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All right folks welcome back
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So I do apologize and I appreciate your patience cuz
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Friday we had an issue with our internet locally so
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Not sure what was going on but
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Now we had an outage in our area
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Did I have since been
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Stor
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Which I'm very thankful for
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But on this
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Review
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Lecture
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Teaching
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I want to cover a couple things
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And I want you to understand what it is we're doing that way we're not
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Taking away the incorrect things and focusing on the things that are not Salient to the discussion
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But I'm also looking for
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You
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Align yourself as to why I'm doing
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Index Futures Trading specifically
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Recently
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And
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I'm not so active in Forex
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Before we get into it we're going to look at the dollar Index here
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And I want you to see that
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We've taken out the short-term High
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In the short-term low
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So we have a high here that took
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Price higher
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Broke that
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Trailer of that low out there that is the topic
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And teaching
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Of this lecture today in your notes
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I want you to create a
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Section 4 dealing ranges
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Okay whenever you hear me refer to a dealing range
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What I'm looking at
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Is a range
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Price has taken out by side
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Then reversed
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And taken out sell
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By the movement here okay that makes this range from here
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To hear a dealing range
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Okay so an ICT dealing range
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Whenever you hear me refer to that
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Why am I working with a specific range why am I looking at one high in this high
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Why am I pulling my food from this low to that high all those questions are answered
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Right here
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So we have dealing range from here
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To hear
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So in this range
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The question is
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How's it useful
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Well prior to this run up here
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What has the dollar been doing
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It's been bullish
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I have been bullish
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$1
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I've been looking for higher prices in dollar
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And for the most part it's been delivering okay
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We've entered a little bit of sloppy range in here this past week and that's fine so when this low is
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Taking out here in Southside is taken I'm not looking at as a market structure shift where it goes up to here runs to a gap
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And go lower because I'm trading against the primary uptrend
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If I do that that's the same as trying to pick a top
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And I don't try to do that I've lost a lot of money as a young man trying to do that
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So I submit myself
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To the market being likely to follow
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It's higher time frame bias
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Trend momentum Direction
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Okay so I look at that
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Run below that low here
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As accumulation of cell side liquidity for the purpose of buying it by smart money
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So stops here
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Being triggered
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That's a flood of sellers coming into the marketplace and why is that useful and how's it useful smart money if they're bullish
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And they're going to align themselves with the higher time frame Trend as well they're going to buy those cell stops
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So I'm going to look at that run below here
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As a means of buying
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Dollar I'm not specifically buying dollar I don't ever trade the dollar but I use it as a barometer what does that mean
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I'm using it
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My analysis to determine
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If this is going to go higher
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Then foreign currency should go lower if this is going to go lower foreign currency should go higher vice versa it's like a teeter totter
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So how this is useful is the dealing range that's been created
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By running out the short term low here
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I expect
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Sell side to be accumulated that way the market starts to trade higher what would it trade for
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Well the dealing range has been defined by this low being taken out
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In this
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Hi here take a nap
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So we have by side here
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Southside has been taken and if it turns higher
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Once it starts to pull away from this low
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Southside resides here and if I'm bullish because I'm sticking with the hard time frame Trend I'm not trying to pick tops the drawing
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Liquidity is going to be that high
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Because that's where by side is
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So I'm not going to look at this run up into this range here for a fair value Gap to sell off on dollar that's not what I'm doing
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I don't look for that my students know that
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So I'm going to be anticipating this range to be taken out
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So smart money buys the cell stops
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And then sells to the buy stops there are traders that want to be short dollar if they're shorting dollar they'll put their protect
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Stop loss right about this short-term High here and that provides what
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By side liquidity how's that useful
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Smart money that buys the cell stops here will offset to those buy stops above the short-term high so they're buying low selling
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Who they selling to at a higher price the buy stops dressing above here
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That's narrative
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Okay so
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Looking at the dollar we didn't do very much last week we kind of stayed inside the range here so it's Friday Thursday Wednesday Tuesday
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Monday's range the Friday just a consolidation week
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Okay
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Euro dollar
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This pair is
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In my opinion very frustrating right now because it's not trying to move very much at all
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And we moved back into this range here
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And we're just stalling
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I don't have a strong conviction One Direction or the other
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So
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If you look at this Market here is it obvious that it wants to go above these highs or below these lows
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Now if we had a show of hands there is probably going to be a large degree of
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Division
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Some of you going to be looking for lower prices some are going to be looking for higher prices now the way ICT me myself
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The analyst defines low probability
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Set with a traitor can engage
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In the setup the animals inside of me has to make a determination of high probability trade condition
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So
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How do I Define that
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I've already taught it to you
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This is for your Journal if you case you haven't already taken note with this
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High probability conditions
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With my Concepts and my analysis method
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Is the algorithm
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Presenting something in price that is so one-sided it's so obvious that it wants to go
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Higher or go lower that it's very difficult for you to make a justification for the opposing
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Side in other words if you're bullish and you think the price is likely to go higher
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Does
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Condition or market present
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Next to no opportunity to present a shorting opportunity
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So it's going to be obvious
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This is
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High probability
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If there is a way for you to determine a likelihood of a an opposing
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Set up
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That is not my definition of high probability so what are we waiting for as Traders
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What are we being patient for cuz I preach that all the time you're waiting for that one-sidedness to the marketplace and
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It might not trade like that
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For a day or two or maybe even a week
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And you have to prepare yourself to have that patience
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To wait for the setup to present itself to you with high probability conditions
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How does this relate to Forex in my apprehension to engage with it recently
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There is no high probability setup in Euro it can go either way it can run for the buy side here
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Or can run for the sale side
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Is that high probability absolutely not
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Mark comes back up in the despair but he got me ran up into that why didn't it drop
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I don't know
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Why didn't it go higher
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I don't know
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Toyota said
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Your teacher your Mentor Guru with the Horseshoe the luck
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In my analysis
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Trimming away all of this nonsense this is chaff
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Just because the markets are printing candles
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I'm not trying to
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Predict every single fluctuation in every single Market I want to go where the iron is hot
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And I want to strike it when it's there
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Because I'm going to shape a winner out of a market that presents the opportunity that's high probability so
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What I'm showing you here notice I'm not taking you into where the Market's going to go to next
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Because I don't know
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Don't know that right now
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So I'm not in Forex
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Does it make sense
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Why am I going to gamble just to entertain you
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I'm not going to do that I'm not here to show you that I can get wrong A lot of times and Marcus I never would have touched in the first place
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See the logic behind that
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Here's British pound now pound
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Took out a short-term low here that's something that the euro dollar did not do respectively
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So
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Kind of like questioning is that an smt Divergence correlated pair of smt diversions now here's for your Journal correlated smt
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Origins is when you are looking at correlated markets like British pound versus US dollar is closely correlated
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To Euro versus
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Dollar
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Generally they'll move in sympathy with one another but
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In instances like we have here
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If I was bullish
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For instance say I was bearish dollar
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And polish foreign currency
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If I saw this Divergence between this low
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In this low here making it lower in cable or British pound versus US dollar versus that of
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Going back up to euro
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That low here
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And here we have a higher love formed in Euro than that of
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Cable you see that says Divergence so if I was bearish on dollar that would indicate to me that it's time
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Going to be buying
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Euro
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Or buying cable
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In this instance is if I was bearish dollar
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Foolish foreign currency which currency would I buy euro or cable I would buy euro because
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Because you're all failed to make the lower low because
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Incense of comparing
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Relative lows to relative lows
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You're always failed to make a lower low so that would indicate
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If those conditions were there and I'm not suggesting that they are folks
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What is talking hypothetically here
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Since cable went lower to take out that low here that's a stop running event
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And
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You're a dollar is failing to make that lower low so it's saying I'm not willing to go down there
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NFL were bearish
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This would indicate this is the relative strength leader
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And then we I would expect this currency to Rally higher now that does not mean that
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I won't trade cable long
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Sometimes there's other factors that are outside the scope of this
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It's not that I'm trying to keep it from you it just require me a lot of teachings that have to help support the reason
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This is why I would say I would still go long British pound versus US dollar even though Euro failing me to lower low
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Some of these things would be the economic counter coming up
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Interest rates differentials all those things which again are outside the scope of this and I promise I'll touch on those
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As we go through the rest of this year but I don't want you thinking or having the obligation placed on me
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That I have to explain every single little detail because I mentioned something if you spend time with me hopefully that's
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You're here for you're not here to just watch one week or a couple videos and call it quits or I think you know it all because you're not going to do that
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But I want to give you a very deep dive into my Concepts and my analysis out that aligns itself with the algorithm
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Here's the Australian dollar versus US dollar
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You tell me
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Is it likely to take out the South Side here
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For the buy side here
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Now it's real close to these so wouldn't it feel natural to say it should Spike down there and take that out
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Logically that's what I think
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It should and could do
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But I could be wrong
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I've been in markets where it's done this before and then ran away from it
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Because this is The Logical level that
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Everyone would look to see a breakout below I'm not a breakout Trader I look to see price run into these levels
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That's my setup
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So I'm not looking for a breakout to continuing
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I'm looking for a run below an old low
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For about an old high and I'm targeting liquidity
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I'm not trading patterns
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I'm not looking for anything harmonic
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I'm not looking for supplying to me because that doesn't exist unless you're looking at commodity prices which I talked a little bit about on my Twitter
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Face on this past Saturday
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If you've listened to that and you found it insightful give me a comment below
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I appreciate that
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If it wasn't any help to you you're welcome to leave that as well
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As long as it's respectful every comments accepted
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But I don't have a
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Strong
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Opinion
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About treating the Aussie dollar right now either
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So I'm not touching it
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Here's the dollar versus Canadian dollar
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We mentioned how it took this short-term high up bumped it started to break lower and
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Who knows what was going to do
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And we had a little bit of retracement on Wednesday and Thursday
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And then Friday night wash
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To me it less relative equal highs it could have easily swiped those
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But it's having a little bit of a heaviness in the marketplace and it might want to trade down into this Gap here
253
00:14:10,175 --> 00:14:12,223
Do I know which one it's going to do right now no
254
00:14:12,479 --> 00:14:16,831
Because I can't frame it with high probability on one side or the other
255
00:14:17,343 --> 00:14:20,159
So am I going to trade this personally no
256
00:14:21,439 --> 00:14:22,463
So I have a
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00:14:22,719 --> 00:14:24,511
Conundrum
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00:14:25,279 --> 00:14:26,559
Okay I'm stuck
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00:14:27,071 --> 00:14:29,119
If I'm looking at Forex and I have
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00:14:29,375 --> 00:14:31,423
These shackles of uncertainty on me
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00:14:32,703 --> 00:14:34,751
And you as my students even my private group
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00:14:35,007 --> 00:14:41,151
They're looking at me like you know ICT you know pull your magic wand out and do some magic here with for
263
00:14:41,407 --> 00:14:45,759
That's why I've been very candid with them and I've been candid with you I do not feel
264
00:14:46,271 --> 00:14:48,831
4X is high probability at the moment
265
00:14:49,087 --> 00:14:55,231
Will it stay like this no it will not Forex is not dead okay I talked a little bit about that as well in
266
00:14:55,487 --> 00:14:57,279
Your space on this past Saturday but
267
00:14:58,047 --> 00:15:04,191
I'm not trying to promote you join Twitter you can literally pull this up and not have a Twitter
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00:15:04,447 --> 00:15:08,031
Account so don't think I'm trying to pull people to Twitter
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00:15:08,287 --> 00:15:13,919
For to follow me I don't care I want the follows on the YouTube channel but you're welcome to go on
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00:15:14,175 --> 00:15:18,015
The Saturday rants that I do you may not be a fan of that
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00:15:18,527 --> 00:15:19,039
But
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00:15:19,295 --> 00:15:25,439
It's kind of like a motivational thing it's kind of like the real line yourself after the previous week of trading and sometimes I'll just
273
00:15:25,695 --> 00:15:28,511
Talk about things I endured in my development and sometimes it's
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00:15:29,791 --> 00:15:31,583
It's funny to listen to cuz they were real
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00:15:32,095 --> 00:15:37,471
They're real events I had to work through and other times it'll be things that I think are
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00:15:37,727 --> 00:15:38,495
Noteworthy
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00:15:39,007 --> 00:15:42,847
And if they delete my channel over there on Twitter I could care less
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00:15:43,103 --> 00:15:44,127
Okay but
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00:15:44,895 --> 00:15:49,759
This channel here I want to preserve and I'm going to keep a lot of the tin foil hat discussions off of it
280
00:15:52,575 --> 00:15:54,623
Here's the gold Futures Market
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00:15:54,879 --> 00:15:57,183
Okay look at this market for real folks
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00:15:58,207 --> 00:15:59,231
Does this look
283
00:15:59,743 --> 00:16:01,023
High probability to you
284
00:16:01,279 --> 00:16:02,815
Is it going to hire is it going lower
285
00:16:03,583 --> 00:16:05,119
Your guess is as good as mine
286
00:16:05,631 --> 00:16:07,679
That's why I'm not talking about gold
287
00:16:08,703 --> 00:16:09,471
Think about it
288
00:16:12,031 --> 00:16:14,847
We changed from here to here we've been consolidating
289
00:16:15,359 --> 00:16:16,383
Gun in my head
290
00:16:16,639 --> 00:16:20,223
Okay go to my head long-term bullishness on dollar
291
00:16:20,735 --> 00:16:21,759
It might resume
292
00:16:22,527 --> 00:16:24,319
That would be pressure on gold
293
00:16:25,087 --> 00:16:26,623
Go to go lower
294
00:16:26,879 --> 00:16:28,159
Attack the south side over here
295
00:16:28,415 --> 00:16:29,695
Is it high probability
296
00:16:29,951 --> 00:16:30,463
No
297
00:16:30,975 --> 00:16:31,743
Would I trade it
298
00:16:31,999 --> 00:16:32,511
No
299
00:16:33,023 --> 00:16:35,071
Because it can do one of two things
300
00:16:36,863 --> 00:16:37,887
Steak consolidated
301
00:16:39,167 --> 00:16:43,519
We'll run up and trade against my expectation and dollar slip lower
302
00:16:43,775 --> 00:16:45,823
That's against my analysis
303
00:16:46,079 --> 00:16:52,223
That's where I'm okay with being wrong because I'm not taking a trade that would lead to that as a monetary loss it would be a
304
00:16:52,479 --> 00:16:54,015
A bruise to my ego
305
00:16:54,271 --> 00:16:57,855
It would be a scratch in my journal where I say
306
00:16:58,111 --> 00:16:59,903
My expectations were not
307
00:17:02,719 --> 00:17:03,743
In the delivery price
308
00:17:04,255 --> 00:17:06,047
And this is my observations
309
00:17:06,303 --> 00:17:12,447
I'm not saying I'm so stupid I messed this up I'm never going to get this this is too hard for me why am I
310
00:17:12,703 --> 00:17:18,847
Probably so much this should be an easier I should have learned it by now that's all negative self-talk and when you include that in your
311
00:17:19,103 --> 00:17:25,247
Post on social media or if you include it in your annotations on your chart or in your Journal you are
312
00:17:25,503 --> 00:17:27,551
Literally poisoning your developing self
313
00:17:28,063 --> 00:17:32,159
You don't want to do that you want to reassure yourself positive
314
00:17:32,671 --> 00:17:35,999
Self talk that's how you do it you're tricking your brain
315
00:17:36,255 --> 00:17:42,399
To retain the positive aspects of what has transpired whether you've taken a monetary loss or you
316
00:17:42,655 --> 00:17:45,983
Missed an opportunity any of those conditions
317
00:17:47,007 --> 00:17:53,151
Are going to be helpful to you if you use positive self talk that means telling yourself you saw it coming beforehand
318
00:17:53,407 --> 00:17:53,919
This is
319
00:17:54,175 --> 00:17:59,551
You look for in the setup and it will happen this is your subconscious will retain that because it's a feel-good moment
320
00:17:59,807 --> 00:18:00,831
You're creating
321
00:18:01,087 --> 00:18:03,903
An artificial feel-good moment in your Journal
322
00:18:04,159 --> 00:18:05,439
You're logging
323
00:18:05,951 --> 00:18:06,463
Data
324
00:18:06,719 --> 00:18:10,815
In moves and if you have taken a trade and it was a losing trade
325
00:18:11,071 --> 00:18:13,119
You go into it and look for the positives
326
00:18:13,631 --> 00:18:15,679
Because you're going to get it wrong sometimes like I do
327
00:18:17,471 --> 00:18:19,007
When I was journaling Young
328
00:18:19,263 --> 00:18:25,407
I went into the charts and discovered that if I went in and I recorded okay I had this trade incorrect
329
00:18:25,663 --> 00:18:31,807
But I'm encouraged because my bias was incorrect as a traitor but the method says
330
00:18:32,319 --> 00:18:34,111
It was going to go high it would go
331
00:18:34,367 --> 00:18:40,511
Down to if everybody Gap or take us outside we'll put it and then rally up to a specific price level and I would focus on that so you're always looking
332
00:18:40,767 --> 00:18:41,535
Looking for the silver lining
333
00:18:42,047 --> 00:18:45,631
That's how you stay positive and you endure draw them
334
00:18:46,399 --> 00:18:51,519
Period of uncertainty where you have to sit on your hands and do nothing and that's a very hard lesson to learn
335
00:18:52,287 --> 00:18:58,431
You need a mentor that has done that and in can justify why that is a good thing not well you got an edge
336
00:18:58,687 --> 00:19:04,575
Got to get there and treated you know losing part of the game money man is going to save your rear end get out there and go for it
337
00:19:05,343 --> 00:19:06,367
That's stupid
338
00:19:07,391 --> 00:19:09,695
That's somebody that I guarantee you is not making money
339
00:19:10,719 --> 00:19:13,023
That's somebody just want to roll up
340
00:19:13,535 --> 00:19:14,303
The troops
341
00:19:14,815 --> 00:19:20,447
And hopefully it works out in their favor and they can Champion themselves in front of everyone saying see we're killing it
342
00:19:20,703 --> 00:19:22,751
I am not afraid to tell you
343
00:19:23,007 --> 00:19:24,031
Sit still
344
00:19:24,543 --> 00:19:25,567
Sit on your hands
345
00:19:27,871 --> 00:19:31,711
That comes with maturity that comes with someone that has endured
346
00:19:32,223 --> 00:19:36,575
Financial loss to the grade it probably most of you would throw your guts up
347
00:19:38,879 --> 00:19:39,903
To avoid all those
348
00:19:40,159 --> 00:19:41,439
Personal experiences
349
00:19:41,695 --> 00:19:44,767
And financial loss I teach the way I teach
350
00:19:45,023 --> 00:19:49,631
And that sometimes for most people in the younger age brackets
351
00:19:49,887 --> 00:19:52,703
I'm viewed as a very boring monotone teacher
352
00:19:52,959 --> 00:19:54,239
I'm not going to get out here
353
00:19:55,519 --> 00:20:00,383
Bang pots for you get you all worked up and show Lamborghini lifestyle I'm not going to do that
354
00:20:00,639 --> 00:20:04,735
Cuz none of that's going to help you these kind of lessons I'm showing you here this is the thing
355
00:20:04,991 --> 00:20:06,271
That you need to understand
356
00:20:07,551 --> 00:20:09,087
Looking through the markets as a whole
357
00:20:09,599 --> 00:20:12,927
Going through them individually is there a one-sidedness to all of them
358
00:20:13,439 --> 00:20:19,583
Because if there's a risk on risk all scenario they should all generally be moving in the same direction or hinting at that and we're not
359
00:20:19,839 --> 00:20:20,607
Not at all
360
00:20:21,631 --> 00:20:23,167
Not at the very moment we're not
361
00:20:23,935 --> 00:20:27,007
So I feel comfortable being in stock index futures
362
00:20:29,311 --> 00:20:30,079
Crude oil
363
00:20:31,615 --> 00:20:36,479
We've been recently enduring a lot of issues with crude oil just let me take you back to
364
00:20:36,735 --> 00:20:37,759
When crude oil
365
00:20:38,015 --> 00:20:41,087
Do 40 some dollars negative
366
00:20:41,599 --> 00:20:42,879
So we went under
367
00:20:43,135 --> 00:20:43,903
Zero
368
00:20:44,671 --> 00:20:45,951
The cost of oil went
369
00:20:46,207 --> 00:20:47,487
Below zero
370
00:20:48,255 --> 00:20:51,327
And refineries were paying people to come pick up their
371
00:20:52,351 --> 00:20:54,655
Well because it takes time for them to turn those pumps off
372
00:20:54,911 --> 00:20:55,935
During all the
373
00:20:57,727 --> 00:20:58,495
Rick and Marrow
374
00:20:58,751 --> 00:20:59,263
We'll call
375
00:20:59,519 --> 00:21:00,287
Cuz I'm not going to
376
00:21:00,799 --> 00:21:04,895
Put the things in this video that would make it otherwise flagged for things
377
00:21:05,407 --> 00:21:06,175
Just know that
378
00:21:06,431 --> 00:21:08,991
All the things we've been doing for the last 2 years
379
00:21:10,015 --> 00:21:11,039
Led to that
380
00:21:11,295 --> 00:21:17,440
Collapse in oil we were bearish I was looking for bearish prices on oil I called 15 maybe as low
381
00:21:17,696 --> 00:21:22,304
What's $13 a barrel on oil and that very day it literally collapsed
382
00:21:22,816 --> 00:21:28,960
I went negative nobody could have expected that no one of no one on this planet would have said
383
00:21:29,216 --> 00:21:32,800
What was going below zero and to the tune of -40
384
00:21:34,848 --> 00:21:35,616
So
385
00:21:35,872 --> 00:21:38,176
You're all asking why is
386
00:21:38,432 --> 00:21:39,456
Energy prices so high
387
00:21:39,712 --> 00:21:43,296
Well they lost a lot of money
388
00:21:43,552 --> 00:21:44,064
Folks
389
00:21:45,600 --> 00:21:46,624
A lot of money
390
00:21:46,880 --> 00:21:48,416
People weren't able to travel
391
00:21:48,672 --> 00:21:49,952
They weren't able to go anywhere
392
00:21:50,720 --> 00:21:51,488
So
393
00:21:53,280 --> 00:21:54,560
Them being them
394
00:21:56,096 --> 00:22:00,192
They're creating this situation they're making all that money they lost back and with interest
395
00:22:01,472 --> 00:22:03,776
So you're seeing all of this pool higher
396
00:22:04,288 --> 00:22:06,336
In crude oil and gas prices
397
00:22:06,592 --> 00:22:08,896
Because they have taken a huge loss
398
00:22:09,152 --> 00:22:10,176
They took a bath
399
00:22:11,200 --> 00:22:15,296
So now they have to recoup that how do they do that well you're looking at the price you are here
400
00:22:16,064 --> 00:22:18,880
So because there's a lot of manipulation in this market
401
00:22:19,136 --> 00:22:25,280
There's a lot of uncertainty and it's a lot of knee-jerk reactions to anything at all
402
00:22:25,536 --> 00:22:26,048
About
403
00:22:26,304 --> 00:22:27,328
Energy prices
404
00:22:27,584 --> 00:22:29,376
This Market's going to flip out
405
00:22:29,632 --> 00:22:30,656
And overreact
406
00:22:30,912 --> 00:22:33,216
Is that high probability no
407
00:22:35,264 --> 00:22:35,776
So
408
00:22:38,336 --> 00:22:39,872
That's why I look at this Market
409
00:22:40,896 --> 00:22:43,200
Now everything I just said
410
00:22:44,224 --> 00:22:46,016
I want you to compare and contrast
411
00:22:46,272 --> 00:22:48,064
How much better
412
00:22:48,832 --> 00:22:50,624
How much more
413
00:22:52,672 --> 00:22:54,976
Simplistic and clear
414
00:22:55,744 --> 00:22:59,840
This Market's going to be versus what I just showed you in the previous discussions
415
00:23:01,376 --> 00:23:07,520
Here we have the daily chart of the S&P and obviously you're going to be asking okay
416
00:23:07,776 --> 00:23:13,920
I'm a Forex Trader this is getting boring ICT you know you're going to have to start talking about currencies or am unsubscribing unsubscribe and you will
417
00:23:14,176 --> 00:23:18,272
We'll find that you've given yourself the greatest disservice ever
418
00:23:18,528 --> 00:23:23,648
Because what I'm showing you here is the same thing that works in Forex when Forex is moving right
419
00:23:24,928 --> 00:23:26,464
When the markets are more liquid
420
00:23:26,976 --> 00:23:33,120
Why aren't the Forex markets liquid ICT well because of the past two years and the effect
421
00:23:33,376 --> 00:23:37,472
Ex of that in the supply chain and Global Commerce and exchange
422
00:23:37,728 --> 00:23:40,288
That's what strangling those currencies
423
00:23:42,336 --> 00:23:44,384
Plus we have a w
424
00:23:45,152 --> 00:23:46,688
Are you paying attention
425
00:23:46,944 --> 00:23:47,968
Going on
426
00:23:48,736 --> 00:23:50,528
And you have to literally
427
00:23:51,296 --> 00:23:54,624
Weigh all those factors in to your analysis and
428
00:23:54,880 --> 00:23:55,904
I understand folks
429
00:23:56,928 --> 00:24:03,072
Yeah these multi-level marketing companies ran by goobers and young kids trying to tell you that you can get rich by doing
430
00:24:03,328 --> 00:24:03,840
Stupid stuff
431
00:24:04,096 --> 00:24:10,240
And none of them actually can show you a millionaire student nobody has a million dollars that have made money
432
00:24:10,496 --> 00:24:15,104
Me with their things none their teachers are making millions of dollars none of them have been profitable
433
00:24:15,616 --> 00:24:21,760
And it's easy to get sucked up into that thinking okay it's just so easy to turn my phone on put this thing on my chart put a couple indicators
434
00:24:22,016 --> 00:24:25,344
Don't hear I'm going to crosses this and just below that I'm going to do this and that
435
00:24:25,600 --> 00:24:26,624
And it's easy
436
00:24:26,880 --> 00:24:29,184
Can I give you 15 entries on the same idea
437
00:24:29,696 --> 00:24:34,304
And share that on social media and it's going to make me feel good because someone's going to put a little light behind my post
438
00:24:36,096 --> 00:24:36,864
No
439
00:24:37,120 --> 00:24:38,400
That's the wrong way to do it
440
00:24:40,192 --> 00:24:41,984
A super-minded
441
00:24:43,520 --> 00:24:44,800
Principal oriented
442
00:24:45,056 --> 00:24:45,824
Speculator
443
00:24:46,592 --> 00:24:49,920
Has to weigh out all the things that I'm laying before you right now
444
00:24:50,944 --> 00:24:52,992
If it's boring it's right
445
00:24:54,528 --> 00:24:57,088
Trust me when I tell you that if it's boring
446
00:24:57,600 --> 00:24:58,624
It is right
447
00:24:59,136 --> 00:24:59,904
Because
448
00:25:00,416 --> 00:25:02,720
Big money is not going in
449
00:25:02,976 --> 00:25:05,280
In erratic price action it is not
450
00:25:05,536 --> 00:25:06,048
Doing that
451
00:25:06,816 --> 00:25:08,096
It's looking for
452
00:25:08,352 --> 00:25:09,888
A systematic Edge
453
00:25:11,168 --> 00:25:12,192
Disability
454
00:25:12,704 --> 00:25:16,544
How can we go in and discern where risk is how can you define risk
455
00:25:17,056 --> 00:25:22,688
In all the markets I've shown you prior to this one there's no real way of determining and defining risk
456
00:25:23,200 --> 00:25:26,272
How far is it going to go against you if you get in who knows I don't know
457
00:25:26,528 --> 00:25:28,320
So if I can't define the risk
458
00:25:29,088 --> 00:25:32,160
Why on Earth would I even put my money behind it I wouldn't
459
00:25:32,672 --> 00:25:34,208
And maybe you shouldn't either
460
00:25:34,976 --> 00:25:41,120
But I know some of you want to be hot sauce and you want to gamble and you want to be the guy that gets there and be the contrary and well this is not that kind of Market
461
00:25:42,400 --> 00:25:45,216
And let me say this also in this lecture
462
00:25:45,472 --> 00:25:47,776
In my 30 years of trading
463
00:25:48,288 --> 00:25:49,824
Let me understand this
464
00:25:50,080 --> 00:25:52,384
Very plainly and succinctly
465
00:25:53,152 --> 00:25:55,968
This is the absolute hardest
466
00:25:56,736 --> 00:25:58,528
Trading has ever been
467
00:26:00,064 --> 00:26:05,184
It's the hardest it's ever been we have so many things coming at us as speculators
468
00:26:05,696 --> 00:26:08,256
The change or Inspire certain sentiment
469
00:26:08,768 --> 00:26:11,328
All the data we're getting is fake
470
00:26:12,352 --> 00:26:13,888
It's manipulated it's
471
00:26:14,144 --> 00:26:15,168
Contrived
472
00:26:16,192 --> 00:26:19,520
For instance look at the inflation number
473
00:26:19,776 --> 00:26:25,920
Do you feel that inflation number is accurate when you go to the grocery store right now how about when you go to the pump and you fill up your gas tanks
474
00:26:26,176 --> 00:26:30,784
Does it feel like that that data that they're releasing for inflation is in alignment with reality
475
00:26:31,040 --> 00:26:35,648
No way absolutely not but
476
00:26:36,160 --> 00:26:37,696
The average Joe or
477
00:26:37,952 --> 00:26:38,464
Jane
478
00:26:39,232 --> 00:26:40,512
It feels like
479
00:26:41,536 --> 00:26:44,608
They're telling us what it is and it's probably not as bad as we all
480
00:26:44,864 --> 00:26:45,376
Think it is
481
00:26:45,888 --> 00:26:46,912
No it's worse
482
00:26:47,424 --> 00:26:48,448
It's worse folks
483
00:26:48,960 --> 00:26:49,984
And it's going to get worse
484
00:26:50,496 --> 00:26:51,264
So
485
00:26:51,520 --> 00:26:57,664
You have to be sober-minded with your spending now and you have to be so reminded about your analysis and what you're going to participate in and this market right here
486
00:26:57,920 --> 00:26:58,432
Here
487
00:26:59,200 --> 00:27:00,480
Is giving that to you
488
00:27:00,992 --> 00:27:02,016
It's showing you
489
00:27:02,272 --> 00:27:08,416
Everything that a Trader would want to see and find in price action to support the notion that it is
490
00:27:09,184 --> 00:27:10,464
High probability setups
491
00:27:11,744 --> 00:27:17,888
Now I'm going to ask the reason why that's the case and also kind of like give you the underlying tone of why I've been able to
492
00:27:18,144 --> 00:27:22,496
Able to be accurate with this Market publicly showing it and sharing everybody they can see it
493
00:27:23,264 --> 00:27:27,104
I put myself out there where I think the market going to go why I should do this why I should do that
494
00:27:28,896 --> 00:27:31,968
I'll leave it to you to determine whether or not this is useful information
495
00:27:32,736 --> 00:27:34,528
But if you don't want to look at the markets like this
496
00:27:35,552 --> 00:27:36,832
I promise you this
497
00:27:37,856 --> 00:27:40,160
You are never going to learn what I teach
498
00:27:40,672 --> 00:27:41,952
And find consistency in
499
00:27:42,208 --> 00:27:45,024
Not because it doesn't work cuz it works like gangbusters
500
00:27:45,792 --> 00:27:47,328
And is highly precise
501
00:27:47,840 --> 00:27:53,472
But you won't subject yourself to the requirements that are needed to be developing properly
502
00:27:53,728 --> 00:27:59,872
And had the right mindset that's why I talk so much because I'm telling you the things that you have to think about
503
00:28:00,384 --> 00:28:06,528
Wow you're developing not get to the point give me an entry strategy ICT where's my stock going to be and
504
00:28:06,784 --> 00:28:08,576
Where do I take profits I got time to do this
505
00:28:09,088 --> 00:28:09,856
You're going to fail
506
00:28:10,112 --> 00:28:13,184
And I promise you I would put a million dollars on that
507
00:28:16,000 --> 00:28:18,816
Because none of my students came through fast-tracking it
508
00:28:20,096 --> 00:28:21,632
Cherry Picked pieces out of it
509
00:28:21,888 --> 00:28:23,168
And make millions dollars
510
00:28:23,680 --> 00:28:24,448
They've never done
511
00:28:25,472 --> 00:28:30,592
And unfortunately the way the world is today they want dollar menu have it right now my way
512
00:28:30,848 --> 00:28:31,616
Mentorship
513
00:28:33,664 --> 00:28:34,432
And expect
514
00:28:35,200 --> 00:28:37,504
Unrealistic expectations and results
515
00:28:40,064 --> 00:28:40,832
Doesn't work that way
516
00:28:41,856 --> 00:28:43,904
The market doesn't owe you anything
517
00:28:44,672 --> 00:28:46,208
I don't owe you anything
518
00:28:48,512 --> 00:28:50,048
That doesn't taste good does it
519
00:28:50,304 --> 00:28:51,584
But that's the reality
520
00:28:52,096 --> 00:28:55,424
And you have to align yourself with hey this Market is going to try to
521
00:28:56,192 --> 00:28:57,728
Kick me in the gut
522
00:28:57,984 --> 00:28:59,008
It's trying to
523
00:28:59,264 --> 00:29:00,544
Take me out
524
00:29:01,568 --> 00:29:03,104
It's not here for your pleasure
525
00:29:03,360 --> 00:29:07,712
It's not here for you to go in and just pull dollar bills off of the money tree
526
00:29:08,224 --> 00:29:11,552
And have no consequences no thorns in your finger as you reach for them
527
00:29:14,112 --> 00:29:15,648
The reality is
528
00:29:15,904 --> 00:29:20,512
This Is War you got to go in ready to do battle
529
00:29:20,768 --> 00:29:22,816
But you have to know when to pick your shots
530
00:29:23,328 --> 00:29:25,888
You got to know when the blanket you have to know when the retreat
531
00:29:26,400 --> 00:29:28,192
That's cutting losses short
532
00:29:28,704 --> 00:29:32,288
Allowing your stop loss to be to determination that you were wrong in it
533
00:29:32,800 --> 00:29:33,568
Trade idea
534
00:29:33,824 --> 00:29:35,360
Retreat is not defeat
535
00:29:36,640 --> 00:29:37,664
And sometimes
536
00:29:38,688 --> 00:29:39,712
Standing down
537
00:29:39,968 --> 00:29:44,576
That means don't engage don't go forward you're not running backwards you're just sitting still
538
00:29:44,832 --> 00:29:49,952
With those other markets I've made mention of prior to this Market here you are standing down
539
00:29:51,744 --> 00:29:53,280
Doesn't matter what you see out there
540
00:29:53,536 --> 00:29:54,048
In front of you
541
00:29:54,304 --> 00:29:55,328
You're standing down
542
00:29:55,840 --> 00:29:58,656
This Market where I actually have been engaging
543
00:29:59,680 --> 00:30:04,032
Let's look at the differences between it and what I've shown so far in the other markets
544
00:30:06,336 --> 00:30:08,384
All right so we have an old low here
545
00:30:08,640 --> 00:30:13,248
Relative equal highs the market trades above that then breaks down and takes out the cell side here
546
00:30:13,504 --> 00:30:15,296
What does that make this range here
547
00:30:17,856 --> 00:30:19,392
Now how's that useful
548
00:30:20,160 --> 00:30:22,720
Well we're in a very long protracted consolidation
549
00:30:23,232 --> 00:30:28,608
It wasn't like a short little run from here to here it was elongated this is daily chart
550
00:30:29,120 --> 00:30:33,216
So it's a lot of time going sideways essentially but it took by side
551
00:30:33,472 --> 00:30:35,520
And then eventually aimed for Southside
552
00:30:36,288 --> 00:30:37,312
When that happens
553
00:30:38,080 --> 00:30:38,848
On daily chart
554
00:30:40,128 --> 00:30:41,920
Hammer entering a seasonal tendency
555
00:30:42,176 --> 00:30:46,016
Of the first part of the year I'm looking for a sustained price moves
556
00:30:46,272 --> 00:30:50,624
In the second half of the year I'm looking for sustained price moves there as well so
557
00:30:51,136 --> 00:30:56,256
Apart from the details that lead to that and I'll talk a little bit about that in topical studies but again
558
00:30:56,512 --> 00:30:57,536
I'm trying to keep this
559
00:30:57,792 --> 00:31:01,120
Conversation Jermaine to the topics and make it useful to you
560
00:31:01,376 --> 00:31:06,240
But I'm going to introduce some topics that will Branch off into in the coming weeks and months
561
00:31:06,752 --> 00:31:09,312
They're dealing Range High dealing range low
562
00:31:09,824 --> 00:31:11,104
Why is it a dealing with you again
563
00:31:11,360 --> 00:31:15,712
We took both sides by side and South Side out what's the buys now bearish
564
00:31:18,016 --> 00:31:22,368
All this range in here and we're looking for areas that anticipate a run back up into a premium
565
00:31:23,904 --> 00:31:24,928
Short-term High
566
00:31:25,184 --> 00:31:27,488
Short-term low it runs up into a premium here
567
00:31:27,744 --> 00:31:28,512
Sales off
568
00:31:28,768 --> 00:31:32,096
It creates relative equal highs cell sides taken here
569
00:31:32,352 --> 00:31:37,472
So once it has taken the cell side here what's the market likely to do revert back to by side
570
00:31:38,496 --> 00:31:41,056
Even though it's bearish where is the by side
571
00:31:41,312 --> 00:31:43,616
Like a neon sign relative equal highs
572
00:31:44,640 --> 00:31:45,664
Bumps up to it
573
00:31:46,176 --> 00:31:47,200
Then that's what
574
00:31:47,712 --> 00:31:53,856
You have now a new dealing range you have a dealing range from low cuz it took out the sell side
575
00:31:54,112 --> 00:31:56,160
The buy sides taken here so you're dealing races from here
576
00:31:56,416 --> 00:31:57,952
To hear what is
577
00:31:58,976 --> 00:32:00,256
The usefulness in that
578
00:32:00,768 --> 00:32:05,376
You're anticipating the market of trade back down to a discount and eventually to itself side
579
00:32:07,168 --> 00:32:08,704
Discount array
580
00:32:09,216 --> 00:32:11,008
Below 50% of here to here
581
00:32:12,032 --> 00:32:13,568
This fair value Gap is a target
582
00:32:14,592 --> 00:32:17,664
So you're going to be looking for Aries once it sells off he's a pair of Gap
583
00:32:18,176 --> 00:32:18,944
Brake lower
584
00:32:19,456 --> 00:32:20,480
Break lower
585
00:32:20,736 --> 00:32:21,760
Target
586
00:32:22,272 --> 00:32:23,040
Filled
587
00:32:23,808 --> 00:32:25,344
Southside relative equal lows
588
00:32:26,624 --> 00:32:27,136
Tags
589
00:32:27,648 --> 00:32:29,440
So now we have this dealing range from
590
00:32:30,720 --> 00:32:32,256
To hear why is that a dealing range
591
00:32:32,512 --> 00:32:33,792
We've taken by side here
592
00:32:34,048 --> 00:32:36,096
In South side's been taken here so
593
00:32:36,352 --> 00:32:39,936
From here to here you start doing analysis inside of that range
594
00:32:41,216 --> 00:32:43,264
Look at all the back and forth in here
595
00:32:43,776 --> 00:32:46,080
And then we get to this level here and it's more energetic
596
00:32:46,848 --> 00:32:52,992
When I see that I identify this as the Deliverance High to hear it here but I will refine it down to the
597
00:32:53,248 --> 00:32:55,552
Most energetic price swing inside of the dealing range
598
00:32:56,064 --> 00:32:58,368
So I'm going to use this range here from high
599
00:32:58,624 --> 00:33:00,416
Hello how's that useful
600
00:33:01,184 --> 00:33:03,488
From here to here I'm going to be looking for a
601
00:33:04,000 --> 00:33:06,304
Equilibrium price point or premium
602
00:33:06,560 --> 00:33:07,840
To go short
603
00:33:08,352 --> 00:33:14,496
Does the bias is what bears I publicly made that known even on YouTube I said we're entering
604
00:33:14,752 --> 00:33:15,520
She's on tenancy
605
00:33:16,032 --> 00:33:16,544
Here
606
00:33:17,568 --> 00:33:20,128
Where we go into May where it's bearish
607
00:33:20,640 --> 00:33:21,408
Did it deliver
608
00:33:22,176 --> 00:33:22,944
Of course it did
609
00:33:24,992 --> 00:33:26,272
This Gap year
610
00:33:27,552 --> 00:33:28,832
We see it trade up into it here
611
00:33:29,600 --> 00:33:30,368
Sells off
612
00:33:30,624 --> 00:33:36,256
Comes up until here feels to go into it there but look at all these opportunities where it could have filled in that Gap but it didn't
613
00:33:38,304 --> 00:33:39,328
Broke lower
614
00:33:39,584 --> 00:33:41,888
That indicates to me that this is a breakaway guy
615
00:33:42,912 --> 00:33:45,984
I will talk about gaps in its own topical study but for now
616
00:33:46,240 --> 00:33:52,384
This is the Breakaway Gap meaning it's going to most likely stay heavy and run where in our buys what's that direction
617
00:33:53,664 --> 00:33:56,224
So we have South Side blow here now
618
00:33:56,480 --> 00:34:02,624
So we expect marks price the trade lower below that it does so and then keeps on trading lower increases short-term low here
619
00:34:03,136 --> 00:34:04,928
Rally's back up into a gap
620
00:34:05,952 --> 00:34:07,488
Drops down once more
621
00:34:07,744 --> 00:34:09,792
Excel side so now
622
00:34:10,048 --> 00:34:12,096
By size Works likely to revert back to
623
00:34:14,144 --> 00:34:15,680
From this height that low
624
00:34:15,936 --> 00:34:17,728
That's our focal point for our study
625
00:34:19,264 --> 00:34:23,104
So inside this range I want you to think about what you see
626
00:34:24,128 --> 00:34:25,920
Study this pause the video
627
00:34:26,688 --> 00:34:27,712
Make notes of it
628
00:34:28,992 --> 00:34:35,136
And then watch the rest of the video if you do not pause the video folks I know some of you like to reply back I'm not going to
629
00:34:35,392 --> 00:34:35,904
Pause video
630
00:34:36,160 --> 00:34:40,000
This is that kind of lesson where you do not get the benefit
631
00:34:41,280 --> 00:34:43,584
Except the fact that this is a long video accept it
632
00:34:43,840 --> 00:34:45,120
Because it's good stuff
633
00:34:45,376 --> 00:34:47,936
Is the stuff that literally makes money
634
00:34:48,192 --> 00:34:52,032
Okay this is the stuff that helps you not lose so much money
635
00:34:53,056 --> 00:34:56,128
This is how you find the setups that I'm teaching you to look for
636
00:34:57,152 --> 00:35:01,504
But if you don't do these parts these interactive studies and don't pause the video
637
00:35:02,272 --> 00:35:08,416
You've cheated yourself and then you're going to complain in the comments or in other places around the internet and saying ICT stuff so
638
00:35:09,440 --> 00:35:10,720
Convoluted
639
00:35:11,232 --> 00:35:13,024
It's complicated it's not complicated
640
00:35:13,792 --> 00:35:15,584
You're just not doing what's required
641
00:35:15,840 --> 00:35:16,864
So who's failing here
642
00:35:17,632 --> 00:35:19,680
You are if you don't pause the video
643
00:35:23,520 --> 00:35:27,872
All right so I have the chart kind of aligns that we can focus on that range here
644
00:35:29,152 --> 00:35:30,944
So inside that range
645
00:35:31,456 --> 00:35:32,224
Again from
646
00:35:32,736 --> 00:35:33,248
Get here
647
00:35:34,528 --> 00:35:36,320
We have a bicycle pool right there
648
00:35:37,600 --> 00:35:38,368
It trades up
649
00:35:38,880 --> 00:35:41,440
And purges by side why is that
650
00:35:41,696 --> 00:35:42,720
Likely took her
651
00:35:43,232 --> 00:35:44,000
Cuz we're bearish
652
00:35:44,768 --> 00:35:48,096
We're going into a seasonal fantasy where the market is likely to trade lower
653
00:35:48,608 --> 00:35:50,912
So anytime it runs back above by side liquidity
654
00:35:51,936 --> 00:35:55,520
It's likely to sell off once it accumulates those buy orders
655
00:35:55,776 --> 00:35:57,056
It's going to Target what
656
00:35:58,080 --> 00:35:59,616
The south side below that low here
657
00:35:59,872 --> 00:36:02,432
And it does so here so cell size is now perch
658
00:36:03,200 --> 00:36:03,712
So
659
00:36:03,968 --> 00:36:10,112
This is an area where if you're a swing Trader and you don't want to be a day trader cuz a lot of folks are like hey man you know I can see that
660
00:36:10,624 --> 00:36:16,768
Intraday trading is amazing and it's awesome and you and your students are able to do a lot of things they're highly precise I just can't do
661
00:36:17,024 --> 00:36:23,168
Do it Michael I can't I don't have the time I don't have the lifestyle my requirements at my job my business
662
00:36:23,424 --> 00:36:25,984
Business I'm in school you know it just can't do it
663
00:36:26,240 --> 00:36:29,568
Give me something I can trade with on a hard time frame daily chart
664
00:36:30,080 --> 00:36:30,848
This is it
665
00:36:31,360 --> 00:36:35,200
Houses any different from what I teach in the lower time frame it's simply
666
00:36:35,456 --> 00:36:36,736
Changing the time interval
667
00:36:38,016 --> 00:36:43,136
Everything I'm teaching you is fractal the algorithm runs across all the time frames
668
00:36:43,392 --> 00:36:47,232
All of them it starts at a hard time frame runs its way down through the time frames
669
00:36:47,488 --> 00:36:49,536
And it refers to all these locations
670
00:36:50,304 --> 00:36:52,352
The algorithm is highly complex
671
00:36:52,864 --> 00:36:56,448
But the concepts of engaging with it is not complex
672
00:36:56,960 --> 00:37:01,824
You have to be specific and oriented to the high level of detail
673
00:37:02,080 --> 00:37:06,688
To navigate each one of these time frames and put things in their proper place and context
674
00:37:07,968 --> 00:37:10,784
So in short if we're bearish I like to look for
675
00:37:11,040 --> 00:37:12,832
A short-term High taken out
676
00:37:13,344 --> 00:37:14,112
And I can't wait
677
00:37:14,368 --> 00:37:17,184
Short positions who's accumulating short positions above old ties
678
00:37:17,440 --> 00:37:18,208
Smart money
679
00:37:18,976 --> 00:37:20,256
The hell price there
680
00:37:20,512 --> 00:37:23,072
Why because they were allowing Traders
681
00:37:23,584 --> 00:37:26,912
To engage this as what a bull flag
682
00:37:28,192 --> 00:37:33,056
Retail season here it ran up support
683
00:37:33,312 --> 00:37:38,944
Is now being found here because that was resistance and that is now what a continuation of a by side
684
00:37:39,200 --> 00:37:41,248
Run higher with a bull flag
685
00:37:42,272 --> 00:37:45,088
It's going to run for this area here cuz that's resistance
686
00:37:46,624 --> 00:37:47,648
The opposite took place
687
00:37:48,416 --> 00:37:49,440
We were bearish here
688
00:37:49,952 --> 00:37:52,256
The market trades lower a tax of sell side
689
00:37:54,048 --> 00:37:55,072
Runs in
690
00:37:56,096 --> 00:37:58,656
Spends time down here and then we have Friday's price movement
691
00:37:59,168 --> 00:38:01,728
So let's discuss liquidity a little bit deeper
692
00:38:01,984 --> 00:38:04,800
Okay this is one of those lessons where you're going to be like
693
00:38:05,312 --> 00:38:05,824
Man
694
00:38:06,336 --> 00:38:07,872
This makes a lot of sense
695
00:38:08,128 --> 00:38:11,968
And you can't find it in books okay today's date
696
00:38:12,480 --> 00:38:15,296
Think about now today's date in June
697
00:38:16,064 --> 00:38:20,416
2022 I'm teaching this
698
00:38:20,672 --> 00:38:24,512
For the first time even my paid mentorship group doesn't know this lesson
699
00:38:25,024 --> 00:38:26,304
So am I out there
700
00:38:26,560 --> 00:38:30,144
Takes this information and repackages it you know it's came after me
701
00:38:30,400 --> 00:38:32,960
This is what the algorithm does okay
702
00:38:33,216 --> 00:38:38,592
I want you to think like this cuz this is what the algorithm when it runs certain macros macros are short list of orders
703
00:38:39,360 --> 00:38:40,384
Of instruction
704
00:38:40,896 --> 00:38:41,920
Do this do that
705
00:38:42,688 --> 00:38:43,456
Okay
706
00:38:44,224 --> 00:38:45,248
The if then
707
00:38:47,808 --> 00:38:51,136
That logic behind how the price is being designed
708
00:38:51,392 --> 00:38:52,928
Delivered and booked
709
00:38:53,952 --> 00:38:57,024
It is not buying selling pressure it is not your pattern
710
00:38:57,536 --> 00:38:58,816
Nothing harmonic
711
00:38:59,328 --> 00:39:04,192
New crossing over of moving averages no oversold ever bought indicators
712
00:39:04,704 --> 00:39:05,984
None of that stuff
713
00:39:06,752 --> 00:39:08,032
Not wolf waves
714
00:39:08,288 --> 00:39:11,104
Elliott waves none of that stuff
715
00:39:11,616 --> 00:39:13,664
Wyckoff none of it
716
00:39:13,920 --> 00:39:15,200
Has anything to do
717
00:39:15,456 --> 00:39:18,272
With how prices booking and how it's delivered
718
00:39:18,528 --> 00:39:21,088
What I'm about to show you this is it
719
00:39:22,624 --> 00:39:24,160
We have now a dealing range
720
00:39:25,696 --> 00:39:26,976
This love was taken out here
721
00:39:27,232 --> 00:39:29,792
This high was taken out here so now we have this high
722
00:39:30,048 --> 00:39:31,840
Down to that low how's that useful
723
00:39:33,632 --> 00:39:35,424
Well if we strip this away
724
00:39:35,936 --> 00:39:36,960
I want you to think about
725
00:39:38,240 --> 00:39:44,384
The simplest of things that retail Traders use and then I started this way same way in 1992 folks
726
00:39:44,640 --> 00:39:47,200
The same procedure of looking for
727
00:39:47,456 --> 00:39:53,600
Classic support and resistance because they want to sell you on the easiest thing going in because that way you'll put money in an account think
728
00:39:53,856 --> 00:39:56,160
It's going to work and then you are now fleeced
729
00:39:56,928 --> 00:40:03,072
They don't care if you stay in the business long enough that the statistics already state that most people blow their account the first 30 days let alone
730
00:40:03,328 --> 00:40:04,864
Majority of them by 90 days
731
00:40:06,144 --> 00:40:12,288
So they want you to get in there feeling like you can do it real easy it's simple they make these stupid little books stupid little courses
732
00:40:13,568 --> 00:40:15,872
And they trick you they rookie in the thinking that hey
733
00:40:16,384 --> 00:40:18,944
All I have to do is go down to an old level where it bounce before
734
00:40:19,200 --> 00:40:25,344
It's probably going to go up we're going to go up to a level where it bounce down before it's probably going to go down once it goes there again because hey history
735
00:40:25,600 --> 00:40:31,744
Pizza itself right yes the history does repeat and the only aspect of that is true is that losing
736
00:40:32,000 --> 00:40:33,536
Raiders follow that logic
737
00:40:35,584 --> 00:40:39,424
So we're looking inside this range here okay this is our specific dealing range
738
00:40:42,496 --> 00:40:43,264
What do you say
739
00:40:46,592 --> 00:40:50,432
Before I go further wait a minute I C T you just said that's a dealing range
740
00:40:53,248 --> 00:40:54,784
These are relative equal highs
741
00:40:56,064 --> 00:40:58,624
It went above into the fair bag that with this here
742
00:40:59,392 --> 00:41:02,208
And we never were able to go hired
743
00:41:02,464 --> 00:41:05,024
So I'm looking at that as that's the cap on the marketplace
744
00:41:05,792 --> 00:41:07,584
And it's likely going to be a breakaway Gap
745
00:41:08,352 --> 00:41:10,144
That means it doesn't feel right away
746
00:41:10,656 --> 00:41:12,960
Until it fulfills lower level objectives on price
747
00:41:13,728 --> 00:41:14,496
Down here
748
00:41:16,032 --> 00:41:17,056
So what do you seeing here
749
00:41:18,336 --> 00:41:19,360
Pause the video
750
00:41:21,152 --> 00:41:22,432
When you're ready to continue
751
00:41:22,688 --> 00:41:23,456
Unpause it
752
00:41:29,856 --> 00:41:30,624
All right so we have
753
00:41:31,392 --> 00:41:32,160
This high
754
00:41:32,672 --> 00:41:33,440
To that low
755
00:41:33,952 --> 00:41:40,096
Why am I picking this High because it has their most energetic price run away from it that's the most recent one that has that energy
756
00:41:40,352 --> 00:41:40,864
Lower
757
00:41:41,376 --> 00:41:44,704
The delivery of the candles moving away from it quickly that's what I'm really getting at
758
00:41:45,984 --> 00:41:48,800
Some framing it with the logic that this is likely to stay open
759
00:41:49,056 --> 00:41:54,175
Not rebalance in the Market's going to drive lower so our range from here to here
760
00:41:54,431 --> 00:41:55,199
That's what I'm measuring
761
00:41:55,455 --> 00:41:56,735
And equilibrium is here
762
00:41:57,503 --> 00:41:58,271
So above that
763
00:41:58,527 --> 00:42:00,575
Level this level here
764
00:42:00,831 --> 00:42:03,647
What are we looking for we're looking for by side
765
00:42:05,695 --> 00:42:06,207
But
766
00:42:06,463 --> 00:42:11,583
Classic support resistance idea is this we take a nap this low
767
00:42:12,607 --> 00:42:13,631
Relative equals
768
00:42:15,167 --> 00:42:19,263
This break below it here is shallow and it's short-lived
769
00:42:19,519 --> 00:42:23,871
And then we broke down aggressively through it so classic support resistance Traders are going to do what
770
00:42:24,127 --> 00:42:26,431
We're going to be thinking about that low once it broke through it here
771
00:42:26,687 --> 00:42:27,711
More meaningfully
772
00:42:28,735 --> 00:42:32,575
They're going to assume that that was support broken now turn what resistance
773
00:42:32,831 --> 00:42:34,111
Right so
774
00:42:34,367 --> 00:42:38,207
She would expect price to trade up into that level right here and then trade down from there
775
00:42:38,975 --> 00:42:42,815
Not understanding any of the logic as to why it would do this at all
776
00:42:43,071 --> 00:42:44,095
That's narrative
777
00:42:44,351 --> 00:42:46,143
That's the reason why retail Traders suck
778
00:42:46,399 --> 00:42:52,287
Because they just simply look for support resistance or to look for patterns for pattern's sake and they're Fooled by Randomness
779
00:42:52,799 --> 00:42:54,335
The algorithm is not random
780
00:42:57,407 --> 00:43:02,271
So I teach you to look at a range and Define it in the scope of Premium to discount
781
00:43:02,783 --> 00:43:04,319
Equilibrium is here
782
00:43:04,575 --> 00:43:06,623
And if we're bearish we need the price get
783
00:43:07,135 --> 00:43:09,439
Equilibrium or preferably higher than
784
00:43:09,951 --> 00:43:11,231
To go short
785
00:43:11,487 --> 00:43:13,279
Initiated area here
786
00:43:15,071 --> 00:43:18,143
Why did it not just simply trade
787
00:43:19,423 --> 00:43:21,215
Back to that low and go lower
788
00:43:22,751 --> 00:43:23,775
Why didn't do that
789
00:43:28,639 --> 00:43:31,199
That's our last up close camera right for the engine move lower
790
00:43:31,711 --> 00:43:36,063
Inside the context that this is likely a fair value Gap that is going to stay open
791
00:43:36,319 --> 00:43:39,135
Why cuz it had no ability to get up until it close at all
792
00:43:39,647 --> 00:43:45,791
So that changes the Fairbank app to what a breakaway Gap Breakaway gaps remain open
793
00:43:46,047 --> 00:43:50,399
Open until lower level objectives are fulfilled and delivered and booked
794
00:43:50,655 --> 00:43:56,799
No words it goes lower to a specific price level in the discount then at a later time it might come back up to here but
795
00:43:57,055 --> 00:44:00,895
It could be an undetermined amount of time I don't know when they'll come back to fill in a breakaway got
796
00:44:01,151 --> 00:44:04,223
And if it's bullish Market everything I just said just reverse it
797
00:44:04,735 --> 00:44:08,063
This last of closed candle prior to move lower and taking up
798
00:44:08,831 --> 00:44:09,855
Feeling range low
799
00:44:11,647 --> 00:44:13,439
That is my ICT bearish order block
800
00:44:15,231 --> 00:44:16,511
It trades lower
801
00:44:18,047 --> 00:44:19,071
Comes back up
802
00:44:19,327 --> 00:44:22,143
Doesn't really quite get back to that old low it sells off again
803
00:44:22,911 --> 00:44:24,191
Then it comes back
804
00:44:24,447 --> 00:44:26,751
Ramrods this low here
805
00:44:27,007 --> 00:44:28,799
Does above it and then consolidates
806
00:44:29,567 --> 00:44:30,335
So
807
00:44:30,847 --> 00:44:32,639
Anyone that would have expected this
808
00:44:32,895 --> 00:44:36,479
Little bit of fluctuation through this would have wore them out these are days
809
00:44:37,247 --> 00:44:39,039
These are days of trading S&P
810
00:44:40,575 --> 00:44:41,855
Shorts are going to be scared
811
00:44:42,111 --> 00:44:47,743
It's probably going to go higher why because they see a bull flag run up consolidation and they expected to go higher
812
00:44:49,023 --> 00:44:49,791
We're bearish
813
00:44:51,071 --> 00:44:52,351
We're in a premium Market
814
00:44:52,863 --> 00:44:54,399
And it's going to a bearish order block
815
00:44:55,679 --> 00:45:00,031
Now price is likely to drop lower and replacing and Target what
816
00:45:01,311 --> 00:45:02,335
What's it going to Target
817
00:45:02,847 --> 00:45:05,663
If this is your your trade what's it targeting well
818
00:45:06,687 --> 00:45:09,247
Think about what I talk on this YouTube channel Flagship pattern
819
00:45:10,015 --> 00:45:11,039
Optimal trade entry
820
00:45:12,319 --> 00:45:13,343
From
821
00:45:13,599 --> 00:45:14,367
Hello
822
00:45:14,623 --> 00:45:15,647
79%
823
00:45:15,903 --> 00:45:17,439
60% retracement levels
824
00:45:17,951 --> 00:45:19,743
That's here that's my optimal trade entry
825
00:45:21,279 --> 00:45:22,047
So you can use
826
00:45:22,559 --> 00:45:23,327
Targeting
827
00:45:23,583 --> 00:45:26,143
Approaches where you put the FIB on the bodies here
828
00:45:26,655 --> 00:45:27,679
And here the
829
00:45:27,935 --> 00:45:33,055
Open or close and highest of the open or close and your projections down would be red in here
830
00:45:33,311 --> 00:45:36,127
And I'll leave that for you for study and do it on your own
831
00:45:39,967 --> 00:45:41,759
We have a fair value got that's left open
832
00:45:42,271 --> 00:45:43,295
Bear shorter block
833
00:45:44,319 --> 00:45:46,367
The daily rings has been broken to the downside
834
00:45:46,623 --> 00:45:49,183
The only thing we've done is retrace back into a short-term premium
835
00:45:49,695 --> 00:45:53,535
And Retail Traders are going to see a bull flag we're looking at to go lower
836
00:45:54,047 --> 00:45:55,327
What's going to go lower for
837
00:45:57,119 --> 00:45:58,143
Before you do that
838
00:45:59,167 --> 00:46:01,727
We have a short-term load it's taken here
839
00:46:02,239 --> 00:46:04,543
So we had South Side here and it starts to Rally back up
840
00:46:05,311 --> 00:46:09,407
Was it reaching for next it's going to revert back to my side that's this here
841
00:46:09,919 --> 00:46:13,247
That's why it's not going to go to Simply that level and go lower
842
00:46:13,503 --> 00:46:19,647
It's going to go deeper than to clear off all the by side liquidity so that way it can absorb that
843
00:46:19,903 --> 00:46:21,183
Buying orders
844
00:46:22,207 --> 00:46:25,279
And translate that to a short position for smart money
845
00:46:26,047 --> 00:46:28,863
So counterparty is the buy side being attacked here
846
00:46:30,399 --> 00:46:31,423
So short
847
00:46:31,679 --> 00:46:33,215
In the smart money camp
848
00:46:33,727 --> 00:46:35,775
Can then Target that low down here
849
00:46:37,823 --> 00:46:39,871
So we have my side taken here
850
00:46:40,639 --> 00:46:44,223
The cells I was taking here so now the cell side changes to here
851
00:46:46,015 --> 00:46:48,575
Cuz dealing range is now defined by this low
852
00:46:48,831 --> 00:46:51,391
In this High because by side was taken on this high
853
00:46:52,159 --> 00:46:54,207
So I was taken on this low here
854
00:46:54,463 --> 00:46:57,535
So have a dealing range here how do we find that useful
855
00:46:59,071 --> 00:46:59,839
We're bearish
856
00:47:00,351 --> 00:47:00,863
So
857
00:47:01,119 --> 00:47:02,143
Even though this is
858
00:47:02,655 --> 00:47:08,287
A fair that you got close to around the equilibrium between this low and is high that simply would just be a partial
859
00:47:08,799 --> 00:47:09,823
And we hold for what
860
00:47:10,079 --> 00:47:11,103
Southside to be attacked
861
00:47:14,431 --> 00:47:15,967
But look closer
862
00:47:16,735 --> 00:47:17,247
In here
863
00:47:19,039 --> 00:47:19,551
What do you say
864
00:47:21,343 --> 00:47:22,111
Assum
865
00:47:23,391 --> 00:47:24,927
So here is that area
866
00:47:25,183 --> 00:47:25,695
Here
867
00:47:26,463 --> 00:47:27,231
And
868
00:47:27,487 --> 00:47:33,119
Inside this area of shadedness that I'm taking your attention to the short-term low here
869
00:47:33,631 --> 00:47:36,703
So we have a short-term low here and then it gets taken out
870
00:47:37,215 --> 00:47:39,519
And we have this low here and it starts to Rally up
871
00:47:40,543 --> 00:47:46,687
Look close do you see that this is a swing low again these are daily candles they're not lower intraday charts
872
00:47:47,455 --> 00:47:50,527
We have a low that takes out South Side here
873
00:47:51,551 --> 00:47:54,367
Runs down creates that low one more smaller
874
00:47:54,623 --> 00:47:59,999
Attempt to go lower than this day it does and the following day we open trade down and trade back up
875
00:48:01,535 --> 00:48:02,559
This is a swing low
876
00:48:03,071 --> 00:48:06,655
I want a daily chart after we've taken out Southside below here
877
00:48:07,679 --> 00:48:13,567
And we have short-term cell side the pool here which it runs down into and then creates a swing low
878
00:48:13,823 --> 00:48:16,127
So we're in a discount inside of a discount
879
00:48:17,663 --> 00:48:18,431
Think about that now
880
00:48:19,455 --> 00:48:21,247
If South has been taken here
881
00:48:22,271 --> 00:48:23,807
And South side's been taken
882
00:48:26,623 --> 00:48:27,903
What's it going to revert back to
883
00:48:29,183 --> 00:48:30,207
By side where's that
884
00:48:31,231 --> 00:48:33,023
Swing high on a daily is here
885
00:48:33,279 --> 00:48:34,559
So if it's going to go here
886
00:48:34,815 --> 00:48:36,095
And run to that level
887
00:48:36,351 --> 00:48:39,167
Bayside is simply not just that at that level
888
00:48:39,679 --> 00:48:40,703
What's about that
889
00:48:43,263 --> 00:48:44,031
Bingo
890
00:48:44,543 --> 00:48:45,311
Forgot
891
00:48:46,079 --> 00:48:47,871
We've been talking about that guy for
892
00:48:48,127 --> 00:48:48,895
Couple weeks now
893
00:48:51,711 --> 00:48:53,247
The easy low-hanging fruit
894
00:48:53,503 --> 00:48:58,111
Objective 3880 I gave that on Twitter and I'll talk about that in a couple minutes but
895
00:48:58,367 --> 00:49:00,671
Notice how we had cell citation here
896
00:49:00,927 --> 00:49:04,767
And then the market reverts back to by side and to an imbalance
897
00:49:05,279 --> 00:49:05,791
That Gap
898
00:49:07,583 --> 00:49:13,727
Large range day how did we know or how could we have known that Friday was going to be a large range Date With An up
899
00:49:13,983 --> 00:49:14,751
Movement
900
00:49:15,007 --> 00:49:16,287
Now let's dig into that now
901
00:49:17,311 --> 00:49:20,895
All right so we finally made our way down into the hourly chart for S&P
902
00:49:22,175 --> 00:49:24,735
Here's our Gap from daily chart that's noted here
903
00:49:24,991 --> 00:49:27,807
And here's that old cell side liquidity pool
904
00:49:28,319 --> 00:49:34,463
And we dug down into that and I'm going to add some day dividers here so that we can deal with context I want you to look at the
905
00:49:34,719 --> 00:49:35,487
Profile of the week
906
00:49:35,743 --> 00:49:39,071
Okay now when I say profile that is not volume profile
907
00:49:39,327 --> 00:49:45,471
Okay I did not use volume profile I do not use footprint I do not use depth of Market they
908
00:49:46,751 --> 00:49:47,519
Gimmicks
909
00:49:48,031 --> 00:49:49,823
And I know that's going to upset some of your
910
00:49:51,103 --> 00:49:54,431
Followers that use that stuff okay I promise you
911
00:49:55,199 --> 00:49:55,967
The Market's not
912
00:49:56,223 --> 00:49:59,551
Moving and booking based on those interpretations it's simply not
913
00:50:00,831 --> 00:50:02,111
What I'm about to show you
914
00:50:02,367 --> 00:50:07,231
This is this is it this is what makes the market do what it does okay this is how Price Books
915
00:50:07,487 --> 00:50:13,631
I'll leave it up to you to wrestle with it but I'm the one making money with these trades and you're over there putting things on your charts looking at those things
916
00:50:13,887 --> 00:50:20,031
Things in that price action you're not even relating to how the market is going to deliver on a weekly profile weekly Prof
917
00:50:20,287 --> 00:50:21,311
Files are
918
00:50:22,079 --> 00:50:22,847
Template
919
00:50:23,103 --> 00:50:28,735
Okay how should price deliver I want to walk you through this one here and how I was able to tell you before the fact on Friday
920
00:50:28,991 --> 00:50:30,271
That we would see 3880
921
00:50:31,551 --> 00:50:32,575
So on Monday
922
00:50:33,599 --> 00:50:36,671
We open from all of this nastiness here on the previous week
923
00:50:37,439 --> 00:50:42,303
Demarcus starts right away on Monday just starting to go higher repricing repricing repricing going higher
924
00:50:43,327 --> 00:50:47,423
No one can go short no one can go along because it's just constantly just going higher
925
00:50:48,447 --> 00:50:49,471
If you fight that
926
00:50:49,727 --> 00:50:50,239
You did
927
00:50:51,007 --> 00:50:53,567
You got to wait for some kind of displacement when is that occur
928
00:50:54,079 --> 00:50:58,431
On Tuesday we have a little bit of a movement here and then breaks down
929
00:50:59,711 --> 00:51:00,479
Then
930
00:51:00,991 --> 00:51:03,039
Southside is taken and
931
00:51:03,295 --> 00:51:05,087
Think about what I showed you on that daily chart
932
00:51:06,111 --> 00:51:07,391
We now have a swing low
933
00:51:08,671 --> 00:51:09,951
So on Thursday
934
00:51:10,463 --> 00:51:12,255
We can anticipate the market doing what
935
00:51:13,535 --> 00:51:15,071
Coming back down to a discount
936
00:51:16,351 --> 00:51:17,631
Rallying up
937
00:51:17,887 --> 00:51:20,447
And right about here that's why I said weekly objective
938
00:51:20,703 --> 00:51:21,471
On Twitter
939
00:51:21,983 --> 00:51:23,007
Is 3880
940
00:51:23,775 --> 00:51:26,079
Now why did I pick that I'll tell you in a moment
941
00:51:26,847 --> 00:51:31,711
But Friday notice what we have here the Market's already moved above all the consolidation here
942
00:51:32,735 --> 00:51:34,527
It's not likely to do what
943
00:51:35,295 --> 00:51:36,575
Have a sharp movement lower
944
00:51:37,087 --> 00:51:39,903
It's not going to take South Side out because it's already done so here
945
00:51:41,183 --> 00:51:42,463
In the consolidation
946
00:51:43,231 --> 00:51:45,023
It's already worked into this fair lady got
947
00:51:45,279 --> 00:51:48,095
Here twice with a spell stop run there
948
00:51:48,351 --> 00:51:53,983
Taking out here digging deeper into the disembalance leaving the bottom portion of that and balance open making it what
949
00:51:55,519 --> 00:51:56,287
A breakaway guy
950
00:51:58,079 --> 00:52:04,223
So it's indicating that it's not likely to have retracements of any magnitude that would see this Revisited again
951
00:52:05,247 --> 00:52:06,015
So we had
952
00:52:06,271 --> 00:52:10,879
This level taken out here retracing back down into a short-term discount from low to high
953
00:52:11,391 --> 00:52:15,231
Fairbanks into this here and then once more on Thursday
954
00:52:15,743 --> 00:52:18,047
It rallies comes back down in
955
00:52:18,559 --> 00:52:20,351
Retraces and this is where
956
00:52:20,607 --> 00:52:22,911
I'll talk about what I was wrong about on
957
00:52:23,167 --> 00:52:23,935
Thursday
958
00:52:24,191 --> 00:52:25,471
But right about
959
00:52:25,727 --> 00:52:27,007
The second part of the day
960
00:52:27,519 --> 00:52:32,895
But Friday we just started consolidating had a little bit of movement on a lower time frame in London which I'll show you
961
00:52:33,151 --> 00:52:37,247
And then off to the races because the market only had Friday to fulfill
962
00:52:37,503 --> 00:52:38,783
They run into that guy
963
00:52:39,551 --> 00:52:40,831
Everybody
964
00:52:41,343 --> 00:52:42,367
Knew about this guy
965
00:52:42,879 --> 00:52:44,671
Nobody knew when it was going to hit
966
00:52:44,927 --> 00:52:45,951
Until
967
00:52:46,207 --> 00:52:47,231
Around Thursday
968
00:52:48,511 --> 00:52:51,071
That's kind of like what I was hinting at on Thursdays Trading
969
00:52:52,351 --> 00:52:53,375
So on Thursday
970
00:52:55,167 --> 00:52:57,727
I was looking for a run into this level here
971
00:52:57,983 --> 00:52:59,775
And initially I was wrong
972
00:53:00,287 --> 00:53:01,567
Took a trade
973
00:53:01,823 --> 00:53:07,967
Got stopped out plus two points and while it wasn't a loss I was incorrect about it running to here but
974
00:53:08,223 --> 00:53:11,039
But what I was expecting was and I mentioned this on Twitter
975
00:53:12,319 --> 00:53:14,111
I was looking for a run up into here
976
00:53:14,367 --> 00:53:17,439
And trade back down and I think I did this discussion on
977
00:53:19,487 --> 00:53:21,791
The video on this YouTube channel also
978
00:53:22,047 --> 00:53:25,375
Priceless video so I don't know what date that was or what the title was but just
979
00:53:25,631 --> 00:53:28,959
Take my word for it I cover this and talk about what I was looking for and why
980
00:53:29,215 --> 00:53:32,543
But I want to see this level taken out here and then drop down into that
981
00:53:32,799 --> 00:53:34,335
To be a long
982
00:53:34,591 --> 00:53:36,639
And look for high prices
983
00:53:37,919 --> 00:53:44,063
It did that but it didn't give me the run first here then drop down cuz I wanted to see this
984
00:53:44,319 --> 00:53:50,463
Taken out I was going to go short there after long so I was longing shorting reversing it writing it down here I was going to go along there and then hold for
985
00:53:50,719 --> 00:53:53,279
3880 that was my plan for the week that's the
986
00:53:55,327 --> 00:54:01,215
Video I wanted to talk about like right now that was what I wanted to cover on Friday as a review saying this is what I did and I didn't why I did it
987
00:54:01,727 --> 00:54:02,239
But
988
00:54:02,495 --> 00:54:03,519
It denied me
989
00:54:03,775 --> 00:54:04,799
That run here
990
00:54:05,311 --> 00:54:06,079
That's fine
991
00:54:06,591 --> 00:54:12,479
This level here I got in sync with the marketplace made some cash and then on Friday did it again as well
992
00:54:14,527 --> 00:54:15,551
Imbalance right there
993
00:54:16,063 --> 00:54:19,391
That's what I used to justify the run up into
994
00:54:19,647 --> 00:54:24,767
3850 and there's two setups that were made available if you were looking forward to and we'll cover that now
995
00:54:27,839 --> 00:54:28,607
3880
996
00:54:28,863 --> 00:54:29,887
This was the tweet
997
00:54:30,143 --> 00:54:31,167
You can see the time
998
00:54:31,679 --> 00:54:33,727
On the 23rd so right in here
999
00:54:36,543 --> 00:54:37,311
What about in there
1000
00:54:38,079 --> 00:54:40,127
And the market consolidated
1001
00:54:40,639 --> 00:54:42,687
So because it's consolidating
1002
00:54:42,943 --> 00:54:49,087
I don't expect it to drop down because everybody wants it to go oversold they want to see some kind of harmonic pattern
1003
00:54:49,343 --> 00:54:52,415
Agartly a bullish
1004
00:54:53,951 --> 00:54:57,023
Divergence in some indicators something to that effect
1005
00:54:57,791 --> 00:55:00,095
When the market to this close to the Gap
1006
00:55:00,607 --> 00:55:05,215
For some premium array and you only have that day before the week closes
1007
00:55:05,471 --> 00:55:11,615
When everybody with any insight would know that this is where it's drawing back up into cuz it's a gap it's a real Gap
1008
00:55:12,639 --> 00:55:14,687
Actual gaps have a tendency of filling in
1009
00:55:15,455 --> 00:55:20,319
And it's an obvious Target so I know some of you hardliners in here that are very critical of me
1010
00:55:20,575 --> 00:55:24,415
Well this is everybody does this everybody does that okay we'll post your trade
1011
00:55:24,671 --> 00:55:30,815
Post it that you knew about it beforehand you outline it beforehand and you actually traded it because I
1012
00:55:31,071 --> 00:55:34,143
I already done that all right we're going to drop down into a 15 minute time frame
1013
00:55:35,423 --> 00:55:37,215
You can see the fair bag you got here
1014
00:55:38,751 --> 00:55:40,543
Drop down into it in London
1015
00:55:41,823 --> 00:55:44,383
Consolidated into another run into
1016
00:55:44,895 --> 00:55:45,663
That fair lady
1017
00:55:45,919 --> 00:55:46,687
In London
1018
00:55:47,199 --> 00:55:47,967
And
1019
00:55:48,223 --> 00:55:49,503
Aggressive run
1020
00:55:49,759 --> 00:55:51,807
Right at the 9:00 hour
1021
00:55:52,063 --> 00:55:56,671
Market was not going to give anybody an opportunity to see a deeper retracement
1022
00:55:56,927 --> 00:56:00,767
And inside this run I'll show you what it look like also but this is the
1023
00:56:01,791 --> 00:56:05,375
Low hanging fruit objective this is what I tweeted as if I posted on Twitter
1024
00:56:05,631 --> 00:56:09,727
The day before said we would look for 3880 why is that low hanging fruit
1025
00:56:11,007 --> 00:56:17,151
Low hanging fruit is the easy objective this is how I teach my students now obviously the Gap being closed entirely would be up
1026
00:56:17,919 --> 00:56:24,063
Well it may not have done that on Friday only had just Friday to get up to this level it may have just fell
1027
00:56:24,319 --> 00:56:24,831
Short of it
1028
00:56:25,599 --> 00:56:27,903
So the low end of the Fairbank app is down here
1029
00:56:28,159 --> 00:56:30,719
So what's the nice round new 10 level
1030
00:56:31,231 --> 00:56:33,791
Into the Gap the first one 3880
1031
00:56:34,303 --> 00:56:35,839
That's why I like to use 38
1032
00:56:36,095 --> 00:56:41,727
Case that we know it wasn't for some random number I told you to logic here I said how I used it
1033
00:56:42,239 --> 00:56:42,751
Determined
1034
00:56:45,823 --> 00:56:47,359
Really into one minute chart
1035
00:56:47,615 --> 00:56:49,407
You can see at the New York session
1036
00:56:50,687 --> 00:56:52,223
At 9:30 equities opening
1037
00:56:52,735 --> 00:56:54,783
We see a run aggressively here
1038
00:56:56,063 --> 00:56:59,903
Babe I got it drops down into it buying opportunity if you were
1039
00:57:00,415 --> 00:57:01,951
Trading with the New York
1040
00:57:02,207 --> 00:57:03,231
9:30 opening
1041
00:57:03,743 --> 00:57:06,559
And the Target that got the Shaded area up here
1042
00:57:07,071 --> 00:57:08,351
You could be a buyer here
1043
00:57:09,119 --> 00:57:10,143
Market rise up
1044
00:57:10,655 --> 00:57:14,239
Crease another fair value got there again thinking about that Weekly profile
1045
00:57:15,519 --> 00:57:17,311
Don't expect it to retrace
1046
00:57:17,823 --> 00:57:23,711
Don't expect it to have any kind of movement lower it's in a hurry folks it's been stagnant most of the week
1047
00:57:23,967 --> 00:57:28,831
Waiting for price to show a willingness to want to go higher once it showed that
1048
00:57:29,087 --> 00:57:32,159
It wasn't coming back to Old resistance broken turned support
1049
00:57:33,695 --> 00:57:35,231
Think about what I showed on the hourly chart
1050
00:57:35,743 --> 00:57:38,559
Rewind the video back to the hourly you can see how
1051
00:57:38,815 --> 00:57:40,863
The market did not once it broke above
1052
00:57:41,375 --> 00:57:47,519
It did not come back down to what logical support level would be seen with retail seeing old High
1053
00:57:47,775 --> 00:57:53,919
Broken let's wait for to come back and touch it again if that doesn't work folks it's not when you have time crunched like it is here
1054
00:57:54,175 --> 00:57:55,455
Friday was the day of delivery
1055
00:57:56,479 --> 00:57:57,247
Thursday
1056
00:57:57,759 --> 00:58:02,367
In the evening one minute after 11:00 my local time Eastern time in the United States
1057
00:58:02,623 --> 00:58:06,207
I said 38 years the next drawing that's my weekly objective
1058
00:58:06,463 --> 00:58:08,511
Making it public that way you know
1059
00:58:08,767 --> 00:58:09,535
There it is
1060
00:58:09,791 --> 00:58:11,327
And here's where it went to
1061
00:58:12,863 --> 00:58:14,655
You have obviously a set up here
1062
00:58:14,911 --> 00:58:17,727
And you have a set up here no retracements
1063
00:58:18,495 --> 00:58:21,055
No funny money just straight to
1064
00:58:21,567 --> 00:58:23,359
The draw of that daily Gap
1065
00:58:24,639 --> 00:58:25,919
So what's the benefit of
1066
00:58:26,175 --> 00:58:28,991
Knowing what the weekly profile is going to be
1067
00:58:29,759 --> 00:58:32,575
Knowing where to draw on liquidity is where's it likely to go
1068
00:58:35,391 --> 00:58:37,183
It's not my goal here
1069
00:58:37,439 --> 00:58:41,535
To devalue my private mentorship because they were told this
1070
00:58:41,791 --> 00:58:42,559
Beforehand
1071
00:58:44,095 --> 00:58:46,911
Before the week was going on we were looking for that
1072
00:58:47,423 --> 00:58:50,751
Okay that's the only distinction that separates
1073
00:58:51,007 --> 00:58:52,287
This public
1074
00:58:52,543 --> 00:58:58,687
Mentorship versus those individuals that have joined and you can't join folks but and please don't
1075
00:58:59,711 --> 00:59:05,855
Get upset because I'm actually teaching you how to do these things so you don't need me to do that but that mentorship
1076
00:59:06,111 --> 00:59:10,207
Was there and made available to people that needed that holding of a hand
1077
00:59:10,719 --> 00:59:16,863
This is what I think it should do next and then you study with that that logic here I'm going to talk about what has already happened
1078
00:59:17,119 --> 00:59:22,495
The comment section is open my students are welcome to come here and post down there and say I was a liar
1079
00:59:22,751 --> 00:59:24,799
If I didn't say this is where the market was going to go
1080
00:59:25,567 --> 00:59:26,591
You were told
1081
00:59:26,847 --> 00:59:30,431
The very night before but they known days before
1082
00:59:31,455 --> 00:59:37,599
Okay so it's not a oh it's going to the Gap and I'm lucky here and we knew about it beforehand but the
1083
00:59:37,855 --> 00:59:39,135
Project that I use
1084
00:59:39,391 --> 00:59:45,279
To tell that Community I'm teaching that here publicly as a mentorship
1085
00:59:45,791 --> 00:59:51,935
This is this is the understanding it's not going to fluctuate it's not going to be willy-nilly wishy washy it's going to be straight
1086
00:59:52,191 --> 00:59:52,959
To the point
1087
00:59:53,471 --> 00:59:56,543
In the point requires a lot of explanation
1088
00:59:56,799 --> 00:59:58,335
You should want that
1089
00:59:58,591 --> 01:00:04,735
If you're satisfied with this is what it looks like you Buy Here Sell Here stop here there's you're never going to find consistency
1090
01:00:04,991 --> 01:00:08,575
But that because what makes that set up high probability
1091
01:00:09,343 --> 01:00:13,695
That's what's lacking look around on YouTube look around in every teaching circuit
1092
01:00:15,487 --> 01:00:17,279
Everybody wants to do the Flash and a pen
1093
01:00:17,535 --> 01:00:22,399
Cliff Notes version of what I teach and that's why their students
1094
01:00:22,911 --> 01:00:23,679
Suck
1095
01:00:25,727 --> 01:00:27,263
Because they have no idea what's going on
1096
01:00:27,775 --> 01:00:29,055
Unless they hear me talk about it
1097
01:00:29,567 --> 01:00:35,199
In my personal private group then they go and they make their little videos and it's a little courses and they make little commentaries
1098
01:00:35,455 --> 01:00:36,991
But it's my stuff that you're saying
1099
01:00:37,503 --> 01:00:40,063
So what I have done is taking that away
1100
01:00:42,111 --> 01:00:43,647
And laid out here publicly
1101
01:00:43,903 --> 01:00:45,183
And you'll start seeing
1102
01:00:45,951 --> 01:00:49,279
Who's been copying who so
1103
01:00:49,791 --> 01:00:53,631
Granite Friday was a you know is a blistering run higher
1104
01:00:55,679 --> 01:01:00,543
Most of you probably didn't participate in it but I did talk about this very approach
1105
01:01:01,311 --> 01:01:04,383
To engage in a fair value Gap when the market does not do
1106
01:01:04,895 --> 01:01:11,039
A drop down when it's bullish for a Jew to swing and take out sell stops cuz sometimes it's going to create these opportunities how could you
1107
01:01:11,295 --> 01:01:12,575
You know it was going to do this
1108
01:01:12,831 --> 01:01:14,111
I taught you that in this lecture
1109
01:01:14,367 --> 01:01:17,951
Because of the weekly profile that got that was looming above
1110
01:01:18,975 --> 01:01:23,071
The daily chart with the Shaded here the fact that we only had Friday to get to it
1111
01:01:24,607 --> 01:01:28,191
In the market was just basically saying we're not going lower
1112
01:01:28,703 --> 01:01:34,591
We're not going to go any lower and it kept taking out by side but not drawing down and completely breaking
1113
01:01:35,103 --> 01:01:35,615
Lower
1114
01:01:36,639 --> 01:01:39,199
It would go for a short-term area of sell side
1115
01:01:39,967 --> 01:01:46,111
But then immediately rebound and go higher to take out by side again so what that was indicating to me as the analyst
1116
01:01:46,623 --> 01:01:48,415
They're gravitating towards this Gap
1117
01:01:49,439 --> 01:01:50,207
So
1118
01:01:50,463 --> 01:01:56,607
You wait each day now I thought that we could have started to run up to it Thursday a little bit better than we did
1119
01:01:57,119 --> 01:01:59,167
Like I was expecting a whole lot more energy
1120
01:01:59,679 --> 01:02:00,447
On Thursday
1121
01:02:00,959 --> 01:02:05,311
But because we didn't get that and that's why Friday was it
1122
01:02:05,567 --> 01:02:11,199
That was the big hurray that was the floodgates opening up and you better be on board or get the hell out of the way
1123
01:02:12,479 --> 01:02:13,503
And he have it
1124
01:02:14,271 --> 01:02:16,319
Now obviously this lesson
1125
01:02:16,575 --> 01:02:20,927
Is it going to answer everything for all of you you're going to have a million new questions and guess what
1126
01:02:22,463 --> 01:02:28,607
Wonderful that's being mentored because I promise you as we go forward those questions will get
1127
01:02:28,863 --> 01:02:31,423
Answered and I don't have to do it in a response in a comment
1128
01:02:31,679 --> 01:02:33,471
Just write it down in your Journal
1129
01:02:33,727 --> 01:02:35,263
Questions that need to be addressed
1130
01:02:35,775 --> 01:02:40,127
And you watch and see because the way I talk and teach and show examples
1131
01:02:40,383 --> 01:02:41,919
You will get that answer
1132
01:02:42,431 --> 01:02:48,575
But it has to come in the natural progression of me teaching the way I teach cuz I'm not going to change gears I'm not going to
1133
01:02:48,831 --> 01:02:53,951
Going to have it your way mentorship Mentor okay I'm not going to be that that person for you okay
1134
01:02:54,207 --> 01:02:57,279
I like things my way they name streets after me one way
1135
01:02:57,535 --> 01:03:03,679
And unfortunately that rubs a lot of people wrong but I promise you if you submit to what I'm doing and teaching you
1136
01:03:03,935 --> 01:03:05,215
You're going to get what you're looking for
1137
01:03:05,727 --> 01:03:08,799
You're not going to get it on a timeline you want but you're going to get it
1138
01:03:10,079 --> 01:03:16,223
Perfectly packaged you'll understand everything as the what it is you're trying to do what you're looking for when not to do
1139
01:03:16,479 --> 01:03:21,599
Something why should you be sitting still why should you be avoiding specific markets you're going to know all that stuff
1140
01:03:21,855 --> 01:03:24,159
And that's what makes a consistent
1141
01:03:24,415 --> 01:03:25,183
Profitable
1142
01:03:25,439 --> 01:03:25,951
Trader
1143
01:03:26,719 --> 01:03:29,535
Because anything apart from when I'm teaching you here
1144
01:03:30,559 --> 01:03:31,327
It's gambling
1145
01:03:31,583 --> 01:03:35,167
Genesis circumstances that led to you just being right that time
1146
01:03:35,679 --> 01:03:37,215
And you going to Tribute that to
1147
01:03:37,471 --> 01:03:39,263
Retail things indicators
1148
01:03:40,543 --> 01:03:41,823
Volume profile
1149
01:03:42,079 --> 01:03:46,175
Elliott wave harmonic supply and demand whatever
1150
01:03:46,431 --> 01:03:48,991
Put a fill in the blank it's it's all that stuff
1151
01:03:49,759 --> 01:03:54,367
And I know that that's what makes a lot of you upset with me because maybe you're making money
1152
01:03:54,623 --> 01:04:00,767
With some of that stuff but I promise you if you go back and look at your examples where you made money align it with this and you'll see why
1153
01:04:01,023 --> 01:04:01,535
Paid really worked
1154
01:04:02,047 --> 01:04:03,327
And when you failed
1155
01:04:03,583 --> 01:04:07,423
Look at what I'm teaching and you'll see that's the reason why your trades are feeling
1156
01:04:08,447 --> 01:04:11,519
I know it sounds arrogant I know that sounds very pompous
1157
01:04:12,031 --> 01:04:13,311
But it doesn't change the fact
1158
01:04:14,079 --> 01:04:15,103
It is what it is
1159
01:04:15,615 --> 01:04:16,639
Until next time
1160
01:04:17,151 --> 01:04:17,663
Be safe
95954
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