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Okay.
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Uh, first of all, thank you very much.
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Uh, welcome back to new week Monday.
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Thank you for your patience.
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Allow me to take care of my son's, uh,
personal issues that we had to tend to
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as a family we're back local in Maryland.
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So we will have to go again in about six
weeks to have a, another procedure done.
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Um, they gave us a machine that
he has to wear when he sleep.
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I'm not sure how he's gonna sleep
with this thing, but he they're being,
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he's being treated for sleep apnea.
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And, uh, he has some sleep disorders,
so we have to get it resolved.
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The, uh, the weekend was very,
very, very stressful for me.
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Okay.
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Very stressful.
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Um, because obviously we have about
four people from our group that have
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left either by way of, uh, you know,
their own choosing or because of.
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Non-payment they were rejected.
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So there's been a lot of drama,
Israel as a result of that.
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And it's the same for people.
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And I think they've started
a campaign online, whatever.
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So while I was away, I wasn't going
to have the time to be able to keep
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everyone abreast as to what's going on.
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And, um, you know, I'm a father first,
so I'd take care of that first, but now
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that's out of the way I can come back
and talk candidly with everyone again.
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So my concern was is that a lot of you
were seeing some of the things that were
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being said about me or pictures that
supposedly are of me, and they're not, um,
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it's a lot of drama that's being pushed
by people and you know, I'm sure some of
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it is meant to be fine, but some of them
that take it out of, you know, completely
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and totally different direction.
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And they have been harassing my
family members, trying to find
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information about where I really live.
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You know what I look like all that
old business and trying to get
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pictures of my wife and my children.
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So this is something I had to go
through when I was at America online
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and why I don't share my stuff.
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I don't share pictures,
you know, inside my house.
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I don't share pictures of me.
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Um, except for the one I showed you
at the beginning of this mentor ship.
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So, um, I've been stopped before and
now it's gone to a really weird level.
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So, um, my wife and I spoke, uh,
extensively, uh, being in the car with
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her for a number of hours, um, kind of
like forces that communication factor,
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you know, it was uncomfortable, you
know, 45 minutes or so in the beginning.
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And I finally, she just broke out and
said, look, you know, we gotta talk
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about, you know, what's going on because
you know, her family members are being
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poked and prodded and, and, you know,
Hey, you know, where is Michael and
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Melissa live and all the other business.
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It's got, it's got to come to a head
and it has, so I want to bring you up
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to speed about how I'm gonna handle my
cell phone, social media for now on.
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Um, there won't be any social media by me.
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Um, I I've been basically told by
my wife look, you know, she doesn't
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want to be worrying about it.
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And it's a little embarrassing for her to
have to answer to her friends and family
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about why folks that are interested in
me and want to know what they're doing.
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So I've already killed
my free Twitter today.
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I'm killing the mentorship.
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Twitter.
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It's not necessary.
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It's not needed.
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Everything goes through
the form and email.
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So the way you contact me or
speak to me is through email
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inner circle trader@gmail.com.
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That hasn't changed.
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It's always been constant.
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Uh, there's really no,
there's no need for Twitter.
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The only thing that's been going
on is folks will ask questions
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or share charts or do something.
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And in various.
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Either it upsets me or concerns me
because all it does is provide a
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stage for folks that are outside of
mentorship to you to do whatever.
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And you're all being followed by
people that want to know what you're
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going to say or, you know, and
that's really what it boils down to.
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So Twitter is not necessary.
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So I'll be adjusting the terms of
use stating that there won't be any
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use for ICT underscore mentorship.
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So, um, there's no, there's no worrisome,
uh, thing for you to worry about, about
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not having social media, Twitter access
to me, you have a direct link to me.
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You all have my phone number.
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Okay.
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Uh, folks outside the, uh, the mentorship
they all have that you can literally,
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and you can send me text messages.
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If you need a quick response to
something, and I'm not gonna have
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numbers in all of your PayPal receipts.
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That's a direct cell phone number.
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I carry that cell with me everywhere I go.
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Some of you were texting me
while I was away and Sharon
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concerns for me and my family.
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And I greatly appreciate that.
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Thank you for very much for that.
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Uh, social media as it is for
me, you know, ICT or Michael or
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wherever you want to, uh, you know,
the whole image thing that's done.
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So I'm only going to be working inside
the mentorship, forum and email.
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So the, uh,
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the issue of what the, what the
content, um, my number one goal
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is for you to be empowered.
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I want you to be in insight, insightfully,
uh, taught the things that I know.
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And if you don't want to be here,
obviously, no one's keeping you here,
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but I want you to want to be here.
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Okay.
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So one of the things I talked about
with my wife, I said, well, you know,
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right now the markets are acting really.
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And she never, she's never
understood the market and she's
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never understood how I do what I do.
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She never understood
the fascination with it.
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She just doesn't know how it works.
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She's thankful that money
comes in, but she's completely
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oblivious of how it works.
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So what I'm concerned about.
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Okay.
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And, um, I kind of like told my wife.
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I said, I think about this for a minute.
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You say you and I subscribed
to a guy on the internet.
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Okay.
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And yes, you've seen where I've been.
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Right.
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But recently everything I've been
picking is pretty much wrong.
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And I've said to you that the market
conditions are not aligned for me to work
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as I would normally work, but you're in
a mentorship and you're being expected
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to pay and you're getting blessings,
but I can't really fruitfully apply
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them in the market as I would, if I was
trading with live funds and pushing it.
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So I told him, I said, look, I gotta
be, I gotta be fair with these people
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because I would want this done to me.
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Number one, Yeah.
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I thought that was going to have
a lot more backlash because of all
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the stuff that was going online.
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But I've only had really just two
people and it's ones that already tried
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to get their money back before, and
they're trying a different approach.
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So either one, you haven't done it
yet, or I'm probably exaggerating
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me and my concerns about it.
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So here's what I thought.
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And I'll leave it up to you as the
community to tell me what you want to do.
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Cause I'm flexible either way.
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I told my wife, I said, look, the markets
are really screwed up right now and I'm
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confident this fall it'll smooth out.
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And she and I had talked that she's
looking at, you need to wrap this up.
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Can you get back into the family?
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And you know, this has gotta be it.
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So I committed to her that
September when we finished that
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month, you know, that was it.
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And I would be periodically once a
week just touching base with her.
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And she thought that was fair.
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But I try to explain to her in our hour
conversation just about the market and how
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it has to be in aligned for certain things
at work to make it high probability, as
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best as I could for her to understand it.
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She and I agreed that if you all
were comfortable, because I gave
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him, I'm giving you a lot of content
and we're going to new content every
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month, you get into lessons and
you're not really getting a sink too
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much of it applied to there's a gap.
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And it would be unfair
for me as a merchant.
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It would be unfair to me as a me to be a
teacher, expecting you to understand it
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fruitfully without really going through
it and having a market environment
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that builds that understanding.
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Because once you see it one time applied
it, then it's, it's like riding a
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bike, but we don't have that right now.
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And it's frustrating for me as
a teacher, because I need that
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to see this stuff be applied.
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And then once you see it, you'll have
experience with it and you'll know exactly
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what you're supposed to do with it.
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So I don't think it's fair.
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Yeah, this has be real
honest with one another.
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I don't think it's fair for me
to ask you to pay me when I can't
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really apply it in the market
environments for the last couple of
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weeks, you know, the last two months.
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So she and I discussed it.
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I said, look, would you be willing if
the community will greet to this now I'm
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not saying it's going to be this way.
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I'm not saying it's not
going to be this way.
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I'm going to let them as a collective
whole determine what we're going to
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do, because I have to make changes to
the terms of use to make this happen.
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And if I can avoid it, I'll certainly
do whatever I can to not, not have to do
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it, but I'm willing to listen to you as
a community because you're paying for me.
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You're trusting me.
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And I don't want to Mar that trust.
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I think it's, it's, it's
very hard to earn trust.
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And I've been honest
with everyone in here.
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You all hear everything that's truthful.
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I don't exaggerate anything in here.
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I don't show you anything.
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It's not truthful.
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You see when I'm right and
you see when I'm wrong.
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And I tell you what it is.
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High probability and it is what it is.
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So when I asked my wife, I said, look,
would you be willing to be more flexible
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with me and allowing this project to
go into the end of November, should it
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need to and analysis the reason why I
said this, there's a lot of questions
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that some of you have that are dirty.
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They're realistic.
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They're not out of the norm, but some
of you are asking questions that I can't
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really give you responses to because I
can't apply it to the market right now.
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And I know that's what you're
wanting and guess what that's
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exactly what you should be expecting.
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And I can't apply it to present
market conditions because it's
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doing whatever it wants to do and
everything's going opposite directions.
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So there's no market cemetery.
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So when there's a lack of sub-market
symmetry, that's number one, what we need
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that to have high profit high probability.
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So if there's a lack of high probability
conditions, I can't literally sit down and
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say, okay, here's what you're going to do.
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And this is how it works and it's easy.
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And there it is.
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Because we don't have that condition
right now, I would be willing to spend
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the next three months, June, July,
and August, going into greater detail
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with what's already been taught.
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You do not pay for any of that.
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Okay.
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You don't pay for any of that.
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And then after that, when we get to
September, when we have typically
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seasonally, September, October, November,
they're really good months, but the
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last half of November really isn't, but
they're generally really good months.
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Plus it'll, it'll have the opportunity
for us to sit down and we'll be able to
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outline the entire final quarter of the
year, which I was going to do anyway,
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but we'll be at work with it and you
will see me doing it in better market
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conditions and that's what's been lacking.
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So it would be, it would be wonderful
for me to be, uh, you know, to sit back
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here at collecting your money and say,
you know, here's your lessons and good
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00:11:17,880 --> 00:11:20,100
luck and hope you find it in the future.
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But I don't, I don't feel right.
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As a person, I don't feel
right doing it as a teacher.
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I don't feel like knowing it.
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And as now, as I've learned as a merchant
to be completely satisfied as if I was
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the buyer, I would really appreciate that.
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Now, some of you that aren't going to
want to do this, already know this,
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you're not going to want to do it.
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You're going to stay,
stick to the schedule.
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Mike let's get done, you know, and I
understand that some of you all want
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to do it, you know, in a weekend.
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00:11:46,830 --> 00:11:52,530
And I can't do that either, but a lot
of you have questions that are best
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answered with applied use of that content.
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00:11:56,160 --> 00:11:59,070
And because of the conditions in the
marketplace right now, I've not been
229
00:11:59,070 --> 00:12:00,600
able to, and this is real world.
230
00:12:00,930 --> 00:12:04,320
You can't, you cannot force it to happen.
231
00:12:04,500 --> 00:12:07,050
So I can't just say, because
I understand the sound sip.
232
00:12:07,080 --> 00:12:08,280
I know I've used it.
233
00:12:08,580 --> 00:12:10,920
I'm going to force it to the marketplace
and the market's going to bend to my will.
234
00:12:11,925 --> 00:12:12,945
I, it doesn't work that way.
235
00:12:13,335 --> 00:12:16,275
And some of you are so new
that you can't appreciate that.
236
00:12:16,695 --> 00:12:20,955
So it's a big chasm between
your understanding presently
237
00:12:21,435 --> 00:12:22,905
and what you need to understand.
238
00:12:23,145 --> 00:12:27,675
And it's going to sound to some of you
like it's smoke and mirrors, but it's not.
239
00:12:27,675 --> 00:12:29,685
I'm being legitimately honest with you.
240
00:12:29,685 --> 00:12:33,435
I'm telling you everything upfront
and explain why it's not working.
241
00:12:34,005 --> 00:12:36,945
You see it once in a while
works, you know, last week we
242
00:12:36,945 --> 00:12:39,075
had an Aldi, it was two to PIP.
243
00:12:39,375 --> 00:12:43,185
It went right up to the, to the level
at 74 30 and dropped right off of that.
244
00:12:44,595 --> 00:12:46,875
It went down and closed a
fair, a fair bag up on a daily.
245
00:12:47,775 --> 00:12:49,455
That's not normal.
246
00:12:49,485 --> 00:12:52,335
That's not normal to see
inconsistency like that.
247
00:12:52,335 --> 00:12:57,915
For me, I, I thrive in news environments
where it's highly lucrative to get in and
248
00:12:57,915 --> 00:13:00,015
out, and the markets are moving one way.
249
00:13:00,255 --> 00:13:02,625
It's is symmetrical
nothing to worry about.
250
00:13:04,470 --> 00:13:06,000
I'm not going to talk
any more about it now.
251
00:13:06,150 --> 00:13:09,150
Um, he pretty much got
what I propose to you.
252
00:13:09,630 --> 00:13:11,640
I'm going to put a post
on the forum, okay.
253
00:13:11,640 --> 00:13:12,480
In the may thread.
254
00:13:12,780 --> 00:13:13,110
Okay.
255
00:13:13,110 --> 00:13:14,280
And you guys can vote on it.
256
00:13:15,120 --> 00:13:16,530
Um, you decide how it is.
257
00:13:16,530 --> 00:13:19,860
Majority is going to win and
you know, it is what it is.
258
00:13:20,610 --> 00:13:21,900
I want you to be satisfied.
259
00:13:22,710 --> 00:13:25,170
I don't want you to feel like number one.
260
00:13:25,170 --> 00:13:25,680
I don't care.
261
00:13:25,680 --> 00:13:26,670
Cause I absolutely care.
262
00:13:27,360 --> 00:13:30,600
I want this to be fruitful for you.
263
00:13:30,840 --> 00:13:33,180
And I want it to be a
good experience for me.
264
00:13:33,180 --> 00:13:34,470
Cause I want, I want your feedback.
265
00:13:34,500 --> 00:13:39,390
When this mentorship ends, I'm looking
for continuous feedback from you on
266
00:13:39,990 --> 00:13:42,810
what you're doing with it, how you're
succeeding with it, what you're doing
267
00:13:42,810 --> 00:13:44,370
with your, your profits, all that.
268
00:13:44,550 --> 00:13:45,750
I want to know what you're doing with it.
269
00:13:46,140 --> 00:13:49,890
I don't ever want to see anyone feel like
number one, that I've scammed anyone.
270
00:13:49,890 --> 00:13:58,950
I don't believe I've ever done anything
with B Sittard scamming the, uh, the level
271
00:13:58,950 --> 00:14:01,170
of energy that takes to do this stuff.
272
00:14:02,130 --> 00:14:02,760
It's a lot.
273
00:14:03,510 --> 00:14:06,030
It doesn't seem like it because
you're just watching a video
274
00:14:06,030 --> 00:14:08,730
sometimes, but there's a lot of
stuff that's going on behind the
275
00:14:08,730 --> 00:14:10,170
scenes and a lot of involvement.
276
00:14:10,500 --> 00:14:13,680
And I told my wife, I said, right now
I'm running a business and I've asked
277
00:14:13,680 --> 00:14:16,560
them all to allow me to be a real person.
278
00:14:16,560 --> 00:14:20,070
And some people just don't
think that that's possible.
279
00:14:20,550 --> 00:14:24,750
Like you think I'm a, you know,
automated artificial intelligence.
280
00:14:24,750 --> 00:14:27,630
Like I don't have a family and I don't
have real things going on in the world.
281
00:14:28,290 --> 00:14:34,770
But some individuals recently have
upset my family, not, not me so much.
282
00:14:34,770 --> 00:14:36,300
Cause I don't, they don't
know where I live at.
283
00:14:36,300 --> 00:14:39,660
They don't know anything about where
I'm at or anything, but my wife is
284
00:14:39,660 --> 00:14:41,700
concerned and I have to respect that.
285
00:14:41,850 --> 00:14:46,890
So I've asked a lot of my wife, you
know, over the weekend and she's in
286
00:14:46,890 --> 00:14:51,300
agreement with the, the alternative
where we spend the next three months.
287
00:14:51,330 --> 00:14:52,200
You don't pay.
288
00:14:53,010 --> 00:14:54,750
We just work in great detail.
289
00:14:55,020 --> 00:14:56,850
What's already been explained.
290
00:14:57,810 --> 00:14:58,050
And then.
291
00:14:58,935 --> 00:15:02,235
We pick it up again and September, should
you all collectively decide to do this?
292
00:15:02,265 --> 00:15:06,615
If you don't want to do this collectively,
whatever the majority says, we're going
293
00:15:06,615 --> 00:15:11,775
to go with that, but I want to be fair and
make myself available to that flexibility.
294
00:15:11,835 --> 00:15:14,985
I don't want to say this is the
way it is and you just take it
295
00:15:14,985 --> 00:15:17,265
the way it is because in the
beginning, that's how it kind of was.
296
00:15:17,745 --> 00:15:21,074
But because the market conditions,
the way, the way they are, I
297
00:15:21,074 --> 00:15:22,515
don't feel, I don't feel right.
298
00:15:22,515 --> 00:15:25,965
Doing it this way as a person,
I don't think it's right.
299
00:15:26,505 --> 00:15:30,885
Um, and if I was asleep ball, like
some people are trying to paint me
300
00:15:30,885 --> 00:15:33,135
as I would just sit back and keep
collecting your money and just
301
00:15:33,135 --> 00:15:35,085
wish you all good luck with it all.
302
00:15:35,085 --> 00:15:37,275
And there it is, but that's
not how you learn it.
303
00:15:37,335 --> 00:15:38,505
You gotta have it applied.
304
00:15:38,685 --> 00:15:39,314
You got to see it.
305
00:15:39,825 --> 00:15:44,715
And if I can't apply it in my own trading,
it kind of like goes without saying
306
00:15:44,745 --> 00:15:46,814
you can't do it even in a practice.
307
00:15:47,670 --> 00:15:49,380
So you don't have the
conditions to work with.
308
00:15:49,560 --> 00:15:52,920
So, like I said, I think it
was last week or week before I
309
00:15:52,920 --> 00:15:54,270
wouldn't be trading right now.
310
00:15:54,810 --> 00:15:57,630
I would, I would be forcing myself
to about the middle of may to see
311
00:15:57,630 --> 00:15:58,710
what happens in the marketplace.
312
00:15:59,220 --> 00:16:03,480
And then I would look to see what, you
know, what the market gives me, but either
313
00:16:03,480 --> 00:16:07,560
way, um, I'm committed to your learning.
314
00:16:07,560 --> 00:16:08,970
I'm committed to your satisfaction.
315
00:16:09,480 --> 00:16:11,790
And I want you to all
know that number one.
316
00:16:12,450 --> 00:16:17,340
And I want to fill every void that you
have in terms of your understanding about
317
00:16:17,340 --> 00:16:19,920
all the content, the only anybody upset.
318
00:16:19,920 --> 00:16:22,410
I don't want anybody to feel
like 30 days after they're done.
319
00:16:23,370 --> 00:16:28,920
They didn't have a amazing
experience and grow as a trader
320
00:16:29,340 --> 00:16:30,480
by way of being a part of this.
321
00:16:31,080 --> 00:16:32,220
That's no number one goal.
322
00:16:32,220 --> 00:16:34,080
I want you to be satisfied.
323
00:16:34,110 --> 00:16:36,090
I want you to be empowered.
324
00:16:36,090 --> 00:16:38,520
I want you to able to use the
information, not just, oh, I was there.
325
00:16:38,520 --> 00:16:39,990
I experienced it, but I really
know what I'm dealing with.
326
00:16:39,990 --> 00:16:40,110
It.
327
00:16:40,650 --> 00:16:41,610
That's not what I want.
328
00:16:42,120 --> 00:16:43,260
I want you all to have.
329
00:16:44,280 --> 00:16:48,180
The free field wide open in front of
you and what direction you want to go.
330
00:16:48,180 --> 00:16:49,200
You want to go on to manage funds.
331
00:16:49,200 --> 00:16:51,240
You want to go into you
run your own account.
332
00:16:51,570 --> 00:16:53,760
You want to go on the
signal services, whatever.
333
00:16:54,000 --> 00:16:57,600
You'll be confident to do that, but I
don't feel confident as a teacher and as
334
00:16:57,600 --> 00:17:03,480
a mentor that given the last two months,
it just, as it hasn't really been good
335
00:17:03,480 --> 00:17:05,010
for me, it hasn't been good at all.
336
00:17:05,430 --> 00:17:09,319
So I can only imagine what it's
like for you as the student
337
00:17:09,329 --> 00:17:10,020
cause you're purchasing.
338
00:17:10,020 --> 00:17:12,329
And some of you are actually
making great sacrifices to be here,
339
00:17:13,050 --> 00:17:14,370
and I'm not oblivious to that.
340
00:17:15,210 --> 00:17:18,569
You know, one 50 to me, isn't a lot,
but some of you have to work, you
341
00:17:18,569 --> 00:17:19,950
know, to get that one 50 to be here.
342
00:17:20,430 --> 00:17:22,800
And I certainly appreciate your
willingness to do that, but
343
00:17:23,700 --> 00:17:25,110
I also am a human being too.
344
00:17:25,770 --> 00:17:29,490
And I want to be sensitive
to the reality of right now.
345
00:17:30,090 --> 00:17:34,860
I have not been able to put
this information to work where
346
00:17:34,860 --> 00:17:36,090
you can see it effectively.
347
00:17:36,360 --> 00:17:38,880
Not because it doesn't work, but
because the conditions that would
348
00:17:38,880 --> 00:17:40,560
keep me on the sidelines otherwise.
349
00:17:41,580 --> 00:17:41,670
Yeah.
350
00:17:41,870 --> 00:17:43,350
That's what's that,
that's what we're seeing.
351
00:17:43,590 --> 00:17:45,389
So, anyway,
352
00:17:49,470 --> 00:17:50,399
that's enough of that.
353
00:17:50,520 --> 00:17:54,270
So we're going to go through, I'm
going to go through the charts.
354
00:17:54,270 --> 00:17:57,510
I'm going to give you some, uh,
some new levels to go off of.
355
00:17:57,510 --> 00:17:59,040
We're going to go down from
the monthly and the weekly.
356
00:17:59,550 --> 00:18:05,280
We'll do this on the dollar, the Euro,
the pound Aussie dollar and us cat.
357
00:18:05,879 --> 00:18:06,389
Okay.
358
00:18:07,560 --> 00:18:12,510
So where you're going to go
over to the dollar first.
359
00:18:17,010 --> 00:18:17,280
Alright.
360
00:18:17,310 --> 00:18:18,060
Do me a favor real quick.
361
00:18:19,620 --> 00:18:20,399
Can you still hear me?
362
00:18:24,190 --> 00:18:24,550
Okay.
363
00:18:27,210 --> 00:18:32,250
As a final remark about what I've
just rambled on about in the post.
364
00:18:32,280 --> 00:18:34,560
I'm going to give you
the proposed schedules.
365
00:18:34,919 --> 00:18:36,960
You guys decide which
one you want to go with.
366
00:18:37,020 --> 00:18:37,379
Okay.
367
00:18:37,409 --> 00:18:39,480
I'm going to do two separate posts.
368
00:18:39,510 --> 00:18:42,840
I'm going to do a post where it gives
us the outline as it is right now.
369
00:18:43,649 --> 00:18:45,629
And I'm going to give you the outline.
370
00:18:45,810 --> 00:18:48,929
That would be an alternative
should we have to spend the
371
00:18:48,929 --> 00:18:49,830
next three months together?
372
00:18:49,980 --> 00:18:52,470
You don't pay, you get caught up
everything that's been taught.
373
00:18:53,100 --> 00:18:55,620
You you'll have a better
understanding of that.
374
00:18:55,620 --> 00:18:59,040
And then we can go into the
June, July and August templates.
375
00:19:03,949 --> 00:19:07,760
And all you have to do is like, if you
like that post, that has the, uh, the
376
00:19:07,760 --> 00:19:11,540
outcome you want to see pro the, the
mentorship, you know, the majority wins.
377
00:19:11,570 --> 00:19:16,280
Whoever has the most likes in that post,
or if there's more likes in one post or
378
00:19:16,280 --> 00:19:18,830
the other, the one that has the most likes
that's the schedule I'm going to go with.
379
00:19:19,100 --> 00:19:19,340
Okay.
380
00:19:19,340 --> 00:19:22,460
So just be aware and that's it.
381
00:19:22,970 --> 00:19:23,210
All right.
382
00:19:23,210 --> 00:19:24,320
So, um,
383
00:19:28,485 --> 00:19:31,574
Yeah, maybe I can do a
post, a, um, a survey.
384
00:19:31,845 --> 00:19:32,324
What is it?
385
00:19:32,385 --> 00:19:33,435
Um, a poll.
386
00:19:34,254 --> 00:19:38,955
I think that if I'm not mistaken,
I think our forum permits a
387
00:19:38,955 --> 00:19:41,024
poll, but I haven't done one yet.
388
00:19:41,054 --> 00:19:47,835
So, uh, ask you a saying we do
have one, so, um, I'll get with
389
00:19:47,835 --> 00:19:51,165
him in a private message in the
forum and I'll let him set that up.
390
00:19:51,195 --> 00:19:55,725
And I'll, if it's not in the format at
one, then I'll let him know at the time of
391
00:19:55,725 --> 00:19:57,495
its posting more, make that arrangement.
392
00:19:57,495 --> 00:20:00,855
But it'll happen today because I want to
know where everyone's thoughts are and
393
00:20:00,855 --> 00:20:02,774
I'll leave it up for, uh, for this week.
394
00:20:03,645 --> 00:20:05,835
So I know some of you are not
going to be watching it today.
395
00:20:05,835 --> 00:20:07,304
You'll be getting to
it later on this week.
396
00:20:07,365 --> 00:20:10,725
So I'll leave out until this
coming Sunday and whatever the
397
00:20:10,725 --> 00:20:11,804
final numbers are on Sunday.
398
00:20:11,835 --> 00:20:12,915
That's what we'll go with that.
399
00:20:13,385 --> 00:20:15,105
That's the direction we'll go.
400
00:20:15,435 --> 00:20:15,764
Okay.
401
00:20:16,885 --> 00:20:17,115
Right.
402
00:20:17,115 --> 00:20:20,925
So I'm going to make this little
question box, go buy buys for right now.
403
00:20:21,585 --> 00:20:22,485
It's that and focus on the chart.
404
00:20:26,090 --> 00:20:26,870
Okay.
405
00:20:27,710 --> 00:20:30,980
And all right, so we have a daily here.
406
00:20:31,250 --> 00:20:35,210
Let's go out to a monthly and get
a fresh perspective on everything.
407
00:20:35,330 --> 00:20:36,620
I need one myself personally.
408
00:20:38,900 --> 00:20:39,140
All right.
409
00:20:39,140 --> 00:20:44,420
So we are down into the last three
down closes on a monthly basis.
410
00:20:44,960 --> 00:20:50,960
So we're inside of this series of will
be deemed as a complete bullish or block.
411
00:20:52,310 --> 00:20:55,430
Um, when a little bit deeper into
it, touch the top of this candle
412
00:20:55,430 --> 00:20:59,450
here, we have that level and we
have a spare value gap in here.
413
00:20:59,450 --> 00:21:02,000
And I'm gonna show you again,
when we go on the daily,
414
00:21:05,690 --> 00:21:09,770
no gap down in here, we have overlap
of this WIC on this body here.
415
00:21:09,770 --> 00:21:13,940
So if this wick didn't happen to come
as low as it is here, that would be
416
00:21:13,940 --> 00:21:18,290
reason to expect this market to go
lower because we have no gap in here.
417
00:21:19,520 --> 00:21:22,160
The only draw on price would
be the cell stops below this.
418
00:21:22,965 --> 00:21:23,955
Or below this low.
419
00:21:24,345 --> 00:21:24,765
Okay.
420
00:21:25,155 --> 00:21:30,585
And, or the means threshold of this
entire three down closed candle series.
421
00:21:31,545 --> 00:21:36,705
So that would also put us around in here,
around the tops of these candles in here.
422
00:21:37,695 --> 00:21:39,165
So I don't think that's there yet.
423
00:21:39,195 --> 00:21:41,535
It could, but I don't think there's
evidence to support that yet.
424
00:21:42,645 --> 00:21:53,265
So we don't have anything outside of the
order block here, which again, I don't see
425
00:21:53,265 --> 00:22:00,225
that as a real strong level to look for
because we had this touch again, this open
426
00:22:00,225 --> 00:22:04,275
on this candle in this month, they traded
down, get the body of the candle as well.
427
00:22:05,055 --> 00:22:06,375
We already, we already traded there.
428
00:22:06,795 --> 00:22:09,945
So if we trot we'll lower, I don't think
it's going to hit that to go higher.
429
00:22:10,004 --> 00:22:12,855
I think it would make a one for
the cell stops below here and it
430
00:22:12,855 --> 00:22:16,545
got run below here and then maybe
eat into some of this movement.
431
00:22:16,845 --> 00:22:17,895
Again, I don't see that.
432
00:22:17,925 --> 00:22:18,645
I think there's gonna be.
433
00:22:20,110 --> 00:22:24,970
More likely to see a and attempt
around it, whether it continues to
434
00:22:24,970 --> 00:22:27,100
make some new high that I don't know.
435
00:22:27,100 --> 00:22:30,010
And we don't need to have that
on a multi-track to be finding an
436
00:22:30,010 --> 00:22:36,370
opportunity that we had the w the
monthly's high at one or 3 81.
437
00:22:37,899 --> 00:22:39,100
So we have that to work with.
438
00:22:39,129 --> 00:22:43,149
And now we also have this
blessed up closed candle.
439
00:22:50,320 --> 00:22:50,560
Okay.
440
00:22:50,560 --> 00:22:53,710
So this month we've already
opened and traded up into it.
441
00:22:54,310 --> 00:22:59,679
And so we're slightly off of that, but
we're going to go down into a weekly.
442
00:23:03,250 --> 00:23:07,060
Now we have these two down closed
candles here, bull shorter block.
443
00:23:07,899 --> 00:23:09,580
And we worked inside that.
444
00:23:10,470 --> 00:23:15,070
We also had a little bit of a gap that
has been closed right in here from
445
00:23:15,070 --> 00:23:17,770
this candles high, and this candles.
446
00:23:18,945 --> 00:23:22,875
Right here that comes in at 99 point 22.
447
00:23:23,355 --> 00:23:26,715
So buy-side, delivery's been
offered from this candle's high up.
448
00:23:27,435 --> 00:23:29,205
It tried to come down
a little bit, not much.
449
00:23:29,985 --> 00:23:34,635
So we close in all that
here so far for the week.
450
00:23:34,665 --> 00:23:36,945
We're looking slightly positive.
451
00:23:37,095 --> 00:23:40,845
Potentially could see a,
uh, uh, swing low form here.
452
00:23:40,845 --> 00:23:45,615
Ideally, that would be great because
then we can make a run for the
453
00:23:45,615 --> 00:23:47,775
rejection block above these candles.
454
00:23:48,405 --> 00:23:49,965
It doesn't need to go above these wicks.
455
00:23:50,655 --> 00:23:57,525
It can just come ramp above here and
that's enough to trade off of the daily.
456
00:24:04,725 --> 00:24:05,055
Okay.
457
00:24:05,085 --> 00:24:08,025
We have this down, close
this down, close this down.
458
00:24:08,025 --> 00:24:08,265
Close.
459
00:24:08,275 --> 00:24:08,865
This conquest.
460
00:24:08,925 --> 00:24:15,645
It's all is a one order block
and it's high comes in at 98, 46.
461
00:24:16,725 --> 00:24:19,215
That's why I have 98, 46 identified here.
462
00:24:19,605 --> 00:24:25,155
I have this candle's high identified
at 9,000 big figure because we have a
463
00:24:25,155 --> 00:24:26,685
small little fair value gap in here.
464
00:24:26,715 --> 00:24:27,945
Only buys I delivery there.
465
00:24:28,215 --> 00:24:31,455
So if we do drop down here and say,
we respect this last up close and
466
00:24:31,455 --> 00:24:34,905
we can't climb any higher, we'll
probably want to see it go lower.
467
00:24:35,865 --> 00:24:37,245
Just to go down to the 98 big figure.
468
00:24:37,305 --> 00:24:41,445
I think then we'll get a buy there, but
right now it looks positive for upside.
469
00:24:42,195 --> 00:24:45,405
Cause we've already cleared out this
Alsace below here, we hit a level
470
00:24:46,095 --> 00:24:47,835
bullish or block we show responsiveness.
471
00:24:47,865 --> 00:24:51,015
And the low actually comes
right to the PIP at 98, 46.
472
00:24:51,675 --> 00:24:53,055
So we had some responses there.
473
00:24:53,925 --> 00:24:57,825
I think that we'll probably want to make
a better attempt at closing in that gap.
474
00:24:58,905 --> 00:25:02,325
And apart from that, we don't
have really much in way of a fair
475
00:25:02,325 --> 00:25:03,765
bag up until we get up into here.
476
00:25:04,635 --> 00:25:10,245
And that's enough, you know, to
come in and, and close in, but no
477
00:25:10,245 --> 00:25:13,365
other gap because this low close.
478
00:25:14,595 --> 00:25:18,195
It's overlap this down, WIC
here, then we rebalanced here.
479
00:25:18,195 --> 00:25:21,105
So there's no real gap
until we get up into here.
480
00:25:22,125 --> 00:25:26,235
So I'm not going to draw any analysis
on that, but just keep that in your
481
00:25:26,235 --> 00:25:30,195
notes, that on your own charts to keep
mine clean, um, I'm just going to make
482
00:25:30,195 --> 00:25:33,435
a mental note and audibly tell you
that this is the fair value gap on the
483
00:25:33,435 --> 00:25:40,635
upside, and it's already been rebalanced
at this point here, but I think that
484
00:25:40,635 --> 00:25:45,135
we're most likely wanting to see it
go into this gap a little bit more.
485
00:25:45,525 --> 00:25:47,505
We've made an attempt to
clear out the cell stops here.
486
00:25:47,775 --> 00:25:50,955
Logical bullet shorter block here
that began on this nice run up.
487
00:25:51,645 --> 00:25:55,995
Uh, if it does drop again in this week,
we're gonna be watching that 9000 9800
488
00:25:55,995 --> 00:26:00,285
big failure, otherwise looking for the
gap closure and maybe over a period of
489
00:26:00,285 --> 00:26:03,765
time, I don't know how long it's going
to take, but we're looking for that gap.
490
00:26:03,765 --> 00:26:04,725
That's been outlined here.
491
00:26:08,970 --> 00:26:13,139
Euro, uh, we gapped up, um,
completely closed in the fairway.
492
00:26:13,149 --> 00:26:16,710
You got the outline with this
candles, low candles high.
493
00:26:18,510 --> 00:26:19,649
That's what I'm identifying here.
494
00:26:19,649 --> 00:26:24,629
So this red level up to here that
all that is fair value and it's been
495
00:26:24,629 --> 00:26:26,639
rebalanced and now we're coming off of it.
496
00:26:27,090 --> 00:26:29,429
That'd be mindful of this
last down close candle here.
497
00:26:29,730 --> 00:26:32,550
Um, they may want to punch
it one more time higher.
498
00:26:32,550 --> 00:26:35,250
I don't see it there, but you
always have to be mindful of that.
499
00:26:36,149 --> 00:26:37,919
So if we look at
500
00:26:41,820 --> 00:26:44,540
that level here, we're going to
go out on top a higher timeframe.
501
00:26:44,560 --> 00:26:46,320
See if there's any overlap with that.
502
00:26:46,320 --> 00:26:47,460
So let's go out to a monthly
503
00:26:57,840 --> 00:26:59,010
power this level here.
504
00:26:59,685 --> 00:26:59,715
I
505
00:27:04,245 --> 00:27:06,195
didn't quite get that gap in here closed.
506
00:27:07,514 --> 00:27:12,495
So that is potentially one more that
could, if we do trade lower, that
507
00:27:12,495 --> 00:27:14,895
could be one to watch for a 1 0 1 70.
508
00:27:15,615 --> 00:27:23,235
Um, we did come up into these
last close candles right here to
509
00:27:23,235 --> 00:27:24,975
that low comes in at one at 9 53.
510
00:27:26,565 --> 00:27:28,065
So we dipped into that a little bit more.
511
00:27:28,485 --> 00:27:30,705
Um, again, no gap in here.
512
00:27:30,735 --> 00:27:34,544
No, no reason to want to come back
up here, not on a monthly basis.
513
00:27:35,145 --> 00:27:38,175
So again, we've cleared out
the cell stocks below here.
514
00:27:39,195 --> 00:27:44,685
We have an obvious gap that I think
personally needs to be rebalanced.
515
00:27:44,715 --> 00:27:48,794
And we had the French elections,
um, complete this weekend and
516
00:27:48,794 --> 00:27:52,740
I expected some kind of, um,
Volatility on the open this week.
517
00:27:53,250 --> 00:27:57,330
Um, I don't know much about the
folks that are, you know, over there
518
00:27:57,390 --> 00:28:01,830
being elected and who actually got
elected, but this, I do know, uh, the,
519
00:28:02,120 --> 00:28:04,980
the headlines are stating that the
gentleman that won the French elections
520
00:28:04,980 --> 00:28:11,850
are, is in support of keeping, um,
them the part of the European union.
521
00:28:12,450 --> 00:28:16,290
So that should be, in my
opinion, it should be bullish.
522
00:28:16,830 --> 00:28:17,910
Uh, that's the way I would interpret.
523
00:28:17,910 --> 00:28:18,960
I wouldn't view it any other way.
524
00:28:19,260 --> 00:28:22,260
Other than that, that we could
see price trade higher on Europe.
525
00:28:23,490 --> 00:28:29,880
So we have that area up in here to
watch on a monthly basis, um, to
526
00:28:30,450 --> 00:28:34,680
too tight of a range in here to work
with many of the normal PDA rays.
527
00:28:34,950 --> 00:28:38,970
So when it's in a consolidation
like this, w we identify the lows
528
00:28:38,970 --> 00:28:41,130
and highs, but we can see that
on a daily, on a weekly charts.
529
00:28:41,140 --> 00:28:43,230
It it's not necessarily that we
draw that much of attention to it,
530
00:28:43,740 --> 00:28:46,230
but we do want to identify where
the price may want to draw up on.
531
00:28:47,595 --> 00:28:51,185
Uh, we had a low here and
attempt to go lower, rallied up.
532
00:28:51,195 --> 00:28:51,764
It didn't break it.
533
00:28:51,835 --> 00:28:56,375
Uh, a market structure high went
lower, cleared off the cell stops.
534
00:28:56,385 --> 00:28:59,745
And now we're going to be watching to see
if this market wants to go above a swing
535
00:28:59,745 --> 00:29:04,935
height on a monthly basis that swing high
would be here to the height that we would
536
00:29:04,935 --> 00:29:07,095
have to move watching of of importance.
537
00:29:07,095 --> 00:29:11,475
On my opinion is the one 13 big figure.
538
00:29:12,375 --> 00:29:12,585
Okay.
539
00:29:12,585 --> 00:29:15,044
So we're gonna look at one 13 big figure.
540
00:29:25,054 --> 00:29:31,205
Well, Donald let down into weekly
chart and on the lows we can, we'll
541
00:29:31,205 --> 00:29:33,245
be able to see that on the weekly,
542
00:29:40,054 --> 00:29:40,615
we have
543
00:29:44,095 --> 00:29:45,745
the one 13 big figure.
544
00:29:46,740 --> 00:29:47,220
Right here.
545
00:29:48,750 --> 00:29:53,520
So if we get above that, obviously there
ain't much of a range before we get here.
546
00:29:55,140 --> 00:29:58,470
Old high here, say our value
gap right in here as well.
547
00:29:59,880 --> 00:30:04,200
So where we're at, where we're in
equilibrium, the high and the low
548
00:30:04,200 --> 00:30:05,250
we're right in the middle of that.
549
00:30:06,270 --> 00:30:12,840
So if we do see bullishness on Euro and
say, the argument is made that we see
550
00:30:12,930 --> 00:30:16,560
a continuation throughout the rest of
the year, that you're a wants to rally.
551
00:30:17,010 --> 00:30:17,190
Okay.
552
00:30:17,190 --> 00:30:24,240
Say, so say the dollar index does in fact,
weaken, this could be the, uh, November,
553
00:30:24,900 --> 00:30:28,740
uh, goal where we could see price and
trade up into the one nineteens again,
554
00:30:29,400 --> 00:30:36,300
between now and November, maybe going
into December, we have a lot of fair value
555
00:30:36,330 --> 00:30:38,310
draw on price that could bring us up here.
556
00:30:38,670 --> 00:30:40,590
We have the open gap here.
557
00:30:40,950 --> 00:30:43,470
We have all of this gap in here.
558
00:30:44,775 --> 00:30:47,085
And it can go up there just
to go lower, longer term.
559
00:30:48,105 --> 00:30:53,625
It would be a, a real big reach
for a large funds to have stops
560
00:30:53,835 --> 00:30:55,185
above these highs up here.
561
00:30:56,085 --> 00:31:00,945
It, uh, August 23rd, 2015 highs.
562
00:31:02,145 --> 00:31:04,635
If they come above that, they
would be able to take out a lot of
563
00:31:04,635 --> 00:31:08,385
liquidity in the marketplace and
then reposition for much lower prices
564
00:31:08,385 --> 00:31:09,525
and say the dollar strengthens.
565
00:31:09,555 --> 00:31:14,355
And we do see what I think longer-term
is going to be parody on Euro and dollar.
566
00:31:16,515 --> 00:31:19,815
It may be good news for a year over
a weekend because of, uh, the French
567
00:31:19,815 --> 00:31:21,825
elections, but that's just one country.
568
00:31:21,865 --> 00:31:23,775
I think ultimately the year is doomed.
569
00:31:24,555 --> 00:31:26,175
But again, it's this my own sooth thing.
570
00:31:27,525 --> 00:31:32,775
The, uh, daily, let me
ask you one more time.
571
00:31:32,775 --> 00:31:33,585
Looking at this weekly.
572
00:31:35,895 --> 00:31:39,345
Yeah, we cleared all the gap in here.
573
00:31:39,735 --> 00:31:40,785
This candle is low.
574
00:31:43,604 --> 00:31:44,245
On.
575
00:31:44,245 --> 00:31:45,375
And what is that?
576
00:31:55,125 --> 00:31:57,975
October 23rd, 2016.
577
00:31:58,395 --> 00:32:08,504
Uh, we close in that gap on a down
candle here on November 6th, 2016.
578
00:32:08,895 --> 00:32:14,175
And this candle's high
on December 4th, 2016.
579
00:32:14,415 --> 00:32:17,054
She had fair value gap, only
how the delivery was offered.
580
00:32:17,385 --> 00:32:20,955
We rebalanced that when, again,
up until the last close up closed
581
00:32:20,955 --> 00:32:25,094
candle on October 30th, 2016.
582
00:32:25,455 --> 00:32:26,834
So that's why we're pausing in here.
583
00:32:31,354 --> 00:32:36,784
The daily to see we had that
fair value gap that we outlined.
584
00:32:39,720 --> 00:32:45,840
The only one that has obvious appeal to
me is much like we saw with the dollar
585
00:32:45,840 --> 00:32:48,360
index, that gap above us for fair value.
586
00:32:48,930 --> 00:32:54,330
Um, this, to me, it needs to get
re it needs to get rebalanced.
587
00:32:54,629 --> 00:32:55,980
I mean, there's just no way around it.
588
00:32:55,980 --> 00:32:58,680
It needs to get rebalanced because
we're in between a big rejection
589
00:32:58,680 --> 00:33:00,360
back here during the elections.
590
00:33:01,500 --> 00:33:07,139
And we have the 2016 low, and then
we came up and rebalanced to here.
591
00:33:07,950 --> 00:33:09,870
So notice we start like
a, like a brick wall.
592
00:33:09,870 --> 00:33:12,270
We hit it, we opened up and then
quickly rejected all that away.
593
00:33:13,350 --> 00:33:17,159
So I think personally that we're
going to make an attempt this week
594
00:33:17,159 --> 00:33:19,320
or next to go down into this gap.
595
00:33:21,060 --> 00:33:22,350
So work on these hard timeframes.
596
00:33:22,350 --> 00:33:23,430
I'm usually pretty accurate.
597
00:33:23,580 --> 00:33:29,610
So I think we're seeing evidences of
the beginning of this event unfolding.
598
00:33:29,639 --> 00:33:33,540
Now, once we get down to this
gap, I admittedly have no idea
599
00:33:33,540 --> 00:33:34,530
if we're going to continue with.
600
00:33:35,415 --> 00:33:37,695
Orphan and use that as an
area to continue going higher.
601
00:33:38,265 --> 00:33:41,205
I'll have to see price and what
every other market in the essay
602
00:33:41,205 --> 00:33:42,285
class is doing at the time.
603
00:33:42,885 --> 00:33:47,415
But right now, I think it's fair to
anticipate this gap here from a few
604
00:33:47,415 --> 00:33:50,565
weeks ago, that closing in because
when now we have the election behind
605
00:33:50,565 --> 00:33:55,275
us, um, that would, I think, has
all the impact it's already done.
606
00:33:55,335 --> 00:33:56,265
It's it's in there.
607
00:33:56,415 --> 00:33:57,885
It's already factored in the marketplace.
608
00:33:57,915 --> 00:34:02,355
So now they opened it up and
they've stayed the gap opening
609
00:34:02,655 --> 00:34:03,825
from Sunday for this week.
610
00:34:04,335 --> 00:34:09,844
So I think if we lose this or block here,
the last down close candle on May 3rd,
611
00:34:09,845 --> 00:34:14,205
2017, if we lose the main threshold in
that, we're definitely going down to
612
00:34:14,205 --> 00:34:16,305
make an attempt to closing that gap.
613
00:34:16,665 --> 00:34:20,445
And that may be a good scenario to
work with in and use some of the
614
00:34:20,445 --> 00:34:21,405
tools that we've been teaching.
615
00:34:22,665 --> 00:34:23,775
So I'll be looking for that.
616
00:34:23,775 --> 00:34:25,745
This, uh, let's have it on a chart.
617
00:34:28,665 --> 00:34:31,095
I'm just gonna use the
WIC lows in here for now.
618
00:34:31,755 --> 00:34:35,085
And as we get closer, it, should
we start to break down, I'll adjust
619
00:34:35,085 --> 00:34:37,335
and refine that to a greater detail.
620
00:34:37,335 --> 00:34:41,895
But if you take it further, look
back, we have this over here as well.
621
00:34:42,285 --> 00:34:44,865
So even though we get through
it, buy-side delivery has not
622
00:34:44,865 --> 00:34:47,925
been offered all through here.
623
00:34:49,815 --> 00:34:54,075
So that's really in essence, the
best form of the gap right here.
624
00:34:55,725 --> 00:35:02,925
So we have this candles high 1 0 7
77 and this candles low 1 0 8 0 2.
625
00:35:03,465 --> 00:35:07,215
So we have that area for it
to be rebalanced to price can
626
00:35:07,215 --> 00:35:10,005
come down, hit that level, and
then essentially it's all done.
627
00:35:10,245 --> 00:35:11,775
It doesn't need to go
down any lower than that.
628
00:35:12,255 --> 00:35:14,025
So we're going to be
watching specifically.
629
00:35:17,235 --> 00:35:21,194
This candle note your, uh, your gap's
probably gonna be looking a little
630
00:35:21,194 --> 00:35:24,345
bit different because I'm certain
you're looking at your live feeds,
631
00:35:24,345 --> 00:35:29,805
but look at April 20th, 2017, that
candle's high on a daily and you'll get
632
00:35:29,805 --> 00:35:32,295
the, uh, the fair value gap closure.
633
00:35:32,714 --> 00:35:36,915
That's the only parameter that
needs to be hit to do a fill in it.
634
00:35:36,915 --> 00:35:39,645
Doesn't need to go down here and close
any kind of closes or anything like that.
635
00:35:41,865 --> 00:35:42,555
Cable
636
00:35:46,665 --> 00:35:51,735
to a monthly, um, much like the Euro.
637
00:35:52,765 --> 00:35:57,855
I think that, uh, you know,
we're going to see the potential
638
00:35:57,855 --> 00:36:01,125
for lower prices, longer term.
639
00:36:01,935 --> 00:36:05,595
Um, and obviously there's more news
about Brexit later on this year,
640
00:36:06,105 --> 00:36:07,995
but, uh, here's a scenario for you.
641
00:36:07,995 --> 00:36:13,455
Say they take us up into here.
642
00:36:17,295 --> 00:36:17,505
Okay.
643
00:36:17,505 --> 00:36:23,685
Say we get some wild movement up into
here and they give a cell scenario.
644
00:36:24,465 --> 00:36:29,025
I want a daily and we get
some kind of a, um, a sell-off
645
00:36:29,535 --> 00:36:31,635
signal or, or a, a bear signal.
646
00:36:32,355 --> 00:36:34,755
That would be the ideal scenario.
647
00:36:34,935 --> 00:36:35,925
I want to sell it.
648
00:36:35,925 --> 00:36:40,215
And here, I wouldn't want to sell this one
because I think it's underlying strength
649
00:36:40,245 --> 00:36:43,725
is being built day by day with this.
650
00:36:43,725 --> 00:36:45,705
And I think they're going to try
to send it up to that 1 35 big
651
00:36:45,735 --> 00:36:49,995
figure, um, before, before the end
of the year, I think we'll see that.
652
00:36:50,475 --> 00:36:55,725
So it's about 500 pips between
where we are now and that level.
653
00:36:55,755 --> 00:36:59,565
So I would like to be able to
find an opportunity to get in
654
00:36:59,565 --> 00:37:01,005
there and harvest some of that.
655
00:37:01,575 --> 00:37:03,765
But that's the range I'm looking
for, but when we get to that
656
00:37:03,765 --> 00:37:08,745
level here, I don't see this as
a reason to fill in any of that.
657
00:37:08,835 --> 00:37:10,515
I think we're going to see this region.
658
00:37:12,105 --> 00:37:13,965
1 35 fair value.
659
00:37:14,145 --> 00:37:15,795
Fundamentally something
happened back here.
660
00:37:16,095 --> 00:37:16,455
Okay.
661
00:37:16,455 --> 00:37:20,085
And I don't even know what it was and
the seat on the chart that they were not
662
00:37:20,085 --> 00:37:21,225
willing to see it go lower than that.
663
00:37:21,405 --> 00:37:22,935
Now we passed through it.
664
00:37:23,565 --> 00:37:25,995
Never even came back to it
again, we got close to it here.
665
00:37:26,025 --> 00:37:26,925
Got close to it here.
666
00:37:27,465 --> 00:37:29,715
But when we get back to that level
here, that's the first return.
667
00:37:30,645 --> 00:37:34,635
So they'll be heavy sellers
at that 1 35 big figures.
668
00:37:34,635 --> 00:37:38,175
I have that in your notes every
day as we get, as we get closer and
669
00:37:38,175 --> 00:37:42,615
closer to 1 35 on a pound dollar,
should we start trading higher?
670
00:37:43,575 --> 00:37:46,695
Are our attention really gonna be
focused on that big figure because
671
00:37:46,695 --> 00:37:50,025
that's where your next position
trade is going to be and swing trade.
672
00:37:50,325 --> 00:37:56,385
So had that noted on the weekly.
673
00:37:58,215 --> 00:37:58,395
Okay.
674
00:37:58,395 --> 00:38:02,385
You can see that 1 35, 10
level would have sense.
675
00:38:02,395 --> 00:38:07,395
They also clear out equal
highs now on some wild news.
676
00:38:07,545 --> 00:38:07,845
Okay.
677
00:38:07,845 --> 00:38:10,635
Because you always have to allow
that because we can see some really
678
00:38:10,635 --> 00:38:12,495
crazy action on this Brexit thing.
679
00:38:13,035 --> 00:38:16,935
Uh, Brexit immediately, I've said this
in the past, it's new territory for
680
00:38:16,935 --> 00:38:22,245
me, you know, this whole European union
and, um, you know, trying to break
681
00:38:22,245 --> 00:38:23,355
away from it and all that business.
682
00:38:23,955 --> 00:38:27,975
I've never been one to claim to understand
all of the ramifications about things like
683
00:38:27,975 --> 00:38:29,205
that, because it's highly fundamental.
684
00:38:29,595 --> 00:38:33,705
So, um, and again, fundamentals
could suggest one thing being
685
00:38:33,705 --> 00:38:36,525
bullish, but now the opposite it's
being seen in the marketplace.
686
00:38:36,525 --> 00:38:38,325
So that's why I don't
have a lot of faith in it.
687
00:38:38,355 --> 00:38:39,585
I can trust the price.
688
00:38:39,585 --> 00:38:42,615
Price will tell me immediately if
I'm right or wrong, a fundamentals
689
00:38:42,975 --> 00:38:44,055
who knows if I'm right, you're wrong.
690
00:38:44,085 --> 00:38:48,655
So, um, I don't know what the
Brexit stuff's going to do.
691
00:38:48,655 --> 00:38:50,535
I'll get a lot of emails every week.
692
00:38:50,655 --> 00:38:53,175
You know, what's going to happen
if this happens, if that happens.
693
00:38:54,030 --> 00:38:55,560
I'll just answer it blanketly here.
694
00:38:56,010 --> 00:38:56,670
I don't know.
695
00:38:56,970 --> 00:38:57,690
I really don't know.
696
00:38:57,900 --> 00:39:00,720
Um, I'm going to look at price action
to tell me what I think I should
697
00:39:00,720 --> 00:39:04,380
be doing in terms of trading, but I
don't know what the outcome's going
698
00:39:04,380 --> 00:39:08,400
to be in aim and don't even know what
the outcomes, uh, responsibility.
699
00:39:09,090 --> 00:39:09,750
So I don't know.
700
00:39:10,110 --> 00:39:12,060
So it's all a new
experience for me as well.
701
00:39:13,110 --> 00:39:18,450
So again, at 1 35, 10 level, um,
that's a real nice level for a
702
00:39:18,450 --> 00:39:22,710
swing and short on charged swing and
position trading potentially for short
703
00:39:22,710 --> 00:39:23,970
and take out the equal lows here.
704
00:39:24,570 --> 00:39:27,900
So we did have a small little
fair value gap, also existing,
705
00:39:27,900 --> 00:39:31,020
right above us on the weekly.
706
00:39:31,860 --> 00:39:32,580
We have it in here.
707
00:39:32,640 --> 00:39:37,680
Sell-side delivery only offered
right in here so we could
708
00:39:37,680 --> 00:39:39,330
potentially see one 30 twos.
709
00:39:40,530 --> 00:39:41,850
Let's see what that lowers on here.
710
00:39:42,270 --> 00:39:48,330
I want 32 42, so we could see it could
spike up in the 1 30, 2 50, but we
711
00:39:48,330 --> 00:39:50,610
see a draw on price up into 1 32 for.
712
00:39:51,779 --> 00:39:58,710
And the beginning of gap
would come in at 1 31 18.
713
00:39:58,710 --> 00:40:04,410
So nice round number we 1 31 22.
714
00:40:04,410 --> 00:40:07,770
There's your two levels look for
as an opposite upside objective for
715
00:40:07,799 --> 00:40:12,600
cable and it's going down to a daily.
716
00:40:16,920 --> 00:40:17,130
Okay.
717
00:40:17,130 --> 00:40:19,529
So daily much like we'd
mentioned, there was a Euro,
718
00:40:19,830 --> 00:40:21,570
uh, earlier on it's daily chart.
719
00:40:21,990 --> 00:40:23,910
We have this last down
close candle in here.
720
00:40:24,450 --> 00:40:26,880
Be mindful of that because it
could try one more time to send
721
00:40:26,880 --> 00:40:28,290
it higher off of that alarm.
722
00:40:31,450 --> 00:40:33,910
So we have that here.
723
00:40:33,910 --> 00:40:35,589
So be careful about that.
724
00:40:35,620 --> 00:40:39,250
We have the means I saw the watch for, uh,
we've already hit that essentially here.
725
00:40:39,279 --> 00:40:42,009
This opening went down, means
threshold last down, close
726
00:40:42,009 --> 00:40:43,600
candle, and then response.
727
00:40:44,049 --> 00:40:45,100
So we're coming back down.
728
00:40:45,490 --> 00:40:49,149
We're going to demand that it shows
responsiveness at the open of that
729
00:40:49,149 --> 00:40:50,620
down closed candle or bullish or block.
730
00:40:51,100 --> 00:40:55,419
So on enforce LTDs platform,
be mindful at 1 29 40 level.
731
00:40:55,990 --> 00:40:58,390
It should show responsiveness
there on the outside.
732
00:40:58,419 --> 00:41:01,089
If it doesn't, we're gonna start
rolling over and going lower.
733
00:41:01,450 --> 00:41:03,669
And we have a really nice
liquidity Boyd in here.
734
00:41:04,120 --> 00:41:04,450
Okay.
735
00:41:04,779 --> 00:41:12,640
So let's identify that this could
come down and close, not entirely,
736
00:41:12,640 --> 00:41:13,990
but we can close some of that.
737
00:41:14,859 --> 00:41:15,310
Okay.
738
00:41:15,910 --> 00:41:18,819
And leave a portion of it
open and install rally up.
739
00:41:18,879 --> 00:41:21,279
So don't think it has to come down
and completely closed that in.
740
00:41:21,939 --> 00:41:25,000
Don't think that at all,
but should we break down the
741
00:41:25,000 --> 00:41:27,549
low, this down close candle?
742
00:41:28,424 --> 00:41:30,404
I don't think we're going to
find support at this one, because
743
00:41:30,404 --> 00:41:31,424
we've already seen it there.
744
00:41:33,674 --> 00:41:34,575
Let me have that on your chart.
745
00:41:34,585 --> 00:41:38,025
You can see why these order
blocks have already been, in my
746
00:41:38,025 --> 00:41:40,245
opinion, already been consumed.
747
00:41:40,845 --> 00:41:44,895
So we had an older block here down,
rallied through, came back, hit it
748
00:41:45,705 --> 00:41:48,855
rallied away, traded through the
high of this down closed candle.
749
00:41:48,944 --> 00:41:54,134
And now we're watching the open
on this channel right here.
750
00:41:54,165 --> 00:41:58,545
Again, that's 1 29 40 reason why we're
not looking for support at re at the
751
00:41:58,575 --> 00:42:02,745
mean threshold is because we've already
seen this candle open trade down into it.
752
00:42:02,985 --> 00:42:05,444
Now there's somewhere you're
thinking, well, isn't the order block.
753
00:42:05,444 --> 00:42:06,944
Only valid once we trade through it.
754
00:42:07,665 --> 00:42:12,194
Yes, but we're also now looking at a
level that's already been worked on.
755
00:42:12,435 --> 00:42:16,904
So if we see this ever, even
though we traded through it here
756
00:42:17,235 --> 00:42:20,835
and validates this as an order
block, we already seen response
757
00:42:20,835 --> 00:42:22,634
and off that means threshold there.
758
00:42:23,055 --> 00:42:24,404
So I don't have any confidence.
759
00:42:24,765 --> 00:42:26,625
Should we trade down
below the open on this?
760
00:42:27,840 --> 00:42:30,840
That is enough for me to say, okay,
it's not a high probability candle,
761
00:42:32,640 --> 00:42:35,670
the first return, or the first response
off of the level that we normally
762
00:42:35,670 --> 00:42:40,950
see bullishness, or bearishness the
open, the high, the low respectively
763
00:42:40,950 --> 00:42:42,330
to the Porsche bear supporter block.
764
00:42:42,720 --> 00:42:45,900
Those are our two scenarios,
bullish or bearish.
765
00:42:46,350 --> 00:42:49,530
In other words, on down close candles,
we're looking for the high or the open
766
00:42:49,530 --> 00:42:54,060
to be the best scenario for a buy for
up-close candles or bear shorter blocks.
767
00:42:54,060 --> 00:42:57,180
We're looking for the low or the
opening for the best sales scenarios
768
00:42:57,210 --> 00:43:01,110
or best response to this where
resistance the last line in sand
769
00:43:01,320 --> 00:43:03,180
or defense is that means threshold.
770
00:43:03,540 --> 00:43:10,260
If we ever see a response of that
level, it's already been worked here.
771
00:43:11,520 --> 00:43:13,650
And that's why we saw the movement here
that validates they would have locked.
772
00:43:13,650 --> 00:43:13,890
Yeah.
773
00:43:14,100 --> 00:43:16,020
So it only needs to come
back down and hit that.
774
00:43:16,020 --> 00:43:16,950
So have that in your notes.
775
00:43:18,060 --> 00:43:22,500
It's one of those August, uh, type things
that would've came out later on this year,
776
00:43:22,500 --> 00:43:25,470
but as it's been shown in the chart, and
that's the reason why I would not ask.
777
00:43:26,505 --> 00:43:28,055
Any respect of the mean threshold shows.
778
00:43:28,095 --> 00:43:29,865
We lose the opening on
this down closed candle.
779
00:43:30,195 --> 00:43:30,884
We're going lower.
780
00:43:31,335 --> 00:43:36,585
So let's go to the Aussie
dollar Aussie dollar.
781
00:43:36,585 --> 00:43:37,605
Had a really nice move.
782
00:43:38,805 --> 00:43:39,285
Yes.
783
00:43:39,375 --> 00:43:40,395
Uh, last week, hang on.
784
00:43:40,395 --> 00:43:41,384
Let's go out for a monthly.
785
00:43:45,065 --> 00:43:45,365
All right.
786
00:43:45,365 --> 00:43:49,924
So this bad boy has been in
a monthly consolidation for
787
00:43:49,924 --> 00:43:51,995
a while, a long, long while.
788
00:43:52,535 --> 00:44:00,185
And I think that, uh, everyone
sees in a classic, uh, format.
789
00:44:00,695 --> 00:44:04,115
They see an ascending triangle
and I'll draw this in here so you
790
00:44:04,115 --> 00:44:06,605
guys can get them the gist of it.
791
00:44:08,075 --> 00:44:11,315
Did you probably don't see those things
normally looking at price because
792
00:44:11,315 --> 00:44:14,615
you're looking at order blocks and.
793
00:44:16,875 --> 00:44:17,865
Things of that nature,
794
00:44:23,565 --> 00:44:24,675
something to that effect.
795
00:44:24,765 --> 00:44:25,215
Okay.
796
00:44:25,635 --> 00:44:29,175
Um, so folks are going to be looking
to do all kinds of measurements and
797
00:44:29,175 --> 00:44:30,735
all that business and draw it up here.
798
00:44:46,825 --> 00:44:51,565
So point 88 65, the points point 88 to 70.
799
00:44:51,565 --> 00:44:54,235
That's where classic
charters they're looking for.
800
00:44:55,555 --> 00:44:59,065
I'm not suggesting that here,
but that's what they're seeing.
801
00:45:00,925 --> 00:45:08,155
And what I look at is there's going
to be folks that have that trend
802
00:45:08,155 --> 00:45:11,125
line idea, whether they see that
triangle or not, they're going to
803
00:45:11,125 --> 00:45:12,865
have this going on on our monthly.
804
00:45:16,890 --> 00:45:19,529
So, you know what they're expecting
when it gets down to here, okay,
805
00:45:19,529 --> 00:45:21,480
they're gonna be looking for
it to go along and go higher.
806
00:45:22,020 --> 00:45:25,290
Plus they've already formed a
potential continuation pattern for
807
00:45:25,290 --> 00:45:32,790
upside, and we've had a nice run
below the cell stops here, but there's
808
00:45:32,790 --> 00:45:34,290
been no real attempt to go higher.
809
00:45:34,319 --> 00:45:39,000
Each high has been lower, lower, lower,
and now we had a real nice move, lower
810
00:45:39,960 --> 00:45:44,040
how we trade inside this last down candle
right here is going to be important
811
00:45:44,700 --> 00:45:47,520
because we've traded the way through
it and validated the order block.
812
00:45:47,520 --> 00:45:52,410
But we're right now at the open
sitting, we had to open it that candle.
813
00:45:52,620 --> 00:45:54,240
So that's 73 80.
814
00:45:54,870 --> 00:46:02,640
So today or this, uh, this month
rather, um, we've had 73 68.
815
00:46:02,640 --> 00:46:08,009
So we did trade down into
the opening on the weekly.
816
00:46:11,130 --> 00:46:13,230
Cake, you see that order block
a little bit better in here.
817
00:46:15,060 --> 00:46:20,160
So that order blocks open
comes in at 72, 90 17 90 hours.
818
00:46:20,170 --> 00:46:27,690
It takes us right down to the real
close to that would be sup suppose, um,
819
00:46:27,960 --> 00:46:32,850
trendline support, which I don't have
any faith in, but they may come down here
820
00:46:32,850 --> 00:46:34,529
and give them a little bit of a bounce.
821
00:46:35,759 --> 00:46:38,370
And then what I'll do is I would
look for a selling scenario
822
00:46:38,370 --> 00:46:39,779
at this last up close candles.
823
00:46:40,020 --> 00:46:45,569
Well, and that would come in at 74 73.
824
00:46:46,020 --> 00:46:49,110
So if we get a little bit of a
movement here, watch that level as a
825
00:46:49,110 --> 00:46:52,080
potential sell-off and then wipe out
as individuals they're looking for
826
00:46:52,080 --> 00:46:57,060
continuation patterns, classic patterns,
and uptrending trend lines for that.
827
00:46:57,600 --> 00:47:03,750
Um, my interpretation of
Aussie dollar is that we have.
828
00:47:07,920 --> 00:47:10,950
A larger liquidity pool
resting below these lows here.
829
00:47:11,670 --> 00:47:13,650
And I think personally that's where
the market's going to draw too.
830
00:47:14,430 --> 00:47:14,670
Okay.
831
00:47:14,670 --> 00:47:16,560
So that's where the money is.
832
00:47:16,740 --> 00:47:17,880
Money is not on trend lines.
833
00:47:17,880 --> 00:47:21,660
Money's not on triangles on
your charts, they're on levels.
834
00:47:21,720 --> 00:47:22,830
And that are clearly noted.
835
00:47:23,190 --> 00:47:25,650
If we had a response here, we
came down, we didn't get to it.
836
00:47:25,650 --> 00:47:28,350
We had a nice response as well,
but we did not go lower and going
837
00:47:28,350 --> 00:47:30,000
higher and we're going over lower.
838
00:47:30,270 --> 00:47:35,580
So we may be unable to get back
up into this last, a closed
839
00:47:35,580 --> 00:47:38,430
candle coming in at 74 73.
840
00:47:38,490 --> 00:47:42,300
So it was 74 70 would be enough to
put a short on, uh, should we get
841
00:47:42,300 --> 00:47:46,170
a little bit oven movement upwards
rather, and then make a run for the
842
00:47:46,170 --> 00:47:51,840
liquidity resting below that 71 40
level here in that again, that's the
843
00:47:51,840 --> 00:47:57,180
low at 71 45, 71 40 and 71 big figure.
844
00:47:57,990 --> 00:48:00,810
I think it's a wearable liquidity risk.
845
00:48:01,635 --> 00:48:01,965
Okay.
846
00:48:02,415 --> 00:48:03,795
Uh, it would be interesting to see this.
847
00:48:03,795 --> 00:48:06,855
It'd be nice to see it, come down,
wipe that out and then start to rally
848
00:48:07,335 --> 00:48:11,025
then I think ultimately longer-term
because everybody else would be
849
00:48:11,025 --> 00:48:12,135
spooked out of the market by then.
850
00:48:12,165 --> 00:48:13,965
They wouldn't consider looking to go long.
851
00:48:14,295 --> 00:48:16,785
But this I think is where we're
going to be looking to see price go
852
00:48:17,625 --> 00:48:19,545
on a longer term for Aussie dollar.
853
00:48:20,325 --> 00:48:24,435
And let's extend that out a little
bit more so we can see on our daily
854
00:48:24,435 --> 00:48:30,045
chart when we go up to it or down to
it, respectively in deference to time
855
00:48:39,615 --> 00:48:40,575
Crieff area.
856
00:48:43,455 --> 00:48:51,165
So we have a daily fair, a fair
value filled in beautifully.
857
00:48:51,195 --> 00:48:52,245
Very nicely done that.
858
00:48:53,370 --> 00:48:54,900
Uh, had a nice response off of that.
859
00:48:55,260 --> 00:48:56,610
And now we're seeing some weakness again.
860
00:48:56,820 --> 00:49:00,960
So if we lose this low, the next logical
area is, I'll ask you before you,
861
00:49:01,020 --> 00:49:02,850
before you see it from me, you see it.
862
00:49:03,900 --> 00:49:05,340
This is for the folks that
are watching the recording
863
00:49:15,660 --> 00:49:16,110
right there.
864
00:49:16,620 --> 00:49:18,120
There's your fair bet you got below us.
865
00:49:18,630 --> 00:49:24,150
So should we lose this low
price will go down to or could?
866
00:49:24,150 --> 00:49:28,950
And I say that, well, I'll talk to
absolute, but the high is 72 41.
867
00:49:28,950 --> 00:49:33,570
So we could see 72 45, 72
big, mid figure, 72 50.
868
00:49:34,170 --> 00:49:37,110
And then we have the low on
this candle because this only
869
00:49:37,110 --> 00:49:38,250
has been offered on buy-side.
870
00:49:38,280 --> 00:49:42,030
Nothing has traded down the close
or rebalanced that upside movement.
871
00:49:42,570 --> 00:49:45,270
So we're always looking for price
that rebalance inefficiency,
872
00:49:45,810 --> 00:49:46,980
and we don't have that yet.
873
00:49:46,980 --> 00:49:49,900
So it was good on what to do that if
they will reach down and try to do that.
874
00:49:51,359 --> 00:49:54,089
And the lowness candle is 72 77.
875
00:49:54,089 --> 00:50:05,009
So we see basically 70 to 75 to 70 to
40 there's your fair value get range.
876
00:50:05,069 --> 00:50:08,729
So that's where price would
be reaching for, for the swing
877
00:50:08,729 --> 00:50:11,220
trade to short-term basis.
878
00:50:11,580 --> 00:50:12,029
Okay.
879
00:50:12,330 --> 00:50:16,439
So if we lose this low, any rallies, you
can sell that and look for market the
880
00:50:16,439 --> 00:50:17,879
ones to trade down to that level here.
881
00:50:18,359 --> 00:50:23,910
Now, in this pattern here, we outlined
why price should come down to this,
882
00:50:24,089 --> 00:50:25,979
this candle's high in closing this gap.
883
00:50:26,490 --> 00:50:27,000
It did it.
884
00:50:27,419 --> 00:50:27,779
Okay.
885
00:50:28,049 --> 00:50:30,720
But look how long it had
to take to get there.
886
00:50:31,229 --> 00:50:35,310
You know, we rallied up and traded softer
China, trade up one more time, trade a
887
00:50:35,319 --> 00:50:39,000
softer, say that one more time and then
salt or all the way down and closing it.
888
00:50:39,479 --> 00:50:41,270
So it took some time to get.
889
00:50:42,285 --> 00:50:43,485
That's not typical either.
890
00:50:43,635 --> 00:50:47,505
Usually it's like a real quick,
that's what makes the low resistance
891
00:50:47,505 --> 00:50:48,705
liquidity runs what they are.
892
00:50:49,335 --> 00:50:52,005
Once they identify where the
liquidity is, they go for it.
893
00:50:52,515 --> 00:50:55,245
And they've been building and
building and building and building.
894
00:50:55,545 --> 00:50:59,655
That's why I think that this is
more likely because I'm looking
895
00:50:59,655 --> 00:51:00,585
at what they've done here.
896
00:51:00,795 --> 00:51:04,695
They built in a ratchet, rather
large, uh, sells, sell position.
897
00:51:05,355 --> 00:51:07,035
They really sold off a lot.
898
00:51:07,035 --> 00:51:10,395
They built in positions here, here, here.
899
00:51:10,455 --> 00:51:11,685
Now they quickly ran away.
900
00:51:12,255 --> 00:51:14,745
So not going to want to give people
a chance to get off the hook here.
901
00:51:14,805 --> 00:51:19,365
So anyone that's holding onto this as a,
as a long, they're going to be punished.
902
00:51:20,115 --> 00:51:22,245
And they're ultimately going to
want to take price down to here.
903
00:51:22,875 --> 00:51:25,625
So that's a good way, you know, from
where we're at now, not in terrible
904
00:51:25,635 --> 00:51:28,815
man, I'm a money in terms of pips,
but if you're a relationship can
905
00:51:28,815 --> 00:51:32,655
kill you, but I think that's what
we're going to most likely reach for.
906
00:51:33,075 --> 00:51:33,405
Now.
907
00:51:35,115 --> 00:51:37,695
I don't see us going much.
908
00:51:38,520 --> 00:51:41,850
Beyond the fair value gap initially,
I think eventually we'll have to rally
909
00:51:41,850 --> 00:51:45,360
again before we make the run below, below
the eyeline and go on that weekly chart.
910
00:51:45,720 --> 00:51:49,680
So we would have to look
for now watch fair value.
911
00:51:49,680 --> 00:51:50,040
Got that.
912
00:51:50,040 --> 00:51:51,000
We just closed in.
913
00:51:51,150 --> 00:51:56,410
What do you think that's going to act as
later on potential resistance so we could
914
00:51:56,410 --> 00:52:01,720
trade lower, come down, closing this gap
and tray great back up into that gap.
915
00:52:01,750 --> 00:52:05,920
So remember where I taught you that
market trade from breaker to breaker
916
00:52:06,760 --> 00:52:13,660
or, um, like turtle soup, hi, to a
turtle soup, blow those conditions.
917
00:52:13,750 --> 00:52:14,860
You can frame the market in.
918
00:52:15,040 --> 00:52:18,700
Well, you can see that same phenomenon
happening in the fair value gaps.
919
00:52:19,210 --> 00:52:19,810
One fair bet.
920
00:52:19,810 --> 00:52:22,900
You get to the other looking study price
and you'll see these things happen.
921
00:52:23,290 --> 00:52:26,260
You're going to, by the end of this
mentorship, you can understand that
922
00:52:26,620 --> 00:52:29,410
whatever framework the market's
working in, if they're reacting
923
00:52:29,410 --> 00:52:33,460
off of a, uh, a stop run that makes
the high that's generally going
924
00:52:33,460 --> 00:52:35,290
to see a low form with a stock.
925
00:52:36,210 --> 00:52:39,630
On a cell stops words, buy
stocks, get taken the market tops.
926
00:52:40,140 --> 00:52:40,860
It trades lower.
927
00:52:41,040 --> 00:52:46,020
How long does it keep going down until
it runs a measure of opposing cell stops?
928
00:52:46,740 --> 00:52:51,480
If the move it originates from
a fair value gap, it's going to
929
00:52:51,510 --> 00:52:55,260
close that position or that swing
off usually with a fair value gap.
930
00:52:56,130 --> 00:52:59,550
Not always, but that's usually what
I look for that type of scenario.
931
00:53:00,300 --> 00:53:06,840
If we see a breaker caused to move,
okay, from a, say a bear Spreaker,
932
00:53:06,840 --> 00:53:08,160
we're looking to seed market sell off.
933
00:53:09,060 --> 00:53:11,550
I'm going to look for that move
to continuously go lower until we
934
00:53:11,550 --> 00:53:14,820
see an opposing bullish breaker
that encapsulates that move.
935
00:53:15,150 --> 00:53:17,400
And then I'm pretty much confident
that the move is over then.
936
00:53:17,670 --> 00:53:20,220
Now it does not give you the
highest high and lowest level when.
937
00:53:22,029 --> 00:53:26,170
Doesn't do it, but you can see
it with turtle soup ideas where
938
00:53:26,200 --> 00:53:29,680
we see by stops taken rated,
and then the market goes lower.
939
00:53:29,859 --> 00:53:32,649
That's why we use that pattern,
but it takes a lot of conviction
940
00:53:32,649 --> 00:53:33,370
to trade that pattern.
941
00:53:33,580 --> 00:53:34,029
I like it.
942
00:53:34,029 --> 00:53:36,310
Cause I don't have a problem
standing in front of a price.
943
00:53:36,700 --> 00:53:39,220
It can be running up and I'll
it right into that or going
944
00:53:39,220 --> 00:53:40,509
low now by right into that.
945
00:53:41,080 --> 00:53:43,390
But it takes a lot of confidence
and practicing and doing it.
946
00:53:43,930 --> 00:53:49,149
But in between those two scenarios, turtle
soup highs, and the trophy blows the
947
00:53:49,149 --> 00:53:51,700
criteria is breakers and fair value gaps.
948
00:53:52,359 --> 00:53:54,520
So you can see how the markets
move from one to another.
949
00:53:54,790 --> 00:53:56,310
And that's real support resistance.
950
00:53:56,359 --> 00:53:58,120
It's not like classical.
951
00:53:58,180 --> 00:54:00,700
I'm going to draw a line here and
it's, it should do this or that.
952
00:54:01,210 --> 00:54:04,330
We're seeing what price does it
draws him to these levels close in
953
00:54:04,330 --> 00:54:05,890
those voids, rebalance this price.
954
00:54:05,890 --> 00:54:08,859
And then once we've done this now
think about what has happened.
955
00:54:09,549 --> 00:54:12,140
Conceptually, if we lose this low here on.
956
00:54:13,185 --> 00:54:16,215
And we go below this fair
value gap, convincingly lower.
957
00:54:17,115 --> 00:54:19,515
This is a completely
rebalanced area in price.
958
00:54:19,785 --> 00:54:21,525
So it acts like that range.
959
00:54:21,615 --> 00:54:27,375
Um, um, well-balanced range where
we've seen price back and forth,
960
00:54:27,795 --> 00:54:29,265
offered on the buy and sell side.
961
00:54:30,045 --> 00:54:32,865
So there's no reason for
the trade above that gap.
962
00:54:32,925 --> 00:54:33,825
Should it go higher?
963
00:54:33,945 --> 00:54:37,905
Because it's been rebalanced once
we, once we came down here, it's
964
00:54:37,905 --> 00:54:42,135
done, we offered buy-side here
and we offered sell side now here.
965
00:54:42,645 --> 00:54:45,875
So if we go lower and it trades
back up into that range, that
966
00:54:45,875 --> 00:54:47,115
define that fair value gap.
967
00:54:47,145 --> 00:54:50,175
Let me draw it out so you can see it
graphically inhabiting the charts as well.
968
00:54:55,395 --> 00:55:00,795
If we have price trade, lower income
back up just to the bottom, it
969
00:55:00,795 --> 00:55:01,815
doesn't need to go up to the middle.
970
00:55:01,815 --> 00:55:02,835
It doesn't have to go all the way up here.
971
00:55:02,835 --> 00:55:04,365
It can just go to the bottom of the gap.
972
00:55:04,845 --> 00:55:05,175
Okay.
973
00:55:05,445 --> 00:55:08,685
That would be an area for selling
and look forward to trade down into.
974
00:55:10,155 --> 00:55:10,935
This fair value gap.
975
00:55:11,415 --> 00:55:14,505
And that in itself is a setup
that I like to work with.
976
00:55:15,765 --> 00:55:16,845
You'll see it a lot in price.
977
00:55:16,845 --> 00:55:17,985
It's just, it's there.
978
00:55:18,585 --> 00:55:21,555
Also, when you look at market maker,
sell profiles and buy profiles, you'll
979
00:55:21,555 --> 00:55:26,255
see that this actual setup is there a
lot and you work between one fair guy.
980
00:55:26,255 --> 00:55:29,865
You get to the next, depending on what
timeframe you're looking at, the Fairview
981
00:55:29,875 --> 00:55:32,895
you get that would be seen here could be
a liquidity void on another timeframe.
982
00:55:32,925 --> 00:55:34,245
It's again, it's the same premise.
983
00:55:34,245 --> 00:55:36,825
You're looking for a rebalancing price
only been offered on the buy side.
984
00:55:37,335 --> 00:55:39,885
We're always looking for it to be
balanced with sell side or down
985
00:55:39,885 --> 00:55:41,565
close or down movement through it.
986
00:55:42,105 --> 00:55:42,405
Okay.
987
00:55:42,675 --> 00:55:45,105
So we've only seen a buy-side
delivery here on price.
988
00:55:45,615 --> 00:55:47,805
We'll be looking for price to be
Beyonce and go lower down here.
989
00:55:49,845 --> 00:55:53,055
And lastly, we're gonna
look at, uh, all the CAD.
990
00:55:56,595 --> 00:55:58,845
You can listen to me a dollar.
991
00:56:02,850 --> 00:56:03,150
Okay.
992
00:56:03,150 --> 00:56:10,230
On a monthly basis, we came up,
filled in our sell side delivery here.
993
00:56:10,410 --> 00:56:13,410
I think, I think now we might not
have gotten all the way up to it.
994
00:56:13,410 --> 00:56:21,240
And I see the low is the open and starting
at 14 at the lowest 1 38 11, the high
995
00:56:22,500 --> 00:56:24,570
comes in here just, just fell short of it.
996
00:56:25,020 --> 00:56:26,100
So we might still get it.
997
00:56:27,540 --> 00:56:33,390
But we're looking for price that
rebalance all this sell side delivery.
998
00:56:36,360 --> 00:56:40,980
Can we have, again, that is at 1 30, 8 11.
999
00:56:42,900 --> 00:56:48,660
So we looking for that, um, we
did have a little bit of response
1000
00:56:48,690 --> 00:56:52,380
near the mean threshold this
down closed candle right here.
1001
00:56:52,590 --> 00:56:54,510
And yes, I know again, same scenario.
1002
00:56:54,900 --> 00:56:58,470
Um, you know, we passed away
for here, but look, we've had.
1003
00:56:59,385 --> 00:57:02,445
This has been validated in
classic terms with this candle.
1004
00:57:03,105 --> 00:57:07,245
So on a monthly basis, this bullish or
block, we've already seen a willingness to
1005
00:57:07,305 --> 00:57:09,315
the rally read around that mean threshold.
1006
00:57:09,315 --> 00:57:14,685
So it should this candles open
on a monthly basis at 1 34, 23.
1007
00:57:14,895 --> 00:57:18,195
If we lose 1 74, 23, we got someone,
no problems for this option.
1008
00:57:18,945 --> 00:57:19,155
Okay.
1009
00:57:19,155 --> 00:57:20,535
And they're probably going
to want to reach for cell
1010
00:57:20,535 --> 00:57:22,425
stops below the marketplace.
1011
00:57:22,785 --> 00:57:25,455
And that's going to be a significant
one because you have people drawing
1012
00:57:25,455 --> 00:57:28,305
trend lines here, and they're going
to want to take it back down here.
1013
00:57:28,305 --> 00:57:30,765
And if it does that, then we
have this gap to work with.
1014
00:57:31,215 --> 00:57:35,265
And again, I don't see that yet, but
nonetheless, um, everything still looks
1015
00:57:35,265 --> 00:57:42,105
bullish for this payer until we get
up to that 1 38, 10 to 1 30, 15 level.
1016
00:57:42,545 --> 00:57:46,425
If we see expansion through that, the
willingness to dry through, then we're
1017
00:57:46,425 --> 00:57:50,415
gonna be looking over here for the fair
bag gap that exists right over there.
1018
00:57:50,415 --> 00:57:54,675
So let's draw that in and
a little bit longer term.
1019
00:57:54,675 --> 00:57:57,405
I'm confident that that's probably
what we're going to look to see.
1020
00:57:58,770 --> 00:58:03,390
Get traded up into, and let me
give you some lipstick on here.
1021
00:58:03,390 --> 00:58:04,859
As you can see what
those levels look like.
1022
00:58:06,779 --> 00:58:11,279
Approximate 1 49 fifties, and
1023
00:58:19,830 --> 00:58:25,109
1 51 eighties, I think is a fair number.
1024
00:58:25,120 --> 00:58:28,380
Should we, uh, trade through
these bodies of these candles?
1025
00:58:28,799 --> 00:58:30,810
I don't think the wits going
to be that much of a resistance
1026
00:58:30,810 --> 00:58:32,339
factor and it's like a void.
1027
00:58:32,970 --> 00:58:36,779
Um, we'll probably see
longer term dollar cat.
1028
00:58:36,799 --> 00:58:39,750
Want to trade up into that level
of the Canadian dollar as a whole,
1029
00:58:39,900 --> 00:58:40,980
with a futures coming check.
1030
00:58:40,980 --> 00:58:43,290
I was looking at it really
doesn't look strong at all.
1031
00:58:43,890 --> 00:58:47,430
It could really be trading a
lot lower, longer term, and I
1032
00:58:47,430 --> 00:58:49,380
think this is even conservative.
1033
00:58:49,950 --> 00:58:52,109
So we'll see what we see
in terms of price actually.
1034
00:58:52,109 --> 00:58:54,990
But right now we're watching
potentially for it to complete
1035
00:58:54,990 --> 00:58:56,609
that the delivery of buy-side.
1036
00:58:57,780 --> 00:59:05,700
Because all the sell side has been offered
already on drop down into weekly gain.
1037
00:59:05,700 --> 00:59:09,060
You can see how that lines up
with weekly or a block as well.
1038
00:59:09,510 --> 00:59:12,960
I mean, just that up,
close up, close up close.
1039
00:59:12,960 --> 00:59:14,280
The last three I've closed candles.
1040
00:59:14,640 --> 00:59:17,910
The low is exactly what
we outlined on the weekly.
1041
00:59:18,630 --> 00:59:21,840
So we're seeing potentially
a continuation on the upside.
1042
00:59:21,990 --> 00:59:26,070
So we were looking for a
fair value gap last week.
1043
00:59:26,250 --> 00:59:31,950
Um, it got filled in, so we're
looking for the close here.
1044
00:59:31,950 --> 00:59:33,450
1 45 80.
1045
00:59:33,660 --> 00:59:36,330
I think that's a fair target.
1046
00:59:36,330 --> 00:59:37,470
Also short term.
1047
00:59:37,980 --> 00:59:41,880
So between now and not this Friday,
next Friday, that could be a scenario
1048
00:59:41,880 --> 00:59:46,140
that unfolds, uh, should we see
upside as well for this currency pair?
1049
00:59:46,170 --> 00:59:49,830
And yes, it's a pretty significant
move, but once everything starts moving
1050
00:59:50,340 --> 00:59:51,960
in, this pair can really get excited.
1051
00:59:52,350 --> 00:59:54,990
It's usually a very low
volatility, uh, pair.
1052
00:59:56,610 --> 00:59:58,980
Once they get this thing repin,
it, they're not going to get much
1053
00:59:58,980 --> 01:00:00,240
of an opportunity to get on board.
1054
01:00:00,240 --> 01:00:04,590
So be mindful that we're not have
to consider something at this level
1055
01:00:04,920 --> 01:00:06,840
or just below or just above it.
1056
01:00:06,840 --> 01:00:10,500
And can't be much more beyond that
because once they start going,
1057
01:00:10,980 --> 01:00:11,970
the range is going to be quick.
1058
01:00:12,000 --> 01:00:12,690
They're gonna be large.
1059
01:00:12,779 --> 01:00:14,970
And we probably won't get any
opportunity to do anything with it.
1060
01:00:15,240 --> 01:00:15,900
Apart from that.
1061
01:00:17,580 --> 01:00:24,660
Um, now if we fail, say we trade up to
that level here at 1 38, 10, 1 38, 15,
1062
01:00:24,660 --> 01:00:26,370
and we fail and start to trade lower.
1063
01:00:27,240 --> 01:00:30,660
That may be very problematic
for this, uh, pair.
1064
01:00:31,320 --> 01:00:34,950
And that means that everybody's
expectations of it going higher.
1065
01:00:35,340 --> 01:00:35,670
Okay.
1066
01:00:35,700 --> 01:00:36,300
Will be wrong.
1067
01:00:36,570 --> 01:00:40,110
And there'll be wanting to go lower
and they'll want to make an aggressive
1068
01:00:40,110 --> 01:00:41,759
move for sell side liquidity.
1069
01:00:41,790 --> 01:00:46,470
And that would be the initially
here, people are that low at.
1070
01:00:50,444 --> 01:00:53,355
January 29th, low on dollar CAD.
1071
01:00:53,355 --> 01:00:57,165
So that's where your self I liquidity
is resting on a longer-term basis.
1072
01:00:57,165 --> 01:01:03,255
Funds are below they're a little bit
more aggressive and weaker bowls.
1073
01:01:03,585 --> 01:01:04,545
There's sell.
1074
01:01:04,545 --> 01:01:09,045
Stocks are going to be resting below
the low formed on April 9th, 2017.
1075
01:01:14,055 --> 01:01:14,345
Okay.
1076
01:01:14,384 --> 01:01:20,625
Daily, uh, we rebalanced this morning,
uh, the range in here, the majority of it,
1077
01:01:20,714 --> 01:01:25,065
uh, didn't quite get all that to the body
that would have rather seen that happen.
1078
01:01:25,694 --> 01:01:30,645
But look at how much of a lack
of gap we had this high here.
1079
01:01:30,975 --> 01:01:33,495
Price came all the way down
and closed that in rallied.
1080
01:01:34,095 --> 01:01:37,845
So we have really an absence
of any fair value gap close to
1081
01:01:37,845 --> 01:01:39,855
us until we get down to here.
1082
01:01:39,855 --> 01:01:45,075
It's a very small one,
this low formed on a.
1083
01:01:46,410 --> 01:01:49,890
The 24th of April, that
low we're along lit candle.
1084
01:01:50,580 --> 01:01:56,400
And in the high formed on
April 18th candle, very, very
1085
01:01:56,400 --> 01:01:57,660
small little area in here.
1086
01:01:57,720 --> 01:01:59,850
So that might not be
enough to draw a price.
1087
01:01:59,850 --> 01:02:04,259
So if it's going down here, it's going to
come down for the, the cell stops here,
1088
01:02:04,259 --> 01:02:06,300
which will also close in a fair value.
1089
01:02:06,300 --> 01:02:10,250
Get that remains from this big candle,
outline that for you can call it
1090
01:02:10,259 --> 01:02:14,550
in your car to have our fairway.
1091
01:02:14,550 --> 01:02:16,170
You got really essentially there.
1092
01:02:16,890 --> 01:02:17,009
Yeah.
1093
01:02:17,020 --> 01:02:19,710
This candle here is
high buy-side delivery.
1094
01:02:20,009 --> 01:02:24,920
South side delivery stopped right
there on this candle on the 13th of
1095
01:02:24,920 --> 01:02:30,450
April leaving that exposed area of
only by side inefficiently delivered,
1096
01:02:30,750 --> 01:02:32,340
no sell sides then offered since then.
1097
01:02:32,340 --> 01:02:36,090
So should we break down
and I'll say it like this.
1098
01:02:36,090 --> 01:02:42,930
If we go down below the 30th of April's
candle below 36, 36, if we lose 36.
1099
01:02:44,085 --> 01:02:47,175
Um, we're probably gonna make a,
uh, an attempt to trade lower.
1100
01:02:48,255 --> 01:02:55,485
And we also have a small little tiny,
fair you got isn't in my opinion,
1101
01:02:55,545 --> 01:02:58,005
as significant as the one down here,
because if they come down here and
1102
01:02:58,005 --> 01:03:00,195
try to close in this little area
1103
01:03:07,035 --> 01:03:09,165
here, they're not going to stop here.
1104
01:03:09,165 --> 01:03:12,525
You might get a little bit of a dead cat
bounce and then ultimately run down here.
1105
01:03:13,035 --> 01:03:15,975
But we're still focusing primarily
for an attempt to get through here.
1106
01:03:15,975 --> 01:03:19,185
This looks like, okay, I'm
tired, I'm tired, I'm tired.
1107
01:03:19,275 --> 01:03:20,175
And we sold off.
1108
01:03:20,655 --> 01:03:23,205
We fell short by seven pips
from last week subjective.
1109
01:03:23,925 --> 01:03:28,245
So real close in terms of what we
were looking to see happen, that
1110
01:03:28,245 --> 01:03:32,175
1 38 big figure didn't hit, but
we still could see it this week.
1111
01:03:32,415 --> 01:03:33,915
So be mindful of that.
1112
01:03:35,715 --> 01:03:37,185
And that's what I'm looking at right now.
1113
01:03:37,185 --> 01:03:38,625
That's what a fresh perspective.
1114
01:03:38,655 --> 01:03:40,035
These are the outline.
1115
01:03:40,890 --> 01:03:45,620
Uh, for the pairs, I'm following what I
be anticipating in a hard timeframe basis,
1116
01:03:45,640 --> 01:03:47,070
not looking at the lower timeframes.
1117
01:03:47,550 --> 01:03:52,230
So we'll be watching, uh, Tuesday's
price action and how we close today
1118
01:03:52,740 --> 01:03:54,930
to see what side of the marketplace
we're going to be reaching for.
1119
01:03:55,650 --> 01:03:57,870
And if there's something to do,
we will certainly outline that.
1120
01:03:57,990 --> 01:04:00,360
If there isn't, I'll be honest
and tell you that there's probably
1121
01:04:00,360 --> 01:04:03,030
nothing to work with right now,
and we'll have to accept that.
1122
01:04:03,030 --> 01:04:06,750
So, um, you have three lessons
coming to you this week.
1123
01:04:07,380 --> 01:04:11,160
So check your outline for may content.
1124
01:04:11,550 --> 01:04:15,150
You'll know what they are,
and I'm going to escape here.
1125
01:04:15,270 --> 01:04:18,900
Wish you all a very pleasant
afternoon and remind you, appreciate
1126
01:04:18,930 --> 01:04:22,260
everything you've done in terms of,
uh, allowing me the time to take
1127
01:04:22,260 --> 01:04:23,040
care of it, how to take care of it.
1128
01:04:23,790 --> 01:04:28,410
Family-wise and I'll give you a recap
later on today with more insights and
1129
01:04:28,470 --> 01:04:31,980
I'll have that, uh, post to put up
sometime this evening, before five.
1130
01:04:31,980 --> 01:04:32,790
O'clock my time.
1131
01:04:33,360 --> 01:04:36,570
So you guys can vote on what you want
to do with, uh, with the remainder
1132
01:04:36,690 --> 01:04:40,290
of that mentorship, if you want
additional time without having to pay
1133
01:04:40,290 --> 01:04:41,730
for it, I'm willing to do that for you.
1134
01:04:42,570 --> 01:04:46,890
Um, but if you want to keep the schedule
as it is, you know, and you'll also
1135
01:04:46,890 --> 01:04:49,140
have that option as well to vote for.
1136
01:04:50,280 --> 01:04:51,030
And I think that's fair.
1137
01:04:51,120 --> 01:04:54,570
So I want to be, uh, democratic
about it said the majority
1138
01:04:54,600 --> 01:04:56,220
rule is what we'll go with.
1139
01:04:56,640 --> 01:04:59,160
And until I talk to you later on
this afternoon to the trading,
97751
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