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Definitely folks.
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Welcome back click recap video.
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As we indicated this morning in our
live session, the equal highs in
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the dollar index have been ran out,
but we are back below those highs.
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Uh, we don't want to see this because
this will cause more consolidation
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and sideways price action.
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So they may have just came up here.
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Some close liquidity.
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We're looking for continuation on
the upside for the dollar index.
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That'll keep things in motion across
the board on all the foreign currencies.
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But as it is right now, it's
not indicating that yet.
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It just looks like it's looking like
it wants to clear the buy stops out.
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So again, we're looking for a
much more stronger close and then
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continuation through tomorrow.
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If we trade back down below this.
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Down closed candle even went to WIC.
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We trade back down below that
that's the middle of the range
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between this low and this high.
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So until we get continuation on the
upside, we will be cautiously bullish,
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but, uh, if we fail to go higher again,
we'll be neutral on dollar and we
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would have to go below these candles
bodies in here to go back into it.
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Bear stance on dollar.
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Euro pound, it's
continuing to press higher.
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We still are looking for this move
above the bodies of the candles in here.
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So that's still only upside,
um, potentially there.
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And that also bodes well for
potential sideways consolidation
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with dollar index as well.
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Euro dollar, we saw.
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Intraday move we called for this morning,
told you to watch the 1 0 5 20 level.
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We'd probably get some buying
opportunities in there,
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something to, uh, see a bounce.
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And I mentioned that we have a fair value.
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Gavin here, your price would
want to reach up into that.
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I did.
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In fact, go above that
little short-term high here.
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I did not note that it did take out
that little short term high sale.
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It is note worthy dimension here and
look at the reaction after doing so.
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So it's not a terrible amount of
pips, but not unless it's really
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nice to see how price draw off of.
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The one in 5, 25 weeks noted before
the fact, and then went up and closed.
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The level up, took a short-term
high out in MRC and some rejection.
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So, uh, this may also, um, need
to break below this low, to
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continue on the downside and it
needs to go above this high here.
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It's created these equal highs to
get in sync with moving higher,
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and we would be looking for a move
about this high and the body on this
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candle as well for rejection blocks.
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I don't see it going
above that personally.
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Uh, I think we will probably see it again.
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At, uh, this low here, 1 0 5 64,
1 1 to five, 60 to one to 5 65.
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If we try to try and trade
higher, one more time.
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If we get above that, then that
would be interesting because
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we've had 1, 2, 3, 4 times.
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Think about the cable as we're
getting ready to talk about in a
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minute, it's taken out all of the buy
stops and now we're seeing weakness.
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So this may be one more attempt to
clear out any short-term trailed
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stops right above the short-term high.
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And it may be indicating
that world will go lower.
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So that's a couple of things the
way out between dollar and year.
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So far, pound dollar, we've
seen price trade down below the
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bodies of these candles in here.
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Next downside.
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Objective is the rejection block
below these candles bodies over.
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And it comes in at 1 22 65.
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So that's our downside.
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Objective next, a nice movement, lower,
not focused on the buy-side at all.
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We're looking for the side liquidity only
in arresting rate below these candles.
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And it comes in the form again
at 1 22 65 Aussie dollar.
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Uh, this.
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Is just resisting any
willingness to want to go lower?
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Uh, if it does go lower, I
don't think it's going to be
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a long drawn out downtrend.
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It just simply is bucking all of
the underlying strength in the.
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So if the dollar is strong,
this should be coming lower.
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It's not, it's staying rather resilient.
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I think they're gonna drive it
one more time above this old high.
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So just be careful.
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And then, uh, one of our members
are, was trying to short it
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and has a short position.
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I kind of commented in, in
subtlety, like, Hey, do you really
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think it's gonna get down there?
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I don't like to be in.
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Of anyone's trades or kind of like
influenced their ideas or thought
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processes, but this is a strong pair.
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And to be shorting this pair, when it's
showing underlying strength against the
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dollar, still just, you gotta be careful.
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You just don't want to do that.
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You S CAD, uh, we're looking
for 33 75 to 33 70 in that range
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up in here into mitigation.
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So that's our next level.
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And we get through that.
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We're going to be looking
for the fair value gap around
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35, big figure 35, 20 35 15.
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Those are the levels
in this range in here.
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A dollar again, uh,
this has rejected below.
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And has gone above the short-term high.
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Now this could be a similar situation
with like the dollar index, say the dollar
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index broke out of that, uh, double high
and maybe it retraces and goes lower.
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That could be the same
catalyst we see here.
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Trailed trailed by stops may be taken out
now equal lows, knowing they roll over.
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I don't know for certain, but if we
continue to trade higher, where we looking
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for 1 14 30, and then I run above the
equal highs back here, dollar switch.
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Uh, this pair looks like it
wants to go up a little bit more.
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Uh, I don't, I don't see this
as any kind of weakness in here.
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I think we're probably trying
to make an attempt to go higher.
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We saw a nice reaction off of the
order blocking here, and I think that
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there may be a precursor to upside.
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So we might see 1 0 1 60, maybe 1
0 180 on the upside beyond that.
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I don't know what we'll see, but if it
continues on, we have equal Heights.
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Much like the longer-term
dollar index, uh, has a high
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that we can reach for as well.
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So that may be a catalyst for long-term
or Aimee and term, uh, considerations
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for dollar swissy gold has come down to.
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Paul shorter block on the daily chart
had some reaction off of it here.
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One a little bit lower than I
would've liked to seen, but we had a
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little bit of bounce off of it too.
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So I didn't want to see it
really trade below 1245.
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And if we get a close above that they
may bode well for some consolidation,
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I just don't want to see a trade
down below that 1 45 and close there.
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It's nice to see the support
here, but again, it's just
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simply not going to be permitted.
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In terms of my analysis to
be a strong bull market.
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If it goes back below and closes or
makes a run below that 1237 level and
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finally silver, just once that 1850
level in my mind, I think everyone
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probably drive it up there and hit that.
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Now, if we continue to roll
through that, we're looking for.
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82 19, and then maybe
going into the twenties.
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If we see some surge, especially
if we see the dollar sell off, or
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if it goes into consolidation and
just fails and the higher highs that
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will give the green light for silver
and gold to resume their options.
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But I think silver, like I've been saying
for months, I think this is the sleeper.
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I think this is the big
mover that's coming.
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And if we get an upside break with
dollar weakness, I think we will see the.
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And silver this year and that's it.
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Folks I will be with you
all live again tomorrow.
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8:00 AM, New York time, and we will be
back at it again for a New York session, a
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little bit more involved tomorrow morning.
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And I appreciate your patience while
we work through our payments and until
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then, how much good luck and good.
12088
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