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"The most important experience we have
had and which we profess almost as a
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religion is that the Russian occupiers
and any other enemies must be destroyed,
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simply destroyed, and most importantly, not
afraid to do so. And this is what we do.
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This is a phrase from a recent interview with
the main man in charge of the war in Ukraine,
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General Valery Zaluzhny, Commander-in-Chief
of the Armed Forces of Ukraine.
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What else important Zaluzhny
said in his interview :
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-He has fired 10 generals since the start of the
war, replacing them with more competent ones,
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another general shot himself. All
other Ukrainian generals Zaluzhny
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fully trusts and listens to their opinions,
not considering himself the only smart one.
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- The main thing is not to be afraid of the
enemy, and not to give him a break. According
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to Zaluzhny's calculations, the Russians have been
actively stockpiling resources for three years.
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At the same time the accumulated resources
were enough for three months of war to fully
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achieve their goals. The attempt to take
Kiev was the most logical decision from
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the point of view of military logic, and
Zaluzhny himself would do so in their place.
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The escape of troops from near Kiev and
the change of focus of the war to the
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Donbass were necessary to preserve the
resources of the Russian armed forces.
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-In strategic terms, the battle for Donbass has
no chance of winning for the occupiers. Now they
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continue fighting along the entire front line
in the hope of depleting Ukraine's armed forces,
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most likely in parallel building up resources
somewhere beyond the Urals for a new offensive.
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However, their quality is lousy,
and their potential is weak,
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and it does not matter how much cannon
fodder they will call into the army.
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-The main thing now is not to give
up current positions and prepare for
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the Russian offensive, which may begin
between the end of January and March.
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It is possible to attack both Kiev and the south
of Ukraine or Donbas. To counter these plans,
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it is very important to organize reserve
units and concentrate equipment in them,
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even at the cost of under-receiving it
by those currently on the front lines.
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The main thing that the allies
can supply now - tanks, Infantry
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fighting vehicle and Armoured personnel
carrier, ammunition, and air defense.
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Ukraine can reach the February 23 line if it has
300 tanks, about 700 infantry fighting vehicles
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and 500 howitzers; And artillery ammunition in
numbers that are close to World War I levels.
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Some Western allies are swooning as
they calculate how much it will cost.
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-The mobilization in Ukraine will take
place at the same level, as it is now.
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There is no need for many
hundreds of thousands of soldiers.
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The AFU has enough men, needs more weapons; With
the resources we have now, Ukraine cannot conduct
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new major operations, although the AFU is now
working on one. This operation is "on the way."
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-The liberation of Melitopol
would give Ukraine full fire
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control over Russia's supply lines from Crimea;
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-There were no protests about mobilization in
Russia, people went to die for the Tsar again.
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Sooner or later, they will
undoubtedly try to take Kiev again.
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And tomorrow I will share about
interesting observations after
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reading Ukrainian General Staff
summaries, see you tomorrow.
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