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Good afternoon, fixes ICT looking and
the dollar index is a daily chart.
2
00:00:06,130 --> 00:00:09,270
See, we had a little bit of a
retracement today coming back up into
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00:00:09,270 --> 00:00:10,410
the bodies of these candles over here.
4
00:00:11,400 --> 00:00:12,450
Uh, this is a breaker.
5
00:00:12,510 --> 00:00:15,600
We have a down candle right before the up
move, clearing up these highs over here.
6
00:00:16,110 --> 00:00:20,700
So we're going to be interested to see if
this down candles, midpoint, which is also
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00:00:20,700 --> 00:00:25,350
approximately this fair value gap closure
up to the buyers of the candles in here.
8
00:00:25,710 --> 00:00:28,680
So it could still go up a little bit
in here, and then we're expecting
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00:00:28,710 --> 00:00:32,070
another move, lower attacking the
sell side liquidity down here.
10
00:00:32,070 --> 00:00:35,970
And also there is a fair value
gap, and I should've added this in
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00:00:35,970 --> 00:00:39,360
the chart that you have, but I'm
not going to do another upload.
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00:00:39,360 --> 00:00:39,630
So.
13
00:00:40,290 --> 00:00:43,589
You'll have two points of
reference for this bit of business.
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00:00:45,930 --> 00:00:46,080
Okay.
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00:00:46,080 --> 00:00:47,340
So we have this gap down here.
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00:00:47,580 --> 00:00:50,820
Uh, price has only been offered on the
upside buy-side liquidity is offered.
17
00:00:51,120 --> 00:00:53,580
No south side liquidity has
been offered since this move up.
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00:00:54,330 --> 00:00:57,255
So we're looking ultimately
for a move down into that 98
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00:00:57,255 --> 00:01:02,940
92 level where the dollar index
buy-side liquidity rested 1 0 1 8.
20
00:01:04,065 --> 00:01:07,665
And again, the draw on price I think,
is going to be to that 100 point
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00:01:07,665 --> 00:01:09,375
10 to 100 big figure near term.
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00:01:09,465 --> 00:01:12,915
And then ultimately if we get some
continuation lower, we were looking
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00:01:12,915 --> 00:01:15,225
for that 98 90 level on the downside.
24
00:01:15,645 --> 00:01:17,625
Once we get to that level,
we may bounce a little bit.
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00:01:18,375 --> 00:01:23,325
If we trade right on through it, then we
are in for a really significant slide down
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00:01:23,325 --> 00:01:27,765
to take out the low here and rechallenge
back all through these lows here.
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00:01:29,730 --> 00:01:32,820
Too ambitious of an idea, I think
for right now, but that's what
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00:01:32,820 --> 00:01:35,250
I'm thinking for the near term.
29
00:01:35,880 --> 00:01:36,060
Okay.
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For the Euro dollar.
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00:01:37,590 --> 00:01:37,740
Okay.
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00:01:37,740 --> 00:01:40,200
We have price hit the
bear shorter block here.
33
00:01:40,230 --> 00:01:43,920
The last stop . I hit it right to the PIP.
34
00:01:44,490 --> 00:01:45,990
We're now consolidating in here.
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00:01:46,440 --> 00:01:50,025
I think we're going to punch
through and get that 1 0 7
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00:01:50,025 --> 00:01:52,140
62 level buy-side liquidity.
37
00:01:52,640 --> 00:01:57,420
If we run through the WIC, we got 1 0
8 70 as an upside objective as well.
38
00:01:57,780 --> 00:01:58,680
Uh, downside.
39
00:01:58,860 --> 00:02:01,680
We have a bull shorter block here with
south high liquidity resting below it.
40
00:02:01,680 --> 00:02:06,330
So we're looking for this level one or
6 35 or thereabouts to support price.
41
00:02:06,330 --> 00:02:10,320
If it doesn't, we will start seeing
the run on liquidity below the.
42
00:02:11,459 --> 00:02:14,609
And they will look for a move
down below the advise of the
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00:02:14,850 --> 00:02:16,650
over here, disregarding this WIC.
44
00:02:17,489 --> 00:02:21,840
And we have a larger liquidity pool
resting below these loads here, but I
45
00:02:21,840 --> 00:02:28,649
think they're going to be more inclined to
take that 1 0 7 62 to 65 level out before
46
00:02:28,649 --> 00:02:30,510
we would ever consider challenging these.
47
00:02:30,540 --> 00:02:32,549
That's what I think is in the
cards for Euro for right now.
48
00:02:35,415 --> 00:02:40,245
For the cable yesterday, we had a
nice big surge up and we still have
49
00:02:40,245 --> 00:02:42,735
buy-side liquidity resting just
above the bodies of these candles.
50
00:02:42,825 --> 00:02:43,215
Over here.
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00:02:44,655 --> 00:02:46,425
We have the last up candle
ready for the down move.
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00:02:46,425 --> 00:02:49,305
So while I'm not terribly excited
about this being a bearish shorter
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00:02:49,305 --> 00:02:52,425
block, I am interested in the fact
that I think we'll probably go above
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00:02:52,875 --> 00:02:53,955
the buys, these candles in here.
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00:02:53,955 --> 00:02:56,895
So I think what I'll do it
while I'm right now, recording.
56
00:02:57,855 --> 00:03:00,795
That's the level I'm really
more inclined to see run through
57
00:03:00,885 --> 00:03:02,925
a 1 24 25, I think is doable.
58
00:03:03,825 --> 00:03:05,295
Uh, we're just retracing in here.
59
00:03:05,355 --> 00:03:09,075
Um, I think we're probably going to punch
one more time higher, but now if we do
60
00:03:09,075 --> 00:03:12,255
come all the way back down in here and
closing this sell side liquidity void,
61
00:03:12,255 --> 00:03:13,785
and what is the sell side liquidity void?
62
00:03:14,145 --> 00:03:19,095
The gap that we seen here at the
beginning of the week, we saw this
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00:03:19,095 --> 00:03:26,595
gap opening, and then we had a large
run up here in price where price has
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00:03:26,595 --> 00:03:27,885
never been offered on the sell side.
65
00:03:27,885 --> 00:03:28,355
Just get.
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00:03:29,175 --> 00:03:31,035
Candles closed and other candles opening.
67
00:03:31,485 --> 00:03:33,015
And we traded through on the upside.
68
00:03:33,015 --> 00:03:35,385
So really sell side
liquidity is not an offer.
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00:03:35,385 --> 00:03:40,575
It says it's a liquidity void or
lack thereof of any selling prices.
70
00:03:41,025 --> 00:03:42,495
It's only been priced on the upside.
71
00:03:42,495 --> 00:03:44,475
So we do have a large gap there.
72
00:03:45,165 --> 00:03:51,045
Now, if we do keep this lower high
here and we closed down that supports
73
00:03:51,375 --> 00:03:54,735
continuation on the downside for cable,
and then that would be supportive
74
00:03:54,735 --> 00:03:56,025
for a bullish move in the dollar.
75
00:03:57,345 --> 00:03:59,745
We're going to be weighing those
things out over the next couple of
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00:03:59,745 --> 00:04:04,785
days, Southside liquidity below the
low here, but more, more inclined.
77
00:04:04,785 --> 00:04:08,204
I think that if, as long as we don't come
all way down here, closest in, we're going
78
00:04:08,204 --> 00:04:09,465
to be reaching for the buy-side liquidity.
79
00:04:09,465 --> 00:04:12,524
Now we could come up above that
turtle soup, false break, above that
80
00:04:12,524 --> 00:04:15,644
high, and then come all the way down,
filling an avoidant and making a run
81
00:04:15,644 --> 00:04:16,815
for the sell side liquidity here.
82
00:04:21,019 --> 00:04:22,550
Moving over to dollar cat.
83
00:04:22,620 --> 00:04:26,240
We had a nice little pop into our
dollar CAD after taking the sell side
84
00:04:26,240 --> 00:04:27,320
liquidity out of the marketplace.
85
00:04:27,320 --> 00:04:31,280
So this is a dead area now remaining
sell-side liquidity rest below
86
00:04:31,280 --> 00:04:32,510
these equal loads over here.
87
00:04:33,110 --> 00:04:36,320
And we have movement above the bodies
of the candles here as expected.
88
00:04:36,860 --> 00:04:41,090
And if we continue go up here with a
fair value gap to keep in mind, and
89
00:04:41,090 --> 00:04:42,620
then the mitigation block right here.
90
00:04:42,770 --> 00:04:46,760
So upside, we can see
33 60, uh, near term.
91
00:04:46,760 --> 00:04:48,289
We're looking for 32.
92
00:04:49,530 --> 00:04:50,010
Upside.
93
00:04:50,010 --> 00:04:53,220
And then we have to watch to see
if this becomes a bullish order,
94
00:04:53,220 --> 00:04:55,290
block this down candle here.
95
00:04:55,290 --> 00:05:01,080
So, uh, be mindful of that
candles opening at 1 31 75.
96
00:05:01,080 --> 00:05:03,330
So it will probably be monitoring that.
97
00:05:03,600 --> 00:05:07,380
Should we see a movement up to this
level and closing in that fair value gap,
98
00:05:10,430 --> 00:05:13,040
Aussie dollar, uh, still
consolidating here.
99
00:05:13,040 --> 00:05:14,090
We have a new bullshit order block.
100
00:05:15,710 --> 00:05:20,030
Uh, 75 big figure to 75
0 5 should be support.
101
00:05:20,450 --> 00:05:22,850
And then I think we'll
see 75 80 on the upside.
102
00:05:23,300 --> 00:05:26,120
Uh, this has been really
resilient on the buy side.
103
00:05:26,510 --> 00:05:28,250
I think we're looking
for the continuation of.
104
00:05:29,460 --> 00:05:32,700
That, uh, higher press on
prices on Aussie dollar.
105
00:05:32,940 --> 00:05:35,850
Now, if we lose this down candle
here or bull shorter block, we
106
00:05:35,850 --> 00:05:38,790
will be running, sell stock or
sell side liquidity out here.
107
00:05:39,270 --> 00:05:42,450
And if that happens, it will be
watching if this equilibrium price
108
00:05:42,450 --> 00:05:44,130
point of this overall trading range.
109
00:05:44,520 --> 00:05:48,390
If we go back below that, then we'll
be making a run for a retest of
110
00:05:48,390 --> 00:05:51,060
this or a block down here because
it's not been traded back to
111
00:05:51,690 --> 00:05:55,500
except for this one, retest, this
may be a return to a retrade to.
112
00:05:56,185 --> 00:05:58,435
At 73 55 to 73 60.
113
00:05:58,435 --> 00:06:03,715
So, uh, if we lose this low in
here, all eyes go down to 73 64, uh,
114
00:06:03,745 --> 00:06:07,045
downside objectives and potential
new bounces or for buy signals.
115
00:06:08,635 --> 00:06:11,275
And beyond that, I don't see anything
and we'd have to see it really
116
00:06:11,335 --> 00:06:14,545
Pierce through this before we ever
consider any movement back down to
117
00:06:14,545 --> 00:06:17,245
these equal lows here where sell side
liquidity, we were resting as well
118
00:06:17,245 --> 00:06:21,115
for the longer-term funds, Euro pound.
119
00:06:21,205 --> 00:06:25,725
Uh, Are down below the short-term
lower sell side liquidity was
120
00:06:25,725 --> 00:06:28,515
it ran rate for the sell side
liquidity, small little bounce today.
121
00:06:29,175 --> 00:06:32,865
We do have a gap in here, so we
have not had any buy-side delivery.
122
00:06:32,955 --> 00:06:36,615
So it wants to sell side liquidity has
been taken out below this low here.
123
00:06:36,975 --> 00:06:40,425
We may see it rally up closing
this buy-side liquidity void.
124
00:06:40,425 --> 00:06:41,415
That means there's no.
125
00:06:42,795 --> 00:06:45,675
Of price from this candle's
closed and this candle is opening.
126
00:06:45,945 --> 00:06:48,045
It just gapped up and then
we closed down through it.
127
00:06:48,045 --> 00:06:50,865
So we may end up going back
up in here to close that in,
128
00:06:51,405 --> 00:06:52,485
and that would look like this.
129
00:06:54,015 --> 00:06:58,545
And again much, like I said
earlier about this addition
130
00:06:58,545 --> 00:07:02,505
during the live presentation, uh,
this may be quite, and this may
131
00:07:06,395 --> 00:07:10,745
be better off doing an updated chart
on the, uh, the chart I've added to.
132
00:07:12,095 --> 00:07:15,545
The daily log for each day, presentations.
133
00:07:15,965 --> 00:07:17,615
Um, I'm just going to
keep this in here now.
134
00:07:17,645 --> 00:07:22,925
So we may come up here, close this
in for buy-side liquidity, avoid
135
00:07:22,925 --> 00:07:25,085
being closed in and then trade lower.
136
00:07:25,085 --> 00:07:27,575
But if we trade through that, we're
going to be looking for continuation
137
00:07:27,605 --> 00:07:29,645
up into the buy-side liquidity here.
138
00:07:29,645 --> 00:07:33,005
So that would be a run for
those equal highs at 90 40.
139
00:07:33,635 --> 00:07:37,445
Uh, apart from that we can consolidate,
uh, we do have this down candle in here.
140
00:07:37,955 --> 00:07:39,035
It's open comes in.
141
00:07:40,155 --> 00:07:41,055
85 99.
142
00:07:41,055 --> 00:07:46,245
So basically 86 big figure to
86 big figure to mean threshold.
143
00:07:46,515 --> 00:07:49,995
It probably, uh, looks like it's about
the high of this candle here too.
144
00:07:50,775 --> 00:07:57,045
So about 85, 70 to 86 big
figure, um, and thereabouts.
145
00:07:57,435 --> 00:08:00,615
So that would be the next downside
of Jeddah objective to watch.
146
00:08:00,645 --> 00:08:03,975
If we lose that level, all the sell side
liquidity below the body of this candle.
147
00:08:04,725 --> 00:08:06,675
It would be next in line for a run.
148
00:08:07,155 --> 00:08:10,095
And if we lose all that, then we're
going to put the cell stops below
149
00:08:10,095 --> 00:08:13,185
here, but near term, I'm thinking we're
probably going to see a little bit
150
00:08:13,185 --> 00:08:17,265
of a move back up into this closest
in and what we do at that point.
151
00:08:17,265 --> 00:08:20,235
If we go back down, we're reaching
for the sell side liquidity here.
152
00:08:20,235 --> 00:08:23,745
If we blow through this and make a
new high, we will be aiming for the
153
00:08:23,745 --> 00:08:25,395
buy-side liquidity here for Euro pound.
154
00:08:27,045 --> 00:08:32,055
And that would also suggest a movement
down for that big gap in cable.
155
00:08:33,179 --> 00:08:35,549
Over here, the sell side
liquidity avoid being filled in.
156
00:08:36,390 --> 00:08:37,169
That's all I got for today.
157
00:08:37,169 --> 00:08:37,559
Folks.
158
00:08:37,589 --> 00:08:39,209
I will wish you a pleasant evening.
159
00:08:39,510 --> 00:08:42,719
Again, we're going to be
meeting tomorrow at 10:00 AM.
160
00:08:42,719 --> 00:08:45,479
Live New York time until then
I wish you good luck and good.
14070
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