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Major General Kyrylo Budanov,
Ukraine's intelligence chief,
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spoke in a lengthy interview about Ukraine's
offensive, as well as what his optimistic
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conclusions about the imminent end of the
war and why Russia has paused its massive
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rocket attacks are based on. I would
like to share with you the highlights.
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- - "If we take a soccer analogy,
it is now 72 or 75 minutes.
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Ukraine is approaching a landmark battle in its
recent history and will never agree to give up
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any part of its territories and without the return
of Crimea the war will not end. The only way to
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end this war is by returning the borders in any
form, but not less than the borders of 1991."
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This is an interesting point, with the likely
announcement of an entry into enemy territory.
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On the other hand, the creation of a buffer zone
around the borders of Ukraine is indispensable.
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Going to the borders of 1991 is "quite an
achievable task this year." In his opinion,
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in the course of a counterattack "sufficient
amounts of territory will be returned by force."
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When asked why the West and Ukraine talk
about the low rate of arms deliveries,
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Budanov replied cryptically, "Who knows
the real rate of arms deliveries?"
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- "Over December of last year, the only thing the
enemy forces achieved was an advance in Soledar
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and fighting in the urban strip inside Bakhmut.
The only place where the occupiers have some
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tactical success with huge losses is Bakhmut.
In all other directions the Russian forces
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have completely turned to positional defense
everywhere. Just one year later, the "second
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army in the world" has gone from offensive
to defensive and now the game is played by
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the rules of the Ukrainian General Staff. I think
this is perfect and there is nothing to add to it.
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- "On average in Russia they mobilize
20 thousand people a month and this is
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not enough even to make up for the
losses. Russia always has a plan B,
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any defeat they show to the domestic consumer
of information fast food as a victory."
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- "Russia continues to produce new missiles,
but now it is accumulating them to disrupt the
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offensive operation of the AFU forces. The
volume of missiles produced is insufficient
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to carry out intensive missile strikes against
Ukraine's infrastructure. The volume of missiles,
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which Russians had already less than the
volume of Ukrainian anti-aircraft means".
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And three more interesting insights from Budanov:
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When General Surovikin was removed, he was
"charged" for bringing Russia's missile
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arsenal to zero, recall that the last massive
missile attack on Ukraine took place on March 9.
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A few days ago Russia decided to replace
the peacekeeping contingent in the area
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of Azerbaijan's conflict with Armenia
from contract servicemen to conscripts.
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The contract servicemen are being withdrawn, the
conscripts are being sent. As you understand,
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this is not happening out of the good life.
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China has not handed over a single bullet to
Russia by this point and is not preparing.
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China is not going to do that in the near future.
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Meanwhile, unexpectedly for the occupants, the
AFU is already advancing, having moved into the
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gray zone on the left bank of the Kherson region.
There has been talk about this for several days,
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but now the information has been officially
confirmed and it has been reported that the
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AFU has been carrying out heavy strikes against
the Russians in the south for the past few days.
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I'm wrapping up for today,
but I'll see you all tomorrow.
5212
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