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1
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depreciating so therefore AU
goes up. This is exactly what
2
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trading of course this is what
you want to be looking for.
3
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break even point or take my
stop loss for example and these
4
00:10:08,623 --> 00:10:12,783
Of course there's not really
something particular that we've
5
00:09:19,983 --> 00:09:23,383
the perfect entry because I
understood the fundamental
6
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their COVID situation in
Australia it was far superior
7
00:09:11,783 --> 00:09:15,263
you can never be too sure you
know price could retrace back
8
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into my strategy for example
saw some kind of retracement on
9
00:09:00,223 --> 00:09:03,463
the lower time frame that's
exactly why I entered I
10
00:08:02,343 --> 00:08:05,743
What I'm talking about is how I
use fundamentals and link that
11
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going to be decreasing in price
therefore what can we expect
12
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strengthening compared to the
other pairs so what happens
13
00:07:07,483 --> 00:07:11,963
look at if on a weekly time
frame on my weekly analysis for
14
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therefore, I'm not
understanding where price is
15
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going to be going long term
because either it might be
16
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pairs. It's for understanding
the long term currency bias. So
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diverge a lot as well so all of
the inflation stats that might
18
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example I see these pairs I
don't understand where price is
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divergences are going to be
for. It's for picking your
20
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one to 50 trade. Now I'm not
actually looking let's not talk
21
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if we look at have a look at my
case studies on Instagram. In
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exports that's data driven so
you need to look at that for
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what's been called causing that
massive increase in price and
24
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how much longer this will
continue for but for that we're
25
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biggest drivers that we've been
seeing in the markets recently
26
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I know particularly in this
year especially for the pound
27
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need to infer have a look at
the general oh one of the main
28
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we look at every single one of
these pairs every single one of
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trade and economics because if
you remember they've got that
30
00:09:23,383 --> 00:09:28,703
divergences between AD USD AD
was going up USD was
31
00:10:03,983 --> 00:10:08,623
So yeah guys that's it for this
lesson. Um truly take this on.
32
00:09:33,503 --> 00:09:35,663
you're going to be looking for
and that's what I want to be
33
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down and then go back up but
because of that because I had
34
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course I took partials on the
way there because you'd never
35
00:09:39,543 --> 00:09:43,503
When you're when you're looking
at your pairs when you're
36
00:10:12,783 --> 00:10:15,823
looked at here but it's kind of
a summary of everything that
37
00:09:53,703 --> 00:09:57,343
therefore price is unlikely to
come back down and take my
38
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teaching you guys and drilling
into literally into your head.
39
00:08:49,243 --> 00:08:56,843
to USD in America of course.
Then what I did was when I got
40
00:10:15,823 --> 00:10:18,463
we've learnt throughout this
course. So yeah guys take care
41
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You're going to get high
probability trades like this
42
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that point their export market
was doing very well in terms of
43
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out. At that point in early
2021 I understood that AUD at
44
00:10:01,623 --> 00:10:03,983
are exactly the points that
we're going to be looking at.
45
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their vaccination not
vaccinations at the time but
46
00:09:03,463 --> 00:09:08,623
understood my fundamental bias
so I was aiming for that of
47
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because you understand if my
fundamentals are backing it
48
00:08:05,743 --> 00:08:12,343
to technicals. So I understood
this for AED USD. I had zero. 8
49
00:08:15,783 --> 00:08:18,023
had some equal highs or
something on the higher time
50
00:08:12,343 --> 00:08:15,783
as an institutional figure that
I was aiming for. I believe we
51
00:03:06,323 --> 00:03:12,243
call is a PC if you remember
got PPI as well so that's for
52
00:08:18,023 --> 00:08:21,783
frame. If I remember this trade
correctly we got here for
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00:08:26,583 --> 00:08:30,203
Now that was a point of
interest that I had figured
54
00:08:21,783 --> 00:08:26,583
example and then we got to some
weekly order block right here.
55
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inflation for example how much
is inflation in that economy so
56
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things what that also leads to
is you know looking at
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these are going to be the main
ones GDP as well how could I
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to all of our lessons to so you
explore every single aspect but
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00:07:21,123 --> 00:07:25,643
technical section but if I
understand the currency pair
60
00:07:30,443 --> 00:07:33,883
to be appreciating in the next
few weeks of course why would I
61
00:07:01,363 --> 00:07:04,363
be the same the interest rate
stats might be the same their
62
00:06:02,923 --> 00:06:09,923
appreciate now let's actually
think about other pairs as well
63
00:07:59,663 --> 00:08:02,343
about the risk to reward here
because that doesn't matter.
64
00:06:42,843 --> 00:06:48,163
fundamentals are very similar.
So, if the Euro, so this is why
65
00:07:15,083 --> 00:07:18,803
going so obviously I analyse
these because they're my
66
00:06:09,923 --> 00:06:13,043
if you've got a list of pairs
that you look at so for me it
67
00:07:25,643 --> 00:07:30,443
has clear fundamental bias. So
if I know that AED JPY is going
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00:07:51,923 --> 00:07:55,543
every single case study that I
show I believe it's at least a
69
00:06:21,003 --> 00:06:27,723
that I always look at. JPY, I
can't spell. Um you've got to
70
00:06:52,563 --> 00:06:57,803
fundamentals might be either
interlinked their data doesn't
71
00:06:27,723 --> 00:06:30,123
actually look at the
fundamentals of every single
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one but if I don't see a clear
fundamental divergence,
73
00:06:48,163 --> 00:06:52,563
the euro and the pound moves
very similar because their
74
00:07:33,883 --> 00:07:37,523
not be entering on that? And
that's exactly what fundamental
75
00:05:54,823 --> 00:06:02,923
I'm just going to delete all of
this AUD JPY is going to
76
00:06:13,043 --> 00:06:21,003
will be Euro USD GBP USD and
GBP JPY. These are my main ones
77
00:07:04,363 --> 00:07:07,483
bond purchasing stats might be
the same these are things you
78
00:07:18,803 --> 00:07:21,123
favorite pairs and obviously
we've explored this in the
79
00:05:40,663 --> 00:05:44,903
once you get all of this data
and information if we
80
00:05:44,903 --> 00:05:50,103
understand right here that JPY
for all the reasons listed is
81
00:01:58,643 --> 00:02:04,163
So you're already looking at
that. Uh other types of fiscal
82
00:05:29,663 --> 00:05:32,463
to all the other programs
around the world and that's
83
00:02:27,703 --> 00:02:33,183
parts of our fundamental plan
obviously have have a look back
84
00:02:04,163 --> 00:02:08,983
policies as well that's
something to look at fiscal
85
00:01:33,323 --> 00:01:39,243
to go up because of reduced
asset purchases
86
00:05:04,023 --> 00:05:08,063
especially over the past year
and a half who knows how long
87
00:01:46,263 --> 00:01:53,423
to look at is the obviously
imports and exports.
88
00:04:24,043 --> 00:04:29,043
better AED blah blah blah JPY
what's that it's lower there's
89
00:04:12,283 --> 00:04:16,123
it's got the CPI data it's got
inflation it's got interest
90
00:04:35,843 --> 00:04:38,483
purchases when is that going to
be reducing when is that
91
00:05:11,303 --> 00:05:15,783
going to have to be looking at
the vaccine program that's been
92
00:04:52,203 --> 00:04:59,303
things as well recently is
COVID. This is one of the
93
00:04:38,483 --> 00:04:41,603
going to be increasing or
whatever it may be import
94
00:05:21,543 --> 00:05:25,343
that's what that's what's been
driving the pound up especially
95
00:04:44,123 --> 00:04:47,283
example fiscal policies that's
also something that you may
96
00:04:29,043 --> 00:04:32,203
going to be some bits that you
actually have to infer what's
97
00:05:25,343 --> 00:05:29,663
because their vaccine program
has been far superior compared
98
00:04:32,203 --> 00:04:35,843
going on so of course you have
to infer about the asset
99
00:04:08,283 --> 00:04:12,283
comparative table it's like
this it's got the GDP on there
100
00:04:16,123 --> 00:04:20,363
rates everything actually have
a look at the data compare it
101
00:03:59,743 --> 00:04:02,823
single one of course when it
comes to the data as well use
102
00:04:20,363 --> 00:04:24,043
side by side so you'd look at
okay which is higher which is
103
00:03:55,743 --> 00:03:59,743
these aspects so just continue
them over have a look at every
104
00:03:38,483 --> 00:03:43,563
expecting the Australian dollar
to increase in price now let's
105
00:03:43,563 --> 00:03:49,883
take a look at another pair
let's just say JPY for example
106
00:01:07,103 --> 00:01:11,443
what if you get other things as
well? Like their QE program if
107
00:00:57,983 --> 00:01:01,583
mean? Interest rates go up.
Therefore investment into the
108
00:01:27,403 --> 00:01:33,323
as deflationary so what what
that means is AED is expected
109
00:03:32,763 --> 00:03:38,483
deflationary conditions so the
economy is contracting we're
110
00:03:16,723 --> 00:03:20,243
and the data's improving and
everything like that your
111
00:03:12,243 --> 00:03:16,723
AED if you understand let's
just say all the stats work out
112
00:03:29,003 --> 00:03:32,763
over time because of these
factors therefore it's in
113
00:02:56,943 --> 00:03:01,043
is the inflation increasing or
decrease in what we to look at
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00:03:20,243 --> 00:03:29,003
analysis fundamentally shows
that I expect AUD to increase
115
00:02:41,823 --> 00:02:45,703
forget GDP is going to be the
most one of the most important
116
00:03:01,043 --> 00:03:06,323
is things like CPI the core CPI
as well so one thing that they
117
00:00:33,463 --> 00:00:37,423
that shows that it's going up
for example let's just say
118
00:02:13,303 --> 00:02:17,463
example now this may be a move
that might happen in the future
119
00:02:23,383 --> 00:02:27,703
to incorporate I'm just
thinking about other other
120
00:02:19,623 --> 00:02:23,383
now however this is obviously
something that you always need
121
00:02:17,463 --> 00:02:19,623
so it's not going to be
happening at any point right
122
00:02:08,983 --> 00:02:13,303
policies so if you know what's
going on with the taxes for
123
00:01:54,343 --> 00:01:58,643
Uh the bond market is to do
with asset purchases in a way.
124
00:01:41,723 --> 00:01:46,263
So you've got all that for AUD.
Um another point that you need
125
00:00:20,563 --> 00:00:23,603
content. What you're trying to
do when you're understanding
126
00:00:11,883 --> 00:00:14,563
planned to actually show you
guys because it's just going to
127
00:01:15,763 --> 00:01:21,243
start to taper really soon what
can you expect less bond asset
128
00:01:11,443 --> 00:01:15,763
that's I'm not sure how much it
is at the moment but if they
129
00:01:01,583 --> 00:01:07,103
country also goes up. Therefore
AUD is expected to go up. Now
130
00:01:21,243 --> 00:01:27,403
purchases therefore a decreased
money supply and also is seen
131
00:00:27,043 --> 00:00:33,463
what does that mean? If you're
seeing AUD you've got the data
132
00:00:48,383 --> 00:00:52,903
their version so the RBA, the
Royal Bank of Australia.
133
00:00:37,423 --> 00:00:44,343
employment going up interest
rates are also about to go up.
134
00:00:52,903 --> 00:00:57,983
They're going to be introducing
rate hikes. So what does that
135
00:00:44,343 --> 00:00:48,383
So what does that mean? That
means there's a rate hike. So
136
00:00:23,603 --> 00:00:27,043
fundamentals is you're trying
to look for that divergence. So
137
00:00:17,883 --> 00:00:20,563
much everything that we've
concluded throughout this whole
138
00:00:09,643 --> 00:00:11,883
it's going to be quite a brief
one. I haven't got anything
139
00:00:14,563 --> 00:00:17,883
be something that I'll be
explaining. But it's pretty
140
00:00:06,083 --> 00:00:09,643
just going to be covering
fundamental divergences. So
141
00:00:02,423 --> 00:00:06,083
Yes guys so welcome to the next
video. So in this one we're
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00:10:18,463 --> 00:10:21,663
and I'll see you in the next
video.
13333
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