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Would you like to inspect the original subtitles? These are the user uploaded subtitles that are being translated: 1 00:05:47,903 --> 00:05:51,623 actual drivers of the economy. So so far we've looked at 2 00:05:29,583 --> 00:05:34,223 very risky at the time. So guys I hope this clears everything 3 00:05:45,303 --> 00:05:47,903 course. We're going to be looking in more detail of 4 00:04:57,363 --> 00:05:01,003 around the economy so less economic activity businesses 5 00:05:37,783 --> 00:05:41,423 of what we know about the economy. Uh moving on into the 6 00:05:41,423 --> 00:05:45,303 third stage and obviously the fourth stage of the fundamental 7 00:04:46,563 --> 00:04:49,643 interest rates are increasing, therefore your currency also 8 00:05:09,403 --> 00:05:13,323 saving lots of people would rather save in the economy than 9 00:05:01,003 --> 00:05:05,203 can go bankrupt as they can't pay loans back loans and 10 00:05:51,623 --> 00:05:54,703 policies of how they control the economy. So we've pretty 11 00:06:05,183 --> 00:06:08,903 But anyways guys I hope you enjoyed this video and take and 12 00:05:25,023 --> 00:05:29,583 in banks rather than spending it in the stock market which is 13 00:05:59,943 --> 00:06:05,183 our economic train video in one of the introductionary videos. 14 00:04:53,243 --> 00:04:57,363 higher return of investment decrease consumer spending 15 00:04:37,803 --> 00:04:41,043 somewhere where you have the highest rate of return, usually 16 00:05:05,203 --> 00:05:09,403 obviously they default on these and then of course in terms of 17 00:04:43,563 --> 00:04:46,563 is, if your economy is deflationary, that means 18 00:04:17,643 --> 00:04:21,643 just want to clear it up. Now, the reason why the currency 19 00:05:54,703 --> 00:05:59,943 much been at the breaks of the economy. If you refer back to 20 00:04:09,563 --> 00:04:13,003 higher investment into into countries with higher interest 21 00:04:41,043 --> 00:04:43,563 that's done through higher interest rates, now of course 22 00:04:21,643 --> 00:04:26,083 actually increases in value as interest rates increases is 23 00:04:49,643 --> 00:04:53,243 increases in value, bonds start to look attractive due to the 24 00:05:21,983 --> 00:05:25,023 investment you know saving their money keeping it as cash 25 00:04:33,563 --> 00:04:37,803 currency, your capital somewhere, you want to look for 26 00:04:26,083 --> 00:04:30,363 because the investment globally. You start to because 27 00:04:01,883 --> 00:04:05,163 see first of all lower inflation rates as seen through 28 00:03:38,783 --> 00:03:42,423 currency such as if we're looking at the Fed and then the 29 00:05:17,923 --> 00:05:21,983 economy of course be would want that higher return of 30 00:05:13,323 --> 00:05:17,923 spend because the economy is rigid which leads to a rigid 31 00:05:34,223 --> 00:05:37,783 up. This is pretty much a summary of everything up to now 32 00:04:13,003 --> 00:04:17,643 rates. I don't think I've discussed this previously but I 33 00:04:30,363 --> 00:04:33,563 if you've got a pot of money and you want to invest your 34 00:03:35,623 --> 00:03:38,783 that in a high interest rate environment the domestic 35 00:03:07,583 --> 00:03:10,943 high interest rates environments and then where we 36 00:03:01,383 --> 00:03:04,103 that I couldn't find for the low interest rate environment 37 00:03:15,303 --> 00:03:18,583 borrowing means reduced investment, lower economic 38 00:03:18,583 --> 00:03:22,943 growth, higher mortgage interest payments, reduced 39 00:03:10,943 --> 00:03:15,303 start to see deflation occur so things like increased cost of 40 00:03:46,103 --> 00:03:50,103 increase in value but of course you you now understand that 41 00:04:05,163 --> 00:04:09,563 the CPI and PPI data. Then your currency increases in value, 42 00:03:52,743 --> 00:03:58,723 understand how does this affect imports and exports Now just a 43 00:03:50,103 --> 00:03:52,743 it's not always a good thing because you've got to 44 00:03:27,343 --> 00:03:31,063 increase return to saving, hot money flows, you know fallen 45 00:03:58,723 --> 00:04:01,883 brief summary of what actually tends to happen. You start to 46 00:03:04,103 --> 00:03:07,583 but this is a perfect explanation of what we see in 47 00:02:49,183 --> 00:02:54,703 it's safe where it's a hedge against you know a bad economy 48 00:03:31,063 --> 00:03:35,623 housing prices, appreciation in the exchange rate. Remember 49 00:02:35,963 --> 00:02:40,423 the higher return on investment due to higher interest rates of 50 00:02:16,603 --> 00:02:22,003 that means is asset purchases are no longer in no longer in 51 00:02:08,143 --> 00:02:12,603 these mortgages. Next the next step. Asset purchases are 52 00:03:22,943 --> 00:03:27,343 consumption, also defaults on them payments as well. Then 53 00:02:58,583 --> 00:03:01,383 I was doing the research I just found this interesting diagram 54 00:02:46,703 --> 00:02:49,183 and all of their money somewhere where first of all 55 00:03:42,423 --> 00:03:46,103 the USD would be the point in question that would actually 56 00:02:54,703 --> 00:02:58,583 and also where they get the highest rate of return now when 57 00:02:04,303 --> 00:02:08,143 variable interest rates. Usually they have to default on 58 00:01:57,743 --> 00:02:00,783 sense you know how people actually take too many loans 59 00:02:40,423 --> 00:02:43,263 course you got to think about the yields as well you know 60 00:02:33,203 --> 00:02:35,963 they tend to be directly towards a bond market due to 61 00:01:52,583 --> 00:01:55,543 great thing to research as well in your spare time. Search 62 00:02:00,783 --> 00:02:04,303 then as soon as interest rates starts rising because they're 63 00:02:26,563 --> 00:02:30,083 So that means less money supply rates circulating in their 64 00:01:55,543 --> 00:01:57,743 everything about housing bubbles. It'll really make 65 00:01:48,863 --> 00:01:52,583 mortgage defaults. This forms housing bubbles. This is a 66 00:02:43,263 --> 00:02:46,703 where do investors want to sense all of their investments 67 00:02:22,003 --> 00:02:26,563 place like before and of course a lot of tapering has happened. 68 00:02:30,083 --> 00:02:33,203 economy and then in terms of investments around the world 69 00:02:12,603 --> 00:02:16,603 subdued and tapering may have occurred significantly. So what 70 00:01:44,423 --> 00:01:48,863 are taken out. More housing market more housing market 71 00:01:29,283 --> 00:01:32,883 the first stage that we talked about in our fundamental 72 00:01:36,923 --> 00:01:41,663 deflation exports can't be as competitive globally Now high 73 00:01:17,563 --> 00:01:20,923 so they're not going to be able to borrow as much therefore 74 00:01:41,663 --> 00:01:44,423 interest rates increases the cost of borrowing so less loans 75 00:01:14,603 --> 00:01:17,563 their money they're going to have higher rates of interest 76 00:01:02,383 --> 00:01:06,103 Then you've got government has rise in borrowing costs. So if 77 00:00:57,303 --> 00:01:02,383 economy. Therefore employment decreases unemployment rises. 78 00:01:06,103 --> 00:01:11,723 you remember the fact you know with the bond market and 79 00:01:32,883 --> 00:01:36,923 section where where you get higher higher amounts of 80 00:01:20,923 --> 00:01:24,963 less economic activity another thing as well exports cannot be 81 00:00:53,383 --> 00:00:57,303 not many people have the money to actually spend inside the 82 00:00:47,423 --> 00:00:50,383 economy is very slow down. Businesses aren't borrowing as 83 00:00:37,303 --> 00:00:41,383 Unemployment could rise. So how how is that possible? Because 84 00:00:50,383 --> 00:00:53,383 much money. Some businesses having to close down because 85 00:01:24,963 --> 00:01:29,283 as competitive so this is really going back to the first 86 00:01:11,723 --> 00:01:14,603 everywhere that the that the government actually borrows 87 00:00:30,183 --> 00:00:33,903 could rise. Government has rise in borrowing costs and exports 88 00:00:33,903 --> 00:00:37,303 cannot be competitive. So there's three points in there. 89 00:00:44,263 --> 00:00:47,423 lower amounts of inflation and of course deflation. The 90 00:00:24,363 --> 00:00:30,183 where the economy is very slow down. That means unemployment 91 00:00:41,383 --> 00:00:44,263 the thing is you must understand with higher with 92 00:00:16,703 --> 00:00:20,683 So interest rates are going to be high. Now what does that 93 00:00:10,163 --> 00:00:15,403 that we just covered and moving on to high interest rate. 94 00:00:03,383 --> 00:00:07,003 Yes everyone, welcome to the next video. So in this one 95 00:00:20,683 --> 00:00:24,363 mean? That's usually a a state of high amount of deflation 96 00:00:07,003 --> 00:00:10,163 we're moving on from the low interest rate environment video 97 00:06:08,903 --> 00:06:12,143 I'll see you in the third section. 8993

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