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Avdiivka, Donetsk direction.
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There is currently a very interesting group of
troops, so to speak, operating in the Avdiivka
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area. First of all, these are representatives
of the 1st and 2nd Army Corps, which are the
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mobilized biomass of the so-called Luhansk and
Donetsk republics. But, all this mass has support.
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These corps are supported by a fairly
substantial Russian artillery grouping from
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the 8th Guards Combined Arms Army. The units
operating in this area consist of a brigade,
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three regiments and a division. They have a full
complement of various barrel and reactive lesions.
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On the other hand, the leader of
the "Donetsk Republic" Pushilin
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has been sending requests to the command of
Russian troops for more than a month about
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the need to provide more landing units
to continue the offensive on Avdiivka.
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At first he received an answer: there
will be, but you have to wait a bit...
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Then he received an answer: You won't get
paratroopers, but you will get selected
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fighters of the BARS unit, the "best" of the
"best"! Now he is not even promised BARS any more.
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And all because Bakhmut is devouring all the
available resources of the Russian troops
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and the command has to shuffle the limited
resource as best they can, and they can't.
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But another thing is important here. The
example of Avdiivka vividly demonstrates
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that having a large quantity of meat,
which can have artillery support,
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is impossible without Armoured combat
vehicles to solve the tasks at hand.
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It is a balance of forces and
means in their immediate function.
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Not long ago, Pushilin personally visited
the outskirts of Bakhmut to tearfully ask
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for help in supporting the offensive in the
Adiivka direction, but he was again ignored.
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Before I continue, I ask you to subscribe
to my channel, it will help to promote it.
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In the Avdiivka area, the enemy
does not have the necessary balance,
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as it was not in the area of Ugledar, where
having a full staff of units of the 40th and
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155th Separate Marine Brigade, without artillery
support they wiped out and zeroed out in a week.
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Without one component, there was no
effectiveness of the entire group of troops.
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But, most importantly, the Russian
command is now unable to ensure that
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all of the integral components to ensure
the effectiveness of the troop group both
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in offensive and defensive operations are in
place along virtually the entire front line.
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And Avdiivka, in this case, is a prime example.
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By the way, Bakhmut was never presented to
Putin for Orthodox Easter, and Prigozhin is
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already proposing to end the offensive
and fix his "victories" as they are.
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The leader of the Wagner Group suggested
"putting a fat end to the hostilities,"
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and he was the first to voice the idea that
"this story" must somehow come to an end.
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It is useful to recall the fate of
the separatist field commanders,
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who also began at some point to demonstrate
excessive independence in their judgments,
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after which they were attacked
by some kind of pestilence.
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In any case, they were already too late
with the "fat point", about a year too late.
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They still have not understood that
the war will end not on Russian terms,
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but after a Ukrainian victory.
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