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These are the user uploaded subtitles that are being translated: 1 00:00:00,240 --> 00:00:04,400 okay so now we're ready to start to look at how we can put all of those 2 00:00:04,400 --> 00:00:07,279 individual concepts that you have just learned and kind of put them all 3 00:00:07,279 --> 00:00:11,280 together into obviously what makes up the photon strategy and how we can 4 00:00:11,280 --> 00:00:15,360 obviously build trade ideas using those concepts and then obviously execute 5 00:00:15,360 --> 00:00:19,920 and manage one of those trades now you have seen you know countless amounts 6 00:00:19,920 --> 00:00:22,800 of trade examples as we've been going through each of the lessons but i think 7 00:00:22,800 --> 00:00:27,439 this is just a kind of useful um you know yeah useful point for you guys to 8 00:00:27,439 --> 00:00:31,840 kind of well look at trades that basically uh i recently took um for me 9 00:00:31,840 --> 00:00:34,640 to break this down nice and slowly and for you guys are going to hear my 10 00:00:34,640 --> 00:00:38,879 thought process of how i'm you know viewing this and then executing this in 11 00:00:38,879 --> 00:00:42,399 the live market so as always we start with our top down 12 00:00:42,399 --> 00:00:46,320 analysis now for me personally you know my main two time frames are the four 13 00:00:46,320 --> 00:00:51,120 hour and the m15 but i will always know you know where we are within the weekly 14 00:00:51,120 --> 00:00:54,320 and the daily time frame just so you know i have those on my side and i have 15 00:00:54,320 --> 00:00:57,600 a good idea of where we are trading within within those time frames and kind 16 00:00:57,600 --> 00:01:02,000 of you know what the overall longer term um trends are so 17 00:01:02,000 --> 00:01:04,559 kind of the first time if you're ever hopping on a chart and it's a blank 18 00:01:04,559 --> 00:01:07,920 chart you do need to kind of have a good zoom out and just have a rough idea of 19 00:01:07,920 --> 00:01:11,200 where your highs and lows are because if you just you know jump in straight to 20 00:01:11,200 --> 00:01:15,520 say you know this section of price action here you may think that right 21 00:01:15,520 --> 00:01:18,880 okay that's a lower low that's the lower high and that's the lower low so you 22 00:01:18,880 --> 00:01:22,560 could you know think well this is the weekly range we are within so if price 23 00:01:22,560 --> 00:01:26,479 was to come up here and break this high then the weekly would be bullish but 24 00:01:26,479 --> 00:01:29,600 actually if you zoom out you might find that you know you don't you have your 25 00:01:29,600 --> 00:01:32,560 lows and highs right completely mapped so what i would always do the first time 26 00:01:32,560 --> 00:01:35,840 i ever look at a chart for the first time is just have a quick zoom out and 27 00:01:35,840 --> 00:01:39,119 just make sure well this is how i do it right we can see we're in this big range 28 00:01:39,119 --> 00:01:43,360 here and then back in 2014 we clearly broke out of that range 29 00:01:43,360 --> 00:01:47,680 with pretty much one straight swing leg to the downside you can see how there 30 00:01:47,680 --> 00:01:50,960 was a bit of minor pull back here but for me that's not part of uh you know 31 00:01:50,960 --> 00:01:55,040 that's not a swing pull back it's just a minor pullback so at that point uh if i 32 00:01:55,040 --> 00:01:58,640 go to the orange line there we go this would be 33 00:01:58,640 --> 00:02:02,960 my swing high at that point uh if i get the paintbrush 34 00:02:02,960 --> 00:02:06,079 tool to work there we go that'd be my swing high and that would be my swing 35 00:02:06,079 --> 00:02:09,599 lower okay so we start to pull back and then eventually we come down and we 36 00:02:09,599 --> 00:02:13,520 break that low if i draw the line across you can see that 37 00:02:13,520 --> 00:02:16,480 draw it from the wicker k 38 00:02:17,840 --> 00:02:21,120 we break that low to close below the lower okay so now that for me is a break 39 00:02:21,120 --> 00:02:24,959 of structure so where is the highest point that broke the low after that low 40 00:02:24,959 --> 00:02:28,959 was formed so we look back this is the highest point in the case so then 41 00:02:28,959 --> 00:02:32,879 price comes up and it breaks that swing high to the upside so now the market is 42 00:02:32,879 --> 00:02:35,760 bullish again i'm not gonna draw this all on right let's just try and keep 43 00:02:35,760 --> 00:02:38,160 this a little bit quicker but essentially we break up to the upside 44 00:02:38,160 --> 00:02:41,519 right then we have another pullback we get another weekly break of structure 45 00:02:41,519 --> 00:02:45,040 this then becomes our swing low as we can see priceless which is bearish again 46 00:02:45,040 --> 00:02:50,160 okay now we'll bear for quite some time kind of very small corrective pullbacks 47 00:02:50,160 --> 00:02:53,840 and then we take the slow here which means this is a high price then breaks 48 00:02:53,840 --> 00:02:56,640 that high to the upside so now we have a bullish trend change because it breaks 49 00:02:56,640 --> 00:02:59,840 and closes above the swing high to form a higher high but then it's quite 50 00:02:59,840 --> 00:03:03,360 volatile straight away it moves back down and it takes out the swing low to 51 00:03:03,360 --> 00:03:06,879 form a lower low all right so at that point we are now playing within a 52 00:03:06,879 --> 00:03:10,959 bearish swing range between this high and this low price pulls all the way 53 00:03:10,959 --> 00:03:13,760 back up and then it switches bullish again right we get another breaker 54 00:03:13,760 --> 00:03:17,360 structure to the upside and then we start to pull back so at 55 00:03:17,360 --> 00:03:21,040 that point this is my swing low and this is my swing high okay because remember 56 00:03:21,040 --> 00:03:24,560 that was my last breaker structure so where's the lowest point that broke that 57 00:03:24,560 --> 00:03:27,040 high right from after this highest form did 58 00:03:27,040 --> 00:03:30,560 we look back and it was this low here okay so this is our new swing low this 59 00:03:30,560 --> 00:03:33,920 is our new swing high up here we then get a pullback and then we break and 60 00:03:33,920 --> 00:03:39,200 close above that high at that point so when that happens uh around the 30th of 61 00:03:39,200 --> 00:03:44,239 november 2020 this now becomes our swing low and obviously we then pull back for 62 00:03:44,239 --> 00:03:47,840 this to be our swing high so then what happens the price pulls 63 00:03:47,840 --> 00:03:52,560 back into our area of demand right this weekly demand zone it reacts it tries to 64 00:03:52,560 --> 00:03:56,879 put in a higher high right tries to break the high but it fails to do so so 65 00:03:56,879 --> 00:03:59,519 at that point as we start to come to the downside 66 00:03:59,519 --> 00:04:03,439 we can build trade ideas around that this is a week weekly low why is it weak 67 00:04:03,439 --> 00:04:07,280 it's weak because it failed its job it failed to put in a higher high so that 68 00:04:07,280 --> 00:04:10,640 low eventually gets run but then eventually we actually do see that 69 00:04:10,640 --> 00:04:14,159 weekly breaking stretches to the downside where that strong weekly low is 70 00:04:14,159 --> 00:04:18,000 taken okay so as you can see that was a low that caused the high price then 71 00:04:18,000 --> 00:04:22,000 pulled back into demand it tried to form a high low to break up and form a higher 72 00:04:22,000 --> 00:04:25,759 high but it failed to do so that weak low got run and then eventually the 73 00:04:25,759 --> 00:04:30,160 strong weekly low got broken right here where we had that weekly breaking 74 00:04:30,160 --> 00:04:35,280 structure to the downside so that's our weekly boss if i just draw that on 75 00:04:35,280 --> 00:04:38,320 okay let's make it black and a little bit thicker 76 00:04:38,320 --> 00:04:41,199 so that's how we can break the structure to the downside now at that point where 77 00:04:41,199 --> 00:04:45,360 is my new swing range well you know this is obviously the new low my the the 78 00:04:45,360 --> 00:04:48,639 swing high is the highest point that broke the low so it stays in this place 79 00:04:48,639 --> 00:04:51,919 okay when you get a trend change the high is still in the same place and so 80 00:04:51,919 --> 00:04:55,600 we're now playing within this weekly bearish range okay so price would have 81 00:04:55,600 --> 00:04:59,040 to break this high at this point for there to be a bullish trend change on 82 00:04:59,040 --> 00:05:02,400 the week chart now what do we expect after breaking 83 00:05:02,400 --> 00:05:06,320 structure we expect a pullback on that time frame right so 84 00:05:06,320 --> 00:05:09,520 we never know when that breakage structure can occur right we could tank 85 00:05:09,520 --> 00:05:12,479 for ages before we get that sorry not breaking structure we never know when 86 00:05:12,479 --> 00:05:15,840 that pullback would occur we just know that after breaking structure we expect 87 00:05:15,840 --> 00:05:19,280 it okay so what are the couple of tools that we can use to kind of give us an 88 00:05:19,280 --> 00:05:22,639 indication when the wiki may be pulling back and one is obviously we look for a 89 00:05:22,639 --> 00:05:25,919 change of character right so we'd want to see the low get taken and then high 90 00:05:25,919 --> 00:05:29,199 and then that would give us a good sign that we're pulling back or other things 91 00:05:29,199 --> 00:05:33,120 we can look for right is demand uh demand and supply zones all right so the 92 00:05:33,120 --> 00:05:37,919 next kind of real obvious target i'd be looking for is this kind of weekly uh 93 00:05:37,919 --> 00:05:42,000 buy to sell range down here um or well you can see that it was a flip zone 94 00:05:42,000 --> 00:05:46,240 right because we had this weekly supply zone 95 00:05:46,479 --> 00:05:50,320 price came up into that supply it reacted and then it pushed up led to 96 00:05:50,320 --> 00:05:52,479 that bullish trend change right remember when we got that weekly break of 97 00:05:52,479 --> 00:05:57,039 structure so this now becomes a good supply to demand flip a good area for us 98 00:05:57,039 --> 00:06:00,960 to look for shorts to target into before we may see that weekly pullback back up 99 00:06:00,960 --> 00:06:03,440 into some of these you know points of interest 100 00:06:03,440 --> 00:06:06,800 up here the only other area i'd maybe keep an eye on is these cell to buy 101 00:06:06,800 --> 00:06:09,680 works here but it's a bit more of a daily zone we can probably see it more 102 00:06:09,680 --> 00:06:15,199 clearly when we jump down to the daily um the daily chart but the kind of main 103 00:06:15,199 --> 00:06:17,919 point i would want to take i want you guys to take away from when i'm kind of 104 00:06:17,919 --> 00:06:20,560 analyzing the weekly chart like this it's just that i'm aware we've switched 105 00:06:20,560 --> 00:06:23,280 bearish we've broken structure it's possible we could have a bit of a 106 00:06:23,280 --> 00:06:27,039 pullback um and i'm expecting essentially this to 107 00:06:27,039 --> 00:06:31,440 continue downright at least down to around this range demand down here now 108 00:06:31,440 --> 00:06:34,800 coming into the week of price action i'm actually looking for for this short 109 00:06:34,800 --> 00:06:38,479 trade that i took on eurodollar what i had noticed is we had a bit of a 110 00:06:38,479 --> 00:06:43,280 minor pullback and we pulled back into this previous buy to sell range okay so 111 00:06:43,280 --> 00:06:47,199 this buy to sell is a range created supply right it's a minor or a 112 00:06:47,199 --> 00:06:50,720 decisional created supply that led to the break of structure prices just 113 00:06:50,720 --> 00:06:54,160 pulled back into that and then you can start to see that bearish sensitivity 114 00:06:54,160 --> 00:06:58,400 coming into price action as well so that was a bit of a long really long-winded 115 00:06:58,400 --> 00:07:01,440 way of me breaking down the weekly chart there but that's kind of just because 116 00:07:01,440 --> 00:07:03,680 you know i'm doing this from a completely blank chart and i'm just kind 117 00:07:03,680 --> 00:07:06,880 of trying to drive the point home of just making sure that you do zoom out 118 00:07:06,880 --> 00:07:10,639 the first time you ever analyze a completely blank chart just to make sure 119 00:07:10,639 --> 00:07:13,680 you know where your weekly swing range is because remember as i was saying at 120 00:07:13,680 --> 00:07:16,560 the start if you jump straight in and suddenly thought that's your weekly 121 00:07:16,560 --> 00:07:19,520 range and then we moved up you would think we're bullish but actually we're 122 00:07:19,520 --> 00:07:23,440 not because the weekly range is this right so actually if we just pulled we 123 00:07:23,440 --> 00:07:26,160 could pull all the way up here and we'd still be bearish right we could still 124 00:07:26,160 --> 00:07:29,120 form a lower high so that's kind of just the long-winded point i really wanted to 125 00:07:29,120 --> 00:07:32,080 drive home there but in terms of just talking about the analysis for this 126 00:07:32,080 --> 00:07:34,080 trade right 127 00:07:34,080 --> 00:07:36,800 as complicated as the weekly chart analysis needs to be at least for me the 128 00:07:36,800 --> 00:07:40,319 way i trade is that we've had a weekly break of structure we are heavily 129 00:07:40,319 --> 00:07:43,840 bearish right the long-term downside momentum or the long-term momentum is to 130 00:07:43,840 --> 00:07:46,479 the downside but i am expecting we could potentially have a little bit of a 131 00:07:46,479 --> 00:07:50,479 weekly pullback uh we have just tapped into that previous buy to sell range um 132 00:07:50,479 --> 00:07:54,720 so now we can look to potentially target this small weekly low there down into 133 00:07:54,720 --> 00:08:00,960 around this kind of demand created level down here daily chart let's have a look 134 00:08:00,960 --> 00:08:04,639 so the daily chart is pretty simple i mean you can see those sell to buy wix 135 00:08:04,639 --> 00:08:08,479 on a weekly charts essentially this sell to buy demand zone on the daily charts 136 00:08:08,479 --> 00:08:12,400 that would be our next sort of key level that we could potentially target on the 137 00:08:12,400 --> 00:08:16,720 daily now if we zoom in a bit more to the daily range nice clean 138 00:08:16,720 --> 00:08:21,599 um trending price action here so lower low pull back to form a lower high 139 00:08:21,599 --> 00:08:27,120 lower low lower high lower low lower high and then this is all one swing run 140 00:08:27,120 --> 00:08:29,919 to the downside okay so this was our last 141 00:08:29,919 --> 00:08:33,919 break of structure um on the daily chart there 142 00:08:33,919 --> 00:08:37,519 okay and we are within if i just use the highlighter tool 143 00:08:37,519 --> 00:08:41,519 this is our lower high right and this is our daily lower low 144 00:08:41,519 --> 00:08:45,360 so what do we expect after a daily break of structure we expect a daily pullback 145 00:08:45,360 --> 00:08:48,959 how can we anticipate when that daily pullback may be kicking in we look for a 146 00:08:48,959 --> 00:08:52,000 change of character right so when we got that daily break of 147 00:08:52,000 --> 00:08:54,720 structure price moved down then we got a small 148 00:08:54,720 --> 00:08:59,120 pullback then price moved down then we got another small pullback and then 149 00:08:59,120 --> 00:09:03,600 price moved down and it just wicks that low which means that this then becomes 150 00:09:03,600 --> 00:09:06,800 our most recent you know small high internal high 151 00:09:06,800 --> 00:09:10,640 price time comes up and obviously it breaks up above that internal high so 152 00:09:10,640 --> 00:09:14,399 that right there is our daily change of character i'm just going to mark that on 153 00:09:14,399 --> 00:09:18,080 okay and that daily change of character signals well it signals that a pullback 154 00:09:18,080 --> 00:09:21,600 may be starting okay so if we're looking to catch that daily 155 00:09:21,600 --> 00:09:25,040 lower high and we're looking to catch that pro trend move to get that next 156 00:09:25,040 --> 00:09:28,880 spring run to the downside to target this week low um we obviously want to be 157 00:09:28,880 --> 00:09:34,000 trying to catch that daily lower high so what other tools we can use again right 158 00:09:34,000 --> 00:09:38,000 to give us that indication that the daily lower high is formed and price is 159 00:09:38,000 --> 00:09:41,200 now ready to go while we look for a bearish change of character right to 160 00:09:41,200 --> 00:09:45,839 tell us that the pullback's over so at this point what where is the level or 161 00:09:45,839 --> 00:09:48,480 the low that i would need to see go for there to 162 00:09:48,480 --> 00:09:51,760 be a bearish change of character well if you analyze the price action once we had 163 00:09:51,760 --> 00:09:55,279 that bullish change of character we moved up then this white candle right 164 00:09:55,279 --> 00:09:57,680 it's an inside bar because it fails to take that counters high that means 165 00:09:57,680 --> 00:10:01,519 that's a pull back there and then we all of these candles break 166 00:10:01,519 --> 00:10:04,959 the prior candles highs that's all part of the up move and then we pull back 167 00:10:04,959 --> 00:10:07,600 okay so at this point 168 00:10:07,600 --> 00:10:11,760 if i just delete that line i would need to see 169 00:10:11,760 --> 00:10:16,800 this logo here for there to be a daily bearish change of character okay what's 170 00:10:16,800 --> 00:10:21,040 the other thing that we can use to help us try and anticipate and time 171 00:10:21,040 --> 00:10:24,959 uh where a pullback may have finished supply okay supply and demand so if we 172 00:10:24,959 --> 00:10:28,000 kind of paint the story here what i would do is look kind of where's 173 00:10:28,000 --> 00:10:31,839 the most or the nearest sort of obvious point of interest and i'll be looking at 174 00:10:31,839 --> 00:10:35,839 kind of this buy to sell range here okay this daily supply zone right 175 00:10:35,839 --> 00:10:40,079 is it valid is it a strong zone yes because it led to a break of structure 176 00:10:40,079 --> 00:10:42,640 um is it a flip zone that's another thing we can do to try and increase the 177 00:10:42,640 --> 00:10:45,680 probability of that zone well let's have a look well there was clearly demand 178 00:10:45,680 --> 00:10:50,480 over here right that led to this break of structure 179 00:10:50,480 --> 00:10:53,680 so that's a pretty decent daily demand zone you can see it's the 180 00:10:53,680 --> 00:10:57,760 liquidity below those lows as well price then came into that demand now we get 181 00:10:57,760 --> 00:11:01,120 the reaction remember the reaction is key why because that validates that this 182 00:11:01,120 --> 00:11:04,399 is a decent demand level it validates that there were you know a decent amount 183 00:11:04,399 --> 00:11:08,480 of buy orders in there price tries to go up it tries to make a higher high but it 184 00:11:08,480 --> 00:11:12,480 fails to do so and then what happens then supply steps in and causes the 185 00:11:12,480 --> 00:11:15,360 reaction to fail so the moment we close below 186 00:11:15,360 --> 00:11:20,079 the base of the reaction demand has now failed and flipped to supply 187 00:11:20,079 --> 00:11:23,440 which also led to the break of structure okay so this is a structure zone and 188 00:11:23,440 --> 00:11:26,480 it's a flip zone okay all right so that's a decent area of 189 00:11:26,480 --> 00:11:30,240 interest for us to potentially look for a daily lower height to form so let's 190 00:11:30,240 --> 00:11:34,160 just pray play price forward a little bit so we tap into that range and then 191 00:11:34,160 --> 00:11:37,839 we get a very very solid and sharp reaction clearly showing that there's an 192 00:11:37,839 --> 00:11:41,680 overwhelming imbalance of supply entering into the market and we also now 193 00:11:41,680 --> 00:11:44,959 have that daily change of character so now it's all systems go right to try and 194 00:11:44,959 --> 00:11:48,959 look to at least target this daily low or potentially come down in towards this 195 00:11:48,959 --> 00:11:53,279 next daily demand level okay now if you remember 196 00:11:53,279 --> 00:11:57,440 what not always right it's on a guaranteed rule but what most likely are 197 00:11:57,440 --> 00:12:02,000 those daily changes of characters on the on the four-hour time frame well they're 198 00:12:02,000 --> 00:12:05,040 usually breaks of structure on the four-hour time frame so that bullish 199 00:12:05,040 --> 00:12:08,720 change of character on the daily to initiate the pullback is most likely a 200 00:12:08,720 --> 00:12:11,839 bullish trend change in the four-hour chart a swing break of structures to the 201 00:12:11,839 --> 00:12:16,240 upside likewise i've actually drawn this wrong because 202 00:12:16,240 --> 00:12:19,600 at this point here right when price moves up and then we pull back and then 203 00:12:19,600 --> 00:12:23,120 we take the high right we take that high then you'd have to adjust your chalk 204 00:12:23,120 --> 00:12:26,639 line to the most recent low which would be this low here okay and then within 205 00:12:26,639 --> 00:12:30,079 the very next day then we come down and have that bearish change character to 206 00:12:30,079 --> 00:12:32,560 the downside okay just gonna drag this out so you can see a little bit clearer 207 00:12:32,560 --> 00:12:36,639 so hopefully that makes sense all right we moved up we pull back once 208 00:12:36,639 --> 00:12:40,079 we take the high that then validates that this is a low right price then hits 209 00:12:40,079 --> 00:12:43,440 into supply and then we have our bearish change of character which is most likely 210 00:12:43,440 --> 00:12:47,440 on the four-hour chart not always but most likely a bearish trend change so 211 00:12:47,440 --> 00:12:49,839 i'll just show you the four-hour trend here 212 00:12:49,839 --> 00:12:52,720 all right we have this swing movement to the 213 00:12:52,720 --> 00:12:56,880 downside we then pull back to form a lower high we move down to form a lower 214 00:12:56,880 --> 00:13:00,880 low we pull back to form a lower high we then come down do we break that for our 215 00:13:00,880 --> 00:13:03,440 low let's have a look draw it from the wick 216 00:13:03,440 --> 00:13:06,760 draw across 217 00:13:07,360 --> 00:13:10,639 okay now we've had a four-hour bearish breaking structure down here because we 218 00:13:10,639 --> 00:13:14,320 closed below the low so when we close below the low where is our swing lower 219 00:13:14,320 --> 00:13:18,320 high it's the highest point that broke this low after it formed so after it 220 00:13:18,320 --> 00:13:22,399 formed where's the highest point it's up here okay so this becomes our four hour 221 00:13:22,399 --> 00:13:26,320 swing high which you can see was our bullish daily change of character that 222 00:13:26,320 --> 00:13:30,959 dotted line as the four hour trend the swing trend switch bullish 223 00:13:30,959 --> 00:13:34,720 okay so at this point here when we close above that is the four hour swing trend 224 00:13:34,720 --> 00:13:38,160 switching bullish that is a boss a swing boss to the upside which was the daily 225 00:13:38,160 --> 00:13:41,279 change of character which is allowing the deadly to pull back okay so the 226 00:13:41,279 --> 00:13:46,000 four-hour trend switch switch bullish for the daily to pull back uh up into 227 00:13:46,000 --> 00:13:50,240 supply okay so we get another pullback and then we take the high all right so 228 00:13:50,240 --> 00:13:54,000 we're getting another four hour boston upside then we pull back again we do not 229 00:13:54,000 --> 00:13:58,000 breach that swing low okay the four hour trend stays intact and we get another 230 00:13:58,000 --> 00:14:02,880 breaker structure to the upside let me just draw that on and then we tap 231 00:14:02,880 --> 00:14:07,040 into our daily supply zone and then we get a huge reaction to the downside when 232 00:14:07,040 --> 00:14:11,920 we get that daily uh bearish change of character what is that 233 00:14:11,920 --> 00:14:16,079 daily bearish change of character it is a four hour bearish trend change okay 234 00:14:16,079 --> 00:14:19,279 that's where the four-hour swing trend changes to the downside it changes 235 00:14:19,279 --> 00:14:22,720 bearish because we take out this four-hour high low to form a lower low 236 00:14:22,720 --> 00:14:27,440 okay so now at this point what has happened we have had our daily 237 00:14:27,440 --> 00:14:32,000 break of structure so we anticipated a daily pullback right the four hour 238 00:14:32,000 --> 00:14:35,279 switched bullish when we got that swing breaker structure to facilitate that 239 00:14:35,279 --> 00:14:39,040 daily pullback and then tapped into daily supply but we then got the four 240 00:14:39,040 --> 00:14:42,959 hour then switching bearish as it took out the high low to form a lower low so 241 00:14:42,959 --> 00:14:47,360 now the four hour is bearish the daily is bearish and the weekly is bearish 242 00:14:47,360 --> 00:14:51,920 so now we are looking to target at a minimum this week daily low why is it a 243 00:14:51,920 --> 00:14:55,199 week daily low because it failed to take out the daily swing high okay so now all 244 00:14:55,199 --> 00:14:58,079 the time frames are aligned we don't just want to jump in short here okay 245 00:14:58,079 --> 00:15:01,760 ideally you want to see price pull back to an area of value um you know usually 246 00:15:01,760 --> 00:15:05,040 at minimum the previous buy to sell range right this buy to sell range 247 00:15:05,040 --> 00:15:09,279 usually price will come into that and then you'll see that movement go um the 248 00:15:09,279 --> 00:15:12,560 nearest poi is what i'll usually draw on now you can see this is kind of just one 249 00:15:12,560 --> 00:15:15,760 big straight candle down on a four-hour chart it's really the nearest supply 250 00:15:15,760 --> 00:15:19,120 zone i can see other than if you know if you used to take the whole buy to sell 251 00:15:19,120 --> 00:15:22,639 range as in this whole buy to sell range i draw on 252 00:15:22,639 --> 00:15:25,760 this whole buy to sell range what would that be in daily chart it's most likely 253 00:15:25,760 --> 00:15:29,279 just that daily bullish candle right that's then engulfed so i want to be a 254 00:15:29,279 --> 00:15:33,279 little bit more refined on the four-hour chart the nearest uh sort of supply poi 255 00:15:33,279 --> 00:15:37,279 i could see is those buy to sell wicks okay so i'll just draw that on 256 00:15:37,279 --> 00:15:41,120 all right so now we can look for price to pull back up into this area or we can 257 00:15:41,120 --> 00:15:44,880 wait for price to pull back and form a various change of character uh if it 258 00:15:44,880 --> 00:15:47,920 does not tap into our supply rack remember it does not have to tap into 259 00:15:47,920 --> 00:15:51,120 our supply so let's see are we gonna get tap into 260 00:15:51,120 --> 00:15:54,120 supply 261 00:15:55,519 --> 00:16:00,720 no but what we have is a low so at this point right i've been looking for price 262 00:16:00,720 --> 00:16:04,880 to come into supply but if price takes out this low here we would then would 263 00:16:04,880 --> 00:16:08,160 have had a bearish change of character okay so let's just keep track of this a 264 00:16:08,160 --> 00:16:11,040 little bit more are we going to tap into supply no we 265 00:16:11,040 --> 00:16:14,480 don't but we don't have to we've now had a bearish change of character on the 266 00:16:14,480 --> 00:16:18,240 4-hour chart so remember this is our swing range on the 4-hour chart this 267 00:16:18,240 --> 00:16:22,560 high here and this low here 268 00:16:22,560 --> 00:16:25,199 we've had our breakfast structure for the trend to switch bearish to align 269 00:16:25,199 --> 00:16:28,160 itself with the daily and the weekly we've pulled back we were looking for 270 00:16:28,160 --> 00:16:32,000 price to come into our supply poi to look for entries but we don't have to 271 00:16:32,000 --> 00:16:35,680 hit it remember for for for a lower height to form okay but when we get a 272 00:16:35,680 --> 00:16:39,360 bearish change of character to the downside so the internal structure is 273 00:16:39,360 --> 00:16:42,720 now aligned with the swing structure right so the pullback is likely to be 274 00:16:42,720 --> 00:16:46,800 over now we can we can look to get short on the lower time frames to target the 275 00:16:46,800 --> 00:16:50,720 week four hour low and ideally the daily low as well which is obviously quite 276 00:16:50,720 --> 00:16:54,560 near the four hour low all right um so 277 00:16:54,560 --> 00:16:57,040 let's just put this forward a little bit to 278 00:16:57,040 --> 00:17:00,480 see what happens because at this point here this is around 279 00:17:00,480 --> 00:17:04,799 new york what happens we try and then break that four hour low to form a lower 280 00:17:04,799 --> 00:17:08,959 low but you can see price wicks it so it's just a liquidity grab and closes 281 00:17:08,959 --> 00:17:13,439 back up above that low so that at that point is not a breakup structure just 282 00:17:13,439 --> 00:17:17,600 yet remember we need to close below so we fast forward this a little bit what 283 00:17:17,600 --> 00:17:21,439 time is this at now so this is the daily close around that time 284 00:17:21,439 --> 00:17:24,319 so i'm just going to bring this forward to around the time that i get to my 285 00:17:24,319 --> 00:17:27,280 charts okay so again what are we looking for 286 00:17:27,280 --> 00:17:30,480 we are looking for uh well the prices pulled back to our 287 00:17:30,480 --> 00:17:33,520 daily supply zone we think the daily pullback is over the four hours now 288 00:17:33,520 --> 00:17:37,280 switched bearish the fora has had a pullback it didn't quite meet the area 289 00:17:37,280 --> 00:17:40,000 supply that we were looking to get involved with but we have had a bearish 290 00:17:40,000 --> 00:17:43,840 change of character to the downside um we tried to make a lower low we failed 291 00:17:43,840 --> 00:17:45,919 to do so but it's pretty likely you know we're 292 00:17:45,919 --> 00:17:50,080 still going to run this week low and this week daily low 293 00:17:50,080 --> 00:17:52,960 now if i drop down to the 15-minute chart because this was coming into 294 00:17:52,960 --> 00:17:59,120 friday where i was looking for my trade short to run that daily low 295 00:17:59,120 --> 00:18:03,120 okay now if we look at the 15 minute chart we can see at this point we were 296 00:18:03,120 --> 00:18:06,240 clearly bullish right we had this swing range 297 00:18:06,240 --> 00:18:09,120 back slightly 298 00:18:09,520 --> 00:18:13,200 okay so actually this was the four hour swing high and 299 00:18:13,200 --> 00:18:17,200 swing low and at that point that range that four hour bearish range the 15 300 00:18:17,200 --> 00:18:19,679 minute was actually the same range because for me 301 00:18:19,679 --> 00:18:22,400 this is why you go back and paint the story a little bit right that would have 302 00:18:22,400 --> 00:18:26,480 been the 15 minute low down here it was one straight push up to form a higher 303 00:18:26,480 --> 00:18:30,000 high and then we took out the low which means this would be our high so you can 304 00:18:30,000 --> 00:18:33,280 see how the 15 minute swing range is the same as the four hour swing range at 305 00:18:33,280 --> 00:18:37,200 this point sometimes that can happen now when we took out this low here the 306 00:18:37,200 --> 00:18:41,840 15 minute low we did get a closure below so that means 307 00:18:41,840 --> 00:18:48,080 that our swing high is now all the way up here okay so this is actually our m15 308 00:18:48,080 --> 00:18:53,140 swing high so let me just mark that on [Music] 309 00:18:53,600 --> 00:18:57,200 and our swing low is all the way down here okay so i kind of want to just 310 00:18:57,200 --> 00:19:01,120 cover that quickly again on the four-hour chart 311 00:19:02,240 --> 00:19:06,000 just zoom out this is still our swing high and our 312 00:19:06,000 --> 00:19:09,520 swing low because we tried to break to the downside but we just wicked it we 313 00:19:09,520 --> 00:19:13,200 haven't closed below yet if we were to close below this low then this would 314 00:19:13,200 --> 00:19:16,640 become our lower high but that hasn't happened yet however on the 15-minute 315 00:19:16,640 --> 00:19:19,760 chart because our low was in the same place as 316 00:19:19,760 --> 00:19:23,120 the 4-hour chart as well as the 15-minute chart the 15-minute chart did 317 00:19:23,120 --> 00:19:26,720 actually close below so that means we have a new swing range that we're within 318 00:19:26,720 --> 00:19:30,240 and our new lower high is now here okay so playing within a little bit of a 319 00:19:30,240 --> 00:19:34,480 smaller range on the m15 than we were on the four-hour chart 320 00:19:34,480 --> 00:19:40,160 okay now coming into uh the london session for this friday 321 00:19:40,160 --> 00:19:44,400 the 5th of november i'm aware that price could pull all the 322 00:19:44,400 --> 00:19:48,000 way up towards the top of this ranger k and that's ideal right we want to be 323 00:19:48,000 --> 00:19:51,360 really selling kind of the high in the range as much as possible but of course 324 00:19:51,360 --> 00:19:55,360 price does not have to do that so where is the uh 325 00:19:55,360 --> 00:19:59,679 let's bring this back a little bit back to around 6am when i get to my desk so 326 00:19:59,679 --> 00:20:03,039 around this time right what i do is i just literally mark out 327 00:20:03,039 --> 00:20:06,640 the ranges that i'm in i know where my four hour and my uh my four hour swing 328 00:20:06,640 --> 00:20:10,400 high on my swing low is i know where my m15 swing high and swing low is now 329 00:20:10,400 --> 00:20:14,000 right and i know i want to be getting short to target the weak m15 low to 330 00:20:14,000 --> 00:20:17,120 target the four-hour low to try and get the four-hour close below that low and 331 00:20:17,120 --> 00:20:21,120 to try and get the daily you guessed it to take out the week 332 00:20:21,120 --> 00:20:25,039 daily low right you can see that so now all the m15 and 400 daily all aligned 333 00:20:25,039 --> 00:20:28,400 we're literally just trying to find that final point where price is going to pull 334 00:20:28,400 --> 00:20:32,000 back into to find the supply that it needs in order to take out all of those 335 00:20:32,000 --> 00:20:35,679 weak loads so this orange range is the m15 range 336 00:20:35,679 --> 00:20:40,000 we're playing within it's quite a large range um but what i do is i mark out the 337 00:20:40,000 --> 00:20:44,240 kind of you know the decent pois that price um is near we have this buy to 338 00:20:44,240 --> 00:20:48,480 sell here on the m15 it's a pretty decent 339 00:20:48,480 --> 00:20:53,679 supply zone right it's a nice sharp pullback and a nice strong push down um 340 00:20:53,679 --> 00:20:57,360 so it's obviously a strong zone because it caused and led to a breakage 341 00:20:57,360 --> 00:21:02,159 structure now how else can we validate the zone let's see if there's any uh 342 00:21:02,159 --> 00:21:05,760 let's paint the story a little bit so we can see we have this demand over here 343 00:21:05,760 --> 00:21:10,320 right actually took out these highs all right pricing came down 344 00:21:10,320 --> 00:21:14,320 into that demand level it reacted it pushed up and then supply came into the 345 00:21:14,320 --> 00:21:18,720 market for the demand to flip to supply so that's a pretty decent supply level 346 00:21:18,720 --> 00:21:21,360 right so we're just following the money here but following where the orders are 347 00:21:21,360 --> 00:21:24,720 exchanging hands for this whole move to set up and that's why you can see that 348 00:21:24,720 --> 00:21:28,080 when supply came in and pushed price down through demand price pulled back 349 00:21:28,080 --> 00:21:31,360 into it mitigated the remaining orders that were left in there and that led to 350 00:21:31,360 --> 00:21:35,520 a sharp move that led to that m15 break of structure so if we're following the 351 00:21:35,520 --> 00:21:38,320 money and we're following those series of mitigations this is at the pretty 352 00:21:38,320 --> 00:21:41,200 decent level with that supply last entered into the market 353 00:21:41,200 --> 00:21:45,039 now coming to my desk around 6 a.m what you typically see during asia so all of 354 00:21:45,039 --> 00:21:48,000 this corrective price action within a small range that is what's called the 355 00:21:48,000 --> 00:21:52,080 asian session range we can now see we started to form um a little bit of a 356 00:21:52,080 --> 00:21:55,840 double top here what do we also have we also have a double bottom at the bottom 357 00:21:55,840 --> 00:21:59,039 of the asian range so there's tons of liquidity building either side of this 358 00:21:59,039 --> 00:22:02,640 range right loads of buy stops above these highs for anyone who's already 359 00:22:02,640 --> 00:22:05,760 short their stop loss is going to be here right obviously if they're short 360 00:22:05,760 --> 00:22:08,400 they need to buy back their position if they get stopped out that's why there's 361 00:22:08,400 --> 00:22:11,360 other biceps there anyone who's looking to buy the breakout they think it's 362 00:22:11,360 --> 00:22:13,840 going to the moon if we break these highs they're going to be buying there 363 00:22:13,840 --> 00:22:18,240 as well um so there's tons of liquidity for large 364 00:22:18,240 --> 00:22:21,520 you know in theory large smart money the institutional money that looks to want 365 00:22:21,520 --> 00:22:25,039 to short here right where that supplies entering to the market what do they have 366 00:22:25,039 --> 00:22:29,760 they have tons of buy side liquidity to fill their sell positions um in order to 367 00:22:29,760 --> 00:22:33,840 you know essentially use that to to facilitate their transactions to um 368 00:22:33,840 --> 00:22:36,799 reduce as much slippage that they may experience as possible and then what do 369 00:22:36,799 --> 00:22:39,360 we also have we have liquidity to target right it's a fuel that moves to the 370 00:22:39,360 --> 00:22:42,799 downside where there's tons of sell side liquidity below here anyone who's long 371 00:22:42,799 --> 00:22:45,760 from the double bottom or looking to sell the breakout 372 00:22:45,760 --> 00:22:51,760 so again just to quickly summarize this we have had the daily pullback to 373 00:22:51,760 --> 00:22:56,159 zoom out we've had the daily pullback to supply right we've waited for the four 374 00:22:56,159 --> 00:22:59,120 hours to now switch bearish the m15 switched bearish at the same point 375 00:22:59,120 --> 00:23:02,880 because we were within the same range the four hour and the m15 now the four 376 00:23:02,880 --> 00:23:06,559 hour failed to get rid of those lines failed to close below the low so the 377 00:23:06,559 --> 00:23:10,400 four hour height is still up here at this point however on the m15 we did get 378 00:23:10,400 --> 00:23:14,159 a closure below so we just look at where was the highest 379 00:23:14,159 --> 00:23:18,080 point that took out this low it was this point on the m15 that's why we are now 380 00:23:18,080 --> 00:23:21,600 playing within this range and this is the four range okay so at this point we 381 00:23:21,600 --> 00:23:25,280 are aware that the m15 could pull all the way back up here and still go right 382 00:23:25,280 --> 00:23:28,159 but it doesn't have to do that if we see a 383 00:23:28,159 --> 00:23:32,159 nice poi right price does not have to pull back above the eq we can sell in 384 00:23:32,159 --> 00:23:35,760 the discount if we build enough confidence coming into the learning 385 00:23:35,760 --> 00:23:40,960 session on friday we have a really nice um you know clean and asia 386 00:23:40,960 --> 00:23:43,919 range asian session range right with a double top and a double bottom clear 387 00:23:43,919 --> 00:23:47,760 liquidity building on both sides we have this nice extreme 388 00:23:47,760 --> 00:23:50,640 structural zone here we follow the mitigations right we had 389 00:23:50,640 --> 00:23:54,080 this nice supply flip that was the last mitigation that led to the break of 390 00:23:54,080 --> 00:23:57,440 structure so this for me is a really decent zone so what i would do is i 391 00:23:57,440 --> 00:24:01,200 would set my alert at this level and then once it goes off drop down to the 392 00:24:01,200 --> 00:24:05,039 m1 to see if it gives me my execution time frame 393 00:24:05,039 --> 00:24:08,559 now if you trade the m15 you can trade this directly of course you can 394 00:24:08,559 --> 00:24:12,559 obviously take a trade on the distal um you can be quite tight to that there or 395 00:24:12,559 --> 00:24:14,960 you may want to cover the actual swing high because technically you know you 396 00:24:14,960 --> 00:24:18,320 could draw your supply zone and as big of that if you want to it's quite a big 397 00:24:18,320 --> 00:24:22,400 zone or you enter an eq but of course you may not be tagged now the other 398 00:24:22,400 --> 00:24:24,559 reason why i'd prefer to use a confirmation entry on the lower 399 00:24:24,559 --> 00:24:28,159 timeframes in this area is because you're selling in the discount so 400 00:24:28,159 --> 00:24:31,679 there's every possibility right that price could come higher up into the 401 00:24:31,679 --> 00:24:36,559 range before we go another thing as well that you need to bear in mind with this 402 00:24:36,559 --> 00:24:40,240 of of why potentially this might not hold and the 403 00:24:40,240 --> 00:24:43,120 m15 because actually switch bullish is because remember again on the four-hour 404 00:24:43,120 --> 00:24:47,679 chart what happened the four-hour chart at that point had 405 00:24:47,679 --> 00:24:52,240 failed to do its job it failed too close below that low so technically this is 406 00:24:52,240 --> 00:24:56,400 structurally a weak high at the moment because it's failed to do its job so you 407 00:24:56,400 --> 00:24:58,320 have to bear that in mind that potentially because we've had a 408 00:24:58,320 --> 00:25:02,000 liquidity grab here there is the possibility a small possibility that we 409 00:25:02,000 --> 00:25:04,400 could come up higher potentially mitigate you know one of these supply 410 00:25:04,400 --> 00:25:08,640 zones up here and then we go right so you always have to bear that in mind 411 00:25:08,640 --> 00:25:12,400 but this is why and my advice to you guys is don't get too caught up in 412 00:25:12,400 --> 00:25:16,480 liquidity and all of that try and keep your trading as simple as possible and 413 00:25:16,480 --> 00:25:20,080 you have to ask yourself right now where is the path of least resistance 414 00:25:20,080 --> 00:25:23,279 everything's bearish we've had to pull back into supply the four hours bearish 415 00:25:23,279 --> 00:25:27,840 and 15 is bearish and there's tons of weak lows um you know forming here you 416 00:25:27,840 --> 00:25:31,840 can see this big double bottom forming um you know for me the easy trade keep 417 00:25:31,840 --> 00:25:35,520 it simple don't over complicate it we've got a real clear poi we're following the 418 00:25:35,520 --> 00:25:39,919 mitigations right this is a really good area to short we've swept liquidity into 419 00:25:39,919 --> 00:25:44,400 our poi we've got liquidity to target and tons of weak blows below us i'm more 420 00:25:44,400 --> 00:25:48,960 than happy to hit a short trade there with a decent reward if the m1 entry 421 00:25:48,960 --> 00:25:51,760 model sets up so let's jump down to the one minute 422 00:25:51,760 --> 00:25:56,400 now my alerts gone off right now we're within our m15 poi 423 00:25:56,400 --> 00:26:00,320 so at this point the first thing i'm always thinking of once we get into into 424 00:26:00,320 --> 00:26:06,080 a poi is i'm not going to enter a trade until i get a change of character on my 425 00:26:06,080 --> 00:26:10,000 execution time frame so obviously if i'm looking for an m1 entry i need to see an 426 00:26:10,000 --> 00:26:14,640 m1 shock so all i do is i mark out where is the low that i need to see get wicked 427 00:26:14,640 --> 00:26:17,440 in order for there to be a chalk well if you look right all of these counters 428 00:26:17,440 --> 00:26:21,120 apart don't move then we pull back then we move up then we pull back and then we 429 00:26:21,120 --> 00:26:24,720 move up and then we pull back so at this point this is the last low okay so 430 00:26:24,720 --> 00:26:28,880 that's the low that i need to see get wicked for there to be 431 00:26:28,880 --> 00:26:34,400 a change of character okay so prices into our poi let's play this forward a 432 00:26:34,400 --> 00:26:38,320 little bit and see what happens we're building those nice equal highs so now 433 00:26:38,320 --> 00:26:41,279 we have those 434 00:26:41,279 --> 00:26:44,480 uh highs get swept right they get liquidated 435 00:26:44,480 --> 00:26:49,360 anyone who's you know short early now when we break up that high that 436 00:26:49,360 --> 00:26:53,120 means i need to adjust this to the most recent low now for some of you that may 437 00:26:53,120 --> 00:26:56,799 be there for you for me i am as aggressive as you can be with change of 438 00:26:56,799 --> 00:27:00,400 character and for me that's an inside bar right that white candle so i will 439 00:27:00,400 --> 00:27:02,799 take the inside bar because what that means 440 00:27:02,799 --> 00:27:07,600 is price moved up it pulled back it came up right it pulled back it 441 00:27:07,600 --> 00:27:11,840 arranged in here it moved up and then this candle fell to put the prize candle 442 00:27:11,840 --> 00:27:16,159 high so that's a pullback and then we go so that for me is a low okay i'm pretty 443 00:27:16,159 --> 00:27:20,000 aggressive with change of character because it allows me to get into trades 444 00:27:20,000 --> 00:27:23,120 pretty early so now we've had a hard time for a 445 00:27:23,120 --> 00:27:26,960 mitigation into our zone we've had a liquidation now all i'm waiting for is 446 00:27:26,960 --> 00:27:30,960 that change of character before i look for an entry okay now we've wicked that 447 00:27:30,960 --> 00:27:35,679 low we have had a change of character so now what i'm looking for is for the flip 448 00:27:35,679 --> 00:27:38,960 right i'm looking for where is price going to react to to show me where the 449 00:27:38,960 --> 00:27:42,640 demand is so play it forward we move down 450 00:27:42,640 --> 00:27:45,760 okay now we move up okay we have this bullish movement back up so now what i 451 00:27:45,760 --> 00:27:49,120 do is i look left and go doesn't make sense i'll be reacting off something to 452 00:27:49,120 --> 00:27:52,799 validate a level of demand and it looks like we are reacting off this wick right 453 00:27:52,799 --> 00:27:56,320 this fractal refinement there will be a nice clean 15 second demand zone within 454 00:27:56,320 --> 00:27:59,200 there so that reaction that pullback tells me 455 00:27:59,200 --> 00:28:02,640 that there's m1 demand here okay so now i've had my hard time frame mitigation 456 00:28:02,640 --> 00:28:07,840 liquidation i've had my change of character now we are moving into demand 457 00:28:07,840 --> 00:28:11,360 so now what i need to see is i need to see this demand level fail so i mark out 458 00:28:11,360 --> 00:28:14,880 the the base of the reaction right and now what i want to see is 459 00:28:14,880 --> 00:28:18,240 price break the the base of this reaction 460 00:28:18,240 --> 00:28:21,440 and that will show me that supply is in control 461 00:28:21,440 --> 00:28:25,279 um so let's see okay now we have broken and closed below 462 00:28:25,279 --> 00:28:29,600 so now we have a confirmed flip so remember prices come into our level of 463 00:28:29,600 --> 00:28:33,360 demand it's reacted which validates our level of demand it's tried to put in a 464 00:28:33,360 --> 00:28:36,640 higher high but it's failed to breach the high so it's failed to do its job as 465 00:28:36,640 --> 00:28:40,799 soon as price then breaks and closes below the base of the reaction point now 466 00:28:40,799 --> 00:28:45,679 demand has flipped to supply okay so where did that supply come into the 467 00:28:45,679 --> 00:28:50,159 market in order to take control in order to overpower demand well it's from the 468 00:28:50,159 --> 00:28:54,399 base of the reaction to the higher the reaction okay because that is the buy to 469 00:28:54,399 --> 00:28:58,799 cell that is the supply so anywhere within this buy to sell that box any 470 00:28:58,799 --> 00:29:02,640 more than that orange box is the supply that came into the market to overpower 471 00:29:02,640 --> 00:29:06,559 demand and take control so now you essentially you can short anywhere 472 00:29:06,559 --> 00:29:11,200 within this box okay it's about a two pip um 473 00:29:11,200 --> 00:29:14,480 sized box and that's more than valid obviously depending on what your trade 474 00:29:14,480 --> 00:29:17,679 plan is for me currently at the time of recording i like to trade with a fixed 475 00:29:17,679 --> 00:29:22,640 two pip stop loss uh on on euro dollar and what i'll tend to do 476 00:29:22,640 --> 00:29:25,600 is take the whole range like that and if i can get my two pips stop above the 477 00:29:25,600 --> 00:29:30,000 high protected then i'll take that now in this case right 478 00:29:30,000 --> 00:29:32,720 i wanted to cover this thing high because i wasn't sure especially as it 479 00:29:32,720 --> 00:29:36,960 was on mitigated if price would maybe come up to that extreme zone there okay 480 00:29:36,960 --> 00:29:41,600 so what i did is i took a trade around here i have my stop just above the high 481 00:29:41,600 --> 00:29:45,120 now because this will happen quite quite quickly right and price is here at this 482 00:29:45,120 --> 00:29:48,559 point the moment price has closed below this is literally when you need to be 483 00:29:48,559 --> 00:29:52,000 ready to enter okay you have to be quick within one chart because what can happen 484 00:29:52,000 --> 00:29:56,159 at this point right prices here is the very next candle price can tap in like 485 00:29:56,159 --> 00:29:58,799 literally with the next candle and then you're off 486 00:29:58,799 --> 00:30:01,440 so that's why you have to be really mechanical and know exactly what you're 487 00:30:01,440 --> 00:30:05,600 looking for and i know that once i've had my liquidation right into a hard 488 00:30:05,600 --> 00:30:08,880 time frame mitigation i've already had my change of character 489 00:30:08,880 --> 00:30:12,559 the last thing i need to see is the flip right we've had the reaction price has 490 00:30:12,559 --> 00:30:16,080 now broken and closed below the base of the reaction so i know where the flip is 491 00:30:16,080 --> 00:30:19,440 i know where the supply is that took control this is where i want to enter so 492 00:30:19,440 --> 00:30:22,880 now the moment that price price enters this box 493 00:30:22,880 --> 00:30:26,720 i need to be ready to get short okay so the next few candles price basically 494 00:30:26,720 --> 00:30:28,960 moves into the zone and then this is where i didn't have enough time to set 495 00:30:28,960 --> 00:30:33,919 an order so i just hit a mark execute right around here as price came in um 496 00:30:33,919 --> 00:30:37,039 let's see i think we moved up a little bit higher 497 00:30:37,039 --> 00:30:42,080 yeah there we go um because i ended up getting a 1.7 pip stop but i had my my 498 00:30:42,080 --> 00:30:45,679 stop just above the high so it was roughly around here 499 00:30:45,679 --> 00:30:49,440 um and i got tagged into the trade and then yeah obviously just let this play 500 00:30:49,440 --> 00:30:52,000 out so think about targets right where do we 501 00:30:52,000 --> 00:30:55,679 want to target this trade well if you zoom out 502 00:30:55,679 --> 00:30:58,880 right my ultimate target like i was saying this entire time 503 00:30:58,880 --> 00:31:04,080 was to target that weak daily low right which is all the way uh i think further 504 00:31:04,080 --> 00:31:06,880 than actually anyway you know where the week day low 505 00:31:06,880 --> 00:31:10,240 is it's pretty near that four hour low all right or at a minimum if we think 506 00:31:10,240 --> 00:31:14,240 we've caught the daily or the m15 lower high i should say we can target that low 507 00:31:14,240 --> 00:31:19,200 there right now at this time this was a trade on friday and nfp was coming up 508 00:31:19,200 --> 00:31:22,960 around midday nfp is basically u.s employment numbers typically it sees 509 00:31:22,960 --> 00:31:26,240 quite a large intraday reaction and i don't really want to hold the bulk of my 510 00:31:26,240 --> 00:31:30,240 volume through that trade if i'm running a decent profits so my first decent 511 00:31:30,240 --> 00:31:33,679 target was this m15 low down here because 512 00:31:33,679 --> 00:31:36,799 there's big double bottom there i know there's tons of liquidity and what do we 513 00:31:36,799 --> 00:31:41,200 expect after that liquidity is swept remember we either expect a pullback or 514 00:31:41,200 --> 00:31:44,880 a reversal so these are really good profiting ticket levels to take profit 515 00:31:44,880 --> 00:31:48,080 from okay so i just pay that forward price was 516 00:31:48,080 --> 00:31:51,120 running around yeah just over 12 hours those lows and that's where i banked 517 00:31:51,120 --> 00:31:56,320 around 90 percent of my volume okay now the reason why i did that like i just 518 00:31:56,320 --> 00:32:00,480 said is because of um prices coming into nfp and i know there's a lot of large 519 00:32:00,480 --> 00:32:03,679 intraday volatility so i just play press forward and you can see what happens um 520 00:32:03,679 --> 00:32:07,200 as the news came in now typically what you'll see during kind of these news 521 00:32:07,200 --> 00:32:09,840 announcements especially if price breaks a major swing low and taps into 522 00:32:09,840 --> 00:32:14,720 liquidity is that move will often retrace so when i had 523 00:32:14,720 --> 00:32:18,240 um the you know the the small balance of the trade remaining and i saw the news 524 00:32:18,240 --> 00:32:21,840 come out i'm hoping there we go as soon as we broke those lows and we took the 525 00:32:21,840 --> 00:32:24,880 daily low as well i knew it was very likely we're going to see a bit of a 526 00:32:24,880 --> 00:32:29,279 sharp retrace um and then that's when i banked my profit for around 23r i just 527 00:32:29,279 --> 00:32:32,480 flashed up on the screen and i can edit that in um essentially just manually 528 00:32:32,480 --> 00:32:36,559 exited the remaining volume um at that point so 529 00:32:36,559 --> 00:32:41,360 yeah i kind of went through this trade almost painfully slowly um you know my 530 00:32:41,360 --> 00:32:44,240 thought process when i'm doing this live market is obviously a hell of a lot 531 00:32:44,240 --> 00:32:47,519 quicker you don't need to be this pedantic right you know talking through 532 00:32:47,519 --> 00:32:50,240 everything but i kind of just want to you know obviously for some of you guys 533 00:32:50,240 --> 00:32:52,960 who are new seeing these things for the first time hopefully it helps it just 534 00:32:52,960 --> 00:32:56,720 really goes things to go through things bit by bit now when you're in the live 535 00:32:56,720 --> 00:33:00,559 market um you know this is happening so slowly 536 00:33:00,559 --> 00:33:04,000 right you you you know on the weekend you do your analysis you know where all 537 00:33:04,000 --> 00:33:07,519 your swing highs and your swing lows are and price is moving very very slowly on 538 00:33:07,519 --> 00:33:12,000 the m15 and the for our time frame um you know you're in the spring same swing 539 00:33:12,000 --> 00:33:15,679 range for usually a number of days um you know you have your poi marked out 540 00:33:15,679 --> 00:33:18,640 probably even the night before and you're just letting waiting for your 541 00:33:18,640 --> 00:33:21,519 alerts to set you know roughly that you're gonna be targeting those weak 542 00:33:21,519 --> 00:33:24,720 lows as soon as price comes in that's just when you then need to be in the 543 00:33:24,720 --> 00:33:28,880 ball right run start the london session just before london open we have a hard 544 00:33:28,880 --> 00:33:32,799 time free mitigation liquidation just zoom in 545 00:33:32,799 --> 00:33:36,640 all right chuck wait for price to react that validates our demand wait for price 546 00:33:36,640 --> 00:33:39,840 to close below the reaction that shows me where supply took control where 547 00:33:39,840 --> 00:33:43,200 demand flip to supply let price come back into the area right whether you set 548 00:33:43,200 --> 00:33:46,399 a limit or a market execution um i ended up covering the high which was like a 549 00:33:46,399 --> 00:33:49,519 dig because price did go a little bit higher than actually the zone but this 550 00:33:49,519 --> 00:33:51,840 is where you gotta be patient okay as well and don't let emotions get in the 551 00:33:51,840 --> 00:33:55,760 way you can see it's quite choppy and quite well quite horrible price action 552 00:33:55,760 --> 00:33:59,360 to be honest um you know the first hour or so being in the trade but when that 553 00:33:59,360 --> 00:34:02,799 happens literally mechanical right let let the market do 554 00:34:02,799 --> 00:34:06,799 the hard work for you i know i'm going to take 20 off of 4r to cover my stop 555 00:34:06,799 --> 00:34:10,480 loss at a point i have zero risk then you just leave it i know the areas in 556 00:34:10,480 --> 00:34:13,440 which i want to take profit bulk of my volume off around these double bottom 557 00:34:13,440 --> 00:34:16,639 lows at the m15 low right it's on a spring load the swing goes 558 00:34:16,639 --> 00:34:19,599 down here but there because i know it's likely we can have a pullback okay in 559 00:34:19,599 --> 00:34:23,359 this case that we didn't but you know 12r by anyone's standards is an amazing 560 00:34:23,359 --> 00:34:26,639 trade okay really happy volume end of the week happy birthday happy with that 561 00:34:26,639 --> 00:34:30,240 trade end of the week bank your profits move on because coming into that news 562 00:34:30,240 --> 00:34:33,599 announcement right let's just imagine i'm trying to hold on my full volume and 563 00:34:33,599 --> 00:34:36,960 then price comes up and spikes me out i'm gonna feel like a bit of a mug right 564 00:34:36,960 --> 00:34:40,000 so pay yourself you know that's how you get consistency that's how you build 565 00:34:40,000 --> 00:34:43,040 your accounts how you start to benefit from the compound growth um you don't 566 00:34:43,040 --> 00:34:46,720 need to swing for the fences with evolve full volume of course you can you know 567 00:34:46,720 --> 00:34:49,919 you don't have to listen to me um do what works for you but i'm just you know 568 00:34:49,919 --> 00:34:54,320 guiding you guys with the way that i you know view and approach the market 569 00:34:54,320 --> 00:34:57,359 and then yeah eventually after the news once we got that break below the lows um 570 00:34:57,359 --> 00:35:01,760 i just manually exited so hopefully that was useful you guys can kind of see my 571 00:35:01,760 --> 00:35:04,960 thought process from really all starting with the daily time 572 00:35:04,960 --> 00:35:08,160 frame we know we're in a very clear bearish trend we pull back to an area of 573 00:35:08,160 --> 00:35:12,640 supply within the previous range we'd had a very strong bearish reaction 574 00:35:12,640 --> 00:35:16,720 from that supply zone we had a daily bearish change of character giving us a 575 00:35:16,720 --> 00:35:20,000 real good signal now that that daily lower high had formed and we can target 576 00:35:20,000 --> 00:35:23,839 that week daily low we dropped down to the four-hour chart the four-hour trend 577 00:35:23,839 --> 00:35:28,000 had clearly switched bearish right when we took out uh this swing low here so 578 00:35:28,000 --> 00:35:30,960 then we were then playing within the swing range here we are ideally hoping 579 00:35:30,960 --> 00:35:34,240 price would come to that nearest for our poi but of course it doesn't have to 580 00:35:34,240 --> 00:35:37,119 take a message from the market right price game there but then we get a 581 00:35:37,119 --> 00:35:40,480 change of character to the downside there so now the internal for our 582 00:35:40,480 --> 00:35:44,320 structure at this point is now bearish it's aligned with the swing structure 583 00:35:44,320 --> 00:35:47,520 right it's obviously a pretty good sign not a guarantee but a pretty good sign 584 00:35:47,520 --> 00:35:50,880 that we're ready to now take out this low and form that lower low it tried to 585 00:35:50,880 --> 00:35:54,079 do that during the thursday session it did wick the low and that's why we got 586 00:35:54,079 --> 00:35:57,920 the m15 lower low but remember the four hour didn't close so it's just a bit of 587 00:35:57,920 --> 00:36:01,280 a grab liquidity but you know at that point we can still look for shorts and 588 00:36:01,280 --> 00:36:03,599 actually get that true break of structure where we then took out the 589 00:36:03,599 --> 00:36:06,560 daily lows as well so that's when we dropped down to the 15-minute chart 590 00:36:06,560 --> 00:36:10,240 coming into friday morning on the 5th of november um just before the london 591 00:36:10,240 --> 00:36:13,359 session and this is just where it was so clean for me 592 00:36:13,359 --> 00:36:15,599 i mean obviously i've been looking at these zones before in the previous 593 00:36:15,599 --> 00:36:18,480 sessions that's why you know it comes quite easy you know you're probably 594 00:36:18,480 --> 00:36:21,520 thinking how do i spot this and how do i spot this but it's because this would 595 00:36:21,520 --> 00:36:24,320 have been an area i was looking at the previous day or wednesday i don't know 596 00:36:24,320 --> 00:36:27,200 when it was would have been looking for lungs from here price obviously melted 597 00:36:27,200 --> 00:36:30,400 straight down and never gave us confirmation so when that happens and a 598 00:36:30,400 --> 00:36:34,160 zone that i'm looking at to trade from you know gets smashed you like that 599 00:36:34,160 --> 00:36:37,440 you don't just think oh well it didn't work go no no where did the supply come 600 00:36:37,440 --> 00:36:40,480 into the market in order to make the same fail well here here was the 601 00:36:40,480 --> 00:36:43,359 reaction there was the push down okay well that becomes a decent area of 602 00:36:43,359 --> 00:36:46,240 interest so they're on the fourth of november that was a trade right we can 603 00:36:46,240 --> 00:36:49,520 look for trades in around there right so then get that 15 minute low right that 604 00:36:49,520 --> 00:36:52,720 was a really decent area to look for trades then we come into friday and now 605 00:36:52,720 --> 00:36:55,280 we know that was the last series of mitigation but following the money this 606 00:36:55,280 --> 00:36:58,560 then becomes a really decent area to look for beautiful liquidity to be swept 607 00:36:58,560 --> 00:37:02,880 liquidity to target tons of weak lows right with the for the m15 and the daily 608 00:37:02,880 --> 00:37:06,720 um obviously you can trade this directly or we can drop down to that m1 for extra 609 00:37:06,720 --> 00:37:10,800 confirmation and refinement alert goes off on the m1 610 00:37:10,800 --> 00:37:13,680 what do we get a hard time free mitigation liquidation change of 611 00:37:13,680 --> 00:37:16,800 character wait for the reaction to happen to validate where the demand is 612 00:37:16,800 --> 00:37:21,839 we get the reaction wait for price to break the base of the reaction now 613 00:37:21,839 --> 00:37:25,520 whether you want a candle closure or just a wick break 614 00:37:25,520 --> 00:37:28,320 you know i'm going to leave that to you waiting for the candle closure will 615 00:37:28,320 --> 00:37:31,440 definitely boost your strike rate it is more significant um once we get the 616 00:37:31,440 --> 00:37:34,160 candle closure you know that you can enter anywhere within that buy to sell 617 00:37:34,160 --> 00:37:37,200 range if you trade ranges some of you may not trade ranges some of you may 618 00:37:37,200 --> 00:37:40,000 always take the refined candle and that's fine too right you would have 619 00:37:40,000 --> 00:37:42,640 been tagged in at this point as well just 620 00:37:42,640 --> 00:37:46,240 clean that up to you know what i mean right these are all where you know 621 00:37:46,240 --> 00:37:49,520 there's option optionality within the strategy and how you want to trade just 622 00:37:49,520 --> 00:37:52,960 try and be consistent with what you do okay so if you always take a single 623 00:37:52,960 --> 00:37:56,640 candle like that the refined candle always do that okay so if price then 624 00:37:56,640 --> 00:38:00,240 taps into let's just say the base of the range and goes without you you can't be 625 00:38:00,240 --> 00:38:03,839 pissed off that's not a mistreat for you um because it didn't meet your rules so 626 00:38:03,839 --> 00:38:08,320 for me personally i generally take the whole range if i can 627 00:38:08,320 --> 00:38:11,040 well okay let me summarize and keep this even 628 00:38:11,040 --> 00:38:15,040 more simple i will draw my flip zone on the whole range 629 00:38:15,040 --> 00:38:18,960 but remember i always want to fix two pips stop loss and i need my stop-loss 630 00:38:18,960 --> 00:38:22,400 to protect it protecting my stop-loss defines where my 631 00:38:22,400 --> 00:38:26,000 entry goes so if i know that this you know two pip can get me above the high 632 00:38:26,000 --> 00:38:28,079 then that's where my entry has to be okay 633 00:38:28,079 --> 00:38:31,040 which just so happens to be the eq of the range which just so happens to be 634 00:38:31,040 --> 00:38:33,680 around you know on this refined candle okay but i will personally take the 635 00:38:33,680 --> 00:38:37,119 whole range um as long as i can get my two pip stop protected where i want it 636 00:38:37,119 --> 00:38:40,880 protected um we get tagged into the trade now a lot of people right they'll 637 00:38:40,880 --> 00:38:44,640 get tagged in and then they'll see price shoot up into their stop-loss 638 00:38:44,640 --> 00:38:47,839 they'll be emotional they'll be like going okay well i'm going to take a loss 639 00:38:47,839 --> 00:38:50,640 i don't take a full loss and i'll manually exit the trade 640 00:38:50,640 --> 00:38:54,400 don't do that don't be that person right that's just 641 00:38:54,400 --> 00:38:57,920 you know i'm trying to use pg words here it's stupid trading right 642 00:38:57,920 --> 00:39:00,240 it's emotional training you're professional traders you don't need to 643 00:39:00,240 --> 00:39:04,000 do that the the risk reward is always hugely on 644 00:39:04,000 --> 00:39:08,400 your side with the strategy okay once you've entered the trade that's it right 645 00:39:08,400 --> 00:39:12,320 ride or die let the market do the hard work for you let your edge play out let 646 00:39:12,320 --> 00:39:15,599 the numbers fall where they will fall right that's why we have this really 647 00:39:15,599 --> 00:39:18,320 easy um you know a mechanical clear-cut way 648 00:39:18,320 --> 00:39:22,160 of removing risk where you set your order for 4r to partially remove 20 649 00:39:22,160 --> 00:39:25,040 percent of your volume that leaves your stop-loss open and then pick where you 650 00:39:25,040 --> 00:39:28,240 want to take up you know the rest of your volume whether you are someone who 651 00:39:28,240 --> 00:39:31,920 use purely fixed r so what i mean by that is you may always bank x amount of 652 00:39:31,920 --> 00:39:35,359 profit at 10 r for example so it doesn't depend on technical levels that's a 653 00:39:35,359 --> 00:39:38,800 great idea as well maybe you like technical levels okay big obvious levels 654 00:39:38,800 --> 00:39:42,480 in the market clearly gonna be liquidity here another good level to take profits 655 00:39:42,480 --> 00:39:46,560 and then final level take profits at the m15 and week daily lows often use big 656 00:39:46,560 --> 00:39:50,640 retrace you know take your money be happy for the weekend um bank and move 657 00:39:50,640 --> 00:39:54,400 on so that wraps up that kind of trade recap um yeah hopefully you guys are 658 00:39:54,400 --> 00:39:57,839 taking some value from that uh yeah and you can just kind of see sort of my own 659 00:39:57,839 --> 00:40:01,280 style my thought process of how how i use all these concepts together but i do 660 00:40:01,280 --> 00:40:06,480 try to keep it as simple as possible um and kind of yeah i guess i'll leave 661 00:40:06,480 --> 00:40:09,520 you with this kind of one thought the main thing you want to do no matter what 662 00:40:09,520 --> 00:40:12,960 time frame you use right obviously have a hard time frame a medium time frame 663 00:40:12,960 --> 00:40:15,839 and then potentially a lower time frame for your execution 664 00:40:15,839 --> 00:40:19,359 so as you guys know for me my hard time frames my 4-hour chart my medium time 665 00:40:19,359 --> 00:40:22,960 frame is my m15 and my lower timeframe execution is the m1 666 00:40:22,960 --> 00:40:26,480 as long as you have your swing ranges correctly mapped on your higher time 667 00:40:26,480 --> 00:40:30,720 frame and your medium time frame so what i mean by that is no matter what what is 668 00:40:30,720 --> 00:40:34,720 going on live market i always have the range that i am currently within mapped 669 00:40:34,720 --> 00:40:38,480 out okay so let's say this was a live market right now i would have 670 00:40:38,480 --> 00:40:41,280 um essentially like my i use the little 671 00:40:41,280 --> 00:40:44,720 dots just to kind of visually see it but i would have my my my swing low and my 672 00:40:44,720 --> 00:40:47,280 swing high and then i know straight away this is the four-hour range we're 673 00:40:47,280 --> 00:40:50,240 playing within okay and that's it and i just know you know that tells me 674 00:40:50,240 --> 00:40:53,680 everything i need to know really i mark out on the most recent pois that i'm 675 00:40:53,680 --> 00:40:56,800 interested in and then i'm waiting for price to either pull back or pay the 676 00:40:56,800 --> 00:41:00,480 continuation and i do the same with m15 i would mark out the range i'm within i 677 00:41:00,480 --> 00:41:04,000 would mark out the the pois the nearest supply or demand zones that i'm 678 00:41:04,000 --> 00:41:07,680 interested in trading within i set my alerts on them and then once the alerts 679 00:41:07,680 --> 00:41:12,640 go off i look to see if my m1h model presents itself and then i look for you 680 00:41:12,640 --> 00:41:16,480 know my technical targets okay and that's it 681 00:41:16,480 --> 00:41:19,520 hopefully yeah i'll leave that there before i run any longer this video going 682 00:41:19,520 --> 00:41:23,839 along longer but hopefully yeah that's a decent way of you guys seeing how to try 683 00:41:23,839 --> 00:41:29,280 and keep things um as simple as possible and just how powerful um this strategy 684 00:41:29,280 --> 00:41:34,480 is now what i would recommend as well is if you go into the um the photon 685 00:41:34,480 --> 00:41:38,079 service and you look at the weekly watches breakdowns and you look at it 686 00:41:38,079 --> 00:41:40,640 for uh i believe well it's for this week 687 00:41:40,640 --> 00:41:45,599 that just happened um so i believe the saturday was the 6th or 7th of november 688 00:41:45,599 --> 00:41:48,160 if you look essentially for the weekly watches breakdown that covered this 689 00:41:48,160 --> 00:41:52,400 week's price action um you know you will see how many high-probability trades 690 00:41:52,400 --> 00:41:55,520 there were each of this week and i think it's a really good uh video to watch for 691 00:41:55,520 --> 00:41:59,040 you guys to see um a recap of kind of all of that but anyway i'll leave it 692 00:41:59,040 --> 00:42:03,480 there see you guys in the next one73576

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