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These are the user uploaded subtitles that are being translated: 1 00:00:00,560 --> 00:00:04,880 okay so as promised let's just go through some of the recent price action 2 00:00:04,880 --> 00:00:09,280 here so it's going to utilize bar replay and let's just bring it back to let's 3 00:00:09,280 --> 00:00:14,080 say uh around here in price action so 4 00:00:14,080 --> 00:00:17,199 obviously you just looked at this hopefully you have watched part one um 5 00:00:17,199 --> 00:00:21,359 of this flip walkthrough and we can see that uh although the four hour is 6 00:00:21,359 --> 00:00:24,560 bearish right at this point right because we this was the swing high this 7 00:00:24,560 --> 00:00:27,199 was the swing low and we were pulling back 8 00:00:27,199 --> 00:00:30,480 we could start to see how demand was starting to take control because we came 9 00:00:30,480 --> 00:00:34,559 into the supplies in here we reacted we pushed up through and we came back into 10 00:00:34,559 --> 00:00:38,079 demand as we can see that led to the fuel to then actually break up and now 11 00:00:38,079 --> 00:00:42,079 we have that confirmed for our breaking structure as we are clearly closing 12 00:00:42,079 --> 00:00:46,719 above so let's have a super quick recap of the the sort of major high time 13 00:00:46,719 --> 00:00:50,719 frames um so weekly chart you guys should be very familiar with this now 14 00:00:50,719 --> 00:00:55,520 right we are stuck within this larger bullish range so 15 00:00:55,520 --> 00:00:59,920 this is a high this is clearly the low we are in demand price did try to make 16 00:00:59,920 --> 00:01:03,280 that higher high it failed to do its job so then we knew there was a high 17 00:01:03,280 --> 00:01:07,760 probability that this week weekly low was likely to get run right and price 18 00:01:07,760 --> 00:01:11,760 was likely to take that out now price has done that and we started to retrace 19 00:01:11,760 --> 00:01:15,600 so we are showing bullish signals right there's obviously still going to be some 20 00:01:15,600 --> 00:01:20,320 demand left within this zone um however you know we do have to be 21 00:01:20,320 --> 00:01:23,840 aware that price did try to do its job and now it's come down and it's taken 22 00:01:23,840 --> 00:01:28,400 out the reaction so you know really in theory anywhere within this entire buy 23 00:01:28,400 --> 00:01:33,040 to sell range is actually a weekly flip supply zone right to take us slower so 24 00:01:33,040 --> 00:01:36,240 it's getting a little bit messy but i wouldn't worry about that too much for 25 00:01:36,240 --> 00:01:40,240 now right getting too caught up in the higher time frames in terms of you know 26 00:01:40,240 --> 00:01:42,960 which way this is going to go let's just keep stretching nice and simple we've 27 00:01:42,960 --> 00:01:46,880 swept a weak low and we are still within the bullish range and at the moment the 28 00:01:46,880 --> 00:01:50,320 lower time frames are starting to break to the upside so at a minimum we can 29 00:01:50,320 --> 00:01:53,920 start to play a bit of a weekly reaction with the potential that we may be coming 30 00:01:53,920 --> 00:01:57,200 up right to take out this high right because it failed to take out the low 31 00:01:57,200 --> 00:02:01,840 and potentially make that higher high um up there right 32 00:02:01,840 --> 00:02:05,360 the only thing again that's in in form of the bearish case is we are coming off 33 00:02:05,360 --> 00:02:09,039 this pretty strong weekly supply zone at the top of the range so you know there 34 00:02:09,039 --> 00:02:12,160 is potential we could have a short-term reaction and we could start to break 35 00:02:12,160 --> 00:02:16,080 lower and switch bearish but as always i have no idea i don't have a crystal 36 00:02:16,080 --> 00:02:18,959 ball i don't need to know which way price is going to go in order to make 37 00:02:18,959 --> 00:02:22,560 decent money right we just stack the properties in our favor and we keep it 38 00:02:22,560 --> 00:02:25,760 as mechanical as possible and at the moment the weekly is still bullish the 39 00:02:25,760 --> 00:02:29,920 lower time frames are starting to break to the upside so i'm happy to trade pro 40 00:02:29,920 --> 00:02:34,720 trend in that higher time frame bullish direction whilst being very cognizant 41 00:02:34,720 --> 00:02:38,400 and aware of the fact that this move could be short-lived and we may actually 42 00:02:38,400 --> 00:02:44,000 come down and take out these weekly lows so from a daily chart perspective um we 43 00:02:44,000 --> 00:02:47,120 swept liquidity again we don't need to worry about too much about that just now 44 00:02:47,120 --> 00:02:50,720 but then i created a really strong demand zone that then led to the break 45 00:02:50,720 --> 00:02:54,720 of that structure price has now come back almost filled right mitigated the 46 00:02:54,720 --> 00:02:58,879 eq and obviously doesn't have to markets aren't perfect but it's a pretty decent 47 00:02:58,879 --> 00:03:04,640 sign and then we came up and we took out this daily high here now this daily high 48 00:03:04,640 --> 00:03:07,120 here it's a little bit of a tricky one in terms of whether you call that a 49 00:03:07,120 --> 00:03:10,640 swing pull back or a minor pull back on the daily high it's obviously definitely 50 00:03:10,640 --> 00:03:14,560 a four hour swing high um but it's you know it's not overly convincing whether 51 00:03:14,560 --> 00:03:17,519 that's a major daily swing high in my opinion so i'd be more looking at kind 52 00:03:17,519 --> 00:03:20,560 of price action like this where we have a clear lower low lower high and then a 53 00:03:20,560 --> 00:03:24,560 bit more of a convincing swing break like that so this high here this mine 54 00:03:24,560 --> 00:03:28,239 high maybe should be used for liquidity just like this one was here to sweep 55 00:03:28,239 --> 00:03:31,280 that and then we may form that large level high and then roll off to the 56 00:03:31,280 --> 00:03:35,200 downside and then we may actually get that weekly bearish trend change but 57 00:03:35,200 --> 00:03:39,120 regardless of whether you view it as a a true swing high or not um you know 58 00:03:39,120 --> 00:03:44,000 that is a decent uh sign there that price is starting to show those 59 00:03:44,000 --> 00:03:47,200 bullish intentions right after mitigating it mitigating that daily area 60 00:03:47,200 --> 00:03:50,319 of demand because remember we had this daily area of supply price came in 61 00:03:50,319 --> 00:03:53,920 reacted and pushed up through so even the daily showing you that flip zone 62 00:03:53,920 --> 00:03:58,560 showing you you know that demand is starting to take control 63 00:03:58,560 --> 00:04:02,799 so dropping down to the four-hour chart as we've just kind of already been over 64 00:04:02,799 --> 00:04:06,239 this price action we were bearish we came up to kind of nearer the origin 65 00:04:06,239 --> 00:04:09,680 that supply zone demand side to take control right it took out the reaction 66 00:04:09,680 --> 00:04:13,920 and then that led to that break of structure so now that we have a 67 00:04:13,920 --> 00:04:18,000 four-hour break of structure what is the next thing we expect well we expect a 68 00:04:18,000 --> 00:04:22,720 four-hour pullback okay how can we know when that four-hour pullback um may be 69 00:04:22,720 --> 00:04:25,759 you know somewhere where that may start to kick in well we can look left at old 70 00:04:25,759 --> 00:04:29,040 areas of supply right so we kind of have this 71 00:04:29,040 --> 00:04:34,479 entire let's draw this up this entire four-hour range here um 72 00:04:34,479 --> 00:04:37,680 which you know it's a bit more messy of one but it is technically a flip zone 73 00:04:37,680 --> 00:04:41,120 because we do have this entire cell before the buy um which you can see you 74 00:04:41,120 --> 00:04:44,479 know it's some massive zone so you know there's gonna be quite quite a few flip 75 00:04:44,479 --> 00:04:46,960 zones within this right um but essentially that's where that first sort 76 00:04:46,960 --> 00:04:50,639 of big reaction starts to happen and then fell here right so it's a big 77 00:04:50,639 --> 00:04:54,240 candle i'm gonna refine it a little bit more um to this inside bar but even that 78 00:04:54,240 --> 00:04:57,600 doesn't really get engulfed so what you can do is be even be a little bit more 79 00:04:57,600 --> 00:05:02,960 accurate and refine that to the four hour wick along here um so we still got 80 00:05:02,960 --> 00:05:06,240 a decent enough space right to start to kind of target that 81 00:05:06,240 --> 00:05:09,120 to try and push the flower a little bit more so this is something you have to be 82 00:05:09,120 --> 00:05:12,639 aware of right when you get for instance let's say the four hour break of 83 00:05:12,639 --> 00:05:15,919 structure although we expect a four-hour pullback 84 00:05:15,919 --> 00:05:18,880 that doesn't mean that the moment you have a four-hour break structure you 85 00:05:18,880 --> 00:05:22,720 have to sit on your hands right you can still keep trading long it's just that 86 00:05:22,720 --> 00:05:26,960 you have to manage your expectations of how far to push any lungs you're in 87 00:05:26,960 --> 00:05:29,680 because you have to be aware that at any point this could start to pull back 88 00:05:29,680 --> 00:05:32,880 right so you know again if this was the daily and we start to get a daily 89 00:05:32,880 --> 00:05:36,800 breaker structure yes we expect a daily pullback but it could go on for multiple 90 00:05:36,800 --> 00:05:39,919 days before that pullback kicks in right it just means you have to manage your 91 00:05:39,919 --> 00:05:44,400 expectations of how far to push it so four hours bullish we have a breakage 92 00:05:44,400 --> 00:05:47,600 structure um there's potential price can go a little bit further so if we get 93 00:05:47,600 --> 00:05:52,000 some intraday opportunities to go along yeah we can start to do that with a very 94 00:05:52,000 --> 00:05:55,680 clear target of where potentially we may want to start to partial out any profits 95 00:05:55,680 --> 00:05:59,840 that may be running um and go start to take our profits or even potentially 96 00:05:59,840 --> 00:06:03,840 look for some shorts to play that four-hour pullback so with the 15-minute 97 00:06:03,840 --> 00:06:08,639 chart obviously clearly bullish as well let's just draw on some structure so we 98 00:06:08,639 --> 00:06:11,600 can see what's going on um it's always worth if you're doing this in live 99 00:06:11,600 --> 00:06:14,880 market or even when you're back testing just to go back you know a few sort of 100 00:06:14,880 --> 00:06:18,960 phases in price action and just paint the story to see what happens so we had 101 00:06:18,960 --> 00:06:22,080 that pull back right this was the low price tried to come down and take out 102 00:06:22,080 --> 00:06:25,840 that low but we can see we failed to close above it so at that point we are 103 00:06:25,840 --> 00:06:29,919 still bullish and then we come up and take out that high to then form another 104 00:06:29,919 --> 00:06:33,680 high and yeah we are starting to pull back so let's just play this forward a 105 00:06:33,680 --> 00:06:36,880 little bit and see if we can essentially what i'll be looking at at this point 106 00:06:36,880 --> 00:06:39,919 right is i know this is kind of how i'd be talking to 107 00:06:39,919 --> 00:06:42,720 myself in the market right as i was just saying the fire chart 108 00:06:42,720 --> 00:06:45,680 we've had that break of structure we are bullish so i'm expecting a four hour 109 00:06:45,680 --> 00:06:49,759 pullback but i'm going to try and push to see if we can take advantage of this 110 00:06:49,759 --> 00:06:53,360 next leg up to that area of supply right so what i'll be looking for in the 111 00:06:53,360 --> 00:06:57,360 15-minute chart is for price to pull back to an area of demand 15-minute 112 00:06:57,360 --> 00:07:01,680 demand for me to then look to get long so already what i can see is we've had a 113 00:07:01,680 --> 00:07:05,440 bit more of a minor pullback if i just measure this in pips 114 00:07:05,440 --> 00:07:08,800 it's not even 10 pips so i wouldn't really classify that as swing structure 115 00:07:08,800 --> 00:07:11,840 i would classify more of that as just kind of a 116 00:07:11,840 --> 00:07:15,599 minor breaker structure to the upside so it's still valuable information um we 117 00:07:15,599 --> 00:07:19,360 have created an m15 demand zone um it's you know it's 118 00:07:19,360 --> 00:07:22,400 not a swing break of structure so it's not the most significant of the monitors 119 00:07:22,400 --> 00:07:26,479 in the world but it is there right so momentum is clearly strong um you know i 120 00:07:26,479 --> 00:07:30,800 can be more than happy to be reasonably aggressive if i get sort of my lower 121 00:07:30,800 --> 00:07:34,880 timeframe confirmations to look for potential higher lows within here okay 122 00:07:34,880 --> 00:07:38,479 so let's put this forward a little bit more and wait for price to start to come 123 00:07:38,479 --> 00:07:42,720 back down into our m15 supply zone right so we can see price starting to pull 124 00:07:42,720 --> 00:07:45,599 back and this is where i'll just be waiting 125 00:07:45,599 --> 00:07:48,639 patiently set your alerts you know you don't have to be watching price action 126 00:07:48,639 --> 00:07:51,759 um minute by minute okay so now price is starting to pull back so this is where 127 00:07:51,759 --> 00:07:55,520 i'd start to be on sort of high alert right looking for to see potentially are 128 00:07:55,520 --> 00:07:58,720 we going to react from this area are we going to get a nice 15 minute high low 129 00:07:58,720 --> 00:08:01,759 to look for longs or potentially maybe we're going to have a bit of a deeper 130 00:08:01,759 --> 00:08:05,280 pullback because for me i would be viewing that as my swing lower right 131 00:08:05,280 --> 00:08:08,800 it's the lowest point i took out that recent swing high and now we're starting 132 00:08:08,800 --> 00:08:11,919 to initiate a bit more of a pullback so really we're playing with this entire 133 00:08:11,919 --> 00:08:16,639 m15 range and remember if we mark on our premium discount um 134 00:08:16,639 --> 00:08:20,479 you know ideally i want to be buying in a discount but as you guys have probably 135 00:08:20,479 --> 00:08:24,800 seen from your testing price does not always pull back especially momentum is 136 00:08:24,800 --> 00:08:28,879 quite strong so yeah higher probability to be buying down here but if i get my 137 00:08:28,879 --> 00:08:33,360 confirmations i'm happy to be a bit more aggressive and buy higher up in this 138 00:08:33,360 --> 00:08:37,039 bullish swing leg here right so i'm not just blindly putting entries on here of 139 00:08:37,039 --> 00:08:39,599 course you can do that but i'd rather you know 140 00:08:39,599 --> 00:08:43,279 boost my strike rate a bit more by looking to see if this zone is going to 141 00:08:43,279 --> 00:08:46,880 hold by looking at the lower timeframes first and seeing if i get my 142 00:08:46,880 --> 00:08:49,920 confirmations okay boom right what's happened with 143 00:08:49,920 --> 00:08:53,440 that next 15 minute candle is we've seen a very aggressive retrace right it's 144 00:08:53,440 --> 00:08:58,880 fully retraced that candle um and it's moved even higher so 145 00:08:58,880 --> 00:09:02,080 generally what i'll do in the live market is if i have a refined 15 minute 146 00:09:02,080 --> 00:09:05,760 zone to a candle right the price doesn't hit it but then i see you know what 147 00:09:05,760 --> 00:09:09,279 looks to be a lot of demand being filled and a big aggressive move away then this 148 00:09:09,279 --> 00:09:12,560 is where you can just you know read between the lines a little bit and go 149 00:09:12,560 --> 00:09:16,720 okay well what i've actually done here is that is technically right that entire 150 00:09:16,720 --> 00:09:19,600 buy before the sale that's the whole range i had refined it all the way to 151 00:09:19,600 --> 00:09:23,839 the candle but price doesn't have to move away from my refined zone right it 152 00:09:23,839 --> 00:09:28,560 could be you know um the the more of the double kind of right 153 00:09:28,560 --> 00:09:33,120 the pivot uh the sell before the buy that took the high because remember 154 00:09:33,120 --> 00:09:36,720 price doesn't know time time doesn't know price we're just trying to read the 155 00:09:36,720 --> 00:09:40,320 order book through the price action on the candles that we see on our charts 156 00:09:40,320 --> 00:09:43,839 because remember what is those two candles those two bearish candles before 157 00:09:43,839 --> 00:09:47,360 the move that broke the high well it's likely on a higher time frame just going 158 00:09:47,360 --> 00:09:50,959 to be that yeah see it's just one bearish candle before they move up if we 159 00:09:50,959 --> 00:09:54,399 jump on the 30 minute time frame now you can cycle through every single time 160 00:09:54,399 --> 00:09:57,440 frame if you want and draw on you know tons of zones 161 00:09:57,440 --> 00:10:00,399 i'm not personally a big fan of that i'd rather kind of just have my kind of set 162 00:10:00,399 --> 00:10:04,320 time frames and just understand what is going on here so that's why we spent 163 00:10:04,320 --> 00:10:08,720 time looking you know in the in the smd zone creation video i believe it's 164 00:10:08,720 --> 00:10:11,360 called what we understand now we can have the 165 00:10:11,360 --> 00:10:15,360 most unrefined which is the whole range we can take it time to the pivot right 166 00:10:15,360 --> 00:10:20,320 there's multiple candles or even one candle or even the fractal refinement 167 00:10:20,320 --> 00:10:23,360 but we just have to understand that although the fractal refinement will be 168 00:10:23,360 --> 00:10:26,240 a bit more accurate it's sometimes you know price isn't always going to 169 00:10:26,240 --> 00:10:29,519 initially come straight down to there and move away so 170 00:10:29,519 --> 00:10:33,279 kind of the mini lesson from this right is if you see if you have a refined zone 171 00:10:33,279 --> 00:10:36,320 right and you see price aggressively move away you don't have to but if 172 00:10:36,320 --> 00:10:39,680 you're happy to do so i personally am i'm happy to be a bit more loose with my 173 00:10:39,680 --> 00:10:42,959 larger ranges because what i'm going to do is then jump down to the lower time 174 00:10:42,959 --> 00:10:46,000 frames and then look for my confirmations right so i'm aware that 175 00:10:46,000 --> 00:10:48,959 although we've had a reaction price could still come down lower i want to 176 00:10:48,959 --> 00:10:52,320 mitigate this first before it goes so what am i going to do well i'm going to 177 00:10:52,320 --> 00:10:56,880 jump down to lower time frames and see if price wants to actually go from here 178 00:10:56,880 --> 00:11:00,160 if it is ready to go right so as we can see from this kind of larger 30 minute 179 00:11:00,160 --> 00:11:04,160 range we've had a very aggressive move on the one minute 180 00:11:04,160 --> 00:11:07,760 so let's just play this forward a little bit so it's a bit more subtle but what i 181 00:11:07,760 --> 00:11:11,760 can see is this kind of major m1 sort of swing high up here price came up it 182 00:11:11,760 --> 00:11:15,519 tried to break up high it didn't close above but we did wick it so if we look 183 00:11:15,519 --> 00:11:19,200 again on the 15 minute chart all right what is that well actually it's kind of 184 00:11:19,200 --> 00:11:23,200 that bullish sub structure wick break right it's that kind of bullish change 185 00:11:23,200 --> 00:11:26,320 of character kind of just another indication that potentially this is the 186 00:11:26,320 --> 00:11:30,399 m15 high low and it is trying to break up higher so a bit of a subtle thing 187 00:11:30,399 --> 00:11:33,519 there but it is just another tick in the box that potentially this is going to be 188 00:11:33,519 --> 00:11:38,320 the low and this lower won't break and we are ready to go so 189 00:11:38,320 --> 00:11:41,920 where can we look to potentially buy well the most sort of obvious zone right 190 00:11:41,920 --> 00:11:46,320 would be the m1 extreme demand um right at the bottom of the origin this move 191 00:11:46,320 --> 00:11:50,720 that broke up higher right it took out multiple m1 levels over here right so 192 00:11:50,720 --> 00:11:54,160 it's a pretty decent strong zone right we can clearly see the momentum 193 00:11:54,160 --> 00:11:59,120 that stepped in um during the london session right um nested within 194 00:11:59,120 --> 00:12:02,720 that larger high time frame to mars over here so there's kind of two ways you can 195 00:12:02,720 --> 00:12:05,839 do this one you literally either set your limit order anywhere on or within 196 00:12:05,839 --> 00:12:09,519 the zone stop below the low right so even 1.5 pip stop 197 00:12:09,519 --> 00:12:12,399 you may want to give it a little bit more buffer um but yeah that you know 198 00:12:12,399 --> 00:12:14,800 looks pretty safe here and you can literally just set your limit order 199 00:12:14,800 --> 00:12:18,320 there but i'm going to wait for a little bit more confirmation just to make sure 200 00:12:18,320 --> 00:12:20,480 that the zone is going to hold and potentially we're not going to come 201 00:12:20,480 --> 00:12:26,880 lower into that you know that one single candle uh refined m15 demand zone um 202 00:12:26,880 --> 00:12:30,399 also another thing as well is we'll talk about this a bit more in the liquidity 203 00:12:30,399 --> 00:12:33,920 module but it's always also potentially worth mentioning now 204 00:12:33,920 --> 00:12:37,600 is when you see a reasonably clean almost vertical straight push-up like 205 00:12:37,600 --> 00:12:41,519 that a lot of the times what can happen is price can come down and it can end up 206 00:12:41,519 --> 00:12:45,440 just taking out the zone and it can be a bit of a full signal so it's kind of to 207 00:12:45,440 --> 00:12:48,800 do with liquidity we'll talk about that a bit more in there now 208 00:12:48,800 --> 00:12:51,839 again it's just probabilities it's not a certainty you have to do this for your 209 00:12:51,839 --> 00:12:55,680 own testing and finding to see how you get on with these pretty clean pushes um 210 00:12:55,680 --> 00:12:59,360 because they also do play out um quite a few times as well so in this case this 211 00:12:59,360 --> 00:13:03,120 is where you can look for a little bit more confirmation if you some have 212 00:13:03,120 --> 00:13:07,279 some hesitations or doubts about this zone holding so 213 00:13:07,279 --> 00:13:10,560 what essentially i'm going to do is instead of looking to just kind of set 214 00:13:10,560 --> 00:13:13,040 my limit order on the zone because if you hadn't done that right you'd be 215 00:13:13,040 --> 00:13:16,480 tagged in now i'm going to wait for a little bit more confirmation so what do 216 00:13:16,480 --> 00:13:18,880 i actually mean by that when i say confirmation 217 00:13:18,880 --> 00:13:22,079 and it just goes back to you know all of the examples that we've been looking uh 218 00:13:22,079 --> 00:13:25,120 before on all of you know the theory videos of literally just waiting for 219 00:13:25,120 --> 00:13:28,160 market structure to again change character in my favor i want to see that 220 00:13:28,160 --> 00:13:32,880 bullish break but what also can we use we can look to see where supply starts 221 00:13:32,880 --> 00:13:36,480 to fail and demand starts to take control so at the moment we can see 222 00:13:36,480 --> 00:13:39,920 right with the more recent price action we can see those pullbacks right 223 00:13:39,920 --> 00:13:44,959 supplies in control we are pretty much bearish on the recent m1 price action so 224 00:13:44,959 --> 00:13:48,560 what's happening now is price has come up into this it's a bit more of a 225 00:13:48,560 --> 00:13:50,959 fractal refinement but we can clearly see right there with supply that then 226 00:13:50,959 --> 00:13:54,480 took out that low price has come back into here and it's reacted and it's 227 00:13:54,480 --> 00:13:58,560 pushed down lower so at this point what i'll be saying to myself is okay 228 00:13:58,560 --> 00:14:02,720 we've tapped into supply that is where the reaction is i'll be marking out the 229 00:14:02,720 --> 00:14:06,480 top of that reaction point and what i would want to see is price come back up 230 00:14:06,480 --> 00:14:09,839 and break above that reaction point to show me that the reaction has failed and 231 00:14:09,839 --> 00:14:14,320 ideally get that change of character as well okay so let's play this forward and 232 00:14:14,320 --> 00:14:18,480 see what happens so at this point supply still in control and then boom we take 233 00:14:18,480 --> 00:14:22,639 out that low okay so actually in fact this supply here has done its job it's 234 00:14:22,639 --> 00:14:27,040 come down lower now we're trying to fill up more orders within the eq of this m1 235 00:14:27,040 --> 00:14:30,079 demand zone so now again what i'll be looking at is 236 00:14:30,079 --> 00:14:35,120 i'll see this area of m1 supply and i want to see price react and take out the 237 00:14:35,120 --> 00:14:39,040 supply zone and also take out that minor high to give us our change of character 238 00:14:39,040 --> 00:14:41,680 so now we can see we've had a pretty strong reaction but we've just managed 239 00:14:41,680 --> 00:14:44,560 to spike below that low all right taking out this internal 240 00:14:44,560 --> 00:14:48,320 demand so again that is showing me that supply is still in control so now i'm 241 00:14:48,320 --> 00:14:53,600 literally just going to evolve um my zone towards uh this most recent zone 242 00:14:53,600 --> 00:14:56,959 here and again just following the exact same 243 00:14:56,959 --> 00:15:00,880 process so price has pulled into it i want to see a reaction just to make sure 244 00:15:00,880 --> 00:15:03,519 that it's validating the supply zone right i don't want to just see price 245 00:15:03,519 --> 00:15:07,600 smash straight up through the reaction is key okay boom there's your bearish 246 00:15:07,600 --> 00:15:10,959 reaction so now literally if i'm in a live market minute by minute this is 247 00:15:10,959 --> 00:15:14,079 what i'll be doing this exact same process just constantly readjusting my 248 00:15:14,079 --> 00:15:19,120 analysis and waiting to see that price action model um that we need to see so 249 00:15:19,120 --> 00:15:23,680 prices come into supply it's reacted now what i want to see is price break above 250 00:15:23,680 --> 00:15:26,880 that and show me that the reaction has failed okay so price has gone a little 251 00:15:26,880 --> 00:15:30,079 bit lower but we haven't taken up the low yet so now what's happening is we're 252 00:15:30,079 --> 00:15:34,079 just ranging between the high and the low and we're having that battle right 253 00:15:34,079 --> 00:15:37,680 between supply and demand so remember supply is going to do its job it needs 254 00:15:37,680 --> 00:15:41,759 to take out this low here so we tried to come up but we still 255 00:15:41,759 --> 00:15:45,519 haven't taken out the reaction just yet all right still having that battle still 256 00:15:45,519 --> 00:15:49,440 having that battle okay we've gone lower but we still haven't taken out this low 257 00:15:49,440 --> 00:15:52,560 all right so nothing yet sitting patiently on my hands just waiting for 258 00:15:52,560 --> 00:15:56,800 price action and then boom okay what's happened we have broken up above and 259 00:15:56,800 --> 00:16:01,600 closed above that reaction point and we have also broken above that minor high 260 00:16:01,600 --> 00:16:06,320 so we now have that m1 change of character so what this means is demand 261 00:16:06,320 --> 00:16:10,560 somewhere has stepped in to not only take out right the supply zone because 262 00:16:10,560 --> 00:16:15,199 price has pulled in reacted it's we just draw it we've pulled in we've 263 00:16:15,199 --> 00:16:19,040 reacted we've failed to take out that low right so then demand has stepped in 264 00:16:19,040 --> 00:16:22,720 to not only take out the reaction to cause the reaction to fail but it's also 265 00:16:22,720 --> 00:16:26,720 taken out that structural high so now we have that change of character 266 00:16:26,720 --> 00:16:29,360 now one little point before we go any further 267 00:16:29,360 --> 00:16:33,120 is um kind of talking about mapping types 268 00:16:33,120 --> 00:16:36,480 for your failed reaction so for me personally 269 00:16:36,480 --> 00:16:40,959 as you guys will know for denoting true swing breaks of structure so i know 270 00:16:40,959 --> 00:16:45,279 where my swing highs and swing lows are i use type 1 mapping i want to see a 271 00:16:45,279 --> 00:16:49,839 candle closure above or below a higher low right but for changes of character 272 00:16:49,839 --> 00:16:53,519 i'm happy to use type two all i'm happy to see is a wick break right i can be a 273 00:16:53,519 --> 00:16:56,880 little bit more aggressive with it now you're gonna have to ask yourself um you 274 00:16:56,880 --> 00:17:01,680 know what is in your trade plan for how you define a failed reaction so this is 275 00:17:01,680 --> 00:17:05,199 the dotted line right where the reaction started and once price breaks above it 276 00:17:05,199 --> 00:17:09,280 that is when the reaction fails but you need to decide for you does it make more 277 00:17:09,280 --> 00:17:12,640 sense to have just a wick break are you happy with that or do you want to see a 278 00:17:12,640 --> 00:17:16,559 candle closure above that dotted line like we have here okay 279 00:17:16,559 --> 00:17:21,439 now some people want to use type 1 which is the kind of closure because it's um 280 00:17:21,439 --> 00:17:24,799 more more confluence it's more conservative because obviously it's a 281 00:17:24,799 --> 00:17:28,079 more convincing sign if price manages to break and close above 282 00:17:28,079 --> 00:17:31,679 other people are just happy with a wick break and the reason why they're happy 283 00:17:31,679 --> 00:17:34,720 with just a wick break right so the price spiked up above that dotted line 284 00:17:34,720 --> 00:17:38,880 and then closed back down is because on the m1 that wick break on a lower time 285 00:17:38,880 --> 00:17:42,400 frame right if we were to jump down to 15 seconds probably would actually have 286 00:17:42,400 --> 00:17:46,000 had a candle closure on the 15 seconds above that high right and then price 287 00:17:46,000 --> 00:17:50,160 would come back in right and then fill up that demand and then go 288 00:17:50,160 --> 00:17:52,559 so i'm not going to tell you which way is 289 00:17:52,559 --> 00:17:56,000 right or wrong it's going to be excuse me it's going to be down to you 290 00:17:56,000 --> 00:17:59,280 to decide what you have more success with what gives you the higher strike 291 00:17:59,280 --> 00:18:02,720 rate what makes more sense to you and that will just come with time experience 292 00:18:02,720 --> 00:18:05,919 and data collection right when we go through the testing which i'll show you 293 00:18:05,919 --> 00:18:09,919 how to do later in the course um you can start to figure this out right um but 294 00:18:09,919 --> 00:18:12,640 what i would say is if you just want a starting point because i know it can be 295 00:18:12,640 --> 00:18:15,440 a bit frustrating when there's all these open-ended questions you may have 296 00:18:15,440 --> 00:18:19,919 the starting point i would give you is to always wait for a candle closure um 297 00:18:19,919 --> 00:18:23,520 above the reaction point to confirm you have your failed reaction just because 298 00:18:23,520 --> 00:18:27,360 that's a bit more conservative and that in theory should boost your strike rate 299 00:18:27,360 --> 00:18:31,200 so yeah i would use for your failed reaction type one mapping candle 300 00:18:31,200 --> 00:18:35,440 closures right that body break above the higher the low just to give you that at 301 00:18:35,440 --> 00:18:40,320 that higher um higher strike rate right in theory so 302 00:18:40,320 --> 00:18:43,120 just to kind of go back over this right what have we done 303 00:18:43,120 --> 00:18:46,799 we are with the four hour bullish trend we've had a four hour break of structure 304 00:18:46,799 --> 00:18:50,720 right which was this line back here so we know that a four hour pullback can 305 00:18:50,720 --> 00:18:55,520 occur at any point in time right so 306 00:18:55,520 --> 00:19:00,640 we have identified an area of supply that we can look to target right because 307 00:19:00,640 --> 00:19:03,360 this is a bit more likely where potentially that for our pullback may 308 00:19:03,360 --> 00:19:08,400 start and we can still take advantage of you know the next 20 pips or so right so 309 00:19:08,400 --> 00:19:11,360 that doesn't sound a lot but as you've just seen when we can get in with three 310 00:19:11,360 --> 00:19:16,000 two one point five even one pip stops right that's a a decent amount of r to 311 00:19:16,000 --> 00:19:19,039 take advantage of so we've waited for price to pull back into our area of 312 00:19:19,039 --> 00:19:22,320 demand we've seen that aggressive move away we've seen that 15 minute change of 313 00:19:22,320 --> 00:19:26,640 character and price has pulled back into our area on the lower time frames and 314 00:19:26,640 --> 00:19:29,600 we're starting to look to get along right so if we drop down to the one 315 00:19:29,600 --> 00:19:33,760 minute we then identified a very clean area of demand but you know we could 316 00:19:33,760 --> 00:19:36,880 have just wiped the limit order on but we waited for a bit more confirmation we 317 00:19:36,880 --> 00:19:41,360 waited for demand to start to step in right to cause supply to fail and to get 318 00:19:41,360 --> 00:19:44,320 that change of character to the upside right so we had those lower lows and 319 00:19:44,320 --> 00:19:48,400 lower highs right rejecting supply it held pulled back into supply it held it 320 00:19:48,400 --> 00:19:52,080 made that lower low we then came into the most recent area supply it reacted 321 00:19:52,080 --> 00:19:55,520 it tries to do its job and then that reaction failed and market structure 322 00:19:55,520 --> 00:19:58,720 failed right that bearish market structure failed and we now have bullish 323 00:19:58,720 --> 00:20:03,440 market structure with that change of character so now it is all systems go to 324 00:20:03,440 --> 00:20:08,480 look for a potential long trade so what caused that failed reaction what caused 325 00:20:08,480 --> 00:20:12,559 that change of character well anywhere within this cell before the buy is 326 00:20:12,559 --> 00:20:17,520 technically where the the demand stepped in so the most unrefined way of looking 327 00:20:17,520 --> 00:20:20,799 for that demand zone is just taking that entire m1 range right so i'm just going 328 00:20:20,799 --> 00:20:23,840 to use that parallel channel just because that's typically what i use 329 00:20:23,840 --> 00:20:28,320 in the live market so now what you can do is the most unrefined way is to just 330 00:20:28,320 --> 00:20:31,520 enter anywhere on or within the zone right and then have your stop just below 331 00:20:31,520 --> 00:20:35,840 the low so let's say that gives us 2.5 pips right 332 00:20:35,840 --> 00:20:39,200 um and then you would literally have been tagged in with the next candle so 333 00:20:39,200 --> 00:20:42,240 this is where you need to be pretty quick if you were doing this on the m1 334 00:20:42,240 --> 00:20:45,280 time frame but of course we get a few more opportunities couple minutes so 335 00:20:45,280 --> 00:20:49,360 that it taps in again fills up my orders before we get that true move so yeah 336 00:20:49,360 --> 00:20:52,240 that's pretty much it in a nutshell that is literally what we are doing to get 337 00:20:52,240 --> 00:20:56,240 those entries and we're looking for the same thing again and again and again now 338 00:20:56,240 --> 00:20:59,200 before i play this a little bit further and start to look at targets and stuff 339 00:20:59,200 --> 00:21:02,720 i do just want to show you a bit more of a refined way of how you could have got 340 00:21:02,720 --> 00:21:05,600 in it is a little bit more advanced so you know don't worry this is the first 341 00:21:05,600 --> 00:21:08,640 time you're seeing this it might seem a little bit confusing but i promise you 342 00:21:08,640 --> 00:21:11,600 you will get this in time so if we just look at the price 343 00:21:11,600 --> 00:21:14,960 action the example we just looked at right is taking the whole cell to buy 344 00:21:14,960 --> 00:21:18,640 range but how could we refine it even more well we could take that sell to buy 345 00:21:18,640 --> 00:21:21,919 candle right but doesn't make it too much smaller but what we can always look 346 00:21:21,919 --> 00:21:24,159 for is 347 00:21:24,159 --> 00:21:28,960 where was the last point of demand that stepped into the market in order to 348 00:21:28,960 --> 00:21:32,000 cause the failed reaction and the change of character right so obviously this is 349 00:21:32,000 --> 00:21:35,200 where we got that confirmation but where was the last point of demand that 350 00:21:35,200 --> 00:21:38,320 stepped in to cause that move well as we can see what happened we had this 351 00:21:38,320 --> 00:21:41,760 bullish candle right then we whipped back so we had that pullback on the 352 00:21:41,760 --> 00:21:45,440 lower time frame and then boom that's where the demand stepped in right so 353 00:21:45,440 --> 00:21:48,960 those sell to buy wicks show us that lower timeframe pullback and then that's 354 00:21:48,960 --> 00:21:53,280 where the demand stepped in so what you can do on the m1 time frame right is 355 00:21:53,280 --> 00:21:56,480 potentially read what's going on on that lower time frame 356 00:21:56,480 --> 00:21:59,280 and then that is your front door refinement and then what that means is 357 00:21:59,280 --> 00:22:03,120 you can enter right on there and you can be a bit more aggressive with your stop 358 00:22:03,120 --> 00:22:05,919 right i definitely wouldn't go low on the pip really especially when you're 359 00:22:05,919 --> 00:22:09,679 starting out i would say a minimum 1.5 pips or even really a minimum two just 360 00:22:09,679 --> 00:22:12,559 in case price can come lower and still reject you know something within this 361 00:22:12,559 --> 00:22:16,080 wick okay there's no guarantee but i'm just going to show you 362 00:22:16,080 --> 00:22:20,080 what essentially you have done is on the m1 really lower time frame because 363 00:22:20,080 --> 00:22:24,559 if we jump down to the 15 seconds right you can see that was the cell before the 364 00:22:24,559 --> 00:22:27,120 buy that broke the high obviously you'd want to find that a little bit more 365 00:22:27,120 --> 00:22:29,679 accurately to that cell before the buy there 366 00:22:29,679 --> 00:22:32,720 and then if you had the 15 seconds you can then trade with confidence even with 367 00:22:32,720 --> 00:22:36,880 a one pip stop let's just say 1.5 pip stops below that range there and that's 368 00:22:36,880 --> 00:22:40,720 essentially what you were reading now i want to make this very very 369 00:22:40,720 --> 00:22:44,720 crystal clear you do not need the seconds time frame in order to be 370 00:22:44,720 --> 00:22:48,480 extremely consistently profitable okay you you do not need it in fact i would 371 00:22:48,480 --> 00:22:53,520 advise you still the hate still still kind of get my words out i advise you 372 00:22:53,520 --> 00:22:57,360 stay the hell away from the second time frames because until you get a lot more 373 00:22:57,360 --> 00:23:00,559 experience until you really nail down your higher time frame zones and 374 00:23:00,559 --> 00:23:05,039 understanding even m1 price action if you're looking at the 15 seconds 375 00:23:05,039 --> 00:23:08,240 you're just going to see a hell of a lot more full signals and it's really not 376 00:23:08,240 --> 00:23:12,080 worth it okay the whole point of me showing you this is just kind of just 377 00:23:12,080 --> 00:23:16,400 purely a price action exercise just to show you what is going on from a fractal 378 00:23:16,400 --> 00:23:19,600 point of view right on one time frame but remember this can apply to any 379 00:23:19,600 --> 00:23:22,960 timeframe you could be on the four hour and you can see this price action and 380 00:23:22,960 --> 00:23:26,799 then you would just be basically looking at those four hour sell to buy wicks and 381 00:23:26,799 --> 00:23:30,159 just understanding what is likely going on on say the 15 minute time frame rate 382 00:23:30,159 --> 00:23:33,440 it's just the same thing again and again and again 383 00:23:33,440 --> 00:23:37,440 anyway let's leave that there so now what i would do is start to look for 384 00:23:37,440 --> 00:23:42,000 refined targets so at a minimum right we can start to look for price to target 385 00:23:42,000 --> 00:23:45,200 this 15 minute week high right here to see if we can get the higher high 386 00:23:45,200 --> 00:23:48,880 because price then may start to pull back um or we can start to look for to 387 00:23:48,880 --> 00:23:52,559 push price even further up towards this four hour area supply but what we can do 388 00:23:52,559 --> 00:23:56,240 is try and refine that a little bit more and what i'll often do is then if i'm on 389 00:23:56,240 --> 00:23:59,840 the four hours i'll drop into that zone on the 15 minute and see if i can refine 390 00:23:59,840 --> 00:24:04,640 this zone even more so let's just kind of paint the story back a little bit and 391 00:24:04,640 --> 00:24:08,799 what can we see so price pulls back it takes out this high here right so we 392 00:24:08,799 --> 00:24:12,640 have this demand zone this 15 minute demand zone and we drag that across what 393 00:24:12,640 --> 00:24:15,840 happens price temple's back into that demand zone it tries to make a higher 394 00:24:15,840 --> 00:24:20,400 high right it reacts and then supply steps in to take out that reaction so 395 00:24:20,400 --> 00:24:25,440 technically all of this by before the self price action is the supply zone 396 00:24:25,440 --> 00:24:29,679 that caused that reaction to fail and led to that break of structure over here 397 00:24:29,679 --> 00:24:32,480 but we can see you know i don't want to just take that whole range and also you 398 00:24:32,480 --> 00:24:35,200 know a lot of it's mitigated with this price section here so actually i'm just 399 00:24:35,200 --> 00:24:38,080 going to refine that to the last buy before the cell 400 00:24:38,080 --> 00:24:42,080 at the top here and then drag that across and then that way we've refined 401 00:24:42,080 --> 00:24:46,240 our four-hour zone uh a little bit more just to potentially 402 00:24:46,240 --> 00:24:50,240 give us not only increased accuracy for looking for targets but also to 403 00:24:50,240 --> 00:24:54,640 potentially um you know increase our accuracy for playing a potential for our 404 00:24:54,640 --> 00:24:59,679 pullback if price action uh yeah starts to break down so let's just jump back 405 00:24:59,679 --> 00:25:08,000 down to the one minute um and play price forward a little bit 406 00:25:10,080 --> 00:25:14,799 so let's speed this up a little bit so we can see now let me zoom out okay now 407 00:25:14,799 --> 00:25:17,840 we've definitely taken out that 15 minute high right so you could start to 408 00:25:17,840 --> 00:25:20,960 potentially take some profits but just for the sake of this example right i 409 00:25:20,960 --> 00:25:23,279 don't want to talk about management too much just now because we will cover this 410 00:25:23,279 --> 00:25:26,080 in a lot more depth i'm just kind of giving you some loose hard time frame 411 00:25:26,080 --> 00:25:28,880 targets here that you can think about so we're seeing 412 00:25:28,880 --> 00:25:32,960 some volatility prices chopping around nothing to do at this stage sit on your 413 00:25:32,960 --> 00:25:35,919 hands and then price moves up into our four-hour zone right so that could be 414 00:25:35,919 --> 00:25:39,200 your first decent profit target just over 10r or we could push this even 415 00:25:39,200 --> 00:25:43,360 further and see if price is going to try and go up towards that 15-minute zone 416 00:25:43,360 --> 00:25:45,760 now what i'll start doing right if i'm in 417 00:25:45,760 --> 00:25:49,120 the live market there's this point even if i'm in a long position obviously i'm 418 00:25:49,120 --> 00:25:52,720 biased for price to the upside but you have to forget about that in terms of 419 00:25:52,720 --> 00:25:57,039 your analysis right you need to try and keep your mindset as neutral as possible 420 00:25:57,039 --> 00:25:59,679 so i'm just going to drag these zones across 421 00:25:59,679 --> 00:26:03,919 just to help with my chart ocd just so i can see exactly what's going on 422 00:26:03,919 --> 00:26:06,880 but to go back to the more important point of what i was saying is even if 423 00:26:06,880 --> 00:26:09,919 you're in a long position you're obviously biased to go to the upside you 424 00:26:09,919 --> 00:26:12,640 know your subconscious is going to be running with emotions thinking about 425 00:26:12,640 --> 00:26:16,080 that money you're making but what you can start to do is go okay i know i've 426 00:26:16,080 --> 00:26:19,120 had the four hour break of structure i know i'm expecting a four-hour pullback 427 00:26:19,120 --> 00:26:23,120 we are now entering that four-hour refined area of supply right we've 428 00:26:23,120 --> 00:26:27,200 identified an even more refined area with the m15 but price does not have to 429 00:26:27,200 --> 00:26:30,960 reach it right for before potentially that four-hour pullback may occur we 430 00:26:30,960 --> 00:26:34,480 could literally tap the edge of this and start to go so what i'm going to start 431 00:26:34,480 --> 00:26:38,320 to be doing is just looking for signs of weakness looking for signs that price is 432 00:26:38,320 --> 00:26:41,840 starting to fall to the downside looking for those breaks of those bearish bricks 433 00:26:41,840 --> 00:26:46,240 of structure or looking for demand failing and supply starting to take 434 00:26:46,240 --> 00:26:50,880 control so as we can see so far the m1 is clearly you know bullish it's still 435 00:26:50,880 --> 00:26:55,120 making higher highs and higher lows and demand is still in control so having 436 00:26:55,120 --> 00:26:59,440 this minor pull back here and now we have tapped into that m15 refined supply 437 00:26:59,440 --> 00:27:03,919 right for just under 15 r if you had you know that 1.5 pip stop there so i'm just 438 00:27:03,919 --> 00:27:05,840 going to move that out of the way and let's just forget about the long trade 439 00:27:05,840 --> 00:27:10,880 for a minute and let's see if we can start to potentially look for 440 00:27:10,880 --> 00:27:14,320 um you know that for our pullback now because we've tapped into a refined 441 00:27:14,320 --> 00:27:18,480 supply zone right the m15 within what is already a refined four hour zone right 442 00:27:18,480 --> 00:27:22,320 because remember we refined that entire four-hour range to just a four-hour wick 443 00:27:22,320 --> 00:27:26,720 now you can start to potentially be a lot more aggressive with how much 444 00:27:26,720 --> 00:27:30,320 uh bearish price action you want to see before you're happy to trade short 445 00:27:30,320 --> 00:27:33,679 because obviously you know if you if you trade every sort of m1 breaker stretch 446 00:27:33,679 --> 00:27:37,679 to the downside you can take a hell of a lot of full signals right you could get 447 00:27:37,679 --> 00:27:40,159 short and the price can just keep going up and up and up and you can take a lot 448 00:27:40,159 --> 00:27:44,320 of losses so one of the safest sort of ways to prevent that 449 00:27:44,320 --> 00:27:47,279 and something i'll advise you guys especially if you're starting out is to 450 00:27:47,279 --> 00:27:51,760 wait for say a m15 change of character right you'd want to see an m15 minor 451 00:27:51,760 --> 00:27:55,120 logo first before you start to look to play short 452 00:27:55,120 --> 00:27:58,720 just to increase that probability okay but because we found a really nice 453 00:27:58,720 --> 00:28:01,440 refined supply zone and you know just for the sake of this example i just want 454 00:28:01,440 --> 00:28:05,600 to show you what can be possible and let's just look for that first sign of 455 00:28:05,600 --> 00:28:08,960 the m1 switching bearer so we tapped it to refine zone and this is where i'm 456 00:28:08,960 --> 00:28:11,200 going to be you know really paying attention to the detail of what is going 457 00:28:11,200 --> 00:28:15,039 on because we've had a minor pullback right so we've had that minor high get 458 00:28:15,039 --> 00:28:19,760 taken so now for me this would be a minor the most recent minor m1 low so 459 00:28:19,760 --> 00:28:23,520 i'd be looking to see is that logan hold is this cell before the buy this bearish 460 00:28:23,520 --> 00:28:27,520 candle going to hold and is demand going to stay in control 461 00:28:27,520 --> 00:28:30,399 so we pull back into it now you can see that bullish reaction right we're 462 00:28:30,399 --> 00:28:33,360 filling up that demand within here so it'll be a bit more clear in the lower 463 00:28:33,360 --> 00:28:36,960 time frame because we've taken high we've pulled back we're now reacting 464 00:28:36,960 --> 00:28:39,760 right to this demand zone and we're trying to make a higher high so let's 465 00:28:39,760 --> 00:28:43,360 see if price can do its job and make the higher high okay boom so now we've 466 00:28:43,360 --> 00:28:47,679 dropped to the downside right so enjoy in fact i'll show you what's 467 00:28:47,679 --> 00:28:50,000 happened here because we can see what's happening on one right we've had we've 468 00:28:50,000 --> 00:28:53,760 taken high we've taken the low we've had that change of character but what have 469 00:28:53,760 --> 00:28:57,279 we also had right we've had that reaction to demand that buy to sell wix 470 00:28:57,279 --> 00:29:01,919 but then it's failed and supply has taken to control right so if i draw this 471 00:29:01,919 --> 00:29:05,120 on the m1 all right those buy to sell wix and i'll 472 00:29:05,120 --> 00:29:08,799 just draw this for our sort of m1 right change of character 473 00:29:08,799 --> 00:29:12,399 because i draw the same right we took that high then we took the low 474 00:29:12,399 --> 00:29:15,520 we tried to react we tried to make a higher high and then boom we stepped in 475 00:29:15,520 --> 00:29:19,120 right and what's even better more confluence is we've taken out this sort 476 00:29:19,120 --> 00:29:22,320 of more minor low as well so you know even if you weren't sure 477 00:29:22,320 --> 00:29:25,760 because you're only looking at one price action we tapped into a refined supply 478 00:29:25,760 --> 00:29:29,039 within a refined for our supply we've had a change of character we can see 479 00:29:29,039 --> 00:29:32,720 that flip within there but then not only that just look at the momentum right 480 00:29:32,720 --> 00:29:36,000 that is big money stepping in right now there's a lot of supply that's come in 481 00:29:36,000 --> 00:29:39,279 so i'm just going to quickly show you on the 15 second just so it's potentially a 482 00:29:39,279 --> 00:29:41,840 little bit clearer all right you can see that true breaker 483 00:29:41,840 --> 00:29:45,679 structure it closed above the high then we would have had this as your 484 00:29:45,679 --> 00:29:50,640 essentially your 15 uh second uh demand zone so just draw that on the 485 00:29:50,640 --> 00:29:54,000 m1 right price has come in it's reacted it's tried to make a higher high and 486 00:29:54,000 --> 00:29:57,039 then we have our supply zone so you could even refine the sun even further 487 00:29:57,039 --> 00:30:00,399 to that wick but i'm not gonna over refine it i'm at this point let's just 488 00:30:00,399 --> 00:30:05,039 stick to the m1 price action right and that is what is going on so now you 489 00:30:05,039 --> 00:30:08,960 can look to um yeah sell from this area so let's just keep it pretty unrefined 490 00:30:08,960 --> 00:30:12,159 don't be conservative this one two pips just give it a little bit more space 491 00:30:12,159 --> 00:30:15,760 above the zone and let's see how price action develops 492 00:30:15,760 --> 00:30:19,279 so we've had that very very aggressive move away and this is exactly what i see 493 00:30:19,279 --> 00:30:22,960 now a nice corrective slow pullback showing me that you know demand isn't 494 00:30:22,960 --> 00:30:26,559 really too um too much in control and supply 495 00:30:26,559 --> 00:30:31,200 should hopefully now be in control to facilitate that four-hour 496 00:30:31,200 --> 00:30:34,480 pullback as you can see we've now been tapped in 497 00:30:34,480 --> 00:30:38,159 so we can start to do what in terms of targets right we need to be a bit more 498 00:30:38,159 --> 00:30:41,279 aggressive because obviously we're playing a counter higher timeframe train 499 00:30:41,279 --> 00:30:44,240 pullback but we can start to look at the m15 low 500 00:30:44,240 --> 00:30:47,760 let's see up here all right so first kind of real targets 501 00:30:47,760 --> 00:30:50,640 will be into around these areas here right because there's obviously still 502 00:30:50,640 --> 00:30:54,640 going to be m15 demand right where price could pull back but 503 00:30:54,640 --> 00:30:58,399 we have to realize is because we are coming off a four hour supply zone and 504 00:30:58,399 --> 00:31:02,240 we are expecting a four-hour pullback it's likely that these lows can start to 505 00:31:02,240 --> 00:31:06,640 go and we may pull back to where back into this four-hour area of demand down 506 00:31:06,640 --> 00:31:10,159 here right so that's where i would be starting um to look to target but let's 507 00:31:10,159 --> 00:31:14,240 just jump back to the m1 and just see how price action starts to develop as we 508 00:31:14,240 --> 00:31:16,960 are within this trade because don't worry we'll talk about management in a 509 00:31:16,960 --> 00:31:20,480 much more depth later on so still within a trade 510 00:31:20,480 --> 00:31:24,480 right price hasn't taken out the most recent m1 low yet it's battling it's 511 00:31:24,480 --> 00:31:27,600 battling it's battling and then we start to go 512 00:31:27,600 --> 00:31:31,360 so we get another break of the low now in the live market i won't mark out 513 00:31:31,360 --> 00:31:34,640 every single n1 breaker structure i find it a bit unnecessary but we'll just you 514 00:31:34,640 --> 00:31:38,240 know do this for the sake of the example um so yeah we place forward a little bit 515 00:31:38,240 --> 00:31:42,240 more and what we can see is m1 supply starting the whole right 516 00:31:42,240 --> 00:31:45,120 because we've broken structure we've pulled back into the decisional we've 517 00:31:45,120 --> 00:31:50,640 reacted and we're pushing lower now you know especially counter trend it's a 518 00:31:50,640 --> 00:31:53,440 little bit more aggressive when you're playing pullbacks but you don't 519 00:31:53,440 --> 00:31:56,399 necessarily just want to take every m1 breaker structure and start selling 520 00:31:56,399 --> 00:32:00,399 every m1 supply zone right you can do it please test it see if it works for you 521 00:32:00,399 --> 00:32:03,600 but it is a bit more aggressive especially counter trend so what can we 522 00:32:03,600 --> 00:32:07,840 do to increase the probability of these m1 supply zones holding when 523 00:32:07,840 --> 00:32:10,880 playing a counter trend move well instead of just looking for ones that 524 00:32:10,880 --> 00:32:14,799 cause breaks of structure we can look for ones that cause flip zones so this 525 00:32:14,799 --> 00:32:18,640 is where previous demand zones in the leg we can then use to our advantage 526 00:32:18,640 --> 00:32:22,000 right so if we look over here where we have this m1 demand zone 527 00:32:22,000 --> 00:32:26,000 right and we drag it across we can look to see is this going to hold and then 528 00:32:26,000 --> 00:32:29,679 are we going to start to break to the upside right or is supply going to stay 529 00:32:29,679 --> 00:32:32,399 in control because we have had just another 530 00:32:32,399 --> 00:32:35,519 breaker structure down here right 531 00:32:35,519 --> 00:32:39,120 so we do have another m1 supplies in here but like i was saying i don't just 532 00:32:39,120 --> 00:32:41,919 necessarily want to sell everyone everyone's supply zone they've caused a 533 00:32:41,919 --> 00:32:45,200 break of structure you can do it but they're a little bit lower probability 534 00:32:45,200 --> 00:32:49,440 than if we can get breaks of structure and a flip zone so that's personally 535 00:32:49,440 --> 00:32:53,679 what i want to see okay so demand has now reacted we're starting to 536 00:32:53,679 --> 00:32:57,120 pull back so it's gonna be interesting to see is demand going to win or is 537 00:32:57,120 --> 00:33:00,399 supply going to win so we tap into our supply zone 538 00:33:00,399 --> 00:33:02,960 right we're still battling we're battling we're battling right which 539 00:33:02,960 --> 00:33:06,159 one's going to win supply demand still battling let's fast forward this a 540 00:33:06,159 --> 00:33:09,039 little bit and then boom we come lower right so we have to fill up a little bit 541 00:33:09,039 --> 00:33:12,960 a few more orders within zone but we never broke up higher right and now 542 00:33:12,960 --> 00:33:17,279 we've gone down so what's happening we've rejected our refined supply we've 543 00:33:17,279 --> 00:33:20,480 had multiple breaks of stretches the downside right we had our nice flip zone 544 00:33:20,480 --> 00:33:25,360 up here we can see supply is starting to to be mitigated right 545 00:33:25,360 --> 00:33:29,440 suppliers in control we're seeing that series of bearish order flow old demand 546 00:33:29,440 --> 00:33:33,519 has just facilitated that pullback but ultimately supplies taken in control so 547 00:33:33,519 --> 00:33:38,159 now what do we have we have an m1 failed reaction 548 00:33:38,159 --> 00:33:42,159 right boom so what that means is anywhere within 549 00:33:42,159 --> 00:33:46,240 this whole buy to sell range is essentially your demand 550 00:33:46,240 --> 00:33:49,679 to supply flip but i just don't want to sell anywhere within here i'm going to 551 00:33:49,679 --> 00:33:54,000 refine that to our candle up here just because i don't want a massive stop and 552 00:33:54,000 --> 00:33:57,279 i want to refine my wrist sword as much as possible when playing those more 553 00:33:57,279 --> 00:34:01,440 aggressive uh for our you know counter trend moves and you know we don't even 554 00:34:01,440 --> 00:34:05,120 have an m15 change of character just yet so the reason why i'd be happy to sell 555 00:34:05,120 --> 00:34:08,879 from here right even though it is a bit more aggressive is one 556 00:34:08,879 --> 00:34:11,760 because of the area we're coming off from we have a series of mitigations 557 00:34:11,760 --> 00:34:15,200 right a series of bearish order flow so it's showing that supplier is in control 558 00:34:15,200 --> 00:34:18,960 but not only now do we have that break of structure here this is also a failed 559 00:34:18,960 --> 00:34:24,240 reaction from this demand zone right so if price was to come up right and break 560 00:34:24,240 --> 00:34:26,879 up higher then it's very likely we're just going to keep on going right 561 00:34:26,879 --> 00:34:30,320 because now um you know that bearish order flow has been broken and demand 562 00:34:30,320 --> 00:34:33,280 would then be back in control so this is kind of the last point of supply that 563 00:34:33,280 --> 00:34:38,639 needs to hold if this pullback is going to continue south and continue uh 564 00:34:38,639 --> 00:34:44,000 bearish so let's play this forward and see if price will tag us in or not 565 00:34:44,000 --> 00:34:47,839 so now we're within trade right and then boom very very nice reaction and the 566 00:34:47,839 --> 00:34:50,480 reason why we got that reaction is just because of all of the confidence i just 567 00:34:50,480 --> 00:34:53,599 outlined right this is a strong area of supply it's the last point of supply 568 00:34:53,599 --> 00:34:57,040 that needs to hold right we've taken out that demand zone taken we've had that 569 00:34:57,040 --> 00:35:01,119 breaking structure as well that is a picture perfect right demand zone now in 570 00:35:01,119 --> 00:35:04,240 terms of targets like i said we're going to start to target 571 00:35:04,240 --> 00:35:07,760 um you know there's multiple targets on the way but really we're trying to play 572 00:35:07,760 --> 00:35:11,040 that steeper for our pullback so if we jump up to four hour chart hopefully 573 00:35:11,040 --> 00:35:14,560 doesn't play price action too far unfortunately it has it's the one sort 574 00:35:14,560 --> 00:35:17,599 of drawback of of bar replay and training view is as you cycle through 575 00:35:17,599 --> 00:35:20,960 the time frames it's just gonna show the entire next four hour candle which yeah 576 00:35:20,960 --> 00:35:24,000 didn't want to see price go that far um especially when you're testing because 577 00:35:24,000 --> 00:35:28,880 it can end up showing you that price does go that far but 578 00:35:28,880 --> 00:35:32,079 not to worry so yeah the four hour pullback right 579 00:35:32,079 --> 00:35:34,800 where do we know that price can pull back well it'd be the next sort of four 580 00:35:34,800 --> 00:35:39,359 hour demand zone where that supply sorry where that demand may step in for price 581 00:35:39,359 --> 00:35:42,960 to form that higher low right so there's no guarantee that price will form a high 582 00:35:42,960 --> 00:35:45,920 low here because remember this is the swing range that we are currently 583 00:35:45,920 --> 00:35:48,640 playing within right this was the lowest point that took out that high now we're 584 00:35:48,640 --> 00:35:51,760 starting to have a more convincing pullback so this for me is that swing 585 00:35:51,760 --> 00:35:56,640 range so we could potentially expect price to pull all the way back down into 586 00:35:56,640 --> 00:35:59,520 discount right but remember price doesn't have to you guys will already 587 00:35:59,520 --> 00:36:02,400 know that from the testing you guys have already hopefully done on premium 588 00:36:02,400 --> 00:36:05,280 discount especially on the four hour chart that 589 00:36:05,280 --> 00:36:08,640 we don't have to pull down here and what was the other key thing we know is that 590 00:36:08,640 --> 00:36:11,680 when we get that first initial trend change right that change of character 591 00:36:11,680 --> 00:36:15,119 that first initial break of structure um especially when we're coming off from a 592 00:36:15,119 --> 00:36:18,480 higher time frame level it's likely that momentum will be its highest and it's 593 00:36:18,480 --> 00:36:21,359 unlikely that we're going to pull all the way deep before we continue to go 594 00:36:21,359 --> 00:36:24,880 right usually we just get more shallow pullbacks and we go so that's the 595 00:36:24,880 --> 00:36:27,440 thought process of how i'm always thinking this in the live market we've 596 00:36:27,440 --> 00:36:30,960 had our four outbreak of structure we've mitigated our four area of supply that 597 00:36:30,960 --> 00:36:34,480 has initiated the pullback so now i'm looking at every area of demand right i 598 00:36:34,480 --> 00:36:37,599 would have all of these areas of demand drawn on and i'll be looking at any all 599 00:36:37,599 --> 00:36:41,359 of these areas as potential points for price to you know form the high low you 600 00:36:41,359 --> 00:36:43,920 know i haven't drawn every single one on but that's just to show you for an 601 00:36:43,920 --> 00:36:47,040 example so when price comes into this range 602 00:36:47,040 --> 00:36:50,000 what i'm going to be starting to do is what look for my lower timeframe 603 00:36:50,000 --> 00:36:52,800 confirmations for price to break structure to the upside to take out 604 00:36:52,800 --> 00:36:57,200 supply full demand to bin bin control to confirm this for our zone to confirm 605 00:36:57,200 --> 00:37:00,400 that before our high low may be in place and then we can look to potentially take 606 00:37:00,400 --> 00:37:03,839 that move there right but there is no guarantee we can get in long's here and 607 00:37:03,839 --> 00:37:07,440 it can react a little bit can move up but then it can just be creating you 608 00:37:07,440 --> 00:37:10,640 know liquidity if a price then come down lower and again we can look for energy 609 00:37:10,640 --> 00:37:13,359 models we can get long but again there's no guarantee that the high low's in 610 00:37:13,359 --> 00:37:16,640 place it can keep coming down before eventually it goes that is just 611 00:37:16,640 --> 00:37:20,480 something that you have to bear in mind so we have this larger for our range you 612 00:37:20,480 --> 00:37:23,200 can take the whole range you can take the cell before the buy or you know you 613 00:37:23,200 --> 00:37:26,880 could even take it to that last kind of pivot before it broke the high right it 614 00:37:26,880 --> 00:37:29,680 doesn't massively matter just in case of the example i'm just going to kind of be 615 00:37:29,680 --> 00:37:33,119 a bit more loose and put it to that last cell before the buy larger candle just 616 00:37:33,119 --> 00:37:36,720 because we're going to be looking at our lower time frame 617 00:37:36,720 --> 00:37:41,920 all right confirmations to help us with that timing so in terms of the 15 minute 618 00:37:41,920 --> 00:37:44,720 this is where you can start to try and be a bit more you know clever and look 619 00:37:44,720 --> 00:37:48,880 for refined areas of where price may come into so this is kind of that origin 620 00:37:48,880 --> 00:37:52,240 zone here but what you'll notice is price kind of already tapped that distal 621 00:37:52,240 --> 00:37:54,960 filled quite a few of the orders and went away 622 00:37:54,960 --> 00:37:58,000 now yes price could still come lower i want to mitigate you know the eq or 623 00:37:58,000 --> 00:38:01,839 further but just a bit of a warning sign that it's not fresh so it's not as high 624 00:38:01,839 --> 00:38:05,119 probability that potentially price may want to come into it 625 00:38:05,119 --> 00:38:09,040 so where's the next unmitigated area of demands that hasn't been tapped into 626 00:38:09,040 --> 00:38:11,680 that caused the next break of structure right that took out this high here where 627 00:38:11,680 --> 00:38:14,400 you could take this whole bearish candle you could take the range but i'm just 628 00:38:14,400 --> 00:38:17,920 going to try to take the origin of that wick and just have a bit more of a 629 00:38:17,920 --> 00:38:21,520 threat to refinement and what is nice about that one is it has liquidity above 630 00:38:21,520 --> 00:38:24,480 it again we'll talk about this later but if the guys already you know know about 631 00:38:24,480 --> 00:38:27,200 that or you're watching back through you'll know what i'm talking about but 632 00:38:27,200 --> 00:38:30,000 what is also a bit more of a subtle point is that i really like it when a 633 00:38:30,000 --> 00:38:34,160 refined zone lines up with the eq of a larger zone because what we know those 634 00:38:34,160 --> 00:38:37,440 eqs of those ranges is fair value they're really kind of pretty strong 635 00:38:37,440 --> 00:38:40,800 turning points for price to want to mitigate and go so i do kind of like it 636 00:38:40,800 --> 00:38:43,040 when price lines up like that but yeah it's 637 00:38:43,040 --> 00:38:47,040 definitely nothing majorly majorly significant so now we have a pretty nice 638 00:38:47,040 --> 00:38:50,079 area to target but with counter 10 trades i'm a little bit more loose and 639 00:38:50,079 --> 00:38:52,640 aggressive in my management so i probably just target kind of the edge of 640 00:38:52,640 --> 00:38:58,960 that zone i'd be happy to take the majority um yeah of my profit so 641 00:38:58,960 --> 00:39:02,240 just for the sake of time now i'm just going to speed this up a little bit uh 642 00:39:02,240 --> 00:39:06,400 and play this forward and we can see that price came into our four-hour zone 643 00:39:06,400 --> 00:39:09,839 so let's just quickly look at the risk reward if you were to take either or 644 00:39:09,839 --> 00:39:13,520 both of those positions and let's just say took off the majority of your volume 645 00:39:13,520 --> 00:39:16,000 at that four hour demands in there so you've got roughly 20 are there and 646 00:39:16,000 --> 00:39:22,240 roughly 23 that are there right not bad at all for a counter trend pullback okay 647 00:39:22,240 --> 00:39:26,079 now as prices pulled back into our first 648 00:39:26,079 --> 00:39:29,839 four hour area of demand right really we want to be focusing on those pro swing 649 00:39:29,839 --> 00:39:33,280 trade moves and we want to start to look to catch that four-hour high low all 650 00:39:33,280 --> 00:39:36,000 right so of course you could literally just enter anywhere in this four-hour 651 00:39:36,000 --> 00:39:38,240 zone and look for that move but i want to wait for a little bit more 652 00:39:38,240 --> 00:39:41,440 confirmation a little bit more refinement and increase my risk reward 653 00:39:41,440 --> 00:39:44,079 so when i'm sitting on the 15-minute chart 654 00:39:44,079 --> 00:39:47,440 what we can do is start to look for bullish signs that the 15-minute chart 655 00:39:47,440 --> 00:39:50,480 is starting to break stretches to the upside now what you'll notice is we have 656 00:39:50,480 --> 00:39:53,839 had a change of character right because we had that that low we had a minor 657 00:39:53,839 --> 00:39:57,680 pullback we made a lower low and then we took that high so that is a change of 658 00:39:57,680 --> 00:40:01,599 character there and you could start to you know look for longs within this area 659 00:40:01,599 --> 00:40:04,560 but something we haven't kind of really spoken about too much to share but is 660 00:40:04,560 --> 00:40:07,599 very very important is something called session timing 661 00:40:07,599 --> 00:40:11,599 now really the majority of the moves that occur the highest probability moves 662 00:40:11,599 --> 00:40:15,119 during the london session and the the new york session but when london is 663 00:40:15,119 --> 00:40:18,800 still open so really it's as long as london is open generally that's where 664 00:40:18,800 --> 00:40:21,119 you're going to see the highest probability moves now at this point 665 00:40:21,119 --> 00:40:25,200 where we get that change of character this is kind of around you know 7 p.m in 666 00:40:25,200 --> 00:40:28,000 the evening so that's the tail end of the new york session london has been 667 00:40:28,000 --> 00:40:31,280 closed for for multiple hours now this is when price is usually very very 668 00:40:31,280 --> 00:40:35,200 choppy you see all these moves here right it's usually very very slow 669 00:40:35,200 --> 00:40:38,319 during the agents going into asian session into spread hours that is not 670 00:40:38,319 --> 00:40:41,680 what i'm looking at the markets and looking to get into positions so this is 671 00:40:41,680 --> 00:40:44,400 generally where i'll just play price forward or obviously if there's a live 672 00:40:44,400 --> 00:40:48,240 market i'd be waiting till around 6am 7am before i'm at my desk and i'm not 673 00:40:48,240 --> 00:40:51,839 going to be looking to take trades during the asian session when price is 674 00:40:51,839 --> 00:40:55,440 really slow so as i'm coming to my desk around 6 a.m that that's exactly where i 675 00:40:55,440 --> 00:40:58,319 would be obviously i would then do my higher time frame analysis which you 676 00:40:58,319 --> 00:41:00,720 know we don't need to do now because we've already done it and i would 677 00:41:00,720 --> 00:41:03,200 literally be looking at the 15-minute chart and going okay well 15-minute 678 00:41:03,200 --> 00:41:08,000 chart is still bearish we have just had a break of structure to the downside 679 00:41:08,000 --> 00:41:12,880 all right so we'll just draw this on um in fact just realized i haven't done the 680 00:41:12,880 --> 00:41:17,599 prior ones for you but just to make it a bit more obvious where we are with that 681 00:41:17,599 --> 00:41:19,520 so obviously the trade we're in before 682 00:41:19,520 --> 00:41:22,079 right we did get that break at the high we had that breaker structure to the 683 00:41:22,079 --> 00:41:25,280 upside now 684 00:41:25,280 --> 00:41:30,000 price came back down here and we had the break of this low down here right in 685 00:41:30,000 --> 00:41:33,119 fact what i'm going to do just because there's actually 686 00:41:33,119 --> 00:41:36,240 um something i want to talk through this price action back here at this point 687 00:41:36,240 --> 00:41:38,640 right so i think this is quite an important mini lesson 688 00:41:38,640 --> 00:41:42,880 so obviously we took that initial um 689 00:41:42,880 --> 00:41:45,599 m1 short here right playing for our pullback and we had a scale in somewhere 690 00:41:45,599 --> 00:41:48,319 around here now when you're in those shorts kind of that first real major 691 00:41:48,319 --> 00:41:52,160 target would be demand within here obviously trying to take out this m15 692 00:41:52,160 --> 00:41:55,280 low to then potentially tell us that we are going to pull back deeper into that 693 00:41:55,280 --> 00:42:00,640 four-hour area of demand so if we go back to those trades 694 00:42:00,640 --> 00:42:03,599 all right this is that m15 lower down here that we've drawn across all right 695 00:42:03,599 --> 00:42:07,119 now as price comes down to that low generally what you will see when we get 696 00:42:07,119 --> 00:42:10,240 the break of a low appreciate there's some concepts here 697 00:42:10,240 --> 00:42:13,280 that we haven't quite covered yet but in liquidity what we will learn is when 698 00:42:13,280 --> 00:42:16,800 price takes out a major swing low generally you will get a pullback right 699 00:42:16,800 --> 00:42:20,880 you will see price start to pull back as bullish pressure starts to step in so as 700 00:42:20,880 --> 00:42:24,480 price comes down and it starts to sweep out it's only subtle but even by pit 701 00:42:24,480 --> 00:42:28,480 that's enough for price to trade that low right we can potentially look for 702 00:42:28,480 --> 00:42:32,240 long positions right to hedge our short positions because if we know price is 703 00:42:32,240 --> 00:42:35,760 going to pull back potentially we can look for longs okay so how do we look 704 00:42:35,760 --> 00:42:38,640 for long as we wait for brakes to stretch to the upside we wait for supply 705 00:42:38,640 --> 00:42:42,720 to start to fail and demand to start to take control so what do we have here we 706 00:42:42,720 --> 00:42:45,680 have this buy before the cell so we can look to take that whole range or 707 00:42:45,680 --> 00:42:50,400 potentially we can you know refine it to this m1 candle here 708 00:42:50,400 --> 00:42:54,000 all right and see what is going to happen so price comes into there right 709 00:42:54,000 --> 00:42:57,520 now we have a reaction so literally as i'm seeing that in the market um not the 710 00:42:57,520 --> 00:43:00,240 best of reaction but that's a fractal refinement right because what's happened 711 00:43:00,240 --> 00:43:03,599 price has pushed down and it's pushed up but just gonna wait for a little bit 712 00:43:03,599 --> 00:43:06,079 more okay so that for me is an inside bar so 713 00:43:06,079 --> 00:43:09,760 that's even more convincing now because this candle has failed to take out this 714 00:43:09,760 --> 00:43:13,440 candles high so that's enough for me to then draw that as the start of the 715 00:43:13,440 --> 00:43:17,920 reaction points this is where you have to really pay attention to detail right 716 00:43:17,920 --> 00:43:22,640 so now if price was to break above that high before it takes out that low that 717 00:43:22,640 --> 00:43:26,160 for me would be enough to show me that potentially supply is failing so now we 718 00:43:26,160 --> 00:43:30,720 have a break and close above so now what we can do right is take that m1 candle 719 00:43:30,720 --> 00:43:36,000 there as an entry and we can get long now what you'll notice right just as i 720 00:43:36,000 --> 00:43:40,960 kind of size this up let's say a two-pip stop is 721 00:43:40,960 --> 00:43:44,000 if i'm entering now right once we have that failed reaction 722 00:43:44,000 --> 00:43:47,760 what don't we have we don't yet have a change of character so if you remember 723 00:43:47,760 --> 00:43:51,200 this is just a flip this is the most aggressive way of entering in terms of 724 00:43:51,200 --> 00:43:54,560 you know the actual price action because all we have is an indication that supply 725 00:43:54,560 --> 00:43:57,760 is failing but we don't have any structure failing so this is the most 726 00:43:57,760 --> 00:44:01,520 aggressive way but let's just see if it plays out so we get tagged in stock 727 00:44:01,520 --> 00:44:05,599 keeps us safe just about comes a little bit lower and now we have the change of 728 00:44:05,599 --> 00:44:08,960 character so if you did want to wait a bit for a bit more confirmation you 729 00:44:08,960 --> 00:44:12,640 could actually now potentially set your order on this cell before the buy here 730 00:44:12,640 --> 00:44:15,839 right and then you would have your chalk and your flip but this is a way you can 731 00:44:15,839 --> 00:44:22,160 get in uh a little bit earlier now don't want to talk too much a bit to 732 00:44:22,160 --> 00:44:25,599 talk too much uh about management but generally when you're kind of in those 733 00:44:25,599 --> 00:44:29,839 you know counter m15 trades um or not even counter but it counts as a four 734 00:44:29,839 --> 00:44:33,359 hour trend i should say right you can either leave your both trades open when 735 00:44:33,359 --> 00:44:36,400 you're in two positions or you can be a bit more in and out with your with your 736 00:44:36,400 --> 00:44:40,560 trades and generally try and catch those 5r moves and just bank your profit and 737 00:44:40,560 --> 00:44:44,000 move on so as we can see here right price does run 738 00:44:44,000 --> 00:44:48,800 a bit around 5r um and then if we play it forward price then does eventually 739 00:44:48,800 --> 00:44:52,240 come down and it would have stopped us out depending on you know how you choose 740 00:44:52,240 --> 00:44:54,640 to manage your trade but this is just to show you how you can play those 741 00:44:54,640 --> 00:44:58,480 aggressive hedging positions uh and still kind of trade the market both ways 742 00:44:58,480 --> 00:45:01,760 um essentially what it was based on is a sweep of the m15 low 743 00:45:01,760 --> 00:45:04,319 and then we get the change of character or just a flip if you want to enter it 744 00:45:04,319 --> 00:45:06,880 before then or you could have entered over here right once we did have the 745 00:45:06,880 --> 00:45:09,920 change of character so yeah i did just want to show you that but obviously we 746 00:45:09,920 --> 00:45:13,200 know now with the benefit of hindsight that 747 00:45:13,200 --> 00:45:16,319 four hour does pull back deeper but yeah it's literally just to show 748 00:45:16,319 --> 00:45:19,680 this stuff happens again and again again session by session just look for those 749 00:45:19,680 --> 00:45:23,680 turning points in the market chuck flip or just a flip in this case right um and 750 00:45:23,680 --> 00:45:27,040 you can catch those taunting points right so 751 00:45:27,040 --> 00:45:30,560 kind of going back to what i was saying about session timing we've come into our 752 00:45:30,560 --> 00:45:33,520 four-hour area of demand we're looking at the 15 minute and i'll just bring 753 00:45:33,520 --> 00:45:37,440 this forward to just before the london session at 6 00 a.m to pretty much where 754 00:45:37,440 --> 00:45:41,680 i'll be coming for my desk so my thought process at this time is we're in for our 755 00:45:41,680 --> 00:45:45,599 area of demand i'm looking for a four hour high low but i want to see price 756 00:45:45,599 --> 00:45:48,880 start to break structure to the upside get those bullish changes of character 757 00:45:48,880 --> 00:45:53,200 uh c supply fail and demand starting to step in 758 00:45:53,200 --> 00:45:57,520 now okay what we see price breaks in 15 low 759 00:45:57,520 --> 00:46:00,800 so what do we expect we expect an 15 pullback then it comes down we get an 760 00:46:00,800 --> 00:46:04,880 aggressive tap into our refined area of demand and then boom we get our change 761 00:46:04,880 --> 00:46:09,040 of character now one thing another minister i want to point out here is a 762 00:46:09,040 --> 00:46:11,440 lot of times right especially when you kind of have rangy price action within 763 00:46:11,440 --> 00:46:14,480 here there's going to be quite a lot of sort of m15 zones that we could draw on 764 00:46:14,480 --> 00:46:17,359 you know we could have even been waiting for price to come down deeper into this 765 00:46:17,359 --> 00:46:21,040 origin zone here right you may not have drawn on this wick 766 00:46:21,040 --> 00:46:24,240 but the point is it doesn't matter right there'll be a lot of times where i do my 767 00:46:24,240 --> 00:46:28,319 forecast and i don't have the exact perfect zone drawn on that price ends up 768 00:46:28,319 --> 00:46:31,440 reversing from but it doesn't matter because what i'm doing is i'm watching 769 00:46:31,440 --> 00:46:34,400 the charts and i'm just letting the market show me the way i'm letting the 770 00:46:34,400 --> 00:46:37,920 market tell me which area of demand it wants to react to and i just look at 771 00:46:37,920 --> 00:46:41,280 market structure because what's happened we've come down we've come up we've 772 00:46:41,280 --> 00:46:44,400 taken the low and then boom we've taken the high we've had that aggressive 773 00:46:44,400 --> 00:46:48,000 change of character right because price reacted from this cell 774 00:46:48,000 --> 00:46:51,680 before the buy came into supply it kind of really tried to break lower yes we 775 00:46:51,680 --> 00:46:54,800 did get a wick break below but then demand stepped in to take out that 776 00:46:54,800 --> 00:46:58,720 reaction to not only get that change of character we've taken out this high um 777 00:46:58,720 --> 00:47:01,520 yeah and we're just seeing a lot of momentum come in 778 00:47:01,520 --> 00:47:04,880 so now what i'm going to start to do we'll just play this forward i can get 779 00:47:04,880 --> 00:47:07,680 it to work there we go right and now we've even 780 00:47:07,680 --> 00:47:13,520 whipped this high as well we're seeing a lot of bullish pressure come in but 781 00:47:13,520 --> 00:47:16,480 the key important thing as well is what i'm talking about session timing is this 782 00:47:16,480 --> 00:47:19,520 is when we know volume is also likely to be high right right at the start of the 783 00:47:19,520 --> 00:47:24,160 lunar session so now it's about 8 a.m london is high we've had um this change 784 00:47:24,160 --> 00:47:27,200 of character here we took the low 785 00:47:27,200 --> 00:47:31,359 just draw this on bear with and then we took the high so 786 00:47:31,359 --> 00:47:36,400 that is our bullish change of character however right the m15 is 787 00:47:36,400 --> 00:47:39,920 still bearish because that was our low and this is our highest point so price 788 00:47:39,920 --> 00:47:42,720 has tried to close above but it hasn't done just so just yet so for me it's 789 00:47:42,720 --> 00:47:46,640 still bearish but we do have an m15 bullish change of 790 00:47:46,640 --> 00:47:50,880 character we've mitigated an area of demand that makes sense we are within 791 00:47:50,880 --> 00:47:55,839 our four hour uh area of demand and price has now spiked up higher breaking 792 00:47:55,839 --> 00:47:59,440 multiple minor levels and we've tried to wick break the high and it's the start 793 00:47:59,440 --> 00:48:02,720 of the last session so for me this is literally all systems go very high 794 00:48:02,720 --> 00:48:08,559 probability trade to start to look for a potential um for our higher low right so 795 00:48:08,559 --> 00:48:11,119 just gonna refine this a little bit just so 796 00:48:11,119 --> 00:48:15,440 we can focus on price action okay so you can literally at this point just 797 00:48:15,440 --> 00:48:18,640 enter on the m15 zone right again you don't have to do all these lower time 798 00:48:18,640 --> 00:48:21,280 frame requirements if you want to be a bit more hands-off um you know you can 799 00:48:21,280 --> 00:48:23,599 enter like that or you can enter on the eq 800 00:48:23,599 --> 00:48:26,720 and then you can get a bit more better wrist reward but for the sake of this 801 00:48:26,720 --> 00:48:32,800 example let's do the lower timeframes and see what we can see so 802 00:48:32,800 --> 00:48:35,920 right we have had a very nice super liquidity again don't worry too much 803 00:48:35,920 --> 00:48:38,480 about this just now if you have no idea what i'm talking about when i mention 804 00:48:38,480 --> 00:48:41,520 that um and then we've had that very aggressive move to the upside just gonna 805 00:48:41,520 --> 00:48:44,480 grab a sip of water 806 00:48:44,800 --> 00:48:47,680 as i'm starting to lose my voice but yeah 807 00:48:47,680 --> 00:48:49,760 so clear bullish intentions right this 808 00:48:49,760 --> 00:48:53,520 takes massive massive money to do this um had a nice bullish move to the upside 809 00:48:53,520 --> 00:48:59,359 so where can we start to look on the m1 for price to um 810 00:48:59,359 --> 00:49:04,079 uh you know potentially uh react for my area of demand for us to get long well 811 00:49:04,079 --> 00:49:07,359 we could literally just keep it super simple and just take that bottom last 812 00:49:07,359 --> 00:49:11,680 cell before the buy and that would definitely be more than a valid entry um 813 00:49:11,680 --> 00:49:15,520 and definitely one that i would consider but how can we increase it even more so 814 00:49:15,520 --> 00:49:18,319 just looking for the one that broke structure we can look at where the flip 815 00:49:18,319 --> 00:49:21,839 occurred so what do we have here we have a low right price came down and took 816 00:49:21,839 --> 00:49:25,040 that low so we have the whole buyer before the sale or we could refine it to 817 00:49:25,040 --> 00:49:28,720 just that last pivot point candle right this bullish candle here and then what 818 00:49:28,720 --> 00:49:32,559 can we see price came into that supply zone it reacted and then it pushed up 819 00:49:32,559 --> 00:49:36,319 through so that reaction point for me is where that kind of last point of demand 820 00:49:36,319 --> 00:49:41,680 stepped in to take out that high there so i'm just going to refine this zone in 821 00:49:41,680 --> 00:49:45,680 a little bit all right and then this is 822 00:49:45,680 --> 00:49:49,359 pretty much picture perfect now to look to take a long position down here you 823 00:49:49,359 --> 00:49:53,200 know we can be a bit more conservative and cover that low right two pips 824 00:49:53,200 --> 00:49:57,440 and then set limit order there and we have seen pretty much everything we need 825 00:49:57,440 --> 00:50:01,040 to see so let's just fuss us forward and see if we get tagged in okay so boom 826 00:50:01,040 --> 00:50:05,440 tagged in nice little reaction there as those orders are filled so again just to 827 00:50:05,440 --> 00:50:09,119 quickly go over this what we're doing for our pro trend we've now pulled back 828 00:50:09,119 --> 00:50:12,559 after that fire breaker structure into our four-hour area of demand 829 00:50:12,559 --> 00:50:17,200 where potentially that four-hour high low may form we have waited to see an 830 00:50:17,200 --> 00:50:21,280 area of demand get mitigated on the m15 excuse me we've had a change of 831 00:50:21,280 --> 00:50:24,720 character to the upside showing our supply started to fail demand starting 832 00:50:24,720 --> 00:50:27,839 to step in we haven't had that breaker structure just yet but we have had you 833 00:50:27,839 --> 00:50:31,760 know decent amount to the upside we pulled back into our area of demand and 834 00:50:31,760 --> 00:50:36,160 now we've waited on the m1 for our entry and we can start to target at minimum um 835 00:50:36,160 --> 00:50:40,160 you know this four-hour high that weak high to try and get that four hour 836 00:50:40,160 --> 00:50:44,480 higher high so dropping back to the m1 now we've been tagged in another thing 837 00:50:44,480 --> 00:50:48,319 as well i want to point out right is literally 838 00:50:48,319 --> 00:50:52,000 you have so long to spot this example right um you know like i was saying you 839 00:50:52,000 --> 00:50:55,440 may not have that perfect refined zone drawing on or from the inside bar range 840 00:50:55,440 --> 00:50:57,680 right it doesn't really matter you just can be 841 00:50:57,680 --> 00:51:00,960 a bit more loose wait for price to start to react then we start to break shots 842 00:51:00,960 --> 00:51:05,440 just upside at what 7 45 it doesn't pull back into your zone until 45 minutes 843 00:51:05,440 --> 00:51:08,559 later and then you have all of that time to set your entry 844 00:51:08,559 --> 00:51:12,240 and get into the trade now let's say you don't want to set your limit order and 845 00:51:12,240 --> 00:51:15,040 you wanted to wait for a confirmation entry then how i would be looking at 846 00:51:15,040 --> 00:51:17,359 this is i'd be looking at this last area of 847 00:51:17,359 --> 00:51:20,079 supply and i would want to see price come in 848 00:51:20,079 --> 00:51:23,680 and i'd want to see price react and then that reaction to fail and ideally we get 849 00:51:23,680 --> 00:51:26,720 a change of character right and then i look for price to pull back in and then 850 00:51:26,720 --> 00:51:30,400 we go so let's see if we get that confirmation entry 851 00:51:30,400 --> 00:51:33,599 um or not so it doesn't look like we did right 852 00:51:33,599 --> 00:51:36,800 price is pretty much just smashed up straight through 853 00:51:36,800 --> 00:51:40,000 now arguably we did have a bit of a reaction it's not the best it's very 854 00:51:40,000 --> 00:51:43,359 very small where price came in and then these small buy-to-cell works here that 855 00:51:43,359 --> 00:51:46,319 push up through so that probably be like a five-second demand zone so yeah it 856 00:51:46,319 --> 00:51:49,839 would be more than valid to set your entry order there if you wanted to 857 00:51:49,839 --> 00:51:52,800 let's see if it comes back but yeah it doesn't come back so this is what i'm 858 00:51:52,800 --> 00:51:55,920 saying about you know waiting for extra confirmation you're not always going to 859 00:51:55,920 --> 00:52:01,040 get it okay so um just something that you have to accept um in some cases but 860 00:52:01,040 --> 00:52:04,000 let's say you know there's any potential scalings or other areas where we could 861 00:52:04,000 --> 00:52:07,280 look for an entry if we weren't already in the trade so as prices start to move 862 00:52:07,280 --> 00:52:09,680 up what i'm essentially looking for is 863 00:52:09,680 --> 00:52:13,839 another uh flip to start to occur so we push straight up through here so nothing 864 00:52:13,839 --> 00:52:17,760 too great and but what we can do is look for one in the pullback so what you will 865 00:52:17,760 --> 00:52:21,359 often see in a pullback right so we have this big m1 push up is price will pull 866 00:52:21,359 --> 00:52:24,400 back right start to take substructure lows and then sometimes what you'll get 867 00:52:24,400 --> 00:52:27,599 is then price will get that minor breaker structure and it'll pull back in 868 00:52:27,599 --> 00:52:31,040 and then we can look for an entry right within that pullback to then take it 869 00:52:31,040 --> 00:52:35,119 higher so it's not as ideal entering high up on the leg but we can do that 870 00:52:35,119 --> 00:52:40,000 okay so price is starting to pull back all right so you can see here on a lower 871 00:52:40,000 --> 00:52:42,960 time frame what that would be is price pulling back up into that 15 second 872 00:52:42,960 --> 00:52:46,559 supply and it's trying to go lower right so that's the pullback 873 00:52:46,559 --> 00:52:50,960 initiating then we take another low and now we've pulled back up into this area 874 00:52:50,960 --> 00:52:55,280 of m1 supply so now what i want to see is a reaction here and see if we can 875 00:52:55,280 --> 00:52:59,599 start to see that battle between supply and demand okay so now we've had that 876 00:52:59,599 --> 00:53:02,800 bearish candle come in right so that validates that this is a decent supply 877 00:53:02,800 --> 00:53:07,119 zone for me so now what i would do in the live market is literally draw my m1 878 00:53:07,119 --> 00:53:10,240 fold reaction across and then obviously you could do 879 00:53:10,240 --> 00:53:12,559 you know your change of character as well 880 00:53:12,559 --> 00:53:15,839 but let's just try and speed this up for the sake of time so prices start to pull 881 00:53:15,839 --> 00:53:18,800 back so remember if this reaction is going to fail it shouldn't take out this 882 00:53:18,800 --> 00:53:22,400 low down here and then boom what do we get we get that 883 00:53:22,400 --> 00:53:26,160 brake enclosure above that reaction there so now anywhere within the cell 884 00:53:26,160 --> 00:53:29,839 before the buy you can look to get long so let's be unrefined or you could take 885 00:53:29,839 --> 00:53:34,079 that one doji counter there or you could even take the wic if you wanted to do so 886 00:53:34,079 --> 00:53:37,200 um but yeah let's just be really unrefined and conservative 887 00:53:37,200 --> 00:53:39,760 for now 888 00:53:39,839 --> 00:53:42,640 and be consistent with the way we've been doing things so literally the 889 00:53:42,640 --> 00:53:45,680 minute we get that failed reaction that is where you have to be on the ball and 890 00:53:45,680 --> 00:53:48,800 looking to get tagged in with the entry so you get tagged in in the next minute 891 00:53:48,800 --> 00:53:52,559 or two um price comes a little bit lower okay so this is where if you had to set 892 00:53:52,559 --> 00:53:55,040 your entry order on the wick right you would have got a really really tight 893 00:53:55,040 --> 00:53:58,480 entry but of course sometimes price won't come down that low but this is 894 00:53:58,480 --> 00:54:01,839 just a really good example as well of why you always should cover the load no 895 00:54:01,839 --> 00:54:06,079 matter where you enter just so it protects you as price fills more orders 896 00:54:06,079 --> 00:54:10,559 and then it starts to go okay so let's just see how that looks on the 897 00:54:10,559 --> 00:54:14,160 15 seconds just so you can see it even clearer right you can see that that cell 898 00:54:14,160 --> 00:54:17,200 before the buy that broke up higher and the prices come down into the origin to 899 00:54:17,200 --> 00:54:21,440 mitigate it and go away okay so 900 00:54:21,440 --> 00:54:25,760 now we've got a scaling and like i was saying this isn't ideal right i'm really 901 00:54:25,760 --> 00:54:30,000 not a big fan of one you're entering right with this larger range here you're 902 00:54:30,000 --> 00:54:33,520 entering right sort of in the middle of it you're buying more in the premium uh 903 00:54:33,520 --> 00:54:36,319 you're buying later even in this leg right you're buying at the top of this 904 00:54:36,319 --> 00:54:39,839 internal leg it's not well priced whatsoever when we're just looking at 905 00:54:39,839 --> 00:54:43,839 this section of price action so getting in here is a lot more aggressive but the 906 00:54:43,839 --> 00:54:47,520 reason or when you have to decide maybe it's worth doing it for you is 907 00:54:47,520 --> 00:54:50,799 understanding what is the move you're trying to capture well we're trying to 908 00:54:50,799 --> 00:54:53,760 capture that four hour high low we've seen everything pretty much we need to 909 00:54:53,760 --> 00:54:56,960 see momentum is really strong so actually maybe it's worth the risk 910 00:54:56,960 --> 00:55:00,160 because you're not just trying to target this high for you know just on the 4r 911 00:55:00,160 --> 00:55:03,920 actually you're trying to target that next four hour um you know higher high 912 00:55:03,920 --> 00:55:07,280 so if we were to scroll down right this is the four-hour high up here so 913 00:55:07,280 --> 00:55:11,520 actually the arista reward is you know nearer what nearly 20 are right for that 914 00:55:11,520 --> 00:55:16,079 first one and potentially let's see you know 24 hour there so 915 00:55:16,079 --> 00:55:18,799 maybe that's when you go okay it's more aggressive potentially going to take a 916 00:55:18,799 --> 00:55:22,079 few more losses buying in these areas but actually it's worth it in the long 917 00:55:22,079 --> 00:55:25,119 run right at the lower large numbers because this is going to more than pay 918 00:55:25,119 --> 00:55:28,880 for any losers um yeah that you may take so 919 00:55:28,880 --> 00:55:34,720 let's hop up to the 15-minute chart and start to target that for our uh higher 920 00:55:34,720 --> 00:55:39,119 high and see if price starts to get up there and obviously then we get a higher 921 00:55:39,119 --> 00:55:43,680 high right so on and so forth um but yeah one thing you know i want to say is 922 00:55:43,680 --> 00:55:46,640 you don't have to limit yourself there because you are playing with the pro 923 00:55:46,640 --> 00:55:49,280 trend you're playing with the daily trend it's that first initial four-hour 924 00:55:49,280 --> 00:55:53,200 train trend change so if you think you're well positioned you don't have to 925 00:55:53,200 --> 00:55:56,079 get out the next four-hour high you can start to look at those daily targets 926 00:55:56,079 --> 00:55:59,440 right let's target the daily high um you know you can even potentially take some 927 00:55:59,440 --> 00:56:02,240 profits along the way right we don't have to just swing the fences every 928 00:56:02,240 --> 00:56:06,240 single time we've got our next four-hour area of supply where one we can look to 929 00:56:06,240 --> 00:56:10,079 take profits and two we can look to play for our pullbacks right 930 00:56:10,079 --> 00:56:14,000 and then so on and so forth and that brings us to the live price action and 931 00:56:14,000 --> 00:56:18,640 we've just pretty much wicked that daily high so yeah you could have made a 932 00:56:18,640 --> 00:56:22,960 decent ton of profit but it all stemmed from what it all stemmed from literally 933 00:56:22,960 --> 00:56:25,599 just playing ping-pong with the four-hour zones waiting for price to 934 00:56:25,599 --> 00:56:28,240 break structure in a four-hour it comes into the four-hour chart we expect a 935 00:56:28,240 --> 00:56:31,040 pullback so we start to look for you know there's lower timeframe 936 00:56:31,040 --> 00:56:33,359 confirmations not going to go over it again right because this video has gone 937 00:56:33,359 --> 00:56:36,559 on for pretty long now um yeah when you get those pro trend moves and you think 938 00:56:36,559 --> 00:56:39,760 you've caught the four hour high low right from a four hour area of demand 939 00:56:39,760 --> 00:56:43,440 this is where you know you can swing for the fences with a hell of a lot of 940 00:56:43,440 --> 00:56:47,359 confidence right right that is how you get those quantum leaps in your account 941 00:56:47,359 --> 00:56:51,119 all right you can see the other there's a hell of a lot of art now don't get me 942 00:56:51,119 --> 00:56:54,079 wrong i'm not selling you a dream here this is not easy right you're not just 943 00:56:54,079 --> 00:56:57,119 suddenly gonna be training a large account and then suddenly just be able 944 00:56:57,119 --> 00:57:01,200 to you know make atr on a 400 grand account million pound account whatever 945 00:57:01,200 --> 00:57:04,880 10 million pound account because you're going to have to battle with extremely 946 00:57:04,880 --> 00:57:07,359 hard you know psychology issues it's going to 947 00:57:07,359 --> 00:57:09,680 be a hell of a lot of money running and sometimes you're going to have big 948 00:57:09,680 --> 00:57:12,559 pullbacks and you are going to take a lot of breakevens because remember what 949 00:57:12,559 --> 00:57:14,799 i said when we were on the four-hour chart earlier 950 00:57:14,799 --> 00:57:18,720 right it's not just as simple always as 951 00:57:18,960 --> 00:57:23,119 price coming in back into the first four hour demand zone we take a nice little 952 00:57:23,119 --> 00:57:25,680 entry and go okay you know i'm just going to swing for the fences now 953 00:57:25,680 --> 00:57:28,480 because what a lot of the times can happen is you can be running a decent 954 00:57:28,480 --> 00:57:31,440 amount of profit right but then price can come all the way back you could be 955 00:57:31,440 --> 00:57:34,880 running 20 r even just to there and then you could end up taking a break even 956 00:57:34,880 --> 00:57:38,000 price can come lower you do the exact same thing you take your entry you go 957 00:57:38,000 --> 00:57:41,200 okay i'm gonna be patient i want to target the high you could be 958 00:57:41,200 --> 00:57:44,640 running 20 30 r and then you could get break even again it could come lower and 959 00:57:44,640 --> 00:57:48,640 the exact same thing can keep happening before eventually the real move goes 960 00:57:48,640 --> 00:57:52,319 so if you want to be that type of trader that wants to capture those larger big 961 00:57:52,319 --> 00:57:55,359 moves and bank those real big kind of swing trades 962 00:57:55,359 --> 00:57:58,720 you have to accept that there's going to be many many times where you're running 963 00:57:58,720 --> 00:58:01,680 a decent profit and you end up with a break even 964 00:58:01,680 --> 00:58:04,079 right you're running a decent profit and you're breaking break even but that's 965 00:58:04,079 --> 00:58:07,200 just part of the game you're playing because when it does work and it does go 966 00:58:07,200 --> 00:58:10,720 that is where you then you know have an amazing year literally in just 967 00:58:10,720 --> 00:58:14,079 one single trade right because of course there's going to be plenty of market 968 00:58:14,079 --> 00:58:18,640 environments where you know we take a high we retrace we take a low we retrace 969 00:58:18,640 --> 00:58:21,280 and we're just ranging and we're chopping around but it will come with 970 00:58:21,280 --> 00:58:24,240 time and experience that you know every time you get in a trade you're not just 971 00:58:24,240 --> 00:58:26,880 suddenly gonna expect a nice trending move like that and actually we just play 972 00:58:26,880 --> 00:58:29,680 ping pong and we're a lot more aggressive we get in and out we take our 973 00:58:29,680 --> 00:58:32,880 five while we take our 10r and we just play the compounding game that way we 974 00:58:32,880 --> 00:58:35,839 bank and we move on but then when we recognize that we're actually in a 975 00:58:35,839 --> 00:58:38,480 trending market all the higher time frames are in sync and we're starting to 976 00:58:38,480 --> 00:58:42,240 go that is when then you can you know hold with a lot more volume for those 977 00:58:42,240 --> 00:58:46,240 larger swing moves okay so i do just want to make that point clear 978 00:58:46,240 --> 00:58:48,960 but yeah i just thought it was no useful exercise just to go through literally 979 00:58:48,960 --> 00:58:52,559 the last few days we've had in the live market um 980 00:58:52,559 --> 00:58:56,000 you know i'm not having to go back nine months 18 months to cherry pick and one 981 00:58:56,000 --> 00:59:00,640 little perfect example this happens day in day out it's the exact same things 982 00:59:00,640 --> 00:59:04,799 this is literally how the market moves and how we time those higher time frame 983 00:59:04,799 --> 00:59:09,040 swing points with lower time frame confirmations okay and you'll see as 984 00:59:09,040 --> 00:59:12,640 your time in the community right every single day with our markups 985 00:59:12,640 --> 00:59:16,000 week by week um you'll see the exact same things the exact same entry models 986 00:59:16,000 --> 00:59:18,960 playing out again and again and again of course every day there's not going to be 987 00:59:18,960 --> 00:59:22,640 those swing moves for us to take advantage of um but yeah the power is 988 00:59:22,640 --> 00:59:27,680 there even on just one pair alone so go and practice yourself yourself in 989 00:59:27,680 --> 00:59:30,559 your charts go and look at the hard time frame zones that you've drawn on so far 990 00:59:30,559 --> 00:59:32,960 and just really dive into them and then when you want to get a little bit more 991 00:59:32,960 --> 00:59:36,000 advanced and when you start looking for those trade examples literally just look 992 00:59:36,000 --> 00:59:39,200 at all of the higher lows in a bullish trending market look at all the lower 993 00:59:39,200 --> 00:59:42,240 highs you know on the 4-hour chart and then drop down to the 15-minute chart 994 00:59:42,240 --> 00:59:45,520 see those changes of characters see the interaction between supply and demand 995 00:59:45,520 --> 00:59:50,240 right look for those flip zones um you know look on the m1 let's let's see how 996 00:59:50,240 --> 00:59:54,079 it interacts because you know even just go back here right 997 00:59:54,079 --> 00:59:57,920 when we were looking at those m1 shorts to pay that for our pullback and then 998 00:59:57,920 --> 01:00:00,799 what did we look we looked at that aggressive hedge as we set the m15 low 999 01:00:00,799 --> 01:00:03,839 to play that ball back there what could we have used to help us with 1000 01:00:03,839 --> 01:00:07,040 our targets because it's literally just happening everywhere when you start to 1001 01:00:07,040 --> 01:00:11,440 see it so what do we have we had an m15 sell before the buy here 1002 01:00:11,440 --> 01:00:14,880 all right price came into it that's when it reacted right 1003 01:00:14,880 --> 01:00:18,400 so what should it do that demands should make a higher height but we come down we 1004 01:00:18,400 --> 01:00:22,640 take out the reaction so that means we have a supply to demand flipping here 1005 01:00:22,640 --> 01:00:25,839 right and boom that's how we could have then timed 1006 01:00:25,839 --> 01:00:29,119 you know that counter trade management with a little bit more accuracy so if i 1007 01:00:29,119 --> 01:00:31,680 just scroll back just to show you what i mean all right when we played that 1008 01:00:31,680 --> 01:00:35,760 aggressive uh long hedge here right and then boom you could have literally 1009 01:00:35,760 --> 01:00:39,200 targeted the distal there and then you would get out of picture perfect entry 1010 01:00:39,200 --> 01:00:42,480 but it's just understanding what's going on right it's that that exchange between 1011 01:00:42,480 --> 01:00:46,240 supply and demand is happening constantly and we just use time frames 1012 01:00:46,240 --> 01:00:50,319 to clear up to clear up our candles and read what is going on in the order book 1013 01:00:50,319 --> 01:00:52,880 okay so i'm gonna leave that there hopefully you guys took some value from 1014 01:00:52,880 --> 01:00:56,400 that um yeah and i'm just gonna show you in a week in week out as we go through 1015 01:00:56,400 --> 01:01:01,040 the market commentaries as we go through the market mark um 1016 01:01:01,040 --> 01:01:04,319 the uh the market breakdown's right how this happens um you know time and time 1017 01:01:04,319 --> 01:01:08,240 again and literally how you can swing these trades all the way up here i mean 1018 01:01:08,240 --> 01:01:11,680 you know that's even i haven't even looked at this yet but on friday we had 1019 01:01:11,680 --> 01:01:16,480 nfp so big volatility don't usually trade that right um if you don't need to 1020 01:01:16,480 --> 01:01:20,400 um yeah just looking at it right you can see what happens here right before the 1021 01:01:20,400 --> 01:01:24,160 news occurs we can see we have this cell to buy range right the 1022 01:01:24,160 --> 01:01:26,640 unrefined range we can see an aggressive move away 1023 01:01:26,640 --> 01:01:30,480 so that's how we can look at the range um let's jump down into the one minute 1024 01:01:30,480 --> 01:01:33,440 and see how we could have potentially traded this move but this is literally 1025 01:01:33,440 --> 01:01:36,640 how i do it right if this was you so i know i'm appreciating jumping around 1026 01:01:36,640 --> 01:01:40,400 time frames here but just to kind of quickly show you how i would do this 1027 01:01:40,400 --> 01:01:43,680 all right let's reset the chart it says let's say okay you can see price 1028 01:01:43,680 --> 01:01:46,640 pull back and it moved away so now i'm going to look at this price action right 1029 01:01:46,640 --> 01:01:49,359 without buy replay don't even need it and just look at okay how could i 1030 01:01:49,359 --> 01:01:52,319 potentially have traded this move i mean i wouldn't advise you do it in real life 1031 01:01:52,319 --> 01:01:56,640 because you know i personally wouldn't risk my capital going into nfp 1032 01:01:56,640 --> 01:02:01,280 um but let's have a look so if we scroll back all right price has come into our 1033 01:02:01,280 --> 01:02:06,480 m15 demand zone um we have i'm just going to zoom in 1034 01:02:06,480 --> 01:02:10,480 here so we can see it all right i'm literally looking at this 1035 01:02:10,480 --> 01:02:13,119 with you so it looks a bit choppy at first but let's just take this kind of 1036 01:02:13,119 --> 01:02:16,480 you know in chronological order so we have some liquidity right price sweeps 1037 01:02:16,480 --> 01:02:20,319 it we come in lower and that's exactly what i see right aggressive move in boom 1038 01:02:20,319 --> 01:02:24,079 aggressive move out right it shows a lot of money being in the market so we 1039 01:02:24,079 --> 01:02:27,039 obviously have this buy before the cell that's all supply but where does the 1040 01:02:27,039 --> 01:02:30,240 reaction happen well we come up we come up we come up then you can see that 1041 01:02:30,240 --> 01:02:33,760 reaction happen right so instead of taking the whole range we can refine 1042 01:02:33,760 --> 01:02:37,039 supply to just that last candle here we won't write the buy before the cell 1043 01:02:37,039 --> 01:02:40,640 price comes into it it reacts that lower time frame wick so we don't need to jump 1044 01:02:40,640 --> 01:02:43,760 down to time frame we can literally do that on the m1 uh we can draw that 1045 01:02:43,760 --> 01:02:47,520 across right down to the wick and then boom there's your entry not only do we 1046 01:02:47,520 --> 01:02:51,039 have failed reaction but we also have 1047 01:02:51,039 --> 01:02:55,599 change of character so what do we have liquidation higher time frame mitigation 1048 01:02:55,599 --> 01:03:00,160 of the demand zone we have the flip we have the chalk boom all systems go 1049 01:03:00,160 --> 01:03:02,480 obviously you know all those things considered with your hard time frame 1050 01:03:02,480 --> 01:03:05,599 analysis but if you like the area just showing you the entry model here right 1051 01:03:05,599 --> 01:03:09,760 let's see 1.5 pip stop just about keeps you in and then that's 1052 01:03:09,760 --> 01:03:14,000 literally how you could have traded that move all the way up to then 1053 01:03:14,000 --> 01:03:16,720 the daily higher obviously chops around a lot that's typically what happens 1054 01:03:16,720 --> 01:03:19,839 before big large news announcements you know people aren't really 1055 01:03:19,839 --> 01:03:22,960 training the market right they want to get out of their positions before so and 1056 01:03:22,960 --> 01:03:26,559 then you know burn that peaks at 25 r again nothing that i would necessarily 1057 01:03:26,559 --> 01:03:29,359 recommend doing in the live market before a big major news announcement but 1058 01:03:29,359 --> 01:03:32,319 it's just to show you the logic behind what is going here with price action 1059 01:03:32,319 --> 01:03:36,559 it's the exact same thing again and again and again and again okay so go and 1060 01:03:36,559 --> 01:03:39,680 investigate those turning points to the market look for the m1 entries um yeah 1061 01:03:39,680 --> 01:03:43,599 and just practice it and just collect as many trade examples as you can so yeah 1062 01:03:43,599 --> 01:03:46,160 i'll leave that there hope you guys enjoyed that and i will see you in the 1063 01:03:46,160 --> 01:03:49,400 next one114685

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