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Good afternoon folks.
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Just recap for Thursday, March 9th, 2017.
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All right.
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So we had the dollar failed to make
a higher high, um, just fell short of
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getting above this swing high here.
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We were looking for a little bit
more movement than this, but since
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it's lost some brown intraday.
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We're going to be expecting non-farm
payroll tomorrow to shoot up above these
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highs in here, potentially if it sells
off more, we're going to be looking for
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an opportunity to see the market trade.
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I mean, threshold is the level
we're gonna be watching for
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if we get further downside.
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Uh, but it is non-farm payroll tomorrow.
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So it's best to really just the square
positions, move to the sidelines and wait
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until new week for new opportunities.
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All right.
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So the Euro dollar today I came
down, hit a daily bull shorter block.
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It's really framed on the fair
value gap that we have aligned.
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If we go down to an hourly chart,
this lore little portion of range in
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here, that's what was closed in there.
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Surprise came down, hit that,
closing the fair value gap, and
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then add a response to the ECB.
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Event this morning at eight 30.
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So this being seen, obviously had more
continuation on the outside for Euro
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pound and we had also the market show.
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Uh, I guess it's easier to
state in terms of failure to go
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anywhere of any significance.
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So we went above these relatively equal
highs, clear that out by faster gone.
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So it came up into the last candle here,
but again, no real clear indications as to
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what it wants to reach for, unless it just
wants a symphony to continuously go home.
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Um, I'd rather see it stay in
consolidation and see cable go lower.
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That would give us the outcome still for
European to reach up into its higher level
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objectives outlined on its daily chart,
which brings us over to pound dollar.
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Uh, this is the ally,
sorry, 30 minute chart.
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And I'm just showing you the
responsiveness of what we outlined
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today in regards to the fair
value gap between 2198 and 2190.
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So we gave an indication.
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We probably see the fair value gap
close in, but the rules for fair
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value gaps are equilibrium is many
times all it needs to go back to.
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And right in the middle
of 2198 and 2190 is 2194.
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And the taste a little rally up in
here, it takes us right to 2194.
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So you can't get any better than that in
terms of precision price would most likely
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if at all, go up to this level before
it trades down and takes out the equal.
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And that's exactly what
we saw happen today.
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So again, in regards to understanding
how the market profiles operate and how
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they transition from one profile to the
other, and intermarket analysis, you get
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these type of responsive price moves,
and it's, to me even doing this this
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long, it's still very inspiring to see
how precise these concepts can get you.
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And it's nothing random about it.
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You know, when you look at.
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Price action like this, and you
move this, remove all of this.
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Okay.
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And we just looked at a blank chart,
which I'm not going to do because
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I want to keep my notations here.
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But if we were to look at a 30
minute chart in this vein, it would
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look like complete randomness,
but it's seek and destroy.
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See how it's going above and below old
lows and highs are being taken out and
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it keeps going sideways with no real
clear direction that is indicative of.
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Typical market profiling as we go
into non-farm payroll and you're
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seeing it here in the pound.
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Okay.
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So moving along, we have dollar
CAD hit our objectives and a
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little bit more, uh, for this pair.
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Uh, we may see a little
bit of retracement.
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I'd rather, didn't go back down at all
that like to say, just really just gun
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higher and take out these equal highs.
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Just get to the 1 35.
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80 level.
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That would be enough for me.
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I'd be satisfied with that, but if
it can punch all the way up to 1
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36 big figure, that'd be amazing.
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Uh, and it could happen on
non-farm payroll news, you know,
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like rocket fuel for some payers.
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And if we get it, that's
what we're looking for.
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Uh, if we really reject from these
levels here, uh, it could be a reason
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to suspect a little bit of consolidation
to take place before we see any higher
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price moves to take out these levels.
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I don't see us completely collapsing
and going lower because on the way.
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Uh, Canadian futures are still
weak and nothing's changed on the
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horizon in terms of the commercial.
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So we'll look at that when we
do DCT information on Friday.
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So we have dollar, oh, I'm sorry.
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Aussie dollar.
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We had a move down into the lower
order block here, and we're looking
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for that to be traded through.
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So we want to see that actually
gateway and trade back up into
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that or this level over here.
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So the analysis that we've been.
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Utilizing for Aussie dollar
it's nothing's changed.
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So we're looking for an opportunity
to get short, to give us a
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rundown into this fair value gap.
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And ultimately down into this lower
level bullish or block formed on January
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6th, Euro pound, again just keeps
pressing higher, higher, higher, no
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real clear indication as what it wants.
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I mean, we have a void in here.
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We can close it and we have
a fair value gap in here.
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And then ultimately have
an old high we can trade.
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Uh, just it's really uncertain,
but it certainly doesn't
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want go lower apparently.
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So we're probably going to look for
firmness on Euro dollar and continued
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weakness on pound dollar, because
it has a fair value gap on its daily
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chart, which I should give you that
now I should have had it so fixated
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on wanting to bring up what we talked
about intraday during the live session.
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Uh, we're gonna have to look past.
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And it's a little unprofessional of me
to keep it like this, but you can see
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the low today just fell short of getting
into our fair value gap and we'll look
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for a continuation of that to occur.
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Unless once we get a strong
reversal, it's, doesn't appear
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it's there yet, but anything had
happened on non-farm payroll for.
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Dell again.
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Uh, we did get to the one
15 big figure intraday.
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We gave her a outline for a move from the
1 14 55 level all the way up into one 15.
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So that happened and came
to fruition today as well.
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So that was nice.
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Um, I shared with you on the forum, what
I did with my Robin's trading contest.
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Okay.
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Uh, going along when this particular
payer, uh, I don't want to trade it again.
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I was saying it to my son this afternoon.
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I don't ever want to trade it ever again.
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So it's going to have to take
something really significant for
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me to ever want to trade this pair.
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Uh, but I wanted to do it.
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I wanted to get it out of the way.
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I wanted to make something in this contest
with this pair, because I get asked a
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lot about why I don't want to trade it.
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I just don't like it.
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I think it's a sneaky payer.
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It does a lot of things that are.
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Surprising many times.
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So if they're going to continuously
manipulate their currency more than
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most other currencies, I just want
to be more active in Anela pair.
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And you can obviously trade this
and do very well on your own.
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But me personally, my cup of tea is
other pairs, not this one, but you can
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see how we have really nice responses.
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Intraday today, as price was hitting
here, I said, this is a good buying
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opportunity, and we're going to
take out the short term high.
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If it does.
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You want to take your profits
there and, or at one 15?
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And you can see that was actually a
really good, uh, formation of a intraday.
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They treat Dr.
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Suess.
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Oh, there you go.
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We were mentioning how that move on
Tuesday was going to be a problem.
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And it's going to have a real hard
time getting back up through its WIC.
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Well, it gave up the ghost today.
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Didn't it failed rather
aggressively lower.
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And to me, I don't have any opinion on.
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Dollar Swiss at this point, it needs to
get back above Tuesday's high for me to
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be resuming any bullets on this pair.
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I think we'll probably chop a little
bit going sideways and we'll wait
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for further information on this one.
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Gold continues to slide.
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Um, I think we did hit our 1201
almost made it to 1200 big figure.
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We will be looking for 11 90,
11, 80 as a potential downside.
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Objective rejection blocking here
and maybe a old run on a low here.
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Silver.
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Uh, we mentioned yesterday.
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At, uh, there would probably be a lot of
retail, hopeful spirits, uh, trying to
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buy 1720, uh, based on what they see as
technical analysis, support resistance.
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And I said, it's, it's, it's like that.
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It's not, it's not going to be about,
it's not going to be a buy there.
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So we had a little smaller intraday,
um, balance intraday only, and then
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aggressive selling rate through that.
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Uh, 1690 was a downside of today.
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We got as low as 1693.
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So only three points away
from the intraday low, uh,
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outlined before the fact.
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So silver is really taking it hard.
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So it may be a need to get down below
these lows in here, sweep out those stops.
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And if we can start to build another case
for bullishness, uh, that would be good
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for long-term silver, uh, opportunities.
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But as it is right now at stand
aside, wait for new information.
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Cause there's nothing to trade in here
that would be deemed as high probability.
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And that's it.
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Folks I'm going to.
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We doing the preview of New York
session in a prerecorded video
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tomorrow, it'll be posted before 8:00
AM and it'll be self-explanatory.
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It'll be brief allowing you
to digest it real quick.
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And if you can go to the bathroom on
your smartphone at work, you can down.
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I promise you, you can probably
watch it all before a normal
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visitation to the bathroom.
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And I will talk to you
all then until then.
15692
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