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Belarus is moving military equipment to the
border with NATO!
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Ukraine is preparing for invasion from Belarus
!
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I read such headlines and understand that
we need to understand what is really going
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on there and what to expect from another dictator
neighbor?
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Although, it is quite obvious that the answer
is obvious.
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But to dispel fears, at least in the short
term, let's conduct a little analysis of what
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is happening and what can happen.
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So, Lukashenko, as part of a sudden inspection
of combat readiness, decided to redeploy the
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103rd Brigade of Special Operations Forces
to the Brest region.
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In addition, the 7th engineer regiment began
to equip the crossing of the river Berezina.
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Do they prepare an invasion!
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Not across the Berezina River, that's for
sure.
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That river begins and ends in the territory
of Belarus, so we cross it out.
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All these movements have alarmed those who
persistently continue not to observe the main
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thing, namely, not what senseless reflexions
the Belarusian army is making, but whether
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or not a meaningful formation of a strike
force is taking place on its territory.
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And no formation is taking place.
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Today 5 Battalion tactical groups of the Belarusian
army are concentrated near the border with
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Ukraine.
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The most interesting thing is that back in
November 6 Battalion tactical groups were
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deployed on the border with Ukraine.
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Moreover, if we return to the 103rd Brigade
of Special Operations Forces, which for some
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reason are persistently frightened in the
information flow, we should pay attention
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to their staffing.
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Let's look at the reports: 10 armored personnel
carriers, three self-propelled mortars, 25
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trucks and some other stuff...
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Well and actually that's all.
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To put it mildly, it doesn’t look much like
a full-fledged Battalion tactical group.
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With such «armada» you can, of course, try
to get, but it will end before the first artillery
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raid.
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In February and March, the Russian group was
much stronger and it was cut up like a god
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turtle.
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Those who do not remember, then destroyed
were 80 kilometers caravans.
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As for the rest, the formation of a strike
group on other locations in Belarus is not
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recorded.
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Let me explain that a full-fledged strike
group for the seizure of a region and a regional
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center in Ukraine is not less than 40 Battalion
tactical groups concentrated in the location
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of the border breakthrough.
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That is all the present circus is nothing
more than another farce for constraining the
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AFU resources at the borders with Belarus.
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But it is certainly not suitable for the occupation
of the Ukrainian Lutsk, about which they will
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break all their teeth.
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It is a diversionary action, on the one hand
- designed to show Putin that we will also
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attack, just give me more money.
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On the other hand - since you are dealing
with the lunatics, who do not know what will
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come to mind - the Ukrainian command has to
keep reserves in this direction, and they
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are so much needed now in the Donbass and
in the south.
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Therefore, I ask everyone to sleep as peacefully
as possible and realize that we should not
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expect any invasion from the territory of
Belarus in the next few days.
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All the more so when there are people in Ukraine
to take care of these little buggers.
5141
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