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Okay folks.
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Welcome back to lesson three for the
August, 2017 ICT mentorship content.
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This is short-term top-down
analysis and it's daily.
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The four hour.
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Okay.
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Before I begin to remind you that
of all the concepts I've taught
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you all the varying possibilities
that you can use the information.
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This is my specific approach to it.
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So know that going in that this
is not to press upon you, that
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you only can do it this way.
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It's this, this is how
I use the information.
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I've gone through all this information
myself over the last 20 plus years.
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And this is my personal
approach to doing so.
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So as my trading plan,
if you will, this is it.
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This is how I operate.
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And I've used everything I've done in
the monthly and weekly presentation.
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The two lessons before this
one that is all the work I do.
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I don't do anything additional to that.
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Once I arrive at my high timeframe bias
relative to those first two teachings.
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What you about to see here is all.
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And these next two lessons, this one
and the following one after this for
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intraday top-down I don't want you
to breeze through it, expecting some
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magic, a picture or magic formula.
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Okay.
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It's this my unique approach to doing
it, using all the information I'm
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not applying every possible scenario.
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I'm looking for conditions.
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I'm looking for a stage that I'm
looking to execute in that stage.
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So in other words, I'm looking
for a condition or bias.
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Long-term, I'm looking
for a stage or a setup.
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Did I look for all the time?
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It doesn't deviate.
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Doesn't move all around that and
changing more one day, I'm doing
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this and one day I'm doing that.
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And then once I know that, then I go
into a lower timeframe and they execute
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what that similar pattern in mind.
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So everything is fractal.
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So again, please, don't
take this information.
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You have to only do it this way.
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It's just meant to provide
you what I promised.
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This is exactly how I interpret
price and how I am able to call
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the markets when I'm accurate.
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This is how I'm doing it.
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Now.
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I'm always, uh, unsure just
like anybody else about what
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the outcome is going to be.
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And you've been with me for more than
12 months on a daily, daily basis now.
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And if I force myself to beat
every single trading day, you
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know, in front of the charts with
you or by myself, even, I'm not.
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I have to be selective
on what I'm looking for.
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And hopefully you've learned actually
at the end of all of this teaching,
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that there's a specific time window
that you want to be focusing.
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Trading and speculating only in that
window of opportunity, not trying
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to do every single trading day.
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That's what retail does and smart money.
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Doesn't do that.
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Just look at a long-term timeframe
and you'll see that they're not
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always in their busy, bodying
taking the trades every single day.
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They're waiting for specific setups
conditions and levels that they already
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pre, determined and arrived at for.
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I so the focus of this presentation is
to determine the impact of the daily
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perspective on a given asset or ma
market identify the directional bias
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for the higher timeframe daily chart
classify the PD raised accurately to
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assist in key levels and complete an
institutional analysis only daily basis.
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Okay.
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So once I go into the daily timeframe,
the first thing I'm starting to concern
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myself as what's the smart money doing.
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And because of all the assets that I
trade, they all can be looked upon in
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the form of cot, whether you're trading
the S and P, which I no longer do
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anymore, but you've learned about it.
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This mentorship, you can pull up the
cot data and pull up the last 12 months
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and look at their highest high in this
lowest low in terms of their net holdings.
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And we can get a depiction of whether
they're hedging buying and selling,
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and that's more of an enemy into
short-term basis using CO2 data.
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So I start my perspective from the daily
timeframe zoning in on what the commercial
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traders are dealing to large commercial
hedgers for the market that I'm trading.
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So if it's the bond market, I'm gonna
be looking at the cot data for the
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30 year treasury bond and to get the
highest high and the lowest low in terms
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of the range of their net position.
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Now, it may be a time when
it's above the zero line.
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Like everyone else usually
uses that cot graph.
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It doesn't make a difference to me.
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I create my own zero line by getting
the 12 month high and low, the highest
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high and the lowest low their net
positions and divide that in half.
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And that gives me my new range
and in above it it's bullshit.
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And below it is fair.
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Now again, before we go any further,
it's important to all monthly
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and weekly analysis is carried
over into the daily timeframe.
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That's what lends us to believe there's
going to be a bullish or bearish bias.
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Preferably the daily should confirm it.
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Next thing I look at is open interest.
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And again, if I'm looking at the S and
P or if I'm looking at the bond market
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or currencies before X, I'm going to
go back to the original contract traded
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in the currency futures contract.
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I'm going to refer it
to the open interest.
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I want the insights gleaned
by open interest to either
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support or negate my trade.
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The next thing I consider is institutional
order flow on a daily timeframe.
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So I want to know what the
institutions are doing.
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Am I seeing sponsorship and price action?
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If I'm not, it's probably going to be a
low probability set up or I'm probably
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going to lose money, how to trade.
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So ideally I want to see institutional
sponsorship behind price action, and
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it's seen by institutional order flow.
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The next thing I do is I want to
try to determine what weekly profile
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is most likely going to unfold.
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And I use the economic calendar
to heart start framing this.
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And if I can't arrive at that, I
go with my best, uh, assumptions.
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And if I'm wrong, I refer to the economic.
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Uh, later in the week to correct my
assumptions and I may be a weekly
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profile that works to later half
of the week versus the Monday,
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Tuesday, Wednesday phenomenon.
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I like to work for, for one shot, one.
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Okay, then I'll start looking for
intermarket analysis and I'll start
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looking at the relationships to
correlate a payers or correlated assets.
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So I'm looking for SMT diversions, a
dollar making higher high Euro failing
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to make a lower, low, that type of thing.
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Um, in, in a daily,
going into the four hour.
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Now it starts to mean something and you
can get really dynamic, uh, Confirmations
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to trade ideas by starting to use SMT
from the daily down into the four hour.
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Next day, I'm looking for market structure
and now to start incorporating a heavier
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use of breakers and mitigation blocks.
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And I want to be looking at overall
bullish market structures and bearish
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market structures and maintaining
that overall institutional or.
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While we're creating a larger
degree of market structure swings.
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I'll be looking at the PDA Ray matrix.
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Again, defining the PDA raise
from premium to discount
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using those levels.
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I'm going to calibrate to get
my key price levels that I look
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for a trade setup or entry.
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And by doing so I ended up
eight, eight with a daily bias.
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So at this point, my
daily bias is defined.
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So going through all these steps
leads me to whether I'm going to
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be a buyer or seller and going
through this yourself, you'll see.
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It's going to put you in sync with the
most likely large price range expansion.
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You're not going to get
every move every single day.
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Isn't going to be up when it's bullish and
every single day is going to be down when
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it's bearish, but we're focusing on where
time and price meet when economic drivers.
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It helps, uh, form that weekly
profile that we're expecting.
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It may be a Monday low of the week, or it
may be a Tuesday classic low of the week
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where could be a Wednesday low of the week
where Tuesday falls short of a bi-level we
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were waiting for, but starts to rally and
trips us up and then trades lower again in
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the Wednesday and creating a lower load.
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And that becomes a low of
the week when it's bullish.
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So it was a lot of things.
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He checked that way out.
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Once we arrive at all these components,
we will eventually lead to a specific
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daily bias, and that will be defined
from that higher timeframe banking
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timeframe, where the bank spend spent
most time looking at it's the daily chart.
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So we want to transpose all these
ideas in analysis and levels
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over to our four hour chart.
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Okay.
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So again, I'll begin with
the commercial hedging.
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So in the process of developing an
opinion of smart money and their,
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and their respective actions in
the market, I refer to the last 12
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months of the commercial hedgers
commitment of traders, net holdings.
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Or if that range is very near.
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Or it can't discern from looking at
12 months, I'll go down to six months
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and they'll give me a quarterly, the
quarterly effect where I can see the other
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range that they are working with them.
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But usually I'm going to
adopt the 12 month range.
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So whatever today is, I go
back 12 months from that day.
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And it's always wherever you're looking
at the price right now, go back 12 months
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and you get a dynamic perspective on where
they're at in terms of their hedging.
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Now, what I do is I determine the highest
and the lowest readings in the cot line.
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With the commercials, not anything else,
but just the commercials, not the large
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speculators, just the commercial hedgers.
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And then I visually
divide that range in half.
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Now I consider the net position
bullish if above halfway mark
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of the 12 month range and bears.
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If we're below the halfway
mark at the 12 month range.
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So if I'm below it, I'm going to
be focusing on discounted res and
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looking for scenarios where the
market should expand to the upside
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reaching for some measurable.
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The next thing I'll do is I look
for open interest now prior to
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getting to the daily, I'm not really
concerned about it when we can
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start looking at it in the weekly.
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And I used to do that when I was younger
and get really obsessed about it.
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But really until I get down to the
daily on that we're concerned about.
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So once my analysis takes me into that
timeframe, I consider the use of it.
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So I want to see open interest decline
about 15% or more when price is trading
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at a higher timeframe discount, right?
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This is extremely bullish, especially when
the monthly, weekly, or bullish as well.
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I want to see open interest increase
about 15% or more when price is trading
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at a higher timeframe premium, right?
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And if this occurs, this is extremely
bearish more so if the monthly and weekly
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are calling for lower prices, Now in
between either of the above conditions for
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my personal style of trading open interest
is not considered into my analysis.
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So it either has to meet one of
these two criteria or I'm not
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going to refer to it at all.
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Okay.
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Institutional order flow
now in the monthly and or
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weekly timeframe is bearish.
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I want to see the daily finding
resistance at up-close candles
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on a daily and breaking through
down closed candles on the.
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And this is extremely barest.
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That's going to show us institutions
are in control on the sell side or the
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buy side relative to those conditions.
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00:12:03,280 --> 00:12:05,800
When the monthly and
or weekly timeframe is.
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I want to see the daily finding
support at down close daily candles and
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breaking through up-close daily candles.
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This is extremely bullish.
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The daily order flow is the most
important one to know if you don't
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look at any other timeframe and you
just simply want to disregard weekly
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and monthly, not that I would advise
doing that, but I knew a lot of you
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just for whatever reason, don't want to
look at these higher timeframe charts.
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But if you do not look at them
or refer to them, at least study
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them from an institutional stamp.
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You're really shortchanging yourself
and your analysis increased too
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myopic of a view, but you have
to at least start on the daily.
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If you're not going to go any higher,
at least start all of your analysis on
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a daily chart, because if you don't know
what the daily charts implying in terms
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00:12:49,980 --> 00:12:55,470
of institutional bullish or bearish,
You're playing with a Russian roulette.
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You don't know really what's going
to happen on the lower timeframes
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00:12:58,590 --> 00:13:03,030
and what may look like bullishness
on a four hour, one hour or less may
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00:13:03,030 --> 00:13:06,480
actually just be a setup that gets
you short from daily perspective.
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00:13:06,870 --> 00:13:09,930
So it's very important that we follow
what the institutions are doing
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from a daily chart and hopefully
the monthly and weekly on agreement
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00:13:16,650 --> 00:13:17,010
weekly.
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00:13:18,775 --> 00:13:22,185
When the monthly, weekly, or just
the daily timeframe, if I can't get
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a clue as to what monthly weekly are
doing, maybe they're in consolidation.
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Maybe they're neutral,
maybe they're conflicted.
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Okay.
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Maybe the monthly is expecting a lower and
weekly is not doing anything that would
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00:13:33,324 --> 00:13:37,734
indicate a continuation of that, or hasn't
retraced enough to get in suit with it.
226
00:13:37,885 --> 00:13:42,055
So again, starting with
just a daily timeframe, if.
227
00:13:43,290 --> 00:13:44,880
Calling for a bearish market.
228
00:13:44,969 --> 00:13:48,000
I start looking for scenarios that
might produce specific bears, weekly
229
00:13:48,000 --> 00:13:52,380
profiles now in the monthly and weekly
or just, or just a daily timeframe,
230
00:13:52,380 --> 00:13:53,670
suggest the market is bullish.
231
00:13:53,969 --> 00:13:57,329
I start looking for scenarios that might
produce specific bullish weekly pro.
232
00:13:58,260 --> 00:14:01,980
Now keep in mind a weekly range typically
forms between Tuesday and Thursday.
233
00:14:02,010 --> 00:14:03,870
That's the bulk of the weekly range.
234
00:14:04,470 --> 00:14:07,319
There could be a load of forms on
Monday and it could daily daily around
235
00:14:07,319 --> 00:14:10,949
on Tuesday, and then take off going
through the second portion of Tuesday,
236
00:14:11,250 --> 00:14:14,310
all of Wednesday in the first half of
Thursday, creating the high of the week.
237
00:14:14,310 --> 00:14:15,660
And then Friday could be just retracement.
238
00:14:16,020 --> 00:14:17,790
That's how I internalize the weekly range.
239
00:14:17,790 --> 00:14:22,949
When it's bullish, when it's bearish,
I internalized the Tuesday creating
240
00:14:22,949 --> 00:14:24,390
the high the week and Thursday.
241
00:14:25,170 --> 00:14:29,010
New York open Creek and the low of
the week and Friday and Monday being
242
00:14:29,160 --> 00:14:33,270
just consolidation, portions, or
near the open of a power three type
243
00:14:33,900 --> 00:14:37,170
scenario and Friday being enclosed
for power three for the weekly range.
244
00:14:38,010 --> 00:14:42,930
Isn't always the case, but that's how I
adopt all of my bullshit bear scenarios.
245
00:14:42,960 --> 00:14:46,650
And I start there and I start looking
for the weekly profiles to fit that way.
246
00:14:48,150 --> 00:14:48,780
Unfortunately.
247
00:14:50,200 --> 00:14:55,480
Only asset to us in terms of forecasting,
weekly profiles is the calendar.
248
00:14:56,290 --> 00:15:00,100
So using the calendar and looking
for specific drivers, that's going
249
00:15:00,100 --> 00:15:04,480
to assist you, but there's no cookie
cutter, one fits all approach here.
250
00:15:04,540 --> 00:15:08,080
You can't do it where it
only does it this way.
251
00:15:08,080 --> 00:15:09,010
And can't do it another way.
252
00:15:09,400 --> 00:15:11,950
If it was believe me, I
would love to show you.
253
00:15:11,950 --> 00:15:14,560
And I would be able to show
off and be on the internet
254
00:15:14,560 --> 00:15:16,330
everyday doing it, but I can't.
255
00:15:16,630 --> 00:15:16,990
Okay.
256
00:15:16,990 --> 00:15:18,370
So the limitation is.
257
00:15:19,425 --> 00:15:23,745
We can only do the analysis during
the weekend, before the market starts
258
00:15:24,104 --> 00:15:28,214
and then on Sunday, see where we open
and then watch what trades on Monday.
259
00:15:28,395 --> 00:15:29,895
So that's why I like to sit on my hands.
260
00:15:29,895 --> 00:15:34,305
Usually, uh, in the mentorship I've been
active in Mondays sometimes or watching
261
00:15:34,305 --> 00:15:37,665
the market more closely than I would
normally if I was just trading my own
262
00:15:37,665 --> 00:15:41,655
money and not being in front of anyone,
but I like to see what money does.
263
00:15:41,985 --> 00:15:45,495
I'm willing to give up that Monday, low
the week, because if it's going to go.
264
00:15:46,350 --> 00:15:48,390
Generally Tuesday, it's going
to give me an optimal trade
265
00:15:48,390 --> 00:15:49,740
entry based on Monday's low.
266
00:15:50,130 --> 00:15:53,250
And then I can get in, if not Wednesday,
we'll do it off of Tuesday's low.
267
00:15:53,250 --> 00:15:55,590
So I'm not really concerned
about getting the lowest low.
268
00:15:56,160 --> 00:15:59,190
I just want to get in the meat of
that Tuesday to Thursday before.
269
00:15:59,985 --> 00:16:03,285
So that's th that's like the
bulk of what I'm aiming for.
270
00:16:03,915 --> 00:16:09,465
And if I can get Tuesday's action into
Thursdays, New York open, then I got it.
271
00:16:09,525 --> 00:16:10,545
That's all I'm looking for.
272
00:16:10,755 --> 00:16:13,755
And it doesn't always
unfold like that, obviously.
273
00:16:14,145 --> 00:16:17,895
But for more on weekly profiles, I going
to counsel you to go back to March has
274
00:16:17,895 --> 00:16:21,885
content for details about what weekly
profiles exist and by looking at the
275
00:16:21,885 --> 00:16:25,785
economic calendar, and I can give you the
details in there and which market profile.
276
00:16:26,595 --> 00:16:30,105
For the weekly profile rather, uh,
would unfold or likely own fold.
277
00:16:30,585 --> 00:16:33,314
You use the economic calendar
and the institutional order flow
278
00:16:33,314 --> 00:16:34,515
from the monthly and the weekly.
279
00:16:34,635 --> 00:16:39,495
And now this daily stuff to get in sync
with what may unfold for weekly profile.
280
00:16:39,705 --> 00:16:43,935
And again, you're never going to dial in
and get it accurately every single week.
281
00:16:43,965 --> 00:16:45,555
It doesn't, it doesn't work like that.
282
00:16:45,915 --> 00:16:50,564
But if we can get very close to what
may unfold and focus around the economic
283
00:16:50,564 --> 00:16:52,694
calendars drivers for liquidity run.
284
00:16:53,380 --> 00:16:55,000
All those manipulations.
285
00:16:55,030 --> 00:16:57,790
If we can get in sync with that,
we can anticipate a specific
286
00:16:57,790 --> 00:16:59,560
type of phenomenon occur.
287
00:17:00,189 --> 00:17:04,629
And as long as it's in sync with our, our
higher timeframe condition or bearish or
288
00:17:04,629 --> 00:17:07,940
bullish bias, the setups are stage four.
289
00:17:07,990 --> 00:17:11,260
Entries will be a lot easier to
anticipate using the economic
290
00:17:11,260 --> 00:17:13,060
calendar and forecasting the weekly.
291
00:17:14,085 --> 00:17:16,305
Don't expect the precision to that degree.
292
00:17:16,575 --> 00:17:19,724
I don't know how to get weekly
profiles called every single week.
293
00:17:20,085 --> 00:17:23,534
I have a rough idea of what may unfold
relative to what the economic calendar is.
294
00:17:23,835 --> 00:17:27,675
So on the weekend before the market
even opens up, you see me do usually
295
00:17:27,675 --> 00:17:31,665
one day at a time, the morning
of, or the day of our analysis.
296
00:17:32,145 --> 00:17:33,045
You don't want to do that.
297
00:17:33,315 --> 00:17:34,845
You want to start in the weekend.
298
00:17:35,895 --> 00:17:37,935
Today at the time of this
recording, it's a Saturday.
299
00:17:38,385 --> 00:17:42,135
So what I would like to sit down and do
is look at the economic calendar for the
300
00:17:42,135 --> 00:17:48,015
entire week and see where the drivers are
for the week in terms of what session,
301
00:17:48,195 --> 00:17:52,725
whether it be London or New York, and
what day of the week and see what type
302
00:17:52,725 --> 00:17:56,985
of phenomenon may unfold relative to the
premium raise and discount raise it's in
303
00:17:56,985 --> 00:17:58,785
the marketplace right now, if I'm buried.
304
00:17:59,715 --> 00:18:03,074
And I think that there's going to be
a slow start to the week because the
305
00:18:03,074 --> 00:18:08,385
economic calendars rather quiet until
around Tuesday, New York, open what
306
00:18:08,385 --> 00:18:13,034
guests, what we may end up seeing a
market reversal in the New York, open that
307
00:18:13,034 --> 00:18:14,895
particular day and starts the weekly rain.
308
00:18:15,885 --> 00:18:18,645
So it's a lot of scenarios that
you have to play around with and
309
00:18:18,645 --> 00:18:22,695
I don't have, and I've never been
able to create a systematic approach
310
00:18:22,725 --> 00:18:24,645
for forecasting weekly profiles.
311
00:18:25,125 --> 00:18:28,995
Uh, I just know once the week starts
and I got usually Monday behind
312
00:18:28,995 --> 00:18:34,155
me, I got about a 60% likelihood
that I'll be able to determine if
313
00:18:34,155 --> 00:18:35,355
I had the hard timeframe, right.
314
00:18:35,775 --> 00:18:40,935
What the weekly profile is going to be
the increases if I'm wrong on Tuesday,
315
00:18:40,965 --> 00:18:44,895
because then I know pretty much, it
goes into 70% likelihood and 70%.
316
00:18:45,659 --> 00:18:49,080
Wednesday Thursday and Friday
is a trading left in the week.
317
00:18:49,530 --> 00:18:51,689
I can usually find something
before the Friday's close.
318
00:18:52,050 --> 00:18:55,919
It may not be the whole one shot, one
kill I was looking for, but I can do a
319
00:18:55,949 --> 00:18:59,460
day trade or I can scout the rest of the
weekly range and get, you know, whatever
320
00:18:59,460 --> 00:19:01,500
I'm looking for for a weekly objective.
321
00:19:03,179 --> 00:19:07,889
But the main thing I'd like to focus in on
is that weekly opening that weekly opening
322
00:19:07,889 --> 00:19:14,610
price on Sunday, I start there, but I also
look at the midnight opening price online.
323
00:19:15,525 --> 00:19:19,775
And I take that Monday, midnight open
and I'd take that opening price and I'd
324
00:19:19,775 --> 00:19:25,965
take it across the entire, weekly, every
day, all throughout the entire week.
325
00:19:26,295 --> 00:19:29,475
I'm looking at what we're doing
relative to the opening price.
326
00:19:29,805 --> 00:19:31,395
Monday, midnight, New York.
327
00:19:32,235 --> 00:19:36,705
So I'm disregarding the
entire first portion of the
328
00:19:36,705 --> 00:19:38,745
trading that starts on Sunday.
329
00:19:38,985 --> 00:19:43,365
And I'm looking to exactly when
Monday begins in the states, the U
330
00:19:43,365 --> 00:19:45,645
S at midnight, that opening price.
331
00:19:45,915 --> 00:19:47,955
I use that also for power three as well.
332
00:19:47,955 --> 00:19:50,085
So I use Sundays opening price.
333
00:19:50,475 --> 00:19:54,195
That's our natural
opening to Forex and, or.
334
00:19:55,350 --> 00:19:58,110
I used the Monday opening
price at midnight.
335
00:19:58,560 --> 00:20:03,540
So the opening price at midnight,
Monday, New York time, I use that
336
00:20:03,540 --> 00:20:05,100
for a weekly opening price as well.
337
00:20:05,100 --> 00:20:08,880
And I want to see what price does across
the week relative to that opening price.
338
00:20:09,030 --> 00:20:11,910
So I have two opening prices that
I'm looking at for the weekly
339
00:20:11,910 --> 00:20:16,260
profile, a weekly range, the standard
natural Sunday's opening price.
340
00:20:16,950 --> 00:20:20,610
And then I have midnight
opening or Monday.
341
00:20:20,820 --> 00:20:23,820
So it's midnight in Monday
morning in New York.
342
00:20:25,889 --> 00:20:30,750
As soon as that price is printed, I take
that and I see if we can trade above
343
00:20:30,750 --> 00:20:33,330
it or below it for the weekly range.
344
00:20:34,020 --> 00:20:36,389
And also look for the
same thing for the Sunday.
345
00:20:37,260 --> 00:20:41,760
So Sunday is opening or Monday,
midnight opening price, New York time.
346
00:20:42,899 --> 00:20:44,610
I want to see if I'm bullish.
347
00:20:45,300 --> 00:20:48,419
Preferably I want to see
price go down below those.
348
00:20:49,395 --> 00:20:53,564
And seek some kind of a discount rate,
or if I'm bearish relative to hearts,
349
00:20:53,574 --> 00:20:57,495
I think monthly and weekly, if I'm
expecting lower prices, I want to see
350
00:20:57,495 --> 00:21:02,324
price trade up above both of those
prices or at least one of them that makes
351
00:21:02,324 --> 00:21:04,395
sense in terms of discount to premium.
352
00:21:05,235 --> 00:21:09,584
So if it gets up to a premium array
above that opening price relative
353
00:21:09,584 --> 00:21:14,385
to some of these natural opening or
midnight in New York, Monday morning,
354
00:21:14,385 --> 00:21:15,945
where the opening price is printed.
355
00:21:17,294 --> 00:21:20,504
Easiest way to do it is get an
hourly chart open and whatever the
356
00:21:20,504 --> 00:21:24,375
opening price is on the hourly at
midnight Monday, for whatever pair or
357
00:21:24,375 --> 00:21:27,405
market you're looking at, that's the
opening price I use for the weekly.
358
00:21:31,170 --> 00:21:31,350
Okay.
359
00:21:31,350 --> 00:21:34,290
And then I look for SMT divergence
and I started using intermarket
360
00:21:34,290 --> 00:21:38,670
analysis, as I explained in previous,
uh, first two lessons here for this
361
00:21:38,670 --> 00:21:41,760
month, but I'm really specifically
looking for SMT, that words to
362
00:21:41,760 --> 00:21:43,830
confirm an opinion I have on price.
363
00:21:44,310 --> 00:21:48,780
Now, if I'm bullish, obviously, uh, the
cable and I want to be seeing either
364
00:21:48,780 --> 00:21:50,490
a higher, low, when the dollar makes.
365
00:21:51,764 --> 00:21:55,754
Higher high, or I want to see a
failed higher high in a dollar when
366
00:21:56,175 --> 00:22:01,155
the cable has made a lower load, that
could be a liquidity run for cell
367
00:22:01,155 --> 00:22:02,804
stops and then a turtle soup long.
368
00:22:03,104 --> 00:22:06,735
So I'm looking for SMT divergence, uh,
at this point from daily going into the
369
00:22:06,735 --> 00:22:11,564
four hour, because I think that's where
the heart of its effectiveness exists.
370
00:22:14,584 --> 00:22:14,764
Okay.
371
00:22:14,764 --> 00:22:16,504
Then I define the
current market structure.
372
00:22:16,504 --> 00:22:18,814
Again, like I've mentioned
in the first two lessons.
373
00:22:19,514 --> 00:22:24,915
But I'm looking for breakers on a daily
timeframe, more than any other cause
374
00:22:24,945 --> 00:22:29,804
knowing this and where they exist in
price action on a daily, they can alert
375
00:22:29,804 --> 00:22:32,685
you to where the next intermediate
term price swings going to form.
376
00:22:33,435 --> 00:22:38,294
So if you go through price action, and
you look at how price trades from bullish
377
00:22:38,294 --> 00:22:41,564
breaker to bear Spreaker, there's a lot
of movement generally, between those.
378
00:22:42,465 --> 00:22:43,245
Reference points.
379
00:22:43,485 --> 00:22:44,655
It's the meat in the middle.
380
00:22:44,685 --> 00:22:47,745
That's where the, the bulk of
the trading opportunities exist.
381
00:22:48,195 --> 00:22:51,855
You don't have to get the highest high
right before a bear Spreaker forums.
382
00:22:52,395 --> 00:22:56,715
You may not get to those types of trades
right now, but focus in on a daily
383
00:22:56,775 --> 00:23:00,285
bullish and bear Spreakers and trade
in between those two price points.
384
00:23:00,615 --> 00:23:04,065
And what you'll end up seeing is
it's very easy to find setups in that
385
00:23:04,065 --> 00:23:05,835
because it's directionally based.
386
00:23:06,105 --> 00:23:08,525
It's slanted on one side of the
marketplace, it's usually one way.
387
00:23:09,570 --> 00:23:11,580
And it's easy to wait for
power, three scenarios.
388
00:23:11,580 --> 00:23:15,840
Like when you're bearish look for the
open, the rally up for Judas swings,
389
00:23:16,260 --> 00:23:19,620
self short, and London and expansion
down into New York and dilemmas.
390
00:23:20,340 --> 00:23:20,820
Reversed.
391
00:23:20,850 --> 00:23:24,990
If it's been trading off of a bullish
breaker on the daily, and we can
392
00:23:24,990 --> 00:23:29,010
start seeing the, uh, the daily
timeframe, see an open trade down
393
00:23:29,070 --> 00:23:33,000
in London for Judas swing and then
rally up going into New York clothes
394
00:23:33,179 --> 00:23:34,620
or London clothes for the day.
395
00:23:35,070 --> 00:23:36,689
So it gives us a lot of context.
396
00:23:36,689 --> 00:23:39,210
If you operate just in news parameters.
397
00:23:39,510 --> 00:23:42,629
Now, obviously there's a lot of other
trades you can take, but for training
398
00:23:42,629 --> 00:23:46,889
wheels purposes, only if you start there
looking at your conditions like that,
399
00:23:47,250 --> 00:23:49,590
you'll see that you're trading many times
in the right side of the institutional.
400
00:23:53,785 --> 00:23:57,475
Then I go through the daily and
work my way through the four hour
401
00:23:57,865 --> 00:24:02,305
doing the PD array, matrix note,
all the discount and premium arrays.
402
00:24:03,565 --> 00:24:08,065
And again, not every single,
but Ray is going to exist.
403
00:24:08,455 --> 00:24:10,465
You may not get a fair
value gap or liquidity void.
404
00:24:10,535 --> 00:24:13,165
There may not be a mitigation
block, but the ones that are
405
00:24:13,165 --> 00:24:14,395
there, you highlight them.
406
00:24:14,755 --> 00:24:14,995
Okay.
407
00:24:14,995 --> 00:24:16,135
Because when price meets.
408
00:24:17,360 --> 00:24:21,679
And also we start looking at other things
in the next lesson for deviations, you get
409
00:24:21,679 --> 00:24:25,699
a confluence of different things that you
can take trades on, but we have to know
410
00:24:25,699 --> 00:24:27,139
what the premium and discount rates are.
411
00:24:27,590 --> 00:24:29,870
Otherwise, you're not going to be
able to calibrate your key levels
412
00:24:29,990 --> 00:24:33,350
for where the trades actually
reach for, for entry or exits.
413
00:24:37,030 --> 00:24:40,179
And then finally, obviously if we've
already gone through the work of doing
414
00:24:40,179 --> 00:24:44,350
a PDA right matrix, knowing what's above
us in terms of where price may reach and
415
00:24:44,350 --> 00:24:45,850
what's below us in terms of where pricing.
416
00:24:47,250 --> 00:24:51,389
We calibrate those levels to the
nearest 10 or nearest five level.
417
00:24:51,840 --> 00:24:54,750
And I've already went through
this slide many times already
418
00:24:55,080 --> 00:24:56,580
in the two previous teaching.
419
00:24:56,580 --> 00:25:00,300
So I'm not going to belabor you with
it the long and short of it is you
420
00:25:00,300 --> 00:25:03,870
want to calibrate those levels around
the PDA race in terms of premium and.
421
00:25:07,690 --> 00:25:12,040
Now you're going to end with what
will arrive at your daily bias.
422
00:25:12,460 --> 00:25:13,270
I get questioned a lot.
423
00:25:13,270 --> 00:25:15,250
How do you know what the
daily bias is going to be?
424
00:25:15,730 --> 00:25:20,830
I think what the natural assumption
is when I say the daily bias, when I
425
00:25:20,830 --> 00:25:25,150
know what the daily bias is based on
my analysis, everyone, especially those
426
00:25:25,150 --> 00:25:26,470
that are outside our mentorship group.
427
00:25:26,920 --> 00:25:29,770
Uh, they assume that if I'm bullish,
I'm buying every single day and
428
00:25:29,770 --> 00:25:31,900
that's where retail thinking comes in.
429
00:25:33,400 --> 00:25:36,640
If we're bullish on a market, doesn't
mean that we buy every single day.
430
00:25:36,670 --> 00:25:41,620
It has to come to some measure of a
discount array at a specific time of day.
431
00:25:42,070 --> 00:25:45,610
It has to do this many times
with the manipulation aspect
432
00:25:45,760 --> 00:25:47,260
by the economic calendar.
433
00:25:47,650 --> 00:25:50,470
It doesn't need to, but it's
usually better if it does.
434
00:25:50,470 --> 00:25:54,490
So, so now if we have blended all
the elements that we've learned
435
00:25:54,490 --> 00:25:57,910
so far up to this point, all the
way through the mentorship to now.
436
00:25:59,264 --> 00:26:02,294
You will know how to find
and determine the daily bias.
437
00:26:02,504 --> 00:26:04,814
And again, just because we're
bullish doesn't mean we're buying
438
00:26:04,814 --> 00:26:06,165
every day because we're bears.
439
00:26:06,165 --> 00:26:07,395
We don't sell every day.
440
00:26:07,935 --> 00:26:12,195
We are still waiting for conditions
to meet that expectation.
441
00:26:12,885 --> 00:26:14,625
If we're bullish, we're waiting
for discounted rates to be
442
00:26:14,625 --> 00:26:16,455
traded to, and then execution.
443
00:26:16,455 --> 00:26:20,445
But we go along when we're bearish, we
wait for premium erased to be tagged
444
00:26:20,504 --> 00:26:21,915
during a specific time of the day.
445
00:26:22,125 --> 00:26:23,415
So we have time and price meeting.
446
00:26:23,564 --> 00:26:25,544
And when that happens, boom, we execute.
447
00:26:26,534 --> 00:26:31,094
So after referring to commercial hedging
considerations and referring to open
448
00:26:31,094 --> 00:26:35,264
interest, determining institutional order
flow on a daily, going into the four hour
449
00:26:36,074 --> 00:26:38,385
anticipating specific weekly profiles.
450
00:26:39,524 --> 00:26:41,774
And again, I'm going to count you to
go back to March is content because it
451
00:26:41,774 --> 00:26:45,165
helps you arrive at what those profiles
specifically are, because there's so
452
00:26:45,165 --> 00:26:49,064
many variables I could literally make
this volume or this introduction to.
453
00:26:49,980 --> 00:26:53,760
Uh, moving daily into the four hour,
I can make a six to seven hour video
454
00:26:54,060 --> 00:26:58,320
and it would inundate you with more
information that's really necessary
455
00:26:58,710 --> 00:27:03,210
because all of this has to be learned by
you going in and looking for it, but use
456
00:27:03,210 --> 00:27:06,629
the information I provided in the March
content, where I taught weekly profiles
457
00:27:07,679 --> 00:27:10,649
and you'll know what the parameters are
based on all the things you've learned
458
00:27:10,679 --> 00:27:16,500
so far, confirm the analysis with market
correlation and intermarket analysis,
459
00:27:16,860 --> 00:27:18,750
specifically, looking for SMT divergent.
460
00:27:20,400 --> 00:27:23,040
Selecting it portion of market
structure to frame a trade in.
461
00:27:23,280 --> 00:27:25,470
So I'm looking at where we
are in terms of the range.
462
00:27:26,100 --> 00:27:30,090
And I defined a PDA res inside
that range to arrive at key levels.
463
00:27:30,750 --> 00:27:33,840
And once I've done this, what
I have ultimately have arrived
464
00:27:33,840 --> 00:27:37,260
at is a directional based
analysis on a daily timeframe.
465
00:27:37,530 --> 00:27:40,290
And then I take that and I transpose
that to the four hour chart.
466
00:27:40,380 --> 00:27:44,340
So now I have not provided you any charts.
467
00:27:44,550 --> 00:27:46,290
I've not given you any kind of.
468
00:27:47,160 --> 00:27:48,090
Hand-holding here.
469
00:27:48,420 --> 00:27:51,450
And the reason why I've said this
from the beginning, the PDs are
470
00:27:51,450 --> 00:27:55,290
not going to do anything for anyone
that hasn't gone through every
471
00:27:55,290 --> 00:27:56,610
single month for the content.
472
00:27:57,000 --> 00:27:58,800
You've got to go through
each individual study.
473
00:27:58,830 --> 00:28:02,850
You got to go through each individual
presentation and learn and study it.
474
00:28:03,270 --> 00:28:06,570
Now already know what's
going to happen right now.
475
00:28:06,600 --> 00:28:08,750
If I were not continue
and give you the next.
476
00:28:09,840 --> 00:28:14,490
And I said, okay, here's the,
here's the, uh, thread in our forum.
477
00:28:14,500 --> 00:28:16,950
Start asking me questions for
things that you're stuck on.
478
00:28:17,490 --> 00:28:20,460
You're going to ask me, can you
have a one-on-one session with me?
479
00:28:21,030 --> 00:28:22,230
Can you help me do this?
480
00:28:22,230 --> 00:28:25,020
I'm still unsure about this and I'm not
sure, you know, the reason why you're
481
00:28:25,020 --> 00:28:28,770
doing that is because you want me to
take you by the hand and literally
482
00:28:28,770 --> 00:28:34,350
take you to the point of understanding
what I can't do without you doing
483
00:28:34,350 --> 00:28:37,500
all this type of analysis, religious.
484
00:28:39,105 --> 00:28:40,725
That's the only way
you're going to get it.
485
00:28:41,145 --> 00:28:42,254
And that's why it's expensive.
486
00:28:42,254 --> 00:28:43,395
It takes time.
487
00:28:44,054 --> 00:28:48,195
Now in the next lesson, I'm actually
going to give you my pet trading patterns.
488
00:28:48,284 --> 00:28:49,935
This is exactly what I trade.
489
00:28:50,085 --> 00:28:51,585
I don't do anything else.
490
00:28:51,675 --> 00:28:55,155
There's a lot of other ways to trade,
but I'm going to tell you exactly
491
00:28:55,274 --> 00:28:57,435
what I do when I trade with my money.
492
00:28:57,764 --> 00:29:02,445
When I trade with the analysis
behind me, all those ideas.
493
00:29:02,685 --> 00:29:02,955
Okay.
494
00:29:02,955 --> 00:29:04,125
That I use when I do.
495
00:29:06,180 --> 00:29:07,080
Detailed analysis.
496
00:29:07,080 --> 00:29:09,180
When I think it's going
to be a really strong run.
497
00:29:09,390 --> 00:29:13,020
If I say this is going to be a low
resistance liquidity run, or if I say
498
00:29:13,020 --> 00:29:16,890
this is a high probability condition
or set up, that's not an invitation
499
00:29:16,890 --> 00:29:17,850
for you to put money into it.
500
00:29:17,910 --> 00:29:23,280
It's not an invitation for you to mimic
me or copy me, but it is a condition
501
00:29:23,280 --> 00:29:27,900
where I have arrived at the highest
level of an opinion based on what
502
00:29:27,900 --> 00:29:29,400
I've done in terms of my analysis.
503
00:29:29,400 --> 00:29:30,120
And I still could be very.
504
00:29:31,080 --> 00:29:35,090
And you've seen me do that because I've
been with the every single day and I
505
00:29:35,250 --> 00:29:39,510
use the expression, a low resistance
liquidity run, and I think two or
506
00:29:39,510 --> 00:29:41,400
three of them have not paying down.
507
00:29:41,850 --> 00:29:42,510
And that's fine.
508
00:29:43,050 --> 00:29:46,050
That's absolutely fine because it's
going to happen to you as well.
509
00:29:46,080 --> 00:29:48,270
You're going to read it wrong
or the market's just simply not
510
00:29:48,270 --> 00:29:51,090
going to perform like you expected
or it's going to do nothing.
511
00:29:51,810 --> 00:29:52,110
Okay.
512
00:29:52,110 --> 00:29:53,460
So you're, there's always a.
513
00:29:54,660 --> 00:29:57,629
On the roulette table, we can be
betting on black and red comes
514
00:29:57,629 --> 00:30:01,440
up or, you know, we can put red
and black on and green comes up.
515
00:30:01,770 --> 00:30:03,090
There's no way around getting it.
516
00:30:03,120 --> 00:30:03,330
Okay.
517
00:30:03,330 --> 00:30:06,990
You're going to get, you're going to get
lost somewhere and don't be fearful of it.
518
00:30:07,879 --> 00:30:15,030
Long as short use these ideas to come
down from a top down using all the
519
00:30:15,030 --> 00:30:18,060
information, not taught you specifically
because every one of these things
520
00:30:18,060 --> 00:30:23,340
I've taught in a mentorship in greater
detail with more specifics behind it.
521
00:30:24,935 --> 00:30:31,295
If you do not watch the videos that
accompany the live sessions and start
522
00:30:31,295 --> 00:30:34,625
blending in some of the things I tuck
in terms of the commentary, because I
523
00:30:34,625 --> 00:30:37,715
already know what's going to happen is
this, some goober is going to try to play
524
00:30:37,715 --> 00:30:44,505
Robin hood and make this content available
to somebody else or, or, or the public.
525
00:30:45,135 --> 00:30:50,745
And I will do everything I can to
find out who you are, but I have
526
00:30:50,745 --> 00:30:52,295
to create the content with that.
527
00:30:53,175 --> 00:30:59,565
So it requires a lot of work on your part
still because a PDF file you shared like
528
00:30:59,565 --> 00:31:02,085
this, could it be helpful to somebody?
529
00:31:02,325 --> 00:31:02,715
Yeah.
530
00:31:02,745 --> 00:31:04,935
A little bit, but you're not going to
know everything by going through it
531
00:31:05,385 --> 00:31:09,585
because there's a lot of things that you
need to understand that are conceptually
532
00:31:09,825 --> 00:31:12,135
explained in previous teachings.
533
00:31:12,135 --> 00:31:15,915
A lot of it's inside the commentary
during the live sessions, a lot of you
534
00:31:15,915 --> 00:31:17,595
just had an epiphany about market pro.
535
00:31:19,139 --> 00:31:22,710
A lot of you had a discovery
about market maker, buy profiles
536
00:31:22,950 --> 00:31:24,720
and sell profiles just the week.
537
00:31:24,720 --> 00:31:29,760
Just this past week, we've done a live
sessions in, I've got about 30 different
538
00:31:29,790 --> 00:31:33,870
emails from people that said, I understand
how the fine market maker by profile.
539
00:31:35,139 --> 00:31:36,129
It made it click.
540
00:31:36,139 --> 00:31:39,850
Now I finally got it and I haven't
really said anything new it's just
541
00:31:39,850 --> 00:31:42,639
because you've gone through all
the mentorship type teachings.
542
00:31:42,879 --> 00:31:47,260
And now you're employing the PD
res because that's what I told you.
543
00:31:47,320 --> 00:31:48,520
That's the missing element.
544
00:31:48,820 --> 00:31:52,780
The thing that nobody understands
how to use with the ICT concepts
545
00:31:53,100 --> 00:31:54,310
and the free tutorials and stuff.
546
00:31:54,700 --> 00:31:58,810
It's the PD rate matrix where we are
in terms of that premium and discount
547
00:31:58,810 --> 00:32:02,200
array and which levels are going to
be there because remember it, look
548
00:32:02,200 --> 00:32:03,639
at everybody asks the same question.
549
00:32:04,365 --> 00:32:05,565
Which order block do I buy?
550
00:32:06,405 --> 00:32:09,615
Which 1:00 AM I looking at all
that's answered with the PDA matrix.
551
00:32:10,335 --> 00:32:13,485
You have to work on a higher
timeframe down and in this time,
50523
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