot so 3764 02:26:28,479 --> 02:26:30,479 in this class so i will be pointing 3765 02:26:30,479 --> 02:26:33,520 those things out a lot you know um you 3766 02:26:33,520 --> 02:26:36,479 know campaign points of entry uh look at 3767 02:26:36,479 --> 02:26:38,960 this in the original accumulation you 3768 02:26:38,960 --> 02:26:40,880 want to enter on the 3769 02:26:40,880 --> 02:26:43,439 um because this is a higher low you know 3770 02:26:43,439 --> 02:26:45,920 this is your 3771 02:26:45,920 --> 02:26:48,720 these are your points of entry here 3772 02:26:48,720 --> 02:26:51,520 and then this one so this is going to be 3773 02:26:51,520 --> 02:26:53,120 uh 3774 02:26:53,120 --> 02:26:56,319 minus 4 minus 3 3775 02:26:56,319 --> 02:26:58,880 minus 2 minus 1. 3776 02:26:58,880 --> 02:27:00,880 so those are the points of entry that 3777 02:27:00,880 --> 02:27:02,319 you're going to have in each of the 3778 02:27:02,319 --> 02:27:06,160 trading ranges and please note 3779 02:27:06,160 --> 02:27:08,000 for the long-term investor 3780 02:27:08,000 --> 02:27:10,240 we are companion 3781 02:27:10,240 --> 02:27:13,280 from one trading range to another 3782 02:27:13,280 --> 02:27:15,439 our goal is to 3783 02:27:15,439 --> 02:27:16,800 um 3784 02:27:16,800 --> 02:27:18,880 establish the position at the correct 3785 02:27:18,880 --> 02:27:21,359 timing with the correct bias so here is 3786 02:27:21,359 --> 02:27:23,439 our regional positions that we are 3787 02:27:23,439 --> 02:27:25,760 opening and then open them at the higher 3788 02:27:25,760 --> 02:27:27,760 prices price level 3789 02:27:27,760 --> 02:27:32,000 at the point where phase c is happening 3790 02:27:32,000 --> 02:27:34,880 and nothing else 3791 02:27:35,600 --> 02:27:36,880 and then 3792 02:27:36,880 --> 02:27:38,560 in the next formation we're doing the 3793 02:27:38,560 --> 02:27:41,359 same phase c and then all of the other 3794 02:27:41,359 --> 02:27:43,680 entries in phase d 3795 02:27:43,680 --> 02:27:46,960 so every time you scale in and you 3796 02:27:46,960 --> 02:27:49,120 increase your position size 3797 02:27:49,120 --> 02:27:51,280 you are doing this at the higher level 3798 02:27:51,280 --> 02:27:53,600 and you're doing this in such way that 3799 02:27:53,600 --> 02:27:56,479 defines the timing of when the price 3800 02:27:56,479 --> 02:27:58,640 leaves the trillion range 3801 02:27:58,640 --> 02:28:00,479 i mean obviously maybe with an exception 3802 02:28:00,479 --> 02:28:01,600 of this 3803 02:28:01,600 --> 02:28:04,319 point of entry 3804 02:28:04,319 --> 02:28:06,560 the goal for the long-term investor and 3805 02:28:06,560 --> 02:28:08,640 the way how i view my long-term 3806 02:28:08,640 --> 02:28:10,160 campaigns 3807 02:28:10,160 --> 02:28:12,800 is to be in the correct stock that is 3808 02:28:12,800 --> 02:28:13,920 going to 3809 02:28:13,920 --> 02:28:16,080 uh have a very 3810 02:28:16,080 --> 02:28:18,960 prolonged cyclical move to the upside 3811 02:28:18,960 --> 02:28:21,680 where i could hold on to this position 3812 02:28:21,680 --> 02:28:24,160 beyond one gear that's number one that's 3813 02:28:24,160 --> 02:28:26,800 number one goal the my second goal is to 3814 02:28:26,800 --> 02:28:29,280 stay in this position until it's done 3815 02:28:29,280 --> 02:28:30,720 until this 3816 02:28:30,720 --> 02:28:33,359 cyclical run is done so we have to have 3817 02:28:33,359 --> 02:28:35,680 a significant change of character to 3818 02:28:35,680 --> 02:28:38,080 define the ending of the campaign there 3819 02:28:38,080 --> 02:28:39,600 are certain characteristics to the 3820 02:28:39,600 --> 02:28:41,359 ending of the campaign that you know we 3821 02:28:41,359 --> 02:28:43,040 would be 3822 02:28:43,040 --> 02:28:45,280 we would be thinking about 3823 02:28:45,280 --> 02:28:46,240 um 3824 02:28:46,240 --> 02:28:48,880 and also 3825 02:28:48,880 --> 02:28:51,600 when i'm in the correct position 3826 02:28:51,600 --> 02:28:53,280 for the law as a long-term campaign 3827 02:28:53,280 --> 02:28:54,720 position 3828 02:28:54,720 --> 02:28:56,960 i want to be aggressive 3829 02:28:56,960 --> 02:28:59,439 with my next points of entries because 3830 02:28:59,439 --> 02:29:01,200 the trend is defined 3831 02:29:01,200 --> 02:29:03,200 and now i just know that it's all up to 3832 02:29:03,200 --> 02:29:05,760 me to define the correct timing 3833 02:29:05,760 --> 02:29:07,760 uh on the next step in stone 3834 02:29:07,760 --> 02:29:09,680 pre-accumulation range 3835 02:29:09,680 --> 02:29:12,720 and to define the correct entry 3836 02:29:12,720 --> 02:29:15,520 and to scale in more to create a 3837 02:29:15,520 --> 02:29:18,240 substantial position so when it comes to 3838 02:29:18,240 --> 02:29:20,319 the conclusion on the climactic run 3839 02:29:20,319 --> 02:29:21,760 which is going to be the terminal 3840 02:29:21,760 --> 02:29:23,359 climactic run 3841 02:29:23,359 --> 02:29:26,240 i have a lot of money there built in as 3842 02:29:26,240 --> 02:29:28,479 an unrealized game and i'm going to take 3843 02:29:28,479 --> 02:29:31,040 the profits at that point of time or 3844 02:29:31,040 --> 02:29:32,479 scale out 3845 02:29:32,479 --> 02:29:33,600 so 3846 02:29:33,600 --> 02:29:35,200 when you're right 3847 02:29:35,200 --> 02:29:36,880 be a peak 3848 02:29:36,880 --> 02:29:38,800 don't be scared 3849 02:29:38,800 --> 02:29:41,520 and i'm you know i'm saying be a pig 3850 02:29:41,520 --> 02:29:43,680 obviously i'm referring to 3851 02:29:43,680 --> 02:29:46,560 uh george soros and specifically his 3852 02:29:46,560 --> 02:29:50,720 trade in 1991 92 when he shorted british 3853 02:29:50,720 --> 02:29:51,920 pound 3854 02:29:51,920 --> 02:29:54,240 so i was reading about this trade and 3855 02:29:54,240 --> 02:29:56,080 you can get his book and he talks about 3856 02:29:56,080 --> 02:29:58,000 this trade 3857 02:29:58,000 --> 02:30:00,160 he exposed 3858 02:30:00,160 --> 02:30:03,120 uh his fund to four percent of risk on 3859 02:30:03,120 --> 02:30:05,040 this trade 3860 02:30:05,040 --> 02:30:06,720 so and you know working with 3861 02:30:06,720 --> 02:30:09,920 institutions all clients you know i must 3862 02:30:09,920 --> 02:30:12,000 say that four percent 3863 02:30:12,000 --> 02:30:14,560 you know for them could be a substantial 3864 02:30:14,560 --> 02:30:15,439 risk 3865 02:30:15,439 --> 02:30:17,120 but george soros 3866 02:30:17,120 --> 02:30:19,840 is not a very necessarily kind of like 3867 02:30:19,840 --> 02:30:22,640 your typical institutional type 3868 02:30:22,640 --> 02:30:24,399 here's what i call 3869 02:30:24,399 --> 02:30:26,319 a and this is very close to me because i 3870 02:30:26,319 --> 02:30:27,920 trade the same way 3871 02:30:27,920 --> 02:30:30,240 more of the concentrated 3872 02:30:30,240 --> 02:30:33,280 portfolio investor whenever he sees 3873 02:30:33,280 --> 02:30:35,680 opportunity and it works in his favor he 3874 02:30:35,680 --> 02:30:38,160 could add to the position and go beyond 3875 02:30:38,160 --> 02:30:41,280 your regular uh risk parameters and 3876 02:30:41,280 --> 02:30:43,680 that's what i'm suggesting here 3877 02:30:43,680 --> 02:30:46,479 uh you know if you're at the advanced 3878 02:30:46,479 --> 02:30:48,720 level and you feel comfortable 3879 02:30:48,720 --> 02:30:50,800 with all of these concepts and with 3880 02:30:50,800 --> 02:30:52,720 trading in general you could be 3881 02:30:52,720 --> 02:30:55,439 aggressive with at specific spots with 3882 02:30:55,439 --> 02:30:57,120 the specific stocks 3883 02:30:57,120 --> 02:30:58,960 with the specific patterns 3884 02:30:58,960 --> 02:31:01,200 this is a pattern right here that could 3885 02:31:01,200 --> 02:31:03,680 have that type of aggression for us 3886 02:31:03,680 --> 02:31:05,120 that we could call 3887 02:31:05,120 --> 02:31:07,280 all right great we'll talk more about 3888 02:31:07,280 --> 02:31:09,200 this later 3889 02:31:09,200 --> 02:31:11,200 as you guys could see there are quite a 3890 02:31:11,200 --> 02:31:12,640 few 3891 02:31:12,640 --> 02:31:17,439 you know uh things that are still ahead 3892 02:31:22,000 --> 02:31:25,600 okay are several reaccumulation close to 3893 02:31:25,600 --> 02:31:28,960 each other sign of very strong bullish 3894 02:31:28,960 --> 02:31:30,720 move yet to come all of these 3895 02:31:30,720 --> 02:31:32,720 re-accumulations i'm always tax uh 3896 02:31:32,720 --> 02:31:35,920 stacked on top of each other with bias 3897 02:31:35,920 --> 02:31:39,040 um towards upside from um 3898 02:31:39,040 --> 02:31:41,680 knowledge a nilish okay so i might be 3899 02:31:41,680 --> 02:31:44,000 misinterpreting the name again 3900 02:31:44,000 --> 02:31:46,960 um mispronouncing 3901 02:31:46,960 --> 02:31:49,840 there is a logic in what is being said 3902 02:31:49,840 --> 02:31:50,720 here 3903 02:31:50,720 --> 02:31:51,520 but 3904 02:31:51,520 --> 02:31:54,000 it's slightly different as to how i 3905 02:31:54,000 --> 02:31:57,160 would explain this our first 3906 02:31:57,160 --> 02:31:59,439 accumulation range 3907 02:31:59,439 --> 02:32:02,240 is not necessarily a part of deformation 3908 02:32:02,240 --> 02:32:05,359 that comes later on but it has a very 3909 02:32:05,359 --> 02:32:07,280 logical 3910 02:32:07,280 --> 02:32:09,760 you know continuation kind of 3911 02:32:09,760 --> 02:32:12,880 of why we have so many trading ranges 3912 02:32:12,880 --> 02:32:15,040 after the original accumulation so think 3913 02:32:15,040 --> 02:32:17,280 about the original accumulation 3914 02:32:17,280 --> 02:32:19,359 what is happening here 3915 02:32:19,359 --> 02:32:22,160 why is this accumulation why is this 3916 02:32:22,160 --> 02:32:24,399 range has this type of structure 3917 02:32:24,399 --> 02:32:26,319 where we are seeing higher highs and 3918 02:32:26,319 --> 02:32:27,840 higher lows 3919 02:32:27,840 --> 02:32:30,319 what do you guys think 3920 02:32:30,319 --> 02:32:32,319 what does this represent 3921 02:32:32,319 --> 02:32:34,080 and what kind of behavior by 3922 02:32:34,080 --> 02:32:35,760 institutions 3923 02:32:35,760 --> 02:32:37,359 could be 3924 02:32:37,359 --> 02:32:40,479 observed through this type of structure 3925 02:32:40,479 --> 02:32:42,240 okay now that's just saying 3926 02:32:42,240 --> 02:32:44,160 urgency to buy 3927 02:32:44,160 --> 02:32:46,960 lots of value co establishing a position 3928 02:32:46,960 --> 02:32:50,720 from joe yes all three are correct and i 3929 02:32:50,720 --> 02:32:53,280 would concentrate on the first two 3930 02:32:53,280 --> 02:32:56,399 because it's an extreme 3931 02:32:56,399 --> 02:32:58,960 oversold condition 3932 02:32:58,960 --> 02:33:01,760 that creates extreme 3933 02:33:01,760 --> 02:33:04,640 value proposition for institutions and 3934 02:33:04,640 --> 02:33:07,520 this extreme value proposition both long 3935 02:33:07,520 --> 02:33:09,920 term and short term 3936 02:33:09,920 --> 02:33:11,920 that's created that's what creates that 3937 02:33:11,920 --> 02:33:14,560 urgent buy 3938 02:33:14,560 --> 02:33:16,720 which we've seen a lot by the way lately 3939 02:33:16,720 --> 02:33:18,479 with the way how the market has been 3940 02:33:18,479 --> 02:33:21,359 behaving and in some of the cases you 3941 02:33:21,359 --> 02:33:23,840 know you see a lot of oversold you know 3942 02:33:23,840 --> 02:33:25,200 conditions 3943 02:33:25,200 --> 02:33:27,760 and from that oversold condition i mean 3944 02:33:27,760 --> 02:33:31,520 like you you take a stock like apple 3945 02:33:31,520 --> 02:33:34,399 uh or um you know other leadership type 3946 02:33:34,399 --> 02:33:36,960 of stocks and then they decline so much 3947 02:33:36,960 --> 02:33:39,840 in such a short period of time but they 3948 02:33:39,840 --> 02:33:41,280 still within the 3949 02:33:41,280 --> 02:33:44,000 secular structure of their campaign 3950 02:33:44,000 --> 02:33:45,600 so how do you think institutions are 3951 02:33:45,600 --> 02:33:47,680 going to look at this think about their 3952 02:33:47,680 --> 02:33:51,200 fundamental macro perspective if a macro 3953 02:33:51,200 --> 02:33:54,560 money manager thinks that um the markets 3954 02:33:54,560 --> 02:33:55,840 are still 3955 02:33:55,840 --> 02:33:57,280 they are short 3956 02:33:57,280 --> 02:34:00,800 vulnerable and weak but they present 3957 02:34:00,800 --> 02:34:03,200 opportunity within the secular 3958 02:34:03,200 --> 02:34:06,080 uptrend structure then he he or she is 3959 02:34:06,080 --> 02:34:08,319 going to come in and just buy whatever 3960 02:34:08,319 --> 02:34:10,319 this election is available to them based 3961 02:34:10,319 --> 02:34:13,760 on the parameters of their system 3962 02:34:13,760 --> 02:34:15,760 and that's going to be their call the 3963 02:34:15,760 --> 02:34:18,160 fundamental money managers are going to 3964 02:34:18,160 --> 02:34:19,680 do the same they're going to see some 3965 02:34:19,680 --> 02:34:22,160 value in the stock like apple 3966 02:34:22,160 --> 02:34:22,960 um 3967 02:34:22,960 --> 02:34:25,520 you know and they could say that i'm 3968 02:34:25,520 --> 02:34:27,520 just based on the fundamentals i see the 3969 02:34:27,520 --> 02:34:30,479 value so i'm going to come in and buy so 3970 02:34:30,479 --> 02:34:32,800 this extreme oversold extreme value 3971 02:34:32,800 --> 02:34:36,319 proposition here creates urgency to buy 3972 02:34:36,319 --> 02:34:38,640 you know at the lows and throughout all 3973 02:34:38,640 --> 02:34:41,680 of the rallies and that's why you know 3974 02:34:41,680 --> 02:34:44,240 this urgent uh buying creates this type 3975 02:34:44,240 --> 02:34:46,000 of structure 3976 02:34:46,000 --> 02:34:48,160 so then think about what happens next 3977 02:34:48,160 --> 02:34:50,160 let's say that the co 3978 02:34:50,160 --> 02:34:51,120 bought 3979 02:34:51,120 --> 02:34:53,280 the position that they needed 3980 02:34:53,280 --> 02:34:55,120 at this point of time 3981 02:34:55,120 --> 02:34:58,399 because supply drastically went down 3982 02:34:58,399 --> 02:35:00,800 the price goes up at this point 3983 02:35:00,800 --> 02:35:03,200 and i would even argue that this moved 3984 02:35:03,200 --> 02:35:05,200 to the upside and you could go and find 3985 02:35:05,200 --> 02:35:07,120 this chart but this is my assumption 3986 02:35:07,120 --> 02:35:09,840 here just looking at how the price moves 3987 02:35:09,840 --> 02:35:12,319 and looking at that co has established 3988 02:35:12,319 --> 02:35:13,520 this position 3989 02:35:13,520 --> 02:35:16,720 co is inactive 3990 02:35:17,200 --> 02:35:18,560 on this rally 3991 02:35:18,560 --> 02:35:20,720 and i doubt that you know uh 3992 02:35:20,720 --> 02:35:22,880 institutional trend follower following 3993 02:35:22,880 --> 02:35:25,520 hands you know also are extremely active 3994 02:35:25,520 --> 02:35:26,960 they might be active more at the 3995 02:35:26,960 --> 02:35:28,640 beginning of the rally but then 3996 02:35:28,640 --> 02:35:32,080 everything else is kind of diminishes uh 3997 02:35:32,080 --> 02:35:34,720 as we see momentum going down the spread 3998 02:35:34,720 --> 02:35:36,000 decreasing 3999 02:35:36,000 --> 02:35:38,800 more laborious move to the upside so 4000 02:35:38,800 --> 02:35:41,280 we're probably seeing that demand is 4001 02:35:41,280 --> 02:35:43,600 going down and then the volume signature 4002 02:35:43,600 --> 02:35:45,840 in general is going to be lower than in 4003 02:35:45,840 --> 02:35:47,760 this area right here 4004 02:35:47,760 --> 02:35:50,560 so as they are in the position and they 4005 02:35:50,560 --> 02:35:52,800 have some profit what do they do well 4006 02:35:52,800 --> 02:35:54,720 they might come in on some points of the 4007 02:35:54,720 --> 02:35:57,040 volatility and you know add to the 4008 02:35:57,040 --> 02:35:59,439 position but it's not necessarily going 4009 02:35:59,439 --> 02:36:02,160 to be a very extreme 4010 02:36:02,160 --> 02:36:03,680 you know big position that they're going 4011 02:36:03,680 --> 02:36:06,160 to establish i would see even more that 4012 02:36:06,160 --> 02:36:08,000 maybe on the rally like this we're going 4013 02:36:08,000 --> 02:36:10,399 to see a lot of increase of the demand 4014 02:36:10,399 --> 02:36:12,240 signature and that's going to be some 4015 02:36:12,240 --> 02:36:14,000 kind of value 4016 02:36:14,000 --> 02:36:14,880 or 4017 02:36:14,880 --> 02:36:18,479 trend following type of institution 4018 02:36:18,479 --> 02:36:20,160 that's going to create this type of the 4019 02:36:20,160 --> 02:36:22,080 position and they're just going to say 4020 02:36:22,080 --> 02:36:23,680 wow 4021 02:36:23,680 --> 02:36:27,359 this has confirmed the trend 4022 02:36:28,720 --> 02:36:31,680 so i'm and then there is some short-term 4023 02:36:31,680 --> 02:36:32,640 value 4024 02:36:32,640 --> 02:36:34,560 that i see here so i'm going to come in 4025 02:36:34,560 --> 02:36:36,800 and buy but the way how they're buying 4026 02:36:36,800 --> 02:36:38,800 they're not buying just one day 4027 02:36:38,800 --> 02:36:40,720 they could be buying multiple days 4028 02:36:40,720 --> 02:36:42,800 multiple weeks so that's what creates 4029 02:36:42,800 --> 02:36:44,000 this rally 4030 02:36:44,000 --> 02:36:46,240 so this is just a buying wave in the 4031 02:36:46,240 --> 02:36:48,240 middle of the trading range by some of 4032 02:36:48,240 --> 02:36:50,319 the institutions because again 4033 02:36:50,319 --> 02:36:52,880 short-term value and long-term value 4034 02:36:52,880 --> 02:36:55,280 still and long-term buys 4035 02:36:55,280 --> 02:36:56,560 and then 4036 02:36:56,560 --> 02:36:57,920 imagine that 4037 02:36:57,920 --> 02:37:00,560 co got in right here 4038 02:37:00,560 --> 02:37:03,280 and then value a proposition for some of 4039 02:37:03,280 --> 02:37:05,439 the institutions at these two spots 4040 02:37:05,439 --> 02:37:07,359 maybe somewhere here 4041 02:37:07,359 --> 02:37:09,840 then the rest of this move is just gonna 4042 02:37:09,840 --> 02:37:12,319 have this signature where 4043 02:37:12,319 --> 02:37:13,280 we're gonna 4044 02:37:13,280 --> 02:37:15,359 still see some 4045 02:37:15,359 --> 02:37:16,560 um 4046 02:37:16,560 --> 02:37:18,560 consistent signature 4047 02:37:18,560 --> 02:37:21,439 of the decline right so something like 4048 02:37:21,439 --> 02:37:23,439 this and then 4049 02:37:23,439 --> 02:37:26,160 decline decline 4050 02:37:26,160 --> 02:37:28,720 decline so you're going to have some 4051 02:37:28,720 --> 02:37:30,399 pockets of 4052 02:37:30,399 --> 02:37:32,880 volume increase throughout this whole 4053 02:37:32,880 --> 02:37:34,960 slide here but 4054 02:37:34,960 --> 02:37:36,319 generally 4055 02:37:36,319 --> 02:37:38,080 your highest volume signature is going 4056 02:37:38,080 --> 02:37:40,319 to be here 4057 02:37:40,319 --> 02:37:42,240 this is the area where 4058 02:37:42,240 --> 02:37:44,560 um out of the oversold condition there 4059 02:37:44,560 --> 02:37:46,560 was so much bind by institutions and 4060 02:37:46,560 --> 02:37:48,800 then it's just going to go down 4061 02:37:48,800 --> 02:37:51,200 and it's going to go down like this 4062 02:37:51,200 --> 02:37:53,359 and then just different pockets where 4063 02:37:53,359 --> 02:37:55,200 locally volume signature is going to 4064 02:37:55,200 --> 02:37:58,240 increase so co bot here 4065 02:37:58,240 --> 02:38:01,840 and then co is inactive 4066 02:38:02,240 --> 02:38:05,520 and that's unfortunately not exactly how 4067 02:38:05,520 --> 02:38:07,920 we were taught we were taught that co is 4068 02:38:07,920 --> 02:38:10,240 operating in each of the trading ranges 4069 02:38:10,240 --> 02:38:12,399 and this is not true 4070 02:38:12,399 --> 02:38:14,399 once they establish the position you 4071 02:38:14,399 --> 02:38:16,319 know and they just go to other stocks 4072 02:38:16,319 --> 02:38:18,319 and it's there with positions there they 4073 02:38:18,319 --> 02:38:20,399 might add on the way up but not 4074 02:38:20,399 --> 02:38:22,479 necessarily it's going to be more a 4075 02:38:22,479 --> 02:38:24,880 function of other institutions seeing 4076 02:38:24,880 --> 02:38:26,800 you know establishment of the trend some 4077 02:38:26,800 --> 02:38:28,399 short-term value 4078 02:38:28,399 --> 02:38:30,560 and then definitely you know just going 4079 02:38:30,560 --> 02:38:32,640 through this whole thing 4080 02:38:32,640 --> 02:38:33,840 all right 4081 02:38:33,840 --> 02:38:38,359 sounds good um what else 4082 02:38:43,439 --> 02:38:45,200 why are you calling the event last point 4083 02:38:45,200 --> 02:38:47,840 of support in phase c instead of this 4084 02:38:47,840 --> 02:38:51,040 spring right here um so this is a high 4085 02:38:51,040 --> 02:38:53,920 low so definitely going to be a 4086 02:38:53,920 --> 02:38:55,600 last point of support 4087 02:38:55,600 --> 02:38:58,399 you could call this an attempt to spring 4088 02:38:58,399 --> 02:39:01,200 but look at this bar right here so uh 4089 02:39:01,200 --> 02:39:03,280 comes down comes below the support so 4090 02:39:03,280 --> 02:39:05,680 it's still a high low so that's why 4091 02:39:05,680 --> 02:39:08,319 we could also be calling a sprint 4092 02:39:08,319 --> 02:39:10,800 something that would go below 4093 02:39:10,800 --> 02:39:12,880 more of the local support so maybe 4094 02:39:12,880 --> 02:39:14,640 something like this then we could say 4095 02:39:14,640 --> 02:39:16,720 that this is a spring relative to this 4096 02:39:16,720 --> 02:39:19,520 law and still a higher low or less point 4097 02:39:19,520 --> 02:39:23,280 of support relative to this law 4098 02:39:23,280 --> 02:39:26,800 okay good question 4099 02:39:27,359 --> 02:39:29,520 all right so let's see where we are so 4100 02:39:29,520 --> 02:39:32,319 we have like what 20 minutes or so 4101 02:39:32,319 --> 02:39:33,600 all right so let's talk about 4102 02:39:33,600 --> 02:39:36,800 identification of phase c 4103 02:39:36,800 --> 02:39:40,000 um how do we identify facey we kind of 4104 02:39:40,000 --> 02:39:41,680 went through this 4105 02:39:41,680 --> 02:39:44,399 and and this is just the shortcuts that 4106 02:39:44,399 --> 02:39:46,640 again i've created for 4107 02:39:46,640 --> 02:39:48,880 for myself and for my students 4108 02:39:48,880 --> 02:39:50,880 this is not necessarily in the 4109 02:39:50,880 --> 02:39:53,040 methodology and that's why you know 4110 02:39:53,040 --> 02:39:55,600 students started calling these romanisms 4111 02:39:55,600 --> 02:39:58,080 so i'm okay with this and kind of like 4112 02:39:58,080 --> 02:40:00,080 when i say that this is the romanism so 4113 02:40:00,080 --> 02:40:02,399 you instantly should be thinking 4114 02:40:02,399 --> 02:40:04,960 um you know not in the method something 4115 02:40:04,960 --> 02:40:07,520 that you know kind of like 4116 02:40:07,520 --> 02:40:10,640 more proprietary to this course and but 4117 02:40:10,640 --> 02:40:12,160 still it's going to be based on the 4118 02:40:12,160 --> 02:40:15,840 ideas of like of ideas so i've talked 4119 02:40:15,840 --> 02:40:17,520 about three tests 4120 02:40:17,520 --> 02:40:19,920 at the support level right so the first 4121 02:40:19,920 --> 02:40:22,399 test is going to be a local test of the 4122 02:40:22,399 --> 02:40:26,080 climactic action second test in phase b 4123 02:40:26,080 --> 02:40:28,240 of the loss of the selling climax and 4124 02:40:28,240 --> 02:40:30,319 the secondary test so in phase b we're 4125 02:40:30,319 --> 02:40:33,760 basically testing the previous tests 4126 02:40:33,760 --> 02:40:36,399 in phase c at the support level this is 4127 02:40:36,399 --> 02:40:38,800 the last test the final 4128 02:40:38,800 --> 02:40:40,960 test of the supply 4129 02:40:40,960 --> 02:40:43,520 at that support level and then our test 4130 02:40:43,520 --> 02:40:46,000 number four is going to be a backing up 4131 02:40:46,000 --> 02:40:47,680 action 4132 02:40:47,680 --> 02:40:50,240 and it kind of is logical to me 4133 02:40:50,240 --> 02:40:51,120 that 4134 02:40:51,120 --> 02:40:53,439 the initial tests are going to be at the 4135 02:40:53,439 --> 02:40:55,840 support level and then the last test is 4136 02:40:55,840 --> 02:40:58,720 going to be at the next value zone 4137 02:40:58,720 --> 02:40:59,520 so 4138 02:40:59,520 --> 02:41:03,200 they've observed the supply at the lows 4139 02:41:03,200 --> 02:41:06,479 that pushes the price up into the 4140 02:41:06,479 --> 02:41:09,279 new highs in this case not necessarily 4141 02:41:09,279 --> 02:41:11,600 new highs but new highs relative to the 4142 02:41:11,600 --> 02:41:14,640 highs in phases a and b so kind of like 4143 02:41:14,640 --> 02:41:17,920 in the same zone as it comes back to 4144 02:41:17,920 --> 02:41:20,720 this area we are going to experience 4145 02:41:20,720 --> 02:41:23,359 some kind of mean reversion trade by 4146 02:41:23,359 --> 02:41:25,600 professionals 4147 02:41:25,600 --> 02:41:27,279 that's going to bring us to the 4148 02:41:27,279 --> 02:41:29,600 increased supply signature 4149 02:41:29,600 --> 02:41:32,160 change of character of the backing up 4150 02:41:32,160 --> 02:41:33,120 action 4151 02:41:33,120 --> 02:41:34,560 and therefore we're going to have some 4152 02:41:34,560 --> 02:41:37,040 kind of tests there 4153 02:41:37,040 --> 02:41:38,800 so a test 4154 02:41:38,800 --> 02:41:40,319 is the test 4155 02:41:40,319 --> 02:41:43,040 number four at this level that we would 4156 02:41:43,040 --> 02:41:44,720 say that it's going to be a backup 4157 02:41:44,720 --> 02:41:46,399 action in phase d 4158 02:41:46,399 --> 02:41:48,800 and it's being confirmed it confirms the 4159 02:41:48,800 --> 02:41:51,279 change of character the conclusion of 4160 02:41:51,279 --> 02:41:53,439 the formation of the change of character 4161 02:41:53,439 --> 02:41:55,520 and then once the resumption of this 4162 02:41:55,520 --> 02:41:57,040 test happens 4163 02:41:57,040 --> 02:41:59,359 then we're going to continue with the 4164 02:41:59,359 --> 02:42:00,479 uptrend 4165 02:42:00,479 --> 02:42:03,520 another identification of phase c 4166 02:42:03,520 --> 02:42:05,840 that is very valuable to us is the 4167 02:42:05,840 --> 02:42:07,600 second point of fear 4168 02:42:07,600 --> 02:42:08,800 so 4169 02:42:08,800 --> 02:42:10,640 points of fear are all going to be 4170 02:42:10,640 --> 02:42:12,479 discussed within the context of the 4171 02:42:12,479 --> 02:42:14,880 sentiment now our first 4172 02:42:14,880 --> 02:42:17,840 sentiment uh bearish sentiment that we 4173 02:42:17,840 --> 02:42:19,680 could find is going to end therefore the 4174 02:42:19,680 --> 02:42:21,200 first point of fear is going to be in 4175 02:42:21,200 --> 02:42:23,600 phase a it's going to be associated with 4176 02:42:23,600 --> 02:42:26,640 the cell and climax why is this point of 4177 02:42:26,640 --> 02:42:28,800 fear develops this way well i think i've 4178 02:42:28,800 --> 02:42:31,359 mentioned this many times 4179 02:42:31,359 --> 02:42:33,680 you know we are experiencing a 4180 02:42:33,680 --> 02:42:36,680 capitulation 4181 02:42:37,680 --> 02:42:38,840 by weak 4182 02:42:38,840 --> 02:42:42,720 hands and in this instance 4183 02:42:42,720 --> 02:42:46,479 it's more of a terminal capitulation 4184 02:42:46,479 --> 02:42:48,160 and therefore 4185 02:42:48,160 --> 02:42:51,040 i sometimes call it a general 4186 02:42:51,040 --> 02:42:53,200 capitulation that would have both 4187 02:42:53,200 --> 02:42:56,080 institutions and public behind this 4188 02:42:56,080 --> 02:42:57,439 capitulation 4189 02:42:57,439 --> 02:42:59,439 and what is the capitulation it's just 4190 02:42:59,439 --> 02:43:02,240 basically panic 4191 02:43:02,240 --> 02:43:04,560 people at this point of time 4192 02:43:04,560 --> 02:43:07,040 are experiencing a lot of emotional pain 4193 02:43:07,040 --> 02:43:09,120 because of the losses 4194 02:43:09,120 --> 02:43:11,439 and they can't withstand this pain 4195 02:43:11,439 --> 02:43:13,279 anymore and they're giving up on their 4196 02:43:13,279 --> 02:43:15,840 positions and they're saying get me out 4197 02:43:15,840 --> 02:43:17,520 at any point of 4198 02:43:17,520 --> 02:43:22,080 price time but just get me out i cannot 4199 02:43:22,080 --> 02:43:24,960 bear this anymore so therefore this type 4200 02:43:24,960 --> 02:43:26,960 of activity is going to be associated 4201 02:43:26,960 --> 02:43:29,439 with a lot of selling 4202 02:43:29,439 --> 02:43:31,680 and a lot of selling is going to produce 4203 02:43:31,680 --> 02:43:34,080 technical characteristics as 4204 02:43:34,080 --> 02:43:36,560 increasing the momentum increasing the 4205 02:43:36,560 --> 02:43:38,080 velocity 4206 02:43:38,080 --> 02:43:40,399 increasing the down spread 4207 02:43:40,399 --> 02:43:43,840 increasing the distance to the downside 4208 02:43:43,840 --> 02:43:46,479 that we see increasing the volume 4209 02:43:46,479 --> 02:43:48,960 signature and specifically increasing 4210 02:43:48,960 --> 02:43:53,200 the supply signature by weekends 4211 02:43:53,359 --> 02:43:54,960 and increase 4212 02:43:54,960 --> 02:43:57,120 of the demand signature 4213 02:43:57,120 --> 02:44:00,080 by strong hands 4214 02:44:00,399 --> 02:44:03,680 so first point of fear 4215 02:44:03,680 --> 02:44:06,000 the second point of fear is not 4216 02:44:06,000 --> 02:44:09,040 necessarily going to be in phase b 4217 02:44:09,040 --> 02:44:09,920 it 4218 02:44:09,920 --> 02:44:11,920 could be in phase c 4219 02:44:11,920 --> 02:44:14,000 why is that well think about the 4220 02:44:14,000 --> 02:44:16,240 sentiment of weak hands they just sold 4221 02:44:16,240 --> 02:44:18,720 here and then the price went up what do 4222 02:44:18,720 --> 02:44:21,439 you think they feel at this point 4223 02:44:21,439 --> 02:44:24,080 this is definitely a regret that they 4224 02:44:24,080 --> 02:44:24,880 have 4225 02:44:24,880 --> 02:44:28,160 so what are they gonna do 4226 02:44:29,200 --> 02:44:31,279 they're gonna buy 4227 02:44:31,279 --> 02:44:33,040 if they're regretful 4228 02:44:33,040 --> 02:44:34,720 that they didn't buy and they didn't 4229 02:44:34,720 --> 02:44:37,120 hold on to this and the price went up 4230 02:44:37,120 --> 02:44:38,160 like this 4231 02:44:38,160 --> 02:44:40,080 they're gonna buy here and they're gonna 4232 02:44:40,080 --> 02:44:42,000 buy here and they're gonna buy somewhere 4233 02:44:42,000 --> 02:44:43,520 here 4234 02:44:43,520 --> 02:44:46,000 now as the price goes down in phase b 4235 02:44:46,000 --> 02:44:48,080 into another test 4236 02:44:48,080 --> 02:44:51,760 what do you think they're gonna do now 4237 02:44:52,880 --> 02:44:55,359 they probably gonna say well i gave up 4238 02:44:55,359 --> 02:44:57,920 my position on the selling climax and 4239 02:44:57,920 --> 02:45:00,479 that was a mistake 4240 02:45:00,479 --> 02:45:04,240 so this time i'm gonna hold on 4241 02:45:04,240 --> 02:45:05,840 to this position 4242 02:45:05,840 --> 02:45:07,920 have you guys done this 4243 02:45:07,920 --> 02:45:11,279 well i definitely have done this before 4244 02:45:11,279 --> 02:45:12,319 so 4245 02:45:12,319 --> 02:45:14,319 i'm just happy i'm i'm not doing this 4246 02:45:14,319 --> 02:45:16,800 anymore but that was the sentiment you 4247 02:45:16,800 --> 02:45:18,240 know that's how 4248 02:45:18,240 --> 02:45:21,120 you know we trade when we are amateurs 4249 02:45:21,120 --> 02:45:23,040 we trade on 4250 02:45:23,040 --> 02:45:26,960 our behaviors on our emotions 4251 02:45:26,960 --> 02:45:29,680 we cannot control those yet 4252 02:45:29,680 --> 02:45:31,680 so they are holding on to this position 4253 02:45:31,680 --> 02:45:34,479 and when the price goes down they're 4254 02:45:34,479 --> 02:45:37,279 still saying it will go up 4255 02:45:37,279 --> 02:45:40,160 and as it goes up what do they feel 4256 02:45:40,160 --> 02:45:42,800 they feel happiness right so they feel 4257 02:45:42,800 --> 02:45:45,359 happy because the price goes by and 4258 02:45:45,359 --> 02:45:47,439 they're saying that was a good uh 4259 02:45:47,439 --> 02:45:50,160 decision to buy here hold on to the 4260 02:45:50,160 --> 02:45:52,880 stock and now the price is back almost 4261 02:45:52,880 --> 02:45:56,000 into the same area 4262 02:45:56,000 --> 02:45:58,080 they feel happy so they're holding on to 4263 02:45:58,080 --> 02:45:59,520 the position and they might be even 4264 02:45:59,520 --> 02:46:01,279 adding to the position 4265 02:46:01,279 --> 02:46:03,920 uh maybe somewhere at this spot right 4266 02:46:03,920 --> 02:46:06,080 here 4267 02:46:06,080 --> 02:46:07,920 so imagine what happens next when the 4268 02:46:07,920 --> 02:46:11,439 price gets down and has some kind of 4269 02:46:11,439 --> 02:46:15,279 you know or goes down just a little bit 4270 02:46:15,279 --> 02:46:16,399 what do you think they're gonna 4271 02:46:16,399 --> 02:46:19,279 experience that 4272 02:46:19,279 --> 02:46:20,880 i mean they've been 4273 02:46:20,880 --> 02:46:22,000 through this 4274 02:46:22,000 --> 02:46:25,279 ups and downs emotional ups and downs 4275 02:46:25,279 --> 02:46:28,399 up to the uh phase c point 4276 02:46:28,399 --> 02:46:31,439 and they are so exhausted 4277 02:46:31,439 --> 02:46:34,880 they are extremely exhausted emotionally 4278 02:46:34,880 --> 02:46:36,399 and they're just saying at this point 4279 02:46:36,399 --> 02:46:38,640 when the price goes down into phase c 4280 02:46:38,640 --> 02:46:39,439 low 4281 02:46:39,439 --> 02:46:43,200 they're saying like get me out 4282 02:46:44,080 --> 02:46:48,560 and this time they make a promise 4283 02:46:48,960 --> 02:46:50,880 what is that promise by the way guys 4284 02:46:50,880 --> 02:46:52,640 could you think of one 4285 02:46:52,640 --> 02:46:56,160 well that's promise is to never 4286 02:46:56,160 --> 02:46:59,359 trade this stock again 4287 02:47:02,880 --> 02:47:04,720 or at least for the time being 4288 02:47:04,720 --> 02:47:06,640 it's an emotional withdrawal from 4289 02:47:06,640 --> 02:47:07,840 emotional 4290 02:47:07,840 --> 02:47:11,200 pain that is based on just inexperience 4291 02:47:11,200 --> 02:47:13,359 no knowledge no skill 4292 02:47:13,359 --> 02:47:16,479 um and unfortunately you know that's how 4293 02:47:16,479 --> 02:47:19,359 we can say you know 4294 02:47:19,359 --> 02:47:20,720 you know that's their pattern that's 4295 02:47:20,720 --> 02:47:22,160 their cycle 4296 02:47:22,160 --> 02:47:24,240 they will go to the next talk and they 4297 02:47:24,240 --> 02:47:26,160 will experience the same things over and 4298 02:47:26,160 --> 02:47:28,160 over it could be a different contextual 4299 02:47:28,160 --> 02:47:30,000 interpretation of the sentiment of how 4300 02:47:30,000 --> 02:47:32,560 it happens but basically 4301 02:47:32,560 --> 02:47:35,120 on the very primal level of how we 4302 02:47:35,120 --> 02:47:37,520 experience emotions it's going to be the 4303 02:47:37,520 --> 02:47:39,840 same so that's why 4304 02:47:39,840 --> 02:47:43,600 this is going to be the second time 4305 02:47:43,600 --> 02:47:44,960 where they're going to 4306 02:47:44,960 --> 02:47:49,160 weak hands are going to capitulate 4307 02:47:49,600 --> 02:47:51,600 now this is going to be a less of 4308 02:47:51,600 --> 02:47:54,560 capitulation 4309 02:47:55,200 --> 02:47:56,640 just because 4310 02:47:56,640 --> 02:48:00,319 and it's going to be more public 4311 02:48:00,840 --> 02:48:03,520 capitulation then institutional why 4312 02:48:03,520 --> 02:48:06,240 because institutional 4313 02:48:06,240 --> 02:48:08,880 weak hands they are much better learners 4314 02:48:08,880 --> 02:48:10,080 they are much 4315 02:48:10,080 --> 02:48:12,640 more adaptive because if they don't 4316 02:48:12,640 --> 02:48:14,080 adopt quicker they're going to lose 4317 02:48:14,080 --> 02:48:15,359 their job they're going to lose their 4318 02:48:15,359 --> 02:48:16,880 salaries 4319 02:48:16,880 --> 02:48:19,200 money management is based on the 4320 02:48:19,200 --> 02:48:21,359 performance matrix 4321 02:48:21,359 --> 02:48:23,680 so if you don't perform you don't get 4322 02:48:23,680 --> 02:48:25,359 the money you don't get the salary you 4323 02:48:25,359 --> 02:48:26,800 don't have a job 4324 02:48:26,800 --> 02:48:29,120 so it's much stricter there than with 4325 02:48:29,120 --> 02:48:32,479 the public so therefore the institutions 4326 02:48:32,479 --> 02:48:34,319 hopefully learn much faster at least of 4327 02:48:34,319 --> 02:48:36,240 what i see you know working with them 4328 02:48:36,240 --> 02:48:38,240 and working with the with the public 4329 02:48:38,240 --> 02:48:40,560 retail uh traders so therefore the 4330 02:48:40,560 --> 02:48:42,319 second point of fear is going to be more 4331 02:48:42,319 --> 02:48:44,240 associated with public than with 4332 02:48:44,240 --> 02:48:46,560 institutions and if that's the case 4333 02:48:46,560 --> 02:48:49,120 usually the volume signature on this is 4334 02:48:49,120 --> 02:48:52,960 going to increase locally 4335 02:48:54,160 --> 02:48:57,120 off phase b 4336 02:48:57,120 --> 02:49:01,279 but it's going to decrease 4337 02:49:05,120 --> 02:49:07,680 relative 4338 02:49:08,640 --> 02:49:12,000 to phase a law relative to selling 4339 02:49:12,000 --> 02:49:15,279 climax where we have both institutions 4340 02:49:15,279 --> 02:49:19,520 and public capitulating at the same time 4341 02:49:19,600 --> 02:49:21,920 that's a very small nuance but it's a 4342 02:49:21,920 --> 02:49:23,840 very very big point 4343 02:49:23,840 --> 02:49:26,160 because if you could see this logic 4344 02:49:26,160 --> 02:49:28,160 through the chart 4345 02:49:28,160 --> 02:49:30,479 and you could understand that with the 4346 02:49:30,479 --> 02:49:32,560 public capitulation here going into 4347 02:49:32,560 --> 02:49:33,760 phase c 4348 02:49:33,760 --> 02:49:35,680 and we're seeing that on the technical 4349 02:49:35,680 --> 02:49:37,279 picture the price goes down but then 4350 02:49:37,279 --> 02:49:39,279 quickly comes back 4351 02:49:39,279 --> 02:49:40,960 you might be thinking this is the last 4352 02:49:40,960 --> 02:49:43,600 time when public capitulates 4353 02:49:43,600 --> 02:49:45,680 and where institutions the last time at 4354 02:49:45,680 --> 02:49:47,920 the support level are actually buying a 4355 02:49:47,920 --> 02:49:50,000 meaningful position 4356 02:49:50,000 --> 02:49:51,520 and they add them to the position that 4357 02:49:51,520 --> 02:49:53,840 they already have 4358 02:49:53,840 --> 02:49:55,439 therefore 4359 02:49:55,439 --> 02:49:58,399 this last 4360 02:49:58,560 --> 02:50:00,560 public supply 4361 02:50:00,560 --> 02:50:01,840 is observed 4362 02:50:01,840 --> 02:50:04,080 at this level and therefore what's going 4363 02:50:04,080 --> 02:50:06,560 to happen after that there is only one 4364 02:50:06,560 --> 02:50:10,000 thing the price will go up as supply 4365 02:50:10,000 --> 02:50:13,760 has been observed at the support level 4366 02:50:13,760 --> 02:50:15,680 those last pieces 4367 02:50:15,680 --> 02:50:20,080 on lost public capitulation into phase c 4368 02:50:20,080 --> 02:50:21,600 that absorption 4369 02:50:21,600 --> 02:50:23,760 leads to the rise 4370 02:50:23,760 --> 02:50:25,840 to the sign of strength 4371 02:50:25,840 --> 02:50:27,600 and then this is where i mean reversion 4372 02:50:27,600 --> 02:50:30,240 traits happen 4373 02:50:30,240 --> 02:50:31,359 so 4374 02:50:31,359 --> 02:50:33,359 it's kind of funny you know at some 4375 02:50:33,359 --> 02:50:35,279 point when you understand you know the 4376 02:50:35,279 --> 02:50:37,439 mechanics of it as to 4377 02:50:37,439 --> 02:50:40,160 what happens next with weekends they 4378 02:50:40,160 --> 02:50:43,120 said never never never will i get into 4379 02:50:43,120 --> 02:50:45,760 this position again into the stock and 4380 02:50:45,760 --> 02:50:47,520 they are missing this whole rally right 4381 02:50:47,520 --> 02:50:50,080 here and once it overcomes and it 4382 02:50:50,080 --> 02:50:53,359 becomes a cnbc item 4383 02:50:53,359 --> 02:50:55,200 and everybody's screaming it's in the 4384 02:50:55,200 --> 02:50:56,880 uptrend 4385 02:50:56,880 --> 02:50:59,200 they're saying i gotta go in 4386 02:50:59,200 --> 02:51:00,720 so they're establishing the position 4387 02:51:00,720 --> 02:51:02,880 right here again and they're saying i 4388 02:51:02,880 --> 02:51:04,560 said that i'm not going to go in into 4389 02:51:04,560 --> 02:51:07,439 this position but this is the time now 4390 02:51:07,439 --> 02:51:09,840 and then the first time the price goes 4391 02:51:09,840 --> 02:51:12,399 down into the backing up action 4392 02:51:12,399 --> 02:51:15,600 they are so already conditioned 4393 02:51:15,600 --> 02:51:16,640 uh 4394 02:51:16,640 --> 02:51:18,960 on all of these reactions and all of 4395 02:51:18,960 --> 02:51:20,080 this 4396 02:51:20,080 --> 02:51:22,000 you know attempts to go up and failure 4397 02:51:22,000 --> 02:51:24,160 attempts to go up on failure 4398 02:51:24,160 --> 02:51:26,960 attempt to go up and then the beginning 4399 02:51:26,960 --> 02:51:29,040 of the failure in their rise what do you 4400 02:51:29,040 --> 02:51:30,560 think they're going to do here 4401 02:51:30,560 --> 02:51:32,880 they're going to sell their positions 4402 02:51:32,880 --> 02:51:34,800 again with the loss 4403 02:51:34,800 --> 02:51:36,720 and they're going to say well now for 4404 02:51:36,720 --> 02:51:37,840 sure 4405 02:51:37,840 --> 02:51:39,359 i'm not going to go in into this 4406 02:51:39,359 --> 02:51:41,439 position i should write just you know a 4407 02:51:41,439 --> 02:51:43,680 book for kids about this you know just 4408 02:51:43,680 --> 02:51:46,000 explain to them and such simplistic 4409 02:51:46,000 --> 02:51:48,240 terms you know how their psychology 4410 02:51:48,240 --> 02:51:50,000 uh you know unfolds 4411 02:51:50,000 --> 02:51:52,640 so they're like uh i'm selling with the 4412 02:51:52,640 --> 02:51:53,600 laws 4413 02:51:53,600 --> 02:51:55,279 and now i'm not gonna go in into this 4414 02:51:55,279 --> 02:51:56,479 position 4415 02:51:56,479 --> 02:51:59,359 and they're missing the whole trip 4416 02:51:59,359 --> 02:52:01,279 so now imagine if this is a distribution 4417 02:52:01,279 --> 02:52:03,439 somewhere here really quickly and then 4418 02:52:03,439 --> 02:52:06,160 we'll stop maybe here 4419 02:52:06,160 --> 02:52:08,240 if this is a distribution 4420 02:52:08,240 --> 02:52:09,040 they 4421 02:52:09,040 --> 02:52:10,960 you know on the way up they're like what 4422 02:52:10,960 --> 02:52:15,479 did i do why did i close this position 4423 02:52:17,200 --> 02:52:19,439 and then as they go into the next 4424 02:52:19,439 --> 02:52:22,240 consolidation which is the distribution 4425 02:52:22,240 --> 02:52:25,359 and they see in a change of character 4426 02:52:25,359 --> 02:52:26,960 so they're seeing what they see in 4427 02:52:26,960 --> 02:52:29,120 reaction 4428 02:52:29,120 --> 02:52:31,279 which creates value 4429 02:52:31,279 --> 02:52:33,600 for them short-term value and i'm 4430 02:52:33,600 --> 02:52:36,000 talking about weak hands 4431 02:52:36,000 --> 02:52:37,760 that this case not just public but 4432 02:52:37,760 --> 02:52:39,760 institutions as well 4433 02:52:39,760 --> 02:52:41,920 so and they are saying like i gotta go 4434 02:52:41,920 --> 02:52:43,520 in and buy 4435 02:52:43,520 --> 02:52:46,000 so they are buying here on the secondary 4436 02:52:46,000 --> 02:52:48,640 test they feel great on the next 4437 02:52:48,640 --> 02:52:50,720 reaction to the downside they are saying 4438 02:52:50,720 --> 02:52:53,439 i made this stupid mistake here at the 4439 02:52:53,439 --> 02:52:55,600 original accumulation to get out of the 4440 02:52:55,600 --> 02:52:58,080 position and every time it was going up 4441 02:52:58,080 --> 02:53:00,479 after i get out so i'm gonna hold on to 4442 02:53:00,479 --> 02:53:01,439 this 4443 02:53:01,439 --> 02:53:02,720 okay well 4444 02:53:02,720 --> 02:53:04,399 holding on 4445 02:53:04,399 --> 02:53:06,640 and what happens in the distribution 4446 02:53:06,640 --> 02:53:08,560 obviously not what happened with apple 4447 02:53:08,560 --> 02:53:10,720 at this time but i'm just giving you an 4448 02:53:10,720 --> 02:53:12,240 example here 4449 02:53:12,240 --> 02:53:13,920 all right so they accumulate they 4450 02:53:13,920 --> 02:53:16,319 accumulate the price goes up into the up 4451 02:53:16,319 --> 02:53:17,359 thrust 4452 02:53:17,359 --> 02:53:19,359 this becomes a second point of 4453 02:53:19,359 --> 02:53:21,920 excitement for them 4454 02:53:21,920 --> 02:53:23,920 the first one was on the buying climax 4455 02:53:23,920 --> 02:53:25,680 this is where they will be you know 4456 02:53:25,680 --> 02:53:28,240 buyers as well 4457 02:53:28,240 --> 02:53:30,080 and they are saying like this time i'm 4458 02:53:30,080 --> 02:53:32,160 just going to hold on to this as the 4459 02:53:32,160 --> 02:53:34,800 price goes down into this excitement 4460 02:53:34,800 --> 02:53:37,439 with them adding to the position 4461 02:53:37,439 --> 02:53:39,680 institutions are going to sell 4462 02:53:39,680 --> 02:53:41,520 sell 4463 02:53:41,520 --> 02:53:44,080 sell on the change of character sell in 4464 02:53:44,080 --> 02:53:45,359 phase b 4465 02:53:45,359 --> 02:53:48,000 sell on the way down and then capitulate 4466 02:53:48,000 --> 02:53:49,840 on the way down and throughout this 4467 02:53:49,840 --> 02:53:52,640 whole formation weak hands are going to 4468 02:53:52,640 --> 02:53:55,200 hold on and they're going to capitulate 4469 02:53:55,200 --> 02:53:58,800 relative to the emotional 4470 02:53:58,800 --> 02:54:00,720 pain that they have that they can 4471 02:54:00,720 --> 02:54:01,920 withstand 4472 02:54:01,920 --> 02:54:03,840 and to the knowledge and skill that they 4473 02:54:03,840 --> 02:54:04,800 have 4474 02:54:04,800 --> 02:54:06,640 so some of them are going to capitulate 4475 02:54:06,640 --> 02:54:08,720 somewhere here and usually this area is 4476 02:54:08,720 --> 02:54:10,479 going to be associated with the largest 4477 02:54:10,479 --> 02:54:12,640 volume signature and some of them are 4478 02:54:12,640 --> 02:54:14,880 going to capitulate maybe somewhere here 4479 02:54:14,880 --> 02:54:17,920 so depending on you know the system for 4480 02:54:17,920 --> 02:54:19,520 institutions and depending on the 4481 02:54:19,520 --> 02:54:21,120 emotional pain 4482 02:54:21,120 --> 02:54:23,600 for the public 4483 02:54:23,600 --> 02:54:25,600 doug is saying been there 4484 02:54:25,600 --> 02:54:26,800 done that 4485 02:54:26,800 --> 02:54:28,640 great description 4486 02:54:28,640 --> 02:54:31,600 yes we all have done that 4487 02:54:31,600 --> 02:54:34,319 we all have experienced that pain this 4488 02:54:34,319 --> 02:54:36,560 is the reason why you are in this class 4489 02:54:36,560 --> 02:54:38,399 or you know going through your emails 4490 02:54:38,399 --> 02:54:40,960 reading those you know in reading 4491 02:54:40,960 --> 02:54:43,040 who you are as traders right now and who 4492 02:54:43,040 --> 02:54:44,560 you've been as traders and your 4493 02:54:44,560 --> 02:54:45,920 inspirations 4494 02:54:45,920 --> 02:54:48,319 you know the majority of students in 4495 02:54:48,319 --> 02:54:50,479 this class 4496 02:54:50,479 --> 02:54:53,680 are here for the right reason 4497 02:54:53,680 --> 02:54:56,960 you guys are trying to figure out 4498 02:54:56,960 --> 02:54:59,680 how to make money in the market 4499 02:54:59,680 --> 02:55:02,240 by having the knowledge developing the 4500 02:55:02,240 --> 02:55:04,880 skill developing the system and being 4501 02:55:04,880 --> 02:55:08,560 able to control your own behaviors in a 4502 02:55:08,560 --> 02:55:10,960 different way than how you've done 4503 02:55:10,960 --> 02:55:13,600 before or what you're doing right now 4504 02:55:13,600 --> 02:55:16,080 and i'm just showing you how you could 4505 02:55:16,080 --> 02:55:19,279 interpret the chart in such way 4506 02:55:19,279 --> 02:55:21,279 that would be systematic 4507 02:55:21,279 --> 02:55:22,720 logical 4508 02:55:22,720 --> 02:55:25,600 and that would elevate your emotional 4509 02:55:25,600 --> 02:55:27,760 pain because you will know 4510 02:55:27,760 --> 02:55:29,920 at which point you need to act you will 4511 02:55:29,920 --> 02:55:31,680 know at which points you need to get in 4512 02:55:31,680 --> 02:55:35,279 to get out to add to scale out 4513 02:55:35,279 --> 02:55:37,520 it's just going to take some time 4514 02:55:37,520 --> 02:55:39,279 but it's going to be 4515 02:55:39,279 --> 02:55:40,479 valuable 4516 02:55:40,479 --> 02:55:42,240 and that's kind of like the message to 4517 02:55:42,240 --> 02:55:44,399 all of your emails that i've seen today 4518 02:55:44,399 --> 02:55:46,000 from you guys 4519 02:55:46,000 --> 02:55:48,240 all right i think this is a good point 4520 02:55:48,240 --> 02:55:50,560 for us to stop 4521 02:55:50,560 --> 02:55:53,040 right so it's almost six 4522 02:55:53,040 --> 02:55:55,120 and uh 4523 02:55:55,120 --> 02:55:56,840 let's go through the 4524 02:55:56,840 --> 02:55:59,359 homework i'm still gonna give you the 4525 02:55:59,359 --> 02:56:03,359 homework so let me just do this 4526 02:56:03,359 --> 02:56:06,720 okay you should not be able to see 4527 02:56:06,720 --> 02:56:09,279 anything 4528 02:56:10,840 --> 02:56:12,560 and uh 4529 02:56:12,560 --> 02:56:13,600 okay 4530 02:56:13,600 --> 02:56:15,200 now you should be able to see the 4531 02:56:15,200 --> 02:56:18,000 homework slide 4532 02:56:18,080 --> 02:56:21,279 okay so what do we do next uh well first 4533 02:56:21,279 --> 02:56:24,880 of all i would like you to continue with 4534 02:56:24,880 --> 02:56:25,760 um 4535 02:56:25,760 --> 02:56:28,080 you know if you have a lot of time and 4536 02:56:28,080 --> 02:56:29,120 there are 4537 02:56:29,120 --> 02:56:32,399 some of you who told me i'm here to gain 4538 02:56:32,399 --> 02:56:34,800 as much knowledge from you as possible 4539 02:56:34,800 --> 02:56:36,800 i'm gonna do anything 4540 02:56:36,800 --> 02:56:38,800 you know to gain that skill 4541 02:56:38,800 --> 02:56:42,240 um i'm passionate about this i have time 4542 02:56:42,240 --> 02:56:44,880 for this so for those of you who are 4543 02:56:44,880 --> 02:56:48,800 like that so your task is 4544 02:56:48,800 --> 02:56:50,960 so i'm going to put this as an optional 4545 02:56:50,960 --> 02:56:53,960 task 4546 02:56:57,920 --> 02:57:02,960 your task is to watch this session again 4547 02:57:04,479 --> 02:57:08,720 your second task make notes 4548 02:57:08,720 --> 02:57:11,439 send those to me 4549 02:57:13,680 --> 02:57:16,640 your third task 4550 02:57:17,760 --> 02:57:19,279 is going to be 4551 02:57:19,279 --> 02:57:20,560 go through 4552 02:57:20,560 --> 02:57:21,840 um 4553 02:57:21,840 --> 02:57:24,640 homework again 4554 02:57:24,960 --> 02:57:27,200 the one that we've covered 4555 02:57:27,200 --> 02:57:30,960 and kind of go through your chart 4556 02:57:31,279 --> 02:57:34,640 and then my labeling 4557 02:57:34,640 --> 02:57:38,000 and compare and ask yourself one 4558 02:57:38,000 --> 02:57:39,439 question 4559 02:57:39,439 --> 02:57:41,120 why 4560 02:57:41,120 --> 02:57:44,720 why did he label it like this 4561 02:57:44,720 --> 02:57:47,200 so this type of questioning will bring 4562 02:57:47,200 --> 02:57:48,960 more questions 4563 02:57:48,960 --> 02:57:52,800 and that we could answer later on 4564 02:57:52,800 --> 02:57:56,080 but what it does is it makes you think 4565 02:57:56,080 --> 02:57:58,240 one of the things that i'm also noticing 4566 02:57:58,240 --> 02:58:00,560 and i'm not saying this about this group 4567 02:58:00,560 --> 02:58:02,800 in particular or anybody in particular 4568 02:58:02,800 --> 02:58:03,680 but 4569 02:58:03,680 --> 02:58:07,040 we as people tend to lack thinking 4570 02:58:07,040 --> 02:58:09,200 you know we kind of sometimes 4571 02:58:09,200 --> 02:58:11,200 think that we know everything 4572 02:58:11,200 --> 02:58:12,880 that's not the case i mean like i've 4573 02:58:12,880 --> 02:58:14,479 been teaching this material for quite 4574 02:58:14,479 --> 02:58:17,040 some time you know and even some people 4575 02:58:17,040 --> 02:58:19,359 that say yeah i've taken class and from 4576 02:58:19,359 --> 02:58:21,520 this and this i've read these books i've 4577 02:58:21,520 --> 02:58:22,880 read these articles i know the 4578 02:58:22,880 --> 02:58:26,000 methodology they come to this class and 4579 02:58:26,000 --> 02:58:27,279 they feel 4580 02:58:27,279 --> 02:58:28,800 how much 4581 02:58:28,800 --> 02:58:30,560 they don't know 4582 02:58:30,560 --> 02:58:33,920 and that's just because the market is 4583 02:58:33,920 --> 02:58:35,200 much more 4584 02:58:35,200 --> 02:58:37,600 than anything that we've started you 4585 02:58:37,600 --> 02:58:40,240 know in our lifetime you know it's just 4586 02:58:40,240 --> 02:58:42,319 such a complex pattern it's such a 4587 02:58:42,319 --> 02:58:45,359 complex you know algorithm and system 4588 02:58:45,359 --> 02:58:48,479 that we're playing with so um 4589 02:58:48,479 --> 02:58:51,040 you you have to always 4590 02:58:51,040 --> 02:58:51,920 be 4591 02:58:51,920 --> 02:58:54,720 you know educating yourself and the past 4592 02:58:54,720 --> 02:58:56,720 education i think you know going through 4593 02:58:56,720 --> 02:58:58,880 this course is always 4594 02:58:58,880 --> 02:59:01,040 asking the question of why 4595 02:59:01,040 --> 02:59:03,600 why is this happening 4596 02:59:03,600 --> 02:59:05,120 so that's an extremely important 4597 02:59:05,120 --> 02:59:07,120 question so this is for those of you who 4598 02:59:07,120 --> 02:59:09,279 have time 4599 02:59:09,279 --> 02:59:14,560 and who want you know uh more of the 4600 02:59:14,560 --> 02:59:16,160 more assignments 4601 02:59:16,160 --> 02:59:20,080 right but then for everyone else a very 4602 02:59:20,080 --> 02:59:21,760 regular assignment is just going to be 4603 02:59:21,760 --> 02:59:23,920 this the same assignment that we've done 4604 02:59:23,920 --> 02:59:26,800 with home depot but on the distribution 4605 02:59:26,800 --> 02:59:28,800 so i'm going to give you the slides with 4606 02:59:28,800 --> 02:59:30,479 the distributional patterns you know 4607 02:59:30,479 --> 02:59:32,560 that this is a distribution and then you 4608 02:59:32,560 --> 02:59:34,240 just have to label those 4609 02:59:34,240 --> 02:59:35,920 now i'm also going to give you some 4610 02:59:35,920 --> 02:59:38,319 slides on the distribution and like of 4611 02:59:38,319 --> 02:59:40,160 phases and the events and the changes of 4612 02:59:40,160 --> 02:59:42,399 character in the distribution pattern 4613 02:59:42,399 --> 02:59:44,640 itself so you will have to kind of like 4614 02:59:44,640 --> 02:59:46,880 go through those slides read those read 4615 02:59:46,880 --> 02:59:49,520 characteristics and so on so forth 4616 02:59:49,520 --> 02:59:51,600 but that's the only homework that i want 4617 02:59:51,600 --> 02:59:54,319 you to do watching the recording again 4618 02:59:54,319 --> 02:59:57,040 is optional i totally understand when 4619 02:59:57,040 --> 02:59:59,200 somebody emails me and says 4620 02:59:59,200 --> 03:00:01,520 well i've got a nine to five job it's 4621 03:00:01,520 --> 03:00:04,319 very demanding and then i have a family 4622 03:00:04,319 --> 03:00:05,520 guys 4623 03:00:05,520 --> 03:00:08,800 i totally hear you and 4624 03:00:08,800 --> 03:00:10,240 to those of you who are in this 4625 03:00:10,240 --> 03:00:13,520 situation go at your own pace 4626 03:00:13,520 --> 03:00:16,080 you know you don't have to put so much 4627 03:00:16,080 --> 03:00:18,240 pressure on yourself right away 4628 03:00:18,240 --> 03:00:20,560 but just listen to the recordings that 4629 03:00:20,560 --> 03:00:22,560 could be one thing to do then if you 4630 03:00:22,560 --> 03:00:26,080 have time do the homework send it to me 4631 03:00:26,080 --> 03:00:28,399 then if you have more time 4632 03:00:28,399 --> 03:00:30,160 well then rewatch the recording but if 4633 03:00:30,160 --> 03:00:31,680 you can't rewatch the recording don't 4634 03:00:31,680 --> 03:00:33,040 worry 4635 03:00:33,040 --> 03:00:35,680 just go through the course this one time 4636 03:00:35,680 --> 03:00:37,359 you will have the recordings after the 4637 03:00:37,359 --> 03:00:38,479 the course 4638 03:00:38,479 --> 03:00:40,160 go through the course again 4639 03:00:40,160 --> 03:00:41,439 by yourself 4640 03:00:41,439 --> 03:00:43,439 or you can sign up for the course again 4641 03:00:43,439 --> 03:00:45,200 at the alumni rate 4642 03:00:45,200 --> 03:00:46,720 and then go through the live sessions 4643 03:00:46,720 --> 03:00:49,200 again with me a lot of people actually a 4644 03:00:49,200 --> 03:00:52,399 lot of alumni in this class right now 4645 03:00:52,399 --> 03:00:55,040 just because again so much material 4646 03:00:55,040 --> 03:00:57,760 three hours today and i gave you so much 4647 03:00:57,760 --> 03:00:59,840 i probably have given you over 100 4648 03:00:59,840 --> 03:01:02,640 concept concepts you know those small 4649 03:01:02,640 --> 03:01:04,479 details that you have to go through so 4650 03:01:04,479 --> 03:01:06,640 it just takes time so it's all 4651 03:01:06,640 --> 03:01:07,920 understandable so let's look at the 4652 03:01:07,920 --> 03:01:10,560 slides for this homework 4653 03:01:10,560 --> 03:01:11,920 here's one 4654 03:01:11,920 --> 03:01:14,640 callaway golf 4655 03:01:14,640 --> 03:01:16,960 netflix 4656 03:01:16,960 --> 03:01:19,359 apple 4657 03:01:19,359 --> 03:01:21,520 nasdaq 4658 03:01:21,520 --> 03:01:24,080 uh alexian pharmaceutical 4659 03:01:24,080 --> 03:01:25,279 and yahoo 4660 03:01:25,279 --> 03:01:27,520 so yahoo is going to be your 4661 03:01:27,520 --> 03:01:31,040 uh probably alexian pharmaceutical and 4662 03:01:31,040 --> 03:01:33,359 yahoo are gonna be the two hardest 4663 03:01:33,359 --> 03:01:36,000 charts everything else should be 4664 03:01:36,000 --> 03:01:38,880 quite easy if you follow the schematics 4665 03:01:38,880 --> 03:01:40,560 and then i'm gonna give you 4666 03:01:40,560 --> 03:01:42,240 this material but we will go through 4667 03:01:42,240 --> 03:01:44,080 this material hopefully next time but 4668 03:01:44,080 --> 03:01:45,760 this is something that you should be 4669 03:01:45,760 --> 03:01:48,800 studying before you do the homework so 4670 03:01:48,800 --> 03:01:51,680 um the like of events the phases 4671 03:01:51,680 --> 03:01:53,520 characteristics of those events 4672 03:01:53,520 --> 03:01:55,760 something again that i want you to go 4673 03:01:55,760 --> 03:01:58,080 through to remember 4674 03:01:58,080 --> 03:02:00,560 and different you know 4675 03:02:00,560 --> 03:02:02,720 schematics on how distribution could 4676 03:02:02,720 --> 03:02:05,359 unfold again this is something that we 4677 03:02:05,359 --> 03:02:09,680 will be covering in the next class 4678 03:02:09,760 --> 03:02:12,800 all right guys well that's it for today 4679 03:02:12,800 --> 03:02:15,120 good session i would be expecting that 4680 03:02:15,120 --> 03:02:16,880 the next session is going to be as 4681 03:02:16,880 --> 03:02:19,040 intense as this one 4682 03:02:19,040 --> 03:02:21,439 so bill please be prepared that we're 4683 03:02:21,439 --> 03:02:23,439 going to go to the third hour 4684 03:02:23,439 --> 03:02:25,840 uh to the end of the third hour and 4685 03:02:25,840 --> 03:02:27,840 we're going to finish first the homework 4686 03:02:27,840 --> 03:02:30,080 on home depot it's still very crucial 4687 03:02:30,080 --> 03:02:33,040 for us to go through that and then 4688 03:02:33,040 --> 03:02:35,040 hopefully next class but if not then the 4689 03:02:35,040 --> 03:02:36,720 class after that we're going to go 4690 03:02:36,720 --> 03:02:39,920 through the homework on the distribution 4691 03:02:39,920 --> 03:02:42,160 and after that once we conclude our 4692 03:02:42,160 --> 03:02:43,760 structural analysis that's when we're 4693 03:02:43,760 --> 03:02:46,640 gonna switch to supply and demand 4694 03:02:46,640 --> 03:02:48,640 all right i'm gonna be expecting your 4695 03:02:48,640 --> 03:02:52,080 emails with your homeworks um good job 4696 03:02:52,080 --> 03:02:54,880 everybody you know with the homework i 4697 03:02:54,880 --> 03:02:57,359 really liked it good job today with all 4698 03:02:57,359 --> 03:02:59,120 of the volunteers and 4699 03:02:59,120 --> 03:03:01,680 uh you guys have been writing a lot so i 4700 03:03:01,680 --> 03:03:03,200 see a lot of comments 4701 03:03:03,200 --> 03:03:05,359 so this is great this is exactly the way 4702 03:03:05,359 --> 03:03:07,920 how i want to conduct this class this is 4703 03:03:07,920 --> 03:03:10,399 exactly the type of interactivity that i 4704 03:03:10,399 --> 03:03:13,359 want to have with you with that 4705 03:03:13,359 --> 03:03:15,520 happy trading for this week i'll see you 4706 03:03:15,520 --> 03:03:20,520 next monday thank you guys and bye 306252

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