Would you like to inspect the original subtitles? These are the user uploaded subtitles that are being translated:
1
00:16:21,123 --> 00:16:23,323
researching and researching
more and bringing more value
2
00:16:31,883 --> 00:16:36,083
this for the moment but yeah
guys this is it for now I hope
3
00:16:44,523 --> 00:16:48,603
don't get manipulated don't be
don't be a market noob and just
4
00:16:36,083 --> 00:16:40,243
you've enjoyed the lesson so
far maybe now NFP is clearer
5
00:16:01,123 --> 00:16:04,083
technicals could be an
inducement so it goes back up.
6
00:15:39,283 --> 00:15:43,203
to Where we're going long term?
Are we going up? Are we going
7
00:15:27,163 --> 00:15:33,003
during Monday and Tuesday. So
just to clear up on that plan.
8
00:16:19,003 --> 00:16:21,123
knowledge for it never ends.
I'm always going to be
9
00:14:56,483 --> 00:14:59,763
information and the data you
might expect a shallow
10
00:15:12,403 --> 00:15:17,123
Are we in New York session? Are
we in the New York London
11
00:14:59,763 --> 00:15:03,283
retracement so that's what you
got to try and get into or if
12
00:12:49,183 --> 00:12:52,983
don't know, let's just hit, you
know, some random point on the
13
00:14:10,943 --> 00:14:19,003
I said we've got Friday here
end of week end of week right
14
00:14:24,503 --> 00:14:29,423
going down, down, down, down,
down, you can expect Monday and
15
00:12:52,983 --> 00:12:58,743
chart that usually you can't
explain. Just and that's mainly
16
00:11:55,863 --> 00:12:00,063
trying to guess how far away
the manipulation will occur is
17
00:14:34,743 --> 00:14:39,383
technicals. Monday, Tuesday,
Wednesday, Thursday, whatever.
18
00:13:21,683 --> 00:13:24,323
put a stop loss somewhere
comfortable so maybe at the
19
00:13:51,383 --> 00:13:57,063
definitely help. So my personal
opinion forget trying to trade
20
00:11:44,863 --> 00:11:48,623
always occurs especially when
the numbers are huge as well
21
00:12:32,023 --> 00:12:35,663
up, you can try to enter the
market as a market execution,
22
00:12:20,683 --> 00:12:23,443
Are you do you really want to
risk and enter that point of
23
00:14:00,423 --> 00:14:03,823
experience and just understand
the effect of the data release
24
00:15:23,843 --> 00:15:27,163
these are the three main times
that we want to be looking at
25
00:14:32,503 --> 00:14:34,743
that's what we're always doing.
We're linking fundamentals to
26
00:10:11,283 --> 00:10:14,763
whether it be whatever type of
point of interest or whatever
27
00:16:48,603 --> 00:16:51,043
enter straight away because
that's the worst thing you can
28
00:15:43,203 --> 00:15:47,603
down? How has NFP helped with
that? Then when it gets to the
29
00:11:20,583 --> 00:11:23,623
of NF they might take okay
we've broken above this high so
30
00:10:14,763 --> 00:10:17,843
you can get into wherever price
goes let's just say this is now
31
00:11:16,143 --> 00:11:20,583
goes back up triggers people in
who don't understand the impact
32
00:09:33,483 --> 00:09:37,963
this on over here let's say for
example we're in a downtrend
33
00:13:06,783 --> 00:13:12,343
now down trending you might not
actually see any pullbacks like
34
00:10:43,443 --> 00:10:46,843
gets to Friday for example and
then that's when you see
35
00:14:29,423 --> 00:14:32,503
Tuesday, think back to our
technical section because
36
00:10:54,823 --> 00:10:58,223
how much it moves and then
eventually when everything
37
00:13:34,363 --> 00:13:37,363
even until the next week and
that's exactly what we've been
38
00:10:02,483 --> 00:10:06,563
want Euro USD to go down right
so what do you want to do the
39
00:07:42,503 --> 00:07:45,503
hand side over here showing the
numbers that come out and some
40
00:08:53,343 --> 00:08:56,683
Now let's just say for example
that we can see USD
41
00:09:53,963 --> 00:09:57,523
is Monday or a Tuesday where in
the beginning of the week we
42
00:16:07,123 --> 00:16:11,203
to be getting into. So yeah
guys I hope you've enjoyed
43
00:14:39,383 --> 00:14:43,143
Blah, blah, blah. Monday and
Tuesday, you can expect some
44
00:16:23,323 --> 00:16:25,963
and content to you guys. So
this is the section I'm
45
00:13:48,663 --> 00:13:51,383
see what happened in the market
as well in the charts,
46
00:15:53,803 --> 00:15:57,563
on the lower time frames. When
you get to a point of interest
47
00:16:04,083 --> 00:16:07,123
And goes down and that's
exactly what you what you want
48
00:15:33,003 --> 00:15:39,283
NFP you don't trade. You find
directional bias. So you've got
49
00:12:46,423 --> 00:12:49,183
not even hit a clean point of
interest, it might just, I
50
00:13:57,063 --> 00:14:00,423
NFP if you have not done so in
the past I have minimal
51
00:16:51,043 --> 00:16:54,603
do especially on a big news
event like this so yeah guys
52
00:14:06,863 --> 00:14:10,943
entry the next week is always
more safe and reliable so like
53
00:16:40,243 --> 00:16:44,523
for you you can actually
understand how to trade it yeah
54
00:13:16,343 --> 00:13:21,683
movement is so what you could
try to do is enter market sell
55
00:14:43,143 --> 00:14:46,343
kind of retracement. Now,
depending on how strong the
56
00:15:17,123 --> 00:15:23,843
crossover? Or are we in London
open? These are the three oops
57
00:15:03,283 --> 00:15:07,083
you've got a very clean point
of interest set your limit
58
00:15:57,563 --> 00:16:01,123
see the break of structure.
Enter like how I teach with the
59
00:12:35,663 --> 00:12:38,743
so that means, so it might be
hard to get into a limit,
60
00:16:25,963 --> 00:16:28,763
going to be adding it into.
It's going to be advanced
61
00:16:11,203 --> 00:16:14,643
these lessons. I'm going to
keep adding to these advanced
62
00:11:03,103 --> 00:11:07,103
happens at the time is you're
going to as soon as the news is
63
00:14:19,003 --> 00:14:24,503
there, then you've got the new
week. If you're seeing price
64
00:16:14,643 --> 00:16:19,003
fundamental sections. As you
know fundamentals never the
65
00:14:03,823 --> 00:14:06,863
and how this can aid our
directional bias finding an
66
00:15:47,603 --> 00:15:53,803
next week, end of week, Monday
and Tuesday, You can look down
67
00:15:07,083 --> 00:15:12,403
there actually see Wait and see
does timing link up as well.
68
00:13:43,583 --> 00:13:48,663
well. Obviously, look back,
look back onto each NFP day,
69
00:12:27,363 --> 00:12:32,023
that. Now the third step, once
you see the manipulation clear
70
00:14:46,343 --> 00:14:48,943
fundamentals are for the EU
sales at the moment because
71
00:12:58,743 --> 00:13:02,663
due to the volatility at the
time. Um what you could do is
72
00:06:34,563 --> 00:06:37,763
and how to trade it. I even had
a document of every single
73
00:07:55,663 --> 00:07:58,863
same guy you can see you can
always look back as well see
74
00:07:15,823 --> 00:07:20,783
into that soon so during NFP
like I said you've got this
75
00:06:57,563 --> 00:07:00,443
times price would severely
increase when the numbers were
76
00:13:37,363 --> 00:13:43,583
seeing in seeing during July
and and the August time as
77
00:12:38,743 --> 00:12:42,583
because, because of how much
it's moving, you might
78
00:12:23,443 --> 00:12:27,363
interest at that time? I would
heavily heavily advise against
79
00:10:51,823 --> 00:10:54,823
it most likely will come to
take you back out because of
80
00:12:00,063 --> 00:12:03,663
hard to do unless we have many
confirmations. But even then I
81
00:06:37,763 --> 00:06:42,483
month just explaining what NFP
number came out, what was the
82
00:09:48,283 --> 00:09:53,963
there then we're returning
let's just say for example this
83
00:09:29,843 --> 00:09:33,483
break even so what this may
mean is I'm just going to draw
84
00:10:26,683 --> 00:10:30,083
this trade you're set for for
the week ahead pretty much and
85
00:06:26,483 --> 00:06:31,283
see what's happened. This is
something that I always observe
86
00:12:07,783 --> 00:12:14,623
thinking of entering so NFP is
released at 1 thirty. But price
87
00:12:14,623 --> 00:12:20,683
gets to your point of interest
let's just say at one twenty
88
00:09:10,723 --> 00:09:16,043
so we're expecting USD to rise
so first of all the what what
89
00:06:42,483 --> 00:06:46,803
estimate, the whisper number,
and then actual effect of it on
90
00:13:29,243 --> 00:13:34,363
then this will most likely keep
on going and going and going
91
00:13:02,663 --> 00:13:06,783
if price action has cleared up
a bit and you see that we're
92
00:12:42,583 --> 00:12:46,423
misunderstand the points of
interest, it might, it might
93
00:10:30,083 --> 00:10:34,603
for Friday now what what can
you expect is of course you
94
00:11:32,903 --> 00:11:36,303
what the NFP means and the
impact it has on on the charts
95
00:09:18,883 --> 00:09:22,763
position yourself into your
trade in the days before so you
96
00:11:29,623 --> 00:11:32,903
wrong all it is is manipulation
you just need to understand
97
00:11:23,623 --> 00:11:29,623
now we can go for dollar for EU
buys and this is completely
98
00:11:10,903 --> 00:11:16,143
what people expect and so okay
boom let's sell and then it
99
00:10:06,563 --> 00:10:11,283
ideal situation is if possible
try to get in any of the trades
100
00:08:36,903 --> 00:08:40,903
of course USD pairs at the time
because we're looking at NFP
101
00:09:44,643 --> 00:09:48,283
and we're in a downtrend at the
moment or the block filled
102
00:06:08,163 --> 00:06:10,923
always got to look at it
something relative of what the
103
00:11:48,623 --> 00:11:52,943
whether it be to the downside
or to upside. So this fake move
104
00:11:07,103 --> 00:11:10,903
released you know you might get
massive move down and that's
105
00:12:03,663 --> 00:12:07,783
would advise against entering
straight away. So if you're
106
00:09:22,763 --> 00:09:26,523
can try to be risk free
obviously this days before
107
00:11:36,303 --> 00:11:40,303
essentially now like I said
here if you're trading NFP it's
108
00:09:16,043 --> 00:09:18,883
you can do about this to
actually get into any trades is
109
00:11:40,303 --> 00:11:44,863
safe wait for the fake out
manipulative move which almost
110
00:10:58,223 --> 00:11:03,103
clears up boom we start
dropping properly what usually
111
00:10:38,123 --> 00:10:40,683
there might be massive wicks
and massive movements that
112
00:10:40,683 --> 00:10:43,443
can't take you out but this is
what you'd expect to happen it
113
00:11:52,943 --> 00:11:55,863
might not always hit the
cleanest point of interest. So
114
00:16:28,763 --> 00:16:31,883
mentals might make a third
section or just keep adding to
115
00:10:17,843 --> 00:10:26,683
Tuesday it breaks down retraces
goes down then now you're in
116
00:13:24,323 --> 00:13:29,243
previous highway you can expect
price to not go back up to and
117
00:08:59,843 --> 00:09:04,843
good numbers for NFP of course
this is backed from previous
118
00:10:46,843 --> 00:10:51,823
massive manipulations and if
you close enough to your entry
119
00:09:37,963 --> 00:09:44,643
for this is EU we're expecting
USD to rise that means EU drops
120
00:10:34,603 --> 00:10:38,123
need to take partials and go to
break even for sure because
121
00:14:48,943 --> 00:14:56,483
that's what we're looking at.
Usd just rose because of the
122
00:09:57,523 --> 00:10:02,483
know by Friday we want we're
expecting very good numbers we
123
00:08:19,723 --> 00:08:23,403
well at the same time. There's
many weeks where I would simply
124
00:13:12,343 --> 00:13:16,343
you normally would because of
how impactful the the price
125
00:09:04,843 --> 00:09:07,923
numbers as well that might come
out you know what the Fed has
126
00:07:12,323 --> 00:07:15,823
when the numbers released. Yeah
I'm going to be getting more
127
00:08:09,123 --> 00:08:12,443
quite a few hours. I believe
it's a five hour stream. So if
128
00:07:32,303 --> 00:07:38,503
what it looks like oops here
for example it says NFP rose
129
00:06:51,083 --> 00:06:53,843
there's a lot of manipulation
at the time perhaps
130
00:07:38,503 --> 00:07:42,503
943K that month so there will
be a live report on the left
131
00:05:54,323 --> 00:06:00,443
was almost a million jobs added
now this might seem crazy where
132
00:06:04,683 --> 00:06:08,163
way way above 100000 that's
something positive but you've
133
00:07:28,143 --> 00:07:32,303
terms of the website I use the
FX3 live NFP report so this
134
00:08:33,343 --> 00:08:36,903
markets at the time. So the
biggest movers of the market is
135
00:07:03,643 --> 00:07:07,763
they were substantially smaller
than what they expected. With
136
00:06:53,843 --> 00:06:57,563
consolidation for the maybe the
next few days and then in other
137
00:06:31,283 --> 00:06:34,563
I believe before when I was
learning everything about NFP
138
00:08:29,083 --> 00:08:33,343
markets but I wouldn't even
enter. So trade in on the
139
00:07:50,703 --> 00:07:55,663
stream they do NFP live stream
here from FX Street so he's the
140
00:07:07,763 --> 00:07:12,323
NFP you really can't be trade
in straight away especially
141
00:08:23,403 --> 00:08:26,603
just watch watch the news.
Watch what was going on with
142
00:07:45,503 --> 00:07:50,703
commentary at the same time and
then in of the live stream live
143
00:08:40,903 --> 00:08:45,903
for for the US but in
particular what moves a lot
144
00:08:26,603 --> 00:08:29,083
this live stream and then
understand the effect on the
145
00:06:22,523 --> 00:06:26,483
previous NFP numbers and
actually go on the charts and
146
00:07:00,443 --> 00:07:03,643
substantially bigger than what
they were expected or perhaps
147
00:07:22,943 --> 00:07:28,143
terminal not many of you might
have access to that but in
148
00:06:18,803 --> 00:06:22,523
times. However, what I'd always
recommend is to look at the
149
00:06:46,803 --> 00:06:51,083
the markets and what happened.
Usually what I'd always see is
150
00:09:07,923 --> 00:09:10,723
said what's their stance on
tapering everything like that
151
00:08:15,123 --> 00:08:19,723
actually check this out. Um
it's perfect for studying as
152
00:09:26,523 --> 00:09:29,843
weeks before whenever it may be
take some partials and set to
153
00:08:45,903 --> 00:08:52,023
that day is gold. Which is XAU
USD on charts.
154
00:08:56,683 --> 00:08:59,843
fundamentally is getting
stronger and we expect some
155
00:06:00,443 --> 00:06:04,683
you think oh because we had
that massive increase and it's
156
00:07:20,783 --> 00:07:22,943
second website that I look at
obviously the Bloomberg
157
00:06:15,003 --> 00:06:18,803
general just base number that
you can use during normal
158
00:08:12,443 --> 00:08:15,123
you've got time and you're not
working on a Friday or anything
159
00:06:10,923 --> 00:06:15,003
economy is doing at the moment
so this 100 thousand is a
160
00:05:21,803 --> 00:05:26,403
what's going on across the
world than the macroeconomics.
161
00:08:02,903 --> 00:08:09,123
outcome of both of both the
situations And it lasts for
162
00:04:22,923 --> 00:04:27,363
believe over 10 years. He's
done almost every single month
163
00:04:34,963 --> 00:04:38,983
it's going. And then in terms
of the websites I've got the
164
00:07:58,863 --> 00:08:02,903
what he actually predicts a few
minutes before and then the
165
00:05:43,003 --> 00:05:45,883
was more money circulating in
the economy therefore
166
00:05:50,123 --> 00:05:54,323
rise substantially I believe in
the in the most recent one it
167
00:04:31,523 --> 00:04:34,963
on. Um even explains
fundamentals and where he sees
168
00:04:45,503 --> 00:04:50,143
Street live NFP report they
have like an instant feed
169
00:05:45,883 --> 00:05:50,123
businesses are thriving that's
when we started seeing the NFP
170
00:05:04,543 --> 00:05:10,803
numbers and the numbers that
come out. So you see here it's
171
00:04:16,483 --> 00:04:20,203
FX three NFP live stream. Um
there's always this one guy
172
00:04:59,903 --> 00:05:04,543
just wanted to explain a bit
more about the predicted
173
00:04:27,363 --> 00:04:31,523
as a stream. And he just goes
through everything that's going
174
00:04:12,803 --> 00:04:16,483
and a live stream. So the live
stream that I always use is the
175
00:04:08,963 --> 00:04:12,803
to the NFP? During NFP I will
usually have up two websites
176
00:04:52,383 --> 00:04:56,463
explaining what goes on and
everything like that before I
177
00:04:50,143 --> 00:04:52,383
coming through and there's
always analysts that are
178
00:05:17,563 --> 00:05:21,803
you can expect DXI DXY to drop.
However you've got to consider
179
00:05:38,683 --> 00:05:43,003
as the economy started opening
up we had the QE program there
180
00:05:30,123 --> 00:05:34,803
lost jobs. Therefore
unemployment rose and NFP every
181
00:05:10,803 --> 00:05:13,843
it's quite well known above
100000 is something positive.
182
00:04:03,723 --> 00:04:08,963
News websites too. So now what
happens when you actually get
183
00:05:34,803 --> 00:05:38,683
single month you can expect a
severe drop right? But as soon
184
00:03:59,763 --> 00:04:03,723
believe it can also be accessed
online through a bunch of FX
185
00:03:52,243 --> 00:03:56,003
actually find out the whisper
number online. Uh personally I
186
00:04:56,463 --> 00:04:59,903
actually move on to you know
the websites and everything I
187
00:03:48,363 --> 00:03:52,243
general fundamentals of where I
see USD going. Then you can
188
00:03:44,923 --> 00:03:48,363
checklist of things to do.
First of all is understand the
189
00:05:26,403 --> 00:05:30,123
So for example at the moment a
lot of us in the past year have
190
00:04:42,423 --> 00:04:45,503
you don't have access to
Bloomberg Terminal it's FX
191
00:04:20,203 --> 00:04:22,923
that you know he's been doing
it for many many years now. I
192
00:03:23,103 --> 00:03:26,603
Personally I'm always going to
advise especially newcomers to
193
00:03:40,463 --> 00:03:44,923
So preparing for NFP usually to
prepare for NFP I have a
194
00:04:38,983 --> 00:04:42,423
Bloomberg terminal live feed
and then another great one if
195
00:03:34,163 --> 00:03:39,043
has and where we can see the
directional bias heading.
196
00:05:13,843 --> 00:05:17,563
Anything less than that it it's
been a very poor NFP therefore
197
00:03:56,003 --> 00:03:59,763
find this through my Bloomberg
terminal that I have. Uh but I
198
00:03:26,603 --> 00:03:30,043
the course and new students
that are mentoring right now
199
00:03:30,043 --> 00:03:34,163
don't actually trade NFP but
understand the implication it
200
00:03:15,983 --> 00:03:18,743
I'll never advise you to do.
Obviously we're here for the
201
00:03:12,983 --> 00:03:15,983
especially if you do not risk
stick to risk management which
202
00:03:03,543 --> 00:03:09,423
manipulation that occurs you'll
be in for a very nice return.
203
00:02:42,143 --> 00:02:46,103
stable market, a number above a
hundred thousand new jobs added
204
00:02:33,743 --> 00:02:38,063
their economy. Therefore, more
investors want to invest with
205
00:02:17,183 --> 00:02:20,743
determined factors and data
released previously now the
206
00:02:54,063 --> 00:02:57,063
Now remember, if you choose to
trade this news event, you are
207
00:03:09,423 --> 00:03:12,983
So the thing is this can either
make or break accounts so if
208
00:02:38,063 --> 00:02:42,143
US dollar and therefore that
strengthens. Usually in a
209
00:02:20,743 --> 00:02:26,023
economy grows when NFP numbers
are positive so USD or DXY will
210
00:02:57,063 --> 00:03:01,063
exposing yourself to very high
amounts of risk because if you
211
00:03:01,063 --> 00:03:03,543
standard direction and can
trade past the massive
212
00:03:18,743 --> 00:03:22,543
long run and not just a short
term fix.
213
00:02:49,503 --> 00:02:54,063
adaptive and consider world
events and the expected number.
214
00:02:46,103 --> 00:02:49,503
in that month is something
positive. But we must always be
215
00:02:26,023 --> 00:02:31,183
strengthen as you can expect
this has a roll on effect on
216
00:02:13,743 --> 00:02:17,183
will always estimate the data
beforehand based on other
217
00:02:31,183 --> 00:02:33,743
You know, it has a role and
effect on every other part of
218
00:02:09,783 --> 00:02:13,743
got a positive or negative
figure figure now economists
219
00:01:54,563 --> 00:01:58,923
hoping to get better data
releases for them. Then the
220
00:01:47,243 --> 00:01:51,003
consumers and the residents in
in the US they were highlighted
221
00:01:21,843 --> 00:01:24,443
Latin American sector, the
white Americans, African
222
00:01:00,423 --> 00:01:03,863
every month. Now of course this
is UK time so obviously convert
223
00:01:08,283 --> 00:01:11,363
actually consist of? So the
first part is a new amount of
224
00:01:58,923 --> 00:02:05,183
last bit is a manufacturing
payroll sub component. So
225
00:01:35,723 --> 00:01:38,563
when the Fed have talked
they've actually highlighted
226
00:01:42,083 --> 00:01:47,243
was the American part of the
economy part of all the
227
00:01:30,403 --> 00:01:35,723
so you can you know if there's
because sometimes especially
228
00:02:05,183 --> 00:02:09,783
analyzing the data is very
simple pretty much it's have we
229
00:01:38,563 --> 00:01:42,083
the fact that certain sectors
in the economy and I believe it
230
00:01:51,003 --> 00:01:54,563
to not be very great in
employment numbers so they were
231
00:01:11,363 --> 00:01:14,923
jobs added then you've got
unemployment rate. The
232
00:01:24,443 --> 00:01:30,403
American, you got different
types of ages genders as well
233
00:01:18,763 --> 00:01:21,843
each sector of the United
States. You know you've got the
234
00:01:03,863 --> 00:01:08,283
it to where to wherever you
are. So what does the report
235
00:01:14,923 --> 00:01:18,763
employment sectors so it
actually breaks it down into
236
00:00:47,263 --> 00:00:50,983
causes some of the biggest
price moves in a month. It's so
237
00:00:34,803 --> 00:00:39,903
that you'd like. So NFP. The
non-farm payroll report is a
238
00:00:29,483 --> 00:00:32,083
they can make therefore the
more spending that going to
239
00:00:55,983 --> 00:01:00,423
So this report is released at
130 on the first Friday of
240
00:00:27,043 --> 00:00:29,483
You know the more people that
are employed the more money
241
00:00:50,983 --> 00:00:55,983
influential because it accounts
for 80% of the GDP workforce.
242
00:00:32,083 --> 00:00:34,803
happen and then of course
that's economic stimulation
243
00:00:39,903 --> 00:00:43,983
key economic indicator for the
United States representing a
244
00:00:43,983 --> 00:00:47,263
total number of jobs added in
that month. It consistently
245
00:00:21,003 --> 00:00:23,483
you know a really good
understanding on how the
246
00:00:23,483 --> 00:00:27,043
economy is growing and how it
serves its its people in a way.
247
00:00:12,683 --> 00:00:16,523
NFP is one of the or the
employment figures are one of
248
00:00:05,923 --> 00:00:09,003
we're going to be looking at
NFP unemployment. So moving on
249
00:00:16,523 --> 00:00:21,003
the biggest economic drivers
especially because it gives a
250
00:00:09,003 --> 00:00:12,683
from what we saw last time we
obviously realise that you know
251
00:00:02,263 --> 00:00:05,923
Yes hello guys and welcome to
the next video. So in this one
252
00:16:54,603 --> 00:16:58,523
take care and I'll see you in
the next section.
23702
Can't find what you're looking for?
Get subtitles in any language from opensubtitles.com, and translate them here.