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Would you like to inspect the original subtitles? These are the user uploaded subtitles that are being translated: 1 00:09:28,703 --> 00:09:33,503 depreciating so therefore AU goes up. This is exactly what 2 00:09:43,503 --> 00:09:47,343 trading of course this is what you want to be looking for. 3 00:09:57,343 --> 00:10:01,623 break even point or take my stop loss for example and these 4 00:10:08,623 --> 00:10:12,783 Of course there's not really something particular that we've 5 00:09:19,983 --> 00:09:23,383 the perfect entry because I understood the fundamental 6 00:08:43,683 --> 00:08:49,243 their COVID situation in Australia it was far superior 7 00:09:11,783 --> 00:09:15,263 you can never be too sure you know price could retrace back 8 00:08:56,843 --> 00:09:00,223 into my strategy for example saw some kind of retracement on 9 00:09:00,223 --> 00:09:03,463 the lower time frame that's exactly why I entered I 10 00:08:02,343 --> 00:08:05,743 What I'm talking about is how I use fundamentals and link that 11 00:05:50,103 --> 00:05:54,823 going to be decreasing in price therefore what can we expect 12 00:05:36,223 --> 00:05:40,663 strengthening compared to the other pairs so what happens 13 00:07:07,483 --> 00:07:11,963 look at if on a weekly time frame on my weekly analysis for 14 00:06:34,683 --> 00:06:39,283 therefore, I'm not understanding where price is 15 00:06:39,283 --> 00:06:42,843 going to be going long term because either it might be 16 00:07:40,923 --> 00:07:46,083 pairs. It's for understanding the long term currency bias. So 17 00:06:57,803 --> 00:07:01,363 diverge a lot as well so all of the inflation stats that might 18 00:07:11,963 --> 00:07:15,083 example I see these pairs I don't understand where price is 19 00:07:37,523 --> 00:07:40,923 divergences are going to be for. It's for picking your 20 00:07:55,543 --> 00:07:59,663 one to 50 trade. Now I'm not actually looking let's not talk 21 00:07:46,083 --> 00:07:51,923 if we look at have a look at my case studies on Instagram. In 22 00:04:41,603 --> 00:04:44,123 exports that's data driven so you need to look at that for 23 00:05:32,463 --> 00:05:36,223 what's been called causing that massive increase in price and 24 00:05:08,063 --> 00:05:11,303 how much longer this will continue for but for that we're 25 00:04:59,303 --> 00:05:04,023 biggest drivers that we've been seeing in the markets recently 26 00:05:15,783 --> 00:05:21,543 I know particularly in this year especially for the pound 27 00:04:47,283 --> 00:04:52,203 need to infer have a look at the general oh one of the main 28 00:03:49,883 --> 00:03:55,743 we look at every single one of these pairs every single one of 29 00:04:02,823 --> 00:04:08,283 trade and economics because if you remember they've got that 30 00:09:23,383 --> 00:09:28,703 divergences between AD USD AD was going up USD was 31 00:10:03,983 --> 00:10:08,623 So yeah guys that's it for this lesson. Um truly take this on. 32 00:09:33,503 --> 00:09:35,663 you're going to be looking for and that's what I want to be 33 00:09:15,263 --> 00:09:19,983 down and then go back up but because of that because I had 34 00:09:08,623 --> 00:09:11,783 course I took partials on the way there because you'd never 35 00:09:39,543 --> 00:09:43,503 When you're when you're looking at your pairs when you're 36 00:10:12,783 --> 00:10:15,823 looked at here but it's kind of a summary of everything that 37 00:09:53,703 --> 00:09:57,343 therefore price is unlikely to come back down and take my 38 00:09:35,663 --> 00:09:39,543 teaching you guys and drilling into literally into your head. 39 00:08:49,243 --> 00:08:56,843 to USD in America of course. Then what I did was when I got 40 00:10:15,823 --> 00:10:18,463 we've learnt throughout this course. So yeah guys take care 41 00:09:47,343 --> 00:09:49,943 You're going to get high probability trades like this 42 00:08:35,443 --> 00:08:40,123 that point their export market was doing very well in terms of 43 00:08:30,203 --> 00:08:35,443 out. At that point in early 2021 I understood that AUD at 44 00:10:01,623 --> 00:10:03,983 are exactly the points that we're going to be looking at. 45 00:08:40,123 --> 00:08:43,683 their vaccination not vaccinations at the time but 46 00:09:03,463 --> 00:09:08,623 understood my fundamental bias so I was aiming for that of 47 00:09:49,943 --> 00:09:53,703 because you understand if my fundamentals are backing it 48 00:08:05,743 --> 00:08:12,343 to technicals. So I understood this for AED USD. I had zero. 8 49 00:08:15,783 --> 00:08:18,023 had some equal highs or something on the higher time 50 00:08:12,343 --> 00:08:15,783 as an institutional figure that I was aiming for. I believe we 51 00:03:06,323 --> 00:03:12,243 call is a PC if you remember got PPI as well so that's for 52 00:08:18,023 --> 00:08:21,783 frame. If I remember this trade correctly we got here for 53 00:08:26,583 --> 00:08:30,203 Now that was a point of interest that I had figured 54 00:08:21,783 --> 00:08:26,583 example and then we got to some weekly order block right here. 55 00:02:51,463 --> 00:02:56,943 inflation for example how much is inflation in that economy so 56 00:02:45,703 --> 00:02:51,463 things what that also leads to is you know looking at 57 00:02:37,583 --> 00:02:41,823 these are going to be the main ones GDP as well how could I 58 00:02:33,183 --> 00:02:37,583 to all of our lessons to so you explore every single aspect but 59 00:07:21,123 --> 00:07:25,643 technical section but if I understand the currency pair 60 00:07:30,443 --> 00:07:33,883 to be appreciating in the next few weeks of course why would I 61 00:07:01,363 --> 00:07:04,363 be the same the interest rate stats might be the same their 62 00:06:02,923 --> 00:06:09,923 appreciate now let's actually think about other pairs as well 63 00:07:59,663 --> 00:08:02,343 about the risk to reward here because that doesn't matter. 64 00:06:42,843 --> 00:06:48,163 fundamentals are very similar. So, if the Euro, so this is why 65 00:07:15,083 --> 00:07:18,803 going so obviously I analyse these because they're my 66 00:06:09,923 --> 00:06:13,043 if you've got a list of pairs that you look at so for me it 67 00:07:25,643 --> 00:07:30,443 has clear fundamental bias. So if I know that AED JPY is going 68 00:07:51,923 --> 00:07:55,543 every single case study that I show I believe it's at least a 69 00:06:21,003 --> 00:06:27,723 that I always look at. JPY, I can't spell. Um you've got to 70 00:06:52,563 --> 00:06:57,803 fundamentals might be either interlinked their data doesn't 71 00:06:27,723 --> 00:06:30,123 actually look at the fundamentals of every single 72 00:06:30,123 --> 00:06:34,683 one but if I don't see a clear fundamental divergence, 73 00:06:48,163 --> 00:06:52,563 the euro and the pound moves very similar because their 74 00:07:33,883 --> 00:07:37,523 not be entering on that? And that's exactly what fundamental 75 00:05:54,823 --> 00:06:02,923 I'm just going to delete all of this AUD JPY is going to 76 00:06:13,043 --> 00:06:21,003 will be Euro USD GBP USD and GBP JPY. These are my main ones 77 00:07:04,363 --> 00:07:07,483 bond purchasing stats might be the same these are things you 78 00:07:18,803 --> 00:07:21,123 favorite pairs and obviously we've explored this in the 79 00:05:40,663 --> 00:05:44,903 once you get all of this data and information if we 80 00:05:44,903 --> 00:05:50,103 understand right here that JPY for all the reasons listed is 81 00:01:58,643 --> 00:02:04,163 So you're already looking at that. Uh other types of fiscal 82 00:05:29,663 --> 00:05:32,463 to all the other programs around the world and that's 83 00:02:27,703 --> 00:02:33,183 parts of our fundamental plan obviously have have a look back 84 00:02:04,163 --> 00:02:08,983 policies as well that's something to look at fiscal 85 00:01:33,323 --> 00:01:39,243 to go up because of reduced asset purchases 86 00:05:04,023 --> 00:05:08,063 especially over the past year and a half who knows how long 87 00:01:46,263 --> 00:01:53,423 to look at is the obviously imports and exports. 88 00:04:24,043 --> 00:04:29,043 better AED blah blah blah JPY what's that it's lower there's 89 00:04:12,283 --> 00:04:16,123 it's got the CPI data it's got inflation it's got interest 90 00:04:35,843 --> 00:04:38,483 purchases when is that going to be reducing when is that 91 00:05:11,303 --> 00:05:15,783 going to have to be looking at the vaccine program that's been 92 00:04:52,203 --> 00:04:59,303 things as well recently is COVID. This is one of the 93 00:04:38,483 --> 00:04:41,603 going to be increasing or whatever it may be import 94 00:05:21,543 --> 00:05:25,343 that's what that's what's been driving the pound up especially 95 00:04:44,123 --> 00:04:47,283 example fiscal policies that's also something that you may 96 00:04:29,043 --> 00:04:32,203 going to be some bits that you actually have to infer what's 97 00:05:25,343 --> 00:05:29,663 because their vaccine program has been far superior compared 98 00:04:32,203 --> 00:04:35,843 going on so of course you have to infer about the asset 99 00:04:08,283 --> 00:04:12,283 comparative table it's like this it's got the GDP on there 100 00:04:16,123 --> 00:04:20,363 rates everything actually have a look at the data compare it 101 00:03:59,743 --> 00:04:02,823 single one of course when it comes to the data as well use 102 00:04:20,363 --> 00:04:24,043 side by side so you'd look at okay which is higher which is 103 00:03:55,743 --> 00:03:59,743 these aspects so just continue them over have a look at every 104 00:03:38,483 --> 00:03:43,563 expecting the Australian dollar to increase in price now let's 105 00:03:43,563 --> 00:03:49,883 take a look at another pair let's just say JPY for example 106 00:01:07,103 --> 00:01:11,443 what if you get other things as well? Like their QE program if 107 00:00:57,983 --> 00:01:01,583 mean? Interest rates go up. Therefore investment into the 108 00:01:27,403 --> 00:01:33,323 as deflationary so what what that means is AED is expected 109 00:03:32,763 --> 00:03:38,483 deflationary conditions so the economy is contracting we're 110 00:03:16,723 --> 00:03:20,243 and the data's improving and everything like that your 111 00:03:12,243 --> 00:03:16,723 AED if you understand let's just say all the stats work out 112 00:03:29,003 --> 00:03:32,763 over time because of these factors therefore it's in 113 00:02:56,943 --> 00:03:01,043 is the inflation increasing or decrease in what we to look at 114 00:03:20,243 --> 00:03:29,003 analysis fundamentally shows that I expect AUD to increase 115 00:02:41,823 --> 00:02:45,703 forget GDP is going to be the most one of the most important 116 00:03:01,043 --> 00:03:06,323 is things like CPI the core CPI as well so one thing that they 117 00:00:33,463 --> 00:00:37,423 that shows that it's going up for example let's just say 118 00:02:13,303 --> 00:02:17,463 example now this may be a move that might happen in the future 119 00:02:23,383 --> 00:02:27,703 to incorporate I'm just thinking about other other 120 00:02:19,623 --> 00:02:23,383 now however this is obviously something that you always need 121 00:02:17,463 --> 00:02:19,623 so it's not going to be happening at any point right 122 00:02:08,983 --> 00:02:13,303 policies so if you know what's going on with the taxes for 123 00:01:54,343 --> 00:01:58,643 Uh the bond market is to do with asset purchases in a way. 124 00:01:41,723 --> 00:01:46,263 So you've got all that for AUD. Um another point that you need 125 00:00:20,563 --> 00:00:23,603 content. What you're trying to do when you're understanding 126 00:00:11,883 --> 00:00:14,563 planned to actually show you guys because it's just going to 127 00:01:15,763 --> 00:01:21,243 start to taper really soon what can you expect less bond asset 128 00:01:11,443 --> 00:01:15,763 that's I'm not sure how much it is at the moment but if they 129 00:01:01,583 --> 00:01:07,103 country also goes up. Therefore AUD is expected to go up. Now 130 00:01:21,243 --> 00:01:27,403 purchases therefore a decreased money supply and also is seen 131 00:00:27,043 --> 00:00:33,463 what does that mean? If you're seeing AUD you've got the data 132 00:00:48,383 --> 00:00:52,903 their version so the RBA, the Royal Bank of Australia. 133 00:00:37,423 --> 00:00:44,343 employment going up interest rates are also about to go up. 134 00:00:52,903 --> 00:00:57,983 They're going to be introducing rate hikes. So what does that 135 00:00:44,343 --> 00:00:48,383 So what does that mean? That means there's a rate hike. So 136 00:00:23,603 --> 00:00:27,043 fundamentals is you're trying to look for that divergence. So 137 00:00:17,883 --> 00:00:20,563 much everything that we've concluded throughout this whole 138 00:00:09,643 --> 00:00:11,883 it's going to be quite a brief one. I haven't got anything 139 00:00:14,563 --> 00:00:17,883 be something that I'll be explaining. But it's pretty 140 00:00:06,083 --> 00:00:09,643 just going to be covering fundamental divergences. So 141 00:00:02,423 --> 00:00:06,083 Yes guys so welcome to the next video. So in this one we're 142 00:10:18,463 --> 00:10:21,663 and I'll see you in the next video. 13333

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