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actual drivers of the economy.
So so far we've looked at
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very risky at the time. So guys
I hope this clears everything
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course. We're going to be
looking in more detail of
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around the economy so less
economic activity businesses
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of what we know about the
economy. Uh moving on into the
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third stage and obviously the
fourth stage of the fundamental
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interest rates are increasing,
therefore your currency also
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saving lots of people would
rather save in the economy than
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can go bankrupt as they can't
pay loans back loans and
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policies of how they control
the economy. So we've pretty
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But anyways guys I hope you
enjoyed this video and take and
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in banks rather than spending
it in the stock market which is
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our economic train video in one
of the introductionary videos.
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higher return of investment
decrease consumer spending
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somewhere where you have the
highest rate of return, usually
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obviously they default on these
and then of course in terms of
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is, if your economy is
deflationary, that means
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just want to clear it up. Now,
the reason why the currency
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much been at the breaks of the
economy. If you refer back to
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higher investment into into
countries with higher interest
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that's done through higher
interest rates, now of course
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actually increases in value as
interest rates increases is
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increases in value, bonds start
to look attractive due to the
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investment you know saving
their money keeping it as cash
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currency, your capital
somewhere, you want to look for
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because the investment
globally. You start to because
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see first of all lower
inflation rates as seen through
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currency such as if we're
looking at the Fed and then the
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economy of course be would want
that higher return of
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spend because the economy is
rigid which leads to a rigid
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up. This is pretty much a
summary of everything up to now
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rates. I don't think I've
discussed this previously but I
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if you've got a pot of money
and you want to invest your
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that in a high interest rate
environment the domestic
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high interest rates
environments and then where we
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that I couldn't find for the
low interest rate environment
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borrowing means reduced
investment, lower economic
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growth, higher mortgage
interest payments, reduced
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start to see deflation occur so
things like increased cost of
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increase in value but of course
you you now understand that
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the CPI and PPI data. Then your
currency increases in value,
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understand how does this affect
imports and exports Now just a
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it's not always a good thing
because you've got to
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increase return to saving, hot
money flows, you know fallen
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brief summary of what actually
tends to happen. You start to
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but this is a perfect
explanation of what we see in
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it's safe where it's a hedge
against you know a bad economy
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housing prices, appreciation in
the exchange rate. Remember
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the higher return on investment
due to higher interest rates of
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that means is asset purchases
are no longer in no longer in
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these mortgages. Next the next
step. Asset purchases are
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consumption, also defaults on
them payments as well. Then
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I was doing the research I just
found this interesting diagram
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and all of their money
somewhere where first of all
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the USD would be the point in
question that would actually
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and also where they get the
highest rate of return now when
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variable interest rates.
Usually they have to default on
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sense you know how people
actually take too many loans
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course you got to think about
the yields as well you know
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they tend to be directly
towards a bond market due to
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great thing to research as well
in your spare time. Search
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then as soon as interest rates
starts rising because they're
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So that means less money supply
rates circulating in their
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everything about housing
bubbles. It'll really make
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mortgage defaults. This forms
housing bubbles. This is a
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where do investors want to
sense all of their investments
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place like before and of course
a lot of tapering has happened.
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economy and then in terms of
investments around the world
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subdued and tapering may have
occurred significantly. So what
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are taken out. More housing
market more housing market
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the first stage that we talked
about in our fundamental
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deflation exports can't be as
competitive globally Now high
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so they're not going to be able
to borrow as much therefore
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interest rates increases the
cost of borrowing so less loans
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their money they're going to
have higher rates of interest
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Then you've got government has
rise in borrowing costs. So if
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economy. Therefore employment
decreases unemployment rises.
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you remember the fact you know
with the bond market and
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section where where you get
higher higher amounts of
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less economic activity another
thing as well exports cannot be
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not many people have the money
to actually spend inside the
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economy is very slow down.
Businesses aren't borrowing as
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Unemployment could rise. So how
how is that possible? Because
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much money. Some businesses
having to close down because
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as competitive so this is
really going back to the first
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everywhere that the that the
government actually borrows
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could rise. Government has rise
in borrowing costs and exports
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cannot be competitive. So
there's three points in there.
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lower amounts of inflation and
of course deflation. The
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where the economy is very slow
down. That means unemployment
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the thing is you must
understand with higher with
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So interest rates are going to
be high. Now what does that
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that we just covered and moving
on to high interest rate.
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Yes everyone, welcome to the
next video. So in this one
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mean? That's usually a a state
of high amount of deflation
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we're moving on from the low
interest rate environment video
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I'll see you in the third
section.
8993
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