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Interim results of the operation
"Summer Dismemberment"....
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At the beginning of June, the liberation
operation of the Ukrainian forces started,
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which had no definite name and the plan of
which, at first, was not clear until the end.
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A rapid breakthrough? A diversionary strike
with concentration on another direction, or?...
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June itself showed that in addition to the task
of pushing the supply strip with small forces,
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an important point in the idea was the
exhaustion and exsanguination of the
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enemy. And the record June in a number of
losses was a direct confirmation of this.
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But, a month and a half has
passed and what can be summarized?
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For a month and a half of active fighting, the
Russian occupants lost almost 29,000 fighters. At
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the same time, the June figure of 20,500 is the
fourth for the entire period of full-scale war.
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The figures were higher only
for January-February and March,
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when manic storms of Bakhmut were
carried out by crowds of convicts.
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298 tanks were destroyed . Not the highest figure,
which is explained by the fact that tanks are now
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mostly on the second line of defense, and in
the supply line there are not so many of them
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to set records of burning. On the other hand,
the result as for the average is quite decent.
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In a month and a half Russia lost
541 Armored fighting vehicles.
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Some may say that it is not much, because in March
2022 the occupants lost 889 units, but that was
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in March 2022. Now the Russians have a serious
problem with compensation of losses, in particular
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Armored fighting vehicles, as well as a shortage
of medium and light armored vehicles in the units.
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Artillery. The absolute record of destroyed
Russian artillery in June and the stable
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dynamics of destroyed barrels in July
showed a staggering total of 989 pieces !
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Similarly, and MLRS - 105 units.
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At the same time records in these
categories in July are not excluded!
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I have explained why this happens more than once,
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but the main message is the deterioration
of the quality of Russian artillery,
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counter-battery warfare and the use of
MLRS extremely close to the battle line,
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which makes them a target not only for Ukrainian
artillery, but also for various kinds of drones.
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The number of air defense systems destroyed
in a month and a half was 92. This is the
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highest rate of air defense destruction,
both in terms of numbers and dynamics.
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But most importantly, the air defense
assets are among the most problematic
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to compensate, which undermines the
effectiveness of the entire system.
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Statistics on aircraft (2) and attack
helicopters (12) are not very encouraging,
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which is understandable. The enemy mainly
uses airplanes for dropping corrective bombs
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outside the range of Ukrainian air defense
and operating mobile groups with MANPADS.
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And since the June downfall of helicopters,
they have been used more cautiously.
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Drones - 676. It should be understood that this
is a total of all drones that are shot down,
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starting from Shahed-136 kamikaze drones and
ending with Orlan-10 reconnaissance drones.
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The figure is high, but it includes
drones shot down in the rear.
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Vehicles - 797. The activation of enemy logistics
has led to an increase in vehicular casualties.
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Especially now they are trying to switch to
warehouses on wheels, after regular destruction of
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ammunition depots. The record of March 2022 cannot
be surpassed yet, but everything is still ahead.
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The high rate of losses of
special vehicles is 206,
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which is also explained by the need to
use them as part of the intensification
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of hostilities and their appearance
in extreme areas of the battle line.
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Thus, we see a picture of steadily and
systematically increasing losses of the
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occupants, in countering not even the main
strike group of the Ukrainian defense forces.
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That is, the essence is what I was talking
about at the very beginning - the exhaustion
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and exsanguination of the
enemy with smaller forces.
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And tell me, what else to call this operation,
if not "Summer Dismemberment" of the second army
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in the world by the fifteenth army? I look
forward to your options in the comments ...
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