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Hello and welcome back to cryptocurrency trading masterclass by wealthy education and this video we'll
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talk about and how to trade based upon Bollinger bands.
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Now Bollinger bands are a very common indicator used in various markets around the world.
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Pretty straightforward, really.
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All they do is they measure volatility.
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To give you an idea whether a.
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Cryptocurrency or an asset in general is overbought or oversold.
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So based upon, if you remember, statistics, two standard deviations.
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From the.
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I mean, so basically the idea is I thought my head ninety seven percent of all numbers fall within
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this distribution and then once you get.
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Outside of this range, the idea is much more likely for the market to.
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Return closer to the medium, so if you remember the bell curve.
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Pretty straightforward, and it is not a difficult indicator to use.
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There are multiple different strategies, though, so come up here to the indicators and strategies
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button.
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And you can see on the built in, it's actually right away, you can see Bollinger bands, you click
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on that.
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And you'll notice me go ahead and zoom in a little bit, you'll notice that at least on trading view,
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it is filled in.
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Sometimes it'll just be three lines and you can change it to that if you would like.
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That's that's fine.
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But this is two standard deviations, meaning that it is more than twice as far from the middle line,
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the average.
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Than is typical.
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This means that you are two standard deviations lower than the line, as is typical.
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So this is a reversion to the mean type of scenario.
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The middle line is the 20 simple moving average.
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So it's the average price of the last 20 periods in this case, last 20 hours.
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Now.
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When you look at this.
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There are a few things that you should notice and I will go ahead and switch over to.
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Like a bar chart.
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So prices actually went this high, but they closed here and we'll talk about that a little later.
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But the idea is you can see the price had reached above the top and the idea is that you are more than
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two standard deviations above and you should go back towards Norm.
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The same thing can be said here you are two standard deviations below and you should go back towards
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the norm.
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Now.
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Something to pay attention to is the moving average, the norm, as it were, when it's going basically
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sideways, that means you don't really have a trend, you're just kind of killing time.
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But when it starts falling like this, you are in a downtrend just as you are in an uptrend here and
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here.
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So in that scenario.
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The easiest way to trade this is to simply use this as to which direction to go, recognizing that once
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you get outside of the band, you are likely to have a pullback.
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There are a couple of different ways that people will.
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Use this, that's the most kind of like just straightforward explanation of it, but sometimes they
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will use the trend right along with the median to determine what what to do next.
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So, for example.
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We have a downtrend here and you can see the price falls and falls and gets a little overdone and we
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bounce.
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So if the trend is down and right here, an average pricing you are looking to sell, if you're a little
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bit more aggressive, sometimes price might even jump up to here and a downtrend.
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And you are definitely looking to sell at that point.
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So that's the simplest way to to to talk about how to use Bollinger bands.
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It just tells you when the market's gotten too far in one direction, especially when it's against the
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overall prevailing trend, then you become very interested in it.
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Notice how the standard deviations.
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Are farther away here than they are here, and that's just a sign of volatility, whether the markets
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are moving, you know, if they're just killing time, it gets slimmer.
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You can see we shot straight up in the air.
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And then they expand.
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Because the.
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Moving average starts to rise and it starts to be influenced by this outsized trading, our.
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So notice how you're in an uptrend, you get overdone.
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You can buy out the.
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Moving average in the middle.
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Also, notice how.
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We break through here, we come up and we test this and then we fail again, that could be a sign that
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the trends are about to change and it did, in fact, do so.
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And then there's your other entry, so.
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When they talked about being in a downtrend and selling here.
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It made perfect sense.
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Just as collecting profits might, once you get outside of the ball, undermanned.
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But notice how.
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If you took these trades to the upside.
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You may have lost money there because it didn't return, it just kind of depends on when you get in,
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but the fact that we failed, there is a huge sign that something's changing and therefore the trend
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did exactly that.
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So that's.
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A way that you can.
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Certainly take a look at it, you know, as support resistance, it's a dynamic support resistance level.
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It operates the same way on all time frames.
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I would postulate that, you know.
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On the daily charts, it tends to be a little easier than, say, the five minute chart.
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Once we start talking about candlesticks, this is a perfect setup.
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Got a little overboard.
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We're definitely in an uptrend.
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We pull back, we form what is a buy signal on the candlestick a little later in the course.
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And go higher, we break through it, we break through it, and then we finally make a decision and
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once we make a decision, we're in a downtrend.
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So that is a way to look at it.
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So let's go ahead and take a look at REPL.
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And let's put Bollinger bands on this.
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See how wild it can get.
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That's because the market is wild and now we have come back down.
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A lot of times that's a news driven event.
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So that's something to keep in mind as well.
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You can trade inside the band.
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OK, so let's take a look at this, let's drill down to maybe the 15 minute chart you can buy and sell.
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So if you are flat and this is going to be for those who are like day trading, you know, OK.
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So notice that we're essentially flat here.
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You could buy, sell or sell, buy, sell, buy, sell by a lot of that's going to come down to the
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spreads that you get and the like.
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But you get the idea might be difficult to do in a penny range here with REPL specifically, but with
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a coin, like a light coin or, you know, bitcoin or whatever, it would become much simpler.
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You do have to keep in mind, though, that if you're in a longer term downturn, for example, your
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selling positions will probably work out.
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Better and then eventually you'll probably break to the downside, so you might go back and forth and
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lose one, but you might win for is kind of the point.
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So, again, this is back and forth.
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You can see how well that worked when the bans tighten up and then they start to open up again and distance.
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And that tells you that you're in the midst of a move.
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Take a look at Catano.
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Bollinger bands on.
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And like I said, depending on the platform we use and we like trading view, but I recognize that not
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everybody is going to use trading view, so.
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You could do the background.
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All the way to zero.
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And then you'll notice that it's just three lines.
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A lot of platforms actually do this.
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It's a little easier to see what's going on in the inside.
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But you can see clearly that Cordano started to break up of.
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And then kind of drifted because it got a little ahead of itself.
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Notice this year this is a Bollinger band squeeze and Bollinger band squeezes a lot of times will.
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Proceed, some type of bigger move, I mean, a market when we sit still for so long and we actually
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talk about this later in the course, but, you know, the skinny of it is it starts to lose volatility.
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And then once it gets moving, you've changed directions.
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You have formed a trend.
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Multiple times you could have bought this right along the average price all the way up until here,
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where you finally probably got stopped out.
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For what it's worth, when you see this and this hasn't completely closed yet, this is an hourly chart
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and as I record, this has got about 15 minutes left.
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But if it starts to roll over here, that might be the beginning of a short term downtrend.
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So that's something worth paying attention to as well.
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Now, the thing that I would point out, that move that I talked about is in the presence of a higher
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timeframe uptrend.
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So, again, that's really the way you want to be as well.
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So.
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Bollinger bands are like a nice little guideline they adjust, meaning that.
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We see them widen and shrink, the fact that we are overbought doesn't necessarily mean you mean need
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to be shorting it in an uptrend.
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It just tells you that you may get a pullback.
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Or consolidation in this case going forward, so you can either take profit and do partial profit and
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then perhaps wait for another opportunity to get involved, like you could have several times here.
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The next video, we'll take a look at some examples, how to actually use Bollinger bands to play some
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trades with with a little bit more clarity.
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