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These are the user uploaded subtitles that are being translated: 0 00:00:16,109 --> 00:00:18,260 First, a video. 1 00:00:24,657 --> 00:00:27,459 Yes, it is a scrambled egg. 2 00:00:29,411 --> 00:00:30,744 But as you look at it, 3 00:00:30,768 --> 00:00:34,879 I hope you'll begin to feel just slightly uneasy. 4 00:00:36,649 --> 00:00:39,987 Because you may notice that what's actually happening 5 00:00:40,011 --> 00:00:42,236 is that the egg is unscrambling itself. 6 00:00:42,260 --> 00:00:44,959 And you'll now see the yolk and the white have separated. 7 00:00:44,983 --> 00:00:48,006 And now they're going to be poured back into the egg. 8 00:00:48,030 --> 00:00:50,498 And we all know in our heart of hearts 9 00:00:50,522 --> 00:00:53,537 that this is not the way the universe works. 10 00:00:54,696 --> 00:00:57,801 A scrambled egg is mush -- tasty mush -- but it's mush. 11 00:00:57,825 --> 00:01:00,236 An egg is a beautiful, sophisticated thing 12 00:01:00,260 --> 00:01:02,499 that can create even more sophisticated things, 13 00:01:02,523 --> 00:01:03,840 such as chickens. 14 00:01:04,332 --> 00:01:06,236 And we know in our heart of hearts 15 00:01:06,260 --> 00:01:10,024 that the universe does not travel from mush to complexity. 16 00:01:10,450 --> 00:01:12,845 In fact, this gut instinct 17 00:01:12,869 --> 00:01:15,741 is reflected in one of the most fundamental laws of physics, 18 00:01:15,765 --> 00:01:18,590 the second law of thermodynamics, or the law of entropy. 19 00:01:19,162 --> 00:01:20,921 What that says basically 20 00:01:20,945 --> 00:01:24,072 is that the general tendency of the universe 21 00:01:24,096 --> 00:01:27,699 is to move from order and structure 22 00:01:27,723 --> 00:01:30,387 to lack of order, lack of structure -- 23 00:01:30,411 --> 00:01:31,875 in fact, to mush. 24 00:01:31,899 --> 00:01:35,122 And that's why that video feels a bit strange. 25 00:01:35,685 --> 00:01:38,414 And yet, look around us. 26 00:01:39,454 --> 00:01:42,930 What we see around us is staggering complexity. 27 00:01:43,549 --> 00:01:46,838 Eric Beinhocker estimates that in New York City alone, 28 00:01:46,862 --> 00:01:50,416 there are some 10 billion SKUs, or distinct commodities, being traded. 29 00:01:50,932 --> 00:01:54,900 That's hundreds of times as many species as there are on Earth. 30 00:01:55,260 --> 00:01:59,236 And they're being traded by a species of almost seven billion individuals, 31 00:01:59,260 --> 00:02:02,645 who are linked by trade, travel, and the Internet 32 00:02:02,669 --> 00:02:06,358 into a global system of stupendous complexity. 33 00:02:07,826 --> 00:02:09,302 So here's a great puzzle: 34 00:02:10,191 --> 00:02:14,838 in a universe ruled by the second law of thermodynamics, 35 00:02:14,862 --> 00:02:16,666 how is it possible 36 00:02:16,690 --> 00:02:19,236 to generate the sort of complexity I've described, 37 00:02:19,260 --> 00:02:23,048 the sort of complexity represented by you and me 38 00:02:23,072 --> 00:02:24,761 and the convention center? 39 00:02:26,119 --> 00:02:28,072 Well, the answer seems to be, 40 00:02:28,096 --> 00:02:31,236 the universe can create complexity, 41 00:02:31,260 --> 00:02:32,815 but with great difficulty. 42 00:02:33,870 --> 00:02:34,967 In pockets, 43 00:02:34,991 --> 00:02:37,308 there appear what my colleague, Fred Spier, 44 00:02:37,332 --> 00:02:39,474 calls "Goldilocks conditions" -- 45 00:02:39,498 --> 00:02:41,549 not too hot, not too cold, 46 00:02:41,573 --> 00:02:44,236 just right for the creation of complexity. 47 00:02:44,260 --> 00:02:46,527 And slightly more complex things appear. 48 00:02:46,551 --> 00:02:48,790 And where you have slightly more complex things, 49 00:02:48,814 --> 00:02:51,186 you can get slightly more complex things. 50 00:02:51,210 --> 00:02:55,236 And in this way, complexity builds stage by stage. 51 00:02:56,135 --> 00:02:58,413 Each stage is magical 52 00:02:58,437 --> 00:03:02,010 because it creates the impression of something utterly new 53 00:03:02,034 --> 00:03:04,837 appearing almost out of nowhere in the universe. 54 00:03:04,861 --> 00:03:08,092 We refer in big history to these moments as threshold moments. 55 00:03:09,131 --> 00:03:12,236 And at each threshold, the going gets tougher. 56 00:03:12,260 --> 00:03:15,502 The complex things get more fragile, 57 00:03:15,526 --> 00:03:17,236 more vulnerable; 58 00:03:17,260 --> 00:03:20,791 the Goldilocks conditions get more stringent, 59 00:03:20,815 --> 00:03:23,802 and it's more difficult to create complexity. 60 00:03:24,728 --> 00:03:28,032 Now, we, as extremely complex creatures, 61 00:03:28,056 --> 00:03:30,236 desperately need to know this story 62 00:03:30,260 --> 00:03:34,918 of how the universe creates complexity despite the second law, 63 00:03:34,942 --> 00:03:39,974 and why complexity means vulnerability and fragility. 64 00:03:40,745 --> 00:03:43,665 And that's the story that we tell in big history. 65 00:03:43,689 --> 00:03:45,396 But to do it, you have do something 66 00:03:45,420 --> 00:03:48,125 that may, at first sight, seem completely impossible. 67 00:03:48,149 --> 00:03:51,329 You have to survey the whole history of the universe. 68 00:03:52,748 --> 00:03:53,748 So let's do it. 69 00:03:54,260 --> 00:03:56,169 (Laughter) 70 00:03:56,193 --> 00:03:59,639 Let's begin by winding the timeline back 71 00:03:59,663 --> 00:04:02,559 13.7 billion years, 72 00:04:02,583 --> 00:04:05,260 to the beginning of time. 73 00:04:12,581 --> 00:04:14,235 Around us, there's nothing. 74 00:04:14,986 --> 00:04:17,692 There's not even time or space. 75 00:04:18,474 --> 00:04:22,172 Imagine the darkest, emptiest thing you can 76 00:04:22,196 --> 00:04:25,513 and cube it a gazillion times and that's where we are. 77 00:04:25,992 --> 00:04:28,332 And then suddenly, 78 00:04:28,356 --> 00:04:29,364 bang! 79 00:04:29,388 --> 00:04:31,595 A universe appears, an entire universe. 80 00:04:31,619 --> 00:04:33,475 And we've crossed our first threshold. 81 00:04:33,499 --> 00:04:35,872 The universe is tiny; it's smaller than an atom. 82 00:04:35,896 --> 00:04:37,236 It's incredibly hot. 83 00:04:37,260 --> 00:04:39,785 It contains everything that's in today's universe, 84 00:04:39,809 --> 00:04:41,603 so you can imagine, it's busting. 85 00:04:41,627 --> 00:04:44,236 And it's expanding at incredible speed. 86 00:04:44,260 --> 00:04:46,173 And at first, it's just a blur, 87 00:04:46,197 --> 00:04:49,307 but very quickly distinct things begin to appear in that blur. 88 00:04:49,743 --> 00:04:51,236 Within the first second, 89 00:04:51,260 --> 00:04:54,236 energy itself shatters into distinct forces 90 00:04:54,260 --> 00:04:57,342 including electromagnetism and gravity. 91 00:04:57,366 --> 00:04:59,794 And energy does something else quite magical: 92 00:04:59,818 --> 00:05:03,050 it congeals to form matter -- 93 00:05:03,074 --> 00:05:05,404 quarks that will create protons 94 00:05:05,428 --> 00:05:07,566 and leptons that include electrons. 95 00:05:07,590 --> 00:05:09,693 And all of that happens in the first second. 96 00:05:09,717 --> 00:05:13,946 Now we move forward 380,000 years. 97 00:05:14,260 --> 00:05:17,907 That's twice as long as humans have been on this planet. 98 00:05:17,931 --> 00:05:22,671 And now simple atoms appear of hydrogen and helium. 99 00:05:23,877 --> 00:05:25,480 Now I want to pause for a moment, 100 00:05:25,504 --> 00:05:28,236 380,000 years after the origins of the universe, 101 00:05:28,260 --> 00:05:32,236 because we actually know quite a lot about the universe at this stage. 102 00:05:32,773 --> 00:05:35,694 We know above all that it was extremely simple. 103 00:05:35,718 --> 00:05:39,517 It consisted of huge clouds of hydrogen and helium atoms, 104 00:05:39,541 --> 00:05:41,469 and they have no structure. 105 00:05:41,493 --> 00:05:43,860 They're really a sort of cosmic mush. 106 00:05:44,652 --> 00:05:46,322 But that's not completely true. 107 00:05:46,732 --> 00:05:48,236 Recent studies 108 00:05:48,260 --> 00:05:51,121 by satellites such as the WMAP satellite 109 00:05:51,145 --> 00:05:52,722 have shown that, in fact, 110 00:05:52,746 --> 00:05:55,495 there are just tiny differences in that background. 111 00:05:55,519 --> 00:05:57,236 What you see here, 112 00:05:57,260 --> 00:06:01,566 the blue areas are about a thousandth of a degree cooler 113 00:06:01,590 --> 00:06:02,982 than the red areas. 114 00:06:03,006 --> 00:06:04,379 These are tiny differences, 115 00:06:04,403 --> 00:06:06,673 but it was enough for the universe to move on 116 00:06:06,697 --> 00:06:08,672 to the next stage of building complexity. 117 00:06:08,696 --> 00:06:09,888 And this is how it works. 118 00:06:10,895 --> 00:06:15,143 Gravity is more powerful where there's more stuff. 119 00:06:15,817 --> 00:06:18,135 So where you get slightly denser areas, 120 00:06:18,159 --> 00:06:22,076 gravity starts compacting clouds of hydrogen and helium atoms. 121 00:06:22,100 --> 00:06:25,650 So we can imagine the early universe breaking up into a billion clouds. 122 00:06:25,674 --> 00:06:27,476 And each cloud is compacted, 123 00:06:27,500 --> 00:06:30,516 gravity gets more powerful as density increases, 124 00:06:30,540 --> 00:06:33,634 the temperature begins to rise at the center of each cloud, 125 00:06:33,658 --> 00:06:34,947 and then, at the center, 126 00:06:34,971 --> 00:06:37,809 the temperature crosses the threshold temperature 127 00:06:37,833 --> 00:06:39,399 of 10 million degrees, 128 00:06:39,423 --> 00:06:41,828 protons start to fuse, 129 00:06:41,852 --> 00:06:44,236 there's a huge release of energy, 130 00:06:44,260 --> 00:06:45,693 and -- 131 00:06:45,717 --> 00:06:46,733 bam! 132 00:06:46,757 --> 00:06:48,272 We have our first stars. 133 00:06:48,938 --> 00:06:52,796 From about 200 million years after the Big Bang, 134 00:06:52,820 --> 00:06:56,227 stars begin to appear all through the universe, 135 00:06:56,251 --> 00:06:57,322 billions of them. 136 00:06:57,759 --> 00:07:00,615 And the universe is now significantly more interesting 137 00:07:00,639 --> 00:07:01,734 and more complex. 138 00:07:03,188 --> 00:07:06,304 Stars will create the Goldilocks conditions 139 00:07:06,328 --> 00:07:08,227 for crossing two new thresholds. 140 00:07:08,631 --> 00:07:11,210 When very large stars die, 141 00:07:11,234 --> 00:07:13,555 they create temperatures so high 142 00:07:13,579 --> 00:07:17,212 that protons begin to fuse in all sorts of exotic combinations, 143 00:07:17,236 --> 00:07:20,066 to form all the elements of the periodic table. 144 00:07:20,090 --> 00:07:22,386 If, like me, you're wearing a gold ring, 145 00:07:22,410 --> 00:07:25,236 it was forged in a supernova explosion. 146 00:07:25,878 --> 00:07:29,077 So now the universe is chemically more complex. 147 00:07:29,101 --> 00:07:31,466 And in a chemically more complex universe, 148 00:07:31,490 --> 00:07:33,934 it's possible to make more things. 149 00:07:33,958 --> 00:07:37,450 And what starts happening is that, around young suns, 150 00:07:37,474 --> 00:07:39,236 young stars, 151 00:07:39,260 --> 00:07:41,451 all these elements combine, they swirl around, 152 00:07:41,475 --> 00:07:44,255 the energy of the star stirs them around, 153 00:07:44,279 --> 00:07:49,004 they form particles, they form snowflakes, they form little dust motes, 154 00:07:49,028 --> 00:07:51,224 they form rocks, they form asteroids, 155 00:07:51,248 --> 00:07:53,843 and eventually, they form planets and moons. 156 00:07:53,867 --> 00:07:56,817 And that is how our solar system was formed, 157 00:07:56,841 --> 00:07:59,236 four and a half billion years ago. 158 00:08:00,453 --> 00:08:05,826 Rocky planets like our Earth are significantly more complex than stars 159 00:08:05,850 --> 00:08:08,612 because they contain a much greater diversity of materials. 160 00:08:08,636 --> 00:08:11,417 So we've crossed a fourth threshold of complexity. 161 00:08:12,931 --> 00:08:15,558 Now, the going gets tougher. 162 00:08:16,411 --> 00:08:20,689 The next stage introduces entities that are significantly more fragile, 163 00:08:20,713 --> 00:08:22,625 significantly more vulnerable, 164 00:08:22,649 --> 00:08:25,236 but they're also much more creative 165 00:08:25,260 --> 00:08:28,236 and much more capable of generating further complexity. 166 00:08:28,606 --> 00:08:32,030 I'm talking, of course, about living organisms. 167 00:08:32,734 --> 00:08:34,877 Living organisms are created by chemistry. 168 00:08:34,901 --> 00:08:37,284 We are huge packages of chemicals. 169 00:08:38,115 --> 00:08:41,236 So, chemistry is dominated by the electromagnetic force. 170 00:08:41,260 --> 00:08:43,499 That operates over smaller scales than gravity, 171 00:08:43,523 --> 00:08:47,438 which explains why you and I are smaller than stars or planets. 172 00:08:48,033 --> 00:08:50,327 Now, what are the ideal conditions for chemistry? 173 00:08:50,874 --> 00:08:52,644 What are the Goldilocks conditions? 174 00:08:52,668 --> 00:08:55,025 Well, first, you need energy, 175 00:08:55,049 --> 00:08:56,236 but not too much. 176 00:08:56,665 --> 00:08:58,920 In the center of a star, there's so much energy 177 00:08:58,944 --> 00:09:02,086 that any atoms that combine will just get busted apart again. 178 00:09:02,110 --> 00:09:03,236 But not too little. 179 00:09:03,642 --> 00:09:04,873 In intergalactic space, 180 00:09:04,897 --> 00:09:07,780 there's so little energy that atoms can't combine. 181 00:09:08,378 --> 00:09:10,236 What you want is just the right amount, 182 00:09:10,260 --> 00:09:12,260 and planets, it turns out, are just right, 183 00:09:12,284 --> 00:09:14,791 because they're close to stars, but not too close. 184 00:09:15,394 --> 00:09:18,989 You also need a great diversity of chemical elements, 185 00:09:19,013 --> 00:09:22,021 and you need liquids, such as water. 186 00:09:22,045 --> 00:09:23,092 Why? 187 00:09:23,116 --> 00:09:26,988 Well, in gases, atoms move past each other so fast 188 00:09:27,012 --> 00:09:28,465 that they can't hitch up. 189 00:09:28,950 --> 00:09:30,672 In solids, 190 00:09:30,696 --> 00:09:33,236 atoms are stuck together, they can't move. 191 00:09:33,260 --> 00:09:34,978 In liquids, 192 00:09:35,002 --> 00:09:38,040 they can cruise and cuddle 193 00:09:38,064 --> 00:09:40,366 and link up to form molecules. 194 00:09:41,040 --> 00:09:43,395 Now, where do you find such Goldilocks conditions? 195 00:09:43,934 --> 00:09:45,926 Well, planets are great, 196 00:09:45,950 --> 00:09:49,236 and our early Earth was almost perfect. 197 00:09:50,037 --> 00:09:52,085 It was just the right distance from its star 198 00:09:52,109 --> 00:09:54,236 to contain huge oceans of liquid water. 199 00:09:54,260 --> 00:09:56,236 And deep beneath those oceans, 200 00:09:56,260 --> 00:09:58,236 at cracks in the Earth's crust, 201 00:09:58,260 --> 00:10:01,236 you've got heat seeping up from inside the Earth, 202 00:10:01,260 --> 00:10:03,387 and you've got a great diversity of elements. 203 00:10:03,411 --> 00:10:05,957 So at those deep oceanic vents, 204 00:10:05,981 --> 00:10:08,236 fantastic chemistry began to happen, 205 00:10:08,260 --> 00:10:11,260 and atoms combined in all sorts of exotic combinations. 206 00:10:12,260 --> 00:10:16,625 But of course, life is more than just exotic chemistry. 207 00:10:17,054 --> 00:10:20,811 How do you stabilize those huge molecules 208 00:10:20,835 --> 00:10:22,192 that seem to be viable? 209 00:10:22,950 --> 00:10:27,306 Well, it's here that life introduces an entirely new trick. 210 00:10:28,220 --> 00:10:30,755 You don't stabilize the individual; 211 00:10:30,779 --> 00:10:32,882 you stabilize the template, 212 00:10:32,906 --> 00:10:35,011 the thing that carries information, 213 00:10:35,035 --> 00:10:37,252 and you allow the template to copy itself. 214 00:10:37,276 --> 00:10:40,427 And DNA, of course, is the beautiful molecule 215 00:10:40,451 --> 00:10:42,777 that contains that information. 216 00:10:42,801 --> 00:10:45,616 You'll be familiar with the double helix of DNA. 217 00:10:45,640 --> 00:10:48,156 Each rung contains information. 218 00:10:48,180 --> 00:10:52,753 So, DNA contains information about how to make living organisms. 219 00:10:53,315 --> 00:10:55,239 And DNA also copies itself. 220 00:10:55,263 --> 00:10:56,469 So, it copies itself 221 00:10:56,493 --> 00:10:59,175 and scatters the templates through the ocean. 222 00:10:59,199 --> 00:11:00,993 So the information spreads. 223 00:11:01,017 --> 00:11:03,655 Notice that information has become part of our story. 224 00:11:04,137 --> 00:11:07,782 The real beauty of DNA though is in its imperfections. 225 00:11:07,806 --> 00:11:11,734 As it copies itself, once in every billion rungs, 226 00:11:11,758 --> 00:11:13,503 there tends to be an error. 227 00:11:13,527 --> 00:11:18,236 And what that means is that DNA is, in effect, learning. 228 00:11:18,260 --> 00:11:21,580 It's accumulating new ways of making living organisms 229 00:11:21,604 --> 00:11:23,224 because some of those errors work. 230 00:11:23,248 --> 00:11:24,446 So DNA's learning 231 00:11:24,470 --> 00:11:27,704 and it's building greater diversity and greater complexity. 232 00:11:27,728 --> 00:11:30,910 And we can see this happening over the last four billion years. 233 00:11:30,934 --> 00:11:33,109 For most of that time of life on Earth, 234 00:11:33,133 --> 00:11:35,370 living organisms have been relatively simple -- 235 00:11:35,394 --> 00:11:36,782 single cells. 236 00:11:36,806 --> 00:11:40,236 But they had great diversity, and, inside, great complexity. 237 00:11:40,671 --> 00:11:43,575 Then from about 600 to 800 million years ago, 238 00:11:43,599 --> 00:11:45,690 multi-celled organisms appear. 239 00:11:45,714 --> 00:11:48,215 You get fungi, you get fish, 240 00:11:48,239 --> 00:11:49,754 you get plants, 241 00:11:49,778 --> 00:11:52,489 you get amphibia, you get reptiles, 242 00:11:52,513 --> 00:11:54,943 and then, of course, you get the dinosaurs. 243 00:11:55,999 --> 00:11:58,508 And occasionally, there are disasters. 244 00:11:59,586 --> 00:12:01,975 Sixty-five million years ago, 245 00:12:01,999 --> 00:12:03,963 an asteroid landed on Earth 246 00:12:03,987 --> 00:12:05,777 near the Yucatan Peninsula, 247 00:12:05,801 --> 00:12:08,769 creating conditions equivalent to those of a nuclear war, 248 00:12:08,793 --> 00:12:10,682 and the dinosaurs were wiped out. 249 00:12:11,166 --> 00:12:14,236 Terrible news for the dinosaurs, 250 00:12:14,260 --> 00:12:18,015 but great news for our mammalian ancestors, 251 00:12:18,039 --> 00:12:19,236 who flourished 252 00:12:19,260 --> 00:12:22,917 in the niches left empty by the dinosaurs. 253 00:12:22,941 --> 00:12:27,996 And we human beings are part of that creative evolutionary pulse 254 00:12:28,020 --> 00:12:30,356 that began 65 million years ago 255 00:12:30,380 --> 00:12:32,260 with the landing of an asteroid. 256 00:12:33,796 --> 00:12:36,510 Humans appeared about 200,000 years ago. 257 00:12:36,534 --> 00:12:40,882 And I believe we count as a threshold in this great story. 258 00:12:40,906 --> 00:12:42,113 Let me explain why. 259 00:12:42,700 --> 00:12:45,731 We've seen that DNA learns in a sense, 260 00:12:45,755 --> 00:12:47,542 it accumulates information. 261 00:12:47,566 --> 00:12:49,236 But it is so slow. 262 00:12:50,128 --> 00:12:53,600 DNA accumulates information through random errors, 263 00:12:53,624 --> 00:12:55,760 some of which just happen to work. 264 00:12:56,490 --> 00:12:59,124 But DNA had actually generated a faster way of learning: 265 00:12:59,148 --> 00:13:01,926 it had produced organisms with brains, 266 00:13:01,950 --> 00:13:05,169 and those organisms can learn in real time. 267 00:13:05,193 --> 00:13:07,519 They accumulate information, they learn. 268 00:13:07,543 --> 00:13:10,368 The sad thing is, when they die, 269 00:13:10,392 --> 00:13:12,090 the information dies with them. 270 00:13:12,479 --> 00:13:16,466 Now what makes humans different is human language. 271 00:13:16,490 --> 00:13:19,253 We are blessed with a language, a system of communication, 272 00:13:19,277 --> 00:13:21,898 so powerful and so precise 273 00:13:21,922 --> 00:13:25,080 that we can share what we've learned with such precision 274 00:13:25,104 --> 00:13:27,993 that it can accumulate in the collective memory. 275 00:13:28,017 --> 00:13:29,236 And that means 276 00:13:29,260 --> 00:13:33,039 it can outlast the individuals who learned that information, 277 00:13:33,063 --> 00:13:36,236 and it can accumulate from generation to generation. 278 00:13:36,260 --> 00:13:40,316 And that's why, as a species, we're so creative and so powerful, 279 00:13:40,340 --> 00:13:42,396 and that's why we have a history. 280 00:13:43,015 --> 00:13:46,316 We seem to be the only species in four billion years 281 00:13:46,340 --> 00:13:47,582 to have this gift. 282 00:13:48,057 --> 00:13:51,622 I call this ability collective learning. 283 00:13:51,995 --> 00:13:53,384 It's what makes us different. 284 00:13:53,686 --> 00:13:57,236 We can see it at work in the earliest stages of human history. 285 00:13:57,949 --> 00:14:01,236 We evolved as a species in the savanna lands of Africa, 286 00:14:01,260 --> 00:14:04,720 but then you see humans migrating into new environments, 287 00:14:04,744 --> 00:14:06,894 into desert lands, into jungles, 288 00:14:06,918 --> 00:14:09,354 into the Ice Age tundra of Siberia -- 289 00:14:09,378 --> 00:14:10,823 tough, tough environment -- 290 00:14:10,847 --> 00:14:13,180 into the Americas, into Australasia. 291 00:14:13,204 --> 00:14:15,241 Each migration involved learning -- 292 00:14:15,265 --> 00:14:17,748 learning new ways of exploiting the environment, 293 00:14:17,772 --> 00:14:19,946 new ways of dealing with their surroundings. 294 00:14:19,970 --> 00:14:21,786 Then 10,000 years ago, 295 00:14:21,810 --> 00:14:24,805 exploiting a sudden change in global climate 296 00:14:24,829 --> 00:14:26,401 with the end of the last ice age, 297 00:14:26,425 --> 00:14:28,006 humans learned to farm. 298 00:14:28,623 --> 00:14:31,059 Farming was an energy bonanza. 299 00:14:31,083 --> 00:14:34,910 And exploiting that energy, human populations multiplied. 300 00:14:34,934 --> 00:14:38,521 Human societies got larger, denser, more interconnected. 301 00:14:39,101 --> 00:14:42,452 And then from about 500 years ago, 302 00:14:42,476 --> 00:14:44,515 humans began to link up globally 303 00:14:44,539 --> 00:14:46,920 through shipping, through trains, 304 00:14:46,944 --> 00:14:49,236 through telegraph, through the Internet, 305 00:14:49,260 --> 00:14:54,451 until now we seem to form a single global brain 306 00:14:54,475 --> 00:14:56,607 of almost seven billion individuals. 307 00:14:56,631 --> 00:14:59,793 And that brain is learning at warp speed. 308 00:15:00,572 --> 00:15:03,144 And in the last 200 years, something else has happened. 309 00:15:03,168 --> 00:15:05,834 We've stumbled on another energy bonanza 310 00:15:05,858 --> 00:15:06,985 in fossil fuels. 311 00:15:07,009 --> 00:15:09,712 So fossil fuels and collective learning together 312 00:15:09,736 --> 00:15:13,260 explain the staggering complexity we see around us. 313 00:15:16,505 --> 00:15:17,505 So -- 314 00:15:18,668 --> 00:15:19,985 Here we are, 315 00:15:20,009 --> 00:15:21,533 back at the convention center. 316 00:15:21,557 --> 00:15:26,263 We've been on a journey, a return journey, of 13.7 billion years. 317 00:15:26,967 --> 00:15:29,436 I hope you agree this is a powerful story. 318 00:15:29,460 --> 00:15:34,125 And it's a story in which humans play an astonishing and creative role. 319 00:15:34,466 --> 00:15:36,681 But it also contains warnings. 320 00:15:37,474 --> 00:15:41,807 Collective learning is a very, very powerful force, 321 00:15:41,831 --> 00:15:46,236 and it's not clear that we humans are in charge of it. 322 00:15:47,123 --> 00:15:50,192 I remember very vividly as a child growing up in England, 323 00:15:50,216 --> 00:15:52,236 living through the Cuban Missile Crisis. 324 00:15:52,847 --> 00:15:56,458 For a few days, the entire biosphere 325 00:15:56,482 --> 00:15:58,781 seemed to be on the verge of destruction. 326 00:15:59,474 --> 00:16:02,639 And the same weapons are still here, 327 00:16:02,663 --> 00:16:04,236 and they are still armed. 328 00:16:05,004 --> 00:16:08,236 If we avoid that trap, others are waiting for us. 329 00:16:08,647 --> 00:16:11,236 We're burning fossil fuels at such a rate 330 00:16:11,260 --> 00:16:14,671 that we seem to be undermining the Goldilocks conditions 331 00:16:14,695 --> 00:16:16,923 that made it possible for human civilizations 332 00:16:16,947 --> 00:16:20,029 to flourish over the last 10,000 years. 333 00:16:20,633 --> 00:16:22,909 So what big history can do 334 00:16:22,933 --> 00:16:26,254 is show us the nature of our complexity and fragility 335 00:16:26,278 --> 00:16:28,202 and the dangers that face us, 336 00:16:28,226 --> 00:16:31,806 but it can also show us our power with collective learning. 337 00:16:32,586 --> 00:16:34,538 And now, finally -- 338 00:16:35,657 --> 00:16:37,812 this is what I want. 339 00:16:39,448 --> 00:16:42,480 I want my grandson, Daniel, 340 00:16:42,504 --> 00:16:45,261 and his friends and his generation, 341 00:16:45,285 --> 00:16:47,078 throughout the world, 342 00:16:47,102 --> 00:16:49,942 to know the story of big history, 343 00:16:49,966 --> 00:16:52,005 and to know it so well 344 00:16:52,029 --> 00:16:55,695 that they understand both the challenges that face us 345 00:16:55,719 --> 00:16:58,236 and the opportunities that face us. 346 00:16:58,260 --> 00:17:00,140 And that's why a group of us 347 00:17:00,164 --> 00:17:03,176 are building a free, online syllabus 348 00:17:03,200 --> 00:17:04,518 in big history 349 00:17:04,542 --> 00:17:06,693 for high-school students throughout the world. 350 00:17:07,225 --> 00:17:09,661 We believe that big history 351 00:17:09,685 --> 00:17:12,236 will be a vital intellectual tool for them, 352 00:17:12,260 --> 00:17:15,103 as Daniel and his generation 353 00:17:15,127 --> 00:17:17,475 face the huge challenges 354 00:17:17,499 --> 00:17:19,554 and also the huge opportunities 355 00:17:19,578 --> 00:17:23,033 ahead of them at this threshold moment 356 00:17:23,057 --> 00:17:26,236 in the history of our beautiful planet. 357 00:17:26,993 --> 00:17:28,541 I thank you for your attention. 358 00:17:28,565 --> 00:17:33,260 (Applause) 28363

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