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okay.
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Folks.
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Welcome to the sixth teaching a motto
of the ICT, mentorship, learning
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specifically dealing with the secrets
to high reward trading setups.
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Some of, you may have already went through
my trading plan development series.
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Um, it was a long video series
as a lot of information.
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It was really aimed for those
individuals that have never really
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had exposure to the marketplace.
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Um, giving them ideas on what direction
to go and what to focus on primarily.
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And while it is a great deal of
information for a neophyte, uh, it is
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necessary to go through those things
because it has to, uh, give you well,
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not, it doesn't have to, but when you're
first starting out, it's important that
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you have a mentor or you have a framework
or a foundation to build upon to give
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your, your trading career a direction.
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Um, one of the most reoccurring themes in.
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My role as a mentor is new.
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Where do I begin?
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What should I do first?
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Where should I be focusing
my attention at now?
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What should I be studying?
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Okay.
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And while the trading plan
development series is still good,
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it's still valuable in my opinion.
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Um, not because I made it, but
because it's, again, it's useful.
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Uh, some of you and majority of
you actually are actually really
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exposed to my content and my
material as it relates to trading
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specifically to, uh, foreign exchange.
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But I think that the, if, if one were to.
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Look at what I actually
do on a day by day basis.
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Uh, what is the procedure?
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What are the things that I do to
elect a specific stance on the
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marketplace and what makes me bullish?
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What makes me bearish?
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Why do I focus on one
currency pair over another?
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Um, all those things are
decisions and processes.
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And while we will have specifics in
relationship to how I arrive at individual
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specific views or decision points as
relates to how everything fits together
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on in my decision process, um, it's
important that we start with kind of like
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a, um, a micro version of the trading
plan development series in this teaching.
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That's what this is.
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Um, while it's not going to be
comprehensive as the trading
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plan development series.
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Was, um, this one's going to
be a little bit more specific.
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Uh, it's gonna be more salient
to the things that I do as
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a specific Forex trader.
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Um, I don't look at all the things
that the trading plan development
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series, um, view course spoke about.
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Um, they do occasionally come up in my
thought processes, but they're not all
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required to come to a trade decision.
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Okay.
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So we're going to go through a lot of the
things that I believe that if you've been
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exposed to at least all my free tutorials
are, we're gonna be able to get down to
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a little bit more process and a decision
based parameters in this teaching.
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Now it's important also that we
go into this with the proper mind.
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Okay.
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I don't want anybody thinking that
we're going into trade signals.
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We're not talking about trading patterns.
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We're not talking about a stop-loss
placement or, or trade management.
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None of those things are important here.
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This is the last primer for us.
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Before we start going into the
specifics of breaking down individual
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decisions, um, each process, which.
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As a collective whole, as we'll discuss
in this teaching will you'll see
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that that's how the ICT mindset is.
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You know, what we do on a day
by day basis, what frames our
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opinion about certain things.
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And when do we change those opinions?
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And when do we, uh, move to the
sideline, all those things come
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by way of process thinking.
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Okay.
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And it's important that you understand
that while entry signals and stop
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placement and patterns in order
blocks and overflow and all the
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ICT, you know, jargon and the things
that get really, uh, exciting.
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Um, there's gotta be a little bit
of dry, uh, information presented
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to you and it's important.
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So I don't want you to look at this
video and go through it and walk
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away with, well, you know, this
isn't really teaching me anything.
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It really is teaching you.
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It's going to teach you how
number one to think in terms of
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foundations, because we have to
understand where we're building on.
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To elect a decision, but relative
to whether we're going to be a
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buyer or seller or where we're
going to stay in on the sidelines.
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Okay.
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Because that's the real secret to
trading, um, understanding what makes
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the process arrive at a decision.
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Okay.
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You know, what is the process?
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You know, what are the components
that help you arrive at whether you
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should be a trader buying or selling
or staying on the sidelines and what
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asset class should you be trading?
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And what specific pair are going to
be dealing with foreign exchange as
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we are in this teaching, all those
things will be, um, a little bit more
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clear, a lot more clear, I should
say, by having the thought processes
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of that, I'm going to introduce here.
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Now.
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Obviously there has to
be a specific order.
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Okay.
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There's got to be in the hierarchy
to what it is that we do as a trader.
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What makes our decisions, um,
Incremental w what, what do we do first?
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What do we focus on first?
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And obviously I've been a, um, a strong
supporter of the notion that every
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trader needs to have patience, obviously.
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And, you know, after patients, then we
have to understand when you obviously,
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what defines trade environments,
you know, are the environments
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conducive for trading right now?
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Uh, that's an, a topic that obviously
goes, um, largely, uh, taught by
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majority of everyone that's teaching
and has courses or whatever they do
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in terms of, uh, teaching the poppy.
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And I do a lot of work with
that in this mentorship.
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And it's going to be a lot more, uh,
spread across the entire mentor shifts.
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I don't really have one specific
teaching to talks about.
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Um, when you shouldn't trade, there's
going to be a lot of things that
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you'll come by experience and learning
that define those environments.
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Okay.
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Uh, the next stage is obviously it's
determined a trade parameter and you know,
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what makes your trading, um, you, uh,
buy or sell, you know, what gives you,
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um, those notions to even take action?
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Obviously it's not simply, you know,
well, it's been going up for the last
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60 minutes, so I'm going to buy, or
it's going to be going lower because
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of an interest rate announcement.
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I believe that's going to happen.
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So therefore I'm going to treat
them that it has to be very defined.
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Okay.
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It has to be.
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Specific it has to be binary.
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You do this or you don't do this.
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Okay.
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Do X or do Y okay.
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It has to be a very black
or white decision process.
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If you don't have your trading plan
or your perspective or, or a process,
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you know, in determining whether you
want to be a trader buying or selling
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right now, or staying on the sidelines,
it will create a huge vacuum where
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lots of emotional, psychological
and impulsive trading will creep in.
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And if you don't have these binary thought
processes and where you're specifically
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dealing with in terms of decision-making,
you won't have any structure and without
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structure, without having a refined, clear
trading model, what defines your trading?
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What makes your trading
model uniquely yours?
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You're gonna.
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And it doesn't matter who teaches you.
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It doesn't matter what principle,
what discipline you trade with.
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It's going to be an impossible endeavor
if you do not become highly organized.
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So the athlete, after a long period
of time spending in front of charts
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and, and work with individuals and
myself as a, as a trader, because I'm
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always a student, I'm always learning
something about myself as a trader, uh,
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not so much about the market anymore.
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And I don't mean to sound arrogant,
but most of my learning comes by way
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of my individual, uh, experience.
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And you're a learned that, uh,
that actually helps you refine
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your, your, uh, trade parameters.
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And next, obviously you need to know
what makes your executable criteria,
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what it is, what makes you be the
buyer or the seller, and, you know,
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having those, those parameters defined.
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It's not just simply
I'm bullish right now.
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Okay.
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Well, if you're bullish, what would
you do to be a buyer and what would
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make that buying scenario, uh, negated?
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What would, what would change the,
the, the tone of the marketplace for
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you to either move to the sidelines?
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If you have a stop-loss head, do you still
consider that being a buying condition?
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And these things have to be specific.
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They have to be highly refined.
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It's gotta be like a flow chart format.
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It's gotta, you have to go
from one step to the next.
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And if it's not like that again,
you're going to be very emotional.
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You're going to be very psychologically,
uh, influenced by the things that you
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see in the price action and worse by
online media forums, Twitter, Facebook,
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people talking to you and you're at work.
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And you have friends that maybe,
you know, they are traders.
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All those things are going
to be influential to you.
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And it's going to be detrimental
to your performance as a trader.
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So we don't care what
anybody else's opinion is.
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We don't care about what, uh, their,
uh, opinion of our trading model is.
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In fact, we're not really trying to
share our trading model to anybody.
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It's a unique trading plan
and trading model for you.
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Okay.
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And you're going to define
that, refine it to yourself.
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And that's going to be your graduation
when you know exactly what's going to
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be framing your trading model and you'll
have a lot of help along the way through
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the remaining months of this mentorship,
but they have to be defined by you.
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I can't force you to be a day trader.
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I can't force you to
be a short-term trader.
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I can't force you to be a swing trader
you'll know which one that is for
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you by the end of this mentorship.
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And then more importantly, you
have to understand why the trade
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should pan out and understand
what makes the trade viable.
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Okay.
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It's not just simply I see a trading
pattern here, or, um, I believe on bullish
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or I believe on bears in the marketplace.
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There has to be a real understanding
of why that scenario should
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take place and largely this is
going to come by experience.
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Okay.
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And obviously that experience comes
by taking action in a demo account.
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And when you do that
experience should be low.
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And kept for future reference.
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Uh, that's the only way
you're really going to learn.
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Um, obviously if you just go into a demo
account and you click on buy and sell and
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you're just waiting to see the outcome and
you want to attribute the winning trades
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as you're a good trader and the losing
trades, well, that really didn't happen.
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So therefore it doesn't make a
difference to me, um, that doesn't
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help you as a developing trader.
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So the real secrets to, um, finding
high reward trade setups is that
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number one, you have to know what it
is specifically you're looking for
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and where to find that information.
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So before we get into all those things,
I want you to understand that it's
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crucial to understand that efficiency
in trading comes by way of process
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oriented thinking it doesn't come
by way of reactionary or impulsive
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thinking, which also leads to rushing
ahead and trade signals prematurely.
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I could tell you if we were all going to
sit at the top of my email box and look
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at some of the things that I got and by
way of feedback, um, it's the reoccurring
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thing is, is I want to see trades.
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I want to see entries.
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I want to see, um, get me in and
get me out that type of perspective.
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And I understand that I get that.
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Okay.
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But I can tell you being from
where you are right now and where
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I am now, in my understanding as a
trader, I can tell you, that's not
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what you need to know right now.
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And it doesn't feel good to hear
that it feels like I'm leading
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you down the Primrose lane.
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If he is like, I'm just, you know, uh,
you know, differing, you know, something
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that you think you need to have right now.
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And that's not true.
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What it is is you have to develop
a process oriented thinking.
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And that means I can show you order book.
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You know, I can show
you, um, uh, breakers.
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I can show you institutional
order flow, uh, returning back
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to, um, uh, mitigation block.
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Okay.
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I can show you examples of that,
but until you understand the process
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behind why these things should be
doing what they're going to do, it's
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going to be really no help to you.
232
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It's going to feel like
I'm demonstrating toys.
233
00:13:52,110 --> 00:13:54,689
It's going to feel like I'm, you know,
showing you what this is, what I can do.
234
00:13:55,260 --> 00:13:58,380
And that's not what this is all about.
235
00:13:58,380 --> 00:14:04,770
It's to show you with an intimate
experience on a day-by-day basis, a
236
00:14:04,770 --> 00:14:09,180
weekly basis, a teaching tutorial basis,
a theme generalized over the month.
237
00:14:09,600 --> 00:14:09,870
Okay.
238
00:14:09,870 --> 00:14:12,390
That builds on your total understanding.
239
00:14:13,050 --> 00:14:16,319
Um, the folks that are struggling
right now are the folks that are
240
00:14:16,319 --> 00:14:20,880
really trying to be a reactionary
or they're impulsively thinking
241
00:14:20,880 --> 00:14:22,050
about what they want to do, right.
242
00:14:23,325 --> 00:14:25,635
And that's the hardest
thing for traders to do.
243
00:14:25,935 --> 00:14:30,105
When he first got involved with learning,
they have this insatiable desire.
244
00:14:30,285 --> 00:14:31,725
They have to be trading right now.
245
00:14:31,725 --> 00:14:32,505
They want to get in.
246
00:14:32,685 --> 00:14:33,705
They want to take signals.
247
00:14:34,035 --> 00:14:34,455
Okay.
248
00:14:34,485 --> 00:14:40,005
And I spent the entire first month,
September on a day-by-day basis
249
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showing you that there are a plethora
of trading signals all the time.
250
00:14:44,805 --> 00:14:46,575
We were laser guided precision.
251
00:14:46,995 --> 00:14:50,235
There's no reason for you to be feeling
rushed, adopt Tobar didn't change.
252
00:14:50,505 --> 00:14:50,955
Okay.
253
00:14:51,225 --> 00:14:54,285
The way practice is being delivered,
none of these concepts fell out of fad.
254
00:14:54,705 --> 00:14:55,125
Okay.
255
00:14:55,155 --> 00:14:56,055
It still works.
256
00:14:56,625 --> 00:15:01,485
But I needed to show you the first
month that there's nothing that's going
257
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to hinder your ability to find signals
because there's always a lot of them.
258
00:15:06,015 --> 00:15:08,775
The problem is going to be is,
is you don't know what defines
259
00:15:08,775 --> 00:15:10,665
the setups for you as a trader.
260
00:15:11,085 --> 00:15:14,805
And you're not going to have a
process oriented thinking that leads
261
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you to high reward, trade setup.
262
00:15:18,615 --> 00:15:20,715
And it's, it comes by experience.
263
00:15:20,715 --> 00:15:26,775
It comes by showing you conceptual
ideas and a broad brush idea of
264
00:15:26,775 --> 00:15:29,265
breaking down what it is that
we look for in the marketplace.
265
00:15:29,265 --> 00:15:30,824
And where does that information reside?
266
00:15:31,155 --> 00:15:31,965
So it's real important.
267
00:15:31,965 --> 00:15:35,564
Before we get into this, that this is
important that you focus on the fact that
268
00:15:35,564 --> 00:15:39,105
what I'm showing you in this teaching,
while it doesn't give you technicals,
269
00:15:39,135 --> 00:15:41,385
it doesn't give you trade scenarios.
270
00:15:41,385 --> 00:15:44,805
It doesn't give you a specific,
get in, get out type things.
271
00:15:45,255 --> 00:15:51,555
I'm I'm of the mindset that this is
exactly what I needed to be told when
272
00:15:51,555 --> 00:15:54,885
I first started as a trader, but no
one was around to tell me these things.
273
00:15:55,155 --> 00:16:01,605
No one had the experience around me, or I
had the, uh, the avenue of reaching them.
274
00:16:01,605 --> 00:16:06,375
Like you have with me, you have a very
intimate relationship with me as a mentor
275
00:16:06,375 --> 00:16:07,965
because I'm spending a great deal of time.
276
00:16:08,625 --> 00:16:12,074
And I'm investing a lot of my
time by way of my expenses.
277
00:16:13,005 --> 00:16:15,855
And it takes a lot of time to communicate
that because we're talking about
278
00:16:15,855 --> 00:16:19,665
someone that's been doing this for two
decades or more, and there's a lot of
279
00:16:19,665 --> 00:16:24,225
lessons I learned and there's a lot
of lessons that I resisted initially.
280
00:16:24,705 --> 00:16:27,225
And some of those are the same things.
281
00:16:27,225 --> 00:16:29,205
I'm one of those individuals
that are feeling it right now.
282
00:16:29,235 --> 00:16:31,845
And you know who you are because right
now you're squirming, you're wanting to
283
00:16:31,845 --> 00:16:33,525
get on, get on with it, get on with it.
284
00:16:33,525 --> 00:16:37,035
Michael, if you're feeling that
you're in that reactionary, impulsive
285
00:16:37,035 --> 00:16:39,105
thinking, okay, you need to change that.
286
00:16:39,105 --> 00:16:39,795
Suppress that.
287
00:16:39,795 --> 00:16:40,215
It's hard.
288
00:16:40,215 --> 00:16:45,525
I know it's hard, but you're not going
to get to high reward trading scenarios.
289
00:16:45,555 --> 00:16:45,915
Okay.
290
00:16:45,915 --> 00:16:48,615
That you can find very quickly
in the marketplace that you can
291
00:16:48,615 --> 00:16:50,565
find consistently efficiently.
292
00:16:50,835 --> 00:16:53,715
All those things are going to
evade you because you're looking
293
00:16:53,715 --> 00:16:55,005
to do something right now.
294
00:16:55,395 --> 00:16:58,035
And professional traders are not
in a rush to put money at work.
295
00:16:58,515 --> 00:17:01,995
They want to sit back
and wait for a scenario.
296
00:17:02,205 --> 00:17:03,195
That makes sense.
297
00:17:03,675 --> 00:17:06,255
So if, if we were all in a room.
298
00:17:09,750 --> 00:17:11,730
And everyone had a chance
to ask me something.
299
00:17:11,730 --> 00:17:15,210
I can tell you the number
one reoccurring question.
300
00:17:15,420 --> 00:17:18,960
If we were all to write it down on a
piece of paper ahead of time, not just
301
00:17:18,960 --> 00:17:21,270
the broken vocally, say it that way.
302
00:17:21,270 --> 00:17:23,520
No one would new basically
replay it and repeat it.
303
00:17:24,390 --> 00:17:30,370
The, uh, the question would come up
way of what makes me think this order
304
00:17:30,370 --> 00:17:35,350
blocks going to do what or what makes
me think that this level's going
305
00:17:35,350 --> 00:17:37,420
to keep price from going higher?
306
00:17:37,450 --> 00:17:41,950
Or what, why do I think that you to swing
should go up after midnight and then sell
307
00:17:41,950 --> 00:17:43,510
off, you know, what are all those things?
308
00:17:43,990 --> 00:17:47,360
And I understand why you're
asking those questions and they
309
00:17:47,360 --> 00:17:50,170
have the same types of questions
that I had about the marketplace.
310
00:17:50,170 --> 00:17:55,330
But again, I didn't have anybody to
direct those questions to, but it's
311
00:17:55,360 --> 00:17:56,650
important that you understand that.
312
00:17:56,650 --> 00:18:01,150
There's no way I can actually answer that
question to you now, because we haven't
313
00:18:01,150 --> 00:18:04,300
gone through all of the things that are
necessary for me to adequately answer.
314
00:18:05,400 --> 00:18:10,110
It would, it's almost like I'm
creating an additional language on
315
00:18:10,110 --> 00:18:14,370
top of what you've already arrived at
by going through my free tutorials.
316
00:18:15,240 --> 00:18:20,640
And that's why I require 12 months with
me because it's going to basically beat
317
00:18:20,640 --> 00:18:24,810
it in your brains by hearing over and
over again, specifically dealing with it.
318
00:18:24,810 --> 00:18:28,770
I'm going to try a trade by trade
basis, a daily, uh, involvement,
319
00:18:28,830 --> 00:18:30,330
um, the, uh, the application.
320
00:18:31,680 --> 00:18:36,450
And that's going to be, you know, the big
takeaway you're going to have experience.
321
00:18:36,540 --> 00:18:40,770
Whereas if I just wrote a book
or if I made some DVDs or CDs and
322
00:18:40,770 --> 00:18:44,370
you watch them, uh, that will be
it, it would be rather stilted.
323
00:18:44,399 --> 00:18:46,230
You would come away
with, well, that's cool.
324
00:18:46,230 --> 00:18:48,899
I can see how it works sometimes,
or I can see how it works in
325
00:18:48,899 --> 00:18:53,820
the past, but you don't have the
intimate relationship of sitting
326
00:18:53,820 --> 00:18:55,500
down and going through the process.
327
00:18:55,530 --> 00:18:55,860
Okay.
328
00:18:55,860 --> 00:18:58,080
And I explain why it should take place.
329
00:18:58,470 --> 00:19:04,110
We did some of that on a micro scale
in September, but we need to go through
330
00:19:04,350 --> 00:19:09,960
a process, uh, of, uh, outlining, you
know, what the beginning foundations
331
00:19:09,960 --> 00:19:14,340
are going to be, because as we go
into the fourth, fifth, and six month,
332
00:19:15,030 --> 00:19:22,770
they're going to be greatly, um,
uh, focused on the, the components
333
00:19:22,770 --> 00:19:24,240
that make up the trade templates.
334
00:19:24,389 --> 00:19:24,720
Okay.
335
00:19:24,720 --> 00:19:26,790
In other words, at the end of your
mentorship, you're actually going
336
00:19:26,790 --> 00:19:29,879
to get a flow chart for when to be.
337
00:19:31,095 --> 00:19:34,754
For swing trades wanting to be a
seller for swing trades, every specific
338
00:19:34,754 --> 00:19:38,325
decision point that goes through
my head as a trader and what tools
339
00:19:38,325 --> 00:19:40,605
you use for each decision point.
340
00:19:40,605 --> 00:19:42,615
And what's the response
that you should have?
341
00:19:42,975 --> 00:19:46,065
Um, everything that we use,
everything that I go through in my
342
00:19:46,065 --> 00:19:49,395
tools, uh, for short term trading,
same way, what makes me be a buyer?
343
00:19:49,395 --> 00:19:50,294
What makes me be a seller?
344
00:19:50,565 --> 00:19:51,885
You know, what makes trade no longer?
345
00:19:51,885 --> 00:19:52,245
Good.
346
00:19:52,245 --> 00:19:53,415
Where does my stock go?
347
00:19:53,415 --> 00:19:54,435
When do I move my stop?
348
00:19:54,445 --> 00:19:58,125
All those decisions that go
through my new, my mental process.
349
00:19:58,455 --> 00:19:58,875
Okay.
350
00:19:59,115 --> 00:20:02,325
Because whatever, everything I
do is process oriented thinking
351
00:20:03,014 --> 00:20:06,044
and it comes across as well.
352
00:20:06,254 --> 00:20:10,304
You you're just really good at this
and it's not that I'm good at it.
353
00:20:10,365 --> 00:20:11,865
It's just, I'm experienced at it.
354
00:20:11,865 --> 00:20:16,455
And I know what decision
I need to make right now.
355
00:20:16,845 --> 00:20:20,955
And sometimes it's sit on the sidelines
and because I've done it so long.
356
00:20:21,615 --> 00:20:25,485
That experience gives me
reference to go to mentally.
357
00:20:25,485 --> 00:20:28,995
And it only takes a few seconds sometimes
to arrive at where I think the market's
358
00:20:28,995 --> 00:20:33,915
going to go based on these processes now,
while it seems like it's a great deal
359
00:20:33,915 --> 00:20:35,535
of information and I'm, jawboning here.
360
00:20:35,895 --> 00:20:39,045
It's important that you
really, really listen.
361
00:20:39,195 --> 00:20:41,655
So if you're, this is one of
those videos, because there's no
362
00:20:41,655 --> 00:20:46,785
charts here, you need to sit down
and listen, don't be watching TV.
363
00:20:46,785 --> 00:20:49,605
Don't you know, don't be having
your kids in the sidelines.
364
00:20:49,605 --> 00:20:49,875
Okay.
365
00:20:49,875 --> 00:20:51,735
Distracting you, you need to
be paying attention to this
366
00:20:51,735 --> 00:20:53,055
one because it's important.
367
00:20:57,245 --> 00:20:57,515
Okay.
368
00:20:57,515 --> 00:20:58,445
So let's take a look.
369
00:20:58,445 --> 00:20:58,505
Yeah.
370
00:20:59,504 --> 00:21:04,935
How we go about this using the tools
and all the, uh, the processes along
371
00:21:04,935 --> 00:21:07,215
the lines of ICT related information.
372
00:21:07,605 --> 00:21:10,905
Um, obviously again, we're not talking
about D trade plan development series.
373
00:21:10,905 --> 00:21:11,325
Okay.
374
00:21:11,565 --> 00:21:13,965
It's just like a micro scale
version of all that stuff.
375
00:21:13,965 --> 00:21:19,365
So we're going go right into where the
information is going to reside and what
376
00:21:19,365 --> 00:21:25,845
you're going to be looking for in these
specific areas of study before we get
377
00:21:25,845 --> 00:21:28,004
into any high reward trading scenario.
378
00:21:28,305 --> 00:21:30,045
But we have to understand,
obviously there's going to
379
00:21:30,045 --> 00:21:31,365
be a big picture perspective.
380
00:21:31,725 --> 00:21:32,085
Okay.
381
00:21:32,085 --> 00:21:37,665
And w when I say big picture perspective,
it's primarily for areas of reference,
382
00:21:37,995 --> 00:21:40,425
it's going to be macro market analysis.
383
00:21:40,455 --> 00:21:44,685
It's going to be inter I'm sorry,
interest rate analysis, intermarket
384
00:21:44,685 --> 00:21:47,264
analysis and seasonal influences
385
00:21:51,035 --> 00:21:51,385
index.
386
00:21:51,385 --> 00:21:54,845
Next area of studies is going to
be for an intermediate perspective.
387
00:21:55,385 --> 00:21:57,395
Uh, we're gonna be looking
at top down analysis.
388
00:21:58,365 --> 00:22:03,075
Cot data, which is commitment
of traders and market sentiment.
389
00:22:06,165 --> 00:22:10,665
And for our short-term perspective, we're
gonna be looking at correlation analysis
390
00:22:10,905 --> 00:22:15,915
time and price theory and IPTA, which is
the interbank price delivery algorithm.
391
00:22:16,515 --> 00:22:16,605
Okay.
392
00:22:19,985 --> 00:22:24,365
Now looking closer at the big picture
perspective, we're going to take a look at
393
00:22:24,365 --> 00:22:27,065
what makes up our big picture perspective.
394
00:22:27,605 --> 00:22:32,975
Um, obviously there's four areas of study
and again, my, uh, macro market analysis,
395
00:22:33,005 --> 00:22:38,465
interest rate analysis, intermarket
analysis and seasonal influences, a little
396
00:22:38,465 --> 00:22:39,575
bit of a tongue twister here, folks.
397
00:22:39,995 --> 00:22:44,075
Um, when we look at the big
picture perspective, okay.
398
00:22:44,465 --> 00:22:48,815
Uh, while there's four areas of
study, um, we're going to need to
399
00:22:48,815 --> 00:22:53,555
primarily focus on at least two of
these that have to come into it.
400
00:22:54,495 --> 00:22:54,915
Okay.
401
00:22:55,275 --> 00:23:00,495
Um, what I mean by that is our
macro analysis, our interest rate
402
00:23:00,495 --> 00:23:05,535
analysis, our inter market analysis
and seasonal influences, uh, all four.
403
00:23:05,535 --> 00:23:07,035
These do not have to agree.
404
00:23:07,815 --> 00:23:08,265
Okay.
405
00:23:08,295 --> 00:23:12,795
But you do need to have two of
these components to arrive at
406
00:23:12,795 --> 00:23:14,385
your big picture perspective.
407
00:23:14,595 --> 00:23:14,865
Okay.
408
00:23:14,925 --> 00:23:18,405
And that words are our grand
scheme of things are, are
409
00:23:18,585 --> 00:23:20,235
our big picture perspective.
410
00:23:20,445 --> 00:23:20,895
Okay.
411
00:23:21,015 --> 00:23:25,785
Is going to be defined by at
least two of these areas of study.
412
00:23:25,785 --> 00:23:27,195
They have to come into agreement.
413
00:23:27,735 --> 00:23:34,035
It doesn't matter which of these four
that you elect to subscribe to, but
414
00:23:34,035 --> 00:23:35,265
they have to come in an agreement.
415
00:23:37,625 --> 00:23:40,085
So let's take a look at, um,
a little bit more information
416
00:23:40,085 --> 00:23:41,255
about each one of these four.
417
00:23:45,615 --> 00:23:45,855
Okay.
418
00:23:45,855 --> 00:23:49,605
So again, focusing on the big
picture perspective, the first
419
00:23:49,605 --> 00:23:52,635
thing we're going to be looking
at is the macro market analysis.
420
00:23:52,635 --> 00:23:57,615
Now, this is really simply described
as, are we in an inflationary market
421
00:23:57,615 --> 00:24:01,785
or are we in a deflationary market
when the markets or a currency or
422
00:24:01,785 --> 00:24:04,575
country is in a inflationary condition?
423
00:24:04,935 --> 00:24:07,905
Uh, it's going to have a direct
relationship on the currency.
424
00:24:08,565 --> 00:24:11,205
Obviously when they're in a
deflationary market condition,
425
00:24:11,475 --> 00:24:17,145
that's going to have a relationship
or a response to their currency.
426
00:24:17,535 --> 00:24:22,725
Um, it also, in terms of equities is going
to have a direct relationship to that.
427
00:24:22,725 --> 00:24:28,665
So when we talk about, uh, commodities
and we talk about, um, stock prices
428
00:24:29,025 --> 00:24:32,655
later on in this mentorship, uh,
inflationary and deflationary market
429
00:24:32,655 --> 00:24:35,775
conditions are going to have a
large, uh, impact on that as well.
430
00:24:38,195 --> 00:24:40,205
The next area is interest rate analysis.
431
00:24:40,745 --> 00:24:44,135
And obviously when we're looking at
interest rates, we have to consider,
432
00:24:44,135 --> 00:24:45,455
are we looking at higher interest rates?
433
00:24:45,455 --> 00:24:48,245
Have we seen a trend in interest rates?
434
00:24:48,245 --> 00:24:49,145
Have they been climbing?
435
00:24:49,574 --> 00:24:51,304
Are we looking at lower interest rates?
436
00:24:51,395 --> 00:24:56,885
Um, have we just had, uh, rates,
uh, uh, decrease or have we seen
437
00:24:56,885 --> 00:25:01,145
a trend in lower interest rates or
do we have an unexpected change?
438
00:25:01,175 --> 00:25:06,064
It's something coming out with,
uh, you know, FMC that, uh, their
439
00:25:06,064 --> 00:25:10,475
currency coming out and, uh, intervene
in their currency by having an
440
00:25:10,475 --> 00:25:11,915
unexpected interest rate change.
441
00:25:12,304 --> 00:25:16,324
Uh, did they hike interest rates or
did they do an unexpected, uh, rate cut
442
00:25:17,105 --> 00:25:20,284
and also, uh, by looking at interest
rates, which is not noted here?
443
00:25:20,554 --> 00:25:25,745
Uh, we look at differentials between,
uh, two interest rate markets.
444
00:25:25,745 --> 00:25:29,044
So between a currency that has
a high interest rate and another
445
00:25:29,044 --> 00:25:30,334
currency has a low interest rate.
446
00:25:30,725 --> 00:25:36,420
Uh, many times that creates what's
called a caring, uh, um, And carrying
447
00:25:36,420 --> 00:25:41,670
charge market where you can actually
have, uh, a very easy way of finding
448
00:25:41,730 --> 00:25:43,740
a trades directional when it has that.
449
00:25:44,190 --> 00:25:47,250
Um, but again, you know
what we're looking at.
450
00:25:47,250 --> 00:25:50,070
If we were just looking at these two
primary areas of focus for the big
451
00:25:50,070 --> 00:25:54,540
picture perspective, um, we could
have the macro market analysis and
452
00:25:54,600 --> 00:25:58,080
the ways we could see an inflation
in the market and, uh, interest rates
453
00:25:58,110 --> 00:26:00,420
alignment with that perspective.
454
00:26:00,720 --> 00:26:02,970
And that would give us
our big picture analysis.
455
00:26:02,970 --> 00:26:06,990
In other words, that would frame on a
grand scale, are we a buyer or seller?
456
00:26:07,080 --> 00:26:08,879
And we want to focus primarily on that.
457
00:26:11,680 --> 00:26:16,990
The next area of study is inter market
analysis, and it's going to come by
458
00:26:16,990 --> 00:26:20,980
way of the CRB index or we're focusing
primarily on the commodity market.
459
00:26:22,060 --> 00:26:24,100
And we're looking at the
relationship between the
460
00:26:24,100 --> 00:26:27,070
commodities and the us dollar index.
461
00:26:27,520 --> 00:26:31,300
Uh, you're going to see many times,
um, the markets between commodities
462
00:26:31,330 --> 00:26:33,810
and the dollar index are inversely.
463
00:26:35,010 --> 00:26:38,760
In other words, if the dollar index
is going up, usually commodity prices
464
00:26:38,760 --> 00:26:41,640
are going down and when commodity
prices are going up, usually the
465
00:26:41,640 --> 00:26:44,160
dollar is going higher and vice versa.
466
00:26:44,160 --> 00:26:48,660
In other words, um, again, looking
at these three areas of study, uh,
467
00:26:48,720 --> 00:26:53,940
we need to have these areas of study
to come in agreement, to arrive
468
00:26:53,940 --> 00:26:55,530
at our big picture perspective.
469
00:26:56,280 --> 00:26:56,550
Okay.
470
00:26:56,550 --> 00:27:02,070
We could see a interest rate, uh,
market, uh, indicating that there are
471
00:27:02,700 --> 00:27:08,100
lower rates on the horizon or, um, or
higher interest rates on the horizon.
472
00:27:08,610 --> 00:27:13,770
And that's gonna, you know, lend well
to a directional bias on a currency.
473
00:27:14,310 --> 00:27:20,070
And if we see that same time happening
where the commodity market wants
474
00:27:20,070 --> 00:27:24,180
to go higher, and the dollar index
wants to go lower, that gives us a
475
00:27:24,180 --> 00:27:28,590
framework for a high reward chain
scenario relative to the big picture.
476
00:27:28,680 --> 00:27:31,620
So the only thing we're doing now
is framing three areas of study.
477
00:27:31,920 --> 00:27:32,340
Okay.
478
00:27:32,340 --> 00:27:37,920
And if I haven't said it already, uh, what
makes a high reward trade setup is if your
479
00:27:37,920 --> 00:27:41,280
big picture perspective, your intermediate
perspective and your short-term
480
00:27:41,280 --> 00:27:43,260
perspective is all in agreement.
481
00:27:43,650 --> 00:27:44,010
Okay.
482
00:27:44,010 --> 00:27:46,650
And directional wise, if you want to
be a buyer or seller relative to those
483
00:27:46,650 --> 00:27:51,150
three perspectives on the marketplace,
if those three are in alignment and you
484
00:27:51,150 --> 00:27:55,200
trade on that side of the marketplace,
that is high reward trading scenarios or.
485
00:27:57,135 --> 00:27:59,505
And the last and the four
is seasonal influences.
486
00:27:59,535 --> 00:28:04,305
And that is obviously you speaking on
terms of, are we in a bullish, seasonal
487
00:28:04,305 --> 00:28:10,095
tendency for that asset class or, or a
payer or currency or for the dollar for
488
00:28:10,095 --> 00:28:14,025
that matter, um, or, or commodities,
if you, if we're studying commodities,
489
00:28:14,025 --> 00:28:19,245
there's a large, uh, seasonal influence
that has, um, an effect on commodities.
490
00:28:19,245 --> 00:28:23,205
And if we see that, obviously
there's going to be mirrored and
491
00:28:23,205 --> 00:28:24,615
what we see in the dollar index.
492
00:28:24,795 --> 00:28:25,185
Okay.
493
00:28:25,215 --> 00:28:30,945
Um, the CRB index is entering a time when
commodities as a whole, usually go higher.
494
00:28:31,485 --> 00:28:33,585
Uh, that's going to put
downward pressure on the dollar.
495
00:28:33,855 --> 00:28:38,385
So if there's gonna be downward pressure
on the dollar, that means that we can see
496
00:28:38,535 --> 00:28:43,605
easy buy signals in currencies to have
interest rates that are going higher.
497
00:28:43,965 --> 00:28:48,015
And that, that chasing of yield okay.
498
00:28:48,045 --> 00:28:51,375
With the currency makes
a high reward trades.
499
00:28:52,825 --> 00:28:55,975
And then obviously there's bears
seasonal tendencies as well.
500
00:28:56,335 --> 00:28:59,785
But when we go forward in the mentorship,
we're actually going to be breaking
501
00:28:59,785 --> 00:29:04,525
down what specifically frames a
inflation, I'm sorry to inflationary
502
00:29:04,525 --> 00:29:08,425
market and a deflationary market,
and how to go in and look at interest
503
00:29:08,425 --> 00:29:13,615
rates specifically and how they use
the interest rate market for timing.
504
00:29:14,215 --> 00:29:19,225
So it gives us a stage on when this
criteria is in place, what we do with
505
00:29:19,225 --> 00:29:23,005
it, you know, what, when should we
be buying or selling relative to the
506
00:29:23,005 --> 00:29:26,785
interest rate analysis that we see
and the same thing with intermarket
507
00:29:26,785 --> 00:29:28,735
analysis and seasonal tendencies,
508
00:29:35,395 --> 00:29:38,605
the next area of focus is obviously
the intermediate perspective.
509
00:29:39,115 --> 00:29:42,805
And that is by way of looking
at a top down analysis, uh, the
510
00:29:42,805 --> 00:29:46,285
commitment traders, data and market
sentiment, and for intermediate
511
00:29:46,285 --> 00:29:49,075
perspective, there's only really
three things that you're looking for.
512
00:29:49,525 --> 00:29:49,855
Okay.
513
00:29:51,135 --> 00:29:53,325
At least two of these things
have to come in an agreement.
514
00:29:53,745 --> 00:29:58,065
So that means by looking at these
three specific components, okay.
515
00:29:58,275 --> 00:30:02,655
Top down analysis is simply just looking
at, um, uh, higher timeframes down
516
00:30:02,655 --> 00:30:06,045
to a lower timeframe and CRT again,
if you're not familiar, what that
517
00:30:06,045 --> 00:30:07,425
is, it's commitment of traders data.
518
00:30:07,815 --> 00:30:11,745
Uh, what we do is we look at the CFTC
re uh, report that comes out every week
519
00:30:12,195 --> 00:30:17,565
and it gives us a reportable level,
uh, report on, uh, large commercial
520
00:30:17,565 --> 00:30:19,545
traders, uh, large speculators.
521
00:30:19,635 --> 00:30:21,225
And obviously the small specks.
522
00:30:21,255 --> 00:30:23,055
We're not really so
concerned about small specks.
523
00:30:23,595 --> 00:30:25,935
Small specks will be
somebody like ourselves.
524
00:30:25,965 --> 00:30:30,275
You know, when we're trading in
unreportable, uh, levels and almonds,
525
00:30:30,275 --> 00:30:33,345
we don't, we don't trade at a level
where we have to report our trade
526
00:30:33,345 --> 00:30:36,015
size, which is mandated by the CFTC.
527
00:30:36,315 --> 00:30:37,005
At least in the states.
528
00:30:37,005 --> 00:30:37,275
It is.
529
00:30:40,645 --> 00:30:44,605
And the market sentiment
is simply a, I use markets.
530
00:30:45,405 --> 00:30:51,735
Okay, which is a measure of brokerage
firms actually calling around and getting
531
00:30:51,735 --> 00:30:57,645
a consensus on whether they believe a
particular market is bullish or bearish.
532
00:30:57,765 --> 00:30:59,985
And it's basically, it's an opinion.
533
00:31:00,435 --> 00:31:03,495
Um, you can, you can use other
things like, um, there's certain
534
00:31:03,495 --> 00:31:08,565
websites out there that have, uh,
a bullish or bears, um, an opinion.
535
00:31:08,955 --> 00:31:12,705
Um, like if you go to bar chart.com
and you pull up a specific commodity,
536
00:31:13,005 --> 00:31:16,605
uh, you can actually see what the
community at large in net forum has
537
00:31:16,605 --> 00:31:19,215
for that particular, um, that view.
538
00:31:19,425 --> 00:31:23,115
Um, I think there's, uh, pretty much
just about every forum out there
539
00:31:23,115 --> 00:31:25,635
has a way of measuring sentiment.
540
00:31:26,085 --> 00:31:28,545
And I do a lot of research on Saturdays.
541
00:31:28,575 --> 00:31:30,225
With that perspective alone.
542
00:31:30,585 --> 00:31:32,625
I go through a lot of resources
and actually show you where I
543
00:31:32,625 --> 00:31:33,825
go and get all my sentiments.
544
00:31:35,205 --> 00:31:39,554
But, uh, it's again, this teaching is not
going to teach you everything about every
545
00:31:39,554 --> 00:31:43,304
individual component, but the components
that we're talking about specifically,
546
00:31:43,304 --> 00:31:46,965
we're laying down the foundation because
it's important that we know where our
547
00:31:46,965 --> 00:31:50,745
study is going to be focused going
through this mentorship and why it's not
548
00:31:50,745 --> 00:31:54,405
a lot of information, but it's a little
bit of homework that's needed for you.
549
00:31:54,735 --> 00:31:57,854
Did they get to the decision making
processes that I go through as a teacher?
550
00:31:59,195 --> 00:32:02,975
So again, intermediate perspective, let's
take a closer look at these three things.
551
00:32:06,975 --> 00:32:07,155
Okay.
552
00:32:07,155 --> 00:32:10,575
So enemy perspective on the
marketplace, framing, high reward
553
00:32:10,575 --> 00:32:12,195
trading scenarios or setups.
554
00:32:12,345 --> 00:32:12,615
Okay.
555
00:32:12,615 --> 00:32:16,485
Top down analysis is obviously this
going through a monthly chart and
556
00:32:16,485 --> 00:32:18,195
we do Mar monthly chart analysis.
557
00:32:18,225 --> 00:32:20,895
And w what specifically are we
looking for in a monthly chart?
558
00:32:21,285 --> 00:32:23,805
Um, you know, obviously without
going into great detail, because
559
00:32:23,985 --> 00:32:25,275
I'm not trying to teach it all here.
560
00:32:25,695 --> 00:32:28,095
Uh, the monthly chart is
we're looking at key levels.
561
00:32:28,095 --> 00:32:31,785
We're looking at intermediate
and longterm highs and lows.
562
00:32:32,265 --> 00:32:40,315
Uh, we're looking at, uh, uh, specific
order blocks and we're looking at, uh, you
563
00:32:40,315 --> 00:32:45,775
know, levels that show a clear indication
of wanting to repel price higher or lower.
564
00:32:46,935 --> 00:32:48,705
And the same thing as
said for the weekly chart.
565
00:32:49,095 --> 00:32:51,345
Uh, when we look at the weekly
charts, we're looking at again,
566
00:32:51,345 --> 00:32:52,754
a higher timeframe perspective.
567
00:32:53,085 --> 00:32:56,895
So it gives us a great deal of framework
for high reward trading scenarios,
568
00:32:56,895 --> 00:33:01,935
simply because of the weekly chart being
again, a weekly chart, uh, large funds.
569
00:33:02,235 --> 00:33:02,625
Okay.
570
00:33:02,685 --> 00:33:07,034
Large managed funds do a great
deal of analysis on weekly charts.
571
00:33:07,274 --> 00:33:07,665
Okay.
572
00:33:07,695 --> 00:33:11,745
Um, most of their work really comes
by way of monthly and weekly and
573
00:33:11,745 --> 00:33:13,695
they usually execute on daily charts.
574
00:33:14,205 --> 00:33:14,585
Okay.
575
00:33:14,655 --> 00:33:17,625
So it's important that, that you
understand that that's the reason
576
00:33:17,625 --> 00:33:18,735
why the markets move around.
577
00:33:18,735 --> 00:33:24,254
Like they do, um, most folks that have
YouTube channels and, and Facebook,
578
00:33:24,284 --> 00:33:27,915
uh, you know, uh, accounts and they're
out there trying to pretend that
579
00:33:27,915 --> 00:33:32,625
there are some kind of analysis or I'm
sorry, analyst, or, or teacher, um,
580
00:33:32,685 --> 00:33:35,625
they'll be teaching with a one minute
chart or a five minute chart, right.
581
00:33:36,315 --> 00:33:40,575
They, they lead individuals to believe
that these intraday charts have some
582
00:33:40,605 --> 00:33:43,695
influence over price and they don't,
all they're doing is reflecting.
583
00:33:44,055 --> 00:33:44,475
Okay.
584
00:33:44,655 --> 00:33:49,485
What is going to be arrived at, by looking
at a monthly, weekly and a daily chart?
585
00:33:49,485 --> 00:33:54,075
Because those three timeframes are
really what makes the markets move by
586
00:33:54,075 --> 00:33:55,635
having these intermediate perspectives.
587
00:33:55,815 --> 00:33:56,235
Okay.
588
00:33:56,295 --> 00:34:02,465
Again, you have to have at
least two of these, uh, the
589
00:34:02,465 --> 00:34:03,855
areas of focus in agreement.
590
00:34:04,365 --> 00:34:09,014
So in other words, you can have a, an
idea on a monthly chart that frames
591
00:34:09,435 --> 00:34:12,675
one of the two things that lead to
your intermediate term perspective.
592
00:34:13,514 --> 00:34:13,965
Okay.
593
00:34:14,025 --> 00:34:16,905
And it could be, obviously it
can be all for the weekly chart
594
00:34:16,935 --> 00:34:17,925
or it could be the daily chart.
595
00:34:18,405 --> 00:34:18,764
Okay.
596
00:34:18,825 --> 00:34:22,425
But that would be one of the two
that's necessary to frame your enemy.
597
00:34:23,819 --> 00:34:25,830
The next area of study
would be a C a T data.
598
00:34:26,069 --> 00:34:26,489
Okay.
599
00:34:26,819 --> 00:34:29,130
That's obviously looking at the
bullish hedging by smart money
600
00:34:29,130 --> 00:34:32,969
or the commercial traders or the
bears hedging by the smart money.
601
00:34:32,969 --> 00:34:37,440
And again, if you haven't watched
any of my free tutorials, um, there's
602
00:34:37,440 --> 00:34:38,850
teachings on commitment of traders.
603
00:34:40,110 --> 00:34:44,339
Um, it's important to know that you'll
learn everything you need to know
604
00:34:44,339 --> 00:34:46,230
about cot data in this mentorship.
605
00:34:46,230 --> 00:34:49,259
So even if you haven't
watched the videos, okay.
606
00:34:49,259 --> 00:34:52,650
Or familiar with commitment and traders,
just settle down, relax, please.
607
00:34:52,650 --> 00:34:57,210
Don't send me a Twitter storm of questions
or emails because everything I'm talking
608
00:34:57,210 --> 00:34:59,430
about here, I'm laying down a foundation.
609
00:34:59,880 --> 00:35:00,120
Okay.
610
00:35:00,120 --> 00:35:02,400
These are the things that you need
to be starting to write down in your
611
00:35:02,400 --> 00:35:05,400
notebook, because there's going to be
areas in your notebook that you need to
612
00:35:05,400 --> 00:35:07,560
have specific notes relative to these.
613
00:35:08,325 --> 00:35:08,715
Okay.
614
00:35:09,105 --> 00:35:12,885
And I will give you everything you
need to know and more trust me, but
615
00:35:12,885 --> 00:35:15,825
I'm just giving you the foundation
of where our study is going forward.
616
00:35:16,005 --> 00:35:16,185
Okay.
617
00:35:16,185 --> 00:35:20,145
Going into this mentorship, and
obviously with the cot data, we
618
00:35:20,145 --> 00:35:21,855
look at extreme levels historically.
619
00:35:21,885 --> 00:35:26,505
And in the last 12 months, in the last
four years, uh, when the commercials on
620
00:35:26,505 --> 00:35:31,425
the commitment traders report get to a
12 month extreme, higher or low, I don't
621
00:35:31,425 --> 00:35:35,025
want to say if they have a real extreme,
high reading or low reading relative to
622
00:35:35,025 --> 00:35:39,915
the net sum zero line that that's used
for the cot, uh, net traded physician
623
00:35:39,915 --> 00:35:43,965
chart, which you'll learn all about,
um, that usually sometimes indicates
624
00:35:43,995 --> 00:35:45,885
a change in their hedging program.
625
00:35:46,335 --> 00:35:49,265
And it gives you a real clear
indication of there's probably an
626
00:35:49,275 --> 00:35:50,625
enemy in term or longterm high form.
627
00:35:52,395 --> 00:35:54,495
And the last is market sentiment.
628
00:35:54,525 --> 00:35:58,575
Obviously we're looking at extreme market
bullishness or extreme market bearishness
629
00:35:59,025 --> 00:36:02,384
and again, that's one of the things
that come by way of my Saturday studies.
630
00:36:02,384 --> 00:36:07,694
I go through all of the things
that lead to my, uh, opinion or
631
00:36:07,875 --> 00:36:12,194
my own individual market sentiment
readings based on a number of areas.
632
00:36:12,194 --> 00:36:14,295
I go and look for, uh, readings.
633
00:36:14,295 --> 00:36:16,904
And then I get an average of that
reading and come away with a consensus,
634
00:36:16,904 --> 00:36:19,845
whether or not we're either at
a bullish or bearish sentiment.
635
00:36:20,415 --> 00:36:23,955
Now, again, out of these three, you need
to have at least two of them in agreement,
636
00:36:23,955 --> 00:36:27,705
the least the, uh, of significance
is obvious the market sentiment.
637
00:36:28,125 --> 00:36:32,475
But the main thing is, uh, you know,
the top-down analysis, you have to
638
00:36:32,475 --> 00:36:36,705
have a level or an idea relative to
the monthly, the weekly or the daily.
639
00:36:36,825 --> 00:36:40,065
It does not require two
of those timeframes.
640
00:36:40,095 --> 00:36:40,754
It just needs to be.
641
00:36:41,490 --> 00:36:41,879
Okay.
642
00:36:42,240 --> 00:36:46,109
Uh, you can trade really without the,
uh, monthly, weekly and daily chart
643
00:36:46,379 --> 00:36:51,029
and trade on a idea of relative to the
commitment of traders and sentiment.
644
00:36:52,350 --> 00:36:53,069
Now think about that.
645
00:36:53,620 --> 00:36:56,310
You're probably thinking, wait a minute,
Michael, when you say we got to use a
646
00:36:56,310 --> 00:36:58,230
daily chart, we've got use a weekly chart.
647
00:36:58,379 --> 00:36:59,370
We gotta use a monthly chart.
648
00:36:59,460 --> 00:37:03,270
Yeah, you can, but you can still
use the commitment, traders data
649
00:37:03,509 --> 00:37:06,750
information I'm going to provide to
you and market sentiment to frame
650
00:37:06,870 --> 00:37:08,069
your intermediate perspective.
651
00:37:08,759 --> 00:37:12,120
Now, obviously we're not executing
on an intermediate basis, but
652
00:37:12,120 --> 00:37:14,040
it frames your trade idea.
653
00:37:14,310 --> 00:37:19,710
You need one of two, at least three
to come in and agreement with your
654
00:37:19,710 --> 00:37:20,759
intermediate term perspective.
655
00:37:21,420 --> 00:37:23,910
Now I know what some of
you were already thinking.
656
00:37:24,180 --> 00:37:27,450
Well, what if I look at a monthly chart
and it tells me that this is bullish
657
00:37:27,779 --> 00:37:32,430
and the weekly chart says it's bearish
and a daily chart is bearish, but the
658
00:37:32,430 --> 00:37:36,960
commandment trader says it's bullish
and market sentiment is extremely bad.
659
00:37:37,710 --> 00:37:38,160
Okay.
660
00:37:38,400 --> 00:37:39,600
What do I do with all that information?
661
00:37:39,600 --> 00:37:40,470
How do I arrive at that?
662
00:37:40,500 --> 00:37:43,380
That's all going to be taught to
you in the mentorship, but the
663
00:37:43,380 --> 00:37:47,580
main thing is, is this criteria is
what we'll be using going forward.
664
00:37:47,640 --> 00:37:53,640
So that way, when we look at the market
in these views, you'll understand why I'm
665
00:37:53,640 --> 00:37:56,310
doing what I'm doing, because it's based
on the things that you're seeing here.
666
00:37:57,620 --> 00:37:57,890
Okay.
667
00:37:57,890 --> 00:38:01,880
So again, just knew that to have the
intermediate perspective outlined,
668
00:38:02,300 --> 00:38:06,260
if it come to an agreement that at
least two of these areas of study or
669
00:38:06,260 --> 00:38:09,500
focus for the enemy term perspective,
you have to come into agreement with,
670
00:38:09,560 --> 00:38:13,850
with two of them, no words either have
to be a buyer based on two specific
671
00:38:13,850 --> 00:38:16,040
areas of study here out of the three.
672
00:38:16,700 --> 00:38:17,000
Okay.
673
00:38:17,000 --> 00:38:21,470
So again, as an example, you know,
the weekly chart indicates a higher
674
00:38:21,470 --> 00:38:25,550
prices and commitment traders
suggesting that there's bullishness
675
00:38:25,550 --> 00:38:27,830
on the stance of the commercials.
676
00:38:28,280 --> 00:38:29,990
Uh, that would be enough to frame a.
677
00:38:30,840 --> 00:38:31,980
Intermediate term perspective.
678
00:38:32,010 --> 00:38:35,670
That means you're gonna simply wait
around for a short-term perspective,
679
00:38:35,670 --> 00:38:39,240
that lines up with buying and
that's really all we do here.
680
00:38:39,270 --> 00:38:39,990
That's all we're doing.
681
00:38:40,110 --> 00:38:40,380
Okay.
682
00:38:40,380 --> 00:38:43,710
So we're going to frame
a macro big perspective.
683
00:38:44,400 --> 00:38:44,790
Okay.
684
00:38:44,820 --> 00:38:48,440
And then eating an intermediate term
perspective and a short-term perspective.
685
00:38:48,490 --> 00:38:49,530
That's what we're looking at next.
686
00:38:52,830 --> 00:38:56,730
Keisha for short-term perspectives,
we're going to be looking at the
687
00:38:56,730 --> 00:39:01,530
correlation analysis time and price
theory and IPTA, which is again,
688
00:39:01,530 --> 00:39:03,450
interbank price delivery algorithm.
689
00:39:04,890 --> 00:39:05,550
So take a coach.
690
00:39:05,590 --> 00:39:07,740
Look at this short-term perspective.
691
00:39:11,535 --> 00:39:16,095
Okay, so right away, there should be
something staring at you that now all of
692
00:39:16,095 --> 00:39:20,085
a sudden, we have to look at three things
to arrive at our short-term perspective.
693
00:39:20,685 --> 00:39:23,775
And the reason why is because most
people just look at it and one minute
694
00:39:23,775 --> 00:39:26,745
chart, or if I'm in insurance says,
okay, well, this is what all I need.
695
00:39:27,225 --> 00:39:28,425
And that's what gets them in trouble.
696
00:39:28,695 --> 00:39:28,965
Okay.
697
00:39:28,965 --> 00:39:31,945
So when we look at short term
perspectives, okay, we're gonna be
698
00:39:31,945 --> 00:39:33,615
looking at the correlation analysis.
699
00:39:33,615 --> 00:39:37,695
And again, that is going to be
linked to your understanding of
700
00:39:37,725 --> 00:39:39,915
the U S dollar index SMT analysis.
701
00:39:39,915 --> 00:39:42,435
And I know it's probably
went way over your head.
702
00:39:42,435 --> 00:39:45,135
If you're new, if you never went through
my free tutorials, that's probably
703
00:39:45,135 --> 00:39:50,475
sounds like, uh, something you hear
from NASA, but, uh, that the dollar
704
00:39:50,475 --> 00:39:54,975
index SMT analysis is basically just
looking at the relationship between
705
00:39:54,975 --> 00:39:56,355
the dollar making higher highs.
706
00:39:56,775 --> 00:40:02,715
Um, A relationship between a currency
to the dollar, like the British pound,
707
00:40:02,715 --> 00:40:06,525
for instance, if the dollar is making
higher highs, if the British pound
708
00:40:06,765 --> 00:40:10,635
versus the dollar fails to make lower
lows, uh, that's a cracking correlation.
709
00:40:10,635 --> 00:40:13,905
And we, we view that with
a specific idea in mind.
710
00:40:14,325 --> 00:40:18,405
And the other, uh, correlation analysis
concept that I use is correlated pair
711
00:40:18,405 --> 00:40:22,725
SMT analysis, where we look at, uh,
closely correlated pairs, like for
712
00:40:22,725 --> 00:40:26,475
instance, a Euro dollar and the British
pound dollar, uh, because usually
713
00:40:26,475 --> 00:40:29,145
they move in a general same direction.
714
00:40:29,175 --> 00:40:31,365
Not always, obviously you can
see what the Brexit issue.
715
00:40:31,755 --> 00:40:35,205
Um, generally when there's a symmetrical
market, which we learned about in this
716
00:40:35,205 --> 00:40:41,415
mentorship already, uh, correlated payers
move in tandem, um, when they do not
717
00:40:41,415 --> 00:40:45,435
move in tandem, that obviously gives
us a lot of insight in terms of how
718
00:40:45,435 --> 00:40:46,725
we should be trading the marketplace.
719
00:40:46,815 --> 00:40:50,955
If it is not moving in
tandem, then obviously that's
720
00:40:50,955 --> 00:40:52,275
indication that we do not have.
721
00:40:52,980 --> 00:40:53,970
Asymmetrical market.
722
00:40:53,970 --> 00:40:57,029
So that means we have to be very
selective with our trades because
723
00:40:57,029 --> 00:41:00,149
now there is the lack of summit
symmetry in the marketplace.
724
00:41:00,149 --> 00:41:02,190
That means the dollar is
very clearly moving higher.
725
00:41:02,549 --> 00:41:04,740
All foreign currencies are
moving lower in sympathy.
726
00:41:06,390 --> 00:41:08,819
Next area of study is
time and price theory.
727
00:41:10,140 --> 00:41:10,379
Okay.
728
00:41:10,379 --> 00:41:13,290
And so in time and price theory,
we're looking specifically
729
00:41:13,290 --> 00:41:15,089
at the quarterly effect.
730
00:41:15,089 --> 00:41:19,859
That means every every three months
or so, uh, there is a new price shift
731
00:41:19,919 --> 00:41:22,410
in, in, uh, the higher timeframes.
732
00:41:22,410 --> 00:41:25,620
In the words, if the market's been
going higher, uh, generally you
733
00:41:25,710 --> 00:41:28,859
probably see the market go into a
consolidation over the next three months.
734
00:41:29,190 --> 00:41:32,850
Uh, not for the next entire three months,
but over the course of three months,
735
00:41:33,180 --> 00:41:35,580
if the market's been going higher,
uh, you'll probably see the market
736
00:41:35,580 --> 00:41:37,500
going to consolidation or reverse.
737
00:41:37,770 --> 00:41:38,190
Okay.
738
00:41:38,220 --> 00:41:40,109
And if the market's been going low.
739
00:41:40,800 --> 00:41:41,310
Okay.
740
00:41:41,550 --> 00:41:45,650
Over the next three months, uh, we may
see a consolidation and then go into
741
00:41:45,660 --> 00:41:47,610
range or it could reverse and go higher.
742
00:41:48,030 --> 00:41:51,210
And then we just, we were watching
them, uh, the market over a it's
743
00:41:51,210 --> 00:41:52,440
usually a three to four months.
744
00:41:52,440 --> 00:41:55,980
So I'll out a little bit of overlap
in terms of calendar months.
745
00:41:55,980 --> 00:41:57,270
It's not specific daily.
746
00:41:57,660 --> 00:42:01,560
Uh, you know, I'm sorry, it's not
specific to the first of every
747
00:42:01,560 --> 00:42:05,570
month to the end of, uh, you know,
the last day of the third month.
748
00:42:05,910 --> 00:42:07,200
I, it's not that clear cut.
749
00:42:07,530 --> 00:42:10,890
Uh, so we look at the market with
a quarterly perspective and allow,
750
00:42:11,010 --> 00:42:15,090
um, the next shift in market
structure to, uh, uh, unfold.
751
00:42:16,440 --> 00:42:19,500
There's a monthly effect where we
look at the monthly ranges and we
752
00:42:19,500 --> 00:42:23,700
look at, uh, specific points of
reference relative to the monthly.
753
00:42:25,064 --> 00:42:27,794
And then obviously the weekly
rains, most of you know about that.
754
00:42:27,794 --> 00:42:32,595
Cause I teach a lot in my free tutorials
about a one shot, one kill setups,
755
00:42:32,625 --> 00:42:36,855
which I think is like, that's like my
bread and butter go to, uh, that's how
756
00:42:36,855 --> 00:42:38,984
I, that's how I define my own trading.
757
00:42:39,075 --> 00:42:42,435
I am a weekly range trader,
uh, by far and large.
758
00:42:42,464 --> 00:42:44,564
That's usually how I'm
treating the marketplace.
759
00:42:44,564 --> 00:42:48,524
I'm looking for capitalizing, uh,
at least the lion's portion of what
760
00:42:48,524 --> 00:42:52,154
I interpret as the weekly rains
that may unfold for the week ahead.
761
00:42:52,904 --> 00:42:56,325
And then obviously the daily range
daily range is the time and price
762
00:42:56,325 --> 00:42:59,774
theory that we use for engineering to
daily range, uh, that the power three,
763
00:43:00,225 --> 00:43:05,745
you open high, low, and close how that
transforms into the actual daily candle.
764
00:43:05,924 --> 00:43:09,154
Uh, you know, those theories
and ideas concepts will we'll
765
00:43:09,165 --> 00:43:10,845
teach a great deal about that.
766
00:43:11,415 --> 00:43:15,435
Uh, and, and obviously time and time of
day, um, w we'll build on, what's already
767
00:43:15,435 --> 00:43:19,634
been shared in the free tutorials and
you'll actually have, uh, really precision
768
00:43:19,634 --> 00:43:22,095
based concepts, uh, as it relates to that.
769
00:43:25,920 --> 00:43:29,580
And I'm finally APTA, which is the
interbank price delivery algorithm.
770
00:43:29,670 --> 00:43:32,700
Uh, we'll be nailing down
institutional order flow.
771
00:43:33,360 --> 00:43:38,040
We'll understand, obviously, by looking
at liquidity, we'll be looking at
772
00:43:38,040 --> 00:43:43,260
how the market seeks liquidity and
we'll be finishing up our perspective
773
00:43:43,320 --> 00:43:45,360
on market efficiency paradigm.
774
00:43:45,750 --> 00:43:51,570
So when we are looking at the short-term
perspective, we require three things.
775
00:43:52,110 --> 00:43:52,590
Okay.
776
00:43:52,620 --> 00:43:57,990
Three things must come by way
of these three areas of study,
777
00:43:57,990 --> 00:44:00,990
correlation, analysis, time
and price theory, and the APTA.
778
00:44:02,370 --> 00:44:05,490
Preferably you have to have
at least one from each.
779
00:44:05,940 --> 00:44:06,240
Okay.
780
00:44:06,240 --> 00:44:09,570
So going, where do you have to have
a, your dollar index has given you
781
00:44:09,570 --> 00:44:14,010
an indication that it's showing you
a crack and correlation or correlated
782
00:44:14,010 --> 00:44:16,080
pair SMT is giving you insight.
783
00:44:16,500 --> 00:44:16,710
Okay.
784
00:44:16,710 --> 00:44:20,550
So that would be one way of
determining correlation analysis.
785
00:44:21,630 --> 00:44:23,850
The next area is crucial time and price.
786
00:44:23,850 --> 00:44:29,580
You have to have something from the time
price theory to indicate where you're at
787
00:44:29,580 --> 00:44:33,150
relative to the short term perspective.
788
00:44:33,570 --> 00:44:36,660
Now you're probably thinking, okay, well,
how is the quarterly affected a monthly
789
00:44:36,660 --> 00:44:42,660
effect or a weekly range, a short-term
perspective, uh, because short term is
790
00:44:42,660 --> 00:44:44,040
what you're actually going to execute on.
791
00:44:44,280 --> 00:44:44,550
Okay.
792
00:44:44,550 --> 00:44:48,240
It doesn't mean this is your five
minute or 15 minute, uh, set up.
793
00:44:48,570 --> 00:44:50,550
It's just, this is your
short-term perspective.
794
00:44:50,670 --> 00:44:54,390
So we're looking at framing, the
ideas of trading around a big picture
795
00:44:54,390 --> 00:44:57,990
perspective, intermediate term
perspective, and a short-term perspective.
796
00:44:58,440 --> 00:45:03,960
When we get things in alignment that
lead to us, being a buyer all across
797
00:45:04,260 --> 00:45:08,370
those three perspectives, being a big
picture perspective and immediate term
798
00:45:08,370 --> 00:45:14,760
perspective, and a short term perspective,
we are highly prepared to find high reward
799
00:45:15,360 --> 00:45:17,610
setups, to be a buyer in those conditions.
800
00:45:18,730 --> 00:45:20,460
Doesn't mean you're going to have a.
801
00:45:21,270 --> 00:45:23,310
No losses and you're
going to have all winners.
802
00:45:23,400 --> 00:45:24,150
It doesn't mean that.
803
00:45:24,150 --> 00:45:24,480
Okay.
804
00:45:24,780 --> 00:45:29,190
But we have a context that we frame
our ideas of trades with that model,
805
00:45:29,580 --> 00:45:30,630
or at least that's how I do it.
806
00:45:30,630 --> 00:45:31,290
So that's why you're here.
807
00:45:31,290 --> 00:45:32,220
You're going to learn how I do it.
808
00:45:32,220 --> 00:45:33,060
So this is how I do it.
809
00:45:33,660 --> 00:45:39,450
Um, we can have the correlated
analysis, give us a indication that,
810
00:45:39,900 --> 00:45:45,240
uh, we're going to be bullish on dollar,
which would be bearish on foreign
811
00:45:45,240 --> 00:45:47,850
currencies and time and price theory.
812
00:45:48,090 --> 00:45:48,510
Okay.
813
00:45:48,540 --> 00:45:49,590
Uh, quarterly effect.
814
00:45:49,800 --> 00:45:52,890
Um, w maybe we've seen
the market moving higher.
815
00:45:53,520 --> 00:45:53,850
Okay.
816
00:45:53,850 --> 00:45:54,720
In recent months.
817
00:45:55,020 --> 00:45:57,540
And we're probably getting
ready to go into a down cycle.
818
00:45:57,720 --> 00:45:58,080
Okay.
819
00:45:58,080 --> 00:46:01,360
And that would, uh, lend
well to, um, you know, being.
820
00:46:02,355 --> 00:46:09,555
On foreign currencies, uh, maybe
the, uh, um, the weekly range.
821
00:46:09,675 --> 00:46:10,065
Okay.
822
00:46:10,095 --> 00:46:13,335
Maybe we have, uh, initially at the
beginning of the week, we've rallied out
823
00:46:13,335 --> 00:46:17,565
from Sunday and the Monday, and now we're
primarily looking for what lower prices.
824
00:46:17,955 --> 00:46:22,065
And if we see that weakness on the part
of foreign currencies, relative to what
825
00:46:22,065 --> 00:46:25,515
the dollar index is suggesting, okay,
these are all scenarios I'm giving you
826
00:46:25,515 --> 00:46:28,065
just, and I get, cause some of you,
you're probably thinking Institute vague.
827
00:46:28,065 --> 00:46:28,875
Isn't that helpful?
828
00:46:29,145 --> 00:46:29,475
Okay.
829
00:46:29,955 --> 00:46:30,705
Believe me.
830
00:46:30,885 --> 00:46:33,375
This is, this is what
really trading is all about.
831
00:46:33,525 --> 00:46:35,895
You're doing all these
things behind the scene.
832
00:46:36,285 --> 00:46:40,335
The very little bit of time
that's used to execute trades.
833
00:46:40,605 --> 00:46:40,875
Okay.
834
00:46:40,875 --> 00:46:42,015
That's so tiny.
835
00:46:42,445 --> 00:46:46,965
The most of your time is going to be,
it'll be in the process of deciding
836
00:46:46,965 --> 00:46:49,605
whether or not you should be a buyer or
seller and what frames that criteria.
837
00:46:51,180 --> 00:46:54,510
And obviously the time of day, um, you
know, are we in a time of day where
838
00:46:54,510 --> 00:46:56,490
it's conducive for the trade, the setup?
839
00:46:56,640 --> 00:46:56,940
Okay.
840
00:46:56,970 --> 00:47:00,090
Um, we may not have anything immediately
off the quarterly effect or a monthly
841
00:47:00,090 --> 00:47:02,520
effect or weekly range or the daily range.
842
00:47:02,550 --> 00:47:02,970
Okay.
843
00:47:03,030 --> 00:47:06,150
Let the time of day may indicate
that now suddenly there's
844
00:47:06,150 --> 00:47:07,140
something that we could do.
845
00:47:07,590 --> 00:47:08,010
Okay.
846
00:47:08,340 --> 00:47:12,960
And obviously APTA is always going
to be essential, uh, understanding
847
00:47:12,960 --> 00:47:16,230
institutional order flow and
understanding where liquidity is and
848
00:47:16,230 --> 00:47:18,210
why the market will seek that liquidity.
849
00:47:18,810 --> 00:47:22,050
And our perspective is always with
the market efficiency paradigm.
850
00:47:22,050 --> 00:47:26,220
We look at the marketplace in
terms of where are the orders and
851
00:47:26,220 --> 00:47:27,800
it's not the orders of the smart.
852
00:47:28,755 --> 00:47:29,145
Okay.
853
00:47:29,145 --> 00:47:31,455
Like supply and demand tries to teach.
854
00:47:31,455 --> 00:47:33,885
They teach you that this is
where smart money orders are.
855
00:47:33,885 --> 00:47:37,065
And this is where smart money,
uh, uh, wants to go back to.
856
00:47:37,485 --> 00:47:41,685
They're not always knowing that there's
sometimes seeking where existing olders
857
00:47:41,685 --> 00:47:46,125
are that would allow them to engineer
counterparties to their execution.
858
00:47:46,425 --> 00:47:46,725
Okay.
859
00:47:46,725 --> 00:47:49,545
So in other words, they're run
old highs for the buy stops.
860
00:47:49,575 --> 00:47:52,695
They'll run old lows for the
sell stops because that will be a
861
00:47:52,695 --> 00:47:57,045
forced injection of liquidity to be
counterparty to their bookmaking.
862
00:47:57,905 --> 00:48:02,075
So we're going to go forward in
our studies, in his mentorship
863
00:48:02,105 --> 00:48:05,585
with a great deal of, uh,
refinement on all of these things.
864
00:48:06,035 --> 00:48:09,755
And I know some of you probably looked
at this and say, well, this is a lot
865
00:48:09,755 --> 00:48:14,675
of just boring information, but I
have to give you a context of where
866
00:48:14,675 --> 00:48:16,175
our area of study is going to be.
867
00:48:16,745 --> 00:48:19,145
So in the grand scheme of
things, we're going to be
868
00:48:19,145 --> 00:48:20,485
breaking them out, sit down and.
869
00:48:21,270 --> 00:48:23,550
Nice specific perspectives.
870
00:48:23,970 --> 00:48:30,150
And then what we do in these respective,
uh, areas of study that give us what
871
00:48:30,150 --> 00:48:32,460
we're supposed to be specifically
doing on a day by day basis.
872
00:48:32,880 --> 00:48:35,130
Now it looks like, and I've
been talking for a long time.
873
00:48:35,250 --> 00:48:38,760
It looks like a lot of information and a
lot of things to do before you come away
874
00:48:38,760 --> 00:48:40,120
with, okay, I'm going to be by herself.
875
00:48:42,000 --> 00:48:42,540
You'll see.
876
00:48:42,540 --> 00:48:44,940
Obviously the big picture perspective.
877
00:48:44,970 --> 00:48:48,750
You usually have that at the beginning
of the week and the intermediate term
878
00:48:48,750 --> 00:48:51,240
perspective, you usually have that
at the beginning of the week, too.
879
00:48:51,270 --> 00:48:53,910
It can happen or change gears in
the middle of the week, relative
880
00:48:53,910 --> 00:48:56,970
to Tuesday and Wednesday, but
usually the short-term perspective.
881
00:48:57,000 --> 00:49:00,510
That's the one that usually
changes on a day by day basis.
882
00:49:01,500 --> 00:49:01,740
Okay.
883
00:49:01,740 --> 00:49:06,150
So I understand that while we're doing a
lot of our homework and the big picture
884
00:49:06,150 --> 00:49:09,480
perspective and Amy and term perspective,
and we can do that on the weekends.
885
00:49:11,070 --> 00:49:16,470
Uh, your nightly or daily procedures will
be largely in this list that you see.
886
00:49:17,879 --> 00:49:22,529
So when we do like, um,
live sessions, okay.
887
00:49:22,649 --> 00:49:24,779
I'm operating from this scale right here.
888
00:49:25,240 --> 00:49:27,330
I'm looking for three things
that come in agreement.
889
00:49:28,020 --> 00:49:31,740
And that's why when I call a specific
move in the marketplace, they usually
890
00:49:31,740 --> 00:49:34,319
go there and I'm using this right here.
891
00:49:34,620 --> 00:49:39,169
They are all linked to my understanding
of what I arrived at for my intermediate
892
00:49:39,169 --> 00:49:41,169
term perspective and my big picture.
893
00:49:42,230 --> 00:49:42,620
Okay.
894
00:49:44,120 --> 00:49:48,710
But once you understand price
action extremely well, and
895
00:49:48,710 --> 00:49:50,480
yeah, you operate as a scalper.
896
00:49:50,689 --> 00:49:51,020
Okay.
897
00:49:51,020 --> 00:49:54,950
And I'm not trying to induce
the notion of scalping as a, as
898
00:49:54,950 --> 00:49:57,319
a, uh, an ideal way of trading.
899
00:49:57,319 --> 00:49:59,720
But I know someone you're going to take
my information and do that in variably.
900
00:50:00,140 --> 00:50:04,189
Um, you can just use what you see
here, and you can be a very efficient
901
00:50:04,189 --> 00:50:09,379
scalper if you understand what is
being shown here and what specifically
902
00:50:09,379 --> 00:50:12,230
that we do with this information and
you understanding what the quarterly
903
00:50:12,230 --> 00:50:15,230
effect is, what the monthly effect is,
weekly range, daily range and time.
904
00:50:16,690 --> 00:50:20,370
Understanding what SMT divergence is and
correlate SMT divergence and understand
905
00:50:20,370 --> 00:50:24,120
what that cracking correlation means
for you as a trader, and then obviously
906
00:50:24,120 --> 00:50:28,320
understanding institutional or foe,
whereas the stops and why those stops
907
00:50:28,350 --> 00:50:31,020
would be necessarily up for grabs.
908
00:50:31,110 --> 00:50:32,220
Why would the market go there?
909
00:50:32,220 --> 00:50:34,020
And that's what the market
efficiency paradigm is.
910
00:50:34,630 --> 00:50:39,150
So again, this is the only thing that
you need to be worrying about in terms
911
00:50:39,150 --> 00:50:45,480
of trade plan development for the ICT
mentorship, all of these things come by
912
00:50:45,480 --> 00:50:49,740
way of very, very short amount of time
looking at price and you'll come away
913
00:50:49,740 --> 00:50:52,050
with what you want to do right away.
914
00:50:52,500 --> 00:50:54,420
And initially you're going
to write down these things.
915
00:50:54,420 --> 00:50:54,630
Okay.
916
00:50:54,630 --> 00:50:59,010
I, I believe that, uh, the big picture
perspective is I believe that it's
917
00:50:59,010 --> 00:51:00,390
going to be this, this and this.
918
00:51:00,750 --> 00:51:02,790
And then you're going to go
into enemy term perspective.
919
00:51:02,790 --> 00:51:06,060
And, you know, you come away with your
analysis on what you believe there.
920
00:51:07,470 --> 00:51:10,950
When you see the short-term perspective,
you go through these same processes here.
921
00:51:11,310 --> 00:51:13,890
Uh, basically what you saw me doing
with the exception of not bringing
922
00:51:13,890 --> 00:51:18,360
out the SMT diversions, um, studies
in September, because I was looking
923
00:51:18,360 --> 00:51:19,440
at it, but you just didn't see it.
924
00:51:19,860 --> 00:51:23,790
The, uh, I was operating on this,
this short-term perspective.
925
00:51:23,820 --> 00:51:25,710
That's how that's my, this is my model.
926
00:51:25,950 --> 00:51:26,340
Okay.
927
00:51:26,580 --> 00:51:31,890
So as a day trader as a short-term trader
and as a one shot, one kill trader,
928
00:51:32,460 --> 00:51:33,780
this is all the information I need.
929
00:51:34,260 --> 00:51:35,880
I don't need anything
else outside of this page.
930
00:51:35,880 --> 00:51:36,660
You're looking at right here.
931
00:51:36,870 --> 00:51:38,880
I just need three things to
come in agreement with that.
932
00:51:39,450 --> 00:51:41,550
And then I'll understand where
it short term perspective is and
933
00:51:41,550 --> 00:51:42,330
where the market's going to go.
934
00:51:42,570 --> 00:51:44,730
And that's why I'm like
90 plus percent accurate.
935
00:51:45,210 --> 00:51:48,140
In the month of September, we pretty
much had a hundred percent hit rate
936
00:51:48,150 --> 00:51:51,180
when everything, when I asked the market
to show us in terms of where it was
937
00:51:51,180 --> 00:51:52,230
going to go and why it would go there.
938
00:51:54,015 --> 00:51:55,575
It's not always going to be that easy.
939
00:51:55,635 --> 00:51:57,765
There's going to be transitions
obviously on an intermediate term
940
00:51:57,765 --> 00:51:59,295
basis and even a long-term basis.
941
00:51:59,685 --> 00:52:03,435
And that will cause you to
have hiccups or speed bumps,
942
00:52:03,435 --> 00:52:05,445
if you will, or barriers okay.
943
00:52:05,805 --> 00:52:07,155
On the short-term perspectives.
944
00:52:07,155 --> 00:52:08,925
And that's where the
losses are going to be.
945
00:52:09,495 --> 00:52:12,465
You're going to find that your
losses are not incurred so much by
946
00:52:12,465 --> 00:52:14,955
way of trading in the intermediate
and long-term perspective.
947
00:52:14,955 --> 00:52:19,545
The big picture when you're trading a,
those higher timeframes, those trades
948
00:52:19,575 --> 00:52:21,525
generally will serve you very well.
949
00:52:21,825 --> 00:52:24,105
You will still have losses,
but you're going to find it.
950
00:52:24,585 --> 00:52:27,945
All of your trades that have
the majority of the losing side
951
00:52:28,335 --> 00:52:30,585
it's going to be because you're
in this short-term perspective
952
00:52:30,585 --> 00:52:31,745
and you either force something.
953
00:52:33,045 --> 00:52:36,165
That market's in transition
and yet to allow for that.
954
00:52:36,525 --> 00:52:36,795
Okay.
955
00:52:36,795 --> 00:52:40,365
So if you're focusing on the
higher timeframe perspective and
956
00:52:40,365 --> 00:52:42,105
your trades, that is an advantage.
957
00:52:42,405 --> 00:52:47,535
So while we see me operating a lot with
the 15 minute timeframe and the four
958
00:52:47,535 --> 00:52:52,275
hour and the one hour chart, um, the
things that we talk about are largely
959
00:52:52,275 --> 00:52:53,565
on the weekly and the daily chart.
960
00:52:54,495 --> 00:52:59,595
And if we do that primarily in all
of our trade setups requiring a big
961
00:52:59,625 --> 00:53:02,115
picture perspective and intermediate
term perspective and a short-term
962
00:53:02,115 --> 00:53:06,285
perspective in alignment and agreement,
that means all three, uh, we come away
963
00:53:06,285 --> 00:53:09,195
with a reason for expecting that outcome.
964
00:53:09,285 --> 00:53:11,325
In other words, higher
prices or lower prices.
965
00:53:12,765 --> 00:53:21,135
Um, thinking about what we have here, we
have to have seven things in agreement to
966
00:53:21,135 --> 00:53:24,525
make a high reward, trade scenario, okay.
967
00:53:24,525 --> 00:53:28,935
For a high reward trading setup, it
has to be four things in agreement.
968
00:53:28,965 --> 00:53:30,195
That means you have to have two things.
969
00:53:31,230 --> 00:53:35,460
In agreement from the big picture
perspective, you have to have two things
970
00:53:35,460 --> 00:53:38,970
in agreement with the intermediate
term perspective, then you have to
971
00:53:38,970 --> 00:53:42,270
have all three that's listed here.
972
00:53:42,569 --> 00:53:42,750
Okay.
973
00:53:42,750 --> 00:53:46,380
You have to have one from each one
of these three to come in agreement
974
00:53:46,380 --> 00:53:50,700
with all three perspectives, the big
picture to intermediate term perspective
975
00:53:50,700 --> 00:53:51,660
and the short term perspective.
976
00:53:52,770 --> 00:53:57,509
And if you frame your trades with
this mindset, what that does, is it
977
00:53:57,509 --> 00:54:01,080
number one, it gives you clarity.
978
00:54:01,140 --> 00:54:03,870
Number one, it gives you an
understanding of what it is that you
979
00:54:03,870 --> 00:54:07,410
should be expecting to see in the
marketplace and why which is important.
980
00:54:07,980 --> 00:54:08,279
Okay.
981
00:54:08,430 --> 00:54:12,000
It's not important to understand every
dynamic behind what's being shown here
982
00:54:12,000 --> 00:54:16,049
for each perspective on the marketplace
of study, that's going to be taught
983
00:54:16,049 --> 00:54:22,589
to you, but understanding that you
need to have seven things, okay.
984
00:54:22,589 --> 00:54:25,470
Seven things that build
high reward traits.
985
00:54:25,470 --> 00:54:25,560
Okay.
986
00:54:26,970 --> 00:54:28,380
This is not execution.
987
00:54:28,590 --> 00:54:29,460
This is not entry.
988
00:54:29,640 --> 00:54:31,590
It just gives you the framework.
989
00:54:31,620 --> 00:54:35,640
What makes that trade high
probability or basically high reward.
990
00:54:37,260 --> 00:54:40,230
You still have to wait for a entry signal.
991
00:54:40,620 --> 00:54:43,470
And again, that's the least
of your concern right now.
992
00:54:44,010 --> 00:54:46,590
So that's what I'm saying by looking at
this information like this, even without
993
00:54:46,590 --> 00:54:50,730
going into great detail about each
individual component, you can see clearly
994
00:54:50,880 --> 00:54:54,270
that there is a method behind what I do.
995
00:54:54,660 --> 00:54:54,960
Okay.
996
00:54:54,960 --> 00:54:57,210
Folks that are on the outside,
they'd look at what I do.
997
00:54:57,450 --> 00:54:59,880
And they say, well, it's,
there's no real structure here.
998
00:54:59,880 --> 00:55:02,130
There's no real, um, plan of action.
999
00:55:02,130 --> 00:55:04,920
Now there's no way of knowing
what it is that I should be doing
1000
00:55:04,980 --> 00:55:06,090
from the beginning to the end.
1001
00:55:06,510 --> 00:55:10,500
And that is because they have not been
exposed to what you're being exposed to.
1002
00:55:10,500 --> 00:55:14,820
Now, there is a method, there is
a rhythm, there's a routine that
1003
00:55:14,820 --> 00:55:18,420
you go through, but they have to
come by way of a process oriented.
1004
00:55:19,425 --> 00:55:21,375
And this is how I break the market down.
1005
00:55:21,405 --> 00:55:22,635
This is how I internalize it.
1006
00:55:23,115 --> 00:55:26,085
And I do it through the process of
going through these three perspectives.
1007
00:55:26,085 --> 00:55:28,545
And by doing that, it gives
me everything that I need in
1008
00:55:28,545 --> 00:55:30,195
terms of arriving at a decision.
1009
00:55:30,915 --> 00:55:35,865
And once you have that same process
of, uh, thinking, okay, you'll have no
1010
00:55:35,865 --> 00:55:39,765
problem going through the marketplace,
finding scenarios and setups, and in
1011
00:55:39,765 --> 00:55:44,565
picking out what gives you your unique
trade set up that you like to trade.
1012
00:55:44,565 --> 00:55:51,225
If you find very easy and the clarity will
be exactly as you imagined it would be.
1013
00:55:51,345 --> 00:55:53,865
And when you get in front of the
chart, it just jumps off at you.
1014
00:55:54,165 --> 00:55:54,405
Okay.
1015
00:55:54,405 --> 00:55:56,595
That's how it will be
for you as a new trader.
1016
00:55:57,135 --> 00:55:59,445
You don't get exposed to
these types of thinking.
1017
00:55:59,655 --> 00:56:03,625
You don't get exposed to these
process, uh, you know, uh, uh,
1018
00:56:04,005 --> 00:56:07,395
procedures where you have to look
at things conceptually, because
1019
00:56:07,455 --> 00:56:09,345
number one, it doesn't sell courses.
1020
00:56:09,825 --> 00:56:11,625
It doesn't make you want
to watch that YouTube.
1021
00:56:12,630 --> 00:56:13,920
You don't want to listen to this one.
1022
00:56:14,920 --> 00:56:15,270
Okay.
1023
00:56:15,300 --> 00:56:17,430
But this is where the real meat is.
1024
00:56:17,550 --> 00:56:17,880
Okay.
1025
00:56:17,880 --> 00:56:22,950
You have to know why these things make
a difference and why it's important that
1026
00:56:22,950 --> 00:56:27,630
you understand what you need to be doing
for individual perspectives of study.
1027
00:56:28,200 --> 00:56:31,080
And then once you go through it and
understand it it's like anything
1028
00:56:31,080 --> 00:56:34,500
else, no one wants to read the
driver's manual to learn how to drive.
1029
00:56:34,920 --> 00:56:38,430
No one wants to look at the instruction
manual on how to put that TV standard
1030
00:56:38,430 --> 00:56:40,410
together that you had to buy.
1031
00:56:40,410 --> 00:56:41,670
Cause your wife said you had to have it.
1032
00:56:41,790 --> 00:56:42,090
Okay.
1033
00:56:42,090 --> 00:56:44,100
And you just want to look at
the parts and fit it together so
1034
00:56:44,100 --> 00:56:44,970
you can quickly get through it.
1035
00:56:45,600 --> 00:56:46,980
You can't do that with trading.
1036
00:56:47,340 --> 00:56:47,610
Okay.
1037
00:56:47,610 --> 00:56:49,980
You have to go through this boring stuff.
1038
00:56:50,550 --> 00:56:52,350
And it means a great deal.
1039
00:56:52,350 --> 00:56:56,730
Trust me, if I would have been told this
initially I would have ignored it too.
1040
00:56:57,330 --> 00:56:58,620
I would have just pushed it aside.
1041
00:56:59,100 --> 00:57:01,770
And I was looking for, give me the buy
signals and give me the sell signals.
1042
00:57:01,980 --> 00:57:03,030
Cause that's how I thought too.
1043
00:57:03,630 --> 00:57:07,770
Once I felt the pain of not knowing what I
was doing, then I suddenly got interested
1044
00:57:07,770 --> 00:57:09,660
in what makes traders think the way.
1045
00:57:10,620 --> 00:57:13,740
And then what's the process of why
they think they way they think.
1046
00:57:13,770 --> 00:57:16,650
And why, why did they build
their trading plans around that?
1047
00:57:16,740 --> 00:57:20,790
And if you think about it, what
do you not see in the marketplace?
1048
00:57:21,569 --> 00:57:24,690
When people sell things and they
sell courses and stuff, what is it?
1049
00:57:24,690 --> 00:57:25,470
They don't sell.
1050
00:57:26,790 --> 00:57:29,970
They never sell you an
actual trading plan.
1051
00:57:30,330 --> 00:57:33,540
They never sell you a step-by-step.
1052
00:57:33,540 --> 00:57:34,830
This is what you're going to do.
1053
00:57:35,040 --> 00:57:36,720
And this is the reason
why it should do this.
1054
00:57:37,440 --> 00:57:38,160
No one does that.
1055
00:57:39,629 --> 00:57:41,700
That was my goal for this mentorship.
1056
00:57:41,730 --> 00:57:45,089
I want to show you what
specifically I do as a trader.
1057
00:57:45,120 --> 00:57:48,359
Now I'm going to give you all kinds
of ideas on how you can refine
1058
00:57:48,359 --> 00:57:49,920
that and make it uniquely yours.
1059
00:57:50,279 --> 00:57:53,640
And you can define your own trading
model around that, because I believe
1060
00:57:53,700 --> 00:57:56,160
just like Chris, Laurie has said, and
I was in agreement with him when he
1061
00:57:56,160 --> 00:57:58,920
said it, you can't copy someone else.
1062
00:57:58,980 --> 00:57:59,609
You can't do it.
1063
00:57:59,850 --> 00:58:03,960
And some of you want to be just like
me as a trader and do this and do that.
1064
00:58:04,290 --> 00:58:07,080
You're only really asking to be
able to call moves and track.
1065
00:58:07,830 --> 00:58:09,690
Did a levels, like I call it an advance.
1066
00:58:09,990 --> 00:58:11,730
So it's not that you
want to trade like me.
1067
00:58:11,850 --> 00:58:15,240
You want to have the ability to read and
interpret price acts in the same way I do.
1068
00:58:15,420 --> 00:58:17,040
And that's what you bought and paid for.
1069
00:58:17,250 --> 00:58:19,020
And that's what you're
going to get as a delivery.
1070
00:58:19,200 --> 00:58:21,090
By the end of this mentorship,
you're going to have everything
1071
00:58:21,090 --> 00:58:25,950
that I do, why I do what I do
and how I arrive at understanding
1072
00:58:26,190 --> 00:58:27,960
is what it has been shown here.
1073
00:58:28,530 --> 00:58:29,820
There's no secret sauce.
1074
00:58:30,120 --> 00:58:31,350
There's nothing outside of.
1075
00:58:31,350 --> 00:58:36,300
What's been shown here, the theory
behind why they all blend together.
1076
00:58:36,780 --> 00:58:37,200
Okay.
1077
00:58:37,650 --> 00:58:39,840
That's what we'll be building on.
1078
00:58:39,840 --> 00:58:42,960
And at the end, once we understand
intimately what each one of these
1079
00:58:42,960 --> 00:58:48,270
perspectives we're looking for
and what criteria lends well for
1080
00:58:48,300 --> 00:58:51,060
the decision-making process for
each individual perspective and
1081
00:58:51,060 --> 00:58:52,890
individual respective component.
1082
00:58:53,940 --> 00:58:56,220
Once we have that, then we
have the building blocks.
1083
00:58:57,615 --> 00:59:02,295
The flow chart for every model of trading
that there can be day trading, scalping,
1084
00:59:02,355 --> 00:59:07,035
swing trading, one shot, one kill, you
know, position trading, all those things.
1085
00:59:07,125 --> 00:59:13,755
It's easy for me to have a flow chart
and say, okay, XYZ, do this, or do that.
1086
00:59:13,815 --> 00:59:15,345
You'll know what I mean by that.
1087
00:59:15,464 --> 00:59:16,065
And that's what I said.
1088
00:59:16,065 --> 00:59:18,975
If I, if I put the flow chart up
on the website right now, and you
1089
00:59:18,975 --> 00:59:21,734
wouldn't be able to do anything
with it, it would be no use to you.
1090
00:59:21,884 --> 00:59:25,875
You couldn't do anything with it, but by
breaking down these individual components
1091
00:59:26,595 --> 00:59:31,095
intimately you'll know what I mean
when I say, okay, do this or do that.
1092
00:59:31,634 --> 00:59:31,904
Okay.
1093
00:59:31,904 --> 00:59:32,295
You're okay.
1094
00:59:32,295 --> 00:59:33,214
Well, I understand what that means.
1095
00:59:33,225 --> 00:59:37,275
And then I know how to arrive at
the decision relative to those.
1096
00:59:38,925 --> 00:59:40,365
Points of reference.
1097
00:59:41,295 --> 00:59:44,265
And then by doing that, you'll
work through the flow chart.
1098
00:59:44,265 --> 00:59:47,625
And you'll either come to the decision
point where you take action or you
1099
00:59:47,625 --> 00:59:51,135
stand and you wait for more information
or you go back to the previous stage
1100
00:59:51,405 --> 00:59:55,515
and you wait for more information
there and it makes it very binary.
1101
00:59:55,575 --> 00:59:57,555
You need your trading
to be just like that.
1102
00:59:57,915 --> 00:59:58,665
It's boring.
1103
00:59:58,755 --> 01:00:00,165
And that's exactly what you want.
1104
01:00:00,885 --> 01:00:03,165
You do not want high
excitement in your trading.
1105
01:00:03,555 --> 01:00:04,815
Only do that on the weekends.
1106
01:00:04,815 --> 01:00:07,365
When you had a really good smashing
week, when you just killed it,
1107
01:00:07,875 --> 01:00:09,285
that's when emotions are allowed.
1108
01:00:09,555 --> 01:00:13,275
But throughout the week, when the markets
are still trading, you can not allow
1109
01:00:13,785 --> 01:00:15,315
your emotions to get ahead of yourself.
1110
01:00:15,345 --> 01:00:18,405
You can't get crazy and you
want your trading to be boring.
1111
01:00:18,405 --> 01:00:19,515
You want it to be monotonous.
1112
01:00:19,545 --> 01:00:22,625
You want it to be mundane and routine.
1113
01:00:22,815 --> 01:00:24,215
Yeah, nothing exciting about it.
1114
01:00:25,145 --> 01:00:27,485
That's when you know that you're
going to be forced by emotion.
1115
01:00:27,725 --> 01:00:29,255
You're not to be drawn
in by fear and greed.
1116
01:00:29,495 --> 01:00:30,905
It's this business as usual.
1117
01:00:31,175 --> 01:00:32,045
It's the same thing all the time.
1118
01:00:33,285 --> 01:00:36,855
And you hear it sometimes when
I'm talking, uh, you know, I'll
1119
01:00:36,855 --> 01:00:39,315
talk about associate level, the
markets start screaming for it.
1120
01:00:39,345 --> 01:00:42,495
I'm still talking, you know, I'm
not worrying about it because
1121
01:00:42,495 --> 01:00:43,815
I've seen it too many times.
1122
01:00:44,335 --> 01:00:47,115
The whole time that the room is lit up.
1123
01:00:47,115 --> 01:00:48,585
They're like, I can't
believe this happening.
1124
01:00:48,615 --> 01:00:49,335
Look how it's moving.
1125
01:00:49,335 --> 01:00:50,385
Look at it went right to the PIP.
1126
01:00:50,985 --> 01:00:53,475
You're all experiencing
that for the first time.
1127
01:00:54,225 --> 01:00:57,525
You, especially in December, everyone that
was watching on a day to day by basis.
1128
01:00:58,015 --> 01:01:02,715
That's not something that I get excited
about unless, you know, I see a real new
1129
01:01:02,715 --> 01:01:06,075
trader when they get in there and they
start looking at it and their response
1130
01:01:06,075 --> 01:01:07,515
is then I can get to relive that moment.
1131
01:01:08,325 --> 01:01:11,415
But when we go through the process of
breaking down the markets and we're
1132
01:01:11,415 --> 01:01:14,865
looking for high reward trading scenarios,
you have to suppress that desire.
1133
01:01:14,955 --> 01:01:17,565
Don't be in a rush to get to
that feeling of you were right.
1134
01:01:17,565 --> 01:01:18,315
And look at the market.
1135
01:01:18,315 --> 01:01:18,915
Don't do that.
1136
01:01:19,875 --> 01:01:23,775
And by having a process oriented
thinking, you're thinking binary
1137
01:01:23,985 --> 01:01:26,415
it's X or it's oh, it's on.
1138
01:01:26,415 --> 01:01:27,885
Or it's off it's black or it's white.
1139
01:01:27,915 --> 01:01:28,835
That's how your trading has.
1140
01:01:29,820 --> 01:01:37,350
And if you can work your trading model
into that area of study and execution, you
1141
01:01:37,350 --> 01:01:39,090
will have no problem with fear and greed.
1142
01:01:39,150 --> 01:01:41,370
You won't rush, you won't
have any issues at all.
1143
01:01:41,370 --> 01:01:44,279
And just like we've mentioned in the
previous teaching, uh, if you have a
1144
01:01:44,279 --> 01:01:46,140
loss, there's no reason to worry about it.
1145
01:01:46,170 --> 01:01:47,400
It's very easy to get it back.
1146
01:01:47,730 --> 01:01:51,029
And even if you have a string of losses,
it doesn't take long to recoup that.
1147
01:01:51,630 --> 01:01:53,520
But if you lose your mind, okay.
1148
01:01:53,640 --> 01:01:56,070
Thinking all of a sudden the
markets are, you know, are not
1149
01:01:56,070 --> 01:01:57,150
going to work like this again.
1150
01:01:57,509 --> 01:01:59,400
And there's no reason to think that way.
1151
01:02:00,150 --> 01:02:04,680
You'll see by the end of this mentorship,
you'll know everything you need to know
1152
01:02:05,400 --> 01:02:08,490
and how to operate and execute and engage
the marketplace on a day-by-day basis.
1153
01:02:08,850 --> 01:02:11,820
And you'll know what
exactly you're going to do.
1154
01:02:11,880 --> 01:02:11,970
Right.
1155
01:02:13,109 --> 01:02:16,230
But it comes by what we just
described here and all the framework
1156
01:02:16,230 --> 01:02:19,470
that's been shown here, nothing
outside of this, no secret stuff.
1157
01:02:19,799 --> 01:02:20,220
Okay.
1158
01:02:21,000 --> 01:02:24,779
Everything refined to great
detail, minute detail.
1159
01:02:25,200 --> 01:02:29,759
And then what that all allow us to
do is to have specific processes
1160
01:02:29,759 --> 01:02:33,330
that will lend well to specific
conditions that we'll talk about.
1161
01:02:34,560 --> 01:02:37,830
And then all that will give us our
trade scenarios and setups, but the
1162
01:02:37,830 --> 01:02:40,950
ingredient behind it all is what's
been shown here in this tutorial.
1163
01:02:41,580 --> 01:02:44,009
And it's important that you
understand that this is exactly
1164
01:02:44,520 --> 01:02:48,839
what you would be wanting to
know, but you just didn't know it.
1165
01:02:49,350 --> 01:02:50,819
And it doesn't sound sexy.
1166
01:02:50,819 --> 01:02:52,049
It doesn't make a good course.
1167
01:02:52,350 --> 01:02:54,029
It doesn't make a good video YouTube.
1168
01:02:54,359 --> 01:03:00,060
Um, if, if you were to just explain
this, if someone was to show just a
1169
01:03:00,060 --> 01:03:05,660
PDF file on this video, maybe like this
is telling me nothing, but it really
1170
01:03:05,660 --> 01:03:06,730
is when we're going to build on it.
1171
01:03:07,069 --> 01:03:09,950
It's exactly the, the framework
or the backbone of how.
1172
01:03:10,950 --> 01:03:13,710
How I'm able to call the markets
and why they go, where they go and
1173
01:03:13,710 --> 01:03:18,630
beforehand, how I showed 59% in one
month, you know, with my FX book for
1174
01:03:18,690 --> 01:03:23,300
October, so far, all that is because
of, what's just been shown here and my
1175
01:03:23,300 --> 01:03:24,860
implementation of all that information.
1176
01:03:25,430 --> 01:03:26,750
So I want you to understand it.
1177
01:03:27,230 --> 01:03:31,700
We're going to build on this
individually, conceptually, and then
1178
01:03:31,700 --> 01:03:36,590
once we flesh it all out, it'll be easy
to be able to provide a PDF file and
1179
01:03:36,590 --> 01:03:37,940
you'll know exactly what that means.
1180
01:03:37,940 --> 01:03:42,290
When you look at the PFO, why these
information reference points are
1181
01:03:42,320 --> 01:03:43,820
influential in terms of decision makers.
1182
01:03:43,850 --> 01:03:44,030
Okay.
1183
01:03:44,630 --> 01:03:47,510
And once you have that, you'll be
exactly what you signed up for.
1184
01:03:48,500 --> 01:03:50,450
Independent thinking, efficient trading.
103880
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