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These are the user uploaded subtitles that are being translated: 1 00:00:00,306 --> 00:00:02,569 (intense fast music) 2 00:00:02,570 --> 00:00:05,324 For over a century, the planet Mars 3 00:00:05,325 --> 00:00:09,163 has been an enduring theme in science fiction. 4 00:00:09,164 --> 00:00:13,401 From martian invaders, to human plans to transform 5 00:00:13,402 --> 00:00:16,735 the Red Planet into a second home world. 6 00:00:18,248 --> 00:00:22,331 Today, science fact is replacing science fiction. 7 00:00:23,910 --> 00:00:26,642 And, to many people, it seems clear that 8 00:00:26,643 --> 00:00:29,746 mankind's destiny as a spacefaring species, 9 00:00:29,747 --> 00:00:33,919 lies here on Mars, rather than on the moon. 10 00:00:33,920 --> 00:00:37,427 They're known as the Mars Direct Lobby. 11 00:00:37,428 --> 00:00:40,465 Others disagree, concerned that such a step 12 00:00:40,466 --> 00:00:42,799 may be a giant leap too far. 13 00:00:44,119 --> 00:00:47,369 They are known as the Moon First Lobby. 14 00:00:59,957 --> 00:01:02,489 {\an8}Mars has been the planet that has captured 15 00:01:02,490 --> 00:01:05,315 {\an8}the imagination of science fiction writers, 16 00:01:05,316 --> 00:01:06,342 {\an8}and a lot of people in my business, 17 00:01:06,343 --> 00:01:08,075 cut their teeth on science fiction. 18 00:01:08,076 --> 00:01:10,479 So, they read science fiction, and they watched 19 00:01:10,480 --> 00:01:13,328 science fiction movies and television as kids, 20 00:01:13,329 --> 00:01:15,466 now they're adults, they're working in the business, 21 00:01:15,467 --> 00:01:16,627 they always wanted to, and to them, 22 00:01:16,628 --> 00:01:18,961 it's obvious you go to Mars. 23 00:01:20,266 --> 00:01:22,589 Mars is the planet that's most Earth like, 24 00:01:22,590 --> 00:01:26,398 of all the rocky planets, in the sense that it has 25 00:01:26,399 --> 00:01:31,007 a reasonably equitable climate, it has evidence 26 00:01:31,008 --> 00:01:34,124 for pass internal heat, it has evidence 27 00:01:34,125 --> 00:01:37,282 for presence of water in a variety of states. 28 00:01:37,283 --> 00:01:40,396 So, of all the planets, it is the one most likely 29 00:01:40,397 --> 00:01:42,397 to have originated life. 30 00:01:43,323 --> 00:01:45,068 And people want to know if that's true or not. 31 00:01:45,069 --> 00:01:48,390 So that drive, that question, send a lot of 32 00:01:48,391 --> 00:01:51,730 people off the deep end, of saying, 33 00:01:51,731 --> 00:01:54,487 "Well, Mars is the obvious target, it's the next target. 34 00:01:54,488 --> 00:01:57,142 "We've been to the moon, we've done that." 35 00:01:57,143 --> 00:02:00,458 And I think that's looking at it the wrong way. 36 00:02:00,459 --> 00:02:02,735 I don't deny that the origin of life is an important 37 00:02:02,736 --> 00:02:04,633 scientific question, but there are a lot of 38 00:02:04,634 --> 00:02:07,449 scientific questions, and that's one of many. 39 00:02:07,450 --> 00:02:10,801 And the reason I have the (mumbles) is that if 40 00:02:10,802 --> 00:02:13,451 you build my system, you can go everywhere. 41 00:02:13,452 --> 00:02:17,499 See, I don't just want the moon, and I just don't want Mars, 42 00:02:17,500 --> 00:02:20,877 and I just don't want asteroids, I want all of that. 43 00:02:20,878 --> 00:02:24,917 And the way to get all of that, is to build a system 44 00:02:24,918 --> 00:02:29,006 that's robust, that's incremental, that allows you 45 00:02:29,007 --> 00:02:33,477 to gradually, but continuously, extend your reach. 46 00:02:33,478 --> 00:02:37,518 {\an8}I don't necessarily look at moon versus Mars. 47 00:02:37,519 --> 00:02:41,574 {\an8}I basically look at, you know, what's the 48 00:02:41,575 --> 00:02:44,890 logical progression to get to Mars. 49 00:02:44,891 --> 00:02:48,808 Can I use the lunar surface as a proving ground 50 00:02:49,772 --> 00:02:52,052 before I go to Mars? 51 00:02:52,053 --> 00:02:54,889 Now, the environments are obviously different. 52 00:02:54,890 --> 00:02:57,883 Mars has an atmosphere, even if it's tenuous, 53 00:02:57,884 --> 00:03:02,254 it's seasonal variations are different than the moon, 54 00:03:02,255 --> 00:03:05,243 but there's enough things that you can do on the moon 55 00:03:05,244 --> 00:03:08,446 that could help you get to Mars. 56 00:03:08,447 --> 00:03:12,079 What's going on now is a lot of countries are 57 00:03:12,080 --> 00:03:16,225 looking at Mars as being a bridge too far at the moment. 58 00:03:16,226 --> 00:03:17,226 That's fine. 59 00:03:20,460 --> 00:03:23,403 And, therefore, the moon makes a lot more sense. 60 00:03:23,404 --> 00:03:27,767 It's relatively close, the United States has been 61 00:03:27,768 --> 00:03:31,506 to the moon, so to a certain extent, it's not a been there, 62 00:03:31,507 --> 00:03:35,778 done that, but it's we know we can do it again. 63 00:03:35,779 --> 00:03:37,462 There are countries that are just literally 64 00:03:37,463 --> 00:03:40,941 getting outside of Earth orbit for the first time. 65 00:03:40,942 --> 00:03:43,713 So, going straight to Mars, really doesn't make 66 00:03:43,714 --> 00:03:45,556 a lot of sense for those countries. 67 00:03:45,557 --> 00:03:49,494 The people in China, and people in India, 68 00:03:49,495 --> 00:03:54,219 and Japan, they want to see people on the Moon, 69 00:03:54,220 --> 00:03:57,187 from their country, in their lifetimes. 70 00:03:57,188 --> 00:03:58,021 They want to do it, they don't want to sit around 71 00:03:58,021 --> 00:03:58,994 and talk about it, they want to do it. 72 00:03:58,995 --> 00:04:01,877 So, I think that's why there's intense international 73 00:04:01,878 --> 00:04:05,456 interest in the moon, it's a goal that's achievable, 74 00:04:05,457 --> 00:04:08,550 it's a goal that has value, in terms of creating 75 00:04:08,551 --> 00:04:12,418 space like capability, and it's something that 76 00:04:12,419 --> 00:04:15,836 excites a lot of their supporting public. 77 00:04:16,853 --> 00:04:19,280 So, they're very interested in the moon. 78 00:04:19,281 --> 00:04:22,017 To many in the Moon First community, 79 00:04:22,018 --> 00:04:24,034 the practical benefits of being able to test 80 00:04:24,035 --> 00:04:27,181 a new generation of off world technologies, 81 00:04:27,182 --> 00:04:28,861 are very appealing. 82 00:04:28,862 --> 00:04:31,607 Not least because if anything goes wrong, 83 00:04:31,608 --> 00:04:36,314 help is only days away, rather than months, or even years. 84 00:04:36,315 --> 00:04:40,901 But that's not the only reason to return to the moon 85 00:04:40,902 --> 00:04:44,065 The second thing, though, is the moon on its own 86 00:04:44,066 --> 00:04:47,757 has tremendous resources, and a reason for 87 00:04:47,758 --> 00:04:50,508 being there besides just science. 88 00:04:51,822 --> 00:04:55,822 And so, whether it's the minerals, and the types 89 00:04:57,146 --> 00:04:59,488 of different metals that may exist on the Moon, 90 00:04:59,489 --> 00:05:04,257 whether it's water, those are things that society can use. 91 00:05:04,258 --> 00:05:07,041 So, in 30 or 40 years, hopefully we've started 92 00:05:07,042 --> 00:05:10,352 to not just go to the moon and look at the rocks, 93 00:05:10,353 --> 00:05:13,936 and set up telescopes and things like that, 94 00:05:14,911 --> 00:05:19,767 but we're actually trying to use it commercially. 95 00:05:19,768 --> 00:05:22,043 And on the face of it, the commercial 96 00:05:22,044 --> 00:05:25,734 value of the moon, could be literally out of this world. 97 00:05:25,735 --> 00:05:28,425 Distilling rocket fuel out of moon rock, 98 00:05:28,426 --> 00:05:30,927 could be extremely profitable. 99 00:05:30,928 --> 00:05:35,085 As could mining platinum metals, and rare earths. 100 00:05:35,086 --> 00:05:37,917 And the rare isotope helium three, 101 00:05:37,918 --> 00:05:40,720 could turn out to be priceless. 102 00:05:40,721 --> 00:05:43,988 It may be the most valuable substance known to human kind, 103 00:05:43,989 --> 00:05:46,898 and unlike the Earth, the moon has millions of 104 00:05:46,899 --> 00:05:51,397 tons of this stuff distributed across its smiling face. 105 00:05:51,398 --> 00:05:55,393 The list of lunar goodies just keeps growing. 106 00:05:55,394 --> 00:05:57,360 This has obvious commercial value. 107 00:05:57,361 --> 00:06:00,380 And in fact, it will never be done as a government program, 108 00:06:00,381 --> 00:06:02,113 it's always going to have to be, 109 00:06:02,114 --> 00:06:04,876 there's going to have to be some commercial value, 110 00:06:04,877 --> 00:06:07,777 and some group of investors and operators, 111 00:06:07,778 --> 00:06:11,826 to make this thing work on a long term basis. 112 00:06:11,827 --> 00:06:16,334 Now, my feeling is that the best way to induce 113 00:06:16,335 --> 00:06:19,466 commercial activity on the moon, is to have 114 00:06:19,467 --> 00:06:22,019 NASA lead and show that it's possible. 115 00:06:22,020 --> 00:06:26,070 To show how difficult it is, and what it costs. 116 00:06:26,071 --> 00:06:28,869 And then have the private sector 117 00:06:28,870 --> 00:06:31,408 take that over and innovate. 118 00:06:31,409 --> 00:06:34,099 In the last few years, over a dozen 119 00:06:34,100 --> 00:06:35,490 companies have begun to make their 120 00:06:35,491 --> 00:06:38,708 spacefaring intentions public. 121 00:06:38,709 --> 00:06:43,625 Some are offering economical trips to low Earth orbit. 122 00:06:43,626 --> 00:06:47,945 Others are offering innovative space habitat solutions. 123 00:06:47,946 --> 00:06:50,687 Yet, others are promising to cash in on the 124 00:06:50,688 --> 00:06:55,520 resources to be found on the moon, and on asteroids. 125 00:06:55,521 --> 00:06:59,743 In each case, the plan is to hasten slowly. 126 00:06:59,744 --> 00:07:03,839 To take small steps that can build upon the one before. 127 00:07:03,840 --> 00:07:07,884 Remember, we didn't first land the Lunar Module on the 128 00:07:07,885 --> 00:07:12,241 moon, we first landed a small little thing called Surveyor. 129 00:07:12,242 --> 00:07:14,523 And we actually crashed a few things, called Ranger, 130 00:07:14,524 --> 00:07:18,021 before that, so we started small, to show, 131 00:07:18,022 --> 00:07:21,118 to learn how to do it, to show that it could be done, 132 00:07:21,119 --> 00:07:22,881 and that's sort of the approach being taken 133 00:07:22,882 --> 00:07:25,909 by the small companies like Moon Express, Nastrobotic, 134 00:07:25,910 --> 00:07:28,429 and the Israelis, who are all competing 135 00:07:28,430 --> 00:07:30,346 for the Google X prize. 136 00:07:30,347 --> 00:07:33,919 And that's the first step, that's the way to, sort of, 137 00:07:33,920 --> 00:07:36,703 let people get their feet wet, with the concepts 138 00:07:36,704 --> 00:07:40,871 of designing space craft, delivering small payloads, 139 00:07:42,109 --> 00:07:44,398 that's one way to develop a commercial industry, 140 00:07:44,399 --> 00:07:48,566 is to seed it with a prize, and let people compete for it. 141 00:07:49,714 --> 00:07:51,719 The Google Lunar X prize, 142 00:07:51,720 --> 00:07:54,535 challenges privately funded space flight teams, 143 00:07:54,536 --> 00:07:57,445 to land a robotic space craft on the moon, 144 00:07:57,446 --> 00:08:01,860 travel 500 meters, and then send back high definition video, 145 00:08:01,861 --> 00:08:04,028 and images of the terrain. 146 00:08:05,643 --> 00:08:09,310 The winning team will net a cool 20 million. 147 00:08:10,458 --> 00:08:14,265 But the bigger goal is to incentivize entrepreneurs, 148 00:08:14,266 --> 00:08:16,105 to create a new era of affordable 149 00:08:16,106 --> 00:08:19,121 access to the moon and beyond. 150 00:08:19,122 --> 00:08:21,404 And to inspire the next generation of 151 00:08:21,405 --> 00:08:24,488 scientists, engineers, and explorers. 152 00:08:29,144 --> 00:08:32,062 Many observers believe that the next boot print 153 00:08:32,063 --> 00:08:34,504 on the moon will be Chinese. 154 00:08:34,505 --> 00:08:38,026 Closely followed by those from the host of other nations, 155 00:08:38,027 --> 00:08:41,007 who dream of becoming spacefarers. 156 00:08:41,008 --> 00:08:43,866 They, too, will proudly plant their national flags 157 00:08:43,867 --> 00:08:46,803 in the moons unforgiving regolith. 158 00:08:46,804 --> 00:08:49,767 Interestingly, some say symbolically, 159 00:08:49,768 --> 00:08:51,482 when they get around to looking for the six 160 00:08:51,483 --> 00:08:54,782 American flags planted by the Apollo astronauts, 161 00:08:54,783 --> 00:08:57,620 they may be surprised by what they found. 162 00:08:57,621 --> 00:09:01,671 Those flags have been on the moon now for almost 50 years. 163 00:09:01,672 --> 00:09:05,161 And they've been exposed to the full fury of 164 00:09:05,162 --> 00:09:09,393 14 days of lunar sunlight, where the sun is searing 165 00:09:09,394 --> 00:09:11,967 their surface, and it gets up to... 166 00:09:11,968 --> 00:09:15,685 The surface temperature is 100 Centigrade at noon. 167 00:09:15,686 --> 00:09:18,951 And the numbing cold of lunar night, 168 00:09:18,952 --> 00:09:23,119 which follows 14 days later, and it gets down to -150 C. 169 00:09:23,988 --> 00:09:27,022 And if you look at any flag that's been out on Earth 170 00:09:27,023 --> 00:09:28,695 for a long period of time, you'll notice 171 00:09:28,696 --> 00:09:30,376 that the colors are faded. 172 00:09:30,377 --> 00:09:34,082 I suspect that the flags on the moon are largely white, 173 00:09:34,083 --> 00:09:35,537 because they've been bleached by 174 00:09:35,538 --> 00:09:38,712 solar ultraviolet for 50 years. 175 00:09:38,713 --> 00:09:40,285 In a way, that's kind of symbolic. 176 00:09:40,286 --> 00:09:44,675 We got six flags planted by Americans on the moon, 177 00:09:44,676 --> 00:09:47,671 all of them are now white. 178 00:09:47,672 --> 00:09:49,684 That symbolism reflects the essence 179 00:09:49,685 --> 00:09:52,589 of the United Nations outer space treaty, 180 00:09:52,590 --> 00:09:55,391 which clearly states that the exploration 181 00:09:55,392 --> 00:09:57,079 and use of outer space, including the moon, 182 00:09:57,080 --> 00:09:59,663 is the province of all mankind. 183 00:10:01,447 --> 00:10:04,552 Time will tell whether that treaty will hold, 184 00:10:04,553 --> 00:10:08,576 as a new era in space exploration and development dawns. 185 00:10:08,577 --> 00:10:11,834 But what is certain, is that our moon, 186 00:10:11,835 --> 00:10:15,379 and our solar system, are about to be changed forever. 187 00:10:15,380 --> 00:10:18,130 (dramatic music) 15575

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