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Would you like to inspect the original subtitles? These are the user uploaded subtitles that are being translated: 1 00:16:21,123 --> 00:16:23,323 researching and researching more and bringing more value 2 00:16:31,883 --> 00:16:36,083 this for the moment but yeah guys this is it for now I hope 3 00:16:44,523 --> 00:16:48,603 don't get manipulated don't be don't be a market noob and just 4 00:16:36,083 --> 00:16:40,243 you've enjoyed the lesson so far maybe now NFP is clearer 5 00:16:01,123 --> 00:16:04,083 technicals could be an inducement so it goes back up. 6 00:15:39,283 --> 00:15:43,203 to Where we're going long term? Are we going up? Are we going 7 00:15:27,163 --> 00:15:33,003 during Monday and Tuesday. So just to clear up on that plan. 8 00:16:19,003 --> 00:16:21,123 knowledge for it never ends. I'm always going to be 9 00:14:56,483 --> 00:14:59,763 information and the data you might expect a shallow 10 00:15:12,403 --> 00:15:17,123 Are we in New York session? Are we in the New York London 11 00:14:59,763 --> 00:15:03,283 retracement so that's what you got to try and get into or if 12 00:12:49,183 --> 00:12:52,983 don't know, let's just hit, you know, some random point on the 13 00:14:10,943 --> 00:14:19,003 I said we've got Friday here end of week end of week right 14 00:14:24,503 --> 00:14:29,423 going down, down, down, down, down, you can expect Monday and 15 00:12:52,983 --> 00:12:58,743 chart that usually you can't explain. Just and that's mainly 16 00:11:55,863 --> 00:12:00,063 trying to guess how far away the manipulation will occur is 17 00:14:34,743 --> 00:14:39,383 technicals. Monday, Tuesday, Wednesday, Thursday, whatever. 18 00:13:21,683 --> 00:13:24,323 put a stop loss somewhere comfortable so maybe at the 19 00:13:51,383 --> 00:13:57,063 definitely help. So my personal opinion forget trying to trade 20 00:11:44,863 --> 00:11:48,623 always occurs especially when the numbers are huge as well 21 00:12:32,023 --> 00:12:35,663 up, you can try to enter the market as a market execution, 22 00:12:20,683 --> 00:12:23,443 Are you do you really want to risk and enter that point of 23 00:14:00,423 --> 00:14:03,823 experience and just understand the effect of the data release 24 00:15:23,843 --> 00:15:27,163 these are the three main times that we want to be looking at 25 00:14:32,503 --> 00:14:34,743 that's what we're always doing. We're linking fundamentals to 26 00:10:11,283 --> 00:10:14,763 whether it be whatever type of point of interest or whatever 27 00:16:48,603 --> 00:16:51,043 enter straight away because that's the worst thing you can 28 00:15:43,203 --> 00:15:47,603 down? How has NFP helped with that? Then when it gets to the 29 00:11:20,583 --> 00:11:23,623 of NF they might take okay we've broken above this high so 30 00:10:14,763 --> 00:10:17,843 you can get into wherever price goes let's just say this is now 31 00:11:16,143 --> 00:11:20,583 goes back up triggers people in who don't understand the impact 32 00:09:33,483 --> 00:09:37,963 this on over here let's say for example we're in a downtrend 33 00:13:06,783 --> 00:13:12,343 now down trending you might not actually see any pullbacks like 34 00:10:43,443 --> 00:10:46,843 gets to Friday for example and then that's when you see 35 00:14:29,423 --> 00:14:32,503 Tuesday, think back to our technical section because 36 00:10:54,823 --> 00:10:58,223 how much it moves and then eventually when everything 37 00:13:34,363 --> 00:13:37,363 even until the next week and that's exactly what we've been 38 00:10:02,483 --> 00:10:06,563 want Euro USD to go down right so what do you want to do the 39 00:07:42,503 --> 00:07:45,503 hand side over here showing the numbers that come out and some 40 00:08:53,343 --> 00:08:56,683 Now let's just say for example that we can see USD 41 00:09:53,963 --> 00:09:57,523 is Monday or a Tuesday where in the beginning of the week we 42 00:16:07,123 --> 00:16:11,203 to be getting into. So yeah guys I hope you've enjoyed 43 00:14:39,383 --> 00:14:43,143 Blah, blah, blah. Monday and Tuesday, you can expect some 44 00:16:23,323 --> 00:16:25,963 and content to you guys. So this is the section I'm 45 00:13:48,663 --> 00:13:51,383 see what happened in the market as well in the charts, 46 00:15:53,803 --> 00:15:57,563 on the lower time frames. When you get to a point of interest 47 00:16:04,083 --> 00:16:07,123 And goes down and that's exactly what you what you want 48 00:15:33,003 --> 00:15:39,283 NFP you don't trade. You find directional bias. So you've got 49 00:12:46,423 --> 00:12:49,183 not even hit a clean point of interest, it might just, I 50 00:13:57,063 --> 00:14:00,423 NFP if you have not done so in the past I have minimal 51 00:16:51,043 --> 00:16:54,603 do especially on a big news event like this so yeah guys 52 00:14:06,863 --> 00:14:10,943 entry the next week is always more safe and reliable so like 53 00:16:40,243 --> 00:16:44,523 for you you can actually understand how to trade it yeah 54 00:13:16,343 --> 00:13:21,683 movement is so what you could try to do is enter market sell 55 00:14:43,143 --> 00:14:46,343 kind of retracement. Now, depending on how strong the 56 00:15:17,123 --> 00:15:23,843 crossover? Or are we in London open? These are the three oops 57 00:15:03,283 --> 00:15:07,083 you've got a very clean point of interest set your limit 58 00:15:57,563 --> 00:16:01,123 see the break of structure. Enter like how I teach with the 59 00:12:35,663 --> 00:12:38,743 so that means, so it might be hard to get into a limit, 60 00:16:25,963 --> 00:16:28,763 going to be adding it into. It's going to be advanced 61 00:16:11,203 --> 00:16:14,643 these lessons. I'm going to keep adding to these advanced 62 00:11:03,103 --> 00:11:07,103 happens at the time is you're going to as soon as the news is 63 00:14:19,003 --> 00:14:24,503 there, then you've got the new week. If you're seeing price 64 00:16:14,643 --> 00:16:19,003 fundamental sections. As you know fundamentals never the 65 00:14:03,823 --> 00:14:06,863 and how this can aid our directional bias finding an 66 00:15:47,603 --> 00:15:53,803 next week, end of week, Monday and Tuesday, You can look down 67 00:15:07,083 --> 00:15:12,403 there actually see Wait and see does timing link up as well. 68 00:13:43,583 --> 00:13:48,663 well. Obviously, look back, look back onto each NFP day, 69 00:12:27,363 --> 00:12:32,023 that. Now the third step, once you see the manipulation clear 70 00:14:46,343 --> 00:14:48,943 fundamentals are for the EU sales at the moment because 71 00:12:58,743 --> 00:13:02,663 due to the volatility at the time. Um what you could do is 72 00:06:34,563 --> 00:06:37,763 and how to trade it. I even had a document of every single 73 00:07:55,663 --> 00:07:58,863 same guy you can see you can always look back as well see 74 00:07:15,823 --> 00:07:20,783 into that soon so during NFP like I said you've got this 75 00:06:57,563 --> 00:07:00,443 times price would severely increase when the numbers were 76 00:13:37,363 --> 00:13:43,583 seeing in seeing during July and and the August time as 77 00:12:38,743 --> 00:12:42,583 because, because of how much it's moving, you might 78 00:12:23,443 --> 00:12:27,363 interest at that time? I would heavily heavily advise against 79 00:10:51,823 --> 00:10:54,823 it most likely will come to take you back out because of 80 00:12:00,063 --> 00:12:03,663 hard to do unless we have many confirmations. But even then I 81 00:06:37,763 --> 00:06:42,483 month just explaining what NFP number came out, what was the 82 00:09:48,283 --> 00:09:53,963 there then we're returning let's just say for example this 83 00:09:29,843 --> 00:09:33,483 break even so what this may mean is I'm just going to draw 84 00:10:26,683 --> 00:10:30,083 this trade you're set for for the week ahead pretty much and 85 00:06:26,483 --> 00:06:31,283 see what's happened. This is something that I always observe 86 00:12:07,783 --> 00:12:14,623 thinking of entering so NFP is released at 1 thirty. But price 87 00:12:14,623 --> 00:12:20,683 gets to your point of interest let's just say at one twenty 88 00:09:10,723 --> 00:09:16,043 so we're expecting USD to rise so first of all the what what 89 00:06:42,483 --> 00:06:46,803 estimate, the whisper number, and then actual effect of it on 90 00:13:29,243 --> 00:13:34,363 then this will most likely keep on going and going and going 91 00:13:02,663 --> 00:13:06,783 if price action has cleared up a bit and you see that we're 92 00:12:42,583 --> 00:12:46,423 misunderstand the points of interest, it might, it might 93 00:10:30,083 --> 00:10:34,603 for Friday now what what can you expect is of course you 94 00:11:32,903 --> 00:11:36,303 what the NFP means and the impact it has on on the charts 95 00:09:18,883 --> 00:09:22,763 position yourself into your trade in the days before so you 96 00:11:29,623 --> 00:11:32,903 wrong all it is is manipulation you just need to understand 97 00:11:23,623 --> 00:11:29,623 now we can go for dollar for EU buys and this is completely 98 00:11:10,903 --> 00:11:16,143 what people expect and so okay boom let's sell and then it 99 00:10:06,563 --> 00:10:11,283 ideal situation is if possible try to get in any of the trades 100 00:08:36,903 --> 00:08:40,903 of course USD pairs at the time because we're looking at NFP 101 00:09:44,643 --> 00:09:48,283 and we're in a downtrend at the moment or the block filled 102 00:06:08,163 --> 00:06:10,923 always got to look at it something relative of what the 103 00:11:48,623 --> 00:11:52,943 whether it be to the downside or to upside. So this fake move 104 00:11:07,103 --> 00:11:10,903 released you know you might get massive move down and that's 105 00:12:03,663 --> 00:12:07,783 would advise against entering straight away. So if you're 106 00:09:22,763 --> 00:09:26,523 can try to be risk free obviously this days before 107 00:11:36,303 --> 00:11:40,303 essentially now like I said here if you're trading NFP it's 108 00:09:16,043 --> 00:09:18,883 you can do about this to actually get into any trades is 109 00:11:40,303 --> 00:11:44,863 safe wait for the fake out manipulative move which almost 110 00:10:58,223 --> 00:11:03,103 clears up boom we start dropping properly what usually 111 00:10:38,123 --> 00:10:40,683 there might be massive wicks and massive movements that 112 00:10:40,683 --> 00:10:43,443 can't take you out but this is what you'd expect to happen it 113 00:11:52,943 --> 00:11:55,863 might not always hit the cleanest point of interest. So 114 00:16:28,763 --> 00:16:31,883 mentals might make a third section or just keep adding to 115 00:10:17,843 --> 00:10:26,683 Tuesday it breaks down retraces goes down then now you're in 116 00:13:24,323 --> 00:13:29,243 previous highway you can expect price to not go back up to and 117 00:08:59,843 --> 00:09:04,843 good numbers for NFP of course this is backed from previous 118 00:10:46,843 --> 00:10:51,823 massive manipulations and if you close enough to your entry 119 00:09:37,963 --> 00:09:44,643 for this is EU we're expecting USD to rise that means EU drops 120 00:10:34,603 --> 00:10:38,123 need to take partials and go to break even for sure because 121 00:14:48,943 --> 00:14:56,483 that's what we're looking at. Usd just rose because of the 122 00:09:57,523 --> 00:10:02,483 know by Friday we want we're expecting very good numbers we 123 00:08:19,723 --> 00:08:23,403 well at the same time. There's many weeks where I would simply 124 00:13:12,343 --> 00:13:16,343 you normally would because of how impactful the the price 125 00:09:04,843 --> 00:09:07,923 numbers as well that might come out you know what the Fed has 126 00:07:12,323 --> 00:07:15,823 when the numbers released. Yeah I'm going to be getting more 127 00:08:09,123 --> 00:08:12,443 quite a few hours. I believe it's a five hour stream. So if 128 00:07:32,303 --> 00:07:38,503 what it looks like oops here for example it says NFP rose 129 00:06:51,083 --> 00:06:53,843 there's a lot of manipulation at the time perhaps 130 00:07:38,503 --> 00:07:42,503 943K that month so there will be a live report on the left 131 00:05:54,323 --> 00:06:00,443 was almost a million jobs added now this might seem crazy where 132 00:06:04,683 --> 00:06:08,163 way way above 100000 that's something positive but you've 133 00:07:28,143 --> 00:07:32,303 terms of the website I use the FX3 live NFP report so this 134 00:08:33,343 --> 00:08:36,903 markets at the time. So the biggest movers of the market is 135 00:07:03,643 --> 00:07:07,763 they were substantially smaller than what they expected. With 136 00:06:53,843 --> 00:06:57,563 consolidation for the maybe the next few days and then in other 137 00:06:31,283 --> 00:06:34,563 I believe before when I was learning everything about NFP 138 00:08:29,083 --> 00:08:33,343 markets but I wouldn't even enter. So trade in on the 139 00:07:50,703 --> 00:07:55,663 stream they do NFP live stream here from FX Street so he's the 140 00:07:07,763 --> 00:07:12,323 NFP you really can't be trade in straight away especially 141 00:08:23,403 --> 00:08:26,603 just watch watch the news. Watch what was going on with 142 00:07:45,503 --> 00:07:50,703 commentary at the same time and then in of the live stream live 143 00:08:40,903 --> 00:08:45,903 for for the US but in particular what moves a lot 144 00:08:26,603 --> 00:08:29,083 this live stream and then understand the effect on the 145 00:06:22,523 --> 00:06:26,483 previous NFP numbers and actually go on the charts and 146 00:07:00,443 --> 00:07:03,643 substantially bigger than what they were expected or perhaps 147 00:07:22,943 --> 00:07:28,143 terminal not many of you might have access to that but in 148 00:06:18,803 --> 00:06:22,523 times. However, what I'd always recommend is to look at the 149 00:06:46,803 --> 00:06:51,083 the markets and what happened. Usually what I'd always see is 150 00:09:07,923 --> 00:09:10,723 said what's their stance on tapering everything like that 151 00:08:15,123 --> 00:08:19,723 actually check this out. Um it's perfect for studying as 152 00:09:26,523 --> 00:09:29,843 weeks before whenever it may be take some partials and set to 153 00:08:45,903 --> 00:08:52,023 that day is gold. Which is XAU USD on charts. 154 00:08:56,683 --> 00:08:59,843 fundamentally is getting stronger and we expect some 155 00:06:00,443 --> 00:06:04,683 you think oh because we had that massive increase and it's 156 00:07:20,783 --> 00:07:22,943 second website that I look at obviously the Bloomberg 157 00:06:15,003 --> 00:06:18,803 general just base number that you can use during normal 158 00:08:12,443 --> 00:08:15,123 you've got time and you're not working on a Friday or anything 159 00:06:10,923 --> 00:06:15,003 economy is doing at the moment so this 100 thousand is a 160 00:05:21,803 --> 00:05:26,403 what's going on across the world than the macroeconomics. 161 00:08:02,903 --> 00:08:09,123 outcome of both of both the situations And it lasts for 162 00:04:22,923 --> 00:04:27,363 believe over 10 years. He's done almost every single month 163 00:04:34,963 --> 00:04:38,983 it's going. And then in terms of the websites I've got the 164 00:07:58,863 --> 00:08:02,903 what he actually predicts a few minutes before and then the 165 00:05:43,003 --> 00:05:45,883 was more money circulating in the economy therefore 166 00:05:50,123 --> 00:05:54,323 rise substantially I believe in the in the most recent one it 167 00:04:31,523 --> 00:04:34,963 on. Um even explains fundamentals and where he sees 168 00:04:45,503 --> 00:04:50,143 Street live NFP report they have like an instant feed 169 00:05:45,883 --> 00:05:50,123 businesses are thriving that's when we started seeing the NFP 170 00:05:04,543 --> 00:05:10,803 numbers and the numbers that come out. So you see here it's 171 00:04:16,483 --> 00:04:20,203 FX three NFP live stream. Um there's always this one guy 172 00:04:59,903 --> 00:05:04,543 just wanted to explain a bit more about the predicted 173 00:04:27,363 --> 00:04:31,523 as a stream. And he just goes through everything that's going 174 00:04:12,803 --> 00:04:16,483 and a live stream. So the live stream that I always use is the 175 00:04:08,963 --> 00:04:12,803 to the NFP? During NFP I will usually have up two websites 176 00:04:52,383 --> 00:04:56,463 explaining what goes on and everything like that before I 177 00:04:50,143 --> 00:04:52,383 coming through and there's always analysts that are 178 00:05:17,563 --> 00:05:21,803 you can expect DXI DXY to drop. However you've got to consider 179 00:05:38,683 --> 00:05:43,003 as the economy started opening up we had the QE program there 180 00:05:30,123 --> 00:05:34,803 lost jobs. Therefore unemployment rose and NFP every 181 00:05:10,803 --> 00:05:13,843 it's quite well known above 100000 is something positive. 182 00:04:03,723 --> 00:04:08,963 News websites too. So now what happens when you actually get 183 00:05:34,803 --> 00:05:38,683 single month you can expect a severe drop right? But as soon 184 00:03:59,763 --> 00:04:03,723 believe it can also be accessed online through a bunch of FX 185 00:03:52,243 --> 00:03:56,003 actually find out the whisper number online. Uh personally I 186 00:04:56,463 --> 00:04:59,903 actually move on to you know the websites and everything I 187 00:03:48,363 --> 00:03:52,243 general fundamentals of where I see USD going. Then you can 188 00:03:44,923 --> 00:03:48,363 checklist of things to do. First of all is understand the 189 00:05:26,403 --> 00:05:30,123 So for example at the moment a lot of us in the past year have 190 00:04:42,423 --> 00:04:45,503 you don't have access to Bloomberg Terminal it's FX 191 00:04:20,203 --> 00:04:22,923 that you know he's been doing it for many many years now. I 192 00:03:23,103 --> 00:03:26,603 Personally I'm always going to advise especially newcomers to 193 00:03:40,463 --> 00:03:44,923 So preparing for NFP usually to prepare for NFP I have a 194 00:04:38,983 --> 00:04:42,423 Bloomberg terminal live feed and then another great one if 195 00:03:34,163 --> 00:03:39,043 has and where we can see the directional bias heading. 196 00:05:13,843 --> 00:05:17,563 Anything less than that it it's been a very poor NFP therefore 197 00:03:56,003 --> 00:03:59,763 find this through my Bloomberg terminal that I have. Uh but I 198 00:03:26,603 --> 00:03:30,043 the course and new students that are mentoring right now 199 00:03:30,043 --> 00:03:34,163 don't actually trade NFP but understand the implication it 200 00:03:15,983 --> 00:03:18,743 I'll never advise you to do. Obviously we're here for the 201 00:03:12,983 --> 00:03:15,983 especially if you do not risk stick to risk management which 202 00:03:03,543 --> 00:03:09,423 manipulation that occurs you'll be in for a very nice return. 203 00:02:42,143 --> 00:02:46,103 stable market, a number above a hundred thousand new jobs added 204 00:02:33,743 --> 00:02:38,063 their economy. Therefore, more investors want to invest with 205 00:02:17,183 --> 00:02:20,743 determined factors and data released previously now the 206 00:02:54,063 --> 00:02:57,063 Now remember, if you choose to trade this news event, you are 207 00:03:09,423 --> 00:03:12,983 So the thing is this can either make or break accounts so if 208 00:02:38,063 --> 00:02:42,143 US dollar and therefore that strengthens. Usually in a 209 00:02:20,743 --> 00:02:26,023 economy grows when NFP numbers are positive so USD or DXY will 210 00:02:57,063 --> 00:03:01,063 exposing yourself to very high amounts of risk because if you 211 00:03:01,063 --> 00:03:03,543 standard direction and can trade past the massive 212 00:03:18,743 --> 00:03:22,543 long run and not just a short term fix. 213 00:02:49,503 --> 00:02:54,063 adaptive and consider world events and the expected number. 214 00:02:46,103 --> 00:02:49,503 in that month is something positive. But we must always be 215 00:02:26,023 --> 00:02:31,183 strengthen as you can expect this has a roll on effect on 216 00:02:13,743 --> 00:02:17,183 will always estimate the data beforehand based on other 217 00:02:31,183 --> 00:02:33,743 You know, it has a role and effect on every other part of 218 00:02:09,783 --> 00:02:13,743 got a positive or negative figure figure now economists 219 00:01:54,563 --> 00:01:58,923 hoping to get better data releases for them. Then the 220 00:01:47,243 --> 00:01:51,003 consumers and the residents in in the US they were highlighted 221 00:01:21,843 --> 00:01:24,443 Latin American sector, the white Americans, African 222 00:01:00,423 --> 00:01:03,863 every month. Now of course this is UK time so obviously convert 223 00:01:08,283 --> 00:01:11,363 actually consist of? So the first part is a new amount of 224 00:01:58,923 --> 00:02:05,183 last bit is a manufacturing payroll sub component. So 225 00:01:35,723 --> 00:01:38,563 when the Fed have talked they've actually highlighted 226 00:01:42,083 --> 00:01:47,243 was the American part of the economy part of all the 227 00:01:30,403 --> 00:01:35,723 so you can you know if there's because sometimes especially 228 00:02:05,183 --> 00:02:09,783 analyzing the data is very simple pretty much it's have we 229 00:01:38,563 --> 00:01:42,083 the fact that certain sectors in the economy and I believe it 230 00:01:51,003 --> 00:01:54,563 to not be very great in employment numbers so they were 231 00:01:11,363 --> 00:01:14,923 jobs added then you've got unemployment rate. The 232 00:01:24,443 --> 00:01:30,403 American, you got different types of ages genders as well 233 00:01:18,763 --> 00:01:21,843 each sector of the United States. You know you've got the 234 00:01:03,863 --> 00:01:08,283 it to where to wherever you are. So what does the report 235 00:01:14,923 --> 00:01:18,763 employment sectors so it actually breaks it down into 236 00:00:47,263 --> 00:00:50,983 causes some of the biggest price moves in a month. It's so 237 00:00:34,803 --> 00:00:39,903 that you'd like. So NFP. The non-farm payroll report is a 238 00:00:29,483 --> 00:00:32,083 they can make therefore the more spending that going to 239 00:00:55,983 --> 00:01:00,423 So this report is released at 130 on the first Friday of 240 00:00:27,043 --> 00:00:29,483 You know the more people that are employed the more money 241 00:00:50,983 --> 00:00:55,983 influential because it accounts for 80% of the GDP workforce. 242 00:00:32,083 --> 00:00:34,803 happen and then of course that's economic stimulation 243 00:00:39,903 --> 00:00:43,983 key economic indicator for the United States representing a 244 00:00:43,983 --> 00:00:47,263 total number of jobs added in that month. It consistently 245 00:00:21,003 --> 00:00:23,483 you know a really good understanding on how the 246 00:00:23,483 --> 00:00:27,043 economy is growing and how it serves its its people in a way. 247 00:00:12,683 --> 00:00:16,523 NFP is one of the or the employment figures are one of 248 00:00:05,923 --> 00:00:09,003 we're going to be looking at NFP unemployment. So moving on 249 00:00:16,523 --> 00:00:21,003 the biggest economic drivers especially because it gives a 250 00:00:09,003 --> 00:00:12,683 from what we saw last time we obviously realise that you know 251 00:00:02,263 --> 00:00:05,923 Yes hello guys and welcome to the next video. So in this one 252 00:16:54,603 --> 00:16:58,523 take care and I'll see you in the next section. 23702

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